Myanmar/ Bangladesh/ India: Tropical Cyclone MORA 02B 29/0900Z position near 18.3N 91.5E, moving NNE 08 kt (JTWC) – Updated 29 May 20017 1145z (GMT/UTC)

Severe Cyclonic Storm/Tropical Cyclone Mora

….INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (Bangladesh Met)

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 20 FEET (JTWC)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Cyclone 02B (Mora) Warning #07
Issued at 29/0900Z

WTIO31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (MORA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (MORA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
290600Z — NEAR 17.7N 91.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 91.5E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z — 20.0N 91.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z — 22.8N 91.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z — 25.7N 92.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 91.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (MORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 277 NM SOUTH
OF CHITTAGONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED, WITH
A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DISPLACED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST
OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. A 290400Z AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE ALSO SHOWS THE
DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC. THE LLCC IS PLACED WITH
MODERATE CONFIDENCE USING A 290316Z ASCAT PASS, WHICH INDICATES THAT
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE CIRCULATION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.5 FROM BOTH PGTW AND KNES. THE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO SUPPORT GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION, WITH ONLY
MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS) AND GOOD
POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE MORA JOGGED TO THE
RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS, BUT A GENERAL
TRACK TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS
AROUND A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA. THE SYSTEM
SHOULD REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS,
FOLLOWED BY LANDFALL NEAR CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH IN AROUND 24 HOURS.
RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL, WITH THE SYSTEM
DISSIPATING BY TAU 36. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.
//
NNNN

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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
RSMC – TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI
TROPICAL STORM ‘MORA’ ADVISORY NO. SIX ISSUED AT 0900 UTC OF 29TH MAY 2017 BASED ON 0600 UTC CHARTS OF 29TH MAY 2017
THE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DURING PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SPEED OF 15 KMPH AND LAY CENTRED AT 0600 UTC OF TODAY, 29TH MAY, 2017 OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LATITUDE 17.8ºN AND LONGITUDE 91.4ºE, ABOUT 610 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA(42807) AND 500 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG(41978). THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND CROSS BANGLADESH COAST BETWEEN LONGITUDE 91.0ºE AND 92.0ºE NEAR CHITTAGONG AROUND 30TH MAY 2017 FORENOON.
OBSERVED AND FORECAST TRACK POSITIONS AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM ARE GIVEN BELOW:
DATE/TIME(UTC)
POSITION
(LAT. ºN/ LONG. ºE)
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WIND SPEED (KMPH)
CATEGORY OF CYCLONIC
DISTURBANCE
29.05.2017/0600
17.8/91.4
80-90 GUSTING TO 100
CYCLONIC STORM
29.05.2017/1200
18.9/91.5
90-100 GUSTING TO 110
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
29.05.2017/1800
20.1/91.5
100-110 GUSTING TO 120
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
30.05.2017/0000
21.3/91.6
110-120 GUSTING TO 130
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
30.05.2017/0600
22.8/91.7
110-120 GUSTING TO 130
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
30.05.2017/1800
25.4/92.2
55-65 GUSTING TO 75
DEEP DEPRESSION
31.05.2017/0600
27.7/93.0
30-40 GUSTING TO 50
DEPRESSION
STORM SURGE GUIDANCE: THE STORM SURGE OF HEIGHT OF ABOUT 1 TO 1.5 METER ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES IS LIKELY TO INUNDATE OVER LOW LYING AREAS OF BANGLADESH COAST BETWEEN SITAKUND AND UTTAR JALDI AT THE
Contact: Phone: (91) 11-246524844 FAX: (91) 11-24623220 e-mail :cwdhq2008@gmail.com
TIME OF LANDFALL.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERY, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS T3.0. THE
MAXIMUM SURFACE SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND (MSW) IS 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT 992 HPA. A BUOY NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6º N AND LONGITUDE 89.1ºE REPORTED MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
(MSLP) OF 1003.1 HPA AND MSW 320/21 KNOTS. ANOTHER BUOY NEAR LATITUDE
20.3º N AND LONGITUDE 92.0ºE REPORTED MSLP OF 1000.0 HPA. THE MULTISATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST HIGHER WINDS OF EASTERN SECTOR.
THE CONVECTION HAS FURTHER ORGANISED IN PAST 12 HOURS AND SHOWS
CURVED BAND PATTERN. BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE
TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN LATITUDE 14.00N
TO 22.00N LONGITUDE 85.00E TO 97.00E. MINIMUM CTT IS ARROUND – 90.00C. THE SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE IS 30-31ºC. THE OCEAN
THERMAL ENERGY IS ABOUT 100 KJ/CM2. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE
TO HIGH AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE AND IS AROUND 15-25 KTS, VORTICITY IS
AROUND 200 X10-5 S-1. LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS OF THE ORDER OF 50 X10-5
S-1. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS ALSO OF THE ORDER OF 50 X10-5 S-1 AROUND THE
SYSTEM CENTRE. THE UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE AT 200 HPA LEVEL RUNS
ALONG 17.0ºN IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANTI-CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE
NORTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORHNORTHEASTWARDS
AS IT LAYS WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS ANTI-CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION. IT WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SO FOR NEXT 24-36 HOURS AND
THEREAFTER EASTERLY COMPONENT OF THE MOVEMENT WILL INCREASE
GRADUALLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE TROUGH IN WESTERLY OVER
EASTERN INDIA. CURRENTLY SYSTEM IS BEING STARRED BY THE DEEP LAYER
WIND OF 200-850 HPA. THE MEAN DEEP LAYER WIND BETWEEN 200-850 HPA IS
170DEGREE/7 KNOTS. THE ANIMATION OF TOTAL PERCEPTIBLE WATER IMAGERY
INDICATE CONTINUOUS WARM AND MOIST AIR ADVECTION FROM SOUTHEAST
SECTOR. THE LATEST MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM SSMIS AT 0001 UTC OF 29TH
INDICATE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TOWARDS THE CENTRE FROM
NORTHEAST.
MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION INDEX LIES IN PHASE 3 WITH AMPLITUDE
MORE THAN 1. IT WOULD CONTINUE IN PHASE 3 WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1
DURING NEXT 3 DAYS. CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE SUPPORTING
FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS MOVEMENT OF
THE SYSTEM. DYNAMICAL STATISTICAL MODELS ALSO SUGGEST FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. CONSIDERING THE MOVEMENT, MOST OF THE
MODELS ARE UNANIMOUS ABOUT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT DURING
NEXT 48 HRS.
(NARESH KUMAR)
SCIENTIST ‘D’
RSMC, NEW DELHI
Contact: Phone: (91) 11-246524844 FAX: (91) 11-24623220 e-mail :cwdhq2008@gmail.com

Bangladesh Met Logo

SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN: SL. NO. 12 (TWELVE), Date: 29.05.2017 (Local Times)
THE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ (ECP 990 HPA) OVER NORTH BAY AND ADJOINING EAST CENTRAL BAY MOVED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARDS FURTHER OVER THE SAME AREA, INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (NEAR LAT 18.8°N AND LONG 91.3°E) AND WAS CENTRED AT 06 PM TODAY (THE 29 MAY 2017) ABOUT 385 KMS SOUTH OF CHITTAGONG PORT, 305 KMS SOUTH OF COX’S BAZAR PORT, 450 KMS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONGLA PORT AND 370 KMS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAYRA PORT. IT IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER, MOVE IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND MAY CROSS CHITTAGONG – COX’S BAZAR COAST BY MORNING OF 30 MAY 2017.
UNDER THE PERIPHERAL INFLUENCE OF SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ GUSTY/SQUALLY WIND WITH RAIN/ THUNDER SHOWERS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER NORTH BAY AND THE COASTAL DISTRICTS AND MARITIME PORTS OF BANGLADESH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WITHIN 64 KMS OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE IS ABOUT 89 KPH RISING TO 117 KPH IN GUSTS/SQUALLS. SEA WILL REMAIN HIGH NEAR THE SYSTEM.
MARITIME PORTS OF CHITTAGONG AND COX’S BAZAR HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO LOWER DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER SEVEN BUT INSTEAD HOIST GREAT DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER TEN (R) TEN.
COASTAL DISTRICTS OF CHITTAGONG, COX’S BAZAR, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS WILL COME UNDER DANGER SIGNAL NUMBER TEN (R) TEN.
MARITIME PORTS OF MONGLA AND PAYRA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO LOWER DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER FIVE BUT INSTEAD HOIST GREAT DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER EIGHT (R) EIGHT.
COASTAL DISTRICTS OF BHOLA, BORGUNA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGHERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS WILL COME UNDER DANGER SIGNAL NUMBER EIGHT (R) EIGHT.
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ THE LOW-LYING AREAS OF THE COASTAL DISTRICTS OF COX’S BAZAR, CHITTAGONG, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR, BORGUNA, BHOLA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGHERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS ARE LIKELY TO BE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE OF 4-5 FEET HEIGHT ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.
THE COASTAL DISTRICTS OF COX’S BAZAR, CHITTAGONG, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR, BORGUNA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, BHOLA, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE WIND SPEED UP TO 89-117 KPH IN GUSTS/ SQUALLS WITH HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM.
ALL FISHING BOATS AND TRAWLERS OVER NORTH BAY AND DEEP SEA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO REMAIN IN SHELTER TILL FURTHER NOTICE.

