Hawaii/ Central Pacific: Tropical Storm Fernanda (06E) 202100Z near 18.2N 140.4W, moving W 11 knots (NHC) – Updated 20 Jul 2017 2120z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Fernanda (06E)

…FERNANDA MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC….(NHC)

Hawaii be aware!

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 17 FEET (JTWC)

National Hurricane Center (FL)

000
WTPZ31 KNHC 202035
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fernanda Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062017
200 PM PDT Thu Jul 20 2017

…FERNANDA MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC…

 

SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…18.2N 140.4W
ABOUT 965 MI…1555 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernanda was
located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 140.4 West. Fernanda is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a general motion
toward the west-northwest is expected during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours, and Fernanda is expected to become a tropical depression
on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center beginning at 5 PM HST, under AWIPS header HFOTCPCP1, WMO
header WTPA31 PHFO, and on the web at http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Storm 06E (Fernanda) Warning #35
Issued at 20/1600Z

 

 

WTPN32 PHNC 201600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FERNANDA) WARNING NR 035
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
201200Z — NEAR 18.1N 138.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 138.7W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z — 18.6N 140.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z — 19.0N 142.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z — 19.5N 144.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z — 20.1N 145.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z — 21.5N 149.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z — 22.5N 154.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z — 24.0N 160.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

REMARKS:
201600Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 139.3W.
TROPICAL STORM 06E (FERNANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 936 NM EAST
OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 202200Z, 210400Z, 211000Z AND 211600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 07E (GREG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08E (EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

MARITIME/SHIPPING

(Image: RSMC Miami)


METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 2034

WTPZ21 KNHC 202034 RRA
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062017
2100 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 140.4W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 140.4W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 139.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N 141.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 143.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.6N 145.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.2N 147.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 151.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N 156.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 140.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

 

================================================================================

FZPN02 KWBC 201725
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC THU JUL 20 2017

CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 22.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN 177W AND 175E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 180W AND 170E WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN
169E AND 178W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 30N168E 999 MB. FROM 30N TO 34N
BETWEEN 164E AND 172E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN 163E AND 172E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.BOGOSLOF VOLCANO AT 53.92N 168.03W IS IN A STATE OF UNREST.
MARINERS TRAVELING IN THE VICINITY OF BOGOSLOF VOLCANO ARE URGED
TO EXERCISE CAUTION. IF MARINERS ENCOUNTER ANY VOLCANIC
ASH…REPORT THE OBSERVATION TO THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER BY
CALLING 301-683-1520.

.FROM 33N TO 38N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 40N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 43N BETWEEN 120W AND 126W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.LOW 55N149W 1002 MB DRIFTING SE. FRONT EXTENDS FROM 57N140W TO
56N146W TO 50N141W TO 47N140W TO 44N142W. BETWEEN 120 NM AND 300
NM N QUADRANT…ALSO WITHIN 180 NM NE AND E OF FRONT…AND FROM
43N TO 48N BETWEEN 155W AND 165W…ALSO FROM 53N TO 58N BETWEEN
161W AND 166W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW FORMED NEAR
51N144W 1001 MB. FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 53N157W TO 56N150W TO
56N144W TO 53N140W TO 50N133W TO 47NB131W. WITHIN 180 NM NW…N
AND NE OF FRONT…ALSO FROM 41N TO 50N BETWEEN 136W AND 147W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N141W 1002 MB. FROM 49N TO 54N BETWEEN
133W AND 146W…AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF A LINE FROM 55N147W TO
55N134W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.S OF 33N W OF 165E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MOVED W OF AREA.

.FROM 45N TO 50N BETWEEN 175W AND 175E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 47N164W 1012 MB. FROM 42N TO 45N
BETWEEN 160W AND 173W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N155W 1011 MB. FORECAST CONDITIONS
DIMINISHED.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 40N TO 48N
BETWEEN 142W AND 164W AND W OF A LINE FROM 61N170W TO 50N179W TO
46N170W TO 44N170W TO 40N176W TO 37N160E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 44N BETWEEN 155W AND
164W…ALSO FROM 51N TO 54N BETWEEN 153W AND 158W…AND W OF A
LINE FROM 60N175W TO 40N174E TO 38N160E…ALSO FROM 40N TO 43N
BETWEEN 175W AND 174E…ALSO FROM 51N TO 54N BETWEEN 153W AND
158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 45N BETWEEN 142W AND
156W…ALSO FROM 50N TO 53N BETWEEN 152W AND 159E…AND W OF A
LINE FROM 58N180W TO 46N176E TO 41N163E.

.HIGH 41N180W 1033 MB MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N173E 1030 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 43N169E 1027 MB.

.HIGH 58N179W 1018 MB MOVING SW 10 KT…THEN TURNING E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 56N178E 1023 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 53N176W 1023 MB.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N136W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N137W 1025 MB.

.FORECASTER SHAW. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 22.

.WARNINGS.

…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 14.1N 115.4W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
20 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 14.7N 118.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE…60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GREG NEAR 15.4N 122.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE…60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GREG NEAR 16.0N 127.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 16.3N 131.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GREG NEAR 17.0N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 18.2N 139.2W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 20 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE
QUADRANT…60 NM SE QUADRANT…50 NM SW QUADRANT…AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE…120
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE
FROM 26N134W TO 19N134W TO 13N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA W OF AREA NEAR 19.0N
142.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE…50 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 21N W OF 139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF LINE FROM 25N137W TO
16N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA W OF AREA
NEAR 20.1N 145.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 21.5N
149.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 22.5N
154.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FERNANDA NEAR 24.0N
160.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E NEAR 13.4N 123.1W 1009 MB AT 1500
UTC JUL 20 MOVING WSW OR 245 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 180NM SE AND 60 NM NW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E NEAR 12.1N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 150 NM SE AND
120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EIGHT-E NEAR 11.6N
125.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 150 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N104W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
13N109W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
14N112W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO
15N95.5W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 13.5N95W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 86.5W AND 89W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO…WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E AND SW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 89W AND
92W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO…WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN E AND SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 88.5W…INCLUDING THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO…NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU JUL 20…

.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA…SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG NE
QUADRANT WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM GREG…SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
OF THE CENTER…EXCEPT NW QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE 06N TO 19N ALONG 104W WITH EMBEDDED LOW PRES 1010
MB NEAR 12N104W…SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO
12N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM FROM 08N78W TO LOW PRES 1010 MB
NEAR 07N86W TO LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 11N104W. SCATTERED TO
MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 87W
AND 94W.

.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 20 2017.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 21 2017.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 22 2017.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA JUST E OF AREA 18.2N 139.2W AT 20/1500Z
MOVING W 08 KT. MAX WINDS 55 KT G 65 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER
WITHIN 70 NM NW QUADRANT…50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW QUADRANT…90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT ELSEWHERE E OF LINE 25N145W 22N150W 16N147W 13N142W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA 19.0N 142.4W. MAX
WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. WINDS 34 KT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM NE
QUADRANT…40 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN
120 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE
QUADRANT…120 NM SE QUADRANT…150 NM SW QUADRANT…210 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT BOUNDED BY 26N140W 14N140W 12N145W
21N153W 24N152W 26N140W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW 20.1N 145.8W.
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KT G 35 KT. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT…90 NM
S SEMICIRCLE…150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT BOUNDED BY
25N145W 23N140W 18N145W 16N155W 22N153W 25N145W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW 21.5N 149.5W.
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KT G 35 KT.

.EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR OUTLOOK POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW 22.5 154.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT G 35 KT.
.120 HOUR OUTLOOK POST-TROPICAL/REMNANT LOW 24.0N 160.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT G 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 24N178E 1008 MB MOVING NNW 15 KT. TROUGH FROM LOW TO
20N175E 19S171E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER N
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 720 NM OF CENTER N
SEMICIRCLE…120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT WITHIN 360 N
OF CENTER N AND NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE BOUNDED
BY 30N160E 30N173W 24N176W 21N172E 28N160E 30N160E. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 30N TO 22N BETWEEN 175E AND 170W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 28N174E 1003 MB. TROUGH FROM LOW TO
25N175E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KT WITHIN 60 NM AND 420 NM OF CENTER NE
QUADRANT…AND 60 NM AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 520 NM NW SEMICIRCLE…240 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM
OF CENTER N SEMICIRCLE…120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY 30N160E 30N175W 24N177E 20N170E 24N160E
30N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 30N169E 999 MB. WINDS 30 TO 45 KT WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF
CENTER. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER S SEMICIRCLE.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY 30N165E 30N179W 25N173E
25N165E 30N165E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH 08N140W 06N145W.

.ITCZ 06N145W 05N160W 08N171W 05N174E 04N160E. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 240 NM OF ITCZ W OF 171W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ E OF 171W.

.WINDS NE 20 TO 30 KT SE OF LINE 28N140W 20N150W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS NE TO E 20 TO 30 KT E OF LINE 28N145W TO
20N153W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS NE TO SE 20 TO 30 KT FROM 26N TO 21N E
OF 148W.

.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 15N TO 05N BETWEEN 160 AND 152W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT S OF 02N E OF 175W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT S OF 04N E OF 160W.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSMTS N OF 23N W OF 170E.

$$
.HONOLULU FORECASTER.=

 

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Central Pacific/ Hawaii: Hurricane Ignacio 12E CAT4 301600Z POSITION nr 18.4N 148.5W, moving NNW 10 knots (JTWC) – Updated 30 Aug 2015 1550z (GMT/UTC)

Hurricane Ignacio 12E CAT4

HAWAII: A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND
WINDWARD AND SOUTHEAST WATERS (NWS HONOLULU HI)

…..MAJOR HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD….CPHC

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 36 FEET (JTWC)

ep201512_5day 29a (Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

ep201512_5day 29a
(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

National Weather ServiceCentral Pacific Hurricane Center

EP122015W1 30

WTPA33 PHFO 301154
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
200 AM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

…MAJOR HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.9N 148.2W
ABOUT 470 MI…750 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 680 MI…1090 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…140 MPH…220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…948 MB…27.99 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MAUI COUNTY…INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI…MOLOKAI…LANAI AND
KAHOOLAWE.
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS OF THE
INITIAL ISSUANCE.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 200 AM HST…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 148.2 WEST. IGNACIO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H…AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTHEAST
OF THE BIG ISLAND ON MONDAY…THEN NORTHEAST OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH…220 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IGNACIO IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. IGNACIO WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES…45 KM…FROM
THE CENTER…AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES…220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB…27.99 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII STARTING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY…AND STARTING
MONDAY ON MAUI.

RAINFALL…STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES…WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES MAINLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER
TERRAIN…ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

SURF…LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IGNACIO WILL ARRIVE ALONG EAST
AND SOUTHEAST FACING SHORES OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RESULTANT SURF WILL BE LARGE AND POTENTIALLY
LIFE-THREATENING…ESPECIALLY ON THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER POWELL
HURRICANE IGNACIO LOCAL STATEMENT

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Hurricane 12E (Ignacio) Warning #23
Issued at 30/1600Z

ep1215 30

WTPN33 PHNC 301600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 023
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
301200Z — NEAR 18.0N 148.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 330 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N 148.2W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z — 19.1N 149.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z — 20.3N 150.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z — 21.4N 152.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z — 22.4N 153.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 24.3N 156.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z — 26.5N 159.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z — 28.7N 163.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

REMARKS:
301600Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 148.5W.
HURRICANE 12E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
301200Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z, 310400Z, 311000Z
AND 311600Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 03C (KILO) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO HURRICANE 13E (JIMENA)
WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

Tropical Storm Warning

URGENT – MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
346 AM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

…HURRICANE IGNACIO APPROACHING THE ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST…

.AT 2 AM HST…THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS ABOUT 400 NM
EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KT.

PHZ122-124-310300-
/O.CON.PHFO.TR.W.2012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BIG ISLAND WINDWARD WATERS-BIG ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS-
346 AM HST SUN AUG 30 2015

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND
WINDWARD AND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

* WINDS AND SEAS…POTENTIALLY DISTRUCTIVE WINDS AND DANGEROUSLY
HIGH SEAS MAY AFFECT THESE AREAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT…
SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO SEEK SHELTER ON SHORE.

$$

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1436

WTPA23 PHFO 301445 RRA
TCMCP3

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
. MAUI COUNTY…INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI…MOLOKAI…LANAI AND
KAHOOLAWE.
.. HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS OF THE
INITIAL ISSUANCE.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IGNACIO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 148.4W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT……. 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT……. 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…….110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 148.4W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 148.2W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.1N 149.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.3N 150.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.
Marine Zone Forecast
…TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT…

Synopsis: A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL REMAIN FAR NORTH OF THE STATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS ABOUT 400 NM EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO CUT THROUGH THE ISLAND/S WINDWARD WATERS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

Today
Northeast winds 20 kt. Wind waves 7 ft. Mixed swell northwest 3 ft and east 5 to 6 ft. Scattered showers in the morning…then isolated showers in the afternoon.
Tonight
North winds 20 kt. Wind waves 7 ft. Mixed swell northwest 3 ft and east 7 to 8 ft. Scattered showers.
Monday
Tropical storm conditions expected. Northwest winds 25 kt. Wind waves 9 ft. Swell east 9 ft. Showers likely.
Monday Night
Tropical storm conditions expected. West winds 25 kt. Wind waves 11 ft. Swell east 10 to 11 ft. Showers likely.
Tuesday
Tropical storm conditions possible. Southwest winds 20 kt. Wind waves 8 ft. Swell east 10 ft. Haze through the day. Showers likely in the morning. Scattered showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Tropical storm conditions possible. South winds 15 kt. Wind waves 6 ft. Swell east 5 to 6 ft. Haze. Scattered showers.
Wednesday
South winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Swell east 8 ft. Haze. Scattered showers.
Wednesday Night
South winds 10 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Swell east 8 ft. Haze. Scattered showers.
Thursday
Southeast winds 10 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. Swell east 8 ft. Haze. Scattered showers.

There may be more warnings here:  METAREA XII

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Central Pacific/ HAWAII: Tropical Storm ISELLE 09E 081000Z near 19.0N 155.3W, moving W at 09 knots. 43nm from Hilo (JTWC) – Updated 080814 1100z (UTC)

Tropical Storm ISELLE 09E

…ISELLE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM…CONTINUES CHURNING TOWARD
THE BIG ISLAND…NWS CHC

TROPICAL STORM 09E (ISELLE) WARNING NR 033
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 09E

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MAUI COUNTY…INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI…MOLOKAI…LANAI…
AND KAHOOLAWE.
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU.

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

 

National Weather ServiceCentral Pacific Hurricane Center

5 Day Track for ISELLE

WTPA33 PHFO 080847
TCPCP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092014
1100 PM HST THU AUG 07 2014

…ISELLE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM…CONTINUES CHURNING TOWARD
THE BIG ISLAND…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…19.0N 155.1W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM S OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 240 MI…390 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…995 MB…29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MAUI COUNTY…INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI…MOLOKAI…LANAI…
AND KAHOOLAWE.
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISELLE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 PM HST…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 155.1 WEST. ISELLE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H…AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY…WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES…280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB…29.39 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON THE BIG
ISLAND…AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER MAUI COUNTY TONIGHT…AND FOR OAHU ON
FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR KAUAI COUNTY
LATER FRIDAY.

RAINFALL…RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS TO 12 INCHES…ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OF ISELLE.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AS WELL AS
ROCK AND MUD SLIDES.

SURF…SWELLS GENERATED BY ISELLE IS PRODUCING VERY LARGE AND
DAMAGING SURF…MAINLY ALONG EAST AND SOUTH FACING SHORES OF THE
BIG ISLAND. THIS DAMAGING SURF WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

BIG ISLAND WINDWARD AND KAU…1 TO 2 FT

SURGE RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES…100 AM HST AND 300 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 AM HST.

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE LOCAL STATEMENT

WFO Honolulu

Hawaii RSS FeedsHI RSS Feeds

At 11:00 PM HST, the center of
Tropical Storm Iselle
was located at 19.0N 155.1W.
50 miles S of Hilo
75 miles SE of Kailua-Kona
40 miles E of South Point
155 miles SSE of Kahului
200 miles SE of Kaunakakai
170 miles SE of Lanai City
240 miles SE of Honolulu
335 miles SE of Lihue
380 miles ESE of Niihau
At 11:00 PM HST, the center of
Hurricane Julio
was located at 17.8N 140.4W.
965 miles E of Hilo
1030 miles E of Kailua-Kona
1005 miles E of South Point
1065 miles ESE of Kahului
1115 miles ESE of Kaunakakai
1095 miles ESE of Lanai City
1160 miles ESE of Honolulu
1255 miles ESE of Lihue
1310 miles ESE of Niihau
1990 miles SW of Las Vegas NV

 

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)(US Military)

https://i2.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep0914.gif

 

 

WTPN32 PHNC 081000

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (ISELLE) WARNING NR 033
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 09E
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
080600Z — NEAR 18.9N 154.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 154.4W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z — 19.2N 157.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z — 19.8N 159.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z — 20.2N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z — 20.8N 164.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z — 22.2N 169.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z — 24.0N 175.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z — 25.7N 177.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

REMARKS:
081000Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 155.3W.
TROPICAL STORM 09E (ISELLE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 62 NM SOUTHEAST
OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 081600Z, 082200Z, 090400Z AND 091000Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 10E
(JULIO) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Hawaii Red Cross

Honolulu, Hawaii

Disaster Preparedness

“In Hawaii due to our isolation, we encourage all families to be prepared for 7 days instead of 72 hours. It will take time following a disaster for a logistics bridge to be built to Hawaii if our harbors and airports are affected by a major disaster and we may be relying on our own resources longer than other places within the United States. The following information is provided to help you better develop your own disaster plan and improve your family, business and community’s resiliency.” – Hawaii Red Cross

redcross.org/hawaii

http://www.redcross.org/find-help

MARITIME/SHIPPING

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE LOCAL STATEMENT

 

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0850

WTPA24 PHFO 080850 RRB
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.7N 159.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 27.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 140.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

..
FORECASTER POWELL

 

METAREA12 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 0530

FZPN02 KWBC 080530
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC FRI AUG 08 2014

CCODE/2:31:12:11:00/AOW+POR+AOE/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 59N174W 985 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 360 NM
SW QUADRANTS AND 300 NM SE OF FRONT FROM 56N153W TO 50N163W TO
46N174W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300
NM N QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE OF FRONT AND FROM 52N TO 58N W OF
168W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N164W 989 MB. BETWEEN 300 NM AND 660 NM
W QUADRANT AND BETWEEN 300 NM AND 720 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N157W 993 MB. WITHIN 480 NM S AND 600 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 60N148W TO 52N148W TO
42N164W. WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO
15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E OF FRONT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 56N150W 990 MB. WITHIN 420 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE OF FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 56N140W TO
47N147W TO 39N156W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 34N TO 44N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W AREA OF N TO NW WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 45N BETWEEN 123W AND 128W AREA OF
N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 44N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W N TO NW
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 55N167E 997 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 42N166E TO 49N174E TO 56N175E AREA OF W
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 34N BETWEEN 179W AND 164E WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST
WATERS NW AND W OF A LINE FROM 38N160E TO 46N161W TO 63N166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 49N BETWEEN 149W AND
160W AND W OF A LINE FROM 39N164E TO 50N168E TO 58N178E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 57N BETWEEN 137W AND
146W AND W OF A LINE FROM 40N164E TO 44N172E TO 57N177E.

.HIGH 35N141W 1026 MB MOVING E 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N138W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.HIGH 46N132W 1024 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.HIGH 38N164W 1025 MB MOVING S 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N163W 1022 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 43N144W 1026 MB MOVING E 20 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 38N172E 1026 MB MOVING NW 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 40N167E 1027 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N172E 1024 MB.

.FORECASTER KOSIER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

…HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.4N 139.1W 966 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 08
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N
SEMICIRCLE…90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 250 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N
TO 24N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.5N 144.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 12 FT SEAS W OF AREA. FROM
16N TO 24N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 20.6N 149.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. CONDITIONS
W OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 22.9N 154.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.2N 159.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 25.0N 163.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC FRI AUG 8…

.HURRICANE JULIO…NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM OF
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO
19N W OF 136W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N83W TO 10N92W. ITCZ FROM 12N120W TO
06N134W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N
TO 09N E OF 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 124W
AND 132W.

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 08 2014.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 09 2014.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 10 2014.

.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE ISELLE NEAR 19.0N 153.1W MOVING W 13 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM NE…90 NM SE…20 NM SW…120 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM ELSEWHERE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ISELLE NEAR 19.8N 158.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE…10 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM
S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM ELSEWHERE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE NEAR 20.6N 163.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM ELSEWHERE. WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE NEAR 21.6N 167.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ISELLE NEAR 23.5N
173.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ISELLE NEAR 26.4N
179.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SEE WTPA23 PHFO BULLETIN ISSUED BY CPHC FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

