US: Arkansas and Oklahoma tornadoes: Death toll rises to 17 as forecasters warn more are on the way – Published 280414 1400z

“Forecasters warn further twisters are on the way after a violent start to the US tornado season left at least 17 people dead

U.S. Severe Weather Alerts and Tornado Warnings (link)

At least 17 people have been killed and many more injured in the United States after a powerful storm system saw tornadoes rip through Arkansas and Oklahoma.

A dozen or more twisters tore through central and southern parts of the country, decimating buildings, overturning trucks and bringing down trees and power lines.

National Guard troops have been mobilised in the worst hit areas and rescue workers have been searching debris for victims, as forecasters warned more twisters were on their way.

Storm Locations
A tornado in Arkansas killed 16 people on its 30-mile destructive path

Tornadoes also hit in Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri and Louisiana, causing damage and injuries.

President Barack Obama, who is currently in the Philippines, sent his condolences to those affected and pledged any assistance necessary.

“Your country will be there to help you recover and rebuild, as long as it takes,” he said.

The Arkansas Department of Emergency Management said a large tornado which formed outside Little Rock killed 16 people as it carved a 30-mile path of destruction through the state.

It was the largest of several tornadoes created by a powerful storm system.

Another twister which hit the town of Quapaw, Oklahoma, left one person dead and at least six people injured.

Arkansas tornado
A tornado obliterated homes in Mayflower, Arkansas

It then continued into Kansas, destroying up to 70 homes and injuring 25 people in the city of Baxter Springs.

In Mayflower, Arkansas, one person was killed and 45 homes were destroyed as a tornado swept through.

City alderman Will Elder said: “It’s extremely hazardous here right now. The power lines are down, roads are blocked and they (emergency services) will have to proceed with caution.”

James Firestone, mayor of the Arkansas town of Vilonia said: “It’s chaos right now.”

He said the downtown area “seems like it’s completely levelled”, adding: “There are a few buildings partially standing, gas lines are spewing and fire lines are down. We’ve had some casualties.”

Firefighters from nearby cities, as well as National Guard troops, were heading to the town to help, with the county sheriff’s office reporting a “mass casualty situation”.

Homes in Arkansas have been destroyed by a tornado
The deadly twisters have devastated neighbourhoods

Representative Tim Griffin said: “Tonight, I walked around what was only hours earlier a thriving neighbourhood that is now gone.

“An entire neighbourhood of 50 or so homes has been destroyed.

“Many homes are completely gone except the foundation and there is more devastation like this in other parts of Arkansas.”

Writing on Twitter, Arkansas governor Mike Beebe added: “It’s been a truly awful night for many families, neighbourhoods and communities, but Arkansans always step up to help each other recover.”” – Sky News

A number of tornado warnings were issued. Forecasters are only able to give about 13 minutes warning, although more general tornado watches are issued earlier.
See also:

https://www.facebook.com/GoatysNews

U.S. Severe Weather Alerts and Tornado Warnings(link)

 

Videos

Arkansas and Oklahoma tornadoes: Death toll rises to 17

(Video credit: ITN)

Published on Apr 28, 2014
At least 17 people have died after tornadoes ripped through the southern and central United States. The majority of the victims were in several suburbs of Little Rock in Arkansas. Homes and buildings were destroyed and entire were neighbourhoods were reduced to rubble. A desperate rescue operation is now underway to reach survivors, and local residents have to try and rebuild their lives. Report by Sarah Kerr.

At least 17 killed by deadly tornadoes in U.S.

(Video credit: ARIRANG NEWS)

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your countrys official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Coffee may reduce risk for type 2 diabetes

The Chart

Need an excuse to drink yet another cup of coffee today?  A new study suggests that increasing coffee consumption may decrease the risk for type 2 diabetes.

The apparent relationship between coffee and type 2 diabetes is not new.  Previous studies have found that drinking a few cups or more each day may lower your risk — with each subsequent cup nudging up the benefit.

This most recent study, published in the journal Diabetologia, was more concerned with how changing coffee consumption — either increasing it or decreasing it over time — might affect your risk.

View original post 392 more words

Ireland: Skerries Inshore Lifeboat rescues 3 men from fishing vessel grounded on rocks off Balbriggan – Published 250414 1113z

Skerries RNLI rescued three men last night (Thursday 24 April) after their 30 foot fishing vessel ran aground on rocks north of Balbriggan harbour in extremely poor visibility.

The volunteer crew launched their inshore lifeboat shortly after 9pm with Rob Morgan as Helm and crew members Emma Wilson, Stephen Crowley and Laura Boylan also on board. Dublin Coast Guard requested the lifeboat to launch after receiving of reports that a vessel had struck rocks north of Balbriggan harbour.
The lifeboat proceeded directly to the area indicated by Dublin Coast Guard. Conditions on the night were calm with a force one Southerly wind. There was a thick sea fog in the area at the time and visibility was reduced to one to two metres.
Clogherhead RNLI all weather lifeboat also launched at 10pm after Skerries RNLI requested their assistance given the possibility that a long and difficult search may have been necessary. Coast guard helicopter R116 and Skerries coast guard ground unit were also tasked.

Communication with the vessel in distress was established through another fishing vessel. Along with the information relayed from the vessel, the volunteer crew used the radar and direction finder on board their Atlantic 85 inshore lifeboat to pinpoint the casualties location.

The three men were taken on board the lifeboat where they were assessed and did not require any medical attention. Clogherhead RNLI , Skerries coast guard and Rescue helicopter R116 were all stood down. Skerries RNLI returned the three men to the lifeboat station where they were reunited with waiting family members.

