China/ Hong Kong/ Macau: Tropical Depression ROKE 10W 222100Z position nr 22.1N 115.7E, moving WNW 12 knots (JTWC) – Published 22 Jul 2017 1930z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression ROKE 10W

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 12 FEET – JTWC

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Depression 10W (Roke) Warning #05
Issued at 22/2100Z

 

 

WTPN34 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROKE) WARNING NR 005
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
221800Z — NEAR 21.9N 116.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N 116.4E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z — 22.7N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z — 23.5N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 115.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (ROKE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST
OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 07W (NORU) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN32
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (KULAP)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression ROKE is currently located near 21.9 N 116.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). ROKE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

(Image: TSR)

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1800
WARNING 221800.
WARNING VALID 231800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1707 ROKE (1707) 1002 HPA
AT 21.7N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 22.8N 115.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 23.9N 112.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

South China Sea: Tropical Storm Merbok (1702, 04W) 11/1500Z nr 18.8N 116.0E, moving NNW 13kt (JMA) – Published 11 Jun 2017 1900z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Merbok (1702, 04W)

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

TS 1702 (Merbok)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 11 June 2017
<Analysis at 15 UTC, 11 June>
Scale

Intensity

Center position
N18°50′ (18.8°)

E116°00′ (116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement
NNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure
1002 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area
ALL 170 km (90 NM)

<Forecast for 03 UTC, 12 June>
Intensity

Center position of probability circle
N20°40′ (20.7°)

E115°10′ (115.2°)
Direction and speed of movement
NNW 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure
1000 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle
70 km (40 NM)

<Forecast for 15 UTC, 12 June>
Intensity

Center position of probability circle
N22°25′ (22.4°)

E114°50′ (114.8°)
Direction and speed of movement
N 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure
998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center
20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed
30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle
90 km (50 NM)

<Forecast for 12 UTC, 13 June>
Intensity

TD
Center position of probability circle
N25°10′ (25.2°)

E118°20′ (118.3°)
Direction and speed of movement
NE 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure
1004 hPa
Radius of probability circle
280 km (150 NM)

=================================================================================

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 04W (Merbok) Warning #03
Issued at 11/1500Z

 

 

WTPN31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
111200Z — NEAR 18.2N 116.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 116.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z — 20.2N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z — 22.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z — 23.6N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z — 25.1N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z — 26.9N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 12 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 27.9N 129.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 29.7N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 116.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 04W (MERBOK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 273 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.//
NNNN

================================================================================

NW Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 11 Jun, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MERBOK is currently located near 18.2 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). MERBOK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

(Image: TSR)

(Image: TSR)

Other

(Image: DoctorAdvice4u.com )

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 


METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1702 MERBOK (1702) 1002 HPA
AT 18.1N 116.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 20.2N 115.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 22.1N 115.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 25.2N 118.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China/ South China Sea: Typhoon Mujigae 22W 03/1200Z 19.5N 113.4E, moving WNW 11 knots (JMA) – Published 03 Oct 2015 1500z (GMT/UTC)

Typhoon Mujigae 22W

(=CATEGORY 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1522
Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

TY 1522 (MUJIGAE)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 3 October 2015

<Analyses at 03/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N19°30′(19.5°)
E113°25′(113.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 04/00 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N20°35′(20.6°)
E111°35′(111.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 04/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N21°40′(21.7°)
E109°40′(109.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(60kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45m/s(85kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 05/12 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N23°30′(23.5°)
E108°20′(108.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 06/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N25°10′(25.2°)
E108°00′(108.0°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 1004hPa
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)

HKO_banner_eng

tctrack_1519_en

Tropical Cyclone Warning Bulletin

(Updated at 20:45 on 3 Oct HKT)

In the past few hours, outer rainbands of Majigae brought heavy squally showers to Hong Kong. Winds occasionally reached gale force in the offshore areas and on high ground. Heavy squally showers are expected to continue to affect Hong Kong in the next few hours.

According to the present forecast track, Mujigae will be closest to Hong Kong from midnight to early tomorrow morning. Mujigae is expected to skirt around 300 kilometres southwest of Hong Kong.

Unless Mujigae adopts a more northerly track or intensifies significantly, the chance of issuing the Gale or Storm Signal No. 8 is not high. However, winds will occasionally reach gale force over the southwestern part of Hong Kong. The Observatory will closely monitor the evolution of Mujigae.

Rainstorm Warning Bulletin

Updated at 21:45

Amber Rainstorm Warning Signal Special Announcement issued by the Hong Kong Observatory at 9:45 p.m.

The Rainstorm Warning Signal is now Amber. This means that heavy rain has fallen or is expected to fall generally over Hong Kong, exceeding 30 millimetres in an hour, and is likely to continue.

There will be flooding in some low-lying and poorly drained areas. People who are likely to be affected should take necessary precautions to reduce their exposure to risk posed by the heavy rain and flooding.

Heavy rain may bring about flash floods. People should stay away from watercourses. People who are likely to be affected by flooding should take necessary precautions to avoid losses.

Please listen to radio or watch television for traffic conditions and further announcements on the rainstorm.

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MUJIGAE (22W) currently located near 19.5 N 113.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

HKO – Hong Kong

Bulletin issued at 21:30 HKT 03/Oct/2015

Tropical Cyclone Warning

At 031200 UTC, Typhoon Mujigae (1522) with central pressure 965 hectopascals was centred within 30 nautical miles of one nine point five degrees north (19.5 N) one one three point four degrees east (113.4 E) and is forecast to move west-northwest at about 10 knots for the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 70 knots.

Radius of over 33 knot winds 120 nautical miles.
Radius of over 47 knot winds 60 nautical miles.
Radius of over 63 knot winds 30 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 270 nautical miles over northern semicircle, 240 nautical miles elsewhere.

Forecast position and intensity at 041200 UTC
Two one point five degrees north (21.5 N)
One zero nine point nine degrees east (109.9 E)
Maximum winds 65 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 051200 UTC
Two three point eight degrees north (23.8 N)
One zero eight point four degrees east (108.4 E)
Maximum winds 25 knots.

Forecast position and intensity at 061200 UTC
Dissipated over land.

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200
WTJP21 RJTD 031200
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1522 MUJIGAE (1522) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970
HPA
AT 19.5N 113.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 20.6N 111.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 21.7N 109.7E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 23.5N 108.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 25.2N 108.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

There are more warnings here: METAREA XI

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Luzon/ Philippines/ China/ Hong Kong/ Vietnam: Typhoon KALMAEGI (15W)/ LUIS: 141800Z near 18.4N 119.6E, moving WNW at 17 knots (JMA) – Updated 140914 2000z (UTC)

Typhoon KALMAEGI (15W)/Bagyong LUIS in the Philippines

Typhoon “LUIS” has slightly weakened as it continues to cross the Northern Luzon area – PAGASA

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

1415

TY 1415 (KALMAEGI)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 14 September 2014

<Analyses at 14/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N18°25′(18.4°)
E119°35′(119.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL90km(50NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE390km(210NM)
NW280km(150NM)
<Forecast for 15/06 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N18°40′(18.7°)
E116°20′(116.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 15/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N19°40′(19.7°)
E113°25′(113.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 16/18 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°20′(21.3°)
E107°10′(107.2°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(75kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55m/s(105kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 17/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N22°50′(22.8°)
E102°20′(102.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)

 

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration

luis 14091412

 

EVERE WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER  TWELVE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TYPHOON “LUIS” (KALMAEGI)
Issued at 11:00 p.m., Sunday, 14 September 2014

 

 

Typhoon “LUIS” has slightly weaken as it continues to cross the Northern Luzon area.

 

Location of Center:
(as of 10:00 p.m.)
 in the vicinity of Kabugao, Apayao
Coordinates: 18.0°N, 121.1°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 150 kph.
Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 30 kph.
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Monday morning:
outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)

Monday evening:
492 km West of Laoag City

 

 Public Storm Warning Signal
PSWS Luzon Visayas Mindanao
# 3(Winds of 101-185 kph is expected in at least 18 hrs) Cagayan including Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga, Mt. Province and Ilocos Sur   None None
# 2(Winds of 61-100 kph is expected in at least 24 hrs) Batanes Group of Islands, Isabela, Ifugao, La Union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya and Pangasinan None None
#1
(winds of 30 – 60 kph is expected in atleast
36 hours)
Tarlac, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan Nueva Ecija, Quirino and Aurora None None

 

Public storm warning signals elsewhere are now lowered.

 

Residents in low lying and mountainous areas under signal #3, #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under signal #3 and #2 are alerted against storm surges of up to 2 meters.

 

Estimated rainfall amount is from 8 – 20 mm per hour (heavy – Intense) within the 500 km diameter of the Typhoon.

 

The rest of Luzon and Western Visayas will have monsoon rains with moderate to strong southwesterly surface windflow due to the Southwest Monsoon.

 

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the westerm seaboard of Central Luzon and seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas.

 

The public and the Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (DRRMC) concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.

See more: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/hourly-update

For more information and queries, please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1514.gif

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/15W_141132sair.jpg

 

 

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 15W (KALMAEGI) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
141200Z — NEAR 17.9N 121.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 300 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 121.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z — 18.8N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 19.6N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z — 20.4N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 21.2N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z — 22.6N 102.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z — 24.1N 97.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 121.0E.
TYPHOON 15W (KALMAEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 203 NM NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.
//
NNNN

Prognostic Reasoning

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2014 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KALMAEGI (15W) currently located near 17.9 N 121.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

Typhoon Kalmaegi (Bagyong Luis) Afternoon Video Update | September 14, 2014

Typhoon Kalmaegi / Luis Nearing Landfall Sunday – WestPacWx

Rain

Out of this storm of course the rainfall is going to be a big threat. Starting Sunday through Tuesday much of Luzon will be drenched with heavy showers including the Manila area mainly on Monday. The hardest hit areas should be along the north eastern coast of Luzon where up to 200-300mm of rainfall could come down on Sunday night through Monday. Flooding and landslides across North Eastern Luzon will be likely on Monday. The Iligan and Tuguegarao areas could see urban flooding as well making travel for anyone headed out on Monday not only rough but possibly impossible at times.

The good news is the storm is moving at a relativly fast pace of 15km thus the rainfall shouldnt last over a long period of time and will be over by Monday afternoon in eastern Luzon.

Winds Winds will also be an issue for towns along the eastern coastlines north of the storms center of circulation. Here we could see damaging typhoon strength winds maxing out with gust as high as 90-100kts at times for coastal exposed locations. Good news as we always state with this part of the Philippines is that typhoons are not that uncommon. In fact most towns are built inland away from immediate coastal areas due to the fact that it is hit so often.

Surge Storm surge in immediate low lying areas will also be an issue. But only along immediate coastlines and areas that often flood during high tides.

Manila For the most part the NCR should miss the worst of this storm. But based on guidance at this time Tropical Storm strength winds up to 35-40kts are likely as we head through Monday morning and the storm tracks north of the city. The strongest winds will be along the bay area dissapating the farther you go inland.

This is enough to blow around light debris making for dangerous driving conditions. In SHORT its going to be a messy Sunday and Monday in Luzon. Stay tuned to your official agency PAGASA for local warnings and as always be smart about how you plan your day during these storms. If you are being advised to evacuate, get to an evacuation center! Stay safe everyone.”- westernpacificweather.com/2014/09/14/typhoon-kalmaegi-luis-nearing-landfall-sunday/

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China/ Taiwan: Tropical Storm Matmo (10W): 240600Z near 29.1N 117.9E, moving N at 25kmh(13knots) (RSMC Tokyo) – Updated 240714 0745z (UTC)

Tropical Storm  1410 (MATMO) ( RSMC Tokyo)

Tropical Storm  201410 (MATMO) (CWB Taiwan)

 Tropical Storm 10W (MATMO)(TWC)

Bagyong Henry (#HenryPH) in Philippines

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

RSMC Tokyo (Lead agency in this area)

Japan Meteorological agency

TS 1410 (MATMO)
Issued at 06:45 UTC, 24 July 2014

<Analyses at 24/06 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N29°05′(29.1°)
E117°55′(117.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more E500km(270NM)
W330km(180NM)
<Forecast for 24/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N32°50′(32.8°)
E118°35′(118.6°)
Direction and speed of movement N 35km/h(19kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 25/06 UTC>
Intensity
LOW
Center position of probability circle N35°55′(35.9°)
E120°35′(120.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

TAIWAN

Typhoon Path

Taiwan Weather Warning

HONG KONG

Tropical Storm MATMO
at 08:00 HKT 24 July 2014

Position: 27.9 N, 117.9 E (about 730 km north-northeast of Hong Kong)
Maximum sustained wind near centre: 85 km/h

Tropical Cyclone Track at 08:00 HKT 24 July 2014

Tropical Cyclone Track at 08:00 HKT 24 July 2014

Forecast Positions and Intensities

Date time Position Classification Maximum sustained wind near centre
08:00 HKT 25 July 2014 33.4 N 119.7 E Tropical Depression 45 km/h
08:00 HKT 26 July 2014 38.4 N 123.5 E Tropical Depression 55 km/h
08:00 HKT 27 July 2014 40.1 N 127.0 E Extratropical Low

( Past Positions and Intensities )

Notes

  • The symbol low pressure area symbol will be displayed when the tropical cyclone is expected to weaken into a low pressure area or transform into an extratropical low.
  • Past track is in black, forecast track is in red.
  • The accuracies, based on average errors, of the latest analysed and forecast positions are of the order of:
    Analysed Position 30 km
    24-hour forecast position 150 km
    48-hour forecast position 250 km
    72-hour forecast position 350 km
  • The centres of the red, blue and grey circles are the forecast positions of the tropical cyclone at different times (as shown at the upper left corner of the figure). The radii of the circles are the respective accuracies.
  • The tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre are based on Hong Kong Observatory’s tropical cyclone warning for shipping issued eight times a day at 0:30, 3:30, 6:30, 9:30, 12:30, 15:30, 18:30 and 21:30 HKT, about one and a half hours after the time of observation. The analysed positions incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based provisional positions given in the hourly bulletins for public. Meanwhile, the webpage will also display other information, including distance and bearing of the tropical cyclone relative to Hong Kong.
  • The past tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre may be updated when additional data is received.
  • Short-term erratic departures of the tropical cyclone from the general direction of movement may occur from time to time. These departures are partly due to uncertainties in locating the centre of the tropical cyclone, and partly due to actual short-term variations in the direction and speed of movement of the tropical cyclone itself.

