Philippines: Typhoon KAMMURI (‘Tisoy’ in PH)(=CAT1 SSHWS) 03/1500Z position nr 13.4N 119.6E, moving W 11kt (JTWC) – Updated 03 Dec 2019 1500Z (GMT/UTC)

Typhoon KAMMURI (1928, 29W)

(‘Tisoy’ in The Philippines)

TYPHOON “TISOY” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER MINDORO STRAIT – PAGASA

KAMMURI is a CAT 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (TSR UCL London data)

 MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS  20 FEET – JTWC

Philippines and Spratly Islands beware!

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Typhoon 29W (Kammuri) Warning #24
Issued at 01/1500Z

wp2919

Google Earth Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 29W (KAMMURI) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 29W (KAMMURI) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
031200Z — NEAR 13.2N 120.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 120.1E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z — 13.9N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
245 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z — 14.7N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z — 14.8N 115.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z — 13.9N 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z — 10.1N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 10 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z — 6.4N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4N 119.6E.
03DEC19. TYPHOON 29W (KAMMURI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z, 040900Z AND 041500Z.//
NNNN

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TY 1928 (Kammuri)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 3 December 2019

<Analysis at 12 UTC, 3 December>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N13°25′ (13.4°)
E119°35′ (119.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 90 km (50 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 440 km (240 NM)
SE 280 km (150 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 4 December>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N14°20′ (14.3°)
E117°50′ (117.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 40 km (20 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 130 km (70 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 4 December>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N15°00′ (15.0°)
E116°00′ (116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 150 km (80 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 5 December>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N13°55′ (13.9°)
E114°00′ (114.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 6 December>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N8°25′ (8.4°)
E112°55′ (112.9°)
Direction and speed of movement S 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure 1008 hPa
Radius of probability circle 190 km (100 NM)

xxx

The Philippines

Typhoon”Tisoy”

Tropical Cyclone: WARNING

Issued at 08:00 pm, 03 December 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11:00 pm today.)

 

TYPHOON “TISOY” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER MINDORO STRAIT.
  • Heavy Rainfall Outlook
  • Between tonight and tomorrow morning: Frequent to continuous heavy (with isolated intense) rains over Quezon and Rizal. Occasional to frequent heavy rains over Mindoro Provinces, rest of CALABARZON, Marinduque, and Romblon. Intermittent heavy rains over Calamian Islands, Metro Manila, Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley, and Cordillera Administrative Region.
  • Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
  • Other Hazards and Information
  • Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals over Pangasinan, southern Quirino, southern Nueva Vizcaya, rest of Aurora, rest of Nueva Ecija, and Burias Island are now lifted.
  • Sea travel is risky, especially for small seacrafts, over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the seaboards of Northern Luzon and Visayas, the western seaboard of Palawan, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Mindanao due to rough sea conditions
  • Gusty conditions may also be experienced in areas in Northern Luzon, especially in the coastal and mountainous zones, due to the Northeast Monsoon.
track-1
Location of Eye/center

At 7:00 PM today, the center of Typhoon “TISOY” was estimated based on all available data at 145 km North of Coron, Palawan (13.3 °N, 120.0 °E )

Movement

Moving West at 25 kph

Strength

Maximum sustained winds of 130 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 160 kph

Forecast Position
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 375 km West of Subic, Zambales(14.8°N, 116.8°E)
  • 48 Hour(Thursday afternoon):655 km West of Subic, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR)(14.7°N, 114.2°E)
  • 72 Hour(Friday afternoon): 775 km West of Coron, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(10.9°N, 113.2°E)
Wind Signal (Areas with TCWS)
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Northern Occidental Mindoro (Abra de Ilog
    • Looc
    • Lubang
    • Mamburao
    • Paluan) including Lubang Island
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
  • Winds of greater than 121 kph up to 170 kph may be expected in at least 18 hours.
Impact of the Wind
  • Many coconut trees may be broken or destroyed.
  • Almost all banana plants may be downed and a large number of trees may be uprooted.
  • Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses.
  • Majority of all nipa and cogon houses may be unroofed or destroyed and there may be considerable damage to structures of light to medium construction.
  • There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services.
  • In general, moderate to heavy damage may be experienced, particularly in the agricultural and industrial sectors.
Precautionary Measures
  • The disturbance is dangerous to the communities threatened/affected.
  • The sea and coastal waters will be very dangerous to all seacrafts.
  • Travel is very risky especially by sea and air.
  • People are advised to seek shelter in strong buildings, evacuate low-lying areas and to stay away from the coasts and river banks.
  • Watch out for the passage of the “eye” of the typhoon indicated by a sudden occurrence of fair weather immediately after very bad weather with very strong winds coming gnerally from the north.
  • When the “eye” of the typhoon hit the community do not venture away from the safe shelter because after one to two hours the worst weather will resume with the very strong winds coming from the south.
  • Classes in all levels should be suspended and children should stay in the safety of strong buildings.
  • Disaster preparedness and response agencies/organizations are in action with appropriate response to actual emergency.
What To Do
  • If the house is not strong enough to withstand the battering of strong winds go to designated evacuation center aor seek shelter in stronger houses.
  • Stay in safe houses until after the disturbances has left the area.
  • Evacuate from low-lying area and reiverbanks and stay away from coastal areas for possible flooding and strom surge.
  • All travel and outdoor activities should be cancelled.
  • Watch out for the passage of the “Eye Wall and the “Eye” of the typhoon.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Oriental Mindoro
    • Batangas
    • rest of Occidental Mindoro
    • Marinduque
    • Cavite
    • Laguna
    • Rizal
    • Bataan
    • Metro Manila
    • southern Bulacan (Balagtas
    • Bocaue
    • Bulacan
    • Calumpit
    • Guiguinto
    • Hagonoy
    • Malolos City
    • Marilao
    • Meycauayan City
    • Obando
    • Paombong
    • Plaridel
    • Pulilan)
    • southern Pampanga (Floridablanca
    • Lubao
    • Macabebe
    • Masantol
    • Sasmuan)
    • southern Zambales (Castillejos
    • Olongapo City
    • San Antonio
    • San Felipe
    • San Marcelino
    • San Narciso
    • Subic)
    • Calamian Islands (Coron
    • Busuanga
    • Culion
    • Linapacan)
    • and western portion of Quezon (Dolores
    • Tiaong
    • Candelaria
    • Sariaya
    • San Antonio
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the the locality.
  • Winds of greater than 61 kph and up to 120 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours.
Impact of the Wind
  • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
  • Few big trees may be uprooted.
  • Many banana plants may be downed.
  • Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
  • Large number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
  • Some old galvanized iron roofings may be peeled off.
  • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities.
Precautionary Measures
  • The sea and coastal waters are dangerous to small seacrafts
  • Special attention should be given to the latest position, the direction and speed of movement and the intensity of the storm as it may intensify and move towards the locality.
  • The general public especially people travelling by sea and air are cautioned to avoid unnecessary risks.
  • Outdoor activities of children should be postponed.
  • Secure properties before the signal is upgraded.
  • Disaster preparedness agencies / organizations are in action to alert their communities.
What To Do
  • Prepare flashlights, batteries , matches, kerosene lamps, or candles and charcoal in anticipation of power failure, first aid kit and store ready to eat foods.
  • Keep your cell phones fully charged.
  • Elevate household things in case of flooding.
  • For fishing folks, secure fishing boats in safe area.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Northern portion of Camarines Sur ( Cabugao
    • Libmanan
    • Pamplona
    • Pasacao
    • Sipocot
    • Lupi
    • Ragay
    • Del Gallego)
    • southern Nueva Ecija (Cabanatuan City
    • Cabiao
    • Gabaldon
    • Gapan City
    • General Tinio
    • Jaen
    • Laur
    • Palayan City
    • Peñaranda
    • San Antonio
    • San Isidro
    • San Leonardo
    • Santa Rosa
    • Aliaga
    • Licab
    • Zaragoza)
    • southern Aurora (Dipaculao
    • Maria Aurora
    • Baler
    • San Luis
    • Dingalan)
    • northern portion of Palawan (El Nido
    • Taytay
    • Araceli
    • Dumaran)
    • Cuyo Islands (Cuyo
    • Magsaysay
    • Agutaya)
    • Camarines Norte
    • Tarlac
    • rest of Quezon including Pollilo Islands
    • Romblon
    • rest of Camarines Sur
    • rest of Zambales
    • rest of Pampanga
    • and rest of Bulacan
  • Visayas
    • Northen Aklan (Malay
    • Buruanga
    • Nabas
    • Ibajay) and northern Antique (Caluya
    • Libertad
    • Pandan
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
  • Winds of 30-60 kph may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. (When the tropical cyclone develops very close to the locality a shorter lead time of the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
Impact of the Wind
  • Twigs and branches of small trees may be broken.
  • Some banana plants may be tilted or downed.
  • Some houses of very light materials (nipa and cogon) may be partially unroofed.
  • Unless this warning signal is upgraded during the entire existence of the tropical cyclone, only very light or no damage at all may be sustained by the exposed communities.
  • Rice crop, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Precautionary Measures
  • When the tropical cyclone is strong or is intensifying and is moving closer, this signal may be upgraded to the next higher level.
  • The waves on coastal waters may gradually develop and become bigger and higher.
  • The people are advised to listen to the latest severe weather bulletin issued by PAGASA every six hours. In the meantime, business may be carried out as usual except when flood occur.
  • Disaster preparedness is activated to alert status.
What To Do
  • Inspect your house if necessary repair/fixing is needed.
  • Clean up drainage system.
  • Harvest crops tha can be yielded.
  • Monitor the latest Severe Weather Bulletin issued By PAGASA every six hours and hourly updates.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

 

 


TROPICAL STORM RISK
University College London, UK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Dec, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KAMMURI is currently located near 13.2 N 120.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). KAMMURI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KAMMURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm winds

 

Current probability of Cat 1 or above winds

 

Other

Hurricane/Typhoon/Cyclone Alerts

K3 DocR

(Image: @RoshinRowjee)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 

WTJP21 RJTD 031200
WARNING 031200.
WARNING VALID 041200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1928 KAMMURI (1928) 980 HPA
AT 13.4N 119.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 14.3N 117.8E WITH 20 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 15.0N 116.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 13.9N 114.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 08.4N 112.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

 

Philippines

Go here (.pdf file) http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/tropical-cyclone-warning-for-shipping

===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

 

Philippines/ Taiwan/ Vietnam/ West Pacific: Typhoon KALMAEGI 27W 19/1500Z 19.7°N 122.5°E, Almost stationary. Wind 65kt, gust 95kt. 980hPa (RSMC Tokyo) – Updated 19 Nov 2019 1648Z (GMT/UTC)

TYPHOON KALMAEGI (1926, 27W)

(‘Ramon’ in The Philippines)

TY “RAMON” MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD AND REMAINS A THREAT TO NORTHERN

CAGAYAN-BABUYAN ISLANDS AREA – PAGASA

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 21 FEET – JTWC

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1926-00-3

 

 

TY 1926 (Kalmaegi)
Issued at 15:40 UTC, 19 November 2019

<Analysis at 15 UTC, 19 November>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N19°40′ (19.7°)
E122°30′ (122.5°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 70 km (40 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 170 km (90 NM)
<Forecast for 03 UTC, 20 November>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N17°40′ (17.7°)
E120°30′ (120.5°)
Direction and speed of movement SW 25 km/h (14 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
<Forecast for 15 UTC, 20 November>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N15°35′ (15.6°)
E118°25′ (118.4°)
Direction and speed of movement SW 30 km/h (15 kt)
Central pressure 1008 hPa
Radius of probability circle 130 km (70 NM)

xxxx

Philippines

Typhoon”Ramon”

Tropical Cyclone: WARNING

Issued at 11:00 pm, 19 November 2019
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 2:00 am tomorrow.)

 

TY “RAMON” MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD AND REMAINS A THREAT TO NORTHERN CAGAYAN-BABUYAN ISLANDS AREA.

  • Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #3 is now in effect over Lal-lo and Allacapan in the northern portion of Cagayan.
  • Rainfall outlook for tonight and tomorrow (Wednesday):
  • Moderate with occasional to frequent heavy rains over Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands and Apayao. Light to moderate with intermittent heavy rains over Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Mt. Province, Kalinga, and the northern portion of Isabela.
  • Residents in the aforementioned areas, especially those living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to flooding and rain-induced landslides, are advised to take appropriate actions, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the Thunderstorm or Rainfall Advisories and Heavy Rainfall Warnings to be issued by PAGASA Regional Services Divisions.
  • Coastal flooding may be experienced in the coastal areas under TCWS #3 and #2 due to high waves.
  • Sea travel is risky, especially for small sea crafts, over the seaboards of areas under TCWS, the seaboard of southern Isabela, and the western seaboard of Zambales and Bataan due to prevailing or forecast rough sea conditions.
  • “RAMON” is forecast to make landfall in Santa Ana-Calayan area in northern Cagayan tonight or tomorrow early morning. Significant weakening is expected during and after landfall due to land interaction and the Northeast Monsoon.
track-6
Location of Eye/center

At 10:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon “RAMON” was located based on all available data including Aparri Doppler Radar at 100 km East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 45 km Northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan (18.7 °N, 122.5 °E )

Movement

Moving Southwest Slowly

Strength

Maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 150 kph

Forecast Position
  • 24 Hour(Tomorrow evening): 140 km West Northwest of Iba, Zambales(15.6°N, 118.7°E)
  • 48 Hour(Thursday evening):80 km North Northeast of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.7°N, 114.3°E)
Wind Signal (Areas with TCWS)
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Northern portion of Cagayan (Santa Praxedes
    • Claveria
    • Sanchez Mira
    • Pamplona
    • Abulug
    • Ballesteros
    • Aparri
    • Calayan
    • Camalaniugan
    • Buguey
    • Santa Teresita
    • Gonzaga
    • Santa Ana
    • Allacapan and Lal-lo)
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
  • Winds of greater than 121 kph up to 170 kph may be expected in at least 18 hours.
Impact of the Wind
  • Many coconut trees may be broken or destroyed.
  • Almost all banana plants may be downed and a large number of trees may be uprooted.
  • Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses.
  • Majority of all nipa and cogon houses may be unroofed or destroyed and there may be considerable damage to structures of light to medium construction.
  • There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services.
  • In general, moderate to heavy damage may be experienced, particularly in the agricultural and industrial sectors.
Precautionary Measures
  • The disturbance is dangerous to the communities threatened/affected.
  • The sea and coastal waters will be very dangerous to all seacrafts.
  • Travel is very risky especially by sea and air.
  • People are advised to seek shelter in strong buildings, evacuate low-lying areas and to stay away from the coasts and river banks.
  • Watch out for the passage of the “eye” of the typhoon indicated by a sudden occurrence of fair weather immediately after very bad weather with very strong winds coming gnerally from the north.
  • When the “eye” of the typhoon hit the community do not venture away from the safe shelter because after one to two hours the worst weather will resume with the very strong winds coming from the south.
  • Classes in all levels should be suspended and children should stay in the safety of strong buildings.
  • Disaster preparedness and response agencies/organizations are in action with appropriate response to actual emergency.
What To Do
  • If the house is not strong enough to withstand the battering of strong winds go to designated evacuation center aor seek shelter in stronger houses.
  • Stay in safe houses until after the disturbances has left the area.
  • Evacuate from low-lying area and reiverbanks and stay away from coastal areas for possible flooding and strom surge.
  • All travel and outdoor activities should be cancelled.
  • Watch out for the passage of the “Eye Wall and the “Eye” of the typhoon.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Batanes
    • Apayao
    • Kalinga
    • Abra
    • Ilocos Norte
    • Ilocos Sur
    • and the rest of Cagayan
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the the locality.
  • Winds of greater than 61 kph and up to 120 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours.
Impact of the Wind
  • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
  • Few big trees may be uprooted.
  • Many banana plants may be downed.
  • Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
  • Large number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
  • Some old galvanized iron roofings may be peeled off.
  • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities.
Precautionary Measures
  • The sea and coastal waters are dangerous to small seacrafts
  • Special attention should be given to the latest position, the direction and speed of movement and the intensity of the storm as it may intensify and move towards the locality.
  • The general public especially people travelling by sea and air are cautioned to avoid unnecessary risks.
  • Outdoor activities of children should be postponed.
  • Secure properties before the signal is upgraded.
  • Disaster preparedness agencies / organizations are in action to alert their communities.
What To Do
  • Prepare flashlights, batteries , matches, kerosene lamps, or candles and charcoal in anticipation of power failure, first aid kit and store ready to eat foods.
  • Keep your cell phones fully charged.
  • Elevate household things in case of flooding.
  • For fishing folks, secure fishing boats in safe area.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no.
Affected Areas
  • Luzon
    • Northern portion of Isabela (Sta. Maria
    • San Pablo
    • Maconacon
    • Cabagan
    • Sto. Tomas
    • Quezon
    • Delfin Albano
    • Tumauini
    • Divilacan
    • Quirino
    • Roxas
    • Mallig
    • San Manuel
    • Burgos
    • Gamu and Ilagan City)
    • Mountain Province
    • Benguet
    • Ifugao
    • La Union
    • Pangasinan
  • Visayas
  • Mindanao
Meteorological Condition
  • A tropical cyclone will affect the locality.
  • Winds of 30-60 kph may be expected in at least 36 hours or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. (When the tropical cyclone develops very close to the locality a shorter lead time of the occurrence of the winds will be specified in the warning bulletin.)
Impact of the Wind
  • Twigs and branches of small trees may be broken.
  • Some banana plants may be tilted or downed.
  • Some houses of very light materials (nipa and cogon) may be partially unroofed.
  • Unless this warning signal is upgraded during the entire existence of the tropical cyclone, only very light or no damage at all may be sustained by the exposed communities.
  • Rice crop, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Precautionary Measures
  • When the tropical cyclone is strong or is intensifying and is moving closer, this signal may be upgraded to the next higher level.
  • The waves on coastal waters may gradually develop and become bigger and higher.
  • The people are advised to listen to the latest severe weather bulletin issued by PAGASA every six hours. In the meantime, business may be carried out as usual except when flood occur.
  • Disaster preparedness is activated to alert status.
What To Do
  • Inspect your house if necessary repair/fixing is needed.
  • Clean up drainage system.
  • Harvest crops tha can be yielded.
  • Monitor the latest Severe Weather Bulletin issued By PAGASA every six hours and hourly updates.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 AM tomorrow.

xxxx

TAIWAN

Typhoon KALMAEGI (201926) , Center Location 19.40N 122.30E, Movement: SW 21KM/HR. Minimum Pressure 970 hpa, Maximum Wind Speed 33m/s, Gust 43m/s, Radius of 15m/s 100km, Radius of 25m/s 50km. see: https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V7e/prevent/typhoon/ty.htm?


TROPICAL STORM RISK
University College London, UK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Nov, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KALMAEGI is currently located near 19.4 N 122.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KALMAEGI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KALMAEGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    T’aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

 

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm winds

 

Current probability of Cat 1 (US scale) or above winds

 

Other

Hurricane/Typhoon/Cyclone Alerts

K19 DrR

(Image: @RoshinRowjee)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 


WTJP32 RJTD 191500
WARNING 191500.
WARNING VALID 201500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1926 KALMAEGI (1926) 980 HPA
AT 19.7N 122.5E BASHI CHANNEL ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200300UTC AT 17.7N 120.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201500UTC AT 15.6N 118.4E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

Philippines: 19/1000 (PhT) LOW (LPA) formerly “#Mekkhala/ #Amang” 16.8˚N, 122.7˚E – PAGASA – Updated 190115 0930z (GMT/UTC)

LOW PRESSURE AREA formerly 01W Mekkhala/ Amang

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

Mekkhala_sat_anim

Japan Meteorological agency

1501-00 19th

15011915 19th

TD
Issued at 18:40 UTC, 18 January 2015

<Analyses at 18/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N16°00′(16.0°)
E122°00′(122.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 1004hPa

PAGASA-DOST Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration

FOR: LOW PRESSURE AREA (FORMERLY “AMANG”)
ISSUED AT: 10:30 AM, 19 JANUARY 2015

At 10:00 am today, the Low Pressure Area (LPA) formerly “AMANG” was estimated based on all available data at 85 km Northeast of Casiguran, Aurora (16.8˚N, 122.7˚E). This weather system is expected to bring cloudy skies with light to moderate rains over the regions of Cagayan Valley, Cordillera and Ilocos.

Meanwhile, fisher folk and other small seacrafts are advised not venture out into the seaboards of Northern and Central Luzon and the Eastern seaboard of Southern Luzon.

The next update will be incorporated in the 24-hour public weather forecast to be issued at 5:00 pm today while the next weather advisory will be issued at 11:00 am tomorrow.

For more information and queries, please call at telephone numbers 927-1335 and 927-2877 or log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.

10410341_742438229199422_5565964766380787603_n

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

wp0115 19th

 https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/01W_181732sair.jpg
WTPN31 PGTW 182100 AMD
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (MEKKHALA) WARNING NR 022A AMENDED AND
RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
181800Z — NEAR 15.7N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 123.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z — 16.9N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z — 17.9N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 123.0E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (MEKKHALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 142 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BAGUIO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT HAS
BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS IT WAS STRIPPED OF DEEP CONVECTION BY STRONG
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EIR
ANIMATION AIDED BY A COMPOSITE DOPPLER RADAR LOOP FROM PAGASA WITH
FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM NEARBY
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND FROM THE 181500Z PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE. TD
MEKKHALA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 12 DUE TO THE HIGH VWS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: RELOCATED INITIAL
AND FORECAST POSITIONS AFTER ANALYSIS OF UPDATED AND MORE ACCURATE
SATELLITE DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z
IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN

TSR logoTropical Storm Risk (TSR)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jan, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression MEKKHALA (01W) currently located near 15.1 N 121.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

MARITIME/SHIPPING

Find warnings here:

METAREA XI

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Philippines: Tropical Storm HAGUPIT 1422 22W 082100Z POSITION nr 14.0N 120.4E, moving WNW 05 knots(JTWC) – Updated – 081214 2130z (GMT/UTC)

TROPICAL STORM 1422 (HAGUPIT) – JMA

(Now lower than CATEGORY 1 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale)

 TROPICAL STORM 22W (HAGUPIT) – JTWC

Philippines beware!!

(Warning: Images not updating despite being correct on edit, click on most images to go to source. Check comments for interim updates,)

Japan Meteorological agency

1422

TS 1422 (HAGUPIT)
Issued at 18:50 UTC, 8 December 2014

<Analyses at 08/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N13°50′(13.8°)
E120°50′(120.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slowly
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more N330km(180NM)
S220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 09/06 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N14°05′(14.1°)
E119°00′(119.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 09/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N14°05′(14.1°)
E116°55′(116.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 992hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
<Forecast for 10/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N13°30′(13.5°)
E112°30′(112.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 994hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 11/18 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N11°40′(11.7°)
E108°10′(108.2°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp2214.gif

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/22W_081732sair.jpg

 

WTPN31 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
081800Z — NEAR 14.0N 120.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 120.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z — 14.2N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z — 14.1N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z — 13.9N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z — 13.5N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z — 12.2N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z — 10.1N 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 120.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 22W (HAGUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 38 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z,
090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.//
NNNN

Prognostic Reasoning

TSR logo

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Dec, 201418:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HAGUPIT (22W) currently located near 14.0 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com

Storm Tracker Map

Western Pacific Weather

Find A Shelter in Your Area, Typhoon Hagupit Interactive Map (link)

Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby) in Southern Luzon | Afternoon Video Update

Tropical Storm Hagupit (Bagyong Ruby) is now moving near the province of Batangas and could make landfall near the town of Laiya according to PAGASA. While Signal #3 warnings have been lowered by the agency, Signal #2 is still in effect in many areas, including Metro Manila. Bands of heavy rains and strong winds will

Read More…

Tropical Storm 22W HAGUPIT (Ruby) continues its trek across the Philippines. Manila braces for impact.

Monday morning in the WPAC region and tropical storm HAGUPIT, named “Ruby” by the Philippine’s MET service, PAGASA, continues to weaken and work its way to the NW across the Philippine archipelago this morning. The latest information at 08/03z from the JTWC is as follows: Position:              13.4N, 122.4E Location:             126 nm (233km) SE of Manila, Philippines

Read More…

Severe Tropical Storm Hagupit wobbling over the Philippines

Hagupit continues to track west across the Philippines Monday morning bringing wide spread heavy rainfall to southern Luzon and Northern Visayas.  At least two deaths have been officially reported at the time of this update. We have also seen unconfirmed reports in social media but we will wait for casualty reports from the NDRRMC here.