Speaking after the call out, Rob Morgan , Skerries RNLI Helm said: ’Visibility was extremely poor out there this evening. The volunteers training really paid off, particularly with the radar and VHF direction finding equipment . Thankfully we found them in time and it was a good result.’ –

  • Date:
    25/04/2014
  • Author: Gerry Canning/RNLI

RNLI VIDEO (link)

Micronesia/ Yap/ Caroline Islands/ Philippines: Tropical Depression 98W 200600Z nr 10N 136E, moving W slowly (JMA) – Updated 200414 1908z

Tropical Depression (98W)

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM (JTWC)

Yap & Caroline Islands be aware

Tropical Depression set to impact the Philippines on Tuesday (See video below) – Westernpacificweather

Japan Meteorological agency

 

WWJP25 RJTD 201200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 45N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 47N 174E 45N 176E.
WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 42N 179W 36N 174W.
COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 35N 174E 28N 164E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 167E 37N 175E
45N 176E 42N 180E 30N 180E 30N 167E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 129E EAST SLOWLY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 136E WEST SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 03N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 122E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 147E EAST 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 112E TO 26N 123E 30N 129E 28N 135E 26N
138E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/ab/abpwsair.jpg

ABPW10 PGTW 200600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/200600Z-210600ZAPR2014//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7N
139.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 138.5E, APPROXIMATELY 56 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS TRACKING WESTWARD. THE MSI LOOP
ALSO SHOWS THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATES HIGHER WINDS (15-20 KNOTS) ALONG
THE WESTERN FLANK ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS AND
LARGELY RAIN-FLAGGED; A WESTERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTH SHOWS 5-15
KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE A MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE EASTERLY (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
CAUSING THE DISPLACEMENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION FROM THE LLCC.
NUMERIC MODELS HAVE SCALED DOWN THE FORECAST INTENSITIES ON THIS
SYSTEM TO BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. //
NNNN

Other Reports

Tropical Depression East of the Philippines – WestPacWx

 

Taking a look at the Tropical Depression set to impact the Philippines on Tuesday – Westernpacificweather

Near real-time animated map of global wind and weather:

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-231.56,10.61,2461

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/ocean/surface/currents/overlay=sea_surface_temp/orthographic=-213.73,11.50,130

News Reports

Two LPAs moving toward Philippines

“One of two low-pressure areas (LPAs) moving toward the Philippine territory is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone within 24 to 36 hours.

According to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), one of the LPAs was located 220 kilometers (km) east-northeast of Surigao City, while the other one was spotted 1,220 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar, as of mid-Sunday.

The weather disturbance near Surigao City will bring cloudy skies with moderate to occasional heavy rains and thunderstorms over Eastern Visayas, particularly Eastern and Northern Samar.

PAGASA advised residents in these areas of possible flash floods and landslides. It also advised fishermen and seafarers of moderate to occasional rough seas over the Eastern and Central Visayas.

Weather forecaster Gladys Saludes said the LPA is not expected to intensify into a tropical depression as it is already near land.

Meanwhile, the LPA east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar, which is seen to enter the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) possibly Sunday evening or early Monday, has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression, Saludes said.

Should it enter PAR and intensify into a tropical depression, it will be locally called ‘Ester,’ the fifth tropical cyclone to enter the country’s vicinity this year and the second this month.

Based on the latest forecast models, Saludes noted that the weather disturbance could make landfall over Bicol Region or Samar area by Wednesday afternoon or evening.

“Rains due to the tropical cyclone may prevail over Eastern Visayas starting Tuesday, and over Bicol Region and Samar including Southern Luzon by Wednesday,” she said.

In other parts of the country, the warm and moist air coming from the Pacific Ocean called the easterlies will affect the provinces of Northern Luzon.

Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms mostly in the afternoon or evening.” by Ellalyn De Vera
April 20, 2014

MARITIME

WWJP25 RJTD 201200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 45N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 47N 174E 45N 176E.
WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 42N 179W 36N 174W.
COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 35N 174E 28N 164E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 167E 37N 175E
45N 176E 42N 180E 30N 180E 30N 167E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 129E EAST SLOWLY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 136E WEST SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 03N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 122E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 147E EAST 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 112E TO 26N 123E 30N 129E 28N 135E 26N
138E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

METAREA XI

Specialist weather for mariners – passageweather.com

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Indian Ocean: Ex-Tropical Cyclone 24S Jack 220900Z nr 18.1S 95.5E, moving ESE at 12 knots (JTWC) – Updated 220414 1300z

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jack

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

 

Australian Government - Bureau of Meteorology

Map of Australian region showing the location of any current active tropical cyclonesAUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jack

Issued at 2:50 pm WST Tuesday 22 April 2014. No Tropical Cyclone Advice is current for this system.

 

Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
example of orange colour
Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
example of yellow colour

Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Past Track and Movement
example of track

Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Very Destructive Winds
example of region
Destructive Winds
example of region
Gale Force Winds
example of region

Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
example of region
Destructive Wind Boundary
example of region
Gale Force Wind Boundary
example of region
Most Likely Future Track
example of track
Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
example of region

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Remarks:

Tropical Cyclone Jack has weakened below cyclone intensity. Gales may persist in the southwest quadrant of the system due to a strong pressure gradient with a ridge of high pressure to the south. Please refer to the High Seas Warning (IDY21000) issued by Weather Melbourne.

Name:  Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jack

Details:

Time (WST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 2 pm April 22 tropical low 17.9S 95.2E 30
+6hr 8 pm April 22 tropical low 18.8S 95.8E 50
+12hr 2 am April 23 tropical low 19.5S 96.2E 70
+18hr 8 am April 23 tropical low 19.8S 96.3E 95
+24hr 2 pm April 23 tropical low 20.0S 96.3E 120
+36hr 2 am April 24 tropical low 19.7S 96.6E 155
+48hr 2 pm April 24 tropical low 19.6S 97.0E 190
+60hr 2 am April 25 tropical low 19.2S 97.2E 225
+72hr 2 pm April 25 tropical low 18.9S 96.9E 265

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye

There will be no further Forecast Track Maps issued for this system.

