Russia: Police arrest 60 St. Peterburg gay pride marchers

76 CRIMES

Gay Star News, among others, reports:

All the participants in today’s St Petersburg gay pride parade have been arrested and are being detained in police vans.

Some participants were badly beaten by anti-gay protestors.

Nikolai Alekseev, one of Russia’s most prominent LGBT activists who was arrested last month for organizing a gay rights march, confirmed with GSN that around 60 fellow activists and pro-gay supporters are now in police custody. …

[He said that] participants were detained for breaching Russia’s ‘gay propaganda’ bill that passed Russia’s upper house in parliament two days ago.

The Russian LGBT Network cited different criminal charges on its Facebook page:

Detained activists were taken to several different police stations. All of them are being charged for disobedience to a lawful police officer’s order and/or violation of the law on public assembly (articles 19.3 and 20.2 of the Code of Administrative Offences).

Some police stations…

View original post 381 more words

Mexico: Invest 96E Tropical Depression expected to form today or tomorrow (NHC) – 290613 1450z

Invest 96E

(image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

National Hurricane Center

(Image: NHC) Eastern Pacific Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Click image for source)

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT JUN 29 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC…EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS
CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER…ENVIRONMENT
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM TODAY
OR TOMORROW. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE…90 PERCENT…OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT AROUND 5 MPH.

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TCFA Graphic (Click image for source)

WTPN21 PHNC 282000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0N 104.5W TO 17.6N 105.3W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
281800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N
104.3W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.8N 104.3W,
APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CONSOLIDATING
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED UNDERNEATH PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION. A 281503Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE
CONSOLIDATING LLCC AND INDICATES FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. A 281601Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS INDICATED 15-20
KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD
DIVERGENCE ALOFT AS WELL AS LOW (5 TO 10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 15 AND 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB.
DUE TO THE INCREASED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
292000Z.//
NNNN

Tracking Info For Invest 96E

(wunderground.com)

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
————————————————————-
06 GMT 06/27/13 10.0N 101.3W 20 1010 Invest
12 GMT 06/27/13 10.5N 103.0W 20 1009 Invest
18 GMT 06/27/13 10.0N 103.0W 20 1009 Invest
00 GMT 06/28/13 10.5N 103.3W 20 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
18 GMT 06/28/13 10.8N 104.3W 25 1008 Invest
00 GMT 06/29/13 10.8N 104.6W 25 1008 Invest
06 GMT 06/29/13 11.1N 104.5W 25 1008 Invest
06 GMT 06/29/13 10.8N 104.4W 25 1008 Invest
12 GMT 06/29/13 11.6N 103.8W 25 1008 Invest
12 GMT 06/29/13 11.6N 103.8W 25 1008 Invest

MARITIME

METAREA12 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 1130

FZPN02 KWBC 291130
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC SAT JUN 29 2013

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUN 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUN 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 01.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 49N169E 978 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM E AND SE AND
240 NM N AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 840 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N177E 977 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM OF
LOW EXCEPT N QUADRANT AND BETWEEN 540 NM AND 780 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N173W 981 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND 240 NM
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 660 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM E
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 34N165E 1013 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N171E 1012 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 45N174W TO 39N178E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE FROM
50N167W TO 36N174E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

…GALE WARNING…
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N160E 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW 31N161E 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN 180 NM N OF A LINE FROM
32N160E TO 35N168E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 47N143W 1007 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SW AND S
QUADRANTS AND BETWEEN 480 NM AND 600 NM E QUADRANT WINDS TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N138W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N138W. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 33N TO 40N BETWEEN 121W AND 125W NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 40N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 36N TO 62N BETWEEN 160W AND
169E…FROM 46N TO 56N BETWEEN 157W AND 144W AND FROM 37N TO 48N
BETWEEN 131W AND 127W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 39N TO 64N BETWEEN 170E AND
160W AND FROM 47N TO 56N BETWEEN 157W AND 145W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 54N BETWEEN 148W AND
170W AND OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 46N170E TO
57N157W.

.HIGH 36N165W 1027 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N166W 1026 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 37N165W 1029 MB.

.HIGH 56N154W 1024 MB MOVING SE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N151W 1022 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 43N124W 1021 MB DRIFTING S.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 34N131W 1022 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N132W 1020 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.FORECASTER MUSONDA. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUN 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 01.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.REMNANT LOW COSME AT 22N131W 1007 MB. WITHIN 270 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
15N BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PRES NEAR 22N137W 1010 MB. N OF
20N W OF LINE 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW
AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW PRES W OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES AT 11N105W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
14N104W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
17N105W 1000 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS
9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT JUN 29…

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES AT 12N127W TO
12N110W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 86W TO 95W AND FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN
106W AND 112W.

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUN 29 2013.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUN 30 2013.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 01 2013.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COLD FRONT FROM 30N144W TO 28N151W CONTINUING AS A STATIONARY
FRONT TO 27N160W. COLD FRONT MOVING E 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT MOVED NE OF AREA. WEAK STATIONARY
FRONT FROM 30N142W TO 28N150W TO 27N163W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED.

.TROUGH FROM 12N164E TO 03N161E MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG
TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.