BD map

N Indian Ocean: TSR Storm Alert issued at 29 May, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MORA is currently located near 17.7 N 91.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). MORA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    India
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Cox’s Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Sittwe (20.1 N, 93.1 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Kyaukpyu (19.4 N, 93.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Cheduba (18.8 N, 93.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bhutan
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
    Shillong (25.6 N, 91.9 E)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Dispur (26.1 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Imphal (24.8 N, 93.9 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

(Image: TSR)

Other

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Deadly Cyclone Mora hits Bangladesh with high winds and rain – BBC News

(30 May 2017 1105 UTC)

Cyclone Mora has hit the south-eastern coast of Bangladesh, killing at least five people.

Most of them were killed by falling trees in the districts of Cox’s Bazar and Rangamati, officials told the BBC.

Hundreds of houses were fully or partly damaged, the officials said. Significant damage is reported in refugee camps housing Rohingya Muslims from neighbouring Myanmar.

The authorities have moved hundreds of thousands of people to shelters.

Cyclone Mora made landfall at 06:00 local time (00:00 GMT) between the fishing port of Cox’s Bazar and the city of Chittagong, with winds of up to 117 km/h (73mph), the country’s meteorological department said.

Low-lying areas of Cox’s Bazar, Chittagong and many other coastal districts were “likely to be inundated” by a storm surge of 1.2m-1.5m (4-5ft) above normal levels, the department had warned.

People have been evacuated to shelters, schools and government offices.

Fishing boats and trawlers have been advised to remain in shelters. Flights in the area have been cancelled.

About 20,000 houses in refugee camps for Rohingya were damaged, community leader Abdus Salam told AFP news agency.

“In some places, almost every shanty home made of tin, bamboo and plastic has been flattened,” Mr Salam added. “Some people were injured, but no-one is dead.”

Large camps have been set up in Cox’s Bazar for hundreds of thousands of Rohingya who have fled violence in Myanmar.

A clear picture is still not available due to poor communication with many affected areas, Bangladeshi officials told the BBC.

A number of houses were also damaged in western Myanmar.

Cyclone Mora will move northwards past Chittagong, weakening as it moves further inland and downgrading from a Category One hurricane to a tropical storm, tracking website Tropical Storm Risk forecasts.

Parts of eastern India are expected to be affected later on.

The Bay of Bengal is prone to storms and Bangladesh is often hit by severe weather during the monsoon season, from the middle to the end of the year.

Last year, Cyclone Roanu hit coastal Bangladesh, leaving at least 24 people dead.

MARITIME/SHIPPING

WTIN01 DEMS 291118
QUADRANT WIND DISTRIBUTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH CYCLONIC STORM “MORA” OVER BAY OF BENGAL
DATE AND TIME BASED UPON WHICH FORECAST IS PREPARED:
PRESENT DATE AND TIME: 290600 UTC
PRESENT POSITION: 17.8 0N/91.40 E
POSITION ACCURATE TO 40 KM
PRESENT MOVEMENT (DDD/FF) PAST SIX HOURS: 010/07 KT
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 45 KT, GUSTS 55 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WIND 33 NM
WINDS VARY IN EACH QUADRANT
RADII ARE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THE QUADRANT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
FORECASTS:
06 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z 18.9°N /91.50 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 KT, GUSTS 60 KT
RADIUS OF 028 KT WINDS:
140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:
105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
80 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
90 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS:
50 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
50NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
45 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
50 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z 20.1°N /91.50 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 55 KT, GUSTS 65 KT
RADIUS OF 028 KT WINDS:
140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:
105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
80 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
90 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS:
50 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
50NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
45 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
50 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

18 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z 21.3°N /91.60 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 60 KT, GUSTS 70 KT
RADIUS OF 028 KT WINDS:
140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:
105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
80 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
90 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS:
50 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
50NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
45 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
50 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z 22.8°N /91.70 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 60KT, GUSTS 70 KT
RADIUS OF 028 KT WINDS:
140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS:
105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
80 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
90 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS:
50 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
50NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
45 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
50 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z 25.4°N /92.20 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 30 KT, GUSTS 40KT
RADIUS OF 028 KT WINDS:
140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z 27.7°N /93.00 E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS: 15KT, GUSTS 25 KT

Bangladesh Met

Marine Warning
SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN: SL. NO. 12 (TWELVE), Date: 29.05.2017
THE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ (ECP 990 HPA) OVER NORTH BAY AND ADJOINING EAST CENTRAL BAY MOVED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARDS FURTHER OVER THE SAME AREA, INTENSIFIED INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM (NEAR LAT 18.8°N AND LONG 91.3°E) AND WAS CENTRED AT 06 PM TODAY (THE 29 MAY 2017) ABOUT 385 KMS SOUTH OF CHITTAGONG PORT, 305 KMS SOUTH OF COX’S BAZAR PORT, 450 KMS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MONGLA PORT AND 370 KMS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAYRA PORT. IT IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER, MOVE IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND MAY CROSS CHITTAGONG – COX’S BAZAR COAST BY MORNING OF 30 MAY 2017.
UNDER THE PERIPHERAL INFLUENCE OF SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ GUSTY/SQUALLY WIND WITH RAIN/ THUNDER SHOWERS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER NORTH BAY AND THE COASTAL DISTRICTS AND MARITIME PORTS OF BANGLADESH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED WITHIN 64 KMS OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE IS ABOUT 89 KPH RISING TO 117 KPH IN GUSTS/SQUALLS. SEA WILL REMAIN HIGH NEAR THE SYSTEM.
MARITIME PORTS OF CHITTAGONG AND COX’S BAZAR HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO LOWER DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER SEVEN BUT INSTEAD HOIST GREAT DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER TEN (R) TEN.
COASTAL DISTRICTS OF CHITTAGONG, COX’S BAZAR, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS WILL COME UNDER DANGER SIGNAL NUMBER TEN (R) TEN.
MARITIME PORTS OF MONGLA AND PAYRA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO LOWER DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER FIVE BUT INSTEAD HOIST GREAT DANGER SIGNAL NUBMER EIGHT (R) EIGHT.
COASTAL DISTRICTS OF BHOLA, BORGUNA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGHERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS WILL COME UNDER DANGER SIGNAL NUMBER EIGHT (R) EIGHT.
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM ‘MORA’ THE LOW-LYING AREAS OF THE COASTAL DISTRICTS OF COX’S BAZAR, CHITTAGONG, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR, BORGUNA, BHOLA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGHERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS ARE LIKELY TO BE INUNDATED BY STORM SURGE OF 4-5 FEET HEIGHT ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE.
THE COASTAL DISTRICTS OF COX’S BAZAR, CHITTAGONG, NOAKHALI, LAXMIPUR, FENI, CHANDPUR, BORGUNA, PATUAKHALI, BARISAL, BHOLA, PIROZPUR, JHALOKATHI, BAGERHAT, KHULNA, SATKHIRA AND THEIR OFFSHORE ISLANDS AND CHARS ARE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE WIND SPEED UP TO 89-117 KPH IN GUSTS/ SQUALLS WITH HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS DURING THE PASSAGE OF THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM.
ALL FISHING BOATS AND TRAWLERS OVER NORTH BAY AND DEEP SEA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO REMAIN IN SHELTER TILL FURTHER NOTICE.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

Vietnam: Typhoon 24W Nari 151200Z near 16.0N 106.0E , moving W at 15 knots (JMA) downgraded to Tropical Depression – 151013 1905z

Tropical Depression (24W) Nari / Santi

Typhoon Nari hits Vietnam - Dr. Jeff Masters // Weather Underground

Typhoon 24W (Nari) downgraded to Tropical Depression (JMA)

Nari hits Vietnam, but Laos, Cambodia, Thailand be aware!

