China: Tropical Cyclone Rumbia/Gorio: No longer valid, outdated (151013) – 020713 1520z

(Image: wunderground.com) West Pacific IR loop (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

PAGASA-DOST

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

For more information and queries, please call at telephone
numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to
www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

(Scroll down for translation to Filipino and Chinese

Mag-scroll pababa para sa pagsasalin sa Filipino at Chinese

向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)
Hong Kong Observatory
ZCZC 238
WTPQ20 BABJ 021200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TD RUMBIA 1306 (1306) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC
00HR 24.1N 108.4E 998HPA 16M/S
P12HR NW 25KM/H=
NNNN

Japan Meteorological agency RSMC Tokyo Tropical Cyclone Advisory

(Image: JMA) 5 day track/intensity forecast

TD
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 2 July 2013

<Analyses at 02/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N2400′(24.0)
E10800′(108.0)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 017 (FINAL)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
020000Z — NEAR 21.4N 110.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 110.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 109.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (RUMBIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 231 NM
EASTWARD OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
CONTINUES TO DEPICT A WEAKENING TREND IN THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF
THE SYSTEM AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE. RADAR
IMAGERY FROM HAIKOU, CHINA, SHOWS TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING HAS BECOME
LESS DEFINED AND CONVECTION HAS SHALLOWED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
REVEALS A POOR ENVIRONMENT AS STRONG (25-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) HAS BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE. TS 06W IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
WILL DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF
LAND AND FURTHER INCREASING VWS ERODE THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN
Westernpacificweather

Rumbia weakens, Strong Storm floods NE China, next Korea and Japan

“Tropical Storm Rumbia made landfall during the early morning hours on Tuesday bringing gale force winds and heavy rainfall the southernmost portions of China.

The storm is expected to rapidly weaken through Wednesday as it looses its moisture source and friction over southern china tears the base of the storm apart. Still up to 200mm can be expected in some isolated areas in Yunnan province and parts of Northern Vietnam as the storm drops all the rainfall it carried ashore.

Rumbia has been blamed for seven deaths in the Philippines. Six of them children under the age of 10 and all the deaths only coming from two families aboard an overturned boat.  This is why we stress to always make safe decisions and if your not sure if something is safe or not. There is a good chance it is not. It would always be best just to wait for the weather to pass.

Today we are now turning our attention north at a large low pressure system in North East china which is riding atop of the rainy season boundary which has been impacting the weekend the past several weeks. The Yangzi river basin was sharing in on this sour weather but now the boundary is shifting farther north and creating yet more flooding conditions along the way. In Hebei province 213mm of rainfall was reported in the past 24hrs. Now the storm will still likely bring flash flooding to the region, but it is also working its way east. So through Tuesday night in to Wednesday parts of far east Russia, and the Korean Peninsula will receive some of the

Korea Radar

heaviest rainfall along with thunderstorms. The wet and unstable weather will increase from this storm system in Japan producing widespread showers across most of the country on Wednesday.  Heaviest stuff in the Sea of Japan coast and through much of Western Japan. Tokyo could still see a thunder shower or two flare up in the afternoon hours as temperatures climb in to the high 20s.

Okinawa on the other hand will remain relatively dry with only tropical showers possible near the southern Japanese islands. The rainy season officially ended in the Amami region on Monday and now it is still shifting farther north bringing with it the persistent and sour weather showers that were hitting the area in June.

On the tail end of the rainy season front wide spread showers will still be expected through Central China and North of the Yangzi river basin.  Wide spread accumulations up to 50-100mm can be expected here with isolated amounts exceeding 200mm.  In Sichuan province severe floods were seen this past weekend due to this frontal area creating havoc in many towns in villages across central portions of the country. 11 deaths have been reported due to the heavy rains.