.TROUGH FROM 08N168W TO 05N174W TO 03N179E MOVING W SLOWLY.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 08N175W TO 03N180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N179W TO 02N179E.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 23N140W TO 16N142W.

.RIDGE FROM 30N180E TO 26N170E TO 23N160E NEARLY STATIONARY.

.RIDGE FROM 29N140W TO 27N148W NEARLY STATIONARY.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS ENTIRE AREA.

.SEAS 9 TO 10 FT N OF A LINE FROM 30N168E TO 29N160E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 FT OR LESS ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 FT OR LESS ENTIRE FORECAST AREA

.OTHERWISE SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF AREA.

.ITCZ FROM 05N140W TO 09N156W TO 08N164W. ISOLATED MODERATE
TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ W OF 150W.

$$
.FORECASTER POWELL. HONOLULU HI.=

Spanish (Google translation):

Invertir 96E

(Pulsa en la imagen para la fuente) Storm-Centered Imagen de satlite: (wunderground.com imagen)

Centro Nacional de Huracanes

(Imagen: NHC) del Pacfico Oriental Tropical Weather Outlook grfica (Click en la imagen para la fuente)

ZCZC MIATWOEP TODO
TTAA00 TJSJ ddhhmm

PERSPECTIVA DE TIEMPO TROPICAL
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT sb 29 de junio 2013

PARA EL PACFICO NORORIENTAL … AL ESTE DE 140 grados de longitud oeste ..

1. DUCHA Y ACTIVIDAD DE TORMENTA ASOCIADA CON UN AREA DE BAJA
PRESIN centrada alrededor de 450 millas al suroeste de Acapulco MEXICO TIENE
Cambiado poco en los PASADAS HORAS. SIN EMBARGO … MEDIO AMBIENTE
CONDICIONES FAVORABLES PARA PERMANECER EN DEPRESION TROPICAL PARA FORMAR HOY
O maana. ESTE SISTEMA TIENE UNA OPORTUNIDAD DE ALTA … DE 90 POR CIENTO …
SE CONVIERTA EN CICLON TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE
GENERALMENTE HACIA EL NORTE A ALREDEDOR DE 5 MPH.

EN OTRA PARTE … FORMACION DE CICLON TROPICAL NO SE ESPERA DURANTE EL
PROXIMAS 48 HORAS.

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN
NNNN
Warning Center del tifn comn (JTWC)

(Imagen: JTWC) FCF grfico (Click en la imagen para la fuente)

Google Earth Grfico Overlay

WTPN21 PHNC 282000
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / CICLN TROPICAL FORMACIN DE ALERTA / /
OBS /
1. FORMACIN DE UN CICLON TROPICAL SIGNIFICATIVO ES POSIBLE DENTRO
140 NM a cada lado de una lnea desde 10.0N 104.5W A 17.6N 105.3W
DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24 HORAS. DATOS DISPONIBLES no justifica
EMISIN DE NMERO AVISOS DE CICLONES TROPICALES EN ESTE MOMENTO. VIENTOS
EN LA ZONA Se estima que hay 15 A 20 NUDOS. MetSat IMGENES EN
281800Z INDICA QUE UN CENTRO DE CIRCULACION SE ENCUENTRA CERCA 10.8N
104.3W. EL SISTEMA SE MUEVE HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A 02 NUDOS.
2. OBSERVACIONES: Es un rea de la conveccin ha persistido CERCA 10.8N 104.3W,
APROXIMADAMENTE 500 NM al sur-suroeste de Acapulco, MEXICO. RECIENTE
ANIMADO IMAGENES DE SATELITE MULTIESPECTRAL INDICA UNA CONSOLIDACIN
BAJO NIVEL DE CIRCULACIN CENTER (LLCC) situado debajo PERSISTENTE
Conveccin profunda. A 281503Z SSMIS MICROONDAS imagen muestra el
CONSOLIDACIN Y LLCC INDICA FORMATIVA convectivas ANILLAMIENTO TRAVES
LA PERIFERIA DEL NORTE. Un PASS dispersometra 281601Z INDICADO 15-20
Nudos de viento que rodea la LLCC. ANLISIS DE NIVEL SUPERIOR INDICA BUENA
Divergencia arriba, as como la baja (de 5 a 10 KTS) VERTICAL CORTE DEL VIENTO.
Vientos mximos sostenidos en la superficie se estiman entre 15 y 20
NUDOS. MINIMO NIVEL DEL MAR DE PRESION SE ESTIMA QUE ESTAR CERCA 1009 MB.
DEBIDO AL AUMENTO DE CONSOLIDACIN DE LA LLCC Y PROFUNDO CONVECTIVO
BANDAS A LO LARGO DE LA PERIFERIA DEL NORTE, EL POTENCIAL PARA LA
DESARROLLO DE UN CICLON TROPICAL SIGNIFICATIVO EN EL PRXIMO 24
HORAS es alto.
3. Esta alerta ser publicada nuevamente pasaron a ADVERTENCIA O CANCELADO POR
292000Z. / /
NNNN
Informacin de Seguimiento Para Invest 96E

(Wunderground.com)

