Mexico/ East Pacific: Tropical Depression CARLOTTA 04E 17/1800Z nr 17.2N 101.6W, moving NW ~6.08kt 1007mb (NHC FL) – Updated 17 Jun 2018 2048Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression CARLOTTA 04E

…CARLOTTA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION…

National Hurricane Center (FL US)

181229_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 171803
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018
100 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

…CARLOTTA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION…

 

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.2N 101.6W
ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta
was estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.6
West. Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On
the forecast track, the small core of Carlotta or its remnant should
move inland over southern Mexico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Carlotta could dissipate later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and Michoacan coasts, including the city of
Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These
rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across
the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

 

Other

 

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

FZPN02 KWBC 171725
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC SUN JUN 17 2018

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION
IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 19.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 44N155W 996 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 45N155W TO 40N157W TO 33N169W WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO
21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E OF A LINE FROM 52N150W TO
40N158W TO 30N161W…AND S OF 35N BETWEEN 157W AND 166W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N153W 992 MB. FROM 48N TO 60N BETWEEN
141W AND 151W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 420 NM E AND NE QUADRANTS…WITHIN 240 NM S
SEMICIRCLE…AND WITHIN 360 NM E OF A LINE FROM 49N147W TO
37N150W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N166W 999 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 165W AND
173W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 35N TO 54N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN 126W AND 133W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN 127W AND 132W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.LOW 55N166W 994 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 480 NM E AND 360 NM
SE QUADRANTS…AND WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE FROM 54N172W TO
62N164W TO 66N166W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N164W 997 MB. FROM 51N TO 60N BETWEEN
168W AND 172W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

.LOW 42N167W 999 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 300 NM S AND 240 NM
W SEMICIRCLES WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

.LOW 33N165E 1004 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 34N174E 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND NW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N177W 1013 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 38N TO 50N
BETWEEN 140W AND 158W….AND FROM 31N TO 35N BETWEEN 158W AND
163W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 50N BETWEEN 141W AND
149W…FROM 41N TO 45N BETWEEN 156W AND 163W…AND FROM 54N TO
57N BETWEEN 134W AND 139W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 48N BETWEEN 141W AND
145W…FROM 45N TO 49N BETWEEN 149W AND 155W…FROM 59N TO 64N
BETWEEN 168W AND 170W…AND S OF 34N BETWEEN 176W AND 178E.

.HIGH 46N137W 1029 MB MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 49N135W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N137W 1023 MB.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 58N137W 1023 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 58N136W 1021 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 39N165W 1021 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N163E 1026 MB.

.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 19.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.2N 101.3W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUN 17 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S
SEMICIRCLE…20 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY 16N98W TO 15N98W TO 15N100W TO 17N102W TO 18N102W TO
17N100W TO 16N98W E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 17.7N 102.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 F.T
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA INLAND NEAR 18.0N
102.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL CARLOTTA NEAR 18.3N 102.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N126W TO 30N135W TO 28N139W TO 29N140W
TO 30N140W TO 30N135W TO 30N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N131W TO 28N135W TO
28N139W TO 30N140W TO 30N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S114W TO 03.4S112W TO 03.4S120W TO
02S117W TO 02S114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S118W TO 03.4S117W TO
03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 03S118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN JUN 17…

.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 10N ALONG 93W…SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 270 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 14N90W TO 08N95W.

.TROUGH FROM 08N131W TO 04N139W…SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM
NW OF TROUGH E OF 135W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N73W TO 10N86W TO 15N98W THEN
RESUMES FROM 14N109W TO 09N120W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N120W
TO 06N127W TO 07N131W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
03N TO 09N WITHIN 120 NM W OF COAST OF COLOMBIA…WITHIN 90 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 116W…WITHIN 75 NM EITHER
SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 123W…WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF
AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 131W…AND FROM 03N TO 07N W OF 138W.