 

 

IDW24000
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
Issued at 2:33 pm WST on Tuesday 22 April 2014
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jack was located at 2 pm WST near 17.9S 95.2E,
that is 660 km south southwest of Cocos Island and moving southeast at 20
kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jack has weakened below cyclone intensity. Gales may persist
in the southwest quadrant of the system due to a strong pressure gradient with
a ridge of high pressure to the south. Please refer to the High Seas Warning
(IDY21000) issued by Weather Melbourne. (G: See below in Maritime section)

No further Information Bulletins will be issued.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh2414.gif

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/24S_220530sams.jpg

 

 

 

PGTW 220900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (JACK) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (JACK) WARNING NR 008 Final Warning
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
220600Z — NEAR 17.8S 95.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 115 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S 95.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z — 19.0S 96.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 95.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (JACK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) REVEALS A FULLY-EXPOSED, ELONGATED AND RAPIDLY-WEAKENED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MSI ALSO INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS
INTERACTING WITH AN AREA OF STRATOCUMULUS TO THE SOUTH AND, AS SHOWN
IN THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER ANIMATION, IS LIKELY INFUSING DRY
AIR. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA PROVIDES SOLID EVIDENCE OF THE RAPID
WEAKENING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SPECIFICALLY, A 220309Z ASCAT
IMAGE SHOWS ONLY 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE
WHILE A 212324Z WINDSAT IMAGE SHOWED 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT WITH WEAKER WINDS ELSEWHERE. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER-
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS EMBEDDED IN THE LEADING
EDGE OF A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH STRONG
NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD AND SLOW AS A LOW-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE SOUTH BUT
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK DUE TO UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 15
FEET.//
NNNN

 

Other Reports

Near real-time animated map of global wind and weather:

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-255.65,-23.98,1071

MARITIME

IDW23100
40:3:1:24:18S095E999:11:00
SECURITE
CANCELLATION

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH
AT 0658UTC 22 APRIL 2014

GALE WARNING

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Ex-Tropical Cyclone Jack was centred within 15 nautical miles of
latitude seventeen decimal nine south (17.9S)
longitude ninety five decimal two east (95.2E)
Recent movement : southeast at 11 knots
Maximum winds : 35 knots southwest of the centre
Central pressure: 1002 hPa

AREA AFFECTED
The system has weakened below tropical cyclone intensity, however, gales may
persist in areas to the southwest of the centre.

FORECAST

REMARKS

Please refer to the High Seas Warning IDY21000 issued by Weather Melbourne for
further warnings.

WEATHER PERTH

Ocean Wind Warning 1

40:2:1:04:30S085E25045:11:00
IDY21000
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
AT 0622UTC 22 APRIL 2014
GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA.

PLEASE BE AWARE

Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

Situation
Vigorous southeasterly flow associated with Ex- Tropical Cyclone “Jack” 1002 hPa
near 17.9S095.2E. Ex- Tropical Cyclone “Jack” forecast 1001 hPa near 18.8S095.8E
at 221200UTC, 1002 hPa near 19.5S096.2E at 221800UTC, 1002 hPa near 19.8S096.3E
at 230001UTC and 1001 hPa near 20S096.3E at 230600UTC.

This warning cancels and replaces High Seas Gale Warning (IDW23100) issued by
TCWC Perth.

Area Affected
Bounded by 23S093E 20S090E 18S091E 18S093E 21S095E 23S099E 24S098E 23S093E.
Forecast
SE quarter winds 30/40 knots within 210nm of low in southwestern quadrant west
of 096E, extending throughout area by 221200UTC. Winds increasing to 35/45 knots
within 90nm of low in southwest quadrant. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to
heavy swell.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

All other warnings at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings/index.shtml

Specialist weather for mariners – passageweather.com
http://www.passageweather.com/maps/sindian/mappage.htm

METAREA X

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Scotland: Barra and Tobermory lifeboats assist stricken cargo ship 30 miles SW of Tiree (Video) – Published 140414 1548z

Tobermory RNLI lifeboat returned to its station this morning after a 17 hour, 180 mile rescue mission to assist a stricken cargo ship. Barra Island RNLI lifeboat will be returning to stand by later today (13 April 2013).

The Tobermory crew relieved the Barra Island lifeboat last night and stood by the 88 metre cargo ship (G: MV Wilson Gdynia) which is now drifting some 30 miles south west of Tiree in rough weather. Given that the cargo ship is drifting in a north westerly direction and is not in danger of encountering any hazards at present, Stornoway Coastguard stood down the Tobermory lifeboat at daybreak.

Having spent more than 14 hours on the ‘shout’ yesterday, Barra Island lifeboat will return to the cargo ship to provide assistance this evening until the arrival of an ocean going tug which is currently en route from Aberdeen and is expected to arrive in the early hours of Monday morning. The cargo ship has eight crew on board.

Tobermory RNLI Coxswain Andrew McHaffie said: ‘This was a long shout in difficult conditions with seas of up to ten metres at times.’


(Video credit: RNLI)

Published on Apr 14, 2014

A 88-metre cargo ship with steering problems battling gale force winds and seas of up to ten metres 15 miles west of the Skerryvore light house. Lifeboats from Barra and Tobermory stood by for over 24 hours.

Key facts about the RNLI

The Royal National Lifeboat Institution is the charity that saves lives at sea. Our volunteers provide a 24-hour search and rescue service in the United Kingdom and Republic of Ireland from 236 lifeboat stations, including four along the River Thames and inland lifeboat stations at Loch Ness, Lough Derg, Enniskillen and Lough Ree. Additionally the RNLI has more than 1,000 lifeguards on over 180 beaches around the UK and operates a specialist flood rescue team, which can respond anywhere across the UK and Ireland when inland flooding puts lives at risk.

The RNLI relies on public donations and legacies to maintain its rescue service. As a charity it is separate from, but works alongside, government-controlled and funded coastguard services. Since the RNLI was founded in 1824 our lifeboat crews and lifeguards have saved at least 140,000 lives. Volunteers make up 95% of the charity, including 4,600 volunteer lifeboat crew members and 3,000 volunteer shore crew. Additionally, tens of thousands of other dedicated volunteers raise funds and awareness, give safety advice, and help in our museums, shops and offices.

Peru: Ubinas Volcano Eruption: State of emergency in Andean region of Moquegua – Published 120414 1140z

https://i1.wp.com/images.volcanodiscovery.com/uploads/pics/ubinas-11april14.jpg

Ubinas Volcano Eruption, Peru (Image: volcanodiscovery.com)

Residents have fled villages near Peru’s Ubinas volcano, which this week began spitting out white hot chunks of rock, some as big as 30 centimeters (one foot) in diameter.

Domingo Ramos, a scientist from Peru’s mining institute, said the volcano reawakened several days ago. The renewed activity led the government to announce a state of emergency in the Andean region of Moquegua, some 1,200 kilometers (750 miles) south of Lima.