(Scroll down for translations and Maritime Warnings)

(Mag-scroll pababa para sa mga pagsasalin at Maritime Babala)

(Di chuyển xuống cho cc bản dịch v cảnh bo hng hải)

(ສັດທະເລສໍາລັບການແປພາສາແລະການເຕືອນໄພທະເລ)

(͹ŧѺФ͹Թ)

(រមូរចុះក្រោមសម្រាប់ការបកប្រែនិងការព្រមាននាវាចរណ៍)

Japan Meteorological agency
All Tropical Cyclones

TD
Issued at 13:10 UTC, 15 October 2013

<Analyses at 15/12 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N16°00′(16.0°)
E106°00′(106.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 30km/h(15kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa

PAGASA-DOST

PAGASA-DOST

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration

As of today, There is no tropical cyclone existing within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)

National Center for Hydro-meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF) Vietnam

Data not available

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0213.gif

(Image: JTWC) TC Warning Graphic (Click image for source)

WTPN32 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 24W (NARI) WARNING NR 026 (FINAL WARNING)
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
150000Z — NEAR 15.9N 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 108.2E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 15.6N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z — 15.7N 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 16.2N 102.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 107.7E.
TYPHOON 24W (NARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 8 NM SOUTH OF DA NANG,
VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
RECENT POSITION FIXES FROM PGTW AND RJTD AND A 142326Z TRMM IMAGE
INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TY 24W HAS MOVED ASHORE INTO CENTRAL
VIETNAM. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON RECENT SUBJECTIVE DVORAK
AND AUTOMATED INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. THE CYCLONE WILL DISSIPATE BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD
INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS AS IT TRACKS INLAND OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 25W (WIPHA) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

TSR logoNW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon NARI (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 108.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thailand
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Other Reports


Typhoon Nari hits Vietnam


Torrential rains are falling in Southeast Asia due to Typhoon Nari, which made landfall near Da Nang around 03 UTC on Wednesday as a Category 1 typhoon with 80 mph winds. The eye passed 10 miles south of Da Nang, putting the city in the stronger northern semicircle of the storm. Da Nang recorded top sustained winds of 55 mph, gusting to 81 mph, and picked up 4.06″ of rain. Damage is heavy in Da Nang, and at least five deaths are being blamed on the storm. Nari battered the Philippines on Friday, killing thirteen people and leaving 2.1 million people without power on the main Philippine island of Luzon. ” - Dr. Jeff Masters // Weather Underground 2:49 PM GMT on October 14, 2013

Typhoon Nari Huffs, Puffs and Brings Floods to Vietnam

The Wall Street Journal

“HANOI _ Typhoon Nari hit the coastal city of Danang on Tuesday morning, killing at least five people, knocking down trees, damaging hundreds of houses and sinking dozens of fishing boats.

The storm has since weakened and is forecast to be downgraded to a tropical storm later today, but officials say it has triggered heavy rains that may cause dangerous floods — meaning worse could be yet to come.

Water levels in local rivers in central Vietnam are rising rapidly and people in central provinces, as well as the Central Highland, should beware of landslides and flash floods, say officials at the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, which monitors severe weather events.

It said rains in the area ranged from 112 millimeters to 396 millimeters over the past 24 hours.

“Fallen trees and [detached] roofs are seen everywhere,” Le Van Tien, an official at Danang’s anti-flood and storm department told The Wall Street Journal. “Winds have subsided now, but it is still raining very heavily.”

Early reports from the provincial anti-flood and storm departments showed that the typhoon had killed at least three people and left one missing in Quang Nam and injured 11 people in Danang. Before making landfall in Vietnam, Nari killed at least 15 people in the Philippines.

Vietnam Airlines, the country’s flagship carrier, has cancelled or delayed flights to and from Danang and nearby Hue City.ÂState-run Vietnam Electricity Group said the typhoon has caused blackouts in Danang and several other provinces in the country’s central region, making it difficult to determine the extent of the damage.

“We are having trouble updating the situation from many districts due to the power cuts,” said an official with Quang Nam’s anti-flood and storm department. He said the death toll could rise further as more information came in.

Nari is the 11th major storm or typhoon to hit Vietnam this year. Ahead of its landfall, authorities in the central provinces evacuated more than 123,000 people and ordered 68,000 boats ashore, according to the Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control.

More than 190 people have been killed by floods, storms and other natural calamities since January.”

MARITIME

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200


WTJP21 RJTD 141200
WARNING 141200.
WARNING VALID 151200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.

TYPHOON 1325 NARI (1325) 965 HPA
AT 16.3N 110.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 16.4N 108.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 16.1N 106.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200

WWCI50 BABJ 151200

2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN=

MESSAGE FOR NAVAREA XI(IOR) ISSUED BY NMC BEIJING

AT 1530UTC OCT.15 2013=

MESSAGE IS UPDATED EVERY 06 HOURS=

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200UTC OCT. 15=

FORECAST VALID 1200UTC OCT. 16=

WARNNING=

TY WIPHA 1326(1326) 960HPA AT 30.5N 136.3E MOVING

NE 65KM/H AND MAX WINDS 38M/S NEAR CENTER (SEAS UP

TO 9.0M) AND RADIUS OF 30KTS WINDS 380KM AND

RADIUS OF 50KTS WINDS 100KM AND FORECAST FOR

161200UTC AT 43.6N 147.9E 985HPA MAX WINDS 23M/S

NEAR CENTER=

SUMMARY=

N/W WINDS FROM 08 TO 16M/S SEAS UP TO 2.5M OVER

BOHAI STRAIT AND NORTH PART OF YELLOW SEA=

N/NE WINDS FROM 11 TO 20M/S SEAS UP TO 3.5M OVER

MIDDLE AND SOUTH PART OF YELLOW SEA AND SOUTH PART

OF EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT=

N/NE WINDS FROM 13 TO 24M/S GUST 28M/S SEAS UP TO

4.0M OVER NORTH PART OF EAST CHINA SEA=

E/NE WINDS FROM 08 TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO

2.5M OVER NORTH PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA=

NE WINDS FROM 11 TO 20M/ SEAS UP TO 3.0M OVER

JAPAN SEA AND KOREA STRAIT=

WINDS FROM 17 TO 28M/S SEAS UP TO 6.0M OVER SEA

SOUTH OF JAPAN=

WINDS FROM 29 TO 38M/S SEAS UP TO 9.0M OVER SEA

NEAR CENTER OF WIPHA=

WINDS FROM 13 TO 24M/S SEAS UP TO 4.5M OVER SEA

EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND SEA WEST OF BONIN

ISLANDS=

HORIZONTAL VISIBILITY LESS THAN 10KM OVER ANDAMAN

SEA AND NORTH PART OF THAILAND GULF AND SEA WEST

OF SUMATERA AND SUNDA STRAIT AND SEA EAST OF

SINGAPORE AND LAUT JAWA AND MAKASSAR STRAIT AND

LAUT MALUKU=

FORECAST=

NLY WINDS FROM 08 TO 16M/S GUST 20M/S SEAS UP TO

2.5M OVER BOHAI STRAIT=

WINDS FROM 11 TO 20M/S GUST 24M/S SEAS UP TO 3.0M

OVER YELLOW SEA AND SEA EAST OF TAIWAN AND NORTH

AND MID-WEST PARTS OF SOUTH CHINA SEA AND BASHI

CHANNEL AND BEIBU GULF AND QIONGZHOU STRAIT=

WINDS FROM 13 TO 24M/S GUST 28M/S SEAS UP TO 4.5M

OVER EAST CHINA SEA AND TAIWAN STRAIT AND KOREA

STRAIT AND JAPAN SEA=

WINDS FROM 17 TO 28M/S SEAS UP TO 5.5M OVER SEA

SOUTH OF JAPAN=

WINDS FROM 29 TO 38M/S SEAS UP TO 8.5M OVER SEA

NEAR CENTER OF WIPHA=

WINDS FROM 11 TO 20M/S GUST 21 TO 28M/S SEAS UP TO

4.0M OVER SEA EAST OF RYUKYU ISLANDS AND SEA WEST

OF BONIN ISLANDS=

Vietnamese (Translated by Google)

Việt Nam : Bão 24W Nari 151200Z gần 16.0N 106.0E , di chuyển W tại 15 hải lý ( JMA ) hạ cấp xuống áp thấp nhiệt đới – 151.013 1905z

Nhiệt đới suy thoái ( 24W ) Nari / Santi

” Bão Nari hit Việt Nam ” – Tiến sĩ Jeff Masters / / Weather Underground

Bão 24W ( Nari ) hạ cấp xuống áp thấp nhiệt đới ( JMA )

Nari hit Việt Nam , nhưng Lào , Campuchia , Thái Lan được biết !