…HURRICANE WARNING…
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 17.8N 141.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE…90 NM SE…60 NM SW…100 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 18.5N 144.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE…NW AND SE QUADRANTS…AND WITHIN 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 280 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 20.6N 149.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND SE QUADRANT…AND WITHIN 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 280 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JULIO NEAR 22.9N 154.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 24.2N 159.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JULIO NEAR 25.0N 163.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.SEE WTPN32 PGTW BULLETIN ISSUED BY JTWC FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TYPHOON GENEVIEVE NEAR 16.2N 176.7E MOVING NW 9 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT GUSTS 170 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 115 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT
OR MORE WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM ELSEWHERE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
TSTMS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TYPHOON GENEVIEVE NEAR 19.9N 175.4E. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NE…130 NM SE…125 NM SW…135 NM NW. SEAS 12 FT
OR MORE WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 220 NM S SEMICIRCLE.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 400 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240
NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM ELSEWHERE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TYPHOON GENEVIEVE NEAR 25.6N 174.3E. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR MORE WITHIN 240 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 220 NM ELSEWHERE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TYPHOON GENEVIEVE NEAR 31.0N 169.7E. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TYPHOON GENEVIEVE MOVED N OF FORECAST AREA
NEAR 33.6N 165.7E. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

.SEE WTPN32 PGTW BULLETIN ISSUED BY JTWC FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 05N161E 1006 MB MOVING WNW 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED W OF FORECAST AREA.

.TROUGH FROM 09N160E TO 08N169E TO 13N175E NEARLY STATIONARY.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF TROUGH W OF 163E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 09N160E TO 10N170E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.

.TROUGH FROM 30N175W TO 26N177E MOVING W SLOWLY. ISOLATED TSTMS
WITHIN 100 NM OF TROUGH.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N178E TO 26N175E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.

.TROUGH FROM 15N140W TO 09N147W NEARLY STATIONARY AND
DISSIPATING.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.

.RIDGE FROM 10N173W TO 00N173E MOVING W SLOWLY.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS AND SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF
FORECAST AREA.

.ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 173W
AND 179E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN 164E
AND 179E.

$$
.HONOLULU HI=

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East Pacific: HURRICANE 09E ISELLE 041000Z near 16.0N 135.8W, moving W at 08 knots (JTWC) heading toward Hawaii – Updated 040814 1155z (UTC)

TROPICAL STORM 09E ISELLE UPDATED

http://t.co/vptjVLiVOq

 

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

US (Hawaii): Tropical Depression 06E FLOSSIE 301500Z 22.3N 159.8W, moving WNW at 14knots. Downgraded to Post-Tropical Remnant Low (RSMC Honolulu) – 290713 1525z

Tropical Depression 06E (Flossie)

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

 

 

 

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

 

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

 

(Image: NWS) Hawaii Radar

 

Click on the map below for the latest forecast.
Last map update: Tue, Jul. 30, 2013 at 6:20:04 am HST
Read watches, warnings & advisories.
Office to the North Office to the Northeast
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Out

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Flash Flood Watch
High Surf Advisory
Small Craft Advisory
Wind Advisory

The UVI for noon, Jul 30 in Honolulu is 12. This is an extreme exposure level.
Map Problems?

ZCZC 356

 

WTPA21 PHFO 291441

 

TCMCP1

 

 

WTPA21 PHFO 301445
TCMCP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062013
1500 UTC TUE JUL 30 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

FLOSSIE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 159.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 159.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 159.4W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.6N 161.0W…DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z DISSIPATED
THIS IS THE FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER FOR FLOSSIE. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW SEE THE MARINE FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU.

$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON

NNNN

 

More fromNWS Honolulu

 

Hawaii RSS FeedsHI RSS Feeds

 

 

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

 

 

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Graphic (Click image for source)

 

 

WTPN31 PHNC 301600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FLOSSIE) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
301200Z — NEAR 22.2N 159.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N 159.4W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z — 22.6N 161.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 24 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z — 24.0N 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z — 24.6N 169.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z — 25.0N 171.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z — 25.2N 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
301600Z POSITION NEAR 22.3N 159.9W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FLOSSIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 21 NM
NORTHEASTWARD OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 302200Z, 310400Z, 311000Z AND 311600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07E (SEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
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Maritime

 

 

 

Marine Product Dissemination Information

 

Marine section from the Area Forecast Discussion
issued at: Jul 30, 2013 4:00 AM HST

A high surf advisory remains in effect for east-facing shores of Kauai Oahu Molokai and Maui.

Small to moderate S and SE swells will continue today. A larger, long-period S swell is expected to arrive late today, and then peak on Wed near advisory levels along s-facing shores.

 

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