.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 17 2018.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 18 2018.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 19 2018.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW NEAR 06N165W MOVING W 10 KT. TROUGH FROM LOW TO 05N172W TO
08N178E. ASSOCIATED TSTMS INCLUDED BELOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 06N167W 1011 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.LOW NEAR 07N154W 1011 MB MB MOVING NW SLOWLY. ASSOCIATED TSTMS
INCLUDED BELOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N162E TO 28N160E MOVING SE SLOWLY. WIND W 20
TO 25 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 9 FT OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF FRONT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N166E TO 28N163E TO 26N160E.
ASSOCIATED WINDS DIMINISHED TO 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS SUBSIDED
TO 8 FT OR LOWER.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N176E TO 27N168E TO 26N160E.

.COLD FRONT APPROACHING FORECAST AREA FROM N.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT NEAR 30N164W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N151W TO 27N158W TO 27N164W TO
28N170W.

.RIDGE FROM 30N150W TO 24N161W TO 20N173W TO 20N174E TO 20N160E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING HIGH NEAR 22N173E 1016 MB. RIDGE
FROM HIGH TO 23N176W TO 24N165W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH NEAR 24N175E 1018 MB. RIDGE FROM HIGH TO
28N173W.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.

.OTHERWISE SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 30N TO 28N BETWEEN 165W AND 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS SUBSIDED TO 8 FT OR LOWER.

.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.

.ITCZ FROM 06N140W TO 08N146W. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN
180 NM S OF LINE OF CONVERGENCE. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN
90 NM N OF LINE OF CONVERGENCE.

.OTHERWISE SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 12N TO 06N
BETWEEN 179E AND 175W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM
12N TO 02N BETWEEN 168E AND 148W.

$$

.FORECASTER BEDAL. HONOLULU HI.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Mexico/ East Pacific: Tropical Depression BUD 15/1500Z nr 25.3N 110.0W, moving N ~10.42kt 1002mb (NHC FL) – Updated 15 Jun 2018 1750Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression Bud 03E

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FL US

143856_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

 

 

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 151436
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bud Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032018
900 AM MDT Fri Jun 15 2018

…BUD AND ITS REMNANTS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
STATE OF SONORA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES…

 

SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…25.3N 110.0W
ABOUT 195 MI…315 KM SSE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM ESE OF LORETO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch
from Altata to Huatabampito.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Bud was
located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 110.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. On the
forecast track, the center of Bud is expected to move inland over
southern Sonora by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Bud is expected to become a remnant low by tonight
and dissipate on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Bud is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with
isolated totals of 6 inches across southern and eastern Sonora in
northwestern Mexico through Saturday. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. An additional 1 to 2
inches of rain are possible in southern portions of Baja California
Sur.

Remnant moisture from Bud is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of
rain with isolated totals of 3 inches across the southwestern U.S.
into the southern and central Rockies through Saturday. These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force are possible today along
the coast of mainland Mexico in northern Sinaloa and southern
Sonora states.

SURF: Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of western mainland Mexico during the next day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan/McElroy

 

 

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Jun, 2018 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression BUD is currently located near 25.3 N 110.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). BUD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

 

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

 

 

Other

ep201803_5day2

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

WTPZ23 KNHC 151435
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018
1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 110.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 110.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 110.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 27.2N 109.9W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 110.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

..
FORECASTER BRENNAN/MCELROY

FZPN02 KWBC 151725
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION
IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 48N166W 971 MB MOVING NW 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM S AND SE
QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
420 NM S SEMICIRCLE…600 NM N AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS…AND
WITHIN 300 NM E OF FRONT FROM 54N153W TO 40N156W TO 30N164W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 53N167W 980 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
60N146W TO 40N156W TO 31N163W. WITHIN 480 NM S AND E…AND 540
NM NW QUADRANTS…AND 240 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 56N166W 992 MB. WITHIN 540 NM NW AND 420
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.FROM 34N TO 43N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 44N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 37N TO 44N BETWEEN 124W AND 131W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 45N TO 55N BETWEEN 126W AND 134W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 44N153W 1000 MB. FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
54N151W TO LOW TO 31N160W. WITHIN 300 NM E OF FRONT WINDS 30 TO
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 40N168E 998 MB MOVING E 20 KT. FROM 33N TO 47N W OF 173E
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N180W 996 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N166W 999 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 37N TO 54N
BETWEEN 136W AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 37N TO 52N BETWEEN 137W AND
156W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 30N TO 43N BETWEEN 169W AND
156W…FROM 37N TO 50N BETWEEN 156W AND 140W…AND FROM 50N TO
57N BETWEEN 133W AND 140W.

