Norway: Hundreds evacuated in major flood disaster. More severe weather to come. Red Alerts issued – 240513 1045z

Severe Weather Warnings RED ALERTS issued in NORWAY Risk to life. Major flooding. Huge damage potential.

Link to meteoalarm.eu

(Scroll ned for norsk oversettelse)

Neighbours were crying and hugging one another Thursday morning as they watched raging flood waters slam into their homes in Kvam, in the valley of Gudbrandsdalen. Nearly 300 homeowners were evacuated during the night, as were others farther south in Eidsvoll and in several other communities around southern Norway as rain and snowmelt turned rivers and creeks into uncontrollable torrents. In Eidsvoll, northeast of Oslo, around 40 homeowners were told to leave their homes because of fears a dam further upslope would burst. Others were evacuated in the counties of Hedmark, Oppland, Buskerud and Telemark as officials categorized this years spring flooding as the worst since 1995, so far.

It may get even worse, with more rain predicted and more rapid melting of snow and ice at higher elevations. Instead of beginning to melt slowly at the end of winter, this years unusually cold spring kept the snow and ice frozen well into May. When temperatures suddenly soared last week, the annual run-off quickly turned into the gushing torrents now threatening so many areas that emergency crews were struggling to keep up with demand. The pumping of flooded cellars quickly became a lower priority on Wednesday as crews worked to prevent more damage by trying to divert the deluge. Roads and major highways were blocked and closed all over southern Norway, with the heavily trafficked E6 highway through Gudbrandsdalen closed in several places. The list of closed roads was so long that radio announcers on Norwegian Broadcasting (NRK) referred listeners to the state highway departments website for the full list that was constantly being updated (external link, in Norwegian: Stengt means closed).

State railway NSB and railroad Jernbaneverket were also facing enormous challenges, with tracks washed out in numerous places or covered by mud- and rockslides. Main train routes through Gudbrandsdalen and Osterdalen that connect Oslo and Trondheim had to be shut down and NSB couldnt provide alternative bus transport because adjacent roads were blocked as well. The Kongsvinger line to Oslo re-opened, however, providing some good news for commuters Thursday morning, but passengers were warned of delays throughout the day. Several long-distance truck drivers had to spend the night in or around Hamar because of highway closures that trapped them where they were, not least because their vehicles are too large to drive on the narrower secondary roads that were being used for detours. In addition to the evacuations in Eidsvoll and Kvam, around 20 homeowners were ordered to leave their homes in Nesbyen and 43 in Nord-Aurdal. There were reports they may never be allowed to return and will be forced to rebuild in other areas because of the increased incidence of flooding in recent years. Insurance companies were launching a debate over whether other policy holders should be expected to effectively pay for the losses suffered by those who insisted on rebuilding in areas hit by floods just two years ago. Politicians are expected to tackle the issue when the immediate crisis was over.
Thursday, 23 May, 2013 at 13:44 (01:44 PM) UTC RSOE

Other Reports

Flood disaster moving south

May 24, 2013

As state officials declared disaster areas in severely flooded portions of southern Norway, attention was turning to the new threats posed by rapidly rising water levels along the Glomma River and where it flows into the large lake east of Oslo called �yeren. Landslides, meanwhile, were causing more damage from Telemark in the west to Hedmark in the east.

In Fetsund, emergency crews and local government officials were bracing for a deluge. Swollen creeks and rivers were pouring into �yeren and experts from Norways waterways directorate NVE were predicting its level to rise through the weekend. Were emptying our cellars now, one local resident told newspaper Dagsavisen.

Further north along the Glomma River, the town of Rena thats best known as the starting point for the annual Birkebeiner races was largely under water. The Glomma meets the Rena River at Rena in the eastern valley of �sterdalen and the massive amounts of rainwater and snowmelt were too much for the rivers to handle.

The main highway through �sterdalen, Riksvei 3, was closed and would remained closed through the weekend, announced state highway officials on Friday. Train service would also remain disrupted.

The main E6 highway through the parallel valley of Gudbrandsdalen to the west thats just over the mountains from �sterdalen was also due to remain closed. That prompted police and highway officials to urge Norwegians to drop any plans for weekend trips to the thousands of holiday homes that dot the area. Many would be impossible to reach given the flood damage.

More than 500 persons remained under evacuation orders on Friday, when saturated mountainsides set off new threats of landslides all over southern Norway. In Ringebu in Gudbrandsdalen, 12 more persons were evacuated when a landslide crashed down at Skjeggestad and took with it power lines and at least two sheep out grazing.

Farther north, in the hardest-hit area around Kvam, more than 200 homeowners were evacuated and several homes destroyed. Prime Minister Jens Stoltenberg toured the area Thursday evening along with other government officials and declared Kvam a disaster area.

It makes a huge impression to meet the people who have been hit so hard, Stoltenberg told Norwegian Broadcasting (NRK). He and fellow ministers Ola Borten Moe and Grete Faremo also visited areas in Buskerud, Hedmark and Oppland counties, and Stoltenberg, of the Labour Party, said local residents need to brace for the prospects of more extreme weather and flooding in the years ahead.

Moe, of the rural-oriented Center Party, seemed to dismiss rising criticism, though, over local residents determination to continue living in areas that are subject to flooding. If we cant build in areas where there may be major floods every 50 or 100 years, there arent many areas in Norway where it would be possible to live, Moe said. That suggests hes gearing for a fight with insurance companies and other authorities who believe its irresponsible to allow re-building in flood zones. Many of the homes destroyed at Kvam this week had just been rebuilt after a flood in the same area two years ago.

Authorities were otherwise dealing mostly with the current crises at hand, and were encouraged that floodwaters seemed to be cresting in Gudbrandsdalen and �sterdalen on Friday. Waters further downstream were expected to keep rising into early next week. newsinenglish.no

Flooding grips Norway

Melting snow and torrential rain force thousands from their homes.

AL JAZEERA Last Modified: 24 May 2013 09:41

A number of rivers in eastern Norway have burst their banks inundating homes and triggering landslides [AFP]

Flooding has forced hundreds of people to evacuate from their homes in eastern Norway.

The weather has been unsettled across the region over recent weeks, and in just the last couple of days the rain has turned very heavy. Lillehammer reported 64mm of rain on Wednesday, which is more than is expected in the entire month.

Melting snow has also added to the problems.

On 18 and 19 May, the temperatures in Lillehammer soared to 29C. In the surrounding mountains, this sudden rise in temperature caused the snow to suddenly melt.

As the water poured down the mountainside, some of the rivers burst their banks.

One of the worst hit towns was Kvam, which is situated along the Gudbrandsdalslagen River.

Diggers were being used to try and alter the path of the flood water, but work had to be abandoned because the conditions became too hazardous. 250 people had to be evacuated from the town.

Jens Stoltenberg, Norwegian prime minister,visited the town on Thursday to inspect the damage for himself.

The saturated ground also triggered several landslides. One in Nesbyen, Buskerud County, was 20 metres wide.

The flooding and landslides forced dozens of roads and two major railway lines to shut, but fortunately there have been no reported injuries.

Flooding forces people from homes in Norway

(Video credit: mary Angelas)

Norwegian (Google translation)

Uvær advarsler Røde varsler utstedt i NORGE Risiko for livet. Store flommer. Stort skadepotensial.

Lenke til meteoalarm.eu


Naboer var gråt og klemte hverandre torsdag morgen da de så rasende flom farvann slam inn i hjemmene deres i Kvam, i Gudbrandsdalen. Nesten 300 huseiere ble evakuert i løpet av natten, som var andre lenger sør i Eidsvoll og i flere andre lokalsamfunn rundt Sør-Norge som regn og snøsmelting slått elver og bekker i ukontrollerbare torrents.

I Eidsvoll ble nordøst for Oslo, rundt 40 huseiere beskjed om å forlate hjemmene sine på grunn av frykt en demning lenger upslope ville briste. Andre ble evakuert i fylkene Hedmark, Oppland, Buskerud og Telemark som tjenestemenn kategorisert årets våren flom som den verste siden 1995, så langt.

Det kan bli enda verre, med mer regn spådd og raskere smelting av snø og is i høyereliggende områder. I stedet for å begynne å smelte sakte på slutten av vinteren, er i år uvanlig kalde våren holdt snø og is frosset godt ut i mai. Når temperaturen plutselig steg i forrige uke, den årlige avrenning raskt omgjort til de fossende torrents nå truer så mange områder at redningsmannskapene ble sliter med å holde tritt med etterspørselen. Pumping av oversvømte kjellere ble raskt en lavere prioritet på onsdag som mannskap jobbet for å hindre mer skade ved å prøve å avlede oversvømmelse. Veier og store motorveier ble blokkert og stengt over hele Sør-Norge, med den sterkt trafikkerte E6 gjennom Gudbrandsdalen stengt flere steder. Listen over stengte veier var så lang at radio annonsørene på norsk Broadcasting (NRK) referert lyttere til riksveien instituttets hjemmeside for fullstendig liste som ble stadig oppdatert (ekstern link, i norsk: “Stengt” betyr lukket).

State jernbane NSB og jernbane Jernbaneverket ble også overfor enorme utfordringer, med spor vasket ut på flere steder eller dekket av gjørme-og fjellskred. Viktigste togruter gjennom Gudbrandsdalen og Østerdalen som kobler Oslo og Trondheim måtte stenge ned og NSB kunne ikke gi alternativ busstransport fordi tilstøtende veier ble blokkert også. Kongsvingerbanen til Oslo gjenåpnet, men gir noen gode nyheter for pendlere torsdag morgen, men passasjerene ble advart av forsinkelser utover dagen. Flere langdistanse lastebilsjåfører måtte tilbringe natten i eller rundt Hamar på grunn av motorveien nedleggelser som fanget dem hvor de var, ikke minst fordi deres biler er for store til å kjøre på de smalere andre veier som ble brukt til omkjøringer. I tillegg til evakueringer i Eidsvoll og Kvam, var rundt 20 huseiere beordret til å forlate hjemmene sine i Nesbyen og 43 i Nord-Aurdal. Det var rapporter de kanskje aldri få lov til å gå tilbake og vil bli tvunget til å gjenoppbygge i andre områder på grunn av økt forekomst av flom de siste årene. Forsikringsselskapene skulle lansere en debatt om hvorvidt andre forsikringstakere bør forventes å effektivt betale for tapene av de som insisterte på å gjenoppbygge i områder rammet av flom bare to år siden. Politikere er forventet å takle problemet når den umiddelbare krisen var over.
Thursday, mai 23, 2013 13:44 (13:44) UTC RSOE
Andre rapporter
Flomkatastrofen flytte sørover

24 mai 2013

“Som statlige tjenestemenn erklært katastrofeområder i alvorlig oversvømte deler av Sør-Norge, ble oppmerksomheten snu til de nye truslene fra raskt stigende vannstand langs Glomma og der den renner ut i den store innsjøen øst for Oslo kalt yeren. Skred, i mellomtiden, var forårsaker mer skade fra Telemark i vest til Hedmark i øst.

I Fetsund, var redningsmannskapene og lokale myndigheter oppkvikkende for en oversvømmelse. Hovne bekker og elver ble strømme inn yeren og eksperter fra Norge vannveier direktorat NVE spådde nivået å stige gjennom helgen. “Vi tømming våre kjellere nå,” en lokal innbygger til Dagsavisen.

Lenger nord langs Glomma, byen Rena som er best kjent som utgangspunkt for de årlige Birkebeiner løpene var i stor grad under vann. Glomma møter Rena River på Rena i den østlige dalen sterdalen og den massive mengder regnvann og snøsmelting var for mye for elvene å håndtere.

Den viktigste hovedvei gjennom sterdalen, 3 Riksvei, ble stengt, og ville forblitt stengt gjennom helgen, kunngjorde State Highway tjenestemenn fredag. Togtilbud vil også forbli forstyrret.

Den viktigste E6 gjennom parallell Gudbrandsdalen i vest det er bare over fjellet fra sterdalen skyldes også forbli lukket. Det fikk politiet og motorvei tjenestemenn å oppfordre nordmenn til å droppe eventuelle planer for helgeturer til de tusenvis av feriehus som prikken området. Mange ville være umulig å nå gitt flomskader.

Mer enn 500 personer forble under evakuering ordre på fredag, da mettet fjellsider satt av nye trusler om skred over hele Sør-Norge. I Ringebu i Gudbrandsdalen, ble 12 flere personer evakuert da et jordskred krasjet ned ved Skjeggestad og tok med seg kraftledninger og minst to sauer ut beite.