( Di chuyển xuống cho các bản dịch và cảnh báo hàng hải )

( Mag- cuộn pababa para sa mga pagsasalin tại Maritime Babala )

( Move Down cho c c Translation v Scene b o h ng Hải )

Cơ quan Khí tượng Nhật Bản
Tất cả các cơn lốc nhiệt đới
TD
Phát hành vào 13:10 UTC , 15 tháng 10 2013
<Analyses Tại 15/12 UTC>
quy mô –
cường độ –
TD
Vị trí trung tâm N16 ° 00 ‘ ( 16.0 ° )
E106 ° 00 ‘ ( 106.0 ° )
Hướng và tốc độ di chuyển W 30km / h ( 15kt )
1000hPa áp lực trung ương

Pagasa – Sở KHCN
Pagasa – Sở KHCN
Philippines khí quyển, Địa vật lý và thiên văn học Quản trị dịch vụ

Tính đến hôm nay , không có cơn bão nhiệt đới hiện có trong khu vực của Philippines Trách nhiệm ( cải cách hành chính )
Trung tâm Quốc gia Dự báo khí tượng thuỷ văn ( NCHMF ) Việt Nam

Không có dữ liệu
Trung tâm cảnh báo bão chung ( JTWC )

(Ảnh: JTWC ) TC Cảnh báo đồ họa ( Nhấn vào ảnh để nguồn )

Google Earth đồ họa Overlay

WTPN32 PGTW 150.300
MSGID / GENADMIN / PHẦN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI / /
SUBJ / TROPICAL CYCLONE CẢNH BÁO / /
RMKS /
1 . TYPHOON 24W ( NA RÌ ) Chú ý NR 026 ( cảnh báo cuối cùng )
02 cơn bão nhiệt đới hoạt động trong NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SINH Gió DỰA VÀO TRUNG BÌNH MỘT PHÚT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ

Chú ý VỊ TRÍ :
150000Z — 15.9N 108.2E NEAR
CHUYỂN QUA SÁU GIỜ – 260 độ tại 10 KTS
Vị trí chính xác để trong vòng 040 NM
VỊ TRÍ DỰA VÀO TRUNG TÂM nằm qua vệ tinh
HIỆN PHÂN PHỐI WIND :
MAX SINH Gió – 070 KT , Cơn 085 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Bán kính 064 Gió KT – 025 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
025 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
025 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
025 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
Bán kính 050 Gió KT – 045 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
045 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
045 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
045 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
Bán kính 034 Gió KT – 115 NM ĐÔNG BẮC Quadrant
100 NM ĐÔNG NAM Quadrant
090 NM SOUTHWEST Quadrant
100 NM NORTHWEST Quadrant
Lặp lại thừa nhận : 15.9N 108.2E

DỰ BÁO :
12 HRS, VALID AT :
151200Z — 15.6N 106.1E
MAX SINH Gió – 045 KT , Cơn 055 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt đới YẾU VỀ ĐẤT
VECTOR TO 24 nhân sự thừa nhận : 275 DEG / 10 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT :
160000Z — 15.7N 104.0E
MAX sức gió – 030 KT , Cơn 040 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Tiêu tan AS bão nhiệt đới YẾU VỀ ĐẤT
VECTOR đến 36 nhân sự thừa nhận : 285 DEG / 09 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT :
161200Z — 16.2N 102.3E
MAX SINH Gió – 020 KT , Cơn 030 KT
WIND bán kính có hiệu lực VỀ NƯỚC MỞ CHỈ
Ăn chơi như bão nhiệt đới YẾU VỀ ĐẤT

GHI CHÚ :
VỊ TRÍ 150300Z NEAR 107.7E 15.8N .
TYPHOON 24W ( NA RÌ ) , nằm ​​khoảng 8 NM phía nam Đà Nẵng ,
VIỆT NAM , đã theo dõi WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS VỀ QUÁ KHỨ sáu giờ.
Sửa lỗi VỊ TRÍ MỚI TỪ PGTW VÀ RJTD VÀ TRMM IMAGE 142326Z
Chỉ ra rằng TRUNG TÂM TY 24W đã di chuyển lên bờ VÀO TRUNG ƯƠNG
VIỆT NAM . Cường độ hiện nay dựa trên gần đây chủ Dvorak
VÀ DỰ TOÁN CƯỜNG ĐỘ TỰ ĐỘNG . HỆ THỐNG ĐƯỢC THEO DÕI WESTWARD
Dọc ngoại vi phía nam của một CHỈ ĐẠO RIDGE cận nhiệt đới ĐẾN
NORTH . Cơn bão sẽ tiêu tan dưới ngưỡng CẢNH BÁO
Cường độ 25 hải lý AS nó theo dõi nội địa VỀ TIẾP 36 GIỜ .
Vì vậy, đây là cảnh báo cuối cùng về HỆ THỐNG NÀY CỦA PHẦN
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI . HỆ THỐNG SẼ ĐƯỢC chặt chẽ theo dõi
Các dấu hiệu tái sinh. THAM KHẢO TYPHOON 25W ( WIPHA ) CẢNH BÁO
( WTPN31 PGTW ) CẬP NHẬT CHO Six – GIỜ . / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW Thái Bình Dương : Bão báo phát hành vào ngày 15 tháng 10 năm 2013 00:00 GMT (Final Cảnh báo )

Bão NA RÌ ( 24W ) hiện đang nằm gần 15,9 N 108,2 E được dự báo sẽ tấn công đất đến khả năng sau đây (s) tại thời gian dẫn nhất định ( s ) :

Red Alert Quốc gia (s) hoặc tỉnh (s)
Việt Nam
xác suất cho CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn là 100 % hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 100 % hiện nay
Lào
xác suất cho CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn là 60 % hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 100 % hiện nay
Red Alert City ( s ) và thị trấn (s)
Đà Nẵng ( 16,1 N , 108,2 E )
xác suất cho CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn là 100 % hiện nay
xác suất cho TS là 100 % hiện nay

Vàng báo Quốc gia (s) hoặc tỉnh (s)
Campuchia
xác suất cho TS là 85% trong vòng 12 giờ
Thái Lan
xác suất cho TS là 80% trong vòng 12 giờ
Vàng báo Thành phố (s) và thị trấn (s)
Quảng Ngãi ( 15,1 N , 108,8 E )
xác suất cho TS là 100 % hiện nay
Đông Hà ( 16,8 N , 107,1 E )
xác suất cho TS là 90 % hiện nay
Kon Tum ( 14,4 N , 108.0 E )
xác suất cho TS là 80 % hiện nay
Đồng Hới ( 17,5 N , 106,6 E )
xác suất cho TS là 60 % trong vòng 12 giờ

lưu ý rằng
Red Alert ( nặng ) là CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn để từ 31% đến 100 % khả năng .
Thông báo màu vàng ( tăng cao ) là CAT 1 hoặc cao hơn từ 10 % đến 30 % khả năng , hoặc TS trên 50 % xác suất.
CAT 1 có nghĩa là gió bão mạnh ít nhất là 74 mph , 119 km / h hoặc 64 hải lý 1 -min duy trì .
TS có nghĩa là gió mạnh cơn bão nhiệt đới ít nhất 39 mph , 63 km / h hay 34 hải lý 1 -min duy trì .

Đối với thông tin dự báo đồ họa và biết thêm chi tiết vui lòng truy cập http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
báo cáo khác

Bão Nari hit Việt Nam

” Mưa lớn đang rơi xuống trong khu vực Đông Nam Á do bão Nari , mà đã đổ bộ gần Đà Nẵng khoảng 03 UTC hôm thứ tư như một loại 1 cơn bão với sức gió 80 mph . Mắt thông qua 10 dặm về phía nam của Đà Nẵng , đưa thành phố ở phía bắc mạnh hình bán nguyệt của cơn bão . Đà Nẵng ghi nhận những cơn gió đầu bền vững của 55 mph , gusting đến 81 mph , và chọn 4.06 ” của mưa . Thiệt hại nặng nề tại Đà Nẵng , và ít nhất năm người chết đang được đổ lỗi cho cơn bão. Nari đập Philippines hôm thứ Sáu , giết chết mười ba người và khiến 2,1 triệu người không có điện trên đảo Luzon của Philippines . “- Tiến sĩ Jeff Masters / / Weather Underground 14:49 GMT vào ngày 14 tháng 10 năm 2013
Bão Nari Huffs , Puffs và mang đến Lũ lụt tại Việt Nam

Của Vũ Trọng Khanh | The Wall Street Journal

“Hà Nội _ Bão Nari tấn công thành phố ven biển của thành phố Đà Nẵng vào sáng thứ Ba , giết chết ít nhất năm người, gõ xuống cây , gây thiệt hại hàng trăm ngôi nhà và hàng chục vụ chìm tàu đánh cá.

Cơn bão đã suy yếu từ và được dự báo sẽ được hạ cấp xuống một cơn bão nhiệt đới sau ngày hôm nay, nhưng các quan chức nói rằng nó đã gây ra mưa lớn có thể gây ra lũ lụt nguy hiểm – có nghĩa là tồi tệ hơn có thể là chưa đến.

Mực nước trong các sông ở miền Trung Việt Nam đang tăng lên nhanh chóng và người dân các tỉnh miền Trung , cũng như Tây Nguyên , nên hãy cẩn thận của sạt lở đất và lũ quét , các quan chức tại Trung tâm Quốc gia về khí tượng thủy văn dự báo , cho phép quan sát các sự kiện thời tiết khắc nghiệt .

Nó cho biết mưa trong khu vực này dao động từ 112 mm đến 396 mm trong 24 giờ qua.