.HIGH 41N141W 1030 MB MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 45N139W 1030 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N137W 1028 MB.

.HIGH 53N139W 1027 MB DRIFTING S.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUN 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUN 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 17.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E NEAR 15.8N 99.7W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUN 15 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 3 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOUR-E NEAR 16.5N 99.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL FOUR-E NEAR 17.2N 98.6W. WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 25.3N 110.0W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUN 15 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 10 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BUD NEAR 27.2N 109.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 06N131W TO 03.4S92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 114W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 123W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N125W TO 28N140W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI JUN 15…

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD…SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E…NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 08N90W TO 11N93W. IT RESUMES FROM
12N118W TO 08.5N128W. ITCZ FROM 08.5N128W TO BEYOND 08N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W
AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N
BETWEEN 86W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN
105W AND 118W.

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 15 2018.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 16 2018.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 17 2018.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FRONT 30N165W 28N172W 30N180W MOVING NE 10 KT. SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT N OF LINE 30N160W 26N170W 30N165W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF AREA. SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT
WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N162W 28N166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS DIMINISHED TO 20 KT OR LESS.

.FRONT 30N167E 30N160E MOVING E 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT 30N179W 28N175W 30N165E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT MOVED N OF AREA.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT 30N165E 27N160E.

.ITCZ 08N140W 06N170W 08N174E. SCATTERED STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 180
NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 150W AND 175W.

.HIGH 23N164E 1014 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. RIDGE 30N151W 23N165W
19N175E THROUGH HIGH TO 22N160E NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 21N163E 1013 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 21N164E 1013 MB.

.SEAS 8 TO 13 FT N OF LINE 30N156W 24N165W 19N180W 30N173E. SEAS
8 FT BOUNDED BY 15N150W 11N140W 08N157W 15N150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 11 FT N OF LINE 30N150W 23N160W
30N180W. SEAS 8 FT FROM 16N TO 12N BETWEEN 150W AND 160W
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF LINE 30N155W 26N160W
30N170W.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.HONOLULU FORECASTER.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Taiwan/ Japan/ West Pacific: Tropical Depression GAEMI 08W 151500Z position nr 24.8N 124.3E, moving NE 20kt (JTWC) – Published 1536Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression GAEMI 08W

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 16 FEET – JTWC

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FL US)

Tropical Depression 08W (Gaemi) Warning #06
Issued at 15/1500Z

wp0818

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN32 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (GAEMI) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
151200Z — NEAR 24.4N 123.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N 123.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z — 26.0N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 27.3N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z — 28.7N 131.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 24.8N 124.3E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (GAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 122 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
151200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND
161500Z.//
NNNN

JMA logo

1806-00

TS 1806 (Gaemi)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 15 June 2018

Scale
Intensity
Center position N24°55′ (24.9°)
E123°55′ (123.9°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 30 km/h (16 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area SE 390 km (210 NM)
NW 170 km (90 NM)
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N26°40′ (26.7°)
E126°30′ (126.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 30 km/h (15 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N28°00′ (28.0°)
E129°10′ (129.2°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 150 km (80 NM)
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N30°05′ (30.1°)
E133°30′ (133.5°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 996 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 280 km (150 NM)

HIMAWARI Imagery

TAIWAN

No ‘Typhoon News’ – Severe Weather Warnings: https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/prevent/fifows/index.htm?

