Mexico: Tropical Depression 03E forms to the S of Mexico, bringing locally heavy rains – Published 11 Jun 2017 2150z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression 03E

Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of southeastern Mexico from Boca De Pijijiapan to Punta
Maldonado.

 Mexico and Guatemala be aware

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

 

National Hurricane Center FL

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 112033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032017
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 11 2017

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO…
…BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS…

 

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.5N 95.0W
ABOUT 120 MI…190 KM S OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of southeastern Mexico from Boca De Pijijiapan to Punta
Maldonado.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E
was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 95.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the
forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone will be near the
coast of Mexico in the warning area by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast
to become a tropical storm on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across southern Guatemala and the
Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero, with maximum
totals of 20 inches possible. These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within portions of the warning area on Monday.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NE Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 11 Jun, 2017 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression 03E is currently located near 14.5 N 95.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). 03E is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puerto Angel (15.8 N, 96.5 W)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

FZNT01 KWBC 111540
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC SUN JUN 11 2017

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

ATLANTIC ICEBERG ANALYSIS AND OUTLOOK PRODUCTS…COURTESY OF
THE U.S. COAST GUARD INTERNATIONAL ICE PATROL…CAN BE FOUND
ON THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WEB PAGE AT
http://WWW.OPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 11
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 12
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 13

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 54N46W 985 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SW AND S
QUADRANTS AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND 360 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 44N
TO 61N E OF 54W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N40W 990 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM
55N TO 61N E OF 57W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW 54N33W DESCRIBED BELOW.

…GALE WARNING…
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N60W 981 MB. OVER ICE FREE FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 780 MN S QUADRANT AND 180 NM NE AND E QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 53N51W 986
MB WITH A FRONT FROM CENTER TO 50N46W TO 42N59W. WITHIN 360 NM
SW AND S QUADRANTS AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND S OF THE
FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR 54N33W 978 MB.
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 39N TO 61N E OF 47W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 17 FT…HIGHEST NEAR 46N35W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS N OF 61N BETWEEN 48W AND 58W AREA
OF S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N64W 1000 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 360 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 60N TO 66N WITHIN 120 NM OF THE W COAST
OF GREENLAND AREA OF N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 55N TO 59N E OF 52W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 53N BETWEEN 42W AND
56W…FROM 53N TO 65N W OF 56W…AND WITHIN 180 NM OF 42N69W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 56N TO 64N W OF 59W…AND FROM
40N TO 50N BETWEEN 57W AND 72W.

.HIGH 32N56W 1026 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N55W 1024 MB.

.HIGH 35N68W 1025 MB MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N69W 1024 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 32N47W 1024 MB.

.FORECASTER VUKITS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 13.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N35W TO LOW PRES 27N48W 1018 MB
WITH TROUGH SW TO 21N55W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N45W TO
31N35W TO 28N35W TO 28N49W TO 31N35W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W…INCLUDING
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE…E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W…INCLUDING
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE…E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N79W TO 15N73W TO 11N71W TO
11N77W TO 15N79W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA…NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N80W TO 15N74W TO
11N74W TO 11N80W TO 14N80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N80W TO 13N70W TO
11N71W TO 12N81W TO 14N80W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA…
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 19N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N W OF 85W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH FROM 28N83W TO 27N90W. S OF TROUGH SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 25.5N82W TO 26N89W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22.5N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Guatemala: At least 26 people killed, 600 feared missing & 100+ homes buried in landslide – Published 03 Oct 2015 1030z (GMT/UTC)

BBC

Guatemala mudslide leaves hundreds missing

General view of the village of El Cambray II, in Santa Catarina Pinula municipality, some 15 km east of Guatemala City, after a landslide on October 2, 2015.

Image caption Local authorities said the hillsides had been weakening for some time. AFP

Rescue workers in Guatemala are digging through rubble from a mudslide that hit a village not far from the capital, in search of hundreds missing.

At least 26 bodies have so far been recovered from the village of El Cambray Dos, rescue services say.

Heavy rains swept a torrent of boulders and mud onto houses on Thursday, 15km (nine miles) east of Guatemala City.

Relatives have been receiving calls and texts from people trapped under the rubble, reporters at the scene say.

Survivors have been taken to makeshift shelters. Rescuers temporarily called off the search late on Friday because of heavy rains, AP news agency reports.

Julio Sanchez, a spokesman for Guatemala’s volunteer firefighters, said 26 people had died, including a number of children, and another 36 people were taken to hospitals.

One man was pulled alive from the rubble after more than 15 hours after the mudslide hit.

But Alejandro Maldonado, the head of the Guatemalan disaster agency, has warned that as many as 600 people could still be missing.

He said that number of people was believed to be asleep in their homes when the mudslide occurred, he added.

El Cambray is surrounded by steep hills that tower over the houses which are mostly set in the valley bottom.

Mr Maldonado said in a radio interview that the forested hills had been weakening for some time and had collapsed largely because of recent heavy rain.

END

More from AJE: http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/10/dozens-dead-hundreds-missing-guatemala-mudslide-151003010922779.html

Video

Mexico: Tropical Depression (Ex TS BORIS) 02E 041000Z nr 16.3N 93.8W, moving N at 5 knots (JTWC) – Updated 040614 1251z

Tropical Depression 02E (TWO-E)

BORIS WEAKENS BUT WILL CONTINUE TO SOAK EASTERN MEXICO(NHC)

(Desplcese hacia abajo para la traduccin española) (Scroll down for Spanish translation)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 040831
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022014
200 AM PDT WED JUN 04 2014

BORIS WEAKENS BUT WILL CONTINUE TO SOAK EASTERN MEXICO
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT0900 UTCINFORMATION
-
LOCATION16.2N 93.9W
ABOUT 85 MI140 KM E OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS35 MPH55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENTN OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE1003 MB29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREAPLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

AT 200 AM PDT0900 UTCTHE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTHLONGITUDE 93.9 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH7 KM/HAND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACKTHE DEPRESION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
FARTHER INLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH55
KM/HWITH HIGHER GUSTS. BORIS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB29.62 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-
RAINFALLBORIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES OVER THE
MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND CHIAPAS. THESE ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL
BRING ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS TO AS MUCH AS 20 INCHES
ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO
RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPORTS FROM
THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE INDICATE THAT THE CITY OF TONALA ON
THE COAST OF CHIAPAS RECIEVED NEAR 8.5 INCHES213 MMOF RAIN
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep0214.gif

WTPN31 PHNC 041000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BORIS) WARNING NR 007
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
040600Z NEAR 16.0N 93.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 93.9W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z 17.0N 93.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z 18.0N 93.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
041000Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 93.8W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BORIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 79 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TEHUANTEPEC, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041600Z, 042200Z AND 050400Z.
//
NNNN

 

Other

TSR logoNE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jun, 2014 9:00 GMT

Tropical Depression BORIS (02E) currently located near 16.2 N 93.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

NASA Hurricane:

E. PACIFIC *Full Update* NASA Infrared Imagery Sees Heavy Rain Potential in Tropical Depression 2E
NASAs Aqua satellite captured an infrared image of Tropical Depression 2E that revealed high, very cold cloud top temperatures.FULL STORY/WARNINGS:
http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/93e-eastern-pacific-ocean-june-2014

MARITIME

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0830

WTPZ22 KNHC 040830
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022014
0900 UTC WED JUN 04 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 93.9W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEATCENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 93.9W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 93.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.0N 93.7WPOST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KTGUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.0N 93.5WPOST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KTGUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800ZDISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 93.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

 

 

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Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your countrys official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

SPANISH

Depresin Tropical 02E ( TWO -E)

……… BORIS DEBILITA PERO SEGUIR REMOJO ORIENTAL MEXICO ……… ( NHC )

( Desplcese HACIA abajo prr la traduccin española ) ( Desplcese hacia abajo para la traduccin española )

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Previsin de 5 das ( clic en la imagen para la fuente )

(Imagen: wunderground.com ) Satlite ( clic en la imagen para la fuente )

Servicio Meteorolgico Nacional

Centro Nacional de Huracanes

[ Imagen de la prediccin de 5 das de la pista prevista, y las zonas costeras bajo una advertencia o un reloj ]

000
WTPZ32 TJSJ 040831
TCPEP2

BOLETN
DEPRESION TROPICAL BORIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 7
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP022014
200 AM PDT MIRCOLES 04 de junio 2014

… BORIS DEBILITA PERO SEGUIR REMOJO ORIENTAL MEXICO …
RESUMEN DE LAS 200 AM PDT … 0900 UTC … INFORMACIN
—————-
UBICACIN … 16,2 N 93.9W
ACERCA DE MI 85 … 140 KM E DE SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS … 35 MPH … 55 KM / H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL … N O 360 GRADOS A 5 MPH … 7 KM / H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL … 1003 MB … 29.62 PULGADAS
RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——-
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA …

EL GOBIERNO DE MEXICO HA DEJADO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ADVERTENCIAS .

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO …

NO HAY COSTERA RELOJES O ADVERTENCIA EN EFECTO .

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA … FAVOR DE
PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA .
DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS 48 HORAS
———-
A LAS 200 AM PDT … 0900 UTC … EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL BORIS
ESTABA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.2 NORTE … LONGITUD 93.9 OESTE .
LA DEPRESION SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH … 7 KM / H … Y
SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 12 A 24
HORAS . EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA … EL DEPRESION CONTINUARA MOVIENDOSE
INLAND MS LEJOS .

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CERCA DE 35 MPH … 55
KM / H … CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES . BORIS SE ESPERA PARA SER
BAJA REMANENTE TARDE HOY .
LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES 1003 MB … 29.62 PULGADAS.
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
——–
LLUVIA … BORIS SE PREV QUE PRODUZCA CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA
DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS SOBRE LA
Estados mexicanos de Oaxaca y Chiapas . ESTAS LLUVIAS adicionales sern
TRAER AISLADAS CANTIDADES TOTALES DE TORMENTA a tanto como 20 PULGADAS …
Especialmente en los terrenos ms altos . ESTAS LLUVIAS POSIBLEMENTE
RESULTADO EN INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO PONIENDO EN RIESGO . INFORMES DE
EL SERVICIO DE TIEMPO MEXICANA INDICAN QUE LA CIUDAD DE TONALA EN
LA COSTA DE CHIAPAS RECIBIDO CERCA DE 8.5 PULGADAS … 213 MM … DE LLUVIA
DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS .
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
—–
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA … 800 AM PDT .

