BERMUDA: Tropical Storm JERRY 23/1800Z 28.3N 68.2W, moving NNW ~5.9kt. Wind 65mph. 991mb (NHC FL) – Updated 23 Sep 2019 1853Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm JERRY

……JERRY BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED……

….the center of Jerry is expected to pass near
Bermuda by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FL

144342_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

 

 

 

701
WTNT35 KNHC 231751
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019
200 PM AST Mon Sep 23 2019

…JERRY BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED…
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…28.3N 68.2W
ABOUT 345 MI…550 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB…29.27 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 68.2 West. Jerry is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion should continue today. A turn to the north is
expected tonight followed by a turn to the northeast on Tuesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near
Bermuda by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at http://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by late
Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Jerry is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rainfall
across Bermuda through Wednesday.

SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to increase along
the coast of Bermuda, and they will continue to affect the island
during the next few days. Swells will affect portions of the
northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico for another day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

BWS – Tropical Update Bulletin

TROPICAL STORM JERRY

IS A THREAT TO BERMUDA

Advisory #25A,
3 pm Mon, Sep 23, 2019 (1800 UTC Mon, Sep 23, 2019)
Refresh browser for latest image
KEY: Blue = 34-50 kts, Yellow = 50-64 kts, and Red = 64 kts and greater
Diagonal shading indicates fringe winds (34kts or greater surrounding the storm’s core)
Closest point of approach to Bermuda within 72 hrs (3 days) is forecast to be 54 nm to the NW, 6 am Wed, Sep 25, 2019. However, this system may move closer to Bermuda after this time period depending upon its track.
Current Position: 28.3N 68.2W approx. 298 nm SSW of Bermuda
Recent Movement: NNW or 330 degrees at 6 kt
Central Pressure: 991 mb / 29.26 in
Max Winds: 55kt gusts 65kt
BWS Tropical Update Bulletins (TUBs), in line with NHC updates, are normally issued every 6 hours (03, 09, 15, and 21 UTC). When a tropical watch or warning is in effect for Bermuda, intermediate TUBs are issued at 3-hour intervals between the regular TUBs (06, 12, 18, and 00 UTC). Additionally, TUBs may be issued at any time due to significant changes in warnings or in the cyclone.

xxxx


TROPICAL STORM RISK
University College London, UK

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2019 15:00 GMT

 

Tropical Storm JERRY is currently located near 28.1 N 68.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). JERRY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

 

Current probability of tropical storm winds

 

Current probability of Cat 1 (US scale) or above winds

 

Other

Hurricane/Typhoon/Cyclone Alerts

Not recent

 

(Image: @RoshinRowjee)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WTNT25 KNHC 231440
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019
1500 UTC MON SEP 23 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 68.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT…….110NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 68.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 67.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.2N 68.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT…120NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.4N 68.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…130NE 150SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.8N 67.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…140NE 140SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 33.3N 65.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 35.8N 58.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…150NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 53.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.1N 68.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5…AT 23/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Bermuda Marine Forecast

This forecast covers an area out to 25 nautical miles from the coastline
Issued at 12:30 pm – Monday, September 23, 2019
The next scheduled update will be issued at 4:30 pm

Marine Synopsis –

Tropical Storm Jerry, a threat to Bermuda, is expected to bring tropical storm force winds with possible hurricane force gusts to Bermuda from Tuesday evening. Ahead of Jerry, expect easterly winds to increase, clouds to thicken and rain with embedded showers as of this evening and isolated thunderstorms. Seas become rough to very rough and dangerous through Wednesday.

Today –

Winds east-southeasterly 15 to 20 knots…  Developing showers with fair to poor visibility… Seas increasing, inside the reef 1 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 5 to 8 ft…  Sunrise: 7:07 am.

Tonight –

Winds southeasterly 15 to 20 knots…  Widespread rain with embedded showers and risk of thunderstorms; fair to poor visibility… Seas increasing, inside the reef 2 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 6 to 10 ft…  Sunset: 7:14 pm.

Tuesday –

Winds south-southeasterly 20 to 30 knots, veering southerly by afternoon, increasing south-southwesterly 25 to 35 gusts to 45 knots in the evening, increasing 35 to 45 knots gusts 55 knots, possibly 65 knots in elevated and exposed areas overnight…  Showers and rain with fair to poor visibility, isolated thunderstorms with very poor visibility… Seas inside the reef 2 to 5 ft… Outside the reef 10 to 15 ft, increasing during the night inside the reef 3 to 6 ft… Outside the reef 15 to 20 ft…  Sunrise: 7:08 am; Sunset: 7:13 pm.

Wednesday –

Winds westerly 25 to 35 knots gusts to 45 knots, easing northwesterly 15 to 20 knots by afternoon, then 10 to 15 knots by evening, tending northerly overnight…  Scattered showers with fair to poor visibility easing towards evening… Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 ft… Outside the reef 15 to 8 ft, decreasing…  Sunrise: 7:09 am; Sunset: 7:12 pm.

Thursday –

Winds northerly 8 to 12 knots, easing north-northeasterly 5 to 10 knots overnight…  Seas inside the reef 1 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 6 to 9 ft, decreasing…  Sunrise: 7:09 am; Sunset: 7:10 pm.

Friday –

Winds northeasterly 5 to 10 knots…  Seas inside the reef 1 to 3 ft… Outside the reef 4 to 7 ft…  Sunrise: 7:10 am; Sunset: 7:09 pm.


Tides at St George’s (for Great Sound tides, add 10 minutes):
High: 4:32 pm this afternoon: 1.1m/3.6ft, 4:59 am Tuesday: 1m/3.3ft
Low: 11:02 pm tonight: 0.5m/1.6ft, 11:06 am Tuesday: 0.4m/1.3ft
Sea Surface Temperature: 28.5°C/83.3°F
Meteorologist: Gary Hall, Observer: Dana Masters


===========================================================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

 

 

Bahamas: Fire breaks out on Royal Caribbean cruise ship carrying 2,200+ passengers and 796 crew, all safe and accounted for – 280513 1205z

Fire breaks out on Royal Caribbean cruise ship carrying over 2,000 passengers

(Video credit: Oscars2013)

Published on 27 May 2013

Terror on the high seas: Devastating fire breaks out on Royal Caribbean cruise ship carrying over 2,000 passengers.A fire broke out aboard a Royal Caribbean ship on Monday morning but was extinguished about two hours later with no injuries reported The Grandeur of the Seas, which left Baltimore on Friday, never lost power and was able to sail into port in Freeport, Bahamas, on Monday afternoon The company said the more than 2,200 passengers will be flown from the Bahamas back to Baltimore where the trip began Royal Caribbean said all guests and 796 crew were safe and accounted for

A huge fire broke out on a Royal Caribbean cruise ship last night forcing the two thousand passengers to abandon their rooms on board and prepare to get into life boats.

The Grandeur of the Seas was forced to return to port this morning after the rear of the ship caught fire sending smoke into several hallways and keeping several passengers in assembly stations for over four hours.

Monday afternoon Royal Caribbean made the startling announcement that that they were reversing a prior decision and cancelling the Grandeur of the Seas cruise when it was determined it could no longer safely take passengers to the Bahamas, its intended destination.

Passenger Bang Warren was one of those passengers who had to evacuate her room as a warning horn blared over the sound system.

She described the scene chaotic to The Baltimore Sun, saying, ‘A lot of people were passing out with fear.’

Bang also said she saw crew members distributing oxygen masks and life vests. She also says that, ‘I know some children were vomiting.’

Photos of the ship emerged on social media showing that the entire rear of the ship was charred and destroyed.

Royal Caribbean announced that the 2,224 passengers would be receiving a full refund and a gift certificate from the company.

Another passenger, Danielle Miller, 23, said that she was sound asleep and was unaware of anything untoward until the ship’s intercom asked passengers to put life jackets on.

‘My first thought was that we were sinking,’ said Danielle of her terror.

‘I opened the door and just see people running around with life jackets on and we were being yelled at to get our life jackets on and run up to a deck that was two floors above us,’ she told ABC News.

‘But we didn’t know what was going on because when we were going to bed it was really stormy, so we honestly thought the boat might have been sinking. And we were just panicking and running upstairs.

‘And we didn’t know for about a half hour that there was a fire two decks below where we were at.’

Miller revealed she was so nervous as the fire raged that her hands were shaking and her heart was pounding.

‘A couple people fainted. People were throwing up, crying. Just anxiety attacks everywhere. I was just telling my roommate stay calm,’ she said.

Fire breaks out on Royal Carribean cruise ship

(Video credit: CNN)

Published on 27 May 2013

A Royal Caribbean cruise ship bound for the Bahamas catches fire. CNN’s Erin McPike reports.

Flights being set up for passengers after cruise ship fire

(Video credit: Hollywood2NYIsback)

Published on 28 May 2013

A fire that broke out aboard a Royal Caribbean ship Monday did enough damage that the rest of the cruise was canceled and the company said the more than 2,200 passengers will be flown from the Bahamas back to Baltimore where the trip began.
The fire that began at 2:50 a.m. Monday was extinguished about two hours later with no injuries reported. A cause wasn’t immediately known. The Grandeur of the Seas, which left Baltimore on Friday, never lost power and was able to sail into port in Freeport, Bahamas, Monday afternoon. It had been planned to be a seven-night cruise.
Royal Caribbean said on its website and through social media that executives met with passengers in port and that the cruise line is arranging flights for all 2,224 guests on Tuesday. It said passengers will receive a full refund of their fare and a certificate for a future cruise.

Passenger: Crew ‘Spectacularly Calm’ During Fire

(Video credit: AssociatedPress)

Published on 28 May 2013

Cruise ship passenger Mark J. Ormesher is praising the conduct of the crew, after the fire on board the Royal Caribbean Grandeur of the Seas cruise ship. 2,200 passengers are being flown back to the US, after a fire on board the ship. (May 28)

Carnival Dream cruise cancelled after technical problems

Wales Air Forum

Carnival Dream cruise cancelled after technical problemsPassengers on Carnival Dream have been flown home after the remainder of the sailing was cancelled over a fault with its backup emergency generator, only one month after guests onboard its sister ship were stranded for five days.