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Jun, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression GAEMI is currently located near 23.2 N 121.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). GAEMI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

 

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm wind:

 

Other

wp201808_5day

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 151200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200.
WARNING VALID 161200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA
AT 32N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 32N 142E TO 32N 146E 30N 149E.
COLD FRONT FROM 32N 142E TO 29N 140E 27N 135E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 135E TO 27N 130E 26N 124E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 141E 47N 152E
55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 173E 40N 146E 42N 141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 167E ENE 10 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 51N 148E SOUTH SLOWLY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 19N 167E EAST SLOWLY.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 40N 169E 38N 171E.
WARM FRONT FROM 38N 171E TO 34N 175E 31N 179E.
COLD FRONT FROM 38N 171E TO 33N 170E 29N 164E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 164E TO 29N 156E 30N 149E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1806 GAEMI (1806) 994 HPA AT 24.9N 123.9E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Japan: Tropical Storm SEVEN 07W 141500Z position nr 28.6N 131.1E, moving ENE 35kt (JTWC) – Published 14 Jun 2018 1720Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm SEVEN 07W

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FL US)

wp0718

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SEVEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
141200Z — NEAR 27.9N 129.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 065 DEGREES AT 35 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 129.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z — 30.5N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 26 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 32.3N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 28.6N 131.1E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 132 NM
NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE REMAINING DEEP
CONVECTION THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH TS 07W IS BEING SHEARED TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL
POSITION AND INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 141201Z METOP-A ASCAT IMAGE
SHOWING AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION AND SEVERAL 35 KNOT WIND BARBS.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS TS 07W HAS BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
WESTERLIES AND IS EXPERIENCING UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (50
TO 60 KNOTS). A 140900Z AMSU TEMPERATURE ANOMALY CROSS-SECTION
SHOWS THAT TS 07W IS LOSING ANY REMAINING WARM CORE
CHARACTERISTICS. THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT IMAGE ALSO INDICATES THAT
TS 07W IS BECOMING ASYMMETRIC. TS 07W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE
NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH A WEST TO EAST MOVING TROUGH. TS 07W
WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 12. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W
(EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

HIMAWARI Imagery

TAIWAN

No ‘Typhoon News’ – Severe Weather Warnings: https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/prevent/fifows/index.htm?

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jun, 2018 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm SEVEN is currently located near 27.9 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

 

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Current probability of tropical storm wind:

Other

 

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 141200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200.
WARNING VALID 151200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA
AT 27N 129E SEA AROUND OF OKINAWA MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA
AT 22.5N 119.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 24.4N 122.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 25.3N 125.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 144E 46N 150E
53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 30N 170E 30N 155E 35N 160E 40N
160E 40N 150E 42N 144E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 152E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 162E EAST 15 KT.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1022 HPA AT 54N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY.
WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 36N 166E 33N 170E.
COLD FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 36N 162E 34N 160E 32N 156E 28N 151E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 151E TO 27N 148E 26N 143E 27N 137E 28N 133E
27N 129E 26N 127E 25N 122E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

 

Japan/ Philippines/ West Pacific: Tropical Storm MALIKSI/ Domeng (06W) 08/0600Z 18.7N, 126.4E, moving NW 11kt 996 hPa (JMA) – Updated 08 Jun 2018 0843Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm MALIKSI 06W

(Domeng in Philippines)

JMA logo

1805-00 M JMA TRACK

TS 1805 (Maliksi)
Issued at 06:50 UTC, 8 June 2018

<Analysis at 06 UTC, 8 June>
Scale Large
Intensity
Center position N18°40′ (18.7°)
E126°25′ (126.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 996 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area SE 750 km (400 NM)
NW 440 km (240 NM)
<Forecast for 18 UTC, 8 June>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N20°50′ (20.8°)
E127°00′ (127.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 9 June>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N22°30′ (22.5°)
E128°00′ (128.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 10 June>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N25°35′ (25.6°)
E132°10′ (132.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 280 km (150 NM)
Storm warning area SE 390 km (210 NM)
NW 350 km (190 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 11 June>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N31°10′ (31.2°)
E140°00′ (140.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 40 km/h (22 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 410 km (220 NM)
Storm warning area SE 520 km (280 NM)
NW 480 km (260 NM)

 

HIMAWARI Imagery

Philippines

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #7
FOR:Tropical Storm Domeng
Tropical Cyclone: ALERT

ISSUED AT:11:00 AM, 08 June 2018

“DOMENG” HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES IN A NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION.

  • The combined effects of “Domeng” {Maliksi} and the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring moderate to occasional heavy rains over Aurora, Bataan and the regions of Bicol, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA and Western Visayas; scattered rainshowers will prevail over the rest of Luzon and of Visayas today.
  • “DOMENG” is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat), which may bring monsoon rains over Metro Manila and the rest of western sections of both Luzon and Visayas this weekend.
  • Residents of the these areas are advised to take appropriate actions against possible flash floods and landslides and coordinate with their local DRRM offices.
  • Sea travel is risky over the eastern seaboard of Central and Southern Luzon and of Visayas, and the western seaboard of Southern Luzon.

 

PAGASA Track Satellite Image

 

Location of eye/center: At 10:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “DOMENG” was estimated based on all available data at 655 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan (17.8 °N, 127.9 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 80 kph
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move North Northeast at 17 kph
Forecast Positions:
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 770 km East of Basco, Batanes(21.1°N, 129.3°E)
  • 48 Hour(Sunday morning):1,225 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes(24.3°N, 133.1°E)
  • 72 Hour(Monday morning): 2,030 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR)(29.4°N, 139.5°E)

 

NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next update to be incorporated in the 4 PM Public Weather Forecast and in the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

 

JTWC

Tropical Storm 06W (Maliksi) Warning #01
Issued at 08/0300Z

 

Google Earth Overlay

 

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/ JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/
071551ZJUN2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 001
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
080000Z — NEAR 17.6N 127.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 035 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 127.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 19.5N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 21.3N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z — 23.0N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z — 24.9N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z — 29.9N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z — 36.6N 151.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 265 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
205 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 127.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 06W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 421 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
080000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND
090300Z. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 071600).
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (EWINIAR) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31
PGTW 072100).//
NNNN

Tropical Storm Risk (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Jun, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALIKSI is currently located near 17.6 N 127.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). MALIKSI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Current probability of tropical storm winds:

Other

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 080600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E
42N 141E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 160E 28N 140E 27N
128E 31N 131E 35N 140E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 135E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 140E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 160E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 176E ENE 20 KT.
HIGH 1008 HPA AT 34N 123E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 151E EAST 15 KT.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 58N 176E ESE 10 KT.
WARM FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 49N 164E 48N 169E.
COLD FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 44N 155E 42N 149E.
COLD FRONT FROM 41N 180E TO 36N 170E 33N 164E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 164E TO 30N 150E 32N 140E 33N 133E 30N 126E
27N 118E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1805 MALIKSI (1805) 996 HPA AT 18.7N 126.4E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1804 EWINIAR (1804) 998 HPA AT 23.0N 112.0E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Philippines

WTPH RPMM 080600

TTT GALE WARNING 14

 

AT 0600 08 JUNE TROPICAL STORM {MALIKSI} WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO EAST MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS SOUTH SEMICIRCLE THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE EIGHT HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR THE CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS SOUTH SEMICIRCLE THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 090600 TWO TWO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT THREE EAST AT 100600 TWO SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT SIX EAST AND AT 110600 TWO NINE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE NINE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORT TO PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION PD

PAGASA

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

East Pacific/ Mexico: CAT3 HURRICANE ALETTA 02E 08/0600Z near 15.6N 110.5W, moving W ~5.2kt 957mb Intensifying (NHC FL) – Published 08 Jun 2018 0735z (GMT/UTC)

Hurricane Aletta 02E

…ALETTA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY, NOW A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE…There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect….NHC

Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions expected parts of coast of west-central mainland Mexico and the west coast of Baja California Sur

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FL US

055806_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 080556
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Aletta Special Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022018
1200 AM MDT Fri Jun 08 2018

…ALETTA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY, NOW A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE…

 

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT…0600 UTC...INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…15.6N 110.5W
ABOUT 470 MI…760 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI…360 KM S OF SOCORRO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…120 MPH…195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…957 MB…28.26 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Aletta was located
near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 110.5 West. Aletta is moving
toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A west-northwestward or
northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is expected through
the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h)
with higher gusts. Aletta is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is
expected through the day today. Weakening is forecast to begin by
Saturday, with Aletta likely weakening to a tropical storm on
Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF: Swells generated by Aletta will begin to affect portions of
the coast of west-central mainland Mexico and the west coast of
Baja California Sur later today and will continue through the
weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Other

ep201802_5day1

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0555

WTPZ22 KNHC 080555 RRB
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 20.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.5N 119.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 110.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

..
FORECASTER BLAKE

FZPN02 KWBC 080525
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC FRI JUN 08 2018

CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SEE ANNOUNCEMENT OF PLANNED INMARSAT I-3 TO I-4 MIGRATION
IN 2018 AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/GMDSS_NOTICE.PHP (LOWERCASE).

PAN PAN

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUN 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 10.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 46N173E 990 MB MOVING E 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM N…780 NM
E…900 NM SE…AND 300 NM SW QUADRANTS…AND WITHIN 240 NM SE
OF A FRONT FROM 39N174E TO 34N160E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN WEAKENING LOW 46N177W
998 MB AND NEW LOW 48N167W 992 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE…600 NM
SE…960 NM SW…AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS OF NEW LOW AND WITHIN
420 NM SW QUADRANT OF WEAKENING LOW WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO
16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N164W 994 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE…1200 NM
SE…420 NM SW…AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
8 TO 15 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 52N142W 992 MB DRIFTING E. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 360 NM SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM E…780 NM S…AND 720 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N140W 1004 MB. WITHIN 660 NM S AND 240
NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N137W 1012 MB. ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

…GALE WARNING…
.OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF A LINE FROM 35N124W TO 30N121W AREA
OF NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W AREA OF
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 38N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W AREA OF
NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 63N BETWEEN 167W AND 170W AREA OF N
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 65N BETWEEN 168W AND 170W AREA OF NW TO N
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW AND W OF A LINE FROM 65N166W TO 63N170W
AREA OF N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF A LINE FROM 55N135W TO 49N128W AREA
OF SE TO S WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N161E 1001 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 50N159E 1009 MB. BETWEEN 240 NM
AND 420 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 35N TO 48N W OF 169E
AREA OF SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 120 NM OF
39N128W AND FROM 38N TO 48N BETWEEN 170W AND 172E AND OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 44N TO 48N W OF 162E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 90 NM OF 38N125W AND FROM 37N
TO 48N BETWEEN 156W AND 173W AND FROM 42N TO 47N W OF 169E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
47N152W TO 40N160W AND FROM 41N TO 49N W OF 175E.

.HIGH 32N159W 1025 MB MOVING NE 20 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N149W 1030 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N142W 1030 MB.

.HIGH 30N136W 1025 MB DRIFTING W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N167E 1015 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N177E 1023 MB.

.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUN 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 10.

.WARNINGS.

