Fiji/ Tonga/ South Pacific: Severe Tropical Cyclone POLA 16P 271500Z position nr 21.0S 178.0W. moving SSW 09kt (JTWC) – Published 27 Feb 2019 1900Z (GMT/UTC)

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE POLA 16P

POLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale and Intensity Category 3 storm on the local Fiji scale

DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER VATOA AND ONO-I-LAU AS TC POLA IS FORECAST TO PASS CLOSE TO ONO-I-LAU TONIGHT – RSMC Nadi

Fiji and Tonga beware!

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 27 FEET – JTWC

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER

Tropical Cyclone 16P (Pola) Warning #07
Issued at 27/1500Z

sh1619

Google Earth Overlay

WTPS31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (POLA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
271200Z — NEAR 20.6S 177.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S 177.9W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z — 22.1S 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z — 23.9S 178.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z — 25.7S 179.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z — 27.1S 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 28.0S 175.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0S 178.0W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16P (POLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 258 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WRAP AROUND
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON A 270916Z MHS 89GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGE WHICH SHOWS A PARTIAL MICROWAVE EYE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE
OF T4.5 (77 KNOTS) FROM PGTW. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC
16P IS EXPERIENCING NEUTRAL TO UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20 TO
25 KNOTS) WHICH IS OFFSET BY A MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE, BETWEEN 28 AND 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. TC 16P IS TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON
THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE
SOUTHEAST. THE STR TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE PRIMARY STEERING
FEATURE THROUGH TAU 48. SLIGHTLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS (WARM SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL) WILL
ALLOW FOR SOME MINOR INTENSIFICATION WITH TC 16P REACHING 90 KNOTS BY
TAU 24. BY TAU 48, TC 16P WILL BE POLEWARD OF THE STR AXIS AND WILL
BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN EASTWARD. AN APPROACHING
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL ACCELERATE TC 16P EASTWARD BY TAU 72 AND
ALLOW FOR A TRANSITION TO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, WITH SLIGHTLY LESS
AGREEMENT BY TAU 72. HOWEVER, OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z
IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.//
NNNN

RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone POLA

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 153 issued 1631 UTC Wednesday 27 February 2019

 

Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)
Current Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
Destructive Storm Force Winds
Damaging Gale Force Winds
Past Track and Movement
Past Location and Intensity Number
Forecast Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
Destructive Wind Boundary
Gale Force Wind Boundary
Most Likely Future Track
Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

 

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.
Name:  Severe Tropical Cyclone POLA

Details:

Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 3 pm February 27 3 20.8S 177.9W 55
+6hr 9 pm February 27 3 21.6S 178.2W 85
+12hr 3 am February 28 3 22.3S 178.5W 110
+18hr 9 am February 28 3 23.2S 178.7W 140
+24hr 3 pm February 28 3 24.0S 178.9W 165
+36hr 3 am March 1 3 25.6S 179.0W 225
+48hr 3 pm March 1 3 26.9S 178.6W 285
+60hr 3 am March 2 2 27.7S 177.4W 375
+72hr 3 pm March 2 2 28.1S 175.5W 465

 

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.

Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

 

The next TC Threat Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A13 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Feb 271334 UTC.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE POLA CENTRE 972HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4S 177.8W AT
271200 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI-8 IR/EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE
AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 65 KNOTS.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH PRIMARY BAND CONTINUING TO WRAP ONTO
LLCC. OVERALL ORGANISATION HAS IMPROVED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES IN A
LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. OUTFLOW REMAINS
GOOD. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UPTO 250HPA. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES
CELCIUS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON EMBEDED CENTER IN WHITE GIVES A DT=5.0,
MET=4.5 AND PT=4.5. FT BASED ON PT DUE TO FT CONSTRAINTS. THUS YIELDING
T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 280000 UTC 21.9S 178.4W MOV SSW AT 08 KT WITH 75 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 281200 UTC 23.5S 178.9W MOV SSW AT 08 KT WITH 75 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE

OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 010000 UTC 25.1S 179.1W MOV SSW AT 08 KT WITH 70 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 011200 UTC 26.5S 178.9W MOV S AT 08 KT WITH 65 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE

HE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON POLA WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 272000 UTC.
Special Weather Bulletin Number SEVEN for Fiji ON SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE POLA
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI at 4:28am on Thursday the 28th of February 2019