A weak tropical wave is also impacting the Philippines with heavy rain showers and scattered thunderstorms today. Already a few locations have lost power due to isolated stronger cells. –westernpacificweather.com

 

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

 

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 21.4 N 110.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
WARNING 020600.
WARNING VALID 030600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1306 RUMBIA (1306) 996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 25.1N 107.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 27.6N 105.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Filipino (Google translation)

PAGASA-DOST
Tropical bagyo Update
Sa ngayon, walang mga tropikal na bagyo umiiral sa loob ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad (par).

Chinese (Google translation):

(圖片提供:wunderground.com)西太平洋IR迴路(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)
風暴中心的衛星圖像
(點擊圖片源)

(圖片:wunderground.com)五天預報圖(點擊圖片源)

PAGASA外輪理貨
PAGASA外輪理貨
熱帶氣旋更新
截至今天為止,有沒有熱帶氣旋在菲律賓責任區(PAR)存在。

欲了解更多信息和查詢,請撥打電話
927-1335和927-2877或登錄
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph&#12290;

(向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯

磁渦旋pababa第一個pagsasalin一個菲律賓人在中國
向下滾動到菲律賓和中國的翻譯)

日本氣象廳東京RSMC熱帶氣旋諮詢

(圖片提供:JMA)5天軌道/強度預測

TD
2013年7月,在12:45 UTC發行
在2月12日UTC> <Analyses
秤 –
強度 –
TD
中心位置N2400’(24.0)
E10800’(108.0)
方向和速度機芯淨重30公里每小時(15克拉)
中央壓力1000hPa

聯合颱風警報中心(JTWC)

(圖片提供:聯合颱風警報中心)
TC警告圖形
(點擊圖片源)

谷歌地球圖形疊加

WTPN31 PGTW 020300
,MSGID / GENADMIN的的/合營號颱風WRNCEN珍珠港HI / /
的SUBJ /熱帶氣旋警告/ /
RMKS /
1。熱帶風暴06W(溫比亞)警告NR 017(決賽)
01活躍的熱帶氣旋在NORTHWESTPAC
基於一分鐘平均最大持續風速
風半徑僅在開放的水有效

警告位置:
020000Z —近21.4N 110.0E
運動過去六小時 – 325度11 KTS
位置精確到060海裡內
基於位置的組合中心
衛星和雷達
目前風分佈:
最大持續風速 – 050 KT,陣風065 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
重複POSIT:21.4N 110.0E

預測:
12小時,有效的:
021200Z — 24.0N 108.5E
最大持續風速 – 035 KT,陣風045 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消散
矢量24 HR POSIT:330度/ 10節

24小時,有效的:
030000Z — 25.8N 107.4E
最大持續風速 – 020 KT,陣風030 KT
風半徑僅在開放的水有效
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋在土地消耗

備註:
22.1N 109.6E 020300Z位置附近。
熱帶風暴(TS)06W(溫比亞),位於約231 nm
向東,越南河內西北以11節的速度跟踪
在過去的六個小時。動畫多光譜衛星圖像
繼續描繪出疲軟態勢的整體結構
深對流系統持續減少。雷達
從海口,中國,圖像顯示緊密彎已成為BANDING
定義和對流變淺。上級分析
揭示了一個惡劣的環境強(25-35節)垂直風
剪切(VWS)已成為主要特徵。 TS 06W有望
繼續跟踪北西北沿西北
西南邊緣通過STR預測期內
在未來24小時內就會消失的摩擦效應
侵蝕土地,並進一步增加VWS系統。這是最後的
此系統的珍珠港HI聯合颱風WRNCEN的警告。
該系統將密切監察再生的跡象。/ /

Westernpacificweather
溫比亞減弱,強暴雨洪水中國東北,明年韓國和日本
2013年7月2由robspeta未發布

熱帶風暴溫比亞在上週二清晨登陸,帶來強風和暴雨中國最南端的部分。

風暴預計將迅速減弱至週三,因為它失去其水分來源和摩擦在中國南部的眼淚風暴除了基地。仍可達200mm,可以預計,在一些偏遠地區的雲南省和越南北部的部分地區風暴下降的降雨進行上岸。

溫比亞已被指責為七人死亡,菲律賓。其中六人未滿10歲的兒童和所有死亡掀翻船一艘來自兩個家庭。答:這是為什麼我們總是強調安全的決定,如果你不知道,如果事情是安全與否。這是一個很好的機會,它不是。這將永遠是最好的,只是等待天氣通過。

今天,現在我們把我們的注意力在一個大型低壓系統已影響到週末在過去幾個星期的雨季邊界之上這是騎在中國東北部北部。長江流域分享這種酸酸的天氣,但現在的邊界轉向更遠的北方,一路上和創造更多的洪水條件。河北省降雨213毫米是在過去24小時。現在風暴仍可能會帶來山洪的地區,但它也正在一路向東。因此,通過週二晚上(星期三)俄羅斯遠東地區,朝鮮半島會收到一些

韓國雷達

最重的降雨以及雷暴。潮濕和不穩定的天氣將增加從這場風暴系統在日本廣泛陣雨在大多數國家Wednesday.最重的東西在日本海沿岸,並通過了西日本。東京仍然可以看到一個雷陣雨或兩個火炬在下午隨著氣溫攀升到20。

唯一的熱帶陣雨可能在日本南部島嶼附近沖繩另一方面將保持相對乾燥。雨季正式在奄美地區在週一結束,現在它仍然是轉向更遠的北方帶來了它的持久性和的酸味天氣陣雨擊中該地區在6月。

在雨季前廣為流傳淋浴的尾部仍然可以通過揚子江basin.廣泛傳播藏中國中部和北部50-100mm的預期,在這裡可以預期與隔離金額超過200mm.四川省嚴重的洪澇災害,看到過去的這個週末,由於這個額葉區域,跨國家的中央部分村莊造成嚴重破壞,在許多城鎮。已報告11人死亡,由於大雨。

一個弱的熱帶波也影響菲律賓今天有大雨陣雨和分散的雷暴。少數地方已經失去動力由於孤立更強的細胞。westernpacificweather.com

TSR logoNW太平洋發出暴風警報在7月2,2013 0:00 GMT(最後警告)

熱帶風暴溫比亞(06W)目前位於近21.4東經110.0 E的預測,取得土地的可能性(次)在給定的領先時間(s):

黃色警示國家(S)或省(S)
中國
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為25%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
黃色警報城(s)和鎮(S)
湛江(21.2 N,110.3)
目前CAT 1或以上的概率為10%
變性人的概率是95%,目前
茂名(21.9東經110.9)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
北海(21.6 N,109.2)
變性人的概率是75%,目前
南寧(22.8 N,108.3)
變性人的概率是65%,在12小時內

需要注意的是
黃色警戒(升高)是CAT 1或以上的介於10%和30%的概率,或者在50%以上的概率。
CAT 1意味著颱風強度至少74英里的風,119公里/小時或每小時64海裡,持續1分鐘。
TS意味著至少39英里的熱帶風暴強度的風,63公里每小時34節1分鐘持續。

對於圖形的預測信息和進一步詳情,請訪問http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
海事

航運熱帶氣旋警告
METAREA11 / / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN的0600

WTJP21 RJTD 020600
警告020600。
警告有效030600。
警告6小時更新一次。
烈風警告。
1306熱帶風暴溫比亞(1306)996 HPA
AT 23.1N 109.0E華南西北移動10海裡。
POSITION不錯。
中心附近最大風35海裡。
超過30節的風速120公里東半圓和90英里半徑
在別處。
預測位置在50英里半徑25.1N 107.1E 021800UTC
70%的概率圓。
1000百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。
預測位置在75英里半徑27.6N 105.5E 030600UTC
70%的概率圓。
1002百帕。
熱帶低氣壓BECOMING。

日本氣象廳。

One thought on “China: Tropical Cyclone Rumbia/Gorio: No longer valid, outdated (151013) – 020713 1520z

Goaty's News welcomes your replies. Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s