Gaia Pope: The search for a missing Dorset teenager continues on its 6th day – Published 13 Nov 2017 1853z (GMT/UTC)

“Gaia Pope was last seen on Tuesday afternoon in Swanage.

Gaia Pope Misper

Hundreds of residents have joined police and coastguards since her disappearance to search for the 19-year-old from #LangtonMatravers who has severe epilepsy.

Police have released CCTV footage showing what is believed to be the missing teenager shortly before she vanished.

The video shows Gaia running past a house in Morrison Road, Swanage, at 15:40 GMT on Tuesday. ”

CCTV VIDEO (link)

“Gaia Pope was last seen on Tuesday afternoon in Swanage.

Hundreds of residents have joined #police and #coastguards since her disappearance to search for the 19-year-old from #LangtonMatravers who has severe #epilepsy.

Police have released CCTV footage showing what is believed to be the missing teenager shortly before she vanished.

The video shows Gaia running past a house in Morrison Road, Swanage, at 15:40 GMT on Tuesday. ”

– BBC News

Everything we know so far about the disappearance of Gaia Pope – SomersetLive

“Police and searchers in Dorset are continuing their efforts to find the missing 19-year-old Gaia Pope.

Gaia, who has severe epilepsy has not been seen since Tuesday November 7.

The appeal to find her, which has attracted attention from celebrities such as Russell Brand has also involved volunteers who have scoured areas across Swanage and the rest of Dorset.

Who is she?

19-year-old Gaia Pope is from Langton Matravers and has severe epilepsy according to her parents.

Where was she last seen?

The last reported sighting of the teen was at an address in Manor Gardens on Morrison Road in Swanage. She was last seen their around 3.45pm on Tuesday November 7.

CCTV released by Dorset Police taken from a security camera on a home in Swanage, shows her running along a pavement opposite.

What was she wearing?

She was said to be wearing a red checked shirt with white buttons, grey and white woven leggings and white trainers.

How is the search for her going?

The celebrity Russell Brand recently urged his social media followers to help with the search, tweeting the appeal for her.

Russell-Brand-Gaia-Pope

Russell Brand has urged his social media followers to join search for Gaia (Image: Getty/Gaia Pope)

Search efforts have been ongoing in the Swanage area up to Langton Matravers, with support from the coastguard, NPAS helicopter and DorSAR.

Investigations have also involved CCTV and house-to-house enquiries as well as vehicle stop checks.

In a statement, Dorset Police said:

“Our search efforts have been mainly concentrated in the Swanage area, where we have searched numerous premises, carried out a large number of house-to-house enquiries, used the police dogs and the helicopter for assistance in searching the harder to reach areas and every avenue of opportunity is being investigated.

“I want to take this opportunity to also thank the dedicated volunteers that have all worked tirelessly to search the streets of Swanage, produce leaflets and conduct extensive house to house enquiries to help find Gaia.

“Dorset Police has received numerous leads that have been generated from the volunteer enquiries, which have all been followed up by police officers.

Investigations have also involved CCTV and house-to-house enquiries as well as vehicle stop checks.

In a statement, Dorset Police said:

“Our search efforts have been mainly concentrated in the Swanage area, where we have searched numerous premises, carried out a large number of house-to-house enquiries, used the police dogs and the helicopter for assistance in searching the harder to reach areas and every avenue of opportunity is being investigated.

“I want to take this opportunity to also thank the dedicated volunteers that have all worked tirelessly to search the streets of Swanage, produce leaflets and conduct extensive house to house enquiries to help find Gaia.

“Dorset Police has received numerous leads that have been generated from the volunteer enquiries, which have all been followed up by police officers

“Although the door-to-door enquiries have nearly been completed in Swanage, I would still like to remind residents to remain vigilant when you are out walking in the countryside, to continue to regularly check your gardens and outbuildings and to support the find Gaia team who are working out of the Purbeck Gazette office in Swanage.

“If you wish to help the family then please use social media to share the positive message to help find Gaia and report any sightings or information to Dorset Police on 101 or 999 in an emergency.” from .somersetlive.co.uk

Anyone with information or knowledge as to Gaia’s whereabouts is asked to contact Dorset Police at http://www.dorset.police.uk, via email 101@dorset.pnn.police.uk or by calling 101, quoting incident number 9:179. Alternatively contact Crimestoppers anonymously on 0800 555 111 or via http://www.crimestoppers-uk.org.

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Vietnam/ South China Sea: Tropical Storm Haikui 111200Z 17.8N 115.6E, moving W Slow 998 hPa (JMA) – Updated 11 Nov 2017 1515z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Haikui 30W

( TS Salome in Philippines)

logo

1724-002

TS 1724 (Haikui)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 11 November 2017

<Analysis at 12 UTC, 11 November>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N17°50′ (17.8°)
E115°35′ (115.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 220 km (120 NM)
SE 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 12 November>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N17°30′ (17.5°)
E112°30′ (112.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 90 km (50 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 13 November>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N16°00′ (16.0°)
E109°40′ (109.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 200 km (110 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N14°50′ (14.8°)
E108°00′ (108.0°)
Direction and speed of movement SW Slow
Central pressure 1008 hPa
Radius of probability circle 310 km (170 NM)

Philippines

PAGASA-DOST

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #12-FINAL
FOR:Tropical Storm Salome
Tropical Cyclone: ALERT

ISSUED AT:5:00 AM, 11 November 2017 (PH Time)

TROPICAL STORM “SALOME” IS NOW OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR).

  • Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 200 km diameter of the Tropical Storm.
PAGASA Track Satellite Image
Location of eye/center: At 4:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm “SALOME” was estimated based on all available data at 385 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR) (17.6 °N, 116.8 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 75 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 90 kph
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move Northwest at 20 kph
Forecast Positions:
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow morning): 775 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR)(17.9°N, 113.1°E)
  • 48 Hour(Monday morning):820 km North Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(17.6°N, 110.8°E)
  • 72 Hour(Tuesday morning): 915 km Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(17.0°N, 108.3°E)
NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL

With this development and unless re-entry occurs, this is the final warning for this weather disturbance.

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201730w2201730w_02

Other

wp201730_5day2

(Above image: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

logo

17111121

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 111200

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1724 HAIKUI (1724) 998 HPA
AT 17.8N 115.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 17.5N 112.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 16.0N 109.7E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 14.8N 108.0E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

HIGH SEAS FORECAST JAPAN November 11 2017 – 14:28:37 UTC
HIGH SEAS FORECAST HONG KONG CHINA November 11 2017 – 14:15:59 UTC
HIGH SEAS FORECAST CHINA November 11 2017 – 14:05:54 UTC

 

Philippines

WTPH RPMM 100600

TTT GALE WARNING 7

AT 0600 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM {HAIKUI} (1724) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT NINE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE FIVE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO ZERO METERS PER SECOND NEAR THE CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 110600 ONE SEVEN POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT ZERO EAST AT 120600 ONE SEVEN POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 130600 ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORT TO PHILIPPINE ATMOSPHERIC GEOPHYSICAL AND ASTRONOMICAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION PD

PAGASA

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

Canada/ Ireland/ Atlantic Ocean: Post Tropical Storm RINA 09/1500Z nr 47.0N 45.5W, moving NE 35kt 998mb NHC FL – Updated 09 Nov 2017 2130z (GMT/UTC)

Post-Tropical Cyclone RINA


National Hurricane Center (FL)

 

rb_lalo-animated7

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192017
1500 UTC THU NOV 09 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.0N 45.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….150NE 240SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.0N 45.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.5N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 51.0N 39.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…180NE 240SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 55.0N 25.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 180SE 240SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.0N 45.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE…UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

 

NNNN

 

favicon-mobileCanadian Hurricane Centre (CHC)

track1

Canada Weather Warnings

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RINA is currently located near 44.5 N 47.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). RINA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

201719n2

201719n_02

MARITIME/SHIPPING

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1446

WTNT24 KNHC 091446
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192017
1500 UTC THU NOV 09 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.0N 45.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….150NE 240SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 270SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.0N 45.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.5N 47.0W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 51.0N 39.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…180NE 240SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 55.0N 25.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 180SE 240SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.0N 45.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE…UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

 

=============================================================================

IRELAND

Marine Weather Warnings

STATUS YELLOW

Small Craft Warning
West to southwest winds, later veering west to northwest, will reach force 6 on all Irish coasts this evening and tonight.

Issued:
Thursday 09 November 2017 17:00

United Kingdom

UKMET HIGH SEAS FORECAST: http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/coast_and_sea/high_seas#area-6

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Lifeboat/ Water rescue charities receive £1 million to boost search and rescue efforts – Published 08 Nov 2017 2017z (GMT/UTC)

Water rescue charities receive funding for rescue equipment to keep UK rivers and seas safe.

s300_lifeboat

– MCA 7 Nov 2017

Andaman Islands/ Thailand/ Myanmar/ India: Tropical Depression 29W 071500Z nr 11.3N 99.9E, moving NNW 07 kt (JTWC) – Updated 07 Nov 2017 1925z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE 29W

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT  071200Z IS 6 FEET. – JTWC

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Depression 29W (Twentynine) Warning #06
Issued at 07/1500Z

wp29171

29w_071200sair

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (TWENTYNINE) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
071200Z — NEAR 11.2N 100.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 100.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z — 11.7N 98.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 12.4N 96.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 12.9N 95.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z — 13.4N 93.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z — 14.3N 89.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 99.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (TWENTYNINE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM
SOUTH OF BANGK0K, THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
071200Z IS 6 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND
081500Z./
NNNN

HIMAWARI Imagery

rb_lalo-animated4

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Nov, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE is currently located near 8.3 N 102.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWENTYNINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Myanmar
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chumphon (10.5 N, 99.2 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Prachuap Khiri Khan (11.8 N, 99.8 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
    Ranong (10.0 N, 98.6 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201729w

201729w_0

NCHMF VIETNAM

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING
TC TRACKS
VN Track 29w 07
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING

Analysis positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

19 Tuesday, November 07, 2017 10.9 100.1 TD 50 km/hour

Forecast positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

19 Wednesday, November 08, 2017 12.7 96.3 TD 56 km/hour
Notes for the picture:
Areas of probability wind greater than 6 Beauforts
Areas of probability wind greater than 10 Beauforts
Possible passing areas of TC center
Past positions of TC
Forecast positions of TC
Past positions of TD
Forecast positions of TD
*The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 3:30 AM wednesday, November 07, 2017
Satellite Imagery

MARITIME/SHIPPING

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17110721
METAREA8N / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 1800 

FQIN01 DEMS 071800
GMDSS BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N), NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 1800 UTC 07 NOVEMBERBER 2017.

PART-I: NO STORM WARNING
PART:-II
THE TROUGH OF LOW AT MEAN SEA LEVEL FROM COMORIN AREA TO EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA ACROSS LAKSHADWEEP AREA PERSISTS.
THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA COAST EXTENDING UPTO 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER MALAY PENINSULA AND ADJOINING ANDAMAN SEA. WITH ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.

A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-1)W OF 65 DEG E SW-LY 05/10 KTS
BEC NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 4 DEG N(.)
2)E OF 65 DEG E :NW/W-LY 05/10 KTS BEC W-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE
S OF 5 DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER: 1)S OF 5 DEG N :FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)E OF 72 DEG E TO N OF 5 DEG E FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA ISOLATED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY: 1)S OF 5 DEG N :4-3 NM (.)
2)E OF 72 DEG E TO N OF 5 DEG E 4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA 8-6 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-1 MTR (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)W OF 65 DEG E:SW-LY 05/15 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS TO THE N OF 5 DEG N (.)
2)E OF 65 DEG E :NNW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC W-LY 05/15 KTS TO THE
S OF 5 DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER:-1)S OF 5 DEG N :WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)E OF 70 DEG E TO N OF 5 DEG N:FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:-1)S OF 5 DEG N :3-2 NM (.)
2)E OF 70 DEG E TO N OF 5 DEG N:4-3 NM (.)
3)REST AREA :6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-2 MTR (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)S OF 20 DEG N TO 15 DEG N AND
W OF 70 DEG E:NE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC E-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE W OF 65 DEG E (.)
2)S OF 15 DEG N TO W OF 70 DEG E:NE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
SE-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE W OF 63 DEG E (.)
3)S OF 20 DEG N TO E OF 70 DEG N :NE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
NW-LY 05/10 KTS TO THE S OF 15 DEG N(.)
4)N OF 20 DEG N ANTI-CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS (.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 18 DEG N TO W OF 65 DEG E :
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS(.)
2)S OF 18 DEG N TO E OF 65 DEG E :SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
3)REST AREA FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY:-1)S OF 18 DEG N TO W OF 65 DEG E :4-3 NM(.)
2)S OF 18 DEG N TO E OF 65 DEG E :6-4 NM (.)
3)REST AREA 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-1 MTR (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:1)N OF 20 DEG N:ANTI-CYCLONIC 05/10 KTS(.)
2)S OF 20 DEG N : NNE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC NW-LY 05/10 KTS
TO THE S OF 12 DEG N TO E OF 66 DEG E(.)
II)WEATHER:1)S OF 18 DEG N SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA FAIR (.)
III)VISIBILITY:1)S OF 18 DEG N :6-4 NM (.)
2)REST AREA 10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-1 MTR (.)
BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL:EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG
E AND WEST OF 10 DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG
E AND THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR(.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-1)N OF 5 DEG N NW/N-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
CYCLONIC 05/15 KTS TO THE E OF 85 DEG E (.)
2)S OF 5 DEG N NW/W-LY 05/15 KTS BEC SW/W-LY 05/20 KTS TO THE E
OF 82 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:-WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:-3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-3 MTR (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-1)S OF 5 DEG N:W/SW-LY 10/20 KTS (.)
2)N OF 5 DEG N:NNW-LY 05/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 05/15 KTS TO
THE E OF 85 DEG E (.)
II)WEATHER:-WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:3-2 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-3 MTR (.)
BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION: N/NE-LY 05/15 KTS
BEC CYCLONIC 05/20 KTS TO THE E OF 83 DEG E AND S OF 15 DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER:-1)E OF 85 DEG N WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
2)REST AREA SCATTERED RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:-1)E OF 85 DEG N :3-2 NM (.)
2)REST AREA :6-4 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-0.5-4 MTR (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-NNE-LY 10/25 KTS
BEC CYCLONIC 05/15 TO THE S OF 15 DEG N (.)
II)WEATHER:-FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS (.)
III)VISIBILITY:-4-3 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:1-4 MTR(.)
———————————————
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT(.)
++++

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200 

WWCI50 BABJ 071200
1:31:11:01:00
BT
SECURITE=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1530UTC NOV.07 2017=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200UTC NOV.07=
FCST VALID 1200UTC NOV.08=
WARNNING=
NIL=
SUMMARY=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S GUSTS 18M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER SOUTHWESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
TAIWAN STRAIT AND NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER BOHAI
AND BOHAI
STRAIT AND WESTERN PART OF YELLOW SEA AND WESTERN
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND BEIBU GULF AND ANDAMAN
SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND SEA EAST OF
SINGAPORE AND SUNDA STRAIT AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND LAUT BANDA=
FCST=
BOHAI SEA
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S DECR 07 TO
10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MOD TO SLT
SUNNY VIS GOOD=
BOHAI STRAIT
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD SUNNY VIS GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD SUNNY VIS GOOD=
CENTRAL PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD OVERCAST BECMG SUNNY VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD CLOUDY BECMG SUNNY VIS MOD TO GOOD=
NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
N WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE
MOD TO ROUGH MOD RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR
TO MOD=
TAIWAN STRAIT
NE WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE
MOD TO ROUGH OVERCAST VIS MOD=
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
E WINDS 04 TO 07M/S GUSTS 07 TO 10M/S BACK NE
WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE MOD
LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
BASHI CHANNEL
E WINDS BACK NE 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA
STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
BEIBU GULF
NE WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MOD RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
NORTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE
MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE
MOD LIGHT RAIN BECMG OVERCAST VIS MOD TO GOOD=
WEST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
EAST CENTRAL SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD CLOUDY VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
NE WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD MOD RAIN VIS MOD=
SOUTHEASTERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA
E WINDS BACK NE 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA
STATE MOD MOD RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD=
NORTHEASTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S INCR 14 TO
18M/S GUSTS 18 TO 24M/S SEA STATE ROUGH LIGHT
RAIN VIS MOD TO VERY=
SOUTHWESTERN PART OF JAPAN SEA
SW WINDS VEER N 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA
STATE ROUGH TO MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD TO GOOD=
KOREA STRAIT
SW WINDS VEER NW 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA
STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN BECMG CLOUDY VIS MOD TO
GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN
SW WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S INCR 12 TO
15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE MOD OVERCAST
BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR TO VERY=
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS
E WINDS BACK NE 07 TO 10M/S SEA STATE MOD LIGHT
RAIN VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SEA WEST OF BONIN ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S DECR 07 TO
10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN
VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SEA NORTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
E WINDS 07 TO 10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN
BECMG OVERCAST VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SEA WEST OF NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH TO MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF THE PHILIPPINES
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S INCR 12 TO
15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S SEA STATE MOD TO ROUGH
LIGHT RAIN BECMG MOD RAIN VIS MOD TO GOOD=
SEA WEST OF GUAM
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
ROUGH MOD RAIN VIS POOR TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTHWEST OF THE PHILIPPINES
E WINDS 08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE
MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR TO VERY=
SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA
NE WINDS BACK W 04 TO 07M/S SEA STATE MOD MOD RAIN
BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA
E WINDS 07 TO 10M/S VEER SE WINDS 04 TO 07M/S SEA
STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR=
SEA WEST OF SUMATERA
S WINDS 07 TO 10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S VEER W WINDS
08 TO 12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE MOD MOD
RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR=
SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE
NW WINDS VEER NE 04 TO 07M/S SEA STATE MOD MOD
RAIN BECMG LIGHT RAIN VIS POOR TO GOOD=
SEA SOUTH OF VIETNAM
NE WINDS 07 TO 10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN
VIS MOD TO GOOD=
GULF OF THAILAND
E WINDS 12 TO 15M/S GUSTS 14 TO 18M/S VEER SE
WINDS 07 TO 10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S SEA STATE MOD
MOD RAIN VIS POOR TO MOD=
ANDAMAN SEA
E WINDS 07 TO 10M/S GUSTS 08 TO 12M/S INCR 08 TO
12M/S GUSTS 12 TO 15M/S SEA STATE MOD LIGHT RAIN
VIS MOD=

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Vietnam /Cambobia /Thailand /West Pacific: Severe Tropical Storm DAMREY 28W 022100Z 13.0N 114.4E, moving W 11 kt (JMA) – Updated 02 Nov 2017 2230z (GMT/UTC)

 Severe Tropical Storm DAMREY 28W

(RAMIL in PH)

Damrey expected to become a Typhoon equal to a Category 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale prior to landfall in Vietnam

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 16 FEET – JTWC

logo

1723-001

STS 1723 (Damrey)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 2 November 2017

 <Analysis at 21 UTC, 2 November>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N13°00′ (13.0°)
E114°25′ (114.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 70 km (40 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 440 km (240 NM)
SE 330 km (180 NM)
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N12°30′ (12.5°)
E112°00′ (112.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 150 km (80 NM)
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°25′ (12.4°)
E109°40′ (109.7°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 190 km (100 NM)
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N12°35′ (12.6°)
E105°10′ (105.2°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 1004 hPa
Radius of probability circle 200 km (110 NM)

HIMAWARI Imagery

rb_lalo-animated1

NCHMF VIETNAM

TROPICAL STORM WARNING
TC TRACKS
TROPICAL STORM WARNING

Analysis positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

1 Friday, November 03, 2017 12.9 114.5 STS 93 km/hour

Forecast positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

1 Saturday, November 04, 2017 12.2 110.3 TY 120 km/hour
1 Sunday, November 05, 2017 12.1 105.3 TD 46 km/hour
13 Sunday, November 05, 2017 12.0 103.1 Low 37 km/hour
Notes for the picture:
Areas of probability wind greater than 6 Beauforts
Areas of probability wind greater than 10 Beauforts
Possible passing areas of TC center
Past positions of TC
Forecast positions of TC
Past positions of TD
Forecast positions of TD
*The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 AM Friday, November 03, 2017
Satellite Imagery

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 28W (Damrey) Warning #05
Issued at 02/2100Z

wp28171

28w_021800sair

 

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 28W (DAMREY) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
021800Z — NEAR 12.7N 114.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 114.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z — 12.4N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 12.1N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z — 12.0N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z — 12.0N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z — 11.5N 100.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 113.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 28W (DAMREY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
//
NNNN

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Nov, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DAMREY is currently located near 12.7 N 114.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). DAMREY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Laos
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Phnom Penh (11.6 N, 104.8 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
    Siemreab (13.4 N, 103.9 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

 

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201728w1201728w_01

Other

damrey doc

(Image: DoctorAdvice4u)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

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17110303

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 022100

WTJP31 RJTD 022100
WARNING 022100.
WARNING VALID 032100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1723 DAMREY (1723) 985 HPA
AT 13.0N 114.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030900UTC AT 12.5N 112.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 12.4N 109.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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