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR VATOA AND ONO-I-LAU.
A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF THE LAU AND LOMAIVITI
GROUP.
A HEAVY RAIN WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR LAU AND LOMAIVITI GROUP.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE POLA CENTRE 969HPA CATEGORY 3 WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8
SOUTH 177.9 WEST OR ABOUT 90 KILOMETRES EAST OF ONO-I-LAU AND ABOUT 230
KILOMETRES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KABARA AT 3AM TODAY. CLOSE TO ITS CENTRE THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO HAVE AVERAGE WINDS UP TO 130 KM/HR WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS
TO 185 KM/HR. THE AVERAGE WINDS CLOSE TO ITS CENTRE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
140 KM/HR WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 195 KM/HR BY MIDDAY TODAY. THE CYCLONE IS
MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 18 KM/HR AND THE CENTRE IS THE CLOSEST TO
ONO-I-LAU.

ON THIS TRACK, THE CYCLONE CENTRE IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED ABOUT 190 KILOMETRES
SOUTH OF ONO-I-LAU AT 3PM TODAY AND ABOUT 370 KILOMETRES SOUTH OF ONO-I-LAU
AT 3AM TOMORROW.

FOR VATOA AND ONO-I-LAU:
EXPECT DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS UP TO 75 KM/HR AND
MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 100 KM/HR. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH SEAS. DAMAGING HEAVY SWELLS. SEA FLOODING OF LOW-LYING COASTAL AREAS
EXPECTED.

FOR THE REST OF THE LAU AND LOMAIVITI GROUP:
FRESH TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH SPEED OF 45 TO 55 KM/HR, GUSTING TO 80
KM/HR. PERIODS OF RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELLS.

FOR THE REST OF FIJI
CLOUDY PERIODS WITH SOME SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE LARGER ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE, FINE APART FROM AFTERNOON OR EVENING
SHOWERS. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS.

The following information is provided especially for the mariners:
FOR SOUTHERN LAU WATERS: EXPECT GALE FORCE WINDS UP TO 45 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 65
KNOTS WITH HIGH SEAS.
FOR KORO SEA AND NORTHERN LAU WATERS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO
40 KNOTS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.
FOR THE REST OF FIJI WATERS: SOUTHERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MODERATE TO ROUGH
SEAS.

THE NEXT SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR FIJI ON TC POLA WILL BE ISSUED AT 7.30AM
TOMORROW OR EARLIER.

FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICEGOVERNMENT OF REPUBLIC OF FIJIMEDIA RELEASE No.324pm, Wednesday,27thFebruary2019
DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER VATOA AND ONO-I-LAU AS TC POLA IS FORECASTEDTO PASS CLOSE TO ONO-I-LAU TONIGHT
At3pm this afternoon, TC Pola was located about 200kilometreseast-southeast of Lakeba and 200 kilometres northeast of Ono-i-Lau. TC Polaismovingsouth-southwest at 22km/hr, and should pass close to Ono-i-Lau tonight.
On theprojected track, TC Pola is expected to be located about 130 kilometres southeastof Ono-i-Lau at 3am tomorrow and about 300kilometres southof Ono-i-Lau at 3pmtomorrow.
For Vatoa andOno-i-Lau: Expect damaging gale force winds with average speeds up to 65 km/hr and momentary gusts to 90km/hr. Periods of heavy rain and squally thunderstorms is expected over these areas. Sea flooding of low-lying coastal areas of Vatoa and Ono-i-Lau due to damaging heavy swells.The effect of winds can cause damages to temporary sheds and weak structures, break tree branches, cause loose objects to fly, and uproot shallow rooted crops.
For the rest of the Lau and Lomaiviti Group: Expect fresh to strong southerly winds with speed of 45 to 55 km/hr, gusting to 80 km/hr. Periods of rain, heavy at times and a few thunderstorms is anticipated over these areas.
For the rest of Fiji: Expect cloudy periods with occasional showers and possible thunderstorms over the eastern parts of the larger islands. Elsewhere, expect fine weather apart from afternoon or evening showers. In anticipation of this, the following alert and warnings are currently in force:A “Heavy Rain Alert” is now in force for Lomaiviti Group, Kadavu and nearby smaller islands.A “Heavy Rain Warning” remains in force for the Lau and Lomaiviti Group. A “Gale Warning” is in force for Vatoa and Ono-i-Lau. A “Strong Wind Warning” remains in force for the rest of the Lau and Lomaiviti Group. For Southern Lau Waters:
Mariners can expect gale force winds up to 45 knots, gusting to 65 knots with high seas. Conditions are unsafe for sea activities.Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires experience and properly equippedvessels.For Koro Sea and Northern Lau Waters: Expect southerly winds of 20 to 30 knots, gusting to 40 knots with rough to very rough seas. Small craft operators are advised to exercise caution while venturing out into these waters.

For the rest of Fiji Waters: Expect southerly winds of 15 to 20 knots with moderate to rough seas.Localised heavy falls may leadto flash flooding of low lying areas. Therefore, those living in low lying and flood prone areas as well as landslide prone areas are advised to remain alert and take appropriate precaution if and when necessary.Members of the public are requested to remain updated with the latest weather information and take alerts and warnings seriously.For more details and the latest on weather, please contact the National Weather Forecasting Centre on 6736006, 9905376 or visit the Fiji Meteorological Service’s website, http://www.met.gov.fj. You can also visit the Fiji Meteorological Service official Facebook page for latest updates. Misaeli Funaki (Mr.)DIRECTOR OF METEOROLOGY

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone POLA is currently located near 20.6 S 177.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). POLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. POLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nuku’ alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Current probability of tropical storm winds

Current probability of Cat 1 (SSHWC) or above winds

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WHPS01 NFFN 271200
HURRICANE WARNING 151 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 271307 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE POLA CENTRE 972HPA CATEGORY 3 WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4 SOUTH 177.8
WEST AT 271200 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 20.4S 177.8W at 271200 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. CYCLONE INTENSIFYING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 75 KNOTS BY
280000 UTC.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT

AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 21.9S 178.4W AT 280000 UTC
AND NEAR 23.5S 178.9W AT 281200 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 150.

 

===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Guam/ Northern Mariana Islands/ Micronesia/ West Pacific: Typhoon WUTIP 02W 21/1500Z 7.4N 148.3E, moving WNW ~6.95kt (NWS Guam) – Updated 21 Feb 2019 1625Z (GMT/UTC)

TYPHOON WUTIP 02W

…TYPHOON WUTIP CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY…

Wutip is a storm equivalent to Category 2 on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, expected to become a Category 3 on same scale by 23 Feb, 0:00

A Typhoon Warning remains in effect for Satawal in Yap State and
for Puluwat in Chuuk State.

A Tropical Storm Warning and Typhoon Watch remain in effect for
Faraulep in Yap State.

A Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for Ulul in Chuuk
State.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan in the Mariana Islands and Woleai in Yap State.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 35 FEET – JTWC

NWS GUAM

errortrack1-2

000
WTPQ31 PGUM 211507
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Wutip (02W) Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP022019
107 AM ChST Fri Feb 22 2019

…TYPHOON WUTIP CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY…

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
————————–
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
A Typhoon Warning remains in effect for Satawal in Yap State and
for Puluwat in Chuuk State.

A Tropical Storm Warning and Typhoon Watch remain in effect for
Faraulep in Yap State.

A Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for Ulul in Chuuk
State.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan in the Mariana Islands and Woleai in Yap State.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
Location…7.4N 148.3E

About 55 miles west-northwest of Puluwat
About 85 miles east of Satawal
About 125 miles southwest of Ulul
About 240 miles west of Chuuk
About 270 miles east-southeast of Faraulep
About 300 miles east of Woleai
About 480 miles south-southeast of Guam
About 510 miles south-southeast of Rota
About 555 miles south-southeast of Tinian
About 560 miles south-southeast of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds…100 mph
Present movement…west-northwest…295 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 100 AM CHST…1500 UTC…the center of Typhoon Wutip was
located near Latitude 7.4 degrees North and Longitude
148.3 degrees East. Wutip is moving west-northwest at 8 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the northwest with an
increase in forward speed over the next 24 hours. It is expected
to pass southwest of the Mariana Islands late Saturday night and
early Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 100 mph. Wutip is
forecast to intensify through Saturday.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to
35 miles. Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the
center up to 150 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at
800 AM ChST.

$$

Ziobro

000
WTPQ81 PGUM 211010
HLSPQ1

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON WUTIP (02W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
810 PM CHST THU FEB 21 2019

…TYPHOON WUTIP CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFIES…

.NEW INFORMATION…
NONE.

.AREAS AFFECTED…
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR
PEOPLE IN THE MARIANA ISLANDS…EASTERN YAP STATE AND CHUUK STATE.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS…
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL IN YAP STATE AND
PULUWAT IN CHUUK STATE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
FARAULEP IN YAP STATE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ULUL IN CHUUK STATE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM…ROTA…TINIAN
AND SAIPAN IN THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND WOLEAI IN YAP STATE.

.STORM INFORMATION…
AT 7 PM CHST…THE CENTER OF TYPHOON WUTIP (02W) WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 7.2N…LONGITUDE 148.8E. THIS WAS ABOUT 510 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. STORM MOTION WAS WEST-NORTHWEST. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 85 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW…
TYPHOON WUTIP IS WEST OF CHUUK LAGOON THIS EVENING. IT IS EXPECTED
TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT. THAT
WOULD TAKE IT ACROSS EASTERN YAP STATE AND THEN APPROACHING THE
MARIANA ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE…
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TIYAN AROUND 3 AM CHST…OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ001>004-211815-
/O.CON.PGUM.TR.A.4002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-ROTA-TINIAN-SAIPAN-
810 PM CHST THU FEB 21 2019

…TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
RESIDENTS ON THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD REVIEW THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA. CHECK YOUR TYPHOON SHUTTERS AND MAKE SURE THEY ARE IN
WORKABLE CONDITIONS. CLEAR DRAINAGE AND STORM DRAINS AROUND THE
HOUSE. AS TYPHOON WUTIP PASSES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM ON SATURDAY
EVENING…DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MARIANA ISLANDS.

&&

…WINDS…
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MARIANA ISLANDS STARTING
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

…STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE…
COMBINED SEAS OF 9 TO 11 FEET TONIGHT WILL START BUILDING HIGHER ON
FRIDAY…REACHING 10 TO 12…AND UP TO 20 FEET OR HIGHER ON SATURDAY
AND SATURDAY NIGHT. INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN AND FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

…PULUWAT…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY IN STURDY SHELTERS AWAY FROM THE SHORES.
TYPHOON FORCE AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING. ALL BOATS SHOULD
REMAIN SECURED.

…WIND INFORMATION…
TYPHOON FORCE EAST WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH THIS EVENING WILL BECOME
SOUTHEAST AND SLOWLY DECREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY DAY BREAK.

…STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION…
COMBINED SEAS WILL BE 20 TO 30 FEET THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
TO 16 TO 20 FEET BY MIDNIGHT…THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE FURTHER TO 10 TO
15 FEET ON FRIDAY. INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS LIKELY.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

$$

…ULUL…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY IN STURDY SHELTERS AWAY FROM THE SHORES.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN
SECURED.

…WIND INFORMATION…
DAMAGING NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AND REMAIN AT DAMAGING LEVELS THROUGH
TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY.

…STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION…
COMBINED SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EVENING AND THEN
SLOWLY SUBSIDE FRIDAY. INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS LIKELY THROUGH
TONIGHT.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN.

$$

…SATAWAL…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD ALREADY BE COMPLETED. RESIDENTS SHOULD STAY
IN STURDY SHELTERS AWAY FROM SHORE. DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING AND
WILL INCREASE TO TYPHOON FORCE SOON. ALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN SECURED.

…WIND INFORMATION…
DAMAGING WINDS OF 50 TO 70 MPH THIS EVENING WILL INCREASE FURTHER TO
TYPHOON FORCE OF 70 TO 90 MPH BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

…STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION…
COMBINED SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FEET WILL BUILD TO 20 FEET OR HIGHER
OVERNIGHT AND THEN SUBSIDE VERY SLOWLY LATE FRIDAY. INUNDATION OF
2 TO 4 FEET IS LIKELY.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN.

$$

…FARAULEP…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING WINDS THIS
EVENING. LOCATE STURDY SHELTERS AWAY FROM THE SHORES AND STORE FOOD
AND WATER. DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING…AND
DANGEROUS TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY EVENING. ALL
BOATS MUST RETURN TO SHORE BY THIS EVENING.

…WIND INFORMATION…
NORTH WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT BEFORE REACHING
DAMAGING LEVELS OF 40 TO 55 MPH BY FRIDAY MORNING. DANGEROUS TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS OF 90 MPH OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

…STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION…
COMBINED SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL STEADILY BUILD AND REACH 12 TO 15
FEET ON FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY NEAR 20 FT FRIDAY EVENING. INUNDATION OF
1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

…WOLEAI…

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOCATE STURDY SHELTERS AWAY FROM THE SHORES
AND STORE FOOD AND WATER. DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. ALL BOATS SHOULD RETURN TO SHORE BY TONIGHT.

…WIND INFORMATION…
NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND
POSSIBLY REACH DAMAGING LEVELS OF 35 TO 45 MPH BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT TO WEST AND DECREASE ON SATURDAY.

…STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION…
COMBINED SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BUILD TONIGHT…REACHING 12 TO 15
FEET FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. INUNDATION OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

…OTHER STORM EFFECTS…
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

$$

SIMPSON

 

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER

Typhoon 02W (Wutip) Warning #10
Issued at 21/1500Z

 

 

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
211200Z — NEAR 7.1N 148.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 148.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z — 8.3N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z — 9.7N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z — 11.0N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z — 12.3N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z — 13.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z — 15.6N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z — 17.8N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 148.3E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.//
NNNN

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon WUTIP is currently located near 7.1 N 148.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). WUTIP is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WUTIP is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm winds

Current probability of Cat 1 or above winds

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WTJP31 RJTD 211500
WARNING 211500.
WARNING VALID 221500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 07.2N 148.4E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 08.6N 146.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 10.2N 144.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

==========================================================================================================

000
WHGM70 PGUM 210548
MWWGUM

URGENT – MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
348 PM CHST THU FEB 21 2019

…FRESH TO STRONG WINDS TO PERSIST…

.FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH FRIDAY. SEAS AND WINDS WILL
BUILD OVER THE WEEKEND AS TYPHOON WUTIP APPROACHES THE
WATERS.

PMZ151>154-212000-
/O.CON.PGUM.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190227T0800Z/
/O.CON.PGUM.TR.A.4002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM COASTAL WATERS-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-
SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
348 PM CHST THU FEB 21 2019

…SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY…
…TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT…

* WINDS…NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS TYPHOON
WUTIP PASSES SOUTH OF GUAM.

* WAVES/SEAS…SEAS OF 9 TO 11 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. SEAS WILL THEN BUILD AS TYPHOON WUTIP MOVES PAST SOUTH OF
GUAM. COMBINED SEAS COULD REACH 20 FEET OVER GUAM AND ROTA WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WAVE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS…ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS…SHOULD AVOID SAILING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 TO 63 KNOTS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.

&&

$$

KLEESCHULTE

===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

New Caledonia/ Vanuatu: Tropical Cyclone OMA 15P 171500Z position 16.5S 164.2E, moving S 05kt (JTWC) – Published 17 Feb 2019 1540Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Cyclone OMA 15P

New Caledonia and Vanuatu beware!

OMA expected to become a storm equivalent to Category 1 on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by 18 Feb, 12:00 UTC

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 26 FEET – JTWC

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER

Tropical Cyclone 15P (Oma) Warning #23
Issued at 17/1500Z

sh1519

Google Earth Overlay

WTPS31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (OMA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
171200Z — NEAR 16.3S 164.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 170 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S 164.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z — 17.2S 164.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z — 18.4S 163.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z — 19.8S 162.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z — 20.9S 162.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z — 22.9S 161.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z — 25.8S 161.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 13 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z — 30.3S 164.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 164.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (OMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 244 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS TC OMA HAS, FOR THE MOST PART, MAINTAINED ITS EXPANSIVE
FEEDER BANDS WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEPER CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF A
LARGE, RAGGED BUT DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE
CIRCULATION IN THE EIR LOOP THAT LINED UP WELL WITH A MICROWAVE LLC
IN THE 171034Z AMSU IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS AVERAGED FROM THE
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.5/55KTS AND T4.0/65KTS FROM PGTW AND KNES AND
REFLECTS THE SUSTAINED CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE CYCLONE IS UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG (20-25 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) THAT IS OFFSET BY GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH
A STRONG EQUATORWARD BIAS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) AT 27-28
CELSIUS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE
EAST. AFTER TAU 72, TC 15P WILL ROUND THE STR AXIS AND ACCELERATE
SOUTH THEN SOUTHEASTWARD. VWS IS EXPECTED TO RELAX AND ALLOW A SLOW
INTENSIFICATION TO A PEAK OF 80 KNOTS BY TAU 48. AFTERWARD,
INCREASING VWS AND COOLING SSTS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THE SYSTEM DOWN
TO 50 KNOTS BY TAU 96. BY TAU 120, TC OMA WILL BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION CHARACTERIZED BY AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD. NUMERIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 48, AFTERWARD THE CONSENSUS
MEMBERS SPREAD OUT SIGNIFICANTLY. ONE NOTABLE OUTLIER IS ECMWF THAT
TRACKS THE VORTEX DUE WESTWARD AFTER TAU 72. IN VIEW OF THESE, THERE
IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST UP TO TAU 48 THEN LOW
CONFIDENCE AFTERWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS
26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//
NNNN

logoimage

RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Cyclone OMA

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 100 issued 1314 UTC Sunday 17 February 2019

65660

Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)
Current Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
Destructive Storm Force Winds
Damaging Gale Force Winds
Past Track and Movement
Past Location and Intensity Number
Forecast Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
Destructive Wind Boundary
Gale Force Wind Boundary
Most Likely Future Track
Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

 

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.
Name:  Tropical Cyclone OMA

Details:

Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 12 pm February 17 2 16.1S 164.2E 185
+6hr 6 pm February 17 2 16.6S 164.1E 215
+12hr 12 am February 18 2 17.2S 163.9E 240
+18hr 6 am February 18 2 17.9S 163.7E 270
+24hr 12 pm February 18 2 18.5S 163.4E 295
+36hr 12 am February 19 2 19.8S 162.8E 355
+48hr 12 pm February 19 2 20.9S 162.4E 415
+60hr 12 am February 20 1 21.9S 162.0E 505
+72hr 12 pm February 20 1 22.9S 161.8E 590

 

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.

Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

 

The next TC Threat Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A24 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Feb 171343 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OMA CENTRE 984HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S 164.2E AT 171200 UTC.
POSITION POOR BASED ON HR HIMAWARI EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 3 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 55 KNOTS.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS ABOVE 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 060 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH PRIMARY BAND TRYING TO WRAP ONTO LLCC. DRY
AIR ENTRAINMENT HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED OMA IN THE LAST 3-6 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES IN
A MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE.
SYSTEM REMAIN SLOW MOVING. SST AROUND 28 DEGREES CELCIUS.
DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND WITH 0.7 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL YIELDS
DT=3.0. MET AND PT AGREE. FT BASED ON DT.
THUS, YIELDING T3.0/4.0/W0.5/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 180000 UTC 17.2S 163.9E MOV SSW AT 06 KT WITH 55 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 181200 UTC 18.5S 163.4E MOV SSW AT 06 KT WITH 60 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE

OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 190000 UTC 19.8S 162.8E MOV SSW AT 06 KT WITH 60 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 191200 UTC 20.9S 162.4E MOV SSW AT 06 KT WITH 50 KT CLOSE TO
CENTRE

THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON OMA WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 172000 UTC.

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Feb, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OMA is currently located near 16.1 S 164.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 45% currently
    Vipaka (13.1 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for TS is 40% currently
    Noum’ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 35% currently
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Current probability of tropical storm winds

Other

DocR Oma

(Image: )

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 

STORM WARNING 100 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 171309 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OMA CENTRE 984HPA CATEGORY 2 WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1 SOUTH 164.2
EAST AT 171200 UTC.
POSITION POOR.
REPEAT POSITION 16.1S 164.2E at 171200 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 60 KNOTS BY
181200 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 35 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 130 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT.

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 17.2S 163.9E AT 180000 UTC
AND NEAR 18.5S 163.4E AT 181200 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND REPORTS
EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER
VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 099.

===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.