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR AVILA

Centro de Advertencia de Tifones Conjunto ( JTWC )

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep0214.gif

Google Earth Overlay grfico

WTPN31 PHNC 041000
MSGID / GENADMIN / JOINT TIFN WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVERTENCIA / /
OBS /
1 . DEPRESION TROPICAL 02E ( BORIS ) ADVERTENCIA NR 007
Rebajado de 02E TORMENTA TROPICAL
01 ACTIVO CICLON TROPICAL EN EASTPAC
Vientos mximos sostenidos en base al promedio de un minuto
RADIOS DE VIENTO VLIDA SOBRE AGUA ABIERTA SOLAMENTE

ADVERTENCIA POSICIN :
040600Z – CERCA 16.0N 93.9W
Los movimientos ms all de seis horas – 010 GRADOS A 05 KTS
POSICIN EXACTA EN EL PLAZO DE 040 NM
Posicin basada en el centro situado POR SATLITE
ACTUALIDAD DISTRIBUCIN DE VIENTO :
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 030 KT , KT 040 RAFAGAS
RADIOS DE VIENTO VLIDA SOBRE AGUA ABIERTA SOLAMENTE
POSIT REPEAT: 16.0N 93.9W

Previsiones:
12 HRS , vlido en :
041800Z – 17.0N 93.7W
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 025 KT , KT 035 RAFAGAS
RADIOS DE VIENTO VLIDA SOBRE AGUA ABIERTA SOLAMENTE
Disipando COMO UN CICLON TROPICAL RELEVANTE SOBRE TIERRA
VECTOR DE 24 HR POSIT : 010 DEG / 05 KTS

24 HRS , vlido en :
050600Z – 18.0N 93.5W
Vientos mximos sostenidos – 020 KT , KT 030 RAFAGAS
RADIOS DE VIENTO VLIDA SOBRE AGUA ABIERTA SOLAMENTE
Disipa como CICLON TROPICAL SIGNIFICATIVA SOBRE TIERRA

OBSERVACIONES:
041000Z POSICIN CERCA 16.3N 93.8W .
DEPRESION TROPICAL 02E ( BORIS ) , ubicado aproximadamente a 79 NM
Este-sureste de Tehuantepec, MEXICO , ha rastreado AT 05 NUDOS
EN LOS LTIMOS SEIS HORAS.
MXIMA altura de ola significativa AT 040600Z es de 10 pies . SIGUIENTE
ADVERTENCIAS EN 041600Z , 042200Z 050400Z Y .
/ /
NNNN

otro
TSR Logone Pacfico: Alerta de tormenta emitido al 04 de junio 2014 09:00 GMT

Depresin Tropical BORIS ( 02E ) que actualmente se encuentra cerca de 16,2 N 93,9 W se prev a la huelga de la tierra a la siguiente verosimilitud ( s ) en el tiempo de espera determinado ( s ) :

Alerta Amarilla Pas ( s ) o provincia ( s )
Mxico
probabilidad de TS es del 70% en la actualidad

Tenga en cuenta que
Alerta amarilla ( elevada ) es CAT 1 o superior a entre 10 % y 30 % de probabilidad , o TS a por encima de 50 % de probabilidad .
CAT 1 significa vientos de fuerza de huracn de al menos 74 mph , 119 km / ho 64 nudos de 1 minuto sostenido .
TS significa vientos de fuerza de tormenta tropical de por lo menos 39 mph , a 63 km / ho 34 nudos de 1 minuto sostenido .

Para obtener informacin de previsin grfica y ms detalles por favor visite http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

NASA Huracn:

E. PACFICO * actualizacin completa * imgenes de la NASA Infrared ve pesado Potencial Lluvia en la depresin tropical 2E
Satlite Aqua de la NASA captur una imagen infrarroja de la depresin tropical 2E que revel altos , top temperatures.FULL HISTORIA nube muy fra / ADVERTENCIAS :
http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/93e-eastern-pacific-ocean-june-2014
MARTIMO
METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0830

WTPZ22 TJSJ 040830
TCMEP2

DEPRESION TROPICAL BORIS PRONSTICO / ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 7
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP022014
0900 UTC MIERCOLES 04 de junio 2014

CAMBIOS EN LOS RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA …

EL GOBIERNO DE MEXICO HA DEJADO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL
ADVERTENCIAS .

RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO …

NO HAY COSTERA RELOJES O ADVERTENCIA EN EFECTO .

CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL LOCALIZADA CERCA DE 16,2 N 93.9W AT 04/0900Z
POSICIN EXACTA dentro de 40 NM

MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL HACIA EL NORTE O 360 GRADOS A 4 KT

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA 1.003 MB
Vientos mximos sostenidos de 30 KT CON RAFAGAS HASTA 40 KT .
VIENTOS Y OLEAJE varan mucho en cada cuadrante. RADIOS EN NUTICA
MILES son los radios MAYOR SE ESPERA EN CUALQUIER LUGAR EN QUE CUADRANTE .

REPETIR … CENTRO LOCALIZADO CERCA 16,2 N 93.9W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTRO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA 16.0N 93.9W

Pronstico vlido 04/1800Z 17.0N 93.7W … POST-TROP/REMNT BAJA
MAX WIND 25 KT … RAFAGAS 35 KT .

Pronstico vlido 05/0600Z 18.0N 93.5W … POST-TROP/REMNT BAJA
MAX WIND 20 KT … RAFAGAS 30 KT .

05/1800Z VLIDO PRONSTICO … DISIPADO
SOLICITUD DE 3 INFORMES DE BUQUES POR HORA EN 300 MILLAS DE 16,2 N 93.9W

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA EN 04/1500Z

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR AVILA

PassageWeather es una pgina web de tiempo para navegar GRATIS : http://www.passageweather.com/index.htm?http % 3A / / http://www.passageweather.com / maps / npacific / mappage.htm

No use cualquier informacin en este sitio para las decisiones de vida o muerte . Toda la informacin se concibe como complementario a las fuentes oficiales. Por favor refirase a la pgina web la agencia meteorolgica / oficial del gobierno de su pas por las advertencias locales, avisos y boletines .

Guatemala Earthquake deaths now at least 52 – 081112 2140z

(Image: voxxi.com)

(Updates at bottom of page)

A strong earthquake off the coast of Guatemala shook buildings in the capital and killed at least 39 people on Wednesday, trapping others under rubble and triggering evacuations as far away as Mexico City. The 7.4 magnitude quake hit at 10:35 a.m. local time (11:35 EDT). A local fire chief said at least some of the dead were buried under debris in a mountainous region near the Mexican border. Landslides blocked roads in some areas, authorities said, and about 40 houses were severely damaged. It was the strongest earthquake to hit Guatemala since a 7.5 magnitude quake in 1976 that claimed more than 20,000 lives. President Otto Perez said that as many as 100 people were unaccounted for, based on reports from relatives. “These are preliminary figures and we don’t have them confirmed,” Perez said in Guatemala City. “Our priority is to focus on lives, rescuing people and treating the wounded.”

San Marcos state governor Luis Rivera confirmed the deaths of 39 people, adding that the state government offices were almost completely destroyed. Perez said there had been five aftershocks, with authorities distributing 16,000 emergency rations and mobilizing more than 2,000 soldiers to help with the rescue effort. Local fire chief Cecilio Chacaj said the bodies of 18 dead had been pulled from rubble in San Marcos and Quetzaltenango, the country’s second largest city. The quake struck off Guatemala’s Pacific coast, 15 miles south of Champerico and 101 miles west-southwest of the capital, the U.S. Geological Survey said. Evacuations in Guatemala City filled the streets with office workers calling friends and relatives on their cell phones, but people soon returned to work. “It was really big; I felt quite nauseous,” said secretary Vanessa Castillo, 32, who was evacuated from her 10th floor office in Guatemala City. Building janitor Jorge Gamboa said: “I was in the bathroom. When I came out the office was empty and I thought, what’s happening? They didn’t even say goodbye.” The epicenter was 26 miles below the surface, according to the USGS, which initially reported the quake as magnitude 7.5. The quake was also felt in El Salvador and more than 765 miles away in Mexico City, where some people also fled offices and homes. Mayor Marcelo Ebrard said the quake was felt strongly in a large part of the city of 20 million people. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said a small tsunami was registered on Guatemala’s coast, adding that there was a risk of localized damage within a 62 mile radius.

Thursday, 08 November, 2012 at 03:44 (03:44 AM) UTC RSOE

(Image: yimg.com)

Update:

The death toll in Guatemala’s earthquake has risen to 39 people and 155 others have been injured, President Otto Perez says. “We have to lament the death of 39 people. It is a tragedy,” Perez told reporters while touring the southwestern disaster area on Wednesday, raising the toll after preliminary reports of 15 deaths. The dead were found in six towns in San Marcos department, located at the border with Mexico and some 250km west of the Guatemalan capital. Twelve bodies were found in San Cristobal Cucho, eight in Esquipulas Palo Gordo and five in the city of San Marcos while the rest were found in the towns of La Reforma, San Pedro Sacatepequez and Quetzal. The 7.4-magnitude quake levelled 131 homes and injured 155 people in San Marcos department, Perez said. Authorities opened 11 shelters that can house 800 people. The US Geological Survey said the quake struck at 1635 GMT (0335 AEDT), with the epicentre located about 163km west-southwest of Guatemala City. The depth was 41.6km.

Thursday, 08 November, 2012 at 04:08 UTC RSOE

Update 08 Nov 2012:

Guatemala quake deaths now 52, expected to rise

This earthquake has

“…. killed at least 52 people, and left thousands of others huddling in the cold shadows of cracked adobe buildings, most without electricity or water.

The death toll was expected to rise as 22 people remained missing, President Otto Perez Molina told a news conference.

Perez said powerful 7.4-magnitude quake, felt as far as Mexico City 600 miles away, affected as many as 1.2 million Guatemalans. A little more than 700 people were in shelters, with most opting to stay with family or friends, he added.

“They have no drinking water, no electricity, no communication and are in danger of experiencing more aftershocks,” Perez said. The president said there had been 70 aftershocks in the first 24 hours after the quake, some as strong as magnitude 5.1.

Damaged homes will be among the biggest problems the country will face in the coming days, Perez added.

The quake, which was 20 miles deep, was centered 15 miles off the coastal town of Champerico and 100 miles southwest of Guatemala City. It was the strongest earthquake to hit Guatemala since a 1976 temblor that killed 23,000.

Perez said more than 2,000 soldiers were deployed to help with the disaster. A plane had made at least two trips to carry relief teams to the area…..”

Associated Press writer Sonia Perez D. and Michael Weissenstein reported this story in San Cristobal Cucho, and Romina Ruiz-Goiriena contributed to this report from Guatemala City.

Full story here

Extracts from http://hosted.ap.org

Spanish:

(Actualizaciones en la parte inferior de la página)

Un fuerte terremoto frente a las costas de Guatemala sacudió edificios en la capital y mató al menos a 39 personas el miércoles, atrapando a los demás bajo los escombros y provocando evacuaciones de lugares tan lejanos como la ciudad de México. El terremoto de magnitud 7,4 ocurrió a las 10:35 am hora local (11:35 GMT). Un jefe de bomberos dijo que al menos algunos de los muertos fueron enterrados bajo los escombros en una región montañosa cerca de la frontera con México. Los deslizamientos de tierra bloquearon las carreteras en algunas zonas, dijeron las autoridades, y cerca de 40 casas fueron dañadas severamente. Fue el terremoto más fuerte que azotó Guatemala desde que un terremoto de magnitud 7,5 en 1976, que se cobró más de 20.000 vidas. Presidente Otto Pérez dijo que al menos 100 personas estaban desaparecidas, con base en los informes de los familiares. “Se trata de cifras preliminares y que no tenemos las confirmó”, dijo Pérez en la ciudad de Guatemala. “Nuestra prioridad es centrarse en la vida, rescate de personas y tratar a los heridos.”

San Marcos gobernador del estado, Luis Rivera confirmó la muerte de 39 personas, y añadió que las oficinas del gobierno del estado fueron casi completamente destruidos. Pérez dijo que había habido cinco réplicas, con las autoridades de distribuir 16.000 raciones de emergencia y la movilización de más de 2.000 soldados para ayudar en las labores de rescate. Jefe de bomberos local Cecilio Chacaj dijo que los cuerpos de los 18 muertos había sido sacado de los escombros en San Marcos y Quetzaltenango, la ciudad del país segundo. El terremoto sacudió la costa del Pacífico de Guatemala, a 15 millas al sur de Champerico y 101 millas al oeste-suroeste de la capital, el Servicio Geológico de EE.UU. dijo. Evacuaciones en Ciudad de Guatemala salieron a las calles con los trabajadores de oficina llamar a los amigos y familiares en sus teléfonos celulares, pero la gente pronto volvió al trabajo. “Fue muy importante, me sentí muy mareado”, dijo el secretario Vanessa Castillo, de 32 años, quien fue evacuado de su oficina en el piso 10 Ciudad de Guatemala. Edificio portero Jorge Gamboa dijo: “Yo estaba en el baño Cuando salí de la oficina estaba vacía y pensé, ¿qué está pasando Ni siquiera decir adiós.?”. El epicentro fue 26 millas debajo de la superficie, según el USGS, que inicialmente reportó el sismo de magnitud 7,5. El sismo también se sintió en El Salvador y más de 765 kilómetros de distancia en la ciudad de México, donde algunas personas también huyeron oficinas y hogares. El alcalde Marcelo Ebrard dijo que el sismo se sintió con fuerza en gran parte de la ciudad de 20 millones de personas. El Centro de Alerta de Tsunamis del Pacífico dijo que un pequeño tsunami se registró en la costa de Guatemala, y añadió que existía un riesgo de daños localizados dentro de un radio de 62 millas.

Jueves, 08 de noviembre 2012 a las 03:44 (03:44 AM) UTC RSOE

(Imagen: yimg.com)

Actualizar:

El número de muertos en el terremoto de Guatemala ha aumentado a 39 personas y 155 han resultado heridos otros, el presidente Otto Pérez. “Tenemos que lamentar la muerte de 39 personas. Es una tragedia”, dijo Pérez a periodistas mientras visitaba la zona de desastre al sudoeste el miércoles, elevando la cifra después de los informes preliminares de 15 muertes. Los muertos fueron encontrados en seis municipios de San Marcos departamento, ubicado en la frontera con México y algunos oeste 250 km de la capital guatemalteca. Doce cuerpos fueron encontrados en San Cristóbal Cucho, ocho en Esquipulas Palo Gordo y cinco en la ciudad de San Marcos, mientras que el resto se encuentra en los pueblos de La Reforma, San Pedro Sacatepéquez y Quetzal. El sismo de magnitud 7,4 nivelado 131 viviendas y 155 personas resultaron heridas en el departamento de San Marcos, dijo Pérez. Las autoridades abrieron 11 refugios que pueden albergar a 800 personas. El Servicio Geológico de EE.UU. dijo que el sismo ocurrió a las 1635 GMT (0335 GMT), con epicentro situado a unos 163 kilometros al oeste-suroeste de la ciudad de Guatemala. La profundidad fue de 41,6 kilometros.

Jueves, 08 de noviembre 2012 a las 04:08 UTC RSOE

Actualización 08 de noviembre 2012:
Guatemala muertes del terremoto ahora 52, que se espera que aumente

Este terremoto ha

“…. Mataron al menos a 52 personas y dejó a miles de personas se apiñan en las sombras frías de edificios de adobe agrietados, la mayoría sin electricidad ni agua.

El número de muertos se espera que aumente a 22 personas seguían desaparecidas, el presidente Otto Pérez Molina dijo en una conferencia de prensa.

Pérez dijo poderoso sismo de magnitud 7,4, se sintió hasta la ciudad de México 600 millas de distancia, afectado hasta 1,2 millones de guatemaltecos. Un poco más de 700 personas se encontraban en refugios, y la mayoría optó por quedarse con familiares o amigos, agregó.

“No tienen agua potable, ni electricidad, ni la comunicación y están en peligro de sufrir más réplicas”, dijo Pérez. El presidente dijo que había habido 70 réplicas en las primeras 24 horas después del terremoto, algunas tan fuertes como las de magnitud 5,1.

Viviendas dañadas será uno de los mayores problemas que el país enfrentará en los próximos días, añadió Pérez.

El sismo, que fue de 20 kilómetros de profundidad, tuvo su epicentro 15 millas de la ciudad costera de Champerico y 100 millas al suroeste de la ciudad de Guatemala. Fue el terremoto más fuerte que azotó Guatemala desde que un terremoto de 1976 que mató a 23.000.

Pérez dijo que más de 2.000 soldados fueron desplegados para ayudar en el desastre. Un avión se había realizado al menos dos viajes para llevar a los equipos de socorro a la zona ….. ”

Periodista de la AP Sonia Pérez y D. Michael Weissenstein informó esta historia en San Cristóbal Cucho y Romina Ruiz-Goiriena contribuyó con este despacho desde la Ciudad de Guatemala.

Noticia completa aquí  Full story here

Extractos de http://hosted.ap.org

(Image: USGS)

ERNESTO DISSIPATES OVER S. MEXICO…HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES ~ ERNESTO SE DISIPA SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO…CONTINÚA LA AMENAZA DE LLUVIA PESADA- Updated 10 Aug 2012 1644 GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

REMINDER: YOU MAY HAVE TO RELOAD/REFRESH PAGE TO UPDATE IMAGES

AVISO: PUEDE QUE TENGA QUE RECARGAR/ACTUALIZAR LA PÁGINA PARA ACTUALIZAR IMÁGENES

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

WTNT35 KNHC 101434
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

ERNESTO DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO…HEAVY
RAIN THREAT CONTINUES

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…18.0N 99.2W
ABOUT 215 MI…345 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…25 MPH…35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
THE CIRCULATION OF ERNESTO HAS BEEN DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH MOUNTAINS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. AT 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…THE REMNANTS OF
ERNESTO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 99.2
WEST. THE REMANTS OF ERNESTO ARE FORECAST TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC…AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN A DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH…35 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN PASSING SHOWERS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-

RAINFALL…ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ…TABASCO…PUEBLA…OAXACA…AND GUERRERO THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

WTNT35 KNHC 101434
TCPAT5

BOLETÍN
RESTOS DE ERNESTO CONSULTIVA NÚMERO 37
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL052012
1000 AM CDT VIERNES, 10 DE AGOSTO DE 2012

ERNESTO SE DISIPA SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO…PESADO
CONTINÚA LA AMENAZA DE LLUVIA

RESUMEN DE 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC… INFORMACIÓN
———————————————–
UBICACIÓN…18.0N 99.2W
UNOS 215 MI…345 KM OSO DE VERACRUZ MÉXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS…25 MPH…35 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL…W O 270 GRADOS A 15 MPH…24 KM/H
PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA…1005 MB…29.68 PULGADAS

VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
——————–
NO HAY NINGÚN EFECTO DE EN RELOJES O ADVERTENCIAS COSTERA.

DISCUSIÓN Y OUTLOOK DE 48 HORAS
——————————
LA CIRCULACIÓN DE ERNESTO SE HA VISTO PERTURBADA POR LAS MONTAÑAS DE ALTA
DEL SUR DE MÉXICO. EN 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…LOS RESTOS DE
ERNESTO SE ENCONTRABAN CERCA DEL NORTE DE LA LATITUD 18.0…LONGITUD 99.2
OESTE. EL RETAL DE ERNESTO SE PREVÉ MOVER FRENTE A MÉXICO EN
EL PACÍFICO ORIENTAL…Y TIENEN EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN UN TROPICAL
CICLÓN EN UN DÍA O DOS.

VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTÁN CERCA DE 25 MPH…35 KM/H…CON MAYOR
RÁFAGAS EN LAS DUCHAS DE PASO.

ESTIMADO MÍNIMO DE PRESIÓN CENTRAL ES DE 1005 MB…29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-

LLUVIAS…ERNESTO SE ESPERA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS ADICIONALES
ACUMULACIONES DE 2 A 5 PULGADAS EN LOS ESTADOS MEXICANOS DE
VERACRUZ…TABASCO…PUEBLA…OAXACA…Y GUERRERO AL VIERNES
NOCHE. SON AISLADOS MÁXIMO TORMENTA IMPORTES TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS
EN ASOCIACIÓN CON ERNESTO. ESTAS PRECIPITACIONES PUEDEN
PRODUCIR MORTALES INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TIERRA.

ASESOR PRÓXIMO
————-
ESTE ES EL ÚLTIMO AVISO PÚBLICO EMITIDO POR EL HURACÁN NACIONAL
CENTRO EN ESTE SISTEMA.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

(Image: wunderground.com)
TD5 Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
OF CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN AND IS NO
LONGER TRACKABLE. ERNESTO NOW CONSISTS OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OVER MUCH OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF
THIS IS THE CASE…IT WILL ACQUIRE A NEW DEPRESSION NUMBER…OR A
NEW NAME IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
ERNESTO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/1500Z 18.0N  99.2W   20 KT  25 MPH
12H  11/0000Z…DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

RESTOS DE ERNESTO DISCUSIÓN NÚMERO 37
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL052012
1000 AM CDT VIERNES, 10 DE AGOSTO DE 2012

OBSERVACIONES DE LA SUPERFICIE DE MÉXICO INDICAN QUE EL CENTRO DE BAJO NIVEL
DE CIRCULACIÓN SE HA CONVERTIDO EN PERTURBADA POR EL TERRENO ALTO Y NO
YA TRACKABLE. ERNESTO AHORA CONSISTE EN UNA AMPLIA ÁREA DE BAJA
PRESIÓN SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO. FUERTES LLUVIAS ASOCIADAS CON EL
RESTOS DE ERNESTO CONTINUARÁ DURANTE EL SIGUIENTE DÍA O DOS.
ESTAS LLUVIAS PROBABLEMENTE PRODUCIRÁ INUNDACIONES EN GRAN PARTE DE FLASH
SUR DE MÉXICO.

SE ESPERA QUE LOS RESTOS DE ERNESTO JUGADA FRENTE A MÉXICO EN LA
PACÍFICO ORIENTAL CON EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLÓN TROPICAL. SI
ESTE ES EL CASO…ADQUIRIRÁ UN NUEVO NÚMERO DE DEPRESIÓN…O A
NUEVO NOMBRE SI SE CONVIERTE EN UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL.

ESTE ES EL ÚLTIMO AVISO EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES DE
ERNESTO.

POSICIONES DE PREVISIÓN Y VIENTOS DE MAX

INIT 10/1500Z 18.0N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH
12 H 11/0000Z…SE DISIPÓ

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

CNN: Tropical Storm Ernesto expected to become a hurricane

CANCUN, Mexico Aug 7, 5:27 PM EDT (AP) — Hundreds of tourists evacuated beach resorts along Mexico’s Caribbean coast as Hurricane Ernesto headed toward a Tuesday night landfall near Mexico’s border with Belize, bringing the threat of powerful winds and torrential rains. More here

NHC_DrRickKnabb: Ham radio operators indicate storm surge flooding more than 2 ft on Ambergris Care Island, Belize.

NHC_DrRickKnabb: Operadores de radio de jamón indican marejada inundaciones de más de 2 pies en la isla de Ambergris cuidado, Belize.

(Photo: latribuna.hn)
At least 155 people were affected by the hurricane “Ernesto”, in Guatemala
(Click photo for source)

Guatemala:

The National Coordinator for disaster reduction (Conred) explained in a statement that the rains affected 155 people in El Rastro and Ixobel neighborhoods and in the colonies the miracle and Santa Fe, in the municipality of Poptún, in the Northern Department of Petén.

La Coordinadora Nacional para la reducción de desastres (Conred) explicó en un comunicado que las lluvias afectaban a 155 personas en El Rastro y Ixobel barrios y en las colonias el milagro y Santa Fe, en el municipio de Poptún, en el Departamento de norte de Petén

–  latribuna.hn

Aug 10 (Reuters) – The death toll attributed to the storm Ernesto rose to six on Friday although it continued to weaken as it passed through Mexico’s eastern Veracruz state. – Alert Net

#CARLOTTA NOW A REMNANT LOW OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF #MEXICO, LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS – CARLOTTA AHORA UN REMANENTE DE BAJA SOBRE EL TERRENO DE ALTA DE MEXICO, LIFE-INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS POSIBLE por varios días más(NHCAdv13) – Updated 17 June 2012 1930 GMT/UTC

�E�E�E�
�E�E�E�

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Tropical Storm CARLOTTA Coastal Watches/Warnings
and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

 

(Image:smn.cna.gob.mx)
Acapulco Radar
(Click image for animation/source)

American Red Cross hurricane preparedness page

Preparaci�E��E��E� para hurc�E�E�E�n�E�E�E�Cruz Roja Americana (Spanish-language version)

Hurricane and severe weather checklist for boaters

Warning: Hurricane #Carlotta eye next to #PuertoAngel, #Mexico NOAA Image:�E��E� 1745 Mexico Time

Acercamiento imagen satel #Carlotta a las 17:45 notar cercanía ojo a Puerto Ángel vía ssd.noaa.gov

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 170234
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032012
800 PM PDT SAT JUN 16 2012

CARLOTTA NOW A REMNANT LOW OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO…
…LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS

SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…18.1N 100.3W
ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM ENE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…25 MPH…35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 PM PDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH…
LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST.  THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H…AND IT SHOULD CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION
UNTIL IT DISSIPATES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH…35 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL…CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES…100 TO 200 MM…THROUGH MONDAY
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES…375 MM…ARE POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON MARINE
CONDITIONS RELATED TO THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE…UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF
MEXICO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ABOUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND INLAND
FLOODING.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

000
WTPZ33 TJSJ 170234
TCPEP3

BOLETÍN
DESPUÉS DE CICLONES TROPICALES CARLOTTA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 13
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP032012
800 AM PST SAT 16 de junio 2012

AHORA … CARLOTTA UN REMANENTE DE BAJA SOBRE EL TERRENO DE ALTA DE MEXICO …
… PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS permitido a varias
MÁS DÍAS …

RESUMEN DE LAS 800 PM PDT … 0300 UTC … INFORMACIÓN
———————————————-
UBICACIÓN 18.1N 100.3W …
ACERCA DE MI 90 … 145 KM DE ENE ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS … 25 MPH … 35 KM / H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL … ESE O 295 GRADOS A 5 MPH … 7 KM / H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL … 1006 MB … 29.71 PULGADAS

RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——————–
No hay relojes costeras o los avisos vigentes.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
——————————
A LAS 800 PM PDT … 0300 UTC … EL CENTRO DE POST-DE CICLONES TROPICALES
CARLOTTA ESTABA LOCALIZADO SOBRE TIERRA MÉXICO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 18.1 NORTE …
LONGITUD 100.3 OESTE. LA BAJA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE
CERCA DE 5 MPH … 7 KM / H. .. y debe continuar ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL
Hasta que se disipa.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 25 MPH … 35 KM / H. .. CON MAYOR
RAFAGAS. LA BAJA RESTO SE espera que se disipe EL DOMINGO.

LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 1006 MB … 29.71 PULGADAS.

RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
LLUVIA … CARLOTTA SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA TOTALES DE LLUVIA
ACUMULACIONES DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS … 100 a 200 mm … HASTA EL LUNES
Partes del sur de MEXICO. CANTIDADES AISLADAS TOTALES DE LA TORMENTA
15 PULGADAS … 375 mm … SON POSIBLES. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN CAUSAR
PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS.

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
————-
ESTA ES LA ULTIMA ADVERTENCIA EMITIDA POR EL HURACÁN NACIONAL
CENTRO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA OBTENER MÁS INFORMACIÓN SOBRE EL MAR
Condiciones relacionadas con el REMANENTE DE BAJA POR FAVOR VER EN ALTA MAR
PREVISIONES EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA … bajo AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI Y ENCABEZADO WMO FZPN01 KWBC.

CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR EL SERVICIO METEOROLOGICO DE
MÉXICO PARA OBTENER INFORMACIÓN ADICIONAL ACERCA DE LLUVIA INTENSA Y en el interior
INUNDACIONES.

$ $
PRONOSTICADOR BERG

COMISIÓN NACIONAL DEL AGUASERVICIO METEOROLÓGICO NACIONAL DE MÉXICO

 

   
  Aviso de difusión inmediata deCiclón Tropical del Océano Pacífico

 

   
  México, D.F. a 16 de junio de 2012Aviso No. 22

Emisión:  22:00 horas

 
       
 

El Servicio Meteorológico Nacional dependiente de la CONAGUA (fuente oficial del Gobierno de

México) en el marco del Sistema Nacional de Protección Civil, informa:

 

 

SECCIÓN A. CONDICIONES ACTUALES

CICLÓN TROPICAL

REMANENTES DE LA DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL �gCARLOTTA�h

SITUACIÓN ACTUAL

�gCARLOTTA�h COMIENZA A DISIPARSE SOBRE LA ZONA MONTAÑOSA DEL OCCIDENTE DE GUERRERO

ZONA DE ALERTA

INDICE DE PELIGROSIDAD

 MODERADO

HORA LOCAL (HORA GMT)

22:00 HORAS LOCAL (03 GMT DEL DÍA 17)

UBICACIÓN DEL CENTRO DEL CICLÓN

COORDENADAS: 18.1�� LAT. NORTE

100.3�� LONG. OESTE

DISTANCIA AL LUGAR MÁS CERCANO

EN TIERRA, A 25 km AL SUR DE ARCELIA, GRO.

DESPLAZAMIENTO ACTUAL

HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE (295��) A 7 km/h

VIENTOS MÁXIMOS

SOSTENIDOS: 35 km/h

RACHAS: 55 km/h

PRESIÓN MÍNIMA CENTRAL

1006 hPa

DIAMETRO DEL OJO

DIAMETRO DE FUERTE CONVECCIÓN

CON IMAGEN INFRAROJA: SE OBSERVA NUBOSIDAD DESORGANIZADA QUE CUBRE EL SUR, CENTRO Y OCCIDENTE DEL PAIS

COMENTARIOS ADICIONALES

LA DEPRESIÓN TROPICAL �gCARLOTTA�h A COMENZADO A DISPARSE SOBRE EL OCCIDENTE DE GUERRERO, Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE COMO BAJA PRESION REMANENTE DURANTE EL DIA DE MAÑANA EN ESTA REGION.AÚN ORIGINA NUBLADOS DISORGANIZADOS QUE CUBREN LOS ESTADOS DE JALISCO, COLIMA, MICHOACAN, GUERRERO, OAXACA, CHIAPAS, VERACRUZ, PUEBLA, TLAXCALA, HIDALGO, QUERÉTARO, GUANAJUATO, MÉXICO, DISTRITO FEDERAL Y MORELOS, GENERANDO LLUVIAS. LAS CUALES PUEDEN SER FUERTES A INTENSAS CON TORMENTAS ELÉCTRICAS, PRINCIPALMENTE EN OAXACA, GUERRERO Y MICHOACÁN. SE RECOMIENDA EXTREMAR PRECAUCIONES POR INUNDACIONES Y DESLAVES DE TERRENO.

ELABORÓ: MARTÍN TÉLLEZ SAUCEDO

REVISÓ: RAÚL RIVERA PALACIOS.

EL SIGUIENTE AVISO DE DIFUSIÓN INMEDIATA SE EMITIRÁ:

POR SUS CONDICIONES DE DEBILITAMIENTO ESTE ES EL ÚLTIMO AVISO DE �gCARLOTTA�h. A PARTIR DE ESTE MOMENTO SE RECOMIENDA CONSULTAR LOS DIFERENTES BOLETINES EMITIDOS POR EL SMN.
 

Press Coverage:

OAXACA, Mexico, June 16, 2012 (AFP) – Two girls were killed when their house collapsed in southwestern Mexico in a mudslide under heavy rains unleashed by Hurricane Carlotta, local officials said Saturday.

The two sisters — aged seven and 13 — died in Oaxaca, after Carlotta made landfall late Friday as a category one storm on the five-point Saffir-Simpson scale, the state institute of Civil Protection said.

FULL STORY HERE

OAXACA, México, junio 16, 2012 (AFP) – Dos niñas murieron cuando su casa se derrumbó en el suroeste de México en un alud de lodo en las fuertes lluvias desencadenadas por el huracán Carlotta, dijeron funcionarios locales el sábado.

Las dos hermanas – de siete años y 13 – murió en Oaxaca, después de Carlotta tocó tierra la noche del viernes como una tormenta de categoría uno en la de cinco puntos de Saffir-Simpson, del Instituto Estatal de Protección Civil, dijo.

NOTICIA COMPLETA AQUI