The cruise line has also cancelled the ship’s next voyage, which was due to depart on March 16, after a malfunction occurred during scheduled testing of the ship’s emergency diesel generator while it was docked in St Maarten on the final leg of the seven-day trip

Carnival Dream passenger Gregg Stark described “human waste” sloshing onto the floors of some of the ships bathrooms, and elevators not working, according to the Daily Mail.

However, a Carnival spokesman has said that only one public restroom was taken offline for cleaning because of overflowing toilets, and there was just one request for a guest cabin bathroom to be cleaned.

Carnival has said that the ship, based in Port Canaveral in Florida…

View original post 239 more words

Boudicca: Heart attack woman winched off norovirus luxury cruise ship by rescue helicopter

(Photo: Ian Boyle http://www.simplonpc.o.uk)
(Click on photo to visit source website)

“A vomiting bug struck down 170 passengers on a luxury cruise liner.

The suspected norovirus outbreak hit the Boudicca during a 13-night trip to the Canary Islands.

The ship, carrying around 800 passengers and 300 crew, was greeted by NHS staff and ambulance crews yesterday when it docked in Greenock.

One passenger said: We started calling the ship HMS Holby City.

There were two nurses wandering around all the time visiting people, most of them elderly.

Half the facilities were shut down and we were even told not to swap quiz sheets to stop the bug spreading.

Passengers were offered £150 discounts on their next cruise. We dont know anyone who accepted.

People had spent up to £2000 on the cruise and their holidays have been ruined.

The 53-year-old woman said a woman in her 80s, who suffered a heart attack, was winched off by a helicopter rescue crew after a stop in Madeira.”- Daily Record

Full story here:
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/2012/05/21/nurses-sent-on-board-cruise-ship-hit-by-norovirus-when-it-docks-at-greenock-86908-23867526/

“Daily Mail says the ship was greeted by National Health Service (NHS) staff and ambulance crews Sunday in Greenock, Scotland, where it concluded a Canary Islands and Portugal cruise.

Boudicca underwent an intensive fumigation Sunday before embarking on its next scheduled voyage (a 21-night Adriatic cruise) 90 minutes later than scheduled. The deep cleaning was overseen by local health authorities, including Greater Glasgow and Clyde NHS.

In a statement, Fred. Olsen spokeswoman Rachael Jackson told Cruise Critic that no more than 35 people were “in isolation at any one time.” “- Dan Askin, Senior Editor, cruisecritic.co.uk

(Photo: Ian Boyle http://www.simplonpc.o.uk)
(Click on photo to visit source website)

A little background material on the Boudicca

Boudicca is a ship with an illustrious lineage. It began life as Royal Viking Sky, one of the legendary “white ships” owned by Royal Viking Line. That late, lamented cruise line was, in its day, the epitome of elegant and luxurious cruising.

After a varied career operating for NCL, Princess Cruises and Star Cruises (among other lines), Boudicca has found an appropriate berth with Fred. Olsen Cruise Lines, which already operates its sister ship, the former Royal Viking Star, as the popular Black Watch.

Boudicca was “stretched” in the early 80’s with the addition of a 91-foot midsection, and while the ship retains a classic profile, it has gained a considerable amount of open-air sunbathing space on the top deck. Boudicca was acquired by Fred. Olsen in 2005, and in 2006, it underwent a refit to bring it in line with the fleet’s understated, old-world style. In January 2011, the ship went into dry dock once more for a refit that moved the windowless gym up to Deck 10, which made space on Deck 4 for 17 new inside cabins. A retail outlet, the Port Shop, was added; carpets were also replaced throughout the ship, and enclosed lifeboats were installed.

Boudicca is decked out — as an aging grande dame should be — in good quality, discreetly stylish fabrics, although some of the colour schemes are a little dated. But no matter; the ship is well-proportioned and devoid of cheap flashiness and surface glitz, which are the most important things to its target audience of 60-plus Brits.

Ultimately, Boudicca, like other Fred. Olsen ships, is becoming known for its classically British feel. It attracts a different type of traveller from P&O Cruises — the kind of steadfast Brit who “wouldn’t be seen dead” on a big ship and has no interest in casinos or balcony cabins. (The ship does, in fact, offer both.) Although Boudicca is showing her age, these cruises are a treat for travellers who enjoy small, classic ships in a proper and cosy British setting. – Sue Bryant cruisecritic.co.uk

Panama: Star Princess Captain to face Criminal Investigation for alleged Homicide & Failure to Rescue young fishermen in distress

Panama has decided to proceed with a criminal investigation into the conduct of the Master of the Princess Cruises cruise ship Star Princess, for failing to assist three young Panamanian men who were adrift 100 miles out to sea aboard the Panamanian fishing boat Fifty Cents.

More here: http://www.cruiselawnews.com/2012/04/articles/crime/panama-opens-criminal-investigation-into-princess-cruises-captain-perrin-to-face-homicide-failure-to-rescue-inquiries/