” Cây Fallen và [ tách ra ] mái nhà được nhìn thấy ở khắp mọi nơi “, ông Lê Văn Tiến , một quan chức của thành phố Đà Nẵng , chống lụt bão và bộ phận nói với tờ The Wall Street Journal . ” Gió đã giảm xuống , nhưng nó vẫn còn mưa rất lớn. ”

Báo cáo ban đầu từ chống lũ tỉnh và các sở cơn bão cho thấy cơn bão đã giết chết ít nhất ba người và khiến một thiếu ở Quảng Nam và làm bị thương 11 người tại Đà Nẵng. Trước khi thực hiện đổ bộ vào Việt Nam , Nari đã giết chết ít nhất 15 người ở Philippines.

Việt Nam Airlines , hãng vận tải hàng đầu của nước này , đã bị hủy bỏ hoặc trì hoãn các chuyến bay đến và đi từ Đà Nẵng và lân cận Huế City. Tập đoàn Điện lực nhà nước Việt Nam cho biết cơn bão đã gây ra mất điện tại Đà Nẵng và một số tỉnh khác trong khu vực trung tâm của đất nước , làm cho nó khó khăn để xác định mức độ thiệt hại .

” Chúng tôi đang gặp khó khăn trong việc cập nhật tình hình từ nhiều huyện do cắt điện , ” một quan chức bộ phận cơn bão của tỉnh Quảng Nam chống lũ và nói . Ông cho biết số người chết có thể tăng cao hơn nữa khi có thêm thông tin bước vào

Nari là cơn bão lớn thứ 11 hoặc bão hưởng tới Việt Nam trong năm nay. Trước đổ bộ, chính quyền các tỉnh miền Trung sơ tán hơn 123.000 người và ra lệnh cho 68.000 tàu thuyền vào bờ, theo Ủy ban Trung ương phòng chống lụt bão .

Hơn 190 người đã thiệt mạng do lũ lụt, bão, thiên tai khác kể từ tháng Giêng. ”
HÀNG HẢI
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141.200
CẢNH BÁO 141.200 .
CẢNH BÁO GIÁ TRỊ 151.200 .
Cảnh báo được cập nhật mỗi 6 giờ.
Cảnh báo bão .
TYPHOON 1325 NA RÌ (1325 ) 965 HPA
AT 16.3N 110.0E BIỂN ĐÔNG CHUYỂN WESTNORTHWEST 08 hải lý.
Vị trí tốt .
MAX gió 75 KNOTS gần trung tâm .
RADIUS HƠN 50 Gió nút, nơ 60 dặm .
RADIUS HƠN 30 Gió nút, nơ 180 dặm về phía bắc bán nguyệt và 150 dặm
Ghi ở nơi khác .
DỰ BÁO CHO VỊ TRÍ 150000UTC AT 16.4N 108.3E VỚI 50 dặm RADIUS
HÀNH 70 PHẦN TRĂM XÁC SUẤT CIRCLE .
975 HPA , MAX Gió 60 KNOTS gần trung tâm .
DỰ BÁO CHO VỊ TRÍ 151200UTC AT 16.1N 106.1E VỚI 75 dặm RADIUS
HÀNH 70 PHẦN TRĂM XÁC SUẤT CIRCLE .
1002 HPA .
TRỞ THÀNH áp thấp nhiệt đới .

Nhật Bản KHÍ TƯỢNG CƠ QUAN . =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200

WWCI50 BABJ 151.200

2:31:11:11:00

BT

PAN PAN =

THÔNG ĐIỆP CHO NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) do NMC Bắc Kinh

AT 1530UTC OCT.15 2013 =

THÔNG ĐIỆP được cập nhật mỗi 06 GIỜ =

Tóm tắt có hiệu lực 1200UTC Tháng Mười 15 =

DỰ BÁO GIÁ TRỊ 1200UTC Tháng Mười 16 =

WARNNING =

TY WIPHA 1326 (1326) 960HPA AT 30.5N 136.3E CHUYỂN

Bắc 65km / H và MAX Gió 38M / S GẦN TRUNG TÂM ( SEAS UP

TO 9.0M ) và bán kính của 30KTS Gió 380KM VÀ

RADIUS HÀNH 50KTS Gió 100KM VÀ DỰ BÁO CHO

161200UTC AT 43.6N 147.9E 985HPA MAX Gió 23m / S

GẦN TRUNG TÂM =

TÓM TẮT =

N / W Gió từ 08 đến 16 triệu / S SEAS ĐẾN 2.5M VỀ

Bột Hải STRAIT VÀ BẮC PHẦN BIỂN VÀNG =

N / NE Gió từ 11 đến 20 triệu / S SEAS ĐẾN 3.5M VỀ

TRUNG VÀ NAM PHẦN BIỂN VÀNG VÀ NAM PHẦN

Phía đông Trung Quốc và eo biển Đài Loan =

N / NE Gió TỪ 13 ĐẾN 24M / S cơn 28M / S SEAS ĐẾN

4.0m VỀ BẮC Phần phía đông Trung Quốc =

E / NE Gió từ 08 đến 16 triệu / S cơn 20M / S SEAS ĐẾN

2.5M VỀ BẮC PHẦN CỦA BIỂN ĐÔNG =

Gió Đông Bắc từ 11 đến 20 triệu / SEAS ĐẾN 3.0M VỀ

NHẬT BẢN VÀ HÀN QUỐC SEA STRAIT =

Gió TỪ 17 ĐẾN 28M / S SEAS ĐẾN 6.0M VỀ BIỂN

SOUTH NHẬT BẢN =

Gió TỪ 29 ĐẾN 38M / S SEAS ĐẾN 9.0M VỀ BIỂN

GẦN TRUNG TÂM WIPHA =

Gió từ 13 đến 24M / S SEAS ĐẾN 4.5M VỀ BIỂN

EAST của Ryukyu HẢI ĐẢO VÀ BIỂN TÂY Bonin

ĐẢO =

TẦM NHÌN NGANG DƯỚI 10km trên Andaman

SEA VÀ BẮC PHẦN THÁI LAN VỊNH VÀ BIỂN TÂY

HÀNH Sumatra và Sunda Strait và biển Đông của

SINGAPORE- Laut Jawa và Makassar STRAIT VÀ

Laut Maluku =

DỰ BÁO =

Gió nly từ 08 đến 16 triệu / S cơn 20M / S SEAS ĐẾN

2.5M VỀ Bột Hải STRAIT =

Gió từ 11 đến 20 triệu / S cơn 24M / SEAS S ĐẾN 3.0M

VỀ VÀNG biển và biển Đông của Đài Loan VÀ BẮC

Và các bộ phận MID – TÂY BIỂN ĐÔNG VÀ Bashi

CHANNEL và Vịnh Bắc Bộ và QIONGZHOU STRAIT =

Gió từ 13 đến 24M / S cơn 28M / S SEAS ĐẾN 4.5M

VỀ ĐÔNG BIỂN ĐÔNG VÀ eo biển Đài Loan và Hàn Quốc

STRAIT và Nhật Bản SEA =

Gió TỪ 17 ĐẾN 28M / S SEAS ĐẾN 5.5M VỀ BIỂN

SOUTH NHẬT BẢN =

Gió TỪ 29 ĐẾN 38M / S SEAS ĐẾN 8.5m VỀ BIỂN

GẦN TRUNG TÂM WIPHA =

Gió từ 11 đến 20 triệu / S Lốc 21 ĐẾN 28M / S SEAS ĐẾN

4.0m VỀ BIỂN ĐÔNG của Ryukyu HẢI ĐẢO VÀ BIỂN TÂY

HÀNH Bonin ĐẢO =

LAO (Translated by Google)

ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ : Typhoon 24W Nari 151200Z ໃກ້ 106.0E 16.0N , ການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍ ໃນ W 15 knots ( JMA ) downgraded ກັບ ຊຶມເສົ້າ Tropical – 151013 1905z

Tropical ການ ຊຶມເສົ້າ ( 24W ) Nari / Santi

” Typhoon Nari hits ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ ” – ດຣ Jeff ລິນຍາໂທ / ສະພາບອາກາດ / ກໍາ

Typhoon 24W ( Nari ) downgraded ກັບ ຊຶມເສົ້າ Tropical ( JMA )

Nari hits ສສຫວຽດນາມ , ສປປລາວ ແຕ່ວ່າ , ກໍາປູເຈຍ , ປະເທດໄທ ຈະ ຮູ້ !