The region is home to some 40 volcanoes, most of which, unlike Ubinas, are dormant. Officials plan to distribute food, face masks and goggles to help those upwind of the volcano cope with airborne ash.

Coordinates: S 16° 21.300, W 70° 54.180
Saturday, 12 April, 2014 at 04:35 (04:35 AM) UTC RSOE

Ubinas volcano activity 11 April 2014

(Video credit: Volcano News)

Published on Apr 12, 2014

Frequent ash explosions from Ubinas volcano (Peru) seen from the webcam during 11 April 2014.
More at http://webcams.volcanodiscovery.com
Activity update:

http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/ubinas/news.html

Australia: Tropical Cyclone (now Extratropical) 23P ITA 140900Z nr 24.0S 155.9E, moving ESE at 23 knots (JTWC) – Updated 140414 1620z

TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (ITA) (JTWC)

Ex-TC Ita (BoM)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

 

Australian Government - Bureau of Meteorology

Map of Australian region showing the location of any current active tropical cyclones

IDQ20018
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA – EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0726 UTC 14/04/2014
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ita
Identifier: 15U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 23.7S
Longitude: 155.1E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: east southeast [122 deg]
Speed of Movement: 18 knots [33 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 70 knots [130 km/h]
Central Pressure: 992 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 140 nm [260 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 100 nm [185 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 20 nm [35 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 50 nm [95 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 0 nm [0 km]
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm [45 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: N/A
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm [280 km]
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+06: 14/1200: 24.3S 156.6E: 040 [080]: 050 [095]: 992
+12: 14/1800: 24.7S 157.6E: 055 [100]: 050 [095]: 992
+18: 15/0000: 25.3S 158.6E: 065 [125]: 045 [085]: 995
+24: 15/0600: 25.9S 159.9E: 080 [145]: 045 [085]: 995
+36: 15/1800: 27.6S 162.6E: 100 [185]: 040 [075]: 993
+48: 16/0600: 30.9S 166.8E: 120 [220]: 035 [065]: 996
+60: 16/1800: 36.0S 170.2E: 140 [255]: 035 [065]: 994
+72: 17/0600: 38.2S 170.3E: 155 [290]: 035 [065]: 990
+96: 18/0600: : : :
+120: 19/0600: : : :
REMARKS:
Analysis of the cloud system and ASCAT data suggests that the system has
completed its transition to a vigorous extra-tropical low. Movement will
continue to be rapidly ESE due to NW’ly steering from a strong upper trough over
eastern Australia. Deep layer wind shear over the system is estimated to be 30 –
40 knots.

Surface observations from Cato Island indicate that the system has intensified
during the extra-tropical transition, with maximum sustained winds pushed up to
50 knots. Dvorak analysis no longer relevant. Confidence in the LLCC position is
fair, using visible satelite imagery and surface automatic weather station
observations.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==

No further technical bulletins are expected to be issued for this system.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

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WTPS31 PGTW 140900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (ITA) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (ITA) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
140600Z — NEAR 23.7S 155.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 120 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7S 155.1E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z — 25.0S 158.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 24.0S 155.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (ITA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS TC 23P HAS STARTED TO RAPIDLY UNDERGO EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AS IT BECOMES FURTHER EMBEDDED IN THE MID-
LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS STARTED TO
ELONGATE WHILE THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED TO THE
SOUTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO TAKE ON FRONTAL
CHARACTERISTICS. THE LATEST AMSU CROSS SECTION ADDITIONALLY SHOWS A
DEVELOPING WARM CORE ANOMALY IN THE LOWER LEVELS, INDICATIVE OF A
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT, WHILE THE UPPER-LEVEL WARM CORE ANOMALY HAS
DISSIPATED. AS TC ITA CONTINUES SOUTHEAST, THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
FROM THE WESTERLIES WILL CONTINUE TO FURTHER ACCELERATE THE ETT
PROCESS, TRANSITIONING THE SYSTEM INTO A GALE FORCE LOW WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z
IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN

Other Reports

2 adults & 3 children rescued from flood waters 10km S of Cooktown

http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2014/04/12/water-rescue-underway-after-ita-newman

MARITIME

WOAU01 AMMC 141222
40:2:1:04:55S075E35060:11:00
IDY21000
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
AT 1222UTC 14 APRIL 2014
GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA.

PLEASE BE AWARE

Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

Situation
Vigorous westerly quarter flow.

Area Affected
Bounded by 44S080E 41S110E 41S116E 43S116E 46S112E 50S111E 50S080E 44S080E.

Forecast
W quarter winds 30/40 knots initially west of 090E, extending to west of 096E by
141800UTC, west of 103E by 150001UTC, west of 110E by 150600UTC and throughout
area by 151200UTC. Wind speeds increasing to 35/45 knots south of 47S after
141800UTC. Rough to very rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

WOAU06 AMMC 141232
40:2:1:04:55S075E35095:11:00
IDY21050
SECURITE
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology National Meteorological and Oceanographic
Centre
AT 1232UTC 14 APRIL 2014
STORM FORCE WIND WARNING FOR WESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN AREAS.

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum
waves may be up to twice the height.

Situation
Area A: Vigorous flow associated with a low 986hPa near 46S103E at 141200UTC.
Low forecast 976hPa near 46S107E at 141800UTC, 976hPa near 46S113E at 150001UTC,
976hPa near 47S118E at 150600UTC and 975hPa near 49S123E at 151200UTC.

Area B: Vigorous northerly flow developing associated with a cold front forecast
near 42S126E 45S129E 50S127E at 150900UTC and 42S129E 45S131E 50S129E at
151200UTC.

Area Affected
Area A: Bounded by 50S100E 44S094E 40S095E 37S103E 40S118E 46S128E 50S128E
50S100E.

Area B: Bounded by 50S127E 45S129E 45S133E 50S133E 50S127E.

Forecast
Area A: Clockwise winds 30/40 knots within 480nm of low in sector from south
through northwest to east, decreasing to within 360nm of low by 151200UTC. Winds
increasing to 40/50 knots within 240nm of low in northern semicircle. Winds
further increasing to 45/55 knots within 180nm in northern quadrant of low
between 142100UTC and 150300UTC.