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/10W_231132sair.jpg

 

 

WTPN31 PGTW 231500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MATMO) WARNING NR 025
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 10W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
231200Z — NEAR 25.8N 119.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N 119.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z — 28.0N 118.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z — 30.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 26.4N 118.9E.
TROPICAL STORM 10W (MATMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 142 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEGENERATE AS
IT TRAVERSES NORTH IN EASTERN CHINA ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER SITUATED OVER THE RYUKYU ISLAND CHAIN.
MATMO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
TOPOGRAPHICAL FRICTION AND THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTHWEST. COMPLETE DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER
LAND, APPROXIMATELY 150NM WEST OF SHANGHAI IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
IT IS ABSORBED IN THE MID-LATITUDE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY LOCATED NORTH
OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Jul, 2014 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MATMO (10W) currently located near 25.8 N 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Fu’an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

OTHER REPORTS

Matmo Weakens but still causing problems. ( Thursday Update )

MARITIME

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 240600
WARNING 240600.
WARNING VALID 250600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1410 MATMO (1410) 990 HPA
AT 29.1N 117.9E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 32.8N 118.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 35.9N 120.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

 

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 0000

WWJP25 RJTD 240000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000.
WARNING VALID 250000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 40N 142E
42N 141E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 44N
180E 38N 160E 38N 142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 134E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 147E ENE 15 KT.
LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 148E ENE 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 135E WEST SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 148E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 24N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1032 HPA AT 47N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY.
WARM FRONT FROM 42N 147E TO 40N 150E 38N 151E.
COLD FRONT FROM 42N 147E TO 40N 145E 38N 141E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 37N 133E 36N 120E 32N 115E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1410 MATMO (1410) 990 HPA AT 27.9N 117.7E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

 

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 0600

WWCI50 BABJ 240000
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 0330UTC JUL.24 2014=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000UTC JUL. 24=
FORECAST VALID 0000UTC JUL. 25=
WARNNING=
STS MATMO 1410(1410) 990HPA AT 27.9N 117.9E
MOVING N 30KM/H AND MAX WINDS 23M/S AND
FORECAST FOR 250000UTC AT 34.5N 118.8E 998HPA
AND MAX WINDS 15M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
SLY WINDS FROM 14 TO 22M/S GUST 26M/S SEAS UP TO
4.5M OVER EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND
SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND NORTHEAST PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 14M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO
3.0M OVER BASHI CHANNEL AND SOUTHWEST PART OF
SOUTH CHINA SEA=
FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTH PARTS OF
YELLOW SEA AND HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS
THAN 5KM=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM ALSO OVER
ANDAMAN SEA AND SEA WEST OF SUMATERA AND
SUNDA STRAIT=
FORECAST=
SE WINDS FROM 06 TO 08M/S BACK NE WINDS FROM 12
TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO 2.0M OVER BOHAI SEA
AND BOHAI STRAIT AND NORTH AND MIDDLE PARTS
OF YELLOW SEA=
SLY/SE WINDS 12 TO 18M/S GUST 22M/S SEAS
UP TO 3.5M OVER SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA
AND NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=
SLY/SE WINDS FROM 12 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS
UP TO 4.5M OVER SOUTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA
AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 14M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO
3.5M OVER BASHI CHANNEL=
SW WINDS WILL DECREASE FROM 14 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S
TO 08 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 4.0M OVER NORTHEAST PART
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 14M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO
3.0M OVER SOUTH PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
CYCLONIC WINDS FROM 12 TO 14M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.0M OVER SEA WEST OF GUAM=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 14M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP
TO 2.5M OVER SEA NORTHEAST OF INDONESIA=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_HONG_KONG_CHINA / 0000

WWHK82 VHHH 240000
40:1:31:11:01:00
HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING
WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNINGS
TROPICAL STORM (TS) MATMO(1410):
RADIUS OF GALES: 90 NM OVER E SEMICIRCLE, 60 NM ELSEWHERE.
SYNOPSIS (240000UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MATMO (1410) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TS.
AT 240000UTC, MATMO WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA AND
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KT WAS CENTERED WITHIN 60 NM OF 27.9N
117.9E AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE N AT ABOUT 14 KT FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION AT 250000UTC: 33.4N, 119.7E
SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS
SEAS 6 M OVER GALE WARNING AREA.
SWELL S TO SW 3 M OVER SEAS NEAR LUZON, SEAS NEAR TAIWAN,
NE PART OF SCS.
THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER
FREQUENT HEAVY SQUALLY(SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS
(TS) WITHIN 180 NM FROM CENTRE OF MATMO(1410).
SCATTERED SQ SH AND TS OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF
SCS AND SEAS NEAR THE PHILIPPINES.
SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY
VIS 500 M IN SQ SH AND TS.

METAREA XI

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Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

China: Typhoon 17W USAGI/ODETTE 221500Z near 23.1N 114.6E, moving WNW at 16 knots (JTWC) Made landfall near Shanwei – 220913 1720z

Tropical Cyclone (Typhoon) USAGI/ODETTE

TYPHOON USAGI/ODETTE MADE LANDFALL NEAR
SHANWEI, CHINA (JTWC)

(Scroll down for Filipino and Chinese translation) (Mag-scroll pababa para sa Filipino at Chinese translation)
(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA-DOST)

Quezon City, PHILIPPINES pagasa.dost.gov.ph

As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph or please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877

Japan

Japan Meteorological agency

1319TY 1319 (USAGI)
Issued at 16:10 UTC, 22 September 2013

<Analyses at 22/15 UTC>
Scale
Intensity Strong
Center position N2300′(23.0)
E11435′(114.6)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL170km(90NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE500km(270NM)
SW390km(210NM)
<Forecast for 23/03 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N2335′(23.6)
E11220′(112.3)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 23/15 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N2400′(24.0)
E11020′(110.3)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
<Forecast for 24/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N2325′(23.4)
E10730′(107.5)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1713.gif

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/17W_200632sams.jpg

WTPN32 PGTW 221500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 17W (USAGI) WARNING NR 024 (FINAL WARNING)
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
221200Z — NEAR 22.9N 115.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 115.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 114.6E.
TYPHOON 17W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 66 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND COMPOSITE RADAR
LOOP FROM HONG KONG INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR
SHANWEI, CHINA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED
ANIMATIONS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE DVORAK ESTIMATE FROM RJTD. TY USAGI IS EXPECTED
TO RAPIDLY DECAY AS IT DRAGS WESTWARD ACROSS THE RUGGED CHINESE
INTERIOR AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REENTRY INTO OPEN WATER. //
NNNN

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.9 N 115.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Typhoon Usagi Midnight Update North Of Hong Kong

Typhoon Usagi made landfall around 1730 Hong Kong Time nearly 200km east of the city. Since then the storm started taking a westerly track north of Hong Kong bringing sustained winds between 90-95kph in a few peaks north of Hong Kong Island. Near the downtown area winds at Star Ferry have been recorded up to 75kph prior to midnight. This has resulted in numerous reports of damaged signs, billboards and also loose debris being tossed about.

Storm surge in Shantou

Storm surge in Shantou

A train collided with a downed tree in Hong Kong through the late night hours. This was quickly resolved.

Sunday Afternoon flooding in

Shantou was also seen in low lying coastal areas. Shantou is a city east of Hong Kong in eastern Guangdong . Image Above

Numerous structures have been shown in images on Sunday being flooded by the rising water. The massive wind field around the once violent Typhoon with winds gusting up to 300kph drove walls over water ashore not only causing flooding but also large waves hitting the cliff sides on the South China Sea facing coastlines.(Image Left)

The storms exact location of landfall is near Hudong Harbor in Guangdong. A far less populated area of the china coastline than the Hong Kong Macau metropolitan area.

Typhoon strength is very well possible still in the city

Waves Crashing Ashore in HK

Waves Crashing Ashore in HKof Hong Kong through the over night hours as Usagi tracks inland north of Hong Kong moving right over the Metro area of Guangzhou.  The strongest winds will likely be in areas surrounding Victoria Harbor just prior to midnight as Usagi makes its closest approach.

Conditions will gradually improve through Monday morning yet many business may still remain closed as Usagi pulls west or at least open late for those in the Hong Kong area. By Monday afternoon winds will have decreased but cloudy skies and isolated to scattered showers are still possible through Tuesday.

Typhoon Usagi has already caused problems in Taiwan and the Philippines on Saturday through Sunday Morning. Two deaths and two people are still missing in the Philippines and winds up to 172kph were reported in Lanmyu island in Taiwan.

The winds are just the start of the impacts this storm brought to Taiwan and the Philippines on Saturday.

A resulting storm surge hit the southern coast of Taiwan causing coastal and low lying flooding (footage below) while in the Philippines at least three tornadoes have been reported in Bago City and Bacolod damaging homes and injuring at least one.

Please take a moment to watch the footage below. It puts the full force of this storm in to perspective. Remember this was still nearly 100km removed from the inner eye wall.

Downed Tree in Hong Kong

Downed Tree in Hong Kong

As per GMA NEWS TV report at 11AM earlier, the congresswoman of Batanes reports the Basco Airport Tower instruments sustained significant damage, including cell cites, power transmission lines and even water pipes. Itbayat and Batan Islands are without power and potable water with many houses unroofed in Basco and populated communities of Itbayat and nearby islands. The islands were hit head on by Typhoon Usagi and although no deaths reported, damage was quite significant all over especially to agricultural crops. They say its the strongest they had in 25 years. The Ivatans (people of Batanes) are accustomed to strong typhoons since then but many were overwhelmed by ODETTE’s fury

Also in the Philippines the enhanced monsoon wrapping around Usagi and a new storm Pabuk has been causing heavy rainfall in the Metro Manila area most of the day on Sunday. With the new storm moving north this week it does not look like the heavy rains will be ending anytime soon bringing the risk of flooding to the Manila area and surrounding provinces.

* I (G: westernpacificweather) apologize for the choppy way this update was put together. It is the latest information as of midnight. Monday morning a full update will be put in place. Please check the front page for the most recent updates from throughout the weekend. If you have any useful information to add please leave it as a comment.

Westpacwx does not have paid reports in the field so our number source for information is from you the reader. Thanks for the help.

Sat Image

See also:

Typhoon Usagi Makes landfall nearly 200km East of Hong Kong (Link)

“-
westernpacificweather

MARITIME

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1319 USAGI (1319) 955 HPA
AT 23.0N 114.6E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 23.6N 112.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 24.0N 110.3E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

News Reports

 

Powerful Typhoon Usagi heads to Hong Kong

BBC

 

People watch as a storm surge hits the shores as Typhoon Usagi approaches Xiamen, Fujian province High tides are expected in many coastal areas

 

Related Stories

 

Hong Kong is bracing itself for the arrival of typhoon Usagi, which is expected to be the strongest storm to hit the city in more than 30 years.

 

Officials have suspended activity at the port – one of the world’s busiest – and cancelled most flights.

 

In mainland China thousands of boats in the Pearl River Delta have been taken inland due to fears of high tides.

 

At least two people were killed by the storm as it crossed the Luzon Strait between Taiwan and the Philippines.

Highest alert

Usagi – which means rabbit in Japanese – packed winds of 165 km/h (103 mph) as it closed in on China’s densely populated Pearl River Delta.

 

China’s National Meteorological Centre has issued its highest alert, warning that Usagi would bring gales and downpours to parts of the southern coast, according to Xinhua news agency.

 

More than 80,000 people have moved to safer ground in Fujian province, Xinhua said, and the authorities in Guangdong have asked more than 44,000 fishing boats to return to port.

 

Technicians at the Guangdong nuclear plant have been trying to ensure the installation is secure ahead of the typhoon.

 

Many airlines have cancelled flights to cities in Guangdong and Fujian, and shipping has been suspended between the Chinese mainland and Taiwan, Xinhua reported.

 

In Hong Kong, meteorologists are warning of severe floods due to powerful winds and exceptionally high tides.

 

The Hong Kong Observatory warned of “severe” disruption to the city.

 

If the situation does not improve soon, many businesses including the stock exchange will be shut on Monday.

 

Projected path of typhoon Usagi, 20 September 2013

 

En route to Hong Kong and southern China, Usagi forced the evacuation of more than 3,000 people in southern Taiwan.

 

It also hit the northernmost islands of the Philippines, where it cut communication and power lines and triggered landslides.

 

Typhoons are common during the summer in parts of East Asia, where the warm moist air and low pressure conditions enable tropical cyclones to form.

Filipino (Translated by Google)

Tropical bagyo ( Typhoon ) USAGI / ODETTE

Typhoon USAGI / ODETTE GINAWA pagtanaw sa lupain MALAPIT
SHANWEI , China ( JTWC )

( Mag-scroll pababa para sa Filipino at Chinese translation ) ( rebista – scroll pababa Para Sa Pilipino sa Chinese translation )
(向下 滚动 菲律宾 和 中国 翻译)

( Image: wunderground.com ) Satellite ( I-click ang larawan para sa pinagmulan )

( Image: wunderground.com ) 5 Araw na Pagtataya ( I-click ang larawan para sa pinagmulan )
PAGASA – DOST Philippine Atmospheric , geopisiko at Astronomical Services Administration ( PAGASA – DOST )

Quezon City , PILIPINAS pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Sa ngayon , walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad ( par ) .

Para sa karagdagang impormasyon at mga query , mag-log on sa http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph o mangyaring tumawag sa mga numero ng telepono 927-1335 at 927-2877
Hapon

Japan meteorolohiko ahensiya
1319TY 1319 ( USAGI )
Ibinigay sa 16:10 UTC , Septiyembre 22, 2013
<Analyses Sa 22/15 UTC>
Scale –
intensity Malakas
Center posisyon N23 00 ‘( 23.0 )
E114 35 ‘( 114.6 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw KTK 20km / h ( 12kt )
Central presyon 955hPa
Maximum na bilis ng hangin malapit sa sentro 35m / s ( 70kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 50m / s ( 100kt )
Lugar ng 50kt hangin o higit pa ALL170km ( 90NM )
Lugar ng 30kt hangin o higit pa NE500km ( 270NM )
SW390km ( 210NM )
<Forecast Para 23/03 UTC>
intensity –
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N23 35 ‘( 23.6 )
E112 20 ‘( 112.3 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw KTK 20km / h ( 11kt )
Central presyon 980hPa
Maximum na napapanatiling hangin bilis 25m / s ( 50kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 35m / s ( 70kt )
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 90km ( 50NM )
<Forecast Para sa 23/15 UTC>
intensity –
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N24 00 ‘( 24.0 )
E110 20 ‘( 110.3 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw W 15km / h ( 9kt )
Central presyon 996hPa
Maximum na napapanatiling hangin bilis 18m / s ( 35kt )
Maximum na hangin bugso ng hangin bilis 25m / s ( 50kt )
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 130km ( 70NM )
<Forecast Para sa 24/12 UTC>
intensity –
td
Center posisyon ng probabilidad bilog N23 25 ‘( 23.4 )
E107 30 ‘( 107.5 )
Direksyon at ang bilis ng paggalaw W 15km / h ( 7kt )
Central presyon 1002hPa
Ang radius ng bilog na posibilidad 200km ( 110NM )
Pinagsamang Typhoon Warning Center ( JTWC )

Google Earth Graphic Overlay

WTPN32 PGTW 221,500

MSGID / GENADMIN / joint Typhoon WRNCEN Pearl Harbor HI / /
Paksa / tropikal na bagyo BABALA / /
RMKS /
1 . Typhoon 17W ( USAGI ) BABALA NR 024 ( huling babala )
02 ACTIVE tropikal CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX napapanatiling hangin BATAY SA ONE – MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY

BABALA POSITION :
221200Z — MALAPIT 22.9N 115.2E
Kilusan NAKARAANG IKAANIM HOURS – 290 DEGREES SA 16 KTS
POSITION TUMPAK SA LOOB 020 NM
POSITION BATAY SA SENTRO matatagpuan pamamagitan ng kumbinasyon ng
SATELLITE AT radar
IPINAPAKITA WIND pamamahagi:
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 080 KT , GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
Ulitin ipagpalagay : 22.9N 115.2E

pagtataya :
12 oras , BISA SA :
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 055 KT , GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa
Vector TO 24 HR ipagpalagay : 285 DEG / 11 KTS

24 oras , BISA SA :
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 035 KT , GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa
Vector TO 36 HR ipagpalagay : 265 DEG / 07 KTS

36 oras , BISA SA :
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
MAX napapanatiling hangin – 020 KT , GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII MAHIGIT SA BISA OPEN WATER ONLY
AS pang-anyaya ng isang makabuluhang tropikal na bagyo MAHIGIT lupa

REMARKS :
221500Z POSITION MALAPIT 23.1N 114.6E .
Typhoon 17W ( USAGI ) , na matatagpuan sa halos 66 NM silangan – hilagang-silangan NG
Hong Kong , AY nasubaybayan WEST – pahilagang-kanluran SA 16 buhol MAHIGIT SA NAKARAANG
IKAANIM HOURS . Animated infrared satellite imagery at Composite Radar
Umikot mula sa Hong Kong ipahiwatig ANG SYSTEM AY GINAWA pagtanaw sa lupain MALAPIT
SHANWEI , China . Ang paunang POSITION AY NAKABATAY SA MGA nabanggit
Animation SA mataas na kumpiyansa. Ang paunang intensity IS
EXTRAPOLATED MULA SA Dvorak pagtantya MULA RJTD . Ty USAGI AY EXPECTED
SA mabilis na pagkabulok AS IT DRAGS pakanluran sa buong kulubot Tsino
Interior at mapawi NG Tau 36 . Ito ay ang panghuling BABALA SA ITO
SYSTEM NG joint Typhoon WRNCEN Pearl Harbor HI . ANG SYSTEM AY
MAGIGING malapit na sinusubaybayan PARA senyales ng muling pagpasok OPEN SA TUBIG . / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW Pacific : Storm Alert na ibinigay sa Septiyembre 21, 2013 12:00 GMT

HK Pacific : Storm Alert na ibinigay sa Septiyembre 22, 2013 00:00 GMT ( Huling Babala )

Typhoon USAGI ( 17W ) kasalukuyang matatagpuan malapit 22.9 N 115.2 E ay ​​magtaya upang hampasin lupa sa sumusunod na posibilidad ( s ) sa naibigay na oras ng lead (s):

Red Alert Bansa (mga) o Probinsya ( s )
Tsina
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
posibilidad para sa TS ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
Hong Kong
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 80 % sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 100 % sa kasalukuyan
Red Alert City ( s ) at Town ( s )
Guangzhou ( 23.1 N , 113.3 E)
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 50% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 85 % sa loob ng 12 oras
Hong Kong ( 22.4 N , 114.2 E)
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 50% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 95% sa kasalukuyan

Yellow Alert Bansa (mga) o Probinsya ( s )
Macau
posibilidad para sa CAT 1 o sa itaas ay 10% sa loob ng 12 oras
posibilidad para sa TS ay 85 % sa loob ng 12 oras
Yellow Alert City ( s ) at Town ( s )
Shantou ( 23.0 N , 116.2 E)
posibilidad para sa TS ay 95% sa kasalukuyan

Tandaan na ang
Red Alert ( Matinding ) ay CAT 1 o sa itaas sa pagitan ng 31 % at 100% na posibilidad .
Yellow Alert ( malayog ) ay CAT 1 o sa itaas sa pagitan ng 10 % at 30% na posibilidad , o TS sa itaas 50 % posibilidad .
CAT 1 ay nangangahulugan ng Typhoon hangin lakas ng hindi bababa sa 74 mph , 119 km / h o 64 mga buhol – 1 min matagal .
TS nangangahulugan Tropical Storm hangin lakas ng hindi bababa sa 39 mph , 63 km / h o 34 mga buhol – 1 min matagal .

Para sa mga graphical forecast impormasyon at higit pang mga detalye mangyaring bisitahin http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Typhoon Usagi Hatinggabi Update North Ng Hong Kong
Nai-publish sa Septiyembre 22, 2013 sa pamamagitan ng robspeta sa Uncategorized

Typhoon Usagi ginawa pagtanaw sa lupain sa paligid ng 1730 na Oras Hong Kong halos 200km silangan ng lungsod. Simula noon bagyo ang nagsimula pagkuha ng isang galing sa kanluran track sa hilaga ng Hong Kong nagdadala napapanatiling hangin sa pagitan ng 90- 95kph sa loob ng ilang peak sa hilaga ng Hong Kong Island . Malapit sa downtown area na hangin sa Star Ferry na naitala ng hanggang 75kph bago ang hatinggabi . Ito ay nagdulot ng maraming mga ulat ng nasira mga karatula , mga billboard at din magpakawala mga labi na tossed tungkol sa .

Bagyo paggulong ng alon sa Shantou

Bagyo paggulong ng alon sa Shantou

Ang isang tren ay bumangga sa isang downed puno sa Hong Kong sa pamamagitan ng late na oras gabi . Ito ay mabilis na malutas .

Linggo Afternoon sa pagbaha

Shantou ay din na nakikita sa mababang nakahiga coastal area. Shantou ay isang lungsod sa silangan ng Hong Kong sa eastern Guangdong . Larawan sa Itaas

Maraming mga istraktura na ipinapakita sa imahe sa Linggo na malaki ang tubig sa pamamagitan ng tumataas ang tubig . Ang napakalaking field na hangin sa paligid ng isang beses marahas Typhoon may hangin gusting hanggang 300kph ay nagdulot pader sa ibabaw ng tubig sa pampang hindi lamang nagiging sanhi ng pagbaha ngunit din malaking waves pagpindot sa mga gilid talampas sa South China Sea nakaharap coastlines . ( Image Left )

Ang bagyo eksaktong lokasyon ng pagtanaw sa lupain ay malapit Hudong Harbor sa Guangdong . Ang isang malayo mas populated na lugar ng china kaysa sa baybay-dagat ng lugar sa Hong Kong Macau metropolitan .

Typhoon lakas ay napaka rin posible pa rin sa lungsod

Waves Pag-crash sa pampang sa HK

Waves Pag-crash sa pampang HKof sa Hong Kong sa pamamagitan ng paglipas ng oras gabi bilang Usagi sumusubaybay sa loob ng bansa sa hilaga ng Hong Kong paglipat karapatan sa ibabaw ng Metro area ng Guangzhou . Ang pinakamatibay na mga hangin ay malamang na maging sa mga lugar na nakapalibot Victoria Harbor lang bago ang hatinggabi bilang Usagi gumagawa nito pinakamalapit na diskarte.

Kundisyon na ito ay unti-unting mapabuti sa pamamagitan ng Lunes ng umaga pa maraming negosyo ay maaari pa ring manatili sarado bilang Usagi pulls kanluran o hindi bababa sa bukas late para sa mga nasa lugar ng Hong Kong . Sa pamamagitan ng hapon Lunes hangin ay ay bumaba ngunit maulap na kalangitan at nakahiwalay na nakakalat sa shower ay posible pa rin sa pamamagitan ng Martes.

Typhoon Usagi Na sanhi problema sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas sa Sabado hanggang Linggo Morning. Dalawang pagkamatay at dalawang tao pa rin ang nawawala sa Pilipinas at mga hangin up sa 172kph ay naiulat sa Lanmyu isla sa Taiwan .

Ang mga hangin ay lamang sa simula ng epekto bagyo ito dinadala sa Taiwan at sa Pilipinas sa Sabado .

Isang nagreresulta paggulong bagyo hit sa katimugang baybayin ng Taiwan nagdudulot ng coastal at mababa namamalagi pagbaha ( footage sa ibaba) habang sa Pilipinas ng hindi bababa sa tatlong mga tornadoes naiulat sa Bago City at Bacolod damaging mga tahanan at injuring ng hindi bababa sa isa .

Mangyaring maglaan ng isang sandali upang panoorin ang footage sa ibaba . Ito ay naglalagay ang buong puwersa ng bagyo in sa pananaw. Tandaan ang noon ay pa rin halos 100km inalis mula sa panloob na dingding mata .

Downed Tree sa Hong Kong

Downed Tree sa Hong Kong

Alinsunod sa GMA ulat BALITA TV sa 11:00 kanina, ang congresswoman ng Batanes nag-uulat ang Basco Airport Tower instrumento matagal makabuluhang pinsala , kabilang ang mga cell cites , kapangyarihan transmisyon mga linya at kahit na water pipe . Itbayat at Batan Islands ay walang kapangyarihan at naiinom tubig na may maraming mga bahay unroofed sa Basco at populated na mga komunidad ng Itbayat at mga kalapit na isla . Ang isla ay pindutin ang ulo sa pamamagitan ng Typhoon Usagi at bagama’t walang naiulat na pagkamatay , pinsala ay lubos na makabuluhan sa lahat ng dako lalo na sa agrikultura mga pananim . Sabi nila nito ang pinakamatibay na sila ay nagkaroon sa 25 taon . Ang Ivatans ( mga tao ng Batanes ) ay sanay na sa malakas typhoons mula noon ngunit marami ay nalulula ka sa ODETTE ng matinding galit

Gayundin sa Pilipinas ang mga pinahusay na wrapping monsoon sa paligid Usagi at isang bagong Pabuk bagyo ay nagdudulot ng matinding pag-ulan sa lugar ng Metro Manila karamihan ng araw sa Linggo. Gamit ang bagong bagyo gumagalaw hilaga ito linggo ito ay hindi hitsura ang mabibigat na umuulan ay nagtatapos anumang oras sa lalong madaling panahon nagdadala ng panganib ng pagbaha sa Manila area at nakapaligid na probinsya .

* Ko ( G : westernpacificweather ) ay humihingi ng paumanhin para sa mga pabagu-bago paraan update na ito ay magkasama . Ito ay ang pinakabagong impormasyon sa bilang ng hatinggabi . Lunes ng umaga ang isang buong pag-update ay ilalagay sa lugar . Paki-check ang front page para sa pinakakamakailang mga update mula sa buong weekend . Kung mayroon kang anumang mga kapaki-pakinabang na impormasyon upang magdagdag mangyaring mag-iwan ito bilang isang komento .

Westpacwx ay walang bayad na mga ulat sa patlang sa gayon ang aming numero mapagkukunan ng impormasyon ay mula sa iyo ang mga mambabasa . Salamat para sa tulong.

Sab Larawan

Tingnan din ang :
Typhoon Usagi Gumagawa pagtanaw sa lupain halos 200km East ng Hong Kong ( Link)

“-
westernpacificweather
malapit sa dagat
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221,500
BABALA 221,500 .
BABALA BISA 231,500 .
Typhoon BABALA .
Typhoon 1319 USAGI ( 1319 ) 955 HPA
SA 23.0N 114.6E South China gumagalaw WESTNORTHWEST 12 buhol .
Magandang posisyon .
MAX hangin 70 buhol MALAPIT SA CENTER .
Radius ng MAHIGIT 50 na hangin umpukan 90 milya.
Radius ng MAHIGIT 30 na hangin umpukan 270 milya mula sa hilagang-silangan kalahati ng bilog AT 210
Milya sa ibang lugar.
Pagtataya POSITION PARA SA 230300UTC 23.6N 112.3E MAY 50 milya radius
NG 70 PERCENT CIRCLE posibilidad .
980 HPA , MAX hangin 50 buhol .
Pagtataya POSITION PARA SA 231500UTC 24.0N 110.3E MAY 70 milya radius
NG 70 PERCENT CIRCLE posibilidad .
996 HPA , MAX hangin 35 buhol .

Japan meteorolohiko AGENCY . =
News Reports

Napakahusay na Typhoon Usagi ulo sa Hong Kong

BBC Septiyembre 22, 2013 Huling na-update sa 10:48 BST ( 0948Z GMT / UTC)
Mga tao panoorin bilang isang bagyo paggulong ng alon hit sa baybayin ng Typhoon Usagi nalalapit sa Xiamen , Fujian lalawigan High Tides ay inaasahan sa maraming coastal area
Magpatuloy pagbabasa ang pangunahing kuwento
Kaugnay na Mga Kuwento

Usagi : 2013 ni pinakamakapangyarihang bagyo Watch
Philippine bagyo displaces libo-libo
Typhoon Soulik hangin isuga Taiwan

Hong Kong ay nakapagpapalakas mismo para sa pagdating ng bagyo Usagi , na kung saan ay inaasahan na maging ang pinakamatibay na bagyo na matumbok ang lungsod sa higit sa 30 taon .

Opisyal sinuspinde aktibidad sa port – isa sa mga pinaka-abalang ng mundo – at kinansela pinaka- flight.

Sa mainland China libu-libong mga bangka sa Pearl River Delta ay kinuha sa loob ng bansa dahil sa takot ng mataas Tides .

Hindi bababa sa dalawang mga tao ay namatay sa pamamagitan ng mga bagyo bilang ito tumawid ang Kipot ng Luzon sa pagitan ng Taiwan at Pilipinas .
pinakamataas na alerto

Usagi – na ang ibig sabihin ng kuneho sa Hapon – naka-pack na hangin ng 165 km / h ( 103 mph ) bilang ito sarado sa sa China nang makapal populated na Pearl River Delta .

China Pambansang meteorolohiko Centre ay ibinigay nito pinakamataas na alerto, paalaala na ang Usagi gusto magdala gales at downpours sa mga bahagi ng sa katimugang baybayin , ayon sa Xinhua balita ahensiya .