( ສັດທະເລ ສໍາລັບ ການແປພາສາ ແລະ ການເຕືອນໄພ ທະເລ )

( Mag – ເລື່ອນ pababa ຂາວ Sa mga pagsasalin ຢູ່ໃນ ທະເລ Babala )

( Di chuyển xuống cho c c ບ້ານ dịch v cảnh ຂ o h ng ໄຮ )

ອົງການ ອຸຕຸນິຍົມ ຂອງຍີ່ປຸ່ນ
ທັງຫມົດ cyclone Tropical
TD
ອອກ ຢູ່ UTC 13:10 , 15 ຕຸລາ 2013
<Analyses ຢູ່ 15/12 UTC>
ຂະຫນາດ –
ຫຼາຍ –
TD
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ສູນ N16 ° 00 ‘ ( 16.0 ° )
E106 ° 00 ‘ ( 106.0 ° )
ທິດທາງ ແລະ ຄວາມໄວ ຂອງ ການເຄື່ອນໄຫວ 30km W / h ( 15kt )
1000hPa ຄວາມກົດດັນ ສູນກາງ

PAGASA – DOST
PAGASA – DOST
ຟີລິບປິນ ບັນຍາກາດ , ການບໍລິຫານ ການບໍລິການ Geophysical ແລະ ນັກດາລາສາດ

ໃນຖານະເປັນ ຂອງ ມື້ນີ້ , ຍັງບໍ່ມີ cyclone ເຂດຮ້ອນ ທີ່ມີຢູ່ແລ້ວ ພາຍໃນ ຟີລິບປິນ ເຂດ ຂອງ ຄວາມຮັບຜິດຊອບ ( PAR ) ແມ່ນ
ແຫ່ງຊາດ ສໍາລັບການ ສູນ ໄຟຟ້າ , ອຸຕຸນິຍົມ ຄາດຄະເນການ ( NCHMF ) ຫວຽດນາມ

ຂໍ້ມູນ ບໍ່ທັນມີເທື່ອ
ຄໍາເຕືອນ Typhoon ຮ່ວມ ສູນ ( JTWC )

( ຮູບ : JTWC ) ຄໍາເຕືອນ TC ພາບ ( ຮູບພາບ ລະ ແຫຼ່ງ )

ກູໂກ Overlay ພາບ ໂລກ

WTPN32 PGTW 150300
msgid / GENADMIN / ຮ່ວມ TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL harbor HI / /
ຄໍາເຕືອນ cyclone SUBJ / ລະຍະ Tropical / /
RMKS /
1 . TYPHOON 24W ( NARI ) NR ຄໍາເຕືອນ 026 ( ຄໍາເຕືອນ ສຸດທ້າຍ )
02 cyclone Tropical ກິດຈະກໍາໃນ NORTHWESTPAC
ມາ SUSTAINED ລົມ ອີງໃສ່ການ ສະເລ່ຍ ຫນຶ່ງ ນາທີ
RADII ລົມ ສັບ ກວ່າ ນ້ໍາ ເທົ່ານັ້ນ

ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ຄໍາເຕືອນ:
150000Z — ໄກ້ 15.9N 108.2E
ການເຄື່ອນໄຫວ ມາ ຫົກ ຊົ່ວໂມງ – 260 ອົງສາ 10 KTS
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ທີ່ຖືກຕ້ອງ ທີ່ຈະ ຢູ່ພາຍໃນ 040 NM
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ອີງໃສ່ການ ສູນ ຕັ້ງຢູ່ ໂດຍ ດາວທຽມ
ການແຜ່ກະຈາຍ ພະລັງງານລົມ ປະຈຸບັນ :
ມາ SUSTAINED ລົມ – 070 KT , GUSTS 085 KT
RADII ລົມ ສັບ ກວ່າ ນ້ໍາ ເທົ່ານັ້ນ
RADIUS ຂອງ ພະລັງງານລົມ 064 KT – 025 NM ອອກສ່ຽງເຫນືອ QUADRANT
025 QUADRANT NM ເວັນອອກສ່ຽງໃຕ້
025 QUADRANT NM ຕາເວັນຕົກສຽງ
025 QUADRANT NM Northwest
RADIUS ຂອງ ພະລັງງານລົມ 050 KT – 045 NM ອອກສ່ຽງເຫນືອ QUADRANT
045 QUADRANT NM ເວັນອອກສ່ຽງໃຕ້
045 QUADRANT NM ຕາເວັນຕົກສຽງ
045 QUADRANT NM Northwest
RADIUS ຂອງ ພະລັງງານລົມ 034 KT – 115 NM ອອກສ່ຽງເຫນືອ QUADRANT
100 QUADRANT NM ເວັນອອກສ່ຽງໃຕ້
090 QUADRANT NM ຕາເວັນຕົກສຽງ
100 QUADRANT NM Northwest
ເຮັດເລື້ມຄືນ ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ : 15.9N 108.2E

ການຄາດຄະເນ :
12 HRS , ສັບ ຢູ່ :
151200Z — 15.6N 106.1E
ມາ SUSTAINED ລົມ – 045 KT , GUSTS 055 KT
RADII ລົມ ສັບ ກວ່າ ນ້ໍາ ເທົ່ານັ້ນ
DISSIPATING ເປັນ cyclone Tropical A ມີຄວາມສໍາຄັນ ກັບທີ່ດິນ
vector ຫາ ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ HR 24 : 275 KTS DEG / 10

24 HRS , ສັບ ຢູ່ :
160000Z — 15.7N 104.0E
ມາ ລົມ ແບບຍືນຍົງ – 030 KT , GUSTS 040 KT
RADII ລົມ ສັບ ກວ່າ ນ້ໍາ ເທົ່ານັ້ນ
DISSIPATING ເປັນ cyclone Tropical A ມີຄວາມສໍາຄັນ ກັບທີ່ດິນ
vector ຫາ ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ HR 36 : 285 DEG KTS / 09

36 HRS , ສັບ ຢູ່ :
161200Z — 16.2N 102.3E
ມາ SUSTAINED ລົມ – 020 KT , GUSTS 030 KT
RADII ລົມ ສັບ ກວ່າ ນ້ໍາ ເທົ່ານັ້ນ
DISSIPATED ເປັນ cyclone Tropical A ມີຄວາມສໍາຄັນ ກັບທີ່ດິນ

ຂໍ້ສັງເກດ :
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ 150300Z ໄກ້ 107.7E 15.8N .
TYPHOON 24W ( NARI ) , ຕັ້ງຢູ່ ປະມານ 8 NM ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ DA ນາງ ,
ຫວຽດນາມ, ມີ TRACKED WESTWARD 10 KNOTS ກວ່າ ໄລຍະຜ່ານມາ ຫົກ ຊົ່ວໂມງ .
ແກ້ໄຂ ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ທີ່ຜ່ານມາ ຈາກ PGTW ແລະ RJTD ແລະຮູບພາບ TRMM A 142326Z
ລະບຸວ່າການ ສູນກາງ TY 24W ໄດ້ MOVED ຈອດໃກ້ຝັງ ເຂົ້າໄປໃນ ຂັ້ນສູນກາງ
. ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ ໃນ ຫຼາຍ ປະຈຸບັນແມ່ນ ອີງໃສ່ການ ທີ່ຜ່ານມາ Subject DVORAK
ແລະຄາດຄະເນ ອັດຕະໂນມັດ ຫຼາຍ . ລະບົບ ແມ່ນ ການຕິດຕາມ WESTWARD
ຕາມ PERIPHERY ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ ສັນຕາມລວງຍາວ ຊີ້ນ Subtropical ຕາມ
. ພາກເຫນືອ cyclone ຈະ ລະລາຍໄປ ຂ້າງລຸ່ມນີ້ ໃກ້ເຂົ້າສູ່ ເຕືອນໄພ
ສຸມ ຂອງ 25 KNOTS ເປັນ TRACKS ແຫຼ່ງ ໄລຍະຕໍ່ໄປ 36 ຊົ່ວໂມງ .
ເພາະສະນັ້ນ, ນີ້ແມ່ນ ຄໍາເຕືອນ ສຸດທ້າຍ ລະບົບ ນີ້ໂດຍການ ຮ່ວມ
TYPHOON WRNCEN HI PEARL harbor . ລະບົບ ຈະໄດ້ຮັບການ ຕິດຕາມ ຢ່າງໃກ້ຊິດ
ສໍາລັບ ອາການຂອງການ ຟື້ນຟູ . ອ້າງອີງເຖິງ TYPHOON 25W ການເຕືອນໄພ ( WIPHA )
( WTPN31 PGTW ) ສໍາລັບການ ປັບປຸງໃຫ້ທັນ ຫົກ ຊົ່ວໂມງ . / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW ປາຊີຟິກ : Alert ພາຍຸ ອອກ ຢູ່ທີ່ 15 ຕຸລາ , 2013 0:00 GMT ( ຄໍາເຕືອນ ສຸດທ້າຍ )

Typhoon NARI ( 24W ) ຕັ້ງຢູ່ ໃນປະຈຸບັນ ຢູ່ໃກ້ 15.9 N 108,2 ອີ ຄາດຄະເນວ່າ ການ ໂຈມຕີ ທີ່ດິນ ກັບ ຄວາມເປັນໄປ ດັ່ງຕໍ່ໄປນີ້ ( s ) ສຸດ ທີ່ໃຊ້ເວລາ ຜູ້ນໍາ ໃຫ້ ( s ) :

ປະເທດ ສີແດງ Alert ( s ) ຫຼື ແຂວງ ( s )
ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບ cat 1 ຫຼື ຂ້າງເທິງ ແມ່ນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ສປປລາວ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບ cat 1 ຫຼື ຂ້າງເທິງ ແມ່ນ 60 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ສີແດງ Alert ເມືອງ ( s ) ແລະ ເມືອງ ( s )
DA ນາງ ( 16.1 N , ອີ 108,2 )
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບ cat 1 ຫຼື ຂ້າງເທິງ ແມ່ນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ

ປະເທດ Alert ສີເຫຼືອງ ( s ) ຫຼື ແຂວງ ( s )
ກໍາປູເຈຍ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 85 % ພາຍໃນ 12 ຊົ່ວໂມງ
ປະເທດໄທ
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 80 % ພາຍໃນ 12 ຊົ່ວໂມງ
ສີເຫຼືອງ Alert ເມືອງ ( s ) ແລະ ເມືອງ ( s )
ກວາງ Ngai ( 15.1 N , ອີ 108,8 )
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 100 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
ດົງ ຫ້າ ( 16.8 N , ອີ 107,1 )
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 90 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
Kon Tum ( 14.4 N , ອີ 108,0 )
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 80 % ໃນປະຈຸບັນ
Dong Hoi ( 17.5 N , ອີ 106,6 )
ຄາດຄະເນການ ສໍາລັບການ TS ເປັນ 60 % ພາຍໃນ 12 ຊົ່ວໂມງ

ໃຫ້ສັງເກດວ່າ
ສີແດງ Alert ( ທີ່ຮ້າຍແຮງ ) ແມ່ນ cat 1 ຫຼື ຂ້າງເທິງ ທີ່ຈະ ຢູ່ລະຫວ່າງ 31 % ແລະ ຄາດຄະເນການ 100% .
ສີເຫຼືອງ Alert ( ຟ ) ແມ່ນ 1 cat ຫຼື ຂ້າງເທິງ ທີ່ຈະ ໄດ້ລະຫວ່າງ 10 % ແລະ ຄາດຄະເນການ 30% , ຫຼື TS ຫາ ຂ້າງເທິງ ຄາດຄະເນການ 50% .
1 cat ຫມາຍຄວາມວ່າ ລົມ Typhoon ຄວາມເຂັ້ມແຂງ ຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ 74 mph , 119 ກິໂລແມັດ / h ຫຼື 64 knots 1- min sustained .
TS ຫມາຍຄວາມວ່າ ລົມ ພາຍຸ ຄວາມເຂັ້ມແຂງ ຍະ Tropical ການ ຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ 39 mph , 63 ກິໂລແມັດ / h ຫຼື 34 knots 1- min sustained .

ສໍາລັບ ຂໍ້ມູນຂ່າວສານ ພະຍາກອນ ຮູບພາບ ແລະລາຍລະອຽດ ເພີ່ມເຕີມ ກະລຸນາ ໄປຢ້ຽມຢາມ http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
ບົດລາຍງານ ອື່ນໆ

Typhoon ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ Nari hits

” ຝົນຕົກ torrential ແມ່ນ ຫຼຸດລົງ ໃນ ອາຊີຕາເວັນ ຍ້ອນ Typhoon Nari , ຊຶ່ງ ເຮັດໃຫ້ landfall ໃກ້ DA ນາງ ມານ 03 UTC ໃນວັນພຸດ ເປັນ ຫມວດ 1 typhoon ມີ 80 mph ລົມ . ຕາ ຜ່ານ 10 ໄມ ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ DA ນາງ , ການວາງ ນະຄອນ ໃນ ພາກເຫນືອຂອງ ທີ່ເຂັ້ມແຂງ ຂອງ semicircle ຫມໍ ໄດ້ . DA ນາງ ບັນທຶກ ລົມ ແບບຍືນຍົງ ຂອງ ທາງເທີງ 55 mph , gusting ກັບ 81 mph , ແລະ ເກັບ ຂຶ້ນ 4,06 ” ຝົນຕົກຫນັກ . ແມ່ນ ຄວາມ ຮຸນແຮງ ໃນ DA ນາງ , ແລະຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ ຫ້າ ເສຍຊີວິດ ແມ່ນໄດ້ຖືກ blamed ກ່ຽວກັບ ການ ປົກຄອງ . Nari battered ຟີລິບປິນ ໃນວັນສຸກ, ຂ້າ ປະຊາຊົນ ແລະ thirteen ໄວ້ 2.1 ລ້ານຄົນ ບໍ່ມີ ໄຟຟ້າ ໃນເກາະ ຟີລິບປິນ ໃນ ຕົ້ນຕໍ ຂອງ Luzon ” – . ລິນຍາໂທ ດຣ Jeff / ສະພາບອາກາດ / ກໍາ 2:49 PM GMT on ຕຸລາ 14 , 2013
Huffs Typhoon Nari , Puffs ແລະ ນໍາ ້ໍາຖ້ວມ ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ

ໂດຍ VU Trong Khanh | ການ Wall Street Journal

” ຮ່າໂນ້ຍ _ Typhoon Nari ຕົກ ນະຄອນ coastal ຂອງ Danang ສຸດ ໃນຕອນເຊົ້າ ວັນອັງຄານ , ຂ້າ ຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ ຫ້າ ປະຊາຊົນ , ລົງ knocking ຕົ້ນໄມ້, ການທໍາລາຍ ຫຼາຍຮ້ອຍຄົນ ຂອງ ບ້ານເຮືອນແລະ ອາຍແກັສ ການຫລົ້ມຈົມ ຂອງເຮືອ ຫາປາ .

ຫມໍ ໄດ້ ນັບຕັ້ງແຕ່ weakened ແລະ ຄາດຄະເນວ່າ ຈະ downgraded ໄປ ປົກຄອງ ເຂດຮ້ອນ ມື້ນີ້ ຫຼັງຈາກນັ້ນ , ແຕ່ ພະນັກງານ ເວົ້າວ່າ ມັນ ໄດ້ triggered ຝົນຕົກຫນັກ ທີ່ອາດຈະ ເຮັດໃຫ້ເກີດ ອັນຕະລາຍ ້ໍາຖ້ວມ – ຊຶ່ງຫມາຍຄວາມ ຮ້າຍແຮງຂຶ້ນ ອາດຈະ ທັນ ມາ .

ລະດັບ ນ້ໍາ ໃນ ແມ່ນ້ໍາ ຂອງທ້ອງຖິ່ນ ໃນພາກກາງຂອງ ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ ໄດ້ ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ ຢ່າງໄວວາ ແລະ ປະຊາຊົນ ໃນ ບັນດາແຂວງ ພາກກາງ , ເຊັ່ນດຽວກັນກັບ ສູນກາງ ເຂດທີ່ສູງ , ຄວນ ລະວັງ ຂອງ landslide ້ໍາຖ້ວມ ແລະ flash , ພະນັກງານ ຢູ່ ສູນ ແຫ່ງຊາດ ສໍາລັບການ ຄາດຄະເນການ ໄຟຟ້າ , ອຸຕຸນິຍົມ , ຊຶ່ງ monitors ເຫດການ ດິນຟ້າອາກາດ ທີ່ຮຸນແຮງ ເວົ້າວ່າ .

ມັນ ເວົ້າວ່າ ຝົນຕົກ ໃນ ເຂດພື້ນທີ່ ranged ຈາກ 112 ມີລີແມັດ ກັບ 396 ມີລີແມັດ ໃນໄລຍະ ທີ່ຜ່ານມາ ໃນ 24 ຊົ່ວໂມງ .

” ຕົ້ນໄມ້ທີ່ ຫຼົ່ນເອງ ແລະ [ detached ] ມຸງ ແມ່ນເຫັນ ຢູ່ທົ່ວທຸກແຫ່ງ , ” Le Van Tien , ຢ່າງເປັນທາງການ ຢູ່ທີ່ Danang ຂອງ ການຕ້ານ ໄພນໍ້າຖ້ວມ ແລະ ພະແນກ ການ ປົກຄອງ ໄດ້ ບອກ Wall Street ວາລະສານ . ” ພະລັງງານລົມ ໄດ້ subsided ໃນປັດຈຸບັນ , ແຕ່ວ່າມັນກໍ ຍັງ raining ຫຼາຍ ຫຼາຍ . ”

ບົດລາຍງານການ ເລີ່ມຕົ້ນ ມາຈາກ ແຂວງ ຕ້ານ ນ້ໍາ ແລະ ພະແນກການ ປົກຄອງ ສະແດງໃຫ້ເຫັນ ວ່າ typhoon ໄດ້ ຖືກຂ້າຕາຍ ຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ ສາມຄົນ ແລະ ປະໄວ້ ດຽວ ຫາຍ ໃນ ກວາງ ນ້ໍາ ແລະ ໄດ້ຮັບບາດເຈັບ 11 ຄົນ ໃນ Danang . ກ່ອນທີ່ຈະ ເຮັດໃຫ້ landfall ໃນ ປະເທດຫວຽດນາມ , Nari ຂ້າ ຢ່າງຫນ້ອຍ 15 ຄົນ ໃນຟີລິບປິນ .

