United States: Tropical Depression NATE 08/1500Z nr 33.1N 87.3W, moving NNE 24mph/21kt 996mb NHC FL – Updated 08 Oct 2017 1800z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression NATE

HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND AS NATE BECOMES A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION…
…FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER- NHC

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

National Hurricane Center (FL)

095409_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

095409_earliest_reasonable_toa_34

095409wpcqpf_sm1

 

rb_lalo-animated4

natloop_small

000
WTNT31 KNHC 081449
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Nate Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 08 2017

…HEAVY RAINFALL SPREADING INLAND AS NATE BECOMES A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION…
…FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER…

 

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…33.1N 87.3W
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM SW OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 24 MPH…39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…996 MB…29.42 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal warnings have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nate
was located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 87.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 24 mph (39
km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward
speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, Nate’s center will continue to move inland across the Deep
South, Tennessee Valley, and central Appalachian Mountains through
Monday.

Surface observations indicate that the maximum sustained winds have
decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change
in strength is predicted during the next couple of days, but Nate
is forecast to become post-tropical on Monday or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are expected over the
the Florida Panhandle, and portions of Alabama and Georgia through
this afternoon.

STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along portions of the
northern Gulf coast, but should gradually subside this afternoon.

RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Monday:

East of the Mississippi River from the central Gulf Coast into the
Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians:
3 to 6 inches, max 10 inches.

Across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians:
2 to 5 inches, max 7 inches.

TORNADOES: A couple tornadoes will be possible today, mainly from
the Florida Panhandle and eastern Alabama across western and
northern Georgia into the western Carolinas.

SURF: Swells generated by Nate will affect land areas around the
Gulf of Mexico through this evening. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Future information on this system can be
found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header
WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Brown

LOCAL STATEMENTS

Issuing WFO Homepage Local Impacts Local Statement
Jackson, MS Threats and Impacts 451 AM CDT Sun Oct 8
New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA Threats and Impacts 722 AM CDT Sun Oct 8
Atlanta, GA Threats and Impacts 1108 AM EDT Sun Oct 8
Tallahassee, FL Threats and Impacts 1117 AM EDT Sun Oct 8 2017 /1017 AM CDT Sun Oct 8
Huntsville, AL Threats and Impacts 1022 AM CDT Sun Oct 8
Birmingham, AL Threats and Impacts 1022 AM CDT Sun Oct 8
Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL Threats and Impacts 1029 AM CDT Sun Oct 8

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression NATE is currently located near 33.1 N 87.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). NATE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

201716n4

201716n_04

Other

 

at201716_5day4

at201716_sat4

 

 

(Above 2 images: @wunderground)

Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Southwest Caribbean

Tropical Storm Nate May Hit Mexico and U.S. Gulf Coast as a Strengthening Hurricane

Strengthening Nate Heads into the Gulf and Toward a Saturday Night Landfall

Nate Sweeps Across U.S. Gulf Coast

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 

WTNT21 KNHC 081448
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162017
1500 UTC SUN OCT 08 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

ALL COASTAL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 87.3W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 87.3W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 88.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 36.2N 85.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.1N 79.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 43.1N 72.8W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N 65.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z…ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 87.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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Canada/ US/ Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Storm MARIA 28/1500Z Update from NHC and others -Updated 28 Sep 2017 1717z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm MARIA

MARIA BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES – NHC

 

(Please check comments at bottom of page for updates)

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

145714_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind

rb_lalo-animated12

145714_earliest_reasonable_toa_34

 

natloop4

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Maria Advisory Number 50
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 28 2017

…MARIA BEGINNING TO ACCELERATE AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES…

 

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…36.8N 69.3W
ABOUT 365 MI…585 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 400 MI…650 KM NW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…E OR 85 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…982 MB…29.00 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Maria was
located near latitude 36.8 North, longitude 69.3 West. Maria is
moving toward the east near 13 mph (20 km/h), and the storm is
expected to accelerate eastward through tonight. A turn back toward
the east-northeast with an additional increase in forward speed is
expected on Friday. On the forecast track, Maria will continue to
move away from the U.S. east coast and pass well to the south of
Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight weakening is possible during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting much of the east
coast of the United States, Atlantic Canada, and Bermuda. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office
for more information.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

NNNN

LOCAL STATEMENTS

None

favicon-mobileCANADA

track

Tropical Cyclone Information Statements

 

8:37 AM ADT Thursday 28 September 2017
Tropical cyclone information statement for:

Newfoundland and Labrador:

  • Avalon Peninsula Southeast

For Tropical Storm Maria.

The next information statement will be issued by 3:30 P.M. NDT.

Tropical Storm Maria currently east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. Will accelerate eastward over next few days and track well offshore of Atlantic Canada.

1. Summary of basic information at 9.30 A.M. NDT.

Location: 36.7 north 69.8 west.

about 560 kilometres southeast of New York City.

Maximum sustained winds: 110 km/hour.

Present movement: east-northeast at 13 km/h.

Minimum central pressure: 982 mb.

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

Maria is expected to track well offshore and not have any direct weather impacts on Canadian land areas. Periods of heavy rain are expected over parts of Atlantic Canada today from an unrelated frontal system approaching from the northwest.

a. Wind.

No direct wind impacts are expected over land from Maria as the strongest winds from the storm are expected to remain well offshore.

b. Rainfall.

Rain directly associated with Maria is expected to remain well offshore. However, moisture from the storm may feed into a cold front crossing Atlantic Canada today. This will enhance rainfall amounts along the front as it moves southward. The maximum level of enhancement may be over the southern Avalon Peninsula where a heavy rainfall warning is in effect. Once again, indirectly related to Maria.

c. Surge/waves.

There will be some ocean swells along the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia today and tomorrow with waves breaking at times above 2 metres. Swells near 2 metres along the southern coast of Newfoundland will persist for a few days. These swells may build to 3-4 metres along the southern Avalon beginning tonight. Dangerous rip currents are also possible and the public should exercise caution until swells subside.

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

Maria could bring gales to the southern Grand Banks marine areas during its closest approach on Saturday. Seas (mostly swells) may build up to 5 metres over that area late Friday from a combination of both Maria and Hurricane Lee which is farther southeast.

Forecaster: Fogarty/March

Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada.

For more comprehensive information about track tables and forecast rationale, please see the Technical Discussion

Visit the Canadian Hurricane Centre to learn more about hurricanes.

 

 

 

Other

at201715

at201715_sat1

 

 

(Above 2 images: @wunderground)

Category 5 Hurricane Maria Hits Dominica

Maria Headed for Catastrophic Hit on Puerto Rico, St. Croix

Maria Slams St. Croix, Rips Across Puerto Rico

Maria Back Over Water After Devastating Hit to Puerto Rico

More Havoc as Category 3 Maria Plows Northward

Maria’s Forecast Path Edging Closer to Outer Banks

Coastal North Carolina Prepares for Outer Effects of Hurricane Maria

A Brush From Maria: Winds and Storm Surge Rising in North Carolina

Maria Pulling Away From North Carolina; Lee a Major Hurricane

Maria and Lee On the Way Out; New Tropical Depression Possible near Florida

750px-caribbean_general_map

MARITIME/SHIPPING

graphicast_at_latest_sm33

WTNT25 KNHC 281448
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017
1500 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 69.3W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT…….180NE 210SE 160SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 240SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 69.3W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 70.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.9N 66.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 70SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT…160NE 200SE 170SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 37.4N 62.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT…150NE 200SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 38.8N 56.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT…140NE 200SE 190SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 41.3N 48.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 80SE 80SW 0NW.
34 KT…130NE 230SE 220SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 47.9N 31.2W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N 69.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Note: See above for 27/1800Z NHC update

CANADA

canadamapwarningstatus_e

For more detail visit: http://weather.gc.ca/marine/index_e.html

 

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

United States: Tropical Storm IRMA 11/2100Z Update from NHC and others – Updated 11 Sep 2017 2145z (GMT/UTC)

TROPICAL STORM IRMA

IRMA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WHILE MOVING OVER SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA – NHC

⚠️

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* North of Fernandina Beach to the South Santee River
* North of Clearwater Beach to the Aucilla River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North of Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River

(Please check comments at bottom of page for updates)

National Hurricane Center (FL)

SPECIAL EMERGENCY MESSAGE FROM NWS

152552_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind TS IRMA Adv 51

 

152552_earliest_reasonable_toa_34 51

activity_looprb_lalo-animated2

southeast_loop

Robins Air Force Base, GA Radar

Wind Probs  

(Please check comments at bottom of page for updates)

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Irma Advisory Number 51
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…IRMA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WHILE MOVING OVER SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA…

 

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…31.5N 84.0W
ABOUT 10 MI…15 KM E OF ALBANY GEORGIA
ABOUT 150 MI…240 KM S OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warnings from Fernandina Beach southward, from
the Aucilla River westward, and from Clearwater Beach southward,
including Tampa Bay, have been discontinued.

The Tropical Storm Warning from the Flagler/Volusia County line to
Altamaha Sound is discontinued.

The Tropical Storm Warning from north of the Suwannee River to the
Okaloosa/Walton County line is discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* North of Fernandina Beach to the South Santee River
* North of Clearwater Beach to the Aucilla River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North of Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

Interests elsewhere in the southeastern United States should monitor
the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irma was
located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 84.0 West. Irma is
moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a
turn toward the northwest is expected by Tuesday morning. On the
forecast track, the center of Irma will continue to move over
southwestern Georgia tonight and move into Alabama on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Irma is likely
to become a tropical depression on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

North of Clearwater Beach to Aucilla River…4 t 6 ft
West of Aucilla River to Ochlockonee River…1 to 3 ft
Clearwater Beach to Bonita Beach including Tampa Bay…1 to 3 ft

South Santee River to North of Fernandina Beach…4 to 6 ft
Fernandina Beach to Flagler/Volusia County line, including the St.
Johns River…1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
warning area into tonight.

Rainfall: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Wednesday:

South Carolina and north-central Georgia and Alabama into the
southern Appalachians…3 to 6 inches with isolated 10 inches.
Northern Mississippi and southern portions of Tennessee and North
Carolina…2 to 4 inches.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight along the South
Carolina coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeast coast of
the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NNNN

LOCAL STATEMENTS

Issuing WFO Homepage Local Impacts Local Statement
Miami, FL Threats and Impacts 1125 AM EDT Mon Sep 11
Charleston, SC Not currently available 1139 AM EDT Mon Sep 11
Tallahassee, FL Threats and Impacts 1141 AM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017 /1041 AM CDT Mon Sep 11
Atlanta, GA Threats and Impacts 1147 AM EDT Mon Sep 11
Birmingham, AL Threats and Impacts 1124 AM CDT Mon Sep 11
Melbourne, FL Threats and Impacts 233 PM EDT Mon Sep 11
Tampa Bay Area, FL Threats and Impacts 456 PM EDT Mon Sep 11
Jacksonville, FL Threats and Impacts 515 PM EDT Mon Sep 11

============================================================================

TROPICAL STORM RISK (TSR)

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 11 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm IRMA is currently located near 31.5 N 84.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlanta (33.8 N, 84.4 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Montgomery (32.4 N, 86.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Nashville (36.1 N, 86.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 40% within 9 hours
    Louisville (38.4 N, 86.0 W)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 21 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

 

201711N tsr1 irma 11

201711N_0 tsr2 irma 11

=============================================================================

Other

 

at201711_5day ts irma

at201711_sat ts irma

 

The two images above are from @wunderground

Ferocious Irma Pounding Florida, But It Could Have Been Worse

No Rest for the Hurricane-Weary: Jose a Potential East Coast Threat

windy.com – interactive animated wind map

Caribbean_general_map

Caribbean General Map (Image: Kmusser)

=============================================================================

MARITIME/SHIPPING

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 112035

WTNT21 KNHC 112035
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

THE STORM SURGE WARNINGS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD… FROM
THE AUCILLA RIVER WESTWARD… AND FROM CLEARWATER BEACH
SOUTHWARD… INCLUDING TAMPA BAY… HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO
ALTAMAHA SOUND IS DISCONTINUED.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE
OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE IS DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
* NORTH OF CLEARWATER BEACH TO THE AUCILLA RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION… FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE…
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK… PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC… AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IRMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 84.0W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT…….360NE 230SE 150SW 240NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 390SE 390SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 84.0W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 33.1N 85.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…220NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 34.5N 87.3W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 35.8N 88.8W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.0N 88.5W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 84.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

=============================================================================

000
FZNT25 KNHC 112138
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
538 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts…

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS…Tropical Storm Irma near 31.5N 84.0W, 985 mb moving
NNW at 15 kt at 5 PM EDT, and inland over SW Georgia. Maximum
sustained winds 45 kt gusts 55 kt. Irma will continue moving NNW
and and weaken to a depression as it move farther N. A weak
pressure pattern will set up across the Gulf in the wake of Irma
through the remainder of the week. N to NE swell from Irma will
dominate seas across the Gulf through Tue.

.TONIGHT…W to NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt
late in the night. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW to N swell. Slight
chance of showers.
.TUE…SW to W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft,subsiding to
3 to 5 ft late in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT…S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED…S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft early in the morning,
subsiding to 2 ft or less. Isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT…SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.THU…S to SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.THU NIGHT…S winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to E after midnight.
Seas 2 ft or less.
.FRI…E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.FRI NIGHT…NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.SAT…NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
.SAT NIGHT…N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS…Tropical Storm Irma near 31.5N 84.0W, 985 mb moving
NNW at 15 kt at 5 PM EDT, and inland over SW Georgia. Farther E,
Hurricane Jose is near 26.4N 69.2W, 973 mb moving N at 10 kt.
Maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts to 105 kt. Jose is expected
to move to 27.2N 69.0W tonight, to 27.0N 67.7W Tue afternoon, to
26.3N 66.7W Tue night, to 25.3N 66.1W Wed afternoon, to 24.4N
68.6W Thu afternoon, before moving slowly NW thereafter as its
completes this clockwise loop. Swell from Jose will dominate
area waters Tue through Fri.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…

.TONIGHT…SW to W winds 15 to 20 kt S of 27N, and SW 20 to 25 kt
N of 27N. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.TUE…W winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SW to W 15 to 20 kt N of
27N. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.TUE NIGHT…SW winds less than 5 kt S of 27N, and SW to W 10 to
15 kt N of 27N. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.WED…S of 27N,SW to W winds less than 5 kt, shifting to N late
in the afternoon. N of 27N,SW winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to E to
SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Slight chance of showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.WED NIGHT…E to SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU…NE to E winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft in NE swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.FRI…NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
.SAT…N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in NE swell.
.SAT NIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft in NE swell.

=============================================================================

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Puerto Rico/ Dominican Republic/ Caribbean: Tropical Depression FOUR: 07/0900Z nr 15.0N 48.8W, moving WNW 19 kt (NHC FL) – Published 07 Jul 2017 0930Z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression Four

…DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC…

National Hurricane Center (FL)

National Weather Service Enhanced Radar Image
Puerto Rico/Virgin Islands Radar

000
WTNT34 KNHC 070841
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042017
500 AM AST Fri Jul 07 2017

…DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC…

 

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…15.0N 48.8W
ABOUT 835 MI…1340 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 22 MPH…35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1011 MB…29.86 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 48.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, with weakening expected
to begin by late tonight. The depression is forecast to degenerate
into a remnant low or tropical wave by Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

MARITIME/SHIPPING

 

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0841

WTNT24 KNHC 070841
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042017
0900 UTC FRI JUL 07 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 48.8W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 48.8W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 47.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.8N 51.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.1N 55.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.6N 58.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.1N 61.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.8N 67.7W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 48.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

Trinidad and Tobago/ Windward Islands/ Venezuela/ Grenada: Tropical Storm BRET AL02 20/1200Z nr 11.1N 63.6W, moving WNW 18 kt (NHC FL) – Published 20 Jun 2017 1310z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm BRET (AL02)

A Tropical Storm Warning: Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita

National Hurricane Center FL

205017_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind 19

000
WTNT32 KNHC 201132
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bret Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022017
800 AM AST Tue Jun 20 2017

…BRET MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…11.1N 63.6W
ABOUT 20 MI…35 KM ENE OF ISLA MARGARITA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bret was
located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 63.6 West. Bret is
moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through today. On the
forecast track, the center of the tropical storm will continue to
move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea today.

Surface observations from the eastern Caribbean Sea indicate that
the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, and a weakening
trend is expected to begin later today and Bret is forecast to
become a tropical depression on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
primarily to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will occur over portions of the
warning area for the next several hours, but these conditions should
subside later today.

RAINFALL: Bret is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2
to 4 inches over the Windward Islands and the northeastern coast of
Venezuela through today.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

N Atlantic: TSR Storm Alert issued at 20 Jun, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BRET is currently located near 10.6 N 62.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). BRET is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Venezuela
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Trinidad and Tobago
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port of Spain (10.6 N, 61.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Cumana (10.5 N, 64.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Curacao (12.1 N, 69.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Aruba
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
    Colombia
        probability for TS is 35% in about 33 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201702N bret 20

(Image: TSR)

201702N_0 bret 20 zoom

Other

NHC Unveils New Product with Potential Tropical Cyclone in Atlantic (@wunderground)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

graphicast_at_latest_sm3 bret 20

000
AXNT20 KNHC 201146
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
714 AM EDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

The center of Tropical Storm Bret, at 20/1200 UTC, is near 11.1N
63.6W, or about 17 nm to the ENE of La Isla de Margarita of
Venezuela. It is moving WNW westward, 290 degrees, 18 knots. The
maximum wind speeds are 40 kt with gusts to 50 knots. The
minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Convective precipitation:
Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong in the Caribbean
Sea from 10N to 16N between 60W and 68W. Please read the NHC
Potential Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory under AWIPS/WMO
headers MIATCMAT2/WTNT22 KNHC, and the Intermediate Public
Forecast/ Advisory under the AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC for more details.

The center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Three at 20/1200 UTC,
is near 25.4N 90.3W, about 230 nm to the SSW of the mouth of the
Mississippi River. It is moving NW, or 315 degrees, 8 knots. The
maximum wind speeds are 35 knots with gusts to 45 knots. The
minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Convective precipitation:
Scattered moderate to strong is in the waters from 26N to 30N
between 83W and 90W, and from 25N south between 83W and 87W.
Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong covers inland areas
and coastal waters areas from the northern half of Guatemala
into the southern half of the Yucatan Peninsula, including in
the coastal waters of the NE Yucatan Peninsula. Please read the
NHC Forecast/ Advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMAT3/WTNT23
KNHC, and the Intermediate Public Forecast/ Advisory under the
AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPAT3/WTNT33 KNHC for more details.

…TROPICAL WAVES…

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 33W/35W from 12N
southward, moving westward 15 to 20 knots. Convective
precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from
03N to 08N southward between 30W and 40W.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 43W/45W from 12N
southward, moving westward 15 to 20 knots. Convective
precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong, most
probably related to the ITCZ, from 06N to 08N between 40W and
46W.

A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W/71W from 22N
southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. Convective
precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from
20N to 21N between 68W and 70W. Broken to overcast multilayered
clouds and possible rainshowers are elsewhere from 22N southward
between Puerto Rico and 73W.

…MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ…

The Monsoon Trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea-
Bissau near 12N16W, to 08N23W. The ITCZ continues from 08N23W to
06N33W, and 03N43W. Convective precipitation: scattered strong
from 04N to 12N between 12W and 23W. Widely scattered moderate to
isolated strong from 01N to 06N between 25W and 31W.

…DISCUSSION…

…THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A NE-to-SW oriented upper level trough passes through southern
Louisiana, to a 26N94W cyclonic circulation center, to the Mexico
coast near 25N98W and 20N105W in Mexico. Comparatively drier air
in subsidence is apparent in water vapor imagery in much of the
Gulf of Mexico, from 20N northward from 90W westward.

…CURRENT CONDITIONS AND WEATHER, FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL
PLATFORM SITES, FROM 27N NORTHWARD AND FROM 88W WESTWARD…

LIFR: none.

IFR: KGRY and KATP.

MVFR: KVQT, KMDJ, and KMIS.

CURRENT CONDITIONS AND WEATHER, FOR THE COASTAL
PLAINS OF THE U.S.A., FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO FLORIDA…

TEXAS: MVFR in McAllen, and in Huntsville. LOUISIANA: occasional
MVFR and areas of light rain from Patterson eastward to Lake
Pontchartain, and southeastward into the SE corner of the state.
MISSISSIPPI: LIFR in Natchez. light rain and LIFR in Pascagoula.
ALABAMA: MVFR and light rain in parts of the Mobile metropolitan
area. drizzle in Gulf Shores. light rain and LIFR in Fort Rucker
and Dothan. FLORIDA: rain, heavy at times, and LIFR conditions,
from Perry westward. LIFR/IFR around the Tampa/St. Petersburg
metropolitan area.

…THE CARIBBEAN SEA…

Upper level anticyclonic wind flow covers the area that is from
70W westward. Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the rest of
the Caribbean Sea, with a 14N68W Caribbean Sea cyclonic
circulation center. Tropical Storm Bret is set to move into the
SE corner of the Caribbean Sea during the next 24 hours.

The Monsoon Trough extends from 09N74W in Colombia, through
Panama, northwestward through Costa Rica, and beyond, into the
eastern Pacific Ocean. Convective precipitation: isolated moderate
to locally strong is from 15N southward from 77W westward.

24-hour rainfall totals that are listed for the period that ended
at 20/0000 UTC…according to the PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND
PRECIPITATION TABLES…MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC…are 1.06 in
Guadeloupe, and 0.10 in Curacao.

…HISPANIOLA…

Middle level-to-upper level cyclonic wind flow, from an inverted
trough, is moving across the area. Rainshowers and thunder still
are possible across Hispaniola.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS…for Port-au-Prince in Haiti: MVFR. for the
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC: Santo Domingo: VFR. few cumulonimbus clouds.
Punta Cana: rain and thunder. VFR. few cumulonimbus clouds.
Santiago: VFR. Puerto Plata: VFR.

The GFS MODEL forecast for 250 mb shows that day one will consist
of cyclonic wind flow, with the current N-to-S oriented trough.
Expect southerly wind flow during the first half of day two,
followed by anticyclonic wind flow during the second half of day
two. The GFS MODEL forecast for 500 mb shows that day one will
consist of the rest of the inverted trough moving through the area
completely, during day one. Day one will end with SE wind flow
moving across Hispaniola. Expect SE wind flow during day two, with
an E-to-W oriented Atlantic Ocean ridge. The GFS MODEL forecast
for 700 mb shows that day one will consist of SE-to-E wind flow.
Expect cyclonic wind flow with a separate inverted trough, during
day two. Hispaniola will be on the southern side of an E-to-W
oriented Atlantic Ocean ridge.

…THE ATLANTIC OCEAN…

An upper level trough is anchored by a cyclonic circulation
center that is about 770 nm to the NE of Puerto Rico, to a 14N68W
Caribbean Sea cyclonic circulation center. Convective
precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong from
20N to 21N between 68W and 70W. Broken to overcast multilayered
clouds and possible rainshowers are elsewhere from 22N southward
between Puerto Rico and 73W. Rainshowers and thunder still are
possible across Hispaniola.

An upper level trough passes through 32N32W to 21N35W. A cold
front passes through 32N24W to 25N41W and 31N57W. Convective
precipitation: Broken to overcast multilayered clouds and possible
rainshowers cover the area that is from 24N northward between 22W
and 60W, and elsewhere from 20N northward from 60W westward.
Widely scattered moderate is from 29N to 32N between 55W and 58W.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
MT

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Caribbean: Tropical Storm Erika 28/1800Z near 17.7N 70.2W, moving W at 15.6 knots (NHC) – Updated 28 Aug 2015 2035z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm Erika

…ERIKA SPREADING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS INTO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC…NHC

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

173843W5_NL_sm

000
WTNT35 KNHC 281737
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
200 PM AST FRI AUG 28 2015

…ERIKA SPREADING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS INTO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC…
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.7N 70.2W
ABOUT 60 MI…95 KM SW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 305 MI…490 KM SE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for Puerto Rico,
Vieques, and Culebra.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Dominican Republic
* Haiti
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Central Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Northwestern Bahamas
* The Cuban Provinces of Ciego de Avila, Camaguey, Las Tunas,
Holguin, and Guantanamo

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in eastern and central Cuba, as well as the
southern Florida Peninsula and Florida Keys, should monitor the
progress of Erika.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 70.2 West. Erika has
been moving westward near 18 mph (30 km/h) for the past several
hours. A motion toward the west-northwest is expected to being
later this afternoon or tonight and continue through Sunday. On
the forecast track, the center of Erika will move over the Dominican
Republic and Haiti during the next few hours, move near the Turks
and Caicos Islands tonight, and move near the central and
northwestern Bahamas Saturday and Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast this afternoon and tonight as
Erika moves over land, followed by little change in strength through
Saturday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
to the east of the center. Punta Cana at the eastern end of the
Dominican Republic has been reporting wind gusts of 40 mph (64 km/h)
for the past few hours.

The minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft data
and surface observations is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are currently spreading across
portions of the Dominican Republic. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to spread across Haiti this afternoon, the Turks and Caicos
Islands and the southeastern Bahamas later this afternoon and
tonight, and the central Bahamas on Saturday. Tropical storm
conditions are possible in the northwestern Bahamas by Saturday
night.

RAINFALL: Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches possible across
portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the southeastern and central Bahamas through Saturday.
An additional 1 to 2 inches is expected for Puerto Rico. These
rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Local Statements  

TSR N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 17.9 N 71.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

201505N 28

Other Reports
Dr. Jeff Masters’ Blog
By Dr. Jeff Masters, 10:23 AM EDT on August 27, 2015
Director of Meteorology, Weather Underground
Map of the Caribbean by the CIA World Factbook

Map of the Caribbean by the CIA World Factbook

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

graphicast_at_latest_sm2

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1444

WTNT25 KNHC 281444 RRB
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 69.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 68.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 71.4W…INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N 74.5W…OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…130NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N 77.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…120NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 79.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…120NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N 81.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 82.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 82.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

..
FORECASTER BEVEN=

There may be more warnings here:  METAREA IV

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Guadeloupe/ Antigua and Barbuda/ Dominica: Hurricane Danny at 20/1500Z near 12.5N 44.8W, moving WNW at 10 knots (NHC) – Published 20 Aug 2015 2007z (GMT/UTC)

Hurricane Danny

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

National Weather Service144804W5_NL_sm
000
WTNT34 KNHC 201447
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1100 AM AST THU AUG 20 2015

…DANNY STRENGTHENS INTO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2015 ATLANTIC
HURRICANE SEASON…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…12.5N 44.8W
ABOUT 1090 MI…1755 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.30 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Danny
was located by satellite near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 44.8
West. Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during
the next 48 hours.

Danny is a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds only
extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

Graphicast Atlantic

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1446

WTNT24 KNHC 201446
TCMAT4

HURRICANE DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015
1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 44.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT……. 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT……. 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT……. 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 44.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 44.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.1N 46.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT… 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT… 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 14.0N 47.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.7N 49.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 56.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N 61.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 66.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 44.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

There may be more warnings here: METAREA IV

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Caribbean/Lesser Antilles: Tropical Depression Two: 221500Z near 12.6N 48.0W, moving W at 15 knots (NHC FL) – Published 220714 1840z (UTC)

Tropical Depression Two

…DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD..

….INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM..NHC

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center – NHC

000
WTNT32 KNHC 221433
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014
1100 AM AST TUE JUL 22 2014

…DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…12.6N 48.0W
ABOUT 910 MI…1465 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1012 MB…29.89 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH…28 KM/H…AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW…BUT
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB…29.89 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

About The Lesser Antilles

MARITIME

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1431

WTNT22 KNHC 221431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014
1500 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 48.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 48.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 47.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.9N 50.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.3N 53.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N 56.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.8N 60.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 48.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

000
AXNT20 KNHC 221725
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA…CENTRAL
AMERICA…GULF OF MEXICO…CARIBBEAN SEA…NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA…AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY…WEATHER OBSERVATIONS…RADAR…AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

AT 1500 UTC…TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N
48.0W OR ABOUT 750 NM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY EXPECTED
THROUGH WED…BUT SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST WED NIGHT AND THU
DUE TO INCREASED SHEAR. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE
INTO A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WITHIN 2-3 DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 46W-49W. SEE
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT2/WTNT32
KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES IN THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 72W-75W WITH SEAS 10-12 FT. TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT EXPECTED TO PRODUCE GALE CONDITIONS
DURING LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS THROUGH WED…WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY DROPPING BELOW GALE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEE THE
LATEST ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

…TROPICAL WAVES…

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
20N38W TO 12N39W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS DEPICTED ON SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER N OF 14N HINDERING
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM
22N81W TO 10N82W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TOGETHER AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 21N93W TO THE
E PACIFIC AT 8N95W MOVING W AT 15-20 KT. SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WAVE HAVE DIMINISHED PAST 3-6 HOURS.

…ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH…

THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 11N15W TO
5N35W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EAST OF T.D. TWO
EXTENDS FROM 11N35W TO 13N46W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF T.D. TWO
FROM 11N49W TO THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST NEAR 9N61W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 75 NM
S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN E OF 29W.

…DISCUSSION…

GULF OF MEXICO…

A WELL DEFINED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N89W WITH A
1016 MB LOW REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL SOUTH
OF THE LOW FROM 27N TO 28.5N BETWEEN 86W-93W. LIGHT ANTICYCLONIC
SURFACE WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF…AND LIGHT TO
MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOTED ELSEWHERE. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS OVER S FLORIDA…THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA…AND EXTREME SE GULF. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS NOTED OVER
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING
CONVECTION OVER S FLORIDA. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

CARIBBEAN SEA…

15-25 KT TRADE WINDS PREVAIL OVER REMAINDER OF THE BASIN OUTSIDE
WITH STRONGEST WINDS TO GALE FORCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT IN THE REGION THIS MORNING BUT
ACTIVE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE ISLANDS FROM
STRONG DAYTIME HEATING EFFECTS. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER
JAMAICA IS ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…AND HISPANIOLA. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

…HISPANIOLA…

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR JAMAICA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT W TO THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS THROUGH WED. EXPECT ACTIVE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER HISPANIOLA DURING AFTERNOON AND EVENING HEATING MAXIMUM.

ATLANTIC OCEAN…

SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF CUBA W
OF 77W DUE TO HIGH MOISTURE VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE
ALONG 82W AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER LOW CENTERED
NEAR MOBILE ALABAMA. A BROAD RIDGE ALONG 30-31N ANCHORED BY 1026
MB HIGH CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 32N39W PRODUCING
MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER ALL ACROSS THE REGION E OF 77W WITH NOTABLE
EXCEPTION OF SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
T.D. TWO IN THE DEEP TROPICS. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
NEAR 27N65W IS SUPPORTING STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N50W IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
MUNDELL

METAREA4 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 1559

FZNT01 KWBC 221559
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUL 22
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 23
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUL 24

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 42N52W 1008 MB MOVING NE 20 KT. WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW EXCEPT
WITHIN 300 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N40W 1002 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM
E AND 300 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 34N TO 46N BETWEEN 35W AND A LINE FROM 34N52W TO
46N45W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 45N33W 1000 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W
AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF A LINE FROM 33N39W TO 49N37W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N61W 987 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM
S…360 NM N AND 420 NM E QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9
FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW E OF AREA 55N29W 1000 MB MOVING N 10 KT. FROM 47N TO 65N
BETWEEN 35W AND 42W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS E OF AREA.

.N OF 60N BETWEEN 58W AND 62W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 64N60W TO
56N50W AREA OF SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 58N61W DESCRIBED IN
WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N73W 1007 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM AND 480 NM
S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST
WATERS W OF A LINE FROM 53N50W TO 60N60W TO 67N55W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 50N49W TO 55N48W TO
60N57W TO 67N59W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 45N47W TO 55N42W TO
64N62W.

.HIGH 45N58W 1019 MB MOVING S 15 KT WILL TURN E AFTER 24 HOURS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 41N59W 1018 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 39N49W 1021 MB.

.HIGH 31N38W 1026 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH S OF AREA.

.HIGH 39N73W 1023 MB MOVING SE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.FORECASTER KOSIER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 24.

.WARNINGS.

…CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING…
.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 72W AND 75W NE TO E WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN
70W AND 82W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 69W AND 83W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 17N
BETWEEN 75W AND 83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N
BETWEEN 69W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER CARIBBEAN FROM 10.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 73W AND 83W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W NE TO E
WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11.5N TO
17N BETWEEN 69W AND 81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER WATERS 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 75W AND 83W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO
17N BETWEEN 71W AND 81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER WATERS 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 75W AND 83W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 69W AND 80W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09.5N TO 16N
BETWEEN 75W AND 83W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N
BETWEEN 68W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER CARIBBEAN FROM 10N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 75W AND 83W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11.5N TO 17.5N
BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER CARIBBEAN FROM 10.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 83W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO NEAR 12.6N 48.0W 1012 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 22 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO NEAR 13.3N 53.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NEAR 14.8N 60.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N W OF 86W…INCLUDING THE
GULF OF HONDURAS…NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

 http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Our change in the weather and how the jet stream is driving it

Official blog of the Met Office news team

After a quiet spell of weather courtesy of a slow moving area of high pressure, we are now entering an unsettled period as a series of Atlantic depressions are expected to pass close to the northwest of Britain during the next week.

High pressure has now moved away and is settled over Europe and a powerful jet stream is developing over the Atlantic which will be the main driving force behind this spell of unsettled weather.

What is the jet stream?

The jet stream is a band of fast moving westerly winds high up in the atmosphere which circle around the pole in the northern hemisphere. It can feature winds of up to 200 knots (230 mph) or more, and these winds tend to guide wet and windy weather systems which come in off the Atlantic.

The jet moves around a fair bit and its position can have a big…

View original post 406 more words

Colombia: ‘Nuns’ caught allegedly smuggling drugs at San Andres airport as their bad habits gave them away – 070513 1630z

Colombia arrests fake nuns with drugs in their habits

BBC

Three women dressed like nuns have been arrested at a Colombian airport allegedly smuggling drugs.

Police said the women, aged 20, 32 and 37 had two kilos (4.4lb) of cocaine each strapped to their bodies.

Officers said they became suspicious because the women “didn’t look like nuns” and their habits “didn’t look right”.

 

They were travelling from the capital Bogota to the island of San Andres, popular with holidaymakers.

 

Police Capt Oscar Davila said they appeared nervous, and the fabric of their habits did not match that of genuine nuns.

 

The three, who according to police broke into tears when the cocaine was discovered strapped to their legs, will be charged with drug smuggling.

 

They reportedly said they had been forced into drug trafficking because of “financial hardship”.

 

The Colombian island of San Andres, just off the coast of Nicaragua, is a popular destination for foreign and Colombian tourists alike.

 

The island is also along a busy drug-smuggling route, especially popular with speedboats and submarines laden with cocaine, stopping off on their way from Colombia to Central America.

(Video credit: Zoominuk)

Published on 7 May 2013

Three women dressed as nuns were caught by police on Saturday as they attempted to allegedly smuggle six kilos of cocaine

onto Colombia’s San Andres Island.

Remnants of #Sandy continue to weaken over Pennsylvania – 311012 1300Z

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Five Day Forecast Map
(Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com)
Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)

US NWS Long Range Radar

WNYC interactive map (updates with the latest forecast of the storm’s path, based on data from the National Hurricane Center) (link)

NWS radar Loop from Pittsburgh, PA
(Click image for source)

NWS radar Loop from State College, PA
(Click image for source)

NWS radar Loop from Northern Indiana
(Click image for source)

NWS radar Loop from Cleveland, OH
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Caribou, ME Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Portland, ME Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Boston, MA Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Upton, NY Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Mt. Holly, NJ Radar
Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Dover Air Force Base, DE Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Wakefield, VA Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Newport/Morehead, NC Radar Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS NOAA)
Wilmington, NC Radar
Long Range Base Reflectivity
(Click image for source)

Fernanda Viégas and Martin Wattenberg, data visualization experts at Google, have created a dynamic map infographic that animates the current wind patterns across the U.S. It was launched as a personal project a few months ago, but it’s especially useful in a situation like this.

(Image: poynter.org)
Click image to see the live wind map in action
(Use official sources for wind information when it matters)

New York

(Photo : GIS.NYC.GOV)
NYC Hurricane Evacuation Zone & Shelters
(Click image for large interactive map

MSNBC reports Post-tropical Storm #Sandy Center just made landfall near Atlantic City New Jersey

Sandy Makes Landfall

Post-Tropical Cyclone Sandy made landfall at 8pm ET on October 29, 2012 about 5 miles southwest of Atlantic City, NJ, as seen in this NOAA GOES-13 satellite colorized infrared image from the same time. Official projections from the National Hurricane Center have the storm moving westward through Pennsylvania and then moving north into New York. The change in designation from hurricane to post-tropical cyclone is due to a continued deterioration of the convective center of the system, characteristic of tropical cyclones and hurricanes. However, Sandy is just as dangerous – sustained 80 mph winds along with heavy rainfall, surge, and coastal and inland flooding are expected as this storm continues to move inland.

What to do after a hurricane (ready.gov)

Let family members know you’re ok during times of disaster Red Cross Safe & Well site (link)

American Red Cross hurricane preparedness page

US: FIND RED CROSS SHELTER (Nationwide) http://t.co/a7ocPSPO

9,000 people spent Tuesday (30 Oct) night in 171 Red Cross shelters in 13 states. You can help: here

Red Cross Hurricane App – Get it here:

rdcrss.org/MZR7Bg  http://lockerz.com/s/230306748

Virginia Hurricane Shelters updated

Google crisis response:

Map with power outages, shelters, weather and more
State info: CT · DE · MA · MD · ME · NC · NH · NJ · NY · PA · VA · VT
NYC info: nyc.gov Evacuation Zone Finder Notify NYC alerts Transit

31 Oct 2012 New York City: Limited subway service restored starting at 2PM Follow https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo for specific line updates

Gov Cuomo: CORRECTION: Subways will be starting tomorrow morning, not 2PM today

American Red Cross need IMMEDIATE BLOOD & PLATELET donations to help those affected by Hurricane Sandy. http://www.redcrossblood.org/sandy

American Red Cross Blood Locations

United States:

WTNT33 KWNH 310902
TCPAT3

REMNANTS OF SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL182012
0500 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2012

…REMNANTS OF SANDY CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER PENNSYLVANIA…

SUMMARY OF 0500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

GALE WARNINGS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
ALONG MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COASTS.

FLOOD AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES…WARNINGS…AND ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA…WESTERN
MARYLAND…WEST VIRGINIA…EASTERN TENNESSEE…EASTERN
KENTUCKY…AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING WATCHES AND
WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 0500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THERE WAS NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE
CIRCULATION FOR THE REMNANTS OF SANDY.  SANDY HAS WEAKENED INTO A
SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

HAZARDS
——-
WIND…STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND GREAT LAKES.

STORM SURGE…ELEVATED WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE ALONG
THE COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA TO MASSACHUSETTS DURING THE DAY.  IN
PORTIONS OF CHESAPEAKE BAY…NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST
COULD STILL BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS AROUND THE TIME OF THE
NEXT HIGH TIDE. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND:

UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY…1 TO 2 FEET.

FRESHWATER FLOOD WATERS ORIGINATING IN THE UPPER POTOMAC FROM THE
RAINS OF SANDY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TIDAL
POTOMAC…RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS…COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES IS POSSIBLE.

RAINFALL…ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE
EXPECTED IN THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND ALSO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL…ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA INTO FAR WESTERN
MARYLAND AND SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

RAINFALL TOTALS
—————
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

…WASHINGTON DC…
WASHINGTON 5.1 NW                    5.83
WASHINGTON/NATIONAL                  4.84

…DELAWARE…
GEORGETOWN                          10.20
DOVER 6.4 WNW                        9.62
MILFORD                              9.55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES                   9.49
REHOBOTH BEACH                       9.37
CLAYTON 6.6 W                        8.62
DOVER AFB                            8.47
DELANEY CORNER                       8.33
MILTON                               8.30
SMYRNA 2.7 SSE                       8.30
SEAFORD 2.3 SSE                      8.27
FELTON 3.6 NE                        8.00
DOVER                                7.98
VIOLA                                7.84
GEORGETOWN 5.8 W                     7.76

…MASSACHUSETTS…
FITCHBURG                            3.85
NORTH ASHBURNHAM                     3.70
PEPPERELL                            3.30
ASHBURNHAM                           3.20
AYER                                 3.11
EAST MILTON                          3.03
LEOMINSTER 1.5 S                     2.92
NATICK 1.7 NNE                       2.85
NORTON 1.8 NNE                       2.80
ACTON 1.3 SW                         2.76
BEDFORD/HANSCOM FIELD                2.40
MILLIS 0.6 SSE                       2.65
NORTHBOROUGH 0.6 SSE                 2.60
NORWOOD 1.3 NW                       2.59

…MARYLAND…
EASTON 0.7 NNW                      12.55
1 NNW EASTON                        12.49
GREENSBORO 1.4 ENE                  10.53
QUEENSTOWN 2.6 S                     9.89
TRAPPE 3.5 NE                        9.78
BISHOPVILLE 3.1 E                    9.48
DENTON 5.8 WSW                       9.18
PRINCESS ANNE 4.4 WSW                8.81
PASADENA 2.6 ESE                     8.60
PATUXENT RIVER NAS                   8.32
LA PLATA 5.8 SE                      8.23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT                  7.55
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT                 7.22
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER              7.18
ANNAPOLIS – US NAVAL ACADEMY         7.09
BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL ARPT       6.67

…NORTH CAROLINA…
SALVO 0.9 NNE                        8.09
AVON 0.7 NE                          8.00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE                      7.66
DUCK 0.3 SE                          7.22
KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.5 NNW             6.47
HATTERAS/BILLY MITCHELL AP           6.26
COROLLA 11.7 NNW                     5.90
KITTY HAWK 4.0 NNW                   5.89
TRENT WOODS 1.3 SSE                  4.11
JAMESVILLE 6.1 SW                    3.84
JACKSONVILLE 2.0 E                   3.75
HOLLY RIDGE 4.8 ENE                  3.63
ELIZABETH CITY 10.5 NNW              3.56
MERRY HILL 3.8 E                     3.51

…NEW HAMPSHIRE…
GORHAM 3.1 S                         4.85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT                    4.78
CENTER SANDWICH 4.9 E                4.57
RANDOLPH 1.4 NE                      4.51
MT WASHINGTON                        4.05
NEWBURY 1.6 NW                       4.00
NASHUA                               3.53
EFFINGHAM 0.9 NNW                    3.35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE                       3.07
HILLSBOROUGH 2.1 NNW                 3.00
BROOKLINE 2.1 SW                     3.00
MADISON 1.7 SE                       2.99
GREENVILLE 1.1 ENE                   2.96
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW                   2.91
PETERBOROUGH                         2.98

…NEW JERSEY…
WILDWOOD CREST 0.6 NNE              11.91
GREEN CREEK                         11.40
NORTH WILDWOOD                      10.24
SEAVILLE                            10.06
RIO GRANDE                           9.51
WEST CAPE MAY                        9.37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE                     8.41
ERMA                                 8.20
ATLANTIC CITY                        8.15
CAPE MAY                             8.10
WOODBINE 0.8 NNW                     7.84
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE                     7.75
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE                  7.56
NEWPORT                              7.30
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNW                     7.28
VINELAND 2.6 WSW                     7.07
ESTELL MANOR                         7.06
CEDARVILLE                           7.00

…NEW YORK…
WHITESVILLE                          4.83
1 S HAMBURG                          4.59
PERRYSBURG                           4.41
1 SW DUNKIRK                         4.09
BATAVIA GENESSEE                     3.80
3 ENE LOCKPORT                       3.63
SHERMAN 0.4 ENE                      3.42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT              3.27
LOCKPORT 2.8 ENE                     3.31
LANCASTER 4.1 ENE                    3.26
ALCOTT CENTER                        3.25
ELMA CENTER 0.7 SE                   3.06
DANSVILLE 1.0 ENE                    3.06
LOCKPORT 0.8 NE                      3.05
WEST ALMOND 3.6 SW                   3.04

…OHIO…
KIRTLAND 0.9 SW                      5.69
CLEVELAND HOPKINS AIRPORT            5.14
MAYFIELD 0.2 NW                      5.10
NORTH RIDGEVILLE 2.8 SSW             5.06
PAINESVILLE 3.8 SSW                  5.02
LORAIN/ELYRIA                        4.98
ASHTABULA CO. ARPT                   4.83
ELYRIA 3.0 SE                        4.77
CLEVELAND-HOPKINS INTL ARPT          4.56
BROADVIEW HEIGHTS 1.5 NW             4.44
AVON 1.6 SW                          4.14
BRUNSWICK 0.5 NE                     4.08
PARMA 1.9 NNW                        3.96
RICHMOND HEIGHTS 0.4 NNE             3.88
WAKEMAN 4.6 NNE                      3.77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE                        3.70

…PENNSYLVANIA…
HANOVER 5.4 S                        7.61
SCHELLSBURG 2.6 WNW                  7.32
GLEN ROCK 2.2 ESE                    6.54
MALVERN 0.5 NNE                      6.32
LANDENBERG 1.8 ENE                   5.96
NEW SALEM 0.3 WSW                    5.92
2 ENE LANDEBERG                      5.90
LITTLESTOWN 3.7 WNW                  5.84
WEST CHESTER                         5.78
LATROBE 0.6 NW                       5.76
EXTON                                5.59
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE                  5.54
HANOVER 3.0 WSW                      5.51
ABBOTTSTOWN 2.4 N                    5.43

…RHODE ISLAND…
PAWTUCKET/NORTH CENTRAL ST ARPT      2.71
WOONSOCKET 1.3 ESE                   1.87
MANVILLE 0.2 NE                      1.76

…VIRGINIA…
REEDVILLE                            9.90
VIRGINIA BEACH                       9.58
OCEANA NAS/SOUCEK                    9.57
CASHVILLE .01 S                      9.38
WHITE STONE 8.0 SSW                  8.96
GREENBACKVILLE 0.4 WNW               8.64
PORT HAYWOOD 1.0 SE                  8.59
ONLEY 0.6 SE                         8.47
WALLOPS ISLAND                       8.48
ONANCOCK 3.9 SW                      8.39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1.7 NE                7.99
PURCELLVILLE                         7.89
5 S MAYSVILLE                        7.75
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE                      7.73
NEWPORT NEWS 5.8 NE                  7.63

…WEST VIRGINIA…
SHENANDOAH JUNCTION                  4.46
FALLING WATERS 2.4 NW                4.36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE                   3.99
MORGANTOWN/HART FIELD                3.67
MCMECHEN 6.0 E                       3.56
CHARLES TOWN 2.5 NE                  3.15
BUNKER HILL 0.8 WNW                  3.06
SPRINGFIELD 2.3 ESE                  3.04
HUNTINGTON                           2.88
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE                   2.83

SNOWFALL TOTALS
—————
SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 04 AM EDT

..KENTUCKY…
PAYNE GAP                            14.0
LYNCH 3S                             12.0
ELKO 1NW                              9.0
BENHAM 3S                             6.0
VIPER                                 6.0

…MARYLAND…
REDHOUSE                             29.0
FINZEL                               24.0
OAKLAND                              24.0
DEEP CREEK LAKE                      20.0
4 SE CHAMPOIN                        13.0
GRANTSVILLE                          12.0
FROSTBURG                             6.0

…NORTH CAROLINA…
COVE CREEK 10NW                      24.0
FAUST                                24.0
NEWFOUND GAP                         22.0
ELK PARK                             14.0
BULADEAN                             12.0
BAKERSVILLE 5N                       11.0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE                  10.0
FLAT SPRINGS                          9.8
ASHLAND                               9.0
LANSING                               8.0
FLAT SPRINGS 1E                       7.0

…OHIO…
BELLEFONTAINE                         4.5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N                      3.0
WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE                3.0
MANSFIELD                             2.5

…PENNSYLVANIA…
CHAMPION 4SE                         13.0
LAUREL SUMMIT                        10.0
MOUNT DAVIS                           9.0
FARMINGTON                            8.8
LAUREL SUMMIT                         9.6

…TENNESSEE…
GATLINBURG 7SE                       22.0
ROAN MOUNTAIN                        19.0
NEWFOUND GAP                         18.0
MOUNT LECONTE                        17.0