Tiempo Lat Lon Wind (mph) Presin tipo Storm
————————————————– ———–
06 GMT 27/06/13 10.0N 101.3W 20 1010 Invest
12 GMT 27/06/13 10.5N 103.0W 20 1009 Invest
18 GMT 27/06/13 10.0N 103.0W 20 1009 Invest
00 GMT 06/28/13 10.5N 103.3W 20 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
12 GMT 06/28/13 10.7N 104.1W 25 1009 Invest
18 GMT 06/28/13 10.8N 104.3W 25 1008 Invest
00 GMT 06/29/13 10.8N 104.6W 25 1008 Invest
06 GMT 06/29/13 11.1N 104.5W 25 1008 Invest
06 GMT 06/29/13 10.8N 104.4W 25 1008 Invest
12 GMT 06/29/13 11.6N 103.8W 25 1008 Invest
12 GMT 06/29/13 11.6N 103.8W 25 1008 Invest
MARTIMO

METAREA12 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 1130

FZPN02 KWBC 291130
HSFEPI

ALTA MAR pronstico para METAREA XII
NWS MAR CENTRO DE PREDICCIONES WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC sb 29 de junio 2013

CCODE / 1:31:12:01:00 / AOW + POR / NWS / CCODE
SUSTITUIDO POR EXPEDICIN AL LADO DE 6 HORAS

SEAS dan como altura significativa de ola … que es el promedio
ALTURA DE LA MS ALTA 1/3 de las olas. ONDAS individuo puede
Ser ms que dos veces la altura de ola significante.

Scurit

PACFICO N DE 30N Y S DE 67N E DE UNA LNEA DE BERING STRAIT
A 50N 160E

SINOPSIS VLIDO 0600 UTC 29 de junio.
24 HORAS Pronstico vlido 0600 UTC 30 de junio.
48 HORAS Pronstico vlido 0600 UTC 01 de julio.

. ADVERTENCIAS.

GALE … ADVERTENCIA …
. BAJA 49N169E 978 MB MUEVE NE 15 KT. DENTRO DE 360 NM E Y SE Y
240 NM N y NW cuadrantes VIENTOS DE 30 A 40 KT. OLEAJE DE 12 A 21 FT.
Otro punto de 480 nm de centro, salvo 840 NM SE CUADRANTE
VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. OLEAJE DE 8 A 14 FT.
0.24 hora Pronstico BAJOS 54N177E 977 MB. DENTRO DE 360 NM S SEMICRCULO
VIENTOS DE 30 A 40 KT. SEAS 14 a 23 pies. Otro punto de 540 nm de
Baja, excepto N CUADRANTE Y ENTRE 540 nm y 780 nm NE QUADRANT
VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. OLEAJE DE 8 A 15 FT.
0.48 hora Pronstico BAJOS 59N173W 981 MB. DENTRO DE 480 NM S y 240 NM
SE CUADRANTES VIENTOS DEL 25 AL 35 KT. SEAS 12 a 20 pies. OTRO MS
AGUAS DE PREDICCIN EN 660 NM S SEMICRCULO y 360 NM E
Semicrculos VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. OLEAJE DE 8 A 14 FT.

GALE … ADVERTENCIA …
BAJA. 34N165E 1013 MB MOVIMIENTO NE 25 KT. DENTRO DE 120 NM SE CUADRANTE
VIENTOS DE HASTA 25 KT. OLEAJE A 8 FT.
0.12 hora Pronstico BAJOS 36N171E 1012 MB. DENTRO DE 120 NM E DE UNA LNEA
DE 45N174W AL VIENTO 39N178E 25 A 35 KT. OLEAJE DE 9 A 13 FT.
0.24 hora Pronstico BAJA disipado. DENTRO DE 300 NM E DE UNA LNEA DE
50N167W AL VIENTO 36N174E 20 A 30 KT. OLEAJE DE 8 A 12 FT.
0.48 CONDICIONES DE PREDICCIN HORA disminuido.

GALE … ADVERTENCIA …
0.24 hora Pronstico BAJOS 31N160E 1008 MB. DENTRO DE 360 NM NE QUADRANT
VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. SEAS A 9 FT.
0.36 hora Pronstico BAJOS 31N161E 1010 MB. DENTRO DE 180 NM NE QUADRANT
VIENTOS DE 25 A 35 KT. SEAS A 10 FT.
0.48 hora Pronstico BAJA disipado. DENTRO DE 180 NM N DE UNA LNEA DE
32N160E A 35N168E VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. SEAS A 10 FT.

. SINOPSIS Y PRONSTICO.

. BAJA 47N143W 1007 MB MOVIMIENTO E 10 KT. DENTRO DE 300 NM SW Y S
CUADRANTES y entre 480 nm y 600 nm cuadrante E vientos 25
KT. SEAS menos de 8 FT.
0.24 hora Pronstico BAJOS 48N138W 1008 MB. DENTRO DE 240 NM NW
SEMICIRCULO VIENTOS DE 25 KT. OLEAJE A 8 FT.
0.48 hora Pronstico 48N138W BAJO. Vientos del NE a 25 KT. SEAS MENOS
De 8 pies.

