UK: Ex Bertha bringing wet and windy weather on Sunday, says Met Office – Published 080814 1719z (GMT)

#UK #SEVERE #WEATHER, #FLOOD WARNINGS and #TORRO #TORNADO WATCH. #Bertha #UKstorm #FloodAware #Wx #News… http://t.co/fIcYIK4jr5

— Goaty’s News (UK) (@Goatys_News) August 9, 2014

8 August 2014 – The remnants of Hurricane Bertha will continue to track towards the UK during the next few days.

“The Met Office has been assessing the likelihood of the UK seeing any effects from Bertha by using our own forecast models alongside models from other world-leading forecast centres.

At the moment southern parts of the UK look as though they are most at risk during Sunday, followed by areas of northeast Scotland on Monday. However, there is also the possibility that the depression could move across northern France as a weak feature.

Bertha storm tracks Possible storm tracks for ex Bertha on Sunday   Bertha Impacts Likely impacts from ex Bertha on Sunday

The transition of Bertha from a tropical to an extra-tropical feature is a particularly hard one to forecast but there is increasing confidence that this feature will affect the UK on Sunday, though with very large uncertainty remaining over the track and intensity.

Chief Meteorologist, Paul Gundersen, said: “There is still some uncertainty surrounding this weekend’s weather, with the potential for heavy rainfall, strong coastal winds and large waves on Sunday. However, there is still a chance that the system may pass to the south of the country giving the UK a brighter day.

“Rain and strong winds may well bring disruption, especially across southern parts of the UK, with the potential for more than 50 mm of rain and coastal gusts of over 60 mph. People should stay up to date with the latest Met Office warnings.”

Craig Woolhouse, Environment Agency Flood Risk Manager, said: “Heavy rain on Sunday may lead to localised surface water flooding in some parts of England and Wales. On Sunday and Monday a combination of high spring tides and strong westerly winds bring a risk of large waves and spray and possible flooding to the south west coast of England and along the Severn Estuary. However, the forecast remains uncertain so we advise people to regularly check the flood risk situation over the next few days.

“If you’re travelling to or from holiday then check your flood risk before setting off and don’t drive through flood waters.

“The Environment Agency is continuing to monitor the situation closely along with the Met Office and local authorities. People can sign up to receive free flood warnings, check their flood risk and keep up to date with the latest situation on the GOV.UK website to  check if you are at risk of flooding or follow @EnvAgency and #floodaware on Twitter for the latest flood updates.”

Jeremy Parr, Head of Flood Risk Management, Natural Resources Wales, said: “Our officers will be monitoring forecasts closely over the weekend as the situation in Wales becomes clearer but in the meantime we are advising people to remain alert.

“We are likely to see some very heavy rain on Sunday into Monday, and combined with strong winds and high spring tides, conditions along the coast could be dangerous.  As the forecast remains unsettled, we are advising people to keep an eye on weather forecasts and check the latest flood alerts on our website.”

Ross Macloed,  RNLI Coastal Safety Manager, said: “Extreme wave heights combined with high tides can make some normal coastal activities we take for granted significantly more risky; the force of surging water or breaking waves can easily knock you over and quickly drag you out of your depth and once in the water it can be difficult to get out. As little as one cubic metre of water weighs a tonne and shows that you should never underestimate how powerful the sea can be.

“If you are planning a coastal activity, our advice is to respect the water, and watch the shore from a safe distance and assess the conditions; think about the risk before deciding if  you need to go closer.”

Met Office records show that there are similar examples of intense low pressure systems occurring in August, for example, the 24 August 2005 where an active storm sat off the northwest coast of Scotland bringing strong winds and heavy rain. On the 30 August 1992 a depression swung up from the southwest across the UK giving a wet and windy Bank Holiday weekend.

We will be keeping an eye on the latest outlook for the weather over the next few days and the progress of ex Bertha to keep everyone up to date with the latest information.

Last updated: 8 August 2014″ –  Met Office

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Bulgaria: About 12 -16 killed (reports vary), several missing after torrential rain and heavy floods hit Varna – Published 200614 1752z

Torrential rains and floods hit Bulgaria on Thursday, killing at least 10 people, cutting off electricity, blocking roads and sparking evacuations, officials said.

Heavy rainfall in the Black Sea resort city of Varna triggered a flood wave late on Thursday in one of its low-laying suburbs that killed at least 10 people, the mayor of Varna told the national radio.

TV footage showed smashed cars on top of each other on the streets of the suburb, where a state of emergency was declared.

“The tragedy is enormous. I am here on a street in the suburb of Aspruhovo. The street is not here, the houses are not here, there are cars on top of each other,” Varna mayor Ivan Portnih said. Electricity in the suburb was cut off, the mayor said. In central Bulgaria, firefighters evacuated 11 people from the top of their houses in the town of Kilifarevo, police said. Thunderstorms and heavy rains flooded roads and damaged houses in several villages near the capital.

Weather forecasters said the rains that fell in the eastern regions of Varna and Burgas in the past 24 hours equalled the usual amount per month and warned new rainfall and thunderstorms were expected in northern and eastern Bulgaria on Friday.

Friday, 20 June, 2014 at 03:14 (03:14 AM) UTC RSOE

Weather warnings: Bulgaria
Предупреждения за опасни явления: България

Other reports

“Victims of flood in “Asparuhovo” so far 14.

Source: News.Varna24.bg 14:12 / 06.20.2014

10 are confirmed dead in the city, but may be much more. Three missing. Six people were hospitalized, one of which is a woman in labor.

This morning I got up and two victims in Dobrich. A noon bTV reported another died.

On Wednesday it was reported a man who died as a result of heavy rains in Dimitrovgrad.

There is still no official information on what exactly are the victims of the flood in “Asparuhovo” in Varna. According to different data, the number varies between 10 and 12. Smaller number officially reported at 6.50 pm on Friday, Interior Minister Tsvetlin Iovchev. He added that two of the victims are children. Television correspondent in the city reported 12 dead. According to Mayor Ivan Portnih number is 11.

Divers in “Asparuhovo” continue to look for injured people. The latest victim was removed from her home at 3 am in the morning.” – Source: News.Varna24.bg 14:12 / 06.20.2014

Here’s how you can help the needy and how you can get involved as a volunteer

Source: News.Varna24.bg 18:37 / 06.20.2014

“In connection with the dozens of inquiries from citizens regarding their desire to provide immediate assistance to victims of disaster Asparuhovo of the city of Varna Municipality made the following clarifications:

1. Needed humanitarian materials:

– Fixed food – canned beans, cooking oil, biscuits, cookies, packaged products that do not require refrigeration;

– Sanitation – toilet paper, diapers, wipes, disinfectants;

2. Needed physical assistance:

Regarding the need for clearing hundreds of tons of waste and alluvial materials, tomorrow, 21 June 2014. in the yard of the Red Cross – Varna, “Brothers Shkorpil” № 3 is scheduled meeting for anyone interested in volunteering to help in the disaster area.

Let’s all be volunteers with clothing, such as preference will be if participants bring their action boots and shovels. For those who do not have proper equipment, sponsors of the organization provided 300 sets of boots and shovels, so any help would be welcome. Besides the streets voluntary mass will be concentrated in flooded homes.

After the briefing has organized transport from Varna to BRC Asparuhovo area, but the advantage would be if volunteers come with their own transport.

At the afternoon session of the Crisis Staff in District Administration – Varna was decided to build an entrance and focal point to the district administration Asparuhovo. The point will be on duty around the clock, volunteers and representatives of the Red Cross, which will guide the victims to the accommodation and medical professionals for assistance. Site will be distributed directly and humanitarian aid.

All supplies for crisis point will be transferred to a transport column that starts in 18.45ch. of the Red Cross building – Varna, “Brothers Shkorpil” 3.”

More from Varna24 in English

More from Varna24 in Bulgarian

Hours after tragedy struck in Varna, NGOs Bulgaria’s Red Cross (BRC) and volunteers organised donation campaigns and volunteer teams to aid the flood victims in Asparuhovo.

There are two official donation campaigns – one of BRC and one of the Bulgarian Donations Forum and Nova TV national channel.

The Red Cross activated the donations hotline 1466 – by sending a blank text to the number, people can donate BGN 1 for the flood victims. The organisation also opened a bank account for those who wish to make larger donations:
UNICREDIT BULBANK
BG64UNCR76301078660913
UNCRBGSF(For the flood victims in Bulgaria)

The other donations campaign opened the 17777 hotline. Those, willing to donate BGN 1, must send a text message with the following content: DMS Varna. According to reports, the hotline is overloaded and confirmation texts are being sent back with a big delay.

Part of the donations will also be sent to Dobrich, parts of which are also flooded.

Volunteers from Varna and Sofia are organising themselves through Facebook to collect aid and send in teams to help the cleaning operations in Asparuhovo. The hashtags for the operation are: #‎варна‬, #helpvarna, #supportvarna. The main rally point for volunteers in Varna is in front of the Cathedral.

Most needed are water pumps. Volunteers are advised to have warm clothes, gloves, raincoats, shovels and rubber boots.

Videos

Deadly deluge in Bulgaria kill 16

(Video credit: euronews (in English))

Bulgaria floods cause chaos killing at least 12 – BBC News

(Video credit: BBC News)

Deadly Floods in Eastern Bulgaria, At least 10 killed in port city of Varna

(Video credit: World Voiced News)

 

UK Weather: How stormy has it been and why?

Official blog of the Met Office news team

Since the start of December the UK has seen a prolonged period of particularly unsettled weather, with a series of storms tracking in off the Atlantic bringing strong winds and heavy rain.

The windiest month since 1993

In order to compare the recent spell with the numerous stormy periods of weather in the past the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre has done an analysis of the number of weather stations in the UK which have registered winds over certain thresholds since the start of December.

This measure suggests that December 2013 is the stormiest December in records dating back to 1969 and is one of the windiest calendar months for the UK since January 1993.

December was also a very wet month across the UK, particularly in Scotland where it was the wettest December and wettest month overall in the records dating back to 1910.

But why has this…

View original post 447 more words

Syria/Lebanon: 9 more Syrian children die from cold as Storm Alexa starts predicted worst winter for many years – 131213 1330z

Thousands of Syrian refugees are facing freezing temperatures and difficult weather conditions as snowstorms have hit areas where they’ve set up camps.

Families have been fleeing their homes in Syria because of fighting between the President Bashar al-Assad’s forces and rebel groups who want him out.

Many of them set up makeshift homes near the border with Lebanon. Over the past week the weather has become harsh with temperatures dropping so low icicles have formed on the huts.
Friday, 13 December, 2013 at 04:57 (04:57 AM) UTC RSOE

Other Reports

worldbulletin.net:

9 more Syrian children die from cold

Thousands face imminent death due to lack of access to basic necessities during the civil war.

9 more Syrian children die from cold / PHOTO

(Image: worldbulletin.net)

World Bulletin / News Desk

“Nine more children including 4 newborn babies died from the cold, the Syrian Network for Human Rights announced Friday.

Doctors in the region warnthatworsening weatherconditionscouldlead to more deaths as the lack of access to basic necessities has left thousands facing imminent death. The Syrian oppositionissued an urgent call for help to international institutions.

The Middle Eastern nation braves the wintry cold for athird time during the civil war which began in March 2011.

More than 100,000people havebeenkilled in themore than three-year oldconflict inSyriaand overtwo millionSyriansare now registered as refugees in neighboring countries, Turkey. Lebanon and Iraq,according to the UN.” – worldbulletin.net

(The following images: worldbulletin.net)

United Nations voices concern for refugees caught in winter storm in Lebanon


(Video credit: Amanda Merrill)

Published on Dec 12, 2013

It is called Alexa a storm sweeping across Syria and Lebanon bringing in high winds and freezing temperatures. It is the start of what is predicted to be the worst winter for many years.

The United Nations said it is “extremely concerned” for the plight of the 2.2 million refugees living outside Syria and the millions more displaced inside the country.

In Lebanon humanitarian groups are struggling to meet overwhelming needs.

Syrian refugee Jined Al-Hussein explained his plight. “It is cold in the rain and we have nothing. Hunger and cold weather and there is nothing. I have been here for a week.”

Abdel-Karim Alibrahim is from Aleppo and such are the conditions he says he would prefer to return there.

“The tents blew about letting the rain and snow come in on the little children. We would have preferred to stay in Syria with the shelling.”

The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees is prioritising aid to refugees at high altitude where the snow is at its worst and said as long as people are in tents there is only so much they can do.

Related:

Cold Weather Camping and Hypothermia (Advice from US Scouts)

Compiled by: Chuck Bramlet, ASM Troop 323, Thunderbird District,
Grand Canyon Council, Phoenix, Az.

 


 

 

 

Europe: ESTOFEX Storm Forecast: Level 2 for S Albania and W Greece. Valid until Tues 121113 0600Z – Published 111113 0735z

European forecaster ESTOFEX has issued the following.

Storm Forecast

 

 

Storm Forecast
Valid: Mon 11 Nov 2013 06:00 to Tue 12 Nov 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 10 Nov 2013 22:52
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK

A level 2 was issued for S Albania and W Greece mainly for excessive precipitation and to a lesser degree for severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for the Ionian and S Adriatic Sea, the rest of Albania, coastal Montenegro, Bosnia and Croatia for excessive precipitation and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for S Italy and the Tyrrhenian Sea for excessive precipitation and to a lesser degree for waterspouts.

A level 1 was issued for NE Algeria and N Tunisia mainly for severe wind gusts and to a lesser degree for excessive precipitation.

A level 1 was issued for the rest of Greece mainly for excessive precipitation.

SYNOPSIS

The pronounced upper-level low that has cut off over Italy and the Tyrrhenian Sea on Sunday is the most striking feature in the new forecast period, while it slowly wobbles southward. On the other hand, a strong and meandering zonal flow still has the Northern half of Europe under control: the remainder of the first trough proceeds into Northeastern Europe, and a new trough plus the frontal system of a mighty Atlantic cyclone start to affect the British Isles and Scandinavia. In-between, a positively tilted upper-level ridge builds from Portugal towards the Baltic Sea, and a belt of high surface pressure forms from the Bay of Biscay via Central Europe to Belarus.

DISCUSSION

… Central Mediterranean …

Convection on Monday will mostly be tied to the Italian cyclone and will be twofold:
(1) In the moisture tongue along its Southeastern flank, some CAPE overlaps with enhanced deep-layer shear, though the noisy structures and the strong gradients in both fields make it difficult to assess the final risk for organized storms. The main trigger mechanism is provided by a well-marked wind shift line near the surface and a pronounced tropopause anomaly aloft, both of which move slowly eastward over the Ionian Sea. Scattered to widespread storms in this zone can organize into strong multicells with a backbuilding tendency towards the warm and moist Southerly inflow. Excessive precipitation and severe wind gusts are the dominant risk with this activity. Especially the level 2 area along the coastlines of Southern Albania and Western Greece is very exposed to repeated storms capable of producing flash floods. Further North in the Southern Adriatic region, the risk decreases somewhat due to less moisture access, but still suffices for a level 1.
(2) In closer vicinity to the cyclone, cold mid-levels on top of the warm sea surface continue to create limited CAPE in a weakly sheared environment. Revolving thunderstorm clusters can produce localized excessive precipitation over the Tyrrhenian Sea and the Southern half of Italy throughout the forecast period. Waterspouts are possible in a confined area near the center of the circulation, which slowly moves from the Tyrrhenian Sea towards the strait between Sicily and Tunisia.

Besides, non-convective hazards at the Northwestern flank of the cyclone are also worth mentioning as a side note: The strong Northeasterly flow will result in heavy rainfalls in inland Bosnia and Croatia and especially along the Italian East coast, where they will possibly exceed 100 mm. The North Adriatic Sea (very strong Bora!) as well as Corsica, Sardegna and parts of the Western Mediterranean Sea (Mistral) will experience wind gusts in excess of 25 m/s. Remember that these risks are not covered by the ESTOFEX threat level scheme.

Near the coastline of N Tunisia and NE Albania, the Mistral winds may catch enough moisture again to produce precipitating convection. With limited CAPE and limited shear, these showers will stay unorganized, rather shallow and weakly electrified, but may locally bring severe wind gusts (850 hPa winds around 25 m/s) and heavy precipitation (strong upslope flow).