Lenger nord, i den hardest rammede området rundt Kvam, ble mer enn 200 huseiere evakuert og flere boliger ødelagt. Statsminister Jens Stoltenberg turnert området torsdag kveld sammen med andre offentlige tjenestemenn og erklærte Kvam et katastrofeområde.

“Det gjør et stort inntrykk å møte mennesker som har blitt rammet så hardt,” Stoltenberg til norske Broadcasting (NRK). Han og andre ministre Ola Borten Moe og Grete Faremo besøkte også områder i Buskerud, Hedmark og Oppland fylker, og Stoltenberg, for Arbeiderpartiet, sier lokale innbyggere trenger å spenne for utsiktene til mer ekstremvær og flom i årene fremover.

Moe, av rural-orientert Senterpartiet, syntes å avfeie økende kritikk, skjønt, over innbyggernes vilje til å fortsette å bo i områder som er utsatt for flom. “Hvis vi ikke kan bygge i områder der det kan være store oversvømmelser hver 50 eller 100 år, det er ikke mange områder i Norge der det ville være mulig å leve,” Moe sa. Som antyder han gearing for en kamp med forsikringsselskaper og andre myndigheter som mener det er uansvarlig å la re-bygningen i flom soner. Mange av husene ødelagt på Kvam denne uken hadde nettopp blitt gjenoppbygd etter en flom i det samme området for to år siden.

Myndigheter var ellers arbeider for det meste med dagens kriser på hånden, og ble oppfordret til at flomvannet syntes å være cresting i Gudbrandsdalen og sterdalen på fredag. Waters ytterligere nedstrøms var forventet å fortsette å stige inn tidlig neste uke. “- Newsinenglish.no
Flooding fatt Norge

Smelter snø og høljeregn force tusenvis fra sine hjem.
Steff Gaulter Al Jazeera Sist endret: 24 mai 2013 09:41

En rekke elver i Øst-Norge har sprekker sine banker inundating hjem og utløse jordskred [AFP]

Flom har tvunget hundrevis av mennesker til å evakuere fra sine hjem i Øst-Norge.

Været har vært uavklart i hele regionen de siste ukene, og i løpet av de siste par dagene regnet har slått veldig tung. Lillehammer rapportert 64mm regn på onsdag, noe som er mer enn det som er forventet i hele måneden.

Snøsmelting har også lagt til problemene.

Den 18. og 19. mai steg temperaturen i Lillehammer til 29C. I de omkringliggende fjellene, forårsaket denne plutselige økningen i temperaturen snøen plutselig smelte.

Da vannet strømmet nedover fjellsiden, noen av elvene brast sine banker.

En av de hardest rammede byene var Kvam, som ligger langs Gudbrandsdalslågen.

Diggers ble brukt til å prøve og endre banen til flom vann, men arbeidet måtte avbrytes fordi forholdene ble for farlig. 250 mennesker måtte evakueres fra byen.

Jens Stoltenberg, norsk statsminister, besøkte byen på torsdag for å inspisere skaden for seg selv.

Den mettet bakken også utløst flere jordskred. En i Nesbyen, Buskerud, var 20 meter bredt.

Flom og jordskred tvunget dusinvis av veier og to store jernbanelinjer å stenge, men heldigvis har det ikke vært rapportert om skader.

Mozambique: Flood fears drive massive evacuation, 55,000 people affected – 230113 0900z

Mozambique has started to evacuate some 55,000 people after heavy rains caused sea levels to rise to dangerous levels in parts of the country, officials say.

“We are asking people to move to safer areas,” a spokeswoman for the national relief agency said.

The south and centre have been placed on red alert because of the floods, which have claimed several lives.

The worst affected areas are in the southern Gaza province, where a number of rivers are currently above crisis levels.

Emergency teams are on stand-by and motorboats have been dispatched to help transport people to safety, the AFP news agency reports.

The evacuees will be brought to temporary shelters. Some of them have been set up in the capital, Maputo.

“We estimate there are 55,000 people affected,” Rita Almeida from Mozambique’s Disaster Relief Management Institute said.

The town of Chokwe, home to a dyke, is particularly vulnerable, she added.

“We are registering very high water levels in the Limpopo and Inkomati rivers that could flood the town,” Ms Almeida said.

From Sunday to Monday, almost 185mm (7 inches) of rain fell over the Limpopo basin, the AFP reports.

International observers have described the situation as critical.

There are fears that the dyke in Chokwe could break, which would lead to chaos in the evacuations.

“If that dyke breaks, all those people will have to move more rapidly,” the country chief of the World Food Programme, Lola Castro, said.

Neighbouring South Africa, Zimbabwe and Botswana have also been hit by severe flooding.

In South Africa, floodwaters claimed several lives and left hundreds stranded after the Limpopo river burst its banks on Monday.

Wednesday, 23 January, 2013 at 05:43 (05:43 AM) UTC RSOE

#Sanba is now an area of low pressure nr N44°00′ E133°00′ at 0050Z – Updated 18 Sept 2012 0950Z

xxx

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
Satellite East Asia Infrared
(Click image for animation/source)

(Image: JMA)
JAPAN Currently valid Warnings/Advisories
(Click image for source)

(Image: KMA)
South Korea Radar: Real Time
(Click image for animation/source)

18 Sept 2012 This is the last update for Sanba.

Typhoon Sanba Reaches Vladivostok, Russia – Floods city streets. Over ten streets were flooded in Vladivostok as typhoon Sanba reached the Russian Far Eastern city bringing there one third of monthly rainfalls norm. The Sanba emerged on September 10 near the shores of Philippines and before reaching Vladivostok it battered Japan and two Koreas leaving dozens of people homeless and cutting electricity power supplies. The administration of Vladivostok and the local emergencies services did not report any casualties and damages, but said that the storm caused a mudslide in the city, which temporarily disrupted a train connection between two local stations. Schools and kindergartens in Vladivostok continue working as usually, but it is up to parents to decide whether to take their children there during the storm. According to meteorologists, heavy rains will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday in the region with wind gusts reaching 23-28 meters per second.
Powerful typhoon Sanba lashed North and South Korea with strong wind and heavy rain, killing two people in landslides, leaving hundreds of others homeless and triggering blackouts in the South, officials said Tuesday. In North Korea, rain drenched parts of the country, including the eastern coastal city of Wonsan, but did not reach the capital, Pyongyang, which was windy Monday but spared the heavy rains that lashed the South Korean capital.
Sanba, which battered southern South Korea around midday Monday, pushed northward and moved into eastern waters, where it weakened and lost energy on Tuesday morning. North Korea didn’t get a direct hit but was affected by the storm’s outer bands. More than 3,700 homes and shops in South Korea remained without power Tuesday but officials were expected to restore power later in the day. A woman died in a landslide in southeastern South Korea, and a man died in a separate landslide. Two people were injured and about 560 people were left homeless.
Before reaching South Korea, the storm hit Japan. One man drowned in high waves, about 67,000 homes in southwestern Japan lost power and some areas flooded. There were no immediate official reports from North Korea on whether the storm caused any damage there. Dozens there were killed in a typhoon last month, and the country suffered flooding and drought earlier in the year.”  – http://globaldisasterwatch.blogspot.co.uk

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

18 Sept 2012 No warnings

17 Sept 2012

.wtpn31 pgtw 170900
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 17w (sanba) warning nr 027
   downgraded from typhoon 17w
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only

warning position:
170600z — near 36.0n 128.6e
movement past six hours – 010 degrees at 20 kts
position accurate to within 020 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds – 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
becoming extratropical
repeat posit: 36.0n 128.6e

forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
171800z — 40.7n 130.0e
Max sustained winds – 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical
vector to 24 hr posit: 015 deg/ 25 kts

24 hrs, valid at:
180600z — 45.6n 131.6e
Max sustained winds – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
extratropical

remarks:
170900z position near 37.2n 128.9e.
Tropical storm 17w (sanba), located approximately 10 nm northwest of
taegu, south Korea, has made landfall and accelerated
north-northeastward at 20 knots over the past six hours. The initial
position and intensity were based on animated radar imagery from the
korean meteorological agency and from surface observations from taegu
that reported maximum winds 0f 24 gusting to 40 knots at 170400z. Ts
17w is currently at the base of the taebaek mountain range and poised
to ramp up the high and very rugged terrain. Upper level analysis
indicates the system is now embedded in the baroclinic zone and
undergoing extratropical transition. It is expected to become a cold
core low after its remnants emerge back in the Sea of Japan by tau
12.  The alternate scenario is that the system will dissipate over
land. The available numerical guidance is in tight agreement and
lends high confidence to this track forecast. This is the final
warning on this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi.
The system will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration.    //

Korean:

wtpn31 pgtw 170900
msgid/genadmin/공동 태풍 wrncen 진주 항구 안녕 / /
subj/열 대 사이 클론 경고 / /
rmks /
1. 열 대 폭풍 17w (sanba) 경고 nr 027
태풍 17w에서 다운 그레이드
northwestpac에서 01 활성 열 대 사이 클론
최대 1 분 평균을 기반으로 하는 바람을 지속
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만

경고 위치:
170600z—36.0n 근처 128.6e
과거 6 시간-20 kts에서 010도 운동
020 내 위치 nm
위치 기반으로 위성 센터
현재 바람 분포:
최대 지속 바람-045 kt, 풍속 055 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대 되기
반복 멋 부리 다: 36.0n 128.6e

예측:
12 시간에 유효한:
171800z—40.7n 130.0e
최대 지속 바람-030 kt, 풍속 040 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대
24 시간 하는 벡터 멋 부리 다: 015 deg / 25 kts

24 시간에 유효한:
180600z—45.6n 131.6e
최대 지속 바람-020 kt, 풍속 030 kt
유효한 바람 반지름 이상 오픈 워터만
온대

설명:
37.2n 근처 170900z 위치 128.9e.
열 대 폭풍 17w (sanba)에 위치한 약 10 nm 북서쪽의
대구, 한국, 육지 접근을 만든 있으며 가속
북한-northeastward 지난 6 시간 동안 20 노트에서. 초기
위치와 강도에서 애니메이션된 레이더 이미지에 기반 했다 합니다
한국 기상 기관 및 대구에서 표면 관찰에서
그는 최대 바람 0f 24 gusting 170400z에서 40 노트를 보고. Ts
17w 현재 태백 산맥의 기본 및 태세입니다.
높고 매우 거친 지형 방면 진입로. 상위 수준 분석
시스템은 baroclinic 영역에 포함 된 지금 나타냅니다 및
온대 전환을 겪고 있다. 감기 될 예정입니다.
코어 낮은 그것의 잔재 타우에 의해 일본 해에서 다시 등장 하는 후
12. 대체 시나리오는 시스템을 통해 낭비 것입니다.
토지입니다. 사용 가능한 숫자 지침 꽉 계약에는 고
예보이 트랙에 높은 자신감을 빌려준다. 이것은 최종
경고이 시스템에 의해 공동 태풍 wrncen 진주만 안녕하세요.
중생의 징후에 대 한 시스템을 밀접 하 게 모니터링 될 것 이다. //

Japan Meteorological agency
1216 1216 1216

LOW
Issued at 00:50 UTC, 18 September 2012

<Analyses at 18/00 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
LOW
Center position N44°00′(44.0°)
E133°00′(133.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 45km/h(25kt)
Central pressure 994hPa

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm SANBA (17W) currently located near 36.0 N 128.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Korean:

NW 태평양: 폭풍 경고에서 9 월 17 일, 2012 6시 GMT (최종 경고)

열 대 폭풍 SANBA (17W) 현재 36.0 128.6 N E 근처에 땅을 다음 likelihood(s) 주어진된 리드 행위가 공격 전망 이다:
노란색 경고 Country(s) 또는 조건이
대한민국
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 90% 이다.
노란색 경고 도시 (들) 및 Town(s)
대구 (35.9 128.6 N E)
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 90% 이다.
부산 (35.2 129.1 N E)
TS에 대 한 확률은 현재 70 %

Note는
노란색 경고 (상승)는 고양이 1 또는 위의 하 10%, 30% 확률 또는 위의 50% 확률에 TS 사이.
고양이 1 적어도 74 mph, 119 km/h 또는 64 노트 1 분 지속의 태풍 힘 바람을 의미 합니다.
TS는 적어도 39 mph, 63 km/h 또는 34 노트 1 분 지속의 열 대 폭풍 강도 바람을 의미 합니다.

그래픽 예측된 정보 및 자세한 내용은 방문 하시기 바랍니다 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com//
Press:

Stars & Stripes

By Dave Ornauer
Published: September 15, 2012 (Times are Japan Time)

Kadena has already been feeling 25-mph winds and 41-mph gusts. Ginowan, near Camp Foster and Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, reported a 43-mph gust.

It’s bound to get worse before it gets better, folks. This is a very well-organized storm, with deep convective banding and a very well-defined eye about 29 miles wide. The eye will pass about 14 miles east of Kadena at about 5 a.m., during which time one might note that the winds and rain have ceased and the dawn coming up like thunder (although your eardrums might feel like they do when you’re on a commercial jet). Again, avoid any and all temptation to go outside. The back-side winds, in the opposite direction and likely more fierce than before, will kick in at any time.

Latest wind timeline courtesy of Kadena’s 18th Wing Weather Flight:

— Sustained 35-mph winds, 8 p.m. Saturday.
— Sustained 40-mph winds, 10 p.m. Saturday.
— Sustained 58-mph winds, 2 a.m. Sunday.
— Maximum 115-mph sustained winds, 144-mph gusts, 5 a.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 58 mph, 2 p.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 40 mph, 7 p.m. Sunday.
— Winds receding below 35 mph, 9 p.m. Sunday.

Full story: http://www.stripes.com/reporters/dave-ornauer?author=Dave_Ornauer

Japanese:

キーを押します。
スター & ストライプ
デイブ Ornauer によって
公開日: 2012 年 9 月 15 日 (時間は日本時間)
嘉手納すでに 41 マイル突風と 25 マイルの風を感じています。宜野湾キャンプ ・ フォスターと普天間海兵隊航空近く 43 マイル突風を報告しました。
良いを取得する前に悪化するバインド、人々。これは深い対流バンドとは非常に明確に定義された目幅約 29 マイルの非常によく組織化の嵐です。目は時間の 1 つ、風と雨が停止していることに注意してくださいかもしれないと雷のような (あなたの鼓膜は、商業ジェットにいるときと同様感じるかもしれないが) 来る夜明けの中に約 14 マイルについて 5、嘉手納の東を通過します。また、外に任意およびすべての誘惑を避けます。背中側は、反対の方向と可能性が以前よりもより激しい風ないつでもがキックされます。
最新のタイムライン嘉手納の 18 翼天気飛行礼儀風します。
― 持続的な 35 mph の風、20 土曜日。
― 持続的な 40 マイルの風、22 土曜日。
― 持続的な 58 マイルの風、2 日曜日。
― 持続的な最大 115 マイル、5 日曜日 144 マイル突風の風します。
-14 日曜日 58 マイル以下の後退風。
- 以下 40 マイル、19 日曜日を後退風。
-21 日 35 mph 以下の後退風。
16 Sept 2012:

“Typhoon Sanba (Bagyong Karen) is now moving across the East China Sea and is aiming for the Korean Peninsula. Sanba was last located approximately 360km north of Okinawa or about 420km south southeast of Jeju Island in South Korea. Maximum sustained winds are at 175kph with gusts of up to 215kph making Sanba a Category 2 Typhoon. Sanba is moving northward at 30kph…….

Latest satellite image shows a slowly degrading appearance of Sanba. The eye is still well-defined though and convective activity is still relatively strong. The overall organization, however, is starting to become asymmetrical and is becoming more sheared as upper-level winds start to increase in this region. Together with the increasing wind shear, water temperatures in the East China Sea are getting colder and will lead to more weakening overnight……
For now though, rains are still impacting parts of the Ryukyu Islands including Amami. Radar from JMA showing the eastern bands from the storm impacting Kyushu Island as well with rainfall amounts of about 50mm or so. Winds of around 80kph are also still being reported in many places. However, for the most part, we expect the weather to continue improving in Okinawa and nearby areas tonight and into tomorrow.”
17 Sept 2012:
 KMA forecasts 232.5 mm (9.1 inches) Rain for Bukchangwon, South Korea today
 KMA 예측 232.5 m m (9.1 인치) 비 Bukchangwon, 한국에 대 한 오늘
1040 GMT/UTC @hohocho: According to YTN, Typhoon Sanba now moves out to East sea, near Gangneung, S.Korea as of 1920 KST.
YTN에 따라 태풍 Sanba 지금 이동 밖으로 동해, 강릉, 근처 1920 KST로 구

Evan Duffey, Meteorologist at AccuWeather.com
Sep 17, 2012; 5:38 AM ET

“Damaging winds, flooding rains and rough surf will continue to accompany the storm as it moves inland over South Korea on Monday. The storm should pass close enough to Kyushu to bring impacts to that Japanese island as well.

Later Monday, Sanba will likely move briefly back over the Sea of Japan before making yet another landfall in far northeastern North Korea.”

에 반 Duffey, 나눔에 기상학자
9 월 17 일, 2012; 동부 표준시 오전 5 시 38 분
“폭우와 거친 서핑 홍수 피해 바람이 계속 이동 내륙 한국에 월요일에 폭풍을 동반. 폭풍 뿐만 아니라 그 일본 섬에 영향을가지고 규슈에 충분히 가까이 전달 해야 합니다.
이후 월요일 Sanba 것입니다 가능성이 간략하게 다시 위로 이동 일본 해까지 북동부 북한에서 또 다른 상륙 하기 전에. “

Tropical Storm 16w #Bolaven/ #Julian loses tropical characteristics as it traverses North Korea and Northeastern China – Updated 310812 2130Z

(Image: usno.navy.mil/NOOC)
TD 16W Track
(Click image for source)

(Image JMA Japan)
Weather Warnings
(Click image for source)

 

TS BOLAVEN [JULIAN] – Final Update from Bushman’s Typhoon Blog

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM BOLAVEN (JULIAN) UPDATE NUMBER 008 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Wed 29 August 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warnings/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) Tropical Storm BOLAVEN (JULIAN) loses tropical characteristics as it traverses North Korea and Northeastern China.

*This is the last and final update on Bolaven (Julian).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Chinese:

TYPHOON2000(T2K)的熱帶氣旋更新
熱帶風暴布拉萬(朱利安)更新編號008** FINAL**
5:00 AM PHT(21:00 GMT)週三2012年8月29日
資料來源:的T2K分析/ JTWC警告/動態模型/ SatFixes的的
查看:T2K TC更新檔案(2004年至2012年)熱帶風暴布拉萬(朱利安)失去,因為它穿越朝鮮和中國東北部的熱帶特徵。

布拉萬(朱利安),這是最後的,最後的更新。

不要使用這個生命或死亡的決定。諮詢的目的是為額外僅供參考。請貴國的官方氣象機構為當地的警告,公告及公告。

Korean:

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 열대 사이클론 업데이트
열대 폭풍우 BOLAVEN (줄리안) UPDATE 번호 008 ** FINAL **
오전 5시 PhT (21:00 GMT) 화 2012년 8월 29일
출처 : T2K 분석 / JTWC 경고 / 동적 모델 / SatFixes
보기 : T2K TC 업데이트 아카이브 (2004년부터 2012년까지) 열대 폭풍 BOLAVEN (줄리안)이 그 탐색 북한과 노스 이스턴 중국과 같은 열대 특성을 잃는다.

*이 Bolaven (줄리언)에서의 마지막 업데이트입니다.

생사의 결정이를 사용하지 마십시오. 이 권고는 추가 정보 용으로 만 것입니다. 친절하게 현지 경고, 권고 및 게시판에 대한 국가의 공식 기상 기관을 참조하십시오.

Russian:

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL ОБНОВЛЕНИЯ CYCLONE
Тропический шторм Bolaven (юлианский) номер обновления 008 ** FINAL **
5:00 утра ФТ (21:00 GMT) Ср 29 августа 2012
Источники: T2K Аналитика / JTWC Предупреждения / Динамические модели / SatFixes
Вид: T2K TC обновления архивов (2004-2012) Тропический Bolaven Storm (Джулиан) теряет тропические характеристики, как она пересекает Северную Корею и Северо-Восточного Китая.

* Это последнее и окончательное обновление Bolaven (Julian).

Не используйте это на всю жизнь или смерть решение. Этот консультативный предназначен для дополнительного информационных целях. Пожалуйста, обратитесь к официальным агентством погода в вашей стране для местных предупреждений, рекомендаций и бюллетеней.

Japanese:

TYPHOON2000(T2K)熱帯低気圧の更新
熱帯暴風雨BOLAVEN(ジュリアン)アップデート番号008** FINAL**
5:00 AM PHT(21:00 GMT)2012年8月29日(水)
出典:韓国観光公社分析/ JTWC警告/動的モデル/ SatFixes
ビュー:T2K TC更新アーカイブ(2004年から2012年)の熱帯性低気圧のBOLAVEN(ジュリアン)は、それを横断する北朝鮮や中国東北部などの熱帯の特性を失ってしまう。

*これはBolaven(ジュリアン)の最後と最後の更新です。

生きるか死ぬかの決定のためにこれを使用しないでください。このアドバイザリは、追加情報の提供のみを目的としています。親切な地元の警告、勧告&ブリテンのためにあなたの国の公式の気象機関を参照してください。

 

———————————————————————————————-

Historical Information (Not current)

Philippines

Weather Bull.#7(FINAL)for Typh.”Julian/Bolaven” Issued 5AM (PhT).26Aug’12:

Typh.”Julian” is now out of the PAR heading towards southern islands of Jpn. At 4AM 2dy,eye of Typh.”Julian”was located at 850km Northeast of Basco Batanes(25.1N,129.8E).Max.winds=175kph near ctr.&gust=210kph.Forecast mvmt= Northwest @15kph.TY ”Julian” is expected at 830km NNE of Basco, Batanes this afternoon.

Korean:

.. 날씨 볼 Typh에 대한 # 7 (FINAL) “율리우스 / Bolaven”5AM.26Aug ’12 발급 :. Typh “을 줄리안이”일본의 남부 섬으로 향하고 PAR의 현재 부족합니다. 에서 오전 4시 2dy, Typh의 눈. “줄리언은”Basco 바타 네스의 850km 동북 (25.1N, 129.8E)에 위치한습니다. 클릭률 (CTR) 근처 Max.winds는 = 175kph가. & 돌풍 = 210kph.Forecast mvmt = Northwest@15kph.TY “율리우스” Basco의 830km 북북동에서 예상이며, 오늘 오후 바타 네스.

Japanese:

。。天気ブルTyphの#7(FINAL)”ユリウス/ Bolaven”5AM.26Aug’12発行:Typhを”ユリウス”がJPNの南の島に向かって、PARは絶版になっている。で4AM2dy、Typhの目。”ユリウス”はバスコバタネスの850キロ北東部(25.1N、129.8E)に位置していた。CTR近くMax.windsは=175kphは。&突風=210kph.Forecast mvmt= Northwest@15kph.TY”ユリウス”バスコの830キロ北北東に期待されて、今日の午後はバタネス。

Chinese:

天氣通報第7(FINAL)為Typh中。“朱利安/布拉萬”發行:’12:Typh5AM.26Aug。“,朱利安”現在是南部島嶼的JPN的PAR走向。在凌晨4點2DY,Typh眼。“朱利安”位於在巴斯科巴丹(25.1N,129.8E)850公里東北。Max.winds175kph附近的點擊率。的陣風210kph.Forecast mvmt Northwest@15kph.TY“朱利安”預計在830公里東北偏北巴斯科,巴丹今天下午舉行。

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 360 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 39.9N 125.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 16W (BOLAVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHWEST
OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 15W (TEMBIN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

Korean:

WTPN32 PGTW 281,500
MSGID / GENADMIN / 공동 태풍 WRNCEN 진주만 HI / /
제목 / 열대 사이클론 경고 / /
RMKS /
1. 열대 폭풍우 16W (BOLAVEN) 경고 NR 035
NORTHWESTPAC IN 02 ACTIVE 열대 사이클론
MAX는 1 분 평균을 기준으로 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만

경고 위치 :
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
여섯 시간 직전 운동 – 18 KTS AT 360도
040 NM 범위까지 정확한 위치
위치는 위성에 위치하고 CENTER에 근거
현 바람 배포 :
045 KT, 돌풍 055 KT – MAX 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL이되면
034 KT 바람의 RADIUS – 090 NM 북동쪽 구역
110 NM 동남 구역
110 NM 남서쪽 구역
090 NM 노스 웨스트 구역
38.9N 124.7E : 멋 부리다을 반복

예측 :
AT 유효 기간 12 시간 :
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
035 KT, 돌풍 045 KT – MAX 바람을 입었
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL
24 HR의 멋 부리다 벡터 : 035 내지 / 23 KTS

AT 유효 기간 24 HRS :
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX 지속적인 바람 – 030 KT, 돌풍 040 KT
OPEN 물 위에 유효 바람 반지름 만
EXTRATROPICAL

비고 :
39.9N 125.2E NEAR 281500Z POSITION.
약 140 NM 노스 웨스트에 위치한 열대 폭풍우 16W (BOLAVEN)
서울, 한국, 있으며 18 노트 북쪽으로 추적셔서
과거 여섯 시간. 281200Z AT 최대 중요한 WAVE 높이 30
피트. 282100Z, 290300Z 및 290900Z AT NEXT 경고. 를 참조하십시오
여섯 시간당를위한 열대 폭풍우 15W (TEMBIN) 경고 (WTPN31 PGTW)
업데이트. / /
NNNN

Chinese:

WTPN32 PGTW281500
的MSGID/ GENADMIN的/聯合颱風WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/ /
SUBJ// /熱帶氣旋警告
RMKS/
1。熱帶風暴16W(布拉萬)警告NR035
02 ACTIVE熱帶氣旋NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘的平均最大持續風速
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅

警告的位置:
的281200Z—近38.9N124.7E
過去六小時的運動 – 360度18 KTS
位置精確到040 NM
中心位於衛星位置的基礎上
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 045的KT,陣風055 KT
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
變得extratropical
千噸風半徑034 – 090 NM東北象限
110 NM東南象限
110 NM西南象限
090 NM西北象限
模型重複POSIT:38.9N124.7E

預測:
12小時,VALID AT:
290000Z—43.1N126.7E
最大持續風速 – 035的KT,陣風045 KT
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
溫帶
VECTOR至24小時POSIT:035度/ 23 KTS

24小時,VALID AT:
291200Z—46.7N130.6E
最大持續風速 – 030 KT040 KT,陣風
WIND的RADII失效OVER OPEN WATER僅
溫帶

備註:
281500Z39.9N125.2E附近的位置。
熱帶風暴16W(布拉萬),位於約140海裡,西北
首爾,韓國進行了追踪向北18節以上
過去六個小時。最大有效波高在281200Z30
腳。 282100Z,290300Z和290900Z NEXT警告。參考
熱帶風暴15W(天秤)的警告(WTPN31 PGTW)六小時的
更新//

Russian:

WTPN32 PGTW 281500
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN Перл-Харбор, Гавайи / /
Subj / TROPICAL ВНИМАНИЕ CYCLONE / /
RMKS /
1. Тропический шторм 16W (Bolaven) ПРЕДУПРЕЖДЕНИЕ NR 035
02 ACTIVE тропических циклонов в NORTHWESTPAC
MAX устойчивого ветра на основе одного-минут Средний
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только

ВНИМАНИЕ POSITION:
281200Z — NEAR 38.9N 124.7E
ДВИЖЕНИЕ последние шесть часов – 360 градусов на 18 KTS
ПОЛОЖЕНИЕ с точностью до 040 NM
Позиция, основанная на центр, расположенный на спутнике
Современное распределение WIND:
MAX устойчивого ветра – 045 тыс. тонн, порывы 055 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
СТАТЬ внетропических
РАДИУС 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM северо-восточного квадранта
110 Нм юго-восточном секторе
110 Нм SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM СЕВЕРО-ЗАПАД QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 38.9N 124.7E

ПРОГНОЗЫ:
12 часов, действующей на:
290000Z — 43.1N 126.7E
MAX устойчивого ветра – 035 тыс. тонн, порывы 045 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
внетропических
VECTOR до 24 часов POSIT: 035 DEG / 23 KTS

24 часов, действительны на:
291200Z — 46.7N 130.6E
MAX устойчивого ветра – 030 тыс. тонн, порывы 040 KT
WIND РАДИУСЫ VALID по открытой воде только
внетропических

ПРИМЕЧАНИЯ:
281500Z позиции вблизи 39.9N 125.2E.
Тропический шторм 16W (Bolaven), расположенный примерно в 140 Нм СЕВЕРО-ЗАПАД
Сеул, Южная Корея, ГУСЕНИЧНЫЙ на север на 18 узлов OVER
За последние шесть часов. Наибольшей значимой высоте волн на 281200Z IS 30
Ноги. Вперед предупреждений на 282100Z, 290300Z И 290900Z. СМ
Тропический шторм 15W (TEMBIN) Предупреждения (WTPN31 PGTW) в течение шести-часовой
ОБНОВЛЕНИЯ. / /
NNNN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 15W (TEMBIN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

—————————————————————————————————————-

Typhoon Tembin and Bolaven Update August 28, 2012

Published on Aug 28, 2012 by

**If you have any storm videos or images from Typhoon Tembin in Taiwan, please share them with us at philippineweather@yahoo.com

Video Footage from Okinawa shared to us by Dan:
Video 1: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7PcIuRHvDc
Video 2: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0VbwLuBwvK4

Latest Video Update on Typhoon Tembin (Bagyong Igme) and Typhoon Bolaven (Bagyong Julian). This is a long video update so if you are only interested in one storm, our update for Tembin begins at 1:05 while our update for Bolaven begins at 6:02 Also a brief update on Tropical Storm Isaac in the United States at around 11:40

Tembin is now moving east of Taiwan and much of the heavy rains have moved offshore. It is forecast to begin weakening to a Tropical Storm tomorrow as it heads north. It will likely move within 250km east of Shanghai by Thursday morning and could eventually make landfall in North Korea by Friday morning.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Bolaven is now about to make landfall in North Korea (located WEST of Seoul) and is also starting to lose tropical characteristics. Heavy rains have paralyzed air traffic and has also caused more than 200,000 outages across South Korea. Unfortunately, the threat of heavy rains will continue for North Korea tonight and into tomorrow, with the possibility of 200mm of rain or more.

Finally, we have a brief update on Tropical Storm Isaac which could make landfall in New Orleans, LA in the next 24 hours. It is still forecast to become a hurricane before landfall and is bringing the threat of heavy rains along with storm surge.

This video is NOT OFFICIAL! Please continue checking out your country’s weather bureau for the latest official warnings and forecasts for your area.

http://www.sagitnangbagyo.blogspot.com/
http://www.westernpacificweather.com/
http://28storms.com/

email: philippineweather@yahoo.com

OFFICIAL Weather Agencies:
Philippines: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/
Japan: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
China: http://www.cma.gov.cn/eng/
Taiwan: http://www.cwb.gov.tw/eng/
South Korea: http://web.kma.go.kr/eng/index.jsp

—————————————————————————————————————–

Press:

Tropical Storm Bolaven forms, may move toward Taiwan
2012/08/20 18:49:21

A tropical depression near Guam has been upgraded into Tropical Storm Bolaven and may move toward Taiwan on a west-northwesterly track over the next few days, the Central Weather Bureau said Monday.

熱帶風暴布拉萬的形式,可能會走向臺灣
20/2012年/08 18:49:21
中央氣象局說週一關島附近的一個熱帶低氣壓已升級到熱帶風暴布拉萬,可能會在未來幾天的西西北風軌道臺灣走向。
Strong typhoon sets eye on Okinawa this weekendPosted 8/24/2012by Senior Airman Maeson L. Elleman
18th Wing Public Affairs8/24/2012 – KADENA AIR BASE, Japan — All of Okinawa is hunkering down in anticipation as Typhoon Bolaven approaches the doorstep of the small Pacific island and the Asian East coast.Bolaven, with sustained winds expected to reach roughly 120 knots (140 mph) and gusts projected to reach nearly 150 knots (roughly 170 mph), is projected to hit the island early Sunday morning.With such a potent threat inbound, Brig. Gen. Matt Molloy, 18th Wing commander, stressed that it’s paramount for the island’s inhabitants to properly prepare before the storm hits.”This is the most powerful typhoon forecast to hit the island in 13 years,” the commander said. “I can’t stress enough how dangerous Typhoon Bolaven is. Take the time today and tomorrow to secure your outdoor items and get the supplies you need to weather this storm. Tie down your outdoor items and work with your neighbors to help them – especially those whose spouses are deployed, TDY or TAD.”Friday, Kadena initiated tropical cyclone condition of readiness (TCCOR) 3, meaning winds of 50 knots or greater are anticipated within 72 hours.Though TCCORs outline an estimated time of arrival for the storm, warmer or cooler seas can speed up or slow down the cyclone unpredictably.In the mean time, Status of Forces Agreement-status personnel on the island need to use their chains of command for the most accurate information. They should also monitor the Kadena Air Base Facebook page at http://www.facebook.com/KadenaAirBase for updates as they become available.For more information on typhoon preparations, visit the typhoon section of the Okinawa Emergency Action Guide here.”This is not just another typhoon,” the general said. “If we all follow the typhoon procedures and take care of each other, we will all make it safe through this typhoon. God bless and stay safe!” – http://www.kadena.af.mil強い台風がこの週末沖縄に目を設定2012年8月24日に掲示される上級空兵Maeson L. Ellemanによって
第十八ウィング広報

2012年8月24日 – 嘉手納空軍基地、日本 – 台風Bolavenは小さな太平洋島嶼と東アジアの海岸のすぐそばに近づくと、沖縄のすべてが見越してダウンhunkeringされています。

約120ノット(毎時140マイル)と約150ノット(およそ毎時170マイル)に達すると予測突風に達すると予想風速とBolavenは、日曜日の早朝、島をヒットすると予測されています。

そのような強力な脅威インバウンド、ブリーク​​と。大将マットモロイ、18ウイング司令官は、それが適切に嵐のヒットの前に準備するために、島の住民のために最も重要だと強調した。

“これは13年に島を襲った最も強力な台風予報です”と指揮官は語った。 “私は台風Bolavenがどれほど危険か十分に強調することはできませんあなたの屋外のアイテムを固定してから、この嵐を乗り切るために必要物資を得るために今日と明日の時間をかけてあなたのアウトドアアイテムをタイダウン、それらを助けるためにあなたの近所の人と仕事 – 。特にその配偶者が配備されたもの、またはTDY TAD”。

金曜日、嘉手納は50ノットの風を意味する以上、72時間以内に予想され、準備(TCCOR)3の熱帯低気圧の状態を開始しました。

TCCORsは嵐のために到着予定時刻を概説していますが、暖かいまたは冷たい海はスピードアップしたり予期しないサイクロンを遅くすることができます。

平均時間では、島で軍協定ステータス·人員の状況は、最も正確な情報については、コマンドの彼らのチェーンを使用する必要があります。彼らが利用可能になると、彼らはまた、更新のwww.facebook.com/ KadenaAirBaseで嘉手納基地のFacebookページを監視する必要があります。

台風の準備の詳細については、ここで沖縄緊急アクションガイドの台風のセクションをご覧ください。

“これはちょうど別の台風ではありませんが、”一般的には述べています。 “我々はすべての台風の手順に従うと、お互いの世話をする場合、我々はすべてこの台風によってそれが安全でしょう。神は祝福し、安全に滞在!” – http://www.kadena.af.mil

25 Aug 2012 1757 GMT/UTC:

This, from KBS World:

Gov’t Braces for Powerful Typhoon

Write 2012-08-24 16:49:17   Update 2012-08-24 18:28:04

The government is bracing for a powerful typhoon that is expected to affect the nation early next week.

The central disaster management headquarters on Friday held an emergency meeting with nine ministries and 16 cities and provinces to discuss preventive measures against Typhoon Bolaven.

The headquarters plans to make its best efforts to minimize damage as the powerful typhoon could bring heavy casualties and property damage.

The government plans to check regions or facilities vulnerable to landslides or collapse and ban citizens from entering dangerous areas such as embankments and rocks along the seashore.

Korean:

강력한 태풍에 대한 Gov’t 교정기

2012년 8월 24일 16시 49분 17초 업데이트 할 2012년 8월 24일 18시 28분 4초 쓰기

정부는 다음 주 초 전국에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상된다 강력한 태풍에 대한 경구 있습니다.

금요일에 중앙 재해 관리 본부는 태풍 Bolaven에 대한 예방 조치를 논의하기 위해 아홉 부처 및 16 도시와 지역과 긴급 회의를 개최했습니다.

본사는 강력한 태풍이 많은 부상자와 재산 피해를 가져다 줄 수로 피해를 최소화하기 위해 최선의 노력을 할 계획입니다.

정부는 지역 또는 해안을 따라 제방과 바위 등 위험 지역을 입력에서 산사태 나 붕괴와 금지 시민에 취약 시설을 확인 할 계획입니다.

26 Aug 2012 1415 GMT/UTC:

Forecasters are predicting slow-moving Typhoon Bolaven could be the strongest storm to strike the island in more than 50 years.

Residents have been told to stay indoors and protect themselves against the strong winds and heavy rain.

State broadcaster NHK said gusts could overturn cars, while waves around the island could reach 12m (40ft).

Japan’s meteorological agency estimated wind speeds near the storm’s centre at around 180km/h (112 mph), while extremely strong gusts were reaching 252 km/h. – BBC News (More details here)

28 Aug 2012:

Twelve dead, 10 missing as typhoon pounds South Korea

SEOUL: Twelve people were killed and 10 were missing after a strong typhoon pounded South Korea Tuesday, uprooting trees, sinking ships and cutting power to almost 200,000 homes.By early evening Typhoon Bolaven – the strongest to hit the South for almost a decade – had moved to North Korea, which is still struggling to recover from deadly floods earlier this summer.Hundreds of flights in the South were grounded, ferry services were suspended and schools in Seoul and several other areas were closed.Bolaven left a trail of death and damage in southwestern and south-central regions of the country, although it was little felt in central parts of Seoul.Off the southern island of Jeju, the storm drove two Chinese fishing ships aground early Tuesday, sparking a dramatic rescue operation.Coastguards wearing wetsuits struggled through high waves and then used a line-launcher to fire ropes to one ship, a coastguard spokesman said. The other boat broke apart.Rescuers saved 12 people while six swam ashore, but 10 crew members are still missing, the spokesman said. Five bodies were recovered.

In the southern county of Wanju, a 48-year-old man was killed by a shipping container flipped over by gale-force winds, the public administration ministry said.

An elderly woman was crushed to death when a church spire collapsed onto her house in the southwestern city of Gwangju, while another elderly woman was blown off the roof of her home in the western county of Seocheon.

A workman fell from the roof of a hospital in the southwestern port of Mokpo. At Imsil county in North Jeolla province, a 51-year-old man died while clearing toppled trees.

In Yeongkwang county west of Gwangju, a 72-year-old man suffered fatal head injuries when his house wall collapsed. At Buyeo city in South Chungcheong province, a woman aged 75 died after falling due to strong winds.

A 77,000-tonne bulk carrier broke in two off the southeastern port of Sacheon but no casualties were reported, the public administration ministry said.

The transport ministry said all 87 sea ferry services had been halted. A total of 247 flights – 183 domestic and 64 international – have been cancelled since Monday.

The typhoon – packing winds of 144 kilometres (90 miles) per hour at one time – brought heavy rain and strong winds to southern and western areas. It toppled street lights and signs, shattered windows, uprooted trees and tore off shop signs.

The National Emergency Management Agency said 197,751 homes in Jeju and the southwest and south-central regions lost power.

A total of 83 people, mostly in the southwest, were evacuated from their homes and taken to shelters. Some 21 homes were damaged.

The US and South Korean armed forces called a temporary halt to a large-scale joint military exercise that began last week.

After sweeping up the Yellow Sea to the west of South Korea, Bolaven made landfall in North Korea in the early evening.

The impoverished nation is already struggling to recover from a devastating summer drought, followed by floods which killed 169 people, left about 400 missing and made 212,000 people homeless, according to official figures.

Weather officials said Typhoon Tembin was also threatening the Korean peninsula, and was forecast to be some 200 kilometres west of Jeju early Friday. – AFP

Korean:

열두 죽은, 10 태풍 파운드로 누락 된 한국

서울 : 열두 명 사망하고 10 배를 가라 거의 200,000 가정에 전원을 절단, 나무를 혼돈 (화) 한국을 두드리고 강한 태풍 후 누락되었습니다.

초저녁 태풍 Bolave​​n으로 – 거의 10 년 동안 남부를 누를 수있는 강한이 – 아직도 초기의 이번 여름 죽음의 홍수에서 회복하기 위해 고군분투 북한,로 이동했다.

남쪽의 항공편 수백은 접지 된 페리 서비스가 일시 중지되었으며, 서울과 여러 다른 지역에있는 학교는 폐쇄되었습니다.

이 작은 서울의 중심 부분에 느껴졌다하지만 Bolave​​n은 죽음과 남서부와 국가의 남쪽 – 중앙 지역에 피해 길을 떠났다.

제주의 남쪽 섬에서, 폭풍 극적인 구출 작전을 스파클링, 초기 화요일 2 개의 중국어 낚시 선박 좌초를 몰았다.

잠수복을 입고 Coastguards가 높은 파도를 헤치고 고생하고 한척의 배에 밧줄을 해고 라인 런처를 사용, 연안 경비대 대변인은 말했다. 다른 보트는 떨어져 졌어요.

여섯 해변 수영을하는 동안 구조 대원 12 명을 저장하지만, 10 명의 승무원이 여전히 누락, 대변인은 말했다. 다섯 구의 사체가 발견되었다.

Wanju의 남쪽 카운티에서 48 세의 남자가 강풍 – 강풍이 몰아 치는 동안 뒤집힌 배송 컨테이너에 의해 살해 된, 행정 사역했다.

다른 노인 여성이 서천의 서쪽 카운티에 그녀의 집의 지붕을 날려 동안 교회 첨탑은 광주의 남서부 도시에 그녀의 집에 무너지면서 노인 여자가 죽음에 눌린되었습니다.

노동자가 목포의 남서부 포트에있는 병원의 지붕에서 떨어졌다. 실각 나무를 삭제하는 동안 전라북도 지역에서 Imsil 카운티에서 51 세의 남자가 사망했다.

그의 집 벽이 무너질 때 광주의 Yeongkwang 카운티 서부에, 72 세 남성은 치명적인 머리 부상을 입었다. 충청남도 지역, 75 세 여성의 부여시 강한 바람으로 인해 떨어지는 후 사망했다.

77000 – 톤 벌크 캐리어 사천의 남동쪽 항구에서 두 들긴했지만 사상자가보고되지 않았습니다, 공공 행정 장관은 말했다.

교통 장관은 87 바다 페리 서비스가 중지되었습니다했다. 183 국내 및 64 국제 – – 247 항공편의 총은 월요일부터 취소되었습니다.

태풍 – 한 번에 시속 144km (90 마일)의 패킹 바람은 – 남부와 서부 지역에 많은 비와 강한 바람을 가져. 그것은 가로등과 표지판을 실각 창을 뿌리 나무를 산산조각 상점 간판을 찢고.

국가 비상 사태 관리 기관은 197,751 제주의 집과 남서쪽과 남쪽 – 중앙 지역 전원을 잃었다 고 말했다.

대부분 남서쪽 83 명 총은 집에서 대피하고 대피소로 이동했다. 일부 21 가정이 손상되었습니다.

미국과 한국 무장 세력은 지난 주 시작한 대규모 합동 군사 연습에 임시 중단을했다.

한국의 서쪽으로 황해를 강타 후, Bolave​​n은 이른 저녁 시간에 북한의 상륙했다.

가난한 나라는 이미 공식 집계에 따르면, 실종 400 남은 1백69명을 살해하고 212,000명이 집을 만든 홍수 뒤에 엄청난 여름 가뭄, 복구하는데 어려움을 겪고 있습니다.

날씨 관계자는 태풍 Tembin 또한 한반도를 위협했고, 금요일 일찍 제주의 서쪽 일부 200km로 예상이라고 말했다. – AFP

Japanese:

台風ポンド韓国のように不足している十二死者、10

ソウル:12人が殺害され、10は船を沈めると、およそ20万世帯への電力供給をカットする、木を根こそぎ、火曜日韓国を砲撃強い台風の後に失われていた。

夕方台風Bolave​​nによって – ほぼ10年のために韓国をヒットする最強は – まだ今年の夏に致命的な洪水から回復するのに苦労している北朝鮮に移動していた。

南の便の数百人が、接地されたフェリー·サービスは中断され、ソウルや他のいくつかの地域の学校は閉鎖されました。

それは少しソウルの中央部で感じたもののBolave​​nは、死と南西と国の南部地域では被害の跡を残した。

済州島の南の島沖で、嵐が劇的な救出作戦をスパーク、早い火曜日2つの中国漁船の座礁を運転した。

ウェットスーツを着て沿岸警備隊が高い波を通して苦労して1つの船にロープを発射するために、ラインランチャーを使用し、沿岸警備隊の広報担当者は述べた。他の船はバラバラに壊れた。

6は上陸泳いでいる間、救助者が12人を救ったが、10人の乗組員が行方不明で、広報担当者は述べた。 5体を回収した。

完州郡の南部では、48歳の男性が強風、強風によってひっくり返さ輸送用コンテナによって殺された、行政省庁は言った。

別の高齢女性が舒川郡の西部の自宅の屋根を吹き飛ばされたながら、教会の尖塔は、光州の南西部の都市で、彼女の家の上に倒れたときに高齢者の女性が圧死しました。

職人は木浦の南西ポートの病院の屋上から落ちた。倒れ木をクリアしながら、全羅北道Imsil郡で、51歳の男性が死亡した。

彼の家の壁が崩壊したときに光州のYeongkwang郡西では、72歳の男性は、致命的な頭部外傷を負った。忠清南道(チュンチョンナムド)扶余市内で、強風のために落下した後に死亡した75歳の女性で。

77000トンのバルクキャリアが泗川市の南東沖ポート2で破ったが、死傷者は報告されていない、行政省庁は言った。

国土交通省では、全87海フェリーサービスが停止されたと言いました。 183国内および国際的な64 – – 247便の合計は、月曜日以降にキャンセルされました。

台風 – 一度時速144キロ(90マイル)のパッキング風は – 南部と西部の地域に大雨と強風をもたらした。これは、街路灯や標識を倒し窓、根こそぎ木を打ち砕いたと看板をオフに引き裂いた。

消防防災庁は、197751済州の家庭と南西部と南部地域が力を失ったと述べた。

主に南西部の83人の合計は、自宅から避難し、避難所に連れて行かれた。いくつかの21の住宅が被害を受けた。

米国と韓国軍が先週始まった大規模な合同軍事演習への一時的な停止を呼びかけた。

韓国の西側に黄色の海を席巻した後、Bolave​​nは夕方に北朝鮮に上陸した。

貧しい国は、すでに公式の数字によると、不足している約400のままに169人が死亡し、212000人が家を失った洪水が続く壊滅的な夏の干ばつから回復するために苦労している。

気象当局は、台風Tembinも朝鮮半島を脅かしていた、と金曜日早く済州西いくつかの200キロになると予想されたと述べた。 – AFP通信

Chinese:

十二人死亡,10人失踪颱風磅韓國

首爾:12人死亡,10人失踪後搗爛韓國週二強颱風連根拔起的樹木,沉船切割近20萬戶家庭供電。

傍晚颱風布拉萬 – 最強打了近十年的南 – 已轉移到朝鮮,這是從致命的洪澇災害仍在努力恢復今年夏天。

數百名在南方的航班停飛,渡輪服務暫停,並在首爾和其他一些地區的學校被關閉。

布拉萬在西南和中南地區的國家的死亡和破壞,雖然它有點覺得在首爾中部地區留下了痕跡。

離南部的濟州島,風暴駕駛兩艘中國漁船擱淺週二早些時候,引發了戲劇性的救援行動。

,海岸警衛隊發言人說,海岸警衛隊穿著雨衣艱難地高浪線發射器,然後用火一船的繩索。其他小船解體。

獲救的12人,而6遊上岸,但10名船員仍然下落不明,該發言人說。有五具屍體。

完州南部的縣,一個48歲的男子被打死翻了一個集裝箱,大風力量風,公共管理部說。

一個老婦人被壓死時,教堂的尖頂倒在她的房子在西南部城市光州,而另一個老婦人在她家的屋頂被吹斷的舒川郡西部。

工欲善其事,下降至西南部的木浦港的一家醫院的屋頂。在全羅北道任實郡,一個51歲的男子死亡,在清理倒塌的樹木。

在Yeongkwang縣西光州,一個72歲的男子頭部遭受致命傷害時,他的房子牆壁倒塌。在忠清南道扶餘市,省,一名75歲的女子死亡後到期的強風。

一個77,000噸散貨船發生在兩關的東南部港口泗川,但沒有造成人員傷亡,公共管理部說。

交通運輸部表示,全部87個海渡輪服務已經停止。自週一以來,共有183個國內和64個國際 – 247航班 – 已取消。

颱風 – 包裝風速每小時144公里(90英里),在同一時間 – 南部和西部地區帶來大雨和強風。它推翻了路燈和標誌,玻璃被震碎,連根拔起的樹木,撕下店的招牌。

國家緊急事務管理署說,在濟州的西南,中南地區197,751家失去了動力。

一共有83人,主要集中在西南,撤離家園,並採取庇護所。大約21家被損壞。

美國和韓國軍隊的要求暫時停止了大規模的聯合軍事演習,從上週開始。

席捲黃海的韓國西部後,布拉萬在朝鮮登陸,在傍晚時分。

這個貧窮的國家已經在努力恢復毀滅性的夏天乾旱,洪水造成169人死亡,造成大約400人失踪,212,000人無家可歸,根據官方公佈的數字。

氣象官員說,颱風天秤也威脅到朝鮮半島,被預測為200公里,西距濟州早。 – AFP

TROPICAL STORM #KAI-TAK(#HELEN) #China and #Vietnam be aware – Updated 18 Aug 2012 1400GMT/UTC

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: usno.navy.mil/)
US Navy Tropical Storm 14W (Kai-tak) Warning #09 Aug 14, 2012
(Click image for source)

 

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

Philippines Doppler Radar (link)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Laos
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Tây Thái Bình Dương: Cảnh báo bão phát hành lúc 17 tháng tám, 2012 18: 00 GMT (cảnh báo cuối cùng)

Tropical Storm KAI TAK (14W) dự báo để tấn công đất để likelihood(s) sau time(s) cho dẫn:
Màu vàng thông báo Country(s) hoặc Province(s)
Việt Nam
xác suất cho CAT 1 trở lên là 25% hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 95% hiện nay
Lào
xác suất cho TS là 65% trong vòng 12 giờ
Trung Quốc
xác suất cho TS là 60% hiện nay
Vàng báo City(s) và Town(s)
Hanoi (21,0 N, 105.8 E)
xác suất cho CAT 1 trở lên là 25% hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 95% hiện nay
Thái bình (20,5 N, 106,3 E)
xác suất cho TS là 85% hiện nay
Yên Bái (21,7 N, 104,9 E)
xác suất cho TS là 65% trong vòng 12 giờ

Lưu ý rằng
Màu vàng Alert (cao) là CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn để giữa 10% và 30% xác suất, hoặc TS để ở trên 50% xác suất.
CAT 1 có nghĩa là bão mạnh gió của ít 74 mph, 119 km/h hay 64 knot 1-phút duy trì.
TS có nghĩa là sức mạnh bão nhiệt đới gió của ít 39 mph, 63 km/h hay 34 knot 1-phút duy trì.

Đối với thông tin dự đồ họa và biết thêm chi tiết vui lòng truy cập http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
西北太平洋: 風暴警報發出在 2012 年 8 月 17 日 18:00 GMT (最後警告)

熱帶風暴啟德 (14W) 預計將在給定的鉛時間罷工土地給下面的 likelihood(s):
黃色警報國家或 Province(s)
越南
貓 1 或以上的概率是目前的 25 %
ts 的概率是 95%目前
老撾
ts 的概率是 65%在 12 小時內
中國
ts 的概率是 60%目前
黃色警報 City(s) 和 Town(s)
河內 (21.0 N,105.8 E)
貓 1 或以上的概率是目前的 25 %
ts 的概率是 95%目前
太平省 (20.5 N,106.3 E)
TS 概率目前是 85 %
日元白 (21.7 N,104.9 E)
ts 的概率是 65%在 12 小時內

請注意,
黃色警報 (高架) 是貓 1 或以上為 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之間。
貓 1 意味著至少 74 英里每小時,每小時 119 公里或 64 海裡,1 分鐘持續颱風強度風。
TS 意味著至少 39 英里每小時,每小時 63 公里或 34 海裡/小時 1 分鐘持續的熱帶風暴強度風。

有關圖形預測的資訊和進一步的詳細資訊,請訪問 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

TS KAI-TAK [HELEN] – Final Update

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAI-TAK (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 017 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Sat 18 August 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warnings/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) KAI-TAK (HELEN) downgraded to a Tropical Storm after making landfall over Northern Vietnam. The storm passed over Hanoi City early this morning. Tropical Storm Conditions will continue across the area w/ improving weather later today or Sunday.

Meanwhile, a new strong Tropical Disturbance, tagged 96W (LPA) is rapidly forming over the North Philippine Sea, ENE of Extreme Northern Luzon…and was located about 335 km ESE of Basco, Batanes or 367 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan (20.2N 125.2E)…drifting South slowly…with winds of 35 km/hr. A new page will be created on this new system later today if it develops into a Tropical Cyclone.

*This is the last and final update on Kai-tak (Helen).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

TYPHOON2000 (SỨ) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAI TAK (HELEN) CẬP NHẬT SỐ 017 ** FINAL **
5: 00 AM PhT (vào 21: 00 GMT) thứ Bảy 18 tháng tám 2012
Nguồn: Sứ phân tích/JTWC cảnh báo/Dynamic mô hình/SatFixes
Nhìn xem: Sứ lưu trữ Cập Nhật TC (2004-2012) KAI TAK (HELEN) hạ cấp thành một bão nhiệt đới sau khi rơi xuống đất tại miền bắc Việt Nam. Cơn bão thông qua thành phố Hà Nội sáng sớm này. Fire Weather Conditions will continue across the area w / cải thiện tiết sau ngày hôm nay hoặc chủ nhật.

Trong khi đó, một xáo trộn nhiệt đới mạnh mới, dán 96W (LPA) nhanh chóng hình thành trên biển bắc của Philippine, Bắc cực Bắc Luzon… và nằm ở khoảng 335 km tây bắc của Basco, Batanes hoặc 367 km NE của Santa Ana, Cagayan (20.2N 125.2E)… trôi Nam chậm… với gió của 35 km/giờ. Một trang mới sẽ được tạo ra trên hệ thống này mới sau ngày hôm nay nếu nó phát triển thành một Severe.

* Đây là cuối cùng và cuối cùng Cập Nhật trên Kai tak (Helen).

Không sử dụng điều này để quyết định cuộc sống hay chết. Watch này là dành cho mục đích thông tin bổ sung. Vui lòng tham khảo của đất nước của bạn chính thức tiết Cục Cảnh báo địa phương, from & bản tin.

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 熱帶氣旋更新
熱帶風暴啟德 (海倫) 更新號 017 ** 決賽 **
5:0 上午苯妥英鈉 (格林尼治標準時間 21:00) 星期六 2012 年 8 月 18 日
資料來源: T2K 分析/JTWC 警告/動態模型/SatFixes
查看: T2K TC 更新檔案 (2004年-2012 年) 啟德 (海倫) 在越南北部登陸後降至一個熱帶風暴。這場風暴今早掠過河內市。熱帶風暴條件將會繼續過改善天氣今天晚些時候或星期天帶區。

新強熱帶擾動,與此同時,標記 96W (LPA) 迅速形成對北菲律賓海,極端北呂宋烯 … … 和所在的聖安娜、 卡加延約 335 公里 ESE 的巴斯科、 巴坦或 367 公里 NE (20.2N 125.2E) … … 南慢慢地 … …,風速為每小時 35 公里。新的一頁將創建此新的系統上今天晚些時候如果它發展成為一個熱帶氣旋。

* 這是啟德 (海倫) 的最後更新。

請不要使用此生或死的決定。這個諮詢是額外的資訊僅用於目的。請參閱本地警告、 通報、 公告貴國的官方天氣機構。

http://thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

Philippines

Emergency contact information

  • NDRMCC Hotlines: (02) 911-1406, (02) 912-2665, (02) 912-5668; +63917-8916322
  • Red Cross: If you need to be rescued, call 143 and 527-0000. Put a white blanket outside your house so rescuers can locate where you are.
  • MMDA: 8820925
  • Philippine Coast Guard: 0917-PCGDOTC (0917-7243682)
  • Navotas Rescue: 281-8602 / 281-4174 / 281-8573
  • Valenzuela City: 292-1405
  • Malabon: 281-4999
  • Caloocan: 288-8811 loc 2295
  • Navotas: 281-1111

Updated emergency hotlines via @govph: #PHalerts #RescuePH http://pic.twitter.com/Bp5Zjy8N

2 hash tags to remember are: #rescuePH for rescue operations & #reliefPH for relief operations

People needing help may text @RescuePH at 09051456217 | 09293510068 | 09323608563. #RescuePH #PHalerts (via @pcdspo)

SUCCESSFUL RESCUES may be reported using this unified hashtag #SAFENOW

Official government alerts are tagged with #PHalert.

Hashtags Help Coordinate Relief Efforts in Philippine Floods

STATUS OF MONITORED MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN LUZON: http://t.co/YPKIjiQK

Peoplefinder: http://www.google.org/personfinder/2012-08-philippines-flood

Google Crisis Response – Philippines Flood Aug 2012

dost_pagasa (Philippines Weather Bureau):

Philippines Doppler Radar (link)

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, 17 August 2012, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

Scroll to bottom for Problems just beginning for Philippines poor

————————————————————————————————
Local Warning of Tropical Cyclone
Tropical cyclone warnings
Here is the latest tropical cyclone advisory bulletin issued by the Macau Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau.
There is no tropical cyclone warning.
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Hong Kong

There is no tropical cyclone warning signal.

沒有熱帶氣旋警告信號。
TAIWAN
Heavy Rain Advisory

1. Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County Plain Area-

…Heavy Rain Advisory in effect tonight (08/18)…

—— Summary of Warning Areas ——
[Heavy Rain Advisory areas]
Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County Plain Area-

—- Observed Cumulative Rainfall —-

* Stations with 24H accumulated rainfall above 50mm
2012/08/17 21:20 PM ~ 2012/08/18 21:20 PM

-Heavy Rain (50mm):
Miaoli County Sanyi Township: 117.5 mm,
Pingtung County Pingtung City: 88.0 mm,
Pingtung County Yanpu Township: 76.5 mm,
Hsinchu County Xiangshan District: 73.5 mm,
Pingtung County Linluo Township: 69.5 mm,
Miaoli County Yuanli Township: 61.5 mm,
Miaoli County Zaoqiao Township: 60.5 mm,
Tainan City Guiren District: 55.0 mm,
Tainan City Zuozhen District: 54.0 mm,

重雨諮詢
1.新竹市新竹縣平原區-
…重雨諮詢作用今晚 (08/18) … …
—-警告領域 — — 的摘要
[重雨諮詢領域]
新竹市新竹縣平原區-
—-觀察累積雨量—
* 站 24 小時累積雨量超過 50 毫米
17/2012年/08 9:20 上午 ~ 18/2012年/08 9:20 上午
-大雨 (50 毫米):
苗栗縣三義鄉: 117.5 毫米,
屏東縣屏東市: 88.0 毫米,
屏東縣彥浦鄉: 76.5 毫米,
新竹縣象山區: 73.5 毫米,
屏東縣 Linluo 鄉: 69.5 毫米,
苗栗縣苑裡鎮: 61.5 毫米,
苗栗縣 Zaoqiao 鄉: 60.5 毫米,
台南市歸仁區: 55.0 毫米,
台南市導購區: 54.0 毫米,
————————————————————————————————————————————————–

Tropical Storm Public Advisory (Pearl Harbor USA)

wtpn31 pgtw 172100
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak) warning nr 022
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only

warning position:
171800z — near 21.1n 105.9e
movement past six hours – 265 degrees at 17 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds – 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
repeat posit: 21.1n 105.9e

forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
180600z — 21.3n 103.1e
Max sustained winds – 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
vector to 24 hr posit: 275 deg/ 10 kts

24 hrs, valid at:
181800z — 21.5n 100.9e
Max sustained winds – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land

remarks:
172100z position near 21.1n 105.2e.
Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak), located approximately 5 nm north of
hanoi, Vietnam, has tracked westward at 17 knots over the past six
hours. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery as well as a
171845z AMSU-b microwave satellite image show decreasing central
convection and weakening during the past six hours. Position is
based on the abovementioned satellite imagery with high confidence.
Ts 14w is currently located over land and is expected to continue
tracking inland and dissipate within 24 hours. This is the final
warning on this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi.
The system will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration.//

wtpn31 pgtw 172100
msgid/genadmin/công ty bão wrncen Trân Châu Cảng hi / /
Subj/Severe cảnh báo / /
rmks /
1. Tropical storm 14w (Kai Tak) cảnh báo nr 022
01 hoạt động Severe trong northwestpac
Max duy trì Gió dựa trên trung bình một phút
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ

cảnh báo vị trí:
171800z—gần 21.1n 105.9e
phong trào qua sáu giờ – 265 độ lúc 17 kts
vị trí chính xác để trong vòng 060 nm
vị trí dựa trên các trung tâm tọa lạc vệ tinh
hiện nay Gió phân phối:
Max duy trì Gió – 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
dissipating là một Severe đáng kể trên đất
lặp lại posit: 21.1n 105.9e

dự báo:
12 giờ, hợp lệ tại:
180600z—21.3n 103.1e
Max duy trì Gió – 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
dissipating là một Severe đáng kể trên đất
véc tơ để 24 hr posit: 275 deg / 10 kts

24 giờ, hợp lệ tại:
181800z—21.5n 100.9e
Max duy trì Gió – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
ăn chơi như một Severe đáng kể trên đất

ghi chú:
vị trí 172100z gần 21.1n 105.2e.
Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak), có vị trí cách khoảng 5 nm Bắc
Hà Nội, Việt Nam, đã theo dõi về hướng tây lúc 17 knot trong sáu vừa qua
giờ. Hình ảnh vệ tinh hồng ngoại nâng cao cũng như một
hình ảnh vệ tinh 171845z AMSU-b lò vi sóng hiện giảm miền trung
đối lưu và làm suy yếu trong sáu giờ trong quá khứ. Vị trí là
dựa trên các hình ảnh vệ tinh trên với sự tự tin cao.
TS 14w là hiện nay nằm trên đất liền và dự kiến sẽ tiếp tục
theo dõi nội địa và tiêu tan trong vòng 24 giờ. Đây là lần cuối cùng
cảnh báo hệ thống này bởi wrncen chung bão Trân Châu Cảng hi.
Hệ thống sẽ được theo dõi chặt chẽ cho các dấu hiệu của regeneration.//

wtpn31 172100 pgtw
聯合/msgid 進行/genadmin 颱風 wrncen 珠港喜 / /
琉璃/熱帶氣旋警告 / /
rmks /
1.熱帶風暴 14w (啟德) 警告 nr 022
northwestpac 01 活躍熱帶氣旋
最大持續風速基於一分鐘平均
有效的風半徑超過打開水只

警告的位置:
171800z—近 21.1n 105.9e
過去的六個小時-17 kts 265 度的運動
位置精確到內 060 nm
基於中心通過衛星定位的位置
目前風力分佈:
最大持續風速-050 kt、 陣風 065 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋正在消退中的土地上
重複存款: 21.1n 105.9e

預測:
12 小時,在有效:
180600z—21.3n 103.1e
最大持續風速-035 kt、 陣風 045 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋正在消退中的土地上
向量到 24 小時存款: 275 攝氏度 / 10 kts

24 小時,在有效:
181800z—21.5n 100.9e
最大持續風速-020 kt、 陣風 030 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
土地作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋消散

備註:
172100z 位置附近 21.1n 105.2e。
熱帶風暴 14w (啟德),位於大約 5 北部 nm
越南河內,一直跟蹤在過去的六 17 海裡向西
小時。增強型紅外衛星圖像的動畫,以及
171845z AMSU-b 微波衛星圖像顯示降低中央
對流和削弱了在過去的六個小時。位置是
基於上述衛星圖像的高信任度。
Ts 14w 位於當前的土地上,預計將繼續
內陸跟蹤和在 24 小時內消失。這是決賽
警告在此系統上的聯合颱風 wrncen 珍珠港喜。
系統將會密切監察 regeneration.// 的跡象

Related:

As Typhoon #KaiTak approaches #China, CMA expects 250 to 300 mm rain in South #Guangdong #WX #News   http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2012-08/16/c_131789908.htm

#Philippines: Disease alert as #flood toll jumps to 85, tropical depression #HELEN concern – Updated 12 Aug 2012 1337 GMT/UTC

New storm hits Philippines as weather forecasters/meteorologists protest over pay http://nbcnews.to/Myvn08

Problems just beginning for Philippines poor
Thursday August 16, 2012 – 22:30 EST

Humanitarian aid groups in Manila say problems are only beginning for the poor, after weeks of heavy rain in the Philippines brought floods that claimed at least 109 lives and displaced about 300,000 people.

The Philippines government has now announced a plan to clear metro Manila of low-lying shanty towns, home to about 300-thousand poor dwellers.

Chairman of Party of Labouring Masses, Sonny Melencio, told Radio Australia’s that if people are forced to move to the provinces they will struggle to find jobs.

“The government response to their plight is basically to move them out of their areas, of their communities and to relocate them in areas where there is no job, in areas where there are no facilities,” he said.

Mr Melencio says Philippines President Benigno Aquino had blamed the floods on low-lying shanty towns in urban Manila, and had asked one of his departments to clear the areas by blasting the houses.

Mr Melencio says by clearing the communities the government will displace around 700,000 people.

Many displaced residents have now been asked to leave evacuation centres and many areas of Manila are still flooded.

Water-borne illnesses are also a threat, Mr Melencio says, with medicine prices increasing rapidly.

“The medicine against leptospirosis has gone up 750 per cent, so I think it started with a few pesos.

“If you have some open wound and then you wade through the flood, then it gets infected and then all sorts of complications come in.

“The health situation is really very messy.”

– ABC

www.weatherzone.com.au

VIETNAM

AAP: VIETNAM has put 20,000 soldiers on standby, ordered boats back to shore and begun evacuating local residents as it prepares for Typhoon Kai-Tak to make landfall.

More than 11,000 boats, including 575 used by tourists at the UNESCO world heritage site Halong Bay, have been ordered to stay close to the shore, the deputy head of Quang Ninh province’s flood and storm control department said on Friday.

“Mong Cai town, which borders China, will be directly hit by the storm late on Friday,” Nguyen Cong Thuan told AFP, adding that thousands of residents directly in the storm’s path had been moved to safer areas.

Before blowing away from the Philippines on Thursday, Kai-Tak swept across the main island of Luzon, dumping heavy rain on the Cagayan basin and other areas in the north, killing four people.

Weather forecasters in Vietnam say the typhoon will bring winds of up to 133km/h when it makes landfall.

The Tuoi Tre newspaper reports the Vietnamese army has put 20,000 soldiers, eight helicopters, 72 rescue boats, 400 vehicles and 1000 canoes on standby to cope with any possible incidents.

Vietnam is hit by an average of between eight and 10 tropical storms a year, often causing heavy material and human losses.

Việt Nam đã đặt 20.000 binh sĩ về chế độ chờ, ra lệnh cho tàu thuyền trở lại bờ biển và bắt đầu di tản cư dân địa phương như nó chuẩn bị cho cơn bão Kai-Tak làm rơi xuống đất.

Hơn 11.000 tàu, bao gồm cả 575 người sử dụng bởi khách du lịch tại trang web di sản thế giới UNESCO Vịnh Hạ Long, đã được lệnh phải ở lại gần bờ, người đứng đầu phó của tỉnh Quảng Ninh lũ lụt và bão điều khiển vùng cho biết ngày thứ sáu.

“Móng cái xã, mà biên giới Trung Quốc, sẽ được trực tiếp trúng cơn bão cuối ngày thứ sáu,” Nguyễn công thuận nói với AFP, thêm rằng hàng ngàn người dân trực tiếp trong đường dẫn của cơn bão đã được chuyển đến các khu vực an toàn hơn.

Trước khi thổi ra khỏi Việt Nam vào ngày thứ năm, Kai Tak xuôi trên hòn đảo chính đảo Luzon, bán phá giá mưa lớn trên các lưu vực Cagayan và các khu vực khác ở phía bắc, làm thiệt mạng bốn người.

Dự báo tiết tại Việt Nam nói cơn bão sẽ mang gió lên đến 133 km/h khi nó làm cho rơi xuống đất.

Các tờ báo tuổi trẻ báo cáo của quân đội Việt Nam đã đặt 20.000 binh sĩ, tám máy bay trực thăng, tàu thuyền cứu hộ 72, 400 xe và 1000 xuồng về chế độ chờ để đối phó với bất kỳ sự cố có thể.

Việt Nam trúng một cơn bão nhiệt đới Trung bình của giữa tám và 10 năm, thường gây ra vật liệu nặng và thiệt hại của con người.

Tropical Storm HAIKUI (12W): Eastern and Southeastern China should closely monitor this storm 东部和东南部中国应密切监察这场风暴 – Updated 07 Aug 2012 1600 GMT/UTC

 

(Image:wunderground.com)
Tropical Storm Haikui Tracking Map
(Click image for source)

(Image NOAA)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE
(Click image for source)

 NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAIKUI (12W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

西北太平洋: 风暴警报发出在 2012 年 8 月 7 日 12:00 GMT

热带风暴县海魁 (12W) 预计将在给定的铅时间罢工土地给下面的 likelihood(s):
黄色警报国家或 Province(s)
中国
猫 1 或以上的概率是 25%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 90%目前
黄色警报 City(s) 和 Town(s)
宁波 (29.7 N、 121.5 E)
ts 的概率是 90%在 12 小时内
温岭市 (28.4 N,121.4 E)
猫 1 或以上的概率是 10%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 90%在 12 小时内

请注意,
黄色警报 (高架) 是猫 1 或以上为 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之间。
猫 1 意味着至少 74 英里每小时,每小时 119 公里或 64 海里,1 分钟持续台风强度风。
TS 意味着至少 39 英里每小时,每小时 63 公里或 34 海里/小时 1 分钟持续的热带风暴强度风。

有关图形预测的信息和进一步的详细信息,请访问 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

(Image: i.weather.com.cn)
China Radar
(Click image for source)

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON HAIKUI (12W) UPDATE NUMBER 011
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Tue 07 August 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) Typhoon HAIKUI (12W) has maintained its snail-paced track towards Zhejiang Province in Southeastern China…forecast to make landfall just south of Ningbo City Wednesday afternoon.

This typhoon, although located outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across the country particularly the western sections of Luzon & Visayas incl. Metro Manila. Breezy to windy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas. The seas along the coastal areas facing the West, East and North Philippine Seas will be moderate to rough.

Residents and visitors along Eastern and Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of Haikui (12W).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 热带气旋更新
台风县海魁 (12W) 更新号 011
5:0 下午苯妥英钠 (09:00 GMT) 星期二 2012 年 8 月 7 日
资料来源: T2K 分析/JTWC TC 警告/动态模型/SatFixes
查看: T2K TC 更新档案 (2004年-2012 年) 台风县海魁 (12W) 已 … … 保持其雨声跟踪朝着中国东南部浙江省预测,使登陆宁波市南面星期三的下午。
这个台风,虽然地处外菲律宾地区的责任 (PAR),会继续加强西南季风 (aka。Habagat),全国各地特别是西部各节的吕宋岛和幽静乡土气息,含在马尼拉。阵阵大风及大多是多云条件偶尔为连续降雨、 雷暴和狂风将沿着上述领域。西、 东和北菲律宾海域面临的沿海地区海洋将会是温和的粗糙。
居民和游客沿东部和东南部中国应密切监测县海魁 (12W) 的进展情况。
请不要使用此生或死的决定。这个咨询是额外的信息仅用于目的。请参阅本地警告、 通报、 公告贵国的官方天气机构。
Typhoon HAIKUI [12W] - Update #011

wtpn33 pgtw 071500
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 12w (haikui) warning nr 020
   downgraded from typhoon 12w
   02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
   Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
   wind radii valid over open water only
    ---
   warning position:
   071200z --- near 28.1n 122.8e
     movement past six hours - 310 degrees at 08 kts
     position accurate to within 035 nm
     position based on center located by satellite
   present wind distribution:
   Max sustained winds - 060 kt, gusts 075 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   radius of 050 kt winds - 030 nm northeast quadrant
                            030 nm southeast quadrant
                            030 nm southwest quadrant
                            030 nm northwest quadrant
   radius of 034 kt winds - 090 nm northeast quadrant
                            080 nm southeast quadrant
                            080 nm southwest quadrant
                            090 nm northwest quadrant
   repeat posit: 28.1n 122.8e
    ---
   forecasts:
   12 hrs, valid at:
   080000z --- 29.2n 121.6e
   Max sustained winds - 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   vector to 24 hr posit: 315 deg/ 07 kts
    ---
   24 hrs, valid at:
   081200z --- 30.2n 120.4e
   Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   vector to 36 hr posit: 320 deg/ 05 kts
    ---
   36 hrs, valid at:
   090000z --- 30.9n 119.7e
   Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
    ---
remarks:
071500z position near 28.4n 122.5e.
Tropical storm 12w (haikui), located approximately 225 nm
south-southeast of Shanghai, China, has tracked northwestward at 08
knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height at
071200z is 28 feet. Next warnings at 072100z, 080300z, 080900z and
081500z.
Refer to tropical storm 13w (thirteen) warnings (wtpn31 pgtw) for
six-hourly updates.    //

wtpn33 071500 pgtw
联合/msgid 进行/genadmin 台风 wrncen 珠港喜 / /
琉璃/热带气旋警告 / /
rmks /
1.热带风暴 12w (县海魁) 警告 nr 020
从台风 12w 降级
northwestpac 02 活跃热带气旋
最大持续风速基于一分钟平均
有效的风半径超过打开水只
---
警告的位置:
071200z---近 28.1n 122.8e
过去的六个小时 — — 08 kts 310 度的运动
位置精确到内 035 nm
基于中心通过卫星定位的位置
目前风力分布:
最大持续风速-060 kt、 阵风 075 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
050 kt 风-030 nm 东北象限的半径
030 nm 东南象限
030 nm 西南象限
030 nm 西北象限
034 kt 风-090 nm 东北象限的半径
080 nm 东南象限
080 nm 西南象限
090 nm 西北象限
重复存款: 28.1n 122.8e
---
预测:
12 小时,在有效:
080000z---29.2n 121.6e
最大持续风速-050 kt、 阵风 065 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
向量到 24 小时存款: 315 摄氏度 / 07 kts
---
24 小时,在有效:
081200z---30.2n 120.4e
最大持续风速-035 kt、 阵风 045 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
作为一个重要的热带气旋正在消退中的土地上
向量到 36 小时存款: 320 二甘醇 / 05 kts
---
36 小时,在有效:
090000z---30.9n 119.7e
最大持续风速-020 kt、 阵风 030 kt
有效的风半径超过打开水只
土地作为一个重要的热带气旋消散
---
备注:
071500z 位置附近 28.4n 122.5e。
热带风暴 12w (县海魁),位于约 225 nm
中国上海,西风一直在 08 跟踪西北地区
在过去的六个小时的海里。在最大波高
071200z 是 28 英尺。下一步的警告,在 072100z、 080300z、 080900z 和
081500z。
热带风暴 13w (十三) 警告 (wtpn31 pgtw) 的请参阅
六小时更新。//

Typhoon #SAOLA ( #GENER) kills 12 in Philippines; Taiwan and SE China should closely monitor the progress of this typhoon – Updated 02 Aug 2012 1500 GMT/UTC

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

31 July 2012 2128Z RSMC Tokyo (JMA) upgrades Severe Tropical Storm Saola to typhoon @tenspider_wx

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 06:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
黄色警报国家或 Province(s)
台湾
ts 的概率是 60%目前
中国
猫 1 或以上的概率是 15%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 50%在 12 小时内
黄色警报 City(s) 和 Town(s)
台北 (25.0 N、 121.5 E)
ts 的概率是 60%目前

请注意,
黄色警报 (高架) 是猫 1 或以上为 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之间。
猫 1 意味着至少 74 英里每小时,每小时 119 公里或 64 海里,1 分钟持续台风强度风。
TS 意味着至少 39 英里每小时,每小时 63 公里或 34 海里/小时 1 分钟持续的热带风暴强度风。

有关图形预测的信息和进一步的详细信息,请访问 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

TY 1209 (SAOLA)
Issued at 10:45 UTC, 1 August 2012 http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
<Analyses at 01/10 UTC>
Scale    Large
Intensity    Strong
Center position    N23°50'(23.8°)
    E122°55'(122.9°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure    960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more    ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more    SE750km(400NM)
    NW560km(300NM)
<Estimate for 01/11 UTC>
Scale    Large
Intensity    Strong
Center position    N23°55'(23.9°)
    E122°50'(122.8°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure    960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more    ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more    SE750km(400NM)
    NW560km(300NM)
<Forecast for 01/21 UTC>
Intensity    Strong
Center position of probability circle    N24°40'(24.7°)
    E122°10'(122.2°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW Slowly
Central pressure    950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle    90km(50NM)
Storm warning area    ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 02/09 UTC>
Intensity    Strong
Center position of probability circle    N25°50'(25.8°)
    E121°50'(121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement    N 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure    950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle    130km(70NM)
Storm warning area    ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 03/06 UTC>
Intensity    -
Center position of probability circle    N28°35'(28.6°)
    E120°00'(120.0°)
Direction and speed of movement    NNW 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure    990hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed    20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle    200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 04/06 UTC>
Intensity    -
    TD
Center position of probability circle    N30°50'(30.8°)
    E116°00'(116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement    WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure    996hPa
Radius of probability circle  300km(160NM)

Typhoon SAOLA (GENER) has remained almost stationary while still over Northeastern Taiwan…starts to weaken due to land interaction. Typhoon Conditions continuing across Northern & Mid-Central Taiwan.

This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Metro Manila, Southern Tagalog Provinces, rest of Luzon, Bicol Region, Mindoro, and Western Visayas today. Breezy to windy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasionally passing rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas, especially along the western coast. The seas along the coastal areas facing the West, East and North Philippine Seas will be rough and dangerous.

Residents and visitors along Taiwan and Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of Saola (Gener).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins. – thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot

台风 SAOLA (恒) 一直几乎固定虽然仍然高于 … … 台湾东北开始削弱由于土地的互动。继续跨北 & Mid-Central 台湾的台风条件。
这场风暴将继续加强西南季风 (aka。Habagat) 之间,在马尼拉南部他加禄语省份,今天吕宋、 比科尔地区、 民都洛和西方幽静乡土气息的其余部分。阵阵大风及有骤雨条件偶尔路过雨、 雷暴和狂风将沿着上述地区,尤其是沿西海岸。西、 东和北菲律宾海域面临的沿海地区海洋将粗糙和危险。
居民和游客沿台湾与中国东南部应密切监测 Saola (恒) 的进展情况。
请不要使用此生或死的决定。这个咨询是额外的信息仅用于目的。请参阅本地警告、 通报、 公告贵国的官方天气机构。-thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot

Philippines:

PAGASA-DOST:

11PM (Philippines Time)(8/2/12)SWB#23 TS”GENER”(SAOLA)(FINAL BULLETIN)
@10PM (PhT), the center of TS “GENER” was @560km NNW of Basco,Batanes(26.0°N, 121.3°E).

Maximum winds 110kph & gust 140kph. Forecast to move NNW @ 15kph.

GENER is expected to be @680km NNW of Basco,Batanes by tomorrow morning, outside PAR.Public Storm Warning Signal elsewhere is now lowered.

GENER is expected to enhanced the SW Monsoon that will bring rains & mod to strong winds over Luzon & Visayas.

Residents living in low lying & mountainous areas are alerted against possible flashfloods & landslides.

Fishing boats & other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboard of Luzon & Visayas due to the combined effect of GENER & SW Monsoon. PAGASA-DOST

Water levels map here

PAGASA DOST Flood Bulletins

Philippines Govt Emergency numbers and hotlines of government agencies: gov.ph/government…

NDRRMC advisory for Pampanga Basin http://fb.me/23c7orqnC

‘Gener’ leaves 12 dead

MANILA, Philippines – Rains and strong winds brought about by typhoon “Gener” (international name: Saola) left 12 people dead, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council said Wednesday.

More rain expected from Typhoon Gener (Saola)

Death toll from Typhoon Saola has risen to seven. Floods displaced more than 20,000 people.

Still many parts of Manila and outlying provinces were without power.
According to weather bureau in Manila, the storm is expected to blow toward Taiwan later this week.  More from disaster-report.com

Yet more detail, including the names of the 7 who lost their lives in this Typhoon – philstar.com

@28storms:New Typhoon Saola video out Taiwan by chaser James Reynolds @typhoonhunter http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lejmAc59hU … http://fb.me/1vhGbLRnh

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

(Image: wunderground.com)
Animated Satellite
(Click image for source)

wtpn31 pgtw 030300
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 10w (Saola) warning nr 025
   03 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
   Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
   wind radii valid over open water only
    ---
   warning position:
   030000z --- near 27.0n 119.3e
     movement past six hours - 305 degrees at 14 kts
     position accurate to within 060 nm
     position based on center located by satellite
   present wind distribution:
   Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   repeat posit: 27.0n 119.3e
    ---
   forecasts:
   12 hrs, valid at:
   031200z --- 28.0n 117.5e
   Max sustained winds - 025 kt, gusts 035 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   vector to 24 hr posit: 290 deg/ 09 kts
    ---
   24 hrs, valid at:
   040000z --- 28.7n 115.5e
   Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
    ---
remarks:
030300z position near 27.3n 118.8e.
Tropical Storm (TS) 10w (Saola), located approximately 275 nm south-
southwest of Shanghai, China, has tracked northwestward at 14 knots
over the past six hours. Recent multispectral satellite imagery is
depicting that ts Saola has made landfall north of fuzhou, China and
is rapidly losing organization. Animated infrared imagery is showing
warming cloud tops and ts 10w is dissipating due to frictional
effects. Ts 10w will continue to rapidly dissipate as it stays over
eastern China for the next 24 hours. This is the final warning on
this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi. The system
will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration. Refer to
tropical storm 11w (Damrey) final warning (wtpn32 pgtw). Refer to
tropical depression 12w (twelve) warnings (wtpn33 pgtw)for six-
hourly updates.//

 

Red Alert for Vietnam Typhoon (from 29/03/2012 12:00 UTC to 30/03/2012 00:00)

1 June 2012 THIS INFORMATION IS NOW WELL OUT OF DATE!!

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Red Tropical Cyclone alert in Vietnam for PAKHAR-12 from 29/03/2012 12:00 UTC to 30/03/2012 00:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone PAKHAR-12
alertimage

Red alert for wind impact in Vietnam

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 5 of tropical cyclone PAKHAR-12 issued at 3/30/2012 12:00:00 AM (GDACS Event ID 29158, Latest episode ID: 5).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.7million
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 148 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: High
  • The tropical cyclone did not reach sufficient strength to cause significant storm surge. No calculations were performed.

Impact of Extreme Wind

Cloud map
Cloud map. The map shows the areas affected by tropical storm strength winds (green), 58mph winds (orange) and cyclone wind strengths (red). (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 710000 people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, 80000 people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected countries

alert
Country Region/Province Population
Vietnam Lam Dong 750000 people
Vietnam Binh Thuan 860000 people

Affected cities

City
Name Region/Province Country City class Population
Hòa Da Binh Thuan Vietnam City no people
Phan Thiet Binh Thuan Vietnam City 150000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airports
Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Song Mao 26
Phan Thiet PHH 61

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lon, lat)
1
green
3/29/2012 Tropical depression 56 km/h (35 mph) 74 km/h (46 mph) no people 112.3, 9.7
2
green
3/29/2012 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 km/h (40 mph) 84 km/h (52 mph) no people 112, 9.8
3
green
3/29/2012 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 km/h (52 mph) 101 km/h (63 mph) no people 111.7, 9.9
4
green
3/29/2012 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 101 km/h (63 mph) 130 km/h (81 mph) no people 111.7, 9.8
5
green
3/30/2012 Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) no people 111.3, 9.7
5
green
3/30/2012 12:00:00 PM Category 1 138 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (104 mph) no people 110.7, 9.9
5
green
3/31/2012 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 110, 10.2
5
orange
3/31/2012 12:00:00 PM Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) 760000 people 109.2, 10.6
5
red
4/1/2012 Category 1 121 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) 1.5 million people 108.2, 11.1
5
orange
4/2/2012 Tropical storm 64 km/h (40 mph) 84 km/h (52 mph) 710000 people 107.2, 11.7
5
green
4/3/2012 Tropical depression 37 km/h (23 mph) 56 km/h (35 mph) no people 106.5, 12.2

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

Advisory Alert color Date Category Maximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries Date added
1 3/29/2012 12:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 No people affected Vietnam 29/03/2012 05:18
2 3/29/2012 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 No people affected Vietnam 29/03/2012 13:22
3 3/29/2012 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 No people affected Vietnam 29/03/2012 16:26
4 3/29/2012 6:00:00 PM Category 1 130 430 thousand Vietnam 29/03/2012 23:50
5 3/30/2012 12:00:00 AM Category 1 148 710 thousand Vietnam 30/03/2012 04:50

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

The information on storm characteristics is taken from a web service provided by the Pacific Disaster Center, which processes the official advisory bulletins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2010.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.