…HURRICANE WARNING…

.HURRICANE ALETTA NEAR 15.6N 110.3W 973 MB AT 0300 UTC JUN 08
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E
SEMICIRCLE…120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE…270 NM SE…210 SW AND
180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ALETTA NEAR 16.6N 111.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NE…
210 SE…180 NM SW AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE…330 NM SE…210 SW AND 240 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N
BETWEEN 105W AND 112W AND FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ALETTA NEAR 17.8N 113.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM E AND 180 W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE…360 NM SE…240 SW AND 270 NM NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 07N TO 11N
BETWEEN 94W AND 113W AND FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ALETTA NEAR 19.1N 115.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA NEAR 20.0N 117.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ALETTA NEAR 20.5N
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 04N134W TO 03.4S100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH ALETTA…S OF 24N
BETWEEN 100W AND 135W AND ALSO FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 135W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N98W 1008 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
13N101W 1005 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 118W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 118W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 117W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC FRI JUN 8…

.HURRICANE ALETTA…NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NE AND
180 NM SE QUADRANTS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 10N100W, RESUMES FROM 10N116W TO
06N125W. ITCZ FROM 06N125W TO BEYOND 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W.

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUN 08 2018.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 09 2018.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 10 2018.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH FROM 24N176E TO 17N175E TO 13N173E MOVING W SLOWLY.
ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 17N TO 22N
BETWEEN 175E AND 179E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 23N173E TO 16N172E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.

.TROUGH FROM 08N178E TO 05N176E TO 03N173E MOVING W 10 KT.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 02N TO 09N BETWEEN 173E AND
178E…AND FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 177W AND 179W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N172E TO 04N167E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAK TROUGH FROM 10N167E TO 06N164E.

.RIDGE FROM 30N171W TO 27N175E TO 24N160E NEARLY STATIONARY.

.12 HOUR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 147W AND 151W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 09N TO 18N E OF
154W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 10N TO 22N E OF
164W…AND FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 160W AND 163W.

.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 148W
AND 154W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 08N TO 19N BETWEEN 150W
AND 160W…AND FROM 12N TO 20N E OF 150W.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 8 FT OR LESS REST OF FORECAST
AREA.

.ITCZ FROM 06N140W TO 07N145W TO 06N158W TO 07N171W. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 04N TO 09N E OF 168W.

$$

.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI.=

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China: Tropical Storm Ewiniar (05W) 06/0900Z position nr 21.8N 112.0E, moving NNE 7kt/~8mph (JTWC) – Updated 07 Jun 2018 1542Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Ewiniar (05W)

China beware!

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 10 FEET – JTWC

 

JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER

Tropical Storm 05W (Ewiniar) Warning #22
Issued at 07/1500Z

 

wp05185

WTPN31 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
071200Z — NEAR 21.6N 112.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 112.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z — 22.4N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 02 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 22.7N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 23.1N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 112.0E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 129 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z.
//
NNNN

HIMAWARI Imagery

 

JMA logo

(JMA is the lead agency for this area)

1804-001

TS 1804 (Ewiniar)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 7 June 2018

<Analysis at 12 UTC, 7 June>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N21°30′ (21.5°)
E112°00′ (112.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 8 June>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N22°25′ (22.4°)
E112°10′ (112.2°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 8 June>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N23°10′ (23.2°)
E112°25′ (112.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)

CHINA (HKO)

Tropical Storm EWINIAR
at 23:00 HKT 07 June 2018

Position: 21.7 N, 111.9 E (about 240 km west-southwest of Hong Kong)
Maximum sustained wind near centre: 75 km/h
Ewiniar will linger over western Guangdong today and tomorrow.

Tropical Cyclone Track at 23:00 HKT 07 June 2018

Tropical Cyclone Track at 23:00 HKT 07 June 2018

Tropical Cyclone Track at 23:00 HKT 07 June 2018

Forecast Positions and Intensities

Date time Position Classification Maximum sustained wind near centre
20:00 HKT 08 June 2018 23.0 N 111.9 E Tropical Depression 55 km/h
20:00 HKT 09 June 2018 23.0 N 112.6 E Low Pressure Area 40 km/h

( Past Positions and Intensities )

