Okinawa/ Japan/ South Korea/ Russia/ West Pacific: Typhoon LAN 25W 201500Z 20.9N 130.3E, moving N 7kt (JTWC) – Updated 20 Oct 2017 1550z (GMT/UTC)

TYPHOON LAN (25W)

(=CATEGORY 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 36 FEET – JTWC

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Typhoon 25W (Lan) Warning #21
Issued at 20/1500Z

wp25173

wp2517200925W_201200sair LAN 20

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN32 PGTW 201500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 25W (LAN) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
201200Z — NEAR 20.4N 130.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 010 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 130.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z — 22.2N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
315 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
305 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
345 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z — 24.7N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
295 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
335 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
385 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z — 27.6N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 355 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
305 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
345 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
420 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z — 31.8N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
375 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
420 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 33 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z — 41.2N 147.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 375 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
480 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 130.3E.
TYPHOON 25W (LAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 389 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 36
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

logo

1721-003

992

SOURCE: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/

TY 1721 (Lan)
Issued at 12:50 UTC, 20 October 2017

<Analysis at 12 UTC, 20 October>
Scale Very large
Intensity Strong
Center position N20°00′ (20.0°)
E130°20′ (130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 220 km (120 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area S 950 km (500 NM)
N 750 km (400 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 21 October>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N22°05′ (22.1°)
E130°40′ (130.7°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 945 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 300 km (160 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 21 October>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N24°50′ (24.8°)
E131°35′ (131.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure 945 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of probability circle 150 km (80 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 370 km (200 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 22 October>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N31°25′ (31.4°)
E134°55′ (134.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35 km/h (18 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of probability circle 280 km (150 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 500 km (270 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 23 October>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N40°55′ (40.9°)
E145°10′ (145.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 60 km/h (32 kt)
Central pressure 970 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 410 km (220 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 600 km (325 NM)

NOAA

vis_lalo-animated

TROPICAL STORM (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon LAN is currently located near 20.4 N 130.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). LAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

 

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201725w3201725w_03

Other

wp201725_5day3

wp201725_sat2

(Above 2 images: @wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

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17102021

WTJP22 RJTD 201200
WARNING 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1721 LAN (1721) 950 HPA
AT 20.0N 130.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 22.1N 130.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 24.8N 131.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 31.4N 134.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 40.9N 145.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Japan/ Russia: Tropical Storm Talim 20W 17/1500Z update from JTWC and others – Updated 17 Sep 2017 1547z (GMT/UTC)

 Tropical Storm Talim 20W

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 16 FEET – JTWC

(Please check comments at bottom of page for updates)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 20W (Talim) Warning #36
Issued at 17/1500Z

 

 

wp2017 TALIM JTWC 17

20W_171200sair TALIM 17

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (TALIM) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
171200Z — NEAR 34.1N 134.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 050 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N 134.4E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z — 39.5N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
390 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 29 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z — 44.8N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
440 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 35.5N 135.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 20W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF
IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z.//
NNNN

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

1718-00 TALIM JMA 17

JP WARNING

SOURCE: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/

rb_lalo-animated3

STS 1718 (Talim)
Issued at 14:45 UTC, 17 September 2017

<Analysis at 14 UTC, 17 September>
Scale Large
Intensity
Center position N35°20′ (35.3°)
E135°40′ (135.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 60 km/h (32 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area SE 190 km (100 NM)
NW 130 km (70 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 500 km (270 NM)
<Estimate for 15 UTC, 17 September>
Scale Large
Intensity
Center position N35°40′ (35.7°)
E136°05′ (136.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 60 km/h (32 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area SE 190 km (100 NM)
NW 130 km (70 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 500 km (270 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 September>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N40°40′ (40.7°)
E139°25′ (139.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 60 km/h (33 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
Storm warning area NE 410 km (220 NM)
SW 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 18 September>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N45°50′ (45.8°)
E142°35′ (142.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 50 km/h (28 kt)
Central pressure 970 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 150 km (80 NM)
Storm warning area E 600 km (325 NM)
W 370 km (200 NM)

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM is currently located near 34.1 N 134.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201720W TALIM TSR1 17

201720W_0 TALIM TSR2 17

Russia

17.9.2017 16:00 | Day 18 September with saving until the end of the day in the Kaliningrad region, heavy rain is expected to wind up to 25 m/s.

17.9.2017 12:00 | On the night of September 18 in the Orenburg region expected freezing on soil (temperature to -2°).

16.9.2017 22:00 | Day 17 September and the first half of the night 18 September in the Irkutsk region precipitation (rain, wet snow), wind 18-23 m/s, storms, the establishment of a temporary snow cover.

16.9.2017 07:00 | 18 September in the South Kuril and Kuril regions expected strong winds up to 35-40 m/s (hurricane), strong, sometimes very heavy rain (15-49 mm, 50 mm or more for 12:00).

16.9.2017 07:00 | 18 September in southern Sakhalin and Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk is expected to be very heavy rain (30 mm for 12:00), wind 25-30 m/s, gusts of 33-38 m/s (hurricane); 19 September in rivers podjomy water levels on the sharp 0.5 m -1.0.

16.9.2017 07:00 | 18 and 19 September night in the East of Primorsky Krai expected places heavy rain (15-45 mm for 12:00 or less), wind 15-20 m/s, on the coast with gusts up to 28 m/s.

“In Monday, when Typhoon Talim will move along the western coast of Japan on water area of the sea of Japan, it will have an impact on the weather, the eastern half of the Primorski Krai. Rains of varying intensity, on the East coast of possible heavy rains and strong winds to the 20-25 m/s.

Ex-Talim will bring on Sakhalin and southern Kuril Islands rain and wind up to 15-20 m/s In the zone Tuesday spread to Northern Sakhalin and the Kuril Islands. In Thursday afternoon in the southern area of the wind will die down, the Northern Islands will still windy.” – Russian National Forecaster (link)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

JP MARITIME 17

JP WX MAP 17

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21 RJTD 171200
WARNING 171200.
WARNING VALID 181200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1718 TALIM (1718) 975 HPA
AT 34.4N 134.6E SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHEAST 26 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 40.7N 139.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 45.8N 142.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Japan/ Korea: Typhoon Noru 07W 031600Z nr 28.3°N 132.8°E, moving WNW 10 km/h 6kt(JMA) – Updated 03 Aug 2017 1720z (GMT/UTC)

Typhoon Noru 07W

(= CATEGORY 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

⚠️ Japan BEWARE!!   Korea BE AWARE!

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 34 FEET – JTWC

wp201707_5day Noru wund 03 aug

(Image: @wunderground)

wp201707_sat_anim noru wund sat 03 .gif

1705-00 NURU JMA 03a

1705-00 NURU JMA 03

WARN 03

Himawari 8 near real time (link)

TY 1705 (Noru)
Issued at 16:40 UTC, 3 August 2017

<Analysis at 16 UTC, 3 August>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N28°20′ (28.3°)
E132°50′ (132.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 130 km (70 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 330 km (180 NM)
<Estimate for 17 UTC, 3 August>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N28°20′ (28.3°)
E132°40′ (132.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 130 km (70 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 330 km (180 NM)
<Forecast for 03 UTC, 4 August>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N28°30′ (28.5°)
E131°30′ (131.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 945 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 190 km (100 NM)
<Forecast for 15 UTC, 4 August>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N28°40′ (28.7°)
E130°25′ (130.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slow
Central pressure 945 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of probability circle 90 km (50 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 5 August>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N29°20′ (29.3°)
E129°25′ (129.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 940 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (90 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65 m/s (130 kt)
Radius of probability circle 180 km (95 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 310 km (170 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 6 August>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N31°20′ (31.3°)
E130°00′ (130.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 940 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (90 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65 m/s (130 kt)
Radius of probability circle 310 km (170 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 440 km (240 NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Typhoon 07W (Noru) Warning #56
Issued at 03/1500Z

wp0717 JTWC 03

07W_031200sair 03

IR Sat

 

WTPN31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 07W (NORU) WARNING NR 056
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
031200Z — NEAR 28.3N 133.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N 133.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z — 28.7N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z — 29.1N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z — 29.6N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z — 30.4N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z — 32.4N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z — 36.3N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z — 40.6N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 28.4N 132.9E.
TYPHOON 07W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 NM EAST-NORTHEAST
OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 34
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 13W (NALGAE) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

TROPICAL STORM RISK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Aug, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NORU is currently located near 28.3 N 133.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). NORU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201707W 03 TSR1

(Image: TSR)

201707W_0 03 TSR2

(Image: TSR)

Other

Typhoon Noru poses a growing threat to southern Japan – Category 6

“Residents of Japan’s southern islands need to keep a close eye on Typhoon Noru. Noru was a strong Category 2 storm as of 12Z Tuesday, with top sustained winds (1-minute) of 90 knots (105 mph) as estimated by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). After hurtling to Category 5 intensity on Sunday, the typhoon weakened gradually on Monday as it lost the benefit of a high-altitude outflow channel. However, Noru is expected to re-intensify as it moves slowly northwest toward Japan, where it will encounter slightly warmer waters (above 30°C or 86°F), and into a region with more favorable upper-level winds.

Noru’s northwest track is expected to bend slightly westward as it moves around a compact upper-level high parked near South Korea and the Sea of Japan. This is good news for Japan’s key population centers, including Tokyo, as it would take the typhoon well to their southwest. The large southern island of Kyushu, and the smaller archipelago of the Ryukyu Islands, may not be so lucky. By this weekend, the JTWC track brings Noru toward the west coast of Kyushu as a Category 3 storm. Such a track would put Kyushu on the more dangerous right-hand side of the typhoon. The official three-day outlook from the Japan Meteorological Agency angles Noru more toward the west over the next three days, which would bring the strongest impacts into the more sparsely populated Ryukyu Islands. A crucial question is how quickly the small upper high to the north of Noru breaks down, which is very difficult to predict at this point. The cone of uncertainty for Noru is, in reality, larger than is currently being depicted, given the higher-than-usual uncertainties in the evolution of the steering flow for the typhoon.

For what it’s worth, the operational runs of both the European and GFS models re-intensify Noru into a fearsome super typhoon. The 0Z Tuesday run of the Euro model took Noru on a track similar to the JTWC forecast, looping just to the west of Kyushu, while the 0Z and 6Z Tuesday runs of the GFS moved Noru on a slower, more northward track that would affect Kyushu as well as parts of central Japan. Both models deepened Noru below 900 mb by this weekend, which would imply the possibility of a Category 5 supertyphoon, but these values are very likely unrealistic. This may be a good example of the current tendency of global models to over-deepen strong tropical cyclones at subtropical latitudes (roughly north of 25°N). Until recent years, the global models featured resolution that was too coarse to replicate the lowest pressures at the heart of strong tropical cyclones. Today, the upgraded, higher-resolution models can produce very low surface pressures more readily, but they do not fully account for the ocean-atmosphere interaction across subtropical regions. At these latitudes, late-summer ocean temperatures can be very warm over a very shallow layer that is quickly disrupted by a strong hurricane or typhoon. (Thanks to Julian Heming, UK Met Office, for this background.) We should look at the HWRF model, which is our best intensity model, for guidance on how strong Noru might get. The 06Z Tuesday run of the HWRF model rebuilds Noru to Category 4 strength with 140 mph winds, and predicts a track that would take the storm well west of Kyushu.” – Dr. Jeff Masters & Bob Henson atCategory 6

MARITIME/SHIPPING

seawarn 03a

(Image: JMA)

jma map 03

(Image: JMA)

 

(Image: JMA)

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 021200

WTJP31 RJTD 031500
WARNING 031500.
WARNING VALID 041500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1705 NORU (1705) 950 HPA
AT 28.3N 133.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040300UTC AT 28.5N 131.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041500UTC AT 28.7N 130.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Japan/ West Pacific: Severe Tropical Storm Nanmadol (1703, 05W) 04/1000Z nr 34.1N 137.1E, moving E 65 km/h (36 kt) (JMA) – Updated 04 Jul 2017 1130z (GMT/UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Nanmadol (1703, 05W)

JAPAN beware!

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

 

 

STS 1703 (Nanmadol)
Issued at 10:45 UTC, 4 July 2017

<Analysis at 10 UTC, 4 July>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N34°05′ (34.1°)
E137°05′ (137.1°)
Direction and speed of movement E 65 km/h (36 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area S 220 km (120 NM)
N 110 km (60 NM)
<Estimate for 11 UTC, 4 July>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N34°10′ (34.2°)
E137°50′ (137.8°)
Direction and speed of movement E 65 km/h (36 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area S 220 km (120 NM)
N 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 21 UTC, 4 July>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N35°40′ (35.7°)
E144°00′ (144.0°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 60 km/h (32 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
<Forecast for 09 UTC, 5 July>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N37°20′ (37.3°)
E151°35′ (151.6°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 60 km/h (32 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 150 km (80 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 6 July>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N44°30′ (44.5°)
E171°10′ (171.2°)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 85 km/h (45 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 280 km (150 NM)

===============================================================

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 05W (Nanmadol) Warning #10
Issued at 04/0900Z

 

3 Hour Position Update Graphic <>Valid 04/0900Z

 

 

WTPN31 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (NANMADOL) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
040600Z — NEAR 33.6N 134.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 075 DEGREES AT 34 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.6N 134.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z — 35.3N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 33 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z — 36.9N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
040900Z POSITION NEAR 34.0N 136.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 05W (NANMADOL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 117 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 34
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.//
NNNN

Tropical Storm Risk

NW Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 4 Jul, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NANMADOL is currently located near 33.6 N 134.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). NANMADOL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

(Image: TSR)

(Image: TSR)

News Report

 

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 040600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600.
WARNING VALID 050600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E
46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E 30N 140E 35N
140E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY.
LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 164E NORTH 15 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 17N 133E NW 15 KT.
HIGH 1006 HPA AT 43N 148E ESE 10 KT.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 122E TO 36N 124E 37N 131E 39N 140E 37N 146E
37N 151E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1703 NANMADOL (1703) 992 HPA AT 33.6N 134.2E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 040900

WTJP31 RJTD 040900
WARNING 040900.
WARNING VALID 050900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1703 NANMADOL (1703) 992 HPA
AT 34.1N 136.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 36 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 042100UTC AT 35.7N 144.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050900UTC AT 37.3N 151.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Kyushu/ Japan/ South Korea: Typhoon Goni (16W) 24/1500Z 30.5N 129.5E, moving NNE at 20 knots (JMA) – Updated 24 Aug 2015 1725Z (GMT/UTC)

Typhoon Goni / Ineng 16W

( = CATEGORY 3 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 40 FEET- JTWC

Okinawa, Kyushu, JAPAN BEWARE!!

 Taiwan, South Korea, North Korea, Russia & China be aware!

Landfall over Kyushu is expected close to midnight tonight UK time (2300 GMT/UTC)

– UK Met Office

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1515-00 24 1600z
Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

15082421

CLICK IMAGE FOR LATEST WARNINGS

CLICK IMAGE FOR LATEST WARNINGS

TY 1515 (GONI)
Issued at 16:45 UTC, 24 August 2015

<Analyses at 24/16 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N30°50′(30.8°)
E129°35′(129.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more SE170km(90NM)
NW90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL460km(250NM)
<Estimate for 24/17 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N31°05′(31.1°)
E129°50′(129.8°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more SE170km(90NM)
NW90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL460km(250NM)
<Forecast for 24/21 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N32°25′(32.4°)
E130°20′(130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 60km(30NM)
Storm warning area SE200km(110NM)
NW140km(75NM)
<Forecast for 25/03 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N34°35′(34.6°)
E131°00′(131.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area SE220km(120NM)
NW170km(90NM)
<Forecast for 25/09 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N35°50′(35.8°)
E131°25′(131.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area SE240km(130NM)
NW190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 25/15 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N36°55′(36.9°)
E131°35′(131.6°)
Direction and speed of movement N 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area SE240km(130NM)
NW200km(110NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Typhoon 16W (Goni) Warning #43
Issued at 24/1500Z

wp1615 24

wp16152409

16W_241132sair

Google Earth Graphic Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 16W (GONI) WARNING NR 043
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
241200Z — NEAR 29.6N 128.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 035 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N 128.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z — 33.1N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z — 36.2N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 14 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z — 38.9N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z — 42.0N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 30.5N 129.2E.
TYPHOON 16W (GONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 40
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (ATSANI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
Prognostic Reasoning

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 29.6 N 128.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201516W 24

Real-time monitoring by Himawari-8 satellite (Click here)

Typhoon Goni set for landfall over Japan – UK Met Office

24 August 2015 – The very active typhoon season in the Pacific Ocean has continued with intense typhoons Goni and Atsani tracking across the ocean during the last week

Whilst Atsani has stayed out at sea, Goni moved very close to the northern tip of the Philippines before making a sharp turn northwards. The typhoon then passed close to Taiwan before starting to move across the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. On Sunday the eye of Typhoon Goni passed over the island of Ishigaki with wind gusts of over 150 mph being recorded.

Goni is still a powerful typhoon as it accelerates north-eastwards towards south-western parts of mainland Japan. Landfall over Kyushu is expected close to midnight tonight UK time (2300 GMT/UTC) . Wind speeds in excess of 100 mph and heavy rain is expected bringing the risk of structural damage, damaging waves, flooding and landslides.

Typhoons Goni and Atsani on 20 August 2015. Image courtesy of The National Institute of Informatics

Typhoons Goni and Atsani on 20 August 2015. Image courtesy of The National Institute of Informatics 

The latest typhoons are part of an extremely active season for tropical cyclones across the whole Pacific Ocean brought about by the developing strong El Niño. In total there have been 28 tropical storms across the northern Pacific this year which includes 18 typhoons or hurricanes (different names for the same features in the west and east Pacific). 13 of the typhoons or hurricanes have been strong enough to be classified as ‘major’ on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Meanwhile the Atlantic has been relatively quiet with just four tropical cyclones so far this season. However, in the last few days Danny became the first hurricane of the season and, despite being downgraded to a tropical storm, is bringing windy and wet conditions to the Leeward Islands of the Caribbean.

Official warnings for the latest tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific are produced by the Japan Meteorological Agency. The Met Office routinely supplies predictions of cyclone tracks from its global forecast model to regional meteorological centres worldwide, which are used along with guidance from other models in the production of forecasts and guidance. We also provide updates on current tropical storms via on Twitter.

Last updated: 24 August 2015

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 241500

WTJP31 RJTD 241500
WARNING 241500.
WARNING VALID 251500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1515 GONI (1515) 940 HPA
AT 30.5N 129.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 34.6N 131.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 36.9N 131.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY..=

There may be more warnings here:  METAREA XI

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Korea/ China: Severe Tropical Storm Chan-Hom (09W) 12/1500Z POSITION nr 37.5N 125.1E, moving N/NNE 20 knots (JTWC) – Updated 120715 1500z (GMT/UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Chan-Hom (09W)

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 20 FEET. (JTWC)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1509-00 c12

Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

15071215 c12

STS 1509 (CHAN-HOM)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 12 July 2015

<Analyses at 12/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N36°35′(36.6°)
E125°00′(125.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more E600km(325NM)
W390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 13/00 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N39°40′(39.7°)
E127°00′(127.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 13/12 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N42°10′(42.2°)
E130°30′(130.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 09W (Chan-hom) Warning #49
Issued at 12/1500Z

wp0915 c12

3 Hour Position Update Graphic <>Valid 11/2100Z

3 Hour Position Update Graphic <>Valid 11/2100Z

09W_112332sams c12

WTPN31 PGTW 121500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 049
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
121200Z — NEAR 36.8N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 015 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 36.8N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z — 39.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z — 40.9N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 37.5N 125.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF INCHON, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (NANGKA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 36.8 N 124.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    P’yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Ch’ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201509W_0 c12

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

seawarn c12

CLICK IMAGE FOR MORE DETAIL

WTJP21 RJTD 121200
WARNING 121200.
WARNING VALID 131200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1509 CHAN-HOM (1509) 980 HPA
AT 36.6N 125.0E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 39.7N 127.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 42.2N 130.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

WWJP25 RJTD 120600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED
BY 15N 176E 15N 180E 13N 180E 13N 176E 15N 176E FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED
BY 13N 176E 13N 180E 11N 180E 11N 176E 13N 176E FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 136E 33N 136E
35N 137E 36N 143E 43N 146E 56N 163E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N
160E 32N 142E 32N 136E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 132E ENE 10 KT.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 153E SE 15 KT.
HIGH 1010 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 1511 NANGKA (1511) 950 HPA AT 18.6N 137.6E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1509 CHAN-HOM (1509) 975 HPA AT 34.9N 124.2E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Further warnings exist for METAREA XI http://weather.gmdss.org/XI.html

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

South Korea: 16 killed, 11 seriously injured, at k-pop concert in Seongnam – Published 181014 1435z

Sixteen people watching an outdoor pop concert in South Korea fell 60 feet to their deaths Friday when a ventilation grate they were standing on collapsed, officials said.

Photos of the scene in Seongnam, just south of Seoul, showed a deep concrete shaft under the broken grate. Seongnam city spokesman Kim Nam-jun announced the deaths in a televised briefing and said 11 others were seriously injured.

Fire officials, speaking on condition of anonymity because of office rules, said the victims were standing on the grate while watching an outdoor performance by girls’ band 4Minute, which is popular across Asia.

About 700 people had gathered to watch the concert, which was part of a local festival. Fire officials said many of the dead and injured appeared to be commuters who stopped to watch the concert after leaving work.

Most of the dead were men in their 30s and 40s, while five were women in their 20s and 30s, they said. Kim said it was believed that the grate collapsed under the weight of the people. Prime Minister Chung Hong-won visited an emergency center in Seongnam and urged officials to focus on helping the victims’ families and ensure the injured get proper treatment, Kim said.

A video recorded by someone at the concert that was shown on the YTN television network showed the band continuing to dance for a while in front of a crowd that appeared to be unaware of the accident.

Dozens of people were shown standing next to the ventilation grate, gazing into the dark gaping hole where people had been standing to watch the performance. YTN said the ventilation grate was about 3 to 4 meters (10 to 12 feet) wide.

Photos apparently taken at the scene showed that the ventilation grate reached to the shoulders of many passers-by.

The collapse came as South Korea is still struggling with the aftermath of a ferry disaster in April that left more than 300 people dead or missing. For a time, the sinking jolted South Korea into thinking about safety issues that had been almost universally overlooked as the country rose from poverty and war to an Asian power.

The tragedy exposed regulatory failures that appear to have allowed the ferry Sewol to set off with far more cargo than it could safely carry.

Family members say miscommunications and delays during rescue efforts doomed their loved ones. Analysts say many safety problems in the country stem from little regulation, light punishment for violators and wide ignorance about safety in general – and a tendency to value economic advancement over all else.

Friday, 17 October, 2014 at 17:21 (05:21 PM) UTC RSOE

Videos

From YTN News:

 

Japan/ Russia: Severe Tropical Storm HALONG 11W 101800Z nr 41.2N 137.3E, moving N at 45km/h(25kt)(JMA) 2 Dead, 1.6 million displaced (WestPacWx) – Updated 100814 2130z (UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm 1411 /11W HALONG

Japan: 2 Dead, 1.6 million displaced (WestPacWx)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

 

Japan Meteorological agency (RSMC Tokyo is the lead agency in this area)

Click map for source

Click map for source

Japan Radar

Japan Radar and Nowcasts (Precipitation, Thunder, Tornadoes) CLICK IMAGE FOR SOURCE AND ANIMATION – JMA

Currently valid Warnings/Advisories

Click on image for source

STS 1411 (HALONG)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 10 August 2014

<Analyses at 10/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N41°10′(41.2°)
E137°20′(137.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N 45km/h(25kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE560km(300NM)
NW390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 11/06 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N44°00′(44.0°)
E137°05′(137.1°)
Direction and speed of movement N 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 966hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 11/18 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N46°50′(46.8°)
E136°40′(136.7°)
Direction and speed of movement N 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
 Unit:

1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

 

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Aug, 2014 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm HALONG (11W) currently located near 34.1 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

Click image for source (tropicalstormrisk.com)

STS Halong Leaves 2 Dead and over a million displaced (Sunday Afternoon Update)

Halong Leaves Japan

Severe Tropical Storm Halong tore across Western Japan Sunday Afternoon bringing torrential rain and gale force winds. Now the storm is moving out over the sea of Japan but outer rain bands will continue to impact Japan through Monday.

Two deaths have now been a direct result of the storm, over 1.6 million people have been displaced and millions of dollars in damages have occurred due to flooding.

NHK is reporting a women died due to flood waters in the Takamatsu River Sunday. Saturday morning a 78 year old man was swept away in rising flood waters in Iwate Prefecture.

Furthermore this weekend is the Obon weekend in Japan where millions of people are traveling to visit the graves of ancestors.  With over 400 flights cancelled and Shinkansen lines shut down many of those people are stuck at airports and stations waiting for service to resume.

Typhoon Broadcast Cut Short For Earthquake Broadcast

To cap things off a 6.1M earthquake sent a scare through residents of northern Japan around 1PM JST. The image to the right shows typhoon warnings being aired on NHK with the earthquake warning over laid.

The disaster unfolding across Japan should come as no surprised though, this storm has been slowly working its way north towards Japan for nearly a week now. Following Tropical Storm Nakri which brough torrential rainfall and then a stationary front that lingered over Japan this week the grounds of Shikoku, Kyushu and Western Honshu were already saturated and unable to bring in any more rainfall.

Now in the past 48hrs along Typhoon Nakri has dumped well over 1,000mm in parts of Kochi Prefecture on Shikoku. While other parts of western Japan have seen above 800mm in total. You can find this information at this link. 

For only the second time in 2014 JMA has issued an emergency warning. It was issued in Mie Prefecture for ground loosening rains. This is the highest level on JMAs warning scale and indicates a very serious threat to the loss of life.

In Shimamoto near where Videographer and Westpacwx Team Member James Reynolds is there has been reports of damage to homes after rivers in the Shimamoto river swelled when Halong came ashore. You can follow his twitter account as he documents the storm there below.

..

 

..

Western Pacific Weather first reported on this threat a week ago after the storm passed Guam and started tracked towards Japan.

Halong will continue to track over the Sea of Japan Sunday Night through Monday pulling in moisture from the south and eventually getting sheared to the east. What this means in short is heavy rainfall can be expected across Central and Northern Japan to start off the work week.

Over 100mm even in to the Tokyo area is possible as well. Around noon on Sunday Tornado Advisories were issued in the Tokyo Metro area due to strong cells rolling through the city.

For the most part the weather in Tokyo should not be to severe but it will be enough to cause delays on the roads and even localized flooding.

 

Halong Information

COULD RUSSIA GET HIT BY A TYPHOON OR A TS?

The bigger question is could the Russian Far East get impacted by Tropical Storm Strength winds, that seems like a more likely yes, but will Halong maintain its tropical characteristics farther to the north is unlikely. We will continue to track the progression of the storm but even Vladivostok could be looking at rough conditions by Monday and Tuesday of this coming week.

MARITIME/SHIPPING

CLICK IMAGE FOR SOURCE

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP22 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1411 HALONG (1411) 975 HPA
AT 41.2N 137.3E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 44.0N 137.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
966 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 46.8N 136.7E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1800

WWJP25 RJTD 101800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA
AT 54N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST SLOWLY.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 168E TO 56N 173E 55N 179E.
WARM FRONT FROM 55N 179E TO 54N 180E 52N 177W 48N 174W.
COLD FRONT FROM 55N 179E TO 50N 175E 46N 170E 43N 165E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 165E TO 41N 159E 40N 153E 40N 146E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400
MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 47N 152E
55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 40N 170E 38N 153E 42N 143E.
SUMMARY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1006 HPA AT 33N 116E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 61N 142E SSE SLOWLY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 153E ESE 10 KT.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY.
WARM FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 43N 141E 41N 143E 40N 146E.
COLD FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 36N 131E 34N 125E.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 1413 GENEVIEVE (1413) 965 HPA AT 31.5N 172.1E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1411 HALONG (1411) 975 HPA AT 41.2N 137.3E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com/maps/npacific/mappage.htm

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

South Korea/ Yellow Sea: Severe Tropical Storm NAKRI 1412 12W 021500Z near 33.7N 124.8E, moving N at 10km/h(6kt)(JMA) – Updated 020814 1837z (UTC)

Tropical Storm NAKRI

1412 (JMA) #12W (JTWC)

 9/02/20149/03/2014

THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS NOW OUT OF DATE

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency (JMA is the lead agency in this area)

Currently valid Warnings/Advisories

TS 1412 (NAKRI)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 2 August 2014

<Analyses at 02/15 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N33°40′(33.7°)
E124°50′(124.8°)
Direction and speed of movement N 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more E560km(300NM)
W370km(200NM)
<Forecast for 03/03 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N34°50′(34.8°)
E124°35′(124.6°)
Direction and speed of movement N 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 03/15 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N35°25′(35.4°)
E125°10′(125.2°)
Direction and speed of movement NE Slowly
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
<Forecast for 04/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N36°30′(36.5°)
E126°50′(126.8°)
Direction and speed of movement NE Slowly
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 05/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N38°00′(38.0°)
E129°00′(129.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
 Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

South Korea

Korea Meteorological Administration

No.12 NAKRI

Issued at(KST) : 2014.08.03. 01:00

Date(UTC) Position Central Pressure (hPa) Maximum Sustained
Wind(m/s)
Radius of 15 m/s(km) Intensity Scale Moving Direction Moving Speed(km/h) Radius of 70% probability(km)
Lat
(N)
Lon
(E)
m/s km/h
2014.08.02. 15:00 Analysis 33.5 124.7 985 25 90 300
(NNE 260)
Normal Medium N 11
2014.08.03. 03:00 Forecast 34.6 124.8 990 24 86 250
(NNE 220)
Weak Small N 10 100
2014.08.03. 15:00 Forecast 35.5 125.1 994 21 76 210
(NNE 180)
Weak Small NNE 9 150
2014.08.04. 03:00 Forecast 36.1 125.6 996 19 68 150
(NE 120)
Weak Small NE 7 210
2014.08.04. 15:00 Forecast 36.6 126.2 1000 NE 6

�� It is provided only for the typhoon information in progress. The past information could be found in National Typhoon Center homepage.

�� National Typhoon Center Homepage

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1214.gif

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp12140215.gif

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/12W_021132sair.jpg

WTPN32 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
021200Z — NEAR 33.3N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.3N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z — 34.4N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z — 35.3N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z — 36.1N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z — 36.9N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z — 39.0N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
021500Z POSITION NEAR 33.6N 124.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 12W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 182 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF KUNSAN AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z
IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z, 030300Z, 030900Z AND
031500Z. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 11W (HALONG) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Prognostic Reasoning

TSR logo

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2014 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NAKRI (12W) currently located near 32.7 N 124.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
    Ch’ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    P’yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

Other Reports

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 021200
WARNING 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1412 NAKRI (1412) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 980 HPA
AT 33.3N 124.5E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS EXCEPT NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 34.6N 124.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS EXCEPT NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 35.4N 125.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS EXCEPT NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 36.5N 126.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 38.0N 129.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1200

WWJP25 RJTD 021200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 51N 157E
60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 160E 36N 150E 42N 143E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 142E ESE SLOWLY.
LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 153E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 174E EAST SLOWLY.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 1411 HALONG (1411) 935 HPA AT 14.9N 135.1E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1412 NAKRI (1412) 980 HPA AT 33.3N 124.5E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA /1200

WWCI50 BABJ 021200
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1530UTC AUG.02 2014=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200UTC AUG. 02=
FORECAST VALID 1200UTC AUG. 03=
WARNNING=
SUPER TY HALONG 1411(1411) 940HPA AT 15.1N 135.1E
MOVING WNW 12KM/H AND MAX WINDS 58M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 19.0M) AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
300KM NORTHEAST
450KM SOUTHEAST
480KM SOUTHWEST
300KM NORTHWEST
AND PADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS
160KM NORTHEAST
180KM SOUTHEAST
210KM SOUTHWEST
150KM NORTHWEST
AND PADIUS OF 64KTS WINDS
70KM NORTHEAST
70KM SOUTHEAST
80KM SOUTHWEST
70KM NORTHWEST
AND FORECAST FOR 031200UTC AT 16.2N 132.5E 910HPA
AND MAX WINDS 65M/S NEAR CENTER=
TS NAKRI 1412(1412) 985HPA AT 32.8N 124.6E
MOVING NNW 12KM/H AND MAX WINDS 23M/S NEAR CENTER
(SEAS UP TO 7.0M) AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS
400KM NORTHEAST
450KM SOUTHEAST
400KM SOUTHWEST
350KM NORTHWEST
AND FORECAST FOR 031200UTC AT 35.3N 125.1E 995HPA
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S GUST 23M/S SEAS UP TO 5.5M
OVER SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 16 TO 23M/S GUST 28M/S SEAS
UP TO 6.0M OVER NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 10 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND BASHI CHANNEL AND SOUTH PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 23M/S SEAS UP TO
6.0M OVER KOREA STRAIT=
SLY WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO
4.0M OVER SEA NEAR RYUKYU ISLANDS AND SEA SOUTHWEST
OF JAPAN=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 38 TO 50M/S SEAS UP TO 15.0M
OVER SEA WEST OF NORTH MARIANA ISLANDS=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 20 TO 28M/S SEAS UP TO 9.0M
OVER SEA WEST OF GUAM=
WINDS FROM 42 TO 52M/S SEAS UP TO 17.0M OVER SEAS
NEAR CENTER OF HALONG=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTH PART
OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND
SEA NORTHEAST OF TAIWAN AND KOREA STRAIT AND SEA
SOUTHWEST OF JAPAN AND SEA WEST OF NORTH MARIANA
ISLANDS AND ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA
AND SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT BANDA AND LAUT MALUKU=
FORECAST=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 16 TO 24M/S GUST 25 TO 32M/S
SEAS UP TO 7.0M OVER MIDDLE AND SOUTH PARTS OF
YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NE WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS
UP TO 4.0M OVER NORTH PART OF YELLOW SEA=
NE WINDS FROM 07 TO 13M/S GUST 17M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER BOHAI SEA AND BOHAI STRAIT=
SW WINDS FROM 07 TO 13M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT
AND MIDDLE PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER SEA
EAST OF TAIWAN AND BASHI CHANNEL AND SOUTH PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 17M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER
SOUTHWEST PART FO JAPAN SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 16 TO 24M/S SEAS UP TO 7.0M OVER
KOREA STRAIT=
SLY/SE WINDS FROM 08 TO 17M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER
SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN=
NW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S WILL INCREASE FROM 18 TO
24M/S SEAS UP TO 7.0M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF THE
PHILIPPINES=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 33 TO 41M/S SEAS UP TO 14.0M
OVER SEA WEST OF NORTH MARIANA ISLANDS=
SW WINDS FROM 18 TO 24M/S SEAS UP TO 7.0M OVER SEA
WEST OF GUAM=
WINDS FROM 50 TO 60M/S SEAS UP TO 18.0M OVER
SEAS NEAR CENTER OF HALONG=

Japan/South Korea: STS(TS-SS) Danas 081500Z near 35.2N 130.8E , moving NE at 23 knots (JTWC) between Korea and Kyushu – 081013 1725z

Severe Tropical Storm (JMA)/Tropical Storm (JTWC)

DANAS

TROPICAL STORM 23W (DANAS) WARNING NR 021 (FINAL WARNING)
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 23W (JTWC)

Danas continues to race north east today over Tsushima island in between Korea and Kyushu

Westernpacificweather.com

(Scroll down for Japanese and Korean translations) (日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)(일본과 한국 번역을 위해 아래로 스크롤)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

(Image: JMA)

STS 1324 (DANAS)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 8 October 2013

<Analyses at 08/15 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N3455′(34.9)
E13025′(130.4)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE280km(150NM)
SW220km(120NM)
<Estimate for 08/16 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N3505′(35.1)
E13040′(130.7)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE280km(150NM)
SW220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 08/21 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N3625′(36.4)
E13230′(132.5)
Direction and speed of movement NE 45km/h(23kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 60km(30NM)
<Forecast for 09/03 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N3800′(38.0)
E13510′(135.2)
Direction and speed of movement NE 45km/h(25kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 09/09 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N3930′(39.5)
E13830′(138.5)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 50km/h(28kt)
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 150km(80NM)
<Forecast for 09/15 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N4055′(40.9)
E14235′(142.6)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 60km/h(32kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 240km(130NM)

Unit:

Currently valid Warnings/Advisories

(Image: JMA) Current Warnings (Click image for source)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2313.gif

(Image: JTWC) TC track (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (DANAS) WARNING NR 021 (FINAL WARNING)
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 23W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
081200Z — NEAR 34.5N 129.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 040 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.5N 129.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z — 37.3N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z — 40.0N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 34 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z — 42.5N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 35.2N 130.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 23W (DANAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 84 NM NORTH OF
SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 23W
HAS ACCELERATED TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. RADAR
IMAGERY FROM KYUSHU INDICATES THE PASSAGE OF THE LLCC OVER TSUSHIMA
IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED, UNFAVORABLE SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), AND DRY COOL AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE HAVE RAPIDLY WEAKENED THE SYSTEM. DECREASING SST
VALUES (22 TO 23 CELSIUS) AND VERY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (40
PLUS KNOTS) WILL LEAD TO A COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU
12. BASED ON THE RECENT ACCELERATION OF THE LLCC AND INCREASINGLY
HARSH ENVIRONMENT, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 081200Z IS 40 FEET.//
NNNN

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm DANAS (23W) currently located near 34.5 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Other Reports

Typhoon Danas impacts Japan and S. Korea. Evening Update

Published on October 8, 2013 by // Westernpacificweather.com

Radar Kyushu

Typhoon Danas continues to race north east today over Tsushima island in between Korea and Kyushu.

Max winds recorded thus far have been gust up to 126kph in Nagasaki Prefecture. In the Kii Peninsula farther to the east but still being impacted by moisture inflow from the south rain reports have been recorded over 100mm in just a three hour span.

The good news is the worst of the weather is still off shore and Danas has picked up the pace even faster than it was going before. This means conditions will rapidly improve behind the storm for western Japan and South Korea through the evening hours.

Numerous flights have been cancelled across Western Japan.

For the Military in Sasebo TCCOR1 is still in place. For those in Iwakuni you will likely get TS strength winds but unless there is an intense squall line I do not anticipate winds above 50kts for there.

Damage in Nagasaki following Danas

Damage in Nagasaki following Danas

The main threat from Danas will continue to be the heavy rainfall. Over 200mm in some areas is forecast along the Sea of Japan coastline of Kyushu and Honshu through Wednesday morning. This could result in the risk of flooding and landslides.

On the flip side of this storm, southerly winds have ushered in Record breaking temperatures for the month of October in much of Kyushu. The Mercury hitting the low 30s in many areas.

In Northern Honshu the storm roll over head through Wednesday evening. Winds will be gusting over Tropical Storm Strength for many of those in coastal areas of northern Honshu. Heavy flooding rains will also be a threat in Aomori extending south through Tohoku.

JMA TRACK

Tokyo should miss the worst of the weather but a passing shower due to the instability in the atmosphere is not completely out of the question.

Key thing to always remember as far as safety. Always follow the warnings from your local official agency. And if it looks dangerous outside, your senses are probably correct. Always play it safe.

After Danas hits Japan it will run north to the northern pacific as a Significant extra-tropical low.

Westernpacificweather.com

(Video credit: Westernpacificweather.com)

MARITIME

(Image: JMA) Marine Warnings (Click image for source)

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1324 DANAS (1324) 985 HPA
AT 34.9N 130.4E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 38.0N 135.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 40.9N 142.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1200

WWJP25 RJTD 081200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 55N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 55N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 15.0N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 15.1N 131.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 12.7N 150.9E TRUKS ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 13.5N 149.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 153E 52N 158E
48N 167E 44N 162E 42N 155E 47N 153E.
SUMMARY.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 117E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 133E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 169E EAST 15 KT.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 129E TO 37N 134E 38N 142E.
REMARKS.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1324 DANAS (1324) 980 HPA AT 34.5N 129.5E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Japanese (Translated by Google)

日本/韓国:重度の熱帯性低気圧(TS- SS) Danas
081500Z 130.8E 35.2N近く、
081013 1725z – 韓国と九州の間に位置する23ノット( JTWC )でNEを移動

重度の熱帯性低気圧( JMA ) /トロピカルストーム( JTWC )
DANAS

TROPICAL STORM 23W ( DANAS )警告NR 021 ( FINAL WARNING )
TYPHOON 23W ( JTWC )ダウングレード

” Danas韓国と九州の間にある対馬島にわたって今日北東レースを続けて”

Westernpacificweather.com

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン) (日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン) ( 일본과한국번역을위해아래로스크롤 )

(画像: wunderground.com )衛星(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: wunderground.com ) 5日間の予報(ソース画像をクリック)

気象庁

(画像: JMA )
STS 1324 ( DANAS )
午前15時45分UTC 、 2013年10月8日に発行される
8月15日UTC>で<Analyses
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N34 55 ‘ (34.9 )
E130 25 ‘ ( 130.4 )
動きNE毎時35キロ( 20カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧985hPa
中央25メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 50カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 70カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上NE280km ( 150nmの)
SW220km ( 120nmの)
8月16日UTC>ため<Estimate
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N35 05 ‘ ( 35.1 )
E130 40 ‘ ( 130.7 )
動きNE毎時35キロ( 20カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧985hPa
中央25メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 50カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 70カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上NE280km ( 150nmの)
SW220km ( 120nmの)
8月21日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN36の中心位置25 ‘ ( 36.4 )
E132 30 ‘ ( 132.5 )
動きNE毎時45キロ( 23カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧990hPa
中央25メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 50カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 70カラット)
確率サークル60キロの半径( 30nmの)
9月3日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率円の中心位置N38 00 ‘( 38.0 )
E135 10 ‘ ( 135.2 )
動きNE毎時45キロ( 25カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧992hPa
中央23メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 45カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 65カラット)
確率サークル90キロの半径( 50NM )
9月9日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
LOW
確率サークルN39 30 ‘の中心位置( 39.5 )
E138 30 ‘ ( 138.5 )
動きENE毎時50キロ( 28カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧996hPa
最大持続風速20メートル/秒( 40カラット)
最大突風スピード30メートル/秒( 60カラット)
確率150キロの円の半径( 80nmの)
9月15日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
LOW
確率サークルN40 55 ‘ ( 40.9 )の中心位置
E142 35 ‘ ( 142.6 )
動きENE毎時60キロ( 32カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧1000hPa
最大持続風速18メートル/秒( 35カラット)
最大突風スピード25メートル/秒( 50カラット)
確率240キロの円の半径( 130nmプロセス)

単位:
現在有効な警告/勧告

(画像: JMA )現在の警告(ソース画像をクリック)
合同台風警報センター( JTWC )

(画像: JTWC ) TCトラック(ソース画像をクリック)

Google Earthのグラフィックオーバーレイ

WTPN31 PGTW 081500
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI / /
SUBJ /熱帯低気圧の警告/ /
RMKS /
1 。 TROPICAL STORM 23W ( DANAS )警告NR 021 ( FINAL WARNING )
TYPHOON 23Wダウングレード
NORTHWESTPAC IN 01 ACTIVE熱帯低気圧
MAXはONE- MINUTE平均に基づいてWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY

警告POSITION :
081200Z — NEAR 34.5N 129.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 040 DEGREES 23 KTS AT
030 NM以内の正確な位置
POSITIONは、衛星のそば中心を基準に
PRESENT WIND配分:
055 KT 、突風070 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯BECOMING
050 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
34.5N 129.6E : POSITを繰り返す

予測:
AT VALID 12時間:
090000Z — 37.3N 134.4E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
24人事POSITへのベクトル: 060 DEG / 28 KTS

AT VALID 24時間:
091200Z — 40.0N 140.6E
MAX持続WINDS – 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
36人事POSITへのベクトル: 065 DEG / 34 KTS

VALID AT 36時間:
100000Z — 42.5N 148.9E
020 KT 、突風030 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯

備考:
35.2N 130.8E NEAR 081500Z POSITION 。
TROPICAL STORM 23W ( DANAS )は、約84 NM NORTH OF LOCATED
SASEBO 、日本は、過去OVER 23ノットで北東追跡して
六時間。 ANIMATED増強赤外衛星画像は、TS 23Wを示しています
過去数時間にわたって、北東に加速しています。 RADAR
九州画像は津島OVER LLCCの経過を示している
トラックスピードの増加との関連、不利な海で
表面温度(SST )と、からの乾燥冷気同調
傾圧ZONEは急速SYSTEMを弱めました。 SSTを減少
VALUES( CELSIUS 22 〜23) 、非常に強い鉛直風せん断( 40
PLUS )結び目はTAU BY COMPLETE EXTRA – TROPICAL TRANSITIONにつながる
12 。 LLCC最近の加速度から、ますますBASED
過酷な環境では、これは、このシステムでFINAL WARNING IS
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI 。 SYSTEMが密接BE WILL
再生の兆候を監視した。最大有義波高
081200Z AT 40 FEETです。 / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW太平洋: 10月7日に発行される嵐の警告、 2013年18時00 GMT

北西太平洋: 10月8日に発行される嵐の警告、 2013 12:00 GMT (最終警告)

現在34.5 N 129.6 Eの近くに位置し、トロピカルストームDANAS ( 23W )は、与えられたリードタイム( s)で、次の可能性(複数可)に土地を打つと予測されている:

レッドアラート国(s)または州( S)
日本
CAT 1の確率以上は、現在35%である
TSのための確率は現在のところ100%

イエローアラートカントリー(s)または州( S)
韓国
TSのための確率は現在95%で
イエローアラート市(s)とタウン(S)
釜山( 35.2 N 、 129.1 E )
TSのための確率は現在95%で
福岡(33.6 N 、 130.4 E )
TSのための確率は現在90%である
松江(35.4 N 、 133.0 E )
TSの確率は、12時間以内に85%
佐賀(33.3 N 、 130.3 E )
TSのための確率は現在80%である
広島( 34.4 N 、 132.4 E )
TSの確率は、12時間以内に75%である
長崎(32.8 N 、 129.9 E )
TSのための確率は現在55%である

注意してください
レッドアラートは、 (重症) CAT 1または% 31 〜100 %の確率に上です。
イエローアラート(高架) CAT 1以上〜10 %と30 %の確率、又はTSの間に50%以上の確率である。
CAT 1は、少なくとも毎時74マイルの台風の強さの風、毎時119キロまたは64ノット1分間の持続を意味している。
TSは、少なくとも毎時39マイルの熱帯性低気圧の強さの風を意味し、毎時63キロまたは34ノット1分持続。

グラフィカルな予測情報と詳細についてhttp://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/をご覧くださ&#12356;
その他のレポート
台風Danasは、日本と韓国に影響を与えます。イブニングアップデート

robspeta / / Westernpacificweather.comによって2013年10月8日に公開

レーダー九州

“台風Danas韓国と九州の間にある対馬島にわたって今日北東レースをし続けています。

これまで記録された最大風は長崎県で126kphまで突風まできました。紀伊半島では遠く東にそれでも南雨レポートからの水分流入による影響を受けているが、わずか3時間のスパンで100ミリメートル以上の記録されている。

良いニュースは、天気の最悪であることは岸からまだあるとDanasも速く、それは前に起こっていたよりもペースをピックアップしています。これは、条件が急速に夜の時間を通して、西日本と韓国のための嵐の背後に向上することを意味します。

多数の便は西日本全体にキャンセルされた。

佐世保TCCOR1の軍事のための場所のままです。岩国のそれらのためのおそらくTS強度風を取得しますが、激しいスコールラインがない限り、私はそこのため50kts上記の風を予想していない。

長崎以下Danasの被害

長崎以下Danasの被害

Danasからの主な脅威は大雨であり続けるだろう。 200ミリメートル以上一部の地域では水曜日の朝を通じて、九州と本州の日本海岸線の海に沿って予測されています。これは、洪水や地滑りの危険性につながる可能性があります。

この嵐のフリップ側では、南風、九州の多くで、10月の月の記録破りの温度が幕を開けました。水銀は多くの分野で低い30を打つ。

水曜日の夜を通して頭の上北部本州で嵐がロール。風が本州北部の沿岸地域の人々の多くは熱帯性低気圧の強さ以上の突風されます。大洪水の雨も東北を通して南を延長青森の脅威となります。

JMAトラック

東京の天気の最悪を逃すべきであるが、大気中の不安定性のために渡すシャワーは問題外完全にではありません。

主なものは、いつものように遠くに安全として覚えておく。必ず最寄りの公式機関からの警告に従ってください。それは危険な外に見えるなら、あなたの感覚はおそらく正しいです。常に安全なそれを再生する。

Danasヒット日本の後、それは重要な余分な熱帯低として北太平洋北部に実行されます。

” – Westernpacificweather.com

(ビデオクレジット: Westernpacificweather.com )
MARITIME

(画像: JMA )マリン警告(ソース画像をクリック)
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32は081500をRJTD
WARNING 081500 。
VALID 091500警告。
暴風雨警報。
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1324 DANAS ( 1324 ) 985 HPA
JAPAN 、北東20ノットを移動34.9N 130.4E SEA AT 。
良いポジション。
MAXは、中心部に近い50ノットの風。
30 OVER KNOTのWINDSの半径は150から北東に13km離れた半円AND 120
ELSEWHERE MILES 。
50マイル半径38.0N 135.2E AT 090300UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
992 HPA 、 MAXのWINDS CENTER NEAR 45ノット。
130マイルの半径40.9N 142.6E AT 091500UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
千HPAは、 MAXは35ノットの風。
温帯LOW BECOMING 。

気象庁。 =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1200

WWJP25 RJTD 081200
WARNINGと要約081200 。
VALID 091200警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
暴風雨警報。
LOW 976 HPAを開発
オホーツクはEAST 20ノットを移動55N 155Eの海で。
LOW SOUTHEAST OF 900マイル以内WINDS 30〜50ノット半円AND
ELSEWHERE 500マイル。
130の不確実性55N 174E AT 091200UTCの予想POSITION
MILES RADIUS 。
GALE警告。
熱帯低気圧1004 HPA
ALMOST STATIONARYフィリピンOF 15.0N 133.5E SEA EAST AT 。
POORを配置します。
MAXは30ノットの風。
EXPECTED MAXのWINDS NEXT 24時間の中心部に近い35ノット。
120マイルの半径15.1N 131.7E AT 091200UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
GALE警告。
熱帯低気圧1004 HPA
ALMOST STATIONARY 12.7N 150.9E TRUKS AT 。
POORを配置します。
MAXは30ノットの風。
EXPECTED MAXのWINDS NEXT 24時間の中心部に近い35ノット。
120マイルの半径13.5N 149.2E AT 091200UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
警告。
濃霧は47N 153E 52N 158Eに囲まれWATERS OVER LOCALLY OBSERVED
48N 167E 44N 162E 42N 155E 47N 153E 。
概要。
35N 117E EAST 10 KT AT HIGH 1018 HPA 。
43N 133E EAST 10 KT AT HIGH 1018 HPA 。
39N 169E EAST 15 KT AT HIGH 1026 HPA 。
35N 129E FROM 37N 134E 38N 142Eに対して静止FRONT 。
REMARKS 。
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1324 DANAS ( 1324 ) 34.5N 129.5E AT 980 HPAは: SEE
熱帯低気圧の警告。

気象庁。 =

Korean (Translated by Google)

일본 / 한국 : 심각한 열대 폭풍 (TS -SS ) Danas
081500Z 130.8E 35.2N 근처
081013 1725z – 한국과 규슈 사이에 위치한 23 노트 ( JTWC ) 에서 NE 이동

심한 열대 폭풍 ( JMA ) / 열대 폭풍우 ( JTWC )
DANAS

열대 폭풍우 23W ( DANAS ) 경고 NR 021 ( 마지막 경고 )
TYPHOON 23W ( JTWC ) 다운 그레이드

” Danas 한국과 규슈 사이 에 쓰시마 섬 에 오늘 북쪽 동쪽 을 경주 하고 있습니다 ”

Westernpacificweather.com

( 일본과 한국 번역을 위해 아래로 스크롤 ) (日本語 と 韓国 語 の 翻訳 の ため に スクロール ダウン) ( 일본과 한국 번역을 위해 아래로 스크롤 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 위성 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 5 일 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

일본 기상청

( 이미지 : JMA )
STS 1324 ( DANAS )
세계 협정시 15시 45분 년 10 월 8 일 는 2013 발행
8월 15일 UTC> 에서 <Analyses
규모 –
강도 –
중앙 위치 N34 55 ‘ (34.9 )
E130 25 ‘ ( 130.4 ​​)
운동 NE 35kmh ( 20캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 985hPa
중앙 25m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 50캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 70캐럿 )
30캐럿 바람 의 영역 이상 NE280km ( 150NM )
SW220km ( 120NM )
8월 16일 UTC> 에 대한 <Estimate
규모 –
강도 –
중앙 위치 N35 05 ‘ ( 35.1 )
E130 40 ‘ ( 130.7 )
운동 NE 35kmh ( 20캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 985hPa
중앙 25m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 50캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 70캐럿 )
30캐럿 바람 의 영역 이상 NE280km ( 150NM )
SW220km ( 120NM )
8월 21일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N36 의 중심 위치 25 ‘ ( 36.4 )
E132 30 ‘ ( 132.5 )
운동 NE 45kmh ( 23캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 990hPa
중앙 25m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 50캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 70캐럿 )
확률 원형 60km 반경 ( 30 나노 )
9월 3일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N38 00 ‘ ( 38.0 )
E135 10 ‘ ( 135.2 )
운동 NE 45kmh ( 25캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 992hPa
중앙 23m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 45캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 65캐럿 )
확률 원형 90km 반경 ( 50NM )
9월 9일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
LOW
확률 원형 N39 30 ‘ 의 중심 위치 ( 39.5 )
E138 30 ‘ ( 138.5 )
운동 ENE 50kmh ( 28캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 996hPa
최대 지속 풍속 20m / s의 ( 40캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 30m / s의 ( 60캐럿 )
확률 원형 150km 의 반경 ( 80 나노 )
9월 15일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
LOW
확률 원형 N40 55 ‘ ( 40.9 ) 의 중심 위치
E142 35 ‘ ( 142.6 )
운동 ENE 60kmh ( 32캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 1000hPa
최대 지속 풍속 18m / s의 ( 35캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 25m / s의 ( 50캐럿 )
확률 원형 240km 의 반경 ( 0.13 )

단위 :
현재 유효한 경고 / 권고

( 이미지 : JMA ) 현재 경고 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )
합동 태풍 경보 센터 ( JTWC )

( 이미지 : JTWC ) TC 트랙 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

구글 어스 그래픽 오버레이

WTPN31 PGTW 081500
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT 태풍 WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
피사체 / TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 / /
RMKS /
1 . 열대 폭풍우 23W ( DANAS ) 경고 NR 021 ( 마지막 경고 )
TYPHOON 23W 다운 그레이드
NORTHWESTPAC 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX 는 1 분 평균적인 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
081200Z — NEAR 34.5N 129.6E
운동 지난 6 시간 – 040 DEGREES 23 KTS AT
030 NM 내에서 정확한 위치
위치는 위성 에 의해 위치 CENTER 근거에
PRESENT 바람 배급 :
055 KT , 돌풍 070 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대 되고
050 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 050 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
050 NM 동남 QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 090 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
090 NM 동남 QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
34.5N 129.6E : 창 이동 을 반복

예측 :
AT VALID 12 시간 :
090000Z — 37.3N 134.4E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
24 시간 창 이동 의 벡터 : 060 DEG / 28 KTS

AT VALID 24 시간 :
091200Z — 40.0N 140.6E
MAX 지속적인 WINDS – 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
36 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 065 DEG / 34 KTS

유효한 AT 36 시간 :
100000Z — 42.5N 148.9E
020 KT , 돌풍 030 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대

비고 :
35.2N 130.8E NEAR 081500Z 위치 .
열대 폭풍우 23W ( DANAS )는 약 84 NM NORTH 에 위치하는
사세보, 일본 은과거 OVER 23 노트로 북동 추적 들었습니다
여섯 시간 . ANIMATED 강화 된 적외선 위성 이미지 는 TS 23W 를 보여줍니다
지난 몇 시간 동안동북에 가속하고있다 . RADAR
큐슈 IMAGERY 쓰시마 OVERLLCC 의 흐름을 의미 함
TRACK 속도 의 증가 와 관련 , 불리한 바다
표면 온도 ( SST ) , 그리고FROM DRY COOL 공기 유입
경압 ZONE 빠르게시스템을 약화 . SST 감소
VALUES (섭씨 22 ~ 23 ) 과 매우 강한 수직 기류 (40
PLUS ) 매듭 TAU BYCOMPLETE 온대 TRANSITION 으로 이어질 것입니다
12 . LLCC 의최근 가속도 점점 BASED
가혹한 환경 , 이것은이 시스템 의 마지막 경고
공동 TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI . 시스템 밀접하게 될 것입니다
중생의 징후 를 모니터링 . 최대 유의 파고 의 높이
081200Z 40 피트 가 된다. / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW 태평양 : 10월 7일 에서 발행 폭풍 경고 2013 그리니치 표준시 18시

NW 태평양 : 10월 8일 에서 발행 폭풍 경고 2013 그리니치 표준시 12시 ( 마지막 경고 )

현재 34.5 N 129.6 E 근처에 열대 폭풍우 DANAS ( 23W )는 주어진 리드 타임 (들 ) 에 다음과 같은 가능성 ( 들)에 토지를 공격 할 것으로 예상된다 :

레드 얼럿 국가 ( 들) 또는 지방 (들 )
일본
CAT 1 확률 이상 은 현재 35 %
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 100 %

노란색 경고 국가 ( 들) 또는 지방 (들 )
대한민국
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 95 % 입니다
노란색 경고 시티 ( 들) 및 타운 (들 )
부산 ( 35.2 N, 129.1 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 95 % 입니다
후쿠오카 ( 33.6 N, 130.4 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 90 % 입니다
마쓰에 (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 12 시간 안에 85 % 입니다
사가 ( 33.3 N, 130.3 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 80 %
히로시마 ( 34.4 N, 132.4 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 12 시간 안에 75 % 입니다
나가사키 (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 55 % 입니다

참고
빨간색 경고 ( 심한 경우도 있음) CAT 1 또는 % 31 에서 100 %의 확률 이상입니다.
노란색 경고 ( 상승 ) CAT 1 이상 에 10 % , 30 %의 확률 , 또는 TS 사이의 이상 50 %의 확률 이다.
CAT 1 이상 74mph 의 태풍 강도 바람 119kmh 또는 64 노트 1 분 지속 을 의미합니다.
TS 적어도 39mph 의 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람 을 의미 , 63kmh 34 노트 1 분 지속 .

그래픽 예측 정보와 자세한 내용 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/ 를 방문하시기 바랍니다
다른 보고서
태풍 Danas 일본과 한국 에 영향을 미칩니다. 저녁 업데이트

robspeta / / Westernpacificweather.com 에 의해 2013년 10월 8일 에 게시

레이더 큐슈

” 태풍 Danas 한국과 규슈 사이 에 쓰시마 섬 에 오늘 북쪽 동쪽 을 경주 하고 있습니다.

지금까지 기록 된 최대 바람 나가사키 (현) 126kph 에 돌풍 까지 왔다. 기이 반도 에서 멀리 동쪽 에 있지만 여전히 남쪽의 비 보고서의 수분 유입 에 의해 영향을 받고 단지3 시간 기간에 100mm 이상의 기록 되었다.

좋은 소식은 날씨의 최악의 것은 해안 떨어져 아직도 있고 Danas 도 빠르게 이전에 가는 것보다속도를 발견했습니다 . 이 조건이 급속하게저녁 시간 을 통해 서부 일본과 한국 의 폭풍 뒤에 개선 을 의미합니다.

많은 항공편 은 일본 서부 에 걸쳐 취소 되었습니다 .

사세보 TCCOR1 의군사 자리에 아직도있다. 이와쿠니 에있는 사람들을 위해 당신은 가능성이 TS 강도 바람을 얻을 것이라는 점을 그러나강렬한 돌풍 라인 ​​이 없다면 내가 거기 에 대한 50kts 이상 바람을 기대 하지 않습니다.

나가사키 다음 Danas 의 손상

나가사키 다음 Danas 의 손상

Danas 에서 의 주요 위협은폭우 될 것입니다 . 200mm 이상 일부 지역 에서 수요일 아침 까지 규슈 와 혼슈 의 일본 해안선의바다를 따라 전망이다. 이 홍수와 산사태 의 위험 이 발생할 수 있습니다.

이 폭풍 의 플립 측면에서, 남쪽 바람은 규슈 의 대부분 에서 10 월 한 달 동안 기록적인 온도에서 도입 했다. 수은은 많은 분야에서 낮은 30 대 타격입니다.

수요일 저녁 까지 머리 북부 혼슈 의폭풍이 롤. 바람 북부 혼슈 의 해안 지역 에있는 사람들 의 많은 열대 폭풍우 의 강도 에 돌풍 됩니다. 수해 비가 은 동북 을 통해 남쪽 을 확장 아오모리위협이 될 것입니다.

JMA 트랙

도쿄 날씨의최악의 상황을 그리워 한다 하지만 대기불안정 으로 인해지나가는 소나기질문을 밖으로 완전히 되지 않습니다.

중요한 점 은 항상 멀리 안전 으로 기억 합니다 . 언제든지 해당 지역의 공식 기관 에서경고를 따르십시오. 그것은 위험한 밖에 보이는 경우에, 당신의 감각 은 아마 수정 됩니다. 항상 안전 을 재생할 수 있습니다.

Danas 히트 일본 역시중요한 온대 낮은 북쪽 북부 태평양 에 실행됩니다.

” – Westernpacificweather.com

( 영상 제공 : Westernpacificweather.com )
해양

( 이미지 : JMA ) 해양 경고 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 는 081500 를 RJTD
경고 081500 .
VALID 091500 을 경고합니다.
STORM 경고 .
SEVERE 열대 폭풍우 1324 DANAS ( 1324 ) 985 HPA
일본 동북 20 노트 를 이동 34.9N 130.4E 바다 .
좋은 위치 .
MAX 는 센터 주변 50 매듭 바람.
30 매듭 바람의 반경은 150 km 떨어진 지점 반원 120
다른 곳에서는 MILES .
50 마일 반경 38.0N 135.2E AT 090300UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
992 HPA , MAX 바람 센터 주변 45 매듭 .
130 마일 반경 40.9N 142.6E AT 091500UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
1000 HPA 는 MAX 35 매듭 바람.
온대 LOW 되고 .

일본 기상청 . =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1200

WWJP25 RJTD 081200
경고 및 요약 081200 .
VALID 091200 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
STORM 경고 .
LOW 976 HPA 를 개발
오호츠크 이스트 20 노트 를 이동 55N 155E 의 바다 .
LOW 남동부 의 900 킬로미터 이내에있는 WINDS 30 ~ 50 매듭 반원
다른 곳에서는 500 마일 .
130 의 불확실성 55N 174E AT 091200UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
MILES RADIUS .
GALE 경고 .
열대 불경기 1,004 HPA
ALMOST STATIONARY 필리핀 15.0N 133.5E 동쪽 바다 AT .
POOR 를 놓습니다.
MAX 는 30 매듭 바람.
예상 된 MAX 바람 NEXT 24 시간 CENTER NEAR 35 매듭 .
120 마일 반경 15.1N 131.7E AT 091200UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
GALE 경고 .
열대 불경기 1,004 HPA
ALMOST STATIONARY 12.7N 150.9E TRUKS AT .
POOR 를 놓습니다.
MAX 는 30 매듭 바람.
예상 된 MAX 바람 NEXT 24 시간 CENTER NEAR 35 매듭 .
120 마일 반경 13.5N 149.2E AT 091200UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
경고 .
짙은 안개 는 47N 153E 52N 158E 에 묶여 바다 위에 로컬 관찰
48N 167E 44N 162E 42N 155E 47N 153E .
요약 .
35N 117E EAST 10 KT AT HIGH 1018 HPA .
43N 133E EAST 10 KT AT HIGH 1018 HPA .
39N 169E EAST 15 KT AT HIGH 1026 HPA .
35N 129E FROM 37N 134E 38N 142E TO STATIONARY FRONT .
REMARKS .
SEVERE 열대 폭풍우 1324 DANAS ( 1324 ) 34.5N 129.5E AT 980 HPA 는 보기 :
TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 .

일본 기상청 . =

East China Sea: Tropical Cyclone (TS) 15W Toraji 012100Z 26.3N 125.1E, moving NE at 06 knots – 010913 2335z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Storm) 15W Toraji

(Scroll down for Japanese and Korean translation)

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

(Image: JMA) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: JMA) Japan Radar (Click image for source)

(Image: JMA) Currently valid Warnings/Advisories (Click image for source)

TS 1317 (TORAJI)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 1 September 2013

<Analyses at 01/21 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N26°25′(26.4°)
E125°00′(125.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE Slowly
Central pressure 1002hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
<Forecast for 02/21 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N28°05′(28.1°)
E126°40′(126.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NE Slowly
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
<Forecast for 03/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N29°00′(29.0°)
E127°30′(127.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE Slowly
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
<Forecast for 04/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N29°35′(29.6°)
E127°40′(127.7°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
<Forecast for 05/18 UTC>
Center position of probability circle N31°35′(31.6°)
E127°20′(127.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Radius of probability circle 520km(280NM)
<Forecast for 06/18 UTC>
Center position of probability circle N34°00′(34.0°)
E128°35′(128.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(7kt)
Radius of probability circle 700km(375NM)

Korea Meteorological Administration

 

Typhoon

Forecast Chart

 

No.17 TORAJI

Issued at(KST) : 2013.09.02. 04:30

Date(UTC) Position Central Pressure (hPa) Maximum Sustained
Wind(m/s)
Radius of 15 m/s(km) Intensity Scale Moving Direction Moving Speed(km/h) Radius of 70% probability(km)
Lat
(N)
Lon
(E)
m/s km/h
2013.09.01. 18:00 Analysis 26.3 124.8 1000 18 65 150 Weak Small NE 8
2013.09.02. 18:00 Forecast 27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170 Weak Small NE 9 140
2013.09.03. 18:00 Forecast 28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200 Weak Small NE 5 230
2013.09.04. 18:00 Forecast 29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200 Weak Small NNE 4 320
2013.09.05. 18:00 Forecast 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180 Weak Small NNW 5 460
2013.09.06. 18:00 Forecast 31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150 Weak Small NNE 6 550

 

※ It is provided only for the typhoon information in progress. The past information could be found in National Typhoon Center homepage.

☞ National Typhoon Center Homepage

 

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Text (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 002  
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 124.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 26.3N 125.1E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 163 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z
IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.//
NNNN

Westpacwx: Tropical Storm Toraji developing near Taiwan 台風17( Sunday Night Update)

Published on September 1, 2013 by // westernpacificweather

“Taiwan is finally starting to see a slight decrease in the amount of rain occurring across across the island today following over 1,300mm of recorded rainfall since Friday. Since has led to three casualties and numerous reports of flooding in landslides. Incredible footage of one of these landslides can be found at this link. Note at the start of the video you can actually see the top of the mountain give way.

GFS OUTLOOK

GFS OUTLOOK

Now a new threat is already looming in the East China Sea. This new low pressure area is forming in the wake of Kong-rey feeding off the energy the storm left behind as it was sheared off and driven north by a potent cold front that pushed in to Japan and is still impacting much of the country on Sunday.

This new storm is still in its early stages of development but given the information available it will likely track north of Okinawa in a similar path as Kong-rey to the north east. Yet there will be a massive difference between this storm and Kong-rey. The forward momentum will be much much slower due to the weakening of the upper level trough over Japan and the potential for a high pressure ridge to block the storms path northward.

Therego at this time a lingering storm in the East China Sea is very well possible. If this was to occur the dry section of the storm would still remain to the south east over Okinawa resulting in windy conditions with only isolated rain showers. Much like we saw with Kong-rey. While at the same time the JMA and GFS models both suggest Kyushu will be hit with Tropical Storm Strength winds and heavy rainfall through mid-week.  This would add to the already heavy amount of rains that have occurred across Western Japan over the weekend.   The JMA and NAVGEM models also pick up on the storm retrograding back west by mid-week under the influence of the high to the north. If this was to occur yet more heavy rainfall would fall in Taiwan by Wednesday in to Thursday. That still remains uncertain at this time.

What can be said with confidence is that through Tuesday Winds will start to increase in the Southern Japanese islands possibly gusting up to TS strength at times while in Kyushu more heavy rainfall is expected and Tropical Storm strength winds can be anticipated. I dont expect a Typhoon to form given the moderate amount of vertical wind shear in the East China Sea and the Sea Surface Temperatures are slightly cooler than

Tokyo TS; Source NHK

Tokyo TS; Source NHK

normal due to the repeated upwelling from previous tropical systems that have been moving through the area the past  2 weeks.

It does not look like Central Japan will see so much of the heavy rainfall though. This comes as good news as much of Western Kanto was hit by severe storms on Sunday, over 10,000 people lost power through Sunday Evening.

As always this is not official, please check with your local WMO approved agency for official warnings and information.” – westernpacificweather

 MARITIME

China

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
==========
Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information’s
operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only
means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access
to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time,
update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS
OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX
services, for more complete information
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC SEP.01 2013=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC SEP. 01=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC SEP. 02=
WARNNING=
TS YUTU 1002HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E MOVING ENE 12KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND FORECAST FOR 021800UTC AT 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA
MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
TS TORAJI 1000HPA AT 26.3N 124.7E MOVING NE 9KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 150KM AND FORECAST FOR
021800UTC AT 27.7N 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M/S
NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER
NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTH
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND
SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FORECAST=
WINDS FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M
OVER SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST
CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M
OVER SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA=

==========

Hong Kong China

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
==========
Caution: NAVIMAIL is not part of the Maritime Safety Information’s
operational data stream and should never be relied upon as the only
means to obtain the latest forecast and warning information. Access
to the service may be interrupted or delayed from time to time,
update may also experience occasional gaps. Please refer to GMDSS
OFFICIAL sources, Inmarsat SafetyNET or international NAVTEX
services, for more complete information
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 2215UTC SEP.01 2013=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC SEP. 01=
FORECAST VALID 1800UTC SEP. 02=
WARNNING=
TS YUTU 1002HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E MOVING ENE 12KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND FORECAST FOR 021800UTC AT 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA
MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER=
TS TORAJI 1000HPA AT 26.3N 124.7E MOVING NE 9KM/H
AND MAX WINDS 18M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP TO 3.5M)
AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 150KM AND FORECAST FOR
021800UTC AT 27.7N 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M/S
NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER
NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
WINDS FROM 12 TO 18M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
WLY WINDS FROM 10 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER
BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER SOUTH
PART OF EAST CHINA SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
AND ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND
SUNDA STRAIT AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT
AND LAUT MALUKU AND LAUT BANDA=
FORECAST=
WINDS FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M
OVER SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
NW WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
NE WINDS FROM 10 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA AND NORTH PART OF EAST
CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 10 TO 14M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER
SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS=
SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M
OVER SEA SOUTHEAST OF INDONESIA=

==========

Japan

Forecast up to 24h : Wind, Sea state, Weather, Visibility
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 53N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW.
ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 56N 176W
MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 144E 47N 153E
50N 157E 39N 166E 38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 19N 155E WNW SLOWLY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 118E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 151E ESE SLOWLY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 125E TO 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1317 TORAJI (1317) 1002 HPA AT 26.3N 124.8E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1316 YUTU (1316) 1002 HPA AT 33.7N 176.9E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21 RJTD 011800
WARNING 011800.
WARNING VALID 021800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1317 TORAJI (1317) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 26.3N 124.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 27.2N 125.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 28.0N 126.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 29.0N 127.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 29.6N 127.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

(Image: JMA) Sea forecast

END

Japanese (Translated by Google)

熱帯サイクロン(熱帯低気圧) 15Wトラジ

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(日本語と韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

( 일본과한국번역아래로스크롤 )

(画像: wunderground.com )衛星(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: wunderground.com ) 5日間の予報(ソース画像をクリック)

気象庁

(画像: JMA ) 5日間予報(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: JMA )日本レーダー(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: JMA )現在有効な警告/勧告は、 (ソースの画像をクリック)

TS 1317 (トラジ)
午後9時45分UTC 、 2013年9月1日に発行される
1月21日UTC>で<Analyses
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N26 °25 ‘ (26.4 °)
E125 °00 ‘( 125.0 °)
移動NNEの方向と速度をゆっくり
中心気圧1002hPa
中央18メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 35カラット)
最大突風スピード25メートル/秒( 50カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上ALL170km ( 90nmプロセス)
2月21日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN28 ° 05 ‘ (28.1 °)の中心位置
E126 °40 ‘ ( 126.7 °)
運動NEゆっくりの方向と速度
中心気圧994hPa
中央20メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 40カラット)
最大突風スピード30メートル/秒( 60カラット)
確率160キロの円の半径( 85NM )
3月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率円の中心位置N29 ° 00 ‘ (29.0 °)
E127 °30 ‘ ( 127.5 °)
移動NNEの方向と速度をゆっくり
中心気圧990hPa
中央23メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 45カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 65カラット)
確率300キロの円の半径( 160NM )
4月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN29 °35 ‘ (29.6 °)の中心位置
E127 °40 ‘ ( 127.7 °)
ほぼ静止移動方向および速度
中心気圧990hPa
中央23メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 45カラット)
最大突風スピード35メートル/秒( 65カラット)
確率410キロの円の半径( 220nmの)
5月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
確率円の中心位置N31 °35 ‘ (31.6 °)
E127 °20 ‘ ( 127.3 °)
方向と速度運動のNゆっくり
確率520キロの円の半径( 280nmの)
6月18日UTC>ため<Forecast
確率円の中心位置N34 °00 ‘( 34.0 °)
E128 °35 ‘ ( 128.6 °)
移動NNEの毎時15キロ( 7カラット)の方向と速度
確率700キロの円の半径(約375nm )

気象庁

台風
予測チャート

17号トラジ

2013年9月2日: ( KST )で発行。 4時30分
日付( UTC)ポジションセントラル気圧(hPa )最大持続
15メートル/秒(キロ)震度移動方向の移動速度( km / hに) 70%の確率の半径(キロ)の風( m / s)で半径
ラット
(N )ロン
(E ) M / Sのkm / h
2013年9月1日。午後06時の分析26.3 124.8 1000年18 65 150弱スモールNE 8
2013年9月2日。午後06時の予測27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170弱小NE 9 140
2013年9月3日。午後06時の予測28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200弱小NE 5 230
2013年9月4日。午後06時の予測29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200弱小NNE 4 320
2013年9月5日。 18:00 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180弱いスモールNNW 5 460を予測し
2013年9月6日。午後06時の予測31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150弱小NNE 6 550

※これは、唯一の、進行中の台風情報に提供されています。過去の情報は、国立台風センターのホームページで見つけることができる。

☞国立台風センターのホームページ

気象庁

韓国の61の16ギルYeouidaebang -RO銅雀区ソウル156から720共和国。

著作権(c)はKMAすべての権利を保有。 E-メール: master_kma@kma.go.kr

電話交換番号を指定せずに131をダイヤル

合同台風警報センター( JTWC )

(画像: JTWC ) TCの警告テキスト(ソース画像をクリック)

Google Earthのグラフィックオーバーレイ

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI / /
SUBJ /熱帯低気圧の警告/ /
RMKS /
1 。熱帯低気圧15W ( FIFTEEN )警告NR 002
NORTHWESTPAC IN 01 ACTIVE熱帯低気圧
MAXはONE- MINUTE平均に基づいてWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY

警告POSITION :
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 06 KTS AT 070 DEGREES
060 NM以内の正確な位置
POSITIONは、衛星のそば中心を基準に
PRESENT WIND配分:
MAX持続WINDS – 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
26.1N 124.8E : POSITを繰り返す

予測:
AT VALID 12時間:
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
035 KT 、突風045 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
24人事POSITへのベクトル: 040 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 24時間:
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT – 034 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
36人事POSITへのベクトル: 045 DEG / 04 KTS

VALID AT 36時間:
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
045 KT 、突風055 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48人事POSITへのベクトル: 045 DEG / 04 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK :
AT VALID 48時間:
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT – 034 KTのWINDS OF RADIUS
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
72人事POSITへのベクトル: 020 DEG / 03 KTS

AT VALID 72時間:
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
040 KT 、突風050 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯BECOMING
034 KT WINDS OF RADIUS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
96人事POSITへのベクトル:355 DEG / 05 KTS

LONG RANGEの見通し:

AT VALID 96時間:
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
035 KT 、突風045 KT – MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
120人事POSITへのベクトル: 030 DEG / 09 KTS

VALID AT 120時間:
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX持続WINDS – 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯

備考:
26.3N 125.1E NEAR 012100Z POSITION 。
熱帯低気圧15W ( FIFTEEN )に位置約163 NM
嘉手納ABの西は、 06ノットでEAST -北東追跡して
過去半時間以上。 011800Zで最大有義波高
8フィートです。 020300Z 、 020900Z 、 021500Z AND 022100Z 。 / AT / NEXT WARNINGS
NNNN
Westpacwx :熱帯性低気圧トラジは、台湾付近台风17 (日曜日の夜更新)を開発

robspeta / / westernpacificweatherによって2013年9月1日に公開

【 YouTubeはhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m86R-I8xX0c?feature=player_embedded ]

の一つの”台湾はついに金曜日以来記録降雨量1300ミリメートルにわたって続く今日、島全体で全体で発生して雨の量がわずかに減少を見て始めている。 3死傷者や地滑りの洪水の多数の報告につながっているので。信じられないほどの映像これらの土砂災害は、このリンクで見つけることができます。ビデオの開始時に、あなたが実際に山の頂上には道を譲る見ることができます。

GFS OUTLOOK

GFS OUTLOOK

今、新たな脅威は、すでに東シナ海に迫っている。この新しい低圧領域はまだ日曜日に多くの国に影響を与えている香港·レイは、それがオフにせん断や日本にプッシュされ、強力な寒冷前線によって北牽引されたように嵐が残したエネルギーを供給するのをきっかけに形成され。

この新たな嵐は、開発の初期段階ではまだですが、それはおそらく北東に香港·レイと同様の経路で、沖縄の北を追跡する利用可能な情報を与えられた。まだこの嵐と香港·レイとの間に巨大な差が生じます。前方の勢いははるかに遅い原因で日本全国の上位レベルのトラフと北方嵐​​パスをブロックする高圧尾根の可能性の弱体化になります。

Theregoこの時点では東シナ海で長引く嵐は非常によくできます。これは嵐の乾燥セクションを発生することがあったなら、まだのみ孤立雨と風の強い条件で結果沖縄経由で南東側に残っているでしょう。ずっと我々は香港·レイで見たような。同時に気象庁とGFSモデルはどちらも九州は週の半ばを通して熱帯性低気圧の強さの風と大雨に見舞われます示唆している間。これは週末に西日本全体で発生した豪雨の既に重い量を追加します。気象庁とNAVGEMモデルも北に高の影響を受けて週半ばでバック西嵐後退しにピックアップ。これはまだ多くの豪雨が木曜日に水曜日までに台湾で下落するだろう発生していた場合。それはまだこの時点では不明である。

何が自信を持って言うことができると、火曜日の風を通して九州より大雨が予想されており、熱帯性低気圧の強さの風が予想することができますが、おそらく時間にTS強度まで突風南部の日本列島に増加し始めるということです。私は、東シナ海と海面水温の垂直ウィンドシアの適度な量与え形成するよりも少し涼しいですする台風を期待いけない

東京TS ;ソースNHK

東京TS ;ソースNHK

通常領域を通して過去2週間を動かしてきた以前の熱帯システムから繰り返さ湧昇に起因する。

それは中部のように見えないと、大雨のそんなににもかかわらず表示されます。これは良いニュースのようにウェスタン関東限りが日曜日に暴風雨に見舞われた来る、 10,000人以上の人々は日曜日の夕方を介して電力を失った。

これは公式ではないいつものように、公式な警告や情報については、お近くのWMO承認機関に確認してください” – 。 westernpacificweather
MARITIME
中国
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
注意: NAVIMAILはの一部ではありません海上安全情報の
オペレーショナル·データ·ストリームとは、としてのみに依拠すべきではありません
最新の予測と警告情報を取得することを意味する。アクセス
、サービスを中断することができるか、または随時に延期
更新は不定期ギャップをも発生する可能性があります。 GMDSSを参照してください
OFFICIAL源、インマルサット確保SafetyNETまたは国際ナブテックス
サービス、より完全な情報については、
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI (IOR )のメッセージは、 NMC BEIJINGによって発行された
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
メッセージは= EVERY 06 HOURSに更新されます
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9月01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9月を見込んでいます。 02 =
=をWARNNING
ENE 12キロ/ HをMOVING 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTCの見通し
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 9キロ/ HをMOVING 26.3N 124.7E AT TSトラジ1000HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS WINDS OFと半径150kmのANDの見通し
021800UTC 27.7N 126.3E AT 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
概要=
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.0M TO NE WINDS
東シナ海北部=
12 FROM UP 18M / SのSEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
東シナ海と台湾=海東南部
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
バシー海峡=
12 FROM UP 16 / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
SOUTH OVER 10KM THAN HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS
東シナ海、台湾SEA EAST OF PART
とアンダマン海とスマトラ海西と
スンダ海峡ラウトJAWA ANDマカッサル海峡
ANDラウトマルク州とラウトBANDA =
FORECAST =
14 FROM UP 3.5M TO 20M / Sガスト24M / SのSEAS TO WINDS
東シナ海南部= OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NWのWINDS
TAIWAN = OF EAST SEA
10からUP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NEのWINDS
黄海と東の北PART南部
CHINA SEA =
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO 2.0M TO SEのWINDS
インドネシア= OF SEA SOUTHEAST OVER

==========

出典: http://weather.gmdss.org/navimail/GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
香港中国
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
注意: NAVIMAILはの一部ではありません海上安全情報の
オペレーショナル·データ·ストリームとは、としてのみに依拠すべきではありません
最新の予測と警告情報を取得することを意味する。アクセス
、サービスを中断することができるか、または随時に延期
更新は不定期ギャップをも発生する可能性があります。 GMDSSを参照してください
OFFICIAL源、インマルサット確保SafetyNETまたは国際ナブテックス
サービス、より完全な情報については、
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI (IOR )のメッセージは、 NMC BEIJINGによって発行された
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
メッセージは= EVERY 06 HOURSに更新されます
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9月01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9月を見込んでいます。 02 =
=をWARNNING
ENE 12キロ/ HをMOVING 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTCの見通し
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 9キロ/ HをMOVING 26.3N 124.7E AT TSトラジ1000HPA
とセンターNEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS WINDS OFと半径150kmのANDの見通し
021800UTC 27.7N 126.3E AT 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
概要=
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.0M TO NE WINDS
東シナ海北部=
12 FROM UP 18M / SのSEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
東シナ海と台湾=海東南部
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
バシー海峡=
12 FROM UP 16 / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
SOUTH OVER 10KM THAN HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS
東シナ海、台湾SEA EAST OF PART
とアンダマン海とスマトラ海西と
スンダ海峡ラウトJAWA ANDマカッサル海峡
ANDラウトマルク州とラウトBANDA =
FORECAST =
14 FROM UP 3.5M TO 20M / Sガスト24M / SのSEAS TO WINDS
東シナ海南部= OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NWのWINDS
TAIWAN = OF EAST SEA
10からUP 16M / SのSEAS TO OVER 2.5M TO NEのWINDS
黄海と東の北PART南部
CHINA SEA =
10からUP 14M / S SEASに引き継が2.5M TO SWのWINDS
琉球SEA EAST =
12 FROM UP 16M / SのSEAS TO 2.0M TO SEのWINDS
インドネシア= OF SEA SOUTHEAST OVER

==========
日本
24時間までの予測:風、海の状態、天気、可視
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
WARNINGと要約011800 。
VALID 021800警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
GALE警告。
LOW 980 HPAを開発
NORTHEAST 10ノットMOVINGアリューシャンAROUND 53N 176E SEA AT 。
LOWの500マイル以内WINDSは、30〜 40ノット。
56N 176W AT別の低988 HPA
EASTNORTHEAST 15ノットの移動。
警告。
濃霧はオホーツク海OVER LOCALLY観察した。
警告。
濃霧は43N 144E 47N 153Eに囲まれWATERS OVER LOCALLY OBSERVED
50N 157E 39Nファーストペーパー38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E 。
概要。
40N 151E EAST 10 KT AT LOW 1012 HPA 。
ゆっくり19N 155E西北西NEAR低圧AREA 1008 HPA 。
35N 118E EAST AT HIGH 1016 HPAゆっくり。
ゆっくり48N 151E ESE AT HIGH 1020 HPA 。
ALMOST STATIONARY 34N 154E AT HIGH 1016 HPA 。
28N 125E FROM 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141Eに対して静止FRONT 。
REMARKS 。
26.3N 124.8E AT TROPICAL STORM 1317トラジ( 1317 ) 1002 HPA : SEE
熱帯低気圧の警告。
33.7N 176.9E AT TROPICAL STORM 1316 YUTU ( 1316 ) 1002 HPA : SEE
熱帯低気圧の警告。
気象庁。 =

出典: http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ww/wwjp25.rjtd..txt
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21は011800をRJTD
WARNING 011800 。
VALID 021800警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
GALE警告。
TROPICAL STORM 1317トラジ( 1317 )は、熱帯低気圧からアップグレード
1002 HPA
26.3N 124.8E AT東シナ海はゆっくりNORTHNORTHEASTの移動。
POSITIONのFAIR 。
MAXは、中心部に近い35ノットの風。
30 OVER KNOTのWINDS 90マイルの半径。
50マイル半径27.2N 125.9E AT 020600UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
998 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 35ノット。
85マイルの半径28.0N 126.8E AT 021800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
994 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 40ノット。
EXTENDED見通し。
160マイルの半径29.0N 127.5E AT 031800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
990 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 45ノット。
220マイルの半径29.6N 127.7E AT 041800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
990 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 45ノット。

気象庁。 =

(画像: JMA )海予報

END

Korean (Translated by Google)

열대 사이클론 ( 열대성 폭풍 ) 15W 도라지

( 일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

(日本語 と 韓国 語 の 翻訳 の ため に スクロール ダウン)

( 일본과 한국 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 위성 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 5 일 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

일본 기상청

( 이미지 : JMA 5) 일간의 일기 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 일본 레이더 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 현재 유효한 경고 / 권고 는 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

TS 1317 ( 도라지 )
세계 협정시 21시 45분 년 9 월 1 일 는 2013 발행
1월 21일 UTC> 에서 <Analyses
규모 –
강도 –
중앙 위치 N26 ° 25 ‘ (26.4 ° )
E125 ° 00 ‘ ( 125.0 ° )
운동 북동 의 방향과 속도 느리게
중앙 압력 1002hPa
중앙 18m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 35캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 25m / s의 ( 50캐럿 )
30캐럿 바람 의 영역 이상 ALL170km ( 90nm 공정 )
2월 21일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N28 ° 05 ‘ ( 28.1 ° ) 의 중심 위치
E126 ° 40 ‘ ( 126.7 ° )
운동 NE 천천히 방향 과 속도
중앙 압력 994hPa
중앙 20m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 40캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 30m / s의 ( 60캐럿 )
확률 원형 160km 의 반경 ( 85NM )
3월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N29 ° 00 ‘ (29.0 ° )
E127 ° 30 ‘ ( 127.5 ° )
운동 북동 의 방향과 속도 느리게
중앙 압력 990hPa
중앙 23m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 45캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 65캐럿 )
확률 원형 300km 의 반경 ( 160NM )
4월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N29 ° 35 ‘ ( 29.6 ° ) 의 중심 위치
E127 ° 40 ‘ ( 127.7 ° )
거의 정지 운동의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 990hPa
중앙 23m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 45캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 35m / s의 ( 65캐럿 )
확률 원형 410km 의 반경 ( 220NM )
5월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N31 ° 35 ‘ (31.6 ° )
E127 ° 20 ‘ ( 127.3 ° )
방향과 속도 운동의 N 천천히
확률 원형 520km 의 반경 ( 280NM )
6월 18일 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
확률이 원의 중심 위치 N34 ° 00 ‘ ( 34.0 ° )
E128 ° 35 ‘ ( 128.6 ° )
운동 NNE 의 15kmh ( 7캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
확률 원형 700km 의 반경 ( 375NM )

기상청

태풍
예측 차트

제 17 도라지

2013년 9월 2일 : (KST ) 에 발표했다. 4시 반
날짜 ( UTC ) 위치 중앙 기압 (hPa ) 최대 지속
15m / s의 ( km ) 강도 크기 진행 방향 이동 속도 (km / h ) 70 % 확률 반경 ( km ) 의 바람 ( M / S ) 반경
북위
(N) 론
(E) M / S kmh
2013년 9월 1일 . 18시 분석 26.3 124.8 1000 18 65 150 약 소형 NE 8
2013년 9월 2일 . 18시 예측 27.6 126.5 994 21 76 170 약 소형 NE 9 (140)
2013년 9월 3일 . 18시 예측 28.3 127.4 990 24 86 200 약 소형 NE 5 230
2013년 9월 4일 . 18시 예측 29.1 127.7 990 24 86 200 약 소형 북북동 4 320
2013년 9월 5일 . 18:00 30.1 127.4 992 22 79 180 약 소형 북북서 5 460 전망
2013년 9월 6일 . 18시 예측 31.3 127.7 996 19 68 150 약 소형 북북동 6 550

※ 이 만 진행태풍 정보를 제공 합니다. 과거의 정보는 국가 태풍 센터 홈페이지 에서 찾을 수 있습니다.

☞ 국가 태풍 센터 홈페이지

기상청

한국 61 16 길 Yeouidaebang -RO 동작구 서울 156-720 공화국.

저작권 (C) KMA 판권 소유 . E- 메일 : master_kma@kma.go.kr

전화 국번 없이 131 로 전화를 걸

합동 태풍 경보 센터 ( JTWC )

( 이미지 : JTWC ) TC 경고 텍스트 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

구글 어스 그래픽 오버레이

WTPN31 PGTW 012100
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT 태풍 WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
피사체 / TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 / /
RMKS /
1 . 열대 불경기 15W ( 다섯 ) 경고 NR 002
NORTHWESTPAC 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX 는 1 분 평균적인 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
011800Z — NEAR 26.1N 124.8E
운동 지난 6 시간 – 06 KTS AT 070 DEGREES
060 NM 내에서 정확한 위치
위치는 위성 에 의해 위치 CENTER 근거에
PRESENT 바람 배급 :
MAX 지속적인 WINDS – 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
26.1N 124.8E : 창 이동 을 반복

예측 :
AT VALID 12 시간 :
020600Z — 27.0N 125.8E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
24 시간 창 이동 의 벡터 : 040 DEG / 06 KTS

AT VALID 24 시간 :
021800Z — 28.0N 126.7E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
040 NM 동북 QUADRANT – 034 KT 바람 의 RADIUS
045 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
36 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 045 DEG / 04 KTS

유효한 AT 36 시간 :
030600Z — 28.5N 127.3E
045 KT , 돌풍 055 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 060 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
065 NM 동남 QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48 시간 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 045 DEG / 04 KTS

EXTENDED 전망 :
AT VALID 48 시간 :
031800Z — 29.0N 127.9E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
040 NM 동북 QUADRANT – 034 KT 바람 의 RADIUS
045 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
72 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 020 DEG / 03 KTS

AT VALID 72 시간 :
041800Z — 30.0N 128.3E
040 KT , 돌풍 050 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대 되고
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 045 NM 노스 이스트 QUADRANT
040 NM 동남 QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
96 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 355 DEG / 05 KTS

LONG RANGE 전망 :

AT VALID 96 시간 :
051800Z — 32.0N 128.0E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
120 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 030 DEG / 09 KTS

유효한 AT 120 시간 :
061800Z — 35.0N 130.3E
MAX 지속적인 WINDS – 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대

비고 :
26.3N 125.1E NEAR 012100Z 위치 .
열대 불경기 15W ( 다섯 ) , 위치한 약 163 NM
카데나 AB 의 서쪽 , 06 노트로 EAST- 북동쪽 추적 들었습니다
지난 6 시간 이상 . 011800Z AT 최대 유의 파고 의 높이
8 피트입니다. 020300Z , 020900Z , 021500Z 및 022100Z . / / AT NEXT 경고
NNNN
Westpacwx : 열대 폭풍우 도라지 대만 근처台风17 일 (일요일 야간 업데이트 ) 개발

robspeta / / westernpacificweather 에 의해 2013년 9월 1일 에 게시

[ 유튜브 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m86R-I8xX0c?feature=player_embedded ]

중 하나 ” 대만 이 마지막 금요일 이후 기록 된 강수량 의 1,300밀리미터 에 따라 오늘 섬 전역 에 걸쳐 발생하는 비 의 양 에 약간의 감소를 보고 시작합니다. 세 사상자 와 산사태 홍수 수많은 보고서를 주도 했기 때문에 . 믿을 영상 이러한 산사태 는 이 링크 에서 찾을 수 있습니다.비디오 의 시작 부분에서 당신은 실제로 산의 정상 이 방법을 제공 볼 수 있습니다.

GFS 전망

GFS 전망

이제 새로운 위협 은 이미 동중국 해에 다가오고있다 . 이 새로운 낮은 압력 영역 은 여전히 ​​일요일에 많은 국가 에 영향을 미치지 않습니다 홍콩 – 레이 가 전원이 전단 과 일본 에 밀려강력한 한랭 전선 에 의해 북쪽으로 구동 되었을 때 폭풍이 남긴 에너지를 공급 의 여파로 형성 되어 .

이 새로운 폭풍이 개발의 초기 단계 에 아직도있다 하지만 가능성이북쪽 동쪽 에 홍콩 – 레이 와 비슷한 경로에 오키나와 에서 북쪽 을 추적 할 수 있는 정보를 제공 . 그러나 이 폭풍 홍콩 – 레이 사이에 엄청난 차이가있을 것입니다. 앞으로 기세 가 훨씬 느려질 일본 전국 상위 저점 북쪽으로폭풍 경로를 차단하는 고압 능선 을위한 잠재력 의 약화 될 것이다 .

Therego 이 시간에 동중국 해에느린 폭풍이 아주 잘 할 수 있습니다. 이 폭풍 의 건조 부분을 발생 했다면 여전히 고립 된 레인 샤워 와 바람 조건 의 결과 오키나와 위에 남쪽 동쪽 에 남아 있다. 대부분 우리는 홍콩 – 레이 로 본 처럼 . 동시에 JMA 와 GFS 모델은 모두 큐슈 는 주중 통해 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람과 폭우 를 내야 할 것입니다 제안 하지만 . 이 주말에 일본 서부 에 걸쳐 발생한 비가이미 큰 금액으로 추가합니다. JMA 와 NAVGEM 모델은 북쪽에높은영향을 주중 으로 다시 서쪽으로폭풍 retrograding 에 듭니다. 이 아직 더 많은 폭우 목요일 에 수요일까지 대만에서 떨어질 것 발생 했다 합니다. 즉, 여전히이 시간에 불확실 .

어떤 확신을 가지고 말할 수 는 화요일 바람 을 통해 큐슈 에서 더 많은 폭우 가 예상 되고 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람 이 예상 될 ​​수 있지만 가능성이 항상 TS 힘 까지 돌풍남부 일본 열도 증가 하기 시작 한다는 것입니다 . 나는 동중국 해 와바다 표면 온도 의 수직 기류 의 적당한 양을 제공 형성 하는 것이 보다 약간 더 시원 할태풍 을 기대 해달라고

도쿄 TS , 소스 NHK

도쿄 TS , 소스 NHK

일반영역을 통해지난 2 주 동안 이동 한 이전 대 시스템 에서반복 용승 으로 인해 .

그것은 중앙 일본 처럼 보이지 않는 것은 폭우 너무 많이 있지만 볼 수 있습니다. 이 좋은 소식 과 서양 관동 의 많은 은 일요일 에 심한 폭풍 에 의해 명중 되었다 오고, 10,000 명의 사람들 이 일요일 저녁 을 통해 힘 을 잃었다.

이 공식 이 아닙니다 언제나처럼 공식적인 경고 및 정보는 해당 지역 WMO 승인 기관에 확인하십시오 . “- westernpacificweather
해양
중국
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
주의 : NAVIMAIL 의 일부가 아닌해상 안전 정보 의
운영 데이터 스트림 은으로 만 의존 해서는 안
최신 예측 및 경고 정보를 얻을 것을 의미합니다. 액세스
이 서비스 를 중단 할 수 있습니다 또는 시간 에서 시간 지연
업데이트는 가끔 틈 도 발생할 수 있습니다. GMDSS 를 참조하십시오
공식 소스 , 인말 새트 는 SafetyNET 또는 국제 NAVTEX
서비스 자세한 내용은
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) 에 대한 메시지 는 NMC BEIJING 에 의해 발행
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
메시지가 = EVERY 06 시간 업데이트
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9월 01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9 월를 전망이다. 02 =
= 를 WARNNING
ENE 12KM / H 를 이동하는 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTC 을위한 예측
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 약 9km / H 를 이동하는 26.3N 124.7E AT TS 도라지 1000HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS 바람 과 RADIUS 150KM 에 대해 예측,
021800UTC 27.7N AT 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
요약 =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS 하기에 2.0M TO NE WINDS
동중국 해 북쪽 부분 =
12 FROM UP 18M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
EAST CHINA SEA 대만 = 의 동쪽 바다 의 남쪽 부분
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
바시 CHANNEL =
12 일부터 최대 16 / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
SOUTH OVER 10KM 보다는 수평 시야 LESS
EAST CHINA 바다와 대만의 동쪽 바다 의 일부
와 안다만 해 (Andaman Sea) 와 수마트라 바다의 서쪽
순다 해협 라웃 JAWA 및 MAKASSAR 해협
AND 라웃 말루 쿠 및 라웃 BANDA =
예측 =
14 일부터 UP 3.5M TO 20M / S GUST 24M / S 의 SEAS TO WINDS
동중국 해 남쪽 부분 = OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NW 바람
대만 = OF SEA EAST
10 ~ UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NE 바람
서해 과 동쪽 의 북쪽 부분 의 남쪽 부분
CHINA SEA =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO 2.0M TO SE 바람
인도네시아 = 바다의 동남 OVER

==========

출처 : http://weather.gmdss.org/navimail/GMDSS_METAREA11-IOR_INMARSAT
중국 홍콩
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
GMDSS_METAREA11 – IOR_INMARSAT
==========
주의 : NAVIMAIL 의 일부가 아닌해상 안전 정보 의
운영 데이터 스트림 은으로 만 의존 해서는 안
최신 예측 및 경고 정보를 얻을 것을 의미합니다. 액세스
이 서비스 를 중단 할 수 있습니다 또는 시간 에서 시간 지연
업데이트는 가끔 틈 도 발생할 수 있습니다. GMDSS 를 참조하십시오
공식 소스 , 인말 새트 는 SafetyNET 또는 국제 NAVTEX
서비스 자세한 내용은
==========

WWCI50 BABJ 011800
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) 에 대한 메시지 는 NMC BEIJING 에 의해 발행
2215UTC SEP.01 2013 = AT
메시지가 = EVERY 06 시간 업데이트
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800UTC 9월 01 =
VALID 1800UTC 9 월를 전망이다. 02 =
= 를 WARNNING
ENE 12KM / H 를 이동하는 33.7N 176.9E AT TS YUTU 1002HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
AND 35.1N 179.6E 1002HPA AT 021800UTC 을위한 예측
CENTER = NEAR MAX WINDS 18M / S
NE 약 9km / H 를 이동하는 26.3N 124.7E AT TS 도라지 1000HPA
AND 센터 주변 MAX WINDS 18M / S (UP 3.5M TO SEAS )
30KTS 바람 과 RADIUS 150KM 에 대해 예측,
021800UTC 27.7N AT 126.3E 994HPA MAX WINDS 20M / S
CENTER = NEAR
요약 =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS 하기에 2.0M TO NE WINDS
동중국 해 북쪽 부분 =
12 FROM UP 18M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 3.5M TO WINDS
EAST CHINA SEA 대만 = 의 동쪽 바다 의 남쪽 부분
10 FROM UP 1.5M TO OVER 12M / S SEAS TO WLY WINDS
바시 CHANNEL =
12 일부터 최대 16 / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
SOUTH OVER 10KM 보다는 수평 시야 LESS
EAST CHINA 바다와 대만의 동쪽 바다 의 일부
와 안다만 해 (Andaman Sea) 와 수마트라 바다의 서쪽
순다 해협 라웃 JAWA 및 MAKASSAR 해협
AND 라웃 말루 쿠 및 라웃 BANDA =
예측 =
14 일부터 UP 3.5M TO 20M / S GUST 24M / S 의 SEAS TO WINDS
동중국 해 남쪽 부분 = OVER
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NW 바람
대만 = OF SEA EAST
10 ~ UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO OVER 250 TO NE 바람
서해 과 동쪽 의 북쪽 부분 의 남쪽 부분
CHINA SEA =
10 ~ UP 14M / S SEAS TO OVER 250 TO SW 바람
RYUKYU 제도 의 동쪽 바다 =
12 FROM UP 16M / S 의 SEAS TO 2.0M TO SE 바람
인도네시아 = 바다의 동남 OVER

==========
일본
24 까지 예측 : 바람, 바다 상태 , 날씨, 가시성
WWJP25 RJTD 011800
경고 및 요약 011800 .
VALID 021800 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
GALE 경고 .
LOW 980 HPA 를 개발
지점 호텔 10 매듭 을 움직이는 ALEUTIANS AROUND 53N 176E 바다 .
LOW 500 킬로미터 이내에있는 바람은 30 ~ 40 매듭 .
56N 176W 또 다른 LOW 988 HPA
EASTNORTHEAST 15 노트 를 이동합니다.
경고 .
짙은 안개 는 오호츠크 바다 로컬 관찰했다.
경고 .
짙은 안개 는 43N 144E 47N 153E 에 묶여 바다 위에 로컬 관찰
50N 157E 39N 166E 38N 157E 40N 153E 37N 145E 43N 144E .
요약 .
40N 151E EAST 10 KT AT LOW 1,012 HPA .
천천히 19N 155E 서북서 NEAR LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA .
35N 118E EAST 높은 1016 HPA 천천히 .
천천히 48N 151E ESE 높은 1020 HPA .
ALMOST STATIONARY 34N 154E AT HIGH 1016 HPA .
28N 125E FROM 32N 130E 35N 135E 36N 141E TO STATIONARY FRONT .
REMARKS .
26.3N 124.8E AT 열대 폭풍우 1317 도라지 ( 1317 ) 1002 HPA 보기 :
TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 .
33.7N 176.9E AT 열대 폭풍우 1316 YUTU ( 1316 ) 1002 HPA 보기 :
TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 .
일본 기상청 . =

출처 : http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/ww/wwjp25.rjtd..txt
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800

WTJP21 는 011800 를 RJTD
경고 011800 .
VALID 021800 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
GALE 경고 .
열대 폭풍우 1317 도라지 ( 1317 ) 열대 불경기 로 업그레이드
1002 HPA
26.3N AT 124.8E EAST CHINA SEA 는 천천히 NORTHNORTHEAST 를 이동합니다.
POSITION 박람회 .
MAX 는 센터 주변 35 매듭 바람.
30 매듭 WINDS 90 마일 반경 .
50 마일 반경 27.2N 125.9E AT 020600UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
998 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 35 매듭 .
85 마일 반경 28.0N 126.8E AT 021800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
994 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 40 매듭 .
EXTENDED 전망 .
160 마일 반경 29.0N 127.5E AT 031800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
990 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 45 매듭 .
220 마일 반경 29.6N 127.7E AT 041800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
990 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 45 매듭 .

일본 기상청 . =

( 이미지 : JMA ) 바다 전망

END

Japan: Tropical Cyclone 14W TD KONGREY/ NANDO 301800Z 33.0N 128.0E moving NE at 20kt – LOW (JMA) – 310813 1945z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Depression) KONG-REY / NANDO

(Scroll down for Chinese, Japanese and Korean translation)

(向下滾動中文,日文和韓文翻譯)

(中国語、日本語、韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(중국어, 일본어 및 한국어 번역 아래로 스크롤)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: CWB Taiwan) Taiwan Radar (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOSTDost_pagasa

PHILIPPINES

No tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

Japan Meteorological agency

(Image: JMA)

(Image: JMA) Japan Radar (Click image for source/animation)

(Image: JMA) Currently valid Warnings/Advisories (Click image for source)

LOW
Issued at 18:50 UTC, 30 August 2013

<Analyses at 30/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
LOW
Center position N3300′(33.0)
E12800′(128.0)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN31 PGTW 310300

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (KONG-REY) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
310000Z — NEAR 33.6N 129.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 050 DEGREES AT 28 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 33.6N 129.5E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z — 37.5N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z — 41.3N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z — 44.4N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 34.6N 131.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (KONG-REY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 32 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 28
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY ALONG WITH RADAR IMAGERY FROM KMA SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION
OVER AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT HAS
MERGED INTO THE PASSING TROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST. A 302149Z SSMIS
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS
QUICKLY ERODED AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO PRESS IN ON THE SYSTEM AND
THE LLCC HAS BECOME VERY POORLY DEFINED. TD 14W HAS NOW COMPLETED
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC
BOUNDARY AND IS NOW DETERMINED TO BE A COLD-CORE SYSTEM. THE
REMNANTS OF TD 14W ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY TRACK AS A BAROCLINIC
SYSTEM TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AND ACROSS NORTHERN
HONSHU INTO THE PACIFIC. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT WITH A LIMITED SPREAD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
JTWC FORECAST IS LAID CLOSE TO MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z
IS 11 FEET.//
NNNN

TSR logo

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

 

Tropical Depression KONG-REY (14W) currently located near 33.6 N 129.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

westernpacificweather:

.

Severe Flooding In Taiwan and Japan : Kong-rey impacts

.

Heavy Rains and High Winds across Japan.縲€蜿ー鬚ィ縲€Update

 

MARITIME

 

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1200

WWJP25 RJTD 311200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA
AT 40N 139E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 39N 143E 38N 147E.
COLD FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 36N 137E 34N 132E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 132E TO 32N 129E 29N 125E 26N 122E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA
AT 50N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 168E TO 49N 169E.
WARM FRONT FROM 49N 169E TO 46N 172E 42N 175E.
COLD FRONT FROM 49N 169E TO 43N 163E 41N 153E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW.
ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 163E
MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 31.0N 174.0E MIDWAYS MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 162E 60N 165E
60N 180E 41N 180E 42N 175E 50N 168E 54N 162E.
SUMMARY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 25N 122E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 36N 116E SE 10 KT.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1016 HPA AT 50N 146E SE 15 KT.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 32N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

(Image: JMA) CLICK IMAGE FOR SOURCE/MORE INFORMATION

END

Chinese (Translated by Google)

日本:熱帶氣旋14W TD KONGREY / NANDO
300900Z
30.4N 125.2E
移動,東北14克拉(聯合颱風警報中心) 300813 0850z

熱帶氣旋(熱帶低氣壓) KONG REY / NANDO的的

(向下滾動中文,日文和韓文翻譯)

(向下滾動中文,日文和韓文翻譯)

(中國語,日本語,韓國語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

( 중국어 , 일본어 및 한국어 번역 아래 로 스크롤 )

(圖片提供: wunderground.com )衛星(點擊圖片來源)

(圖片: wunderground.com )五天天氣預報(點擊圖片源)

(圖片提供:中央氣象局台灣)台灣雷達(點擊圖像源)

PAGASA DOSTDost_pagasa的

菲律賓

沒有熱帶氣旋存在於菲律賓責任區( PAR ) 。

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/hrlytc_up.html

日本氣象廳

(圖片提供:日本氣象廳)

(圖片提供: JMA )日本雷達(點擊圖像源/動畫)

(圖片提供: JMA )目前有效的警告/諮詢(點擊圖片來源)
TS 1315 ( KONG REY )
發行於2013年8月30日, 06:50 UTC
<Analyses在30/06 UTC>
秤 –
強度 –
中心位置N29 55′ ( 29.9 )
E124 30′ (124.5 )
方向和速度運動東北25KM /小時( 14克拉)
中心氣壓996hPa
附近的中心18M / s的最大風速( 35克拉)
最大陣風線速度25m / s的( 50克拉)
區的風30克拉或更多SE220km ( 120NM )
NW170km ( 90NM )
<Forecast為一十八分之三十零UTC>
強度 –
中心位置的概率圓N32 00 ( 32.0 )
E127 20 (127.3 )
方向和速度運動NE 30公里每小時( 16克拉)
中心氣壓994hPa
20M / s的中心附近最大風速( 40克拉)
最大陣風速度30M / s的( 60克拉)
半徑概率圓90公里( 50NM )
<Forecast為31/06 UTC>
強度 –

概率圈N34 05′的中心位置( 34.1 )
E130 35′ (130.6 )
方向和速度運動NE 30公里每小時( 17克拉)
中心氣壓994hPa
最大持續風速20M / S ( 40克拉)
最大陣風速度30M / s的( 60克拉)
半徑概率圓160公里( 85NM )

聯合颱風警報中心( JTWC )

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 300900

,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風 WRNCEN 珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶低氣壓14W ( KONG REY )警告NR 018
降級熱帶風暴14W
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
300600Z 近29.9N 124.5E
運動過去六小時 035度14節
位置精確到035海裡內
基於位置的衛星中心
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 030 KT 040 KT ,陣風
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
成為溫帶
重複POSIT : 29.9N 124.5E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
301800Z 31.7N 127.3E
最大持續風速 035 KT ,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
溫帶
向量POSIT至24小時: 050度/ 29 KTS

24小時,有效的:
310600Z 35.5N 132.7E
最大持續風速 035 KT ,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
溫帶
矢量36小時POSIT : 045度/ 29 KTS

36小時,有效的:
311800Z 39.3N 138.1E
最大持續風速 030 KT 040 KT ,陣風
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
溫帶
矢量48小時POSIT : 055度/ 28 KTS

擴展展望:
48小時,有效的:
010600Z 42.3N 144.4E
最大持續風速 025 KT ,陣風035 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
溫帶

備註:
30.4N 125.2E 300900Z位置附近。
熱帶低氣壓14W ( KONG REY ) ,位於約328 nm
日本佐世保市,西南部14北方跟踪
在過去六小時結。最大有效波高度
300600Z為14英尺。 NEXT警告301500Z 302100Z 310300Z及
310900Z / /

TSR標誌

西北太平洋風暴警報8月29日發行, 2013 0:00 GMT

熱帶風暴香港 雷伊( 14W )目前位於25.1附近鉛在給定的時間(s )以下的可能性(次)取得土地122.4 E的預測:

黃色警示國家(S)或省( S )
台灣
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為10%
變性人的概率是85 % ,目前
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S )
台北(25.0 N, 121.5 )
目前, 60%的概率為TS

需要注意的是
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30 %的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風, 63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

熱帶風暴香港 雷伊蜿ー鬚ィ 5移動到日本,週末天氣展望

發布時間2013年8月30由robspeta / / westernpacificweather的

日本氣象廳雷達週五下午

日本氣象廳雷達週五下午

成分走到一起於本週末在日本全國一片狼藉的雨,雷雨大風燉。

熱帶風暴香港 雷伊仍然挑起在中國東海海域,實際上我們仍然看到淋浴,沿台灣窶沍西海岸的風險的另一種150毫米雨量。在此之前,許多報告,在過去48小時的降雨量超過 700mm的一份報告,春日843毫米的。這引發了一些嚴重的水災區域,導致在台灣的三個生命的損失。

但現在威脅區切換北部到日本西部和北部沿海的日本海岸線。

已經在雷達,我們所看到的這些淋浴,淋浴九州西部流。少數地區超過150毫米,到目前為止已經看到上週五至週六導致了嚴重的水浸風險,這個數字可以很容易地增加一倍。這是由於冷鋒相結合,在中國和韓國在韓國南部的洪水以及香港康妮帶來的不穩定導致引發惡劣天氣。

幾風暴也將產生短的時間大雨至80mm每小時沿著日本海岸線的海洋。每小時74毫米已經記錄在石川今天。ツ由於這些強降雨,日本氣象廳已經發出警告,山體滑坡ツツ富山縣,石川縣,長崎縣,佐賀縣。

沖繩會看到天空晴間多雲,偏南風和偶爾的雷暴機會。

在日本太平洋沿岸的一個略有不同的故事被告知。持久強勁的偏南風,陣風及以上熱帶

台灣南部地區水浸

台灣南部地區水浸

出導致到高溫橫跨包括東京在內的日本太平洋海岸的熱帶風暴強度有時是在溫暖的空氣中湧動。 (星期六)在東京的高預期是36度左右。這種熱結合南風水分仍然會帶來局部地區性雷暴,整個關東地區發展至週六的風險。

同時北中國東部更遠的西部下降到20年代的氣溫預計將產生霜凍通過隔夜小時。
這些接近冰點的低點預計不會推到日本,但在下週,到20年代中期的高點,將成為更愜意。

其餘的熱帶西南季風今天湧動在泰國各地的水分通過菲律賓繼續抗衡。ツ隔離午後雷陣雨這裡仍然是一個威脅,但是從上週末的降雨持續時間是白天和黑夜,大雨淹沒了馬尼拉都會區。現在部分陰天馬尼拉的預測與30年代的低氣溫。

展望未來,台灣可能無法走出困境。ツ香港康妮之後的一種新的低氣壓區產卵拿起幾個全局模型,並有望開發週日到週一。垂直風切變,仍然是有點高,在該地區,即使這個新的低強度仍然疲弱,根據模型,它仍可能引發的強降雨橫跨中國東部南部和台灣。

westernpacificweather
海事
METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600

WTJP21 RJTD 300600
警告300600 。
警告有效310600 。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
熱帶風暴1315香港 雷伊(1315) 996百帕
AT 29.9N 124.5E東中國海搬家東北14海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風35海裡。
超過30個結風半徑120公里東南半圓和90
MILES ELSEWHERE 。
預測位置在50英里半徑32.0N 127.3E 301800UTC
70 %的概率圓。
994 MAX WINDS HPA ,中心附近40海裡。
預測位置在85英里半徑34.1N 130.6E 310600UTC
70 %的概率圓。
994 HPA , MAX 40 WINDS節。
成為溫帶低。

日本氣象廳。

(圖片提供: JMA)點擊圖片的源/更多信息

Japanese (Translated by Google)

日本:熱帯サイクロン14W TD KONGREY / NANDO
300900Z
30.4N 125.2E
14カラットで移動するNE( JTWC ) 300813 0850z

熱帯サイクロン(熱帯低気圧) KONG REY / NANDO

(中国語、日本語、韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

(向下滚动中文、日文和韩文翻译)

(中国语、日本语、韓国語の翻訳のためにスクロールダウン)

( 중국어 、 일본어및한국어번역아래로스크롤 )

(画像: wunderground.com )衛星(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像: wunderground.com ) 5日間の予報(ソース画像をクリック)

(画像:台湾CWB )台湾レーダー(ソース画像をクリック)

PAGASA DOSTDost_pagasa

フィリピン

いいえ熱帯低気圧は、責任( PAR)のフィリピンの領域内に存在しません。

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/hrlytc_up.html

気象庁

(画像: JMA )

(画像: JMA )日本レーダー(ソース/アニメーション画像をクリック)

(画像: JMA )現在有効な警告/勧告は、 (ソースの画像をクリック)
TS 1315 ( KONG REY )
6時50分UTC 、 2013年8月30日に発行される
30/06 UTC>で<Analyses
1:43 –
強度 –
中心位置N29 55 (29.9 )
E124 30 ( 124.5 )
動きNE毎時25キロ( 14カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧996hPa
中央18メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 35カラット)
最大突風スピード25メートル/秒( 50カラット)
30カラット風の面積以上SE220km ( 120nmの)
NW170km ( 90nmプロセス)
18分の30 UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
確率サークルN32 00 の中心位置(32.0 )
E127 20 ( 127.3 )
動きNEの毎時30キロ( 16カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧994hPa
中央20メートル/秒付近で最大風速( 40カラット)
最大突風スピード30メートル/秒( 60カラット)
確率サークル90キロの半径( 50NM )
31/06 UTC>ため<Forecast
強度 –
LOW
確率サークルN34 05 の中心位置( 34.1 )
E130 35 ( 130.6 )
動きNEの毎時30キロ( 17カラット)の方向と速度
中心気圧994hPa
最大持続風速20メートル/秒( 40カラット)
最大突風スピード30メートル/秒( 60カラット)
確率160キロの円の半径( 85NM )

合同台風警報センター( JTWC )

Google Earthのグラフィックオーバーレイ

WTPN31 PGTW 300900

MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN真珠湾HI / /
SUBJ /熱帯低気圧の警告/ /
RMKS /
1 。熱帯低気圧14W ( KONG REY )警告NR 018
熱帯暴風雨の14Wダウングレード
NORTHWESTPAC IN 01 ACTIVE熱帯低気圧
MAXはONE- MINUTE平均に基づいてWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY

警告POSITION :
300600Z NEAR 29.9N 124.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 14 KTS AT 035 DEGREES
035 NM以内の正確な位置
POSITIONは、衛星のそば中心を基準に
PRESENT WIND配分:
MAX持続WINDS 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯BECOMING
29.9N 124.5E : POSITを繰り返す

予測:
AT VALID 12時間:
301800Z 31.7N 127.3E
035 KT 、突風045 KT MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
24人事POSITへのベクトル:050 DEG / 29 KTS

AT VALID 24時間:
310600Z 35.5N 132.7E
035 KT 、突風045 KT MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
36人事POSITへのベクトル: 045 DEG / 29 KTS

VALID AT 36時間:
311800Z 39.3N 138.1E
MAX持続WINDS 030 KT 、突風040 KT
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯
48人事POSITへのベクトル: 055 DEG / 28 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK :
AT VALID 48時間:
010600Z 42.3N 144.4E
025 KT 、突風035 KT MAXはWINDSを支え
OPEN WATER OVER VALID WIND半径ONLY
温帯

備考:
30.4N 125.2E NEAR 300900Z POSITION 。
熱帯低気圧14W ( KONG REY )は、約328 NMのLOCATED
SASEBO 、 JAPAN 、南西は14で北東追跡して
過去半時間以上ノット。での最大有義波高
300600Zは14フィートです。 NEXT 301500Z 、 302100Z 、 310300Z AT警告と
310900Z 。 / /
NNNN
TSRのロゴ

北西太平洋: 8月29日に発行したストームの警告、 2013年午前0時00 GMT

トロピカルストームKONG REY ( 14W )は、現在25.1の近くにN 122.4 Eが与えられたリードタイム( s)で、次の可能性(複数可)に土地を打つと予測されている:

イエローアラートカントリー(s)または州( S)
台湾
CAT 1の確率以上は、現在10%である
TSのための確率は現在85%である
イエローアラート市(s)とタウン(S)
台北(25.0 N 、 121.5 E )
TSのための確率は現在60%である

注意してください
イエローアラート(高架) CAT 1以上〜10 %と30 %の確率、又はTSの間に50%以上の確率である。
CAT 1は、少なくとも毎時74マイルの台風の強さの風、毎時119キロまたは64ノット1分間の持続を意味している。
TSは、少なくとも毎時39マイルの熱帯性低気圧の強さの風を意味し、毎時63キロまたは34ノット1分持続。

グラフィカルな予測情報と詳細についてhttp://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/をご覧くださ&#12356;

トロピカルストーム香港レイ蜿ー鬚ィ日本で5移動、週末の天気の見通し

robspeta / / westernpacificweatherによって2013年8月30日に公開

気象庁レーダー金曜日の午後

気象庁レーダー金曜日の午後

成分は、この週末の雨、雷雨と強風の乱雑なシチューのため全国一緒に来ている。

トロピカルストーム香港 レイはまだ東シナ海の海を攪拌され、実際に我々はまだ降雨の別の150ミリメートルのリスクに台湾窭冱西海岸に沿ってシャワーを見ている。これは、最大 843ミリメートルまでChunriでつのレポートで700ミリメートル以上の過去48時間の降雨の多数の報告に従っています。これは、地域のために、い くつかの深刻な洪水を引き起こした、台湾全体で3つの生活の損失をもたらした。

しかし、今の脅威面積は日本の海岸線に沿って海の西部と北部日本に北スイッチングされます。

すでにレーダーに私たちは、九州西部にシャワーをストリーミングこれらのシャワーを見ている。いくつかの地域では、金曜日に150ミリメートル以 上、これまで見てきたし、その数は簡単に洪水の深刻なリスクにつながる土曜日に行く倍増することができます。これは、すべての香港レイによってもたらさ れる不安定と共に南部韓国の洪水につながる中国、韓国全体で厳しい気象を引き起こした寒冷前線の組み合わせによるものです。

少数の嵐は、日本の海岸線の海に沿って80ミリメートル当たりの時間に短時間豪雨を生成します。時間あたり74ミリメートルは、すでに今日の石川に 記録。ツ気象庁も地滑りのために警告を発行して、これらの激しい雨のため、ツツ富山県、石川県、長崎県、そして佐賀県である。

沖縄南風、時折雷雨の可能性と、部分的に曇った空を見ることができます。

日本の太平洋沿岸では若干異なる物語が言われています。永続的な強い南風アップ突風と熱帯かけ

台湾南部の洪水

台湾南部の洪水

時には嵐の強さは、東京を含め、日本の太平洋岸を越え暑い気温につながる熱帯のうち、暖かい空気中に急増している。土曜日に東京で高いが36度前後になると予想される。南の水分と結合し、この熱はまだ土曜日まで関東エリア全体で開発孤立雷雨の危険性をもたらすでしょう。

北中国東部それにで一方遠く西に霜が期待一夜時間を通して温度が20代までに下がっている。
これらの近くで凍結安値は日本ににプッシュすることが期待されていませんが、高域は来週で20代半ばに、より我慢になるだろう。

熱帯の残りの部分は南西モンスーンが今日フィリピンを通じてタイ全体で湿気に高騰と競合し続けています。ツ孤立午後の雷雨はまだここに脅威となっ ていますが、重いシャワーマニラメトロエリアスワンピングされたときに降雨の継続時間は、先週末から、夜と昼です。今マニラ一部曇り空が低い30代の気温 が予想されている。

今後は、台湾はまだ森から出てないかもしれません。ツ香港- Reyのをきっかけに新たな低圧領域の産卵が少ないグローバルモデルによってピックアップされており、月曜日に日曜日で開発するために期待されています。 縦の風のシアはまだエリアにやや高くなり、この新しい低強度はモデルによると弱いままにもかかわらず、それはまだ南中国東部、台湾全体で大雨がスパークす ることができます。

westernpacificweather
MARITIME
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21は300600をRJTD
WARNING 300600 。
VALID 310600警告。
警告は6時間ごとに更新されます。
GALE警告。
TROPICAL STORM 1315 KONG REY ( 1315 ) 996 HPA
29.9N 124.5E AT東シナ海、北東14ノットMOVING 。
良いポジション。
MAXは、中心部に近い35ノットの風。
30 OVER KNOTのWINDSの半径は120離れたロケーションジャンル半円AND 90
ELSEWHERE MILES 。
50マイル半径32.0N 127.3E AT 301800UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
994 HPA 、中央付近のMAX WINDS 40ノット。
85マイルの半径34.1N 130.6E AT 310600UTCの予想POSITION
70パーセントの確率CIRCLE OF 。
994 HPA 、 MAX WINDS 40ノット。
温帯LOW BECOMING 。

気象庁。 =

(画像: JMA ) SOURCE /詳細画像をクリックする

END

Korean (Translated by Google)

일본 열대 사이클론 14W TD KONGREY / 난도
300900Z
30.4N 125.2E
14캐럿 로 이동 NE ( JTWC ) 300,813 0850z

열대 사이클론 ( 열대 불경기 ) KONG REY / 난도

( 중국어, 일본어 및 한국어 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

(向下 滚动 中文,日文 和 韩文 翻译)

(中国 语,日本语,韓国 語 の 翻訳 の ため に スクロール ダウン)

( 중국어 , 일본어 및 한국어 번역 아래로 스크롤 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 위성 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : wunderground.com ) 5 일 예보 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : 대만 CWB ) 대만 레이더 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )

PAGASA DOSTDost_pagasa

필리핀

어떤 열대 사이클론 책임 (PAR ) 의필리핀 지역 내에 존재 하지 않습니다.

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/hrlytc_up.html

일본 기상청

( 이미지 : JMA )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 일본 레이더 ( 소스 / 애니메이션 이미지를 클릭 )

( 이미지 : JMA ) 현재 유효한 경고 / 권고 는 ( 소스 이미지를 클릭 )
TS 1315 ( KONG REY )
세계 협정시 06시 50분 년 8 월 30 일 는 2013 발행
30/06 UTC> 에서 <Analyses
규모 –
강도 –
중앙 위치 N29 55 (29.9 )
E124 30 ( 124.5 )
운동 NE 25kmh ( 14캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 996hPa
중앙 18m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 35캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 25m / s의 ( 50캐럿 )
30캐럿 바람 의 영역 이상 SE220km ( 120NM )
NW170km ( 90 나노 )
18분의 30 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
확률 원형 N32 00 의 중심 위치 ( 32.0 )
E127 20 ( 127.3 )
운동 네브래스카 30kmh ( 16캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 994hPa
중앙 20m / s의 근처 최대 풍속 ( 40캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 30m / s의 ( 60캐럿 )
확률 원형 90km 반경 ( 50NM )
31/06 UTC> 에 대한 <Forecast
강도 –
LOW
확률 원형 N34 05 의 중심 위치 ( 34.1 )
E130 35 ( 130.6 )
운동 네브래스카 30kmh ( 17캐럿 ) 의 방향과 속도
중앙 압력 994hPa
최대 지속 풍속 20m / s의 ( 40캐럿 )
최대 돌풍 속도 30m / s의 ( 60캐럿 )
확률 원형 160km 의 반경 ( 85NM )

합동 태풍 경보 센터 ( JTWC )

구글 어스 그래픽 오버레이

WTPN31 PGTW 300900

MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT 태풍 WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
피사체 / TROPICAL CYCLONE 경고 / /
RMKS /
1 . 열대 불경기 14W ( KONG REY ) 경고 NR 018
열대 폭풍 14W 다운 그레이드
NORTHWESTPAC 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX 는 1 분 평균적인 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
300600Z NEAR 29.9N 124.5E
운동 지난 6 시간 14 KTS AT 035 DEGREES
035 NM 내에서 정확한 위치
위치는 위성 에 의해 위치 CENTER 근거에
PRESENT 바람 배급 :
MAX 지속적인 WINDS 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대 되고
29.9N 124.5E : 창 이동 을 반복

예측 :
AT VALID 12 시간 :
301800Z 31.7N 127.3E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
24 시간 창 이동 의 벡터 : 050 DEG / 29 KTS

AT VALID 24 시간 :
310600Z 35.5N 132.7E
035 KT , 돌풍 045 KT MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
36 HR 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 045 DEG / 29 KTS

유효한 AT 36 시간 :
311800Z 39.3N 138.1E
MAX 지속적인 WINDS 030 KT , 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대
48 시간 의 창 이동 의 벡터 : 055 DEG / 28 KTS

EXTENDED 전망 :
AT VALID 48 시간 :
010600Z 42.3N 144.4E
025 KT , 돌풍 035 KT MAX 는 바람을 지속
OPEN 물 위에 VALID 바람 반지름 만
온대

비고 :
30.4N 125.2E NEAR 300900Z 위치 .
열대 불경기 14W ( KONG REY )는 약 328 NM 에게 위치한
사세보, 일본 , 남서쪽으로 14 AT 북동쪽 추적 들었습니다
지난 6 시간 동안 매듭 . AT 최대 유의 파고 의 높이
300600Z 14 피트입니다. 다음 301500Z , 302100Z , 310300Z AT 경고 및
310900Z . / /
NNNN
TSR 로고

NW 태평양 : 8월 29일 에서 발행 폭풍 경고 2013 그리니치 표준시 00시

열대 폭풍우 KONG REY ( 14W )는 현재 25.1 근처에 N 122.4 E 는 주어진 리드 타임 (들 ) 에 다음과 같은 가능성 ( 들)에 토지를 공격 할 것으로 예상된다 :

노란색 경고 국가 ( 들) 또는 지방 (들 )
대만
CAT 1 확률 이상 은 현재 10 %
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 85 % 입니다
노란색 경고 시티 ( 들) 및 타운 (들 )
타이베이 ( 25.0 N, 121.5 E)
TS 에 대한 확률은 현재 60 % 입니다

참고
노란색 경고 ( 상승 ) CAT 1 이상 에 10 % , 30 %의 확률 , 또는 TS 사이의 이상 50 %의 확률 이다.
CAT 1 이상 74mph 의 태풍 강도 바람 119kmh 또는 64 노트 1 분 지속 을 의미합니다.
TS 적어도 39mph 의 열대 폭풍우 힘 바람 을 의미 , 63kmh 34 노트 1 분 지속 .

그래픽 예측 정보와 자세한 내용 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/ 를 방문하시기 바랍니다

열대 폭풍우 홍콩 레이蜿 ー 鬚 ィ일본 에서 5 이동 , 주말 날씨 전망

robspeta / / westernpacificweather 에 의해 2013년 8월 30일 에 게시

JMA RADAR 금요일 오후

JMA RADAR 금요일 오후

성분 이 주말에 비, 천둥 번개 와 강한 바람 의더러운 스튜 일본 전국의 함께오고있다 .

열대 폭풍우 홍콩 레이 는 여전히 동중국 해 에서바다 를 교반 실제로 우리는 여전히 강수량 의 또 다른 150mm 의위험과 대만窭 冱서부 해안을 따라 샤워 를 보고있다 . 이 최대 843mm 까지 Chunri 한 보고서 700mm 이상과거의 48 시간 의 강우량이 많은 보고서를 다음과 같습니다. 이영역에 대한 심각한 홍수 발생 과 대만 에 걸쳐 세 가지 삶의 손실을 초래 하고있다.

하지만 지금은 위험 지역은 일본 해안선 의 바다 를 따라 서쪽과 북 일본 에서 북쪽으로 전환 됩니다 .

이미 레이더 에 우리는 서부 큐슈 샤워 스트리밍 이 샤워 를 보고있다 . 몇 가지 영역 은 금요일에 150mm 이상 지금까지 본 그 수 를 쉽게 홍수 의 심각한 위험을 선도 토요일 에 가는 배 수 있습니다. 이 모든 홍콩 레이 에 의해 가져온 되는 불안정성 과 함께 남부 한국 에서 홍수 로 이어지는 한국과 중국 에 걸쳐 악천후 를 발생한랭 전선 의 조합 에 의한 것입니다.

몇 폭풍 는 일본 해안선 의 바다 를 따라 80mm 에서 시간당 으로 짧은 시간 폭우 를 생성합니다. 시간 당 74mm 는 오늘 이미 이시카와 현에서 기록했다.ツ JMA 는 산사태 에 대한 경고를 발행 한 이 강한 비가 때문에ツ  ツ  도야마 현 , 이시카와 현 , 나가사키 현 , 사가 (현).

오키나와 남쪽 바람과가끔 천둥 의 기회 와 부분적으로 흐린 하늘 을 볼 수 있습니다.

일본 의 태평양 연안에약간 다른 이야기 가 이야기 되고있다. 영속적 인 강한 남쪽 바람이 최대 돌풍 과 열대 에

대만 남부 에서 홍수

대만 남부 에서 홍수

시간에 폭풍 강도는 도쿄 등 일본 의태평양 연안 에 걸쳐 뜨거운 온도 에 이르는열대 의 밖으로 따뜻한 공기 급증 하고 있습니다. 토요일에 도쿄에서 하이 는 36 도 전후 가 될 것으로 예상된다. 남쪽 수분 과 결합 이 열 은 여전히 ​​토요일까지관동 지역 에 걸쳐 개발 고립 된 뇌우 의 위험 을 가져올 것이다.

북한 중국 동부 그것 의 사이에 멀리 서쪽으로 는 서리 를 생산하는 것으로야간 시간 을 통해 온도 와20 대 에 떨어지고있다 .
이 근처 동결 낮은 일본 에 밀어 예상 되지 않지만최고 는 다음주중반 20 대 에 더 견딜 될 것입니다.

열대 의 나머지는 남쪽 서쪽 계절풍 은 오늘필리핀 을 통해 태국 을 통해 수분 급증 으로 주장 하고 있습니다.ツ  절연 오후 천둥 번개 아직 여기위협 하지만 무거운 소나기 는마닐라 대도시 지역 을 침수되어 가라 앉는 때강우 의 지속 시간이 지난 주말 부터 낮과 밤 입니다 . 지금 마닐라 에 대한 부분적으로 흐린 하늘 이낮은 30 대 , 온도 예측 에 있습니다.

앞서 찾고 , 대만 은 아직 숲 밖으로 되지 않을 수 있습니다.ツ  홍콩 레이 의 여파로새로운 낮은 압력 영역 산란 은몇 가지 글로벌 모델 에 의해 포착 되고 있으며, 월요일 에서 일요일 로 발전 할 것으로 예상된다. 수직 기류 는 여전히지역에서 다소 높은 것 이 새로운 낮은강도모델 에 따라 약한 남아 있더라도 여전히 남동부 중국과 대만 에 걸쳐 호우 을 촉발 할 수 있습니다.

westernpacificweather
해양
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 는 300600 를 RJTD
경고 300600 .
VALID 310600 을 경고합니다.
경고 는 6 시간마다 업데이트됩니다.
GALE 경고 .
열대 폭풍우 1315 KONG REY ( 1315 ) 996 HPA
29.9N AT 124.5E EAST CHINA 바다 떨어진 지점 호텔 14 매듭 를 이동합니다.
좋은 위치 .
MAX 는 센터 주변 35 매듭 바람.
30 매듭 바람의 반경은 120 km 떨어진 지점 반원 90
다른 곳에서는 MILES .
50 마일 반경 32.0N 127.3E AT 301800UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
994 HPA , 중심 부근 최대 WINDS 40 매듭 .
85 마일 반경 34.1N 130.6E AT 310600UTC 에 대한 예측 위치
70 % 확률 서클 .
994 HPA , MAX WINDS 40 매듭 .
온대 LOW 되고 .

일본 기상청 . =

( 이미지 : JMA ) SOURCE / 자세한 내용은 이미지를 클릭하십시오

END

Deadly Floods in North Korea and Weather for the rest of Eastern Asia

Panahon Ngayon

South and North Korea both have been battered by heavy rainfall this week due to a persistent and potent trough that was lingering over the Peninsula. Four deaths were reported in the Seoul area on Tuesday while in the North 13 deaths were reported and thousands of homes have been damaged as rain totals climbed over the 500mm mark throughout the course of the week in central and western portions of the country. Pyongyang alone on Tuesday saw rain reports over 200mm. With that said people will get some time through the end of the week to pick up the peaces as the weather improves across the Peninsula and high pressure ridges in.  That is until Saturday night in to Sunday when a new low pressure area works its way out of China and brings another shot of rough weather to the area. Extreme South Korea could also see passing…

View original post 314 more words

Just In Case: U.S. Has Plans for Americans to Flee South Korea

U.S.

Courageous Channel isn’t some new offering from your cable TV provider.

It’s the name of the regular Noncombatant Evacuation Operation exercise done by the U.S. military in South Korea to practice getting thousands of U.S. civilians out of the country in a hurry if it looks like war with North Korea is imminent.

Each spring, U.S. military dependents, non-emergency essential civilians and contractors do everything except board an airplane for such an eventuality. They’re told what to bring (“3 days food/water…30 days meds…limited cash $100-200”) and what to do about pets (“pets are considered family members…do not have priority over people…pets cannot be abandoned”). There’s even a handy video “to learn how to correctly employ the Infant Chemical Agent Protection System,” along with lots of other tips on what to do the day no one hopes ever comes.

“Each person,” the guidelines issued by U.S. Forces Korea say, “is allowed…

View original post 788 more words

South Korea vows response ‘at first contact’ to any potential North Korean attack

TheSurvivalPlaceBlog

A South Korean K-1 tank moves over a temporary bridge during a river-crossing military drill in Hwacheon near the border with North Korea on April 1, 2013

SEOUL, South Korea — South Korea’s new president, Park Geun-hye, is pursuing a policy that seeks to re-engage North Korea with dialogue and aid after five years of standoff. But she told her military Monday to set aside political considerations and respond strongly should North Korea attack.

“I consider the current North Korean threats very serious,” Park told the South’s generals Monday. “If the North attempts any provocation against our people and country, you must respond strongly at the first contact with them without any political consideration.

“As top commander of the military, I trust your judgment in the face of North Korea’s unexpected surprise provocation,” she added.

Her  response contrasted with the more dismissive attitude that South Korean leaders have usually taken toward North Korean threats.

But the White House says that despite warlike rhetoric from North Korea the Obama administration has not seen changes in the regime’s military…

View original post 403 more words

South Korea: Nuclear plant safety concerns after cracks found at reactor – 091112 2005z

South Korean nuclear regulators have found microscopic cracks in tunnels that guide control rods at a nuclear plant under maintenance, government officials said, raising new concerns over the country’s nuclear power sector.

The discovery, revealed on Friday, of the cracks at the reactor comes just days after two reactors at the same plant in Yeonggwang county, in the southwest of the country, were shut down to replace parts that had been provided with forged certificates.

South Korea is investigating how thousands of parts for its nuclear reactors were supplied using forged safety documents, with regulators set to inspect all 23 of the country’s facilities – a move that could test public support for the industry and threaten billions of dollars worth of exports.

“There are cracks in six tunnels. The reactor has been halted since October 18 for regular maintenance and now the process has been extended by a further 47 days for repair of the cracks,” said a spokeswoman for the presidential Korea Nuclear Safety and Security Commission.

She said it was the first time cracks of this type had been found in South Korea’s nuclear sector, but added the safety risk was not serious enough to require public disclosure.

The reactor affected by the cracks has a capacity of 1,000 megawatts, and a government official said the extended shutdown could complicate efforts to ensure steady supply of power through the peak winter season after the two other reactors had been stopped until the end of this year.

Asia’s fourth-largest economy generates 30 per cent of its electricity from 23 nuclear reactors at state-owned plants, and the government has warned of the potential for unprecedented power shortages due to the shutdowns as demand peaks in winter.

“This could affect power supplies, but we are preparing contingency plans,” said a senior economy ministry official, who declined to be named as he is not authorised to speak to the media. South Korea’s state-run nuclear power utility said it was investigating the cause of the cracks, but said they had not caused any leaks.

“There are no penetrating cracks or leaks,” Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power, a subsidiary of state utility Korea Electric Power Corp (KEPCO), said in a statement. It operates all of the country’s nuclear power plants.

The country’s power utility and nuclear regulators have come under heavy criticism this week after the disclosure that eight firms had used forged safety documents to supply parts to nuclear plants raising concern of broader potential problems in the large and growing nuclear programme.

A task force has been established with government and private sector experts to inspect all reactors to ensure their parts are properly certified. It will also inspect five reactors under construction to see if troubled parts with forged certificates have been provided.

Friday, 09 November, 2012 at 14:48 (02:48 PM) UTC RSOE

Korean:

균열은 원자로에서 발견 된 한국 핵 발전소 안전 문제 이후

한국 원자력 규제 유지 보수에 따라 원자력 발전소의 안내 제어 막대는 정부가 국가의 원자력 발전 부문 이상 새로운 문제를 제기 말했다 터널에 미세한 균열을 발견했습니다.

반응기에서 균열의 금요일 밝혀 발견,이 나라의 남서부에 Yeonggwang 카운티에서 동일한 공장, 두 원자로가 만들어진 인증서와 함께 제공 된 부품을 교체 종료 된 지 불과 며칠 후의 있습니다.

한국은 원전 부품의 수천은 국가의 시설의 모든 23을 검사하도록 설정 레귤레이터와 함께 위조 안전 문서를 사용하여 공급 된 방법을 조사하고 있습니다 – 산업의 공개적인 지원을 테스트하고 수출의 가치가 수십억 달러를 위협 할 수있는 행동.

“육 터널의 균열이 있습니다. 반응기는 정기 점검을 위해 10월 18일부터 중지되었습니다 지금 프로세스가 균열의 수리 더 47일에 의해 확장되었습니다,”대통령 한국 원자력 안전 및 보안위원회의 대변인은 .

그녀가이 유형의 균열은 한국의 핵 분야에서 발견 된 것은 그때가 처음이었다했지만, 안전 위험이 공개를 요구 할만큼 심각하지 않았 었죠 추가되었습니다.

균열에 의해 영향을 반응기의 1,000 메가 와트의 용량을 가지고 있으며, 정부 관계자는 두 개의 다른 원자로는 올해 말까지 중단 된 후 확장 종료 정상 겨울 시즌을 통해 전력의 안정적 공급을 위해 노력을 복잡하게 할 수있다.

아시아 4 위의 경제는 국영 공장에서 23 원자로에서 30의 전기 퍼센트를 생성하고, 정부는 겨울에 수요 피크로 중단으로 인해 전례없는 전력 부족의 가능성을 경고했다.

“이것은 전원 공급에 영향을 미칠 수있는, 우리가 비상 계획을 준비하고있다”고이 매체에게 이야기 할 수있는 권한이 없습니다로 이름을 거부 수석 경제 사역 관계자는 말했다. 한국의 국영 원자력 유틸리티는 균열의 원인을 조사했지만, 그들은 어떤 누수가 발생하지 않았다고 밝혔다.

“더 이상 관통 균열이나 누수가 없습니다,”한국 수력 및 원자력, 주, 유틸리티 한국 전력 주식회사 (한전)의 자회사는 성명에서 말했다. 이 나라의 핵 발전소를 모두 운영하고 있습니다.

국가의 전력 유틸리티와 핵 규제 여덟 회사는 큰 성장의 핵 프로그램에 광범위한 잠재적 인 문제의 우려를 제기 핵 발전소에 부품을 공급하기 위해 위조 안전 문서를 사용했다고 공개 후 이번 주에 많은 비판을 받고있다.

태스크 포스는 자신의 부품이 제대로 인증을 보장하기 위해 모든 원자로를 검사하기 위해 정부와 민간 전문가로 설립되었습니다. 또한 위조 인증서가있는 힘든 부분이 제공되었는지 건설의 지하 1.5 원자로를 검사합니다.

14시 48분에서 2012년 11월 9일 (금요일) (오후 2시 48분) 세계 협정시 RSOE

#Sanba is now an area of low pressure nr N44°00′ E133°00′ at 0050Z – Updated 18 Sept 2012 0950Z

xxx

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
Satellite East Asia Infrared
(Click image for animation/source)

(Image: JMA)
JAPAN Currently valid Warnings/Advisories
(Click image for source)

(Image: KMA)
South Korea Radar: Real Time
(Click image for animation/source)

18 Sept 2012 This is the last update for Sanba.

Typhoon Sanba Reaches Vladivostok, Russia – Floods city streets. Over ten streets were flooded in Vladivostok as typhoon Sanba reached the Russian Far Eastern city bringing there one third of monthly rainfalls norm. The Sanba emerged on September 10 near the shores of Philippines and before reaching Vladivostok it battered Japan and two Koreas leaving dozens of people homeless and cutting electricity power supplies. The administration of Vladivostok and the local emergencies services did not report any casualties and damages, but said that the storm caused a mudslide in the city, which temporarily disrupted a train connection between two local stations. Schools and kindergartens in Vladivostok continue working as usually, but it is up to parents to decide whether to take their children there during the storm. According to meteorologists, heavy rains will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday in the region with wind gusts reaching 23-28 meters per second.
Powerful typhoon Sanba lashed North and South Korea with strong wind and heavy rain, killing two people in landslides, leaving hundreds of others homeless and triggering blackouts in the South, officials said Tuesday. In North Korea, rain drenched parts of the country, including the eastern coastal city of Wonsan, but did not reach the capital, Pyongyang, which was windy Monday but spared the heavy rains that lashed the South Korean capital.
Sanba, which battered southern South Korea around midday Monday, pushed northward and moved into eastern waters, where it weakened and lost energy on Tuesday morning. North Korea didn’t get a direct hit but was affected by the storm’s outer bands. More than 3,700 homes and shops in South Korea remained without power Tuesday but officials were expected to restore power later in the day. A woman died in a landslide in southeastern South Korea, and a man died in a separate landslide. Two people were injured and about 560 people were left homeless.
Before reaching South Korea, the storm hit Japan. One man drowned in high waves, about 67,000 homes in southwestern Japan lost power and some areas flooded. There were no immediate official reports from North Korea on whether the storm caused any damage there. Dozens there were killed in a typhoon last month, and the country suffered flooding and drought earlier in the year.”  – http://globaldisasterwatch.blogspot.co.uk

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

18 Sept 2012 No warnings

17 Sept 2012

.wtpn31 pgtw 170900
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 17w (sanba) warning nr 027
   downgraded from typhoon 17w
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only

warning position:
170600z — near 36.0n 128.6e
movement past six hours – 010 degrees at 20 kts
position accurate to within 020 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds – 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
becoming extratropical
repeat posit: 36.0n 128.6e

forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
171800z — 40.7n 130.0e
Max sustained winds – 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical
vector to 24 hr posit: 015 deg/ 25 kts

24 hrs, valid at:
180600z — 45.6n 131.6e
Max sustained winds – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical

remarks:
170900z position near 37.2n 128.9e.
Tropical storm 17w (sanba), located approximately 10 nm northwest of
taegu, south Korea, has made landfall and accelerated
north-northeastward at 20 knots over the past six hours. The initial
position and intensity were based on animated radar imagery from the
korean meteorological agency and from surface observations from taegu
that reported maximum winds 0f 24 gusting to 40 knots at 170400z. Ts
17w is currently at the base of the taebaek mountain range and poised
to ramp up the high and very rugged terrain. Upper level analysis
indicates the system is now embedded in the baroclinic zone and
undergoing extratropical transition. It is expected to become a cold
core low after its remnants emerge back in the Sea of Japan by tau
12.  The alternate scenario is that the system will dissipate over
land. The available numerical guidance is in tight agreement and
lends high confidence to this track forecast. This is the final
warning on this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi.
The system will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration.    //

Korean:

wtpn31 pgtw 170900
msgid/genadmin/공동 태풍 wrncen 진주 항구 안녕 / /
subj/열 대 사이 클론 경고 / /
rmks /
1. 열 대 폭풍 17w (sanba) 경고 nr 027
태풍 17w에서 다운 그레이드
northwestpac에서 01 활성 열 대 사이 클론
최대 1 분 평균을 기반으로 하는 바람을 지속
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만

경고 위치:
170600z—36.0n 근처 128.6e
과거 6 시간-20 kts에서 010도 운동
020 내 위치 nm
위치 기반으로 위성 센터
현재 바람 분포:
최대 지속 바람-045 kt, 풍속 055 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대 되기
반복 멋 부리 다: 36.0n 128.6e

예측:
12 시간에 유효한:
171800z—40.7n 130.0e
최대 지속 바람-030 kt, 풍속 040 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대
24 시간 하는 벡터 멋 부리 다: 015 deg / 25 kts

24 시간에 유효한:
180600z—45.6n 131.6e
최대 지속 바람-020 kt, 풍속 030 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대

설명:
37.2n 근처 170900z 위치 128.9e.
열 대 폭풍 17w (sanba)에 위치한 약 10 nm 북서쪽의
대구, 한국, 육지 접근을 만든 있으며 가속
북한-northeastward 지난 6 시간 동안 20 노트에서. 초기
위치와 강도에서 애니메이션된 레이더 이미지에 기반 했다 합니다
한국 기상 기관 및 대구에서 표면 관찰에서
그는 최대 바람 0f 24 gusting 170400z에서 40 노트를 보고. Ts
17w 현재 태백 산맥의 기본 및 태세입니다.
높고 매우 거친 지형 방면 진입로. 상위 수준 분석
시스템은 baroclinic 영역에 포함 된 지금 나타냅니다 및
온대 전환을 겪고 있다. 감기 될 예정입니다.
코어 낮은 그것의 잔재 타우에 의해 일본 해에서 다시 등장 하는 후
12. 대체 시나리오는 시스템을 통해 낭비 것입니다.
토지입니다. 사용 가능한 숫자 지침 꽉 계약에는 고
예보이 트랙에 높은 자신감을 빌려준다. 이것은 최종
경고이 시스템에 의해 공동 태풍 wrncen 진주만 안녕하세요.
중생의 징후에 대 한 시스템을 밀접 하 게 모니터링 될 것 이다. //

Japan Meteorological agency
1216 1216 1216

LOW
Issued at 00:50 UTC, 18 September 2012

<Analyses at 18/00 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
LOW
Center position N44°00′(44.0°)
E133°00′(133.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 45km/h(25kt)
Central pressure 994hPa

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm SANBA (17W) currently located near 36.0 N 128.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Korean:

NW 태평양: 폭풍 경고에서 9 월 17 일, 2012 6시 GMT (최종 경고)

열 대 폭풍 SANBA (17W) 현재 36.0 128.6 N E 근처에 땅을 다음 likelihood(s) 주어진된 리드 행위가 공격 전망 이다:
노란색 경고 Country(s) 또는 조건이
대한민국
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 90% 이다.
노란색 경고 도시 (들) 및 Town(s)
대구 (35.9 128.6 N E)
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 90% 이다.
부산 (35.2 129.1 N E)
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 70 %

Note는
노란색 경고 (상승)는 고양이 1 또는 위의 하 10%, 30% 확률 또는 위의 50% 확률에 TS 사이.
고양이 1 적어도 74 mph, 119 km/h 또는 64 노트 1 분 지속의 태풍 힘 바람을 의미 합니다.
TS는 적어도 39 mph, 63 km/h 또는 34 노트 1 분 지속의 열 대 폭풍 강도 바람을 의미 합니다.

그래픽 예측된 정보 및 자세한 내용은 방문 하시기 바랍니다 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com//
Press:

Stars & Stripes

By Dave Ornauer
Published: September 15, 2012 (Times are Japan Time)

Kadena has already been feeling 25-mph winds and 41-mph gusts. Ginowan, near Camp Foster and Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, reported a 43-mph gust.

It’s bound to get worse before it gets better, folks. This is a very well-organized storm, with deep convective banding and a very well-defined eye about 29 miles wide. The eye will pass about 14 miles east of Kadena at about 5 a.m., during which time one might note that the winds and rain have ceased and the dawn coming up like thunder (although your eardrums might feel like they do when you’re on a commercial jet). Again, avoid any and all temptation to go outside. The back-side winds, in the opposite direction and likely more fierce than before, will kick in at any time.

Latest wind timeline courtesy of Kadena’s 18th Wing Weather Flight:

— Sustained 35-mph winds, 8 p.m. Saturday.
— Sustained 40-mph winds, 10 p.m. Saturday.
— Sustained 58-mph winds, 2 a.m. Sunday.
— Maximum 115-mph sustained winds, 144-mph gusts, 5 a.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 58 mph, 2 p.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 40 mph, 7 p.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 35 mph, 9 p.m. Sunday.

Full story: http://www.stripes.com/reporters/dave-ornauer?author=Dave_Ornauer

Japanese:

キーを押します。
スター & ストライプ
デイブ Ornauer によって
公開日: 2012 年 9 月 15 日 (時間は日本時間)
嘉手納すでに 41 マイル突風と 25 マイルの風を感じています。宜野湾キャンプ ・ フォスターと普天間海兵隊航空近く 43 マイル突風を報告しました。
良いを取得する前に悪化するバインド、人々。これは深い対流バンドとは非常に明確に定義された目幅約 29 マイルの非常によく組織化の嵐です。目は時間の 1 つ、風と雨が停止していることに注意してくださいかもしれないと雷のような (あなたの鼓膜は、商業ジェットにいるときと同様感じるかもしれないが) 来る夜明けの中に約 14 マイルについて 5、嘉手納の東を通過します。また、外に任意およびすべての誘惑を避けます。背中側は、反対の方向と可能性が以前よりもより激しい風ないつでもがキックされます。
最新のタイムライン嘉手納の 18 翼天気飛行礼儀風します。
― 持続的な 35 mph の風、20 土曜日。
― 持続的な 40 マイルの風、22 土曜日。
― 持続的な 58 マイルの風、2 日曜日。
― 持続的な最大 115 マイル、5 日曜日 144 マイル突風の風します。
-14 日曜日 58 マイル以下の後退風。
- 以下 40 マイル、19 日曜日を後退風。
-21 日 35 mph 以下の後退風。
16 Sept 2012:

“Typhoon Sanba (Bagyong Karen) is now moving across the East China Sea and is aiming for the Korean Peninsula. Sanba was last located approximately 360km north of Okinawa or about 420km south southeast of Jeju Island in South Korea. Maximum sustained winds are at 175kph with gusts of up to 215kph making Sanba a Category 2 Typhoon. Sanba is moving northward at 30kph…….

Latest satellite image shows a slowly degrading appearance of Sanba. The eye is still well-defined though and convective activity is still relatively strong. The overall organization, however, is starting to become asymmetrical and is becoming more sheared as upper-level winds start to increase in this region. Together with the increasing wind shear, water temperatures in the East China Sea are getting colder and will lead to more weakening overnight……
For now though, rains are still impacting parts of the Ryukyu Islands including Amami. Radar from JMA showing the eastern bands from the storm impacting Kyushu Island as well with rainfall amounts of about 50mm or so. Winds of around 80kph are also still being reported in many places. However, for the most part, we expect the weather to continue improving in Okinawa and nearby areas tonight and into tomorrow.”
17 Sept 2012:
 KMA forecasts 232.5 mm (9.1 inches) Rain for Bukchangwon, South Korea today
 KMA 예측 232.5 m m (9.1 인치) 비 Bukchangwon, 한국에 대 한 오늘
1040 GMT/UTC @hohocho: According to YTN, Typhoon Sanba now moves out to East sea, near Gangneung, S.Korea as of 1920 KST.
YTN에 따라 태풍 Sanba 지금 이동 밖으로 동해, 강릉, 근처 1920 KST로 구

Evan Duffey, Meteorologist at AccuWeather.com
Sep 17, 2012; 5:38 AM ET

“Damaging winds, flooding rains and rough surf will continue to accompany the storm as it moves inland over South Korea on Monday. The storm should pass close enough to Kyushu to bring impacts to that Japanese island as well.

Later Monday, Sanba will likely move briefly back over the Sea of Japan before making yet another landfall in far northeastern North Korea.”

에 반 Duffey, 나눔에 기상학자
9 월 17 일, 2012; 동부 표준시 오전 5 시 38 분
“폭우와 거친 서핑 홍수 피해 바람이 계속 이동 내륙 한국에 월요일에 폭풍을 동반. 폭풍 뿐만 아니라 그 일본 섬에 영향을가지고 규슈에 충분히 가까이 전달 해야 합니다.
이후 월요일 Sanba 것입니다 가능성이 간략하게 다시 위로 이동 일본 해까지 북동부 북한에서 또 다른 상륙 하기 전에. “

Tropical Storm 16w #Bolaven/ #Julian loses tropical characteristics as it traverses North Korea and Northeastern China – Updated 310812 2130Z

(Image: usno.navy.mil/NOOC)
TD 16W Track
(Click image for source)

(Image JMA Japan)
Weather Warnings
(Click image for source)

 

TS BOLAVEN [JULIAN] – Final Update from Bushman’s Typhoon Blog

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM BOLAVEN (JULIAN) UPDATE NUMBER 008 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Wed 29 August 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warnings/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (JULIAN) loses tropical characteristics as it traverses North Korea and Northeastern China.

*This is the last and final update on Bolaven (Julian).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Chinese:

TYPHOON2000(T2K)的熱帶氣旋更新
熱帶風暴布拉萬(朱利安)更新編號008** FINAL**
5:00 AM PHT(21:00 GMT)週三2012年8月29日
資料來源:的T2K分析/ JTWC警告/動態模型/ SatFixes的的
查看:T2K TC更新檔案(2004年至2012年)熱帶風暴布拉萬(朱利安)失去,因為它穿越朝鮮和中國東北部的熱帶特徵。

布拉萬(朱利安),這是最後的,最後的更新。

不要使用這個生命或死亡的決定。諮詢的目的是為額外僅供參考。請貴國的官方氣象機構為當地的警告,公告及公告。

Korean:

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 열대 사이클론 업데이트
열대 폭풍우 BOLAVEN (줄리안) UPDATE 번호 008 ** FINAL **
오전 5시 PhT (21:00 GMT) 화 2012년 8월 29일
출처 : T2K 분석 / JTWC 경고 / 동적 모델 / SatFixes
보기 : T2K TC 업데이트 아카이브 (2004년부터 2012년까지) 열대 폭풍 BOLAVEN (줄리안)이 그 탐색 북한과 노스 이스턴 중국과 같은 열대 특성을 잃는다.

*이 Bolaven (줄리언)에서의 마지막 업데이트입니다.

생사의 결정이를 사용하지 마십시오. 이 권고는 추가 정보 용으로 만 것입니다. 친절하게 현지 경고, 권고 및 게시판에 대한 국가의 공식 기상 기관을 참조하십시오.

Russian:

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL ОБНОВЛЕНИЯ CYCLONE
Тропический шторм Bolaven (юлианский) номер обновления 008 ** FINAL **
5:00 утра ФТ (21:00 GMT) Ср 29 августа 2012
Источники: T2K Аналитика / JTWC Предупреждения / Динамические модели / SatFixes
Вид: T2K TC обновления архивов (2004-2012) Тропический Bolaven Storm (Джулиан) теряет тропические характеристики, как она пересекает Северную Корею и Северо-Восточного Китая.

* Это последнее и окончательное обновление Bolaven (Julian).

Не используйте это на всю жизнь или смерть решение. Этот консультативный предназначен для дополнительного информационных целях. Пожалуйста, обратитесь к официальным агентством погода в вашей стране для местных предупреждений, рекомендаций и бюллетеней.

Japanese:

TYPHOON2000(T2K)熱帯低気圧の更新
熱帯暴風雨BOLAVEN(ジュリアン)アップデート番号008** FINAL**
5:00 AM PHT(21:00 GMT)2012年8月29日(水)
出典:韓国観光公社分析/ JTWC警告/動的モデル/ SatFixes
ビュー:T2K TC更新アーカイブ(2004年から2012年)の熱帯性低気圧のBOLAVEN(ジュリアン)は、それを横断する北朝鮮や中国東北部などの熱帯の特性を失ってしまう。

*これはBolaven(ジュリアン)の最後と最後の更新です。

生きるか死ぬかの決定のためにこれを使用しないでください。このアドバイザリは、追加情報の提供のみを目的としています。親切な地元の警告、勧告&ブリテンのためにあなたの国の公式の気象機関を参照してください。

 

———————————————————————————————-

Historical Information (Not current)

Philippines

Weather Bull.#7(FINAL)for Typh.”Julian/Bolaven” Issued 5AM (PhT).26Aug’12:

Typh.”Julian” is now out of the PAR heading towards southern islands of Jpn. At 4AM 2dy,eye of Typh.”Julian”was located at 850km Northeast of Basco Batanes(25.1N,129.8E).Max.winds=175kph near ctr.&gust=210kph.Forecast mvmt= Northwest @15kph.TY ”Julian” is expected at 830km NNE of Basco, Batanes this afternoon.

Korean:

.. 날씨 볼 Typh에 대한 # 7 (FINAL) “율리우스 / Bolaven”5AM.26Aug ’12 발급 :. Typh “을 줄리안이”일본의 남부 섬으로 향하고 PAR의 현재 부족합니다. 에서 오전 4시 2dy, Typh의 눈. “줄리언은”Basco 바타 네스의 850km 동북 (25.1N, 129.8E)에 위치한습니다. 클릭률 (CTR) 근처 Max.winds는 = 175kph가. & 돌풍 = 210kph.Forecast mvmt = Northwest@15kph.TY “율리우스” Basco의 830km 북북동에서 예상이며, 오늘 오후 바타 네스.

Japanese:

。。天気ブルTyphの#7(FINAL)”ユリウス/ Bolaven”5AM.26Aug’12発行:Typhを”ユリウス”がJPNの南の島に向かって、PARは絶版になっている。で4AM2dy、Typhの目。”ユリウス”はバスコバタネスの850キロ北東部(25.1N、129.8E)に位置していた。CTR近くMax.windsは=175kphは。&突風=210kph.Forecast mvmt= Northwest@15kph.TY”ユリウス”バスコの830キロ北北東に期待されて、今日の午後はバタネス。

Chinese:

天氣通報第7(FINAL)為Typh中。“朱利安/布拉萬”發行:’12:Typh5AM.26Aug。“,朱利安”現在是南部島嶼的JPN的PAR走向。在凌晨4點2DY,Typh眼。“朱利安”位於在巴斯科巴丹(25.1N,129.8E)850公里東北。Max.winds175kph附近的點擊率。的陣風210kph.Forecast mvmt Northwest@15kph.TY“朱利安”預計在830公里東北偏北巴斯科,巴丹今天下午舉行。

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 39.9N 125.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHWEST
OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 15W (TEMBIN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Korean:

WTPN32 PGTW 281,500
MSGID / GENADMIN / 공동 태풍 WRNCEN 진주만 HI / /
제목 / 열대 사이클론 경고 / /
RMKS /
1. 열대 폭풍우 16W (BOLAVEN) 경고 NR 035
NORTHWESTPAC IN 02 ACTIVE 열대 사이클론
MAX는 1 분 평균을 기준으로 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
여섯 시간 직전 운동 – 18 KTS AT 360도
040 NM 범위까지 정확한 위치
위치는 위성에 위치하고 CENTER에 근거
현 바람 배포 :
045 KT, 돌풍 055 KT – MAX 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL이되면
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 090 NM 북동쪽 구역
110 NM 동남 구역
110 NM 남서쪽 구역
090 NM 노스 웨스트 구역
38.9N 124.7E : 멋 부리다을 반복

예측 :
AT 유효 기간 12 시간 :
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
035 KT, 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL
24 HR의 멋 부리다 벡터 : 035 내지 / 23 KTS

AT 유효 기간 24 HRS :
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX 지속적인 바람 – 030 KT, 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL

비고 :
39.9N 125.2E NEAR 281500Z POSITION.
약 140 NM 노스 웨스트에 위치한 열대 폭풍우 16W (BOLAVEN)
서울, 한국, 있으며 18 노트 북쪽으로 추적셔서
과거 여섯 시간. 281200Z AT 최대 중요한 WAVE 높이 30
피트. 282100Z, 290300Z 및 290900Z AT NEXT 경고. 를 참조하십시오
여섯 시간당를위한 열대 폭풍우 15W (TEMBIN) 경고 (WTPN31 PGTW)
업데이트. / /
NNNN

Chinese:

WTPN32 PGTW281500
的MSGID/ GENADMIN的/聯合颱風WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/ /
SUBJ// /熱帶氣旋警告
RMKS/
1。熱帶風暴16W(布拉萬)警告NR035
02 ACTIVE熱帶氣旋NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘的平均最大持續風速
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅

警告的位置:
的281200Z—近38.9N124.7E
過去六小時的運動 – 360度18 KTS
位置精確到040 NM
中心位於衛星位置的基礎上
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 045的KT,陣風055 KT
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
變得extratropical
千噸風半徑034 – 090 NM東北象限
110 NM東南象限
110 NM西南象限
090 NM西北象限
模型重複POSIT:38.9N124.7E

預測:
12小時,VALID AT:
290000Z—43.1N126.7E
最大持續風速 – 035的KT,陣風045 KT
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
溫帶
VECTOR至24小時POSIT:035度/ 23 KTS

24小時,VALID AT:
291200Z—46.7N130.6E
最大持續風速 – 030 KT040 KT,陣風
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
溫帶

備註:
281500Z39.9N125.2E附近的位置。
熱帶風暴16W(布拉萬),位於約140海裡,西北
首爾,韓國進行了追踪向北18節以上
過去六個小時。最大有效波高在281200Z30
腳。 282100Z,290300Z和290900Z NEXT警告。參考
熱帶風暴15W(天秤)的警告(WTPN31 PGTW)六小時的
更新//

Russian:

WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN Перл-Харбор, Гавайи / /
Subj / TROPICAL ВНИМАНИЕ CYCLONE / /
RMKS /
1. Тропический шторм 16W (Bolaven) ПРЕДУПРЕЖДЕНИЕ NR 035
02 ACTIVE тропических циклонов в NORTHWESTPAC
MAX устойчивого ветра на основе одного-минут Средний
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только

ВНИМАНИЕ POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
ДВИЖЕНИЕ последние шесть часов – 360 градусов на 18 KTS
ПОЛОЖЕНИЕ с точностью до 040 NM
Позиция, основанная на центр, расположенный на спутнике
Современное распределение WIND:
MAX устойчивого ветра – 045 тыс. тонн, порывы 055 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
СТАТЬ внетропических
РАДИУС 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM северо-восточного квадранта
110 Нм юго-восточном секторе
110 Нм SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM СЕВЕРО-ЗАПАД QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

ПРОГНОЗЫ:
12 часов, действующей на:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX устойчивого ветра – 035 тыс. тонн, порывы 045 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
внетропических
VECTOR до 24 часов POSIT: 035 DEG / 23 KTS

24 часов, действительны на:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX устойчивого ветра – 030 тыс. тонн, порывы 040 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
внетропических

ПРИМЕЧАНИЯ:
281500Z позиции вблизи 39.9N 125.2E.
Тропический шторм 16W (Bolaven), расположенный примерно в 140 Нм СЕВЕРО-ЗАПАД
Сеул, Южная Корея, ГУСЕНИЧНЫЙ на север на 18 узлов OVER
За последние шесть часов. Наибольшей значимой высоте волн на 281200Z IS 30
Ноги. Вперед предупреждений на 282100Z, 290300Z И 290900Z. СМ
Тропический шторм 15W (TEMBIN) Предупреждения (WTPN31 PGTW) в течение шести-часовой
ОБНОВЛЕНИЯ. / /
NNNN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 15W (TEMBIN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

—————————————————————————————————————-

Typhoon Tembin and Bolaven Update August 28, 2012

Published on Aug 28, 2012 by

**If you have any storm videos or images from Typhoon Tembin in Taiwan, please share them with us at philippineweather@yahoo.com

Video Footage from Okinawa shared to us by Dan:
Video 1: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7PcIuRHvDc
Video 2: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VbwLuBwvK4

Latest Video Update on Typhoon Tembin (Bagyong Igme) and Typhoon Bolaven (Bagyong Julian). This is a long video update so if you are only interested in one storm, our update for Tembin begins at 1:05 while our update for Bolaven begins at 6:02 Also a brief update on Tropical Storm Isaac in the United States at around 11:40

Tembin is now moving east of Taiwan and much of the heavy rains have moved offshore. It is forecast to begin weakening to a Tropical Storm tomorrow as it heads north. It will likely move within 250km east of Shanghai by Thursday morning and could eventually make landfall in North Korea by Friday morning.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Bolaven is now about to make landfall in North Korea (located WEST of Seoul) and is also starting to lose tropical characteristics. Heavy rains have paralyzed air traffic and has also caused more than 200,000 outages across South Korea. Unfortunately, the threat of heavy rains will continue for North Korea tonight and into tomorrow, with the possibility of 200mm of rain or more.

Finally, we have a brief update on Tropical Storm Isaac which could make landfall in New Orleans, LA in the next 24 hours. It is still forecast to become a hurricane before landfall and is bringing the threat of heavy rains along with storm surge.

This video is NOT OFFICIAL! Please continue checking out your country’s weather bureau for the latest official warnings and forecasts for your area.

http://www.sagitnangbagyo.blogspot.com/
http://www.westernpacificweather.com/
http://28storms.com/

email: philippineweather@yahoo.com

OFFICIAL Weather Agencies:
Philippines: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/
Japan: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
China: http://www.cma.gov.cn/eng/
Taiwan: http://www.cwb.gov.tw/eng/
South Korea: http://web.kma.go.kr/eng/index.jsp

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Press:

Tropical Storm Bolaven forms, may move toward Taiwan
2012/08/20 18:49:21

A tropical depression near Guam has been upgraded into Tropical Storm Bolaven and may move toward Taiwan on a west-northwesterly track over the next few days, the Central Weather Bureau said Monday.

熱帶風暴布拉萬的形式,可能會走向臺灣
20/2012年/08 18:49:21
中央氣象局說週一關島附近的一個熱帶低氣壓已升級到熱帶風暴布拉萬,可能會在未來幾天的西西北風軌道臺灣走向。
Strong typhoon sets eye on Okinawa this weekendPosted 8/24/2012by Senior Airman Maeson L. Elleman
18th Wing Public Affairs8/24/2012 – KADENA AIR BASE, Japan — All of Okinawa is hunkering down in anticipation as Typhoon Bolaven approaches the doorstep of the small Pacific island and the Asian East coast.Bolaven, with sustained winds expected to reach roughly 120 knots (140 mph) and gusts projected to reach nearly 150 knots (roughly 170 mph), is projected to hit the island early Sunday morning.With such a potent threat inbound, Brig. Gen. Matt Molloy, 18th Wing commander, stressed that it’s paramount for the island’s inhabitants to properly prepare before the storm hits.”This is the most powerful typhoon forecast to hit the island in 13 years,” the commander said. “I can’t stress enough how dangerous Typhoon Bolaven is. Take the time today and tomorrow to secure your outdoor items and get the supplies you need to weather this storm. Tie down your outdoor items and work with your neighbors to help them – especially those whose spouses are deployed, TDY or TAD.”Friday, Kadena initiated tropical cyclone condition of readiness (TCCOR) 3, meaning winds of 50 knots or greater are anticipated within 72 hours.Though TCCORs outline an estimated time of arrival for the storm, warmer or cooler seas can speed up or slow down the cyclone unpredictably.In the mean time, Status of Forces Agreement-status personnel on the island need to use their chains of command for the most accurate information. They should also monitor the Kadena Air Base Facebook page at http://www.facebook.com/KadenaAirBase for updates as they become available.For more information on typhoon preparations, visit the typhoon section of the Okinawa Emergency Action Guide here.”This is not just another typhoon,” the general said. “If we all follow the typhoon procedures and take care of each other, we will all make it safe through this typhoon. God bless and stay safe!” – http://www.kadena.af.mil強い台風がこの週末沖縄に目を設定2012年8月24日に掲示される上級空兵Maeson L. Ellemanによって
第十八ウィング広報

2012年8月24日 – 嘉手納空軍基地、日本 – 台風Bolavenは小さな太平洋島嶼と東アジアの海岸のすぐそばに近づくと、沖縄のすべてが見越してダウンhunkeringされています。

約120ノット(毎時140マイル)と約150ノット(およそ毎時170マイル)に達すると予測突風に達すると予想風速とBolavenは、日曜日の早朝、島をヒットすると予測されています。

そのような強力な脅威インバウンド、ブリーク​​と。大将マットモロイ、18ウイング司令官は、それが適切に嵐のヒットの前に準備するために、島の住民のために最も重要だと強調した。

“これは13年に島を襲った最も強力な台風予報です”と指揮官は語った。 “私は台風Bolavenがどれほど危険か十分に強調することはできませんあなたの屋外のアイテムを固定してから、この嵐を乗り切るために必要物資を得るために今日と明日の時間をかけてあなたのアウトドアアイテムをタイダウン、それらを助けるためにあなたの近所の人と仕事 – 。特にその配偶者が配備されたもの、またはTDY TAD”。

金曜日、嘉手納は50ノットの風を意味する以上、72時間以内に予想され、準備(TCCOR)3の熱帯低気圧の状態を開始しました。

TCCORsは嵐のために到着予定時刻を概説していますが、暖かいまたは冷たい海はスピードアップしたり予期しないサイクロンを遅くすることができます。

平均時間では、島で軍協定ステータス·人員の状況は、最も正確な情報については、コマンドの彼らのチェーンを使用する必要があります。彼らが利用可能になると、彼らはまた、更新のwww.facebook.com/ KadenaAirBaseで嘉手納基地のFacebookページを監視する必要があります。

台風の準備の詳細については、ここで沖縄緊急アクションガイドの台風のセクションをご覧ください。

“これはちょうど別の台風ではありませんが、”一般的には述べています。 “我々はすべての台風の手順に従うと、お互いの世話をする場合、我々はすべてこの台風によってそれが安全でしょう。神は祝福し、安全に滞在!” – http://www.kadena.af.mil

25 Aug 2012 1757 GMT/UTC:

This, from KBS World:

Gov’t Braces for Powerful Typhoon

Write 2012-08-24 16:49:17   Update 2012-08-24 18:28:04

The government is bracing for a powerful typhoon that is expected to affect the nation early next week.

The central disaster management headquarters on Friday held an emergency meeting with nine ministries and 16 cities and provinces to discuss preventive measures against Typhoon Bolaven.

The headquarters plans to make its best efforts to minimize damage as the powerful typhoon could bring heavy casualties and property damage.

The government plans to check regions or facilities vulnerable to landslides or collapse and ban citizens from entering dangerous areas such as embankments and rocks along the seashore.

Korean:

강력한 태풍에 대한 Gov’t 교정기

2012년 8월 24일 16시 49분 17초 업데이트 할 2012년 8월 24일 18시 28분 4초 쓰기

정부는 다음 주 초 전국에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상된다 강력한 태풍에 대한 경구 있습니다.

금요일에 중앙 재해 관리 본부는 태풍 Bolaven에 대한 예방 조치를 논의하기 위해 아홉 부처 및 16 도시와 지역과 긴급 회의를 개최했습니다.

본사는 강력한 태풍이 많은 부상자와 재산 피해를 가져다 줄 수로 피해를 최소화하기 위해 최선의 노력을 할 계획입니다.

정부는 지역 또는 해안을 따라 제방과 바위 등 위험 지역을 입력에서 산사태 나 붕괴와 금지 시민에 취약 시설을 확인 할 계획입니다.

26 Aug 2012 1415 GMT/UTC:

Forecasters are predicting slow-moving Typhoon Bolaven could be the strongest storm to strike the island in more than 50 years.

Residents have been told to stay indoors and protect themselves against the strong winds and heavy rain.

State broadcaster NHK said gusts could overturn cars, while waves around the island could reach 12m (40ft).

Japan’s meteorological agency estimated wind speeds near the storm’s centre at around 180km/h (112 mph), while extremely strong gusts were reaching 252 km/h. – BBC News (More details here)

28 Aug 2012:

Twelve dead, 10 missing as typhoon pounds South Korea

SEOUL: Twelve people were killed and 10 were missing after a strong typhoon pounded South Korea Tuesday, uprooting trees, sinking ships and cutting power to almost 200,000 homes.By early evening Typhoon Bolaven – the strongest to hit the South for almost a decade – had moved to North Korea, which is still struggling to recover from deadly floods earlier this summer.Hundreds of flights in the South were grounded, ferry services were suspended and schools in Seoul and several other areas were closed.Bolaven left a trail of death and damage in southwestern and south-central regions of the country, although it was little felt in central parts of Seoul.Off the southern island of Jeju, the storm drove two Chinese fishing ships aground early Tuesday, sparking a dramatic rescue operation.Coastguards wearing wetsuits struggled through high waves and then used a line-launcher to fire ropes to one ship, a coastguard spokesman said. The other boat broke apart.Rescuers saved 12 people while six swam ashore, but 10 crew members are still missing, the spokesman said. Five bodies were recovered.

In the southern county of Wanju, a 48-year-old man was killed by a shipping container flipped over by gale-force winds, the public administration ministry said.

An elderly woman was crushed to death when a church spire collapsed onto her house in the southwestern city of Gwangju, while another elderly woman was blown off the roof of her home in the western county of Seocheon.

A workman fell from the roof of a hospital in the southwestern port of Mokpo. At Imsil county in North Jeolla province, a 51-year-old man died while clearing toppled trees.

In Yeongkwang county west of Gwangju, a 72-year-old man suffered fatal head injuries when his house wall collapsed. At Buyeo city in South Chungcheong province, a woman aged 75 died after falling due to strong winds.

A 77,000-tonne bulk carrier broke in two off the southeastern port of Sacheon but no casualties were reported, the public administration ministry said.

The transport ministry said all 87 sea ferry services had been halted. A total of 247 flights – 183 domestic and 64 international – have been cancelled since Monday.

The typhoon – packing winds of 144 kilometres (90 miles) per hour at one time – brought heavy rain and strong winds to southern and western areas. It toppled street lights and signs, shattered windows, uprooted trees and tore off shop signs.

The National Emergency Management Agency said 197,751 homes in Jeju and the southwest and south-central regions lost power.

A total of 83 people, mostly in the southwest, were evacuated from their homes and taken to shelters. Some 21 homes were damaged.

The US and South Korean armed forces called a temporary halt to a large-scale joint military exercise that began last week.

After sweeping up the Yellow Sea to the west of South Korea, Bolaven made landfall in North Korea in the early evening.

The impoverished nation is already struggling to recover from a devastating summer drought, followed by floods which killed 169 people, left about 400 missing and made 212,000 people homeless, according to official figures.

Weather officials said Typhoon Tembin was also threatening the Korean peninsula, and was forecast to be some 200 kilometres west of Jeju early Friday. – AFP

Korean:

열두 죽은, 10 태풍 파운드로 누락 된 한국

서울 : 열두 명 사망하고 10 배를 가라 거의 200,000 가정에 전원을 절단, 나무를 혼돈 (화) 한국을 두드리고 강한 태풍 후 누락되었습니다.

초저녁 태풍 Bolave​​n으로 – 거의 10 년 동안 남부를 누를 수있는 강한이 – 아직도 초기의 이번 여름 죽음의 홍수에서 회복하기 위해 고군분투 북한,로 이동했다.

남쪽의 항공편 수백은 접지 된 페리 서비스가 일시 중지되었으며, 서울과 여러 다른 지역에있는 학교는 폐쇄되었습니다.

이 작은 서울의 중심 부분에 느껴졌다하지만 Bolave​​n은 죽음과 남서부와 국가의 남쪽 – 중앙 지역에 피해 길을 떠났다.

제주의 남쪽 섬에서, 폭풍 극적인 구출 작전을 스파클링, 초기 화요일 2 개의 중국어 낚시 선박 좌초를 몰았다.

잠수복을 입고 Coastguards가 높은 파도를 헤치고 고생하고 한척의 배에 밧줄을 해고 라인 런처를 사용, 연안 경비대 대변인은 말했다. 다른 보트는 떨어져 졌어요.

여섯 해변 수영을하는 동안 구조 대원 12 명을 저장하지만, 10 명의 승무원이 여전히 누락, 대변인은 말했다. 다섯 구의 사체가 발견되었다.

Wanju의 남쪽 카운티에서 48 세의 남자가 강풍 – 강풍이 몰아 치는 동안 뒤집힌 배송 컨테이너에 의해 살해 된, 행정 사역했다.

다른 노인 여성이 서천의 서쪽 카운티에 그녀의 집의 지붕을 날려 동안 교회 첨탑은 광주의 남서부 도시에 그녀의 집에 무너지면서 노인 여자가 죽음에 눌린되었습니다.

노동자가 목포의 남서부 포트에있는 병원의 지붕에서 떨어졌다. 실각 나무를 삭제하는 동안 전라북도 지역에서 Imsil 카운티에서 51 세의 남자가 사망했다.

그의 집 벽이 무너질 때 광주의 Yeongkwang 카운티 서부에, 72 세 남성은 치명적인 머리 부상을 입었다. 충청남도 지역, 75 세 여성의 부여시 강한 바람으로 인해 떨어지는 후 사망했다.

77000 – 톤 벌크 캐리어 사천의 남동쪽 항구에서 두 들긴했지만 사상자가보고되지 않았습니다, 공공 행정 장관은 말했다.

교통 장관은 87 바다 페리 서비스가 중지되었습니다했다. 183 국내 및 64 국제 – – 247 항공편의 총은 월요일부터 취소되었습니다.

태풍 – 한 번에 시속 144km (90 마일)의 패킹 바람은 – 남부와 서부 지역에 많은 비와 강한 바람을 가져. 그것은 가로등과 표지판을 실각 창을 뿌리 나무를 산산조각 상점 간판을 찢고.

국가 비상 사태 관리 기관은 197,751 제주의 집과 남서쪽과 남쪽 – 중앙 지역 전원을 잃었다 고 말했다.

대부분 남서쪽 83 명 총은 집에서 대피하고 대피소로 이동했다. 일부 21 가정이 손상되었습니다.

미국과 한국 무장 세력은 지난 주 시작한 대규모 합동 군사 연습에 임시 중단을했다.

한국의 서쪽으로 황해를 강타 후, Bolave​​n은 이른 저녁 시간에 북한의 상륙했다.

가난한 나라는 이미 공식 집계에 따르면, 실종 400 남은 1백69명을 살해하고 212,000명이 집을 만든 홍수 뒤에 엄청난 여름 가뭄, 복구하는데 어려움을 겪고 있습니다.

날씨 관계자는 태풍 Tembin 또한 한반도를 위협했고, 금요일 일찍 제주의 서쪽 일부 200km로 예상이라고 말했다. – AFP

Japanese:

台風ポンド韓国のように不足している十二死者、10

ソウル:12人が殺害され、10は船を沈めると、およそ20万世帯への電力供給をカットする、木を根こそぎ、火曜日韓国を砲撃強い台風の後に失われていた。

夕方台風Bolave​​nによって – ほぼ10年のために韓国をヒットする最強は – まだ今年の夏に致命的な洪水から回復するのに苦労している北朝鮮に移動していた。

南の便の数百人が、接地されたフェリー·サービスは中断され、ソウルや他のいくつかの地域の学校は閉鎖されました。

それは少しソウルの中央部で感じたもののBolave​​nは、死と南西と国の南部地域では被害の跡を残した。

済州島の南の島沖で、嵐が劇的な救出作戦をスパーク、早い火曜日2つの中国漁船の座礁を運転した。

ウェットスーツを着て沿岸警備隊が高い波を通して苦労して1つの船にロープを発射するために、ラインランチャーを使用し、沿岸警備隊の広報担当者は述べた。他の船はバラバラに壊れた。

6は上陸泳いでいる間、救助者が12人を救ったが、10人の乗組員が行方不明で、広報担当者は述べた。 5体を回収した。

完州郡の南部では、48歳の男性が強風、強風によってひっくり返さ輸送用コンテナによって殺された、行政省庁は言った。

別の高齢女性が舒川郡の西部の自宅の屋根を吹き飛ばされたながら、教会の尖塔は、光州の南西部の都市で、彼女の家の上に倒れたときに高齢者の女性が圧死しました。

職人は木浦の南西ポートの病院の屋上から落ちた。倒れ木をクリアしながら、全羅北道Imsil郡で、51歳の男性が死亡した。

彼の家の壁が崩壊したときに光州のYeongkwang郡西では、72歳の男性は、致命的な頭部外傷を負った。忠清南道(チュンチョンナムド)扶余市内で、強風のために落下した後に死亡した75歳の女性で。

77000トンのバルクキャリアが泗川市の南東沖ポート2で破ったが、死傷者は報告されていない、行政省庁は言った。

国土交通省では、全87海フェリーサービスが停止されたと言いました。 183国内および国際的な64 – – 247便の合計は、月曜日以降にキャンセルされました。

台風 – 一度時速144キロ(90マイル)のパッキング風は – 南部と西部の地域に大雨と強風をもたらした。これは、街路灯や標識を倒し窓、根こそぎ木を打ち砕いたと看板をオフに引き裂いた。

消防防災庁は、197751済州の家庭と南西部と南部地域が力を失ったと述べた。

主に南西部の83人の合計は、自宅から避難し、避難所に連れて行かれた。いくつかの21の住宅が被害を受けた。

米国と韓国軍が先週始まった大規模な合同軍事演習への一時的な停止を呼びかけた。

韓国の西側に黄色の海を席巻した後、Bolave​​nは夕方に北朝鮮に上陸した。

貧しい国は、すでに公式の数字によると、不足している約400のままに169人が死亡し、212000人が家を失った洪水が続く壊滅的な夏の干ばつから回復するために苦労している。

気象当局は、台風Tembinも朝鮮半島を脅かしていた、と金曜日早く済州西いくつかの200キロになると予想されたと述べた。 – AFP通信

Chinese:

十二人死亡,10人失踪颱風磅韓國

首爾:12人死亡,10人失踪後搗爛韓國週二強颱風連根拔起的樹木,沉船切割近20萬戶家庭供電。

傍晚颱風布拉萬 – 最強打了近十年的南 – 已轉移到朝鮮,這是從致命的洪澇災害仍在努力恢復今年夏天。

數百名在南方的航班停飛,渡輪服務暫停,並在首爾和其他一些地區的學校被關閉。

布拉萬在西南和中南地區的國家的死亡和破壞,雖然它有點覺得在首爾中部地區留下了痕跡。

離南部的濟州島,風暴駕駛兩艘中國漁船擱淺週二早些時候,引發了戲劇性的救援行動。

,海岸警衛隊發言人說,海岸警衛隊穿著雨衣艱難地高浪線發射器,然後用火一船的繩索。其他小船解體。

獲救的12人,而6遊上岸,但10名船員仍然下落不明,該發言人說。有五具屍體。

完州南部的縣,一個48歲的男子被打死翻了一個集裝箱,大風力量風,公共管理部說。

一個老婦人被壓死時,教堂的尖頂倒在她的房子在西南部城市光州,而另一個老婦人在她家的屋頂被吹斷的舒川郡西部。

工欲善其事,下降至西南部的木浦港的一家醫院的屋頂。在全羅北道任實郡,一個51歲的男子死亡,在清理倒塌的樹木。

在Yeongkwang縣西光州,一個72歲的男子頭部遭受致命傷害時,他的房子牆壁倒塌。在忠清南道扶餘市,省,一名75歲的女子死亡後到期的強風。

一個77,000噸散貨船發生在兩關的東南部港口泗川,但沒有造成人員傷亡,公共管理部說。

交通運輸部表示,全部87個海渡輪服務已經停止。自週一以來,共有183個國內和64個國際 – 247航班 – 已取消。

颱風 – 包裝風速每小時144公里(90英里),在同一時間 – 南部和西部地區帶來大雨和強風。它推翻了路燈和標誌,玻璃被震碎,連根拔起的樹木,撕下店的招牌。

國家緊急事務管理署說,在濟州的西南,中南地區197,751家失去了動力。

一共有83人,主要集中在西南,撤離家園,並採取庇護所。大約21家被損壞。

美國和韓國軍隊的要求暫時停止了大規模的聯合軍事演習,從上週開始。

席捲黃海的韓國西部後,布拉萬在朝鮮登陸,在傍晚時分。

這個貧窮的國家已經在努力恢復毀滅性的夏天乾旱,洪水造成169人死亡,造成大約400人失踪,212,000人無家可歸,根據官方公佈的數字。

氣象官員說,颱風天秤也威脅到朝鮮半島,被預測為200公里,西距濟州早。 – AFP

Typhoon #DAMREY impacts China – Updated 12 Aug 2012 2020 GMT/UTC

(Image: wunderground.com)
Tropical Storm Damrey Tracking Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT

Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Weifang (36.8 N, 119.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

在 2012 年 8 月 2 日发出的太平洋西北: 风暴警报 6:00 GMT
台风达维 (11W) 预计将在给定的铅时间罢工土地给下面的 likelihood(s):
红色警报国家或 Province(s)
中国
猫 1 或以上的概率是 60%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 90%在 12 小时内
红色警报 City(s) 和 Town(s)
响水 (34.2 N,119.6 E)
猫 1 或以上的概率是 40%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 90%在 12 小时内
黄色警报 City(s) 和 Town(s)
新浦 (34.8 N,119.0 E)
猫 1 或以上的概率是 25%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 90%在 12 小时内
临沂 (35.2 N,1183 E)
ts 的概率是 90%约 24 小时
青岛 (36.1 N,120.4 E)
ts 的概率是 75%在 12 小时内
淮阴 (33.5 N,119.0 E)
ts 的概率是 60%在 12 小时内
潍坊 (36.8 N,119.2 E)
ts 的概率是 55 %12 小时之内
请注意,
红色警报 (严重) 是猫 1 或以上至 31%至 100%的概率。
黄色警报 (高架) 是猫 1 或以上为 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之间。
猫 1 意味着至少 74 英里每小时,每小时 119 公里或 64 海里,1 分钟持续台风强度风。
TS 意味着至少 39 英里每小时,每小时 63 公里或 34 海里/小时 1 分钟持续的热带风暴强度风。
有关图形预测的信息和进一步的详细信息,请访问 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
北西太平洋: 2012 年 8 月 2 日に嵐警告 6時 00分 GMT
台風 DAMREY (11 w) 土地次の likelihood(s) に与えられた鉛回でストライクする予報が出ています。
赤のアラートの Country(s) または Province(s)
中国
猫の 1 以上の確率で 60 % から 12 時間以内
TS の確率は 90 % 12 時間以内
赤のアラート スピリットバケーションと Town(s)
響水 (34.2 119.6 N E)
猫の 1 以上の確率が 40 %12 時間以内
TS の確率は 90 % 12 時間以内
黄色の警告スピリットバケーションと Town(s)
連雲港 (34.8 119.0 N E)
猫の 1 以上の確率は 25 % から 12 時間以内
TS の確率は 90 % 12 時間以内
臨沂 (35.2 118.3 N E)
TS の確率 90 % で約 24 時間です。
青島 (36.1 120.4 N E)
TS の確率は 75 % から 12 時間以内
Huaiyin (33.5 119.0 N E)
TS の確率は 60 % から 12 時間以内
濰坊 (36.8 N, 119.2 E)
TS の確率が 55 % から 12 時間以内
注意します。
レッドアラート (重症) は猫 1 または上記に 31 % ~ 100 % の確率。
黄色の警告 (高) は猫 1 以上を 10%、30% の確率または TS 確率 50% 以上の間。
猫 1 台風強度風の少なくとも 74 mph、119 km/h または 64 ノット 1 分持続を意味します。
TS は、少なくとも 39 マイル、63 キロ/h または 1 分持続を 34 ノットの熱帯性暴風強度風を意味します。
グラフィカルな予測情報や詳細については、http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

をご覧ください。

(Image: NASA)
NASA’s Terra satellite passed over Tropical Storm Damrey on July 31, 2012 at 0115 UTC and captured a visible image of the storm. It had the signature comma shape of a strong tropical storm. Japan’s Kyushu province is seen to the left of the image.
(Click image for source)

Typhoon DAMREY (11W) weakened slightly as it nears the coast of Eastern China…expected to make landfall just NNW of Shanghai later tonight. Its center was located about 109 km SW of Kagoshima, Japan (33.4N 123.3E)…with maximum sustained winds of 120 kph and was moving WNW @ 38 kph towards Eastern China. To view the latest information on this storm kindly click this link. – thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot

wtpn32 pgtw 020900
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Typhoon 11w (Damrey) warning nr 019
   02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
   Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
   wind radii valid over open water only
    ---
   warning position:
   020600z --- near 33.8n 122.2e
     movement past six hours - 300 degrees at 21 kts
     position accurate to within 030 nm
     position based on eye fixed by satellite
   present wind distribution:
   Max sustained winds - 075 kt, gusts 090 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   radius of 064 kt winds - 020 nm northeast quadrant
                            020 nm southeast quadrant
                            020 nm southwest quadrant
                            020 nm northwest quadrant
   radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant
                            030 nm southeast quadrant
                            035 nm southwest quadrant
                            035 nm northwest quadrant
   radius of 034 kt winds - 110 nm northeast quadrant
                            090 nm southeast quadrant
                            090 nm southwest quadrant
                            125 nm northwest quadrant
   repeat posit: 33.8n 122.2e
    ---
   forecasts:
   12 hrs, valid at:
   021800z --- 34.8n 119.0e
   Max sustained winds - 055 kt, gusts 070 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   vector to 24 hr posit: 285 deg/ 09 kts
    ---
   24 hrs, valid at:
   030600z --- 35.2n 116.9e
   Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   vector to 36 hr posit: 290 deg/ 05 kts
    ---
   36 hrs, valid at:
   031800z --- 35.5n 115.8e
   Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
    ---
remarks:
020900z position near 34.1n 121.4e.
Typhoon 11w (Damrey), located approximately 160 nm north-northeast of
Shanghai, China, has tracked west-northwestward at 21 knots over the
past six hours. Maximum significant wave height at 020600z is 28
feet. Next warnings at 021500z, 022100z, 030300z and 030900z. Refer
to tropical storm 10w (Saola) warnings (wtpn31 pgtw) for six-hourly
updates.    //

(Image: NASA JPL, Ed Olsen)
NASA’s Aqua satellite captured a look at Tropical Storm Damrey’s cloud top temperatures on July 31, 2012 at 12:23 a.m. EDT. Coldest cloud top temperatures (purple) were as cold as or colder than -63 Fahrenheit (-52 Celsius), indicating STRONG THUNDERSTORMS with the potential for HEAVY RAINFALL.
(Click image for source)

wtpn32 020900 pgtw
联合/msgid 进行/genadmin 台风 wrncen 珠港喜 / /
琉璃/热带气旋警告 / /
rmks /
1.台风 11w (达维) 警告 nr 019
northwestpac 02 活跃热带气旋
最大持续风速基于一分钟平均
有效的风半径超过打开水只
警告的位置:
020600z—近 33.8n 122.2e
过去的六个小时 — — 21 kts 300 度的运动
位置精确到内 030 nm
基于眼通过卫星固定位置
目前风力分布:
最大持续风速-075 kt、 阵风 090 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
064 kt 风-020 nm 东北象限的半径
020 nm 东南象限
020 nm 西南象限
020 nm 西北象限
050 kt 风-030 nm 东北象限的半径
030 nm 东南象限
035 nm 西南象限
035 nm 西北象限
034 kt 风-110 nm 东北象限的半径
090 nm 东南象限
090 nm 西南象限
125 nm 西北象限
重复存款: 33.8n 122.2e
预测:
12 小时,在有效:
021800z—34.8n 119.0e
最大持续风速-055 kt、 阵风 070 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
向量到 24 小时存款: 285 摄氏度 / 09 kts
24 小时,在有效:
030600z—35.2n 116.9e
最大持续风速-035 kt、 阵风 045 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
作为一个重要的热带气旋正在消退中的土地上
向量到 36 小时存款: 290 二甘醇 / 05 kts
36 小时,在有效:
031800z—35.5n 115.8e
最大持续风速-020 kt、 阵风 030 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
土地作为一个重要的热带气旋消散
备注:
020900z 位置附近 34.1n 121.4e。
台风 11w (达维),位于大约 160 nm 东北的
中国上海,一直在跟踪西西北地区 21 海里
过去的六个小时。在 020600z 的最大波高度是 28
英尺。在 021500z、 022100z、 030300z 和 030900z 的下一次警告。请参阅
到热带风暴 10w (Saola) 警告 (wtpn31 pgtw) 的每六小时
更新。//
wtpn32 pgtw 020900
msgid/genadmin/共同台風 wrncen パール港こんにちは//
件名/熱帯サイクロンの警告//
rmks/
1. 台風 11 w (Damrey) 警告 nr 019
northwestpac の 02 アクティブ熱帯低気圧
最大 1 分の平均に基づく風を持続
風速半径有効以上水だけを開く
警告の位置:
—33.8n の近くの 020600z 122.2e
過去 6 時間 – 300 度 21 ノットでの動き
030 内で正確に位置 nm
衛星による固定目に基づく位置
風の分布の現状
マックス風 – 075 kt、突風 090 kt 持続
風速半径有効以上水だけを開く
064 kt 風 – 020 nm 北東象限の半径
020 nm 東南象限
020 nm 南西象限
020 nm 北西象限
050 kt 風 – 030 nm 北東象限の半径
030 nm 東南象限
035 nm 南西象限
035 nm 北西象限
034 kt 風 – 110 nm 北東象限の半径
090 nm 東南象限
090 nm 南西象限
125 nm 北西象限
繰り返しを打ち破る: 33.8n 122.2e
予測:
12 時間で有効な。
021800z—34.8n 119.0e
マックス風 – 055 kt、突風 070 kt 持続
風速半径有効以上水だけを開く
24 hr へのベクトルを打ち破る: 285 度/09 kts
24 時間有効に。
030600z—35.2n 116.9e
マックス風 – 035 kt、突風 045 kt 持続
風速半径有効以上水だけを開く
土地の上の重要な熱帯低気圧としての消
36 時間にベクトルを打ち破る: 290 ℃/05 kts
36 時間で有効な。
031800z—35.5n 115.8e
マックス風 – 020 の kt、突風 030 kt 持続
風速半径有効以上水だけを開く
土地の上の重要な熱帯低気圧としての消費
発言:
020900z 位置の近く 34.1n 121.4e。
台風 11 w (Damrey) の約 160 nm の北北東の位置
上海、中国、上西-北西 21 ノットで追跡している、
過去 6 時間。020600Z での最大波高 28 です。
フィート。021500Z、022100z、030300z、030900z で次の警告。参照してください。
熱帯低気圧 10 w (Saola) 警告 (wtpn31 pgtw) を 6 時間ごと
更新します。//

(Image: jma.go.jp)
Japan warnings/advisories
(Click image for source)

YOUTUBE VIDEOS  via wunderground.com

Update: 12 Aug 2012:

Typhoon Damrey in China: At least 9 dead, 4missing, 110,000 homeless, 300 trapped in tunnel, village mudslide traps 100+  

Rain-triggered mudslide engulfed a village trapping over 100 people even as nine people were killed and four others found missing after Typhoon Damrey caused havoc in northeast China’s Liaoning Province.

The typhoon temporarily disrupted rail services in the province on Saturday, affecting more than two million people.

Nine people were killed and four others found missing after Typhoon Damrey caused heavy damage in China’s Liaoning Province over the weekend.

Six people were killed in Xiuyan City, where the typhoon has cut off electricity, paralysed road traffic and damaged drinking water facilities.

More than 110,000 people have been left homeless.

In the city of Benxi, heavy flooding on the Sandaohe and Xihe rivers trapped more than 300 construction workers in a tunnel Monday.

Fire fighters tried to connect a ropeway in an effort to pull the workers out of the tunnel.

Sunday, 12 August, 2012 at 04:45 (04:45 AM) UTC RSOE

中国台风达维: 至少 9 死、 4missing、 110,000 无家可归者,被困在隧道、 300 村泥石流陷阱 100++
大雨引发的泥石流吞没陷印 100 多人,即使如九人丧生和四人发现失踪后台风达维造成了混乱,在中国东北辽宁省的一个村庄。
台风暂时中断该省铁路服务上周六,影响了超过 200 万人。
九人丧生和四人发现失踪后台风达维上周末在中国辽宁省造成严重破坏。
在岫岩市,台风已切断电、 瘫痪道路交通和饮用水设施损坏有六人死亡。
超过 11 万人已无家可归。
在本溪市重型水浸在三和西河河流困在隧道内的建筑工人超过 300 名星期一。
消防战士尝试连接缆车努力拉隧道失业的工人。
星期日 2012 年 8 月 12 日 4:45 (4:45 上午) 在 UTC RSOE