… Aegean Sea …

Rich moisture is advected northward and allows the buildup of CAPE up to 1000 J/kg. In the absence of synoptic forcing mechanisms, onshore and upslope flow act as the main trigger. Scattered thunderstorms are expected, the more the closer to the coastline of mainland Greece. A few heavy precipitation events are possible with this activity. Otherwise, severe weather risk does not seem to be particularly enhanced, given the lack of vertical wind shear (10-15 m/s between 0 and 6 km).

Related:

Meteoalarm – severe weather warnings for Europe

 

 

Europe: ESTOFEX Storm Forecast: Level 2 for western Italy and east Adriatic coast mainly for excessive convective precipitation and tornadoes. Valid until Mon 111113 0600Z – Published 111113 1900z

(Scorrere verso il basso per la traduzione in italiano)(Scroll down for Italian translation)

European forecaster ESTOFEX has issued the following….

Storm Forecast

 

 

Storm Forecast
Valid: Sun 10 Nov 2013 06:00 to Mon 11 Nov 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 10 Nov 2013 01:21
Forecaster: VAN DER VELDE

 

A level 2 was issued for western Italy and the east Adriatic coast mainly for excessive convective precipitation and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for Italy and west Balkan coast mainly for excessive convective precipitation, severe wind gusts and tornadoes.

SYNOPSIS

A highly meridional flow pattern has developed over Europe. Cold air is transported with northerly winds over Western Europe into the Mediterranean while the eastern Atlantic is dominated by a vast warm sector of a low near Iceland. Over Italy a Genua Low develops rapidly as result of strong advection of potential vorticity over the Alps. It should deepen from 1008 hPa initially to 996 hPa by 03Z, by which time it shifted to central Italy.

DISCUSSION

…western Italy…

After 15Z, according to the GFS run of 18Z, a deep PV anomaly intrudes the Ligurian Sea. Various models indicate there is not a great amount of CAPE (<500 J/kg), but the strong forcing along the leading edge of the anomaly and cold front is thought to trigger a line of thunderstorms with a motion vector around 25 m/s. The primary risk would be severe wind gusts. There should be around 15 m/s deep layer shear which may generate some rotating updrafts. Over central Italy (land) friction of the strong flow creates more than 15 m/s low level shear but storm-relative winds do not look healthy for tornadic supercells. Waterspouts (tornadoes generated by spin-up of vertical vorticity) should occur in various places across the thunder/level 1 area, though. While storm motion seems fast, a threat of excessive convective rain is present as moist flow running into higher terrain should trigger new cells continuously, with backbuilding. As the PV anomaly slows down to install itself over the Tyrrhenean Sea during early Monday morning, southwestern Italy should see more stalled storms with excessive rain amounts. Because CAPE is a limiting factor, the level 2 might be somewhat optimistic.

…east Adriatic coast…

Particularly the high resolution WRF models develop persistent storms in the afternoon onwards, from Slovenia to Albania. Some should surf the flow over orography and the edge of the PV anomaly should linger parallel to the coast, helping regenerate instability and cyclogenesis over the northern Adriatic, increasing excessive rainfall chances. It appears that SREH is better due to more curvature in the low level hodograph which should aid supercells. Waterspouts are very likely, some may be of mesocyclonic origin.

…western Greece…

A plume of higher CAPE over 1000 J/kg advects over the Ionean Sea into Greece and a weak cold front after 18Z should allow triggering of storms, perhaps supercells given the better model hodographs. As buoyancy is stronger here with altitude, large hail seems more likely.

Italian (Translated by Google)

Europea meteorologo ESTOFEX ha rilasciato la seguente ….
Previsione tempesta

 


Previsione tempesta
Validi: dom 10 novembre 2013 06:00 alle Lun 11 Nov 2013 06:00 UTC
Rilasciato : Sun 10 Nov 2013 01:21
Sulle previsioni : VAN DER VELDE

A livello 2 è stato rilasciato per l’Italia occidentale e la costa orientale adriatica soprattutto per eccessiva precipitazione e trombe d’aria convettivo .

Un livello 1 è stato emesso per l’Italia e la costa occidentale dei Balcani principalmente per eccessiva precipitazione convettiva , gravi raffiche di vento e trombe d’aria .

SINOSSI

Un modello di flusso altamente meridionale si è sviluppato in Europa . L’aria fredda viene trasportata con venti settentrionali in Europa occidentale nel Mediterraneo , mentre l’Atlantico orientale è dominata da un vasto settore caldo di una bassa vicino Islanda . Nel corso Italia a Genova Low sviluppa rapidamente come risultato della forte avvezione di vorticità potenziale sulle Alpi . Dovrebbe approfondire dal 1008 hPa inizialmente a 996 hPa da 03Z , momento in cui si è spostata al centro Italia .

DISCUSSIONE

occidentale … Italia …

Dopo 15Z , secondo il run GFS 18Z di una profonda anomalia PV intromette sul Mar Ligure. Vari modelli indicano che non vi è una grande quantità di CAPE ( < 500 J / kg) , ma il forte forzando lungo il bordo di entrata della anomalia e fronte freddo è pensato per innescare una linea di temporali con un vettore di movimento di circa 25 m / s . Il rischio principale sarebbe grave raffiche di vento . Ci dovrebbe essere intorno ai 15 m / s strato profondo taglio che può generare alcuni correnti ascensionali rotanti. Il centro Italia ( terra ), l’attrito del flusso forte crea più di 15 m / s di taglio basso livello ma tempesta relativi venti di non guardare sano per supercelle tornadic . Trombe marine ( trombe d’aria generate da spin- up di vorticità verticale) devono avvenire in diversi luoghi in tutto il tuono / livello 1 zona , però. Mentre movimento temporale sembra veloce , una minaccia di eccessiva pioggia convettiva è presente come flusso umido in esecuzione in un terreno più elevato dovrebbe innescare nuove cellule in continuo , con backbuilding . Come l’ anomalia PV rallenta di installarsi sul Mar Tirreno durante Lunedi mattina presto , sud-ovest Italia dovrebbe vedere le tempeste più bloccata con eccessive quantità di pioggia . Perch CAPE è un fattore limitante , il livello 2 potrebbe essere un po ‘ ottimista.

est … costa adriatica …

In particolare i modelli ad alta risoluzione WRF sviluppano tempeste persistenti nei pomeriggio in poi , dalla Slovenia all’Albania . Alcuni dovrebbero navigare flusso sopra orografia e il bordo della anomalia fotovoltaico dovrebbe soffermarsi parallelo alla costa , aiutando rigenerare instabilità e ciclogenesi sull’Adriatico settentrionale , l’aumento delle precipitazioni eccessive possibilità . Sembra che SREH è migliore grazie alla maggiore curvatura nella odografo basso livello che dovrebbe aiutare supercelle . Trombe marine sono molto probabilmente , alcuni possono essere di origine mesocyclonic .

occidentale … Grecia …

Un pennacchio di maggiore CAPE oltre 1000 J / kg advects sul Mar Ionio in Grecia e di un fronte freddo debole dopo 18Z dovrebbe consentire l’attivazione di tempeste , forse supercelle in virtù delle migliori hodographs modello . Come galleggiabilità è più forte qui con l’altitudine , grandine di grandi dimensioni sembra più probabile .

UK: Reports of tornado in Cragg Vale, West Yorkshire (Sat AM) – 271013 0010z (GMT/UTC)

People in Cragg Vale have been likening yesterdays severe weather to a ‘mini tornado’.

Felled trees in Cragg Vale as a tornado hit the valley.

(Photo: halifaxcourier) Felled trees in Cragg Vale as a tornado hit the valley.

(G: NB – There is no such thing as a mini tornado, it is either a tornado or not a tornado)

Roads are reportedly still shut this morning (Saturday) following the freak weather – which saw strong winds and floods hit locations across Calderdale.

Cyclists are currently being warned to approach the popular Cragg Vale route with care – after trees fell down and the road was filled with debris.

A clean up of the area is reportedly underway. It’s believed Cragg Vale is closed just above the 5km mark due to a clearing of trees which came down last night (Friday).

The goings on have sparked a web frenzy, with readers venting on twitter and facebook over the weather.

Saturday, 26 October, 2013 at 14:03 (02:03 PM) UTC RSOE

On Twitter: Western MA Wx ‏(@WMassWx): Another tornado strikes the U.K. on the eastern side of a powerful low in the Northern Atlantic. 964mb to be exact

(Image: Western MA Wx ‏(@WMassWx))

 

Europe: ESTOFEX Storm Forecast: Level 1 for parts of France, Benelux, Germany, Italy and Iberia valid until 241013 0600Z. Tornadoes, Heavy rain and hail possible – 231013 1348z

Storm Forecast

Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 23 Oct 2013 06:00 to Thu 24 Oct 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 22 Oct 2013 21:15
Forecaster: PUCIK

A level 1 was issued for Central France, BENELUX and Northwestern Germany mainly for tornadoes and severe wind gusts.

A level 1 was issued for Southern France and Northern Italy mainly for excessive precipitation and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for Western Iberia mainly for excessive precipitation.

SYNOPSIS

General macrosynoptic pattern will remain more or less the same as during the previous days – a broad southwesterly flow is forecast over much of Western and Central Europe situated between deep trough over the Atlantic and ridge over Eastern Europe. This trough will translate towards northeast, slightly de-amplifying the ridge but no major reconfiguration is expected. Unseasonably warm airmass has spread all the way up to Southern Scandinavia, while a weak CAA is expected behind the insignificant cold front that will move from France towards Germany. Another significant trough will approach the Iberian penninsula towards the Thursday morning hours.

DISCUSSION

… Central, NE France, BENELUX, NW Germany …

With cooler, moist airmass overspreading the region, low LCLs are forecast. Only moderately steep mid-level lapse rates will very likely limit the instability build-up, so that only few hundreds J/kg of CAPE are expected at best. Strong, unidirectional wind shear is simulated, with much of the shear within the lowest 1 km, yielding LLS values between 10-15 m/s in the region. With the belt of enhanced PV approaching the area, scattered DMC will initiate. In the strong shear regime, low-topped supercells are well possible, capable of severe wind gusts, tornadoes or some mostly sub-severe hail.

… S France, N / NW Italy ….

In the strong southwesterly flow, a belt of steep mid-level lapse rates is forecast to advect over the Mediterranean Sea along with moist low-level airmass. Moist flow experiencing uplift near the coastline or near the Alps will likely initiate widespread DMC – possibly featuring one or more MCS. In case of the training pattern, moist conditions might enhance precipitation efficiency and locally excessive rainfall is expected. Threat will shift from Southern France towards Northern Italy. MCS will likely start building southwards towards the unstable airmass during the Wednesday night hours. Enhanced low level shear near the coastline along with low cloud bases also point at the elevated tornado risk in the region, albeit this threat should be less prominent than the precipitation risk.

… W Iberia …

During the late afternoon / evening hours, tongue of moist and unstable airmass ahead of the trough is expected to initiate widespread DMC near the coastline. With strong low level convergence and enhanced mixing ratios, isolated excessive precipitation event is quite possible. Tornadoes can not be ruled out in this setup with stronger low level shear inland, albeit CAPE here will be likely mostly elevated, thus possibly rendering this shear ineffective.

Related:

Severe Weather Warnings for Europe. Orange Alerts for Switzerland, France, Italy and Netherlands http://www.meteoalarm.eu

France: ESTOFEX Storm Forecast: Level 1 for parts of France valid until Sun 201013 06:00Z. Isolated tornado events, Heavy rain, large hail possible – 191013 1325z

Storm Forecast

(Scroll down for French translation) (Faites dfiler vers le bas pour la traduction franaise)

 

 

Storm Forecast
Valid: Sat 19 Oct 2013 06:00 to Sun 20 Oct 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 18 Oct 2013 16:17
Forecaster: TUSCHY

 

A level 1 was issued for parts of C France mainly for isolated large hail, excessive rain and an isolated tornado event.

A level 1 was issued for a small part of S France mainly for isolated large hail and an isolated tornado event.

SYNOPSIS

A flat and transient omega-like pattern has established over Europe. A weakening upper trough over SE Europe remains in place with only a low-end motion to the east. Numerous vortices over the far E-Atlantic steer a warm/humid air mass far to the NE while a stout branch of the polar vortex over N-Norway/Sweden advects a cold airmass to the south. A deep baroclinic zone (e.g. in excess of 20 K difference at 500 hPa between Germany/N-Norway) is the result with an evolving 40 m/s mid-level streak over the Baltic Sea.

This kind of pattern results in a bisection of Europe from the North Sea to Greece. Areas to the east will feel the influx of cool/cold and dry continental air from the N whereas areas to the west see a gradual recovery of moisture, both due to advection of a modified subtropical air mass and a moistening W-Mediterranean air mass. Hence thunderstorm probs. over E/NE Europe remain confined to offshore and coastal areas with isolated/weakly electrified storms. Scattered and stronger storms however occur over far W Europe.

DISCUSSION

… Ireland and United Kingdom …

Ingredients for thunderstorms will be in place with some iffy signals however. Behind a ENE-ward moving front (already transforming from a cold front into an occlusion from N to S) seasonable BL moisture remains in place. Mid/upper jets also reveal a good placement for some lift in addition to a weak vort.max. crossing the area of interest from SW to NE between 12-18Z. However, forecast soundings show a meager depth of the BL moisture with constant drying above. Therefore onshore turbulent mixing next to some temporal heating lower confidence in adequate CAPE build-up well inland. Coastal areas (SW-ward facing) will see best moisture and at least 300 to 700 J/kg SBCAPE. Some veering in the lowest 2 km AGL is present along the coastal areas with 50-100 J/kg 0-3 km CAPE, so an isolated spout/short-lived tornado is possible. Effective PWs also approach 20 mm, which could lead to some heavy rain and 15-20 m/s 850 hpa flow should ensure gusty winds with stronger convection.

We expanded the lightning areas far offshore. Despite more hostile conditions for electrified storms with this type of air mass, approaching cooler mid-level air should increase the CAPE disperal in the mid-level graupel layer a bit. Hence confidence in more activity compared to yesterday has increased.

We also splayed the eastern part of the 15-% lightning area all the way to Denmark to cover a few elevated thunderstorm events beyond 12Z. This also includes parts of N France . This activity will be non-severe.

… S/C-France …

Odds increase to see an heavy and convectively enhanced rainfall event between Marseille and Montpellier .

A very moist air mass is in place over the far W-Mediterranean with no serious frontal intrusion forecast. Persistent SW-erly mid/upper flow and falling surface pressure to the W/NW should assist in a constant onshore flow and hence better onshore moisture over the area of interest.

However, position and strength of the mid/upper jets are not yet favorable during most of this forecast period but improve after midnight. The same with the LLJ, which showes some strengthening during the overnight hours. Hence, expect mainly onshore convection during daytime hours.

We issued a 50-% lightning area and a level 1 as persistent upslope flow towards the Massif Central could induce a cluster with isolated large hail (20 m/s DLS).

We also don’t want to exclude an isolated tornado event with LCLs below 1 km and enhanced LL shear. Interaction of mid/upper dynamics and aforementioned LLJ could also support a temporal back-building with excessive rain the main risk. Therefore the level 1 was expanded far inland.

Beyond 00Z, environmental conditions improve for a developing coastal cluster with back-building tendencies. With 20-25 m/s DLS and increasing SRH, any coastal storm should become organized and probably supercellular. Large hail and an isolated tornado will be the main hazards.

Current thoughts with late development of that cluster preclude an excessive rainfall – level issuance for now. In case of earlier CI, excessive rain will be added to the current level 1 wording.

French (Translated by Google)

tempête Prvisions

tempête Prvisions
Valable : sam 19 octobre 2013 06h00 à Sun le 20 octobre 2013 06:00 UTC
Publi : Vendredi 18 octobre 2013 16:17
Prvisionniste : TUSCHY

Un niveau 1 a t mis pour une partie de C France principalement pour de la grosse grêle isol, l’excès de pluie et une manifestation de tornades isoles.

Un niveau 1 a t dlivr pour une petite partie de S France principalement pour isol gros grêlons et une manifestation de tornade isol.