Notes

  • The symbol low pressure area symbol will be displayed when the tropical cyclone is expected to weaken into a low pressure area or transform into an extratropical low.
  • Past track is in black, forecast track is in red.
  • The tropical cyclone symbol in different colours are the forecast positions of the tropical cyclone at different times (as shown at the upper left corner of the figure).
  • While the forecast positions and track indicate the most likely future path of the tropical cyclone, they may deviate from the actual path taken by the storm. The yellow shaded area on the map indicates the probable area within which the tropical cyclone will fall with a probability of 70% (‘Potential Track Area’). Literally, it means that in 10 times of track forecast for similar situations, the tropical cyclone will be centred within the indicated area in about 7 times. The area grows as the forecast hour increases. It will be particularly larger beyond 72 hours and is indicated with lighter shadings on the map. The size in terms of radius of the ‘Potential Track Area’ corresponding to different forecast hours are determined from the error statistics of the forecasts issued in past years and are as shown in the following table:
    Analysed Position 30 km
    24-hour forecast position 125 km
    48-hour forecast position 225 km
    72-hour forecast position 325 km
    96-hour forecast position 400 km
    120-hour forecast position 500 km
  • The analysed tropical cyclone position (the symbol tropical cyclone symbol ) is based on Hong Kong Observatory’s hourly bulletin for public derived from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions.
  • The tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre are updated every hour. Meanwhile, the webpage will also display other information, including distance and bearing of the tropical cyclone relative to Hong Kong.
  • The past tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre may be updated when additional data is received.
  • Short-term erratic departures of the tropical cyclone from the general direction of movement may occur from time to time. These departures are partly due to uncertainties in locating the centre of the tropical cyclone, and partly due to actual short-term variations in the direction and speed of movement of the tropical cyclone itself.

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Jun, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EWINIAR is currently located near 21.6 N 112.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EWINIAR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm winds:

Other

Dr R E 7

 

(Image: @RoshinRowjee)

(Image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 071200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200.
WARNING VALID 081200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA
AT 17.0N 127.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 19.1N 128.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 20.6N 128.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 132E 35N 140E
40N 142E 42N 141E 46N 151E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N
150E 28N 130E 32N 132E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 127E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 156E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 159E ENE 15 KT.
LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 169E ENE 15 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 125E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 35N 143E EAST 15 KT.
HIGH 1022 HPA AT 58N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 172E SE 10 KT.
WARM FRONT FROM 49N 156E TO 49N 160E 48N 165E.
COLD FRONT FROM 49N 156E TO 46N 150E 42N 143E.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 169E TO 44N 172E 44N 176E.
WARM FRONT FROM 44N 176E TO 43N 180E 40N 174W.
COLD FRONT FROM 44N 176E TO 40N 172E 38N 168E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 37N 164E 37N 159E 33N 150E 31N 140E
31N 130E 27N 120E 25N 112E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1804 EWINIAR (1804) 998 HPA AT 21.5N 112.0E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

HKO Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping

Tropical Cyclone Warning |  Track and Positions of Tropical Cyclones
Current Weather |  Local Weather Forecast |  9-day Weather Forecast
South China Coastal Waters |  Marine Forecast
Severe Weather Information Centre

Bulletin issued at 22:15 HKT 07/Jun/2018

Tropical Cyclone Warning

At 071200 UTC, Tropical Storm Ewiniar (1804) with central pressure 990 hectopascals was centred within 60 nautical miles of two one point six degrees north (21.6 N) one one one point nine degrees east (111.9 E) and is forecast to move north or north-northeast slowly for the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 40 knots.

Radius of over 33 knot winds 30 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 150 nautical miles.

Forecast position and intensity at 081200 UTC
Two three point zero degrees north (23.0 N)
One one one point nine degrees east (111.9 E)
Maximum winds 30 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 091200 UTC
Dissipated over land.


The Hong Kong Observatory’s tropical cyclone warnings for shipping are issued about one and a half hours after the time of observation. They incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions given in the hourly bulletins for public.

While the forecast positions and track indicate the most likely future path of the tropical cyclone, they may deviate from the actual path taken by the storm.

Tropical Cyclone Track

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