…VIRGINIA…
NORTON 2S                            24.0
TAZEWELL 2N                          15.0
WISE 6E                              14.0
LEBANON                              12.0
BURKES GARDEN                         8.4
RICHLANDS                             8.0
HONAKER                               8.0
MOUTH OF WILSON                       8.0

…WEST VIRGINIA…
5 WSW HUTTONSVILLE                   28.0
DAVIS                                28.0
FLAT TOP                             28.0
CRAIGSVILLE                          26.0
ALEXANDER                            24.0
QUINWOOD                             24.0
NETTIE                               24.0
TERRA ALTA                           24.0
KITZMILLER                           24.0
BEVERLY                              21.0
BAYARD                               21.5
HUTTONSVILLE                         18.0
BEAVER                               18.0
1 E MACARTHUR                        18.0
WEBSTER SPINGS                       17.0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E                     15.0
ELKINS                               14.0

WIND GUSTS
———–
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR FROM EARLIER IN THE
EVENT

…CONNECTICUT…
MADISON                                85
BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT                     76
GROTON                                 76
GREENWICH                              70

…MAINE…
BATH                                   76
PORTLAND JETPORT                       63
KENNEBUNK 2NE                          62

…MARYLAND…
LAYTONSVILLE 1ESE                      76
OCEAN CITY                             74
CROCHERON 2SSE                         70
ANNAPOLIS                              69
ARBUTUS                                68
FREDRICK 1NE                           62

…MASSACHUSETTS…
CUTTYHUNK                              83
WELLFLEET                              81
BARNSTABLE                             79
WRENTHAM                               77

…MICHIGAN…
FORT GRATIOT                           74
TOLEDO HARBOR                          66
PORT SANILAC                           65
SOUTH BASS ISLAND                      63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W                         60

…NEW HAMPSHIRE…
GOSHEN                                 70
LONDONDERRY                            62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP                   60

…NEW JERSEY…
TOMPKINSVILLE 2N                       90
SURF CITY                              89
TUCKERTON                              88
MONTCLAIR 1N                           88
NEWPORT                                87
SANDY HOOK NOS BUOY                    87
DENNISVILLE                            81
CLIFTON                                80
NEWARK                                 78
ATLANTIC CITY                          77
BAYONNE 1ENE                           77

…NEW YORK…
ISLIP                                  90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE                      85
SYOSSET                                82
POINT LOOKOUT 1E                       80
JFK                                    79

..OHIO…
BURKE LAKEFRONT ARPT                   67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT                 63
SOUTH BASS ISLAND                      62

…PENNSYLVANIA…
ALLENTOWN                              81
BENSALEM                               76
BUSHKILL CENTER                        70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT                 68
MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT                   66
MOUNT AETNA                            64
WIND GAP                               62

…RHODE ISLAND…
WESTERLY                               86
WARREN                                 73

…VERMONT…
STOWE 8NW                              72
LYNDON CENTER                          61
UNDERHILL                              60

…VIRGINIA…
CHESTER GAP 3NNE                       79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW                       72
WALLOPS ISLAND                         68
MELFA/ACCOMACK ARPT                    62
HACKSHECK 1NW                          60

…WEST VIRGINIA…
RANSON 1 NNW                           65
KEYSER 2 SSW                           64
MARTINSBURG ARPT                       60

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
THIS STORM.

PETERSEN/ORRISON/TERRY

FORECAST POSITIONS
——————
INITIAL 31/0900Z  NO DISCERNIBLE SURFACE CIRCULATION

$$

Spanish:

WTNT33 KWNH 310902
TCPSP3

LOS RESTOS DEL NÚMERO 36 DE ASESORAMIENTO SANDY
NWS Centro de Predicción Hidrometeorológica College Park MD AL182012
0500 AM EDT MIERCOLES 31 de octubre 2012

REMANENTES DE SANDY … continuará debilitándose en Pensilvania …

RESUMEN DE LAS 0500 AM EDT … 0900 UTC … INFORMACIÓN
———————————————–
UBICACIÓN … NO circulación superficial perceptible

RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——————–
RESUMEN DE VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS EN EFECTO …

Avisos de temporal y avisos de artesanía son EN EFECTO PARA
PARTES DE LOS GRANDES LAGOS. ADVERTENCIAS DE EMBARCACIONES PEQUENAS EN EFECTO
A LO LARGO DE LA MAYOR PARTE DEL MID-ATLANTIC Y COSTAS DEL NORESTE.

RELOJES DE INUNDACIONES COSTERAS Y DE INUNDACIONES … AVISOS … Y advertencia se encuentre en
EFECTO SOBRE PARTES DEL MID-ATLANTIC Y DEL NORESTE.

AVISOS DE TORMENTA DE INVIERNO Y ADVERTENCIAS DE INVIERNO DEL TIEMPO RESTANTE EN
EFECTO DE LAS MONTAÑAS DEL SUROESTE DE PENNSYLVANIA OCCIDENTAL …
MARYLAND … WEST VIRGINIA … ESTE TENNESSEE ORIENTAL …
KENTUCKY … Y EXTREMA WESTERN CAROLINA DEL NORTE.

PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA … INCLUYENDO LOS RELOJES Y
AVISOS … FAVOR DE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU LOCAL NACIONAL
TIEMPO DE LA OFICINA DE SERVICIO AL WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
——————————
A las 0500 AM EDT … 0900 UTC … no había SUPERFICIE discernible
CIRCULACIÓN DE LOS REMANENTES DE SANDY. SANDY ha debilitado en una
SUPERFICIE VAGUADA DE BAJA PRESION SOBRE oeste de Pensilvania.

PELIGROS
——-
VIENTO … VIENTOS FUERTES continuará hasta el miércoles por la MAÑANA
PARTES DEL NORESTE Y los Grandes Lagos.

MAREJADA … Los niveles elevados de agua seguirá DISMINUYENDO A LO LARGO
LA COSTA DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE DE MASSACHUSETTS DURANTE EL DÍA. EN
PARTES DE CHESAPEAKE BAY … Normalmente las zonas secas CERCA DE LA COSTA
Todavía podría ser inundada por las crecidas en la época de LA
Siguiente pleamar. El agua podría llegar a las profundidades SIGUIENTES ANTERIORES
BAJA:

Alto y Medio CHESAPEAKE BAY … 1 A 2 PIES.

AGUAS DE AGUA DULCE DE INUNDACIÓN ORIGINARIOS DE LA CORTE DE LA POTOMAC
LLUVIAS DE SANDY, seguirá afectando LA MAREA
POTOMAC … CAUSANDO INUNDACIONES SIGNIFICATIVAS A VIERNES
TARDE.

DEBIDO A LOS VIENTOS DEL NORTE fuertes y persistentes inundaciones en la costa …
A LO LARGO DE PARTES DE LOS GRANDES LAGOS ES POSIBLE.

LLUVIA … ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE HASTA UNA PULGADA SON
PREVISTAS EN LOS LAGOS DEL ESTE GRAN Y TAMBIÉN DEL NORTE Nueva Inglaterra.

Nevada … ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE NIEVE DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS SON
ESPERA EN LAS MONTAÑAS DE WEST VIRGINIA OCCIDENTAL EN FAR
Maryland y Pennsylvania SUROESTE.

SURF … CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DE SURF continuará desde FLORIDA
A TRAVÉS DE NUEVA INGLATERRA PARA LOS PROXIMOS DIAS.

TOTALES DE LLUVIA
—————
SELECCIONADOS DE TORMENTA TOTAL DE LLUVIA EN PULGADAS al 04 AM EDT

WASHINGTON DC … …
WASHINGTON 5,1 NW 5,83
WASHINGTON / NACIONAL 4,84

DELAWARE … …
GEORGETOWN 10,20
DOVER 6,4 W 9,62
MILFORD 9,55
Indian River ACRES 9,49
REHOBOTH BEACH 9,37
CLAYTON 6,6 W 8,62
Dover AFB 8,47
DELANEY ESQUINA 8,33
MILTON 8,30
SMYRNA 2,7 SSE 8,30
SEAFORD 2,3 SSE 8,27
FELTON 3,6 NE 8,00
DOVER 7,98
VIOLA 7,84
GEORGETOWN 5,8 W 7,76

MASSACHUSETTS … …
FITCHBURG 3,85
NORTH Ashburnham 3,70
Pepperell 3,30
Ashburnham 3,20
AYER 3,11
EAST MILTON 3,03
LEOMINSTER 1,5 S 2,92
NATICK 1,7 NNE 2,85
NORTON 1,8 NNE 2,80
ACTON 1,3 SW 2,76
Bedford / Hanscom Field 2,40
Millis 0,6 SSE 2,65
Northborough 0,6 SSE 2,60
NORWOOD 1,3 NW 2,59

MARYLAND … …
EASTON 0,7 NNW 12,55
1 EASTON NNW 12,49
GREENSBORO 1,4 ENE 10,53
QUEENSTOWN 2,6 S 9,89
TRAPPE 3,5 NE 9,78
Bishopville 3,1 9,48 E
DENTON 5,8 W 9,18
PRINCESS ANNE 4,4 W 8,81
PASADENA 2,6 ESE 8,60
Patuxent River NAS 8,32
LA PLATA SE 5,8 8,23
SALISBURY Rgnl ARPT 7,55
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7,22
BALIMORE CENTRO DE CIENCIAS 7,18
ANNAPOLIS – Academia Naval de EE.UU. 7,09
BALTIMORE / WASHINGTON INTL ARPT 6,67

CAROLINA DEL NORTE … …
SALVO 0,9 NNE 8,09
AVON 0,7 NE 8,00
COROLLA 3,2 SSE 7,66
PATO SE 0,3 7,22
Kill Devil Hills 2,5 NNW 6,47
HATTERAS / BILLY MITCHELL AP 6,26
COROLLA 11,7 NNW 5,90
KITTY HAWK 4,0 NNW 5,89
Trent Woods 1,3 SSE 4,11
Jamesville 6,1 SW 3,84
JACKSONVILLE 2,0 3,75 E
HOLLY RIDGE 4,8 ENE 3,63
ELIZABETH CITY 10,5 NNW 3,56
MERRY HILL 3,8 3,51 E

… New Hampshire …
GORHAM 3,1 S 4,85
Jaffrey MUNI ARPT 4,78
CENTRO DE SANDWICH 4,9 4,57 E
RANDOLPH 1,4 NE 4,51
WASHINGTON 4,05 MT
NEWBURY 1,6 NW 4,00
NASHUA 3,53
EFFINGHAM 0,9 NNW 3,35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE 3,07
HILLSBOROUGH 2,1 NNW 3,00
BROOKLINE 2,1 SW 3,00
MADISON SE 1,7 2,99
GREENVILLE 1,1 ENE 2,96
BROOKFIELD 0,9 W 2,91
PETERBOROUGH 2,98

NEW JERSEY … …
Wildwood Crest 0,6 NNE 11,91
Green Creek 11,40
North Wildwood 10,24
Seaville 10,06
RIO GRANDE 9,51
West Cape May 9.37
BAJAR TWP 2,2 NE 8,41
ERMA 8,20
ATLANTIC CITY 8,15
CAPE MAY 8,10
WOODBINE 0,8 NNW 7,84
SUPERIOR TWP 3.2 SE 7,75
HAMILTON SE TWP 2,1 7,56
NEWPORT 7,30
CAPE MAY 0,4 NNW 7,28
VINELAND 2,6 W 7,07
Estell Manor 7,06
Cedarville 7,00

NUEVA YORK … …
Whitesville 4,83
1 S 4,59 HAMBURG
PERRYSBURG 4,41
1 SW DUNKIRK 4,09
BATAVIA Genessee 3,80
3 ENE 3,63 LOCKPORT
SHERMAN 0,4 ENE 3,42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3,27
LOCKPORT 2,8 ENE 3,31
LANCASTER 4,1 ENE 3,26
ALCOTT CENTRO 3,25
ELMA Center 0.7 SE 3,06
Dansville 1,0 ENE 3,06
LOCKPORT 0,8 NE 3,05
Hueso 3,6 SW 3,04

OHIO … …
KIRTLAND 0,9 SW 5,69
Aeropuerto de Cleveland Hopkins 5,14
MAYFIELD 0,2 NW 5,10
North Olmsted 2,8 SSW 5,06
Painesville 3,8 SSW 5,02
LORAIN / ELYRIA 4,98
Ashtabula CO ARPT 4,83
ELYRIA 3.0 SE 4,77
Cleveland-Hopkins INTL ARPT 4,56
Broadview Heights 1,5 NW 4,44
AVON 1,6 SW 4,14
BRUNSWICK 0,5 NE 4,08
PARMA 1,9 NNW 3,96
Richmond Heights 0,4 NNE 3,88
WAKEMAN 4,6 NNE 3,77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 3,70

PENNSYLVANIA … …
HANOVER 5,4 S 7,61
Schellsburg 2,6 W 7,32
GLEN ROCK 2,2 ESE 6,54
MALVERN 0,5 NNE 6,32
Landenberg 1,8 ENE 5,96
New Salem 0,3 W 5,92
2 ENE 5,90 LANDEBERG
Littlestown 3,7 W 5,84
WEST CHESTER 5,78
LATROBE 0,6 NW 5,76
EXTON 5,59
WEST CHESTER SE 1,8 5,54
HANOVER 3,0 W 5,51
Abbottstown 2,4 N 5,43

RHODE ISLAND … …
PAWTUCKET / NORTE CENTRAL ST ARPT 2,71
WOONSOCKET 1,3 ESE 1,87
MANVILLE 0,2 NE 1,76

VIRGINIA … …
Reedville 9,90
VIRGINIA BEACH 9,58
OCEANA NAS / Soucek 9,57
Cashville 0,01 S 9,38
PIEDRA BLANCA 8,0 SSW 8,96
Greenbackville 0,4 W 8,64
Port Haywood 1.0 SE 8,59
Onley 0.6 SE 8,47
Wallops Island 8,48
Onancock 3.9 SW 8,39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1,7 NE 7,99
Purcellville 7,89
5 S 7,75 MAYSVILLE
Yorktown 0.8 SE 7,73
NEWPORT NEWS 5,8 NE 7,63

WEST VIRGINIA … …
Shenandoah Junction 4,46
Falling Waters 2,4 NW 4,36
Slanesville 2.1 SE 3,99
MORGANTOWN / HART CAMPO 3,67
McMechen 6,0 3,56 E
CHARLES TOWN 2,5 NE 3,15
BUNKER HILL 0,8 W 3,06
SPRINGFIELD 2,3 ESE 3,04
HUNTINGTON 2,88
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2,83

TOTAL DE NIEVE
—————
TORMENTA DE NIEVE SELECCIONADO TOTAL EN PULGADAS al 04 AM EDT

KENTUCKY .. …
PAYNE GAP 14,0
LYNCH 3S 12,0
ELKO 1NW 9,0
3S Benham 6.0
VIPER 6.0

MARYLAND … …
Redhouse 29,0
Finzel 24,0
OAKLAND 24,0
Deep Creek Lake 20,0
4 SE CHAMPOIN 13,0
Grantsville 12,0
Frostburg 6,0

CAROLINA DEL NORTE … …
COVE CREEK 10NW 24,0
FAUST 24,0
Newfound Gap 22,0
Elk Park 14,0
BULADEAN 12,0
Bakersville 5N 11,0
BEECH MOUNTAIN 1 SE 10,0
PISO DE MUELLES 9,8
ASHLAND 9,0
LANSING 8.0
Muelles planos 1E 7.0

OHIO … …
BELLEFONTAINE 4,5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N 3,0
Washington Court House 3,0
MANSFIELD 2,5

PENNSYLVANIA … …
CHAMPION 4SE 13,0
LAUREL CUMBRE 10,0
MONTAJE DE DAVIS 9,0
FARMINGTON 8,8
LAUREL CUMBRE 9,6

TENNESSEE … …
GATLINBURG 7SE 22,0
Roan Mountain 19,0
Newfound Gap 18,0
MONTAJE LECONTE 17,0

VIRGINIA … …
NORTON 2S 24,0
TAZEWELL 2N 15,0
WISE 14.0 6E
LÍBANO 12,0
Burkes Garden 8,4
RICHLANDS 8,0
Honaker 8,0
Mouth of Wilson 8.0

WEST VIRGINIA … …
5 WSW 28,0 Huttonsville
DAVIS 28,0
FLAT TOP 28,0
Craigsville 26,0
ALEXANDER 24,0
Quinwood 24,0
Nettie 24,0
TERRA ALTA 24,0
Kitzmiller 24,0
BEVERLY 21,0
BAYARD 21,5
Huttonsville 18,0
CASTOR 18,0
1 S 18,0 MACARTHUR
WEBSTER Spings 17,0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15,0
ELKINS 14,0

RAFAGAS DE VIENTO
———–
SELECCIONADOS ráfagas máximas del viento en millas por hora desde antes en el
EVENTO

CONNECTICUT … …
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AEROPUERTO 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

MAINE … …
BATH 76
PORTLAND JETPORT 63
Kennebunk 2NE 62

MARYLAND … …
Laytonsville 1ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
Crocheron 2SSE 70
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
FREDRICK 1NE 62

MASSACHUSETTS … …
CUTTYHUNK 83
WELLFLEET 81
BARNSTABLE 79
Wrentham 77

MICHIGAN … …
Fort Gratiot 74
PUERTO TOLEDO 66
Port Sanilac 65
South Bass Island 63
SOUTH HAVEN 1W 60

… New Hampshire …
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

NEW JERSEY … …
Tompkinsville 2N 90
SURF CITY 89
Tuckerton 88
MONTCLAIR 1N 88
NEWPORT 87
NOS Sandy Hook BOYA 87
Dennisville 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1ENE 77

NUEVA YORK … …
ISLIP 90
Plum Island 4 ENE 85
Syosset 82
Point Lookout 1E 80
JFK 79

OHIO .. …
Burke Lakefront ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
South Bass Island 62

PENNSYLVANIA … …
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
Bushkill CENTRO 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
MONTAJE POCONO AEROPUERTO 66
Mount Aetna 64
WIND GAP 62

RHODE ISLAND … …
WESTERLY 86
WARREN 73

VERMONT … …
STOWE 8NW 72
Lyndon Center 61
UNDERHILL 60

VIRGINIA … …
CHESTER GAP 3NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NW 72
Wallops Island 68
MELFA / Accomack ARPT 62
HACKSHECK 1NW 60

WEST VIRGINIA … …
RANSON 1 NNW 65
KEYSER 2 SSW 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60

PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
————-
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA A LAS 1100 AM EDT. CONSULTE A SU
LOCAL OFICINA NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA DE SERVICIO PARA MÁS INFORMACIÓN SOBRE
ESTA TORMENTA.

PETERSEN / Orrison / TERRY

POSICIONES DE PREDICCIÓN
——————
INITIAL 31/0900Z NO circulación superficial perceptible

$ $

French:

WTNT33 KWNH 310902
TCPAT3

VESTIGES DU NOMBRE CONSULTATIF DE SABLE 36
NWS hydrométéorologiques Prediction Center College Park MD AL182012
0500 MER HAE 31 octobre 2012

RESTES DE SANDY … CONTINUER DE FAIBLIR dessus de la Pennsylvanie …

RÉSUMÉ DE 0500 HAE … 0900 UTC … INFORMATIONS
———————————————–
EMPLACEMENT … NON CIRCULATION DE SURFACE DISCERNABLE

MONTRES ET MISES EN GARDE
——————–
RÉSUMÉ DES MONTRES ET ALERTES EN VIGUEUR …

AVERTISSEMENTS DE COUP DE VENT ET Avis POUR PETITS BATEAUX SONT EN VIGUEUR POUR
UNE PARTIE DES GRANDS LACS. AVIS DE PETITS BATEAUX SONT EN VIGUEUR
Sur une grande partie de la dorsale médio-Atlantique et NORD-EST.

MONTRES ET COTIERE Flood Flood … MISES EN GARDE ET … Avis aux SONT EN
EFFET SUR LES SECTEURS DE LA MI-ATLANTIQUE NORD ET LES ÉTATS.

AVERTISSEMENTS DE TEMPÊTE D’HIVER ET D’HIVER avis météorologiques RESTENT EN
EFFET DE LA MONTAGNE DU SUD-OUEST DE L’OUEST PENNSYLVANIE …
MARYLAND … VIRGINIE OCCIDENTALE … L’EST DE L’EST DU TENNESSEE …
KENTUCKY ET … EXTREME OUEST CAROLINE DU NORD.

Pour des informations spécifiques à votre région, montres et …
AVERTISSEMENTS … S’IL VOUS PLAÎT PRODUITS DU MONITEUR émis par votre LOCAL NATIONAL
BUREAU service de météo sur WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION ET PERSPECTIVES DE 48 HEURES
——————————
À 0500 HAE … 0900 UTC … IL N’Y A PAS DE SURFACE DISCERNABLE
CIRCULATION POUR LES RESTES DE SANDY. SANDY A FAIBLI DANS UNE
CREUX DE SURFACE DE DEPRESSION SUR ouest de la Pennsylvanie.

DANGERS
——-
VENT … DES VENTS FORTS se poursuivra jusqu’à mercredi matin,
SECTEURS DE L’EST-NORD ET LES GRANDS LACS.

ONDE DE TEMPÊTE … niveaux d’eau élevés CONTINUERA à se calmer LONG
LA CÔTE DE LA CAROLINE DU NORD AU COURS DE LA JOURNÉE DU MASSACHUSETTS. EN
PARTIES DE BAIE DE CHESAPEAKE … normalement les zones sèches près de la côte
Pourrait encore être inondées par la montée des eaux AUTOUR DU TEMPS DE LA
SUIVANT LA MARÉE HAUTE. L’eau pourrait atteindre les profondeurs suivantes au-dessus
DE-CHAUSSÉE:

Moyennes et supérieures CHESAPEAKE BAY … 1 à 2 pieds.

Les eaux de crue D’EAU DOUCE EN PROVENANCE DU HAUT DU POTOMAC
PLUIES DE SANDY continueront d’influer LA MARÉE
POTOMAC … entraînant des inondations IMPORTANTE AU VENDREDI
APRES-MIDI.

EN RAISON DE forte et persistante VENTS DU NORD … Les inondations côtières
SUR UNE PARTIE DES GRANDS LACS EST POSSIBLE.

PLUIE … AUTRES ACCUMULATIONS DE PLUIE jusqu’à un pouce SONT
ATTENDUS AU COURS DES LACS DE L’EST GRANDS ET AUSSI Northern New England.

NEIGE … SUPPLÉMENTAIRES ACCUMULATION DE NEIGE DE 2 A 4 POUCES SONT
ATTENDUS AU COURS DES MONTAGNES DU FAR WEST VIRGINIA EN OUEST
MARYLAND ET DU SUD-OUEST PENNSYLVANIE.

SURF SURF … CONDITIONS DANGEREUSES CONTINUERA DE LA FLORIDE
PAR LA NOUVELLE-ANGLETERRE POUR DES DEUX PROCHAINS JOURS.

TOTAUX DE PLUIE
—————
PLUIE DE TEMPÊTE CHOISIS totale en pouces à 04 HAE

WASHINGTON DC … …
WASHINGTON NO 5,1 5,83
WASHINGTON / NATIONAL 4,84

DELAWARE … …
GEORGETOWN 10,20
DOVER 6,4 ONO 9,62
MILFORD 9,55
INDIAN RIVER ACRES 9,49
Rehoboth Beach 9,37
CLAYTON 6,6 W 8,62
Dover AFB 8,47
COIN DELANEY 8,33
MILTON 8,30
SMYRNA 2,7 SSE 8,30
SEAFORD 2,3 SSE 8,27
FELTON 3,6 NE 8,00
DOVER 7,98
VIOLA 7,84
GEORGETOWN 5,8 W 7,76

MASSACHUSETTS … …
FITCHBURG 3,85
NORD ASHBURNHAM 3,70
Pepperell 3,30
ASHBURNHAM 3,20
AYER 3,11
EAST MILTON 3,03
LEOMINSTER 1,5 S 2,92
NATICK 1,7 NNE 2,85
NORTON 1,8 NNE 2,80
ACTON 1,3 SO 2,76
BEDFORD / Hanscom Field 2,40
MILLIS 0,6 SSE 2,65
Northborough 0,6 SSE 2,60
NORWOOD 1,3 NW 2,59

MARYLAND … …
EASTON 0,7 NNO 12,55
1 NNO EASTON 12,49
GREENSBORO 1,4 ENE 10,53
QUEENSTOWN 2,6 S 9,89
TRAPPE 3,5 NE 9,78
Bishopville 3,1 E 9,48
DENTON 5,8 SO 9,18
PRINCESSE ANNE SO 4,4 8,81
PASADENA 2,6 ESE 8,60
Patuxent River NAS 8,32
LA PLATA 5.8 SE 8,23
SALISBURY RGNL ARPT 7,55
OCEAN CITY MUNI ARPT 7,22
BALIMORE SCIENCE CENTER 7,18
ANNAPOLIS – US Naval Academy 7,09
Baltimore / Washington INTL ARPT 6,67

CAROLINE DU NORD … …
SALVO 0,9 NNE 8,09
AVON NE 0,7 8,00
COROLLA 3.2 SSE 7,66
CANARD SE 0,3 7,22
Kill Devil Hills 2,5 NNO 6,47
HATTERAS / BILLY MITCHELL AP 6,26
COROLLE 11,7 NNO 5,90
Kitty Hawk 4.0 NNO 5,89
Trent Woods 1.3 SSE 4,11
Jamesville 6,1 SO 3,84
JACKSONVILLE 2,0 E 3,75
Holly Ridge 4,8 ENE 3,63
ELIZABETH CITY 10,5 NNO 3,56
Merry Hill 3,8 E 3,51

NEW HAMPSHIRE … …
GORHAM 3,1 S 4,85
JAFFREY MUNI ARPT 4,78
SANDWICH CENTER 4,9 E 4,57
RANDOLPH 1,4 NE 4,51
MT WASHINGTON 4,05
NEWBURY 1,6 NW 4,00
NASHUA 3,53
EFFINGHAM 0,9 NNO 3,35
NEWBURY 4.0 SE 3,07
HILLSBOROUGH 2,1 NNO 3,00
BROOKLINE 2,1 SO 3,00
MADISON 1.7 SE 2,99
GREENVILLE 1,1 ENE 2,96
BROOKFIELD 0,9 SO 2,91
PETERBOROUGH 2,98

NEW JERSEY … …
Wildwood Crest 0,6 NNE 11,91
GREEN CREEK 11,40
North Wildwood 10,24
Seaville 10,06
RIO GRANDE 9,51
West Cape May 9,37
LOWER TWP 2.2 NE 8,41
ERMA 8,20
ATLANTIC CITY 8,15
CAPE MAY 8,10
WOODBINE 0,8 NNO 7,84
UPPER TWP 3.2 SE 7,75
HAMILTON TWP 2.1 SE 7,56
NEWPORT 7,30
CAPE MAY 0.4 NNO 7,28
VINELAND 2,6 SO 7,07
Estell Manor 7,06
Cedarville 7,00

NEW YORK … …
Whitesville 4,83
1 S HAMBURG 4,59
PERRYSBURG 4,41
1 SW DUNKERQUE 4,09
BATAVIA Genessee 3,80
3 janv. LOCKPORT 3,63
SHERMAN 0,4 ENE 3,42
NIAGARA FALLS INTL ARPT 3,27
LOCKPORT 2,8 ENE 3,31
LANCASTER 4,1 ENE 3,26
ALCOTT CENTRE 3,25
ELMA Center 0.7 SE 3,06
Dansville 1,0 ENE 3,06
LOCKPORT 0,8 NE 3,05
WEST AMANDE 3,6 SO 3,04

OHIO … …
KIRTLAND 0,9 SO 5,69
Aéroport de Cleveland Hopkins 5,14
MAYFIELD NO 0,2 5,10
North Ridgeville 2.8 SSW 5,06
Painesville 3,8 SSW 5,02
LORAIN / ELYRIA 4,98
Ashtabula CO ARPT 4,83
ELYRIA 3.0 SE 4,77
Cleveland-Hopkins INTL ARPT 4,56
Broadview Heights 1,5 NW 4,44
AVON 1,6 SO 4,14
NE-Brunswick 0,5 4,08
PARME 1,9 NNO 3,96
Richmond Heights 0,4 NNE 3,88
WAKEMAN 4,6 NNE 3,77
ELYRIA 0.4 SE 3,70

PENNSYLVANIE … …
HANOVRE 5,4 S 7,61
Schellsburg 2,6 ONO 7,32
GLEN ROCK 2,2 ESE 6,54
MALVERN 0,5 NNE 6,32
Landenberg 1,8 ENE 5,96
New Salem 0,3 SO 5,92
2 janv. LANDEBERG 5,90
Littlestown 3,7 ONO 5,84
WEST CHESTER 5,78
LATROBE 0,6 NW 5,76
EXTON 5,59
WEST CHESTER 1.8 SE 5,54
Hanover 3.0 WSW 5,51
Abbottstown 2,4 N 5,43

RHODE ISLAND … …
PAWTUCKET / CENTRE-NORD ST ARPT 2,71
WOONSOCKET 1,3 ESE 1,87
MANVILLE 0,2 NE 1,76

VIRGINIA … …
Reedville 9,90
VIRGINIA BEACH 9,58
OCEANA NAS / SOUCEK 9,57
Cashville 0,01 S 9,38
PIERRE BLANCHE 8,0 SSW 8,96
Greenbackville 0,4 ONO 8,64
Port Haywood 1.0 SE 8,59
ONLEY 0.6 SE 8,47
ÎLE WALLOPS 8,48
Onancock 3,9 SO 8,39
VIRGINIA BEACH 1,7 NE 7,99
Purcellville 7,89
5 S Maysville 7,75
YORKTOWN 0.8 SE 7,73
NEWPORT NOUVELLES NE 5,8 7,63

VIRGINIE OCCIDENTALE … …
Shenandoah Junction 4,46
EAUX une baisse de 2,4 NO 4,36
SLANESVILLE 2.1 SE 3,99
MORGANTOWN / HART DOMAINE 3,67
McMechen 6,0 E 3,56
CHARLES VILLE NE 2,5 3,15
BUNKER HILL 0,8 ONO 3,06
SPRINGFIELD 2,3 ESE 3,04
HUNTINGTON 2,88
BOOTHSVILLE 1.4 SE 2,83

TOTAUX DE NEIGE
—————
NEIGE DE TEMPÊTE EN POUCES CHOISI TOTAL à 04 HAE

KENTUCKY .. …
PAYNE GAP 14,0
3S 12,0 LYNCH
ELKO 1NW 9,0
3S Benham 6,0
VIPER 6,0

MARYLAND … …
REDHOUSE 29,0
Finzel 24,0
OAKLAND 24,0
Deep Creek Lake 20,0
4 SE CHAMPOIN 13,0
Grantsville 12,0
Frostburg 6.0

CAROLINE DU NORD … …
Crique 10NW 24,0
FAUST 24,0
Newfound Gap 22,0
ELK PARK 14,0
BULADEAN 12,0
Bakersville 5N 11,0
Beech Mountain 1 SE 10,0
Ressorts plats 9,8
ASHLAND 9,0
LANSING 8,0
Ressorts plats 1E 7.0

OHIO … …
BELLEFONTAINE 4,5
BELLEFONTAINE 2N 3,0
Washington Court House 3.0
Mansfield 2,5

PENNSYLVANIE … …
CHAMPION 4SE 13,0
LAUREL SOMMET 10,0
Mount Davis 9,0
FARMINGTON 8,8
LAUREL SOMMET 9.6

TENNESSEE … …
GATLINBURG 7SE 22,0
Roan Mountain 19,0
Newfound Gap 18,0
MOUNT LECONTE 17,0

VIRGINIA … …
2S 24,0 NORTON
TAZEWELL 2N 15,0
WISE 6E 14.0
LIBAN 12,0
Burkes Garden 8.4
RICHLANDS 8,0
Honaker 8,0
Mouth of Wilson 8.0

VIRGINIE OCCIDENTALE … …
5 OSO Huttonsville 28,0
DAVIS 28,0
FLAT TOP 28.0
Craigsville 26,0
ALEXANDER 24,0
Quinwood 24,0
NETTIE 24,0
TERRA ALTA 24,0
Kitzmiller 24,0
BEVERLY 21,0
BAYARD 21,5
Huttonsville 18,0
BEAVER 18,0
1 E MACARTHUR 18,0
WEBSTER SPINGS 17,0
FAYETTEVILLE 11E 15,0
ELKINS 14,0

RAFALES
———–
SÉLECTION DES RAFALES DE POINTE en miles par heure plus tôt dans la
ÉVÉNEMENT

CONNECTICUT … …
MADISON 85
BRIDGEPORT AÉROPORT 76
GROTON 76
GREENWICH 70

MAINE … …
BATH 76
Portland Jetport 63
Kennebunk 2NE 62

MARYLAND … …
Laytonsville 1ESE 76
OCEAN CITY 74
Crocheron 2SSE 70
ANNAPOLIS 69
ARBUTUS 68
FREDRICK 1NE 62

MASSACHUSETTS … …
CUTTYHUNK 83
Wellfleet 81
BARNSTABLE 79
WRENTHAM 77

MICHIGAN … …
Fort Gratiot 74
TOLEDO HARBOR 66
Port Sanilac 65
South Bass Island 63
South Haven 60 1W

NEW HAMPSHIRE … …
GOSHEN 70
LONDONDERRY 62
PORTSMOUTH INTL AIRP 60

NEW JERSEY … …
Tompkinsville 2N 90
Surf City 89
Tuckerton 88
MONTCLAIR 1N 88
NEWPORT 87
NOS Sandy Hook BUOY 87
Dennisville 81
CLIFTON 80
NEWARK 78
ATLANTIC CITY 77
BAYONNE 1ENE 77

NEW YORK … …
Islip 90
PLUM ISLAND 4 ENE 85
Syosset 82
Point Lookout 1E 80
JFK 79

OHIO .. …
Burke Lakefront ARPT 67
CLEVELAND HOPKINS ARPT 63
South Bass Island 62

PENNSYLVANIE … …
ALLENTOWN 81
BENSALEM 76
Bushkill centre 70
PHILADELPHIA INTL ARPT 68
Mount Pocono AÉROPORT 66
Mont Etna 64
GAP 62 Vent

RHODE ISLAND … …
OUEST 86
WARREN 73

VERMONT … …
STOWE 8NW 72
Lyndon Centre 61
UNDERHILL 60

VIRGINIA … …
CHESTER GAP 3NNE 79
WINTERGREEN 4 NO 72
WALLOPS Édouard 68
MELFA / Accomack ARPT 62
HACKSHECK 1NW 60

VIRGINIE OCCIDENTALE … …
RANSON une NNO 65
KEYSER 2 SSO 64
MARTINSBURG ARPT 60

PROCHAINE CONSULTATIF
————-
AVIS SUIVANT SERA EMIS AT 1100 HAE. S’IL VOUS PLAÎT CONSULTER VOTRE
BUREAU LOCAL SERVICE NATIONAL DE TEMPS POUR PLUS D’INFORMATIONS SUR
LA TEMPÊTE.

PETERSEN / Orrison / TERRY

Positions prévues
——————
INITIAL NON 31/0900Z CIRCULATION DE SURFACE DISCERNABLE

$ $

801
acus01 kwns 301255
swody1
Storm Prediction Center ac 301253

Day 1 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 am CDT Tuesday Oct 30 2012

Valid 301300z – 311200z

..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast…


former tropical cyclone Sandy and middle-latitude upper trough that
formed over the southern Appalachians on Sunday have evolved into an
expansive upper low centered over the Maryland-PA border this morning. The
system should weaken as it edges a bit farther west or west-northwest today…and
should turn more northward tonight as it continues to slowly fill. Polar air
has completely engulfed residual surface low now over S central
PA…leaving axis of relatively warm/moist air originating in the
central Atlantic displaced well to the north and east across parts of New
England. Modest low-level buoyancy in this corridor may yield a
marginal thunderstorm/conditional severe risk over central and eastern New England.

Elsewhere…dry weather will prevail over the central U.S. And much of
the west as a ridge amplifies over the Great Basin in response to strong
system approaching the Pacific northwest.

..cntrl/eastern New England through early Wednesday…
Plume of enhanced low-level moisture originating near Bermuda will
stream northward into eastern New England today…on far eastern fringe of Maryland-PA
upper low. Coupled with relatively warm air mass already present
across the region /reflecting anomalous blocking high of recent days
over the Canadian Maritimes/ and modest low-level confluence…a low
probabilistic risk will exist for the development of scattered thunderstorms.

Given strong…largely unidirectional deep field /with 850-700 mb
flow around 40-50 kts/…a conditional threat will exist for isolated
low-topped storms capable of severe gusts…especially later today
through this evening. Location of surface low in PA will keep near-surface winds
over most of New England backed to an Ely component. While this will
diminish low-level buoyancy /especially near the coast/…it may
sufficiently enhance low-level hodograph curvature to pose a risk for
a brief tornado in any stronger/more sustained updrafts that do
form. Upslope component to flow could enhance the potential for
storms in New Hampshire and ME. Finally…some increase in large scale forcing
for ascent/DCVA may occur over southern and eastern New England late
tonight/early Wednesday as the PA upper low begins to edge northward and the system
assumes more of a negative tilt. This may maintain or perhaps
somewhat increase prospects for thunderstorm development over parts of New
England later in the forecast period.

.Corfidi/Mosier.. 10/30/2012

Mesoscale Discussion

786
acus11 kwns 300952
sels mesoscale discussion
Storm Prediction Center mesoscale discussion 300951
mez000-maz000-nhz000-riz000-vtz000-ctz000-nyz000-301145-

Mesoscale discussion 2093
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0451 am CDT Tuesday Oct 30 2012

Areas affected…ME/NH/VT/MA/CT/RI

Concerning…severe potential…watch possible

Valid 300951z – 301145z

Probability of watch issuance…40 percent

Summary…low-end/isolated severe potential to gradually evolve
across New England over the next several hours. Ww may become
necessary.

Discussion…latest radar imagery shows showers and
isolated/occasional thunderstorms streaming nwwd off the Atlantic
and onshore across New England…on the northestern side of the remnants of
Hurricane Sandy. While little lightning has been observed…models
have consistently forecast an increase in deep convection this
am…as middle-level temperatures cool/lapse rates steepen with time.
While a shallow/somewhat stable boundary layer persists…a nwwd
stream of higher low-level Theta-E air will persist which — given
the aforementioned middle-level cooling — will result in very modest
destabilization of the airmass with time.

With very strong /50-plus knots/ northwesterly flow just off the
surface…downward transport of momentum will become increasingly
possible as convection becomes stronger/more widespread within the
weakly destabilizing environment. Additionally…the rapid increase
— and weak veering — of the wind field with height in the lowest
1-2 km would likewise support brief tornado potential within
stronger cells. Indeed…a few weakly rotating cells have been
observed moving onshore this morning…and expect this trend to
continue/increase over the next few hours.

Overall…severe potential should remain very isolated and low-end
through this morning. Still…given the strength of the background
kinematic environment…an increase in coverage and intensity of
convection — even locally — would result in a corresponding
increase in severe threat.

.Goss/corfidi.. 10/30/2012

..please see http://www.Spc.NOAA.Gov for graphic product…

Attention…WFO…car…gyx…box…btv…okx…aly…

Latitude…Lon 41117184 41887299 42777310 43647306 44937128 45776916
45746771 44886666 44626690 43856843 43576942 43127007
42687010 42066972 41486974 40976983 40897131 41117184

Active Severe Weather Alerts in the US (weatherusa.net)

UK Severe Weather RSS Feeds

Current Hurricane Local StatementProducts:

These statements are available at weather.gov

Superstorm Sandy delivers a devastating blow to the U.S.

Published: 3:23 PM GMT on October 30, 2012

“In a stunning spectacle of atmospheric violence, Superstorm Sandy roared ashore in New Jersey last night with sustained winds of 90 mph and a devastating storm surge that crippled coastal New Jersey and New York. Sandy’s record size allowed the historic storm to bring extreme weather to over 100 million Americans, from Chicago to Maine and from Michigan to Florida. Sandy’s barometric pressure at landfall was 946 mb, tying the Great Long Island Express Hurricane of 1938 as the most powerful storm ever to hit the Northeast U.S. north of Cape Hatteras, NC. New York City experienced its worst hurricane since its founding in 1624, as Sandy’s 9-foot storm surge rode in on top of a high tide to bring water levels to 13.88′ at The Battery, smashing the record 11.2′ water level recorded during the great hurricane of 1821. Damage from Superstorm Sandy will likely be in the tens of billions, making the storm one of the five most expensive disasters in U.S. history.”


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Superstorm Sandy taken at 10 am EDT Tuesday, October 30, 2012. Image credit: NASA GSFC.

“….Sandy’s snows
Sandy’s snows have clobbered the town of Davis, WV with an estimated 26 – 28″ of snow. Most of the town is without power, and winds are blowing 20 – 30 mph with 40 mph gusts. Sandy brought the snowiest October day on record to both Elkins, WV (7″ of snow) and Bluefield, WV (4.7″.)…”

Video: Multiple trees fall during powerful gusts during Superstorm Sandy’s landfall in New Jersey Monday evening (warning: foul language.)

There’s so much more to say about Sandy–including how the storm may have been influenced by climate change–but I’ll save this for later posts, as it’s time to get something posted.

Angela Fritz has a 2:30 pm EDT post that discusses the latest on Sandy’s impact and forecast.

These are extracts from Dr. Jeff Masters (full details follow link)

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html

Spanish:

Superstorm arena asesta un golpe devastador a los EE.UU.

Por el Dr. Jeff Masters
Publicado: 3:23 PM GMT en 30 de octubre 2012

“En un impresionante espectáculo de la violencia atmosférica, Superstorm arena tocó tierra en Nueva Jersey anoche con vientos sostenidos de 90 kilómetros por hora y una marea de tormenta devastadora que paralizó la costa de Nueva Jersey y el tamaño de Nueva York. Sandy registro permitió a la tormenta histórica para traer el clima extremo a más de 100 millones de estadounidenses, desde Chicago hasta Maine y desde Michigan a Florida. presión barométrica de Sandy al tocar tierra fue de 946 mb, empatando el Great Long Island Express huracán de 1938 como la tormenta más poderosa que jamás haya golpeado el noreste de EE.UU. al norte de Cabo Hatteras, Carolina del Norte . New York experimentó su peor huracán desde su fundación en 1624, como 9-pie de Sandy oleada de la tormenta iba en la parte superior de una marea alta para que los niveles de agua de 13,88 “a la batería, rompiendo el récord de 11,2” nivel de agua registrados durante el gran huracán de 1821. Daños por Superstorm arena será probablemente de decenas de miles de millones, lo que hace que la tormenta uno de los cinco desastres más costosos en la historia de EE.UU. “.

Figura 1. Imagen de satélite de la mañana Superstorm arena tomada a las 10 am EDT Martes, 30 de octubre 2012. Crédito de la imagen: NASA GSFC.

“…. Sandy nieves
Nieves Sandy han insertada en la ciudad de Davis, WV con un estimado de 26 – 28. “De nieve La mayor parte de la ciudad sin energía eléctrica, y los vientos están soplando 20 – 30. Mph con 40 ráfagas mph arena trajo la más nevoso día de octubre en el registro de tanto Elkins (7 “de nieve) y Bluefield, WV (4,7″). … ”

Video: varios árboles caen durante rachas fuertes durante recalada Superstorm arena en Nueva Jersey la noche del lunes (advertencia:. Lenguaje grosero)

Hay mucho más que decir sobre Sandy – incluyendo la forma en que la tormenta puede haber sido influenciado por el cambio climático – pero voy a guardar esto para puestos más tarde, ya que es hora de conseguir algo publicado.

Angela Fritz tiene un mensaje 14:30 EDT que discute más tardar el impacto de Sandy y pronóstico.

Para saber si tiene que evacuar, por favor póngase en contacto con su oficina local de manejo de emergencias. Ellos tendrán la información más reciente. Las personas que viven en Nueva York puede encontrar su zona de evacuación aquí o utilizar este mapa. FEMA tiene información sobre cómo prepararse para los huracanes. ” http://www.ready.gov/translations/spanish/america/beinformed/hurricanes.html

Estos son extractos del Dr. Jeff Masters (detalles seguir el enlace)

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html

French:

Superstorm de sable porte un coup dévastateur aux États-Unis

Par le Dr Jeff Master
Publié: 15:23 GMT le 30 Octobre, 2012

«Dans un spectacle étonnant de la violence atmosphérique, Superstorm Sandy rugit à terre dans le New Jersey hier soir, avec des vents soutenus de 90 mph et une onde de tempête dévastatrice qui paralyse la côte du New Jersey et de la taille d’enregistrement de New York. Sandy a permis la tempête historique à donner du temps extrême plus de 100 millions d’Américains, de Chicago à Maine et du Michigan à la Floride. pression barométrique de sable, à l’atterrissage était de 946 mb, égalant le Grand long Island express Hurricane de 1938, la tempête la plus puissante qui ait jamais frappé le nord-Est américain au nord du cap Hatteras, en Caroline du Nord . New York City a connu sa pire tempête depuis sa création en 1624, comme poussée Sandy tempête 9-pied monté sur le dessus de la marée haute pour ramener les niveaux d’eau à 13,88 ‘à la batterie, brisant l’11,2 dossier «niveau d’eau enregistré au cours de la grand ouragan de 1821. dommages causés par Superstorm sable sera probablement dans les dizaines de milliards, ce qui rend la tempête l’un des cinq catastrophes les plus coûteuses de l’histoire américaine. ”

Figure 1. Image satellite matin du Superstorm Sandy prises à 10 heures HAE le mardi, Octobre 30, 2012. Crédit image: NASA GSFC.

“…. Sandy neiges
Neiges de sable ont mis à mal la ville de Davis, Virginie-Occidentale avec une 26 environ -. 28 “de neige majeure partie de la ville est sans électricité, et les vents soufflent 20 -. 30 mph avec 40 rafales mph sable apporté le plus enneigé jour Octobre au dossier pour à la fois Elkins, Virginie-Occidentale (7 “de la neige) et Bluefield, Virginie-Occidentale (4,7″). … ”

Vidéo: les arbres tombent pendant plusieurs puissantes rafales pendant touché terre Superstorm de sable dans le New Jersey lundi soir (attention:. Langage grossier)

Il ya tellement plus à dire à propos de Sandy – y compris la façon dont la tempête a peut-être été influencé par le changement climatique – mais je vais mettre ça pour les messages plus tard, car il est temps d’obtenir quelque chose posté.

Angela Fritz a 14h30 HAE poste qui traite plus tard sur l’impact de Sandy et de prévision.

Pour savoir si vous devez évacuer, s’il vous plaît contacter votre bureau local de gestion des urgences. Ils auront l’information la plus récente. Les personnes vivant à New York peuvent trouver leur zone d’évacuation ici ou utiliser cette carte. La FEMA a des informations sur la préparation aux ouragans. ” http://www.ready.gov/translations/french/getakitindex.html

Ce sont des extraits de maîtrise Jeff Dr (plus de détails suivre le lien)

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/article.html

 

New York Subway/MTA Service Suspended Due to Hurricane Sandy

Service on the NYC Subway and bus network, Long Island Rail Road, Metro-North Railroad, and Staten Island Railway is suspended. Access-A-Ride service, including subscription service is suspended until further notice.The MTA began an orderly shutdown of commuter rail and subway service, as directed by Governor Andrew M. Cuomo, at 7:00 p.m. Sunday, October 28th. The decision to shut down the MTA network was made to protect customers, employees and equipment from the wrath of Hurricane Sandy as the strong storm continues its march up the east coast. This is the only the second time the full network has been shut down preemptively in connection with a weather event.

Subway and rail road stations are closed and access to Penn Station has been restricted. Grand Central Terminal is closed.

The MTA Hurricane Plan calls for suspending service hours before the approach of winds of 39 mph and higher. That gives MTA crews time to prepare rail and subway cars, buses, tunnels, yards and buildings for the storm, then return to safety. Winds of 39 mph and higher are predicted to reach the metropolitan region during the predawn hours Monday.

The MTA began preparing to suspend service several days in advance by readying recovery equipment, clearing drainage areas, moving vehicles from low-lying areas at bus depots and rail yards and sealing some tunnel access points.

The duration of the service suspension is unknown, and there is no timetable for restoration. Service will be restored only when it is safe to do so, and after careful inspections of all equipment, tracks and other sub-systems. Even with minimal damage this is expected to be a lengthy process.

Customers and the media should monitor this website or call 511 for the most current service information.