Read More…

Typhoon Hagupit / Rudy Live Webcast

Feel free to ask questions or comments in this live update prior to landfall of Typhoon Hagupit..

Below are some useful “Stay Alive” tips if you wanna ride out a Typhoon:

1. Pruning of large and tall trees will make you safe from damage, reinforce vulnerable ones to the ground if necessary. Keep them away from power lines;

2. Make sure roofing are sturdy to withstand powerful wind and rain. Ensure doors and windows are water tight;

3. Clear your property from potentially dangerous debris becoming airborne during high wind;

4. Free water ways from debris to avoid backing up flood waters towards river estuaries in case of torrential rains associated with the system;

5. Stay clear from the immediate coasts and low-lying areas to avoid being caught up by raging waters. Watchout for landslips if you live near steep elevations;

6. Secure food stocks, adequate potable water supply and medications. Do not forget to safely shelter dogs and other beloved animal companion indoor. Be humane enough. You don’t wanna keep them cold outside in a storm;

7. Keep emergency numbers at hand and orient family members what to do before, during and after the storm. Charge handheld radios, cellular phones and extra battery before electricity is cut from the grid;

8. Listen to emergency broadcast via battery-powered portable radio. Lights would definitely go out during the storm, so you wanna make sure you got emergency lights and torch lights in handy;

9. Keep calm and pray for the Typhoon to come to past safely in your vicinity. We’ll ride out the storm safely.

NEWS

Philippine capital braces for storm, as Hagupit leaves 27 dead

Typhoon death toll rises after storm tears through central islands flattening homes and toppling trees

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 081800

WTJP21 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1422 HAGUPIT (1422) 992 HPA
AT 13.8N 120.8E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 14.1N 119.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 14.1N 116.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 13.5N 112.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 11.7N 108.2E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Philippines: Tropical Depression KAJIKI/BASYANG 011200Z nr 11.0N 118.0E, moving W at 20 knots. Now over West Philippine Sea- 010214 1342z

Tropical Depression KAJIKI /BASYANG

Philippines:

PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL #1(Winds of 30-60 kph is expected within the next 36 hours)

BASYANG HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA.

(PAGASA)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

TD a

TD
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 1 February 2014

<Analyses at 01/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N1100′(11.0)
E11800′(118.0)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 1008hPa

PAGASA-DOSTPhilippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA-DOST) Quezon City, PHILIPPINES

WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER NINE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TROPICAL DEPRESSION BASYANG (KAJIKI)
ISSUED AT 5:00 PM, 01 FEBRUARY 2014

BASYANG HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA.

Location of eye/center:At 4:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression BASYANG was estimated based on all available data at 88 km Southwest of Coron, Palawan (11.6N, 119.5E).

Strength: Maximum winds of 55 kph near the center

Movement:Forecast to move West at 30 kph

Forecast Position:Tropical Depression BASYANG is expected to be at 764 km West of Coron, Palawan by tomorrow afternoon or outside the PAR.

PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL #1(Winds of 30-60 kph is expected within the next 36 hours)

Northern Palawan incl. Calamian Group of Islands, Oriental Mindoro and Occidental Mindoro

Potential Impacts of the Winds
Twigs and branches of trees may be broken
Some banana plants may tilt or land flat on the ground
Rice in flowering stage may suffer significant damage
Some nipa and cogon houses may be partially unroofed
Sea travel of small seacrafts and fishing boats is risky
Public storm warning signals elsewhere are now lowered.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
Estimated rainfall amount is from 5 10 mm per hour (moderate heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the Tropical Depression.
Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboard of Luzon and southern seaboard of Southern Luzon due to the surge of Northeast Monsoon.
The public and local DRRMCs concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

For more information and queries, Please call at Telephone Numbers 927-1335 And 927-2877 or log on to www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9214.gif

WTPN31 PGTW 010900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (KAJIKI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
010600Z NEAR 11.8N 121.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 290 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 121.5E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z 12.9N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z 13.9N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z 14.9N 115.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z 15.3N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
010900Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 120.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (KAJIKI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 171 NM
SOUTH OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z,
012100Z, 020300Z AND 020900Z.//
NNNN

Other Reports

Westernpacificweather.com

Basyang now affecting Northern Part of Palawan

Posted on February 1, 2014

Here is our Basyang Summary

You can download it here:

Baysang Phil Sum


As Basyang traverse Visayas Region it is now currently affecting the last part of its path in the Philippines which is Palawan Province of Luzon Region. The storm has been downgraded by PAGASA into a Tropical Depression and still a Tropical Storm for JMA. Signal No.1 still up in Mindoro Provinces and Palawan as of 5:00 PM today.

With this development Wind Advisory will be still held for Palawan Area and all other Warnings/ Watches/ Advisory are now lowered.

** Remember to refer to your Official Weather Agency!

Westpacwx

More than 18,000 in evacuation centers

Rappler.com
Posted on 02/01/2014 10:42 AM |Updated 02/01/2014 11:55 AM

BASYANG. A handout satellite image made available by the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Adminstration (NOAA) shows Tropical Storm Basyang (Kajiki) approaching the Philippines, Jan 31, 2014. File photo from NOAA/EPABASYANG. A handout satellite image made available by the National Oceanic and Atmosphere Adminstration (NOAA) shows Tropical Storm Basyang (Kajiki) approaching the Philippines, Jan 31, 2014. File photo from NOAA/EPA

“MANILA, Philippines (UPDATED) The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said on Saturday, February 1, that 3,698 families or 18,518 persons were displaced by Tropical Storm Basyang (Kajiki).

Evacuees fled to 74 evacuation centers in Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas, and the Caraga region, the agency said in its Saturday morning report.

Basyang weakened into a tropical depression as of 11 am Saturday, state weather bureau PAGASA said, with only 10 remaining areas under storm signal no. 1.

The Department of Social Welfare and Development already prepositioned P104.30 million for emergency relief resources, which include standby funds (P54.91 million), 48,044 famliy food packs (P11.67 million), and other food and non-food items (P37.72 million).

The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) also suspended sea trips in all ports in Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental and Siquijor. A total of 9,541 passengers were reportedly stranded.

Meanwhile, at least 45 flights have been cancelled since Friday evening, January 31. (READ: Cancelled flights: Saturday, February 1)

Tent cities, hospitals

In Cebu, Saturday classes in all levels have been suspended. The provincial DRRMC said residents living in the tent city at South Road Properties evacuated at the Department of Engineering and Public Works building.

The tent city houses survivors of Typhoon Yolanda (Haiyan) who fled Tacoban and other parts of Eastern Visayas. The worlds most powerful typhoon flattened entire towns and cities, and left million homeless when it hit the Visayas on Nov 8, 2013.

Pre-emptive evacuations before Basyang were also done for at least 550 families in Cebu.

In Bohol’s Loon Hospital, 2 ambulances, 7 medics and 1 generator set were sent to assist in the evacuation of patients who are currently staying in tent hospitals.

Loon Hospital is one of the 14 hospitals in the province that were damaged by the 7.2-magnitude earthquake last October 2013. (READ: New hospitals to rise in Bohol after quake)

The tropical depression is expected to to be either 521 km northwest of Puerto Princesa City or outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Sunday morning.” Jee Geronimo/Rappler.com

MARITIME

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING
WTPH RPMM 301200
TTT WARNING 02

AT 1200 30 JANUARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED AT ONE ZERO POINT ONE NORTH ONE THREE FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METER PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METER PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 311200 ZERO NINE POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST AT 011200 ONE ZERO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX AND AT 021200 ONE TWO POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORT TO WEATHER MANILA PD
WEATHER MANILA

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 0600

WTJP21 RJTD 010600
WARNING 010600.
WARNING VALID 020600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1402 KAJIKI (1402) 1002 HPA
AT 11.2N 120.3E SULU SEA MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 12.2N 117.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 13.4N 115.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 14.9N 112.2E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Vietnam: Tropical Storm Podul 141200Z 11.9N 111.0E, moving W at 16 knots (JMA) likely landfall on Friday in S Vietnam (WestPacWx) – 141113 1630z

Tropical Storm 1331 Podul (JMA)

Tropical Depression 32W Pobul (JTWC)

Vietnam

Tropical Depression Zoraida continues to track west towards Vietnam tonight with a likely landfall on Friday in southern Vietnam. Westernpacificweather

(Di chuyển xuống cho bản dịch tiếng Việt) (Scroll down for Vietnamese translation)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

TD a

(Image: JMA) 3 Day track & intensity (Click image for source)

TS 1331 (PODUL)
Issued at 13:15 UTC, 14 November 2013

<Analyses at 14/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N1155′(11.9)
E11100′(111.0)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more NW220km(120NM)
SE170km(90NM)
<Forecast for 15/00 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N1130′(11.5)
E10850′(108.8)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
<Forecast for 15/12 UTC>
Intensity
TD
Center position of probability circle N1040′(10.7)
E10555′(105.9)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1004hPa
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp9013.gif

WTPN31 PGTW 141500

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141151Z NOV 13//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (PODUL) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
141200Z NEAR 11.8N 111.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 111.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z 11.3N 108.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 16 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z 10.8N 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 110.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (PODUL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 294 NM
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 141200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z AND
150900Z. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 141151Z NOV 13 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 141200).//
NNNN

Other Reports

Haiyan Recovery and a Tropical Depression Landfall in Vietnam Thursday Night Update (Extract)

(G: Have extracted that which relates to Vietnam, for full update go here)

 

Published on November 14, 2013 by

// Westernpacificweather

Tropical Depression Zoraida continues to track west towards Vietnam tonight with a likely landfall on Friday in southern Vietnam.

To call this area of un-organized cloud cover a Tropical System though is kind of a stretch. Regardless of it being dubbed or named a storm though it already has and will continue to bring drenching rain showers for communities south of Hue Vietnam and extending in to Cambodia in to the Weekend.

 

There is the risk of flooding from this storm. Already 50mm has been reported in some out lying islands from the mainland of Vietnam but, it will be nothing compare to the veracity Haiyan brought when it skirted the coastline last week killing 12 people in Vietnam.

. // Westernpacificweather

PLEASE CLICK IMAGE TO DONATE to Philippine Red Cross

Westernpacificweather

Related:

China/Vietnam/Philippines: Tropical Storm 1330 Haiyan 110900Z 22.6N 107.6E, moving N at 9knots(JMA) weakening across S China; New storm for PH 1111131010Z

MARITIME

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141200
WARNING 141200.
WARNING VALID 151200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1331 PODUL (1331) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 11.9N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 11.5N 108.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 10.7N 105.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_HONG_KONG_CHINA / 1200

WWHK82 VHHH 141200
40:1:31:11:01:00
HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING
WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.
WARNINGS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) PODUL (1331): NIL.
SYNOPSIS (141200UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST
THE TD OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA(SCS)
(1331) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS 30
KT WAS NAMED AS PODUL. AT 141200UTC, IT WAS CENTERED WITHIN
60 NM OF 11.8N 111.6E AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE W AT ABOUT 16
KT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION AT 151200UTC: DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS
SWELL NE 3 M OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE SCS AND SEAS
NEAR TAIWAN.
THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER
FREQUENT HEAVY SQUALLY (SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS
(TS) WITHIN 120 NM FROM CENTRE OF PODU L(1331).
SCATTERED SQ SH AND TS OVER THE STRAIT OF MALACCA AND THE
SOUTHERN PART OF SCS.
SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY
VISIBILITY DOWN TO 500 M IN SQ SH AND TS.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your countrys official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Vietnamese (Translated by Google)

Việt Nam : cơn bão nhiệt ới Podul 141200Z 11.9N 111.0E , di chuyển W tại 16 hải l ( JMA ) c khả nng ổ bộ vào thứ Su trong S Việt Nam ( WestPacWx ) – 141.113 1630z

Bão 1331 Podul ( JMA )
Nhiệt ới suy thoi 32W Pobul ( JTWC )
Việt Nam

” Nhiệt ới suy thoi Zoraida tiếp tục theo dõi ty về pha Việt Nam tối nay với một khả nng ổ bộ vào thứ Su ở miền Nam Việt Nam . ” – Westernpacificweather

( Move Down cho Translation tiếng Việt) ( Di chuyển xuống cho bản dịch tiếng Việt )

(Ảnh: wunderground.com ) truyền hình vệ tinh ( Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn )

(Ảnh: wunderground.com ) 5 ngày Dự bo ( Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn )

Cơ quan Kh tượng Nhật Bản

TD một

(Ảnh: JMA ) 3 ngày theo dõi và cường ộ ( Click vào hình ể xem hình nguồn )
TS 1331 ( PODUL )
Pht hành vào 13:15 UTC , 14 thng 11 2013
<Analyses Tại 14/12 UTC>
quy m –
cường ộ –
Vị tr trung tm N11 55 ‘ ( 11,9 )
E111 00 ‘ ( 111,0 )
Hướng và tốc ộ di chuyển W 30km / h ( 16kt )
1002hPa p lực trung ương
Tốc ộ gi tối a gần trung tm 18m / s ( 35kt )
Tốc ộ tối a cơn gi 25m / s ( 50kt )
Diện tch gi 30kt hoặc hơn NW220km ( 120NM )
SE170km ( 90nm )
<Forecast Cho 15/00 UTC>
cường ộ –
Vị tr trung tm của vòng tròn xc suất N11 30 ‘ ( 11,5 )
E108 50 ‘ ( 108,8 )
Hướng và tốc ộ di chuyển W 20km / h ( 12kt )
1000hPa p lực trung ương
Tốc ộ gi tối a gần trung tm 18m / s ( 35kt )
Tốc ộ tối a cơn gi 25m / s ( 50kt )
Bn knh của vòng tròn xc suất 90 km ( 50nm )
<Forecast Cho 15/12 UTC>
cường ộ –
TD
Vị tr trung tm của vòng tròn xc suất N10 40 ‘ ( 10,7 )
E105 55 ‘ ( 105,9 )
Hướng và tốc ộ của phong trào Ty 30km / h ( 15kt )
1004hPa p lực trung ương
Bn knh của vòng tròn xc suất 160km ( 85NM )

ơn vị tnh:
1KT ( hn ) = 1,852 km / h = 0,5144 m / s
1nm ( hải l ) = 1,852 km
Trung tm cảnh bo bão chung ( JTWC )

Google Earth ồ họa Overlay

WTPN31 PGTW 141.500

MSGID / GENADMIN / PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / TROPICAL CYCLONE CẢNH BO / /
REF / A / PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141151Z thng 11 13 / /
AMPN / REF Một IS bão nhiệt ới HÌNH BO / /
RMKS /
1 . Nhiệt ới suy thoi 32W ( PODUL ) Ch NR 001
01 ACTIVE cơn bão nhiệt ới TRÊN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SINH Gi DỰA VÀO TRUNG BÌNH MỘT PHT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ

Ch VỊ TR :
111.6E 11.8N NEAR – 141200Z
CHUYỂN QUA SU GIỜ – 275 ộ tại 15 KTS
Vị tr chnh xc ể trong vòng 060 NM
VỊ TR DỰA VÀO TRUNG TM nằm qua vệ tinh
HIỆN PHN PHỐI WIND :
MAX SINH Gi – 025 KT , Cơn 035 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Lặp lại thừa nhận : 11.8N 111.6E

DỰ BO :
12 HRS, VALID AT :
150000Z – 11.3N 108.6E
MAX sức gi – 030 KT , Cơn 040 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt ới YẾU VỀ ẤT
VECTOR TO 24 nhn sự thừa nhận : 260 DEG / 16 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT :
151200Z – 10.8N 105.4E
MAX SINH Gi – 020 KT , Cơn 030 KT
WIND bn knh c hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
n chơi như bão nhiệt ới YẾU VỀ ẤT

GHI CH :
VỊ TR 141500Z NEAR 110.8E 11.7N .
Nhiệt ới suy thoi 32W ( PODUL ) , nằm ​​khoảng 294 NM
EAST – ng bắc THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CH MINH, VIỆT NAM , ã theo dõi WESTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS VỀ QU KHỨ su giờ. TỐI A YẾU WAVE CAO
AT 141200Z IS 10 Bàn chn . CẢNH BO TIẾP AT 142100Z , 150300Z VÀ
150900Z . Cảnh bo này thay thế và hủy bỏ REF A, PHẦN TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI 141151Z 13 thng 11 TROPICAL CYCLONE HÌNH THÀNH
ALERT ( WTPN21 PGTW 141.200 ) . / /
NNNN
bo co khc
Haiyan phục hồi và một Landfall suy thoi nhiệt ới ở Việt Nam Ðêm Thứ Nm Cập nhật ( Extract)

( G : c chiết xuất rằng c liên quan ến Việt Nam , ể cập nhật ầy ủ i y )

ược ng trên 14 thng 11 nm 2013 bởi robspeta

/ / Westernpacificweather

” Nhiệt ới suy thoi Zoraida tiếp tục theo dõi ty về pha Việt Nam tối nay với một khả nng ổ bộ vào thứ Su ở miền Nam Việt Nam .

ể gọi khu vực này chưa c tổ chức m my bao gồm một hệ thống nhiệt ới mặc dù là loại một oạn . Bất kể n ược mệnh danh hoặc tên một cơn bão mặc dù n ã c và sẽ tiếp tục mang lại tắm mưa ướt cho cc cộng ồng pha nam của Huế Việt Nam và mở rộng vào Campuchia vào cuối tuần .

C nguy cơ lũ lụt từ cơn bão này . ã 50mm ã ược bo co trong một số ra nằm ảo từ ất liền của Việt Nam , nhưng n sẽ khng c gì so snh với tnh xc thực Haiyan mang khi i men theo bờ biển tuần trước giết chết 12 người ở Việt Nam .

. ” – Robspeta / / Westernpacificweather

XIN CLICK IMAGE ể quyên gp cho Hội Chữ thập ỏ Philippines

– Westernpacificweather
liên quan :

Trung Quốc / Việt Nam / Philippines : Bão 1330 Haiyan 110900Z 22.6N 107.6E , di chuyển N tại 9knots ( JMA ) suy yếu trên S Trung Quốc , cơn bão mới cho PH – 111.113 1010Z
HÀNG HẢI
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141.200
CẢNH BO 141.200 .
CẢNH BO GI TRỊ 151.200 .
Cảnh bo ược cập nhật mỗi 6 giờ.
GALE Ch .
TROPICAL STORM 1331 PODUL (1331 ) nng cấp từ p thấp nhiệt ới
1002 HPA
AT 11.9N 111.0E BIỂN NG tới miền Ty 16 hải l.
VỊ TR CNG BẰNG .
MAX gi 35 KNOTS gần trung tm .
RADIUS HƠN 30 Gi nt, nơ 120 dặm NORTHWEST hình bn nguyệt và 90
Dặm ghi ở nơi khc .
DỰ BO CHO VỊ TR 150000UTC AT 11.5N 108.8E VỚI 50 dặm RADIUS
HÀNH 70 PHẦN TRM XC SUẤT CIRCLE .
1000 HPA , MAX Gi 35 KNOTS gần trung tm .
DỰ BO CHO VỊ TR 151200UTC AT 10.7N 105.9E VỚI 85 dặm RADIUS
HÀNH 70 PHẦN TRM XC SUẤT CIRCLE .
1004 HPA .
TRỞ THÀNH p thấp nhiệt ới .

Nhật Bản KH TƯỢNG CƠ QUAN . =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_HONG_KONG_CHINA / 1200

WWHK82 VHHH 141.200
40:1:31:11:01:00
HONG KONG KH TƯỢNG DỊCH VỤ CUNG CẤP SAU
CẢNH BO / THNG TIN VỀ BIỂN NG .
CẢNH BO
Nhiệt ới trầm cảm ( TD ) PODUL (1331 ) : NIL .
TM TẮT ( 141200UTC ) VÀ DỰ BO 24 GIỜ
CC TD VỀ phần pha nam của Biển ng ( Biển ng )
(1331 ) VỚI P LỰC TRUNG ƯƠNG 998 HPA và sức gi tối a 30
KT ược ặt tên là PODUL . AT 141200UTC , là trung tm trong
60 NM HÀNH 111.6E 11.8N và ược dự bo MOVE W AT Giới thiệu về 16
KT CHO TỚI 24 GIỜ .
DỰ BO VỊ TR AT 151200UTC : tiêu tan VỀ ẤT .
Sưng lên / CAO SEAS YẾU
Sưng lên NE 3 M VỀ phần pha bắc của Biển ng và vùng biển
NEAR ài Loan.
Sấm st / thời tiết khắc nghiệt
THƯỜNG nặng có gió th̉i từng cơn (SQ ) Rào ( SH ) và dng
( TS ) TRONG VÒNG 120 NM TỪ TRUNG TM PODU L (1331 ) .
TẢN SQ SH và TS qua eo biển Malacca và
Phần pha nam của Biển ng.
SEA FOG / TẦM NHÌN GIẢM
TẦM NHÌN xuống 500 M TRÊN SQ SH và TS .

Khng sử dụng bất kỳ thng tin trên trang web này ể quyết ịnh sự sống hay ci chết . Tất cả cc thng tin ược thiết kế như bổ sung cc nguồn tin chnh thức . Vui lòng tham khảo cơ quan / chnh phủ thời tiết trang web chnh thức của nước bạn ể cảnh bo ịa phương , khuyến co và cc bản tin .

STS Jelawat (Lawin) 300912 21:45 UTC, nr N40°30′ E142°55′ moving NE at 70km/h(38kt) 985hPa (JMA) (Pilipino, 中國的, 日本人) – Updated 30 Sept 2012 2225Z

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
72hr forecast track
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Jelawat/ Lawin Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
JAPAN RADAR
(Click image for animation/source)

(IMage: JMA)
Hokkaido (East) Radar
(Click image for animation/source)

(Image: JMA)
Hokkaido (South West) Radar
(Click image for animation/source)

(Image: JMA)
Japan – Current Warnings/Advisories
(Click image for source)

Japan Meteorological agency

1217 1217 1218 1218 TD c TD c TD d TD d

STS 1217 (JELAWAT)
Issued at 21:45 UTC, 30 September 2012

<Analyses at 30/21 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
Center position N40°30′(40.5°)
E142°55′(142.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 70km/h(38kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more SE220km(120NM)
NW110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE560km(300NM)
NW390km(210NM)

TS JELAWAT [LAWIN] – Update #031 (Link to Bushman’s Typhoon Blog for more detail)

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (LAWIN) UPDATE NUMBER 32
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Sun 30 September 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warnings/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) JELAWAT (LAWIN) downgraded to a Tropical Storm (Goaty: JMA still has it as a typhoon at 1350UTC) as it moves along the coast of Chubu Region…prepares to make landfall over Southern Honshu particularly Chubu and Kanto Region. Tropical Storm Conditions over Southern and Eastern Honshu will be expected through the night.

Residents and visitors along Southern & Eastern Japan should closely monitor the progress of Jelawat (Lawin).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

Japanese:

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 熱帯低気圧の更新
熱帯暴風雨 (LAWIN) JELAWAT 更新番号 32
17:00 PhT (09時 00分 GMT) 日曜日 2012 年 9 月 30 日
ソース: T2K 分析/JTWC の警告/動的モデル/SatFixes
ビュー: T2K TC 更新アーカイブ (2004年-2012) JELAWAT (LAWIN) それ以上本州南部に上陸する preapres… 中部海岸に沿ってを移動するとトロピカル ストームに格下げ中部、関東地方では特に。トロピカル ストーム条件上南部と東部本州夜が期待されます。

密接に住民と訪問者に沿って南 & 東日本 Jelawat (Lawin) の進捗を監視する必要があります。

生命または死の決定を使わないでください。このアドバイザリは、追加の情報のみを目的としています。親切にあなたの国の公式の天気エージェンシー ローカル警告・勧告・ セキュリティ情報を参照してください。

==============================

http://www.disaster-report.com

24 Sept 2012:

Typhoon Jelawat kills 2 in Philippines

Filipino:

Septiyembre 24, 2012:
Typhoon Jelawat kills 2 sa Pilipinas

Typhoon Jelawat sa Pilipinas
-Dalawang pinatay at dalawang iba ay iniulat na napalampas dahil sa Typhoon “Jelawat” (lokal na pangalan: Lawin).
-Dalawang fatalities mula sa Bogo City, Cebu at Labuan, Zamboanga City. Dalawang iba nawawala mula sa Barangay San Vicente, Sirawai, Zamboanga del Norte.
-Pagbaha displaced ilang 4,000 famailies sa Zamboanga del Norte bayan.
Hindi bababa sa 800 mga pamilya na ngayon naglalagi sa simbahan at Dyimnasyum.
Kaugnay na mga post ng natural na kalamidad:
Tropical Storm Jelawat: Red alerto na ibinigay
Typhoon Kai-Tak kills anim sa Pilipinas
Pilipinas lamang listahan ng mga natural na sakuna
Chinese:

2012年9月24日:
颱風杰拉華在菲律賓殺害2

在菲律賓的颱風杰拉華
– 兩個打死,另有兩人失踪的颱風“杰拉華”(當地名稱:拉完)。
從茂物市,宿霧和納閩島三寶顏市 – 兩個人死亡。兩人失踪,北三寶顏從馬蘭聖維森特,Sirawai的之。
驅流離失所約4000 famailies在北三寶顏鎮。
至少有800個家庭現在住在教堂和健身房。
相關自然災害職位:
熱帶風暴杰拉華已發出紅色警報
颱風啟德殺死6個在菲律賓
菲律賓唯一的自然災害

29 Sept 2012:

Jelawat Heads for Mainland Japan After Slamming Okinawa (Video) http://www.weather.com/news/pacific-super-typhoon-jelawat-20120925

Japan Typhoon Leaves 65 Injured

Sixty-five people were injured in a typhoon that cut electricity to more than 331,000 homes in southern Japan, according to Japanese TV channel NHK.

More than four thousand people were evacuated from their homes near the city of Naha, capital of the Okinawa prefecture, as the typhoon, “Dzhelavat,” swarmed the region with wind gusts of up to 60 meters per second.

All flights from Naha Airport scheduled for Saturday have been canceled.

The typhoon is the 17th of the season to hit the northwest Pacific Ocean.

According to Japan’s National Meteorological Agency, the typhoon is set to hit the Japanese mainland by Sunday. – RIA Novosti

Stars & stripes reporter Dave Ornauer stationed at Okinawa: Jelawat has now begun its express bee-line run toward the Kanto Plain. Landfall is expected sometime early Sunday evening over Hamamatsu in central Honshu, with a near-direct pass over Yokota forecast for around 10 p.m. Winds should still be somewhat hairy, 58-mph sustained and 69-mph gusts at Yokota,  Naval Air Facility Atsugi and Camps Fuji and Zama. Yokosuka Naval Base forecasts 35- to 45-mph sustained winds and 55-mph gusts overnight Sunday into Monday.

Japanese:

日本台風負傷 65 を葉します。
65 人以上 331,000 の家日本の南部に電気をカット台風 NHK によると日本のテレビ チャネルを負傷しました。
台風は、”Dzhelavat、”地域毎秒最大 60 メートルの突風に群がったよう那覇市、沖縄県の首都の近くに家から 4千人以上の人が避難しました。
土曜日に予定那覇空港からのすべてのフライトがキャンセルされました。
台風の北西太平洋をヒットするシーズン 17 日です。
日本の国立気象庁によると、台風日本本土をヒットする日曜日によって設定されます。-RIA ノーボスチ通信社
デイブ Ornauer は沖縄に駐留してスター & ストライプの記者: Jelawat 今そのエクスプレス蜂ラインは、関東平野に向かって実行を始めています。上陸いつか日曜日夕方浜松本州中部にわたって予想される、近くの直接パス横田 22 の周り予想以上で風はまだ幾分毛深い、58 マイルの持続的かつ 69 マイル突風横田、厚木海軍飛行場、キャンプ富士、座間でする必要があります。横須賀海軍基地の予測の 35-45 mph の継続された風と 55 マイル突風日曜日月曜日に一晩します。
Powerful Typhoon affects Nagoya Aichi and causing the evacuation of 56,000 people Japan News »September 30, 2012 8:13
Jelawat The powerful typhoon made ​​landfall on Sunday 30 September at the Japanese main island a day after reaching the island of Okinawa in the south, where local media said its wake left one person dead and over 140 injured in eight prefectures. With winds of up to 180 kilometers per hour, the typhoon number 17 of the year reached the center of Aichi Prefecture and was going up to the main island of Honshu, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency. A man aged 29, was swept away by the huge waves that hit the coast of Okinawa and later confirmed his death, meanwhile, at least 140 people were injured in eight prefectures of Japan, according to NHK. Typhoon is expected to change direction towards Tokyo and arrive early Monday with torrential rains and huge waves up to 10 meters high. More than 500 flights, mainly in western Japan, were canceled on Sunday and some Shinkansen bullet train services nationwide were suspended, Kyodo reported. Local authorities have ordered more than 56,000 people and 2,000 in Nagoya in Mie, evacuate the banks of the rivers that have overflowed, while tens of thousands of people were advised to leave their homes in search of a safe haven, públicaNHK broadcaster reported. Visit Source for videos: http://www.yumeki.org/poderoso-tifon-afecta-a-aichi-y-en-nagoya-provoca-la-evacuacion-de-56000-personas/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter (Google Translation)
強力な台風に影響愛知県名古屋市と 56,000 人日本ニュースの避難を引き起こして» 2012 年 9 月 30 日 8:13
Jelawat 9 月日曜日 30、日本の主な上陸強力な台風島沖縄の地元メディアには、そのきっかけの一人の死者と負傷 8 都府県で 140 以上が言った、南に到達した後一日。風時速 180 キロまでの今年の台風番号 17 愛知県センターに達したし、本州のことが起こっていた気象庁によると。29 歳、巨大な波によって流された彼の死の後で沖縄の海岸ヒットを確認、一方、少なくとも 140 人が NHK によると日本の 8 都府県で負傷した男。台風は東京に向かって方向を変更し、月曜日早く集中豪雨の雨で到着する予定で、巨大な波の最大 10 メートルの高さ。日曜日に西日本を中心に 500 以上の便がキャンセルされた、いくつか全国新幹線鉄道サービスが中断された、共同報告。地元当局は 56,000 以上の人々 と三重県の名古屋で 2,000 避難数万人の安全な避難所を求めて、家を離れることをお勧めされた中に、オーバーフローした川のほとりを命じた、públicaNHK 放送を報告しました。ソースの動画を参照してください。http://www.yumeki.org/poderoso-tifon-afecta-a-aichi-y-en-nagoya-provoca-la-evacuacion-de-56000-personas/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

At least one person killed and 140 others injured as twister with winds of up to 180 kmph hits mainland.

Powerful Typhoon Jelawat has hit the Japanese mainland, sparking the evacuation of thousands a day after it tore across the southern Okinawa island, where local media said it left one dead and some 140 injured.

Packing winds of up to 180kmph, the typhoon reached central Aichi prefecture at around 0700 local time (1000 GMT) and was moving up the main island of Honshu, the Japan Meteorological Agency said on Sunday.

The municipal government of the central city of Nagoya issued an evacuation advisory for 57,000 people living in 21,000 homes, due to the fear of flooding caused by rising river levels in the city, according to Jiji Press.

A further 11,000 were told to evacuate in the city of Ishinomaki in the country’s northeast, Jiji Press reported.

A 29-year-old man was swept away by high waves when Jelawat hit Okinawa and was later confirmed dead, while at least 140 people were injured in eight prefectures, according to public broadcaster NHK.

The typhoon is forecast to churn northeastwards towards Tokyo over the next 24 hours and bring torrential rainfall and towering waves up to 10 metres high.

The meteorological agency predicted rainfall of up to 400mm some areas in the 24 hours to Monday evening, Jiji Press said.

More than 500 flights, mainly in western Japan, were cancelled on Sunday and some shinkansen bullet train services across the country had been suspended, Kyodo said – Al Jazerra

Japanese:

強力な台風 Jelawat は沖縄の南の島全体でローカル メディアそれ左 1 死と負傷したいくつかの 140 言わを引き裂いた後 1 日数千人の避難をスパーク日本本土をヒットしています。

180 Kmph 最大の風をパッキング、台風セントラル愛知県周り 0700年の現地時間 (1000 GMT) に達して、動いていた本州の日本の気象庁は日曜日に言った。

名古屋の中心都市の自治政府諮問避難 21,000 の家庭では、市内の川の上昇によって引き起こされる洪水の恐れによる生活 57,000 人の時事通信によると発行。

さらに 11,000 は石巻市、国の北東部での避難するように言われた、時事通信社は報告しました。

Jelawat 沖縄ヒット後死んで、少なくともしばらくの間 8 都府県では、140 人が負傷したで公共放送 NHK によると確認されたとき 29 歳男高の波で流されました。

Northeastwards 東京へ 24 時間以内に解約し豪雨と 10 メートルの高さまで高くそびえる波をもたらすの予報です。

気象庁 400 mm の降雨は月曜日の夕方に 24 時間のいくつかの領域を予測、時事通信社と述べた。

日曜日に西日本を中心に 500 以上の便がキャンセルされ、全国の新幹線新幹線サービスが中断されていた、共同が言いました。

BBC News video: lifts car into air in Okinawa (link)

Check out these videos on youtube (link)

==============================

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 35.3 N 138.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Japanese:

北西太平洋: 嵐の警告発行で 30 Sep, 2012年 12時 00分 GMT
トロピカル ストーム現在 35.3 N 138.2 E の近くにある JELAWAT (18 w) 土地次の likelihood(s) に与えられた鉛の時間を (s) を打つと予測されています。
黄色の警告国または Province(s)
日本
猫の 1 以上の確率は現在 30 % です。
TS の確率が 95 % を現在です。
黄色の警告スピリットバケーションと Town(s)
静岡 (35.0 138.5 N E)
猫の 1 以上の確率は現在 15 % です。
TS の確率が 95 % を現在です。
東京 (35.7 139.8 N E)
TS の確率が 65 % から 12 時間以内
仙台 (38.3 140.9 N E)
TS の確率が 65 % から 12 時間以内
いわき (37.0 140.8 N E)
TS の確率が 65 % から 12 時間以内
宮古 (39.7 141.9 N E)
TS の確率は 55 % から 12 時間以内
注意してください。
黄色の警告 (高) は猫の 1 以上を 10 % と 30 % の確率または TS に 50 % の確率の上の間。
猫 1 台風強度風の少なくとも 74 mph、119 km/h または 64 ノット 1 分持続を意味します。
TS は熱帯嵐強度風の少なくとも 39 mph、63 キロ/h または 34 ノット 1 分持続を意味します。
予測のグラフィカルな情報とさらに詳細については、http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/をご覧ください。

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPN31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (JELAWAT) WARNING NR 042  
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
301800Z — NEAR 38.6N 140.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 030 DEGREES AT 39 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 38.6N 140.9E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z — 44.0N 149.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 44 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z — 48.0N 160.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 40.0N 143.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 18W (JELAWAT), LOCATED, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTH
OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 39 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED
RADAR REFLECTIVITY IMAGERY FROM JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM NEARBY
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TS 18W IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE
AND ALMOST VOID OF CONVECTION AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
HAS UNRAVELED AND BECOME RAGGED. THE SYSTEM WILL BECOME A COLD CORE
LOW AFTER IT EXITS HONSHU INTO THE COLD SEA OF JAPAN OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.  //
NNNN

Japanese:

WTPN31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/共同台風 WRNCEN 真珠湾こんにちは//
SUBJ/熱帯サイクロン警告//
RMKS/
1. 熱帯嵐 18 W (JELAWAT) 警告 NR 042
02 アクティブ熱帯低気圧の NORTHWESTPAC
1 分平均に基づいて最大の継続された風
風半径オープンウォーター以上のみ有効

警告の位置:
301800Z—38.6N の近く 140.9E
過去 6 時間 – 39 KTS 030 度の動き
040 内に正確に位置 NM
センターの組み合わせによって位置に基づく位置
衛星、レーダー
風の分布の現状
最大の継続された風 – 040 KT, 050 風速で時々 25 KT
風半径オープンウォーター以上のみ有効
温帯低気圧になって
繰り返しを仮定する: 38.6N 140.9E

予測:
12 時間有効に。
010600Z—44.0N 149.3E
最大の継続された風 – 035 KT, 045 風速で時々 25 KT
風半径オープンウォーター以上のみ有効
温帯低
034 KT 風 – 055 NM 北東象限の半径
045 NM 東南象限
040 NM の南西象限
035 海里北西象限
24 HR へのベクトルを仮定: 060 DEG/44 ノット

24 時間有効で。
011800Z—48.0N 160.6E
最大の継続された風 – 030 KT, 040 風速で時々 25 KT
風半径オープンウォーター以上のみ有効
温帯低

注釈:
302100Z 位置の近く 40.0N 143.0E。
トロピカル ストーム 18 W (JELAWAT) に位置し、約 105 海里南
三沢の加速している北米-北東 39 ノット
過去 6 時間以上。初期位置のベースのアニメーション
レーダー反射率の画像と気象庁から
高信頼。初期強度を近くから推定します。
表面観察。TS 18 W 今傾圧ゾーンで埋め込まれています。
ほとんどのボイドの低レベルの循環器センターとして対流
解明および不揃いになっています。冷たいコア システムになります。
それは次に日本の冷たい海に本州を終了した後の低
いくつかの時間。これはこのシステムにジョイントの最終的な警告です。
台風 WRNCEN 真珠湾こんにちは。システムを密接に監視します。
再生の兆しを。//
NNNN

Philippines

PAGASA-DOST (@dost_pagasa)

Public Storm Warning Signals – What do they mean? Pampublikong Babala Storm signal – Ano ang ibig sabihin nila? http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/genmet/psws.html

WEATHER BULLETIN #33 (FINAL)
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT: TYPHOON “LAWIN” (JELAWAT)
ISSUED AT 05:00AM, 29 SEPTEMBER 2012

Typhoon “LAWIN” has accelarated and is now out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility.

Location of eye/center: At 4:00 AM today, the eye of Typhoon “LAWIN” was located based on satellite and surface data at 610 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes (25.5°N, 126.3°E).

Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 210 kph.

Movement: Forecast to move Northeast at 20 kph

Forecast Positions: Typhoon “LAWIN” is expected to be at 70 km Northeast of Okinawa, Japan this afternoon.

* Estimated rainfall amount is from 10–20 mm per hour (heavy – intense) within the 750 km diameter of the Typhoon.

* Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Northern Luzon and eastern seaboard of Central Luzon due to big waves generated by Typhoon “LAWIN” and Southwest Monsoon.

*With this development, this is the final bulletin for this weather disturbance.

WEATHER Bulletin # 33 (Final)
Tropikal na bagyo ALERTO: Typhoon “LAWIN” (JELAWAT)
Ibinigay SA 05:00, 29 Setyembre 2012

Typhoon “LAWIN” accelarated at ngayon ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad.

Lokasyon ng mata / center: Sa 4:00 AM ngayon, ang mga mata ng Typhoon “LAWIN” ay matatagpuan batay sa data ng satellite at ibabaw sa 610 km Northeast ng Itbayat, Batanes (25.5 ° N, 126.3 ° E).

Lakas ng: Maximum napapanatiling hangin ng 175 kph malapit sa sentro at gustiness ng hanggang sa 210 kph.

Kilusan: Pagtataya upang ilipat Northeast sa 20 kph

Pagtataya Posisyon: Typhoon “LAWIN” ay inaasahan na sa 70 km Northeast ng Okinawa, Japan na ito hapon.

* Tinantyang halaga ulan mula sa 10-20 mm bawat oras (mabigat – matinding) sa loob ng 750 km sa lapad ng Typhoon.

* Pangingisda bangka at iba pang mga maliit na seacrafts ay pinapayuhan hindi sa venture sa seaboards ng Northern Luzon at silangang nasa baybayin ng dagat ng Gitnang Luzon dahil sa daluyong na nabuo sa pamamagitan ng Typhoon “LAWIN” at Southwest Monsoon.

* Sa pag-unlad na ito, ito ay ang huling bulletin para sa gulo ng panahon.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

TROPICAL STORM #KAI-TAK(#HELEN) #China and #Vietnam be aware – Updated 18 Aug 2012 1400GMT/UTC

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: usno.navy.mil/)
US Navy Tropical Storm 14W (Kai-tak) Warning #09 Aug 14, 2012
(Click image for source)

 

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

Philippines Doppler Radar (link)

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Laos
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Tây Thái Bình Dương: Cảnh báo bão phát hành lúc 17 tháng tám, 2012 18: 00 GMT (cảnh báo cuối cùng)

Tropical Storm KAI TAK (14W) dự báo để tấn công đất để likelihood(s) sau time(s) cho dẫn:
Màu vàng thông báo Country(s) hoặc Province(s)
Việt Nam
xác suất cho CAT 1 trở lên là 25% hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 95% hiện nay
Lào
xác suất cho TS là 65% trong vòng 12 giờ
Trung Quốc
xác suất cho TS là 60% hiện nay
Vàng báo City(s) và Town(s)
Hanoi (21,0 N, 105.8 E)
xác suất cho CAT 1 trở lên là 25% hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 95% hiện nay
Thái bình (20,5 N, 106,3 E)
xác suất cho TS là 85% hiện nay
Yên Bái (21,7 N, 104,9 E)
xác suất cho TS là 65% trong vòng 12 giờ

Lưu ý rằng
Màu vàng Alert (cao) là CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn để giữa 10% và 30% xác suất, hoặc TS để ở trên 50% xác suất.
CAT 1 có nghĩa là bão mạnh gió của ít 74 mph, 119 km/h hay 64 knot 1-phút duy trì.
TS có nghĩa là sức mạnh bão nhiệt đới gió của ít 39 mph, 63 km/h hay 34 knot 1-phút duy trì.

Đối với thông tin dự đồ họa và biết thêm chi tiết vui lòng truy cập http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
西北太平洋: 風暴警報發出在 2012 年 8 月 17 日 18:00 GMT (最後警告)

熱帶風暴啟德 (14W) 預計將在給定的鉛時間罷工土地給下面的 likelihood(s):
黃色警報國家或 Province(s)
越南
貓 1 或以上的概率是目前的 25 %
ts 的概率是 95%目前
老撾
ts 的概率是 65%在 12 小時內
中國
ts 的概率是 60%目前
黃色警報 City(s) 和 Town(s)
河內 (21.0 N,105.8 E)
貓 1 或以上的概率是目前的 25 %
ts 的概率是 95%目前
太平省 (20.5 N,106.3 E)
TS 概率目前是 85 %
日元白 (21.7 N,104.9 E)
ts 的概率是 65%在 12 小時內

請注意,
黃色警報 (高架) 是貓 1 或以上為 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之間。
貓 1 意味著至少 74 英里每小時,每小時 119 公里或 64 海裡,1 分鐘持續颱風強度風。
TS 意味著至少 39 英里每小時,每小時 63 公里或 34 海裡/小時 1 分鐘持續的熱帶風暴強度風。

有關圖形預測的資訊和進一步的詳細資訊,請訪問 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

TS KAI-TAK [HELEN] – Final Update

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAI-TAK (HELEN) UPDATE NUMBER 017 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Sat 18 August 2012
Sources: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warnings/Dynamic Models/SatFixes
View: T2K TC Update Archives (2004-2012) KAI-TAK (HELEN) downgraded to a Tropical Storm after making landfall over Northern Vietnam. The storm passed over Hanoi City early this morning. Tropical Storm Conditions will continue across the area w/ improving weather later today or Sunday.

Meanwhile, a new strong Tropical Disturbance, tagged 96W (LPA) is rapidly forming over the North Philippine Sea, ENE of Extreme Northern Luzon…and was located about 335 km ESE of Basco, Batanes or 367 km NE of Santa Ana, Cagayan (20.2N 125.2E)…drifting South slowly…with winds of 35 km/hr. A new page will be created on this new system later today if it develops into a Tropical Cyclone.

*This is the last and final update on Kai-tak (Helen).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

TYPHOON2000 (SỨ) TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KAI TAK (HELEN) CẬP NHẬT SỐ 017 ** FINAL **
5: 00 AM PhT (vào 21: 00 GMT) thứ Bảy 18 tháng tám 2012
Nguồn: Sứ phân tích/JTWC cảnh báo/Dynamic mô hình/SatFixes
Nhìn xem: Sứ lưu trữ Cập Nhật TC (2004-2012) KAI TAK (HELEN) hạ cấp thành một bão nhiệt đới sau khi rơi xuống đất tại miền bắc Việt Nam. Cơn bão thông qua thành phố Hà Nội sáng sớm này. Fire Weather Conditions will continue across the area w / cải thiện tiết sau ngày hôm nay hoặc chủ nhật.

Trong khi đó, một xáo trộn nhiệt đới mạnh mới, dán 96W (LPA) nhanh chóng hình thành trên biển bắc của Philippine, Bắc cực Bắc Luzon… và nằm ở khoảng 335 km tây bắc của Basco, Batanes hoặc 367 km NE của Santa Ana, Cagayan (20.2N 125.2E)… trôi Nam chậm… với gió của 35 km/giờ. Một trang mới sẽ được tạo ra trên hệ thống này mới sau ngày hôm nay nếu nó phát triển thành một Severe.

* Đây là cuối cùng và cuối cùng Cập Nhật trên Kai tak (Helen).

Không sử dụng điều này để quyết định cuộc sống hay chết. Watch này là dành cho mục đích thông tin bổ sung. Vui lòng tham khảo của đất nước của bạn chính thức tiết Cục Cảnh báo địa phương, from & bản tin.

TYPHOON2000 (T2K) 熱帶氣旋更新
熱帶風暴啟德 (海倫) 更新號 017 ** 決賽 **
5:0 上午苯妥英鈉 (格林尼治標準時間 21:00) 星期六 2012 年 8 月 18 日
資料來源: T2K 分析/JTWC 警告/動態模型/SatFixes
查看: T2K TC 更新檔案 (2004年-2012 年) 啟德 (海倫) 在越南北部登陸後降至一個熱帶風暴。這場風暴今早掠過河內市。熱帶風暴條件將會繼續過改善天氣今天晚些時候或星期天帶區。

新強熱帶擾動,與此同時,標記 96W (LPA) 迅速形成對北菲律賓海,極端北呂宋烯 … … 和所在的聖安娜、 卡加延約 335 公里 ESE 的巴斯科、 巴坦或 367 公里 NE (20.2N 125.2E) … … 南慢慢地 … …,風速為每小時 35 公里。新的一頁將創建此新的系統上今天晚些時候如果它發展成為一個熱帶氣旋。

* 這是啟德 (海倫) 的最後更新。

請不要使用此生或死的決定。這個諮詢是額外的資訊僅用於目的。請參閱本地警告、 通報、 公告貴國的官方天氣機構。

http://thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

Philippines

Emergency contact information

  • NDRMCC Hotlines: (02) 911-1406, (02) 912-2665, (02) 912-5668; +63917-8916322
  • Red Cross: If you need to be rescued, call 143 and 527-0000. Put a white blanket outside your house so rescuers can locate where you are.
  • MMDA: 8820925
  • Philippine Coast Guard: 0917-PCGDOTC (0917-7243682)
  • Navotas Rescue: 281-8602 / 281-4174 / 281-8573
  • Valenzuela City: 292-1405
  • Malabon: 281-4999
  • Caloocan: 288-8811 loc 2295
  • Navotas: 281-1111

Updated emergency hotlines via @govph: #PHalerts #RescuePH http://pic.twitter.com/Bp5Zjy8N

2 hash tags to remember are: #rescuePH for rescue operations & #reliefPH for relief operations

People needing help may text @RescuePH at 09051456217 | 09293510068 | 09323608563. #RescuePH #PHalerts (via @pcdspo)

SUCCESSFUL RESCUES may be reported using this unified hashtag #SAFENOW

Official government alerts are tagged with #PHalert.

Hashtags Help Coordinate Relief Efforts in Philippine Floods

STATUS OF MONITORED MAJOR RESERVOIRS IN LUZON: http://t.co/YPKIjiQK

Peoplefinder: http://www.google.org/personfinder/2012-08-philippines-flood

Google Crisis Response – Philippines Flood Aug 2012

dost_pagasa (Philippines Weather Bureau):

Philippines Doppler Radar (link)

Tropical Cyclone Update
As of today, 17 August 2012, there is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

Scroll to bottom for Problems just beginning for Philippines poor

————————————————————————————————
Local Warning of Tropical Cyclone
Tropical cyclone warnings
Here is the latest tropical cyclone advisory bulletin issued by the Macau Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau.
There is no tropical cyclone warning.
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Hong Kong

There is no tropical cyclone warning signal.

沒有熱帶氣旋警告信號。
TAIWAN
Heavy Rain Advisory

1. Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County Plain Area-

…Heavy Rain Advisory in effect tonight (08/18)…

—— Summary of Warning Areas ——
[Heavy Rain Advisory areas]
Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County Plain Area-

—- Observed Cumulative Rainfall —-

* Stations with 24H accumulated rainfall above 50mm
2012/08/17 21:20 PM ~ 2012/08/18 21:20 PM

-Heavy Rain (50mm):
Miaoli County Sanyi Township: 117.5 mm,
Pingtung County Pingtung City: 88.0 mm,
Pingtung County Yanpu Township: 76.5 mm,
Hsinchu County Xiangshan District: 73.5 mm,
Pingtung County Linluo Township: 69.5 mm,
Miaoli County Yuanli Township: 61.5 mm,
Miaoli County Zaoqiao Township: 60.5 mm,
Tainan City Guiren District: 55.0 mm,
Tainan City Zuozhen District: 54.0 mm,

重雨諮詢
1.新竹市新竹縣平原區-
…重雨諮詢作用今晚 (08/18) … …
—-警告領域 — — 的摘要
[重雨諮詢領域]
新竹市新竹縣平原區-
—-觀察累積雨量—
* 站 24 小時累積雨量超過 50 毫米
17/2012年/08 9:20 上午 ~ 18/2012年/08 9:20 上午
-大雨 (50 毫米):
苗栗縣三義鄉: 117.5 毫米,
屏東縣屏東市: 88.0 毫米,
屏東縣彥浦鄉: 76.5 毫米,
新竹縣象山區: 73.5 毫米,
屏東縣 Linluo 鄉: 69.5 毫米,
苗栗縣苑裡鎮: 61.5 毫米,
苗栗縣 Zaoqiao 鄉: 60.5 毫米,
台南市歸仁區: 55.0 毫米,
台南市導購區: 54.0 毫米,
————————————————————————————————————————————————–

Tropical Storm Public Advisory (Pearl Harbor USA)

wtpn31 pgtw 172100
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak) warning nr 022
01 active tropical cyclone in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only

warning position:
171800z — near 21.1n 105.9e
movement past six hours – 265 degrees at 17 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds – 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
repeat posit: 21.1n 105.9e

forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
180600z — 21.3n 103.1e
Max sustained winds – 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
vector to 24 hr posit: 275 deg/ 10 kts

24 hrs, valid at:
181800z — 21.5n 100.9e
Max sustained winds – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land

remarks:
172100z position near 21.1n 105.2e.
Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak), located approximately 5 nm north of
hanoi, Vietnam, has tracked westward at 17 knots over the past six
hours. Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery as well as a
171845z AMSU-b microwave satellite image show decreasing central
convection and weakening during the past six hours. Position is
based on the abovementioned satellite imagery with high confidence.
Ts 14w is currently located over land and is expected to continue
tracking inland and dissipate within 24 hours. This is the final
warning on this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi.
The system will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration.//

wtpn31 pgtw 172100
msgid/genadmin/công ty bão wrncen Trân Châu Cảng hi / /
Subj/Severe cảnh báo / /
rmks /
1. Tropical storm 14w (Kai Tak) cảnh báo nr 022
01 hoạt động Severe trong northwestpac
Max duy trì Gió dựa trên trung bình một phút
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ

cảnh báo vị trí:
171800z—gần 21.1n 105.9e
phong trào qua sáu giờ – 265 độ lúc 17 kts
vị trí chính xác để trong vòng 060 nm
vị trí dựa trên các trung tâm tọa lạc vệ tinh
hiện nay Gió phân phối:
Max duy trì Gió – 050 kt, gusts 065 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
dissipating là một Severe đáng kể trên đất
lặp lại posit: 21.1n 105.9e

dự báo:
12 giờ, hợp lệ tại:
180600z—21.3n 103.1e
Max duy trì Gió – 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
dissipating là một Severe đáng kể trên đất
véc tơ để 24 hr posit: 275 deg / 10 kts

24 giờ, hợp lệ tại:
181800z—21.5n 100.9e
Max duy trì Gió – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
bán kính Gió hợp lệ hơn mở nước chỉ
ăn chơi như một Severe đáng kể trên đất

ghi chú:
vị trí 172100z gần 21.1n 105.2e.
Tropical storm 14w (Kai-Tak), có vị trí cách khoảng 5 nm Bắc
Hà Nội, Việt Nam, đã theo dõi về hướng tây lúc 17 knot trong sáu vừa qua
giờ. Hình ảnh vệ tinh hồng ngoại nâng cao cũng như một
hình ảnh vệ tinh 171845z AMSU-b lò vi sóng hiện giảm miền trung
đối lưu và làm suy yếu trong sáu giờ trong quá khứ. Vị trí là
dựa trên các hình ảnh vệ tinh trên với sự tự tin cao.
TS 14w là hiện nay nằm trên đất liền và dự kiến sẽ tiếp tục
theo dõi nội địa và tiêu tan trong vòng 24 giờ. Đây là lần cuối cùng
cảnh báo hệ thống này bởi wrncen chung bão Trân Châu Cảng hi.
Hệ thống sẽ được theo dõi chặt chẽ cho các dấu hiệu của regeneration.//

wtpn31 172100 pgtw
聯合/msgid 進行/genadmin 颱風 wrncen 珠港喜 / /
琉璃/熱帶氣旋警告 / /
rmks /
1.熱帶風暴 14w (啟德) 警告 nr 022
northwestpac 01 活躍熱帶氣旋
最大持續風速基於一分鐘平均
有效的風半徑超過打開水只

警告的位置:
171800z—近 21.1n 105.9e
過去的六個小時-17 kts 265 度的運動
位置精確到內 060 nm
基於中心通過衛星定位的位置
目前風力分佈:
最大持續風速-050 kt、 陣風 065 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋正在消退中的土地上
重複存款: 21.1n 105.9e

預測:
12 小時,在有效:
180600z—21.3n 103.1e
最大持續風速-035 kt、 陣風 045 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋正在消退中的土地上
向量到 24 小時存款: 275 攝氏度 / 10 kts

24 小時,在有效:
181800z—21.5n 100.9e
最大持續風速-020 kt、 陣風 030 kt
有效的風半徑超過打開水只
土地作為一個重要的熱帶氣旋消散

備註:
172100z 位置附近 21.1n 105.2e。
熱帶風暴 14w (啟德),位於大約 5 北部 nm
越南河內,一直跟蹤在過去的六 17 海裡向西
小時。增強型紅外衛星圖像的動畫,以及
171845z AMSU-b 微波衛星圖像顯示降低中央
對流和削弱了在過去的六個小時。位置是
基於上述衛星圖像的高信任度。
Ts 14w 位於當前的土地上,預計將繼續
內陸跟蹤和在 24 小時內消失。這是決賽
警告在此系統上的聯合颱風 wrncen 珍珠港喜。
系統將會密切監察 regeneration.// 的跡象

Related:

As Typhoon #KaiTak approaches #China, CMA expects 250 to 300 mm rain in South #Guangdong #WX #News   http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/china/2012-08/16/c_131789908.htm

#Philippines: Disease alert as #flood toll jumps to 85, tropical depression #HELEN concern – Updated 12 Aug 2012 1337 GMT/UTC

New storm hits Philippines as weather forecasters/meteorologists protest over pay http://nbcnews.to/Myvn08

Problems just beginning for Philippines poor
Thursday August 16, 2012 – 22:30 EST

Humanitarian aid groups in Manila say problems are only beginning for the poor, after weeks of heavy rain in the Philippines brought floods that claimed at least 109 lives and displaced about 300,000 people.

The Philippines government has now announced a plan to clear metro Manila of low-lying shanty towns, home to about 300-thousand poor dwellers.

Chairman of Party of Labouring Masses, Sonny Melencio, told Radio Australia’s that if people are forced to move to the provinces they will struggle to find jobs.

“The government response to their plight is basically to move them out of their areas, of their communities and to relocate them in areas where there is no job, in areas where there are no facilities,” he said.

Mr Melencio says Philippines President Benigno Aquino had blamed the floods on low-lying shanty towns in urban Manila, and had asked one of his departments to clear the areas by blasting the houses.

Mr Melencio says by clearing the communities the government will displace around 700,000 people.

Many displaced residents have now been asked to leave evacuation centres and many areas of Manila are still flooded.

Water-borne illnesses are also a threat, Mr Melencio says, with medicine prices increasing rapidly.

“The medicine against leptospirosis has gone up 750 per cent, so I think it started with a few pesos.

“If you have some open wound and then you wade through the flood, then it gets infected and then all sorts of complications come in.

“The health situation is really very messy.”

– ABC

www.weatherzone.com.au

VIETNAM

AAP: VIETNAM has put 20,000 soldiers on standby, ordered boats back to shore and begun evacuating local residents as it prepares for Typhoon Kai-Tak to make landfall.

More than 11,000 boats, including 575 used by tourists at the UNESCO world heritage site Halong Bay, have been ordered to stay close to the shore, the deputy head of Quang Ninh province’s flood and storm control department said on Friday.

“Mong Cai town, which borders China, will be directly hit by the storm late on Friday,” Nguyen Cong Thuan told AFP, adding that thousands of residents directly in the storm’s path had been moved to safer areas.

Before blowing away from the Philippines on Thursday, Kai-Tak swept across the main island of Luzon, dumping heavy rain on the Cagayan basin and other areas in the north, killing four people.

Weather forecasters in Vietnam say the typhoon will bring winds of up to 133km/h when it makes landfall.

The Tuoi Tre newspaper reports the Vietnamese army has put 20,000 soldiers, eight helicopters, 72 rescue boats, 400 vehicles and 1000 canoes on standby to cope with any possible incidents.

Vietnam is hit by an average of between eight and 10 tropical storms a year, often causing heavy material and human losses.

Việt Nam đã đặt 20.000 binh sĩ về chế độ chờ, ra lệnh cho tàu thuyền trở lại bờ biển và bắt đầu di tản cư dân địa phương như nó chuẩn bị cho cơn bão Kai-Tak làm rơi xuống đất.

Hơn 11.000 tàu, bao gồm cả 575 người sử dụng bởi khách du lịch tại trang web di sản thế giới UNESCO Vịnh Hạ Long, đã được lệnh phải ở lại gần bờ, người đứng đầu phó của tỉnh Quảng Ninh lũ lụt và bão điều khiển vùng cho biết ngày thứ sáu.

“Móng cái xã, mà biên giới Trung Quốc, sẽ được trực tiếp trúng cơn bão cuối ngày thứ sáu,” Nguyễn công thuận nói với AFP, thêm rằng hàng ngàn người dân trực tiếp trong đường dẫn của cơn bão đã được chuyển đến các khu vực an toàn hơn.

Trước khi thổi ra khỏi Việt Nam vào ngày thứ năm, Kai Tak xuôi trên hòn đảo chính đảo Luzon, bán phá giá mưa lớn trên các lưu vực Cagayan và các khu vực khác ở phía bắc, làm thiệt mạng bốn người.

Dự báo tiết tại Việt Nam nói cơn bão sẽ mang gió lên đến 133 km/h khi nó làm cho rơi xuống đất.

Các tờ báo tuổi trẻ báo cáo của quân đội Việt Nam đã đặt 20.000 binh sĩ, tám máy bay trực thăng, tàu thuyền cứu hộ 72, 400 xe và 1000 xuồng về chế độ chờ để đối phó với bất kỳ sự cố có thể.

Việt Nam trúng một cơn bão nhiệt đới Trung bình của giữa tám và 10 năm, thường gây ra vật liệu nặng và thiệt hại của con người.

Typhoon #SAOLA ( #GENER) kills 12 in Philippines; Taiwan and SE China should closely monitor the progress of this typhoon – Updated 02 Aug 2012 1500 GMT/UTC

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

31 July 2012 2128Z RSMC Tokyo (JMA) upgrades Severe Tropical Storm Saola to typhoon @tenspider_wx

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 06:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
黄色警报国家或 Province(s)
台湾
ts 的概率是 60%目前
中国
猫 1 或以上的概率是 15%在 12 小时内
ts 的概率是 50%在 12 小时内
黄色警报 City(s) 和 Town(s)
台北 (25.0 N、 121.5 E)
ts 的概率是 60%目前

请注意,
黄色警报 (高架) 是猫 1 或以上为 10%和 30%的概率或到概率 50%以上的 TS 之间。
猫 1 意味着至少 74 英里每小时,每小时 119 公里或 64 海里,1 分钟持续台风强度风。
TS 意味着至少 39 英里每小时,每小时 63 公里或 34 海里/小时 1 分钟持续的热带风暴强度风。

有关图形预测的信息和进一步的详细信息,请访问 http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

TY 1209 (SAOLA)
Issued at 10:45 UTC, 1 August 2012 http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
<Analyses at 01/10 UTC>
Scale    Large
Intensity    Strong
Center position    N23°50'(23.8°)
    E122°55'(122.9°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure    960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more    ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more    SE750km(400NM)
    NW560km(300NM)
<Estimate for 01/11 UTC>
Scale    Large
Intensity    Strong
Center position    N23°55'(23.9°)
    E122°50'(122.8°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure    960hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more    ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more    SE750km(400NM)
    NW560km(300NM)
<Forecast for 01/21 UTC>
Intensity    Strong
Center position of probability circle    N24°40'(24.7°)
    E122°10'(122.2°)
Direction and speed of movement    NW Slowly
Central pressure    950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle    90km(50NM)
Storm warning area    ALL220km(120NM)
<Forecast for 02/09 UTC>
Intensity    Strong
Center position of probability circle    N25°50'(25.8°)
    E121°50'(121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement    N 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure    950hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center    40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle    130km(70NM)
Storm warning area    ALL260km(140NM)
<Forecast for 03/06 UTC>
Intensity    -
Center position of probability circle    N28°35'(28.6°)
    E120°00'(120.0°)
Direction and speed of movement    NNW 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure    990hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed    20m/s(40kt)
Maximum wind gust speed    30m/s(60kt)
Radius of probability circle    200km(110NM)
<Forecast for 04/06 UTC>
Intensity    -
    TD
Center position of probability circle    N30°50'(30.8°)
    E116°00'(116.0°)
Direction and speed of movement    WNW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure    996hPa
Radius of probability circle  300km(160NM)

Typhoon SAOLA (GENER) has remained almost stationary while still over Northeastern Taiwan…starts to weaken due to land interaction. Typhoon Conditions continuing across Northern & Mid-Central Taiwan.

This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Metro Manila, Southern Tagalog Provinces, rest of Luzon, Bicol Region, Mindoro, and Western Visayas today. Breezy to windy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasionally passing rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas, especially along the western coast. The seas along the coastal areas facing the West, East and North Philippine Seas will be rough and dangerous.

Residents and visitors along Taiwan and Southeastern China should closely monitor the progress of Saola (Gener).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins. – thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot

台风 SAOLA (恒) 一直几乎固定虽然仍然高于 … … 台湾东北开始削弱由于土地的互动。继续跨北 & Mid-Central 台湾的台风条件。
这场风暴将继续加强西南季风 (aka。Habagat) 之间,在马尼拉南部他加禄语省份,今天吕宋、 比科尔地区、 民都洛和西方幽静乡土气息的其余部分。阵阵大风及有骤雨条件偶尔路过雨、 雷暴和狂风将沿着上述地区,尤其是沿西海岸。西、 东和北菲律宾海域面临的沿海地区海洋将粗糙和危险。
居民和游客沿台湾与中国东南部应密切监测 Saola (恒) 的进展情况。
请不要使用此生或死的决定。这个咨询是额外的信息仅用于目的。请参阅本地警告、 通报、 公告贵国的官方天气机构。-thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot

Philippines:

PAGASA-DOST:

11PM (Philippines Time)(8/2/12)SWB#23 TS”GENER”(SAOLA)(FINAL BULLETIN)
@10PM (PhT), the center of TS “GENER” was @560km NNW of Basco,Batanes(26.0°N, 121.3°E).

Maximum winds 110kph & gust 140kph. Forecast to move NNW @ 15kph.

GENER is expected to be @680km NNW of Basco,Batanes by tomorrow morning, outside PAR.Public Storm Warning Signal elsewhere is now lowered.

GENER is expected to enhanced the SW Monsoon that will bring rains & mod to strong winds over Luzon & Visayas.

Residents living in low lying & mountainous areas are alerted against possible flashfloods & landslides.

Fishing boats & other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboard of Luzon & Visayas due to the combined effect of GENER & SW Monsoon. PAGASA-DOST

Water levels map here

PAGASA DOST Flood Bulletins

Philippines Govt Emergency numbers and hotlines of government agencies: gov.ph/government…

NDRRMC advisory for Pampanga Basin http://fb.me/23c7orqnC

‘Gener’ leaves 12 dead

MANILA, Philippines – Rains and strong winds brought about by typhoon “Gener” (international name: Saola) left 12 people dead, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council said Wednesday.

More rain expected from Typhoon Gener (Saola)

Death toll from Typhoon Saola has risen to seven. Floods displaced more than 20,000 people.

Still many parts of Manila and outlying provinces were without power.
According to weather bureau in Manila, the storm is expected to blow toward Taiwan later this week.  More from disaster-report.com

Yet more detail, including the names of the 7 who lost their lives in this Typhoon – philstar.com

@28storms:New Typhoon Saola video out Taiwan by chaser James Reynolds @typhoonhunter http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lejmAc59hU … http://fb.me/1vhGbLRnh

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

(Image: wunderground.com)
Animated Satellite
(Click image for source)

wtpn31 pgtw 030300
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical storm 10w (Saola) warning nr 025
   03 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
   Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
   wind radii valid over open water only
    ---
   warning position:
   030000z --- near 27.0n 119.3e
     movement past six hours - 305 degrees at 14 kts
     position accurate to within 060 nm
     position based on center located by satellite
   present wind distribution:
   Max sustained winds - 035 kt, gusts 045 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   repeat posit: 27.0n 119.3e
    ---
   forecasts:
   12 hrs, valid at:
   031200z --- 28.0n 117.5e
   Max sustained winds - 025 kt, gusts 035 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
   vector to 24 hr posit: 290 deg/ 09 kts
    ---
   24 hrs, valid at:
   040000z --- 28.7n 115.5e
   Max sustained winds - 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land
    ---
remarks:
030300z position near 27.3n 118.8e.
Tropical Storm (TS) 10w (Saola), located approximately 275 nm south-
southwest of Shanghai, China, has tracked northwestward at 14 knots
over the past six hours. Recent multispectral satellite imagery is
depicting that ts Saola has made landfall north of fuzhou, China and
is rapidly losing organization. Animated infrared imagery is showing
warming cloud tops and ts 10w is dissipating due to frictional
effects. Ts 10w will continue to rapidly dissipate as it stays over
eastern China for the next 24 hours. This is the final warning on
this system by the joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi. The system
will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration. Refer to
tropical storm 11w (Damrey) final warning (wtpn32 pgtw). Refer to
tropical depression 12w (twelve) warnings (wtpn33 pgtw)for six-
hourly updates.//

 

Tropical Storm VICENTE (FERDIE): Southern China particularly Guangxi Province should closely monitor the progress of this storm – Updated 24 July 2012 1440 GMT/UTC

VICENTE (FERDIE) rapidly dissipating over Guangxi Province in China…downgraded to a Tropical Storm.

(Image: wundergound.com)
Typhoon Vicente Tracking Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: usno.navy.mil/JTWC)
Multispectral Satellite Imagery
(Click image for source)

VICENTE will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Northern and Central Luzon particularly the western sections. Breezy conditions & mostly cloudy conditions w/ occasional to sometimes continuous rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along the abovementioned areas today.

Residents and visitors along Southern China particularly Guangxi Province should closely monitor the progress of Vicente (Ferdie).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

维森特 (FERDIE) 迅速消退 … … 在中国广西省降至一个热带风暴。

维森特将继续加强西南季风 (aka。Habagat) 跨北部和中部的吕宋岛特别是西方的部分。习习的条件和偶尔有时连续暴雨、 雷暴和狂风骤雨条件将今天预期沿上述领域。
居民和游客沿南中国特别是广西省应密切监察维森特 (Ferdie) 的进展情况。
请不要使用此生或死的决定。这个咨询是额外的信息仅用于目的。请参阅本地警告、 通报、 公告贵国的官方天气机构。
24 July 2012 1512 GMT/UTC:
Weather Channel: Typhoon #Vicente rapidly developed before slamming into China.
天气频道: 台风维森特迅速发展砰进入中国之前。
Photos/recap: http://wxch.nl/PDTWIY
Weather Underground’s Dr. Masters says, “Category 4 #Typhoon #Vicente hits China”
天气地下博士硕士说,”类别 4 台风维森特打中国”
24 July 2012 1550 GMT/UTC: @JournoDannyAsia: HK Observatory has put a Strong Monsoon signal out
24 July 2012 1720 GMT/UTC:

T2K TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PhT Tue Jul 24

External Links for TS VICENTE (FERDIE)
View NOAA-CIRA’s: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0912.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 Day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: Vicente’s Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA’s Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

NDRRMC Severe Weather Bulletins for Tropical Depression “FERDIE”

NDRRMC (SitRep 3): 13 incidents occurred due to TD #FERDIE; 2 dead, 6 missing http://fb.me/MnhdGT9a

Flooded roads in Metro Manila, traffic update & more from TV5 (Quezon City, Philippines)

China: 10 dead after record rain pounds Beijing, more rain to come

Awesome view of typhoon Vicente over Hong Kong (@Dom_Lau) http://pic.twitter.com/ZFavC8WM

Hong Kong ‘Storm of the decade’ – thenanfang.com

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

(Image: usno.navy.mil/JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 09W (VICENTE) WARNING NR 014    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 112.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 112.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z --- 23.0N 109.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 23.0N 107.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   251200Z --- 22.9N 105.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 111.6E.
TYPHOON 09W (VICENTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM WEST OF HONG 
KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. TY 09W MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 232000Z AND, AS 
INDICATED IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME 
MORE DISORGANIZED SINCE. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TY 09W 
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE ROUGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN 
CHINA AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36 OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM. THIS IS THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL 
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION.//
NNNN
WTPN31 PGTW 240300
联合/MSGID 进行/GENADMIN 台风 WRNCEN 珍珠港喜 / /
琉璃/热带气旋最后警告 / /
RMKS /
1.台风 09W (维森特) 警告 NR 014
01 活跃热带气旋在 NORTHWESTPAC
基于一分钟的平均最高持续的风速
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
警告的位置:
240000Z—近 22.3N 112.2E
过去的六个小时-12 KTS 300 度运动
位置精确到内 040 NM
基于中心位于结合的位置
卫星和雷达
目前风力分布:
最大持续的风速-100 KT、 阵风 125 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
重复存款: 22.3N 112.2E
预测:
12 小时,在有效:
241200Z—23.0N 109.6E
最大持续的风速-060 KT、 阵风 075 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
向量到 24 小时存款: 270 摄氏度 / 11 KTS
24 小时,在有效:
250000Z—23.0N 107.3E
最大持续的风速-035 KT、 阵风 045 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
作为重要的热带气旋在陆地逐渐消退
向量到 36 小时存款: 270 摄氏度 / 10 KTS
36 小时,在有效:
251200Z—22.9N 105.1E
最大持续的风速-020 KT、 阵风 030 KT
只有有效风半径超过打开过的水
作为重要的热带气旋在陆地消散
备注:
240300Z 位置附近 22.5N 111.6E。
台风 09W (维森特),位于约 110 香港西部 NM
香港,一直跟踪西西北地区在过去的六 12 海里/小时
小时。在大约 232000Z,作为登陆 TY 09W
表示在雷达和卫星图像,已减弱并成为
自从杂乱无章的更多。模型是很好的协议中,TY 09W
将继续向西的南部不平的地面跟踪
中国和消失的 36 头在越南北部。这就是
此系统由联合台风 WRNCEN 珠江上最后警告
港口你好。系统将会密切监察的迹象
REGENERATION.//
NNNN

DOKSURI ( DINDO) ITEM OUT OF DATE 這一專案現已過時 – Updated 21 Aug 2012 2023 GMT/UTC

 

這一專案現已過時

THIS ITEM IS OUT OF DATE NOW

(Photo: Roger Price, Creative Commons Licence)
“Fabulous view from the office with Typhoon Doksuri approaching!” says Roger Price who took this 8 hours ago in Soho, Hong Kong, Hong Kong Island, HK, using an Apple iPhone 4S.