Mahigit sa 80,000 tao ang inilipat sa mas ligtas na lupa sa Fujian lalawigan , Xinhua sinabi, at ang mga awtoridad sa Guangdong ay humingi ng higit sa 44,000 mga bangka pangingisda upang bumalik sa port .

Technicians sa planta Guangdong nuclear ay sinusubukan upang matiyak ang pag-install ay ligtas nang mas maaga ang bagyo .

Maraming airlines na kinansela flight sa mga lungsod sa Guangdong at Fujian , at pagpapadala ay nasuspinde sa pagitan ng Chinese mainland at Taiwan , Xinhua iniulat .

Sa Hong Kong , meteorologists ang mga babala ng matinding baha dahil sa malakas na hangin at iba mataas Tides .

Ang Hong Kong Observatory binalaan ng ” malubhang ” pagka-antala sa lungsod.

Kung ang sitwasyon ay hindi mapabuti sa lalong madaling panahon , maraming mga negosyo kabilang ang mga stock exchange ay shut sa Lunes .
Inaasahang landas ng bagyo Usagi , 20 Set 2013

En ruta sa Hong Kong at southern China , Usagi sapilitang ang paglisan ng higit sa 3,000 katao sa katimugang Taiwan .

Mayroon din pindutin ang kahila-hilagaan isla ng Pilipinas , kung saan ito i-cut mga linya ng komunikasyon at kapangyarihan at nag-trigger sa landslides .

Typhoons ay karaniwan sa panahon ng tag-araw sa mga bahagi ng Silangang Asya , kung saan ang mga mainit-init mahalumigmig hangin at mababang presyon kundisyon paganahin tropikal cyclones sa form.

Chinese (Translated by Google)

熱帶氣旋(颱風) USAGI / ODETTE

颱風USAGI / ODETTE附近登陸
汕尾,中國(聯合颱風警報中心)

(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯) (磁渦旋pababa第一個菲律賓人在中國翻譯)
(向下滾動菲律賓和中國翻譯)

(圖片提供: wunderground.com )衛星(點擊圖片來源)

(圖片: wunderground.com )五天天氣預報(點擊圖片源)
PAGASA外輪理貨菲律賓大氣,地球物理和天文服務管理( PAGASA -外輪理貨)

奎松市,菲律賓pagasa.dost.gov.ph

截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區( PAR )存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,登錄到www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph電話號碼或請致電927-1335和927-2877
日本

日本氣象廳
1319TY 1319 ( USAGI )
16:10 UTC , 2013年9月22日發行
<Analyses在15分之22 UTC>
秤 –
強度強
中心位置N23 00 ‘ (23.0 )
E114 35′ (114.6 )
方向和速度運動西北20公里每小時( 12克拉)
中心氣壓955hPa
附近的中心35M / s的最大風速( 70克拉)
最大陣風速度50M / s的(百克拉)
區的風50克拉或更多ALL170km ( 90NM )
區或更多30克拉風NE500km的(波長270nm )
SW390km ( 210NM )
<Forecast為23/03 UTC>
強度 –
中心位置的概率圓N23 35’ ( 23.6 )
E112 20 ‘ (112.3 )
方向和速度運動西北20公里每小時( 11克拉)
中心氣壓980hPa
最大持續風速25M / s的( 50克拉)
最大陣風速度35M / s的( 70克拉)
半徑概率圓90公里( 50NM )
<Forecast為十五分之二十三UTC>
強度 –
概率圈的中心位置N24 00 ‘ ( 24.0 )
E110 20 ‘ (110.3 )
方向和速度運動W 15公里/小時( 9克拉)
中心氣壓996hPa
最大持續風速18m / s的( 35克拉)
最大陣風線速度25m / s的( 50克拉)
半徑概率圓130公里( 70納米)
<Forecast為十二分之二十四UTC>
強度 –
TD
概率圈的中心位置, N23 25’ ( 23.4 )
E107 30 ‘ (107.5 )
方向和速度運動W 15公里/小時( 7克拉)
中央壓力1002hPa
半徑概率圓200公里( 110NM )
聯合颱風警報中心( JTWC )

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN32 PGTW 221500

,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風 WRNCEN 珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。颱風17W ( USAGI )警告NR 024(最後的警告)
02個活躍的熱帶氣旋NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
221200Z —近22.9N 115.2E
運動過去六小時 – 290度16 KTS
位置精確到020海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 080 KT ,陣風100 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
重複POSIT : 22.9N 115.2E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
230000Z — 23.6N 112.6E
最大持續風速 – 055 KT ,陣風070 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
向量POSIT至24小時: 285度/ 11 KTS

24小時,有效的:
231200Z — 24.2N 110.3E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT ,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量36小時POSIT : 265度/ 07 KTS

36小時,有效的:
240000Z — 24.0N 108.7E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT ,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
23.1N 114.6E 221500Z位置附近。
颱風17W ( USAGI ) ,位於東北偏東約66海裡
香港,跟踪西北偏西以16節的速度在過去
六個小時。動畫紅外衛星圖像和複合雷達
香港環路指示系統附近登陸
汕尾,中國。基於上述初始位置
動畫與高可信度。初始強度
德沃夏克估計從RJTD的推斷。預計TY USAGI
迅速腐爛,因為它拖動向西穿過崎嶇的中國
內飾和頭36消散。這是最後的警告
系統按聯合颱風WRNCEN的珍珠港HI 。該系統將
密切監測再次進入開放水域的跡象。 / /

TSR logoNW太平洋風暴警報21九月發行, 2013 12:00 GMT

西北太平洋風暴警報22九月發行, 2013 12:00 GMT (最後警告)

颱風USAGI ( 17W )目前位於22.9東經115.2 ê附近預計取得土地以下的可能性(次) ,在給定的領先時間(s) :

紅色警戒國家(S)或省( S )
中國
CAT 1或以上的概率為100 % ,目前
為TS的概率是100 % ,目前
香港
CAT 1或以上的概率是80 %在12小時內
為TS的概率是100 % ,目前
紅色警戒市(s)和鎮(S )
廣州(23.1 N,東經113.3度)
CAT 1或以上的概率是50 %在12小時內
變性人的概率是85 %在12小時內
香港(22.4 N, 114.2 ê )
CAT 1或以上的概率是50 %在12小時內
變性人的概率是95 % ,目前

黃色警示國家(S)或省( S )
澳門
CAT 1或以上的概率是10%,在12小時內
變性人的概率是85 %在12小時內
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S )
汕頭市(北緯23.0東經116.2 ê )
變性人的概率是95 % ,目前

需要注意的是
紅色警報(嚴重)是CAT 1或以上至31%和100 %的概率。
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30 %的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風, 63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
颱風天兔午夜更新香港以北
2013年9月22由robspeta未發布

兔颱風登陸, 1730年左右,香港時間近200公里的東部城市。自那時以來,風暴開始在香港島北部的幾個峰之間帶來持續風速90 – 95kph香港北部向西移動。天星碼頭附近鬧市區風已記錄的至75kph午夜之前。這就造成了損壞的招牌,廣告牌的許多報告和鬆散的碎片被扔約。

汕頭市風暴潮

汕頭市風暴潮

通過深夜,一列火車相撞,被擊倒的樹在香港。這很快得到了解決。

週日下午水浸

汕頭也被看作低窪沿海地區。汕頭是一個城市在香港以東粵東。圖像上

許多結構已經顯示在圖像上週日被漲水淹沒。大規模風場的一次猛烈的颱風,陣風可達300kph開車過水牆不僅造成水浸,但也大波擊中懸崖雙方就中國南海,海岸線面臨上岸(圖左)

風暴登陸的確切位置是滬東廣東港附近。遠人口較少的地區,中國的海岸線比港澳都市圈。

颱風的強度是非常有可能仍然在城市

海浪在香港上岸

海浪上岸在HKof香港兔通過在夜間的幾個小時跟踪內陸香港以北向右移動在地鐵廣州地區。 最強的風勢可能會在維多利亞港周邊地區午夜之前兔使得其最接近。

條件將逐步提高到週一早晨,兔拉西部,很多業務可能仍然保持關閉或至少對那些在香港地區的營業至深夜。在週一下午的風已經減少,但仍然有可能通過週二陰天零星陣雨和孤立。

兔颱風在台灣和菲律賓的問題已經引起週六至週日Morning.兩人死亡,兩人仍下落不明台灣在Lanmyu島在菲律賓和風速可達172kph 。

風上週六,這場風暴帶來了台灣和菲律賓的影響僅僅是一個開始。

導致風暴潮打造成台灣南部海岸的沿海和低窪水浸(下面的片段) ,而在菲律賓至少有三個龍捲風已報導巴戈市和巴科洛德破壞的家園,打傷至少一個。

請花點時間看下面的畫面。透視這場風暴的全部力量。記住,這是近100公里,從內眼牆去除。

在香港被擊落的樹

在香港被擊落的樹

每GMA新聞電視報導,在上午11時前,巴丹眾議員報告巴斯科塔台儀器持續的重大損害,包括細胞CITES ,輸電線路,甚至水管。 Itbayat巴坦群島與無頂在巴斯科與人口稠密的社區的Itbayat及附近島嶼的許多房屋沒有電力和飲用水。島嶼被擊中頭兔颱風,雖然沒有死亡的報導,損害是相當顯著的,尤其是農作物。他們說其最強的,他們曾在25年。習慣於強颱風的Ivatans (巴丹)從那時起,但許多人不堪重負ODETTE的憤怒

此外,在菲律賓增強季風包繞兔和一個新的風暴帕布已造成強降雨在大馬尼拉區最多的一天上週日。隨著新風暴向北移動這個星期它看起來並不像大雨很快將結束馬尼拉地區及周邊省份的洪水帶來的風險。

*我( G: westernpacificweather )波濤洶湧的這種更新方式被放在一起道歉。午夜是最新的信息。星期一早上,一個完整的更新將落實到位。從整個週末的最新更新,請在頭版。如果您有任何有用的信息進行添加,請把它作為註釋。

Westpacwx沒有在該領域的薪酬報告,所以我們的信息來源是從你的讀者。感謝您的幫助。

星期六圖片

另請參閱:
兔颱風登陸香港的近200公里的東(鏈接)


westernpacificweather
海事
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1500

WTJP32 RJTD 221500
警告221500 。
警告有效231500 。
颱風警報。
颱風1319 USAGI (1319) 955 HPA
AT 23.0N 114.6E南中國移動西北偏西12海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風70節。
超過50節的風速90英里的半徑。
超過30個結風半徑270英里東北半圓和210
MILES ELSEWHERE 。
預測位置在50英里半徑23.6N 112.3E 230300UTC
70 %的概率圓。
980百帕,最大風50節。
預測位置在70英里半徑24.0N 110.3E 231500UTC
70 %的概率圓。
996百帕,最大風35海裡。

日本氣象廳。
新聞報導

強大的颱風天兔朝向香港

英國廣播公司2013年9月22日最後更新於10:48 BST ( 0948Z GMT / UTC )
人們看作為風暴潮颱風天兔到達岸邊接近廈門,福建省漲潮預計將在許多沿海地區
繼續閱讀主要的故事
相關的故事

兔: 2013最強大的颱風手錶
菲律賓風暴取代數千
颱風蘇力風睫毛台灣

香港本身是支撐兔颱風的到來,預計將在超過30年來最強勁颱風襲城。

官員已經暫停活動在港口 – 世界上最繁忙的之一 – 取消大部分航班。

在中國大陸已經採取了成千上萬的船在珠三角內陸由於漲潮的擔憂。

穿過台灣和菲律賓之間的呂宋海峽的風暴,因為它至少有兩個人被打死。
最高警戒

兔 – 這意味著兔子在日本 – 盒裝風速165公里/小時( 103英里) ,因為它關閉了在中國人口密集的珠江三角洲。

中國國家氣象中心已發布最高警戒,警告,兔將帶來大風和暴雨,南部沿海的部分,根據新華社。

超過80,000人已轉移到安全地帶福建省,新華社的報導說,廣東省當局已要求超過44000艘漁船返回港口。

廣東核電廠的技術人員一直在努力,以確保安裝安全颱風提前。

新華社報導,多家航空公司取消航班,在廣東和福建的城市,中國大陸和台灣之間的航運已暫停。

在香港,氣象學家警告,嚴重的洪澇災害,由於強風和非常高的潮汐。

香港天文台警告稱, 嚴重影響城市。

如果情況沒有改善,很快,許多企業,包括證券交易所週一將休市。
預計2013年9月20日,颱風天兔路徑

途中香港和中國南部,兔被迫疏散3000餘人在台灣南部。

這也創下了菲律賓最北端的島嶼,它切斷通信和電源線,並引發山體滑坡。

颱風是常見的,在暑假期間在東亞部分地區,其中暖濕氣流和低壓條件下,使熱帶氣旋形成。

Hong Kong: Typhoon Utor sinks cargo ship ‘Trans Summer’, 21 crew rescued amid 15m waves – 140813 1730z

Image of the ship that sank off of Hong Kong this evening due to #UTOR #TYPHOON (Credit: @robertspeta)

“Authorities said emergency workers from Hong Kong and mainland China rescued 21 crewmen from a cargo vessel which capsized on Wednesday morning.

Local media reports said the 190-meter long cargo ship ‘Trans Summer’ leaned on its side and eventually sank in waters about 80 kilometers southwest of Hong Kong amid waves of up to 15 meters high generated by Typhoon Utor.

The crew members abandoned their ship but they were all rescued by a vessel from the mainland and Hong Kong’s Flying Services.” – ubalert

Other Reports

Typhoon Utor sinks cargo ship off Hong Kong

Helicopter rescue teams saved 21 crew members from a cargo ship that sank off Hong Kong on Wednesday after Severe Typhoon Utor caused waves of up to 15 metres, officials said.

The crew abandoned ship as the 190-metre-long bulk carrier Trans Summer sank 80 kilometres southwest of Hong Kong, the citys Flying Services said.

Some of [the crew] were floating in the water and some were on life saving boats awaiting rescue
Government Flying Service pilot

It happened around 10.30am off the Wanshan Archipelago, a group of islands that are part of Zhuhai and to the south of the opening of the Pearl River Delta estuary.

Samuel Yip Wai-hung, a Government Flying Service pilot who took part in the rescue, said the ship was sinking when they arrived.

When our helicopter arrived, the ship had tilted nearly 90 degrees [in the water]. All crew had abandoned the ship by that time, Yip said.

Some of them were floating in the water and some were on life saving boats awaiting rescue, he said.

Video: Hong Kong battens down for Severe Typhoon Utor

(Video credit: Raquel Sodre)

Related:

China: Typhoon 11W #UTOR 141500Z near 22.2N 111.2E moving NW at 07 knots (JTWC) has made landfall near Yangjiang, SE China 1408131600z

China: Tropical Cyclone 11W #UTOR 151600HKT 23.6N 110.9E. Now Tropical Depression, forecast to move slowly and further weaken (HKO) – 150813 0950z

Tropical Cyclone UTOR

(Scroll down for Chinese translation)(中國翻譯向下滾動)

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

(Image: JMA) 5 day track & intensity (Click image for source)

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

TS 1311 (UTOR)
Issued at 06:50 UTC, 15 August 2013

<Analyses at 15/06 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N2340′(23.7)
E11100′(111.0)
Direction and speed of movement N 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE390km(210NM)
NW190km(100NM)
<Forecast for 16/06 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N2430′(24.5)
E11025′(110.4)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

Hong Kong Observatory

Tropical Cyclone Warnings

Bulletin issued at 16:45 HKT 15/Aug/2013

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin

Here is the latest Tropical Cyclone Bulletin issued by the Hong Kong Observatory.

All signals were cancelled at 4:40 p.m.

At 5 p.m., Tropical Depression Utor was centred about 280 kilometres east-northeast of Nanning (near 23.6 degrees north 110.9 degrees east) and is forecast to move slowly and further weaken.

In the past few hours, Utor weakened further. Local winds in Hong Kong are subsiding gradually. However, winds remained occasionally strong offshore and on high ground, and there will be swells. Members of the public should stay on the alert.

Icon of System (GIS) version Geographic Information
System (GIS) version

Tropical Depression UTOR
at 16:00 HKT 15 August 2013

Position: 23.6 N, 110.9 E (about 370 km west-northwest of Hong Kong)
Maximum sustained wind near centre: 55 km/h
Forecast moving direction and speed: slow moving

Tropical Cyclone Track at 16:00 HKT 15 August 2013

Tropical Cyclone Track at 16:00 HKT 15 August 2013

Tropical Cyclone Track at 16:00 HKT 15 August 2013

Forecast Positions and Intensities

Date time Position Classification Maximum sustained wind near centre
14:00 HKT 16 August 2013 24.6 N 110.8 E Low Pressure Area 40 km/h

( Past Positions and Intensities )

Notes

  • The symbol low pressure area symbol will be displayed when the tropical cyclone is expected to weaken into a low pressure area or transform into an extratropical low.
  • Past track is in black, forecast track is in red.
  • The accuracies, based on average errors, of the latest analysed and forecast positions are of the order of:
    Analysed Position 30 km
    24-hour forecast position 150 km
    48-hour forecast position 250 km
    72-hour forecast position 350 km
  • The centres of the red, blue and grey circles are the forecast positions of the tropical cyclone at different times (as shown at the upper left corner of the figure). The radii of the circles are the respective accuracies.
  • The analysed tropical cyclone position (the symbol tropical cyclone symbol ) is based on Hong Kong Observatory’s hourly bulletin for public derived from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions.
  • The tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre are updated every hour. Meanwhile, the webpage will also display other information, including distance and bearing of the tropical cyclone relative to Hong Kong, and forecast moving direction and speed.
  • The past tropical cyclone track, analysed positions and maximum sustained wind near centre may be updated when additional data is received.
  • Short-term erratic departures of the tropical cyclone from the general direction of movement may occur from time to time. These departures are partly due to uncertainties in locating the centre of the tropical cyclone, and partly due to actual short-term variations in the direction and speed of movement of the tropical cyclone itself.

More detail from Hong Kong Observatory

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Graphic (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 141500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 11W (UTOR) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
141200Z — NEAR 22.0N 111.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N 111.4E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z — 22.9N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 23.8N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z — 24.0N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 22.2N 111.2E.
TYPHOON (TY) 11W (UTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 157 NM WESTWARD OF
HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TY 11W IS
WEAKENING RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HOWEVER, RADAR
IMAGERY FROM YANGJIANG, CHINA SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING
INTO A DEFINED CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON
THE RADAR IMAGERY WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. TY 11W MADE LANDFALL NEAR
14/0730Z AND IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOW AND WEAKEN
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TURNS WESTWARD. TY
11W SHOULD DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. DYNAMIC GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR
AGREEMENT, THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Utor continues to bring flooding rains to SE China / Westpacwx Update

Published on August 15, 2013 by

Typhoon Utor made landfall in Southern China along the south western Coast of Guangdong on Wednesday afternoon packing wind gust over 200kph at landfall. Good news is those winds are now behind us and the intensity of this storm system will continue to decrease through the next 48hrs. You can watch footage of this storm at landfall below.

More videos here (Click Storm Footage tab)

With that said though the storm will continue to linger in southern China as a Tropical depression bringing torrential rainfall to and the risk of flooding. Many locations here in southern china have already seen heavy amounts of rainfall. Near where the storm made landfall in Yangxi 261mm was recorded in the past 24hrs. This along with numerous other locations recording over 200mm. ツTherego any more rainfall to occur here will fall on already saturated grounds producing an increased risk of flooding.

CMA rainfall forecast

On the other hand much of central and eastern china has been in drought and really needs the rainfall. Unfortunately the same high pressure producing that drought is also acting like a buffer keeping the heaviest rainfall to the south and not letting it move in to the areas that need it the most. Still a few regions could still see a little bit of relief from the rainfall. But to much on the dry ground in a short period of time is a recipe for flash flooding and mudslides/flows to occur.

Utor will continue to linger through the weekend in southern china feeding off of moisture from the south china sea before weakening out. Yes the storm brought destructive winds and even sank a ship south west of Hong Kong. But through the next several days the heavy rain and flooding will be the top story.

Below is the latest video update from Meteorologist Robert Speta

 

westernpacificweather.com

Other Reports

From the UK:

Typhoon Utor makes landfall in southeast China

14 08 2013

Typhoon Utor is currently a strong tropical cyclone and has recently made landfall near Yangjiang, southeast China which is approximately mid-way between Hong Kong and Zhangjiang. Utor is currently moving slowly north-northwest and is expected to continue along this track for the next three days and weaken as it remains overland.

Typhoon Utor

The impacts of Typhoon Utor have already been felt across the Philippines, with four people dead and homes and crops destroyed. The strong winds and high waves associated with Utor may have also have been a factor in the sinking of a large cargo ship off Hong Kong harbour.

Heavy rainfall is expected to lead to very heavy rainfall over southeast China where 150 – 200 mm are forecast in the next 24 hours, particularly near Zhangjiang and Yangjiang. This is likely to cause severe flooding, flash flooding and landslides.

Typhoon Utor

A significant storm surge occurred in the Phillipines and is expected to intensify flooding in southeast China. Forecasts suggest a peak storm surge of 2.4 m above normal tides between Hong Kong and Yangjiang. This will also be accompanied by very high waves which will cause over topping of harbours and coastal flood defences. Winds will continue to be very strong for at least the next 24 hours and will continue to affect power lines and transport infrastructure.

The main areas of heavy rainfall are expected to move north and east during Thursday and Friday with very large rainfall accumulations (150 – 200 mm per day) expected over northern Guandong province leading to further flash flooding and landslides.

Follow @metofficestorms on Twitter for the latest updates on tropical storms, hurricanes and typhoons.

MARITIME

 

Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping

 

Bulletin issued at 09:30 HKT 15/Aug/2013

Tropical Cyclone Warning

Severe Tropical Storm Utor (1311) has weakened into a Tropical Storm with central pressure 988 hectopascals. At 150000 UTC, it was centred within 60 nautical miles of two three point one degrees north (23.1 N) one one zero point eight degrees east (110.8 E) and is forecast to move north-northwest at about 5 knots for the next 24 hours.

Maximum winds near the centre are estimated to be 40 knots.

Radius of over 33 knot winds 60 nautical miles.
Radius of over 2 metre waves 180 nautical miles.

No further warnings on this Tropical Storm will be issued by the Hong Kong Observatory unless re-intensification takes place.

Forecast position and intensity at 160000 UTC
Dissipated over land.


The Hong Kong Observatory’s tropical cyclone warnings for shipping are issued about one and a half hours after the time of observation. They incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions given in the hourly bulletins for public.

The uncertainties, based on average errors, of the latest analysed position and 24, 48 and 72-hour forecast positions are of the order of 30, 150, 250 and 350 kilometres respectively.

Tropical Cyclone Track

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600
WTJP21 RJTD 150600
WARNING 150600.
WARNING VALID 160600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1311 UTOR (1311) 994 HPA
AT 23.7N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 24.5N 110.4E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 0600
WWCI50 BABJ 150600
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN=
MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING
AT 1015UTC AUG.15 2013=
MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600UTC AUG. 15=
FORECAST VALID 0600UTC AUG. 16=
WARNNING=
TD UTOR 1311(1311) 995HPA AT 23.6N 110.9E MOVING
N 7KM/H AND MAX WINDS 16M/S NEAR CENTER=
SUMMARY=
SW WINDS FROM 11 TO 16M/S GUST 17 TO 24M/S SEAS UP
TO 3.0M OVER NORTH AND MID-WEST PARTS OF SOUTH
CHINA SEA=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 12M/S GUST 16M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER MID-EAST AND SOUTHWEST PARTS OF SOUTH
CHINA SEA AND ANDAMAN SEA=
FOG OBSERVED OVER BOHAI GULF AND HORIZONTAL
VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM=
HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM ALSO OVER
SUNDA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF SINGAPORE AND LAUT
MALUKU=
FORECAST=
SW WINDS FROM 08 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5 OVER
BOHAI SEA AND BOHAI STRAIT AND NORTH AND MIDDLE
PARTS OF YELLOW SEA AND BASHI CHANNEL AND
SOUTHEAST PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=
SE WINDS FROM 08 TO 12M/S SEAS UP TO 1.5M OVER
SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA=
WINDS FROM 11 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M
OVER NORTHWEST PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
QIONGZHOU STRAIT AND BEIBU GULF=
SW WINDS FROM 11 TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO
2.5M OVER NORTHEAST AND MIDDLE AND SOUTHWEST PARTS
OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=


METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_HONG_KONG_CHINA / 0600

WWHK82 VHHH 150600
40:1:31:11:01:00
HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING
WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNINGS
NIL.
SYNOPSIS (150600UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST
UNSETTLED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION
UTOR(1311) IS AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA
SEA (SCS) AND THE GULF OF TONKIN.
SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS
SWELL S TO SW 3 M OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF
SCS.
THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER
SCATTERED SQUALLY (SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS (TS)
OVER THE SEAS NEAR TAIWAN, THE NORTHERN PART OF SCS, THE
GULF OF TONKIN.
ISOLATED SQ SH AND TS OVER THE SEAS NEAR LUZON AND THE GULF
OF THAILAND.
SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY
VISIBILITY DOWN TO 200O M IN SQ SH AND TS.=

Chinese (Translation by Google)

熱帶氣旋UTOR的

(中國翻譯向下滾動)(中國翻譯向下滾動)

(圖片:wunderground.com)風暴中心的衛星圖片(點擊圖片來源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

日本氣象廳

(圖片提供:JMA)5天田徑強度(點擊圖片來源)

單位:
1KT(結)=1.852公里每小時=0.5144米/秒
1NM海裡= 1.852公里
1311(TS UTOR)
發行於2013年8月15日,06:50 UTC
<Analyses在15/06 UTC>
秤 –
強度 –
中心位置N2340’(23.7)
E11100’(111.0)
方向和速度的運動10公里每小時的(6克拉)
中心氣壓994hPa
最大持續風速18m / s的(35克拉)
最大陣風線速度25m / s的(50克拉)
區的風30克拉或更多SE390km(210NM)
NW190km(100NM)
<Forecast為16/06 UTC>
強度 –
TD
概率圈的中心位置N2430’(24.5)
E11025’(110.4)
方向和速度的運動偏北10公里/小時(6克拉)
中央壓力1000hPa
半徑概率圓160公里(85NM)

香港天文台
熱帶氣旋警告

15/Aug/2013 16:45 HKT發行公告
熱帶氣旋公報

這裡是由香港天文台發出最新熱帶氣旋公報。

下午4時40分取消所有信號

下午5時,熱帶低氣壓尤特約280公里,東北偏東南寧市(北緯23.6度,東經110.9度附近)為中心,預計緩慢移動,並進一步削弱。

在過去的幾個小時中,尤特進一步減弱。在香港的本地風正在逐漸減弱。然而,風偶爾保持強大的海上和高地上,會有湧浪。市民應保持警覺。

圖標系統(GIS)地理信息版
系統(GIS)的版本
熱帶低氣壓UTOR的
於香港時間2013年8月15日16:00
位置:23.6 N,110.9 E(香港西北偏西約370公里)
中心附近最大持續風力:55公里每小時
預測移動方向和速度:滯銷

16:00香港時間2013年8月15日熱帶氣旋路徑

16:00香港時間2013年8月15日熱帶氣旋路徑

16:00香港時間2013年8月15日熱帶氣旋路徑
預測位置和強度
中心附近最大風力職位分類的最大持續時間
14:00香港時間2013年8月16日24.6110.8 E低壓力區40公里每小時

(過去的位置和強度)

筆記

符號低壓區時,會顯示符號的熱帶氣旋預計將減弱為一個低壓區,或轉變成溫帶低。
過去的軌道是黑色,預測路徑是紅色的。
的精度,平均誤差的基礎上,最新的分析和預測的位置的順序:
分析職位30公里
24小時預報位置150公里
48小時預報位置250公里
72小時預報位置350公里
的紅色,藍色和灰色圓圈的中心的熱帶氣旋的預測位置在不同的時間(在圖中的左上角所示)。圓的半徑是各自的精度。
香港天文台的每小時公告的來自公眾的實時衛星或雷達為主陣地的基礎上分析了熱帶氣旋的位置(符號熱帶氣旋符號)。
熱帶氣旋路徑,分析的位置,中心附近最大持續風力每小時更新一次。同時,網頁也將顯示其他信息,包括距離和方位相對於香港的熱帶氣旋,並預測移動方向和速度。
過去的熱帶氣旋路徑,分析的位置和近中心最大持續風力收到額外的數據時,可能會被更新。
短期不穩定的熱帶氣旋運動的大方向出發,可能會不時發生。這些偏離的部分原因是由於熱帶氣旋中心定位的不確定性,部分是由於熱帶氣旋本身的運動方向和速度實際短期變化。

香港天文台的更多細節
聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)TC警告圖形(點擊圖片來源)

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 141500

,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。颱風11W(尤特)警告NR 024
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
141200Z近22.0N 111.4E
過去六個小時的變動315度07 KTS
位置精確到060海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速075 KT,陣風090 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
重複POSIT:22.0N 111.4E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
150000Z22.9N 110.7E
最大持續風速055 KT,陣風070 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
向量POSIT至24小時:325度/ 06 KTS

24小時,有效的:
151200Z23.8N 110.0E
最大持續風速035 KT,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量36小時POSIT:285度/ 04 KTS

36小時,有效的:
160000Z24.0N 109.2E
最大持續風速020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.2N 111.2E 141500Z位置附近。
颱風(TY)11W(尤特),位於向西約157海裡
香港,以07節的速度在過去的六年西北跟踪
小時數。動畫紅外衛星圖像表明,TY 11W
由於土地相互作用迅速減弱,大部分深
對流局限於向西部半圈。然而,雷達
陽江市中的意象,中國顯示緊密彎曲的條帶包裝
進入定義中心。主要是基於初始位置
雷達成像公平的信心。 TY 11W附近登陸
14/0730Z跟踪西北轉向的影響下
副熱帶高壓脊。該系統是預測放緩,削弱
在未來24至36小時顯著,因為它向西圈。 TY
11W應該由TAU 36消散。動態指導是公平
因此,協議,有高可信度的預測
軌道。這是最後的警告,在這個系統由聯合颱風
WRNCEN珍珠港HI。該系統將密切監控
再生標誌/ /

尤特繼續帶來洪水下雨,SE中國/ Westpacwx更新
發布時間2013年8月15 robspeta

上週三下午,颱風尤特在中國南部登陸廣東西部南部海岸沿線包裝登陸時陣風超過200kph。好消息是,那些風現在在我們身後,和這個風暴系統的強度,通過未來48小時將繼續下降。你可以看這場風暴登陸時的鏡頭。

更多視頻(點擊暴風影片選項卡)

隨著中說,儘管風暴將繼續縈繞在中國南部為熱帶低氣壓,帶來暴雨和洪水的風險。在中國南部的許多地方已經看到了沉重的大量降雨。風暴做了近在洋溪261毫米登陸記錄在過去24小時。沿這與許多其他地方錄製超過200mm。ツTherego任何更多的降雨發生在這裡將落在已經飽和的理由產生洪水的風險增加。

中國氣象局降雨預報

另一方面一直在中國中部和東部大部分乾旱和真正需要的降雨。不幸的是,同樣的高壓力,乾旱也像一個緩衝區保持到南部最大雨量,而不是讓它在最需要它的領域移動。還有少數地區仍然可以看到一點點救濟降雨。但在旱地上,在很短的一段時間是山洪暴發和泥石流/流向發生的良方。

尤特將繼續通過週末在中國南部餵養的水分從中國南海減弱之前縈繞。是風暴帶來了破壞性的大風,並,甚至沉沒香港船舶西南。但通過在未來數天的大雨和洪水將是最高的故事。

下面是從氣象學家羅伯特SPETA的最新視頻更新

– westernpacificweather.com
其他報告

來自英國的:

颱風尤特登陸中國southeast

14 08 2013

颱風Utor是目前強熱帶cyclone,最近陽江附近登陸,中國東南,這是香港與張江approximately中途。目前Utormoving慢慢西北偏北方向,並有望繼續沿著這條軌道,未來三天,削弱,因為它仍然是陸路。

颱風尤特

颱風Utor的影響已經波及菲律賓,4人死亡,家園和農作物被毀。強風和高波與Utor相關可能也已經關閉香港港口的大型貨輪沉沒的一個因素。

暴雨expected非常中國東南部的強降雨導致150200毫米的預測,在未來24小時內,特別是附近Zhangjiang陽江。這可能會造成嚴重的洪澇災害,山洪暴發和山體滑坡。

颱風尤特

重大風暴潮發生在Phillipines是expected加強在中國東南部的洪水。預測顯示,香港和陽江之間的正常潮汐2.4米以上的高峰風暴潮。這也將伴隨著非常高的波會造成過一流的港口和沿海洪水防禦。風將繼續是非常強的,至少在未來24小時內,將繼續影響電源線和交通基礎設施。

強降雨的主要領域是expected將在週四和週五的北部和東部與降雨量非常大的積累(150每天200毫米),預計在廣東省北部導致進一步的山洪和山體滑坡。

在Twitter上關注@ metofficestorms熱帶風暴,颶風和颱風的最新更新。
海事

航運熱帶氣旋警告

15/Aug/2013 09:30 HKT發行公告

熱帶氣旋警告

強烈熱帶風暴尤特(1311)已經減弱為熱帶風暴,中心氣壓988百帕。 150000 UTC 60海裡內的兩個三分一個度以北(23.1 N)的一個零點八度,東部(110.8 E)為中心,預計在接下來的24小時內到西北偏北方向移動約5海裡。

中心附近的最大風速估計為40海裡。

超過33節風半徑60海裡。
半徑180海裡超過2米的海浪。

由香港天文台會發出這個熱帶風暴沒有進一步的警告,除非再次激化發生。

預測位置和強度在160000 UTC
消散土地。

香港天文台的熱帶氣旋警告航運發出了大約一個半小時​​後的觀察時間。他們將更多的信息來自地面和高空資料,因此可能會略有不同的實時衛星或每小時公眾公告中給出的基於雷達的位置。

的不確定性,平均誤差的基礎上,最新分析位置,24,48和72小時預報持倉30,150,250和350公里的順序。

熱帶氣旋路徑

METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600
WTJP21 RJTD 150600
警告150600。
警告有效160600。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
1311熱帶風暴尤特(1311)994 HPA
AT 23.7N 111.0E華南向北移動06 KNOTS。
POSITION不錯。
MAX大風35海裡。
超過30個結風半徑210公里東南半圓100
MILES ELSEWHERE。
預測位置在85英里半徑24.5N 110.4E 160600UTC
70%的概率圓。
1000百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。

日本氣象廳。

METAREA11 / / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA的0600
WWCI50 BABJ 150600
2:31:11:11:00
BT
PAN PAN =
北京NMC發出消息:第十一NAVAREA(IOR)
AT 1015UTC 8月15日2013 =
更新消息是每06小時=
概要有效的0600UTC AUG。 15 =
預測有效0600UTC AUG。 16 =
WARNNING =
1311(1311)TD尤特AT 23.6N 110.9E移動995HPA
​​7KM / H和MAX WINDS中心附近16M / S =
摘要=
西南風從11到16M / S GUST 17到24M / S SEAS UP
3.0M華北與中西部部件的南
中國海=
西南風從08到12M / S陣風16M / S SEAS UP
在中東部和西南部的部分南美2.5M
中國海和安達曼海=
霧燈觀察到渤海灣水平
能見度小於10KM =
水平能見度不到10公里,也超過
巽他海峽以東海域新加坡和LAUT
馬魯古=
預測=
西南風從08到12M / S 1.5 OVER海域
渤海,渤海海峽及北,中
黃海,巴士海峽及零件
中國南海東南部=
從08到12M / S 1.5M OVER海域的東南風
黃海南部=
風從11到20M / S陣風24M / S SEAS可達3.5M
OVER中國南海西北部和
瓊州海峽與北部灣=
西南風從11到16M / S陣風20M / S SEAS UP
對東北,中部和西南部部分2.5M
中國南海=

METAREA11 / / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_HONG_KONG_CHINA的0600

WWHK82 VHHH 150600
40:1:31:11:01:00
香港氣象服務提供了以下
警告/信息為南中國南海。
警告
無。
內容簡介(150600UTC)及24小時預報
不穩定的天氣與熱帶低氣壓
尤特(1311)的影響,華南北部的部分中國
SEA(SCS)和北部灣。
大湧浪/ SEAS
SWELL S至的中部和北部地區,西南3 M OVER
公務員事務局局長。
雷暴/惡劣天氣
零散狂風(SQ)SHOWERS的(SH)和雷暴(TS)
OVER的一部分,南海北部,台灣附近海域
Tonkin海灣。
隔離SQ SH和TS OVER呂宋島附近海域和海灣
泰國。
海霧/低能見度
能見度向下到200O M IN SQ SH和TS。

China: Tropical Cyclone Rumbia/Gorio: No longer valid, outdated (151013) – 020713 1520z

(Image: wunderground.com) West Pacific IR loop (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, please call at telephone
numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to
www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

(Scroll down for translation to Filipino and Chinese

Mag-scroll pababa para sa pagsasalin sa Filipino at Chinese

向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)
Hong Kong Observatory
ZCZC 238
WTPQ20 BABJ 021200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD RUMBIA 1306 (1306) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC
00HR 24.1N 108.4E 998HPA 16M/S
P12HR NW 25KM/H=
NNNN

Japan Meteorological agency RSMC Tokyo Tropical Cyclone Advisory

(Image: JMA) 5 day track/intensity forecast

TD
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 2 July 2013

<Analyses at 02/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N2400′(24.0)
E10800′(108.0)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 017 (FINAL)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
020000Z — NEAR 21.4N 110.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 110.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 109.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 231 NM
EASTWARD OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A WEAKENING TREND IN THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF
THE SYSTEM AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE. RADAR
IMAGERY FROM HAIKOU, CHINA, SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING HAS BECOME
LESS DEFINED AND CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT AS STRONG (25-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. TS 06W IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF
LAND AND FURTHER INCREASING VWS ERODE THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN
Westernpacificweather

Rumbia weakens, Strong Storm floods NE China, next Korea and Japan

“Tropical Storm Rumbia made landfall during the early morning hours on Tuesday bringing gale force winds and heavy rainfall the southernmost portions of China.

The storm is expected to rapidly weaken through Wednesday as it looses its moisture source and friction over southern china tears the base of the storm apart. Still up to 200mm can be expected in some isolated areas in Yunnan province and parts of Northern Vietnam as the storm drops all the rainfall it carried ashore.

Rumbia has been blamed for seven deaths in the Philippines. Six of them children under the age of 10 and all the deaths only coming from two families aboard an overturned boat.  This is why we stress to always make safe decisions and if your not sure if something is safe or not. There is a good chance it is not. It would always be best just to wait for the weather to pass.

Today we are now turning our attention north at a large low pressure system in North East china which is riding atop of the rainy season boundary which has been impacting the weekend the past several weeks. The Yangzi river basin was sharing in on this sour weather but now the boundary is shifting farther north and creating yet more flooding conditions along the way. In Hebei province 213mm of rainfall was reported in the past 24hrs. Now the storm will still likely bring flash flooding to the region, but it is also working its way east. So through Tuesday night in to Wednesday parts of far east Russia, and the Korean Peninsula will receive some of the

Korea Radar

heaviest rainfall along with thunderstorms. The wet and unstable weather will increase from this storm system in Japan producing widespread showers across most of the country on Wednesday.  Heaviest stuff in the Sea of Japan coast and through much of Western Japan. Tokyo could still see a thunder shower or two flare up in the afternoon hours as temperatures climb in to the high 20s.

Okinawa on the other hand will remain relatively dry with only tropical showers possible near the southern Japanese islands. The rainy season officially ended in the Amami region on Monday and now it is still shifting farther north bringing with it the persistent and sour weather showers that were hitting the area in June.

On the tail end of the rainy season front wide spread showers will still be expected through Central China and North of the Yangzi river basin.  Wide spread accumulations up to 50-100mm can be expected here with isolated amounts exceeding 200mm.  In Sichuan province severe floods were seen this past weekend due to this frontal area creating havoc in many towns in villages across central portions of the country. 11 deaths have been reported due to the heavy rains.

A weak tropical wave is also impacting the Philippines with heavy rain showers and scattered thunderstorms today. Already a few locations have lost power due to isolated stronger cells. –westernpacificweather.com

 

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

 

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 21.4 N 110.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1306 RUMBIA (1306) 996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 25.1N 107.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 27.6N 105.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Filipino (Google translation)

PAGASA-DOST
Tropical bagyo Update
Sa ngayon, walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad (par).

Chinese (Google translation):

(圖片提供:wunderground.com)西太平洋IR迴路(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)
風暴中心的衛星圖像
(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

PAGASA外輪理貨
PAGASA外輪理貨
熱帶氣旋更新
截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區(PAR)存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,請撥打電話
927-1335和927-2877或登錄
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph&#12290;

(向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯

磁渦旋pababa第一個pagsasalin一個菲律賓人在中國
向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)

日本氣象廳東京RSMC熱帶氣旋諮詢

(圖片提供:JMA)5天軌道/強度預測

TD
2013年7月,在12:45 UTC發行
在2月12日UTC> <Analyses
秤 –
強度 –
TD
中心位置N2400’(24.0)
E10800’(108.0)
方向和速度機芯淨重30公里每小時(15克拉)
中央壓力1000hPa

聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)
TC警告圖形
(點擊圖片源)

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶風暴06W(溫比亞)警告NR 017(決賽)
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
020000Z —近21.4N 110.0E
運動過去六小時 – 325度11 KTS
位置精確到060海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 050 KT,陣風065 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
重複POSIT:21.4N 110.0E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量24 HR POSIT:330度/ 10節

24小時,有效的:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.1N 109.6E 020300Z位置附近。
熱帶風暴(TS)06W(溫比亞),位於約231 nm
向東,越南河內西北以11節的速度跟踪
在過去的六個小時。動畫多光譜衛星圖像
繼續描繪出疲軟態勢的整體結構
深對流系統持續減少。雷達
從海口,中國,圖像顯示緊密彎已成為BANDING
定義和對流變淺。上級分析
揭示了一個惡劣的環境強(25-35節)垂直風
剪切(VWS)已成為主要特徵。 TS 06W有望
繼續跟踪北西北沿西北
西南邊緣通過STR預測期內
在未來24小時內就會消失的摩擦效應
侵蝕土地,並進一步增加VWS系統。這是最後的
此系統的珍珠港HI聯合颱風WRNCEN的警告。
該系統將密切監察再生的跡象。/ /

Westernpacificweather
溫比亞減弱,強暴雨洪水中國東北,明年韓國和日本
2013年7月2由robspeta未發布

熱帶風暴溫比亞在上週二清晨登陸,帶來強風和暴雨中國最南端的部分。

風暴預計將迅速減弱至週三,因為它失去其水分來源和摩擦在中國南部的眼淚風暴除了基地。仍可達200mm,可以預計,在一些偏遠地區的雲南省和越南北部的部分地區風暴下降的降雨進行上岸。

溫比亞已被指責為七人死亡,菲律賓。其中六人未滿10歲的兒童和所有死亡掀翻船一艘來自兩個家庭。答:這是為什麼我們總是強調安全的決定,如果你不知道,如果事情是安全與否。這是一個很好的機會,它不是。這將永遠是最好的,只是等待天氣通過。

今天,現在我們把我們的注意力在一個大型低壓系統已影響到週末在過去幾個星期的雨季邊界之上這是騎在中國東北部北部。長江流域分享這種酸酸的天氣,但現在的邊界轉向更遠的北方,一路上和創造更多的洪水條件。河北省降雨213毫米是在過去24小時。現在風暴仍可能會帶來山洪的地區,但它也正在一路向東。因此,通過週二晚上(星期三)俄羅斯遠東地區,朝鮮半島會收到一些

韓國雷達

最重的降雨以及雷暴。潮濕和不穩定的天氣將增加從這場風暴系統在日本廣泛陣雨在大多數國家Wednesday.最重的東西在日本海沿岸,並通過了西日本。東京仍然可以看到一個雷陣雨或兩個火炬在下午隨著氣溫攀升到20。

唯一的熱帶陣雨可能在日本南部島嶼附近沖繩另一方面將保持相對乾燥。雨季正式在奄美地區在週一結束,現在它仍然是轉向更遠的北方帶來了它的持久性和的酸味天氣陣雨擊中該地區在6月。

在雨季前廣為流傳淋浴的尾部仍然可以通過揚子江basin.廣泛傳播藏中國中部和北部50-100mm的預期,在這裡可以預期與隔離金額超過200mm.四川省嚴重的洪澇災害,看到過去的這個週末,由於這個額葉區域,跨國家的中央部分村莊造成嚴重破壞,在許多城鎮。已報告11人死亡,由於大雨。

一個弱的熱帶波也影響菲律賓今天有大雨陣雨和分散的雷暴。少數地方已經失去動力由於孤立更強的細胞。westernpacificweather.com

TSR logoNW太平洋發出暴風警報在7月2,2013 0:00 GMT(最後警告)

熱帶風暴溫比亞(06W)目前位於近21.4東經110.0 E的預測,取得土地的可能性(次)在給定的領先時間(s):

黃色警示國家(S)或省(S)
中國
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為25%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S)
湛江(21.2 N,110.3)
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為10%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
茂名(21.9東經110.9)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
北海(21.6 N,109.2)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
南寧(22.8 N,108.3)
變性人的概率是65%,在12小時內

需要注意的是
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30%的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風,63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
海事

航運熱帶氣旋警告
METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
警告020600。
警告有效030600。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
1306熱帶風暴溫比亞(1306)996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E華南西北移動10海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風35海裡。
超過30節的風速120公里東半圓和90英里半徑
在別處。
預測位置在50英里半徑25.1N 107.1E 021800UTC
70%的概率圓。
1000百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。
預測位置在75英里半徑27.6N 105.5E 030600UTC
70%的概率圓。
1002百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。

日本氣象廳。

China: Hong Kong passenger ferry ‘First Ferry III’ hits barge in thick fog, 31 injured – 060413 1410z

(Photo: news.com.au) Firefighters take pictures of the Lamma IV passenger boat, with the back end of the vessel badly damaged after a collision, near the shores of Hong Kong’s Lamma island.

Thirty-one people were injured in a collision between a passenger ferry and another vessel off Hong Kong island late Friday, police said, in the latest accident to hit the city’s frenetic waters.

“The ferry crashed with another ship. Right now the injured people have been transported to the dock,” a police spokeswoman said, adding that 11 of the injured had been admitted to hospital.
The ferry, which was bound for the island of Cheung Chau, reached its destination but police were unable to provide details about the status of the other vessel, thought to be a barge.
Thirty-eight people were killed and scores injured when a ferry collided with a pleasure boat in October, Hong Kong’s worst maritime disaster in 40 years which raised questions about safety in one of the world’s busiest harbours.
Researchers say that while it remains one of the world’s safest ports, increased vessel traffic and risks associated with land reclamation works along the harbour front call for urgent government attention.
A government report into the October collision, which occurred near Lamma island, is due later this month.
Saturday, 06 April, 2013 at 04:00 (04:00 AM) UTC RSOE

News Reports

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/7f/SCMPlogo.gif

Thirty injured as Cheung Chau ferry collides with barge

(Photo: scmp.com) Members of the St John’s Ambulance wait at Cheung Chau ferry pier

(Photo: scmp.com) Ambulances parked outside Cheung Chau ferry pier in Central.

 

New World First vessel collides with barge in foggy conditions on way to Cheung Chau

More than 30 people were injured when a passenger ferry collided with a barge as it approached Cheung Chau last night.

At least three passengers on the New World First Ferry vessel sailing from Central to the island were seriously injured, the company told Cable TV. At least one of the injured was late last night being returned to the city for treatment.

It was the first major collision at sea since the deadly National Day crash off Lamma Island last year, which claimed 39 lives.

A New World First Ferry spokeswoman told TVB: “Our vessel hit a barge Most injured passengers sustained minor injuries – only one or two have more serious injuries.”

Our vessel hit a barge Most injured passengers sustained minor injuries – only one or two have more serious injuries
New World First Ferry spokeswoman

The vessels collided in waters south of Hei Ling Chau shortly after 9.30pm, police said. The impact damaged the ferry’s bow.

The First Ferry III, left Central at 9pm and headed for Cheung Chau, a New World spokeswoman said.

Cheung Chau resident Martin Williams said a friend who was on the ferry told him he “couldn’t tell where the ferry was, as the fog was so thick, and wasn’t even really sure which harbour they had entered”.

Cheung Chau Rural Committee chairman Yung Chi-ming, who inspected the ferry when it reached Cheung Chau, said the bow of the vessel had been hit.

Passengers in the front rows were thrown from their seats and down the stairs, said Islands district councillor Lee Kwai-chun, who was on board. “Some were bleeding from injuries to their mouths and necks,” Lee said.

A passenger who was speaking by phone an hour after the collision said a relative was still bleeding from his forehead. “It was a big crash,” he said. ” Some passengers were thrown out of their seats.”

Lee said there might have been water coming into a compartment, but a watertight door had “worked”. The captain had asked passengers to put on their life jackets after the collision, she said. Pictures circulating online showed passengers wearing life jackets as they sat in the ferry waiting to be rescued.

Hong Kong ferry with 120 aboard sinks: 38 killed,100+ injured, 7 crew arrested 中文 – Updated 021012 1510Z

Latest update at bottom of page

最新的更新頁面底部的

 

“A ferry collided with a boat in waters off  Lamma Island on Monday night, knocking passengers into the sea.

Police said 101 people had been rescued so far in waters off Yung Shue Wan. Eight people, including three children, were sent to Queen Mary Hospital. At least one was unconscious.

The accident happened at about 8.30pm when a Hong Kong and Kowloon Ferry vessel collided with a kaito (taxi boat) that had been rented by Hong Kong Electric for staff activities in waters just off Yung Shue Wan.

There were 124 people on the HK Electric boat. The party had set off from Lamma to Central to watch the National Day celebrations.

It was unclear whether anyone died. One of the vessels partially sank, with half of it sticking out of the water at an angle of 90 degrees.

A man brought ashore at the pier near South Horizons in Aberdeen said: “After 10 minutes out a boat crashed into ours from the side at very high speed. The rear of the ferry started to sink. I suddenly found myself deep under the sea. I swam hard and tried to grab a life buoy. I don’t know where my two kids are.”

Another woman at the pier said: “I swam for a long time to the surface and swallowed a lot of water. Then I found a rescue boat.”

About a dozen passengers waiting for ambulances at the pier were wrapped with blankets and aluminium foil to keep warm.

The HK Electric boat was carrying 121 staff and family members and three crew members. It was on the way to watch the National Day fireworks display over Victoria Harbour when it hit the other boat five minutes after leaving Lamma, said a spokesman for HK Electric.

He said the boat can accommodate more than 200 passengers, and there were sufficient rescue facilities on the vessel.

The ferry was operated by Hong Kong and Kowloon Ferry, which said several of its passengers were injured during the incident. The ferry was headed to Lamma Island from Hong Kong Island.

Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying arrived at the South Horizons pier at about 10.45pm. He said the government’s emergency co-ordination centre was now helping the rescue efforts.

“Relevant government departments are making all-out efforts to rescue people who fell into the sea after the collision. Senior officials and I will closely monitor the situation. We will do whatever we can,” he said.

Secretary for Food and Health Ko Wing-man arrived at Queen Mary Hospital about 10.45pm to inspect the rescue operation.

A police officer said 20 survivors were admitted to Queen Mary Hospital, and the rest were sent to Ruttonjee Hospital in Wan Chai and Eastern Hospital.” – South China Morning Post

“A ferry and a tug boat have collided off Hong Kong, injuring more than 20 people, police say.

The ferry, which was carrying more than 120 passengers, sank after Monday night’s collision near Lamma island.

Search teams had rescued some 74 people from the water, Reuters news agency reported.

More than 20 people had been taken to a hospital on Lamma island with injuries as the rescue operation continued, a police spokesman was quoted as saying.

Lamma lies some three kilometres (two miles) south-west of Hong Kong island, and is popular with tourists and expatriates.

Hong Kong is one of the world’s busiest shipping channels.” – BBC News

Meanwhile AFP.com reports:

“More than 20 people were injured in a collision between a ferry and another commercial vessel off Hong Kong late Monday, police said.

Search and rescue operations were under way for around 80 other people who were involved in the accident near Lamma island, a police spokesman said.

“Around 100 persons were involved in this accident… The rescue is still ongoing,” the spokesman told AFP.

22 people had been rushed to hospital with various injuries, he added.”

Chinese:

“渡輪相撞在南丫島對開海面的一艘船在週一晚上敲入海的乘客。
警方說 101 人迄今獲救榕樹灣沿岸水域。8 人,包括三名兒童被送往瑪麗醫院。至少一個是昏迷不醒。
事故發生在約 8:30 下午當香港和九龍渡輪船隻相撞已渡 (的士船) 租用的香港電燈的公正的水域內的工作人員活動關閉榕樹灣。
港元電動船上有 124 人。該締約方已從出發南丫島向中央觀看國慶慶祝活動。
目前還不清楚是否有人死亡。其中一艘部分沉沒,一半露出水面在 90 度角。
一名男子在香港仔說: 海怡半島附近的碼頭上岸:”10 分鐘出一艘船撞到我們從很高的速度在側後。渡輪的後方開始下沉。我突然發現自己深海下。我游努力,試圖抓住救生圈。我不知道我的兩個孩子在哪裡。”
在碼頭的另一名女子說:”我很長時間游到表面,吞下大量的水。然後我發現救援船。
等候在碼頭的救護車的十余名乘客被包裝與毛毯和鋁箔保暖。
港元電動船正在 121 工作人員和家庭成員和三名船員。港元電氣發言人表示: 它是觀看國慶煙花匯演維多利亞海港的上空時 5 分鐘後離開南丫島,擊中另一艘船隻的路上。
他說: 船可容納超過 200 名乘客,並在船上有足夠的救援設施。
渡輪是由香港和九龍渡輪,說幾個乘客在事件中受傷的經營。渡輪是從香港島到南丫島領導的。
行政長官梁振英抵達海怡半島碼頭在有關 10.45 pm。他說,政府緊急協調中心現在説明救援努力。
“政府有關部門正在全力努力拯救墮海,相撞後的人。高級官員,並會密切監察情況。我們將盡我們所能,”他說。
食物及衛生柯永文局長約 10:45 下午視察救援抵達瑪麗醫院。
一名員警說 20 倖存者被接納到瑪麗醫院,和其他被送往律敦治醫院在灣仔和東區醫院。”南華早報
“離香港,造成 20 多人受傷員警說相撞一艘渡輪和一艘拖船船。
渡輪運載超過 120 名乘客,星期一晚上在南丫島附近相撞後沉沒。
搜索隊已救出一些 74 人從水中,路透社報導。
一間醫院的丫島受傷為拯救行動仍在繼續,警方發言人話說: 已採取了 20 多人。
南丫發電廠位於香港島、 西南約三公里 (兩英里) 和受遊客和外籍人士的歡迎。
香港是的世界上最繁忙的航運管道之一,”BBC 新聞
同時 AFP.com 報告:
“20 多人受傷週一晚渡輪與另一艘香港的商業船發生碰撞,警方說。
警方發言人表示,目前正在搜尋和救援行動約 80 參與在南丫島附近意外了其他人。
“約 100 人參與了這次事故……”拯救行動是仍在進行之中,發言人告訴法新社。
他補充說”22 人已被緊急送往醫院與各種傷害。
Update 01 Oct 2012:

Twenty-five people have died after a ferry collided with another boat off Hong Kong, officials say.

The ferry was carrying 121 passengers and three crew to a fireworks display when it half-sank following Monday night’s collision near Lamma Island.

By Tuesday morning, all but one had been pulled from the water. The rescue operation is continuing.

More than 40 injured people had been taken to hospitals on Hong Kong Island, some suffering from hypothermia.

After several hours of searching, rescuers had pulled 123 people from the water around the listing vessel, an FSD official told AFP.

“Among them, 17 were certified dead at scene while eight others were certified dead upon arrival at hospitals,” the official was quoted as saying. – More from BBC News

2012 年 10 月 1 日更新:
二十五人死于與香港另一艘渡輪相撞後,官員說。
渡輪攜帶 121 名乘客和三個船員于煙花匯演時半-沉沒,它之後在南丫島附近週一晚間的碰撞。
到了星期二早上,只有一個已經從水被拉開。救援工作正在繼續。
在香港島,一些患有體溫過低的醫院已經採取了超過 40 人受傷。
經過幾個小時的搜索,消防處官員救援人員已經從上市船隻,周圍水拉 123 人告訴法新社。
“其中 17 人在現場證實死亡另外八人被證實死亡醫院,到達後”官員話說。-更多的來自 BBC 新聞
Update 02 Oct 2012:

“Six crew members from two passenger boats that collided off Hong Kong’s Lamma island, killing 37 people, have been arrested, the territory’s security chief has said.

Leung Chun-ying, Hong Kong’s chief executive, confirmed that 37 people had died and more than 100 had been injured in the disaster, the worst-ever such incident in the territory.

More than 120 people were on board the ferry that sank on late on Monday.

‘Endangering lives at sea’

“Police arrested six individuals this afternoon… They are being investigated for endangering people’s lives at sea,” Security Minister Lai Tung-kwok told a press conference a day after the collision.

“Over 100 people were sent to five hospitals during the incident, nine of them have sustained serious injuries or are in critical condition– Fire Services Department statement

He said three crew members of the company pleasure craft that sank in the incident, and where all the fatalities occurred, were detained along with three from the regular ferry vessel that collided with it near Lamma island.

Police chief Tsang Wai-hung said the suspects were responsible for the boats’ operation.

“We don’t rule out more arrests,” he added.

Low visibility hampered rescue efforts, with many passengers trapped in the flooded upturned ferry before it sank on Monday night, said survivors.

Nine people suffered serious injuries or remain in a critical condition, the government said in a statement.

The accident occurred in the waters off Lamma, an island south of Hong Kong popular with tourists and expatriates.

The passengers of the stricken boat had been on their way to watch a huge fireworks display in Hong Kong harbour when their boat collided with another ferry, filling with water and quickly sinking, fire service officials said.

At least 124 passengers and crew were on the boat, operated by the Hong Kong Electric Company, a representative of the company said.

“Our ferry left Lamma island at 8:15pm [local time; 12:15pm GMT] to watch the fireworks display out at sea, but within a few minutes, a tugboat [ferry] smashed into our vessel,” Yuen Sui-see, operations director for the company, told reporters.

‘Total chaos’

Television pictures showed the red and blue bow of the ferry pointing skywards, surrounded by rescue vessels as government helicopters with search lights circled overhead.

Police said the cause of the accident was not yet known

“Over 100 people were sent to five hospitals during the incident, nine of them have sustained serious injuries or are in critical condition,” the Fire Services Department [FSD] statement said.

The FSD said the rescue operation was hampered by darkness and “many obstacles onboard”. Ng Kuen-chi, the acting deupty director of fire services, told local television that the rescue search was also made more difficult by the fact that the vessel was partly sunken.

Al Jazeera’s Divya Gopalan, reporting form Hong Kong, said that there was “total chaos” on board the vessel as it began to sink.

“Families on the boat were separated, there was total chaos, many people were not wearing lifejackets. Many people couldn’t swim. … People died both in the water and on the way to the hospital,” she said.

Our correspondent reported that Hongkong Electric Company, which owned the ferry, is offering 200,000 Hong Kong dollars ($25,973) as compensation to each family who lost a loved one.

On Tuesday, teams of men in white coats, green rubber gloves and yellow helmets carried corpses off a police launch in body bags. Children were among the dead, local media reported, and at one of the city’s public mortuaries around 50 grieving relatives gathered.

Despite the many casualties, the rescue response was quick. Al Jazeera’s Gopalan said “the fire services department and rescue workers reached the disaster site 18 minutes from when they got the distress call. That’s incredibly quick. That’s what Hong Kong is used to. They have a very efficient rescue system.”

Cause unknown

“Rescue action will continue overnight as FSD cannot rule out that there are still people inside the vessel or missing,” the statement said.

“We thought we were going to die. Everyone was trapped inside– Passenger

The FSD said 28 boats, two helicopters and 20 ambulances were involved in the rescue operation.

Police said the cause of the accident was not yet known.

A male survivor, wrapped in a blanket on the shore, said: “Within 10 minutes, the ship had sunk. We had to wait at least 20 minutes before we were rescued.”

Other survivors said the ship swiftly flooded, trapping many people underwater. Passengers had little time to put on life jackets and some had to break windows to swim to the surface.

“We thought we were going to die. Everyone was trapped inside,” said another middle-aged woman.

The other passenger ferry, owned by Hong Kong and Kowloon Ferry Holdings, made it safely to the pier on Lamma island with a badly damaged bow after the collision, though several of its passengers and crew were taken to hospital with injuries.

The accident occurred over a long holiday weekend in Hong Kong, which is celebrating the mid-autumn festival and China’s National Day on October 1.

Thousands of Hong Kong residents live on outlying islands such as Lamma, which lies about three kilometres southwest of Hong Kong island.

Hong Kong is one of the world’s busiest shipping channels, although serious accidents are rare. Investigations are continuing into the accident.” –  Aljazeera

Chinese:

2012年10月2日更新:

“從兩個客船,香港的南丫島對開海面相撞,造成37人死亡,6名機組人員已被抓獲,香港的保安隊長說。

梁振英,香港特區行政長官,確認37人死亡和100多名受傷的災難,最嚴重的此類事件在其領土。

超過120人的渡輪沉沒在週一晚。

“在海上危及生命

他說:“警方拘捕六人今天下午在海上危及人的生命,他們正在調查,”安全部長黎棟國在記者招待會上每天發生碰撞後。

“超過100人被送往五家醫院在事件中,9人受重傷或情況危殆”

– 消防處聲明

他說,該公司的遊艇沉沒事件中,三名機組人員和所有的不幸發生了,一起被拘留的定期渡輪在南丫島附近相撞三。

警察局長曾偉雄說,嫌疑人是負責船隻的操作。

,“他補充說:”我們不排除會有更多人被捕。

低能見度阻礙了救援工作,許多乘客被困在被洪水淹沒的上翹渡輪沉沒之前,在週一晚上表示,倖存者。

九人受到了嚴重的傷害或保持在一個關鍵的條件下,政府在一份聲明中說。

這起事故發生在南丫島對開水域,港島南區的香港遊客和外籍人士歡迎。

災​​區船的乘客已經對他們的方式來觀看一個巨大的煙花匯演在香港港口時,他們的船相撞,另外一艘輪渡,灌裝水,迅速下沉,消防官員說。

至少有124名乘客和船員們上了船,由香港電燈公司,該公司的代表說。

“我們的渡輪離開南丫島,在晚上8時15分[本地時間下午12:15 GMT]觀看煙花匯演在海上,但在幾分鐘之內,一艘拖船渡輪搗爛成我們的船,”阮水師看到,為公司的運營總監告訴記者。

“亂了套”

電視畫面顯示,紅色和藍色蝴蝶結的渡輪指向聳,周圍的政府直升機救援船隻上空盤旋搜索燈。
警方說,事故的原因尚未

“在這次事件中,超過100人被送往五家醫院,9人受重傷或情況危殆”,消防處,消防處聲明中說。

消防處表示,救援行動受到黑暗“船上許多障礙”。吳權智,代理deupty消防處處長告訴當地電視台說,搜救也變得更加困難,部分船舶沉沒的。

,報告表,香港,半島電視台的迪夫亞Gopalan說,是“一片混亂”在船上,因為它開始下沉。

“在船上的家庭分離,是徹底的混亂,很多人都沒​​有穿救生衣。….人在水中,在去醫院的路上死亡,許多人也不會游泳,”她說。

我們的記者報導,香港電燈公司,該公司擁有的渡輪,提供200000港元(25973美元)作為補償每個家庭失去了親人。

週二,球隊進行的白色外套,綠色的橡膠手套和黃色頭盔的男子在水警輪在裝屍袋的屍體關閉。孩子們之間的死,當地媒體報導,約50悲痛的親屬聚集在一個城市的公眾殮房。

儘管有許多人員傷亡,救援的反應是迅速的。半島電視台的Gopalan說:“18分鐘時,他們得到了求救電話,消防部門和救援人員到達災區現場。這是令人難以置信的快速。這就是香港使用。他們有一個非常有效的救援系統。”

原因不明

“救援行動,消防處將繼續隔夜不能排除容器內的或丟失的,還有人,”聲明說。

“我們認為我們就要死了。每個人都被困在裡面”

– 客運

消防處表示,28船,兩架直升機和20輛救護車參與救援行動。

警方說,事故的原因尚不清楚。

一名男性倖存者,裹在一條毯子上了岸,說:“在10分鐘內,船已經沉沒。我們必須等待至少20分鐘,然後我們被救出。”

其他倖存者說,船迅速淹沒,很多人在水下捕獲。乘客很少有時間穿上救生衣,有些人打破窗戶,遊到水面。

“我們認為我們就要死了。說:”每個人都被困在裡面,另一個中年婦女。

其他客運輪渡,香港港九小輪控股,擁有安全南丫島碼頭上發生碰撞後破損嚴重的弓,雖然幾個乘客和船員被送往醫院的受傷。

這起事故發生在長週末假期在香港,這是慶祝中秋節和國慶10月1日。

成千上萬的香港居民住在離島如南丫島位於香港島西南約三公里。

香港是世界上最繁忙的航運通道之一,雖然嚴重的事故是罕見的。事故調查仍在進行中。“ – 半島電視台

Update 021012 1510Z

BBC: Seven crew now held over collision of two boats off Lamma Island in Hong Kong as death toll reaches 38.

更新 021012 1510Z
BBC: 七名船員現在緩繳的兩艘船在香港南丫島對開碰撞隨著死亡人數達到 38。
Update 031012 2242Z

A British child was among 38 people killed when a ferry and a pleasure boat collided off the Hong Kong coast, the Foreign Office has said.

All those who died were on the cruiser Lamma IV, which was carrying partygoers to a fireworks show to celebrate China’s national day.

It partially sank shortly after the crash while the Sea Smooth ferry was damaged but made it to port.

More than 100 people on both boats were taken to hospital including some who were thrown into the water from the party vessel.

Hong Kong authorities said five children died in the crash, which was the island’s deadliest accident in more than 15 years and its worst maritime accident in more than 40 years.” –  Sky News (link for more information & photos)

Tropical Storm VICENTE (FERDIE): Southern China particularly Guangxi Province should closely monitor the progress of this storm – Updated 24 July 2012 1440 GMT/UTC

VICENTE (FERDIE) rapidly dissipating over Guangxi Province in China…downgraded to a Tropical Storm.

(Image: wundergound.com)
Typhoon Vicente Tracking Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: usno.navy.mil/JTWC)
Multispectral Satellite Imagery
(Click image for source)

VICENTE will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Northern and Central Luzon particularly the western sections. Breezy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to sometimes continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas today.

Residents and visitors along Southern China particularly Guangxi Province should closely monitor the progress of Vicente (Ferdie).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

维森特 (FERDIE) 迅速消退 … … 在中国广西省降至一个热带风暴。

维森特将继续加强西南季风 (aka。Habagat) 跨北部和中部的吕宋岛特别是西方的部分。习习的条件和偶尔有时连续暴雨、 雷暴和狂风骤雨条件将今天预期沿上述领域。
居民和游客沿南中国特别是广西省应密切监察维森特 (Ferdie) 的进展情况。
请不要使用此生或死的决定。这个咨询是额外的信息仅用于目的。请参阅本地警告、 通报、 公告贵国的官方天气机构。
24 July 2012 1512 GMT/UTC:
Weather Channel: Typhoon #Vicente rapidly developed before slamming into China.
天气频道: 台风维森特迅速发展砰进入中国之前。
Photos/recap: http://wxch.nl/PDTWIY
Weather Underground’s Dr. Masters says, “Category 4 #Typhoon #Vicente hits China”
天气地下博士硕士说,”类别 4 台风维森特打中国”
24 July 2012 1550 GMT/UTC: @JournoDannyAsia: HK Observatory has put a Strong Monsoon signal out
24 July 2012 1720 GMT/UTC:

T2K TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PhT Tue Jul 24

External Links for TS VICENTE (FERDIE)
View NOAA-CIRA’s: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0912.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 Day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: Vicente’s Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA’s Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

NDRRMC Severe Weather Bulletins for Tropical Depression “FERDIE”

NDRRMC (SitRep 3): 13 incidents occurred due to TD #FERDIE; 2 dead, 6 missing http://fb.me/MnhdGT9a

Flooded roads in Metro Manila, traffic update & more from TV5 (Quezon City, Philippines)

China: 10 dead after record rain pounds Beijing, more rain to come

Awesome view of typhoon Vicente over Hong Kong (@Dom_Lau) http://pic.twitter.com/ZFavC8WM

Hong Kong ‘Storm of the decade’ – thenanfang.com

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

(Image: usno.navy.mil/JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 09W (VICENTE) WARNING NR 014    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 112.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 112.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 23.0N 109.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 23.0N 107.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 22.9N 105.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 111.6E.
TYPHOON 09W (VICENTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM WEST OF HONG 
KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. TY 09W MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 232000Z AND, AS 
INDICATED IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME 
MORE DISORGANIZED SINCE. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TY 09W 
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE ROUGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN 
CHINA AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36 OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM. THIS IS THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL 
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION.//
NNNN
WTPN31 PGTW 240300
联合/MSGID 进行/GENADMIN 台风 WRNCEN 珍珠港喜 / /
琉璃/热带气旋最后警告 / /
RMKS /
1.台风 09W (维森特) 警告 NR 014
01 活跃热带气旋在 NORTHWESTPAC
基于一分钟的平均最高持续的风速
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
警告的位置:
240000Z—近 22.3N 112.2E
过去的六个小时-12 KTS 300 度运动
位置精确到内 040 NM
基于中心位于结合的位置
卫星和雷达
目前风力分布:
最大持续的风速-100 KT、 阵风 125 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
重复存款: 22.3N 112.2E
预测:
12 小时,在有效:
241200Z—23.0N 109.6E
最大持续的风速-060 KT、 阵风 075 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
向量到 24 小时存款: 270 摄氏度 / 11 KTS
24 小时,在有效:
250000Z—23.0N 107.3E
最大持续的风速-035 KT、 阵风 045 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
作为重要的热带气旋在陆地逐渐消退
向量到 36 小时存款: 270 摄氏度 / 10 KTS
36 小时,在有效:
251200Z—22.9N 105.1E
最大持续的风速-020 KT、 阵风 030 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
作为重要的热带气旋在陆地消散
备注:
240300Z 位置附近 22.5N 111.6E。
台风 09W (维森特),位于约 110 香港西部 NM
香港,一直跟踪西西北地区在过去的六 12 海里/小时
小时。在大约 232000Z,作为登陆 TY 09W
表示在雷达和卫星图像,已减弱并成为
自从杂乱无章的更多。模型是很好的协议中,TY 09W
将继续向西的南部不平的地面跟踪
中国和消失的 36 头在越南北部。这就是
此系统由联合台风 WRNCEN 珠江上最后警告
港口你好。系统将会密切监察的迹象
REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Japan’s Coast Guard: 11 crew rescued, 6 missing from Hong-Kong cargo ship New Lucky VII

 

 

 

Japanese Coast Guard have rescued eleven crew members from a Hong-Kong cargo ship that went missing in stormy seas off the coast of a southwestern Japanese island on Tuesday. Six crew remain missing.

4,000-ton cargo ship, the New Lucky Seven (Photo: marinetraffic.com)

The Coast Guard got a call from Hong Kong’s maritime rescue office before dawn on Thursday.

The office said it had lost contact with a 4,000-ton cargo ship, the New Lucky Seven, with a crew of 17. The ship had reported to its owner in Hong Kong on Tuesday morning from about 100 kilometers west of the island of Amami Oshima in the East China Sea. On board were 14 Indonesians, 2 Chinese and a Taiwanese.

A Coast Guard team consisting of an aircraft and 2 patrol boats dispatched to the area found a large oil slick floating 10 kilometers off that location.

The ship was on its way back to China, carrying timber from Papua New Guinea, when it went missing in stormy seas caused by a freak low pressure system.

Source: NHK World

 

5 crew hurt as fire disables cruise ship near Philippines – Update: Ship repaired & en route Malaysia

Philippine coast guards en route to rescue 1,000 people aboard Azamara Quest, which lost power after engine room fire.

60 British tourists are on board. 5 crew hurt, 1 needs urgent medical attentio

Sky News: Philippine Coastguard say ship has been repaired and is sailing toward Malaysia.

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