New York City Transit

MTA New York City Transit subway and bus service was suspended on Sunday October 28th, along with Staten Island Railway (SIR) and Access-A-Ride services.  All mass transit has been suspended in anticipation of the high winds and heavy rains and the significant storm surge driven by Hurricane Sandy.

Maintenance crews worked through the night, taking the necessary steps to protect and secure vital equipment in bus depots, train yards, tunnels and along the right-of-way. This process is taking several hours but most of the work will completed prior to the onset of sustained 39 miles-per-hour tropical force winds.

Long Island Rail Road

MTA Long Island Rail Road has suspended all train service system wide, in advance of Hurricane Sandy making landfall, for the safety of its customers, employees and to protect its equipment.  Access to the LIRR portion of Penn Station and to Jamaica Station is restricted.

Suspending service allows the LIRR to secure and protect its equipment and infrastructure from the strong winds and flooding expected to hit the Long Island on Monday.  With the shutdown, train equipment – both electric and diesel – will be removed from yards in low-lying areas that are prone to flooding.

Metro-North Railroad

Metro-North has suspended all train service due to the expected severity of Hurricane Sandy and its impact on our territory.

Shutting down the system allows Metro-North to secure and protect its equipment and infrastructure from the hurricane force winds and flooding expected to hit the region.

Bridges and Tunnels

The Hugh L. Carey Tunnel (formerly Brooklyn-Battery Tunnel) has been closed in both directions as directed by Governor Andrew M. Cuomo until further notice due to potential flooding as a result of the oncoming storm.

All other MTA crossings remain open as of 2 p.m. on Monday, October 29, 2012.

Motorists are asked to reduce speeds to 25 mph at all crossings due to wind and rain.

In addition, certain types of vehicles including step vans, tractor trailers, motorcycles and vehicles pulling a trailer are barred from crossing the Marine Parkway-Gil Hodges and Cross Bay Veterans bridges at this time due to sustained winds above 50 mph.

Powerful Sandy Making Final Push Toward Mid-Atlantic

UPDATED 2 PM EDT, October 29, 2012

UPDATED By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Seth Carrier

Enlarge

Dangerous Hurricane Sandy remains powerful as it moves toward the Atlantic coast this afternoon. Landfall is expected along the southern New Jersey coast early this evening. Destructive winds producing massive power outages, life-threatening storm surge and inland flooding and hurricane-force coastal winds are all on the weather menu for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast as Sandy comes ashore.
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from north of Surf City to Duck, N.C., including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Widespread High Wind Warnings stretch from Virginia to Maine and westward into Ohio, with Wind Advisories from Michigan to Georgia.
Preparations to protect life and property should be completed already, and if you have not evacuated, it is likely too late to do so. Tropical storm force wind gusts are already being felt as far north as Long Island and southeastern New England. Hurricane force winds are likely tonight from Chincoteague, Va., to Chatham, Mass., including Delaware Bay, New York City and Long Island.
Sandy`s effects will only grow and worsen across the highly-populated Interstate 95 corridor in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic today and tomorrow. For the most up-to-date information, click here.
As of 2 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Sandy was centered near 38.3 N and 73.1 W, or 110 miles southeast of Atlantic City, N.J., and 175 miles south- southeast of New York City. Its top sustained winds are 90 mph, making it a Category One Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Sandy is moving northwest at 28 mph and its minimum central pressure has dropped again to 940 mb, or 27.76 inches of mercury.
Hurricane Sandy remains strong as it passes over the Gulf Stream, and it is expected to remain a hurricane as it bends to the northwest. This will put the center on a path to come ashore near or just south of Atlantic City, N.J. As it approaches the coastline, it will finally lose its tropical characteristics, becoming an extremely strong low pressure system.
The slow transition to a non-tropical low has allowed the winds to spread out from the center, and is what makes Sandy so dangerous. Its hurricane force winds extend 175 miles from the storm`s circulation center and tropical storm force winds up to 485 miles from Sandy`s center. This makes Sandy one of the largest storms in recorded history. As a result, Sandy`s impact will be far-reaching, with damaging winds across the entire Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, and even as far west as the Chicago area. It is imperative to monitor the entire storm, not just its center.

Spanish:
Potente arena empuje final hacia la Realización del Atlántico Medio
ACTUALIZADO 14:00 EDT, 29 de octubre 2012
Actualizado por WeatherBug Meteorólogo, Carrier Seth
AmpliarPeligroso huracán de arena sigue siendo fuerte a medida que avanza hacia la costa atlántica de la tarde. Landfall se espera a lo largo de la costa sur de Nueva Jersey a principios de la tarde. Vientos destructivos producen cortes masivos de energía, potencialmente mortal, mareas de tempestad y las inundaciones tierra adentro y son huracanados vientos costeros todo en el menú del tiempo en el Atlántico y el noreste como Sandy llega a la costa.Advertencias de tormenta tropical está en efecto desde el norte de Surf City a Duck, Carolina del Norte, incluyendo Pamlico y Albemarle Sounds. Las advertencias generalizadas vientos fuertes se extienden desde Virginia hasta Maine y hacia el oeste en Ohio, con recomendaciones de los vientos desde Michigan hasta Georgia.Los preparativos para proteger la vida y la propiedad debe ser completado ya, y si no ha evacuado, lo más probable es demasiado tarde para hacerlo. Tormenta tropical ráfagas de viento de fuerza ya se están sintiendo por el norte hasta el sureste de Long Island y Nueva Inglaterra. Los vientos huracanados son probablemente esta noche a partir de Chincoteague, Virginia, en Chatham, Massachusetts, incluyendo Delaware Bay, Nueva York y Long Island.Efectos Sandy `s sólo va a crecer y empeorar a través de la muy poblada de la Interestatal 95 en el corredor noreste y del Atlántico medio de hoy y de mañana. Para la información más actualizada, haga clic aquí.Hasta las 2 pm hora del este, el huracán Sandy tuvo su epicentro cerca 38,3 N y W 73,1, o 110 kilómetros al sureste de Atlantic City, Nueva Jersey, y 175 kilómetros al sur-sureste de New York City. Sus vientos máximos sostenidos son de 90 kilómetros por hora, convirtiéndolo en un huracán de categoría uno en la escala Saffir-Simpson. Sandy se desplazaba hacia el noroeste a 28 kilómetros por hora y su presión mínima central ha descendido de nuevo a 940 mb, o 27,76 pulgadas de mercurio.Huracán Sandy se mantiene fuerte a su paso por la Corriente del Golfo, y se espera que se mantenga como un huracán que se dobla hacia el noroeste. Esto pondrá al centro en un camino para bajar a tierra cerca o justo al sur de Atlantic City, NJ medida que se acerca la línea de costa, que finalmente pierde sus características tropicales, convirtiéndose en un sistema de baja presión extremadamente fuerte.La lenta transición a una baja no tropical ha permitido que los vientos se extienden desde el centro, y es lo que hace tan peligroso arena. Sus vientos con fuerza de huracán se extienden 175 millas del centro de la tormenta `s la circulación y vientos de tormenta tropical hasta 485 kilómetros del centro de la arena` s. Esto hace que una arena de las mayores tormentas de la historia. Como resultado, el impacto de arena `s será de gran envergadura, con vientos dañinos a través de todo el Atlántico Medio y el noreste, e incluso hacia el oeste hasta el área de Chicago. Es imprescindible controlar la tormenta entera, no sólo de su centro.

More on this from Weatherbug (link)

French:

Puissant Sandy poussoir Faire final vers la mi-Atlantique
MISE À JOUR 14:00 HAE, Octobre 29, 2012
Mis à jour par WeatherBug météorologue, Camion Seth

Agrandir

Dangereux ouragan de sable reste puissant comme il se déplace vers la côte de l’Atlantique cet après-midi. Landfall est prévu le long de la côte sud du New Jersey tôt ce soir. Produisant des vents destructeurs pannes d’électricité massives, des ondes de tempête mortelle et l’intérieur des terres des inondations et des vents d’ouragan côtières sont tous sur le menu météo pour le Mid-Atlantic et le nord de Sandy débarque.

Avis de tempête tropicale sont en vigueur depuis le nord de Surf City Duck, Caroline du Nord, y compris Pamlico et sons Albemarle. Répandues avertissements de vent élevées étirer de la Virginie au Maine et à l’ouest dans l’Ohio, avec Avis vent du Michigan à la Géorgie.

Les préparatifs pour protéger la vie et la propriété devrait être achevé déjà, et si vous n’avez pas évacué, il est probablement trop tard pour le faire. Tropical rafales de tempête force du vent se font déjà sentir aussi loin au nord que le sud-est de Long Island et la Nouvelle-Angleterre. Des ouragans sont susceptibles soir à partir de Chincoteague, en Virginie, à Chatham, Massachusetts, y compris la baie du Delaware, New York et Long Island.

Effets Sandy `s ne fera que croître et empirer dans le très peuplée de l’Interstate 95 dans le couloir Nord-Est et Mid-Atlantic aujourd’hui et de demain. Pour l’information la plus à jour, cliquez ici.

Au 2 h HAE, l’ouragan de sable a été centrée près de 38,3 N et 73,1 W, ou 110 miles au sud-est de Atlantic City, New Jersey, et à 175 miles au sud-sud-est de New York. Ses premiers vents soutenus sont de 90 mph, ce qui en fait un ouragan de catégorie un sur l’échelle de Saffir-Simpson Vent ouragan. Sandy se déplace au nord-ouest à 28 mph et sa pression centrale minimale a chuté de nouveau à 940 mb, ou 27,76 pouces de mercure.

L’ouragan de sable reste forte qu’elle passe au-dessus du Gulf Stream, et il devrait rester un ouragan comme il se plie au nord-ouest. Cela mettra le centre sur un chemin de descendre à terre à proximité ou juste au sud d’Atlantic City, NJ À l’approche de la côte, il finira par perdre ses caractéristiques tropicales, devenant ainsi un système de pression extrêmement forte à faible.

La lente transition vers une faible non-tropical a permis aux vents de se propager à partir du centre, et c’est ce qui rend si dangereux de sable. Ses vents de force ouragan s’étendent 175 miles du centre de la tempête `s la circulation et tropicales vents de force tempête jusqu’à 485 miles du centre de sable` s. Cela fait un sable des plus grandes tempêtes de l’histoire. En conséquence, l’impact de sable s `est de grande envergure, avec des vents destructeurs à travers l’ensemble du littoral de l’Atlantique et du Nord, et même aussi loin à l’ouest que la région de Chicago. Il est impératif de surveiller la tempête, et non seulement son centre.

»

More on this from Weatherbug (link)

Press:

26 Oct 2012:

Sandy has left 21 dead, is likely to merge into #Frankenstorm, ravage New England.

(CNN) — No one hopes Hurricane Sandy lives up to its potential.

The storm that has already claimed nearly two dozen lives in the Caribbean churned Friday near northern Bahamas, and meteorologists warn that it packs the potential to slam the Northeastern United States as soon as Monday with powerful winds, pelting rain and cold temperatures.

Worst case, Sandy could merge with a strong cold front from the west. The double threat could morph into a “superstorm” that could sit over New England for days, making untold trouble for millions of residents. Weather experts said it’s a recipe not unlike 1991’s “Perfect Storm.”

At 11 a.m. ET Friday, forecasters said Sandy is losing shape and is a Category 1 hurricane with winds of 80 mph. But it’s not to be taken lightly.

Keep a hurricane preparation checklist

Hurricane Sandy ‘storm of a lifetime’
Hurricane Sandy hits Jamaica

“Forget about the category with this,” said CNN meteorologist Rob Marciano. “When you have trees with leaves on them still, this kind of wind and rain on top of that, you’re talking about trees that are going to come down, power lines are going to be out and the coastal flooding situation is going to be huge.”

Sandy’s death toll in Haiti, Jamaica and Cuba this week was 21 people.

The U.S. target area is hard to predict at this point. Some landfall computer models show the storm striking somewhere between Washington and Boston — some of the most densely populated areas of the country.

U.S. residents in those areas, forecasters said, should prepare for the possibility of several days without power.

“There is potential for widespread power outages, not just for a couple of days but for a couple of weeks or more, if the storm stays on track,” said meteorologist Kathy Orr of CNN affiliate KYW-TV in Philadelphia.

Sandy could be a storm “of historic proportion,” she warns, and the City of Brotherly Love could take a direct hit.

“This could be like the ‘Perfect Storm’ 21 years ago,” said CNN meteorologist Chad Meyers.

A combination of three weather systems produced the famed “Perfect Storm” in the north Atlantic over Halloween 1991 when moisture flung north by Hurricane Grace combined with a high pressure system and a cold front, according to the weather service.

Hurricane safety: When the lights go out

The current weather conditions are not exactly the same as what produced the 1991 tempest. Although Grace contributed significantly to the storm, it did not progress to New England and did not make landfall, weather records show.

On Friday, residents in South Jersey were alreadystocking up on batteries and bottled water, and hardware stores have put up preparedness displays, KYW reported. One location quickly sold out of electric generators.

“This is the worst timing for a storm,” Newark Mayor Cory Booker told CNN’s Soledad O’Brien. “You have fall ending, a lot of loose branches.

“The storm itself will be bad, but I worry about the aftermath, people being caught without power.”

Along the Jersey shore, storm preparations included bulldozers shoring up piers with mounds of sand. Worried residents filled sandbags in case of flooding.

“We will be piling up as much sand as possible along the beachfront,” said Frank Ricciotti, Margate, New Jersey, public works director. “I think the water damage is worse than another type of damage, and the hardest thing is to stop water, once it starts coming up.”

With a national election already under way in many early voting states, Sandy’s wrath also could have a ripple effect on politics.

Bad weather in Maryland or Washington could make it harder for people to get out and cast their ballots at early voting locations. Early voting kicked off Monday in Washington and will start Saturday in Maryland.

“From Sunday through Wednesday, winds of hurricane force are expected to lash exposed areas of the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic states, leading to potentially serious coastal erosion and coastal flooding,” the National Hurricane Center reported.

The weather service also warns “the buildup of tides over multiple tidal cycles should exacerbate the situation.”

Stay well-fed in any disaster

29 Oct 2012: 

Sky News live updates

UPDATE 11:49AM (NZT): Reports of a building collapse on 8th Avenue. LIVE FDNY streaming here.

VIDEO: ABC 7 Eyewitness News New York LIVE coverage.

VIDEO: FOX 5 Live New York LIVE coverage.

AUDIO: Atlantic County and City Fire/EMS SCANNER FEED.

AUDIO: National Hurricane Center Skywarn Amateur radio feed.

AUDIO: NYPD Special Operations SCANNER feed from New York.

30 Oct 2012:

Watch CBS News LIVE online coverage about #Sandy aftermath here

Bloomberg has a live rooftop video camera stream in New York

The (Newark) Star-Ledger also has webcams set up along New Jersey beaches.

Quartz has rounded up links to webcams up and down the East Coast.

31 Oct 2012:

Sandy: Dramatic Footage Of Air Rescue

(Image: Sky News)
Sandy: Dramatic Footage Of Air Rescue

“Dramatic footage has been released of people being plucked from their flood-hit homes by helicopter  here (link to Sky News)

Video shows New York Police Department rescue teams loading people onto a helicopter winch to safety, as flood waters rose.”

“...At least 55 people died across the US and Canada, and many are still missing, including two boys aged two and four.

New York was the worst-hit city in the US.” – Sky News

9,000 people spent Tuesday (30 Oct) night in 171 Red Cross shelters in 13 states

Sandy Forces Cancellation of About 300 Blood Drives

“Those who are eligible in areas unaffected by the storm are asked to schedule a blood donation now.

Superstorm Sandy has already caused the cancellation of about 300 American Red Cross blood drives and more cancellations are expected as the storm continues to move to the west.

“Patients will still need blood despite the weather,” said Dr. Richard Benjamin, chief medical officer of the Red Cross. “To ensure a sufficient national blood supply is available for those in need, both during and after the storm passes, it is critical that those in unaffected areas make an appointment to donate blood as soon as possible.”

So far, the cancellations have resulted in a shortfall of more than 9,000 blood and platelet donations across 14 states that would otherwise be available for those needing transfusions. The situation may worsen as the storm continues to move and in its aftermath.

The Red Cross did move blood and blood products to those areas most likely to be affected by Sandy so that the blood needs of people in those communities could be met. However, the long- term impact of power outages and blood drive cancellations is expected to be significant.

SCHEDULE AN APPOINTMENT

Every two seconds, someone in the United States needs blood. An average of 44,000 blood donations are needed each and every day across the country to help treat accident victims, cancer patients, and children with blood disorders. These patients and others rely on blood products during their treatment. This need does not diminish when disaster strikes.

WHO CAN GIVE? All blood types are needed to ensure a reliable supply for patients. A blood donor card or driver’s license, or two other forms of identification are required at check-in. Individuals who are 17 years of age (16 with parental permission in some states), weigh at least 110 pounds and are generally in good health may be eligible to donate blood. High school students and other donors 18 years of age and younger also have to meet certain height and weight requirements.” – redcrossblood.org

Much media focus on the United States but don’t forget the Caribbean

“Jamaica

Sandy was the first direct hit by the eye of a hurricane on Jamaica since Hurricane Gilbert 24 years ago. The storm hit Jamaica as a category 1 hurricane. Extensive damage was reported on the island. Trees and power lines were snapped and shanty houses were heavily damaged, both from the winds and flooding rains. More than 100 fishermen were stranded in outlying Pedro Cays off Jamaica’s southern coast.[7] Stones falling from a hillside crushed one man to death as he tried to get into his house in a rural village near Kingston.[8] The country’s sole electricity provider, the Jamaica Public Service Company, reported that 70 percent of its customers were without power. Looters shot and wounded a police official as he led a group of officers through Craig Town, a section of West Kingston. More than 1,000 people went to shelters, the Office of Disaster Preparedness said. Jamaican authorities closed the island’s international airports, and police ordered 48-hour curfews in major towns to keep people off the streets and deter looting. Cruise ships changed their itineraries to avoid the storm, which made landfall the afternoon of October 24 near the capital, Kingston.[9]

The day after the storm, government officials went on an aerial tour of the rural eastern areas of the island. Parliament member Daryl Vaz reported that most buildings had lost their roofs, in addition to widespread damage to banana crops. Approximately 70 percent of the island lost power because of Sandy, and schools in the Kingston area would likely remain closed for a week. Resorts in Montego Bay and Negril sustained no major damage, and cruise ship terminals reopened to vessels after a 24-hour suspension of services. Authorities warned that the extent of the damage is not clear, since some major roads remained impassable, and it would likely be weeks before life in most areas returned to normal.[10] Damage totaled $16.5 million throughout the country.[11]

Haiti

In Haiti, which was still recovering from both the 2010 earthquake and the ongoing cholera outbreak, at least 52 people have died,[12] and an estimated 200,000 were left homeless as of October 29, as a result of four days of ongoing rain from Hurricane Sandy.[13] Reports of significant damage to Port-Salut were received as rivers overflowed their banks.[14] In the capital of Port-au-Prince whole streets were flooded by the heavy rains and “the whole south of the country is underwater”.[15] Most of the tents and buildings in the city’s sprawling refugee camps and the CitĂ© Soleil neighborhood were flooded or leaking, a repeat of what happened earlier in the year during the passage of Hurricane Isaac.[10] The United Nations warned that flooding and unsanitary conditions could lead to a cholera epidemic once again two years after a cholera epidemic in 2010 sickened 600,000 people and killed more than 7,400. In addition, crops were also wiped out by the storm” and the country would be making an appeal for emergency aid.[16]

Dominican Republic

In the Dominican Republic two people were killed and 8,755 people evacuated as officials said the rains were expected to continue until at least October 27.[17][18] Travelling by vehicle was very hard in places as some roads had high water levels. An employee of CNN estimated 70% of the streets in Santo Domingo were flooded. Some cars were underwater, and people with trucks were charging motorists $5 to pull their vehicles out, while others were doing it for free.[19]

Cuba

Hurricane Sandy damage in Guantanamo Bay

Hurricane Sandy strengthened into a Category 2 hurricane before hitting Cuba.[20] At least 55,000 people had been evacuated principally because of expected flooding from rains that could total up to 20 inches (500 mm) in some places and a storm surge the Cuban weather service said was already beginning along the southeastern coast around midnight EDT.[21] Sandy made landfall just west of Santiago de Cuba, the country’s second-largest city, as a strong Category 2 hurricane, with the strong eastern eyewall passing directly over the city.[22][23] The eye of the storm came ashore just west of the city with waves up to 29 feet (9 meters) and a six-foot (2 meter) storm surge that caused extensive coastal flooding.[24]

Reports from the area after the passage of Sandy spoke of widespread damage, particularly to Santiago de Cuba. Throughout the province, 132,733 homes were damaged, of which 15,322 were destroyed and 43,426 lost their roof.[25] Electricity and water services had been knocked out, and most of the trees in the city had either been ripped off their roots or had lost all their leaves. Several Cuban provinces promised to send brigades to help Santiago recover, although officials gave a long list of other towns that suffered devastation. Guantánamo followed a similar fate to Santiago, with television showing telephone poles and cables down across the city. Several historic buildings in the center of town were reportedly damaged.[citation needed] Total losses throughout Santiago de Cuba province reached CUP2.1 billion (US$80 million).[25]

State media has said at least 11 people in Cuba were killed as a result of the storm, and Raúl Castro planned to visit Santiago de Cuba in the coming days. Nine of the deaths were in Santiago de Cuba Province and two were in Guantánamo Province and most of the victims were trapped in destroyed houses.[26][27] This makes Sandy the deadliest hurricane to hit Cuba since 2005, when Hurricane Dennis killed 16 people.[28]

Damage to the U.S. Guantanamo Bay Naval Base was not as severe, and there were no reports of injuries at the base. The highest sustained winds were below hurricane strength at 54 miles per hour (87 km/h), with a maximum gust of 66 miles per hour (106 km/h). The storm damaged roofs and windows in a few older buildings and tore some of the power cables within the facility. Several recreational boats broke off their moorings, but there was no damage to the prison, according to Navy Capt. Robert Durand.[29]

Puerto Rico

Police said a man was killed on October 26 in Juana Diaz. He was swept away in a river swollen by rain from Sandy’s outer bands. In addition, flooding forced at least 100 families in the southwest to seek new shelter.[30] “

– Extract from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_Hurricane_Sandy_in_the_Greater_Antilles

Tropical Wave in Trinidad and Tobago: Floods and mudslides kill 2 in Diego Martin – Published 12 Aug 2012 2128 GMT/UTC

A tropical wave killed two people in Trinidad as it lashed the eastern Caribbean with heavy rains and wind, authorities said Saturday.

The victims died after heavy rainfall unleashed floods and mudslides in Trinidad’s western suburb of Diego Martin, relatives said.

(Photo: wikimedia.org)
Diego Martin
(Click photo for source)

The dead were identified as 66-year-old Solomon Britto and 31-year-old Everold Bentham. Bentham’s sister, Liz Bentham, told reporters that floodwater surged through their community early Saturday and that her mother and sister were able to leave the house.

She said Everold Bentham initially left with them but that he returned to retrieve something from the house and died.

Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar is visiting the area and is expected to soon provide an update on the deaths and property damage.

Meteorologists had warned of heavy rains this weekend associated with the tropical wave that’s expected to dissipate after passing through the eastern Caribbean.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the tropical wave was located about 40 miles east of Barbados and moving west at 25 mph with winds of 35 mph.

The hurricane center cancelled a tropical storm watch for the eastern Caribbean late Saturday morning.

Sunday, 12 August, 2012 at 04:10 (04:10 AM) UTC RSOE

ERNESTO DISSIPATES OVER S. MEXICO…HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES ~ ERNESTO SE DISIPA SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO…CONTINÚA LA AMENAZA DE LLUVIA PESADA- Updated 10 Aug 2012 1644 GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

REMINDER: YOU MAY HAVE TO RELOAD/REFRESH PAGE TO UPDATE IMAGES

AVISO: PUEDE QUE TENGA QUE RECARGAR/ACTUALIZAR LA PÁGINA PARA ACTUALIZAR IMÁGENES

BE READY FOR BAD WEATHER and other emergencies – Advice and resources

WTNT35 KNHC 101434
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012

ERNESTO DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO…HEAVY
RAIN THREAT CONTINUES

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…18.0N 99.2W
ABOUT 215 MI…345 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…25 MPH…35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
THE CIRCULATION OF ERNESTO HAS BEEN DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH MOUNTAINS
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. AT 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…THE REMNANTS OF
ERNESTO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 99.2
WEST. THE REMANTS OF ERNESTO ARE FORECAST TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO
THE EASTERN PACIFIC…AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN A DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH…35 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN PASSING SHOWERS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-

RAINFALL…ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF
VERACRUZ…TABASCO…PUEBLA…OAXACA…AND GUERRERO THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

WTNT35 KNHC 101434
TCPAT5

BOLETÍN
RESTOS DE ERNESTO CONSULTIVA NÚMERO 37
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL052012
1000 AM CDT VIERNES, 10 DE AGOSTO DE 2012

ERNESTO SE DISIPA SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO…PESADO
CONTINÚA LA AMENAZA DE LLUVIA

RESUMEN DE 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC… INFORMACIÓN
———————————————–
UBICACIÓN…18.0N 99.2W
UNOS 215 MI…345 KM OSO DE VERACRUZ MÉXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS…25 MPH…35 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL…W O 270 GRADOS A 15 MPH…24 KM/H
PRESIÓN CENTRAL MÍNIMA…1005 MB…29.68 PULGADAS

VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
——————–
NO HAY NINGÚN EFECTO DE EN RELOJES O ADVERTENCIAS COSTERA.

DISCUSIÓN Y OUTLOOK DE 48 HORAS
——————————
LA CIRCULACIÓN DE ERNESTO SE HA VISTO PERTURBADA POR LAS MONTAÑAS DE ALTA
DEL SUR DE MÉXICO. EN 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…LOS RESTOS DE
ERNESTO SE ENCONTRABAN CERCA DEL NORTE DE LA LATITUD 18.0…LONGITUD 99.2
OESTE. EL RETAL DE ERNESTO SE PREVÉ MOVER FRENTE A MÉXICO EN
EL PACÍFICO ORIENTAL…Y TIENEN EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN UN TROPICAL
CICLÓN EN UN DÍA O DOS.

VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTÁN CERCA DE 25 MPH…35 KM/H…CON MAYOR
RÁFAGAS EN LAS DUCHAS DE PASO.

ESTIMADO MÍNIMO DE PRESIÓN CENTRAL ES DE 1005 MB…29.68 PULGADAS.

PELIGROS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-

LLUVIAS…ERNESTO SE ESPERA PRODUCIR LLUVIAS ADICIONALES
ACUMULACIONES DE 2 A 5 PULGADAS EN LOS ESTADOS MEXICANOS DE
VERACRUZ…TABASCO…PUEBLA…OAXACA…Y GUERRERO AL VIERNES
NOCHE. SON AISLADOS MÁXIMO TORMENTA IMPORTES TOTALES DE 15 PULGADAS
EN ASOCIACIÓN CON ERNESTO. ESTAS PRECIPITACIONES PUEDEN
PRODUCIR MORTALES INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TIERRA.

ASESOR PRÓXIMO
————-
ESTE ES EL ÚLTIMO AVISO PÚBLICO EMITIDO POR EL HURACÁN NACIONAL
CENTRO EN ESTE SISTEMA.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

(Image: wunderground.com)
TD5 Storm-Centered Satellite Image
(Click image for source)
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
OF CIRCULATION HAS BECOME DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN AND IS NO
LONGER TRACKABLE. ERNESTO NOW CONSISTS OF A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OVER MUCH OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO.

THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WITH THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IF
THIS IS THE CASE…IT WILL ACQUIRE A NEW DEPRESSION NUMBER…OR A
NEW NAME IF IT BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
ERNESTO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/1500Z 18.0N  99.2W   20 KT  25 MPH
12H  11/0000Z…DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

RESTOS DE ERNESTO DISCUSIÓN NÚMERO 37
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL052012
1000 AM CDT VIERNES, 10 DE AGOSTO DE 2012

OBSERVACIONES DE LA SUPERFICIE DE MÉXICO INDICAN QUE EL CENTRO DE BAJO NIVEL
DE CIRCULACIÓN SE HA CONVERTIDO EN PERTURBADA POR EL TERRENO ALTO Y NO
YA TRACKABLE. ERNESTO AHORA CONSISTE EN UNA AMPLIA ÁREA DE BAJA
PRESIÓN SOBRE EL SUR DE MÉXICO. FUERTES LLUVIAS ASOCIADAS CON EL
RESTOS DE ERNESTO CONTINUARÁ DURANTE EL SIGUIENTE DÍA O DOS.
ESTAS LLUVIAS PROBABLEMENTE PRODUCIRÁ INUNDACIONES EN GRAN PARTE DE FLASH
SUR DE MÉXICO.

SE ESPERA QUE LOS RESTOS DE ERNESTO JUGADA FRENTE A MÉXICO EN LA
PACÍFICO ORIENTAL CON EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN UN CICLÓN TROPICAL. SI
ESTE ES EL CASO…ADQUIRIRÁ UN NUEVO NÚMERO DE DEPRESIÓN…O A
NUEVO NOMBRE SI SE CONVIERTE EN UNA TORMENTA TROPICAL.

ESTE ES EL ÚLTIMO AVISO EMITIDO POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES DE
ERNESTO.

POSICIONES DE PREVISIÓN Y VIENTOS DE MAX

INIT 10/1500Z 18.0N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH
12 H 11/0000Z…SE DISIPÓ

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

CNN: Tropical Storm Ernesto expected to become a hurricane

CANCUN, Mexico Aug 7, 5:27 PM EDT (AP) — Hundreds of tourists evacuated beach resorts along Mexico’s Caribbean coast as Hurricane Ernesto headed toward a Tuesday night landfall near Mexico’s border with Belize, bringing the threat of powerful winds and torrential rains. More here

NHC_DrRickKnabb: Ham radio operators indicate storm surge flooding more than 2 ft on Ambergris Care Island, Belize.

NHC_DrRickKnabb: Operadores de radio de jamón indican marejada inundaciones de más de 2 pies en la isla de Ambergris cuidado, Belize.

(Photo: latribuna.hn)
At least 155 people were affected by the hurricane “Ernesto”, in Guatemala
(Click photo for source)

Guatemala:

The National Coordinator for disaster reduction (Conred) explained in a statement that the rains affected 155 people in El Rastro and Ixobel neighborhoods and in the colonies the miracle and Santa Fe, in the municipality of Poptún, in the Northern Department of Petén.

La Coordinadora Nacional para la reducción de desastres (Conred) explicó en un comunicado que las lluvias afectaban a 155 personas en El Rastro y Ixobel barrios y en las colonias el milagro y Santa Fe, en el municipio de Poptún, en el Departamento de norte de Petén

–  latribuna.hn

Aug 10 (Reuters) – The death toll attributed to the storm Ernesto rose to six on Friday although it continued to weaken as it passed through Mexico’s eastern Veracruz state. – Alert Net

9 dead, 3,000 homes flooded & 11000+ evacuated in Haiti & Dominican Republic landslides/flooding – 500,000 people still without homes & more rain soon

Heavy rains drenching the Caribbean island of Hispaniola have caused mudslides and floods that killed up to nine people in Haiti and forced more than 11,000 people to flee their homes in the neighboring Dominican Republic, authorities said Wednesday.

Marie Alta Jean-Baptiste of Haiti’s Civil Protection Office said nine people died in the southern and western parts of the country. The deaths included a 6-year-old child and a woman killed by landslides in the capital of Port-au-Prince and four who drowned in rivers outside the city, she said.

The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs gave a lower toll from three days of heavy storms at the start of the rainy season. It said in a statement that only six people had died since Monday. High water and heavy rain are creating problems for the nearly 500,000 people still without homes in the aftermath of Haiti’s 2010 earthquake. In the Dominican Republic, officials said there had not been any reports of deaths or injuries, but said about 11,150 people had been evacuated from their homes.

Emergency office spokesman Jose Luis German said nearly 3,000 homes were flooded when rivers and streams spilled from their banks in the northern province of Puerto Plata and some central and southeastern towns. He said 23 of the country’s 32 provinces were at risk for flooding in the coming days since rains were forecast to continue for the rest of the week.

Thursday, 26 April, 2012 at 02:53 (02:53 AM) UTC RSOE

Also see:  http://www.aljazeera.com/weather/2012/04/2012426941280740.html