Japan: Severe Tropical Storm PABUK 222100Z near 23.3N 141.4E, moving NW at 5 knots (JTWC) Passing S of Iwo To Island – 220913 2010z

Tropical Cyclone (Severe Tropical Storm) PABUK

TROPICAL STORM PABUK PASSING SOUTH OF IWO TO ISLAND (NWS GUAM 211500Z)

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(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

1320

.

Radar and Nowcast (Precipitation, Thunder, Tornado):Japan

(Image: JMA) CLICK IMAGE FOR SOURCE & ANIMATION

Japan Currently valid Warnings/Advisories

STS 1320 (PABUK)
Issued at 18:50 UTC, 22 September 2013

<Analyses at 22/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N2310′(23.2)
E14135′(141.6)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW370km(200NM)
<Forecast for 23/06 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N2405′(24.1)
E14030′(140.5)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL150km(80NM)
<Forecast for 23/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N2455′(24.9)
E13940′(139.7)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slowly
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 24/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N2640′(26.7)
E13820′(138.3)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slowly
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 25/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N2905′(29.1)
E13940′(139.7)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)

.
National Weather Service Forecast OfficeWFO Guam

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/images/guam/frTrack1.jpg

(Image: NHC) Forecast Track and Uncertainty Graphic (Click image for source)

972
WTPQ31 PGUM 221528
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PABUK (19W) ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP192013
200 AM CHST MON SEP 23 2013

…TROPICAL STORM PABUK PASSING SOUTH OF IWO TO ISLAND…

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–

NONE.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–

LOCATION…23.0N 141.8E

ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO
ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHWEST OF AGRIHAN
ABOUT 600 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 685 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-

AT 100 AM CHST…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PABUK WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.8
EAST.

TROPICAL STORM PABUK IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. PABUK IS EXPECTED
TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL COURSE WITH A CONTINUED GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED THROUGH MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 60 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM PABUK
IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM PABUK WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 8 AM.

$$

MCELROY

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Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


WTPN31 PGTW 222100

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 19W (PABUK) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
221800Z — NEAR 23.1N 141.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 141.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z — 24.0N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z — 24.8N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z — 25.8N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z — 27.2N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z — 29.1N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z — 30.8N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z — 32.7N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 23.3N 141.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 19W (PABUK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 104 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z
IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES. //
NNNN

MARITIME

National Weather Service Forecast OfficeWFO Guam

122
WHGM70 PGUM 220500
MWWGUM

URGENT – MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

PMZ151>154-222000-
/O.CON.PGUM.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-130924T0800Z/
GUAM COASTAL WATERS-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-
SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST
TUESDAY…

COMBINED SEAS OF 7 TO 10 FEET AND SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KT
WITH HIGHER GUST IN SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT.

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS…ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS…SHOULD AVOID BOATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. IF TRAVEL BY
BOAT IS NECESSARY EXERCISE CAUTION…ESPECIALLY NEAR REEF LINES
AND WHEN ENTERING OR LEAVING HARBORS AND INLETS.

&&

$$
857
WHMY40 PGUM 220500
CFWMY

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

GUZ001-002-003-004-222000-
/X.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-130924T0800Z/
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

…HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST TUESDAY…

HAZARDOUS SURF OF 9 TO 11 FEET ON WEST FACING REEFS AND 7 TO
9 FEET ON NORTH FACING REEFS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

AVOID VENTURING NEAR EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES…ESPECIALLY THOSE
ALONG WEST FACING REEFS…AS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING.

&&

857
WHMY40 PGUM 220500
CFWMY

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

GUZ001-002-003-004-222000-
/X.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-130924T0800Z/
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
300 PM CHST SUN SEP 22 2013

…HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CHST TUESDAY…

HAZARDOUS SURF OF 9 TO 11 FEET ON WEST FACING REEFS AND 7 TO
9 FEET ON NORTH FACING REEFS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

AVOID VENTURING NEAR EXPOSED REEFS AND BEACHES…ESPECIALLY THOSE
ALONG WEST FACING REEFS…AS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING.

&&

$$

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP31 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1320 PABUK (1320) 980 HPA
AT 22.9N 141.8E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 24.1N 140.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 25.0N 139.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Japanese (Translated by Google)

熱帯サイクロン(重症熱帯ストーム) PABUK

島へSOUTH IWOの通過熱帯暴風雨のPABUK ( NWSグアム211500Z )

(画像: wunderground.com )衛星(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: wunderground.com ) 5日間の予報(ソース画像をクリック)

気象庁
1320


レーダーやナウキャスト(降水、雷、竜巻) :日本

(画像: JMA ) SOURCE &アニメーションの画像をクリック
日本現在有効な警告/勧告

STS 1320 ( PABUK )
午前18時50分UTC 、 2013年9月22日に発行される
18分の22 UTC>で<Analyses
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N23 10 ‘ (23.2 )
E141 35 ‘ ( 141.6 )
移動NNWの毎時15キロ( 8カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧980hPa
最大持続風速25メートル/秒( 50カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 70カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上NE560km ( 300nmで)
SW370km ( 200nmの)
23/06 UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN24 05の中心位置’( 24.1 )
E140 30 ‘ ( 140.5 )
動きNW毎時15キロ( 7カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧975hPa
中央30メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 55カラット)
最大突風スピード40メートル/秒( 80カラット)
確率サークル90キロの半径( 50NM )
ストーム警告エリアALL150km ( 80nmの)
18分の23 UTC>ため<Forecast
強い強度
確率サークルN24 55 ‘ (24.9 )の中心位置
E139 40 ‘ ( 139.7 )
運動NWゆっくりの方向と速度
中心気圧970hPa
中央35メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 65カラット)
最大突風スピード50メートル/秒( 95カラット)
確率130キロの円の半径( 70nmの)
ストーム警告エリアALL200km ( 110nmの)
18分の24 UTC>ため<Forecast
強い強度
確率円の中心位置N26 40 ‘ (26.7 )
E138 20 ‘ ( 138.3 )
動きの方向と速度をゆっくり北北西
中心気圧965hPa
中央35メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 70カラット)
最大突風スピード50メートル/秒( 100カラット)
確率200キロの円の半径( 110nmの)
暴風雨警報エリアALL300km ( 160NM )
18分の25 UTC>ため<Forecast
強い強度
確率サークルN29 05 ‘の中心位置(29.1 )
E139 40 ‘ ( 139.7 )
移動NNEの毎時15キロ( 7カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧960hPa
中央の40メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 75カラット)
最大突風スピード55メートル/秒( 105カラット)
確率300キロの円の半径( 160NM )
ストーム警告エリアALL390km (波長210nm )


国立測候所予測OfficeWFOグアム

(画像: NHC )グラフィック予測トラックと不確かさ(ソース画像をクリック)

972
WTPQ31 PGUM 221528
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PABUK ( 19W ) ADVISORY番号7
国立気象SERVICE TIYAN GU WP192013
200 AM CHST月2013年9月23日

…熱帯暴風雨のPABUK島にSOUTH IWOの通過…

時計と警告
——————–

なし。

100の概要CHST … 1500 UTC … INFORMATION AM
———————————————–

LOCATION … 23.0N 141.8E

IWO約125 MILES南南東へ
アグリハン島の約385から北西に17km離れたロケーション
600マイルほどサイパン北北西AND
685マイルほどグアム北北西

最大持続WINDS … 60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT … NW OR 9 MPH AT 315 DEGREES

考察および展望
———————-

100 AT CHST … 1500 UTC …熱帯暴風雨のPABUKの中心はWAS午前
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTHと経度141.8 NEAR衛星によってLOCATED
EAST 。

熱帯暴風雨のPABUK 9 MPH AT NORTHWEST動いている。 PABUKが期待される
の継続的な漸減でこの一般コースを維持するために
FORWARD月曜日からSPEED 。

最大持続WINDSは60 MPH REMAIN 。 TROPICAL STORMフォースWINDS
CENTER 〜85マイルまで外向きに延びる。熱帯暴風雨のPABUK
STILLゆっくりTODAYそして今夜の強化が期待されています。

NEXT ADVISORY
————-

熱帯暴風雨のPABUK ON次のスケジュールアドバイザリーが発行されます
国立測候所BY 8 AT LATER今朝午前。

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WTPN31 PGTW 222100

MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI / /
SUBJ /熱帯低気圧の警告/ /
RMKS /
1 。 TROPICAL STORM 19W ( PABUK )警告NR 008
NORTHWESTPAC IN 02 ACTIVE熱帯低気圧
MAXはONE- MINUTE平均に基づいてWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY

警告POSITION :
221800Z — NEAR 23.1N 141.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 05 KTS AT 315 DEGREES
020 NM以内の正確な位置
POSITIONは、衛星のそば中心を基準に
PRESENT WIND配分:
050 KT 、突風065 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
23.1N 141.7E : POSITを繰り返す

予測:
AT VALID 12時間:
230600Z — 24.0N 140.7E
055 KT 、突風070 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
050 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
24人事POSITへのベクトル:315 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 24時間:
231800Z — 24.8N 139.8E
060 KT 、突風075 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
050 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
36人事POSITへのベクトル:330 DEG / 06 KTS

VALID AT 36時間:
240600Z — 25.8N 139.1E
065 KT 、突風080 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT – 050 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48人事POSITへのベクトル:355 DEG / 07 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK :
AT VALID 48時間:
241800Z — 27.2N 138.9E
070 KT 、突風085 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
064 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
050 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
72人事POSITへのベクトル: 035 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 72時間:
251800Z — 29.1N 140.5E
075 KT 、突風090 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
064 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
050 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
96人事POSITへのベクトル:050 DEG / 07 KTS

LONG RANGEの見通し:

AT VALID 96時間:
261800Z — 30.8N 143.1E
070 KT 、突風085 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯BECOMING
120人事POSITへのベクトル: 060 DEG / 10 KTS

VALID AT 120時間:
271800Z — 32.7N 147.0E
060 KT 、突風075 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯

備考:
23.3N 141.4E NEAR 222100Z POSITION 。
TROPICAL STORM 19W ( PABUK )は、約104 NM SOUTH場所に配置
TO IWOの南東は、 05ノットで北西追跡して
過去半時間以上。 221800Zで最大有義波高
18フィートです。 230300Z 、 230900Z 、 231500Z AND 232100Z AT NEXT警告。
FOR TROPICAL STORM 17W ( USAGI )警告( WTPN32 PGTW )を参照してくださいSIX –
HOURLY UPDATES 。 / /
NNNN
MARITIME

国立測候所予測OfficeWFOグアム

122
WHGM70 PGUM 220500
MWWGUM

URGENT – 海洋気象のMESSAGE
国立気象SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

PMZ151 > 154から222000 –
/ O.CON.PGUM.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z – 130924T0800Z /
グアム沿岸WATERS – ROTA沿岸WATERS -テニアン近海-
サイパン沿岸WATERS –
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

… SMALL CRAFT ADVISORYは、午後6時のCHSTまで有効
火曜日…

20 KT AROUND 7 〜10フィートとSOUTHWEST WINDSの複合SEAS
SHOWERSの高等ガストとのために危険な状態を生成します
小型船舶のオペレータ。

未経験MARINERS …特に営業SMALLER
船舶…これらの条件でBOATING避けるべきです。 TRAVEL BY IF
BOATは、必要な運動の注意IS …とくにREEF線付近
AND入力や港や注入口を残すとき。

&&

$ $
857
WHMY40 PGUM 220500
CFWMY

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCASTは、要求された
COASTALハザードMESSAGE
国立気象SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

GUZ001 -002 -003- 004から222000 –
/ X.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z – 130924T0800Z /
グアム- ROTA -テニアン – サイパン –
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

… HIGH SURFのアドバイザリは午後6時CHST火曜日まで有効…

TOサンゴ礁や7が直面している西は9〜11フィート危険SURF
北向きサンゴ礁9 FEETは火曜日THROUGH持続します。

準備アクション/予防…

露出サンゴ礁やBEACHES NEAR思い切っAVOID …特に
ALONG WESTは、サンゴ礁が直面している… RIP電流は生命を脅かすされる。

&&

857
WHMY40 PGUM 220500
CFWMY

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCASTは、要求された
COASTALハザードMESSAGE
国立気象SERVICE TIYAN GU
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

GUZ001 -002 -003- 004から222000 –
/ X.CON.PGUM.SU.Y.0007.000000T0000Z – 130924T0800Z /
グアム- ROTA -テニアン – サイパン –
300 PM CHST日2013年9月22日

… HIGH SURFのアドバイザリは午後6時CHST火曜日まで有効…

TOサンゴ礁や7が直面している西は9〜11フィート危険SURF
北向きサンゴ礁9 FEETは火曜日THROUGH持続します。

準備アクション/予防…

露出サンゴ礁やBEACHES NEAR思い切っAVOID …特に
ALONG WESTは、サンゴ礁が直面している… RIP電流は生命を脅かすされる。

&&

$ $
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP31は221500をRJTD
WARNING 221500 。
VALID 231500警告。
台風警報。
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1320 PABUK ( 1320 ) 980 HPA
22.9N 141.8E AT小笠原松濤はNORTHWEST 09ノットMOVING 。
POSITIONのFAIR 。
MAXは、中心部に近い50ノットの風。
30 OVER KNOTのWINDSの半径は300から北東に13km離れた半円AND 200
ELSEWHERE MILES 。
50マイル半径24.1N 140.7E AT 230300UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
975 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 55ノット。
70マイルの半径25.0N 139.9E AT 231500UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
970 HPA 、 MAXのWINDS CENTER NEAR 65ノット。

気象庁。 =

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DESIGNER MOLECULE CAUSES AIDS VIRUS TO DESTROY ITSELF

The Jolly Good News

2B6529A2-C255-4CC9-A5D8-2194F052659D_w268_r1Researchers have designed a synthetic molecule that tricks the AIDS virus into destroying itself. The compound, called DAVEI, was developed by researchers at Philadelphia’s Drexel University and causes the deadly pathogen to eject its contents before it can infect human cells.

View original post 236 more words

Russia: Emergency declared as Tularemia epidemic cases rise to 900 in Khanty-Mansiysky Autonomous Region – 190913 1735z

According to the Department of healthcare of Khanty-Mansiysky Autonomous Region, 900 inhabitants have contracted tularemia.

Ticks (Image: medscape.com)

Among them, 858 people are residents of Khanty-Mansiysk; 33 live in Khanty-Mansiysk district; the remaining cases were recorded in Nizhnevartovsk.

It is established that several of the patients in Nizhnevartovsk are employees of the oil industry and contracted tularemia in the field.

In Khanty-Mansiysk and Khanty-Mansiysk district, work on measures against rodents and mosquitoes, which are the sources and carriers of disease, is continuing.

According to the Department of Rospotrebnadzor [The Federal Service for Protection of Consumers’ Rights and Well-Being] in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, the 1st cases were reported on 19 Aug 2013.

Due to the significant deterioration of the epidemiological situation regarding the incidence of tularemia in Khanty-Mansiysk, an emergency situation has been declared.
Thursday, 19 September, 2013 at 15:42 (03:42 PM) UTC RSOE

https://i1.wp.com/m2002.tripod.com/tularemia.jpg

https://i2.wp.com/www.dpd.cdc.gov/dpdx/images/ParasiteImages/S-Z/Ticks/three_host_tick_LifeCycle.gif

Tularemia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Jump to: navigation, search

“Tularemia (also known as Pahvant Valley plague,[1]rabbit fever,[1]deer fly fever, and Ohara’s fever[2]) is a serious infectious disease caused by the bacteriumFrancisella tularensis.[3] A gram-negative, nonmotilecoccobacillus, the bacterium has several subspecies with varying degrees of virulence. The most important of those is F. tularensis tularensis (Type A), which is found in lagomorphs (rabbits and similar animals) in North America, and it is highly virulent in humans and domestic rabbits. F. tularensis palaearctica (Type B) occurs mainly in aquatic rodents (beavers, muskrats) in North America and in hares and small rodents in northern Eurasia. It is less virulent for humans and rabbits.[4] The primary vectors are ticks and deer flies, but the disease can also be spread through other arthropods.[3] The disease is named after Tulare County, California.” – wikipediaMore about Tularemia at wikipedia

Tularemia
Classification and external resources
Tularemia lesion.jpg

A tularemia lesion on the dorsal skin of the right hand

Related

Highlighting the dangers from tick-bourne diseases as man dies from killer fever Updated 0610121420Z

UK: Sainsbury’s probe gas leak at Hedge End store, near Southampton, that left 62 needing medical treatment – 180913 2235z

cccccc

More than 60 people treated by paramedics after gas leaks from Sainsbury's fridge


Staff and customers wait to be treated in the sites car park (Photo: Robin Jones/Digital South via Telegraph)

Early Report

A major gas leak at a shopping centre tonight left at least 19 people needing urgent medical treatment.

The mystery gas left shoppers and staff at Hedge End retail park near Southampton, Hants, coughing and gasping for breath.

The alarm was first raised at around 5pm when people at the checkout tills of a Sainsbury’s store at the park started feeling ill.

At least one elderly woman was taken to a nearby hospital by ambulance and others were treated at the scene.

Dozens of shoppers were later seen wrapped in turquoise, foil emergency blankets as they waited to be checked over by paramedics.

Police evacuated the park, which also includes a large Marks and Spencer store, and placed a 60-yard cordon around the site.

Firemen wearing protective clothing from Hampshire Fire Brigade’s specialist hazardous materials unit were called in to try and find the source of the leak.

A spokesman for the brigade said they had not yet been able to establish the type of gas at the centre of the incident.

More than 10 ambulances were on the scene. South Central Ambulance Service said everybody had been accounted for.

The Queen Alexandra Hospital in Portsmouth and Southampton General Hospital said they were preparing to receive patients if needed. In a statement, Sainsbury’s said: “We can confirm there has been an incident at our Hedge End store this evening.
Wednesday, 18 September, 2013 at 03:34 (03:34 AM) UTC RSOE

Other Reports

Investigation After Gas Leak At Sainsbury’s

Sainsbury’s has started an investigation after 62 people needed medical treatment because of a gas leak at their Hedge End store near Southampton.

All three emergency services were called to Sainsbury’s in Tollbar Way and the Marks & Spencer next door, just after 5pm on Tuesday 17 September, after shoppers complained of feeling unwell at the tills in Sainsbury’s. Both stores were evacuated.

Hampshire Fire and Rescue confirmed that the source was a leaking refrigerator at the Sainsbury’s store, but said the gas was ‘non-toxic’. M&S was also closed as a precaution.

62 people were checked over for symptoms including coughing, difficulty breathing, chest pains and runny eyes and noses. One person was taken to hospital as a precaution. No-one was seriously affected by the gas.

A 60-yard exclusion zone was put round the stores by police, and hospitals in the area were put on standby.

The fire service checked out the store but later said there was no further risk to the public. Cordons were lifted at around 9pm.

A fire service spokeswoman confirmed that the gas had been identified as a refrigerant. She said:

“We have attended a refrigerant leak at the Hedge End Retail Park on Toolbar Way, Hedge End, Hampshire.

“Hampshire Fire and Rescue Service would like to reassure residents in the local area that there is no public health warning, following earlier reports of a gas leak.”

Sainsbury’s says an investigation into the cause of the gas leak is underway, and anyone affected is asked to call their customer careline.

A Sainsbury’s spokesperson said:

“Last night at around 6pm, our Hedge End store was evacuated, along with the neighbouring M&S store. Following air quality checks, the emergency services confirmed the site safe at 8.25pm.

“We have worked overnight to conduct further tests and have found no cause for concern, so have reopened the store at 7am today.”

An M&S spokeswoman said that a total of 100 of its staff had been evacuated from the store, and 40 had been treated as a precaution. She said:

“We were advised by police to evacuate our Hedge End store following the detection of a gas leak in an adjacent store. The store remains closed and we are supporting the emergency services.”

Videos

Shopping centre in Southampton evacuated after gas leak, Southampton gas leak

(Video credit: ViralBreakingNews)

Published on Sep 18, 2013

At least 62 shoppers fell ill at Sainsbury’s and M&S supermarkets after gas leaked from a fridge

A shopping centre had to be evacuated and 62 people required medical treatment after a suspected gas leak from a faulty supermarket fridge.
Hazardous materials officers were called to the retail centre at Hedge End, in Southampton, after staff and shoppers at a Sainsbury’s fell ill at the checkout.
A neighbouring Marks and Spencer store also had to be evacuated last night.
Officers from Hampshire Fire and Rescue Service entered the building in protective clothing and found the gas was a refrigerant.
Police cordoned off a 60-yard exclusion zone around the two stores.
The alarm was raised when people at the Sainsbury’s check-outs complained of feeling unwell shortly after 5pm.
The Marks and Spencer store was also cleared because it shares the same heating system.
More than ten ambulances were at the scene with paramedics treating people inside the vehicles.
One elderly woman was put into an ambulance and driven away to hospital.
Writing on Twitter, website manager Richard Hillier said: ‘Hopefully the gas leak wasn’t serious.
‘Left Sainsbury’s Hedge End just as emergency services turned up. Haven’t stopped coughing since leaving.’

The Bahamas: Tornado in Nassau near Lynden PIndling International Airport – 180913 2100z

Reports are coming in about a tornado that touched down in Nassau on September 17th near the Lynden PIndling International Airport around 2:45pm.

Airport employees at Lynden Pindling International Airport in Nassau run as a tornado approaches. (Photo: WSVN-TV)

Tornado-LG.jpg

The photo seen here was tweeted on Twitter: “Tornado near Lynden Pindling International Airport in Nassau, Bahamas. Photo by Ras’Deniro Thompson”

A meteorologist told the Bahamas Tribune that the waterspout turned into a tornado for “a few moments” before dissipating.

No injuries have been reported but several aircraft were damaged.

The Bahamas Department of Meteorology had issued a severe thunderstorm warning until 5 p.m. for the New Providence and North Andros.
Wednesday, 18 September, 2013 at 18:25 (06:25 PM) UTC RSOE

 

Other Reports

Plane overturns at LPIA following a tornado touchdown at airport

An aircraft thrown into the air and on the ground at LPIA minutes ago following a tornado.

Breaking News coming into Bahamas Press confirms a scary tornado has touched down at LPIA suspending service for a few minutes.

The breaking news developed as dark clouds swirlled around the nations gateway. No one was injured, but a small aircraft was thrown over and rested upside down on the tarmac while others were spinning like toys out of control.

BP is live on the ground in the area and, although no one was hurt, the high winds and power of the tornado did make the area scary.

What next will hit the West? We have dead bodies showing up at Clifton. People vanishing at Clifton. Weapons coming in at Clifton. Deadly Toads in Lyford Cay WHAT NEXT?

Meanwhile, Bahamas Press is reporting an accident on Mackey Street, which has thrown that area into darkness BP IS LIVE ON THE GROUND reporting..

LPIA under tornado watch today…

LPIA scare as tornado touches down.

Tornado touches down in Nassau, Bahamas by Lynden Pindling Intl Airport
By The Bahamas Weekly News Team
Sep 18, 2013 – 12:25:05 PM

Other Videos

Amazing Water Spout in The Bahamas

(Video credit: Noo Generashun)

Published on Sep 17, 2013

Video footage shot by Neil Knowles (Facebook link)

Tornado Touches Down @ LPIA


(Video credit: ZNSNetwork) Published on Sep 18, 2013

Mexico: Low Pressure Area (LPA) Invest 95L has 70% chance of becoming Tropical Cyclone in next 24 hours (NHC) – 180913 1955z-

Low Pressure Area (LPA) Invest 95L

THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE70 PERCENT
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A HIGH
CHANCE80 PERCENTOF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS

(Scroll down for Spanish translation) (Desplcese hacia abajo para la traduccin al espaol)

(Image: wunderground.com) Invest 95L Satellite (Click image for source)

Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Warning in the Atlantic

Aviso Cicln Tropical en el Atlntico

United States

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane CenterClick to unzoom

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE
THAT THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO WEST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZEDAND THE HURRICANE HUNTER
MISSION SCHEDULED FOR THIS AFTERNOON HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYSWHERE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE70 PERCENT
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A HIGH
CHANCE80 PERCENTOF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENTTHIS DISTURBANCE WILL
LIKELY SPREAD HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS ALREADY
IMPACTED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

MARITIME

High Seas Forecast (Tropical Atlantic)

FZNT02 KNHC 181537
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 18 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTWHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 31.3N 43.8W 1007 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 18 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM SE
QUADRANTAND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANTAND 120 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 33.8N 43.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACKSIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.ATLC N OF 30N BETWEEN 73W AND 79W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES INLAND NEAR 19.5N90.5W
1004 MB. FROM 19N TO 25N BETWEEN 84W AND 89WINCLUDING YUCATAN
CHANNELE TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESPOSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONENEAR
21.5N93.5W 1003 MB. FROM 21N TO 27N BETWEEN 87W AND 93W E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRESPOSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONENEAR
23N96W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 69W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

Spanish (Translated by Google)

rea de Baja Presin ( LPA ) Invest 95L
ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA OPORTUNIDAD DE ALTA … 70 POR CIENTO …
DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS Y UN ALTO
OPORTUNIDAD … 80 POR CIENTO … DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LA
Los prximos 5 das

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Invest 95L Satlite ( Clic en la imagen para la fuente )
Mxico

Advertencia cicln tropical en el Atlntico

Aviso Cicln Tropical en el Atlntico
Estados Unidos

El tiempo Nacional ServiceNational huracn CenterClick a unzoom

Imgenes de satlite y observaciones de superficie DE MEXICO INDICAN
QUE EL AREA DE BAJA PRESION se centra ahora sobre el Golfo de
MEXICO AL OESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN . LA BIENVENIDA AL ASOCIADO
ACTIVIDAD ES ACTUALMENTE mal organizado … Y LA CAZA HURACANES
MISIN PREVISTA PARA ESTA TARDE HA SIDO CANCELADO . ESTE
SISTEMA SE ESPERA QUE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE DURANTE EL SUROESTE
GOLFO DE MEXICO DURANTE LOS PROXIMOS DIAS … DONDE AMBIENTAL
SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE SER FAVORABLE PARA LA FORMACIN DE UN
DEPRESIN TROPICAL. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA OPORTUNIDAD DE ALTA … 70 POR CIENTO …
DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS Y UN ALTO
OPORTUNIDAD … 80 POR CIENTO … DE CONVERTIRSE EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LA
Los prximos 5 das . INDEPENDIENTEMENTE DE DESARROLLO … ESTE perturbacin
PUEDE DIFUNDIR FUERTES LLUVIAS SOBRE PORCIONES DEL ESTE MEXICO y podra
CAUSAR INUNDACIONES mortal y DESLIZAMIENTO DE LODO SOBRE ZONAS YA
IMPACTO DE LA lluvias torrenciales DURANTE LOS DIAS ANTERIORES .
MARTIMO
High Seas Pronstico (Tropical del Atlntico )

FZNT02 TJSJ 181537
HSFAT2

ALTA MAR PRONOSTICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MIERCOLES 18 de septiembre 2013

SEAS dan como altura significativa de ola … que es el promedio
ALTURA DE LA MS ALTA 1/3 de las olas. ONDAS individuales pueden ser
Ms del doble de altura de ola significativa .

Scurit

ATLNTICO DE 07N A 31N W DE 35W INCLUYENDO MAR CARIBE Y
GOLFO DE MEXICO

SINOPSIS VLIDO 1200 UTC Mi Sep 18.
24 HOUR 1200 UTC Pronstico vlido Jue Sep 19.
Pronstico de 48 horas vlido a las 1200 UTC vie 20 de septiembre .

. ADVERTENCIAS .

. NINGUNO.

. SINOPSIS Y PRONSTICO .

. ATLANTICO TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO CERCA 31.3N 43.8W 1007 MB AT 1500
UTC 18 de septiembre NNW MUEVE O 335 GRADOS A 4 KT . MXIMO SOSTENIDO
VIENTOS RAFAGAS DE 35 KT 45 KT . TORMENTA TROPICAL VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE N
AGUAS DE PREDICCIN EN 0 NM DE CENTRO DE EXCEPCIN 120 NM NE cuadrante.
SEAS 12 pies o ms sobre aguas PREVISIONES EN 120 NM SE
CUADRANTE … Y 45 NM SW CUADRANTE DE MAR A 15 FT . EN OTRA PARTE
SOBRE LAS AGUAS DE PREDICCIN EN 300 NM SE CUADRANTE … Y 120 NM SW
VIENTOS DEL CUADRANTE DE 20 A 33 KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 11 FT .
0.24 hora Pronstico TORMENTA TROPICAL CERCA DE HUMBERTO 33.8N 43.4W .
Vientos sostenidos mximos de 40 RAFAGAS DE 50 KT KT . PREVISIONES SOBRE LAS AGUAS
VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

VIENTOS DE PREDICCIN EN Y CERCA DE CICLONES TROPICALES activa debe
Usar con precaucin debido a la incertidumbre en TRAYECTORIA … TAMAO
E INTENSIDAD .

. ATLC N DE 30N ENTRE 73W Y 79W NE a E VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT .
SEAS A 9 FT .
0.18 hora Pronstico VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

. CARIBE Y EL GOLFO DE MEXICO BAJA PRES interior cerca 19.5N90.5W
1004 MB . DE 19N A 25N ENTRE 84W Y 89W … INCLUYENDO YUCATAN
CANAL … E PARA VIENTOS SE 20 A 25 KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 PIES .
0.24 hora Pronstico PRES BAJO … CICLN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
21.5N93.5W 1003 MB . DE 21N A 27N ENTRE 87W Y 93W E A SE
VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 11 M EN QUE SE E hincharse.
0.48 hora Pronstico PRES BAJO … CICLN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
23N96W 1002 MB . DENTRO DE 300 NM NE semicrculo E PARA VIENTOS SE 20 A
25 KT . SEAS A 9 FT .

. CARIBE DE 11.5N A 14N ENTRE 69W Y 75W NE a E VIENTOS
20 A 25 KT . SEAS 8 FT.
0.06 hora Pronstico VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

. RESTO DE VIENTOS AREA 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

$ $
. PRONOSTICADOR LEWITSKY . CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES

China: Typhoon 17W USAGI/ODETTE 221500Z near 23.1N 114.6E, moving WNW at 16 knots (JTWC) Made landfall near Shanwei – 220913 1720z

Tropical Cyclone (Typhoon) USAGI/ODETTE

TYPHOON USAGI/ODETTE MADE LANDFALL NEAR
SHANWEI, CHINA (JTWC)

(Scroll down for Filipino and Chinese translation) (Mag-scroll pababa para sa Filipino at Chinese translation)
(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA-DOST)

Quezon City, PHILIPPINES pagasa.dost.gov.ph

As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph or please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877

Japan

Japan Meteorological agency

1319TY 1319 (USAGI)
Issued at 16:10 UTC, 22 September 2013

<Analyses at 22/15 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N2300′(23.0)
E11435′(114.6)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE500km(270NM)
SW390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 23/03 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N2335′(23.6)
E11220′(112.3)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 23/15 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N2400′(24.0)
E11020′(110.3)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
<Forecast for 24/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N2325′(23.4)
E10730′(107.5)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1713.gif

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/17W_200632sams.jpg

WTPN32 PGTW 221500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 17W (USAGI) WARNING NR 024 (FINAL WARNING)
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
221200Z — NEAR 22.9N 115.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 115.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 114.6E.
TYPHOON 17W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND COMPOSITE RADAR
LOOP FROM HONG KONG INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR
SHANWEI, CHINA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED
ANIMATIONS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM RJTD. TY USAGI IS EXPECTED
TO RAPIDLY DECAY AS IT DRAGS WESTWARD ACROSS THE RUGGED CHINESE
INTERIOR AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REENTRY INTO OPEN WATER. //
NNNN

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.9 N 115.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Typhoon Usagi Midnight Update North Of Hong Kong

Typhoon Usagi made landfall around 1730 Hong Kong Time nearly 200km east of the city. Since then the storm started taking a westerly track north of Hong Kong bringing sustained winds between 90-95kph in a few peaks north of Hong Kong Island. Near the downtown area winds at Star Ferry have been recorded up to 75kph prior to midnight. This has resulted in numerous reports of damaged signs, billboards and also loose debris being tossed about.

Storm surge in Shantou

Storm surge in Shantou

A train collided with a downed tree in Hong Kong through the late night hours. This was quickly resolved.

Sunday Afternoon flooding in

Shantou was also seen in low lying coastal areas. Shantou is a city east of Hong Kong in eastern Guangdong . Image Above

Numerous structures have been shown in images on Sunday being flooded by the rising water. The massive wind field around the once violent Typhoon with winds gusting up to 300kph drove walls over water ashore not only causing flooding but also large waves hitting the cliff sides on the South China Sea facing coastlines.(Image Left)

The storms exact location of landfall is near Hudong Harbor in Guangdong. A far less populated area of the china coastline than the Hong Kong Macau metropolitan area.

Typhoon strength is very well possible still in the city

Waves Crashing Ashore in HK

Waves Crashing Ashore in HKof Hong Kong through the over night hours as Usagi tracks inland north of Hong Kong moving right over the Metro area of Guangzhou.  The strongest winds will likely be in areas surrounding Victoria Harbor just prior to midnight as Usagi makes its closest approach.

Conditions will gradually improve through Monday morning yet many business may still remain closed as Usagi pulls west or at least open late for those in the Hong Kong area. By Monday afternoon winds will have decreased but cloudy skies and isolated to scattered showers are still possible through Tuesday.

Typhoon Usagi has already caused problems in Taiwan and the Philippines on Saturday through Sunday Morning. Two deaths and two people are still missing in the Philippines and winds up to 172kph were reported in Lanmyu island in Taiwan.

The winds are just the start of the impacts this storm brought to Taiwan and the Philippines on Saturday.

A resulting storm surge hit the southern coast of Taiwan causing coastal and low lying flooding (footage below) while in the Philippines at least three tornadoes have been reported in Bago City and Bacolod damaging homes and injuring at least one.

Please take a moment to watch the footage below. It puts the full force of this storm in to perspective. Remember this was still nearly 100km removed from the inner eye wall.

Downed Tree in Hong Kong

Downed Tree in Hong Kong

As per GMA NEWS TV report at 11AM earlier, the congresswoman of Batanes reports the Basco Airport Tower instruments sustained significant damage, including cell cites, power transmission lines and even water pipes. Itbayat and Batan Islands are without power and potable water with many houses unroofed in Basco and populated communities of Itbayat and nearby islands. The islands were hit head on by Typhoon Usagi and although no deaths reported, damage was quite significant all over especially to agricultural crops. They say its the strongest they had in 25 years. The Ivatans (people of Batanes) are accustomed to strong typhoons since then but many were overwhelmed by ODETTE’s fury

Also in the Philippines the enhanced monsoon wrapping around Usagi and a new storm Pabuk has been causing heavy rainfall in the Metro Manila area most of the day on Sunday. With the new storm moving north this week it does not look like the heavy rains will be ending anytime soon bringing the risk of flooding to the Manila area and surrounding provinces.

* I (G: westernpacificweather) apologize for the choppy way this update was put together. It is the latest information as of midnight. Monday morning a full update will be put in place. Please check the front page for the most recent updates from throughout the weekend. If you have any useful information to add please leave it as a comment.

Westpacwx does not have paid reports in the field so our number source for information is from you the reader. Thanks for the help.

Sat Image

See also:

Typhoon Usagi Makes landfall nearly 200km East of Hong Kong (Link)

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westernpacificweather

MARITIME

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1319 USAGI (1319) 955 HPA
AT 23.0N 114.6E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 23.6N 112.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 24.0N 110.3E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

News Reports

 

Powerful Typhoon Usagi heads to Hong Kong

BBC

 

People watch as a storm surge hits the shores as Typhoon Usagi approaches Xiamen, Fujian province High tides are expected in many coastal areas

 

Related Stories

 

Hong Kong is bracing itself for the arrival of typhoon Usagi, which is expected to be the strongest storm to hit the city in more than 30 years.

 

Officials have suspended activity at the port – one of the world’s busiest – and cancelled most flights.

 

In mainland China thousands of boats in the Pearl River Delta have been taken inland due to fears of high tides.

 

At least two people were killed by the storm as it crossed the Luzon Strait between Taiwan and the Philippines.

Highest alert

Usagi – which means rabbit in Japanese – packed winds of 165 km/h (103 mph) as it closed in on China’s densely populated Pearl River Delta.

 

China’s National Meteorological Centre has issued its highest alert, warning that Usagi would bring gales and downpours to parts of the southern coast, according to Xinhua news agency.

 

More than 80,000 people have moved to safer ground in Fujian province, Xinhua said, and the authorities in Guangdong have asked more than 44,000 fishing boats to return to port.

 

Technicians at the Guangdong nuclear plant have been trying to ensure the installation is secure ahead of the typhoon.

 

Many airlines have cancelled flights to cities in Guangdong and Fujian, and shipping has been suspended between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan, Xinhua reported.

 

In Hong Kong, meteorologists are warning of severe floods due to powerful winds and exceptionally high tides.

 

The Hong Kong Observatory warned of “severe” disruption to the city.

 

If the situation does not improve soon, many businesses including the stock exchange will be shut on Monday.

 

Projected path of typhoon Usagi, 20 September 2013

 

En route to Hong Kong and southern China, Usagi forced the evacuation of more than 3,000 people in southern Taiwan.

 

It also hit the northernmost islands of the Philippines, where it cut communication and power lines and triggered landslides.

 

Typhoons are common during the summer in parts of East Asia, where the warm moist air and low pressure conditions enable tropical cyclones to form.

Filipino (Translated by Google)

Tropical bagyo ( Typhoon ) USAGI / ODETTE

Typhoon USAGI / ODETTE GINAWA pagtanaw sa lupain MALAPIT
SHANWEI , China ( JTWC )

( Mag-scroll pababa para sa Filipino at Chinese translation ) ( rebista – scroll pababa Para Sa Pilipino sa Chinese translation )
(向下 滚动 菲律宾 和 中国 翻译)

( Image: wunderground.com ) Satellite ( I-click ang larawan para sa pinagmulan )

( Image: wunderground.com ) 5 Araw na Pagtataya ( I-click ang larawan para sa pinagmulan )
PAGASA – DOST Philippine Atmospheric , geopisiko at Astronomical Services Administration ( PAGASA – DOST )

Quezon City , PILIPINAS pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Sa ngayon , walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad ( par ) .

Para sa karagdagang impormasyon at mga query , mag-log on sa http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph o mangyaring tumawag sa mga numero ng telepono 927-1335 at 927-2877
Hapon

Japan meteorolohiko ahensiya
1319TY 1319 ( USAGI )
Ibinigay sa 16:10 UTC , Septiyembre 22, 2013
<Analyses Sa 22/15 UTC>
Scale –
intensity Malakas
Center posisyon N23 00 ‘( 23.0 )
E114 35 ‘( 114.6 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw KTK 20km / h ( 12kt )
Central presyon 955hPa
Maximum na bilis ng hangin malapit sa sentro 35m / s ( 70kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 50m / s ( 100kt )
Lugar ng 50kt hangin o higit pa ALL170km ( 90NM )
Lugar ng 30kt hangin o higit pa NE500km ( 270NM )
SW390km ( 210NM )
<Forecast Para 23/03 UTC>
intensity –
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N23 35 ‘( 23.6 )
E112 20 ‘( 112.3 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw KTK 20km / h ( 11kt )
Central presyon 980hPa
Maximum na napapanatiling hangin bilis 25m / s ( 50kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 35m / s ( 70kt )
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 90km ( 50NM )
<Forecast Para sa 23/15 UTC>
intensity –
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N24 00 ‘( 24.0 )
E110 20 ‘( 110.3 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw W 15km / h ( 9kt )
Central presyon 996hPa
Maximum na napapanatiling hangin bilis 18m / s ( 35kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 25m / s ( 50kt )
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 130km ( 70NM )
<Forecast Para sa 24/12 UTC>
intensity –
td
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N23 25 ‘( 23.4 )
E107 30 ‘( 107.5 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw W 15km / h ( 7kt )
Central presyon 1002hPa
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 200km ( 110NM )
Pinagsamang Typhoon Warning Center ( JTWC )

Google Earth Graphic Overlay

WTPN32 PGTW 221,500

MSGID / GENADMIN / joint Typhoon WRNCEN Pearl Harbor HI / /
Paksa / tropikal na bagyo BABALA / /
RMKS /
1 . Typhoon 17W ( USAGI ) BABALA NR 024 ( huling babala )
02 ACTIVE tropikal CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX napapanatiling hangin BATAY SA ONE – MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY

BABALA POSITION :
221200Z — MALAPIT 22.9N 115.2E
Kilusan NAKARAANG IKAANIM HOURS – 290 DEGREES SA 16 KTS
POSITION TUMPAK SA LOOB 020 NM
POSITION BATAY SA SENTRO matatagpuan pamamagitan ng kumbinasyon ng
SATELLITE AT radar
IPINAPAKITA WIND pamamahagi:
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 080 KT , GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
Ulitin ipagpalagay : 22.9N 115.2E

pagtataya :
12 oras , BISA SA :
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 055 KT , GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa
Vector TO 24 HR ipagpalagay : 285 DEG / 11 KTS

24 oras , BISA SA :
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 035 KT , GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa
Vector TO 36 HR ipagpalagay : 265 DEG / 07 KTS

36 oras , BISA SA :
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 020 KT , GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
AS pang-anyaya ng isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa

REMARKS :
221500Z POSITION MALAPIT 23.1N 114.6E .
Typhoon 17W ( USAGI ) , na matatagpuan sa halos 66 NM silangan – hilagang-silangan NG
Hong Kong , AY nasubaybayan WEST – pahilagang-kanluran SA 16 buhol MAHIGIT SA NAKARAANG
IKAANIM HOURS . Animated infrared satellite imagery at Composite Radar
Umikot mula sa Hong Kong ipahiwatig ANG SYSTEM AY GINAWA pagtanaw sa lupain MALAPIT
SHANWEI , China . Ang paunang POSITION AY NAKABATAY SA MGA nabanggit
Animation SA mataas na kumpiyansa. Ang paunang intensity IS
EXTRAPOLATED MULA SA Dvorak pagtantya MULA RJTD . Ty USAGI AY EXPECTED
SA mabilis na pagkabulok AS IT DRAGS pakanluran sa buong kulubot Tsino
Interior at mapawi NG Tau 36 . Ito ay ang panghuling BABALA SA ITO
SYSTEM NG joint Typhoon WRNCEN Pearl Harbor HI . ANG SYSTEM AY
MAGIGING malapit na sinusubaybayan PARA senyales ng muling pagpasok OPEN SA TUBIG . / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW Pacific : Storm Alert na ibinigay sa Septiyembre 21, 2013 12:00 GMT

HK Pacific : Storm Alert na ibinigay sa Septiyembre 22, 2013 00:00 GMT ( Huling Babala )

Typhoon USAGI ( 17W ) kasalukuyang matatagpuan malapit 22.9 N 115.2 E ay ​​magtaya upang hampasin lupa sa sumusunod na posibilidad ( s ) sa naibigay na oras ng lead (s):

Red Alert Bansa (mga) o Probinsya ( s )
Tsina
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
posibilidad para sa TS ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
Hong Kong
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 80 % sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
Red Alert City ( s ) at Town ( s )
Guangzhou ( 23.1 N , 113.3 E)
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 50% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 85 % sa loob ng 12 oras
Hong Kong ( 22.4 N , 114.2 E)
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 50% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 95% sa kasalukuyan

Yellow Alert Bansa (mga) o Probinsya ( s )
Macau
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 10% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 85 % sa loob ng 12 oras
Yellow Alert City ( s ) at Town ( s )
Shantou ( 23.0 N , 116.2 E)
posibilidad para sa TS ay 95% sa kasalukuyan

Tandaan na ang
Red Alert ( Matinding ) ay CAT 1 o sa itaas sa pagitan ng 31 % at 100% na posibilidad .
Yellow Alert ( malayog ) ay CAT 1 o sa itaas sa pagitan ng 10 % at 30% na posibilidad , o TS sa itaas 50 % posibilidad .
CAT 1 ay nangangahulugan ng Typhoon hangin lakas ng hindi bababa sa 74 mph , 119 km / h o 64 mga buhol – 1 min matagal .
TS nangangahulugan Tropical Storm hangin lakas ng hindi bababa sa 39 mph , 63 km / h o 34 mga buhol – 1 min matagal .

Para sa mga graphical forecast impormasyon at higit pang mga detalye mangyaring bisitahin http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Typhoon Usagi Hatinggabi Update North Ng Hong Kong
Nai-publish sa Septiyembre 22, 2013 sa pamamagitan ng robspeta sa Uncategorized

Typhoon Usagi ginawa pagtanaw sa lupain sa paligid ng 1730 na Oras Hong Kong halos 200km silangan ng lungsod. Simula noon bagyo ang nagsimula pagkuha ng isang galing sa kanluran track sa hilaga ng Hong Kong nagdadala napapanatiling hangin sa pagitan ng 90- 95kph sa loob ng ilang peak sa hilaga ng Hong Kong Island . Malapit sa downtown area na hangin sa Star Ferry na naitala ng hanggang 75kph bago ang hatinggabi . Ito ay nagdulot ng maraming mga ulat ng nasira mga karatula , mga billboard at din magpakawala mga labi na tossed tungkol sa .

Bagyo paggulong ng alon sa Shantou

Bagyo paggulong ng alon sa Shantou

Ang isang tren ay bumangga sa isang downed puno sa Hong Kong sa pamamagitan ng late na oras gabi . Ito ay mabilis na malutas .

Linggo Afternoon sa pagbaha

Shantou ay din na nakikita sa mababang nakahiga coastal area. Shantou ay isang lungsod sa silangan ng Hong Kong sa eastern Guangdong . Larawan sa Itaas

Maraming mga istraktura na ipinapakita sa imahe sa Linggo na malaki ang tubig sa pamamagitan ng tumataas ang tubig . Ang napakalaking field na hangin sa paligid ng isang beses marahas Typhoon may hangin gusting hanggang 300kph ay nagdulot pader sa ibabaw ng tubig sa pampang hindi lamang nagiging sanhi ng pagbaha ngunit din malaking waves pagpindot sa mga gilid talampas sa South China Sea nakaharap coastlines . ( Image Left )

Ang bagyo eksaktong lokasyon ng pagtanaw sa lupain ay malapit Hudong Harbor sa Guangdong . Ang isang malayo mas populated na lugar ng china kaysa sa baybay-dagat ng lugar sa Hong Kong Macau metropolitan .

Typhoon lakas ay napaka rin posible pa rin sa lungsod

Waves Pag-crash sa pampang sa HK

Waves Pag-crash sa pampang HKof sa Hong Kong sa pamamagitan ng paglipas ng oras gabi bilang Usagi sumusubaybay sa loob ng bansa sa hilaga ng Hong Kong paglipat karapatan sa ibabaw ng Metro area ng Guangzhou . Ang pinakamatibay na mga hangin ay malamang na maging sa mga lugar na nakapalibot Victoria Harbor lang bago ang hatinggabi bilang Usagi gumagawa nito pinakamalapit na diskarte.

Kundisyon na ito ay unti-unting mapabuti sa pamamagitan ng Lunes ng umaga pa maraming negosyo ay maaari pa ring manatili sarado bilang Usagi pulls kanluran o hindi bababa sa bukas late para sa mga nasa lugar ng Hong Kong . Sa pamamagitan ng hapon Lunes hangin ay ay bumaba ngunit maulap na kalangitan at nakahiwalay na nakakalat sa shower ay posible pa rin sa pamamagitan ng Martes.

Typhoon Usagi Na sanhi problema sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas sa Sabado hanggang Linggo Morning. Dalawang pagkamatay at dalawang tao pa rin ang nawawala sa Pilipinas at mga hangin up sa 172kph ay naiulat sa Lanmyu isla sa Taiwan .

Ang mga hangin ay lamang sa simula ng epekto bagyo ito dinadala sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas sa Sabado .

Isang nagreresulta paggulong bagyo hit sa katimugang baybayin ng Taiwan nagdudulot ng coastal at mababa namamalagi pagbaha ( footage sa ibaba) habang sa Pilipinas ng hindi bababa sa tatlong mga tornadoes naiulat sa Bago City at Bacolod damaging mga tahanan at injuring ng hindi bababa sa isa .

Mangyaring maglaan ng isang sandali upang panoorin ang footage sa ibaba . Ito ay naglalagay ang buong puwersa ng bagyo in sa pananaw. Tandaan ang noon ay pa rin halos 100km inalis mula sa panloob na dingding mata .

Downed Tree sa Hong Kong

Downed Tree sa Hong Kong

Alinsunod sa GMA ulat BALITA TV sa 11:00 kanina, ang congresswoman ng Batanes nag-uulat ang Basco Airport Tower instrumento matagal makabuluhang pinsala , kabilang ang mga cell cites , kapangyarihan transmisyon mga linya at kahit na water pipe . Itbayat at Batan Islands ay walang kapangyarihan at naiinom tubig na may maraming mga bahay unroofed sa Basco at populated na mga komunidad ng Itbayat at mga kalapit na isla . Ang isla ay pindutin ang ulo sa pamamagitan ng Typhoon Usagi at bagama’t walang naiulat na pagkamatay , pinsala ay lubos na makabuluhan sa lahat ng dako lalo na sa agrikultura mga pananim . Sabi nila nito ang pinakamatibay na sila ay nagkaroon sa 25 taon . Ang Ivatans ( mga tao ng Batanes ) ay sanay na sa malakas typhoons mula noon ngunit marami ay nalulula ka sa ODETTE ng matinding galit

Gayundin sa Pilipinas ang mga pinahusay na wrapping monsoon sa paligid Usagi at isang bagong Pabuk bagyo ay nagdudulot ng matinding pag-ulan sa lugar ng Metro Manila karamihan ng araw sa Linggo. Gamit ang bagong bagyo gumagalaw hilaga ito linggo ito ay hindi hitsura ang mabibigat na umuulan ay nagtatapos anumang oras sa lalong madaling panahon nagdadala ng panganib ng pagbaha sa Manila area at nakapaligid na probinsya .

* Ko ( G : westernpacificweather ) ay humihingi ng paumanhin para sa mga pabagu-bago paraan update na ito ay magkasama . Ito ay ang pinakabagong impormasyon sa bilang ng hatinggabi . Lunes ng umaga ang isang buong pag-update ay ilalagay sa lugar . Paki-check ang front page para sa pinakakamakailang mga update mula sa buong weekend . Kung mayroon kang anumang mga kapaki-pakinabang na impormasyon upang magdagdag mangyaring mag-iwan ito bilang isang komento .

Westpacwx ay walang bayad na mga ulat sa patlang sa gayon ang aming numero mapagkukunan ng impormasyon ay mula sa iyo ang mga mambabasa . Salamat para sa tulong.

Sab Larawan

Tingnan din ang :
Typhoon Usagi Gumagawa pagtanaw sa lupain halos 200km East ng Hong Kong ( Link)

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westernpacificweather
malapit sa dagat
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221,500
BABALA 221,500 .
BABALA BISA 231,500 .
Typhoon BABALA .
Typhoon 1319 USAGI ( 1319 ) 955 HPA
SA 23.0N 114.6E South China gumagalaw WESTNORTHWEST 12 buhol .
Magandang posisyon .
MAX hangin 70 buhol MALAPIT SA CENTER .
Radius ng MAHIGIT 50 na hangin umpukan 90 milya.
Radius ng MAHIGIT 30 na hangin umpukan 270 milya mula sa hilagang-silangan kalahati ng bilog AT 210
Milya sa ibang lugar.
Pagtataya POSITION PARA SA 230300UTC 23.6N 112.3E MAY 50 milya radius
NG 70 PERCENT CIRCLE posibilidad .
980 HPA , MAX hangin 50 buhol .
Pagtataya POSITION PARA SA 231500UTC 24.0N 110.3E MAY 70 milya radius
NG 70 PERCENT CIRCLE posibilidad .
996 HPA , MAX hangin 35 buhol .

Japan meteorolohiko AGENCY . =
News Reports

Napakahusay na Typhoon Usagi ulo sa Hong Kong

BBC Septiyembre 22, 2013 Huling na-update sa 10:48 BST ( 0948Z GMT / UTC)
Mga tao panoorin bilang isang bagyo paggulong ng alon hit sa baybayin ng Typhoon Usagi nalalapit sa Xiamen , Fujian lalawigan High Tides ay inaasahan sa maraming coastal area
Magpatuloy pagbabasa ang pangunahing kuwento
Kaugnay na Mga Kuwento

Usagi : 2013 ni pinakamakapangyarihang bagyo Watch
Philippine bagyo displaces libo-libo
Typhoon Soulik hangin isuga Taiwan

Hong Kong ay nakapagpapalakas mismo para sa pagdating ng bagyo Usagi , na kung saan ay inaasahan na maging ang pinakamatibay na bagyo na matumbok ang lungsod sa higit sa 30 taon .

Opisyal sinuspinde aktibidad sa port – isa sa mga pinaka-abalang ng mundo – at kinansela pinaka- flight.

Sa mainland China libu-libong mga bangka sa Pearl River Delta ay kinuha sa loob ng bansa dahil sa takot ng mataas Tides .

Hindi bababa sa dalawang mga tao ay namatay sa pamamagitan ng mga bagyo bilang ito tumawid ang Kipot ng Luzon sa pagitan ng Taiwan at Pilipinas .
pinakamataas na alerto

Usagi – na ang ibig sabihin ng kuneho sa Hapon – naka-pack na hangin ng 165 km / h ( 103 mph ) bilang ito sarado sa sa China nang makapal populated na Pearl River Delta .

China Pambansang meteorolohiko Centre ay ibinigay nito pinakamataas na alerto, paalaala na ang Usagi gusto magdala gales at downpours sa mga bahagi ng sa katimugang baybayin , ayon sa Xinhua balita ahensiya .

Mahigit sa 80,000 tao ang inilipat sa mas ligtas na lupa sa Fujian lalawigan , Xinhua sinabi, at ang mga awtoridad sa Guangdong ay humingi ng higit sa 44,000 mga bangka pangingisda upang bumalik sa port .

Technicians sa planta Guangdong nuclear ay sinusubukan upang matiyak ang pag-install ay ligtas nang mas maaga ang bagyo .

Maraming airlines na kinansela flight sa mga lungsod sa Guangdong at Fujian , at pagpapadala ay nasuspinde sa pagitan ng Chinese mainland at Taiwan , Xinhua iniulat .

Sa Hong Kong , meteorologists ang mga babala ng matinding baha dahil sa malakas na hangin at iba mataas Tides .

Ang Hong Kong Observatory binalaan ng ” malubhang ” pagka-antala sa lungsod.

Kung ang sitwasyon ay hindi mapabuti sa lalong madaling panahon , maraming mga negosyo kabilang ang mga stock exchange ay shut sa Lunes .
Inaasahang landas ng bagyo Usagi , 20 Set 2013

En ruta sa Hong Kong at southern China , Usagi sapilitang ang paglisan ng higit sa 3,000 katao sa katimugang Taiwan .

Mayroon din pindutin ang kahila-hilagaan isla ng Pilipinas , kung saan ito i-cut mga linya ng komunikasyon at kapangyarihan at nag-trigger sa landslides .

Typhoons ay karaniwan sa panahon ng tag-araw sa mga bahagi ng Silangang Asya , kung saan ang mga mainit-init mahalumigmig hangin at mababang presyon kundisyon paganahin tropikal cyclones sa form.

Chinese (Translated by Google)

熱帶氣旋(颱風) USAGI / ODETTE

颱風USAGI / ODETTE附近登陸
汕尾,中國(聯合颱風警報中心)

(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯) (磁渦旋pababa第一個菲律賓人在中國翻譯)
(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯)

(圖片提供: wunderground.com )衛星(點擊圖片來源)

(圖片: wunderground.com )五天天氣預報(點擊圖片源)
PAGASA外輪理貨菲律賓大氣,地球物理和天文服務管理( PAGASA -外輪理貨)

奎松市,菲律賓pagasa.dost.gov.ph

截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區( PAR )存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,登錄到www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph電話號碼或請致電927-1335和927-2877
日本

日本氣象廳
1319TY 1319 ( USAGI )
16:10 UTC , 2013年9月22日發行
<Analyses在15分之22 UTC>
秤 –
強度強
中心位置N23 00 ‘ (23.0 )
E114 35′ (114.6 )
方向和速度運動西北20公里每小時( 12克拉)
中心氣壓955hPa
附近的中心35M / s的最大風速( 70克拉)
最大陣風速度50M / s的(百克拉)
區的風50克拉或更多ALL170km ( 90NM )
區或更多30克拉風NE500km的(波長270nm )
SW390km ( 210NM )
<Forecast為23/03 UTC>
強度 –
中心位置的概率圓N23 35’ ( 23.6 )
E112 20 ‘ (112.3 )
方向和速度運動西北20公里每小時( 11克拉)
中心氣壓980hPa
最大持續風速25M / s的( 50克拉)
最大陣風速度35M / s的( 70克拉)
半徑概率圓90公里( 50NM )
<Forecast為十五分之二十三UTC>
強度 –
概率圈的中心位置N24 00 ‘ ( 24.0 )
E110 20 ‘ (110.3 )
方向和速度運動W 15公里/小時( 9克拉)
中心氣壓996hPa
最大持續風速18m / s的( 35克拉)
最大陣風線速度25m / s的( 50克拉)
半徑概率圓130公里( 70納米)
<Forecast為十二分之二十四UTC>
強度 –
TD
概率圈的中心位置, N23 25’ ( 23.4 )
E107 30 ‘ (107.5 )
方向和速度運動W 15公里/小時( 7克拉)
中央壓力1002hPa
半徑概率圓200公里( 110NM )
聯合颱風警報中心( JTWC )

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN32 PGTW 221500

,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風 WRNCEN 珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。颱風17W ( USAGI )警告NR 024(最後的警告)
02個活躍的熱帶氣旋NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
221200Z —近22.9N 115.2E
運動過去六小時 – 290度16 KTS
位置精確到020海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 080 KT ,陣風100 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
重複POSIT : 22.9N 115.2E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
最大持續風速 – 055 KT ,陣風070 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
向量POSIT至24小時: 285度/ 11 KTS

24小時,有效的:
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT ,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量36小時POSIT : 265度/ 07 KTS

36小時,有效的:
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT ,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
23.1N 114.6E 221500Z位置附近。
颱風17W ( USAGI ) ,位於東北偏東約66海裡
香港,跟踪西北偏西以16節的速度在過去
六個小時。動畫紅外衛星圖像和複合雷達
香港環路指示系統附近登陸
汕尾,中國。基於上述初始位置
動畫與高可信度。初始強度
德沃夏克估計從RJTD的推斷。預計TY USAGI
迅速腐爛,因為它拖動向西穿過崎嶇的中國
內飾和頭36消散。這是最後的警告
系統按聯合颱風WRNCEN的珍珠港HI 。該系統將
密切監測再次進入開放水域的跡象。 / /

TSR logoNW太平洋風暴警報21九月發行, 2013 12:00 GMT

西北太平洋風暴警報22九月發行, 2013 12:00 GMT (最後警告)

颱風USAGI ( 17W )目前位於22.9東經115.2 ê附近預計取得土地以下的可能性(次) ,在給定的領先時間(s) :

紅色警戒國家(S)或省( S )
中國
CAT 1或以上的概率為100 % ,目前
為TS的概率是100 % ,目前
香港
CAT 1或以上的概率是80 %在12小時內
為TS的概率是100 % ,目前
紅色警戒市(s)和鎮(S )
廣州(23.1 N,東經113.3度)
CAT 1或以上的概率是50 %在12小時內
變性人的概率是85 %在12小時內
香港(22.4 N, 114.2 ê )
CAT 1或以上的概率是50 %在12小時內
變性人的概率是95 % ,目前

黃色警示國家(S)或省( S )
澳門
CAT 1或以上的概率是10%,在12小時內
變性人的概率是85 %在12小時內
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S )
汕頭市(北緯23.0東經116.2 ê )
變性人的概率是95 % ,目前

需要注意的是
紅色警報(嚴重)是CAT 1或以上至31%和100 %的概率。
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30 %的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風, 63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
颱風天兔午夜更新香港以北
2013年9月22由robspeta未發布

兔颱風登陸, 1730年左右,香港時間近200公里的東部城市。自那時以來,風暴開始在香港島北部的幾個峰之間帶來持續風速90 – 95kph香港北部向西移動。天星碼頭附近鬧市區風已記錄的至75kph午夜之前。這就造成了損壞的招牌,廣告牌的許多報告和鬆散的碎片被扔約。

汕頭市風暴潮

汕頭市風暴潮

通過深夜,一列火車相撞,被擊倒的樹在香港。這很快得到了解決。

週日下午水浸

汕頭也被看作低窪沿海地區。汕頭是一個城市在香港以東粵東。圖像上

許多結構已經顯示在圖像上週日被漲水淹沒。大規模風場的一次猛烈的颱風,陣風可達300kph開車過水牆不僅造成水浸,但也大波擊中懸崖雙方就中國南海,海岸線面臨上岸(圖左)

風暴登陸的確切位置是滬東廣東港附近。遠人口較少的地區,中國的海岸線比港澳都市圈。

颱風的強度是非常有可能仍然在城市

海浪在香港上岸

海浪上岸在HKof香港兔通過在夜間的幾個小時跟踪內陸香港以北向右移動在地鐵廣州地區。 最強的風勢可能會在維多利亞港周邊地區午夜之前兔使得其最接近。

條件將逐步提高到週一早晨,兔拉西部,很多業務可能仍然保持關閉或至少對那些在香港地區的營業至深夜。在週一下午的風已經減少,但仍然有可能通過週二陰天零星陣雨和孤立。

兔颱風在台灣和菲律賓的問題已經引起週六至週日Morning.兩人死亡,兩人仍下落不明台灣在Lanmyu島在菲律賓和風速可達172kph 。

風上週六,這場風暴帶來了台灣和菲律賓的影響僅僅是一個開始。

導致風暴潮打造成台灣南部海岸的沿海和低窪水浸(下面的片段) ,而在菲律賓至少有三個龍捲風已報導巴戈市和巴科洛德破壞的家園,打傷至少一個。

請花點時間看下面的畫面。透視這場風暴的全部力量。記住,這是近100公里,從內眼牆去除。

在香港被擊落的樹

在香港被擊落的樹

每GMA新聞電視報導,在上午11時前,巴丹眾議員報告巴斯科塔台儀器持續的重大損害,包括細胞CITES ,輸電線路,甚至水管。 Itbayat巴坦群島與無頂在巴斯科與人口稠密的社區的Itbayat及附近島嶼的許多房屋沒有電力和飲用水。島嶼被擊中頭兔颱風,雖然沒有死亡的報導,損害是相當顯著的,尤其是農作物。他們說其最強的,他們曾在25年。習慣於強颱風的Ivatans (巴丹)從那時起,但許多人不堪重負ODETTE的憤怒

此外,在菲律賓增強季風包繞兔和一個新的風暴帕布已造成強降雨在大馬尼拉區最多的一天上週日。隨著新風暴向北移動這個星期它看起來並不像大雨很快將結束馬尼拉地區及周邊省份的洪水帶來的風險。

*我( G: westernpacificweather )波濤洶湧的這種更新方式被放在一起道歉。午夜是最新的信息。星期一早上,一個完整的更新將落實到位。從整個週末的最新更新,請在頭版。如果您有任何有用的信息進行添加,請把它作為註釋。

Westpacwx沒有在該領域的薪酬報告,所以我們的信息來源是從你的讀者。感謝您的幫助。

星期六圖片

另請參閱:
兔颱風登陸香港的近200公里的東(鏈接)


westernpacificweather
海事
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221500
警告221500 。
警告有效231500 。
颱風警報。
颱風1319 USAGI (1319) 955 HPA
AT 23.0N 114.6E南中國移動西北偏西12海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風70節。
超過50節的風速90英里的半徑。
超過30個結風半徑270英里東北半圓和210
MILES ELSEWHERE 。
預測位置在50英里半徑23.6N 112.3E 230300UTC
70 %的概率圓。
980百帕,最大風50節。
預測位置在70英里半徑24.0N 110.3E 231500UTC
70 %的概率圓。
996百帕,最大風35海裡。

日本氣象廳。
新聞報導

強大的颱風天兔朝向香港

英國廣播公司2013年9月22日最後更新於10:48 BST ( 0948Z GMT / UTC )
人們看作為風暴潮颱風天兔到達岸邊接近廈門,福建省漲潮預計將在許多沿海地區
繼續閱讀主要的故事
相關的故事

兔: 2013最強大的颱風手錶
菲律賓風暴取代數千
颱風蘇力風睫毛台灣

香港本身是支撐兔颱風的到來,預計將在超過30年來最強勁颱風襲城。

官員已經暫停活動在港口 – 世界上最繁忙的之一 – 取消大部分航班。

在中國大陸已經採取了成千上萬的船在珠三角內陸由於漲潮的擔憂。

穿過台灣和菲律賓之間的呂宋海峽的風暴,因為它至少有兩個人被打死。
最高警戒

兔 – 這意味著兔子在日本 – 盒裝風速165公里/小時( 103英里) ,因為它關閉了在中國人口密集的珠江三角洲。

中國國家氣象中心已發布最高警戒,警告,兔將帶來大風和暴雨,南部沿海的部分,根據新華社。

超過80,000人已轉移到安全地帶福建省,新華社的報導說,廣東省當局已要求超過44000艘漁船返回港口。

廣東核電廠的技術人員一直在努力,以確保安裝安全颱風提前。

新華社報導,多家航空公司取消航班,在廣東和福建的城市,中國大陸和台灣之間的航運已暫停。

在香港,氣象學家警告,嚴重的洪澇災害,由於強風和非常高的潮汐。

香港天文台警告稱, 嚴重影響城市。

如果情況沒有改善,很快,許多企業,包括證券交易所週一將休市。
預計2013年9月20日,颱風天兔路徑

途中香港和中國南部,兔被迫疏散3000餘人在台灣南部。

這也創下了菲律賓最北端的島嶼,它切斷通信和電源線,並引發山體滑坡。

颱風是常見的,在暑假期間在東亞部分地區,其中暖濕氣流和低壓條件下,使熱帶氣旋形成。

UK: Plymouth search for missing Desmond White (45yrs) continues – 140913 1010z

Police are growing increasingly concerned for the welfare of Desmond White.

 

(Photo: Devon & Cornwall.Police)

 

E

 

Desmond is described as male, white, aged 45years, 5f8h tall, slim build, usually wears jeans and a T shirt.
Desmond was last seen in the Ernesettle Lane area, Ernesettle, Plymouth, near to the Vi-Spring factory on the morning of Thursday 12th September 2013.
Any person with any information regarding the whereabouts of Desmond are asked to contact Devon & Cornwall Police on 101 quoting log number 0470 120913.

 

Dartmoor Search and Rescue Team ( were called out to search the Ernesettle Lane area of Plymouth for   Desmond. 1730 last night. The search is currently on-going.

 

(Photo: Plymouth Herald) Dartmoor Search and Rescue Team)

 

(Photo: DSRT Plymouth) Dartmoor Search and Rescue Team on day two of callout)

 

Other Reports

 

Police concern for missing man, extensive search operation ongoing

 

gPolice are growing increasingly concerned for the safety of a missing Plymouth man, Desmond White.

 

Desmond is described as male, white, aged 45, 5f8h tall, of slim build, usually wearing jeans and a T-shirt.

 

Desmond was last seen in the Ernesettle Lane area, Ernesettle, Plymouth, near to the Vi-Spring factory yesterday morning, Thursday.

 

An extensive search operation for Desmond was carried out late into the night and resumed this morning.

 

(Photo: Plymouth Herald) Police at the search scene

 

Police searching for Desmond White have appealed to a ggood Samaritanh who hooked a carrier bag of snack bars on a tree branch in Ernesettle.

 

Missing person search manager, Sergeant Ryan Canning said he was hoping the member of the public could assist the police with the exact location in which the bag was found.

 

He said: gAt the time he was reported missing a carrier bag with some snack bars in it was found hooked onto a tree in the area he was last seen by the water treatment works on a footpath along Ernesettle Lane.

 

gWe believe it was probably hooked on the tree by a member of the public who thought somebody had lost the bag and has then done the good Samaritan thing picked it up and put it on a branch. We are asking for that person to come forward so we can identify exactly where the bag was found.h

 

If you know anything about the carrier bag with the snack bars in it, please contact the police by calling 101 quoting log number 0470 120913.h h – Plymouth Herald

 

See Plymouth Herald video (link)

Saturday 14 Sept 2013

Update: Search for missing Plymouth man Desmond White continues

 

“Concerns were growing last night for a missing man who has not been seen since Thursday morning.

The search for Desmond White was due to resume this morning. He disappeared after being dropped off for work on Ernesettle Lane at 7.05am on Thursday.

(Photo: Plymouth Herald) Volunteers from Dartmoor Rescue, Plymouth continue the search

Police are hoping a carrier bag with snack bars in it found hooked on to a tree could help the investigation into his disappearance, which is said to be “completely out of character”.

 

A multi-agency search began on Thursday and continued throughout yesterday until darkness fell.

(Photo: Plymouth Herald) Desmond White

 

Despite the best efforts of teams from Devon and Cornwall Police, Dartmoor Search and Rescue Plymouth, the MOD Police and assistance from the police force helicopter, Mr White remained missing last night.

 

Police searching for the 45-year-old have appealed to a “good Samaritan” who it is believed hooked a carrier bag of snack bars on to a tree branch.

 

Sergeant Ryan Canning said he was hoping the member of the public could assist the police with the exact location in which the bag was found.

 

He said: “At the time he was reported missing a carrier bag with some snack bars in it was found hooked onto a tree in the area he was last seen by the water treatment works on a footpath along Ernesettle Lane.

 

“We believe it was probably hooked on the tree by a member of the public who thought somebody had lost the bag and has then done the good Samaritan thing picked it up and put it on a branch.” – Plymouth Herald

END

Dartmoor Rescue Group


The Dartmoor Rescue Group was started in 1968 in the Tavistock area when a small group of local moorland enthusiasts started helping the police with search and rescue on Dartmoor. 

In due course a recognised official rescue team was formed which became affiliated to the Mountain Rescue Council. Currently the Group consists of four Search and Rescue Teams (SART) based in Ashburton, Okehampton, Tavistock and Plymouth. Each team is a separate charity and is capable of functioning independently. However the teams frequently operate together and so each team is part of the Dartmoor Rescue Group which is a separate charity and which co-ordinates common training, equipment and communications issues and is the main contact point for outside organisations. 

Each team will tend to work in its own geographical area but may need to work anywhere on Dartmoor to support other Dartmoor Search and Rescue teams. Depending on the number of people who require rescuing or the area to be searched, a callout may consist of one, two or three teams and usually at least one team is kept as a back up in case of an extended operation. DRG teams provide a search and rescue service in the rest of Devon and Cornwall and may be used to support the Cornwall and the Exmoor Search and Rescue teams.

US: Massive fire on the historic Seaside boardwalk along the New Jersey shore, fanned by strong wind, out of control – 120913 2210z

The Ocean (NJ) Boardwalk 6 Alarm fire continues to rage out of control.

(Picture courtesy of John Lobello twitter account)

Fire thought to have started about two or more hours ago (estimate) at 1807 Boardwalk (Fun Town Pier). Heavy winds are driving the blaze.

Entire boardwalk will be lost. Heavy winds and water supply issues. 4 storey condo building 3 blocks north of main fire now burning, no apparatus available to respond. Situation dismal.

Seaside Park NJ chief: “We’re in trouble here. We’ve got major problems.”

(All the above sourced from @Alertpage – credit)

LIVE

Firefighters Battle 6-Alarm Boardwalk Blaze In Seaside Park

CBS Chopper 3 Over Seaside Park Fire

http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/video/9299913-breaking-chopper-3-over-seaside-park-fire/

Ocean County Live Audio Feeds

Video

Seaside Boardwalk Fire NJ – Fire erupts on Seaside Park NJ boardwalk

(Video credit: MrViralNews)

Published on Sep 12, 2013

Seaside Boardwalk Fire NJ – Fire erupts on Seaside Park NJ boardwalk

A stretch of boardwalk on the Jersey Shore was engulfed in flames this afternoon when a five-alarm fire broke out in Seaside Park, N.J.

The boardwalk is near the same stretch of sand where a rollercoaster landed upright in the ocean after Superstorm Sandy hit the coastline in October 2012.

The fire began at a Kohr’s frozen custard stand on the boardwalk, according to WABC.

Officials told ABC News that the section of boardwalk that is on fire is the only stretch that was not rebuilt after Sandy. It was part of the old boardwalk that was not destroyed in the storm, they said.

Children’s rides and amusements were also located along the part of the boardwalk affected by the fire.

There is no immediate word on how the fire started, according to WPVI. Seaside Park officials did not immediately respond to calls from ABC News.

Parts of the famed boardwalk — home of MTV’s “Jersey Shore” and to amusements and restaurants — was destroyed in the storm but quickly rebuilt in order to open by the summer of 2013.

Romania: 7 dead, 1 missing, 700 houses flooded after heavy rain struck Galati county. More heavy rain forecast – 120913 1155z

Seven people died, one went missing and 700 houses were flooded after heavy rains inundated Galati county in south eastern Romania last night (September 11).

(Photo: romania-insider.com)

The Government has organized the emergency commandment to evacuate people from the 17 villages hit by floods and support those affected by the heavy rain.

The most affected was the village of Cudalbi, where 500 houses and their gardens were flooded, forcing 200 people to leave their homes.

On Thursday morning (September 12), car traffic was blocked on two local roads in the county, with water one meter deep on the road in some cases.

Train traffic on the route Galaţi-Barlad between Târgu Bujor and Floteşti was also blocked because of alluvial sediment brought by the rain.

Four villages in the county do not have electricity.

The weather report shows rain continuing on Thursday as well. Most of the country was under a Code Yellow for storms until Wednesday at midnight.
Thursday, 12 September, 2013 at 11:15 (11:15 AM) UTC RSOE

Romania Current Severe Weather Warnings as at 1128Z (GHT/UTC)

(Image: meteoalarm.eu)

Local Severe Alert for Romania

Statement as of 2013-09-12 19:00:00 GMT, valid until 2013-09-12 19:00:00 GMT
Rain


Cities affected:

Balintesti, Romania;

Tecuci, Romania;

Galati, Romania

More detail here from meteoalarm.eu

Japan: Tropical Cyclone (Severe Tropical Storm) 16W (MAN-YI) 160900Z near 39.0N 142.6E moving NE at 33 knots – 160913 0834z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Storm (JTWC)

Severe Tropical Storm (JMA)

) MAN-YI

(Scroll down for Japanese translation)

i{̂߂ɃXN[_Ej

Japan Meteorological agency

All Tropical Cyclones

STS 1318 (MAN-YI)
Issued at 07:45 UTC, 16 September 2013

<Analyses at 16/07 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity
Center position N3910′(39.2)
E14135′(141.6)
Direction and speed of movement NE 70km/h(38kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE650km(350NM)
NW460km(250NM)
<Estimate for 16/08 UTC>
Scale Large
Intensity
Center position N3940′(39.7)
E14205′(142.1)
Direction and speed of movement NE 70km/h(38kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE650km(350NM)
NW460km(250NM)
<Forecast for 16/18 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N4405′(44.1)
E14755′(147.9)
Direction and speed of movement NE 75km/h(40kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL310km(170NM)
<Forecast for 17/06 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N5105′(51.1)
E15450′(154.8)
Direction and speed of movement NE 80km/h(44kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 240km(130NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)

Currently valid Warnings/Advisories

(Image: JMA) Currently valid Warnings/Advisories (Click image for source)
i摜FJMAjݗLȌx/́Ai\[X̉摜NbNj

(Image: JMA) Japan composite weather radar (Click image for source and animation)
i摜FJMAj́A{Cۃ[_[i\[XAj[V摜NbNj
Composite weather radar echoes and precipitation forecasts up to 60 minutes ahead are displayed in 1 km x 1 km resolution every 5 minutes, respectively. Any out-of-operation radars may cause radar echoes in affected areas to be weaker than they should be or not displayed at all.Precipitation Nowcasts provide precipitation intensity forecasts of swiftly growing convections with a spatial resolution of 1 km up to an hour ahead to assist with disaster prevention activities.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

WTPN31 PGTW 160900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 015  (FINAL WARNING)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
160600Z — NEAR 37.6N 140.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 045 DEGREES AT 33 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N 140.9E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z — 43.2N 147.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 40 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z — 50.1N 153.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
160900Z POSITION NEAR 39.0N 142.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM
SOUTH OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
160501Z AMSU IMAGE DEPICT A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM WITH DECREASING
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER. THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION BASED ON RJTD RADAR FIXES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS FROM RJTD. TS 16W IS
ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN STRONG MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW
AND IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). TS 16W IS
EXPECTED TO COMPLETE ETT WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS. DYNAMIC
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE JTWC FORECAST IS POSITIONED
CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Other Reports

Man-yi 台風€18日本 Causes flooding and Wind Damage Across Japan while leaving 1 dead.

September 16, 2013 by // westernpacificweather.com

This is a quick update with some of the latest reports of damage and information across Japan, please leave information at westernpacificweather.com if you have reports or photos.

One casualty has been reported due to Man-yi, 3 people are still missing and 96 have been injured across Japan. A 71 year old women was the lone casualty thus far due to a landslide crashing in to her home Monday morning.

140kph wind gust have been reported in Japan resulting in trees snapping signs being blown down and light debris being tossed about. Video from near Nagoya where the storm made landfall show buildings severely damaged due to winds as the storm came crashing ashore around 0800JST.

Damage in Yokosuka Japan

Yet this pales in comparison to the rain effect across Japan. Over 490mm was reported in Nara in 24hrs. In Kyoto just west of Nara severe flooding inundated several communities causing flood damage to over 10,000 homes according to NHK.

Flooding in Kyoto

In Tokyo river flooding has also submerged low lying areas but not nearly to the extent as farther south. The image below is from Tamagawa showing it about double the rivers size.

Flooding in Tokyo with MT. Fuji in the distance

Video shot in Kanagawa prefecture at Jagoshima south of Tokyo

” – westernpacificweather.com

END

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MAN-YI (16W) currently located near 37.6 N 140.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
 Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME

Japan

 

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 160600
WARNING 160600.
WARNING VALID 170600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1318 MAN-YI (1318) 985 HPA
AT 38.4N 141.1E NORTHERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 44.1N 147.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 51.1N 154.8E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 0600

WWJP25 RJTD 160600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600.
WARNING VALID 170600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA
AT 57N 141E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 17.5N 132.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 18.1N 130.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 15.6N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 16.5N 112.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 51N 157E
56N 163E 51N 180E 47N 180E 40N 170E 40N 160E 40N 150E 44N 146E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 15N 150E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 35N 123E SE 10 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 165E ESE SLOWLY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 141E TO 42N 144E 43N 150E 43N 155E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1318 MAN-YI (1318) 985 HPA AT 38.4N 141.1E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Japanese (Translated by Google)

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30Jbg̖ʐψȏSE650km i 350nḿj
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SʒuN39 40 ‘ i 39.7 j
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30Jbg̖ʐψȏSE650km i 350nḿj
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mT[NN44 05 ‘̒Sʒui 44.1 j
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NE75Li 40Jbgj̕Ƒx
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mT[NN51 05 ‘̒Sʒui 51.1 j
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ő厝35[g/bi 65Jbgj
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WTPN31 PGTW 160900

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MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 33 KTS AT 045 DEGREES
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” – westernpacificweather.com

END
TSR logoNWpVtBbNF 916ɔsXg[̌xA 2013N600GMT iŏIxj

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56N 163E 51N 180E 47N 180E 40N 170E 40N 160E 40N 150E 44N 146E B
TvB
ALMOST STATIONARY 35N 180E AT LOW 1008 HPA B
15N 150E WEST NEARሳAREA 1004 HPA B
35N 123E SE 10 KT AT HIGH 1014 HPA B
37N 165E ESE AT HIGH 1020 HPA B
40N 141E FROM 42N 144E 43N 150E 43N 155Eɑ΂ĐÎ~FRONT B
REMARKS B
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1318 MAN- YI i 1318 j 38.4N 141.1E AT 985 HPA F
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CےB =

Mexico: Hurricane (CAT1) INGRID 160600Z near 23.2N 96.9W, moving WNW at 5 knots. HURRICANE WARNING: CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA – 160913 0725z

Tropical Cyclone (Hurricane) INGRID

…INGRID EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO RIO SAN FERNANDO
* SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

(Scroll down for Spanish translation) (Desplácese hacia abajo para la traducción al español)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Warning in the Atlantic – Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Warning in the Atlantic

Aviso Ciclón Tropical en el Atlántico

United States

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

(Image NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

WTNT35 KNHC 160531
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
HURRICANE INGRID INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
100 AM CDT MON SEP 16 2013

…INGRID EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…23.2N 96.9W
ABOUT 95 MI…150 KM NE OF TAMPICO MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI…115 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB…29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF LA PESCA TO RIO SAN FERNANDO
* SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 100 AM CDT…0600 UTC…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE INGRID WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST.  INGRID IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H…AND A TURN
TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST TONIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF
INGRID SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH…120 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER
REACHES THE COAST.  WEAKENING WILL BEGIN ONCE INGRID MOVES OVER
LAND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES…30 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES…165 KM…MAINLY TO NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB…29.21 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL…INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO…WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25
INCHES POSSIBLE…ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE
RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER THIS
MORNING.

STORM SURGE…A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF INGRID MAKES
LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST…THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

END

TSR logoN Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2013 3:00 GMT

Hurricane INGRID (AL10) currently located near 23.1 N 96.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Aldama (23.0 N, 98.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

(Image: http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/) Note CAT 1 HURRICANE APPROACH as indicated by TSR above (as at 16 Sept 2013 0705Z)

Mexico:…Manuel weakens to a tropical depression but still producing heavy
rainfall…
  (Link to Wunderground)

MARITIME

High Seas Forecast (Tropical Atlantic)

FZNT02 KNHC 160253
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 16 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

…GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE INGRID NEAR 23.1N 96.5W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 16
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS…90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE…90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 25N TO 28N W OF 92W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM INGRID INLAND NEAR 22.9N 98.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT…70 NM SE QUADRANT…30 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER FROM 23N
TO 25N W OF 97W WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 26N W
OF 94W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 26N TO 28N W OF 95W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW INGRID NEAR 22.1N
100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. FROM 23N TO
26N W OF 94W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED INLAND.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

…ATLANTIC GALE WARNING…

.REMNANT LOW OF HUMBERTO NEAR 27N41.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
25N E OF 41W AND N OF 27N BETWEEN 41W AND 44W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N E OF 47W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
29N43W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 39W AND 43W AND N
OF 28N BETWEEN 43W AND 45W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 26N BETWEEN 39W AND 48W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
30N45W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM NE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN
41W AND 48W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF 27N BETWEEN 40W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 67W AND 74W
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

END

 

News Reports

Mexico: Twin Storms Leave Dozens Dead

SKY NEWS 4:38am UK (0338Z GMT/UTC), Monday 16 September 2013

Twenty-four people die in flooding and landslides in Mexico caused by Tropical Storm Manuel and Hurricane Ingrid.

Landslides and heavy rain triggered by Tropical Storm Manuel have caused at least 24 deaths on Mexico’s Pacific coast.

The US National Hurricane Centre said the storm began to weaken after making landfall near the port of Manzanillo, but the threat of flash flooding and mudslides remained.

In the southern coastal state of Guerrero, authorities said a landslide on the outskirts of Acapulco buried a house, with six members of the same family killed.

24 dead in Mexico after landslides caused by Tropical Storm Manuel
Heavy rain has caused widespread flooding in some states

Three people were swept to their deaths by a river and another was killed when a wall collapsed on top of them in the city.

Heavy rain has caused rivers to overflow, damaging hundreds of homes and disrupting communications.

Tropical Storm Manuel had sustained winds of up to 40mph and was moving northwest. It is expected to dissipate later on Monday.

Mexico is also being affected by Hurricane Ingrid in the Caribbean Sea.

Rain from the hurricane has caused landslides in the central states of Puebla and Hidalgo. It is expected to make landfall this morning.

Manuel was expected to dump up to 15 inches of rain over Guerrero and Michoacan, with 25 inches possible in some isolated areas.

Officials in the gulf state of Veracruz began evacuating residents on Friday, with civil protection authorities saying more than 6,600 people had been moved to shelters or alternative accommodation.

Last week, 13 people died in Veracruz when a landslide buried their homes in heavy rain caused by Tropical Depression Fernand.

(Video credit: AZCNewsView) Published on Sep 15, 2013

Spanish (Translated by Google)

El ciclón tropical ( huracán ) INGRID

INGRID … espera que toque tierra EN EL NORESTE DE MEXICO TARDE
HOY …

UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* CABO ROJO DE LA PESCA

UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* NORTE DE LA PESCA DE BAHIA ALGODONES

AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* NORTE DE LA PESCA DE RIO SAN FERNANDO
* AL SUR DE CABO ROJO DE TUXPAN

LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD EN EL AVISO DE HURACAN
AREA DEBEN SER EJECUCIÓN .

( Desplácese hacia abajo para la traducción española ) ( Desplácese HACIA Abajo Para La Traducción al español )

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Satélite ( imagen Pica para la fuente )
México
Advertencia ciclón tropical en el Atlántico – México
Advertencia ciclón tropical en el Atlántico
Aviso Ciclón Tropical en el Atlántico
Estados Unidos

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional

Centro Nacional de Huracanes

( NHC Image ) Relojes / advertencias costeras y pronóstico de 5 días para el Cono Storm Center ( Pulsar la imagen para la fuente)

WTNT35 TJSJ 160531
TCPSP5

BOLETÍN
HURRICANE INGRID INTERMEDIA NUMERO 15A
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL102013
100 AM CDT lun 16 de septiembre 2013

INGRID … espera que toque tierra EN EL NORESTE DE MEXICO TARDE
HOY …

RESUMEN DE LAS 100 AM CDT … 0600 UTC … INFORMACIÓN
———————————————-
UBICACIÓN … 23.2N 96.9W
ACERCA DE MI 95 … 150 KM NE DE TAMPICO MEXICO
ACERCA DE MI 70 … 115 KM SE DE LA PESCA MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS … 75 MPH … 120 KM / H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL … ONO O 285 GRADOS A 6 MPH … 9 KM / H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL … 989 MB … 29.21 PULGADAS

RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——————–
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA …

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE LOS RELOJES Y AVISOS EN EFECTO …

UN AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* CABO ROJO DE LA PESCA

UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* NORTE DE LA PESCA DE BAHIA ALGODONES

AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTA EN EFECTO PARA …
* NORTE DE LA PESCA DE RIO SAN FERNANDO
* AL SUR DE CABO ROJO DE TUXPAN

LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD EN EL AVISO DE HURACAN
AREA DEBEN SER EJECUCIÓN .

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA … FAVOR MONITOREAR
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
——————————
AT 100 AM CDT … 0600 UTC … EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN FUE INGRID
LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 23.2 NORTE … LONGITUD 96.9 OESTE . INGRID ES
MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 6 MPH … 9 KM / H…AND UN GIRO
AL OESTE SE ESPERA MAS TARDE HOY … SEGUIDO POR UN GIRO A LA
OESTE -SUROESTE ESTA NOCHE. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA … EL CENTRO DE
INGRID DEBE ESTAR MUY CERCA DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO DENTRO DEL HURACÁN
ADVERTENCIA AREA DE ESTA TARDE .

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 75 MPH … 120 KM / H…WITH SUPERIOR
RAFAGAS . ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO LEVE ES POSIBLE ANTES DEL CENTRO
Llega a la costa . DEBILITAMIENTO COMENZARÁ UNA VEZ QUE SE MUEVE POR INGRID
TIERRA .

Vientos huracanados EXTIENDEN HASTA 15 MILLAS … 30 KM … DEL
EL CENTRO … Y LOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL huracanados EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105
MILLAS … 165 KM … MAYORMENTE AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES 989 MB … 29.21 PULGADAS.

RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
LLUVIA … INGRID SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA
SOBRE UNA GRAN PARTE DE ESTE DE MEXICO … CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 25
PULGADAS … SOBRE TODO EN AREAS DE TERRENO montañoso. ESTAS
LLUVIAS POSIBLEMENTE RESULTAR EN PELIGRO DE MUERTE inundaciones y MUD
Diapositivas.

VIENTO … CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE ESTÁN COMENZANDO A DISTRIBUIR EN LA
COSTA DENTRO DE LAS AREAS DE ADVERTENCIA . SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE HURACAN
PARA LLEGAR A LA COSTA DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DE HURACAN ESTA TARDE
MAÑANA .

MAREJADA … A MAREJADA PELIGROSA ELEVAR LOS NIVELES DE AGUA
TANTO COMO DE 2 A 4 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA A LO LARGO DE LA INMEDIATA
COSTA CERCA Y AL NORTE DE DONDE EL CENTRO DE INGRID HACE
TIERRA. CERCA DE LA COSTA … LA MAREJADA SERA ACOMPAÑADO DE GRAN
Y olas destructivas .

SIGUIENTE AVISO
————-
ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA … 400 AM CDT .

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR PASCH

FIN
TSR de inicio de sesión del Atlántico : Alerta de Tormenta emitido al 16 de septiembre 2013 03:00 GMT

Huracán INGRID ( AL10 ) Actualmente se encuentra cerca de 23,1 N 96,5 W se prevé una huelga tierra a la siguiente verosimilitud ( s ) en el tiempo de espera determinado ( s ) :

Yellow Country Alert ( s ) o provincia ( s )
México
probabilidad para TS es 75 % en aproximadamente 21 horas
Alerta amarilla City ( s ) y Ciudad ( s )
Aldama ( 23,0 N , 98,1 W )
probabilidad para TS es 60 % en aproximadamente 21 horas
Tampico ( 22.2 N, 97.8 W )
probabilidad para TS es 60 % en aproximadamente 21 horas

Tenga en cuenta que
Alerta amarilla ( elevada ) es CAT 1 o superior a entre 10 % y 30 % de probabilidad, o TS a por encima de 50 % de probabilidad.
CAT 1 significa vientos de huracán de fuerza de por lo menos 74 mph , 119 km / ho 64 nudos 1 -min sostenida.
TS significa tormenta tropical vientos de fuerza de por lo menos 39 mph , de 63 km / ho 34 nudos 1 -min sostenida.

Para obtener información sobre el pronóstico gráfica y más detalles por favor visite http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Rastreador Mapa

(Imagen: http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/ ) Nota CAT 1 HURRICANE ENFOQUE según lo indicado por TSR anterior (al 16 de septiembre 2013 0705Z )
México : … Manuel debilita a depresión tropical , pero aún la producción pesada
lluvia … ( Enlace a Wunderground )
MARÍTIMO
High Seas Pronóstico (Tropical del Atlántico )

FZNT02 TJSJ 160253
HSFAT2

ALTA MAR PRONOSTICO
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
0430 UTC lun 16 de septiembre 2013

SEAS dan como altura significativa de ola … que es el promedio
ALTURA DE LA MÁS ALTA 1/3 de las olas. ONDAS individuales pueden ser
Más del doble de altura de ola significativa .

PAN PAN

ATLÁNTICO DE 07N A 31N W DE 35W INCLUYENDO MAR CARIBE Y
GOLFO DE MEXICO

SINOPSIS VÁLIDO 0000 UTC lun 16 de septiembre .
24 HOUR 0000 UTC Pronóstico válido Mar Sep 17.
48 HOUR 0000 UTC Pronóstico válido Mié Sep 18.

. ADVERTENCIAS .

… GOLFO DE MÉXICO AVISO DE HURACAN …
. HURRICANE INGRID CERCA 23.1N 96.5W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC 16 de septiembre
MUDANZAS ONO O 290 GRADOS A 5 KT . Vientos sostenidos máximos de 65 KT
RAFAGAS DE 80 KT . LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DE 70 NM NW y SE
CUADRANTES … 90 NM cuadrante NE Y 30 NM SW cuadrante. SEAS 12 FT
O MAYOR EN 120 NM N SEMICIRCULO … 90 NM SE CUADRANTE Y 60
NM SW CUADRANTE DE MAR A 20 FT . Otro punto de 150 NM N Y
120 NM S semicírculos VIENTOS DE 20 A 33 KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 12 FT.
RESTO DEL AREA DE 25N A 28N W DE 92W E AL VIENTO SE 20 A
25 KT . 8 A 10 FT .
0.24 HORA PREVISTA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL INGRID interior cerca 22.9N 98.1W .
Vientos sostenidos máximos de 45 RAFAGAS DE 55 KT KT . FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
VIENTOS dentro de 90 NM NE QUADRANT … 70 NM SE CUADRANTE … 30 NM SW
CUADRANTE … Y 50 NM NW QUADRANT . SEAS 12 FT O MAYOR DE 23N
A 25N W DE 97W CON OLEAJE A 13 FT . OTRO DE 21N A 26N W
DE 94W VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT . OLEAJE DE 9 A 12 FT. RESTO DEL AREA
DE 26N A 28N W DE VIENTO E 95W 20 A 25 KT . SEAS A 9 FT .
0.48 hora Pronóstico POST- TROPICAL INGRID REMANENTE BAJA CERCA 22.1N
100.0W . Vientos sostenidos máximos de 20 RAFAGAS DE 30 KT KT . DE 23N A
26N 94W E W DE VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT . OLEAJE A 8 FT .
0.72 hora Pronóstico … DISIPADO INTERIOR .

VIENTOS DE PREDICCIÓN EN Y CERCA DE CICLONES TROPICALES activa debe
Usar con precaución debido a la incertidumbre en TRAYECTORIA … TAMAÑO
E INTENSIDAD .

GALE ATLANTICO … ADVERTENCIA …

. REMANENTE BAJA CERCA DE HUMBERTO 27N41.5W 1008 MB . DENTRO DE 150 NM NE
SEMICIRCULO VIENTOS DE 30 A 35 KT . OLEAJE DE 12 A 16 FT . EN OTRA PARTE N de
E 25N 41W Y DE N DE 27N ENTRE 41W Y 44W VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT .
OLEAJE DE 9 A 12 FT. RESTO DEL AREA DE E N 24N 47W VIENTOS DE 20 KT
O MENOS . OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE TODO EN E hincharse.
0.24 hora Pronóstico PRES BAJO … CICLÓN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
29N43W 1006 MB . DENTRO DE 120 NM NE semicírculo VIENTOS DE 30 A 35 KT .
OLEAJE DE 12 A 16 FT . EN OTRA PARTE N de 26N ENTRE 39W Y 43W Y N
DE 28N ENTRE 43W Y 45W VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT . OLEAJE DE 9 A 12 FT.
RESTO DEL AREA DE N DE 26N ENTRE 39W Y 48W VIENTOS 20 kt o
MENOS . OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE TODO EN E hincharse.
0.48 hora Pronóstico PRES BAJO … CICLÓN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
30N45W 1004 MB . PREVISIONES SOBRE LAS AGUAS A menos de 75 NM NE SEMICÍRCULO
VIENTOS DE 30 A 35 KT . OLEAJE DE 12 A 15 PIES . EN OTRA PARTE N de 28N ENTRE
41W Y 48W VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT . OLEAJE DE 9 A 12 FT. RESTO DE
ZONA N DE 27N ENTRE 40W Y 50W VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . OLEAJE DE 8 A
9 FT .

. SINOPSIS Y PRONÓSTICO .

. CARIBE 06 HORAS DE PREVISIÓN DE 12N A 15N ENTRE 67W Y 74W
VIENTO E 20 A 25 KT . OLEAJE A 8 FT .
0.36 HORA PREVISTA DE 12N A 17N ENTRE 68 Y 77W E VIENTOS 20
A 25 KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 PIES .
0.48 HORA PREVISTA DE 12N A 15N ENTRE 68 Y 77W E VIENTOS 20
A 25 KT . SEAS A 9 FT . DE 15N A 17N ENTRE 72W Y 78W
VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . OLEAJE A 8 FT EN E hincharse.

. RESTO DE VIENTOS AREA 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

$ $
GR . PRONOSTICADOR . CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES .

FIN
Los informes de prensa
México: Las tormentas gemelas Deja decenas de muertos

SKY NEWS 04:38 am Reino Unido ( 0338Z GMT / UTC ) , Lunes 16 de septiembre 2013
Veinticuatro personas murieron en las inundaciones y deslizamientos de tierra en México causado por la tormenta tropical y huracán Manuel Ingrid .

Los deslizamientos de tierra y las fuertes lluvias provocadas por la tormenta tropical Manuel han causado al menos 24 muertes en la costa del Pacífico de México .

El Centro Nacional de Huracanes de EE.UU. dijo que la tormenta comenzó a debilitarse después de tocar tierra cerca del puerto de Manzanillo, pero la amenaza de inundaciones repentinas y deslizamientos de tierra se mantuvo .

En el estado costero de Guerrero , las autoridades dijeron que un deslizamiento de tierra en las afueras de Acapulco enterrado una casa, con seis miembros de una misma familia asesinados.
24 muertos en México después de deslizamientos de tierra causados ​​por la tormenta tropical Manuel
Las fuertes lluvias han causado inundaciones en algunos estados

Tres personas fueron arrastradas a la muerte por un río y otro fue asesinado cuando un muro se derrumbó encima de ellos en la ciudad.

Las fuertes lluvias se desbordaron los ríos , dañando cientos de viviendas y comunicaciones de alteración .

Tormenta Tropical Manuel tenía vientos sostenidos de hasta 40 mph y se movía al noroeste . Se espera que se disipe más tarde el lunes .

México también se está viendo afectada por el huracán Ingrid en el Mar Caribe.

Lluvia del huracán ha causado derrumbes en los estados de Puebla e Hidalgo. Se espera que toque tierra esta mañana.

Se esperaba Manuel volcar hasta 15 centímetros de lluvia sobre Guerrero y Michoacán , con 25 pulgadas en algunas zonas aisladas.

Funcionarios en el estado de Veracruz iniciaron la evacuación de los residentes el viernes con las autoridades de protección civil diciendo más de 6.600 personas habían sido trasladadas a refugios o alojamientos alternativos .

La semana pasada, 13 personas murieron en Veracruz cuando un deslizamiento de tierra sepultó sus hogares en las fuertes lluvias causadas por la depresión tropical Fernand .

(Crédito vídeo: AZCNewsView ) Publicado el 15 de septiembre 2013

Atlantic/US/Canada: Tropical Cyclone (TD) Gabrielle 130900Z near 36.5N 67.5W, moving NNE at 15 knots – 130913 0930z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Depression) Gabrielle

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Canada

Hurricane Track Information

WOCN31 CWHX 130545
Tropical cyclone information statement updated by the Canadian
Hurricane Centre of Environment Canada
At 2:34 AM ADT Friday 13 September 2013
———————————————————————
Tropical cyclone information statement for:
      Newfoundland
      Nova Scotia
      Prince Edward Island.

      For tropical storm Gabrielle.

      The next statement will be issued by 9:00 AM ADT.

      Gabrielle beginning to accelerate northeastward – currently
      Merging with frontal system – heavy rain for many parts of
      Atlantic Canada.

———————————————————————
Tropical cyclone information statement ended for:
      Quebec maritime.

———————————————————————
==discussion==
1. Summary of basic information at 3.00 AM ADT.

Location: near 35.7 north 67.5 west, or about 1000 kilometres
south-southwest of Halifax.

Maximum sustained winds: 65 km/h.

Present movement: north-northeast at 20 km/h.

Minimum central pressure: 1006 MB.

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

Gabrielle is currently located south of the Maritimes and is moving
northward. It will continue to accelerate toward the northeast
Today as it merges with a cold front approaching from New England.
The front – currently completely separate from Gabrielle – will give
heavy rainfall to portions of New Brunswick today.

As Gabrielle moves northward, its moisture will be drawn toward the
front. Rainfall from this feature is expected to spread across Nova
Scotia and PEI today.

Gabrielle maintains marginal tropical storm status, and little change
in intensity is expected. The storm centre itself is not likely to
have much of a direct impact on the region since most of its energy
will transfer to the cold front. What is left of Gabrielle’s wind
will likely clip Eastern Nova Scotia tonight. The original storm
centre may completely be merged with the front by the time it reaches
Western Newfoundland by early Saturday.

A. Wind.

An area of gusty winds associated with the remnants of Gabrielle will
affect Eastern Mainland Nova Scotia and Cape Breton tonight, with
wind gusts up to 70 km/h expected. Les Suetes winds up to 90 km/h
Are forecast in the Lee of the Cape Breton Highlands tonight. These
gustier winds will also move into Newfoundland by Saturday morning.

B. Rainfall.

Rain (heavy at times) should develop over Southwestern Nova Scotia
this morning and spread to the remainder of the province and Prince
Edward Island during the day. Computer models are indicating that
The heaviest rainfall related to Gabrielle’s remnant low will fall
along a swath just west of and roughly parallel to its track across
Eastern Nova Scotia. Rainfall warnings are in effect for parts of
Central and Northeastern Nova Scotia, as well as Queens and Kings
County PEI. Local rainfall amounts of up to 70 millimetres are
possible in these areas. There is a slight risk of 100 millimetres
within the swath which could give localized flooding. Note that a
change in track or timing of the interaction of the forementioned
front with Gabrielle could shift these maximum rainfall areas to
other regions.

The west coast of Newfoundland and Labrador will receive heavy rain
from the unrelated front today. Rain related to the remnants of
Gabrielle will begin to affect southern parts of western
Newfoundland tonight and amounts could exceed 30-40 millimetres
through Saturday.

C. Surge/waves.

Moderate wave/surf conditions are likely along the Atlantic coast of
Guysborough County, Cape Breton, and Southern Newfoundland associated
with the remnants of Gabrielle.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Gale warnings are in effect for maritime waters near and east of
Gabrielle’s track. Gale force winds will likely develop ahead of
Gabrielle over southern maritime waters this morning, then spread
northward during the day and to Southern Newfoundland waters
Tonight. The strongest winds will likely occur just east of the
remaining circulation when it crosses Maritimes and Newfoundland
waters.

Wave models show the potential for wave heights of 4 to 6 metres as
the leftovers of Gabrielle move through.

Visit weatheroffice.Gc.Ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the
latest:

– forecast position, central pressure table.

– strength and predicted wind radii table.

– hurricane track information map.

– technical discussion.

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings
issued by Environment Canada for your area.

END/HARTT/COUTURIER

End

For more comprehensive information about track tables and forecast rationale, please see the Technical Discussion

Visit the Canadian Hurricane Centre to learn more about hurricanes.

United States

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

WTNT32 KNHC 130850
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
500 AM AST FRI SEP 13 2013

…GABRIELLE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…36.5N 67.5W
ABOUT 360 MI…580 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 595 MI…960 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 67.5
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17
MPH…28 KM/H…AND THIS HEADING WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB…29.74 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

MARITIME

 

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0850

WTNT22 KNHC 130850
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GABRIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
0900 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  67.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  67.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  67.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 40.5N  65.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT…GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N  67.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

 

 

 

METAREA4 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 0345

FZNT01 KWBC 130345 CCA
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC FRI SEP 13 2013

CCODE/2:31:04:11:00/AOW+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT

PAN PAN

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SEP 13
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 14
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SEP 15

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE NEAR 35.1N 67.7W 1008 MB AT 0300 UTC
SEP 13 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND
120 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL GABRIELLE NEAR 43.8N 64.3W 1009
MB. FROM 36N TO 48N BETWEEN 45W AND 65W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL GABRIELLE DISSIPATED.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 65N35W 988 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 56N E OF 47W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 66N35W 993 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 58N
TO 65N E OF 44W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH STORM WARNING BELOW.

…STORM WARNING…
.COMPLEX INLAND LOW WITH MEAN CENTER 46N70W 1000 MB MOVING NE 30
KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N50W 1002 MB. FROM 48N TO 58N BETWEEN
40W AND 60W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 58N33W 998 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW WELL E OF AREA. FROM 57N TO 59N E OF 45W
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. ALSO FROM 56N TO 63N E OF
47W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 54N E OF
50W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 53N47W 1005 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. FROM 45N TO 56N E OF 52W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS E OF AREA.

.LOW 67N58W 1003 MB MOVING N 10 KT. N OF 66N W OF GREENLAND
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA WITH CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N62W 1008 MB. FROM 47N TO 55N E OF 58W
AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND 660 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 45N TO 55N W
OF 38W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 56N W OF 40W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 420 NM N OF A LINE FROM 47N35W
TO 42N62W.

.HIGH 59N60W 1014 MB DRIFTING E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 58N54W 1024 MB.

.FORECASTER MILLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

…HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE HUMBERTO E OF AREA NEAR 23.4N 29.7W 984 MB AT 0300
UTC SEP 13 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180
NM E SEMICIRCLE…70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE…180 NM SE QUADRANT
AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
FROM 20N TO 28N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO E OF AREA NEAR 25.3N
32.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE…60 NM SW QUADRANT AND
120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N AND
180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N
OF 24N E OF 38W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N
OF 20N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY
IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 27.4N 37.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT…70 NM SE QUADRANT…30 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N E OF 41W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N E OF 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN E SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 29.5N 41.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 31.5N 44.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 34.5N 45.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN NEAR 19.7N 94.0W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC
SEP 13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN NEAR 19.4N 94.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS WITH SEAS 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN NEAR 19.8N 94.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL
STORM WINDS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN NEAR 21.5N 96.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TEN NEAR 23.0N 98.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN INLAND NEAR 24.0N
100.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

South Africa: NSRI commend crayfish trawler crew for rescue of fisherman in St Francis Bay, Eastern Cape – 100913 1015z

“At 19h30 on Monday the 10th of September St Francis Bay duty crew were activated following a request for urgent medical assistance from the Cape Town crayfish trawler, the 58 meter RIGEL IV, reporting that a 30 year old Cape Town crewman had severe injuries after his foot was caught in a rope, while deploying crayfish traps overboard, allegedly causing the fisherman to be pulled overboard by the rope and then pulled underwater by the descending crayfish trap.

The crayfish trawler was deep-sea, believed to be some 25 nautical miles off-shore of St Francis Bay at the time deploying crayfish traps.

The man overboard emergency procedure was activated by the skipper of RIGEL IV.

From what we understand from crew reports the crew were able to cut one of the lines to the descending crayfish trap and then used the line fouled around the fishermans leg to haul him back up to the sea surface. He was then recovered (rescued) back onto the trawler.

As part of the man overboard emergency procedure NSRI St Francis Bay had immediately been notified by the ships company and a sea rescue response was mobilized.

The man had sustained a serious fracture of his left femur and was suffering near drowning symptoms and lapsing in and out of consciousness.

The vessel immediately headed towards St Francis Bay and our NSRI sea rescue craft Spirit of St Francis Bay was launched to rendezvous with the vessel.

We rendezvoused with the vessel 18 nautical miles off-shore of St Francis Bay, in rough seas of 4.5 meter swells, and two NSRI medics were transferred aboard RIGEL IV where they found the semi conscious patient in a serious condition.

An EC Government Health EMS ambulance was dispatched to stand-by at our sea rescue base.

Crew of the vessel had rendered First-Aid treatment and our NSRI medics continued with medical treatment but sea conditions were too rough to risk transferring the patient across to our sea rescue boat and we instead escorted the trawler towards St Francis Bay while our two NSRI medics stayed onboard the trawler while continuing to render medical treatment.

Once the trawler neared St Francis Bay sea conditions improved and the patient was transferred onto our sea rescue boat and he was brought to our sea rescue base and handed into the care of the EMS paramedics.

The patient has been transported by EMS ambulance to hospital in a serious condition suffering unconsciousness near drowning symptoms and a fractured left femur.

It was reported by the ships Captain that the fisherman had been wearing all safety apparel at the time of the incident, a hard hat, gloves, a life-jacket and protective wear.

The skipper and crew of RIGEL IV are commended for rescuing their crewman from the water in what appear to have been extremely trying circumstances.

The sea rescue operation was completed at 23h30.” – NSRI

Spirit of St Francis II NSRI

Spirit of St Francis II NSRI

Romania: Lasi train crash deaths rise to 11 (including 2 children) – 090913 1335z

The death toll of a deadly car-train crash near Iasi, northeastern Romania, on Sunday has risen to 11 after the two people seriously injured in the accident died at the hospital.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/ro/thumb/8/87/Romanian_bus-train_collision.jpg/300px-Romanian_bus-train_collision.jpg

(Image: wikimedia.org) /Romanian bus-train collision

The accident took place on Sunday afternoon at the crossing over a railway line on the outskirts of Iasi, where a van carrying 11 people was hit by a passing train and dragged along for several hundred meters, according to witnesses.

Nine of the passengers on the van were dead on scene, whereas a 13-year-old boy and a man of 35 years were taken to hospital.

They died at the hospital on Sunday evening due to injuries sustained, said Silvia Bolohan, spokesman for local Emergency Situations Inspectorate (ISU).

Preliminary investigations revealed that the driver of the van forced the crossing of the railway line despite the approaching train.
Monday, 09 September, 2013 at 01:33 (01:33 AM) UTC RSOE

UK: Teen rescued in rough seas by Cullercoats Lifeboat, aided by unknown local surfer. Highlights spring tides and ground swell danger – 080913 2310z

Following a 999 call made by a member of the public reporting a young boy in difficulties in the sea at Browns Bay in Whitley Bay, Humber Coastguard requested the launch of RNLI Cullercoats lifeboat at 5.34pm on Saturday 7 September.

 

Within 8 minutes the lifeboat, Hylton Burdon with the volunteer crew of Peter Clark, Leading Helmsman, Andy Small and Curtis Dunn were at the scene. Directed by volunteers of Tynemouth Volunteer Life Brigade, they found a 13 year old local boy floundering in the water and in difficulty. He was only about 15 yards from the coastline but with the tide at its highest and a large sea swell he was unable to get back to the rocks nearby and was getting very tired.

 

Fortunately, whilst the lifeboat was making its way to the scene a local surfer who was walking nearby was also alerted to the boys danger. He entered the water with his surfboard and was able to reach the boy and maintain his position in the area of the water.

 

Once at the scene one of the crew jumped into the sea and was able to get to the casualty and with the help of his fellow volunteer crew members he was able to get the boy on-board the lifeboat with the aid of a safety rope. The surfer was able to make his own way back to the safety of the nearby rocks.

Teenager rescued from water

Credit: RNLI/Michael Scott
Teenager rescued from water

Casualty helped in water byvolunteer crew member

Credit: RNLI/Michael Scott
Casualty helped in water byvolunteer crew member

 

The teenager’s welfare was immediately assessed on the lifeboat where it was ascertained that he had been in the water for some time and was very cold and possibly suffering from shock. He was given a waterproof/windproof covering and taken back to the lifeboat station where he was met and assessed by a Paramedic from the North East Ambulance Service. The teenager was given medical attention at the station and was released back to his family 1 hour later.

 

Peter Clark, Leading Helmsman Cullercoats RNLI said: Browns Bay is notorious at high tide for its dangerous sea swells and the rocks in the area create large waves. Once we arrived he was very tired and weak, any longer in the water and it may have been a different situation. I would like to thank the local surfer who kept the boy secure before we arrived.

 

Frank Taylor, Operations Manager at Cullercoats RNLI said: Routine water activity becomes very dangerous with spring tides and ground swell. This boy is lucky to have been rescued. ” – RNLI

RNLI VIDEO (link)

Atlantic: Tropical Cyclone (TS) HUMBERTO 172100Z near 30.3N 42.8W moving N at 10 knots – 170913 2200z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Storm) HUMBERTO


(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

(Image: NHC) 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch (Click image for source)

WTNT34 KNHC 172031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
500 PM AST TUE SEP 17 2013

…HUMBERTO CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 42.8W
ABOUT 1045 MI…1685 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 42.8 WEST. HUMBERTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/H. A SLOWER NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

MARITIME

High Seas Forecast (Tropical Atlantic)

FZNT02 KNHC 172105
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2130 UTC TUE SEP 17 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 30.3N 42.8W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC
SEP 17 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OVER
NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS…150 NM NE AND 45 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 17
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 32.0N 43.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 40 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…180 NM NE AND 60 NM
SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 35.0N 42.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE…120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS…210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
N OF 30N BETWEEN 40W AND 45W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 40.7N 37.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HUMBERTO NEAR
51.5N 27.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES INLAND NEAR 18N88W 1008 MB.
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W…INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS FROM
18N TO 20N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…20N92W
1007 MB. FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W…INCLUDING THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL…SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…22N95W
1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW E TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

METAREA2 / HIGH_SEAS_WARNING / 1944

FQNT52 LFPW 171944
A
SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Tuesday 17 September 2013 at 2215 UTC.

Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.

Part 1 : NO WARNING.

Part 2 : General synopsis, Tuesday 17 at 12 UTC
Low 995 over Ireland, quickly moving east, expected over Netherland
by 18/00 UTC, then moving to Poland.
Shallow low 1013 over southeast Spain with little change.
Frontal trough expected in west of FARADAY later, with deepening low
expected 997 55N18W by 19/00UTC.
High 1030 42N26W,drifting southeast, expected 1027 39N24W by 19/00
UTC, building a ridge towards Bay of Biscay.
Tropical storm HUMBERTO 1007 by 29.4N 42.5W at 17/15 UTC, max winds
40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, slowly moving to North, expected by 30.6N
43.5W at 18/12 UTC with max winds 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
Tropical wave across Cape Verde Islands from 19N21W to 09N27W, moving
to west at 5 kt.
Monsoon trough axis along 12N16W, 11N24W, 09N33W, then ITCZ continues
along from 09N33W, 10N46W.

Part 3 : Area forecasts to Thursday 19 at 00 UTC

FARADAY.
West or Southwest 4 or 5, increasing gradually Southwest 6 or 7 with
severe gusts from west soon, then decreasing Westerly 3 or 4 at end
in west.
Moderate or rough in north, becoming rough or very rough from west
later, and cross with Westerly swell.
Showers then rain from west and locally fog patches in north.

ROMEO.
West or Northwest 5 or 6, decreasing Westerly 4 or 5 soon, then
backing West or Southwest later, locally 6 in extreme northwest at
end. Gusts in north at first.
Rough or locally very rough in northeast, decreasing moderate or
rough later, with NW swell decreasing.
Some showers. Locally fog patches in northwest later.

ALTAIR.
In northwest : South or Southwest 4 or 5, increasing 5 or 6 soon,
temporarily 7 in extreme northwest later. Gusts soon.
In southeast : Variable Clockwise 2 to 4.
Slight or moderate, becoming rough in NW later.
Some showers then rain at times thundery from west at end.

CHARCOT.
North or Northwest 3 or 4, at times 5 in northeast.
Moderate or rough from west to east with NW swell.

ACORES.
In west : Southeasterly 3 or 4, at times 5.
In east : Northeasterly 2 to 4 from north to south.
Slight or moderate.
Some showers mainly in west.

JOSEPHINE.
North or Northeast 4 or 5.
Moderate or rough from west to east with N or NW swell.

IRVING.
Easterly 3 or 4, at times 5 in west.
Moderate, decreasing later.
Some showers mainly in west.

MADEIRA.
Northeast 3 or 4, at times 5.
Moderate, becoming locally rough in extreme northeast later.

PAZENN.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering Northwesterly 4 or 5 soon, and backing West
or Northwest 3 or 4 later. Gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross in NW swell.
Rain.

IROISE, YEU, ROCHEBONNE.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering West or Northwest soon, then Northwest 3 or 4
later. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell, locally very rough in north at first, decreasing
later.
Rain.

CANTABRICO.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering North or Northwest 2 to 4 at end. Gusts.
Rough and cross with NW swell.
Rain.

FINISTERRE.
In north: West or Northwest 3 to 5, veering Northerly 2 to 4 later.
In south: North or Northwest 3 to 5, increasing 5 or 6 in extreme
southeast later. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell.

PORTO.
Northerly 5 or 6, locally at times 7 in east. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell.

SAO VICENTE.
North or Northwest 5 or 6 with gusts in west, but Variable mainly
Westerly 3 to 5 in southeast.
Rough in west with N or NW swell, but moderate in southeast.

CADIZ, GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
West or Southwest 3 or 4, locally 5 in east of strait.
Slight, locally moderate.

CASABLANCA.
In west : Northerly 3 or 4, increasing 4 or 5 at end.
In east : Westerly 2 to 4.
Moderate, becoming rough from north soon with N or NW swell.
Some showers at first, clearing.

AGADIR.
Northerly 3 or 4, at times 5 in east at first, increasing gradually 4
or 5 at end, locally 6 in east .
Slight or moderate, becoming moderate, with N or NW swell increasing
at end.

METEOR.
Easterly 3 or 4.
Moderate, decreasing later.

CANARIAS.
Northeast 3 or 4, increasing locally 5 between islands and near
coasts later.
Slight or moderate.

TARFAYA.
Northerly 3 or 4.
Slight , becoming moderate from north later.

CAPE VERDE.
Northeast 3 to 5, locally Variable Cyclonic 2 to 4 in extreme
southeast.
Moderate.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts in southeast.

CAP BLANC.
North or Northeast 4 or 5.
Slight or moderate.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts in south, decreasing at end.

CAP TIMIRIS.
Northeasterly 4 or 5 in north but locally Easterly 3 or 4 in south,
backing Northerly 3 or 4 later from north, locally 5 in northeast.
Slight or moderate.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts.

SIERRA LEONE.
Variable Cyclonic 2 to 4 mainly Northeast in northwest, but Variable
1 to 3 in extreme east.
Moderate, but slight near coasts.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts.

GULF OF GUINEA.
In west : South or Southeast 3 or 4, at times 5 at first.
In east : Southwest 2 to 4.
Moderate.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts in north and east.

POINTE NOIRE.
In west : Southeast 4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 later.
In east : South or Southwest 2 to 4.
Moderate, locally rough in extreme southwest decreasing later.

Part 4 : outlook for next 24 hours
No near gale or gale expected.
Southwesterly near gale over northeast of FARADAY at first.

Anti-gay threats, attacks disrupt AIDS fight in Sierra Leone

76 CRIMES

DEATH THREATS, ATTACK, AND THEN ESCAPE

Until they had to flee the country to save their lives, George Freeman, Denzil Kargbo and Ephraim Bernard Wilson worked to halt the spread of AIDS in Sierra Leone.

They worked for years to educate LGBT people in Sierra Leone about the dangers of HIV / AIDS, but they had to stop that work when newspapers published their pictures and labeled them as homosexuals.  Freeman was ambushed in his car by men on motorbikes who tried to kill him.

They fled to safety in Spain and still want to continue fighting AIDS in Sierra Leone. But they can only do that from Spain by consulting with colleagues who have not been outed by the press, and perhaps through video conferences.

This is their story.

Freeman, age 26; Kargbo, 25; and Wilson, 24, are officers of the non-profit organization Pride Equality, which was founded in…

View original post 1,091 more words

Asylum seekers: drowning on our watch

Indonesian (Translated by Google)

(Reblogged dari daifoladonline.wordpress.com)

Lebih dari seribu pencari suaka tewas saat mencoba untuk sampai ke Australia dengan perahu . Tapi berapa banyak dari mereka bisa diselamatkan ? Pencarian Australia dan otoritas penyelamatan berdiri terdakwa dari penundaan yang tidak perlu , mengabaikan panggilan marabahaya dan melewati tanggung jawab Indonesia , yang tidak dilengkapi untuk melakukan operasi penyelamatan . Jess Bukit menyelidiki .


Sejak tahun 2001 , hampir 1.400 pencari suaka telah tenggelam antara Indonesia dan Australia . Lebih dari 300 telah tenggelam dalam 12 bulan terakhir saja . Mengapa begitu banyak pencari suaka tenggelam dalam perjalanan mereka ke Australia , dan kita bisa berbuat lebih banyak untuk menyelamatkan mereka ?


Latar Belakang Briefing telah melihat keadaan sekitar tenggelamnya empat kapal selama dua tahun terakhir , di mana lebih dari 400 pencari suaka tenggelam . Apa yang muncul adalah pola mengganggu penundaan , menutup- up dan kemacetan komunikasi .

Pada bulan Juni 2012, sebuah kapal nelayan sepanjang 20 meter dengan nama kode yang SIEV 358 tenggelam setengah jalan antara Indonesia dan Pulau Christmas . Perahu itu sudah penuh sesak dengan lebih dari 200 laki-laki dan anak laki-laki , sebagian besar warga Pakistan dan Afghanistan yang melarikan diri dari Taliban dan Al Qaeda . Penumpang telah membuat 16 panggilan untuk membantu otoritas keselamatan maritim Australia selama dua hari . Penelepon semakin tertekan mengatakan kapal rusak di satu sisi dan mengambil air , dan memohon untuk diselamatkan .

Pada awalnya saya tidak bisa percaya bahwa perahu kami telah tenggelam , tapi aku melihat mainan yang datang dari dalam perahu , melainkan datang dengan air. Ketika datang dekat dengan saya , saya menyadari bahwa tidak, itu bukan mainan . Itu masih kecil .
Esmat Adine , Hazara pencari suaka

Tapi tidak ada bantuan datang . Perahu itu sudah di Indonesia penelusuran dan zona penyelamatan , yang mencakup sebagian besar laut antara Indonesia dan Pulau Christmas , sehingga otoritas keselamatan maritim Australia mengalihkan tanggung jawab dengan mitra di Indonesia , BASARNAS .

Tiga puluh dua jam setelah panggilan darurat pertama dibuat , orang yang membuatnya – dan 101 lainnya – tewas .

Pengacara George Newhouse , yang telah bekerja pada tiga inquests coronial tenggelamnya kapal suaka , kata mendelegasikan ke BASARNAS tidak dapat diterima .

“Bagaimana bisa seorang otoritas keselamatan di tangan hati nurani yang baik alih tanggung jawab untuk menyelamatkan nyawa orang untuk sebuah organisasi yang mereka tahu tidak mampu memenuhi peran itu?” Katanya .

Kantor BASARNAS Indonesia di Jawa Barat , yang merespon kapal dalam kesusahan di pantai yang biasa digunakan oleh para penyelundup manusia , putus asa sakit-siap untuk melakukan laut terbuka menyelamatkan . Kepala operasi di sana , Rochmali , mengatakan semua yang mereka miliki mereka adalah perahu karet dan kapal-kapal nelayan tradisional, yang tidak bisa pergi lebih dari lima mil laut dari pantai .

Artikel ini merupakan bagian dari latar belakang yang lebih besar Briefing penyelidikan . Dengarkan laporan lengkap Jess Hill pada hari Minggu di 8:05 atau gunakan tautan di atas setelah siaran podcast .

Mantan diplomat Tony Kevin , yang telah menjadi kritikus vokal pencarian Australia dan otoritas penyelamatan sejak 353 orang tenggelam di perahu yang dikenal sebagai SIEVX , lebih langsung dalam kutukannya terhadap otoritas keselamatan maratime Australia .

” Apa yang menjadi perhatian saya sangat sekarang adalah bukti dari doktrin sistemik , terutama di dalam Otorita Keselamatan Maritim Australia ( AMSA ) – apa yang Anda sebut budaya sistemik skeptisisme dari pencari suaka klaim marabahaya . Sebuah semangat ” Kami lebih baik menunggu dan melihat apa yang terjadi ini, jika mereka benar-benar dalam kesulitan , karena kita sangat sering bahwa mereka tidak tahu ” . ‘

AMSA sangat menolak pernyataan ini dari Tony Kevin . Namun, pertanyaan tentang kapan panggilan dianggap panggilan darurat asli berada di jantung pemeriksaan coronial baru-baru ini ke para pencari suaka yang meninggal pada SIEV 358 .

Tapi ini bukan satu-satunya suaka kematian di laut Australia bisa dicegah .

Di tengah malam pada tanggal 17 Desember 2011, sebuah kapal pencari suaka yang disebut Barokah meninggalkan pantai Jawa dengan sekitar 250 pria, wanita dan anak-anak di atas kapal. Salah satunya adalah etnis Hazara pria , Esmat Adine . Perahu itu begitu penuh sesak , Adine bahkan tidak bisa menemukan tempat untuk duduk . Barokah adalah hanya 40 mil laut dari Indonesia ketika itu runtuh .

” Pada awalnya saya tidak bisa percaya bahwa perahu kami telah tenggelam , ” kenang Adine . “Tapi saya melihat mainan yang datang dari dalam perahu , melainkan datang dengan air. Ketika datang dekat dengan saya , saya menyadari bahwa tidak, itu bukan mainan . Itu masih kecil . Itu adalah anak bernama Daniel . Daniel adalah dengan ibunya , mereka duduk di depan saya , di samping saya, sementara kami datang dengan bus . Ketika saya melihat tubuh Daniel , aku menyadari bahwa perahu kami telah tenggelam , dan tidak ada harapan lagi bagi kita untuk hidup . ‘

Delapan jam kemudian , pada pukul 3 sore , sebuah perahu nelayan yang lewat menemukan sekitar seratus orang di laut lepas , sangat menempel ke puing-puing . Itu hanya bisa menyelamatkan 34 orang . Adine berteriak kepada orang-orang di dalam air , ” Bersabarlah – kami akan membawa Anda lebih banyak kapal , dan mereka akan menyelamatkan kamu . ”

Di Canberra malam itu , lembaga Australia menyadari Barokah itu tenggelam . Mereka mengatakan kepada pihak berwenang Indonesia , karena perahu itu dalam pencarian mereka dan zona penyelamatan .

Beberapa bulan kemudian , petugas bea cukai akan menceritakan Perkiraan Senat mendengar bahwa Indonesia awalnya menolak tawaran Australia untuk membantu upaya pencarian dan penyelamatan .

Tapi insiden waktu resmi, yang Fairfax diperoleh berdasarkan undang-undang kebebasan informasi , mengungkapkan bahwa BASARNAS , cari di Indonesia dan lembaga penyelamatan , telah meminta AMSA untuk mengkoordinasikan penyelamatan respon – AMSA menolak .

Selama dua hari , sedangkan laki-laki , perempuan dan anak-anak berjuang untuk bertahan hidup dalam gelombang hingga enam meter , Indonesia dan Australia tidak melakukan apa pun .

Akhirnya , pada 19 Desember , BASARNAS bertanya lagi untuk bantuan . Kali ini , AMSA setuju , dan dikirim aset angkatan laut dan Bea Cukai ke TKP .

Tapi itu sudah terlambat . Dua ratus dan satu orang tewas .

Pada bulan April tahun ini , pencari suaka lagi yang tersisa untuk tenggelam sebagai AMSA dan BASARNAS gagal untuk berkolaborasi efisien . Dilansir dari Indonesia , ABC koresponden George Roberts mengatakan , ” Semua kita sudah bisa mengetahui sejauh – kecuali hal telah berubah sejak malam – AMSA terakhir tidak membantu belum atau pihak berwenang Australia tidak membantu dan Indonesia belum hadn ‘ t meluncurkan pencarian sendiri . ‘

“Jadi , tampaknya menjadi jenis yang sama dari stand-off kami tahun lalu di mana Australia tahu ada masalah, Indonesia tidak mampu untuk dapat membantu dan sebagai hasilnya orang yang tersisa di dalam air selama berjam-jam . ”

Lima puluh delapan orang masih hilang .

Pada bulan Juni tahun ini , perahu lain tenggelam , kali ini mudah dijangkau dari kapal patroli Australia . Sebuah pesawat Bea Cukai terlihat itu 28 mil laut dari pulau – hanya empat kilometer di luar zona intersepsi nya . Sekitar 55 pria, wanita , dan anak-anak terlihat di geladak , melambai pesawat.

Setelah acara tersebut , pemerintah mengklaim perahu tidak menunjukkan tanda-tanda visual marabahaya . Tapi dokumen resmi dari Pusat AMSA Rescue Koordinasi ( RCC ) , yang Fairfax lagi diperoleh berdasarkan undang-undang kebebasan informasi , menunjukkan bahwa Bea Cukai telah melaporkan perahu sebagai ‘ mati di dalam air ‘ , dan telah khawatir tentang perahu dari saat mereka melihat itu .

Seperti jam berlarut-larut , laksamana yang bertanggung jawab atas Komando Perlindungan Perbatasan menjadi semakin prihatin untuk keselamatan kapal , dan meminta RCC untuk memulai pencarian . Tapi AMSA menolak , mengatakan mereka masih menilai bukti. Ketika puing-puing terlihat , AMSA mengatakan , pengawasan kemudian akan pindah ke fase SAR .

Dua hari kemudian , kapal itu ditemukan , terbalik . Tiga belas mayat ditemukan . Tidak ada yang selamat .

Dengarkan laporan lengkap Jess Hill hari Minggu ini , ketika Background Briefing akan mengambil melihat forensik di belakang layar di AMSA dan bertanya : apakah kematian lebih dari 400 orang mudah dicegah ?

Sumber : ABC.net Background Briefing

US: Utah storm chaos – 200 trapped in American Fork Canyon, 10 missing, evacuations, mudslides, power outages, street flooding and a game delay – 080913 1230z

File:American Fork Canyon from Timpanogos Cave entrance.jpg

An apocalyptic storm hit Utah County Saturday evening, bringing with it evacuations, mudslides, power outages, street flooding and a game delay. Damage reached from the southernmost part of the county to Alpine and into Salt Lake County, leaving police, road crews and search and rescue scrambling to clog up or shovel away messes.

The storm caused massive amounts of road debris on S.R. 92 in American Fork Canyon, forcing multiple road closures. Nearly half a dozen mudslides were reported within the canyon, the largest about 35 to 40 feet deep.

The first mudslide, closest to the mouth of the canyon, was cleared before 8:30 p.m., allowing search and rescue to help clear the people from the area before UDOT moved to the second, and largest, mudslide just below Timpanogos Cave Monument, near Sweeney Bridge. Search and Rescue hiked through and found that hundreds of people were safe within the visitor’s center.

Lt. Tom Hodgson of the Utah County Sheriff’s Office said there are at least five mudslides reported. Several mudslides were also reported going up to Tibble Fork. “We can’t confirm anything more than that, as we are still waiting to get up there.” Hodgson also reported that at least 30 vehicles had made it out safely, and only 30 additional people had been escorted out of the canyon by 9:30 p.m., while the Sheriff’s Office guessed there were still about 200 people reported in the canyon.
“There are 12 search and rescue guys in there helping the visitors out, shuttling them out, because their vehicles had been stuck in the mud or in the river.”
Though there have been around 10 missing persons reported to the sheriff’s office, Hodgson said, “We are slowly accounting for all of the missing people after we are able to contact them behind the slides.” Because of the unexpected amount of rain and debris, some cars slid into the river while others became stuck within the debris and mud that surrounded the visitors swiftly. On the trail to Timpanogos Cave, visitors were escorted out to safety.

Above Timpanogos Cave, cars and visitors were trapped between two mudslides. A ranger from Timpanogos Cave Monument was able to hike through the mudslide and talk to the people stuck between the slide, according to Jim Ireland, the superintendent for Timpanogos Cave National Monument.

“He was able to make contact with them, so we know that they are OK.” Ireland guessed the wait time, at about 9 p.m. Saturday night, for the family members of the visitors stuck in the canyon.”I’m thinking about three more hours before we can get all of the people out of the canyon.”

The Utah County Sheriff’s Office had asked for people to refrain from driving into the canyon.

Ireland also hazarded a guess at the amount of people still trapped in the mudslides. “On a typical Saturday afternoon, there are a couple hundred visitors to the caves.” Ireland stated that many had visited the caves, but others many have been visiting for mountain biking, ATV-ing, or for hunting.

No injuries were reported among the visitors, but spotty cell phone service made communication with the stranded hikers difficult. Most relied on a landline phone within the visitors center to call family members and friends. Ireland added, as a side note, that Timpanogos Cave National Monument would be closed tomorrow for clean-up and that it is unknown when they will be able to reopen. They are currently contacting visitors with appointments for tomorrow to let them know.

Alpine City ordered immediate evacuation Saturday night for all residents living in the area near the Quail Fire burn scar left by last summer’s fire. All homes in the Box Elder and Moyle Dr. areas had to evacauate their homes as flooding and mudslides became a concern. People living east of Grove Dr. to the Willow Canyon area were told to be on alert.

According to the National Weather Service, 0.75 inches of water fell in 15 minutes at the site of the burn scar, causing mudslides and debris flow. Alpine City asked residents to come together and fill sandbags to help control the flood waters.

Many residents came to the City Shop to volunteer in the effort.

The city asked for additional volunteers to help assist clean up on Sunday at 9 a.m. and noon. The BYU football game at LaVell Edwards Stadium, scheduled to start at 5 p.m. was delayed for nearly two hours, during which fans were told to leave the stadium, without indication of when the game would restart. Many of the fans tried to wait the storm out with ponchos and popsicles, but for some, the storm was too strong to stand. Many fans were seen fleeing from the rain, thunder and lightning heard and seen around the stadium.

Provo residents were severely affected by flooding. Some neighborhoods reported more than three feet of water in homes, others suffered roof and window damage. Residents pulled together with buckets and shop vacuums to attempt to stop the swell of water from the floods. In one home near 1460 N. 1350 W., water was reported up to waist level. The upper staircase at Lions Park in Provo was described as ‘washed out.’ Several stores and neighborhoods in Provo also lost power temporarily.

In Orem, storm drains took on more water than they could handle and several homes were flooded as a result. City workers attempted to fix the problem as rain continued to pour. Orem residents were told to avoid leaving their homes or driving at all costs. Intersections throughout the city formed into small ponds and rivers, especially the intersection of University Parkway and State St. Several reports indicated at least three feet of flood waters in varying Orem areas. Red Cross volunteer teams helped flooded apartments into the night to evaluate residents’ immediate needs.
Sunday, 08 September, 2013 at 05:10 (05:10 AM) UTC RSOE

India: Bus accident leaves 33 injured (10 seriously) near Asurde village in Maharashtra – 080913 1205z

33 injured in bus accident in Maharashtra

(Image: WLNNews) 33 injured in bus accident in Maharashtra, India

At least 33 people were on Sunday injured, 10 of them seriously, when the bus in which they were travelling overturned near Asurde village, around 65 kilometers from Ratnagiri in Maharashtra.

The incident took place in the coastal district around 5 early morning on Mumbai-Goa Highway.

The bus that was carrying 45 passengers from Virar to Kudal, overturned after its driver lost control over the vehicle.

Out of the 33 injured, 10 are in a serious condition, police said, adding that all of them were undergoing treatment at a hospital in Dervan.
Sunday, 08 September, 2013 at 08:34 (08:34 AM) UTC RSOE

India: Road accident kills 13 (named), injures 30. Bus rammed post & mango tree at Thelakkad, near Perinthalmanna – 070913 2115z

In yet another ghastly road accident that provided the second consecutive Black Friday for the district, 13 persons were killed and 30 others injured when a bus lost control and rammed a tree at Thelakkad, near Perinthalmanna.

This private bus lost control, rammed a tree, overturned, and fell into a depth of six feet at Thelakkad, near Perinthalmanna, on Friday.

The bus was destroyed in the crash, and many of the injured were admitted to intensive care wards of two private hospitals at Perinthalmanna.

The accident occurred at 1.30 p.m. when the private bus heading towards Alanallur from Perinthalmanna burst one of its tyres on a slope, careened off the road, and rammed a mango tree after hitting a telephone post.

The bus then overturned and fell into a depth of six feet. The bus driver hailed from Manathumangalam. The others were from Melkulangara.

Seven of the bodies were shifted to the taluk hospital at Perinthalmanna and the remaining six to the General Hospital, Manjeri, for post-mortem. District Collector K. Biju said that all the bodies would be released on Friday night after post-mortem.

Minister for Urban Affairs Manjalamkuzhi Ali visited the families of the victims and consoled them. Mr. Ali said that all possible help would be given to the kin of the dead. Chief Minister Oommen Chandy is expected to visit the families of the dead on Friday night.

Other Reports

The Hindu

“….The dead were identified as Mankadakkuzhiyil Mariyam, 50; Kavannayil Cheriyakkan, 55; Adarikkal Safeela, 19; Pacheeri Neethu,18; Kavanayil Sabira, 17; Ponniyath Fatima, 37; Kozhipatham Mubashira; Mangalakuzhiyil Sainaba; Madappodi Shamna, 17; Kappungal Safli, 17; Kavannayil Cherukki; Chilambanthodi Fatimath Nadiya, and bus driver Palliyalthodi Ithishan, 22….”

“….Last Friday, eight members of a family from Vallikkunnu were killed when a bus rammed an autorickshaw at Mukkola, near Tanur.

The Road Accident Action Forum (RAAF) demanded that a thorough investigation be conducted into the increasing incidents of accidents in the district. It said speeding and carelessness were the main causes of accidents in the district.

The Kerala School Teachers Association (KSTA) expressed grief at the death of students in the accident.”

Saturday, 07 September, 2013 at 03:11 (03:11 AM) UTC RSOE

Mexico: Tropical Cyclone (TD) 12E Lorena 071600Z near 23.7N 111.8W, moving WNW at 05 knots – 070913 1955z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Depression) Lorena

(Scroll down for Spanish translation)

(Desplcese hacia abajo para la traduccin al espaol)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Guasave Radar, Mexico

(Image: smn.cna.gob.mx) Guasave Radar (Click image for source)

Aviso de Cicln Tropical del Ocano Pacfico

COMISIN NACIONAL DEL AGUA

Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional

Mxico, D.F. a 07 de septiembre de 2013

Aviso No. 19

Emisin: 13:30 horas (tiempo del Centro)

(Sistema a menos de 500 km de costas nacionales)

El Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional dependiente de la CONAGUA (fuente oficial del Gobierno de Mxico) en el marco del Sistema Nacional de Proteccin Civil y en Coordinacin con el CMRE de la Organizacin Meteorolgica Mundial de Miami, Fl. emite el siguiente aviso:

CICLON TROPICAL: DEPRESIN TROPICAL LORENA

Imagen de satlite del Cicln Tropical

SITUACIN ACTUAL:

La depresin tropical Lorena contina debilitndose frente a la costa suroeste de Baja California Sur .

SECCIN A. CONDICIONES ACTUALES

HORA LOCAL TIEMPO DEL CENTRO (HORA GMT)

13:00 h (1800 GMT)

UBICACIN DEL CENTRO DEL CICLN TROPICAL

(Por interpolacin)

LATITUD NORTE: 23.8

LONGITUD OESTE: 111.9

DISTANCIA AL LUGAR MS CERCANO

85 km al suroeste de Santa F, BCS. y a 60 km al sur de la Isla de Santa Margarita, BCS.

ZONA DE ALERTA

[SE ESTABLECE EN COORDINACIN CON EL CMRE-MIAMI]

INDICE DE PELIGROSIDAD

[CON BASE EN LA ESCALA SIMPLIFICADA DE CT-OMM]

*aplica cuando el cicln esta a menos de 500km

X

MODERADO

[DEPRESION-TORMENTA]

FUERTE

[HURACAN MODERADO 1-2]

SEVERO

[HURACAN INTENSO 3-4-5]

DESPLAZAMIENTO ACTUAL:

Oeste-noroeste (300) a 9 km/h

VIENTOS MXIMOS [Km/h]:

SOSTENIDOS: 55

RACHAS: 75

PRESIN MNIMA CENTRAL [hPa]:

1007 hPa

DIAMETRO DEL OJO [Km]

EXTENSIN EN CUADRANTES DE RADIOS DE VIENTOS Y OLEAJE

RADIO DE VIENTOS DE 63 km/h

— km NE

— km SE

— km SO

— km NO

OLEAJE 4 m

— km NE

— km SE

— km SO

— km NO

DIAMETRO PROMEDIO DE FUERTE CONVECCIN

100 km

COMENTARIOS ADICIONALES:

LA DEPRESIN TROPICAL LORENA SE DESPLAZA MUY LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NOROESTE. GENERA NUBLADOS CON POTENCIAL DE LLUVIAS MODERADAS (5 A 20 mm) A FUERTES (20 A 50 mm) EN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.

RECOMENDACIONES

A LA POBLACIN EN GENERAL DEL SUROESTE DE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR Y A LA NAVEGACIN MARTIMA EN LAS INMEDIACIONES DEL SISTEMA, ATENDER LAS RECOMENDACIONES EMITIDAS POR LAS AUTORIDADES DEL SISTEMA NACIONAL DE PROTECCIN CIVIL Y CAPITANA DE PUERTOS.

SECCIN B. PRONSTICO DE DESPLAZAMIENTO Y EVOLUCIN

PRONSTICO VALIDO AL

DA/HORA LOCAL TIEMPO CENTRO

LATITUD NORTE

LONG. OESTE

VIENTOS [Km/h]

SOST. / RACHAS

CATEGORA

UBICACIN (en km)

17 / 19 h

24.0

112.2

45 / 65

Depresin tropical

110 km al oeste-suroeste de Santa Fe, BCS. y a 60 km al suroeste de Isla Salada, BCS

08 / 07 h

24.0

112.5

40 / 60

Baja presin remanente

85 km al suroeste de Isla Salada, BCS. y a 95 km al suroeste de Bahia Magdalena, BCS.

08 / 19 h

24.0

112.4

40 / 60

Baja presin remanente

90 km al suroeste de Baha Magdalena, BCS. y a 75 km de Isla Salada, BCS.

MAPA DE TRAYECTORIA DE LA DEPRESIN TROPICAL LORENA

SECCIN C. TABLA DE SEGUIMIENTO DEL CICLN TROPICAL

Aviso No.

Fecha / Hora local CDT

Lat Norte

Long. Oeste

Distancia ms cercana (km)

Viento mx /rachas

Categora

Avance

Indice Peligrosidad

01

05 Sep/ 04:00

17.6

106.1

245 km al suroeste de Manzanillo, Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 9 km/h

02

05 Sep/ 07:00

17.9

106.4

250 km al suroeste de Manzanillo, Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 9 km/h

03

05 Sep/ 10:00

18.0

106.6

265 km al oeste-suroeste de Manzanillo, Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 11 km/h

04

05 Sep/ 13:00

18.7

106.6

185 km al suroeste de La Fortuna, Jal.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 11 km/h

05

05 Sep/ 16:00

19.2

106.6

170 km al suroeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal.

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 km/h

Moderado

06

05 Sep/ 19:00

19.6

107.2

180 km al Oeste-suroeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal.

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 km/h

Moderado

07

05 Sep/ 22:00

20.4

107.6

200 km al Oeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal.

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 20 km/h

Moderado

08

06 Sep/ 01:00

21.0

107.8

235 km al Oeste-Noroeste de Cabo Corrientes, Jal.

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 20 km/h

Moderado

09

06 Sep/ 04:00

21.3

108.3

245 km al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 22 km/h

Moderado

10

06 Sep / 07:00

21.9

108.9

155 km al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 22 km/h

Moderado

10

06 Sep / 10:00

22.3

109.4

85 km al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 km/h

Moderado

11

06 Sep / 13:00

22.5

109.9

50 km al sur de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 km/h

Moderado

12

06 Sep / 16:00

22.8

110.3

40 km al oeste-suroeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

75/95

TT

Noroeste a 15 km/h

Moderado

13

06 Sep / 19:00

23.0

110.8

95 km al oeste-suroeste de Cabo San Lucas, BCS.

75/95

TT

Noroeste a 15 km/h

Moderado

14

06 Sep / 22:00

23.2

111.0

115 km al oeste-noroeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 15 km/h

Moderado

15

07 Sep / 01:00

23.1

111.5

160 km al oeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste-noroeste a 15 km/h

Moderado

16

07 Sep / 04:00

23.2

111.6

175 km al oeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste-noroeste a 13 km/h

Moderado

17

07 Sep / 07:00

23.3

111.8

115 km al suroeste de Santa F, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste-noroeste a 13 km/h

Moderado

18

07 Sep / 10:00

23.8

111.8

120 km al sur-sureste de Cabo San Lazaro, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste-noroeste a 9 km/h

Moderado

19

07 Sep / 13:00

23.8

111.9

85 km al suroeste de Santa F, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste-noroeste a 9 km/h

Moderado

ELABOR (SMN): Monica Jimenez REVIS: Jaime Albarrn.

SMN EN COORDINACIN CON SERVICIOS ESPECIALIZADOS: CFE, SEGOB (CNPC-CENAPRED), SEMAR, SEDENA, SCT (SENEAM, DM) E IMTA.

EL SIGUIENTE AVISO SE EMITIR A LAS 16:30 h (TIEMPO DEL CENTRO) O ANTES, SI OCURREN CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS.

 

United States

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 07 2013

…LORENA CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…23.8N 111.8W
ABOUT 75 MI…120 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI…220 KM WNW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H
…AND LORENA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY WEST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
LORENA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW THIS EVENING OR EARLY ON
SUNDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB…29.74 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep1213.gif

(Image: JTWC) TC track (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PHNC 071600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LORENA) WARNING NR 010
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
071200Z — NEAR 23.6N 111.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 300 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N 111.6W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z — 24.0N 112.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 24.0N 112.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 00 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 24.0N 112.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
071600Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 111.8W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LORENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 103 NM
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OF CABO SAN LUCAS, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 072200Z, 080400Z, 081000Z AND 081600Z.
//
NNNN

MARITIME

 

High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)

FZPN03 KNHC 071618 CCA

HSFEP2

 

HIGH SEAS FORECAST…CORRECTED

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1630 UTC SAT SEP 07 2013

 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

 

SECURITE

 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 07.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 08.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 09.

 

.WARNINGS.

 

.NONE.

 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA NEAR 23.8N 111.8W 1007 MB AT 1500

UTC SEP 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30

KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 75 NM S

SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 8 FT OVER GULF OF

CALIFORNIA BETWEEN 24N AND 25N.

.24 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW OF LORENA NEAR 24.0N

112.2W 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER

FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NE

SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS

THAN 8 FT.

 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

 

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W WINDS 20

KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

 

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT SEP 07…

 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA…SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION

WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

 

.SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN

100W AND 105W.

 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W

AND 105W.

 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…

MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 13N88W TO 11N100W THEN RESUMES FROM

13N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 09N130W 1010 MB TO 09N140W. NO ITCZ IS

PRESENT E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30

NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 117W AND 125W.

 

$$

.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1430

WTPZ22 KNHC 071430

TCMEP2

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013

1500 UTC SAT SEP 07 2013

 

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.8W AT 07/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

 

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT

 

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

 

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 111.8W AT 07/1500Z

AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 111.6W

 

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.0N 112.2W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

 

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N 112.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

 

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 112.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

 

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z…DISSIPATED

 

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 111.8W

 

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

 

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE

Spanish (Translated by Google)

El cicln tropical ( depresin tropical ) Lorena

( Desplcese hacia abajo para la traduccin al espaol )

( Desplcese HACIA Abajo Para La Traduccin al espaol )

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Satlite ( imagen Pica para la fuente )

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Previsin de 5 das ( Click en la imagen para la fuente )

Radar Guasave , Mxico

(Imagen: smn.cna.gob.mx ) Guasave Radar ( Click en la imagen para la fuente )

Aviso de Cicln Tropical del Ocano Pacfico

COMISIN NACIONAL DEL AGUA

Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional

Mxico , D. F. el 07 de septiembre de 2013

Aviso No. 19

Emisin : 13:30 horas ( Tiempo del Centro)

(Sistema de Menos de 500 kilometros de costas Nacionales )

El Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional Dependiente de la CONAGUA ( fuente oficial del Gobierno de Mxico ) en el marco del Sistema Nacional de Proteccin Civil y en Coordinacin con el CMRE de la Organizacin Meteorolgica Mundial de Miami , Florida. EMITE el siguiente aviso :

CICLON TROPICAL: DEPRESIN TROPICAL “Lorena ”

Imagen de satlite del Cicln Tropical

SITUACIN ACTUAL :

La Depresin tropical “Lorena ” continua debilitndose Frente a la costa Suroeste de Baja California Sur.

Seccin A. CONDICIONES ACTUALES

HORA LOCAL TIEMPO DEL CENTRO ( HORA GMT )

13:00 horas ( 1800 GMT )

UBICACIN DEL CENTRO DEL CICLN TROPICAL

( Por interpolacin )

LATITUD NORTE : 23.8

LONGITUD OESTE : 111.9

DISTANCIA AL LUGAR MS CERCANO

85 kilometros al Suroeste de Santa F , BCS . ya 60 kilometros al sur de la Isla de Santa Margarita , BCS .

ZONA DE ALERTA

[SE Establece EN COORDINACIN CON EL CMRE MIAMI – ]

INDICE DE peligrosidad

[CON BASE EN LA ESCALA DE simplificada CT- OMM ]

* APLICA CUANDO El Cicln this a Menos de 500 kilometros

X

moderado

[ DEPRESION – TORMENTA ]

Fuerte

[ HURACAN Moderado 1-2]

SEVERO

[ HURACAN INTENSO 3-4-5 ]

Desplazamiento ACTUAL :

Oeste- noroeste ( 300 ) a 9 kmh

VIENTOS MAXIMOS [ Km / h ] :

SOSTENIDOS : 55

Rachas : 75

PRESIN CENTRAL MINIMA [ hPa ] :

1007 hPa

DIAMETRO DEL OJO [ Km ]

EXTENSIN EN Cuadrantes DE RADIOS DE VIENTOS Y OLEAJE

RADIO DE VIENTOS DE 63 kmh

— Km NE

— Km SE

— Km SO

— Km NO

OLEAJE 4 m

— Km NE

— Km SE

— Km SO

— Km NO

DIAMETRO PROMEDIO DE FUERTE conveccin

100 kilometros

COMENTARIOS ADICIONALES :

LA DEPRESIN TROPICAL ” LORENA ” SE DESPLAZA HACIA MUY Lentamente EL NOROESTE . GENERA nublados CON POTENCIAL DE LLUVIAS MODERADAS ( 5 a 20 mm ) A FUERTES ( 20 A 50 mm ) EN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR .

Atencin Recomendaciones

A LA POBLACIN EN GENERAL DEL SUROESTE DE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR YA LA NAVEGACIN MARTIMA EN LAS Inmediaciones DEL SISTEMA , Atender LAS Atencin Recomendaciones EMITIDAS POR LAS Autoridades DEL SISTEMA NACIONAL DE PROTECCION CIVIL Y Capitana de Puertos .

Seccin B. Pronostico DE Desplazamiento Y EVOLUCIN

Pronostico VALIDO AL

DA / HORA LOCAL TIEMPO CENTRO

LATITUD NORTE

LONG . OESTE

VIENTOS [ Km / h ]

SOST . / rachas

Categoria

UBICACIN (en km )

17/19 h

24.0

112.2

45/65

Depresin tropical

110 kilometros al Oeste- Suroeste de Santa Fe , BCS . y un km al Suroeste de Isla Salada 60 , BCS

07.08 h

24.0

112.5

40/60

Baja pressure remanente

85 kilometros al Suroeste de Isla Salada , BCS . y un km al Suroeste de Baha Magdalena 95 , BCS .

19/08 h

24.0

112.4

40/60

Baja pressure remanente

90 kilometros al Suroeste de Baha Magdalena , BCS . y de 75 km de Isla Salada , BCS .

MAPA DE TRAYECTORIA DE LA DEPRESIN TROPICAL “Lorena ”

Seccin C. TABLA DE CICLN TROPICAL DEL Seguimiento

Aviso No.

Fecha / Hora local de CDT

Latitud Norte

Largo . Oeste

Distancia, Ms Cercana (km )

Viento mx / rachas

Categoria

Avance

Indice peligrosidad

01

05 de septiembre / 04:00

17.6

106.1

245 kilometros al Suroeste de Manzanillo , Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 9 kmh

02

05 de septiembre / 07:00

17.9

106.4

250 kilometros al Suroeste de Manzanillo , Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 9 kmh

03

05 de septiembre / 10:00

18.0

106.6

265 kilometros al Oeste- Suroeste de Manzanillo , Col.

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 11 kmh

04

05 de septiembre / 13:00

18.7

106.6

185 kilometros al Suroeste de La Fortuna , Jal .

55/75

DT

Noroeste a 11 kmh

05

05 de septiembre / 16:00

19.2

106.6

170 kilometros al Suroeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal .

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 kmh

moderado

06

05 de septiembre / 19:00

19.6

107.2

180 kilometros al Oeste- Suroeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal .

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 kmh

moderado

07

05 de septiembre / 22:00

20.4

107.6

200 kilometros al Oeste de Cabo Corriente, Jal .

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 20 kmh

moderado

08

06 de septiembre / 01:00

21.0

107.8

235 kilometros al Oeste- Noroeste de Cabo Corrientes, Jal .

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 20 kmh

moderado

09

06 de septiembre / 04:00

21.3

108.3

245 kilometros al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 22 kmh

moderado

10

06 de septiembre / 07:00

21.9

108.9

155 kilometros al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 22 kmh

moderado

10

06 de septiembre / 10:00

22.3

109.4

85 kilometros al sureste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 kmh

moderado

11

06 de septiembre / 13:00

22.5

109.9

50 kilometros al sur de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 19 kmh

moderado

12

06 de septiembre / 16:00

22.8

110.3

40 kilometros al Oeste- Suroeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

75/95

TT

Noroeste a 15 kmh

moderado

13

06 de septiembre / 19:00

23.0

110.8

95 kilometros al Oeste- Suroeste de Cabo San Lucas , BCS .

75/95

TT

Noroeste a 15 kmh

moderado

14

06 de septiembre / 22:00

23.2

111.0

115 kilometros al oeste – noroeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

65/85

TT

Noroeste a 15 kmh

moderado

15

07 de septiembre / 01:00

23.1

111.5

160 kilometros al oeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste- noroeste a 15 kmh

moderado

16

07 de septiembre / 04:00

23.2

111.6

175 kilometros al oeste de Cabo San Lucas, B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste- noroeste a 13 kmh

moderado

17

07 de septiembre / 07:00

23.3

111.8

115 kilometros al Suroeste de Santa F , B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste- noroeste a 13 kmh

moderado

18

07 de septiembre / 10:00

23.8

111.8

120 kilometros al sur- sureste de Cabo San Lzaro , B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste- noroeste a 9 kmh

moderado

19

07 de septiembre / 13:00

23.8

111.9

85 kilometros al Suroeste de Santa F , B.C.S

55/75

DT

Oeste- noroeste a 9 kmh

moderado

ELABOR (SMN ) : Monica Jimenez Reviso : Jaime Albarrn .

SMN EN COORDINACIN CON SERVICIOS ESPECIALIZADOS : CFE , SEGOB (CNPC – CENAPRED ) , SEMAR , SEDENA , SCT ( SENEAM , DM ) e IMTA .

EL SIGUIENTE AVISO SE EMITIR A LAS 16:30 h ( TIEMPO DEL CENTRO) ANTES O , SI OCURREN CAMBIOS SIGNIFICATIVOS .

Estados Unidos

Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional

Centro Nacional de Huracanes

TCPEP2

BOLETN
DEPRESION TROPICAL LORENA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 10
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP122013
800 AM PDT sb 07 de septiembre 2013

LORENA … CONTINUA EN MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE …

RESUMEN DE LAS 800 AM PDT … 1500 UTC … INFORMACIN
———————————————-
UBICACIN … 23.8N 111.8W
ACERCA DE MI 75 … 120 KM SSE DE CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ACERCA DE MI 135 … 220 KM ONO DE CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS … 35 MPH … 55 KM / H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL … ONO O 300 GRADOS A 6 MPH … 9 KM / H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL … 1007 MB … 29.74 PULGADAS

RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——————–
NO HAY VIGILANCIAS NI AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO .

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
——————————
A LAS 800 AM PDT … 1500 UTC … EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL LORENA
ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 23.8 NORTE … LONGITUD 111.8 OESTE . LA
DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 6 MPH … 9 KM / H
… Y LORENA se espera que sea OESTE DE CASI ESTACIONARIO
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR EN DOMINGO Y LUNES.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH … 55 KM / H…WITH SUPERIOR
RAFAGAS . ALGUNOS SE PRONOSTICA DEBILITAMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS Y
LORENA SE ESPERA PARA SER UN REMANENTE BAJA ESTA TARDE O TEMPRANO EN
Domingo .

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1007 MB … 29.74 PULGADAS.

RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
NINGUNO.

SIGUIENTE AVISO
————-
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA … 200 PM PDT .

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE
Warning Center del tifn comn ( JTWC )


(Imagen: JTWC ) TC pista ( Click en la imagen para la fuente )

WTPN31 PHNC 071600
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / CICLN TROPICAL ADVERTENCIA / /
OBS /
1 . DEPRESION TROPICAL 12E ( LORENA ) ADVERTENCIA NR 010
Rebajado de 12E TORMENTA TROPICAL
01 ACTIVE CICLON TROPICAL EN EASTPAC
Vientos mximos sostenidos basado en el promedio de un minuto
Radio de los vientos VLIDO SOBRE EL AGUA ABIERTO SOLAMENTE

ADVERTENCIA POSICIN :
071200Z — CERCA 23.6N 111.6W
MOVIMIENTO LTIMOS SEIS HORAS – 300 GRADOS A 05 KTS
POSICIN una precisin de 015 NM
Posicin basada en el centro situado POR SATLITE
DISTRIBUCION ACTUAL DEL VIENTO :
MAX VIENTOS – 030 KT , KT 040 RAFAGAS
Radio de los vientos VLIDO SOBRE EL AGUA ABIERTO SOLAMENTE
REPETIR POSIT : 23.6N 111.6W

Previsiones:
12 HRS , vlido en :
080000Z — 24.0N 112.2W
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 025 KT , rfagas de 035 KT
Radio de los vientos VLIDO SOBRE EL AGUA ABIERTO SOLAMENTE
DISIPAR COMO UN CICLON TROPICAL RELEVANTE SOBRE EL AGUA
VECTOR DE 24 POSIT HR: 270 / 01 KTS

24 HRS , vlido en :
081200Z — 24.0N 112.5W
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 020 KT , rfagas de 030 KT
Radio de los vientos VLIDO SOBRE EL AGUA ABIERTO SOLAMENTE
DISIPADO COMO CICLON TROPICAL SIGNIFICATIVA SOBRE EL AGUA
VECTOR DE 36 HR POSIT : 090 grados / 00 KTS

36 HRS , vlido en :
090000Z — 24.0N 112.4W
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 020 KT , rfagas de 030 KT
Radio de los vientos VLIDO SOBRE EL AGUA ABIERTO SOLAMENTE
DISIPADO COMO CICLON TROPICAL SIGNIFICATIVA SOBRE EL AGUA

OBSERVACIONES :
POSICIN 071600Z CERCA 23.7N 111.8W .
DEPRESION TROPICAL 12E ( LORENA ) , situado a unos 103 NM
OESTE NOROESTE DE CABO SAN LUCAS , ha rastreado OESTE-
NOROESTE A 05 NUDOS EN LOS LTIMOS SEIS HORAS.
MXIMO altura de ola significativa AT 071200Z es de 10 pies . SIGUIENTE
ADVERTENCIAS EN 072200Z , 080400Z , 081000Z 081600Z Y .
/ /
NNNN
MARTIMO

High Seas Pronstico (Tropical NE del Pacfico )

FZPN03 TJSJ 071618 CCA

HSFEP2

ALTA MAR PRONOSTICADA … CORREGIDOS

NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL

1630 UTC sb 07 de septiembre 2013

SUSTITUIDO POR EXPEDICIN AL LADO DE 6 HORAS

SEAS dan como altura significativa de ola … que es el promedio

ALTURA DE LA MS ALTA 1/3 de las olas. ONDAS individuales pueden ser

Ms del doble de altura de ola significativa .

Scurit

E PACIFICO DEL ECUADOR PARA 30N E DE 140W .

SINOPSIS VLIDO 1200 UTC sb 07 de septiembre .

24 HOUR 1200 UTC Pronstico vlido dom 08 de septiembre .

Pronstico de 48 horas vlido a las 1200 UTC Lun Sep 09.

. ADVERTENCIAS .

. NINGUNO.

. SINOPSIS Y PRONSTICO .

. DEPRESION TROPICAL CERCA DE LORENA 23.8N 111.8W 1007 MB AT 1500

UTC 07 de septiembre MUEVE ONO O 300 GRADOS A 5 KT . MXIMO SOSTENIDO

VIENTOS RAFAGAS 30 KT 40 KT . DENTRO DE 60 NM DE VIENTOS DEL CENTRO DE 20 A 30

KT . OLEAJE DE 8 A 11 pies sobre las aguas PREVISIONES dentro de 75 NM S

SEMICIRCULO Y 45 NM N semicrculo. Mar a 8 pies sobre GOLFO DE

CALIFORNIA Y ENTRE 24N 25N .

0.24 hora Pronstico POSTAL TROPICAL REMANENTE BAJA CERCA DE LORENA 24.0N

112.2W 1008 MB . Vientos sostenidos mximos de 25 rfagas KT 35 KT . OVER

AGUAS DE PREDICCIN EN 45 NM SW SEMICRCULO Y 30 NM NE

SEMICIRCULO VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT . SEAS A 9 FT .

0.48 hora Pronstico BAJA disipado. VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior . SEAS MENOS

De 8 pies .

VIENTOS DE PREDICCIN EN Y CERCA DE CICLONES TROPICALES activa debe

Usar con precaucin debido a la incertidumbre en TRAYECTORIA … TAMAO

E INTENSIDAD .

0.24 HORA PREVISTA DE 10N A 12N ENTRE 100W 105W Y VIENTOS 20

KT O MENOS . SEAS 8 pies de SW hincharse.

0.48 HORA PREVISTA DE 11N A 12N ENTRE 100W 103W Y VIENTOS 20

KT O MENOS . SEAS 8 pies de SW hincharse.

. RESTO DE VIENTOS AREA 20 kt o inferior . SEAS menos de 8 FT .

CONVECCIN VLIDO 1500 UTC sb 07 de septiembre …

. DEPRESION TROPICAL LORENA … CONVECCIN MODERADO DISPERSOS.LUEGO

DENTRO DE 60 NM SE semicrculo.

. DISPERSOS MODERADO EN 120 NM S DE LA COSTA DE MEXICO ENTRE

100 W y 105W .

. DISPERSOS MODERADA FUERTE AISLADA DE 11N A 15N ENTRE 102W

Y 105W .

. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCIA ZONE / vaguada monznica …

MONZN DE CANAL AXIS 13N88W A 11N100W RESUME LUEGO DE

13N118W A PRES BAJO CERCA 09N130W 1.010 MB a 09N140W . NO ES ITCZ

E ACTUAL DE 140W . DISPERSADAS MODERADA FUERTE AISLADA EN 30

NM CADA LADO DE MONZN Y CANAL ENTRE 117W 125W .

$ $

. PRONOSTICADOR CHRISTENSEN . CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES .
METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1430

WTPZ22 TJSJ 071430

TCMEP2

DEPRESION TROPICAL LORENA PRONSTICO / ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 10

NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP122013

1500 UTC sb 07 de septiembre 2013

NO HAY VIGILANCIAS NI AVISOS COSTEROS EN EFECTO .

CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL LOCALIZADA CERCA 23.8N 111.8W AT 07/1500Z

POSICIN EXACTA PLAZO DE 15 NM

MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE O 300 GRADOS A 5 KT

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA 1.007 MB

Vientos mximos sostenidos de 30 KT CON RAFAGAS HASTA 40 KT .

VIENTO Y OLEAJE varan mucho en cada cuadrante. RADIOS EN NUTICA

MILES SON LOS RADIOS DE ESPERA MS GRANDE EN CUALQUIER LUGAR EN QUE cuadrante.

REPEAT … CENTRO UBICADO CERCA 23.8N 111.8W AT 07/1500Z

AT 07/1200Z CENTER ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA 23.6N 111.6W

Pronstico vlido 08/0000Z 24.0N 112.2W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJA

MAX WIND 25 KT … RAFAGAS DE 35 KT .

Pronstico vlido 08/1200Z 24.0N 112.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJA

MAX WIND 20 KT … RAFAGAS DE 30 KT .

Pronstico vlido 09/0000Z 24.0N 112.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJA

MAX WIND 20 KT … RAFAGAS DE 30 KT .

Pronstico vlido 09/1200Z…DISSIPATED

SOLICITUD DE 3 INFORMES DEL BUQUE POR HORA EN 300 MILLAS DE 23.8N 111.8W

SIGUIENTE AVISO EN 07/2100Z

$ $

PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE

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Add to Search Bar 2.0 (Firefox Add-on)
by Dr. Evil

Make any pages’ search functionality available in the Search Bar (or “search box”)…

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East China Sea: Tropical Cyclone (TS) 15W Toraji 012100Z 26.3N 125.1E, moving NE at 06 knots – 010913 2335z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Storm) 15W Toraji

(Scroll down for Japanese and Korean translation)

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

(Image: JMA) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: JMA) Japan Radar (Click image for source)

(Image: JMA) Currently valid Warnings/Advisories (Click image for source)

TS 1317 (TORAJI)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 1 September 2013

<Analyses at 01/21 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N26°25′(26.4°)
E125°00′(125.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE Slowly
Central pressure 1002hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
<Forecast for 02/21 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N28°05′(28.1°)
E126°40′(126.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NE Slowly
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
<Forecast for 03/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N29°00′(29.0°)
E127°30′(127.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE Slowly
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 04/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N29°35′(29.6°)
E127°40′(127.7°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
<Forecast for 05/18 UTC>
Center position of probability circle N31°35′(31.6°)
E127°20′(127.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Radius of probability circle 520km(280NM)
<Forecast for 06/18 UTC>
Center position of probability circle N34°00′(34.0°)
E128°35′(128.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(7kt)
Radius of probability circle 700km(375NM)

Korea Meteorological Administration

 

Typhoon

Forecast Chart

 

No.17 TORAJI

Issued at(KST) : 2013.09.02. 04:30

Date(UTC) Position Central Pressure (hPa) Maximum Sustained
Wind(m/s)
Radius of 15 m/s(km) Intensity Scale Moving Direction Moving Speed(km/h) Radius of 70% probability(km)
Lat
(N)
Lon
(E)
m/s km/h
2013.09.01. 18:00 Analysis 26.3 124.8 1000 18 65 150 Weak Small NE 8
2013.09.02. 18:00 Forecast 27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170 Weak Small NE 9 140
2013.09.03. 18:00 Forecast 28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200 Weak Small NE 5 230
2013.09.04. 18:00 Forecast 29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200 Weak Small NNE 4 320
2013.09.05. 18:00 Forecast 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180 Weak Small NNW 5 460
2013.09.06. 18:00 Forecast 31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150 Weak Small NNE 6 550

 

※ It is provided only for the typhoon information in progress. The past information could be found in National Typhoon Center homepage.

☞ National Typhoon Center Homepage

 

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Text (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002  
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 124.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 26.3N 125.1E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 163 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z
IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.//
NNNN

Westpacwx: Tropical Storm Toraji developing near Taiwan 台風17( Sunday Night Update)

Published on September 1, 2013 by // westernpacificweather

“Taiwan is finally starting to see a slight decrease in the amount of rain occurring across across the island today following over 1,300mm of recorded rainfall since Friday. Since has led to three casualties and numerous reports of flooding in landslides. Incredible footage of one of these landslides can be found at this link. Note at the start of the video you can actually see the top of the mountain give way.

GFS OUTLOOK

GFS OUTLOOK

Now a new threat is already looming in the East China Sea. This new low pressure area is forming in the wake of Kong-rey feeding off the energy the storm left behind as it was sheared off and driven north by a potent cold front that pushed in to Japan and is still impacting much of the country on Sunday.

This new storm is still in its early stages of development but given the information available it will likely track north of Okinawa in a similar path as Kong-rey to the north east. Yet there will be a massive difference between this storm and Kong-rey. The forward momentum will be much much slower due to the weakening of the upper level trough over Japan and the potential for a high pressure ridge to block the storms path northward.

Therego at this time a lingering storm in the East China Sea is very well possible. If this was to occur the dry section of the storm would still remain to the south east over Okinawa resulting in windy conditions with only isolated rain showers. Much like we saw with Kong-rey. While at the same time the JMA and GFS models both suggest Kyushu will be hit with Tropical Storm Strength winds and heavy rainfall through mid-week.  This would add to the already heavy amount of rains that have occurred across Western Japan over the weekend.   The JMA and NAVGEM models also pick up on the storm retrograding back west by mid-week under the influence of the high to the north. If this was to occur yet more heavy rainfall would fall in Taiwan by Wednesday in to Thursday. That still remains uncertain at this time.

What can be said with confidence is that through Tuesday Winds will start to increase in the Southern Japanese islands possibly gusting up to TS strength at times while in Kyushu more heavy rainfall is expected and Tropical Storm strength winds can be anticipated. I dont expect a Typhoon to form given the moderate amount of vertical wind shear in the East China Sea and the Sea Surface Temperatures are slightly cooler than

Tokyo TS; Source NHK

Tokyo TS; Source NHK

normal due to the repeated upwelling from previous tropical systems that have been moving through the area the past  2 weeks.

It does not look like Central Japan will see so much of the heavy rainfall though. This comes as good news as much of Western Kanto was hit by severe storms on Sunday, over 10,000 people lost power through Sunday Evening.

As always this is not official, please check with your local WMO approved agency for official warnings and information.” – westernpacificweather

 MARITIME

China

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
==========
Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information’s
operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only
means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access
to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time,
update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS
OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX
services, for more complete information
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC SEP.01 2013=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC SEP. 01=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC SEP. 02=
WARNNING=
TS YUTU 1002HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E MOVING ENE 12KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND FORECAST FOR 021800UTC AT 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA
MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
TS TORAJI 1000HPA AT 26.3N 124.7E MOVING NE 9KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 150KM AND FORECAST FOR
021800UTC AT 27.7N 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M/S
NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER
NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTH
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND
SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FORECAST=
WINDS FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M
OVER SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST
CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M
OVER SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA=

==========

Hong Kong China

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
==========
Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information’s
operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only
means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access
to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time,
update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS
OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX
services, for more complete information
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC SEP.01 2013=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC SEP. 01=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC SEP. 02=
WARNNING=
TS YUTU 1002HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E MOVING ENE 12KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND FORECAST FOR 021800UTC AT 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA
MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
TS TORAJI 1000HPA AT 26.3N 124.7E MOVING NE 9KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 150KM AND FORECAST FOR
021800UTC AT 27.7N 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M/S
NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER
NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTH
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND
SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FORECAST=
WINDS FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M
OVER SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST
CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M
OVER SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA=

==========

Japan

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 53N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW.
ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 56N 176W
MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 144E 47N 153E
50N 157E 39N 166E 38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 19N 155E WNW SLOWLY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 118E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 151E ESE SLOWLY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 125E TO 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1317 TORAJI (1317) 1002 HPA AT 26.3N 124.8E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1316 YUTU (1316) 1002 HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21 RJTD 011800
WARNING 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1317 TORAJI (1317) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 26.3N 124.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 27.2N 125.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 28.0N 126.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 29.0N 127.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 29.6N 127.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

(Image: JMA) Sea forecast

END

Japanese (Translated by Google)

熱帯サイクロン(熱帯低気圧) 15Wトラジ

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

( 일본과한국번역아래로스크롤 )

(画像: wunderground.com )衛星(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: wunderground.com ) 5日間の予報(ソース画像をクリック)

気象庁

(画像: JMA ) 5日間予報(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: JMA )日本レーダー(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: JMA )現在有効な警告/勧告は、 (ソースの画像をクリック)

TS 1317 (トラジ)
午後9時45分UTC 、 2013年9月1日に発行される
1月21日UTC>で<Analyses
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N26 °25 ‘ (26.4 °)
E125 °00 ‘( 125.0 °)
移動NNEの方向と速度をゆっくり
中心気圧1002hPa
中央18メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 35カラット)
最大突風スピード25メートル/秒( 50カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上ALL170km ( 90nmプロセス)
2月21日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN28 ° 05 ‘ (28.1 °)の中心位置
E126 °40 ‘ ( 126.7 °)
運動NEゆっくりの方向と速度
中心気圧994hPa
中央20メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 40カラット)
最大突風スピード30メートル/秒( 60カラット)
確率160キロの円の半径( 85NM )
3月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率円の中心位置N29 ° 00 ‘ (29.0 °)
E127 °30 ‘ ( 127.5 °)
移動NNEの方向と速度をゆっくり
中心気圧990hPa
中央23メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 45カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 65カラット)
確率300キロの円の半径( 160NM )
4月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN29 °35 ‘ (29.6 °)の中心位置
E127 °40 ‘ ( 127.7 °)
ほぼ静止移動方向および速度
中心気圧990hPa
中央23メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 45カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 65カラット)
確率410キロの円の半径( 220nmの)
5月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
確率円の中心位置N31 °35 ‘ (31.6 °)
E127 °20 ‘ ( 127.3 °)
方向と速度運動のNゆっくり
確率520キロの円の半径( 280nmの)
6月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
確率円の中心位置N34 °00 ‘( 34.0 °)
E128 °35 ‘ ( 128.6 °)
移動NNEの毎時15キロ( 7カラット)の方向と速度
確率700キロの円の半径(約375nm )

気象庁

台風
予測チャート

17号トラジ

2013年9月2日: ( KST )で発行。 4時30分
日付( UTC)ポジションセントラル気圧(hPa )最大持続
15メートル/秒(キロ)震度移動方向の移動速度( km / hに) 70%の確率の半径(キロ)の風( m / s)で半径
ラット
(N )ロン
(E ) M / Sのkm / h
2013年9月1日。午後06時の分析26.3 124.8 1000年18 65 150弱スモールNE 8
2013年9月2日。午後06時の予測27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170弱小NE 9 140
2013年9月3日。午後06時の予測28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200弱小NE 5 230
2013年9月4日。午後06時の予測29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200弱小NNE 4 320
2013年9月5日。 18:00 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180弱いスモールNNW 5 460を予測し
2013年9月6日。午後06時の予測31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150弱小NNE 6 550

※これは、唯一の、進行中の台風情報に提供されています。過去の情報は、国立台風センターのホームページで見つけることができる。

☞国立台風センターのホームページ

気象庁

韓国の61の16ギルYeouidaebang -RO銅雀区ソウル156から720共和国。

著作権(c)はKMAすべての権利を保有。 E-メール: master_kma@kma.go.kr

電話交換番号を指定せずに131をダイヤル

合同台風警報センター( JTWC )

(画像: JTWC ) TCの警告テキスト(ソース画像をクリック)

Google Earthのグラフィックオーバーレイ

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI / /
SUBJ /熱帯低気圧の警告/ /
RMKS /
1 。熱帯低気圧15W ( FIFTEEN )警告NR 002
NORTHWESTPAC IN 01 ACTIVE熱帯低気圧
MAXはONE- MINUTE平均に基づいてWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY

警告POSITION :
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 06 KTS AT 070 DEGREES
060 NM以内の正確な位置
POSITIONは、衛星のそば中心を基準に
PRESENT WIND配分:
MAX持続WINDS – 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
26.1N 124.8E : POSITを繰り返す

予測:
AT VALID 12時間:
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
035 KT 、突風045 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
24人事POSITへのベクトル: 040 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 24時間:
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT – 034 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
36人事POSITへのベクトル: 045 DEG / 04 KTS

VALID AT 36時間:
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
045 KT 、突風055 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48人事POSITへのベクトル: 045 DEG / 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK :
AT VALID 48時間:
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT – 034 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
72人事POSITへのベクトル: 020 DEG / 03 KTS

AT VALID 72時間:
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯BECOMING
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
96人事POSITへのベクトル:355 DEG / 05 KTS

LONG RANGEの見通し:

AT VALID 96時間:
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
035 KT 、突風045 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
120人事POSITへのベクトル: 030 DEG / 09 KTS

VALID AT 120時間:
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX持続WINDS – 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯

備考:
26.3N 125.1E NEAR 012100Z POSITION 。
熱帯低気圧15W ( FIFTEEN )に位置約163 NM
嘉手納ABの西は、 06ノットでEAST -北東追跡して
過去半時間以上。 011800Zで最大有義波高
8フィートです。 020300Z 、 020900Z 、 021500Z AND 022100Z 。 / AT / NEXT WARNINGS
NNNN
Westpacwx :熱帯性低気圧トラジは、台湾付近台风17 (日曜日の夜更新)を開発

robspeta / / westernpacificweatherによって2013年9月1日に公開

【 YouTubeはhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m86R-I8xX0c?feature=player_embedded ]

の一つの”台湾はついに金曜日以来記録降雨量1300ミリメートルにわたって続く今日、島全体で全体で発生して雨の量がわずかに減少を見て始めている。 3死傷者や地滑りの洪水の多数の報告につながっているので。信じられないほどの映像これらの土砂災害は、このリンクで見つけることができます。ビデオの開始時に、あなたが実際に山の頂上には道を譲る見ることができます。

GFS OUTLOOK

GFS OUTLOOK

今、新たな脅威は、すでに東シナ海に迫っている。この新しい低圧領域はまだ日曜日に多くの国に影響を与えている香港·レイは、それがオフにせん断や日本にプッシュされ、強力な寒冷前線によって北牽引されたように嵐が残したエネルギーを供給するのをきっかけに形成され。

この新たな嵐は、開発の初期段階ではまだですが、それはおそらく北東に香港·レイと同様の経路で、沖縄の北を追跡する利用可能な情報を与えられた。まだこの嵐と香港·レイとの間に巨大な差が生じます。前方の勢いははるかに遅い原因で日本全国の上位レベルのトラフと北方嵐​​パスをブロックする高圧尾根の可能性の弱体化になります。

Theregoこの時点では東シナ海で長引く嵐は非常によくできます。これは嵐の乾燥セクションを発生することがあったなら、まだのみ孤立雨と風の強い条件で結果沖縄経由で南東側に残っているでしょう。ずっと我々は香港·レイで見たような。同時に気象庁とGFSモデルはどちらも九州は週の半ばを通して熱帯性低気圧の強さの風と大雨に見舞われます示唆している間。これは週末に西日本全体で発生した豪雨の既に重い量を追加します。気象庁とNAVGEMモデルも北に高の影響を受けて週半ばでバック西嵐後退しにピックアップ。これはまだ多くの豪雨が木曜日に水曜日までに台湾で下落するだろう発生していた場合。それはまだこの時点では不明である。

何が自信を持って言うことができると、火曜日の風を通して九州より大雨が予想されており、熱帯性低気圧の強さの風が予想することができますが、おそらく時間にTS強度まで突風南部の日本列島に増加し始めるということです。私は、東シナ海と海面水温の垂直ウィンドシアの適度な量与え形成するよりも少し涼しいですする台風を期待いけない

東京TS ;ソースNHK

東京TS ;ソースNHK

通常領域を通して過去2週間を動かしてきた以前の熱帯システムから繰り返さ湧昇に起因する。

それは中部のように見えないと、大雨のそんなににもかかわらず表示されます。これは良いニュースのようにウェスタン関東限りが日曜日に暴風雨に見舞われた来る、 10,000人以上の人々は日曜日の夕方を介して電力を失った。

これは公式ではないいつものように、公式な警告や情報については、お近くのWMO承認機関に確認してください” – 。 westernpacificweather
MARITIME
中国
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
注意: NAVIMAILはの一部ではありません海上安全情報の
オペレーショナル·データ·ストリームとは、としてのみに依拠すべきではありません
最新の予測と警告情報を取得することを意味する。アクセス
、サービスを中断することができるか、または随時に延期
更新は不定期ギャップをも発生する可能性があります。 GMDSSを参照してください
OFFICIAL源、インマルサット確保SafetyNETまたは国際ナブテックス
サービス、より完全な情報については、
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI (IOR )のメッセージは、 NMC BEIJINGによって発行された
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
メッセージは= EVERY 06 HOURSに更新されます
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9月01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9月を見込んでいます。 02 =
=をWARNNING
ENE 12キロ/ HをMOVING 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTCの見通し
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 9キロ/ HをMOVING 26.3N 124.7E AT TSトラジ1000HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS WINDS OFと半径150kmのANDの見通し
021800UTC 27.7N 126.3E AT 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
概要=
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.0M TO NE WINDS
東シナ海北部=
12 FROM UP 18M / SのSEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
東シナ海と台湾=海東南部
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
バシー海峡=
12 FROM UP 16 / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
SOUTH OVER 10KM THAN HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS
東シナ海、台湾SEA EAST OF PART
とアンダマン海とスマトラ海西と
スンダ海峡ラウトJAWA ANDマカッサル海峡
ANDラウトマルク州とラウトBANDA =
FORECAST =
14 FROM UP 3.5M TO 20M / Sガスト24M / SのSEAS TO WINDS
東シナ海南部= OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NWのWINDS
TAIWAN = OF EAST SEA
10からUP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NEのWINDS
黄海と東の北PART南部
CHINA SEA =
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO 2.0M TO SEのWINDS
インドネシア= OF SEA SOUTHEAST OVER

==========

出典: http://weather.gmdss.org/navimail/GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
香港中国
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
注意: NAVIMAILはの一部ではありません海上安全情報の
オペレーショナル·データ·ストリームとは、としてのみに依拠すべきではありません
最新の予測と警告情報を取得することを意味する。アクセス
、サービスを中断することができるか、または随時に延期
更新は不定期ギャップをも発生する可能性があります。 GMDSSを参照してください
OFFICIAL源、インマルサット確保SafetyNETまたは国際ナブテックス
サービス、より完全な情報については、
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI (IOR )のメッセージは、 NMC BEIJINGによって発行された
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
メッセージは= EVERY 06 HOURSに更新されます
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9月01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9月を見込んでいます。 02 =
=をWARNNING
ENE 12キロ/ HをMOVING 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTCの見通し
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 9キロ/ HをMOVING 26.3N 124.7E AT TSトラジ1000HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS WINDS OFと半径150kmのANDの見通し
021800UTC 27.7N 126.3E AT 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
概要=
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.0M TO NE WINDS
東シナ海北部=
12 FROM UP 18M / SのSEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
東シナ海と台湾=海東南部
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
バシー海峡=
12 FROM UP 16 / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
SOUTH OVER 10KM THAN HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS
東シナ海、台湾SEA EAST OF PART
とアンダマン海とスマトラ海西と
スンダ海峡ラウトJAWA ANDマカッサル海峡
ANDラウトマルク州とラウトBANDA =
FORECAST =
14 FROM UP 3.5M TO 20M / Sガスト24M / SのSEAS TO WINDS
東シナ海南部= OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NWのWINDS
TAIWAN = OF EAST SEA
10からUP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NEのWINDS
黄海と東の北PART南部
CHINA SEA =
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO 2.0M TO SEのWINDS
インドネシア= OF SEA SOUTHEAST OVER

==========
日本
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
WARNINGと要約011800 。
VALID 021800警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
GALE警告。
LOW 980 HPAを開発
NORTHEAST 10ノットMOVINGアリューシャンAROUND 53N 176E SEA AT 。
LOWの500マイル以内WINDSは、30〜 40ノット。
56N 176W AT別の低988 HPA
EASTNORTHEAST 15ノットの移動。
警告。
濃霧はオホーツク海OVER LOCALLY観察した。
警告。
濃霧は43N 144E 47N 153Eに囲まれWATERS OVER LOCALLY OBSERVED
50N 157E 39Nファーストペーパー38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E 。
概要。
40N 151E EAST 10 KT AT LOW 1012 HPA 。
ゆっくり19N 155E西北西NEAR低圧AREA 1008 HPA 。
35N 118E EAST AT HIGH 1016 HPAゆっくり。
ゆっくり48N 151E ESE AT HIGH 1020 HPA 。
ALMOST STATIONARY 34N 154E AT HIGH 1016 HPA 。
28N 125E FROM 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141Eに対して静止FRONT 。
REMARKS 。
26.3N 124.8E AT TROPICAL STORM 1317トラジ( 1317 ) 1002 HPA : SEE
熱帯低気圧の警告。
33.7N 176.9E AT TROPICAL STORM 1316 YUTU ( 1316 ) 1002 HPA : SEE
熱帯低気圧の警告。
気象庁。 =

出典: http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ww/wwjp25.rjtd..txt
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21は011800をRJTD
WARNING 011800 。
VALID 021800警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
GALE警告。
TROPICAL STORM 1317トラジ( 1317 )は、熱帯低気圧からアップグレード
1002 HPA
26.3N 124.8E AT東シナ海はゆっくりNORTHNORTHEASTの移動。
POSITIONのFAIR 。
MAXは、中心部に近い35ノットの風。
30 OVER KNOTのWINDS 90マイルの半径。
50マイル半径27.2N 125.9E AT 020600UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
998 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 35ノット。
85マイルの半径28.0N 126.8E AT 021800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
994 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 40ノット。
EXTENDED見通し。
160マイルの半径29.0N 127.5E AT 031800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
990 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 45ノット。
220マイルの半径29.6N 127.7E AT 041800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
990 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 45ノット。

気象庁。 =

(画像: JMA )海予報

END

Korean (Translated by Google)

열대 사이클론 ( 열대성 폭풍 ) 15W 도라지

( 일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

(日本語 と 韓国 語 の 翻訳 の ため に スクロール ダウン)

( 일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 위성 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 5 일 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

일본 기상청

( 이미지 : JMA 5) 일간의 일기 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 일본 레이더 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 현재 유효한 경고 / 권고 는 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

TS 1317 ( 도라지 )
세계 협정시 21시 45분 년 9 월 1 일 는 2013 발행
1월 21일 UTC> 에서 <Analyses
규모 –
강도 –
중앙 위치 N26 ° 25 ‘ (26.4 ° )
E125 ° 00 ‘ ( 125.0 ° )
운동 북동 의 방향과 속도 느리게
중앙 압력 1002hPa
중앙 18m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 35캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 25m / s의 ( 50캐럿 )
30캐럿 바람 의 영역 이상 ALL170km ( 90nm 공정 )
2월 21일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N28 ° 05 ‘ ( 28.1 ° ) 의 중심 위치
E126 ° 40 ‘ ( 126.7 ° )
운동 NE 천천히 방향 과 속도
중앙 압력 994hPa
중앙 20m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 40캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 30m / s의 ( 60캐럿 )
확률 원형 160km 의 반경 ( 85NM )
3월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N29 ° 00 ‘ (29.0 ° )
E127 ° 30 ‘ ( 127.5 ° )
운동 북동 의 방향과 속도 느리게
중앙 압력 990hPa
중앙 23m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 45캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 65캐럿 )
확률 원형 300km 의 반경 ( 160NM )
4월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N29 ° 35 ‘ ( 29.6 ° ) 의 중심 위치
E127 ° 40 ‘ ( 127.7 ° )
거의 정지 운동의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 990hPa
중앙 23m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 45캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 65캐럿 )
확률 원형 410km 의 반경 ( 220NM )
5월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N31 ° 35 ‘ (31.6 ° )
E127 ° 20 ‘ ( 127.3 ° )
방향과 속도 운동의 N 천천히
확률 원형 520km 의 반경 ( 280NM )
6월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N34 ° 00 ‘ ( 34.0 ° )
E128 ° 35 ‘ ( 128.6 ° )
운동 NNE 의 15kmh ( 7캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
확률 원형 700km 의 반경 ( 375NM )

기상청

태풍
예측 차트

제 17 도라지

2013년 9월 2일 : (KST ) 에 발표했다. 4시 반
날짜 ( UTC ) 위치 중앙 기압 (hPa ) 최대 지속
15m / s의 ( km ) 강도 크기 진행 방향 이동 속도 (km / h ) 70 % 확률 반경 ( km ) 의 바람 ( M / S ) 반경
북위
(N) 론
(E) M / S kmh
2013년 9월 1일 . 18시 분석 26.3 124.8 1000 18 65 150 약 소형 NE 8
2013년 9월 2일 . 18시 예측 27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170 약 소형 NE 9 (140)
2013년 9월 3일 . 18시 예측 28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200 약 소형 NE 5 230
2013년 9월 4일 . 18시 예측 29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200 약 소형 북북동 4 320
2013년 9월 5일 . 18:00 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180 약 소형 북북서 5 460 전망
2013년 9월 6일 . 18시 예측 31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150 약 소형 북북동 6 550

※ 이 만 진행태풍 정보를 제공 합니다. 과거의 정보는 국가 태풍 센터 홈페이지 에서 찾을 수 있습니다.

☞ 국가 태풍 센터 홈페이지

기상청

한국 61 16 길 Yeouidaebang -RO 동작구 서울 156-720 공화국.

저작권 (C) KMA 판권 소유 . E- 메일 : master_kma@kma.go.kr

전화 국번 없이 131 로 전화를 걸

합동 태풍 경보 센터 ( JTWC )

( 이미지 : JTWC ) TC 경고 텍스트 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

구글 어스 그래픽 오버레이

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT 태풍 WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
피사체 / TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 / /
RMKS /
1 . 열대 불경기 15W ( 다섯 ) 경고 NR 002
NORTHWESTPAC 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX 는 1 분 평균적인 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
운동 지난 6 시간 – 06 KTS AT 070 DEGREES
060 NM 내에서 정확한 위치
위치는 위성 에 의해 위치 CENTER 근거에
PRESENT 바람 배급 :
MAX 지속적인 WINDS – 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
26.1N 124.8E : 창 이동 을 반복

예측 :
AT VALID 12 시간 :
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
24 시간 창 이동 의 벡터 : 040 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 24 시간 :
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
040 NM 동북 QUADRANT – 034 KT 바람 의 RADIUS
045 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
36 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 045 DEG / 04 KTS

유효한 AT 36 시간 :
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
045 KT , 돌풍 055 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 060 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
065 NM 동남 QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48 시간 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 045 DEG / 04 KTS

EXTENDED 전망 :
AT VALID 48 시간 :
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
040 NM 동북 QUADRANT – 034 KT 바람 의 RADIUS
045 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
72 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 020 DEG / 03 KTS

AT VALID 72 시간 :
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대 되고
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 045 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
040 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
96 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 355 DEG / 05 KTS

LONG RANGE 전망 :

AT VALID 96 시간 :
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
120 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 030 DEG / 09 KTS

유효한 AT 120 시간 :
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX 지속적인 WINDS – 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대

비고 :
26.3N 125.1E NEAR 012100Z 위치 .
열대 불경기 15W ( 다섯 ) , 위치한 약 163 NM
카데나 AB 의 서쪽 , 06 노트로 EAST- 북동쪽 추적 들었습니다
지난 6 시간 이상 . 011800Z AT 최대 유의 파고 의 높이
8 피트입니다. 020300Z , 020900Z , 021500Z 및 022100Z . / / AT NEXT 경고
NNNN
Westpacwx : 열대 폭풍우 도라지 대만 근처台风17 일 (일요일 야간 업데이트 ) 개발

robspeta / / westernpacificweather 에 의해 2013년 9월 1일 에 게시

[ 유튜브 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m86R-I8xX0c?feature=player_embedded ]

중 하나 ” 대만 이 마지막 금요일 이후 기록 된 강수량 의 1,300밀리미터 에 따라 오늘 섬 전역 에 걸쳐 발생하는 비 의 양 에 약간의 감소를 보고 시작합니다. 세 사상자 와 산사태 홍수 수많은 보고서를 주도 했기 때문에 . 믿을 영상 이러한 산사태 는 이 링크 에서 찾을 수 있습니다.비디오 의 시작 부분에서 당신은 실제로 산의 정상 이 방법을 제공 볼 수 있습니다.

GFS 전망

GFS 전망

이제 새로운 위협 은 이미 동중국 해에 다가오고있다 . 이 새로운 낮은 압력 영역 은 여전히 ​​일요일에 많은 국가 에 영향을 미치지 않습니다 홍콩 – 레이 가 전원이 전단 과 일본 에 밀려강력한 한랭 전선 에 의해 북쪽으로 구동 되었을 때 폭풍이 남긴 에너지를 공급 의 여파로 형성 되어 .

이 새로운 폭풍이 개발의 초기 단계 에 아직도있다 하지만 가능성이북쪽 동쪽 에 홍콩 – 레이 와 비슷한 경로에 오키나와 에서 북쪽 을 추적 할 수 있는 정보를 제공 . 그러나 이 폭풍 홍콩 – 레이 사이에 엄청난 차이가있을 것입니다. 앞으로 기세 가 훨씬 느려질 일본 전국 상위 저점 북쪽으로폭풍 경로를 차단하는 고압 능선 을위한 잠재력 의 약화 될 것이다 .

Therego 이 시간에 동중국 해에느린 폭풍이 아주 잘 할 수 있습니다. 이 폭풍 의 건조 부분을 발생 했다면 여전히 고립 된 레인 샤워 와 바람 조건 의 결과 오키나와 위에 남쪽 동쪽 에 남아 있다. 대부분 우리는 홍콩 – 레이 로 본 처럼 . 동시에 JMA 와 GFS 모델은 모두 큐슈 는 주중 통해 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람과 폭우 를 내야 할 것입니다 제안 하지만 . 이 주말에 일본 서부 에 걸쳐 발생한 비가이미 큰 금액으로 추가합니다. JMA 와 NAVGEM 모델은 북쪽에높은영향을 주중 으로 다시 서쪽으로폭풍 retrograding 에 듭니다. 이 아직 더 많은 폭우 목요일 에 수요일까지 대만에서 떨어질 것 발생 했다 합니다. 즉, 여전히이 시간에 불확실 .

어떤 확신을 가지고 말할 수 는 화요일 바람 을 통해 큐슈 에서 더 많은 폭우 가 예상 되고 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람 이 예상 될 ​​수 있지만 가능성이 항상 TS 힘 까지 돌풍남부 일본 열도 증가 하기 시작 한다는 것입니다 . 나는 동중국 해 와바다 표면 온도 의 수직 기류 의 적당한 양을 제공 형성 하는 것이 보다 약간 더 시원 할태풍 을 기대 해달라고

도쿄 TS , 소스 NHK

도쿄 TS , 소스 NHK

일반영역을 통해지난 2 주 동안 이동 한 이전 대 시스템 에서반복 용승 으로 인해 .

그것은 중앙 일본 처럼 보이지 않는 것은 폭우 너무 많이 있지만 볼 수 있습니다. 이 좋은 소식 과 서양 관동 의 많은 은 일요일 에 심한 폭풍 에 의해 명중 되었다 오고, 10,000 명의 사람들 이 일요일 저녁 을 통해 힘 을 잃었다.

이 공식 이 아닙니다 언제나처럼 공식적인 경고 및 정보는 해당 지역 WMO 승인 기관에 확인하십시오 . “- westernpacificweather
해양
중국
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
주의 : NAVIMAIL 의 일부가 아닌해상 안전 정보 의
운영 데이터 스트림 은으로 만 의존 해서는 안
최신 예측 및 경고 정보를 얻을 것을 의미합니다. 액세스
이 서비스 를 중단 할 수 있습니다 또는 시간 에서 시간 지연
업데이트는 가끔 틈 도 발생할 수 있습니다. GMDSS 를 참조하십시오
공식 소스 , 인말 새트 는 SafetyNET 또는 국제 NAVTEX
서비스 자세한 내용은
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) 에 대한 메시지 는 NMC BEIJING 에 의해 발행
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
메시지가 = EVERY 06 시간 업데이트
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9월 01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9 월를 전망이다. 02 =
= 를 WARNNING
ENE 12KM / H 를 이동하는 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTC 을위한 예측
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 약 9km / H 를 이동하는 26.3N 124.7E AT TS 도라지 1000HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS 바람 과 RADIUS 150KM 에 대해 예측,
021800UTC 27.7N AT 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
요약 =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS 하기에 2.0M TO NE WINDS
동중국 해 북쪽 부분 =
12 FROM UP 18M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
EAST CHINA SEA 대만 = 의 동쪽 바다 의 남쪽 부분
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
바시 CHANNEL =
12 일부터 최대 16 / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
SOUTH OVER 10KM 보다는 수평 시야 LESS
EAST CHINA 바다와 대만의 동쪽 바다 의 일부
와 안다만 해 (Andaman Sea) 와 수마트라 바다의 서쪽
순다 해협 라웃 JAWA 및 MAKASSAR 해협
AND 라웃 말루 쿠 및 라웃 BANDA =
예측 =
14 일부터 UP 3.5M TO 20M / S GUST 24M / S 의 SEAS TO WINDS
동중국 해 남쪽 부분 = OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NW 바람
대만 = OF SEA EAST
10 ~ UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NE 바람
서해 과 동쪽 의 북쪽 부분 의 남쪽 부분
CHINA SEA =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO 2.0M TO SE 바람
인도네시아 = 바다의 동남 OVER

==========

출처 : http://weather.gmdss.org/navimail/GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
중국 홍콩
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
주의 : NAVIMAIL 의 일부가 아닌해상 안전 정보 의
운영 데이터 스트림 은으로 만 의존 해서는 안
최신 예측 및 경고 정보를 얻을 것을 의미합니다. 액세스
이 서비스 를 중단 할 수 있습니다 또는 시간 에서 시간 지연
업데이트는 가끔 틈 도 발생할 수 있습니다. GMDSS 를 참조하십시오
공식 소스 , 인말 새트 는 SafetyNET 또는 국제 NAVTEX
서비스 자세한 내용은
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) 에 대한 메시지 는 NMC BEIJING 에 의해 발행
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
메시지가 = EVERY 06 시간 업데이트
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9월 01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9 월를 전망이다. 02 =
= 를 WARNNING
ENE 12KM / H 를 이동하는 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTC 을위한 예측
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 약 9km / H 를 이동하는 26.3N 124.7E AT TS 도라지 1000HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS 바람 과 RADIUS 150KM 에 대해 예측,
021800UTC 27.7N AT 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
요약 =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS 하기에 2.0M TO NE WINDS
동중국 해 북쪽 부분 =
12 FROM UP 18M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
EAST CHINA SEA 대만 = 의 동쪽 바다 의 남쪽 부분
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
바시 CHANNEL =
12 일부터 최대 16 / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
SOUTH OVER 10KM 보다는 수평 시야 LESS
EAST CHINA 바다와 대만의 동쪽 바다 의 일부
와 안다만 해 (Andaman Sea) 와 수마트라 바다의 서쪽
순다 해협 라웃 JAWA 및 MAKASSAR 해협
AND 라웃 말루 쿠 및 라웃 BANDA =
예측 =
14 일부터 UP 3.5M TO 20M / S GUST 24M / S 의 SEAS TO WINDS
동중국 해 남쪽 부분 = OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NW 바람
대만 = OF SEA EAST
10 ~ UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NE 바람
서해 과 동쪽 의 북쪽 부분 의 남쪽 부분
CHINA SEA =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO 2.0M TO SE 바람
인도네시아 = 바다의 동남 OVER

==========
일본
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
경고 및 요약 011800 .
VALID 021800 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
GALE 경고 .
LOW 980 HPA 를 개발
지점 호텔 10 매듭 을 움직이는 ALEUTIANS AROUND 53N 176E 바다 .
LOW 500 킬로미터 이내에있는 바람은 30 ~ 40 매듭 .
56N 176W 또 다른 LOW 988 HPA
EASTNORTHEAST 15 노트 를 이동합니다.
경고 .
짙은 안개 는 오호츠크 바다 로컬 관찰했다.
경고 .
짙은 안개 는 43N 144E 47N 153E 에 묶여 바다 위에 로컬 관찰
50N 157E 39N 166E 38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E .
요약 .
40N 151E EAST 10 KT AT LOW 1,012 HPA .
천천히 19N 155E 서북서 NEAR LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA .
35N 118E EAST 높은 1016 HPA 천천히 .
천천히 48N 151E ESE 높은 1020 HPA .
ALMOST STATIONARY 34N 154E AT HIGH 1016 HPA .
28N 125E FROM 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141E TO STATIONARY FRONT .
REMARKS .
26.3N 124.8E AT 열대 폭풍우 1317 도라지 ( 1317 ) 1002 HPA 보기 :
TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 .
33.7N 176.9E AT 열대 폭풍우 1316 YUTU ( 1316 ) 1002 HPA 보기 :
TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 .
일본 기상청 . =

출처 : http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ww/wwjp25.rjtd..txt
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21 는 011800 를 RJTD
경고 011800 .
VALID 021800 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
GALE 경고 .
열대 폭풍우 1317 도라지 ( 1317 ) 열대 불경기 로 업그레이드
1002 HPA
26.3N AT 124.8E EAST CHINA SEA 는 천천히 NORTHNORTHEAST 를 이동합니다.
POSITION 박람회 .
MAX 는 센터 주변 35 매듭 바람.
30 매듭 WINDS 90 마일 반경 .
50 마일 반경 27.2N 125.9E AT 020600UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
998 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 35 매듭 .
85 마일 반경 28.0N 126.8E AT 021800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
994 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 40 매듭 .
EXTENDED 전망 .
160 마일 반경 29.0N 127.5E AT 031800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
990 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 45 매듭 .
220 마일 반경 29.6N 127.7E AT 041800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
990 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 45 매듭 .

일본 기상청 . =

( 이미지 : JMA ) 바다 전망

END

Syria: US claims it has evidence of sarin gas used in Damascus attack as Obama waits for Congress to approve military attack – 010913 1515z

(Scroll down for Arasbic translation)

(انتقل لأسفل للترجمة العربية)

Syria: Assad Says He Is Ready For Fight

Barack Obama and Bashar al Assad

Mr Assad he is not discouraged by threats from the West

President Assad says Syria is capable of confronting military action, as the US claims it has evidence of sarin gas use.

US Secretary of State John Kerry told US news channels the case is building for a military attack and that the administration learned of the sarin use through samples of hair and blood provided to Washington by first responders in Damascus.

Meanwhile Mr Assad has told Syrian state television his country is capable of confronting any external aggression.

The American threats of launching an attack against Syria will not discourage Syria away from its principles or its fight against terrorism supported by some regional and Western countries, first and foremost the United States of America.

U.N. chemical weapons experts wearing gas masks carry samples collected from one of the sites of an alleged chemical weapons attack while escorted by Free Syrian Army fighters in the Ain Tarma neighbourhood of Damascus
UN chemical weapons inspectors

Syria generally refers to rebels fighting to topple the leader as terrorists.

Former Iranian president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani told the semi-official Iranian Labour News Agency that Syrians were the target of chemical attacks by their own government and now they must also wait for an attack by foreigners.

The people of Syria have seen much damage in these two years, he added.

Mr Kerry said he was confident that Congress will give Barack Obama its backing for a military strike against Syria.

But the former senator added that the president has the authority to act on his own if Congress doesnt give its approval.

A man, affected by what activists say is nerve gas, breathes through an oxygen mask in the Damascus suburbs of Jesreen
A man affected by gas is treated by medics

Members are scheduled to return from a summer break on September 9.

Syrias Deputy Foreign Minister Faisal Muqdad told reporters Mr Obama had grown hesitant and confused after he postponed the action until after the vote.

The Syrian main opposition bloc said it was disappointed with Mr Obamas decision to wait for Congress but said it believed lawmakers would approve a strike.

Earlier William Hague ruled out a second vote on British military involvement in Syria.

He told Skys Murnaghan programme that Parliament has spoken and that it would be unrealistic to try once more to persuade MPs to support military force.

He also branded the Labour party opportunistic and said its MPs had some hard thinking to do after the stance they took in Thursdays vote.

Pope Francis has condemned the use of chemical weapons and announced he would lead a worldwide day of fasting and prayer for peace in Syria on September 7.

END

Syrian opposition urges US Congress to back strike on Syria

Press TV

Foreign-backed militants in Syria (file photo)

Foreign-backed militants in Syria (file photo)
Sun Sep 1, 2013 2:19PM GMT/UTC
0
LAST UPDATE

The call for military action against Syria intensified after foreign-backed opposition forces accused the government of President Assad of launching a chemical attack on militant strongholds in the suburbs of Damascus on August 21 and killing hundreds.

Syrian opposition coalition has called on the US Congress to support military intervention in Syria.

The Syrian National Coalition said on Sunday that any attack against the government of President Bashar al-Assad must also include a transfer of more weapons to foreign-backed militants fighting there.

Any possible military action should be carried out in conjunction with an effort to arm the Free Syrian Army, the foreign-backed bloc said in a statement.

It added that an increase in arms supply is key to restraining Assad and ending the ongoing bloodshed.

On August 31, US President Barack Obama said he has decided to launch military strike against Syria, adding that he would seek authorization for military action from Congress after lawmakers return from recess on September 9.

Syria opposition coalition also stated that it was disappointed with Obamas decision to seek Congress approval for an attack on Syria.

We had a feeling of disappointment. We were expecting things to be quicker, that a strike would be imminent But we believe Congress will approve a strike, it added.

The bloc further said that it would seek more support from other countries, including Turkey, in an attack against Syria.

The coalition will get in touch with Arab countries and Turkey so that they cooperate as much as possible with the United States.

Meanwhile, Assad said on Sunday that his country is capable of confronting any foreign aggression.

The call for military action against Syria intensified after foreign-backed opposition forces accused the government of President Assad of launching a chemical attack on militant strongholds in the suburbs of Damascus on August 21 and killing hundreds.

Iran, Russia, China, and the UN have warned against a military intervention in Syria.

SZH/KA/SS

END

Press TV claims Saudi Prince Bandar behind chemical attack in Syria

Syrians in the Damascus suburb of Ghouta say Saudi Arabia provided chemical weapons for an al-Qaeda linked terrorist group which they blame for the August 21 chemical attack in the region, a Mint Press News report says.


The article co-authored by a veteran AP reporter, said interviews with doctors, residents, anti-government forces and their families in Ghouta suggest the terrorists in question received chemical weapons via Saudi spymaster Saudi Arabias intelligence chief Prince Bandar bin Sultan Al Saud.

The report quoted the father of a militant as saying that his son and 12 others were killed inside a tunnel used to store weapons supplied by a Saudi militant leader, known as Abu Ayesha.

The man described the weapons as having a tube-like structure while others were like a huge gas bottle.

Anti-government forces, interviewed in the article, complained they were not informed of the nature of the weapons they had been given, nor did they receive instructions how to use them.

When Saudi Prince Bandar gives such weapons to people, he must give them to those who know how to handle and use them, said one militant.

Another militant accused the Takfiri militants of the al-Qaeda-linked al-Nusra Front of refusing to cooperate with other insurgents or sharing secret information. They merely used some ordinary rebels to carry and operate this material, he said.

We were very curious about these arms. And unfortunately, some of the fighters handled the weapons improperly and set off the explosions, he added.

The authors noted that the doctors who treated the chemical weapons attack victims cautioned interviewers against asking questions regarding who exactly was responsible for the deadly assault.

Also more than a dozen militants interviewed said their salaries came from the Saudi government. They reportedly said Prince Bandar is referred to as al-Habib (the lover) by al-Qaeda militants fighting in Syria.

According to Independent, it was Prince Bandars intelligence agency that first accused the Syrian government in February of using sarin gas in a bid to rally support for Riyadhs efforts to topple Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

And The Wall Street Journal has reported that the Saudi spy chief is considered by the CIA as a veteran of the diplomatic intrigues of Washington and the Arab world [who] could deliver what the CIA couldnt: planeloads of money and arms, andwasta, Arabic for under-the-table clout.

 

SF/MRS/KA

Video from Press TV

END

Round-up of coverage from other news outlets:

BBC NEWS

US has evidence of Syrian sarin use

The United States has evidence that the chemical nerve agent sarin was used in a deadly attack in Damascus last month, Secretary of State John Kerry says.

Syria conflict: Special report Syria Conflict special report


Syria Live Blog

US says it has evidence proving Syrian regime used sarin gas

AL JAZEERA Last modified: 1 Sep 2013 17:01

John Kerry, the US Secretary of State, has said his government had obtained evidence that sarin gas was used in an attack in Syria last month that the US claims killed 1,400 people.

Hair and blood samples provided to the US from first responders on the scene of last months attack in Damascus have tested positivefor signatures of sarin, Kerry told US NBC and CNN televisions on Sunday.

Kerry said the case is building for a military attack against the government. However, the evidence has yet to be presented to the public.

The Syrian regime is known to have stockpiles of sarin, a deadly nerve agent, although the regime has claimed that rebels have used the substance in attacks.

The statement came a day after Obama stepped back from his threat to launchan attack unilaterally, instead saying he would consult the US Congress before any such action.

[AFP]

Syria Live Blog Al Jazeera Blogs

Aljazeera Syria indepth

Arabic (Translated by Google)

سوريا : الأسد يقول انه مستعد لل قتال
SKY NEWS 03:06 المملكة المتحدة ( GMT 1406Z / UTC) ، يوم الأحد 1 سبتمبر 2013
باراك أوباما و بشار الأسد

السيد الأسد انه لا يثبط من تهديدات الغرب

ويقول الرئيس الأسد سورية قادرة على مواجهة عمل عسكري ، كما تزعم الولايات المتحدة لديها أدلة من استخدام غاز السارين .

وقالت وزيرة الخارجية الامريكية جون كيري قنوات الأخبار الأمريكية “القضية هو بناء ” لهجوم عسكري وان الادارة المستفادة من استخدام السارين من خلال عينات من الشعر والدم التي قدمت إلى واشنطن أول المستجيبين في دمشق .

وفى الوقت نفسه، قال الأسد للتلفزيون الحكومي السوري ان بلاده قادرة على مواجهة أي عدوان خارجي .

“إن التهديدات الأمريكية بشن هجوم ضد سوريا لن تثني سوريا عن مبادئها … أو حربها ضد الإرهاب بدعم من بعض الدول الإقليمية والغربية ، وعلى رأسها الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية . ”
حمل خبراء الاسلحة الكيماوية للامم المتحدة يرتدون أقنعة غاز العينات التي تم جمعها من أحد المواقع من هجوم مزعوم الأسلحة الكيميائية في حين ترافقها مقاتلي الجيش السوري الحر في حي عين ترما من مفتشي الأمم المتحدة دمشق الأسلحة الكيميائية

سوريا عموما يشير إلى المتمردين الذين يقاتلون للاطاحة زعيم بأنهم “إرهابيون ” .

قال الرئيس الإيراني السابق أكبر هاشمي رفسنجاني وكالة الأنباء العمالية الإيرانية شبه الرسمية أن السوريين كانت ” هدفا للهجمات الكيميائية من قبل حكومتهم و الآن يجب عليهم الانتظار أيضا ل هجوم من قبل الأجانب ” .

” ، وقد شهدت شعب سوريا الكثير من الضرر في هذين العامين ” واضاف.

وقال كيري انه واثق من أن الكونجرس سوف تعطي باراك أوباما دعمه لتوجيه ضربة عسكرية ضد سوريا .

لكن عضو مجلس الشيوخ السابق وأضاف أن الرئيس لديه السلطة ل يتصرف من تلقاء نفسه إذا الكونجرس لا تعطي موافقتها .
رجل ، يتأثر ما يقول نشطاء هو غاز الأعصاب ، يتنفس من خلال قناع الأكسجين في ضواحي دمشق من Jesreen يعامل رجل المتضررة من الغاز بنسبة مسعفون

ومن المقرر ان يعود من العطلة الصيفية في 9 أيلول الأعضاء .

وقال نائب وزير الخارجية فيصل المقداد السوري للصحفيين ان أوباما نمت ” مترددة ومرتبكة … ” بعد أن تأجل العمل حتى بعد التصويت .

قالت كتلة المعارضة الرئيسية السورية انها ” بخيبة أمل ” مع قرار أوباما لانتظار الكونغرس لكنه قال انه يعتقد ان المشرعين الموافقة على الإضراب.

حكمت في وقت سابق وليام هيج من تصويت ثان على تورط الجيش البريطاني في سوريا .

وقال برنامج سكاي مورناغان أن ” البرلمان قد تكلم “، وأنه سيكون من غير الواقعي أن يحاول مرة أخرى لاقناع النواب لدعم القوة العسكرية .

و صفت أيضا حزب العمل ” الانتهازية ” وقال ان النواب في بعض “التفكير من الصعب القيام به ” بعد موقف أخذوا في تصويت يوم الخميس.

وندد البابا فرانسيس استخدام الأسلحة الكيميائية و أعلن انه سيقود يوميا في جميع أنحاء العالم من الصوم و الصلاة من أجل السلام في سوريا في 7 أيلول .

قصص ذات الصلة:
سوريا : قواعد لاهاي القيام بعمل عسكري بريطاني
حصري: ‘ المخططة الغاز هجوم الصيف الماضي الأسد

END
تحث المعارضة السورية الكونغرس الأميركي لدعم هجوم على سوريا

تلفزيون برس تي.

نشطاء مدعومة من الخارج في سوريا ( صورة أرشيفية )
نشطاء مدعومة من الخارج في سوريا ( صورة أرشيفية )
الشمس 1 سبتمبر 2013 14:19 GMT / UTC
0
أخر تعديل
الدعوة للقيام بعمل عسكري ضد سوريا تصاعدت بعد قوى المعارضة مدعومة من الخارج اتهم حكومة الرئيس الأسد بشن هجوم كيماوي على معاقل المسلحين في ضواحي دمشق في 21 اغسطس اب و قتل المئات ” .
ودعا ائتلاف المعارضة السورية على الكونجرس الأمريكي لدعم التدخل العسكري في سوريا .

وقال الائتلاف الوطني السوري يوم الاحد ان أي هجوم ضد حكومة الرئيس بشار الأسد يجب أن تشمل أيضا نقل المزيد من الأسلحة إلى المسلحين مدعومة من الخارج القتال هناك .

وقال “يجب أن يتم أي عمل عسكري محتمل خارج بالتزامن مع محاولة ل تسليح الجيش السوري الحر “، وقال الكتلة مدعومة من الخارج في بيان .

وأضاف أن زيادة في إمدادات الأسلحة هو المفتاح ل كبح جماح الأسد وإنهاء إراقة الدماء المستمرة .

في 31 آب ، قال الرئيس الأمريكي باراك أوباما إنه قرر إطلاق ضربة عسكرية ضد سوريا ، مضيفا انه سيسعى للحصول على ترخيص للقيام بعمل عسكري من الكونجرس بعد عودة النواب من العطلة يوم 9 سبتمبر .

وذكر ائتلاف المعارضة السورية أيضا أنها ” بخيبة أمل ” مع قرار أوباما للحصول على موافقة الكونجرس لشن هجوم على سوريا .

” كان لدينا شعور من خيبة الأمل . وأضافت أن كنا نتوقع أن تكون الأمور أسرع ، أن الإضراب سيكون وشيكا … ولكن نحن نعتقد أن الكونجرس الموافقة على الاضراب ” .

وقالت الكتلة أيضا أنها ستسعى إلى مزيد من الدعم من الدول الأخرى ، بما في ذلك تركيا ، في هجوم ضد سوريا .

“إن التحالف سوف تحصل على اتصال مع الدول العربية و تركيا بحيث تتعاون قدر المستطاع مع الولايات المتحدة. ”

وفي الوقت نفسه، قال الاسد يوم الاحد ان بلاده قادرة على مواجهة أي عدوان خارجي .

الدعوة للقيام بعمل عسكري ضد سوريا تصاعدت بعد قوى المعارضة مدعومة من الخارج اتهم حكومة الرئيس الأسد بشن هجوم كيماوي على معاقل المسلحين في ضواحي دمشق في 21 اغسطس اب و قتل المئات.

وحذر إيران وروسيا و الصين والأمم المتحدة ضد التدخل العسكري في سوريا .

SZH / KA / SS
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الصحافة التلفزيونية يدعي السعودي الأمير بندر وراء هجوم كيماوي في سوريا
” يقول السوريون في ضاحية دمشق الغوطة قدمت المملكة العربية السعودية للحصول على أسلحة كيماوية تنظيم القاعدة مرتبط المجموعة الإرهابية التي يحملونها مسؤولية الهجوم الكيميائية 21 أغسطس في المنطقة ، يقول تقرير أخبار الصحافة النعناع.

وقال المقال الذي شارك في تأليفه مراسل AP المخضرم ، تشير مقابلات مع الأطباء والمقيمين و القوات المناهضة للحكومة وأسرهم في الغوطة تلقى الارهابيين في مسألة الأسلحة الكيميائية عن طريق رئيس المخابرات الامير بندر بن سلطان آل سعود السعودية مسؤول التجسس في المملكة العربية السعودية .

ونقل التقرير عن والد احد النشطاء قوله ان ابنه و 12 آخرين لقوا مصرعهم داخل نفق يستخدم لتخزين الأسلحة الموردة من قبل زعيم القاعدة السعودي ، المعروف باسم أبو عائشة .

وصف رجل الأسلحة و جود ” أنبوب يشبه هيكل ” بينما كان البعض الآخر مثل ” زجاجة غاز ضخمة. ”

اشتكى القوات المناهضة للحكومة ، الذين تمت مقابلتهم في هذه المادة، و أنها لم تكن على علم طبيعة الأسلحة التي أعطيت ، كما أنها لم تتلقى تعليمات كيفية استخدامها .

وقال “عندما يعطي السعودي الأمير بندر تلك الأسلحة إلى الناس ، وقال انه يجب منحها ل أولئك الذين يعرفون كيفية التعامل معها و استخدامها “، وقال احد المسلحين .

اتهم ناشط اخر ان المتشددين التكفيرية من آل النصرة اجهة لتنظيم القاعدة المرتبطة برفض التعاون مع غيرهم من المسلحين أو تقاسم معلومات سرية . واضاف “انهم مجرد استخدام بعض المتمردين العاديين لتنفيذ وتشغيل هذه المواد ” ، قال.

وأضاف “كنا غريبة جدا عن هذه الأسلحة . واضاف انه ولسوء الحظ ، التعامل مع بعض المقاتلين الأسلحة بشكل غير صحيح وفجروا التفجيرات ” .

وأشار المؤلفون إلى أن الأطباء الذين عالجوا ضحايا الهجوم الأسلحة الكيميائية حذر المقابلات ضد طرح الأسئلة حول من هو بالضبط المسؤولة عن الهجوم القاتل .

كما قال أكثر من عشرة مسلحين مقابلات جاء رواتبهم من الحكومة السعودية . ورد قالوا يشار الأمير بندر إلى ” الحبيب ” ( عاشق ) من قبل مسلحي القاعدة القتال في سوريا .

وفقا ل المستقلة ، كان من وكالة الاستخبارات الأمير بندر أن المتهم الأول الحكومة السورية في شهر فبراير من استخدام غاز السارين في محاولة لحشد الدعم لجهود الرياض للاطاحة بالرئيس السوري بشار الأسد .

و ذكرت صحيفة وول ستريت جورنال أن رئيس المخابرات السعودية تعتبر وكالة المخابرات المركزية بأنه ” محارب قديم من المؤامرات الدبلوماسية من واشنطن والعالم العربي [ الذي ] يمكن أن يحقق ما لم يستطع وكالة المخابرات المركزية : طائرات محملة من المال والسلاح ، و الواسطة … والعربية لل نفوذ من تحت الطاولة ” .

SF / السيدة / KA ”

فيديو من تلفزيون برس تي.

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جولة المتابعة من التغطية من وكالات الأنباء الأخرى :
BBC NEWS
الولايات المتحدة ‘ لديه أدلة على استخدام السارين السوري ‘

الولايات المتحدة لديها دليل على أن عامل الأعصاب السارين الكيميائية استخدمت في الهجوم المميت في دمشق الشهر الماضي ، قالت وزيرة الخارجية جون كيري .

كيري : الولايات المتحدة ” لديها ادلة ‘مشاهدة جديد
النص الكامل لخطاب أوباما
Mardell : A حكيم ، والتحرك الديمقراطي
المملكة المتحدة المستشار يدافع عن سوريا توقيت تصويت

الصراع سوريا : تقرير تقرير خاص نزاع سوريا خاصة

في منطقة الشرق الأوسط غير مستقر في الصحافة أوباما تأخير جديد
Q & A: القضايا الرئيسية
ل و ضد: أين تقف البلدان الرئيسية
الأسلحة الكيميائية: كيف يتم جمع الأدلة

سوريا لايف مدونة
وتقول الولايات المتحدة لديها أدلة تثبت النظام السوري يستخدم غاز السارين
AL JAZEERA آخر تعديل: 1 سبتمبر 2013 17:01

وقال جون كيري ، و زيرة الخارجية الأمريكية ، إن حكومته على أدلة التي تم استخدامها غاز السارين في هجوم في سوريا الشهر الماضي أن المطالبات الامريكية قتلت 1،400 شخص.

“لقد جاءت ايجابية ل توقيع السارين ” وقال كيري الشعر و الدم العينات المقدمة إلى الولايات المتحدة من أول المستجيبين على الساحة من هجوم الشهر الماضي في دمشق NBC الأمريكية وتلفزيونات CNN يوم الاحد .

وقال كيري “القضية هو بناء ” لهجوم عسكري ضد الحكومة . ومع ذلك ، فإن الأدلة لم يتم بعد عرضها على الجمهور .

ومن المعروف أن النظام السوري ل ديها مخزونات من غاز السارين ، وهو غاز الأعصاب القاتل ، على الرغم من أن النظام قد ادعى أن المتمردين استخدموا مادة في الهجمات.

وجاء البيان بعد يوم واحد صعد أوباما العودة عن تهديده بشن هجوم من جانب واحد ، بدلا من ذلك قائلا انه سيتشاور مع الكونجرس الامريكي قبل أي إجراء من هذا القبيل .

[ أ ف ب ]

سوريا يعيش بلوق – قناة الجزيرة المدونات

الجزيرة – سوريا بتعمق