SYNOPSIS

Un modèle plat et transitoire omga -like a mis en place en Europe. Un affaiblissement creux en altitude sur l’Europe du Sud reste en place avec seulement un mouvement de bas de gamme à l’est. De nombreux tourbillons plus loin le E- Atlantique dirigent une masse d’air chaud / humide loin au NE tandis qu’une grosse branche du vortex polaire sur N-Norway/Sweden advecte une masse d’air froid vers le sud. Une zone barocline profonde (par exemple au-delà de 20 diffrence de K à 500 hPa entre l’Allemagne / N- Norvège) est le rsultat d’un 40 m / s volutive srie à mi-niveau sur la mer Baltique .
Ce genre de rsultats de motif dans une dichotomie de l’Europe à partir de la mer du Nord à la Grèce. Rgions à l’est se sentiront à l’afflux de froid / froid et sec air continental de la N tandis que les zones à l’ouest voient une reprise progressive de l’humidit , à la fois en raison d’ advection d’une masse d’air subtropical modifi et une masse d’air W -mditerranenne d’humidification . D’où probs orage. sur E / NE Europe de rester confine à des zones extractières et ctières avec isol / tempêtes faiblement lectrifies. pars et plus forts orages se produisent cependant plus loin W Europe.

DISCUSSION

… L’Irlande et le Royaume-Uni …

Ingrdients pour les orages seront mis en place avec certains signaux iffy cependant . Derrière un front mouvant ENE- Ward ( djà transformer à partir d’un front froid dans une occlusion de N à S) humidit BL de saison reste en place. Jets milieu / haut rvèlent galement un bon placement pour certains ascenseur en plus d’un vort.max faible. traversant la zone d’intrêt du SO vers le NE entre 12 – 18Z . Cependant, les sondages de prvisions montrent une profondeur maigre de l’humidit BL avec schage constante au-dessus . Par consquent onshore mlange turbulent à ct de certains chauffage temporal infrieur confiance suffisante CAPE accumulation et l’intrieur des terres . Les zones ctières (face SW- Ward) verront mieux l’humidit et au moins 300 à 700 J / kg SBCAPE . Certains virant au moins 2 km AGL est prsent le long des zones ctières 50-100 J / kg 0-3 km CAPE , si une tornade bec / courte dure isole est possible. PG efficaces abordent galement 20 mm , ce qui pourrait conduire à une forte pluie et 15-20 m / s 850 hpa dbit devrait assurer des rafales de vent à convection forte.

Nous avons largi les domaines de la foudre loin des ctes . Malgr des conditions plus hostiles pour les tempêtes lectrifies avec ce type de masse d’air , approchant refroidisseur d’air de niveau moyen devrait augmenter le CAPE Disperal dans la couche graupel mi- niveau un peu. D’où la confiance dans plus d’activit par rapport à hier a augment.

Nous avons galement vase de la partie orientale de la 15 – % de la superficie de l’clair tout le chemin au Danemark pour couvrir quelques vnements d’orage levs au-delà de 12Z . Cela inclut galement des parties de N France. Cette activit sera sans gravit .

… S / C- France …

Les chances augmentent de voir un vnement de pluie abondante et convection renforce entre Marseille et Montpellier.

Une masse d’air très humide est en place sur l’extrême W -mditerranen sans grave prvisions intrusion frontal. Persistent SW -rectement mi / dbit suprieur et chute de la pression de surface à l’ W / NW devrait contribuer à un flux constant onshore et l’humidit donc mieux à terre sur la zone d’intrêt . Toutefois, la position et la force des jets milieu / haut ne sont pas encore favorable pendant la majeure partie de cette priode de prvision mais s’amliorent après minuit. La même chose avec le LLJ , qui showes un renforcement pendant les heures de nuit . Par consquent, s’attendre à convection principalement à terre pendant la journe . Nous avons mis un 50 – zone de foudre % et un niveau 1 en coulement ascendant persistant vers le Massif Central pourrait induire un cluster avec de gros grêlons isol ( 20 m / s DLS ) . Nous ne voulons pas exclure un vnement de tornade isol avec LCL en dessous de 1 km et un cisaillement accru LL . Interaction des dynamiques milieu / haut et LLJ susmentionn pourrait galement soutenir un arrière – btiment temporelle avec l’excès de pluie , le risque principal . Par consquent, le niveau 1 a t tendu loin dans les terres .

Au-delà de 00Z , les conditions environnementales s’amliorent pour un cluster ctier en dveloppement avec des tendances arrière – btiment. Avec 20-25 m / s DLS et l’augmentation de la SSR , une tempête ctière doit s’organiser et probablement supercellular . Gros grêlons et une tornade isol seront les principaux dangers. Rflexions en cours avec le dveloppement tardif de ce cluster empêcher un excès de prcipitations – mission de niveau pour l’instant. En cas de CI plus tt , l’excès de pluie sera ajout à l’ actuel libell de niveau 1 .

Turkey/Greece/Italy/Slovenia/Croatia: Severe Weather including Tornado risk. ESTOFEX Storm Forecast: Levels 1 & 2 issued. Valid 161013 0600Z -171013 0600Z – Published 151013 2220z

Storm Forecast

European forecaster, ESTOFEX has issued the following forecast for severe weather:

 

 

Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 16 Oct 2013 06:00 to Thu 17 Oct 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 15 Oct 2013 21:51
Forecaster: PUCIK

A level 2 was issued for Southwestern Turkey mainly for excessive precipitation, tornadoes and to the lesser extent for large hail and severe wind gusts.
A level 1 was issued for Northwestern Turkey and Western Greece mainly for excessive precipitation and tornadoes.

A level 1 was issued for parts of Italy, Slovenia and Northern Croatia mainly for severe wind gusts and to the lesser extent for tornadoes.

SYNOPSIS

A strong zonal flow is forecast over much of Western and Central Europe in conjunction with the disturbance ariving from the Atlantic. Ahead of the disturbance, ridge will translate towards Central Europe. Northwesterly flow aloft should accelerate the movement of cut-off low, centered over the Czech Republic as of Wednesday morning, towards the Aegean region. Strong jet-streak is forecast to develop on its southwestern flank, yielding strong forcing in its exit region. This cut-off low and its influence on the Mediterranean region regarding the DMC occurence will become the primary issue to deal with this forecast period.

DISCUSSION

… Southwestern Turkey …

A tongue of moist airmass is forecast to reach the region, along with a band of steep mid-level lapse rates. ECMWF is particularly optimistic regarding the latent instability build-up, showing CAPE values above 2000 J/kg for the coastal areas! Region of high latent instability will shift slowly eastwards, in accordance with the advection of steep lapse-rates. Even though isolated to scattered storms might form along the coastline even during the day, the main timeframe of severe weather risk should be between 00 and 06 UTC. Low-level wind field is expected to strengthen with the arrival of the mid-level / upper-level forcing and formation of the surface low over the northern Aegean. Forecast soundings show very moist low levels, moderate CAPE and most importantly, pronounced veering and increase of low-level winds with height, yielding long, semi-circular hodographs. A full facet of severe weather types is possible – while more isolated storms might attain supercellular characteristics, capable of tornadoes, severe wind gusts and large hail, it is very likely that a large MCS will form. Effective PW values should be high and with strong low-level flow, excessive rainfall events are well possible with such MCS, besides an isolated event of severe wind gusts. Threat will likely continue well into the next forecast period and Level 2 seems to be warranted due to the combination of more severe threats.

… Western Greece / Northwestern Turkey …

These areas are not going to have as favourable conditions as SW Turkey, but still, strong forcing will provide more than enough compensation for lack of higher CAPE values, so that MCS propagating SE-wards will be likely, especially in the late evening / night hours. With enhanced LLS, isolated tornado event is not ruled out, albeit the primary threat should be in the form of excessive precipitation.

… Northeastern / Eastern Italy, Slovenia, Northern Croatia …

A brief window around 12 / 15 UTC will exist for the development of DMC in the very cold mid-level airmass. With jet-streak above the area, very strong DLS is forecast to overspread an area of marginal latent instability. Primary question is whether updrafts can get sustained in the environment of strong storm relative winds along with significant drying at mid-levels. A very conditional Level 1 is issued for the possibility of low-topped supercells capable of severe wind gusts and/or tornadoes (moist low levels and enhanced shear in the lowest 1 km).

US: Utah storm chaos – 200 trapped in American Fork Canyon, 10 missing, evacuations, mudslides, power outages, street flooding and a game delay – 080913 1230z

File:American Fork Canyon from Timpanogos Cave entrance.jpg

An apocalyptic storm hit Utah County Saturday evening, bringing with it evacuations, mudslides, power outages, street flooding and a game delay. Damage reached from the southernmost part of the county to Alpine and into Salt Lake County, leaving police, road crews and search and rescue scrambling to clog up or shovel away messes.

The storm caused massive amounts of road debris on S.R. 92 in American Fork Canyon, forcing multiple road closures. Nearly half a dozen mudslides were reported within the canyon, the largest about 35 to 40 feet deep.

The first mudslide, closest to the mouth of the canyon, was cleared before 8:30 p.m., allowing search and rescue to help clear the people from the area before UDOT moved to the second, and largest, mudslide just below Timpanogos Cave Monument, near Sweeney Bridge. Search and Rescue hiked through and found that hundreds of people were safe within the visitor’s center.

Lt. Tom Hodgson of the Utah County Sheriff’s Office said there are at least five mudslides reported. Several mudslides were also reported going up to Tibble Fork. “We can’t confirm anything more than that, as we are still waiting to get up there.” Hodgson also reported that at least 30 vehicles had made it out safely, and only 30 additional people had been escorted out of the canyon by 9:30 p.m., while the Sheriff’s Office guessed there were still about 200 people reported in the canyon.
“There are 12 search and rescue guys in there helping the visitors out, shuttling them out, because their vehicles had been stuck in the mud or in the river.”
Though there have been around 10 missing persons reported to the sheriff’s office, Hodgson said, “We are slowly accounting for all of the missing people after we are able to contact them behind the slides.” Because of the unexpected amount of rain and debris, some cars slid into the river while others became stuck within the debris and mud that surrounded the visitors swiftly. On the trail to Timpanogos Cave, visitors were escorted out to safety.

Above Timpanogos Cave, cars and visitors were trapped between two mudslides. A ranger from Timpanogos Cave Monument was able to hike through the mudslide and talk to the people stuck between the slide, according to Jim Ireland, the superintendent for Timpanogos Cave National Monument.

“He was able to make contact with them, so we know that they are OK.” Ireland guessed the wait time, at about 9 p.m. Saturday night, for the family members of the visitors stuck in the canyon.”I’m thinking about three more hours before we can get all of the people out of the canyon.”

The Utah County Sheriff’s Office had asked for people to refrain from driving into the canyon.

Ireland also hazarded a guess at the amount of people still trapped in the mudslides. “On a typical Saturday afternoon, there are a couple hundred visitors to the caves.” Ireland stated that many had visited the caves, but others many have been visiting for mountain biking, ATV-ing, or for hunting.

No injuries were reported among the visitors, but spotty cell phone service made communication with the stranded hikers difficult. Most relied on a landline phone within the visitors center to call family members and friends. Ireland added, as a side note, that Timpanogos Cave National Monument would be closed tomorrow for clean-up and that it is unknown when they will be able to reopen. They are currently contacting visitors with appointments for tomorrow to let them know.

Alpine City ordered immediate evacuation Saturday night for all residents living in the area near the Quail Fire burn scar left by last summer’s fire. All homes in the Box Elder and Moyle Dr. areas had to evacauate their homes as flooding and mudslides became a concern. People living east of Grove Dr. to the Willow Canyon area were told to be on alert.

According to the National Weather Service, 0.75 inches of water fell in 15 minutes at the site of the burn scar, causing mudslides and debris flow. Alpine City asked residents to come together and fill sandbags to help control the flood waters.

Many residents came to the City Shop to volunteer in the effort.

The city asked for additional volunteers to help assist clean up on Sunday at 9 a.m. and noon. The BYU football game at LaVell Edwards Stadium, scheduled to start at 5 p.m. was delayed for nearly two hours, during which fans were told to leave the stadium, without indication of when the game would restart. Many of the fans tried to wait the storm out with ponchos and popsicles, but for some, the storm was too strong to stand. Many fans were seen fleeing from the rain, thunder and lightning heard and seen around the stadium.

Provo residents were severely affected by flooding. Some neighborhoods reported more than three feet of water in homes, others suffered roof and window damage. Residents pulled together with buckets and shop vacuums to attempt to stop the swell of water from the floods. In one home near 1460 N. 1350 W., water was reported up to waist level. The upper staircase at Lions Park in Provo was described as ‘washed out.’ Several stores and neighborhoods in Provo also lost power temporarily.

In Orem, storm drains took on more water than they could handle and several homes were flooded as a result. City workers attempted to fix the problem as rain continued to pour. Orem residents were told to avoid leaving their homes or driving at all costs. Intersections throughout the city formed into small ponds and rivers, especially the intersection of University Parkway and State St. Several reports indicated at least three feet of flood waters in varying Orem areas. Red Cross volunteer teams helped flooded apartments into the night to evaluate residents’ immediate needs.
Sunday, 08 September, 2013 at 05:10 (05:10 AM) UTC RSOE

Western Pacific: Storm could bring the risk of flooding across the Philippines and Japan – 040613 1840z

Possible Tropical System Yagi / Invest 96W Forecast

(Video credit: WestPacWx)

Published on 4 Jun 2013

Invest area 96W is showing more and more potential today for possible signs of development and being named the first tropical system of the season. This storm could bring the risk of flooding across the Philippines, and Japan if some of the models hold true of the storms path. So with that said today we break down the outlook of this developing storm system and whom it may be impacting.

Filipino:

Nai-publish sa Hunyo 4, 2013

Mamuhunan area 96W ay nagpapakita ng higit pa at higit pang mga potensyal na ngayon para sa posibleng mga palatandaan ng pag-unlad at pagiging pinangalanan ang unang tropikal na sistema ng panahon. Bagyo Ito ay maaaring dalhin ang mga panganib ng pagbaha sa buong Pilipinas, at Japan kung ang ilan sa mga modelo ng tunay na hawakan ng mga landas bagyo. Kaya may nagsabi na ngayon kami masira ang tanawan ng pagbuo ng sistema ng bagyo at kanino maaari itong makaapekto.

Japanese:

2013年6月4日に公開

96Wは、開発の可能性の兆候を、より多くの潜在的な今日を示しており、シーズンの最初の熱帯システムを命名さ面積を投資。モデルのいくつかは、嵐のパスの真の保持している場合、この嵐は、フィリピン全体で洪水の危険性、そして日本をもたらす可能性があります。だから我々はこの開発嵐システムの見通しを打破し、誰にそれが影響することが今日言ったと。

 

Manila Typhoon CenterUPDATE #2 | WP15 (INVEST 96W) | 0500 PM 1300Z TUE 4 JUNE 2013

(Image: Manila Typhoon Center)

Tropical Disturbance WP15 (INVEST 96W) located South of Guam, is still being monitored for possible development as it drifts slowly to the North…

LPA INFO | at 2 PM today, disturbance 2013CA014 (95W) was located at 4.1°N 148.5°E… about 510 km Southwest of Chuuk Island… or 1120 km South-Southeast of Guam USA | Maximum winds within the disturbance remain at 15 Knots or 25 KPH.

NOTES | WP15 (95W) is in an area of low wind shear and high sea surface temperatures… Forecast models are now almost unanimously in agreement in developing this disturbance in the next few days, forecast to track the Northern Philippine Sea

MTC ANALYSIS | MTC still has WP15 having FAIR potential of development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours with a 34% chance.

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

Filipino:

Tropical gulo WP15 (MAMUHUNAN 96W) na matatagpuan South ng Guam, ay prino-sinusubaybayan para sa posibleng pag-unlad bilang ito drifts dahan-dahan sa North

LPA INFO | sa 14:00 ngayon, gulo 2013CA014 (95W) ay matatagpuan sa 4.1 N 148.5 E | tungkol sa 510 kilometro Timog Kanluran ng Chuuk Island o 1120 km TimogTimog ng Guam USA | Pinakamataas na hangin sa loob ng gulo manatili sa Knots 15 o 25 KPH.

NOTA | WP15 (95W) ay nasa isang lugar ng mababang wind gupitin at mataas ibabaw ng dagat temperatura Pagtataya sa mga modelo ay ngayon halos nang walang tutol sa kasunduan sa pagbuo ng gulo na ito sa susunod na ilang araw, magtaya upang subaybayan ang Northern Philippine Sea

MTC PAGSUSURI | MTC ay mayroon pa ring WP15 makatarungang pagkakaroon ng potensyal na pag-unlad sa isang Tropical bagyo sa loob ng susunod na 24 oras na may isang 34% na posibilidad.