ສາຍການບິນ ຫວຽດນາມ , ບັນທຸກ flagship ຂອງປະເທດ , ໄດ້ ຍົກເລີກ ຫຼື ຊັກຊ້າ ການບິນໄປຫາ ແລະ ຈາກ Hue Danang ແລະ ໃກ້ຄຽງ City. ລັດ , ໄລຍະ ກຸ່ມ ໄຟຟ້າ ສສຫວຽດນາມ ກ່າວວ່າ typhoon ໄດ້ ເກີດມາຈາກ blackouts ໃນ ແຂວງອື່ນໆ Danang ແລະຄວາມຮຸນແຮງ ໃນ ເຂດພາກກາງ ຂອງປະເທດ , ເຮັດໃຫ້ມັນ ມີຄວາມຫຍຸ້ງຍາກ ການກໍານົດ ຂອບເຂດ ຂອງ ຄວາມເສຍຫາຍ ດັ່ງກ່າວ .

” ພວກເຮົາ ມີ ບັນຫາໃນ ການປັບປຸງ ສະຖານະການ ຈາກ ເມືອງ ຈໍານວນຫຼາຍ ຍ້ອນການ ຕັດ ພະລັງງານ , ” ຢ່າງເປັນທາງການ ກັບ ກວາງ ນ້ໍາ ຂອງ ການຕ້ານ ໄພນໍ້າຖ້ວມ ແລະ ພະແນກ ການ ປົກຄອງ ໄດ້ . ພຣະອົງກ່າວວ່າ ການເສຍຊີວິດ ໂທຣ ສາມາດ ເພີ່ມສູງຂຶ້ນ ໃນຕໍ່ຫນ້າ ເປັນ ຂໍ້ມູນເພີ່ມເຕີມ ມາ ເຂົ້າ

Nari ແມ່ນ ປົກຄອງ ທີ່ສໍາຄັນ ທີ 11 ຫຼື typhoon ເພື່ອ ມົນຕີ ສສຫວຽດນາມ ໃນປີນີ້ . ກ່ອນກ່ອນເວລາ ຂອງ landfall ຂອງຕົນ , ອໍານາດການປົກ ໃນ ບັນດາແຂວງ ພາກກາງແລະ evacuated ຫຼາຍກວ່າ 123.000 ຄົນ ແລະ ຄໍາສັ່ງ 68.000 ເຮືອ ຈອດໃກ້ຝັງ , ອີງຕາມການ ຄະນະກໍາມະ ການສູນກາງ ສໍາລັບ ້ໍາຖ້ວມ ແລະ ພາຍຸ ການຄວບຄຸມ .

ຫຼາຍກ່ວາ 190 ປະຊາຊົນໄດ້ ຖືກຂ້າຕາຍ ໂດຍ ພາຍຸ , ແລະ ໄພນໍ້າຖ້ວມ ເຊັ່ນ: ໄພ ທໍາມະຊາດ ອື່ນໆ ນັບຕັ້ງແຕ່ ເດືອນມັງກອນ . ”
ທະເລ
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141200
141200 ຄໍາເຕືອນ .
ເຕືອນ ອາຍຸ 151200 .
ຄໍາເຕືອນ ຖືກ ປັບປຸງ ທຸກໆ 6 ຊົ່ວໂມງ .
ຄໍາເຕືອນ TYPHOON .
TYPHOON 1325 NARI ( 1325 ) 965 HPA
ໃນ 16.3N 110.0E South China Sea ການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍ WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS .
position ດີ.
ມາ WINDS 75 KNOTS ໄກ້ ສູນ .
RADIUS ຫຼາຍກວ່າ 50 ລົມ KNOT 60 ໄມ .
RADIUS ກວ່າ 30 ລົມ KNOT 180 ໄມ ພາກເຫນືອ SEMICIRCLE ແລະ 150 ຄົນ
ຢູ່ບ່ອນອື່ນ .
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ການຄາດຄະເນ ສໍາລັບການ 150000UTC ໃນ 16.4N 108.3E ກັບ 50 RADIUS ໄມ
ຂອງ 70 ແຜ່ນປ້າຍວົງກົມ ເປັນ ເປີເຊັນ .
975 HPA , ມາ ລົມ 60 KNOTS ໄກ້ ສູນ .
ຕໍາແຫນ່ງ ການຄາດຄະເນ ສໍາລັບການ 151200UTC ໃນ 16.1N 106.1E ກັບ 75 RADIUS ໄມ
ຂອງ 70 ແຜ່ນປ້າຍວົງກົມ ເປັນ ເປີເຊັນ .
1002 HPA .
ກາຍມາເປັນ ຊຶມເສົ້າ ຮ້ອນ .

ຕົວແທນ ປະເທດຍີ່ປຸ່ນ ອຸຕຸນິຍົມ . =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200

WWCI50 BABJ 151200

2:31:11:11:00

BT

= Pan Pan

ຂ່າວສານ ສໍາລັບການ NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) ອອກໃຫ້ໂດຍ NMC ປັກກິ່ງ

ໃນ 1530UTC OCT.15 2013 =

ຂ່າວສານທີ່ ຖືກ ປັບປຸງ ໃນທຸກໆ 06 ຊົ່ວໂມງ =

SYNOPSIS ສັບ Oct 1200UTC . 15 =

ການຄາດຄະເນ ອາຍຸ 1200UTC Oct . 16 =

WARNNING =

TY WIPHA 1326 (1326) 960HPA ໃນ 30.5N 136.3E ການເຄື່ອນຍ້າຍ

NE 65KM / h ແລະ ມາ ລົມ 38M / s ໄກ້ ສູນ ( SEAS ເຖິງ

ໄປ 9.0M ) ແລະ RADIUS ຂອງ 30KTS ລົມ 380KM ແລະ

RADIUS ຂອງ 50KTS ລົມ 100KM ແລະ ການຄາດຄະເນ ສໍາລັບການ

161200UTC ໃນ 43.6N 147.9E 985HPA ມາ ລົມ 23M / s

ໄກ້ ສູນ =

= ຮວບ

ພະລັງງານລົມ N / W ຈາກ 08 ຈະ 16M / SEAS S ສູງເຖິງ 2.5M ກວ່າ

BOHAI Strait ແລະ ພາກ ເຫນືອ ທະເລ ເຫຼືອງ =

N / NE ລົມ ຈາກ ການທີ 11 ເຖິງ SEAS 20M / s ເຖິງ 3.5M ກວ່າ

ພາກ ກາງແລະ ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ ຊີ ສີເຫຼືອງແລະ ພາກ ໃຕ້

ພາກຕາເວັນອອກ ຂອງ ຈີນ ຊີ ແລະໃຕ້ຫວັນ Strait =

ພະລັງງານລົມ N / NE ຈາກ 13 24M / s SEAS 28M / s GUST ເຖິງ

4.0M ກວ່າ ພາກ ເຫນືອ ຂອງ ພາກຕາເວັນອອກ ຈີນ ຊີ =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ອີເມລ / NE ຈາກ 08 ຈະ 16M / s SEAS 20M / s GUST ເຖິງ

2.5M ກວ່າ ພາກ ເຫນືອ ຂອງ South China Sea =

ພະລັງງານລົມ NE ຈາກ 11 ເຖິງ 20M / SEAS ເຖິງ 3.0M ກວ່າ

ປະເທດຍີ່ປຸ່ນ ຊີ ແລະເກົາຫຼີ Strait =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 17 ຈະ SEAS 28M / s ເຖິງ 6.0M ກວ່າ ຊີ

ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ ປະເທດຍີ່ປຸ່ນ =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 29 ຈະ 38M SEAS / S ສູງເຖິງ 9.0M ກວ່າ ຊີ

ໄກ້ ສູນກາງທາງ WIPHA =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 13 24M SEAS / S ສູງເຖິງ 4.5M ກວ່າ ຊີ

ຕາເວັນອອກຂອງ ເກາະ RYUKYU ແລະ ຊີ ຕາເວັນຕົກຂອງ BONIN

= ເກາະ

ສັງເກດເຫັນ ຢູ່ຕາມເສັ້ນນອນ ຫນ້ອຍກວ່າ 10KM ກວ່າ ອັນດາມັນ

ພາກ ຊີ ແລະພາກເຫນືອ ຂອງປະເທດໄທ Gulf ແລະ ຊີ ຕາເວັນຕົກ

ຂອງ SUMATERA ແລະ SUNDA Strait ແລະ ຊີ ຕາເວັນອອກຂອງ

ສິງກະໂປແລະ LAUT JAWA ແລະ MAKASSAR Strait ແລະ

= LAUT MALUKU

= ການຄາດຄະເນ

ພະລັງງານລົມ NLY ຈາກ 08 ຈະ 16M / s SEAS 20M / s GUST ເຖິງ

2.5M ກວ່າ BOHAI Strait =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ ການທີ 11 ເຖິງ 20M / s GUST 24M / SEAS S ສູງເຖິງ 3.0M

ກວ່າ ເຫຼືອງ ຊີ ຊີ ແລະ ຕາເວັນອອກຂອງ ