South China Sea: Tropical Storm Merbok (1702, 04W) 11/1500Z nr 18.8N 116.0E, moving NNW 13kt (JMA) – Published 11 Jun 2017 1900z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Merbok (1702, 04W)

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

TS 1702 (Merbok)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 11 June 2017
<Analysis at 15 UTC, 11 June>
Scale

Intensity

Center position
N18°50′ (18.8°)

E116°00′ (116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement
NNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure
1002 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area
ALL 170 km (90 NM)

<Forecast for 03 UTC, 12 June>
Intensity

Center position of probability circle
N20°40′ (20.7°)

E115°10′ (115.2°)
Direction and speed of movement
NNW 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure
1000 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle
70 km (40 NM)

<Forecast for 15 UTC, 12 June>
Intensity

Center position of probability circle
N22°25′ (22.4°)

E114°50′ (114.8°)
Direction and speed of movement
N 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure
998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle
90 km (50 NM)

<Forecast for 12 UTC, 13 June>
Intensity

TD
Center position of probability circle
N25°10′ (25.2°)

E118°20′ (118.3°)
Direction and speed of movement
NE 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure
1004 hPa
Radius of probability circle
280 km (150 NM)

=================================================================================

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 04W (Merbok) Warning #03
Issued at 11/1500Z

 

 

WTPN31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
111200Z — NEAR 18.2N 116.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 116.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z — 20.2N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z — 22.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z — 23.6N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z — 25.1N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z — 26.9N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 12 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 27.9N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 29.7N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 116.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.//
NNNN

================================================================================

NW Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 11 Jun, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERBOK is currently located near 18.2 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). MERBOK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

(Image: TSR)

(Image: TSR)

Other

(Image: DoctorAdvice4u.com )

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 


METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1702 MERBOK (1702) 1002 HPA
AT 18.1N 116.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 20.2N 115.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 22.1N 115.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 25.2N 118.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China/ South China Sea: Typhoon Mujigae 22W 03/1200Z 19.5N 113.4E, moving WNW 11 knots (JMA) – Published 03 Oct 2015 1500z (GMT/UTC)

Typhoon Mujigae 22W

(=CATEGORY 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1522
Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

TY 1522 (MUJIGAE)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 3 October 2015

<Analyses at 03/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N19°30′(19.5°)
E113°25′(113.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 04/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N20°35′(20.6°)
E111°35′(111.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 04/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N21°40′(21.7°)
E109°40′(109.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 05/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N23°30′(23.5°)
E108°20′(108.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 06/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N25°10′(25.2°)
E108°00′(108.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 1004hPa
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)

HKO_banner_eng

tctrack_1519_en

Tropical Cyclone Warning Bulletin

(Updated at 20:45 on 3 Oct HKT)

In the past few hours, outer rainbands of Majigae brought heavy squally showers to Hong Kong. Winds occasionally reached gale force in the offshore areas and on high ground. Heavy squally showers are expected to continue to affect Hong Kong in the next few hours.

According to the present forecast track, Mujigae will be closest to Hong Kong from midnight to early tomorrow morning. Mujigae is expected to skirt around 300 kilometres southwest of Hong Kong.

Unless Mujigae adopts a more northerly track or intensifies significantly, the chance of issuing the Gale or Storm Signal No. 8 is not high. However, winds will occasionally reach gale force over the southwestern part of Hong Kong. The Observatory will closely monitor the evolution of Mujigae.

Rainstorm Warning Bulletin

Updated at 21:45

Amber Rainstorm Warning Signal Special Announcement issued by the Hong Kong Observatory at 9:45 p.m.

The Rainstorm Warning Signal is now Amber. This means that heavy rain has fallen or is expected to fall generally over Hong Kong, exceeding 30 millimetres in an hour, and is likely to continue.

There will be flooding in some low-lying and poorly drained areas. People who are likely to be affected should take necessary precautions to reduce their exposure to risk posed by the heavy rain and flooding.

Heavy rain may bring about flash floods. People should stay away from watercourses. People who are likely to be affected by flooding should take necessary precautions to avoid losses.

Please listen to radio or watch television for traffic conditions and further announcements on the rainstorm.

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MUJIGAE (22W) currently located near 19.5 N 113.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

HKO – Hong Kong

Bulletin issued at 21:30 HKT 03/Oct/2015

Tropical Cyclone Warning

At 031200 UTC, Typhoon Mujigae (1522) with central pressure 965 hectopascals was centred within 30 nautical miles of one nine point five degrees north (19.5 N) one one three point four degrees east (113.4 E) and is forecast to move west-northwest at about 10 knots for the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 70 knots.

Radius of over 33 knot winds 120 nautical miles.
Radius of over 47 knot winds 60 nautical miles.
Radius of over 63 knot winds 30 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 270 nautical miles over northern semicircle, 240 nautical miles elsewhere.

Forecast position and intensity at 041200 UTC
Two one point five degrees north (21.5 N)
One zero nine point nine degrees east (109.9 E)
Maximum winds 65 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 051200 UTC
Two three point eight degrees north (23.8 N)
One zero eight point four degrees east (108.4 E)
Maximum winds 25 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 061200 UTC
Dissipated over land.

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200
WTJP21 RJTD 031200
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1522 MUJIGAE (1522) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970
HPA
AT 19.5N 113.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 20.6N 111.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 21.7N 109.7E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 23.5N 108.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 25.2N 108.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

There are more warnings here: METAREA XI

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Korea/ China: Severe Tropical Storm Chan-Hom (09W) 12/1500Z POSITION nr 37.5N 125.1E, moving N/NNE 20 knots (JTWC) – Updated 120715 1500z (GMT/UTC)

Severe Tropical Storm Chan-Hom (09W)

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 20 FEET. (JTWC)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1509-00 c12

Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

15071215 c12

STS 1509 (CHAN-HOM)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 12 July 2015

<Analyses at 12/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N36°35′(36.6°)
E125°00′(125.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more E600km(325NM)
W390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 13/00 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N39°40′(39.7°)
E127°00′(127.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 13/12 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N42°10′(42.2°)
E130°30′(130.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 09W (Chan-hom) Warning #49
Issued at 12/1500Z

wp0915 c12

3 Hour Position Update Graphic <>Valid 11/2100Z

3 Hour Position Update Graphic <>Valid 11/2100Z

09W_112332sams c12

WTPN31 PGTW 121500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 049
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
121200Z — NEAR 36.8N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 015 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 36.8N 124.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z — 39.6N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z — 40.9N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 37.5N 125.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF INCHON, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 121200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (NANGKA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 36.8 N 124.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    P’yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Ch’ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201509W_0 c12

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

seawarn c12

CLICK IMAGE FOR MORE DETAIL

WTJP21 RJTD 121200
WARNING 121200.
WARNING VALID 131200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1509 CHAN-HOM (1509) 980 HPA
AT 36.6N 125.0E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 39.7N 127.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 42.2N 130.5E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

WWJP25 RJTD 120600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED
BY 15N 176E 15N 180E 13N 180E 13N 176E 15N 176E FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED
BY 13N 176E 13N 180E 11N 180E 11N 176E 13N 176E FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 136E 33N 136E
35N 137E 36N 143E 43N 146E 56N 163E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N
160E 32N 142E 32N 136E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 132E ENE 10 KT.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 153E SE 15 KT.
HIGH 1010 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY.
REMARKS.
TYPHOON 1511 NANGKA (1511) 950 HPA AT 18.6N 137.6E : SEE TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1509 CHAN-HOM (1509) 975 HPA AT 34.9N 124.2E :
SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Further warnings exist for METAREA XI http://weather.gmdss.org/XI.html

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Vietnam: Tropical Cyclone 09W JEBI / JOLINA 030900Z 22.1N 105.6E, moving WNW at 18 knots (JTWC) – 030813 0855z

Tropical Cyclone 09W JEBI / JOLINA

(Scroll down for Vietnamese and Chinese translations)

(Di chuyển xuống cho tiếng Việt và tiếng Trung Quốc)

(向下滾動越南和中國翻譯)

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) Tokyo Typhoon Centre

(Image: JMA)

TS 1309 (JEBI)

Issued at 06:55 UTC, 3 August 2013

<Analyses at 03/06 UTC>

Scale –

Intensity –

Center position N2135′(21.6)

E10530′(105.5)

Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(16kt)

Central pressure 990hPa

Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)

Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)

Area of 30kt winds or more E280km(150NM)

W170km(90NM)

<Forecast for 03/18 UTC>

Intensity –

TD

Center position of probability circle N2255′(22.9)

E10400′(104.0)

Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(10kt)

Central pressure 1002hPa

Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)

<Forecast for 04/06 UTC>

Intensity –

TD

Center position of probability circle N2400′(24.0)

E10240′(102.7)

Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt)

Central pressure 1004hPa

Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)

NATIONAL CENTRE FOR HYDRO-METEOROLOGICAL FORECASTING VIETNAM

(Image: nchmf.gov.vn) TC TRACKS (Click image for source)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING

Analysis positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

13 Saturday, August 03, 2013 21.7 106.3 TD 50 km/hour

Forecast positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

01 Sunday, August 04, 2013 22.4 103.8 LOW 37 km/hour
Notes for the picture:
Areas of probability wind greater than 6 Beauforts
Areas of probability wind greater than 10 Beauforts
Possible passing areas of TC center
Past positions of TC
Forecast positions of TC
Past positions of TD
Forecast positions of TD
*The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:30 PM Saturday, August 03, 2013

(Image: khituongvietnam.gov.vn) MTSAT/VNIR1 (Click image for source)

China Meteorological Administration

ZCZC 169
WTPQ20 BABJ 030600
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS JEBI 1309 (1309) INITIAL TIME 030600 UTC
00HR 21.7N 106.8E 990HPA 23M/S
30KTS 260KM
P12HR WNW 25KM/H
P+24HR 23.5N 101.5E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN

PAGASA-DOST

(Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration)

As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Graphic (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (JEBI) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
030600Z — NEAR 21.8N 106.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 295 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 106.4E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 22.9N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z — 23.6N 100.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 105.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 09W (JEBI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 56 NM NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A TIGHTLY-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER WITH A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE THAT HAS TRACKED INLAND
OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM. THE INTERACTION WITH LAND IS BEGINNING TO
WEAKEN THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM AS CURVED BANDING HAS
BECOME LESS DEFINED AND CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (10-
20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), BUT CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT
EXCELLENT OUTFLOW, ESPECIALLY IN THE EQUATORWARD DIRECTION. TS 09W
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STR
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. FRICTIONAL EFFECTS
OVER LAND AND INCREASING VWS WILL ERODE THE SYSTEM AND LEAD TO ITS
DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Tropical Storm Jebi Landfall and Vietnam, and LPA Forecast over the Philippines

Published on August 3, 2013 by

Severe Tropical Storm Jebi hit Hainan in southern China through the overnight hours of Friday in to Saturday. Damage being reported at this time is several signs blown down, power outages in Hainan and downed trees. Another impact from the storm is its impact to Maritime traffic but thankfully no injuries have been reported at this time. This update we talk about the storms impact on Northern Vietnam where it made landfall on Saturday. Also we dive in to the upcoming week.

JEBI WEEKEND OUTLOOK

JEBI WEEKEND OUTLOOKal

A new low pressure area is expected to impact Mindanao on Sunday with heavy rainfall causing the risk of floods and landslides in the southern Philippines. This same area could also develop in the South China Sea and lift north in to Southern China impacting similar areas that Jebi hit.

LPA WEEKEND RAIN OUTLOOK

LPA WEEKEND RAIN OUTLOOK

Please do not use our video for any life saving purposes and as always use your local WMO approved agency. For our most recent full update click here.

http://www.westernpacificweather.com/

Also for streaming live information follow us on Facebook

(Image: ssd.noaa.gov/westpacwx)

(Image: wikimedia.org/U.S. Central Intelligence Agency) South China Sea

Vietnamese (Google translation):

Cơn bão nhiệt ới 09W JEBI / JOLINA

(Ảnh: wunderground.com) Bão làm trung tm hình ảnh vệ tinh (Nhấn vào ảnh ể nguồn)

(Ảnh: wunderground.com) Nm ngày Dự bo Bản ồ (Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn)

Trung tm Kh tượng Nhật Bản khu vực cơ quan chuyên ngành kh tượng (RSMC) Tokyo – Typhoon Trung tm

(Ảnh: JMA)

TS 1309 (JEBI)

Pht hành vào 06:55 UTC, ngày 03 Thng Tm 2013

<Analyses Tại 06/03 UTC>

Quy m –

Cường ộ –

Vị tr trung tm N21 35 ‘(21,6 )

E105 30 ‘(105,5 )

Hướng và tốc ộ của phong trào Ty 30km / h (16kt)

990hPa p lực trung ương

Tốc ộ gi tối a gần trung tm 20m / s (40kt)

Tốc ộ tối a cơn gi 30m / s (60kt)

Diện tch gi 30kt hoặc hơn E280km (150nm)

W170km (90nm)

<Forecast Cho 18/03 UTC>

Cường ộ –

TD

Vị tr trung tm của vòng tròn xc suất N22 55 ‘(22,9 )

E104 00 ‘(104,0 )

Hướng và tốc ộ di chuyển NW 20km / h (10kt)

1002hPa p lực trung ương

Bn knh của vòng tròn xc suất 90 km (50nm)

<Forecast Cho 06/04 UTC>

Cường ộ –

TD

Vị tr trung tm của vòng tròn xc suất N24 00 ‘(24.0 )

E102 40 ‘(102,7 )

Hướng và tốc ộ di chuyển NW 15km / h (8kt)

1004hPa p lực trung ương

Bn knh của vòng tròn xc suất 130km (70NM)

QUỐC TRUNG TM THỦY KH TƯỢNG DỰ ON – VIỆT NAM

(Ảnh: nchmf.gov.vn) TC TRACKS (Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn)
Ch nhiệt ới suy thoi

Phn tch vị tr và cường ộ

Giờ ịa phương (GMT +7)

Ngày

Chức vụ

Phn loại

Gi duy trì tối a
13 thứ bảy 3 thng 8, 2013 21.7 106.3 TD 50 km / giờ

Vị tr và cường ộ dự bo

Giờ ịa phương (GMT +7)

Ngày

Chức vụ

Phn loại

Gi duy trì tối a
01 Chủ Nhật 4 thng 8, 2013 22,4 103,8 thấp nhất 37 km / giờ
Ghi ch cho hình ảnh:
Khu vực xc suất gi lớn hơn 6 Beauforts
Khu vực xc suất gi lớn hơn 10 Beauforts
Khu vực c thể i qua cc trung tm TC
Vị tr trước y của TC
Vị tr dự bo của TC
Vị tr trước y của TD
Vị tr dự bo của TD
* Cc Bản tin tiếp theo ược pht vào 05:30 thứ Bảy 3 Thng 8, 2013

(Ảnh: khituongvietnam.gov.vn) MTSAT/VNIR1 (Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn)

Cục Kh tượng Trung Quốc

ZCZC 169
WTPQ20 BABJ 030.600
DỰ BO chủ
TS JEBI 1309 (1309) ẦU THỜI GIAN 030.600 UTC
00HR 21.7N 106.8E 990HPA 23m / S
30KTS 260km
P12HR Ty 25km / H
P 24 nhn sự 23.5N 101.5E 1004HPA 12M / S =
NNNN

Pagasa-Sở KHCN

(Philippines kh quyển, ịa vật l và thiên vn học Quản trị dịch vụ)

Tnh ến hm nay, khng c cơn bão nhiệt ới hiện c trong khu vực của Philippines Trch nhiệm (cải cch hành chnh).

ể biết thêm thng tin, thắc mắc, xin vui lòng gọi vào số iện thoại 927-1335 và 927-2877 hoặc ng nhập vào http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.
Trung tm cảnh bo bão chung (JTWC)

(Ảnh: JTWC) TC Cảnh bo ồ họa (Nhấn vào ảnh ể nguồn)

WTPN31 PGTW 030.900
MSGID / GENADMIN / PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / TROPICAL CYCLONE CẢNH BO / /
RMKS /
1. Cơn bão nhiệt ới 09W (JEBI) Ch NR 014
01 ACTIVE cơn bão nhiệt ới TRÊN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SINH Gi DỰA VÀO TRUNG BÌNH MỘT PHT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ

Ch VỊ TR:
030600Z — 21.8N 106.4E NEAR
CHUYỂN QUA SU GIỜ – 295 ộ tại 18 KTS
Vị tr chnh xc ể trong vòng 040 NM
VỊ TR DỰA VÀO TRUNG TM nằm qua vệ tinh
HIỆN PHN PHỐI WIND:
MAX SINH Gi – 045 KT, Cơn 055 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt ới YẾU VỀ ẤT
Lặp lại thừa nhận: 21.8N 106.4E

DỰ BO:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 22.9N 103.2E
MAX sức gi – 030 KT, Cơn 040 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt ới YẾU VỀ ẤT
VECTOR TO 24 nhn sự thừa nhận: 285 DEG / 14 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z — 23.6N 100.3E
MAX SINH Gi – 020 KT, Cơn 030 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
n chơi như bão nhiệt ới YẾU VỀ ẤT

GHI CH:
VỊ TR 030900Z NEAR 105.6E 22.1N.
Cơn bão nhiệt ới 09W (JEBI), nằm khoảng 56 NM Bắc-
ng bắc HÀ NỘI, VIỆT NAM, ã theo dõi ty-ty bắc
AT 18 KNOTS VỀ QU KHỨ su giờ. a phổ ANIMATED
Hình ảnh vệ tinh miêu tả một lưu thng ở mức ộ thấp chặt bọc
TRUNG TM VỚI TRUNG dày ặc ẶC u m RẰNG ã theo dõi nội ịa
VỀ BẮC VIỆT NAM. Sự tương tc với ất ang bắt ầu
Yếu i cấu trc tổng thể của hệ thống như CURVED DN HAS
TRỞ THÀNH t rõ ràng hơn và ối lưu HAS SHALLOWED. CẤP CAO
Phn tch cho thấy hệ thống ang c diện tch thấp ến trung bình (10 –
20 KNOTS) ỨNG Wind Shear (VWS), nhưng vẫn tiếp tục LỤC
Dòng chảy XUẤT SẮC, ẶC BIỆT VỀ HƯỚNG EQUATORWARD. TS 09W
Sẽ tiếp tục tìm hướng ty bắc dọc theo chu vi của STR
Cho ến hết giai oạn dự bo. Tc dụng ma st
VỀ ẤT VÀ TNG VWS sẽ làm xi mòn HỆ THỐNG VÀ DẪN ẾN CỦA N
Tản trong vòng tiếp theo 24 GIỜ. Y LÀ CẢNH BO VỀ CUỐI CÙNG
HỆ THỐNG NÀY CỦA PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. HỆ THỐNG
SẼ ƯỢC chặt chẽ theo dõi cc dấu hiệu phục hồi. / /
NNNN
Bão Jebi Landfall và Việt Nam, và LPA Dự bo trong Philippines
ược ng trên 03 thng tm nm 2013 bởi robspeta

Nghiêm trọng Bão Jebi nhấn Hải Nam ở miền nam Trung Quốc thng qua cc giờ êm thứ su vào ngày thứ Bảy. Thiệt hại ược bo co tại thời iểm này là một số dấu hiệu bị thổi ngã, mất iện ở Hải Nam và cy bị rơi xuống. Một tc ộng từ cơn bão là tc ộng của n ến giao thng hàng hải nhưng may mắn khng c thương tch ã ược bo co vào lc này. Bản cập nhật này chng ta ni về tc ộng bão trên miền Bắc Việt Nam, nơi n ổ bộ vào thứ Bảy. Ngoài ra chng ti i su vào những tuần sắp tới.
JEBI CUỐI TUẦN TRIỂN VỌNG

JEBI WEEKEND OUTLOOKal

Một mới vùng p suất thấp sẽ ảnh hưởng ến Mindanao vào chủ nhật với lượng mưa lớn gy nguy cơ lũ lụt và sạt lở ất ở miền nam Philippines. Khu vực này tương tự cũng c thể pht triển ở Biển ng và nng bắc vào miền Nam Trung Quốc ảnh hưởng ến khu vực tương tự Jebi nhấn.
LPA WEEKEND RAIN TRIỂN VỌNG

LPA WEEKEND RAIN TRIỂN VỌNG

Xin vui lòng khng sử dụng video của chng ti cho bất kỳ mục ch cuộc sống tiết kiệm và như lun lun sử dụng cơ quan phê duyệt WMO ịa phương của bạn. ể cập nhật ầy ủ gần y nhất của chng ti nhấn vào y.

http://www.westernpacificweather.com/

Cũng cho cc tuyến thng tin trực tiếp theo chng ti trên Facebook

(Ảnh: ssd.noaa.gov / westpacwx)

Chinese (Google translation):

熱帶氣旋09W JEBI / JOLINA的

(圖片:wunderground.com)風暴中心的衛星圖片(點擊圖片來源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

日本氣象廳區域專業氣象中心(RSMC)東京 – 颱風中心

(圖片提供:日本氣象廳)

1309(TS JEBI)

發行於2013年8月3日,06:55 UTC

在三月六日UTC> <Analyses

秤 –

強度 –

中心位置N2135’(21.6)

E10530’(105.5)

方向和速度的運動西北偏西30KM /小時(16克拉)

中心氣壓990hPa

20M / s的中心附近最大風速(40克拉)

最大陣風速度30M / s的(60克拉)

區的風30克拉或更多E280km(150NM)

W170km(90NM)

3月18日UTC> <Forecast

強度 –

TD

概率圈的中心位置N2255’(22.9)

E10400’(104.0)

方向和速度運動淨重20公里每小時(萬噸)

中央壓力1002hPa

半徑概率圓90公里(50NM)

為四月六日UTC>的<Forecast

強度 –

TD

概率圈的中心位置N2400’(24.0)

E10240’(102.7)

運動淨重15公里/小時(8克拉的方向和速度)

中央壓力1004hPa

半徑概率圓130公里(70納米)

– 越南國家水文氣象預報中心

(圖片:nchmf.gov.vn)TC軌道(點擊圖片源)
熱帶低氣壓警告

分析位置和強度

當地時間(GMT +7)

位置

分類

最大持續風力
13,8月03日星期六,2013年21.7 106.3 TD 50公里/小時

預測的位置和強度

當地時間(GMT +7)

位置

分類

最大持續風力
01月04日星期日,2013年22.4 103.8低37公里/小時
圖片說明:
概率領域風力大於6博福特
概率擰區域大於10博福特
颱風中心可能通過區域
過去位置的TC
預測位置的TC
過去位置的TD
預測位置TD
*未來的預測軌跡地圖5:30 PM,2013年8月3日(星期六)將發行

(圖片提供:khituongvietnam.gov.vn)MTSAT/VNIR1(點擊圖片來源)

中國國家氣象局

ZCZC 169
WTPQ20 BABJ 030600
主觀預測
TS JEBI 1309(1309)初始時刻030600 UTC
00HR 21.7N 106.8E 990HPA 23M / S
30KTS 260公里
P12HR西北25KM / H
P +24 HR 23.5N 101.5E 1004HPA,12M / S =

PAGASA外輪理貨

(菲律賓大氣,地球物理和天文服務管理)

截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區(PAR)存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,請撥打電話號碼927-1335和927-2877,或登錄到www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph。
聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)TC警告圖形(點擊圖片來源)

WTPN31 PGTW 030900
,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶風暴09W(JEBI)的警告NR 014
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
030600Z —近21.8N 106.4E
運動過去六小時 – 295度18 KTS
位置精確到040海裡內
基於位置的衛星中心
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 045 KT,陣風055 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
重複POSIT:21.8N 106.4E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
031800Z — 22.9N 103.2E
最大持續風速 – 030 KT 040 KT,陣風
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
向量POSIT至24小時:285度/ 14 KTS

24小時,有效的:
040600Z — 23.6N 100.3E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.1N 105.6E 030900Z位置附近。
熱帶風暴09W(JEBI),位於北部約56海裡
越南河內,NE向西北偏西跟踪
在18個結在過去六小時。 ANIMATED多光譜
衛星圖像描繪了一個緊密包裹的低級循環
含中央密集的陰雲密布的功能,跟踪內陸中心
在越南北部。與用戶的交互土地開始
該系統,AS曲BANDING的HAS削弱整體結構
定義變少,和對流變淺。上層
分析表明系統處於低到中等面積(10 –
20節)垂直風切變(VWS),但繼續表現出
優秀的流出,尤其是在向赤道方向。 TS 09W
,沿周邊STR將繼續追踪西北
通過預測期內的剩餘。摩擦效應
土地增加VWS會削弱系統,並導致其
在未來24小時內消散。這是最後的警告
這個系統按聯合颱風WRNCEN的珍珠港HI。系統
我們會密切監察再生的跡象。/ /

和越南熱帶風暴Jebi登陸後,在菲律賓和LPA預測
發布時間2013年8月3 robspeta

強烈熱帶風暴Jebi的打在中國南部海南通過隔夜小時,週五至週六。在這個時候被報導是損壞了幾個跡象吹倒在海南被擊落的樹木,停電。從風暴的另一個影響是其海上交通的影響,但在這個時候,幸好沒有人員傷亡的報告。此更新中,我們談論在越南北部登陸上週六的風暴影響。此外,我們在即將到來的一周潛水。
JEBI週末展望

JEBI週末OUTLOOKal

一種新的低氣壓區有望衝擊週日大雨造成的洪水和山體滑坡的危險在菲律賓南部棉蘭老島。此相同的區域也可以在中國南海和升力北到南中國發展的影響類似地區,Jebi打。
LPA週末雨展望

LPA週末雨展望

請不要使用我們的視頻,任何挽救生命的目的和往常一樣使用本地WMO批准的機構。對於我們最近期全面更新,請點擊這裡。

http://www.westernpacificweather.com/

也為現場直播信息按照我們在Facebook上

(圖片提供:ssd.noaa.gov / westpacwx)

 

China: Tropical Cyclone Rumbia/Gorio: No longer valid, outdated (151013) – 020713 1520z

(Image: wunderground.com) West Pacific IR loop (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, please call at telephone
numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to
www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

(Scroll down for translation to Filipino and Chinese

Mag-scroll pababa para sa pagsasalin sa Filipino at Chinese

向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)
Hong Kong Observatory
ZCZC 238
WTPQ20 BABJ 021200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD RUMBIA 1306 (1306) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC
00HR 24.1N 108.4E 998HPA 16M/S
P12HR NW 25KM/H=
NNNN

Japan Meteorological agency RSMC Tokyo Tropical Cyclone Advisory

(Image: JMA) 5 day track/intensity forecast

TD
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 2 July 2013

<Analyses at 02/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N2400′(24.0)
E10800′(108.0)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 017 (FINAL)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
020000Z — NEAR 21.4N 110.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 110.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 109.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 231 NM
EASTWARD OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A WEAKENING TREND IN THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF
THE SYSTEM AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE. RADAR
IMAGERY FROM HAIKOU, CHINA, SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING HAS BECOME
LESS DEFINED AND CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT AS STRONG (25-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. TS 06W IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF
LAND AND FURTHER INCREASING VWS ERODE THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN
Westernpacificweather

Rumbia weakens, Strong Storm floods NE China, next Korea and Japan

“Tropical Storm Rumbia made landfall during the early morning hours on Tuesday bringing gale force winds and heavy rainfall the southernmost portions of China.

The storm is expected to rapidly weaken through Wednesday as it looses its moisture source and friction over southern china tears the base of the storm apart. Still up to 200mm can be expected in some isolated areas in Yunnan province and parts of Northern Vietnam as the storm drops all the rainfall it carried ashore.

Rumbia has been blamed for seven deaths in the Philippines. Six of them children under the age of 10 and all the deaths only coming from two families aboard an overturned boat.  This is why we stress to always make safe decisions and if your not sure if something is safe or not. There is a good chance it is not. It would always be best just to wait for the weather to pass.

Today we are now turning our attention north at a large low pressure system in North East china which is riding atop of the rainy season boundary which has been impacting the weekend the past several weeks. The Yangzi river basin was sharing in on this sour weather but now the boundary is shifting farther north and creating yet more flooding conditions along the way. In Hebei province 213mm of rainfall was reported in the past 24hrs. Now the storm will still likely bring flash flooding to the region, but it is also working its way east. So through Tuesday night in to Wednesday parts of far east Russia, and the Korean Peninsula will receive some of the

Korea Radar

heaviest rainfall along with thunderstorms. The wet and unstable weather will increase from this storm system in Japan producing widespread showers across most of the country on Wednesday.  Heaviest stuff in the Sea of Japan coast and through much of Western Japan. Tokyo could still see a thunder shower or two flare up in the afternoon hours as temperatures climb in to the high 20s.

Okinawa on the other hand will remain relatively dry with only tropical showers possible near the southern Japanese islands. The rainy season officially ended in the Amami region on Monday and now it is still shifting farther north bringing with it the persistent and sour weather showers that were hitting the area in June.

On the tail end of the rainy season front wide spread showers will still be expected through Central China and North of the Yangzi river basin.  Wide spread accumulations up to 50-100mm can be expected here with isolated amounts exceeding 200mm.  In Sichuan province severe floods were seen this past weekend due to this frontal area creating havoc in many towns in villages across central portions of the country. 11 deaths have been reported due to the heavy rains.

A weak tropical wave is also impacting the Philippines with heavy rain showers and scattered thunderstorms today. Already a few locations have lost power due to isolated stronger cells. –westernpacificweather.com

 

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

 

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 21.4 N 110.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1306 RUMBIA (1306) 996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 25.1N 107.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 27.6N 105.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Filipino (Google translation)

PAGASA-DOST
Tropical bagyo Update
Sa ngayon, walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad (par).

Chinese (Google translation):

(圖片提供:wunderground.com)西太平洋IR迴路(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)
風暴中心的衛星圖像
(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

PAGASA外輪理貨
PAGASA外輪理貨
熱帶氣旋更新
截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區(PAR)存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,請撥打電話
927-1335和927-2877或登錄
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph&#12290;

(向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯

磁渦旋pababa第一個pagsasalin一個菲律賓人在中國
向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)

日本氣象廳東京RSMC熱帶氣旋諮詢

(圖片提供:JMA)5天軌道/強度預測

TD
2013年7月,在12:45 UTC發行
在2月12日UTC> <Analyses
秤 –
強度 –
TD
中心位置N2400’(24.0)
E10800’(108.0)
方向和速度機芯淨重30公里每小時(15克拉)
中央壓力1000hPa

聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)
TC警告圖形
(點擊圖片源)

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶風暴06W(溫比亞)警告NR 017(決賽)
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
020000Z —近21.4N 110.0E
運動過去六小時 – 325度11 KTS
位置精確到060海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 050 KT,陣風065 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
重複POSIT:21.4N 110.0E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量24 HR POSIT:330度/ 10節

24小時,有效的:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.1N 109.6E 020300Z位置附近。
熱帶風暴(TS)06W(溫比亞),位於約231 nm
向東,越南河內西北以11節的速度跟踪
在過去的六個小時。動畫多光譜衛星圖像
繼續描繪出疲軟態勢的整體結構
深對流系統持續減少。雷達
從海口,中國,圖像顯示緊密彎已成為BANDING
定義和對流變淺。上級分析
揭示了一個惡劣的環境強(25-35節)垂直風
剪切(VWS)已成為主要特徵。 TS 06W有望
繼續跟踪北西北沿西北
西南邊緣通過STR預測期內
在未來24小時內就會消失的摩擦效應
侵蝕土地,並進一步增加VWS系統。這是最後的
此系統的珍珠港HI聯合颱風WRNCEN的警告。
該系統將密切監察再生的跡象。/ /

Westernpacificweather
溫比亞減弱,強暴雨洪水中國東北,明年韓國和日本
2013年7月2由robspeta未發布

熱帶風暴溫比亞在上週二清晨登陸,帶來強風和暴雨中國最南端的部分。

風暴預計將迅速減弱至週三,因為它失去其水分來源和摩擦在中國南部的眼淚風暴除了基地。仍可達200mm,可以預計,在一些偏遠地區的雲南省和越南北部的部分地區風暴下降的降雨進行上岸。

溫比亞已被指責為七人死亡,菲律賓。其中六人未滿10歲的兒童和所有死亡掀翻船一艘來自兩個家庭。答:這是為什麼我們總是強調安全的決定,如果你不知道,如果事情是安全與否。這是一個很好的機會,它不是。這將永遠是最好的,只是等待天氣通過。

今天,現在我們把我們的注意力在一個大型低壓系統已影響到週末在過去幾個星期的雨季邊界之上這是騎在中國東北部北部。長江流域分享這種酸酸的天氣,但現在的邊界轉向更遠的北方,一路上和創造更多的洪水條件。河北省降雨213毫米是在過去24小時。現在風暴仍可能會帶來山洪的地區,但它也正在一路向東。因此,通過週二晚上(星期三)俄羅斯遠東地區,朝鮮半島會收到一些

韓國雷達

最重的降雨以及雷暴。潮濕和不穩定的天氣將增加從這場風暴系統在日本廣泛陣雨在大多數國家Wednesday.最重的東西在日本海沿岸,並通過了西日本。東京仍然可以看到一個雷陣雨或兩個火炬在下午隨著氣溫攀升到20。

唯一的熱帶陣雨可能在日本南部島嶼附近沖繩另一方面將保持相對乾燥。雨季正式在奄美地區在週一結束,現在它仍然是轉向更遠的北方帶來了它的持久性和的酸味天氣陣雨擊中該地區在6月。

在雨季前廣為流傳淋浴的尾部仍然可以通過揚子江basin.廣泛傳播藏中國中部和北部50-100mm的預期,在這裡可以預期與隔離金額超過200mm.四川省嚴重的洪澇災害,看到過去的這個週末,由於這個額葉區域,跨國家的中央部分村莊造成嚴重破壞,在許多城鎮。已報告11人死亡,由於大雨。

一個弱的熱帶波也影響菲律賓今天有大雨陣雨和分散的雷暴。少數地方已經失去動力由於孤立更強的細胞。westernpacificweather.com

TSR logoNW太平洋發出暴風警報在7月2,2013 0:00 GMT(最後警告)

熱帶風暴溫比亞(06W)目前位於近21.4東經110.0 E的預測,取得土地的可能性(次)在給定的領先時間(s):

黃色警示國家(S)或省(S)
中國
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為25%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S)
湛江(21.2 N,110.3)
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為10%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
茂名(21.9東經110.9)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
北海(21.6 N,109.2)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
南寧(22.8 N,108.3)
變性人的概率是65%,在12小時內

需要注意的是
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30%的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風,63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
海事

航運熱帶氣旋警告
METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
警告020600。
警告有效030600。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
1306熱帶風暴溫比亞(1306)996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E華南西北移動10海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風35海裡。
超過30節的風速120公里東半圓和90英里半徑
在別處。
預測位置在50英里半徑25.1N 107.1E 021800UTC
70%的概率圓。
1000百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。
預測位置在75英里半徑27.6N 105.5E 030600UTC
70%的概率圓。
1002百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。

日本氣象廳。

Powerful Typhoon Son-Tinh Slams in to Vietnam – 281012 2230Z

(Image: JTWC)
TC Track
(Click image for source)

logo

Powerful Typhoon Son-Tinh Slams in to Vietnam / 28 October

Published on October 28, 2012 by Robert Speta (Broadcast meteorologist for NHK World in Tokyo Japan):

People in the Capital city of Vietnam are bracing themselves today for impact of a powerful Typhoon. Flooding in the area is high at risk and low lying areas near the immediate coast should defiantly be on guard for storm surge as the storm meanders up the coastlines towards the China Vietnam border. Meanwhile we look at the bay of bengal where a area of energy may bring the risk of flooding in Southern India, and then lastly we quickly update on the on going tsunami event towards Hawaii.

westernpacificweather.com

Vietnamese:

Mạnh mẽ Typhoon Sơn-Tĩnh Slam vào Việt Nam / 28 tháng 10

Được đăng trên 28 Tháng 10 năm 2012 bởi Robert Speta (Phát sóng nhà khí tượng học cho NHK World ở Tokyo Nhật Bản):

Người dân ở thành phố thủ đô của Việt Nam đang giằng mình ngày hôm nay ảnh hưởng của một cơn bão mạnh mẽ. Lũ lụt trong khu vực có nguy cơ cao và vùng thấp nằm gần bờ biển ngay lập tức defiantly nên bảo vệ những cơn bão do các cơn bão uốn lượn lên bờ biển về phía biên giới Trung Quốc Việt Nam. Trong khi đó chúng ta nhìn vào vịnh Bengal, nơi một lĩnh vực năng lượng có thể mang lại nguy cơ lũ lụt ở miền Nam Ấn Độ, và sau đó cuối cùng chúng tôi nhanh chóng cập nhật về sự kiện sóng thần đối với Hawaii.

westernpacificweather.com

Chinese:

強颱風的兒子靜省大滿貫越南/10月28日
發布時間2012年10月28日在日本東京NHK環球廣播氣象學家:羅伯特Speta():

在越南首都人民今天正在準備一個強大的颱風的影響。在該地區的水浸風險和挑釁即時海岸附近的低窪地區應防範風暴潮,風暴對中國,越南邊境蜿蜒曲折的海岸線。同時,我們期待在孟加拉灣的一個能源領域的在印度南部的洪水可能帶來的風險,那麼最後,我們向夏威夷的海嘯事件快速更新。

westernpacificweather.com

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 24W (SON-TINH) WARNING NR 021    
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
281800Z — NEAR 20.9N 106.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N 106.7E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z — 21.7N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z — 22.0N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z — 21.7N 109.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 106.8E.
TYPHOON 24W (SON-TINH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF HANOI,
VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.//
NNNN

Vietnamese:

WTPN31 PGTW 282.100
MSGID / GENADMIN / PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / TROPICAL CYCLONE CẢNH BÁO / /
RMKS /
1. TYPHOON 24W (SON-Tĩnh) CẢNH BÁO NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE TRÊN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX duy trì WINDS DỰA VÀO TRUNG BÌNH MỘT PHÚT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ

CẢNH BÁO VỊ TRÍ:
281800Z — NEAR 20.9N 106.7E
CHUYỂN QUA SÁU GIỜ – 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
Vị trí chính xác trong vòng 040 NM
Vị trí dựa trên TRUNG TÂM NẰM BY SATELLITE
PHÂN PHỐI HIỆN WIND:
MAX duy trì WINDS – 075 KT, cơn 090 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Bán kính 064 WINDS KT – 030 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
030 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
030 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
030 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
RADIUS HÀNH 050 WINDS KT – 045 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
045 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
040 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
040 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
Bán kính 034 WINDS KT – 090 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
085 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
070 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
075 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
Lặp lại thừa nhận: 20.9N 106.7E

DỰ BÁO:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z — 21.7N 107.1E
MAX duy trì WINDS – 050 KT, cơn 065 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
VECTOR TO 24 thừa nhận nhân sự: 075 DEG / 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z — 22.0N 108.3E
MAX duy trì WINDS – 030 KT, cơn 040 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt đới YẾU VỀ ĐẤT
VECTOR đến 36 thừa nhận nhân sự: 105 DEG / 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z — 21.7N 109.6E
MAX duy trì WINDS – 020 KT, cơn 030 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Ăn chơi AS bão nhiệt đới YẾU VỀ ĐẤT

LƯU Ý:
282100Z VỊ TRÍ NEAR 21.1N 106.8E.
TYPHOON 24W (SON-Tĩnh), NẰM khoảng 45 NM EAST HÀ NỘI
VIỆT NAM, đã theo dõi phía bắc AT 08 KNOTS trong sáu giờ qua.
Chiều cao tối đa WAVE YẾU AT 281800Z IS 30 FEET. TIẾP CẢNH BÁO
AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z VÀ 292100Z / /.
NNNN

Chinese:

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
的MSGID / GENADMIN的/聯合颱風WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / / /熱帶氣旋警告
RMKS /
1。颱風24W(SON-TINH)警告NR 021
01 ACTIVE熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘的平均最大持續風速
WIND RADII只有在開放的水有效

警告的位置:
的281800Z —近20.9N 106.7E
運動過去六小時 – 355度08 KTS
位置精確到040 NM
中心位於衛星位置的基礎上
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 075的KT,陣風090 KT
WIND RADII只有在開放的水有效
千噸風半徑064 – 030 NM東北象限
030 NM東南象限
030 NM西南象限
030 NM西北象限
千噸風半徑050 – 045 NM東北象限
045 NM東南象限
040 NM西南象限
040 NM西北象限
千噸風半徑034 – 090 NM東北象限
085 NM東南象限
070 NM西南象限
075 NM西北象限
模型重複POSIT:20.9N 106.7E

預測:
12小時,VALID AT:
290600Z — 21.7N 107.1E
最大持續風速 – 050的KT,陣風065 KT
WIND RADII只有在開放的水有效
VECTOR至24小時POSIT:075度/ 06 KTS

24小時,VALID AT:
291800Z — 22.0N 108.3E
最大持續風速 – 030 KT 040 KT,陣風
WIND RADII只有在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的土地熱帶氣旋消散
VECTOR 36小時POSIT:105℃/ 06 KTS

36小時,有效AT:
300600Z — 21.7N 109.6E
最大持續風速 – 020的KT,陣風030 KT
WIND RADII只有在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的土地熱帶氣旋消散

備註:
282100Z 21.1N 106.8E附近的位置。
颱風24W(SON-TINH),位於東約45海裡,河內,
越南,一直在跟踪向北08 KNOTS在過去六個小時。
AT 281800Z的最大有效波高為30英尺。 NEXT警告
AT 290300Z,290900Z,291500Z與292100Z / /的

Tropical Depression TALIM (CARINA) decaying over the East China Sea as it is being absorbed by strong frontal system – 21 June 2012 1805 GMT/UTC

(Image: cwb.gov.tw)
MTSAT2 Satellite
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
Japan Weather Warnings/Advisories
(Click image for source)

TSR: NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
 Taiwan
 probability for TS is 100% currently
 China
 probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
 T’aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
 probability for TS is 95% currently
 Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
 probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
 Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
 probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
 Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
 CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
 TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Chinese:

TSRkmF620发oI风\x报C2012N18:00 GMT

预计热带ៃ压חi06Wj擾yn给I货时间iSjȉI”\iSjF
FxiSjƈȁiSj
p
ڑO为TSIT70
FxiSja镇iSj
ki25.0氮C121.5k时间j
ڑO为TSIT70


Fxiˁj1类ȏV间I10a30ITCTS50ITB
1类w74pI风风强xC119/时64节1钟续B
变Ӗ39pI热带风\强xI风C63/时34节1钟续B

对图`I预测Ma进步I细节C请访问http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Japanese:

TSRE北西太平洋�6�20日で発行された嵐Eアラート€�201212:00 GMT

トkmF620Ŕsꂽ̌x́A2012N6GMT

MђC^i06Wj^ꂽ[h^CibjŁA̖ޓxisjɓynUƗ\Ă܂B
F̃A[gisj܂͌ibj
p
TS̊ḿA70ł
F̃A[gVeBisjƃ^Eibj
ki25.0 NA121.5 Ej
TS̊ḿA70ł

ƂɒӂĂ
F̃A[giˁjCAT1ȏ`1030̊mŁA܂TS̊Ԃ50ȏ̊mɂȂ܂B
CAT1́AȂƂ74}C̑䕗̋̕A119L܂64mbg1Ӗ܂B
TŚAtormrisk.com/をご覧ください�

Tropical Depression TALIM (CARINA) decaying over the East China Sea as it is being absorbed by strong frontal system.

TALIM (CARINA) will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Northwestern Luzon (from Ilocos Provinces down to La Union) incl. Benguet and Batanes. Breezy to windy conditions & cloudy skies w/ occasional to widespread rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along these areas. The seas along the coastal areas along the South China and West Philippine Seas will be moderate to rough & dangerous.

*This is the last and final advisory on TALIM (CARINA).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

.

Chinese:

“热带风暴泰利E�06WE暴雨和强风继续沿台湾海峡E福建和台湾皁E毛€�

热带ៃ压חiˁj减对东CC为ݗR强I锋ʌn统zB

חiˁj强׉z吕v岛kG风i时Habagatji罗ȝf乌򉥁jB{iȘabOBy风习习风Ia阴V/尔Ս~JC\a风L]这nB쒆Cnaɗ宾CCCaIe糙y险B

*这חiˁjō@r赛I询B

svpSIrB询p仅QlB请Q阅贵Iۊ构C为nIxCyB

thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

Japanese:

“͋͂ȑOɂċzĂ悤ɔMђC^iJ[ij́AViČB

^iJ[ij́Am[XEFX^\Ŝ̓쐼X[iʖHabagatji·EjIɎ܂ł̃CRXBj܂ނコ܂BxQbgƃo^B܂w /̍L͈͂ɂ킽JɎ܂ɂ₩ȁAJXR[́Ä̗ɉĊ҂BViCƐtBsCݒnɉCł́At댯ȒxƂȂ܂B

*̓^iJ[ij̍ṒAŏIIȊłB

邩ʂ̌̂߂ɂgpȂłB̃AhoCÚAlj̒񋟂݂̂ړIƂĂ܂Be؂ȒňxA·uê߂ɂȂ̍̌̋Cۋ@ւQƂĂBthenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

TS TALIM [CARINA] – Final Update

CWB TAIWAN:

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ADVISORY
Forecast TimeF2012/06/21 21:40

@@ EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ADVISORY 

1. Taichung City-Changhua County-Nantou County- 
Yunlin County-Chiayi City-Chiayi County-Tainan City- 
Kaohsiung City-Pingtung County-Hengchun Peninsula- 

...Heavy Rain Advisory or Extremely Heavy Rain 
 Advisory in effect from this evening (06/21) through 
 Friday night (06/22)... 

2. Keelung North Coast-Taipei City-New Taipei City- 
Taoyuan County-Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County- 
Miaoli County-Yilan County-Hualien County- 
Taitung County- 

...Heavy Rain Advisory in effect from this evening 
 (06/21) through Friday night (06/22)... 

------ Summary of Warning Areas ------ 
[Extremely Heavy Rain Advisory areas] 
Taichung City-Changhua County-Nantou County- 
Yunlin County-Chiayi City-Chiayi County-Tainan City- 
Kaohsiung City-Pingtung County-Hengchun Peninsula- 

[Heavy Rain Advisory areas] 
Keelung North Coast-Taipei City-New Taipei City- 
Taoyuan County-Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County- 
Miaoli County-Yilan County-Hualien County- 
Taitung County- 

---- Observed Cumulative Rainfall ---- 

* Stations with 24H accumulated rainfall above 50mm 
 2012/06/20 20:40 PM ~ 2012/06/21 20:40 PM 

 -Extremely Heavy Rain (130mm): 
 Pingtung County Chunri Township: 193.0 mm, 
 Hualien County Xiulin Township: 154.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Taoyuan District: 150.0 mm, 
 Nantou County Ren'ai Township: 141.0 mm 

 -Heavy Rain (50mm): 
 Pingtung County Wanluan Township: 110.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Sandimen Township: 98.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Fangliao Township: 96.5 mm, 
 Taichung City Heping District: 95.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Chaozhou Township: 92.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Majia Township: 89.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Wutai Township: 85.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Fangshan Township: 85.0 mm, 
 Chiayi County Alishan Township: 84.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Nanzhou Township: 83.5 mm, 
 Tainan City Qigu District: 80.0 mm, 
 Tainan City Jiali District: 79.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Houlong Township: 78.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Liugui District: 73.5 mm, 
 Nantou County Xinyi Township: 72.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Hengchun Township: 72.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Dahu Township: 71.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Namaxia District: 70.0 mm, 
 Taitung County Haiduan Township: 68.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zaoqiao Township: 68.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Xinxing District: 65.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Nanzhuang Township: 64.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Neipu Township: 64.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Miaoli City: 63.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Donggang Township: 63.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Xiaogang District: 62.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Daliao District: 61.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Qianzhen District: 61.5 mm, 
 Hsinchu County Xiangshan District: 61.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Xihu Township: 61.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Qijin District: 60.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Fengshan District: 59.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zhunan Township: 59.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Touwu Township: 58.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Checheng Township: 58.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Toufen Township: 58.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zhuolan Township: 58.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Pingtung City: 57.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Zuoying District: 56.0 mm, 
 Taichung City Shigang District: 55.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Meinong District: 55.5 mm, 
 Taitung County Daren Township: 54.5 mm, 
 Tainan City Beimen District: 53.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Sanwan Township: 53.5 mm, 
 Taichung City Fengyuan District: 52.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Linluo Township: 50.5 mm, 
 Chiayi County Fanlu Township: 50.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Manzhou Township: 50.0 mm 

Chinese:
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LIVE WEBCAMS

5 crew hurt as fire disables cruise ship near Philippines – Update: Ship repaired & en route Malaysia

Philippine coast guards en route to rescue 1,000 people aboard Azamara Quest, which lost power after engine room fire.

60 British tourists are on board. 5 crew hurt, 1 needs urgent medical attentio

Sky News: Philippine Coastguard say ship has been repaired and is sailing toward Malaysia.

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia-pacific/2012/03/20123317520786696.html?utm_content=automateplus&utm_campaign=Trial6&utm_source=SocialFlow&utm_term=tweets&utm_medium=MasterAccount