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

Japanese:

それは北にゆっくりと漂うように南グアムの位置熱帯擾乱WP15は(96Wを投資)、まだ可能な開発のために監視されている…

LPA INFOは|2 PM本日は、妨害2013CA014(95W)が4.1Aに位置していたN148.5°EA|チューク島の510キロ南西約…または1120キログアムUSAの南南東は|妨害内の最大風速は15ノットまたは25 KPHのまま。

NOTESは| WP15(95W)は、低風せん断および高い海面温度の領域にある…予測モデルは、北フィリピン海を追跡するために予測、今後数日でこの妨害を開発する契約に現在ではほとんど満場一致である

MTC分析| MTCはまだ34%の確率で次の24時間以内に台風に発達のWP15持つFAIR可能性を秘めています。

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

Mexico: Landslide buries several vehicles on Mexico-Queretaro highway. At least 7 dead, 4 injured.

At least seven people were killed on the Mexico-Queretaro highway in central Mexico, after a landslide buried several vehicles, the Federal Police confirmed Monday.

The landslide occurred in Tepeji del Rio municipality in the central state of Hidalgo, due to strong rain and hail on Sunday night. Tons of soil and mud trapped at least five vehicles which were passing the highway at the moment of the landslide.

Those killed were three men and two women who were in a taxi, as well as one woman and one man in a red van.

Four other passengers of the red van were injured and taken to San Jose hospital in Naucalpan, state of Mexico.

People from Tepeji del Rio are trying to clean their homes, as the storm had damaged 150 houses.

Mexico’s Federal Highway Police, the Ministry of Communications and Transporting, the Army and rescue teams from the state of Mexico and from Mexico City, were helping in the cleaning work and removing disaster rubble.
Tuesday, 28 May, 2013 at 03:16 (03:16 AM) UTC RSOE

Deslave en la MexicoQueretaro deja 7 muertos

(Video credit: Cadena3Noticias)

Published on 27 May 2013

Deslave en la MĂxico — QuerĂtaro deja 7 muertos
27 Mayo 2013

Las malas condiciones climáticas cobran vidas en la Carretera MĂxico — QuerĂtaro, esto a causa de un deslave de un cerro en el kilometro 70. El deslave deja al menos 7 muertos.

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US: Giant tornado, storm sweeps across Mississippi, at least 2 dead, 5 injured – 120413 1205z

Giant tornado sweeps across Mississippi

(Video credit: RussiaToday)

A tornado slammed into Kemper County, Miss., on Thursday, killing one person and injuring at least five, the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency reported. Jeff Rent, an agency spokesman, confirmed the death and also said several buildings were damaged.

There were reports of widespread power outages. As severe storms moved east Thursday night, tornado watches were issued for southeast Alabama and parts of Georgia and Florida. Kemper County Sheriff James Moore said the fatality occurred as the twister touched down around noon local time near a power plant on Mississippi Highway 493, the Kemper County Messenger reported.

Five Mississippi counties reported damage to several homes and a fire station, along with downed trees and power lines. About 4,000 utility customers lost electricity. Gov. Phil Bryant declared states of emergency in Kemper and Noxubee counties.

Friday, 12 April, 2013 at 03:04 (03:04 AM) UTC RSOE

Other Reports:

Two dead in US Midwest severe spring storm

BBC

A woman walks through her storm-damaged kitchen in Hazelwood, Missouri 11 April 2013 Experts say it is unusual for storms to cause damage across such a wide area

Two people have died in a storm that brought snow, hail, rain and possible tornados to a swathe of the US Midwest.

The deaths were reported in the states of Nebraska and Mississippi, where several others were injured after a reported tornado touched down.

A state of emergency has been declared around St Louis, Missouri, where about 25 suburban homes were damaged.

Wind speeds peaked at 101mph (163km/h) in Sullivan, Missouri, the National Weather Service (NWS) said.

The first death was reported in Nebraska on Tuesday, when a woman was killed as she waded through driving snow to reach her house from her disabled car.

The second death, in Mississippi, occurred in the wake of a tornado in the eastern part of the state, an emergency official said.

‘Ears popping’

Damage was reported as far west as Texas and as far east as Pennsylvania.

“It is a bit unusual this time of year to see it over that broad an area,” said Bill Bunting at the NWS storm prediction centre. “It is a fairly strong storm system.”

I thought it was an earthquake, and that’s when things started collapsing Dave Grounds Resident of Alton, Illinois”

A tornado reportedly touched down in northern Arkansas, injuring four people, local weather officials said.

In Missouri, electricity crews were working to restore power to about 23,000 customers cut off during the storm.

Further north, snow, ice and wind also led to power cuts.

Members of a local airport board were gathered in Sullivan, Missouri for a meeting on Wednesday evening when the storm’s highest wind speed was recorded.

“The city administrator said his ears were popping, then all of a sudden the building shook and the windows shook,” said board member Larry Cuneio.

“I’m the street commissioner and I’ve seen wind do a lot of things, but never anything like this.”

In Alton, Illinois, Dave Grounds said he was watching television at home when the rain suddenly picked up.

“That’s when the house started shaking violently, like it was grabbed by both sides,” Mr Grounds said. “I thought it was an earthquake, and that’s when things started collapsing.”

In Alabama, about 50 school systems sent pupils home early, ahead of the approaching storm.

Meanwhile in South Dakota, as much as 30in (76cm) of snow was reported to have fallen in some areas in recent days, and in North Dakota, a region prone to floods, 3-5in of snow was expected on Thursday evening.

====================

Deadly tornado hits Mississippi as storm system stretches across East

NBC News

“A destructive and massive storm system draped itself across half the country Thursday, from the Gulf Coast to Canada and with a wingspan from Maine to the Dakotas. At least one person was killed in Mississippi, where a tornado touched down.

Authorities in Kemper County, Miss., along the Alabama state line, reported that the storm also caused several injuries and extensive damage and destroyed at least one steel building.

Gov. Phil Bryant offered thoughts and prayers for people in the path of the storm and said that the state was sending help.

By early afternoon, the tornado was moving toward Alabama, and the more heavily populated cities of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa were in the path of the worst of the storm system.

David Carson / Post-Dispatch via AP

A tree fell on this home in Hazelwood, Mo., during heavy storms Wednesday. There were two reports of tornadoes in the town, according to Weather.com, and the governor declared a state of emergency.

The system, which has disrupted weather all over the country this week, formed a giant T on Thursday. Snow fell in the Dakotas and upstate New York, and ice-slicked roads in Wisconsin. Rain drenched the Ohio Valley and New Orleans.On Wednesday, the storm system whipped up tornadoes and severe thunderstorms across Missouri and Arkansas, wrecking homes, downing power lines and injuring people in both states.The St. Louis suburbs were walloped, and Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon declared a state of emergency. The town of Hazelwood reported two tornadoes, and a tree fell on a house there.While authorities in Arkansas could not confirm a tornado, but three homes were destroyed and more than 50 damaged along with a church. People were trapped inside a house in Lincoln when a tree fell on it.

Van Buren County, in north central Arkansas, was hit hard. More than 30 homes were damaged, six were destroyed, and a fire department was heavily damaged, according to county judge Roger Hooper. Four people were hurt.

The storm made a plaything of an 18-wheeler in Botkinburg, Ark., tossing the truck and damaging a house.

Other parts of the country were hit with a mix of snow and ice, and Gov. Mark Dayton called out the National Guard to help ice-bound Minnesotans. Freezing rain and ice yanked down power lines and tree limbs in Minnesota.

NBC News’ Christopher Nelson contributed to this report.

Related:

PhotoBlog: Trees toppled, homes destroyed by powerful storms

Full coverage from weather.com

===================

“A large tornado tore across the US state of Mississippi on Thursday, as strong spring storms battered parts of the southeast and Midwest. A resident of Noxubee County in the far eastern part of the Mississippi filmed the approaching tornado on his mobile phone as it swirled across nearby farmland. Authorities said there were reports of damaged buildings and many power outages. At least three people were killed as a result of the storms and thousands were left without power.” – rt.com

Severe Weather Outbreak: Texas to Kansas, Missouri

TheSurvivalPlaceBlog

After locally violent thunderstorms erupt on Sunday, an outbreak of severe weather will threaten lives and property from Texas to Kansas and Missouri Monday through Wednesday.

Interests from the central Plains to Texas will want to monitor weather conditions closely during the first part of next week.

The weather setup through at least the first half of next week will put lives and property at risk. The severe weather outbreak expected is likely to be the worst of the season so far.

The nature of the storm in local areas has yet to be determined, but some locations have the potential to be hit with violent thunderstorms that bring large hail, damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning strikes and flash flooding.

There is also the potential for a few tornadoes to be produced.

The main severe weather event will be preceded by locally violent thunderstorms from the Texas Panhandle to Missouri…

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Easter Weekend Storm to Dampen Midwest, East

TheSurvivalPlaceBlog

A portion of the Easter weekend will be dampened by rain and thunderstorms across much of the eastern half of the nation.

The rain, especially downpours and heavier thunderstorms, will lead to wet travel and low visibilities from Little Rock, Ark., to Memphis, Tenn., on Saturday. Rain will quickly move eastward on Sunday, impacting Nashville, Tenn., Cincinnati and Columbus, Ohio, Pittsburgh, Pa. and Buffalo, N.Y.

Umbrellas should not be needed in the Interstate 95 corridor for sunrise services on Easter Sunday, but rain will develop during the day in New York City, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C.

Unlike recent storms, the vast majority of what falls from this storm system will be in the form of rain, with just a few snow showers on the back side of the system on Sunday in Wisconsin and Minnesota.

The storm will begin to develop on Friday along a stalled front sitting across the…

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Australia: Tornado batters Victoria’s NE, injuring 20, leaving some towns devastated & 300 homeless – 220313 1850z

A tornado has battered Victoria’s northeast, injuring 20 people and leaving some towns looking like a bomb has exploded

(Video credit: Youtube user Jtec777 Tornado in Yarrawonga, Victoria, Australia)

The fierce storms hit the Murray River towns of Bundalong, Yarrawonga, Mulwala, Rutherglen, Koonoomoo and Cobram last night. Moira Shire Mayor Brian Keenan says he’s never seen such extensive damage in his four decades as a SES and CFA brigade leader.

He says several houses at Bundalong, home to about 300 people, have been destroyed and most others are damaged. “It is absolutely incredible. You would think an atom bomb went off,” Keenan said. He said massive trees were ripped out of the ground and several hundred metres of power lines had fallen. “How there wasn’t lives lost is beyond me,” he said. Further west, Barooga Post Office manager Max Steward said the storm lasted only five minutes and ripped the back verandah off, blowing it about 30 metres into the street. “It just was like a mini tornado,” he said. “A couple of houses down the road … were literally blown apart by the force of the wind.”

Steward, 65, said there was no warning the storm was about to strike. “It just came out of nowhere just like a low-flying aeroplane – it just roared though,” he said. He said after five minutes the wind died down. “You can look out our window here and see the bush between here and Cobram and it’s just like a lawnmower has gone across the top of the trees – trees that were 60 foot high, or they were.

Unbelievable it was.” Barooga Sports Club assistant chief executive Greg Ferguson said hundreds of trees at the Cobram Barooga Golf Club were uprooted and flung across the fairways. Part of the club roof was torn off, the windows blown-in and a section of the ceiling collapsed. “There is a section of a roof in one of our trees near the first tee that has got to be about six or seven metres square,” Ferguson said. One third of the building remained closed however one course remained open, he said.

Twenty people were injured, with most treated at the Yarrawonga Hospital, while four with more serious injuries were flown to Melbourne. State Control Centre forecaster Tony Bannister said tornadoes of such force were not unheard of but rare for Victoria. He said initial reports suggested the tornado would have involved winds of between 180 and 250km/h. Two men in their 50s were flown to Melbourne hospitals in critical conditions. Both were suffering head injuries while one also had pelvic and abdominal injuries.

Friday, 22 March, 2013 at 04:10 (04:10 AM) UTC RSOE

News Reports

Two Australian men made a dramatic escape from a tornado in New South Wales after the twister touched down only metres from their car.

Daniel Clarke, 24, told Australia’s 7 News channel how he was driving from the town of Mulwala to nearby Barooga when the tornado, which was around 50 metres wide at its base, appeared in a field next to them.

Nearby power lines exploded with a blue flash as they were hit by the whirling column of air.

With rain and debris hammering the windscreen as the tornado advances towards them, Mr Clarke reverses at speed before performing a hand-brake turn in the road.

But the twister continues to barrel through the adjoining field, travelling almost parallel to their car at a speed of approximately 50mph.

More here: telegraph.co.uk

Twenty people have been hospitalised, with one man in a critical condition suffering a fractured skull, after a series of tornadoes swept across Victoria’s northeast and fierce winds lashed the rest of the state.

Caravans were upended, roofs ripped off houses and buildings damaged as the tornado hit about 8pm (NZDT) yesterday, an SES spokesman said.

The tornado swept along Murray River townships near Bundalong, Rutherglen and Yarrawonga.

The SES fielded 60 calls for help in the region with 20 people hospitalised for injuries, according to the Herald Sun.

The newspaper also reported that a series of “mini-tornadoes” had hit the region. The injuries and damage in northeast Victoria came as strong winds felled trees and damaged buildings across the state.

The SES spokesman said the greatest trauma risk was from falling buildings and roofs.

“It becomes dangerous and deadly debris,” he said.

While the weather appeared to be a tornado, authorities had not yet officially confirmed it, the SES spokesman said.

“It definitely has tornado-like patterns. Certainly that’s what it looks like,” he said. He said powerlines in the area are likely to be down.

SES volunteers have responded to more than 750 calls across the state since midnight on Wednesday amid wind gusts exceeding 100km/h.

Strong winds had hit Healesville, Nunawading and outer eastern metropolitan Melbourne, but the damage has been widespread.” – news.msn.co.nz

China: Strongest ever recorded Tornado to strike Dongguan City in Guangdong Province, leaves 9 dead, 272 injured – 210313 0940z

Eight people died and 136 others were injured (figures updated to 9 dead, 272 injured) after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province, local authorities said Wednesday.

Two of the injured sustained serious injuries, according to the Dongguan municipal government.

Thunderstorm and hail battered the city on Wednesday afternoon, along with gales and torrential rains.

Three townships were badly hit by heavy rains and strong winds, it said. The government has sent a work team to disaster-hit areas for investigation and disaster-relief work.

Thursday, 21 March, 2013 at 04:42 (04:42 AM) UTC RSOE

News Reports

S. China storm kills 9, injures 272

2013-03-20 23:46:54 GMT2013-03-21 07:46:54(Beijing Time) Xinhua English
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)
Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China's Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)Eight people died and 136 others were injured after a thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City in south China’s Guangdong Province. (Photo/Agencies)

A rare storm has left nine people dead and 272 injured in south China’s Guangdong Province, local government said on Thursday.

The thunderstorm and hail hit Dongguan City on Wednesday afternoon, with winds of up to 176.8 km per hour and maximum precipitation of 40.6 mm, said Deng Haoquan, a spokesman for the Dongguan city government.

This was the strongest tornado to hit Dongguan since its meteorological records began, according to Deng.

As of 10 a.m. on Thursday, the storm had resulted in nine deaths and 158 hospitalizations, 11 of those in a critical condition.

The property losses are also being counted.

Hungary: M7 Motorway horror storm chaos leaves 1 dead, 40+ injured – 140313 2215z

More than 40 cars collided in the M7 Motorway, Hungary. A series of accidents caused by the late storm, which broke out in Hungary, after having caused chaos in Western Europe. The number of counties in the country (mainly in the western part of the country), red weather alert has been issued.

Thursday, 14 March, 2013 at 16:25 (04:25 PM) UTC RSOE

Press & Other Reports

TASR: Hungary weather snowfall accident M7
Issued: 14/03/2013 17:37 Created: 14/03/2013 14:24 Author: Category: Weather-hms / winter dream don AM
Hungary weather snowfall accident M7

KK20 Szabadbattyn – Firefighters intervene to place multiple car collision on the M7 highway Hungarian Szabadbattyn the town, 72 km southwest of Budapest, 14 March 2013.

During the mass collision crashed more than 50 vehicles, one person was killed and over 40 were injured.

PHOTO TASR / MTI
Firefighters work at the scene of a mass accident on the M7 motorway near Szabadbattyan, 72 kms southwest of Budapest, Hungary, 14 March 2013th (MTI / Viktor Koppny)

From Youtube (Credit: Sprinterx2): Severe blizzard/winterstorm event was in Hungary on 14/03/2013. Maxima of windgust reached 100-110 km/h. A lot of traffic accidents happened on the M7 motorway.

Extreme Weather in Israel – 070113 2300z

Heavy rain fell from the North to the Negev overnight Saturday, with the stormy winter weather expected to continue on Sunday and throughout the week. Forecasters expect the coming week to be one of the rainiest in recent memory with some 100 millimeters of rain expected in central Israel and as much as 250mm. expected to fall in the North. Mount Hermon is also expected to see continued snowfall throughout the week. Melting snow from Mount Hermon and the Golan will add some 30 centimeters to Lake Kinneret, according to forecasts.The Israel Meteorological Service said that snow could fall in Jerusalem as well on Wednesday. Authorities warned the public to prepare for winds up to 100 km/h on Sunday evening, especially in coastal areas. The advised tying down or taking inside garden items that could be swept up in the wind. The Israel Electric Company instructed the public to keep heating thermostats at 18 degrees Celsius to prevent causing power surges and electrical outages.

As lights flickered and falling tree branches batted down power lines across the country on Monday, Israelis continued to brace themselves for a week of torrential rains and thunderous winds. Showers and storms pounded nearly all of Israel, with extremely strong winds – of up to 85 kilometers per hour from the North down to Beersheva, decreasing to about 65 kilometers per hour in the Arava and 35 kilometers per hour in Eilat, according to Israel Meteorological Services (IMS). Snow continued to fall over the Hermon, closing the areas ski resort, and temperatures dropped to colder than usual all over the country. Ongoing flooding plagued coastal towns, as well as risks of flash floods in riverbeds of the South, Jordan Valley and the Judean Desert, the IMS said. As in previous winters, Modi’ins Azrieli Mall was completely flooded on the first floor, causing police and firefighters to evacuate all the stores. Eyewitnesses described water streaming into the mall, creating a veritable river through the building. No one was injured and shoppers left the building without incident.

“Stormy weather caused flooding to the municipal drainage system, leading to the overflow of water in some areas of the mall,” an official response from the Azrieli Group said, as of Monday afternoon. “To ensure the safety of visitors, in the coming hours the mall shall be drained of water and will reopen as usual.” In Jerusalem, firefighters scrambled to deal with downed trees, some of which fell against electricity towers, causing damage. Firefighters also cleared away downed antennas and trees that had fallen on cars across the municipality, as periods of rain alternated with bouts of hail. In a rather empty Mahaneh Yehuda shuk, merchants cheered, mostly with boredom, every time the hail started to pound earnestly on the plastic roofs of the shuk, creating an incredible racket. A resident of one older apartment in Nachlaot said she rushed around trying to mop up leaks with towels as the wind tore her balcony roofs to shreds. If the storm maintains its current intensity over the week, Jerusalem may experience snow on Wednesday, the IMS has predicted. The municipality said that it is therefore increasing preparations for the possibility of snow. Similar episodes have likewise already rattled the city of Tel Aviv-Yafo, with 217 problematic events already taken care of by the city by midday Monday. The municipality had treated four flooded apartments, seven flooded yards, one flooded land plot, 55 fallen trees and branches, 21 road obstacles, 20 fallen lights and signs, 13 holes, 11 blocked antennas, three sewage issues, 10 fallen building parts, five fallen roof objects, 16 torn electricity cables, one fallen fence, four road erosion incidents, 20 problematic road puddles and five incidents with Bezeq, the city said.

In addition, the municipality warned drivers and pedestrians that there are faults in traffic light systems in many parts of the city. Also, at a building site at the corner of Rothschild Boulevard and Nahalat Binyamin, a crane had fallen and hit glass of the building next door, according to the city. The total amounts of rain for this storm thus far were 16 millimeters in central Tel Aviv, 13.1 millimeters in Ramat HaHayal and 9.3 millimeters at Sde Dov Airport, as of midday Monday. In anticipation of the storm, the municipality had been making constant preparations for the potential ravages of the stormy weather and has increased the presence of its operational teams as well as social services staff to distribute blankets and hot drinks to the homeless. In the past few years, the city has been giving increased priority to preventing flooding during the winter season, particularly with the entire overhaul of the urban drainage and sewage systems in most parts of the city. The municipality is also working in cooperation with the Ayalon Highway Company, to handle the possibilities of flooding on the Ayalon, the city added. As a precaution, the municipality stressed that residents should make sure there are no objects on their terraces that could fly off in the strong winds, as well as ensure that all walls are maximally strengthened. Swimming at beaches where rescue services do not operate is absolutely prohibited, the municipality stressed.

In order to be as prepared as possible, the city increased all of its operational teams – including those responsible for handling flooding, falling trees, potholes, traffic light systems, as well as the fire department. Prior to the onset of the storm, the city checked all of its tunnel systems, dried open drainage ditches, fenced off construction sites, pruned tree branches, treated coastal cliffs, plugged potholes and sinkholes, printed guidelines for the public and more, according to the municipality. Anyone requiring assistance should contact the municipality at *106, the city added. Just north of Tel Aviv, the Herzliya train station, which had been closed since midday Sunday due to flooding, began operating once again at about 12:30 p.m. on Monday, a spokeswoman from Israel Railways said. The company, however, warned travelers that trains would be moving slowly due to the weather throughout the duration of the storm. Outside of the Jerusalem and Tel Aviv regional hubs, the Health Ministry warned that due to the possibility of contaminated storm run-off mixing with drinking reservoirs, residents near the Dead Sea – including Almog, Kalya, Beit HaArava, Avnat, Vered Yericho, and tourist sites in the area – should boil their water for a minimum of two minutes until further notice. In cooperation with the regional council as well as Mekorot National Water Company, the ministry said it would continue to conduct testing. In the West Bank, heavy rain and lightning damaged 19 houses on Monday in the Al-Janeed area, west of Nablus, causing considerable damage to the properties, Palestinian news agency Ma’an reported. Torrential rain also fell from Sunday into Monday in Tulkarm, flooding homes and roads throughout the town, according to Maan.

While much of the country faced the inconveniences – and sometimes dangers – of the storm, Lake Kinneret was reaping its benefits. By Monday morning, the Kinneret basins level was at 211.72 meters below sea level, 10 centimeters below that of the morning before and still 2.92 meters from being full. Throughout the country since morning hours, Israel Electric Company teams were working in the field to fix the damage caused to the power grid lines thus far by the storm. The teams were operating around the clock in harsh weather conditions, under strong winds, rain, cold temperatures and mud, to correct the localized electricity glitches and return people to full power supplies as soon as possible, the IEC said. Most of the damage caused by the storm thus far was related to tree branches collapsing on power lines, causing them to tear, according to the company. The IEC reminded the public to make use of its service and information center at *103, which is at the moment only responding to calls about storm-related electricity problems. Emergency teams have been prepared on high alert for a number of days already with lifting platforms, vehicles and cranes, so the company encouraged the public to be vigilant about reporting damages to the grid. Updated information is also available on the IEC’s website as well as its Facebook page, the company added.

It is likewise crucial that the public take certain safety precautions, such as removing storage units that can fly away from balconies and hit electrical wires, and make sure that window shutters are connected properly to the buildings, the IEC said. In addition, if there are broken electrical wires in the street, it is critical to refrain from touching them due to risk of electrical shock. Any torn wires should be reported immediately to the IEC at *103 or to the police, the company stressed.

Monday, 07 January, 2013 at 20:13 (08:13 PM) UTC RSOE

Kineret rises higher

The water level of Lake Kineret continues to rise. Over a 24-hour period through Monday morning, the water level climbed another 10 centimeters, bringing the water level to 2.92 meters below capacity.

Stormy weather causes widespread electrical outages

The Electric Corporation has been dealing with dozens of malfunctions that have caused power outages around the country. Electricity is reported out in Ra’anana, Holon, Herzliya, Haifa, Bat Yam, Netanya, Rishon Le’Zion, Dimona and Beersheva, among other places.

In Mevasseret Zion, school was let out because of a power outage.

The Electric Coproration says most of the problems are local, due to falling trees and strong winds that broke electrical cables.

More transportation disruptions expected as winter storms continue

Transportation disruptions are expected again Monday as the stormy weather continues. On Sunday, the Herzliya train station was shut down because of flooding. Shuttle busses will be available to bring travellers to and from the Tel Aviv Mercaz station.

Arkia and Yisrair flights to Eilat will take off from Ben Gurion airport, and not from Tel Aviv’s Sde Dov airport. There is no change to the timetable.

Stormy weather ahead

The Kinneret rose three centimeters on Sunday and since Friday was up eight centimeters. Water authority officials believe that this may be the wettest winter of the last decade.

It was a day of heavy rain and flooding along the coast, strong winds and cold with the stormy weather expected to continue through Wednesday.” – iba.org.il

Hebrew:

מזג אוויר קיצוני בישראל – 070113 2300z

גשם כבד ירד מהצפון ועד נגב לילה שבת, עם מזג האוויר החורפי הסוער הצפויים להימשך ביום ראשון ובמשך כל השבוע. חזאים צופים השבוע הקרוב לאחד הגשום בזיכרון האחרון עם כ 100 מילימטרים של הגשם הצפויים במרכז הארץ וככל 250mm. צפוי לרדת בצפון. החרמון צפוי גם לראות שלג נמשך במהלך השבוע. שלג נמס מהחרמון והגולן יוסיף כ 30 סנטימטרים לכנרת, על פי forecasts.The השירות מטאורולוגי אמר שהשלג יכול לרדת גם בירושלים ביום רביעי. שלטונות הזהירו את הציבור להתכונן לרוחות של עד 100 ק”מ / שעה ביום ראשון בערב, בעיקר באזורי החוף. מומלץ קשירה או נטילה בתוך פריטי נוי שניתן נסחפים ברוח. חברת החשמל הנחתה את הציבור כדי לשמור thermostats חימום ב 18 מעלות צלזיוס, כדי למנוע גרימת נחשולי מתח והפסקות חשמל.

כאורות הבהבו וענפי עץ נופלים הנידו את קווי חשמל ברחבי הארץ ביום שני, הישראלים המשיכו לחזק עצמם לקראת שבוע של גשמי זעף ורוחות סוערות. ממטרים וסופות הכו כמעט בכל הארץ, עם רוחות חזקות מאוד – של עד 85 קמ”ש מהצפון עד באר שבע, יורדים לכ 65 קמ”ש בערבה ובמרחק של 35 ק”מ לשעה באילה, על פי מטאורולוגי שירותים (IMS). השלג המשיך לרדת על החרמון, סגירת אתר הסקי של האזור, וטמפרטורות ירדו ל קר מרגיל בכל רחבי הארץ. הצפה מתמשכת הטרידה ערים חוף, כמו גם סיכונים של שיטפונות בנחלי הדרום, בקעת הירדן ומדבר יהודה, IMS אמר. כמו בחורפים קודמים, קניון עזריאלי המודיעין של הוצף לחלוטין בקומה הראשונה, וגרם לשוטרים וכבאים לפנות את כל החנויות. עדי ראייה תאר את הזרמת מים לקניון, יצירת נהר ממש דרך הבניין. לא היה נפגע וקונים עזבו את הבניין ללא תקלות.

“מזג אוויר סוער גרם להצפה למערכת הניקוז העירונית, מה שמוביל להצפה של מים באזורים מסוימים של הקניון,” תגובה רשמית מקבוצת עזריאלי אמרה, נכון ליום שני אחר הצהריים. “כדי להבטיח את שלומם של מבקרים, בשעות הקרובות לקניון ינוקז מים וייפתח מחדש כרגיל.” בירושלים, כבאים מהרו לטפל בעצים כרותים, שחלקם נפלו נגד מגדלי חשמל, וגרם לניזק. כבאים גם פינו את אנטנות ועצים שנפלו על פני מכוניות עיריית ופל, כתקופות של גשם עם התקפי הברד. בלשוק מחנה יהודה ולא ריק, סוחרים הריעו לו, בעיקר בשעמום, בכל פעם הברד החל להלום ברצינות על גגות הפלסטיק של לשוק יצירה הרעישה מאוד. תושב דירת מבוגר אחד בנחלות אמר התרוצצתי מנסה לנגב במגבות הדלפות כרוח קרעה גגות מרפסתה לגזרים. אם הסופה שומרת עוצמתה הנוכחית בשבוע, ירושלים עלולה להיתקל בשלג ביום רביעי, ה-IMS יש חזה. מהעירייה נמסר כי היא כן גדלה הכנות לאפשרות של שלג. פרקים דומים גם כבר טלטלו את עיר תל האביב יפו, ​​עם 217 אירועים בעייתיים כבר טופלו על ידי העיר בצהריים יום שני. העירייה טפלה בארבע דירות מוצפות, שבעה מטרים מוצפים, עלילת ארץ אחת הוצפה, 55 עצים שנפל וסניפים, 21 מכשולים בכביש, 20 שנפלו אורות ושלטים, 13 חורים, 11 אנטנות חסומות, בשלוש סוגיות ביוב, 10 חלקי בניין הרוס, חמישה אובייקטי גג שנפלו, 16 כבלים קרועים חשמל, גדר 1 נופלים, ארבע תקריות שחיקת כביש, 20 שלוליות בעייתיות דרכים וחמש תקריות עם בזק, העיר אמרו.

בנוסף, העירייה הזהירה את הנהגים והולכי רגל שיש תקלות במערכות רמזורים בחלקים רבים של העיר. כמו כן, באתר בנייה בשדרות רוטשילד פינת הנחלה בנימין ו, מנוף נפל ופגע בזכוכית של הבניין הסמוך, בהתאם לעיר. סך כמות הגשם לסופה הזאת עד כה היו 16 מילימטרים במרכז תל האביב, 13.1 מילימטרים ברמת החייל ו9.3 מילימטרים בשדה דוב, נכון לצהרי יום שני. לקראת הסערה, העירייה הייתה עושה את הכנות מתמידות לפגעים האפשריים של מזג האוויר הסוער והגדילה את נוכחותם של צוותות התפעול שלה, כמו גם צוות שירותים חברתי כדי להפיץ שמיכות ומשקאות חמים לחסרי הבית. בשנים האחרונות, העיר כבר נותנת עדיפות מוגברת למניעת הצפה בעונת החורף, ובמיוחד עם כל שיפוצי הניקוז העירוני ומערכות ביוב ברוב חלקי העיר. העירייה היא גם עובדת בשיתוף פעולה עם חברת נתיבי איילון, כדי להתמודד עם האפשרות של הצפה באיילון, העיר הוסיפה. כאמצעי זהירות, העירייה הדגישה כי תושבים צריכים לוודא שאין חפצים במרפסת ביתו שיכול לעוף ברוחות החזקות, כמו גם לוודא שכל הקירות מתחזקים מקסימאלי. שהחייה בחופים שבם שירותי הצלה אינם פועלים אסורים באופן מוחלט, בעירייה הדגישה.

על מנת להיות מוכן ככל האפשר, העיר גדלה כל צוותות התפעול שלה – כולל אלה שאחראים לטיפול בהצפה, עצים נופלים, מהמורות, מערכות רמזורים, כמו גם את מכבי האש. לפני תחילתה של הסערה, העיר בדקה את כל מערכות מנהרותיה, תעלות ניקוז פתוחות מיובשות, מגודר אתרי בנייה, ענפי עצים גזומים, צוקי החוף שטופלו, פקוקה מהמורות והבולענים, הנחיות מודפסות לציבור ועוד, על פי העירייה. כל מי שזקוק לסיוע מתבקש לפנות לעירייה ב* 106, העיר הוסיפה. צפונית לתל האביב, תחנת הרכבת ברצליה, שהיה סגורים מאז צהרי יום ראשון בשל צפה, החל לפעול שוב בסביבות השעה 12:30 ב יום שני, דוברת רכבת ישראל אמרה מ. החברה, לעומת זאת, הזהירה כי נוסעי רכבות תהיינה נעימה בשל מזג האוויר לאט לכל אורכה של הסערה. מחוץ לרכזות אזוריות בתל אביב ירושלים ו, ​​במשרד הבריאות הזהיר כי בשל האפשרות של סערה מזוהמת ניגרה ערבוב עם מאגרי שתייה, תושבים ליד ים המלח – כולל אלמוג, קלי”ה, בית ערבה, אבן, הוורד יריחו, ו אתרי תיירות באזור – צריכים להרתיח את המים שלהם למינימום של שתי דקות עד להודעה חדשה. בשיתוף עם המועצה האזורית, כמו גם מקורות חברת מים הלאומיים, המשרד אמר שימשיך לערוך בדיקות. בגדה המערבית, גשם וברקים כבדים נפגעו 19 בתים ביום שני באזור אל Janeed, המערבי לשכם, וגרמו ניזק רב לנכסים, סוכנות הידיעות הפלסטינית המען מדווח. גשם זלעפות ירד גם מיום ראשון ביום שני בטול כרם, ומציף את הבתים וכבישים בכל רחבי העיר, על פי מען.

בעוד הרבה של המדינה עומד על הטרדות – ולפעמים סכנות – של הסערה, הכנרת הייתה קוטפת את היתרונות שלה. ביום שני בבוקר, ברמה של כנרת האגן הייתה ב211.72 מטרים מתחת לפני ים, 10 סנטימטרים מתחת לזה של הבוקר לפני ועדיין 2.92 מטר מלהיות מלא. בכל רחבי הארץ מאז שעתי בוקר, צוותות חברת חשמל שעובדים בתחום כדי לתקן את הניזק שנגרם לקווי רשת החשמל עד כה על ידי הסערה. הצוותות פעלו מסביב לשעון בתנאי מזג אוויר קשים, ברוחות חזקות, גשם, טמפרטורות ובץ קרים, כדי לתקן את תקלות חשמל המקומיות ואנשים שחוזרים לספקי כוח מלאים בהקדם האפשרי, בחברת החשמל, אמר. רוב הניזק שנגרם על ידי הסערה עד כה היה קשור לקריסת ענפי עץ על קווי חשמל, גורם להם לקרוע, על פי החברה. חברת החשמל הזכירה לציבור לעשות שימוש בשירות שלה ומרכז מידע ב* 103, הנמצא ברגע ונענה רק לשיחות על בעיות הקשורות לחשמל סערה. צוותות חירום ערוכים בכוננות גבוהה למספר ימים כבר עם הרמת פלטפורמות, כלי רכב ומנופים, ולכן החברה מעודדת את הציבור להיות ער לדיווח ניזקים לרשת החשמל. מידע מעודכן זמין גם באתר האינטרנט של חברת החשמל, כמו גם בדף שלו בפייסבוק, החברה הוסיפה.

זה גם חיוני שהציבור הקפד לנקוט אמצעי זהירות מסוים, כגון הסרת יחידות אחסון שיכול לעוף הרחק ממרפסות ופגעו חוטי חשמל, ולוודא שתריסים מחוברים כראוי למבנים, חברת החשמל אמרה. בנוסף, אם יש שבורים חוטי חשמל ברחוב, זה קריטי כדי להימנע מלגעת בם בשל סכנת התחשמלות. כל חוטים קרועים יש לדווח מיידית לחברת החשמל ב* 103 או למשטרה, החברה הדגישה.

יום שני, 7 ינואר, 2013 בשעת 20:13 (8:13) UTC RSOE

“כנרת עולה ועולה

מפלס המים בכנרת ממשיך לעלות. במשך תקופה של 24 שעות עד ליום השנייה בבוקר, מפלס המים עלה עוד 10 סנטימטרים, מביא את המים לרמת 2.92 מטרים מתחת לקיבולת.

מזג אוויר סוער גורם להפסקות חשמל נרחבות

חברת החשמל כבר להתמודד עם עשרות תקלות שגרמו להפסקות חשמל ברחבי הארץ. חשמל דיווח ברענן, חולון, הרצליה, חיפה, בת ים, נתניה, ראשון לציון, דימונה ובאר שבע, ובמקומות אחרים.

במבשרת ציון, בית הספר היה נותן לו לצאת בגלל הפסקת חשמל.

Coproration החשמל אומר שרוב הבעיות הם מקומיים, בשל עצים נופלים ורוחות חזקות שפרצו כבלי חשמל.

שיבושי תחבורה עוד כצפויים סערות החורף ממשיכות

שיבושי תחבורה צפויים שוב ביום שני מזג האוויר הסוער ממשיך. ביום ראשון, תחנת הרכבת ברצליה נסגרה בשל צפות. אוטובוסי הסעות יהיו זמינים כדי להביא מטיילים ולמרכז תל אביב התחנה.

טיסות ארקיע לאילה וYisrair תמראנה משדה התעופה בן גוריון, ולא משדה תעופת שדה דוב בתל האביב. אין כל שינוי בלוח הזמנים.

מזג אוויר סוער קדימה

הכנרת עלתה שלושה סנטימטרים ביום ראשון ומאז יום שישי היה עד 8 סנטימטר. פקידי רשות מים מאמינים שזה יכול להיות החורף הגשום ביותר של העשור האחרון.

זה היה יום של גשם כבד והצפות לאורך החוף, רוחות חזקות וקר עם מזג האוויר הסוער הצפויים להימשך עד יום רביעי “-. Iba.org.il

Lebanon chaos: Search for baby boy washed away in rare storm which also killed a 69yr man – 070113 2220z

Strong winds and floods killed a man and washed away a baby boy and caused travel misery as it swept across Lebanon for a second day Monday, in what the Meteorological office described as a “rare storm.”

The Education Ministry announced the closure of all public and private schools Tuesday and Wednesday. Police identified the fatality as Joseph Antoine Sfeir. They said the 69-year-old man was killed when his car skidded due to heavy rain on the Zhaima-Mansourieh road in the Metn region north of Beirut. Meanwhile, Civil Defense said rescue teams were still searching for seven-month-old Youssef al-Fadel who was washed away by heavy rain overnight. The boy is the son of a Lebanese shepherd family that lives in a tent on the foot of Jadra, in the Iqlim al-Kharroub region east of Sidon, south Lebanon.

“There has been a decrease in floods since midday [Monday] which will allow our teams to go down to the valley and search for the baby,” one official told The Daily Star. The boy’s brother, Abdo, said the family of 10 was sleeping when their tent flooded. “We were sleeping in our tent when we heard a strange sound and a few seconds later rain flooded our tent,” Abdo, 11, told The Daily Star. “We all fled and my mother carried Youssef, but he slipped from her arms as she ran and was swept away by the rain,” Abdo added. The violent storm uprooted nearly a dozen tents in the hills of Jadra overnight. The tents had been set up by Lebanese shepherds who hail from the Bekaa town of Deir Zannoun in east Lebanon. The Civil Defense was able to rescue all three families stranded by flood water in Jadra. However, at least 300 goats perished in the storm. Strong winds and rain also tore down several billboards along the coastal highway that links Beirut with Sidon.

The road at the Awali River, just north of Sidon, was closed after heavy rainfall choked the portion of the drainage channel near the river. Powerful winds at 100 km/hour toppled several trees and ripped up agricultural greenhouses along the coastal highway between Sidon and the rest of south Lebanon. In the coastal town of Rmaileh, a giant tree fell onto the road, disrupting traffic, particularly school buses. An old tree fell near Rizk hospital in the Beirut neighborhood of Ashrafieh overnight, severely damaging two parked cars. Scores of homes in Wardanieh in Iqlim al-Kharroub have flooded due to the heavy rains. The harsh winter storm, which began late Saturday, left behind a mess in Beirut and surrounding areas. Motorists were stuck in traffic after torrential rain turned many roads and tunnels across Lebanon into a quagmire. Many parents did not send their children to school and many of those who did go arrived late.

Beirut’s Karantina road was turned into a river Sunday night after pouring rain battered the city over the previous 24 hours. The Beirut Fire Department said in a statement Monday it had rescued scores of people stranded late Sunday and early Monday in the capital’s flooded streets, mainly in the Karantina area. It said rescue squads have worked since Sunday to suck out rainwater from a “huge number of flooded homes.” A landslide turned the main road of Nahr al-Mot, north of Beirut, into a muddy swamp, that left drivers stuck for hours. In nearby Antelias, the first floor of a building was flooded after the Antelias River water level rose. Many roadside walls have collapsed due to the storm, including a concrete wall along the Champville College, a private French-language school in Metn. No one was hurt.

Several cars were damaged when a concrete wall collapsed in the northeastern Beirut suburb of Hazmieh, causing massive traffic jams. Further up, in Mansourieh, the main road was cut as the floods continued to rise. Rain caused disruption throughout the country as pools of water closed many roads, mainly Shweifat-Aramoun and Beiteddine-Baakline roads in Mount Lebanon. Floods also impeded traffic in east Lebanon, resulting in cars breaking down on the Ablah-Riaq, Firzil-Zahle and Bar Elias-Masnaa roads. On the Chtaura highway that links Beirut with Damascus, members of the Internal Security Forces prevented motorists from crossing toward Dahr al-Baidar if their cars were not equipped with snow chains.

In the north of the country, the picture was similar with floods forcing road closures, particularly the road linking Koura with Tripoli and that leading to Akkar. Public and private schools, including vocational and technical colleges, were ordered to close Tuesday and Wednesday. A statement issued by Education Minister Hassan Diab attributed the closure to the ongoing storm which the Meteorological Department said will continue for the next two days. “This is a rare storm. Lebanon hasn’t witnessed such a storm in decades,” a source at the Meteorological office told The Daily Star. The source said the storm, coming from Russia, reached its peak strength Sunday and Monday. “However, it will continue Tuesday and Wednesday with heavy rains and thunder storms and lower temperatures,” the source added.

He said snow is expected to fall as low as 500 meters and below above sea level between Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning. The source said the storm is expected to dwindle late Wednesday to early Thursday to showers. President Michel Sleiman kept a close watch on the storm Monday. He discussed measures to cope with the blizzard with Transportation Minister Ghazi Aridi, Interior Minister Marwan Charbel and Lebanese Army Commander Gen. Jean Kahwagi. A statement from the presidential palace said Sleiman urged the cooperation of the concerned ministries as well Civil Defense, Lebanese Red Cross, municipalities and local authorities in opening roads, removing barriers and providing assistance to citizens.

Monday, 07 January, 2013 at 19:46 (07:46 PM) UTC RSOE

Arabic:

الرياح القوية والفيضانات قتلت رجلا وجرفت طفلا وتسبب البؤس السفر كما اجتاحت لبنان لليوم الثاني الاثنين، فيما وصفه مكتب الارصاد الجوية صفها بأنها “عاصفة نادرة.” أعلنت وزارة التربية والتعليم إغلاق جميع المدارس الحكومية والخاصة الثلاثاء والاربعاء. حددت الشرطة القتيل وجوزيف انطوان صفير. وقالت المصادر ان الرجل قتل 69-عاما عندما انزلقت سيارته بسبب الامطار الغزيرة على الطريق Zhaima-المنصورية في المتن شمال بيروت. وفي الوقت نفسه، قال الدفاع المدني ان فرق الانقاذ ما زالت تبحث عن سبعة أشهر من العمر يوسف فاضل الذي جرفتها الامطار الغزيرة ليلة وضحاها. الصبي هو ابن لعائلة الراعي اللبناني الذي يعيش في خيمة على سفح جدرا في إقليم شرق منطقة الخروب صيدا، جنوب لبنان.

“لقد كان هناك انخفاض في الفيضانات منذ منتصف النهار (الاثنين) والتي سوف تسمح فرقنا إلى النزول إلى الوادي والبحث عن الطفل”، وقال أحد المسؤولين صحيفة ديلي ستار. وقال شقيق الصبي، عبده، والأسرة من 10 كان نائما عندما خيمتهم التي غمرتها المياه. “كنا نائمين في خيمة لدينا عندما سمعنا صوتا غريبا وبضع ثوان في وقت لاحق المطر أغرقت خيمة لدينا”، وقال عبده، 11، ديلي ستار. “هربنا جميعا والدتي قامت يوسف، لكنه تراجع عن ذراعيها لأنها ركض وجرفتها الأمطار”، وأضاف عبده. اقتلعت العاصفة العنيفة ما يقرب من اثني عشر خيام في تلال جدرا بين عشية وضحاها. وكان من المقرر الخيام من قبل الرعاة اللبنانيين الذين ينحدرون من بلدة دير زنون البقاع في شرق لبنان. وكان الدفاع المدني قادرة على انقاذ كل ثلاث أسر تقطعت بهم السبل في مياه الفيضان جدرا. ومع ذلك، لا يقل عن 300 لقوا حتفهم في العاصفة الماعز. الرياح القوية والامطار مزق أيضا أسفل اللوحات الإعلانية عدة على طول الطريق السريع الساحلي الذي يربط بيروت صيدا مع.

تم إغلاق الطريق على نهر الأولي شمالي صيدا، بعد هطول الأمطار الغزيرة خنق جزء من قناة الصرف بالقرب من النهر. أطاحت الرياح القوية عند 100 كم / ساعة وانفجرت عدة أشجار يصل الدفيئات الزراعية على طول الطريق السريع الساحلي بين صيدا وبقية جنوب لبنان. في بلدة الرميلة الساحلية، سقطت شجرة عملاقة على الطريق، وتعطيل حركة المرور، وخاصة الحافلات المدرسية. سقطت شجرة قديمة بالقرب من مستشفى رزق في حي الأشرفية في بيروت ليلة وضحاها، وإلحاق أضرار بالغة سيارتين واقفتين. وقد غمرت المياه عشرات المنازل في Wardanieh في إقليم الخروب بسبب الأمطار الغزيرة. ترك العاصفة الشتاء القارس، التي بدأت السبت الماضي، وراء الفوضى في بيروت والمناطق المحيطة بها. كانت عالقة في حركة المرور سائقي السيارات بعد الامطار الغزيرة تحول العديد من الطرق والأنفاق في لبنان الى مستنقع. كثير من الآباء لا لم ترسل أطفالها إلى المدارس والعديد من أولئك الذين لم تذهب وصل في وقت متأخر.

تحولت بيروت الكرنتينا الطريق إلى ليلة الأحد النهر بعد هطول الامطار ضربت المدينة خلال ال 24 ساعة الماضية. وقال النار زارة بيروت في بيان الاثنين انها انقذت عشرات الأشخاص الذين تقطعت بهم السبل مساء الاحد وصباح الاثنين في شوارع العاصمة التي اجتاحتها الفيضانات، خاصة في منطقة الكرنتينا. وقال انه فرق الإنقاذ عملت منذ يوم الاحد لامتصاص مياه الأمطار من خارج “عدد كبير من المنازل التي غمرتها المياه.” تحولت انهيار ارضى الطريق الرئيسي من مخيم نهر الفحص الفني، شمال بيروت، في مستنقع موحل، التي تركت عالقة السائقين لساعات. في أنطلياس قريب، وقد غمرت الطابق الأول من المبنى بعد مياه نهر انطلياس مستوى ارتفع. وانهارت الجدران على جانب الطريق بسبب كثير من العاصفة، بما في ذلك جدار خرساني على طول كلية الشانفيل، خاصة باللغة الفرنسية مدرسة في المتن. لم يصب أحد.

وتضررت عدة سيارات عندما انهار جدار خرساني في ضاحية بيروت الشمالية الشرقية من الحازمية، مما تسبب في اختناقات مرورية ضخمة. للأعلى، في المنصورية، تم قطع الطريق الرئيسية على النحو الفيضانات في الارتفاع. أغلقت انقطاع المطر تسبب في جميع أنحاء البلاد وبرك من المياه العديد من الطرق، وذلك أساسا Shweifat-عرمون وبيت الدين، بعقلين الطرق في جبل لبنان. الفيضانات قد حال دون السير في لبنان الشرقية، مما أدى إلى تحطيم السيارات على ابلح-Riaq، Firzil زحلة والطرق بر الياس المصنع-. على الطريق السريع الذي يربط بيروت شتورة مع دمشق، وأعضاء قوى الأمن الداخلي يمنع سائقي السيارات من العبور باتجاه ضهر البيدر إذا لم تكن مجهزة سياراتهم مع سلاسل الثلج.

في شمال البلاد، فإن الصورة كانت مشابهة مع إغلاق الطريق مما اضطر الفيضانات، وخاصة الطريق الذي يربط طرابلس الكورة مع وأن يؤدي إلى عكار. أمرت المدارس الحكومية والخاصة، بما في ذلك الكليات المهنية والتقنية، لإغلاق الثلاثاء والاربعاء. وعزا بيان صادر عن حسن دياب زير التربية والتعليم لإغلاق العاصفة الجارية التي قالت ادارة الارصاد ستستمر لاليومين المقبلين. “هذه عاصفة نادرة. لبنان لم يشهد مثل هذه العاصفة منذ عشرات السنين”، قال مصدر في مكتب الأرصاد الجوية ديلي ستار. وقال المصدر العاصفة، قادمة من روسيا، وصلت ذروة قوتها الاحد والاثنين. “ومع ذلك، فإنه سيواصل الثلاثاء والاربعاء مع الأمطار الغزيرة والعواصف الرعدية وانخفاض درجات الحرارة،” واضاف المصدر.

وقال انه من المتوقع أن ينخفض ​​الثلوج ما يصل الى 500 متر وتحت مستوى سطح البحر بين مساء الثلاثاء وصباح الاربعاء. وقال المصدر من المتوقع أن تتضاءل العاصفة مساء الاربعاء الى يوم الخميس في وقت مبكر من الاستحمام. أبقى رئيس الجمهورية ميشال سليمان عن كثب العاصفة الاثنين. ناقش التدابير لمواجهة العاصفة الثلجية مع غازي العريضي وزير النقل، وزير الداخلية مروان شربل وقائد الجيش اللبناني العماد جان قهوجي. وقال بيان صادر عن القصر الرئاسي سليمان وحث على تعاون الوزارات المعنية وكذلك الدفاع المدني والصليب الأحمر اللبناني والبلديات والسلطات المحلية في افتتاح الطرق، وإزالة الحواجز وتقديم المساعدة للمواطنين.

الاثنين 7 يناير، 2013 في 19:46 (19:46) بالتوقيت العالمي RSOE

 

Shell Oil Drilling Rig Kulluk Aground on Sitkalidak Island, currently no signs of a fuel spill – 020113 1925z

KullukEvacuation 31dec2012.jpg

(Photo: wikimedia.org)
A helicopter delivers personnel to Kulluk on 31 December 2012
(Click photo for source)

An overnight Coast Guard flight over an Alaska drilling rig that ran aground in shallow water off a small island on New Year’s Eve found no signs of a fuel spill.

But officials at a unified command center run by the Coast Guard, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, state responders and others said theyll have to wait until daylight to know for sure what environmental impact the grounding might have caused. TheKulluk grounded Monday night on rocks off the southeast side of Sitkalidak Island, an uninhabited island in the Gulf of Alaska. The North Pacific storm that has caused problems for Shells efforts to move the drill into place near Kodiak Island is expected to continue Tuesday, at a slightly milder intensity, said spokeswoman Darci Sinclair.

The storm has included winds gusting near 70 mph and swells to 35 feet and the forecast calls for winds to drop to gusts of up to 40 mph with swells up to 20 feet. Theyre planning additional overflights, weather permitting, during daylight hours, Sinclair said about two hours before sunrise in Alaska. U.S. Rep. Ed Markey, D-Mass., who is the top Democrat on the Natural Resources Committee, issued a statement Tuesday expressing his concerns about the Kulluk situation. Oil companies keep saying they can conquer the Arctic, but the Arctic keeps disagreeing with the oil companies, Markey said. Drilling expansion could prove disastrous for this sensitive environment. The Kulluk was being towed by a 360-foot anchor handler, the Aiviq, and a tugboat, the Alert. The vessels were moving north along Kodiak Island, trying to escape the worst of the storm. Sitkalidak is on the southeast side of Kodiak Island. About 4:15 p.m., the drill ship separated from the Aiviq about 10 to 15 miles off shore and grounding was inevitable, Coast Guard Cmdr. Shane Montoya, the acting federal on-scene coordinator, told reporters.

Once the Aiviq lost its tow, we knew the Alert could not manage the Kulluk on its own as far as towing, and thats when we started planning for the grounding, he said. The command center instructed the nine tug crew members to guide the drill ship to a place where it would cause the least environmental damage. The tug cut the unmanned ship loose at 8:15 p.m. and it grounded at 9 p.m. near the north tip of Ocean Bay on Sitkalidak. The Alert was not able to do anything as far as towing the Kulluk but tried to maintain some kind of control, Montoya said. The drill ship drafts 35 to 40 feet of water. The Coast Guard planned to fly out early Tuesday to plan a salvage operation and possible spill response. It is carrying 150,000 gallons of diesel and about 12,000 gallons of lube oil and hydraulic fluid, Montoya said. Susan Childs, Shells on-scene coordinator, said it was too early to know how the vessel would react to the pounding of the storm when it was aground and stationary.

She was optimistic about its salvage prospects and chances for staying intact. The unique design of the Kulluk means the diesel fuel tanks are isolated in the center of the vessel and encased in very heavy steel, she said. When the weather subsides and it is safe to do so, we will dispatch crews to the location and begin a complete assessment. The Kulluk is designed for extended drilling in Arctic waters and underwent $292 million in technical upgrades since 2006 to prepare for Alaska offshore exploration. The drill ship worked during the short 2012 open water season in the Beaufort Sea off Alaskas north coast. Its ice-reinforced, funnel-shape hull can deflect moving ice downward and break it into pieces. Attached to a drilling prospect, the Kulluk is designed to handle waves 18 feet high. When disconnected from a well, its designed to handle seas to 40 feet. Garth Pulkkinen of Noble Corp., the operator of the drill ship, said it was never in danger of capsizing.

The vessel first separated from a towing vessel Thursday night south of Kodiak Island. It was carrying a skeleton crew of 17 as it was towed by the Aiviq from Dutch Harbor in the Aleutian Islands to Seattle for maintenance. The tow line broke at a shackle attached to one of the vessels. It was new. It was inspected before it left Dutch, but it broke, said Shell Alaska spokesman Curtis Smith. Before a line could be reattached, the Aiviqs engines failed, possibly from contaminated fuel. The Coast Guard cutter Alex Haley attempted to secure the drifting drill ship but that line failed and wrapped itself around one of the cutters propellers, requiring the cutter to return to Kodiak on one propeller. With bad weather predicted, the Kulluks crew was evacuated Saturday. They hooked up emergency tow lines and left them trailing behind the vessel in case they were needed. The Aiviq, with its engines restored, and a tug re-established lines to the drill ship, but lines broke Sunday. During a lull in the storm early Monday, the crew of Alert grabbed the original 400-foot line trailing the drill ship and later the Aiviq grappled aboard one of the emergency lines.

Tuesday, 01 January, 2013 at 18:25 UTC RSOE

So far, the Shell Oil drilling rig Kulluk is reported to have remained intact with no observed leaks of diesel fuel, lube or hydraulic oil, after grounding on Alaskas Sitkalidak Island on Monday night. The video below was taken yesterday by Coast Guard Petty Officer 1st Class Sara Francis from a Coast Guard MH-60 Jayhawk helicopter. The weather conditions were reported to be 40 mph winds and 20 foot seas. Rick Spilman oldsaltblog.com


Related: Waves crash on grounded Shell drilling ship in Alaska

Australia: Tornadoes hit Hobart. Warning of severe storms in SE Tasmania – 091112 1920z

A series of tornadoes have hit Hobart as the weather bureau warns of severe storms in southeast Tasmania.

The Bureau of Meteorology says weak tornadoes have been observed in and around the capital and have been included in a warning about destructive winds, heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones.

“We have had some reports of hailstones and also tornadoes in the southeastern area,” the bureau’s severe weather forecaster, Matthew Michael said.
“The tornadoes that were reported were very weak in severity and quite short-lived.

The main focus of the warning is really the strong winds and the hailstones.”

The Mercury reports schools have been advised to keep students inside or send them home.

Residents were advised to move their cars under cover and avoid driving, walking or riding through flood water.

Mr Michael said a cold southerly stream producing surface winds of a different temperature to higher winds had produced the rare weather event.

Friday, 09 November, 2012 at 06:45 (06:45 AM) UTC RSOE

Video via @ABCEmergency http://t.co/stAZoOjc

Update:

All thunderstorm warnings in Tasmania have now been cancelled.

Sandy Victims Suffer As New Storm Hits US Coast – 081112 1520z

“A second storm has battered the northeast coast of the United States adding to the misery felt by many after superstorm Sandy.

Heavy snow and strong winds have hit parts of New York and New Jersey, which brought down power lines and caused traffic delays.

In New Jersey, utilities reported 400,000 power outages early Thursday; 20,000 of those were new.

In New York City and Westchester, more than 70,000 customers were without power. On Long Island, more than 200,000 are affected.

However, roads in New Jersey were clear for the morning commute, and rail lines into Manhattan were running smoothly, despite snow still coming down heavily in some areas.

Police went to low-lying neighbourhoods with loudspeakers, urging residents to leave.

But New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg did not issue mandatory evacuations, and many people stayed.” – Sky News

Full story here

#Philippines: Disease alert as #flood toll jumps to 85, tropical depression #HELEN concern – Updated 12 Aug 2012 1337 GMT/UTC

At least 19 killed in Philippines Floods

Thursday, 09 August, 2012 at 07:11 UTC RSOE (NB: Newer updates below)

Ten cities and municipalities in Metro Manila and six provinces in Luzon have been placed under a state of calamity due to massive flooding caused by four days of non-stop monsoon rains.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said that areas in Metro Manila that have been placed under a state of calamity were Marikina, Malabon, Navotas, Valenzuela, Muntinlupa, San Juan, Pasig, Pasay, Caloocan and Pateros.

In Central Luzon, the provinces of Bataan, Pampanga, Zambales and Bulacan as well as Laguna and Palawan provinces in Southern Luzon have also been placed under a state of calamity. Quezon City, which has the most number of families affected by floods, has yet to make a calamity declaration.

There are a total of 72,468 people affected by flooding in the city and majority of them or a total of 72,264 are staying in 57 evacuation centers. Quezon City and Marikina City have been hit by greater volume of torrential rains since Sunday night.

A massive evacuation has been ordered in Marikina City due to the overflowing of the Marikina River. A total of 246,808 people have been affected in 17 areas in Metro Manila.

The other regions affected by the monsoon rains were Ilocos, Central Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimaropa and Western Visayas.

The NDRRMC said that a total of 454,093 families or nearly two million people in Metro Manila and the five other regions are affected by floods caused by the monsoon rains.

It has also confirmed 19 fatalities, nine of which died in a landslide in Quezon City and eight died from drowning. Flooding in Quezon City and other areas in Luzon were expected to continue due to the overflowing of major dams including La Mesa, Angat and San Roque. The water reserve in Ipo, Ambuklao and Binga dams are near spilling levels.

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

Philippines Red Cross Lifeline Kit

Death toll from Philippines floods rises to 66
Saturday August 11, 2012 – 13:46 EST

The death toll from torrential rains that submerged most of the Philippines capital Manila has risen to 66.

  Al Jazeera’s Marga Ortigas reports from Manila, many of those who were forced out of their homes are now trying to return.

Nearly two weeks of monsoon rains across the Philippines’ main island of Luzon peaked with a 48-hour deluge earlier this week that battered Manila and surrounding regions.

The extra deaths occurred mainly in the provinces during the initial rain from Monday to Wednesday, but government officials in the outlying areas could not immediately report the casualties to Manila headquarters.

Ten people remain missing as the floods, which submerged 80 per cent of Manila earlier in the week, have largely subsided.

Radio Australia’s reporter in Manila, Shirley Escalante, says the massive clean up has begun.

“As floodwaters recede, tonnes of garbage has been left behind littering roads, parks and drains in the capital Manila and surrounding provinces,” Ms Escalante said.

Health officials are warning diseases like leptospirosis and diarrhea could spread easily.

Ms Escalante says authorities have price controlled basic food items like bread, noodles and canned goods, to ensure there’s enough to go around.

Relief effort

But the government says it’s struggling to cope with the scale of the relief effort which is expected to last for weeks.

Tens of thousands of people are continuing to stream into evacuation centres that are already overcrowded and unable to provide enough immediate relief goods.

The Social Welfare Secretary, Corazon Soliman, says local government units are being overwhelmed.

“We have evacuation centres that are congested, that is the whole problem,” she said.

More than 362,000 people were sheltering in evacuation centres on Friday, nearly 50,000 more than on Thursday.

Farmland inundated

Water remains waist-deep across a large part of a vital rice growing region to the north of Manila.

“We need something to eat. I haven’t gone to work or been paid for a week,” said Rogelio Soco, a construction worker and father-of-three in a small farming town outside Manila.

Mr Soco says the floods were the worst the area had seen since a huge typhoon struck in the early 1970s.

Other locals also say they haven’t experienced anything like it for decades.

Around the town of Apalit, formerly green rice paddies have been turned into an ocean of brown water.

‘Inadequate response’

Local non-government organisation Transform Asia has labelled the government’s response inadequate.

“The response really is not good enough,” the group’s chairwoman Reihana Mohideen told Radio Australia’s .

“For example, there are water pumping stations in the area that I went to. They pump out 15,000 litres of water a day and they were completely overwhelmed. They did not have the capacity to deal with the amount of water.”

She said many victims had been living in squatter colonies without proper drainage systems.

“The devastation that you travel through to get to these centres of flooded huts – this is the face of poverty,” she said.

“Housing is inadequate. There’re no proper drainage systems. The roads get flooded so quickly, and you don’t have water catchment to catch and store this water. There’s inadequate power supply.”

Her comments were echoed by urban planner Nathaniel Einseidel, who said the Philippines had enough technical know-how, and access to financing, to solve the ongoing flood problems.

“It’s a lack of appreciation for the benefits of long-term plans. It’s a vicious cycle when the planning, the policies and enforcement are not very well synchronised,” said Mr Einseidel, who was Manila’s planning chief from 1979-89.

“I haven’t heard of a local government, a town or city that has a comprehensive drainage masterplan.”

This week’s rains were the worst to hit Manila since Tropical Storm Ketsana killed 464 people in 2009.

Environment Secretary Ramon Paje warned that the Philippines must prepare for more intense rains caused by climate change, describing the latest deluge as the “new normal”.

– ABC (via http://www.weatherzone.com)

Meanwhile AFP says

 Philippine authorities scrambled to provide food and other emergency provisions Saturday to more than two million people affected by widespread flooding, as the death toll rose to 66, officials said.

The flooding that submerged 80 percent of Manila early in the week has largely subsided, allowing people to return to their homes, but more than 100 low-lying towns and cities to the north remain under water.

Civil defence chief Benito Ramos said the huge displaced population, including 441,000 people crammed in crowded evacuation camps, would need to be fed and taken care of for at least another seven days.

“The bulk of our operations involves relief, but also clean-up,” Ramos told AFP.

“Volunteers are packaging 100,000 food packs for immediate distribution.”

The government’s disaster co-ordination council said it was serving nearly 758,000 people displaced by floods on Saturday, significantly more than the previous day as tens of thousands trickled into evacuation centres overnight.

But with 2.68 million people affected, up from 2.44 million on Friday, many are having to fend for themselves.

In Calumpit, a farming town about 50 kilometres (30 miles) north of Manila, unmarried construction worker Ronaldo Cruz stepped out of his house, stuck in waist-deep floods, to ask for food from better-off neighbours and relatives.

“We’ve been waiting for relief aid, but none has arrived,”

said the 32-year-old, who lives with seven other relatives.

“Perhaps there isn’t enough to go around,” he told AFP.

With evacuation centres packed to capacity and houses inundated by flood water, many residents of Calumpit are forced to live on their rooftops.

The UN World Food Programme said it was providing 52.5 tonnes of high-energy biscuits and hiring trucks to help the government transport other relief supplies.

“WFP is saddened by the humanitarian impact of the non-stop rains over the last week in the Philippines,” its country chief Stephen Anderson said in a statement.

The UN body said it also plans to distribute supplementary food to about 77,000 children in the flooded areas.

The government said Saturday that 66 people had been confirmed killed, up from 60 on Friday.

The Philippines endures about 20 major storms or typhoons each rainy season. But this week’s rains were the worst to hit Manila since Tropical Storm Ketsana killed 464 people in 2009. – Reliefweb

Youtuber “I rode the yellow dump truck from my place to the supermarket. The usual 10-minute ride took 45 minutes because vehicles are carefully treading the flood at 5 kph. LOL! The flood is still widespread in Sandoval Ave., Pasig City.”

See here how people go about their daily lives like one person here making the gas delivery with his motorbike.

12 Aug 2012:

MANILA (AFP) – Emergency relief officials and doctors deployed to flood devastated communities in the Philippines on Sunday to prevent outbreaks of disease as the death toll jumped to 85.

The flooding that submerged 80 per cent of Manila early in the week has largely subsided but more than 150 towns and cities around the capital remain under water, affecting more than three million people.

Amid the ongoing relief operation, the weather bureau warned of a low pressure area developing some 850km to the east in the Pacific Ocean that could turn into a storm and bring more rain.

Many provinces around Manila remained inundated as overflowing dams continued to release water, the national disaster coordinating agency said. Relief workers were dealing with “clogged pipelines and trash everywhere. Sanitation has emerged as a key problem,” Red Cross secretary general Gwendolyn Pang told AFP.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #HELEN

dost_pagasa (Philippines Weather Bureau):

At 5:00PM (PhT) 08/12/12 The active LPA East of Northern Luzon has developed into Tropical Depression #HELEN

At 4:00pm today (PhT) the center of TD “HELEN” was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 750 km E of Casiguran, Aurora (16.7°N 130.2°E). Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center. It is forecast to move West Northwest at 11 kph.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10 – 20 mm per hour (heavy – intense) within the 350 km diameter of the Tropical Depression #HELEN

As of 7:00PM, the center of Tropical Depression #Helen was estimated at 720KM East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.8°N 129.9°E)

TD #HELEN is expected to enhance the HABAGAT that will bring rains over Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao especially the Western section.

As of 6:00PM (PhT), the center of Tropical Depression Helen was est. at 740KM East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.7N, 130.0E).

As of 7:00PM (PhT), the center of Tropical Depression #Helen was estimated at 720KM East of Casiguran, Aurora (16.8°N 129.9°E).

Severe Weather Bulletin No. 1 Issued at: 5:00 p.m (PhT)., 12 August 2012 http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/fcst/pf.pdf

Philippines President Aquino assures Tarlac flood victims of help

By Joelyn G. Baluyut (reliefweb)

TARLAC CITY, Tarlac, Aug11 (PIA) — President Aquino assured monsoon flood victims in his home province of Tarlac that government will help in their recovery.

Speaking before residents in Barangay Apulid in Paniqui town Friday, the Chief Executive said he admires the resiliency of the residents to immediately rise from the tragedy. He added that such trait is a positive sign of brighter things ahead.

Aquino distributed relief goods in the village and in Barangay Sta. Lucia in Capas town together with secretaries of Social Welfare Dinky Soliman, Energy Jose Almendras, Technical Education and Skills Development Authority Joel Villanueva, Presidential Communications Development and Strategic Planning (PCSDO) Ramon Carandang, Aurora representative Sonny Angara, and former party-list representative Risa Hontiveros.

In an interview, one of the evacuees in Brgy. Apulid, Elena Salcedo, 79, said, “This is even worse than typhoons Pedring and Quiel, I was scared but with the President here I am very thankful because he had seen what our current situation is and it brings me hope that soon we’ll be back to our normal lives.”

Meanwhile, Paniqui Mayor Dors Rivilla said, “evacuees will be probably be staying in the evacuation centers for three to four days until the rain stops to ensure their safety.”

In the municipal level, we are doing our best to avert such a situation again and we are asking government to assist. Our area is a catch basin, the mayor explained.

He also cited the construction of P16 billion Balog-Balog Irrigation Multipurpose Project (BBIMP), a megadam in the western part of Tarlac which will help in the mitigation of flooding in low-lying areas of the province.

The Department of Agriculture explained that the project would irrigate about 39,150 hectares of farmlands in the municipalities of Concepcion, Gerona, Pura, Ramos, Paniqui, La Paz, Victoria, and Tarlac City.

A total of 250 and 200 packs were distributed by the DSWD-3 to barangays Apulid and Sta. Lucia evacuation centers. A pack is composed of three kilos of rice, six assorted canned goods, six noodles, and coffee.

Based on Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (PDRRMC) figures, there are now 619 affected families or 2,291 individuals and 1,1864 families or 9,169 individuals covering Paniqui and Capas towns respectively. (CLJD/JGB-PIA 3)

Red Cross steps up rescue and relief operations for flood-stricken families

The Philippine Red Cross has stepped up its rescue and relief operations for flood-stricken families rescuing a total of 7,525 persons and assisting in the evacuation of more than 200,000 individuals with the help of Red Cross 143 volunteers. Persons rescued were from Valenzuela, Rizal, Caloocan, Manila and other affected areas.

The Quezon City Red Cross assisted in the search and rescue of the victims of the landslides in Commonwealth where three persons were given first aid and transported to nearby hospital.

The Red Cross as well has provided hot meals to more than 191,344 persons in various evacuation centers.

PRC Chairman Richard Gordon has directed Red Cross to deploy all life-saving equipment such as amphibian, rubber boats, ambulances and trucks and intensify further its rescue and relief operations to assist more people, especially in worst hit areas.

Gordon will personally hand over relief goods to the University of Sto Tomas Hospital, Epifanio Delos Santos Hospital and University of the East Ramon Magsaysay Hospital for distribution to patients, crew and staff. The PRC Chair will also discuss partnership with hospital officials for better medical and health services to people in distress.

Earlier, the Red Cross has provided generator to Epifanio delos Santos Hospital and assisted as well in providing fuel for the generator of the UERM Hospital.

PRC Secretary General Gwendolyn Pang said more relief operations and hygiene promotion will be conducted in some of the 566 evacuation centers where 49,220 families are still sheltered. The Red Cross will also set up welfare desks in the evacuation centers to provide psychosocial support and other welfare needs of the affected families.

Pang said, the Red Cross will also conduct quick assessment of the situation and furthers needs of the affected families in Metro Manila and other flooded areas.

The Red Cross will continue to work round the clock with more areas still under water.

Red Cross in full action responding to floods

The Philippine Red Cross is responding around the clock to the worsening flood situation in Metro Manila and nearby provinces triggered by continuous southwest monsoon rains, prompting hundreds of families to evacuate to higher grounds.

The Red Cross Emergency Response Teams have so far rescued a total of 250 persons in various flood-stricken areas in Valenzuela, Rizal and Quezon City.

The Red Cross life-saving vehicles including its amphibian, rubber boats, 6 X 6 trucks and ambulances are on full swing surveying flooded areas and assisting in rescue operation and evacuation of families trapped by rising flood water.

PRC Chairman Richard Gordon has directed all chapters and Red Cross 143 volunteers to remain vigilant in responding to the situation and ensure the safety of the affected families.

More than 6,000 persons were served with hot meals and another 2,000 more were provided with food items in 63 evacuation centers that were visited so far, by Red Cross response teams, according to PRC Secretary General Gwendolyn Pang.

Pang also said the Red Cross is now preparing more relief aid for immediate distribution to affected families.

The PRC medical and social worker teams are now on alert for deployment to evacuation areas to ensure the health and well-being of the flood-stricken population, particularly the most vulnerable group.

The PRC Blood services are also on stand by to ensure that blood requirements are met anytime the need arises.

PRC is coordinating closely with MMDA, local government units and other concerned agencies to do more, do better and reach further to affected families.

Twitter updates on the Red Cross response to flooding: https://twitter.com/philredcross

IFRC news bulletin (pdf download) http://t.co/e34cVLLS

The PRC welcomes donations in cash for flood-affected families. You may send or deposit your donations to the following:

Banco De Oro
Peso: 00-453-0018647
Dollar: 10-453-0039482

Metrobank
Peso: 151-3-041631228
Dollar: 151-2-15100218-2

Philippine National Bank
Peso: 3752 8350 0034
Dollar: 3752 8350 0042

Unionbank of the Philippines
Peso: 1015 4000 0201
Dollar: 1315 4000 0090

All Check/Cash for the account of Philippine Red Cross (Swift Codes)
Banco De Oro
BNORPHMM

Bank of the Philippine Islands
BOPIPHMM

Metrobank
MBTCPHMM

Philippine National Bank
-PNBMPHMM

Unionbank of the Philippines
-UBPHPHMM

For your donations to be properly acknowledged, please fax the bank transaction slip at nos. +63.2.527.0575 or +63.2.404.0979 with your name, address and contact number.

SMS and G-Cash

SMS
Text RED<space>AMOUNT to 2899 (Globe) or 4143 (Smart)

G-Cash
Text DONATE<space>AMOUNT<space>4-digit M-PIN<space>REDCROSS to 2882

You can donate the following denominations:
Globe: 5, 25, 100, 300, 500 or 1000
Smart: 10, 25, 50, 100, 300, 500 or 1000.

Related:

Philippine floods: Stranded using Twitter for help (BBC News 8 August 2012)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #HELEN – Published 12 Aug 2012 1350 GMT/UTC

Tropical Depression TALIM (CARINA) decaying over the East China Sea as it is being absorbed by strong frontal system – 21 June 2012 1805 GMT/UTC

(Image: cwb.gov.tw)
MTSAT2 Satellite
(Click image for source)

(Image: JMA)
Japan Weather Warnings/Advisories
(Click image for source)

TSR: NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Jun, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TALIM (06W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
 Taiwan
 probability for TS is 100% currently
 China
 probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
 T’aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
 probability for TS is 95% currently
 Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
 probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
 Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
 probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
 Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
 CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
 TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Chinese:

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Tropical Depression TALIM (CARINA) decaying over the East China Sea as it is being absorbed by strong frontal system.

TALIM (CARINA) will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (aka. Habagat) across Northwestern Luzon (from Ilocos Provinces down to La Union) incl. Benguet and Batanes. Breezy to windy conditions & cloudy skies w/ occasional to widespread rains, thunderstorms & squalls will be expected along these areas. The seas along the coastal areas along the South China and West Philippine Seas will be moderate to rough & dangerous.

*This is the last and final advisory on TALIM (CARINA).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

.

Chinese:

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thenhbushmantyphoon.blogspot.co.uk

Japanese:

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TS TALIM [CARINA] – Final Update

CWB TAIWAN:

EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ADVISORY
Forecast TimeF2012/06/21 21:40

@@ EXTREMELY HEAVY RAIN ADVISORY 

1. Taichung City-Changhua County-Nantou County- 
Yunlin County-Chiayi City-Chiayi County-Tainan City- 
Kaohsiung City-Pingtung County-Hengchun Peninsula- 

...Heavy Rain Advisory or Extremely Heavy Rain 
 Advisory in effect from this evening (06/21) through 
 Friday night (06/22)... 

2. Keelung North Coast-Taipei City-New Taipei City- 
Taoyuan County-Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County- 
Miaoli County-Yilan County-Hualien County- 
Taitung County- 

...Heavy Rain Advisory in effect from this evening 
 (06/21) through Friday night (06/22)... 

------ Summary of Warning Areas ------ 
[Extremely Heavy Rain Advisory areas] 
Taichung City-Changhua County-Nantou County- 
Yunlin County-Chiayi City-Chiayi County-Tainan City- 
Kaohsiung City-Pingtung County-Hengchun Peninsula- 

[Heavy Rain Advisory areas] 
Keelung North Coast-Taipei City-New Taipei City- 
Taoyuan County-Hsinchu City-Hsinchu County- 
Miaoli County-Yilan County-Hualien County- 
Taitung County- 

---- Observed Cumulative Rainfall ---- 

* Stations with 24H accumulated rainfall above 50mm 
 2012/06/20 20:40 PM ~ 2012/06/21 20:40 PM 

 -Extremely Heavy Rain (130mm): 
 Pingtung County Chunri Township: 193.0 mm, 
 Hualien County Xiulin Township: 154.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Taoyuan District: 150.0 mm, 
 Nantou County Ren'ai Township: 141.0 mm 

 -Heavy Rain (50mm): 
 Pingtung County Wanluan Township: 110.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Sandimen Township: 98.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Fangliao Township: 96.5 mm, 
 Taichung City Heping District: 95.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Chaozhou Township: 92.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Majia Township: 89.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Wutai Township: 85.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Fangshan Township: 85.0 mm, 
 Chiayi County Alishan Township: 84.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Nanzhou Township: 83.5 mm, 
 Tainan City Qigu District: 80.0 mm, 
 Tainan City Jiali District: 79.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Houlong Township: 78.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Liugui District: 73.5 mm, 
 Nantou County Xinyi Township: 72.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Hengchun Township: 72.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Dahu Township: 71.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Namaxia District: 70.0 mm, 
 Taitung County Haiduan Township: 68.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zaoqiao Township: 68.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Xinxing District: 65.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Nanzhuang Township: 64.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Neipu Township: 64.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Miaoli City: 63.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Donggang Township: 63.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Xiaogang District: 62.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Daliao District: 61.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Qianzhen District: 61.5 mm, 
 Hsinchu County Xiangshan District: 61.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Xihu Township: 61.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Qijin District: 60.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Fengshan District: 59.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zhunan Township: 59.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Touwu Township: 58.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Checheng Township: 58.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Toufen Township: 58.0 mm, 
 Miaoli County Zhuolan Township: 58.0 mm, 
 Pingtung County Pingtung City: 57.0 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Zuoying District: 56.0 mm, 
 Taichung City Shigang District: 55.5 mm, 
 Kaohsiung City Meinong District: 55.5 mm, 
 Taitung County Daren Township: 54.5 mm, 
 Tainan City Beimen District: 53.5 mm, 
 Miaoli County Sanwan Township: 53.5 mm, 
 Taichung City Fengyuan District: 52.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Linluo Township: 50.5 mm, 
 Chiayi County Fanlu Township: 50.5 mm, 
 Pingtung County Manzhou Township: 50.0 mm 

Chinese:
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LIVE WEBCAMS

TYPHOON MAWAR – 3 dead, 6 missing – Published 4 June 2012 2115 GMT/UTC

(Image: JMA)
TYPHOON MAWAR (JMA)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 4 June 2012
(Click image to go to JMA)

7 June 2012: MOST OF THIS INFORMATION IS NOW OUT OF DATE!

 

(Image: wunderground.com)
Image Satellite 1939 GMT/UTC 4 June 2012 0439 JST 5 June 2012
(Click image to visit wunderground.com)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Typhoon Mawar 0300 JST 5 June 2012
(Click image to visit wunderground.com)

(Image JMA)
Japan
(Click image to visit JMA)

TYPHOON MAWAR (Japan Meteorological Agency)
Issued at 18:45 GMT/UTC, 4 June 2012

<Analyses at 04/1800 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N2430′(24.5) E12830′(128.5)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE520km(280NM)
NW240km(130NM)

<Estimate for 04/1900 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N2440′(24.7) E12835′(128.6)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE520km(280NM)
NW240km(130NM)

<Forecast for 05/0600 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N2640′(26.7) E13130′(131.5)
Direction and speed of movement ENE 30km/h(17kt)
Central pressure 965hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(70kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(100kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 05/1800 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N2905′(29.1) E13525′(135.4)
Direction and speed of movement NE 40km/h(21kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM

<Forecast for 06/1800 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N3435′(34.6) E14520′(145.3)
Direction and speed of movement NE 45km/h(25kt)
Central pressure 980hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 330km(180NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)

<Forecast for 07/18 UTC>
Intensity -
LOW
Center position of probability circle N4040′(40.7) E15150′(151.8)
Direction and speed of movement NE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)

Press Reports

Three dead, six missing as typhoon passes Philippines

Inside Bay Area: Typhoon leaves 2 dead, 5 missing in Philippines

CNN: Stormy weather over Manila, Philippines

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL ADV12 – 28 May 2012 2100GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
BERYL A RAINMAKER
(Click image for source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 282030
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL A RAINMAKER

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.8N 83.1W
ABOUT 10 MI…20 KM E OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
ABOUT 150 MI…240 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CIRCULATION OF
BERYL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGIA…SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…
PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…TOTAL WATER LEVELS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL SOAKS PARTS OF N FLORIDA AND S GEORGIA…MORE RAIN TO COME – NHCAdv11

(Image: NHC NOAA)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

(Image: NWS FL)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

The remnants of Beryl will track northwest then north to northeast tonight across Southeast Georgia. The potential for locally heavy rainfall will exist through the night. A wind and lake wind advisory may be in effect for the early evening. A general decrease in winds is expected through the night. Isolated thunderstorms… however…will have the potential to produce strong wind gusts.

(Image: NWS FL)
JAX RADAR LOOP
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 281450
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL SOAKING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH GEORGIA…MORE
RAIN TO COME

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.5N 82.7W
ABOUT 60 MI…100 KM WNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF RECENTLY DOWNGRADED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5
NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A SLOW TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH…55
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST FO THE CENTER. A
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY
IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A SUBSIDING STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE IS STILL CAUSING NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND
DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI

US: #BERYL, WEAKENING BUT HVY RAIN. MOVING OVER N FLORIDA TODAY, INTO SE GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
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(Image: NWS FL)
TS Beryl
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Tropical Storm Beryl will weaken to a depression tonight as it moves further inland across Southeast Georgia. Rain bands around the broad center will continue to periods of heavy rains and wind gusts to 40 mph. More flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected tonight which could cause more localized flooding.

JAX RADAR

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281212
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A…CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

…CORRECTED FOR CURRENT LOCATION…

BERYL WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.4N 82.5W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER GEORGIA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. BERYL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY AND
INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE PRIMARILY CONFINED TO RAINBANS
OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 140 MILES…220 KM…TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE REGION OF PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN
VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI