Pacific Ocean/Wallis/Samoa: Tropical Cyclone Amos 17F: 201800Z 12.6S 179.9W, moving WNW 06 Kt. Expected to INTENSIFY – Published 20 Apr 2016 2020Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Cyclone Amos 17F

Tropical Cyclone Amos

5 Day Forecast (Image: @wunderground)

Tropical Cyclone Amos

Image: @wunderground Satellite

 

“Update of Tropical Cyclone “Amos”

During the early hours of this morning, Tropical Depression TD17F has intensified into a Tropical Cyclone and was named Tropical Cyclone “Amos”.

At 3am this morning, it was analysed at 12.8S 179.9W or approximately 230km south-southeast of Niulakita(Tuvalu) or 330km north of Cikobia(Fiji). It is moving westwards at around 14km/hr. As indicated on the attached map, it will turn and move the southeast and is likely to pass in between Wallis and Samoa and this is likely to occur during the weekend

It poses no direct threat to Fiji.

Keep checking this page for further updates.

Stay safe,
Fiji Met”

1823UTC 200416

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Apr 201944 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE AMOS CENTRE 995HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 179.9W AT
201800UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. AMOS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 06 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 35
KNOTS.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH BAND TRYING TO WRAP AROUND
LLCC FROM NORTH. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED WITH CLOUD TOPS
WARMING FROM THE SOUTH. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 400HPA.
SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE REGION AND IN A LOW
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 30 DEGREE CELCIUS.OUTFLOW GOOD TO THE
SOUTH. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.6 WRAP YIELDS DT=3.0, MET AND PT
AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. THUS, YIELDING T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 210600 UTC 12.7S 180.0 MOV SW AT 01KT WITH 45 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 211800 UTC 12.4S 179.4W MOV ENE AT 03KT WITH 50 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

OUTLOOK:
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 220600 UTC 12.2S 178.4W MOV ENE AT 05KT WITH 55 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 221800 UTC 12.3S 177.3W MOV E AT 06KT WITH 60 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

THE NEXT TOPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON AMOS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
210200UTC.

SW Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 20 Apr, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AMOS is currently located near 12.6 S 179.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). AMOS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

STORM WARNING 028 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Apr 201913 UTC.

***** CORRECTION TO WARNING NUMBER *****

TROPICAL CYCLONE AMOS CENTRE 995HPA CATEGORY 1 WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6
SOUTH 179.9 WEST AT 201800 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 12.6S 179.9W AT 201800 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. CYCLONE EXPECTING
INTENSIFY.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE INCREASING TO
50 KNOTS BY 211200 UTC.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE.

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 12.7S 180.0 AT 210600 UTC
AND NEAR 12.4S 179.4W AT 211800 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 026.

WTPS11 NFFN 201800
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
APR 201944 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE AMOS CENTRE 995HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S 179.9W AT
201800UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. AMOS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 06 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 35
KNOTS.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT WITH BAND TRYING TO WRAP AROUND
LLCC FROM NORTH. ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED WITH CLOUD TOPS
WARMING FROM THE SOUTH. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP TO 400HPA.
SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE REGION AND IN A LOW
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SST AROUND 30 DEGREE CELCIUS.OUTFLOW GOOD TO THE
SOUTH. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.6 WRAP YIELDS DT=3.0, MET AND PT
AGREE. FT BASED ON DT. THUS, YIELDING T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS.

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 210600 UTC 12.7S 180.0 MOV SW AT 01KT WITH 45 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 211800 UTC 12.4S 179.4W MOV ENE AT 03KT WITH 50 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

OUTLOOK:
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 220600 UTC 12.2S 178.4W MOV ENE AT 05KT WITH 55 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 221800 UTC 12.3S 177.3W MOV E AT 06KT WITH 60 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.

THE NEXT TOPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON AMOS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
210200UTC.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Tropical Cyclone 10p #GARRY (CAT1) (SS-TS) 270900Z nr 24.0S 157.7W, moving SSE at 08 Kts (JTWC) – 270113 1315z

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

(Image: JTWC) TC track (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

WTPS31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (GARRY) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (GARRY) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
270600Z — NEAR 23.5S 158.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
REPEAT POSIT: 23.5S 158.2W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z — 25.5S 156.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL

REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 24.0S 157.7W.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (GARRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM
SOUTHWEST OF BORA BORA, SOCIETY ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYSTEM THAT IS BEGINNING EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION (ETT) WITH STRATOCUMULUS WRAPPING OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
OF THE SYSTEM AND SHALLOWING CONVECTION SHEARED SOUTHEAST OF AN
EXPOSED AND ELONGATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS
READILY APPERANT IN A 270450Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE
LATEST AMSU TEMPERATURE CROSS SECTION SHOWS A BUILDING WARM CORE
ANAMOLY AT THE SURFACE WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF A FORMATIVE WARM
FRONT. BASED ON THIS DATA, TC 10P WILL CONTINUE ETT THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD BECOMING A COLD CORE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 270600Z IS 17 FEET.//
NNNN

Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone Garry

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type

————————————————————-
12 GMT 01/20/13 12.8S 176.8W 40 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/20/13 12.6S 175.7W 40 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 01/21/13 11.5S 174.3W 40 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/21/13 11.4S 172.3W 40 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/21/13 11.9S 170.8W 45 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/22/13 13.2S 169.8W 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/22/13 13.1S 169.2W 60 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/23/13 13.8S 168.2W 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/23/13 13.4S 167.2W 45 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/24/13 14S 164.9W 70 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/24/13 14.9S 163.1W 85 Category 1
06 GMT 01/25/13 16.2S 160.7W 100 Category 2
18 GMT 01/25/13 16.7S 160.3W 75 Category 1
06 GMT 01/26/13 18.7S 159.7W 65 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 01/26/13 21S 159W 50 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 01/27/13 23.5S 158.2W 40 Tropical Storm

=======================================

RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICALCYCLONEFORECASTTRACKMAP

Tropical Cyclone GARRY

Tropical Cyclone Warning Number 89 issued 0731 UTC Sunday 27 January 2013

Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details
(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue)
Current Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds
Destructive Storm Force Winds
Damaging Gale Force Winds
Past Track and Movement
Past Location and Intensity Number
Forecast Location and Intensity Number
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
Destructive Wind Boundary
Gale Force Wind Boundary
Most Likely Future Track
Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.
Name:Tropical Cyclone GARRY

Details:

Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 6 am January 27 1 23.2S 158.0W 65
+6hr 12 pm January 27 1 24.0S 157.2W 95
+12hr 6 pm January 27 1 25.2S 156.0W 120
+18hr 12 am January 28 tropical low 26.3S 154.8W 150
+24hr 6 am January 28 tropical low 27.8S 152.7W 175
+36hr 6 pm January 28 tropical low 31.2S 147.7W 235
+48hr 6 am January 29 tropical low 35.3S 141.5W 295
+60hr 6 pm January 29 tropical low 39.3S 134.3W 385
+72hr 6 am January 30 tropical low 43.1S 126.4W 470

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.
For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.
For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.

Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa
Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa
Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa
Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa
Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

The next TC Forecast Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.

GALE WARNING 089 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 27/0708 UTC 2013 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE GARRY CENTRE 995HPA CATEGORY 1 WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2
SOUTH 158.0 WEST AT 270600 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 23.2S 158.0W AT 270600 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE IN
NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 25.2S 156.0W AT 271800 UTC
AND NEAR 27.8S 152.7W AT 280600 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC WELLINGTON AS WELL.

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 088.

Special Weather Bulletin Number TWENTY-NINE for Southern Cooks ON
EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE GARRY
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 27/1011 UTC 2013 UTC.

THE TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR MANGAIA IS
NOW CANCELLED.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR SOUTHERN COOKS.

EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE GARRY CENTRE [997HPA] WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5
DEGREES SOUTH 158.4 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 100 NAUTICAL MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANGAIA AT 270900UTC. EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE GARRY
MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS FURTHER AWAY FROM SOUTHERN COOKS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE ABOUT 30 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS.

ON THIS TRACK, EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE GARRY IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIRECTLY
CAUSE GALES OVER MANGAIA.

FOR MANGAIA:
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. VERY ROUGH SEAS. HEAVY SWELLS,
GRADUALLY ABATING.

FOR THE REST OF THE SOUTHERN COOKS:
STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25
KNOTS. ROUGH SEAS. CLOUDY PERIODS WITH SOME SHOWERS. MODERATE
SWELLS.

THIS IS THE FINAL SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE SOUTHERN COOKS AND
THE NEXT ISSUE WILL BE THE ROUTINE BULLETIN AT 271530 UTC.

Tropical Cyclone #EVAN CAT 1 (SS-TS) 190900Z nr 23.7S 178.3E, moving SSE at 07 knots (JTWC) Weakening. 191212 1535z

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

(Image: JTWC)
TC Warning Graphic
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click imagefor source)

(Image: met.gov.fj) TC Evan Uncertainty Track Map (Click image for source)

(Image: mnre.gov.ws) Actual Track (Click image for source)

(See press reports at bottom of page)

List of Fiji evacuation centres (Scroll down)

Tropical cyclone scales

From Wikipedia

Tropical systems are officially ranked on one of several tropical cyclone scales according to their maximum sustained winds and in what oceanic basin they are located.� More here

FINAL SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER TWENTY (20) FOR SAMOA
ISSUED BY SAMOA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AT 142100 UTC OR 11:00 A.M
SATURDAY 15TH DECEMBER 2012

………….. Gale warning is now Cancelled for Savaii..

………….. Wind advisory remains in effect for all Samoa coastal waters ..

.. Flood Advisory remains in effect for low lying areas due to heavy rain at times.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Evan was located at about 12.55 south, 173.92 west or 95 miles northwest of Asau, 107 miles west-northwest of Avao or 146 miles west-northwest of Apia at 142100 UTC or 11:00 a.m. this morning. Tropical Cyclone Evan continues to move west at 8 mph away from Samoa while damaging storm surges continues to affects Samoa open waters.

Forecast

For Upolu: Northeast winds of 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph at times.
Poor visibility in rain. Seas very rough with damaging storm surges from the north of 12-14 feet. Isolated showers, moderate to heavy falls possible with a few thunderstorms.

For Savaii: North to Northeast winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph at times.
Poor visibility in heavy rain. Seas very rough with damaging storm surges north to northwest swells of 12-16 feet. Scattered showers, with possible heavy falls and a few thunderstorms.

Normal Weather Bulletin will be issued at 4.00 p.m. today.

LIPOTI FAAPITOA MULMULI NUMERA LUASEFULU (20) MO SAMOA
SAUNIA E LE OFISA VAAI TAU I APIA ILE ITULA E 11:00 ILE TAEAO NEI
ASO TOONAI 15, TESEMA 2012

.. Lapataiga mo matagi malolosi ua faa-le-aogaina mo Savaii ..

……… O fautuaga mo savili malolosi o loo faamalosia pea mo gataifale uma o Samoa ..

. Fautuaga mo lologa o loo faamalosia pea mo nofoaga maualalalo ona ole mamafa o timuga i nisi o taimi..

O le Afa malosi o Evan sa iai lea e tusa ma le 95 maila i matu I sisifo o Asau, 107 maila i sisifo-matu i sisifo o Avao poo le 146 maila i sisifo-matu i sisifo o Apia ile itula e 11:00 ile taeao nei . Ole Afa o Evan o loo agai ese atu nei i sisifo ma Samoa ile saoasaoa e 8 maila ile itula, peitai o galu afa o loo aafia ai pea ogasami taalaelae ole Atunuu.

Tala ole Tau:

Mo Upolu: O matagi o le Vai-Toelau e 10-20 maila ile itula, ma matagi to faatautau e oo atu ile 30 maila i nisi o taimi.
E puaoa i timuga. Ole sami e matua sousou ma galu afa mai i matu i sisifo e oo atu ile 12-14 futu le maualuluga. E toulu vava solo ai timu ma e ono feololo mamafa i nisi o nofoaga faapea nai uila ma faititili.

Mo Savaii: O matagi o le Toelau agai ile Vaitoelau e 15-25 maila ile itula, ma e faatautau i nisi o taimi. E puaoa i timuga. O le sami e matua sousou ma galu afa matu i sisifo e 12-16 futu le maualuluga. E taape solo timu ma e mamafa i nisi o vaega faapea nai uila ma faititili.

O le isi Lipoti ole Tau masani ole a maua atu ile itula e 4:00 ile afiafi.

Humanity Road: Situation Reports & vital emergency information for Samoa: bit.ly/SXAPeO

Tropical Cyclone (TC) Evan – Fiji Meteorological Service

FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
PRIVATE MAIL BAG (NAP 0351)
NADI AIRPORT , FIJI
Telephone: 679 – 6724888 Facsimile : 679 – 6720430 (HQ), 6736047 (Climate) E-mail : fms@met.gov.fj
679 – 6720190 (NWFC, RSMC) Web Site : http://www.met.gov.fj
MEDIA RELEASE
4pm Tuesday 18th December 2012
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN
Severe Tropical Cyclone Evan [970 hPa] Category (CAT) 3 centre was located near 20.3
South latitude and 177.5 East longitude or about 285km south of Nadi or 160 km south-
southwest of Kadavu at 2pm DST Tuesday 18th December. It is now moving towards the
south-southeast at 15 km/hr and beginning to weaken. Close to the centre, maximum
sustained winds are estimated around 80 knots (150 km/hr).
Evan is heading further away from Fiji and no longer poses any direct threat to the country.
However, strong winds to 50km/hr with momentary gusts to 85 km/hr are still expected
especially over Kadavu, but gradually easing to fresh and gusty. Seas will be rough with
moderate to heavy swells. Cloudy periods with some showers about the eastern half of Fiji. Fine
elsewhere apart from a few cloudy periods.
At this time, it should be noted that Flood Warnings are still valid for the low-lying areas about
and near the Nayavu River, Navolau River, Nabukaluka River, Nairukuruku River and Rewa
River.
While TC Evan is not a threat to Fiji anymore, all communities are still urged to heed warnings,
especially those in the Central and Eastern parts of Viti Levu, with the real threat of river
flooding.

For further information please visit FMSs web site: http://www.met.gov.fj
ENDS

Latest_Media_Release

https://i2.wp.com/www.met.gov.fj/radar/RDR30/latest.gif

(Image: met.gov.fj/)
LABASA RADAR
(Click image for animation/source)

A Tropical Cyclone will be categorised as per the Australian and South Pacific Category System

Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale
Category Sustained
winds
Gusts
Five >107 kt
>200 km/h
>151 kt
>279 km/h
Four 86-107 kt
160-200 km/h
122-151 kt
225-279 km/h
Three 64-85 kt
118-159 km/h
90-121 kt
165-224 km/h
Two 48-63 kt
89-117 km/h
68-89 kt
125-164 km/h
One 34-47 kt
63-88 km/h
49-67 kt
91-125 km/h
Tropical
Low
<34 kt
<63 km/h
<49 kt
<91 km/h

https://i2.wp.com/www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/images/faq/category-comparison.png

GALE WARNING 049 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 19/0715 UTC 2012 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN CENTRE 987HPA CATEGORY 1 WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0
SOUTH 178.0 EAST AT 190600 UTC.
POSITION FAIR.
REPEAT POSITION 23.0S 178.0E at 190600 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 4 KNOTS. CYCLONE WEAKENING.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE, DECREASING TO
35 KNOTS BY 191800 UTC.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE
AND WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

FORECAST POSITION NEAR 24.3S 177.8E AT 191800 UTC.

ALL VESSELS WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND
REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS TO RSMC NADI. VOS REPORTING SHIPS USE
NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER VESSELS FAX PLUS 679 6720190 OR EMAIL NADITCC
AT MET DOT GOV DOT FJ

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 048.

Special Weather Bulletin Number THIRTY SEVEN FOR FIJI ON SEVERE
TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
at 3:44pm on Tuesday the 18th of December 2012
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE GALE WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR KADAVU IS
NOW BEING CANCELLED

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR KADAVU.
A DAMAGING HEAVY SWELL WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR MAMANUCA
GROUP, SOUTHWEST VITI LEVU, KADAVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS IS NOW
BEING CANCELLED.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN CENTRE [970HPA] CATEGORY 3 WAS LOCATED
NEAR 20 DECIMAL 6 SOUTH 177 DECIMAL 5 EAST OR ABOUT 190 KM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADAVU. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 15
KM/HR AWAY FROM KADAVU. CLOSE TO ITS CENTRE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED
TO HAVE AVERAGE WINDS UPTO 150 KM/HR WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 210
KM/HR.

ON THIS TRACK, THE CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIRECTLY CAUSE GALES
OVER KADAVU.

FOR KADAVU:
STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS OF 45 TO 55 KM/HR
AND MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 65 KM/HR. OCCASIONAL RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES WITH
SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN EASING TOMORROW.

FOR THE REST OF FIJI:
MODERATE TO FRESH WEST TO NORTHEAST WINDS, GUSTY AT TIMES. OCCASIONAL
RAIN, EASING FROM THE WEST FROM TOMORROW. POSSIBLE FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS, ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN VITI LEVU.
The following information is provided especially for the mariners:
A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL FIJI WATERS.
FOR KADAVU AND VATU-I-RA PASSAGES, KORO SEA AND SOUTHWEST VITI LEVU
WATERS: WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND 25 TO 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS.
ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. HEAVY SWELLS.
FOR THE REST OF FIJI WATERS: WEST OT NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. ROUGH
SEAS. HEAVY SWELLS.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR FIJI ON TROPICAL
CYCLONE EVAN. THE NEXT ISSUE WILL BE THE ROUTINE BULLETIN AT 7:30 PM
TONIGHT.

WXFJ02 NFFN 191230

Special Weather Bulletin Number EIGHTEEN FOR FLOOD ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI AT 01:30AM
on Thursday the 20th December 2012

FLOOD WARNING

THE FLOOD WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR LOW LYING AREAS DOWNSTREAM FROM NAVOLAU VILLAGE,
REWA RIVER AND ALL LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE REWA RIVER IS NOW CANCELLED.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN ON FLOOD.

Special Weather Bulletin Number EIGHT for Tonga ON SEVERE TROPICAL
CYCLONE EVAN ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Dec 14/1537 UTC 2012 UTC.
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE FOR NIUAFO’OU IS NOW
CANCELLED.

A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR NIUATOPUTAPU AND IS NOW IN
FORCE FOR NIUAFO’OU.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN CENTRE [960HPA] CATEGORY 4 WAS LOCATED
NEAR 12 DECIMAL 5 SOUTH 173 DECIMAL 6 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES
NORTHEAST OF NIUAFO’OU AT 141500 UTC. POSITION GOOD. TROPICAL CYCLONE
EVAN IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS
CLOSE TO THE CENTRE IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 90 KNOTS WITH MOMENTARY
GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS.

ON THIS TRACK, TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN IS NOT EXPECTED TO DIRECTLY
CAUSE GALES OVER NIUAFO’OU MAY BRING DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER
NIUAFO’OU.

FOR NIUATOPUTAPU AND NIUAFO’OU:
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS, BECOMING
FREQUENT AND HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS. ROUGH
TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELLS.

FOR THE REST OF TONGA:
MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEAST WINDS. BRIEF SHOWERS. ROUGH SEAS.
MODERATE SOUTHEAST SWELLS.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR TONGA ON SEVERE
TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN AND THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE THE ROUTINE
BULLETIN TO BE ISSUED BY THE TONGA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

Meteo France Wallis & Futuna

Phnomnes
cycloniques en cours

Pas de phnomne en cours dans notre zone

No phenomenon going on in our area

NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO

There are no watches, warnings, or advisories at this time. 18 DEC 2012 1135Z

FUAAMOTU TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTER

Tropical Cyclone Evan Alert cancelled

Sunday, 16 December 2012 21:14
E-mail Print PDF
16 December 2012 The Tonga Meteorological Services Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre has lifted the Cyclone Alert for the Niuas as revealed in latest weather forecast from Fua’amotu, this Sunday evening.WEATHER FORECAST ISSUED FROM THE NWFC FUA’AMOTU AT 7:15PM SUNDAY 16 DECEMBER 2012.PUBLIC WEATHER BULLETINWARNINGS: A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE LAND AREAS OF TONGA.SITUATIONSEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN [960HPA]CATEGORY 4 CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14 DECIMAL 7 SOUTH 179 DECIMAL 9 WEST AT 6:00PM. TROPICAL CYCLONE EVANIS MOVING WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 25KM/HR. AVERAGE WINDS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE IS ESTIMATED TO ABOUT 165 KM/H WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO ABOUT 230 KM/HR.FORECAST TO MIDNIGHT TOMORROW FOR TONGAMODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS ABOUT THE NIUAS. ELSEWHERE MODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.CLOUDY WITH SOME SHOWERS OVER NIUA.ELSEWHERE, CLOUDY PERIODS WTH A FEW SHOWERS.FOR MONDAY:MODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OVER TONGATAPU AND EUA. ELSEWHERE MODERATE EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS.CLOUDY PERIODS WITH BREIF SHOWERS.TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR NUKUALOFA:MAX:29 DEGREE CELCIUS TOMORROWMIN:24 DEGREE CELCIUS TONIGHT……………………………………………………………….MARINE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR TONGAWARNINGS:A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR ALL TONGA COASTAL WATERS.FOR THE TWO NIUAS:EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20-25 KNOTS. ROUGH SEAS.A HEAVY SWELLS.FOR THE REST OF TONGA GROUP:EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 20-25 KNOTS. ROUGH SEAS. A MODERATE SOUTHEAST SWELLS.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY:EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20-25 KNOTS OVER TONGATAPU.ELSEWHERE15-20 KNOTS EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS.HIGH TIDE:09:55PMLOW TIDE:04:15AM 17/12/2012.MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AT FUAAMOTU AT 7:15PM WAS 1011.6 MILLIBARS………………………………………………………………….SV/TT/=ENDS

Latest Tropical Cyclone Evan Alert for Niuafo’ou

…………………………………………………………………

Cyclone Evan Stalled Over Samoa

December 13, 2012 at 7:34 pm AUS time

http://28storms.com/cyclone:

“We have reached the midnight hour in Samoa, and Cyclone Evan is hammering the area with strong winds and heavy rainfall. The latest satellite imagery shows that the eye of the storm is nearly stationary as it wobbles along the Upolu coast. The eye also appears to be better defined compared to six hours ago, which is a sign of more strengthening. More intensification into a significant cyclone is expected over the next 1-2 days. Low vertical wind shear and favorable sea surface temperatures are a recipe for rapid development, especially when the inner core of a tropical cyclone is already well-established. The greatest threats to loss of life will be inland freshwater flooding and coastal water rise. Perhaps even unprecedented rainfall totals may occur, especially in higher elevations. Mudslides and river flooding are ongoing dangers. Storm surge values along the coastal areas may exceed 10-12 feet as the cyclone gains strength.”

16 Dec 2012:

SS Category 3 Tropical Cyclone Evan bearing down on Fiji

Dr. Jeff Masters’ WunderBlog

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:19 PM GMT on December 16, 2012

“Category 3 Tropical Cyclone Evan is closing in on the main island of Fiji, where hurricane warnings are flying and torrential rains are already falling. Radar images from Fiji show that the large eye of Evan is just north of the two main islands of Fiji. The expected southwesterly track of the storm should keep the calm of the eye just north of Fiji, though the southern eyewall may brush the north coast of the main island of Vici Leva, affecting the tourist town of Nadi. Evan has intensified today to its strongest level yet, with 120 mph winds, and satellite loops show that the storm remains well-organized, with plenty of intense heavy thunderstorm activity and a prominent eye. Evan will be in a region with moderate wind shear of 15 – 20 knots as it approaches Fiji, and could intensify by another 5 – 10 mph before making its closest pass to the islands later today. According to NOAA’s Coastal Services Center, Evan is the strongest tropical cyclone to threaten Fiji since Tropical Cyclone Daman of December 2007. Dating back to 1972, twelve Category 3 or stronger tropical cyclones have threatened the Republic of Fiji.


Figure 1. Radar image from the Fiji weather service showing the large eye of Tropical Cyclone Evan just north of Fiji.

Severe damage in Samoa from Evan
Evan made landfall on the north shore of Samoa near the capital of Apia on Thursday as a Category 1 cyclone with 90 mph winds, and intensified into a Category 3 storm with 115 mph after the eye wandered back offshore late Thursday. Media reports indicate that Evan killed four and has left eight missing on Samoa, and left at least 4,000 homeless. The main power plant for Samoa was destroyed, and it is expected that power will be out to almost all of Samoa for at least ten more days. Evan was one of Samoa’s most destructive tropical cyclones on record, as discussed by wunderground’s weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.


Figure 2. True-color MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Evan nearing Fiji at 01:35 UTC December 16, 2012. At the time, Evan was a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters”

TSR logo SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 21.0 S 177.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

No Active Tropical Warnings in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, Central Pacific, Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere

There are no active tropical warnings in the Northwest Pacific/North Indian Ocean, Central/Eastern Pacific, or Southern Hemisphere at this time.

Last Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone Evan

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
18 GMT 12/12/12 14.3S 175.6W 40 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 12/12/12 14.1S 173.9W 45 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 12/12/12 13.9S 173.2W 60 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 12/12/12 14.1S 172W 75 Category 1
00 GMT 12/13/12 14.1S 171.3W 90 Category 1
06 GMT 12/13/12 13.9S 171.4W 90 Category 1
12 GMT 12/13/12 13.7S 171.6W 105 Category 2
18 GMT 12/13/12 13.4S 171.7W 115 Category 3
00 GMT 12/14/12 13S 172.1W 115 Category 3
06 GMT 12/14/12 12.9S 172.5W 115 Category 3
12 GMT 12/14/12 12.6S 173W 115 Category 3
18 GMT 12/14/12 12.3S 174W 115 Category 3
06 GMT 12/15/12 13S 175.6W 105 Category 2
18 GMT 12/15/12 13.4S 177.7W 115 Category 3
06 GMT 12/16/12 14.9S 179.9W 120 Category 3
18 GMT 12/16/12 16.4S 178.3E 135 Category 4
06 GMT 12/17/12 17.9S 177.3E 135 Category 4
18 GMT 12/17/12 19.7S 177.2E 120 Category 3
06 GMT 12/18/12 21S 177.1E 110 Category 2
18 GMT 12/18/12 22.3S 177.4E 75 Category 1
18 GMT 12/19/12 22.3S 177.4E 75 Category 1
06 GMT 12/19/12 23.4S 178.2E 50 Tropical Storm

Other:

Humanity Road Situation Report & vital emergency information for Samoi: http://bit.ly/SXAPeO

New Zealand Red Cross:

We are currently on standby with personnel and equipment, ready to respond to Tropical Cyclone #Evan if required.

Red Cross (IFRC) spokesman in Asia-Pacific, Patrick Fuller: Fiji on high alert as #Cyclone #Evan bears down this weekend. 100mph winds expected with a storm surge and heavy rains

List of evacuation centres in Northern Division, Fiji: on.fb.me/V1A315

List of evacuation centres open in Western Division, #Fiji: http://bit.ly/VK972g

Check out http://www.natadolabeach.com to see the live stream from Natadola Bay, Fiji

20 Dec 2012 (GMT):

New Zealand

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING.

ISSUED BY MetService AT 8:10 pm 20-Dec-2012

A period of heavy rain for the ranges of Westland

A front over the Tasman Sea is expected to move northwards across the South Island on Friday, preceded by strong moist northerlies. Heavy rain is likely to fall in Fiordland and the Westland ranges, with the largest accumulations expected in the Westland ranges where 100mm of rain is possible during Friday morning and afternoon. People are advised rivers and streams may rise rapidly, slips and surface flooding are possible.

HEAVY RAIN WARNING

AREA/S AFFECTED

The ranges of Westland south of Otira

FORECAST

Rain is expected to develop Friday morning. In the 15 hours from 3am to 6pm Friday, expect 70 to 100mm of rain to accumulate. Peak intensities of 15 to 20mm per hour late Friday morning and early afternoon.

FREEZING LEVEL: About 3300 metres.

NEXT SEVERE WEATHER WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT OR BEFORE 9:00 am Friday 21-Dec-2012

 

Funded by NZ Government

Press reports:

12 Dec 2012:

Tropical Storm Evan

A tropical cyclone is expected to hit Samoa today with wind speeds over 80km/h. Cyclone Evan emerged yesterday when a tropical depression deepened 300km southwest of Apia and moved eastward toward the city.

The Fiji Meteorological Service said the tropical cyclone would be sitting right over Samoa about midday.

An Air NZ spokeswoman said last night that there were no planned disruptions to flights from New Zealand at this stage, but this could be revised as the storm hit.

The Fiji Met Service expects the cyclone to intensify to a category 2 as it changes direction and moves away from Samoa tomorrow. Fiji is preparing for the cyclone to arrive on Sunday.

Fiji Met Service director Alipate Waqaicelua told the Fiji Times that residents need “to be prepared and ready, now”.

Fiji police spokeswoman Ana Naisoro called out to mariners to “please take the weather advisories seriously”.

She said parents needed to keep a close watch on their children. The Nadi weather office was issuing warnings of heavy rain and flash-floods.

“There are hidden threats which could result in tragic incidents which is why supervision during this time is vital.”

Wednesday, 12 December, 2012 at 18:06 (06:06 PM) UTC RSOE

Samoa on alert as Tropical Cyclone Evan approaches

Australia News Network

“Storm, hurricane and flood warnings have been issued for Samoa as Tropical Cyclone Evan moves closer to the island group.

Cyclone Evan emerged yesterday when a tropical depression deepened 300km southwest of Apia and moved eastward toward the city.

It is centred about 60 nautical miles west of Apia and if it maintains its current course will come within five kilometres of Apia at 2:00 PM local time.

Cyclone Evan has winds of 88 kilometres an hour near its centre, is likely to produce a storm surge of more than three metres and is producing heavy rain.

Samoa Metservice forecaster Mulipola Austalia Titimaea has told Radio Australia’s Pacific Beat program the island is bracing for higher winds.

“We are also standing by in areas for a hurricane watch – if conditions warrant we could issue a warning for hurricane force winds,” he said.

“At the moment as it stands, we are still maintaining a warning for storm force winds, which is up to 70 miles per hour.

Evan is the first named cyclone of the South Pacific�s summer cyclone season.

The UN Disaster Management Office in Samoa, and the country’s disaster advisory committee have met to discuss the potential impact and necessary preparedness measures.

Mulipola Austalia Titimaea says the storm at the moment is a ‘midget’ size Category 1 storm, but it could be upgraded.

“There is a possibility on the current forecast track that it will pass just north-east of the island group,” he said.

“At the moment some of our observation stations are experiencing gale force winds – mainly in the exposed coastal areas and highlands.”

Schools in neighbouring American Samoa will also close early as a precaution.

Forecasters say if the cyclone continues to track east before turning south-west, it is less likely to affect parts of northern Tonga and eastern Fiji.

Fiji’s Met Service is expecting Cyclone Evan to reach there on Sunday, and has warned residents to be prepared.” – ANN

13 Dec 2012:

Two killed as tropical Cyclone Evan hits Samoa

ABC NEWS

Tiavi area, Cross Island Road as Samoa experiences Cyclone Evan

Photo: Tiavi area, Cross Island Road as Samoa experiences Cyclone Evan (Facebook: Anna Aiolupotea via GoTheManu)

Two people have been confirmed dead as Cyclone Evan causes widespread destruction around the Samoan capital of Apia.

The category-two storm made landfall in Apia earlier today, bringing heavy rainfall and winds of up to 110 kilometres per hour.

A state of disaster has now been declared.

Homes and crops have been destroyed, rivers flooded, trees and power lines toppled, roads cut and office buildings damaged.

The cyclone, thought to be one of the most powerful to hit the Pacific nation in 20 years, also forced the closure of the airport.

Storm and flood warnings have been issued, with forecasts that it will cause a sea surge of more than three metres along the Samoan coast.

Evan is expected to make landfall in neighbouring American Samoa tonight.

Neville Koop, the meteorology and climate adviser to the Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Program, has told Radio Australia that Evan is expected to eventually head south towards Fiji, which is also preparing for rough weather.

Earlier today, Samoa Metservice forecaster Mulipola Austalia Titimaea told Radio Australia’s Pacific Beat program that the capital was experiencing high winds.

“At the moment some of our observation stations are experiencing gale-force winds, mainly in the exposed coastal areas and highlands.”

Some damage has already been reported at Apia’s airport, including a collapsed walkway.

Local reporter Cherelle Jackson says trees have been torn down in Apia and there has been flash flooding across Apia.

“There has been flash flooding all over town, blocking the roads, and people have been kept from their homes,” she told Pacific Beat, adding that emergency services were working to clear the roads.

“Just where I am two of our neighbours have evacuated. Their houses have been flattened. Power poles are down, breadfruit trees, taro trees, banana trees – the staple of part of our diet, they’re just all over the road.”

Monica Miller, Radio Australia’s reporter in Pago Pago, says people have been boarding up their homes and schools are closed.

“Some of the people started making preparations yesterday, while others started this morning,” she said.

“There are designated shelters, usually church halls, that people can go to if they are inundated.”

Evan is the first named cyclone of the South Pacific’s summer cyclone season.

The UN Disaster Management Office in Samoa and the country’s disaster advisory committee have met to discuss the potential impact and necessary preparedness measures.” – ABC News


australianetworknews Published on Dec 13, 2012

Samoan journalist Cherelle Jackson describes how Cyclon Evan left a trail of destruction through the capital Apia.


(Credit: Youtube user ulupoo12)

Red Cross (IFRC) spokesman in Asia-Pacific, Patrick Fuller@Pat_Fuller: #cyclone #evan causes 4.5 m storm surge in Samoa. Capital Apia largely evacuated as storm doubles back with 195 kph winds.

Samoa has issued a disaster declaration after assessing initial damage caused by Tropical Cyclone Evan.

The storm with its sustained winds of 90 kilometres an hour, and gusts to 130 kilometres per hour has brought heavy rain and storm surges of up to three metres.

Cyclone Evan is expected to move back west and affect Tonga and Fiji.

The Samoa Disaster Management Office says at this stage it can cope with the clean-up out of existing funds and does not need international assistance.

A spokesperson, Filamena Nelson says the main problems are fallen trees with many obstructing roads and bringing power lines down cutting electricity. She says some homes have been damaged by the trees but there are no reports of deaths or injuries.

“Our Deputy Prime Minister just signed a Declaration of Disaster which is made under our Disaster and Emergency Management Act 2007 and this is effective for forty eight hours. The extension of that will very much depend on the situation.”

Filamena Nelson says the whole of Samoa has been affected by high winds and surface flooding.

The terminal at Faleolo airport has suffered some damage but the runway is intact.

Air New Zealand says its Auckland-Apia flight this morning was cancelled and weather permitting, a special charter flight is planned for Friday to accommodate disrupted passengers.

Our correspondent in American Samoa, Monica Miller says the streets of Pago Pago are quiet and people are anxious as they wait to see if the cyclone will hit the Territory as predicted.

“The town is emptying out as people head home.

The American Samoa Government has closed down.

A lot of companies are also closed, the banks are closed, the Post Office is closed.

Starkist Samoa has now also, this is the biggest employer with two thousand emplyees has just now announced that they have closed for today and tomorrow.”

Fiji’s Meteorological Service says Cyclone Evan may well become more intense as it turns towards Tonga and Fiji.

The Director of the Met Service Alipate Waqaicelua says Tonga’s northern islands, Niuatoputapu and Niuafo’ou, are being warned of damaging gale force winds within the next two days.

He says Fiji may be directly affected on Sunday.

“The land mass of Samoa has interfered with the intensity and its structure so it might appear it had weakened but we expect this cyclone to retain a category two or even intensify further as it turns toward the west and heads towards Tonga and Fiji.”

Alipate Waqaicelua says high and damaging sea swells are a feature of the cyclone and marine warnings are in place.

Spokesman from the Tonga Disaster Office says an official is meeting a committee up north to help with preparations of the cyclone’s approach, where up to a thousand people could be affected.

Thursday, 13 December, 2012 at 04:05 UTC RSOE

Samoa braces for second hit from Cyclone Evan

ABC NEWS

“Samoa is bracing for a second hit from Cyclone Evan, which has claimed at least two lives in the South Pacific nation.

The Samoan government has declared a state of disaster after winds of up to 160 kilometres-an-hour and heavy rain lashed the island nation.

New Zealand’s High Commissioner to Samoa, Nick Hurley, says that in the capital Apia power has been cut, buildings damaged and trees felled.

Mr Hurley says cyclonic conditions are resuming as Evan heads for Samoa again. It is then expected to intensify as it moves towards Tonga and Fiji.

Thought to be one of the most powerful to hit the Pacific nation in 20 years, the cyclone has forced the closure of the airport.

A local journalist says police have rescued people from homes along a flooded river, while several others are reported missing.

There has been flash flooding all over town, blocking the roads, and people have been kept from their homes.

Just where I am two of our neighbours have evacuated. Their houses have been flattened.

Power poles are down, breadfruit trees, taro trees, banana trees – the staple of part of our diet, they’re just all over the road.

Samoan reporter Cherelle Jackson

On Thursday, local reporter Cherelle Jackson described the destruction in Apia.

“There has been flash flooding all over town, blocking the roads, and people have been kept from their homes,” Ms Jackson told Pacific Beat, adding that emergency services were working to clear the roads.

“Just where I am two of our neighbours have evacuated. Their houses have been flattened.

“Power poles are down, breadfruit trees, taro trees, banana trees – the staple of part of our diet, they’re just all over the road.”

Monica Miller, Radio Australia’s reporter in Pago Pago, said people were boarding up their homes and schools were closed.

“Some of the people started making preparations yesterday, while others started this morning,” she said.

“There are designated shelters, usually church halls, that people can go to if they are inundated.”

Evan is the first named cyclone of the South Pacific’s summer cyclone season.” – ABC News

Met Office News Blog: Cyclone Evan strikesSamoa

“Towards the end of every year tropical storm activity moves from the northern hemisphere to the southern hemisphere. The South Indian Ocean has already spawned three tropical storms including the unusually strong early season Cyclone Anais in October. Attention has now switched to the South Pacific Ocean and Cyclone Evan.

Evan formed near Fiji a few days ago and moved north-east as it strengthened. As it reached the equivalent ofhurricane intensity (winds near 75 mph) it made landfall over Samoa close to the capital city of Apia. Although winds of this strength are not exceptional for a cyclone, first reports indicateconsiderable wind damage and flooding from a storm surge of 12-15 feet (3.5-4.5 m). This storm surge is of similar height to that experienced in New York City during Superstorm Sandy in October.

Visible satellite image of Cyclone Evan on 12 December 2012

Visible satellite image of Cyclone Evan on 12 December 2012

Although Samoa lies within the cyclone belt of the South Pacific Ocean, the island nation has been relatively storm free for many years. Cyclone Heta passed close by in 2003, but the last time Samoa received direct strikes from tropical storms was in 1997 and 1998 by storms named Tui and, coincidentally, Evan.

To make matters worse, Cyclone Evan is expectedto become slow moving near Samoa and American Samoa, producing large amounts of rainfall, before turning back south-west. Latest forecasts suggest Evan will strengthen some more and could threaten a strike on Fiji early next week.

Regional warnings for Cyclone Evan are produced by the Fiji Meteorological Service. The Met Office routinely supplies predictions of cyclone tracks from its global forecast model to regional meteorological centres worldwide, which are usedalong with guidance from other models in the production of forecasts and guidance.

You can keep up to date with tropical cyclones around the world on our website or follow us on Twitter.” – Met Office News Blog

14 Dec 2012:

Disaster declared after deadly Samoan cyclone

7 News By NZ correspondent Dominique Schwartz and wires, ABC Updated December 14, 2012, 6:43 pm

“The Samoan government has declared a state of disaster after Cyclone Evan ravaged the South Pacific nation, destroying buildings and causing flash floods.

Police in Samoa say a number of children are presumed to have drowned after being swept away in a flooded river after the cyclone hit.

Evan made landfall yesterday and caused widespread damage across the country, killing at least two people, cutting power, causing flooding and ripping trees out of the ground.

Locals say it is the worst storm to hit the region in recent years and a state of disaster has been declared.

There are now fears the storm could intensify to a category five cyclone as it tracks across the north of Tonga and then moves onto Fiji.

New Zealand’s high commissioner to Samoa, Nick Hurley, says police have told him a number of children went missing near the main river in Samoa’s capital Apia.

“This is the biggest one I’ve been through and I’ve been through difficult situations in the Pacific (before),” Mr Hurley told Radio New Zealand.

“The unpredictable nature of this one has made it quite different. The forecast winds did not give any indication of how strong the impact was going to be.”

Many places in Samoa have only just rebuilt after being devastated by a tsunami in 2009.

GALLERY: People stand on a destroyed bridge in Samoa’s capital Apia, Friday, after cyclone Evan ripped through the South Pacific island nation. Photo: AAP

“Power is off for the whole country… Tanugamanono power plant is completely destroyed and we might not have power for at least two weeks,” the Disaster Management Office (DMO) said in a statement.

It said hospitals and other essential services were using standby generators, with water supplies also out and most roads cut off by fallen trees and power poles as hundreds of people languished in evacuation centres.

In travel advice, Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs said the cyclone had caused “damage to local services and infrastructure, including communications and electricity services and Faleolo International Airport”.

“The Australian High Commission in Apia has closed until further notice due to storm damage,” it said.

The United Nations says international aid groups are ready to help if needed, with damage from the cyclone worse than expected….” – More from 7 News

A man wades through deep water in Samoa’s capital Apia after Cyclone Evan ravaged the South Pacific Nation. Photo: AAP

Pacific: Tropical Cyclone Evan (TD04F) Situation Report No. 1 (as of 14 Dec 2012)

Report

from UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Published on 14 Dec 2012

Highlights

  • Tropical Cyclone Evan was stationary over Samoa for approximately 24 hours.
  • The Ministry of Police has confirmed that there have been two casualties.
  • The whole of Samoa is without electricity, which may not be restored for up to two weeks.
  • The whole of Samoa is without water, except for critical services such as the hospital.
  • Tropical Cyclone Evan is predicted to pass close to Niuafoou in northern Tonga as a Category 3 tropical cyclone on Sunday.
  • Tropical Cyclone Evan predicted to pass between the islands of Vanua Levu and Tavauni in Fiji as a Category 4 tropical cyclone early Monday morning.
UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs:

To learn more about OCHA’s activities, please visit http://unocha.org/.

Situation Report

Tropical Cyclone Evan – Situation Update No. 2

Extract:

Pacific: Tropical Cyclone Evan
Situation Report No. 2 (as of 15 Dec 2012)

This report is produced by OCHA Regional Office for the Pacific in collaboration with humanitarian partners. It was issued by the OCHA Regional Office for the Pacific. It covers the period from 14 to 15 Dec 2012. The next report will be issued on or around 17 Dec 2012.

Highlights

  • The Ministry of Police in Samoa has confirmed that there have been four casualties and eight people remain missing.
  • The main water treatment plant in Samoa has suffered major damages and access to water is yet to be restored.
  • The island of Upolo in Samoa remains without electricity and reports suggest it may take months to reconnect the entire island.
  • Tropical Cyclone Evan (TC Evan) is forecast to pass Wallis and Futuna as a Category 4 tropical cyclone tonight.
  • A strong wind warning remains in force for islands in northern Tonga.
  • TC Evan is expected to pass northern and western Fiji as a Category 3 tropical cyclone on Monday.

For continuous updates on Tropical Cyclone Evan, please refer to Fiji Meteorological Service.

TCEvan_SitRep2_14Dec.pdf 135.87 KB

Fiji braces for strengthening Cyclone Evan

ABC NEWS

Evacuations have begun in Fiji ahead of the arrival of Tropical Cyclone Evan which has caused widespread damage in Samoa.

The cyclone expected to hit Fiji on Sunday is forecast to intensify into a category four or five storm as it approaches.

A state of disaster has been declared in Samoa after the storm left a trail of destruction and claimed at least two lives, with unconfirmed reports of many others missing.

Addressing the nation ahead of the storm, Fiji’s interim leader Commodore Frank Bainimarama said the cyclone would affect the entire country.

“It has winds up to 180 kilometres per hour which may intensify and, if the weather forecasters are correct, it will affect Fiji in a very damaging way bringing about destructive winds and flooding,” he said.

“Fellow Fijians I cannot stress how serious this is, every Fijian will be affected.”

Mr Bainimarama urged people to remain calm, look after the elderly and disabled, cancel social events, secure their properties and avoid travel and alcohol until the threat is over.

The country’s permanent secretary for information, Sharon Smith-Johns, says many people have fled to higher ground.

“There are people that have already taken precautions, that they know that they live in flood-prone areas and they’re moving to higher ground or moving in with relatives.

“There is quite a lot of movement around Suva especially today and around and in the rural areas.

“All we can do is be prepared here – lucky we’ve had a weeks notice of this all the agencies have been deployed, emergency services on standby, evacuation centres are open, rations have gone out now it’s just a matter of continuing to clean up our own backyards and putting cyclone shutters up and waiting.”

Ms Smith-Johns says the country is on high alert.

“Fiji is now on high alert we know that the cyclone is moving towards the Fiji group,” she said.

“We know that it’s going to be upgraded to a category four cyclone with winds gusting probably about 200 kilometres per hour, so we’re very much just waiting for the arrival.”

Fiji braces for strengthening Cyclone Evan

ABC NEWS

Evacuations have begun in Fiji ahead of the arrival of Tropical Cyclone Evan which has caused widespread damage in Samoa.

The cyclone expected to hit Fiji on Sunday is forecast to intensify into a category four or five storm as it approaches.

A state of disaster has been declared in Samoa after the storm left a trail of destruction and claimed at least two lives, with unconfirmed reports of many others missing.

Addressing the nation ahead of the storm, Fiji’s interim leader Commodore Frank Bainimarama said the cyclone would affect the entire country.

“It has winds up to 180 kilometres per hour which may intensify and, if the weather forecasters are correct, it will affect Fiji in a very damaging way bringing about destructive winds and flooding,” he said.

“Fellow Fijians I cannot stress how serious this is, every Fijian will be affected.”

Mr Bainimarama urged people to remain calm, look after the elderly and disabled, cancel social events, secure their properties and avoid travel and alcohol until the threat is over.

The country’s permanent secretary for information, Sharon Smith-Johns, says many people have fled to higher ground.

“There are people that have already taken precautions, that they know that they live in flood-prone areas and they’re moving to higher ground or moving in with relatives.

“There is quite a lot of movement around Suva especially today and around and in the rural areas.

“All we can do is be prepared here – lucky we’ve had a weeks notice of this all the agencies have been deployed, emergency services on standby, evacuation centres are open, rations have gone out now it’s just a matter of continuing to clean up our own backyards and putting cyclone shutters up and waiting.”

Ms Smith-Johns says the country is on high alert.

“Fiji is now on high alert we know that the cyclone is moving towards the Fiji group,” she said.

“We know that it’s going to be upgraded to a category four cyclone with winds gusting probably about 200 kilometres per hour, so we’re very much just waiting for the arrival.”

‘State of disaster’

The Samoan Government has declared a state of disaster after Evan made landfall on Thursday, causing widespread damage, cutting power, causing flooding and ripping trees out of the ground.

Locals say it is the worst storm to hit the region in recent years.

Muli Pola from Samoa’s Meteorology Division says the storm warning remains in effect with concerns it may turn back toward and make landfall on the islands.

Greg Grimsich, from the United Nations, says with damage much worse than expected international aid groups are ready to help if required.

“There’s a number of power lines down, roads damaged, we’re having a lot of difficulty communicating by mobile phones because the lines are actually quite jammed at the moment,” he said.

“We had a large number of people displaced from their homes near the coast and near the river, there were still up to 2000 people in evacuation centres and there was a need for food and water that they’re running low on.”

Australia’s Department of Foreign Affairs travel advice said the cyclone had damaged Faleolo International Airport and the Australian High Commission in Apia would be closed until further notice due to storm damage.”

Many places in Samoa have only just rebuilt after being devastated by a tsunami in 2009.

Gallery: In Pictures: Cyclone Evan hits Samoa

15 Dec 2012:

Pacific: Tropical Cyclone Evan Situation Report No. 2 (as of 15 Dec 2012)

Report

from UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Published on 15 Dec 2012
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Download PDF (131.11 KB)English version

Highlights

  • The Ministry of Police in Samoa has confirmed that there have been four casualties and eight people remain missing.
  • The main water treatment plant in Samoa has suffered major damages and access to water is yet to be restored.
  • The island of Upolo in Samoa remains without electricity and reports suggest it may take months to reconnect the entire island.
  • Tropical Cyclone Evan (TC Evan) is forecast to pass Wallis and Futuna as a Category 4 tropical cyclone tonight.
  • A strong wind warning remains in force for islands in northern Tonga.
  • TC Evan is expected to pass northern and western Fiji as a Category 3 tropical cyclone on Monday.
UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs:

To learn more about OCHA’s activities, please visit http://unocha.org/.