Area B: N quarter winds 30/40 knots within 180nm east of cold front developing
by 150900UTC. Winds decreasing below 34 knots west of cold front.

Rough to very rough seas rising to high in storm force wind area. Moderate to
heavy swell.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

METAREA X

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Indian Ocean/ Australia: Post-Tropical Depression 15 (22S) EX-IVANOE 060600Z nr 28.1S 87.8E, moving SSE at 27 knots (RSMC La Reunion) – Updated 060414 1332z

Tropical Cyclone Ex-IVANHOE

POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (EX-IVANOE) (RSMC LA REUNION)

TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (JTWC)

ZCZC 060
WTIO30 FMEE 060635
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 10/15/20132014
1.A POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (EX-IVANOE)
2.A POSITION 2014/04/06 AT 0600 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.1 S / 87.8 E
(TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT : SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 27 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 40 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW) :93 KM
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 430 SE: 560 SW: 560 NW: 110
34 KT NE: 260 SE: 190 SW: 0 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1300 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2014/04/06 18 UTC: 32.2 S / 89.1 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24H: 2014/04/07 06 UTC: 34.7 S / 92.0 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
36H: 2014/04/07 18 UTC: 35.5 S / 96.5 E, MAX WIND=035 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM
48H: 2014/04/08 06 UTC: 35.1 S / 101.1 E, MAX WIND=030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM
60H: 2014/04/08 18 UTC: 34.1 S / 104.1 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, LOW
72H: 2014/04/09 06 UTC: 32.5 S / 106.2 E, MAX WIND=025 KT, LOW
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK :
96H: 2014/04/10 06 UTC: 29.0 S / 107.4 E, MAX WIND=020 KT, REMNANT LOW
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATIONS:
FOR THE LAST 6 HOURS, IVANOE HAS TAKEN A POST-TROPICAL STRUCTURE WITH A PERSISTENT WARM CORE WITHI
N THE LOW AND MID-LEVEL LAYERS UP TO 600 HPA AND A MASSIVE COLD AIR INTRUSION WITHIN THE UPPER LEV
EL LAYERS INSIDE THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SUBTROPICAL JET. THE CLOUDY SUMMITS OF THE DEEP CONVECTION
IS SLOWLY WARMING. ON THE LATEST CC SATELLITE PICTURES, THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE BEGIN TO APPEAR WEST
OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE MASS THAT IS DETACHING UNDER THE POWER OF THE STRENGTHENING VERTICAL WIND-
SHEAR.
THE WINDS STRUCTURE IS VERY ASYMMETRIC WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXTENDING FAR AWAY FROM THE CENTRE
IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE FAST MOTION SPEED AND THE GRADIENT WITH THE RIDGE PRESENT I
N THE EAST.
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW/MID LEVELS RIDGES PRESENT IN ITS NORTH AND EAST AND AN APPROAC
HING POLAR TROUGH, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON A RAPID SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK UNTIL TOMOR
ROW MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK, THE SST DECREASE VERY RAPIDLY AND BECOME VERY INSUFFICIENT.
FROM MONDAY IN THE DAY, THE SYSTEM SHOULD ADOPT AN EASTWARD THEN NORTH-EASTWARD TRACK BY TERMINATI
NG ITS EXTRA-TROPICALIZATION AND BY FILLING UP. IT MAY DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WEST OF AU
STRALIAN COASTS.
NNNN

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

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WTXS31 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (IVANOE) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (IVANOE) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
060000Z — NEAR 25.5S 86.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 150 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.5S 86.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z — 30.0S 89.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 21 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z — 33.3S 92.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 26.6S 87.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (IVANOE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 995 NM
SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 25
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
RECENT SATELLITE POSITION FIXES FROM PGTW AND FMEE AND A 052347Z
SSMIS PASS. THE INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH PGTW DVORAK
FIX DATA AND RECENT AUTOMATED INTENSITY ESTIMATES. A LARGE FLARE OF
DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS, ALLOWING THE
SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY DURING THAT PERIOD. TC 22S IS
ACCELERATING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. INTERACTION WITH A MIDLATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING TC 22S
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL INDUCE THE FIRST PHASE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONG POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE
SHOULD ENABLE TC 22P TO NEARLY MAINTAIN INTENSITY DESPITE PASSAGE
OVER COOLER WATER AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. BY TAU 24, THE CYCLONE WILL BECOME FULLY EMBEDDED IN THE
MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE THE EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION PROCESS. THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNING
AT 061500Z.//
NNNN

Other Reports

MARITIME

ZCZC 985
WTIO20 FMEE 060619
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER/LA REUNION 06/04/2014 AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 009/15 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND)
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCAL (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 06/04/2014 AT 0600 UTC.
PHENOMENON: POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (EX-IVANOE) 990 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.1 S / 87.8 E
(TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 27 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENT
RE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT AND UP TO 140 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EX
TENDING UP TO 230 NM IN THE NORTH-EASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2014/04/06 AT 18 UTC:
32.2 S / 89.1 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24H, VALID 2014/04/07 AT 06 UTC:
34.7 S / 92.0 E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
STRONGESTS WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NNNN

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country�s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Philippines: Tropical Storm 05W PEIPAH/DOMENG 071200Z nr 6.5N 131.8E, moving WSW Slowly(JMA) TD 071500Z nr 6.4N 131.7E WSW 4 kts (JTWC) – Updated 070414 1530z

Tropical Storm 1404 (PEIPAH) (JMA)

Tropical Storm

Philippines: Coastal areas in at least 5 provinces are being advised to prepare for possible storm surges and high tides (See below)

(JTWC)

Japan Meteorological agency

1404

TS 1404 (PEIPAH)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 7 April 2014

<Analyses at 07/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N6°30′(6.5°)
E131°50′(131.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW Slowly
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more NW390km(210NM)
SE220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 08/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N7°20′(7.3°)
E129°55′(129.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 998hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
<Forecast for 09/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N7°55′(7.9°)
E128°05′(128.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 10/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N8°35′(8.6°)
E126°55′(126.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Unit:

1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

National Weather Service Forecast OfficeWFO Guam

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/images/guam/errorTrack1.jpg

932
WTPQ31 PGUM 071000 CCA
TCPPQ1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (05W) ADVISORY NUMBER 18…CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP052014
800 PM CHST MON APR 7 2014

CORRECTED SPEED OF MOVEMENT IN SUMMARY

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PEIPAH) MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD…

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–

LOCATION…6.4N 131.8E

ABOUT 165 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANGAUR
ABOUT 170 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PELELIU
ABOUT 190 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOROR PALAU
ABOUT 230 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KAYANGEL PALAU AND
ABOUT 480 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF YAP

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 17 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-

AT 700 PM CHST…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH
WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 6.4 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 131.8 DEGREES EAST.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 17 MPH.
PEIPAH IS EXPECTED TO TURN BACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT THIS INTENSITY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

STANKO

 

Philippines

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA-DOST) Twitter: @dost_pagasa Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PAGASA.DOST.GOV.PH

 

 

For more information and queries, please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

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WTPN31 PGTW 071500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (PEIPAH) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
071200Z — NEAR 6.4N 131.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N 131.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z — 6.4N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 6.6N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 7.0N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z — 7.5N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z — 8.4N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z — 9.7N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z — 11.1N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 6.4N 131.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (PEIPAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 804 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z
AND 081500Z.//
NNNN

 

Other Reports

Tropical Storm Peipah (Domeng) Update #7 | Monday Morning – westernpacificweather.com

“Tropical Storm Peipah (Bagyong Domeng) continues to struggle amidst the moderate wind shear in the region. The system is now leaving the Republic of Palau and moving towards the Philippines. The center was last located approximately 120km west southwest of Koror, Palau or about 870km east of Davao City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 65kph with gusts of up to 93kph according to Japan Meteorological Agency. Peipah is moving westward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

040614 2201z ir analysis

Latest satellite image shows how poorly organized Peipha is currently. The convection continues to get sheared to the west and the low-level circulation center is almost fully exposed this morning. In fact, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center has downgraded Peipha to a Tropical Depression on their latest warning. Due to the atmospheric conditions in the region, Peipah will likely struggle to intensify in the coming days and may not even become a Typhoon anymore.

Rainfall Forecast from COAMPS

coamps tc 040614

Tropical Storm Peipah brought over 150mm of rainfall across Palau yesterday. We expect this similar amount, if not more, to fall across the Southern Philippines in the next three days. Light rains may actually start impacting Mindanao tonight and into tomorrow as the system moves from the east. Aside from the rains, the threat of storm surge and strong winds should also be kept in mind especially for residents living along the eastern coastline.

We’ll continue to post updates on this system so stay with Western Pacific Weather. As always, follow your official agency’s forecast (PAGASA) for the latest warnings on this storm.”-

Domeng storm surge warning in 5 provinces – Rappler.com

Updated 9:52 PM, Apr 07, 2014 (PhT)

Coastal areas in at least 5 provinces are being advised to prepare for possible storm surges and high tides

http://www.rappler.com/nation/54886-storm-surge-warning-domeng

==================================================

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/61/Philippine_Sea_location.jpg

(Image: wikimedia.org)

(Image: wikimedia.org)

MARITIME

Philippines

Tropical Cyclone Warning For Shipping

WTPH RPMM 070600
TTT WARNING 05

AT 0600 07 APRIL TROPICAL DEPRESSION (PEIPAH) {1404} DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED AT ZERO SIX POINT SIX NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT THREE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 080600 ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 090600 ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ONE EAST AND AT 100600 ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORT TO WEATHER MANILA PD
WEATHER MANILA

 

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/tropical-cyclone-warning-for-shipping

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 071200
WARNING 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1404 PEIPAH (1404) 1000 HPA
AT 06.5N 131.8E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 07.3N 129.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 07.9N 128.1E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 08.6N 126.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.

METAREA XI

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China: Storms in Guangdong Province leave at least 15 dead, at least 14 injured and 4 missing; more rain due – 020414 1455z

向下滾動為中國譯)(Scroll down for Chinese translation)

The death toll from rainstorms in south China’s Guangdong Province has risen to 15, while four other people remained missing, local authorities said on Wednesday.

Four more people were confirmed to have died on Tuesday, the provincial bureau of civil affairs said in a statement. Days of torrential rain have also left at least 14 injured.

A boat carrying five people capsized near the coast in Shenzhen, which borders Hong Kong. Two women on board went missing.

One woman was found dead on Tuesday. Rescuers are still searching for the other woman. After a brief respite on Tuesday, heavy rain, hailstorms and strong gales returned to batter the province on Wednesday and are forecast for two more days, according to the local meteorological center.

Rain and hailstorms from Saturday to Monday affected 68,800 residents in 69 townships in seven cities and forced the relocation of another 3,902 locals by Tuesday, said the provincial bureau of civil affairs.

The disasters have toppled 71 houses and severely damaged another 5,719, the bureau said, adding they have also caused direct economic losses of 199 million yuan (32 million U.S. dollars).

Local authorities have sent funds, clothes and quilts to residents in flooded areas.
Wednesday, 02 April, 2014 at 13:37 (01:37 PM) UTC RSOE

Heavy rain and giant hailstones batter Southern China

(Video credit: Josept Aron)

Published on Apr 1, 2014

At least 21 people have died and four are reported missing after a weekend of heavy rainfall in south China. This is according to China’s Ministry of Civil A.

Hong Kong Observatory

2 Apr 2014:

A trough of low pressure is bringing rain and thunderstorms to the coastal areas of Guangdong. Locally, there were rain and thunderstorms in the evening. More than 10 millimetres of rainfall were recorded over the northeastern part of the New Territories.

 

Weather forecast for tonight and tomorrow

 

Cloudy with rain and squally thunderstorms. Rain will be heavy at times. Temperatures will range between 19 and 21 degrees. Moderate east to northeasterly winds, fresh at first.

 

Outlook : Becoming bright on Friday and Saturday. There will be thundery showers again early next week.

Chinese:

中國:廣東省風暴保留至少15人死亡,至少14人受傷, 4人失踪,更因雨 – 020414 1455z
2014年4月2日由Goaty新聞

從中國南部的廣東省暴雨造成的死亡人數已上升至15 ,而其他四人仍然失踪,當地政府在星期三說。

四個越來越多的人被證實在週二已經死亡,民政省局在一份聲明中說。連日暴雨還造成至少14人受傷。

一艘載有五人在深圳,毗鄰香港的傾覆海岸附近。兩個女人在船上失踪。

一名女子被發現死在週二。救援人員仍在尋找其他的女人。週二短暫的喘息之後,大雨,冰雹和強風回到連擊全省在週三和兩天預計,根據當地的氣象中心。

雨和冰雹從週六到週一受影響的68,800居民中69個鄉鎮七個城市和強迫的另一個3,902當地人週二搬遷,說民政省局。

在災害倒塌房屋71也嚴重損害另一個5,719 ,局裡補充說,他們還造成1.99億元(32億美元)的直接經濟損失。

地方當局已派出基金,衣服和被子給災區居民。
週三, 2014年4月2日13:37 (下午1時37分) UTC RSOE
大雨和冰雹巨人麵糊中國南方

(視頻來源: Josept阿隆)

發表於2014年4月1日

至少有21人死亡和四個報告後,強降雨在中國南方的一個週末失踪。這是根據中國的民政部A的

香港天文台

2014年4月2日:

的低壓槽帶來雷雨廣東的沿海地區。在當地,有雨和雷暴在晚上。被記錄在新界東北部超過10毫米雨量。

今晚及明日天氣預測

多雲有雨及狂風雷暴。雨水將雨勢有時頗大。氣溫將19和21度之間的範圍。中度東到東北風,新鮮在第一。

展望:上週五和週六成為光明的。下週初將有雷雨了。

Wales: EXERCISE – Coastguard Rescue Teams, RNLI lifeboats, RAF search & rescue helicopter, Police, Fire & Ambulance attend major incident in Cardiff Bay – 020414 1100z

(Photo: Barry Coastguard)

Embedded image permalink

(Photo: )

EX DRAIG: INCIDENT IN CARDIFF BAY

EXERCISE: PLEASE NOTE THIS IS FOR AN  TESTING THE EMERGENCY RESPONSE IN CARDIFF BAY
Swansea Coastguard was first contacted just before 11am this morning to reports that two boats had collided in Cardiff Bay.
The Penarth, Barry and Chepstow Coastguard Rescue Teams have been sent to the scene, along with the Penarth and Barry RNLI lifeboats and the RAF search and rescue helicopter from RMB Chivenor. Police, fire and ambulance crews are also in attendance.
At this time, it is not clear how many people were on board and the extent of any injuries. A search and rescue mission is ongoing.” – MCA

“Barry Coastguard at Cardiff Bay with all emergency services, carrying out major incident training. With Penarth and Chepstow Coastguard . Air sea rescue have been tasked to assist in a mock rescue in the Bay” – Barry Coastguard



Chile earthquake: Five dead and tsunami alert issued after 8.2 quake

Hawaii

Per PTWC, no major tsunami coming. There will be sea level changes + strong currents, so swimmers + boaters need to be aware – @rqskye 0517 UTC (Digital volunteer for disaster relief)

 

 

8.2 quake hits Northern Chile triggering widespread tsunami warning

“Armed Forces are maintaining order on the streets of Iquique amid fires and prison escapes following tsunami evacuation order for South America’s Pacific coast.

A massive earthquake struck off the coast of Northern Chile on Tuesday evening prompting tsunami warnings across the Pacific coast, with evacuation ordered for the entire zone until the early hours of Wednesday morning.

The 8.2 magnitude earthquake struck around 55 miles southeast of Cuya, at 8:46 p.m. local time. So far at least 20 aftershocks have been registered in the area with the largest measuring around 5 on the Richter scale.

That warning was lifted for areas south of Puerto Chacabuco, in Aysén Region, past midnight Tuesday. By 3 a.m. Wednesday morning, it was also removed between the cities of Antofagasta and Valparaíso, including  the islands of San Félix and Juan Fernández archepelago. At time of press it did not include Rapa Nui, or Easter Island.

The Interior Ministry has confirmed five deaths in Iquique and surrounding areas and at least three people seriously injured so far. Minister Rodrigo Peñailillo also stated that fires in Iquique and Arica had been brought under control.

The National Emergency Service (Onemi) said that more than 900,000 people evacuated to safety zones across the nation.” – Santiago Times

http://santiagotimes.cl/8-2-quake-hits-northern-chile-triggering-regional-pacific-wide-tsunami-warning/

Chile Tsunami Update, No Wave expected in the Western Pacific – WestPacWx

A powerful earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 8.2 has struck off the coast of Chile, triggering a tsunami that has already started hitting the coastline.

Already a 2 meter high wave was reported along the Chili coast. At this time tsunami warnings remain in effect for much of the western sea boards of South American and Mexico.

No warnings have been issued for areas in the western pacific. But if the wave generated is strong enough the image below will show where it would hit followed by an image of when it would hit based on tsunami forecast models.

I do want to note though. NO TSUNAMI is expected at this time in the western pacific. NONE! But if it changes we will update you.

Best thing to do stay tuned to updates from your official agency and monitor if any changes habe been put in place.

Time Map

Energy Map

Continue reading

France: Severe Weather Warning – Orange Alert for Haute Garonne and Tarn – Published 020414 0730z

Orange Alert for Haute Garonne and Tarn 

Alerte orange pour la Haute Garonne et Tarn

(Faites défiler pour la traduction française) (Scroll down for French translation)

Meteoalarm

Regional Bulletin vigilance .
WEATHER CENTER INTER DE BORDEAUX
Number: 0204SO01
Issued: Wednesday, April 2, 2014 at 06:00
by Météo- France Bordeaux
Date and time of the next message: no later than Wednesday, April 2, 2014 at 12:00
Type of phenomenon
Wind.
Early event scheduled Wednesday, April 2, 2014 at 13:00
End phenomenon provided Wednesday, April 2, 2014 at 20:00
location
Early follow-up :
No department
Maintenance follow-up :
Haute- Garonne (31) and Tarn (81).
End of follow-up :
No department
description
Qualification of the phenomenon :
Autan relatively short episode , but requiring special vigilance given gusts expected.
Developments:
RAS .
Current situation :
The Southerly wind continues to slowly build since last night , gusts are generally of the order of 70 to 80 km / h but reach 97 km / h in Castres -Mazamet at 5am this morning.
Evolution provided :
By late morning , the wind Southerly wind strengthens significantly . In the afternoon , gusts reaching 100 to 110 km / h in Toulouse and plain on the south of the Tarn. Gusts of 110 to 120 km / h then relate Lauragais and Montagne Noire , especially between 13h and 17h , windiest period of the episode.
Mitigation is expected in late afternoon and evening gusts should gradually become everywhere below 100 km / h.
possible consequences
Wind / Orange
* Cuts electricity and telephone can affect the distribution networks for relatively long durations .
* Roofs and chimneys may be damaged.
* The tree branches may break. Vehicles can be deported.
* Road traffic may be disrupted , especially on secondary roads in forest areas .
* [ The infrastructure operating ski resorts is disturbed. ]
* Some damage can affect the distribution of electricity and telephone .
Behavioral counseling
Wind / Orange
* Limit your movement . Limit your speed in highway driving , especially if you drive a vehicle or hitch sensitive to the effects of wind.
* Do not walk in the woods [ and on the coast ] .
* In town , be alert to possible falling objects .
* Do not work on roofs and touch any electrical son fell to the ground.
* Store or attach objects sensitive to the effects of wind or likely to be damaged.
* Install essential to generators outdoors groups.
See the weather forecast on your department 31 – Haute-Garonne or region

Logo Mto France

Bulletin de vigilance Régional.

CENTRE METEOROLOGIQUE INTERREGIONAL DE BORDEAUX

Numéro:0204SO01

 

Emis le : mercredi 02 avril 2014 à 06h00
par : Météo-France Bordeaux
Date et heure du prochain message : au plus tard le mercredi 02 avril 2014 à 12h00

Type de phénomène


Vent.

Début d’évènement prévu le mercredi 02 avril 2014 à 13h00
Fin de phénomène prévue le mercredi 02 avril 2014 à 20h00

Localisation


Début de suivi pour :
Aucun département

Maintien de suivi pour :
Haute-Garonne (31) et Tarn (81).

Fin de suivi pour :
Aucun département

Description


Qualification du phénomène :
Épisode d’autan relativement bref, mais nécessitant une vigilance particulière compte tenu des rafales prévues.

Faits nouveaux :
RAS.

Situation actuelle :
L’Autan continue à lentement se renforcer depuis hier soir, les rafales restent généralement de l’ordre de 70 à 80 km/h mais atteignent 97 km/h à Castres-Mazamet à 5h ce matin.

Evolution prévue :
En fin de matinée, le vent d’Autan se renforce nettement. Dans l’après-midi, les rafales atteignent 100 à 110 km/h en plaine toulousaine et sur le sud du Tarn. Des rafales de 110 à 120 km/h concernent alors le Lauragais et la Montagne Noire, notamment entre 13h et 17h, période la plus ventée de l’épisode.
L’atténuation est attendue pour la fin d’après-midi, et en soirée les rafales devraient progressivement devenir partout inférieures à 100 km/h.

Conséquences possibles


Vent/Orange
* Des coupures d’électricité et de téléphone peuvent affecter les réseaux de distribution pendant des durées relativement importantes.
* Les toitures et les cheminées peuvent être endommagées.
* Des branches d’arbre risquent de se rompre. Les véhicules peuvent être déportés.
* La circulation routière peut être perturbée, en particulier sur le réseau secondaire en zone forestière.
* [Le fonctionnement des infrastructures des stations de ski est perturbé.]
* Quelques dégâts peuvent affecter les réseaux de distribution d’électricité et de téléphone.

Conseils de comportement


Vent/Orange
* Limitez vos déplacements. Limitez votre vitesse sur route et autoroute, en particulier si vous conduisez un véhicule ou attelage sensible aux effets du vent.
* Ne vous promenez pas en forêt [et sur le littoral].
* En ville, soyez vigilants face aux chutes possibles d’objets divers.
* N’intervenez pas sur les toitures et ne touchez en aucun cas à des fils électriques tombés au sol.
* Rangez ou fixez les objets sensibles aux effets du vent ou susceptibles d’être endommagés.
* Installez impérativement les groupes électrogènes à l’extérieur des bâtiments.

IoM: Search for missing woman Mrs Catherine Pridham, continues amid growing concern – 010414 1605z

Police issue statementPolice issue statement regarding missing person Catherine 'Cathy' Pridham about the continued search for Mrs Catherine PRIDHAM.

“Catherine, who is 60 years old, was reported as missing yesterday. Her car was located the same day at Niarbyl on the west coast of the Island

There is a possibility that she has entered the sea in the area of Niarbyl Bay. We would ask that the members of the public who are in this area report any sightings to the Police or Coastguard.

Police Officers are providing support to the family at this very difficult time.” – IoM Police 31 Mar 2014

“Sergeant Gavin Callow said : “At this time Cathy has not been found. As previously detailed it does seem likely that she entered the sea in the area of Niarbyl on Sunday morning.

Cathy’s family have told us she had recently found out that she was suffering from cancer, having been in a period of remission for some years. Her car was found at Niarbyl, and items of hers were found on the shore nearby. As you can imagine, the family are very distressed and are hoping their loving wife and mother is found as soon as possible.”

Sergeant Callow added; “Emergency rescue services have made searches of the surrounding areas, concentrating on the shoreline and sea. They will continue to do so. Offers of help from the Public have been noted and are very much appreciated but at this time we ask that the organised searches are left to properly trained and equipped personnel. This is because of the challenging nature of some of the coastline in the immediate area.

We will keep you updated with any developments. Cathy’s family are most grateful of the support of the Public and the efforts made to locate Cathy. They have asked that the Public and media respect their privacy at this difficult time. If members of the Public are in the area as part of their normal routine please contact us if you see anything you think might be related to the search.”” – IoM Police 01 Apr 2014

“Mon 31/03/14 – The team have continued to search for the missing person in the Niarbyl area along with Peel Coastguard and the RNLI, we’ve now stood down for the evening as darkness sets in. Our thoughts are with the missing person and their family.” – Port Erin Coastguard

“Tues 01/04/14 – Ruby Clery and her volunteer crew to launch again at 6 00pm (BST) to resume the search for the missing local lady.” – Peel RNLI Lifeboat