. DE 33N A 40N ENTRE 121W 125W Y NO LOS VIENTOS DE HASTA 25 KT. SEAS
A 8 FT.
0.24 HORA PREVISTA DE 31N A 40N ENTRE 120W 126W Y AREA DE
NW VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. SEAS A 11 FT.
0.48 HORA PREVISTA DE 30N A 40N ENTRE 120W 125W Y AREA DE
NW VIENTOS DE 20 A 30 KT. SEAS A 11 FT.

. Densa niebla. VSBY menor que 1 nm DE 36N A 62N ENTRE 160W Y
169E … DE 46N A 56N ENTRE 157W Y 144W Y DE 37N A 48N
Y ENTRE 131W 127W.
0.24 hora Pronstico densa niebla DE 39N A 64N ENTRE 170E Y
160W Y DE 47N A 56N ENTRE 157W Y 145W.
0.48 hora Pronstico densa niebla DE 40N A 54N ENTRE 148W Y
170W Y PREVISIONES SOBRE AGUAS N DE UNA LNEA DE 46N170E A
57N157W.

. HIGH 36N165W 1027 MB casi estacionario.
0.24 hora Pronstico ALTA 37N166W 1026 MB.
0.48 hora Pronstico ALTA 37N165W 1029 MB.

. HIGH 56N154W 1024 MB SE MUEVE 10 KT.
0.24 hora Pronstico ALTA 54N151W 1022 MB.
0.48 hora Pronstico HIGH disipado.

. HIGH 43N124W 1021 MB DERIVA S.
0.24 hora Pronstico HIGH disipado.

. HIGH 34N131W 1022 MB casi estacionario.
0.24 hora Pronstico ALTA 34N132W 1020 MB.
0.48 hora Pronstico HIGH disipado.

. PRONOSTICADOR Musonda. OCANO Centro de Prediccin.

CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL

E PACIFICO DEL ECUADOR PARA 30N E DE 140W.

SINOPSIS VLIDO 0000 UTC Sab Jun 29.
24 HOUR 0000 UTC Pronstico vlido dom 30 de junio.
48 HOUR 0000 UTC Pronstico vlido lun 01 de julio.

. ADVERTENCIAS.

. NINGUNO.

. SINOPSIS Y PRONSTICO

. COSME REMANENTE BAJA EN 22N131W 1007 MB. DENTRO DE 270 NM N
SEMICIRCULO VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT. OLEAJE DE 9 A 12 FT. EN OTRA PARTE N de
15N ENTRE 125W 137W Y VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior. OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 M
EN MEZCLA SW y NW hincharse.
0.24 hora Pronstico para Remanente PRES BAJO CERCA 22N137W 1010 MB. N DE
20N W DE LINEA 134W VIENTOS 20 kt o inferior. SEAS A 9 FT EN MEZCLA SW
Y NO hincharse.
0.48 hora Pronstico REMANENTE BAJA PRES W DEL AREA. VIENTOS 20 kt o
MENOS. SEAS menos de 8 FT.

PRES. BAJA EN 11N105W 1008 MB. DENTRO DE 150 NM E semicrculo VIENTOS
20 A 25 KT. SEAS A 9 FT.
0.24 hora Pronstico PRES BAJO … CICLN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
14N104W 1005 MB. DENTRO DE 240 NM SE semicrculo VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT.
OLEAJE DE 8 A 11 FT.
0.48 hora Pronstico PRES BAJO … CICLN TROPICAL CERCA POSIBLE …
17N105W MB 1000. DENTRO DE 120 NM VIENTOS DEL CENTRO DE 25 A 30 KT. SEAS
9 A 12 FT. Otro punto de 240 NM NW y 150 NM SW semicrculos
VIENTOS DE 20 A 25 KT. OLEAJE DE 8 A 10 PIES.

. RESTO DE VIENTOS AREA 20 kt o inferior. SEAS menos de 8 FT.

CONVECCIN VLIDO 0900 UTC sb 29 de junio …

. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCIA ZONE / vaguada monznica …
MONZN DEL CANAL DE 11N86W a 1008 MB PRES BAJO EN 12N127W A
12N110W A 07N140W. DISPERSADAS MODERADA A FUERTE EN 180 NM
Cada lado del eje desde 86W 95W Y DE 06N A 12N ENTRE
106W Y 112W.

DGS. Pronosticador. CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES.

SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA HONOLULU HI
PACFICO NORTE ECUADOR A 30N ENTRE 140W Y 160E

SINOPSIS VLIDO 0600 UTC 29 de junio 2013.
24 HORAS Pronstico vlido 0600 UTC 30 de junio 2013.
48 HORAS Pronstico vlido 0600 UTC 01 de julio 2013.

. ADVERTENCIAS.

. NINGUNO.

. SINOPSIS Y PRONSTICO.

. COLD FRONT DE 30N144W 28N151W PARA CONTINUAR COMO FIJO
FRENTE AL 27N160W. Frente fro E 10 KT.
0.24 hora Pronstico FRENTE FRO MOVIDO NE DE AREA. DBIL ESTACIONARIO
FRENTE DE 30N142W A 28N150W A 27N163W.
0.48 hora Pronstico FRONT disipado.

. CANAL DE 12N164E PARA MUDANZAS 03N161E W 15 KT. DISPERSADAS FUERTE
Lluvias dentro de los 150 Nm de canal.
0.24 hora Pronstico CANAL MOVIDO W DEL AREA.

. CANAL DE 08N168W A 05N174W PARA MUDANZAS 03N179E W LENTAMENTE.
Lluvias MODERADO AISLADAS EN 120 NM DE CANAL.
0.24 hora Pronstico CANAL DE 08N175W A 03N180W.
0.48 hora Pronstico CANAL DE 09N179W A 02N179E.

0.48 hora Pronstico CANAL DE 23N140W A 16N142W.

. RIDGE DE 30N180E A 26N170E A 23N160E CASI ESTACIONARIO.

. RIDGE DE 29N140W A 27N148W CASI ESTACIONARIO.

. VIENTOS 20 KT O REA TOTAL MENOS.

. OLEAJE DE 9 A 10 PIES N DE UNA LNEA DE 30N168E A 29N160E.
0.24 hora Pronstico SEAS 8 FT O PRONSTICOS DE REA MENOS entero.
0.48 hora Pronstico SEAS 8 FT O MENOS DE PRONSTICOS DE REA TOTAL

OTRO. SEAS 8 FT O MENOS POR EL RESTO DEL AREA.

. ZCIT DE 05N140W A 09N156W A 08N164W. AISLADO MODERADO
Lluvias DENTRO DE 90 NM ZCIT W DE 150W.

$ $
. PRONOSTICADOR Powell. HONOLULU HI. =

South Africa: Nelson Mandela ‘Stable’ And ‘Trying To Open Eyes’ – 270613 2000z

“Mandela’s fate lies with God” – Mandla

news24.com 2013-06-27 21:17

 

 

Johannesburg – Former president Nelson Mandela‘s condition is stable though still critical, as the presidency announced, his grandson Mandla Mandela said on Thursday.

“Every improvement in my grandfather’s health is cause for celebration for many of us,” he said in a statement.

 

He continued to be heartened by the messages of support for the ailing icon, but was disappointed by the few who continued to spread rumours about his health.

 

“I call upon those responsible to desist from spreading mischievous rumours about Madiba‘s state of health. Our government has been keeping all of us informed in this regard and there is no reason to doubt the accuracy of the information they provide to the public,” he said.

 

“At the end of the day my grandfather’s fate, like that of everyone else, lies with God and our ancestors.”

 

Mandla Mandela visited his grandfather in hospital earlier on Thursday.

 

He said the family continued to be grateful to government, the ANC, and the doctors in charge of Mandela’s health during “this difficult period”.

 

The presidency announced around mid-afternoon on Thursday that Mandela’s condition had improved during the night.

 

According to the presidency’s statement: “President Jacob Zuma visited former president Nelson Mandela in hospital in Pretoria today, 27 June, and was informed by the medical team that Madiba‘s condition has improved during the course of the night.

 

“He remains critical, but is now stable,” spokesperson Mac Maharaj said.

 

– SAPA

Mandela ‘Stable’ And ‘Trying To Open Eyes’

SKY NEWS 6:07pm UK, Thursday 27 June 2013

The President says Nelson Mandela’s condition has improved overnight, as the icon’s daughter slams media “vultures”.

Nelson Mandela’s daughter has hit out at “racists” and “vultures” in the media, as the presidency says the anti-apartheid icon has improved overnight.

After visiting him in his Pretoria hospital,Makaziwe Mandelasaid her father – who is reportedly no longer able to breathe unassisted – is still “very critical”.

“Anything is imminent, but I want to emphasise again that it is only God who knows when the time to go is,” she told the public broadcaster SABC.

“I won’t lie, it doesn’t look good. But as I say, if we speak to him, he responds and tries to open his eyes.

“He’s still there. He might be waning off, but he’s still there.”

She also criticised the “crass” media frenzy, likening the media to vultures.

White balloons released outside Nelson Mandela hospital
Balloons were released outside the hospital

“It’s like truly vultures waiting when a lion has devoured a buffalo, waiting there you know for the last carcasses, that’s the image that we have as a family,” she said.

“And we don’t mind the interest but I just think that it has gone overboard.”

She also accused the foreign media of “a racist element” by crossing cultural boundaries.

“They violate all boundaries,” she said.

“Is it because we’re an African country that people just feel they can’t respect any laws of this country, they can violate everything in the book? I just think it’s in bad taste, it’s crass.”

Nelson Mandela are hung up at a mass prayer meeting  at Luhlaza High School in Khayelitsha in Cape Town
Mandela pictures are hung up at a mass prayer meeting at a Cape Town school

Her comments come as South African President Jacob Zumaalso visited Mr Mandela, saying the ailing former leader remained critical but stable.

“He is much better today than he was when I saw him last night. The medical team continues to do a sterling job,” MrZuma said in a statement.

The President abruptly cancelled a trip to Mozambique after making a late night visit to the revered former leader.

It is the first time Mr Zuma has scrapped a public engagement since Mr Mandela entered hospital on June 8.

South Africans have been praying, singing and dancing outside the Mediclinic Heart Hospital, where the 94-year-old anti-apartheid leader was taken with a recurring lung infection.

Crowds gathered outside Mr Mandela's hospital in Pretoria
Crowds have been singing and dancing outside the Medi-Clinic Heart Hospital

Sky News Correspondent Alex Crawford, who is outside the hospital, said the mood is celebratory.

A group of children released 95 white balloons after praying for the Nobel Peace Prize winner.

“There seems to be a determined effort to actually celebrate what Nelson Mandela has achieved throughout his life and pay homage to the fact that he is engaged in yet another fight right to the end,” Crawford said.

US President Barack Obama, who is in Senegal for his first significant tour of Africa,has paid tribute to Mr Mandela, saying he is a “hero for the world”whose legacy will live on throughout the ages.

Mr Obama is planning to visit South Africa on Friday as part of his African tour.

Barack Obama
Mr Obama says Mr Mandela is a “hero for the world”

The White House has said that it will defer to MrMandela’s family over whether the President would visit his political hero in hospital.

The two men met in 2005 when Mr Obama was a newly elected senator and the former South African president was in Washington and have spoken by telephone since.

They have not met in person since then, although Michelle Obama met with Mr Mandela during a trip in 2011.

China: Tropical Cyclone Rumbia/Gorio: No longer valid, outdated (151013) – 020713 1520z

(Image: wunderground.com) West Pacific IR loop (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, please call at telephone
numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to
www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

(Scroll down for translation to Filipino and Chinese

Mag-scroll pababa para sa pagsasalin sa Filipino at Chinese

向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)
Hong Kong Observatory
ZCZC 238
WTPQ20 BABJ 021200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD RUMBIA 1306 (1306) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC
00HR 24.1N 108.4E 998HPA 16M/S
P12HR NW 25KM/H=
NNNN

Japan Meteorological agency RSMC Tokyo Tropical Cyclone Advisory

(Image: JMA) 5 day track/intensity forecast

TD
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 2 July 2013

<Analyses at 02/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N2400′(24.0)
E10800′(108.0)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 017 (FINAL)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
020000Z — NEAR 21.4N 110.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 110.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 109.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 231 NM
EASTWARD OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A WEAKENING TREND IN THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF
THE SYSTEM AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE. RADAR
IMAGERY FROM HAIKOU, CHINA, SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING HAS BECOME
LESS DEFINED AND CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT AS STRONG (25-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. TS 06W IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF
LAND AND FURTHER INCREASING VWS ERODE THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN
Westernpacificweather

Rumbia weakens, Strong Storm floods NE China, next Korea and Japan

“Tropical Storm Rumbia made landfall during the early morning hours on Tuesday bringing gale force winds and heavy rainfall the southernmost portions of China.

The storm is expected to rapidly weaken through Wednesday as it looses its moisture source and friction over southern china tears the base of the storm apart. Still up to 200mm can be expected in some isolated areas in Yunnan province and parts of Northern Vietnam as the storm drops all the rainfall it carried ashore.

Rumbia has been blamed for seven deaths in the Philippines. Six of them children under the age of 10 and all the deaths only coming from two families aboard an overturned boat.  This is why we stress to always make safe decisions and if your not sure if something is safe or not. There is a good chance it is not. It would always be best just to wait for the weather to pass.

Today we are now turning our attention north at a large low pressure system in North East china which is riding atop of the rainy season boundary which has been impacting the weekend the past several weeks. The Yangzi river basin was sharing in on this sour weather but now the boundary is shifting farther north and creating yet more flooding conditions along the way. In Hebei province 213mm of rainfall was reported in the past 24hrs. Now the storm will still likely bring flash flooding to the region, but it is also working its way east. So through Tuesday night in to Wednesday parts of far east Russia, and the Korean Peninsula will receive some of the

Korea Radar

heaviest rainfall along with thunderstorms. The wet and unstable weather will increase from this storm system in Japan producing widespread showers across most of the country on Wednesday.  Heaviest stuff in the Sea of Japan coast and through much of Western Japan. Tokyo could still see a thunder shower or two flare up in the afternoon hours as temperatures climb in to the high 20s.

Okinawa on the other hand will remain relatively dry with only tropical showers possible near the southern Japanese islands. The rainy season officially ended in the Amami region on Monday and now it is still shifting farther north bringing with it the persistent and sour weather showers that were hitting the area in June.

On the tail end of the rainy season front wide spread showers will still be expected through Central China and North of the Yangzi river basin.  Wide spread accumulations up to 50-100mm can be expected here with isolated amounts exceeding 200mm.  In Sichuan province severe floods were seen this past weekend due to this frontal area creating havoc in many towns in villages across central portions of the country. 11 deaths have been reported due to the heavy rains.

A weak tropical wave is also impacting the Philippines with heavy rain showers and scattered thunderstorms today. Already a few locations have lost power due to isolated stronger cells. –westernpacificweather.com

 

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

 

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 21.4 N 110.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1306 RUMBIA (1306) 996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 25.1N 107.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 27.6N 105.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Filipino (Google translation)

PAGASA-DOST
Tropical bagyo Update
Sa ngayon, walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad (par).

Chinese (Google translation):

(圖片提供:wunderground.com)西太平洋IR迴路(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)
風暴中心的衛星圖像
(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

PAGASA外輪理貨
PAGASA外輪理貨
熱帶氣旋更新
截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區(PAR)存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,請撥打電話
927-1335和927-2877或登錄
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph&#12290;

(向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯

磁渦旋pababa第一個pagsasalin一個菲律賓人在中國
向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)

日本氣象廳東京RSMC熱帶氣旋諮詢

(圖片提供:JMA)5天軌道/強度預測

TD
2013年7月,在12:45 UTC發行
在2月12日UTC> <Analyses
秤 –
強度 –
TD
中心位置N2400’(24.0)
E10800’(108.0)
方向和速度機芯淨重30公里每小時(15克拉)
中央壓力1000hPa

聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)
TC警告圖形
(點擊圖片源)

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶風暴06W(溫比亞)警告NR 017(決賽)
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
020000Z —近21.4N 110.0E
運動過去六小時 – 325度11 KTS
位置精確到060海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 050 KT,陣風065 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
重複POSIT:21.4N 110.0E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量24 HR POSIT:330度/ 10節

24小時,有效的:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.1N 109.6E 020300Z位置附近。
熱帶風暴(TS)06W(溫比亞),位於約231 nm
向東,越南河內西北以11節的速度跟踪
在過去的六個小時。動畫多光譜衛星圖像
繼續描繪出疲軟態勢的整體結構
深對流系統持續減少。雷達
從海口,中國,圖像顯示緊密彎已成為BANDING
定義和對流變淺。上級分析
揭示了一個惡劣的環境強(25-35節)垂直風
剪切(VWS)已成為主要特徵。 TS 06W有望
繼續跟踪北西北沿西北
西南邊緣通過STR預測期內
在未來24小時內就會消失的摩擦效應
侵蝕土地,並進一步增加VWS系統。這是最後的
此系統的珍珠港HI聯合颱風WRNCEN的警告。
該系統將密切監察再生的跡象。/ /

Westernpacificweather
溫比亞減弱,強暴雨洪水中國東北,明年韓國和日本
2013年7月2由robspeta未發布

熱帶風暴溫比亞在上週二清晨登陸,帶來強風和暴雨中國最南端的部分。

風暴預計將迅速減弱至週三,因為它失去其水分來源和摩擦在中國南部的眼淚風暴除了基地。仍可達200mm,可以預計,在一些偏遠地區的雲南省和越南北部的部分地區風暴下降的降雨進行上岸。

溫比亞已被指責為七人死亡,菲律賓。其中六人未滿10歲的兒童和所有死亡掀翻船一艘來自兩個家庭。答:這是為什麼我們總是強調安全的決定,如果你不知道,如果事情是安全與否。這是一個很好的機會,它不是。這將永遠是最好的,只是等待天氣通過。

今天,現在我們把我們的注意力在一個大型低壓系統已影響到週末在過去幾個星期的雨季邊界之上這是騎在中國東北部北部。長江流域分享這種酸酸的天氣,但現在的邊界轉向更遠的北方,一路上和創造更多的洪水條件。河北省降雨213毫米是在過去24小時。現在風暴仍可能會帶來山洪的地區,但它也正在一路向東。因此,通過週二晚上(星期三)俄羅斯遠東地區,朝鮮半島會收到一些

韓國雷達

最重的降雨以及雷暴。潮濕和不穩定的天氣將增加從這場風暴系統在日本廣泛陣雨在大多數國家Wednesday.最重的東西在日本海沿岸,並通過了西日本。東京仍然可以看到一個雷陣雨或兩個火炬在下午隨著氣溫攀升到20。

唯一的熱帶陣雨可能在日本南部島嶼附近沖繩另一方面將保持相對乾燥。雨季正式在奄美地區在週一結束,現在它仍然是轉向更遠的北方帶來了它的持久性和的酸味天氣陣雨擊中該地區在6月。

在雨季前廣為流傳淋浴的尾部仍然可以通過揚子江basin.廣泛傳播藏中國中部和北部50-100mm的預期,在這裡可以預期與隔離金額超過200mm.四川省嚴重的洪澇災害,看到過去的這個週末,由於這個額葉區域,跨國家的中央部分村莊造成嚴重破壞,在許多城鎮。已報告11人死亡,由於大雨。

一個弱的熱帶波也影響菲律賓今天有大雨陣雨和分散的雷暴。少數地方已經失去動力由於孤立更強的細胞。westernpacificweather.com

TSR logoNW太平洋發出暴風警報在7月2,2013 0:00 GMT(最後警告)

熱帶風暴溫比亞(06W)目前位於近21.4東經110.0 E的預測,取得土地的可能性(次)在給定的領先時間(s):

黃色警示國家(S)或省(S)
中國
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為25%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S)
湛江(21.2 N,110.3)
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為10%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
茂名(21.9東經110.9)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
北海(21.6 N,109.2)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
南寧(22.8 N,108.3)
變性人的概率是65%,在12小時內

需要注意的是
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30%的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風,63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
海事

航運熱帶氣旋警告
METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
警告020600。
警告有效030600。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
1306熱帶風暴溫比亞(1306)996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E華南西北移動10海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風35海裡。
超過30節的風速120公里東半圓和90英里半徑
在別處。
預測位置在50英里半徑25.1N 107.1E 021800UTC
70%的概率圓。
1000百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。
預測位置在75英里半徑27.6N 105.5E 030600UTC
70%的概率圓。
1002百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。

日本氣象廳。

Mexico: Tropical Storm (03E) COSME weakens, likely to become remnant low later today – 270613 1620z

Tropical Storm Cosme

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

National Hurricane Center

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COSME ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013
800 AM PDT THU JUN 27 2013

…COSME CONTINUES TO WEAKEN…
…LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.4N 120.9W
ABOUT 725 MI…1170 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 120.9 WEST. COSME IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH…26 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH COSME HAS DISSIPATED…AND THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF…LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY COSME ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO TO LOS MOCHIS…AND
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

MARITIME

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1440

WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013
1500 UTC THU JUN 27 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT……. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 120.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.9N 123.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.4N 125.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 128.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 135.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.0N 139.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 120.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Spanish (Bing translation):

WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

 

BOLETN
TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME ASESOR NMERO 17
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP032013
800 AM PDT JUE 27 DE JUNIO DE 2013

 

…COSME SIGUE DEBILITA…
…PROBABILIDADES DE CONVERTIRSE EN UNA BAJA DE REMANENTE HOY MS ADELANTE…
RESUMEN DE 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC… INFORMACIN
———————————————-
UBICACIN…20.4N 120.9W
UNOS 725 MI…1170 KM OSO DE CABO SAN LUCAS MXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL…ONO O 285 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA…26 KM/H
PRESIN MNIMA CENTRAL…1003 MB…29,62 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
——————–
EXISTEN ADVERTENCIAS NI RELOJES COSTEROS EN EFECTO.
DISCUSIN Y PERSPECTIVAS DE 48 HORAS
——————————
800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME FUE
SITUADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20,4 NORTE…120.9 DE LONGITUD OESTE. COSME ES
MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH…26 KM/H. UN GIRO
HACIA EL OESTE, SE ESPERA QUE DURANTE EL DA SIGUIENTE O.

 

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CASI 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
CON RACHAS SUPERIORES. IMGENES SATELITALES MUESTRAN QUE LA TEMPESTAD DE TRUENOS
ACTIVIDAD ASOCIADA A COSME HA DISIPADO…Y EL SISTEMA ES
ESPERA QUE DEGENERAN EN UNA ZONA DE REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESIN MS TARDE
HOY EN DA.

 

VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS…140 KM
PRINCIPALMENTE AL NORTE DEL CENTRO.

 

LA PRESIN CENTRAL MNIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MB…29,62 PULGADAS.
RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
SURF…GRANDES OLEAJES GENERADOS POR COSME ESTN AFECTANDO A LAS PORCIONES DE LA
PACFICO COSTA DE MXICO DE ACAPULCO CERCA A LOS MOCHIS…Y
LA PENNSULA DE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ESTN PROBABLES QUE ESTAS OLAS
CAUSAR CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS OLAS Y CORRIENTE DE RESACA PARA EL DA SIGUIENTE O
.
ASESOR PRXIMO
————-
ASESORAMIENTO COMPLETO SIGUIENTE…200 PM PDT.

 

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN

MARTIMO

 

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1440

 

WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

 

TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME PRONSTICO Y ASESORAMIENTO NMERO 17
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP032013
1500 UTC JUE 27 DE JUNIO DE 2013

 

EXISTEN ADVERTENCIAS NI RELOJES COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

 

TORMENTA TROPICAL CENTRO SITUADO CERCA DE 20.4N 120.9W EN 27/1500Z
POSICIN EXACTA DENTRO DE 20 NM

 

PRESENTE MOVIMIENTO HACIA LOS OESTE-NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 14 KT

 

LA PRESIN CENTRAL MNIMA ESTIMADA 1003 MB
MAX SOSTENIDO VIENTOS 35 KT, CON RFAGAS DE HASTA 45 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
MARES DE 12 PIES…300NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
VIENTOS Y MARES VARAN CONSIDERABLEMENTE EN CADA CUADRANTE. RADIOS EN NUTICA
MILES SON LOS RADIOS MS GRANDES ESPERADOS EN CUALQUIER LUGAR EN CUADRANTE.

 

REPETIR…CENTRO SITUADO CERCA DE 20.4N 120.9W EN 27/1500Z
EN 27/1200Z CENTRO SE LOCALIZABA CERCA DE 20.1N 120.1W

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 28/0000Z 20.9N 123.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 30 KT…RFAGAS 40 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 28/1200Z 21.4N 125.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 25 KT…RFAGAS 35 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 29/0000Z 21.5N 128.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 25 KT…RFAGAS 35 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 29/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 30/1200Z 21.5N 135.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

OUTLOOK EXTENDIDA. NOTA…ERRORES DE PISTA HAN PROMEDIADO CERCA DE 150 NM
EL DA 4 Y 175 NM EL DA 5… Y PARA INTENSIDAD CERCA DE 15 KT CADA DA

 

PERSPECTIVA VLIDA 01/1200Z 22.0N 139.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

OUTLOOK 02/1200Z VLIDO…DISIPADA

 

SOLICITUD DE 3 POR HORA SE ENVAN INFORMES A 300 KM DE 20.4N 120.9W

 

SIGUIENTE ADVISORY EN 27/2100Z

 

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN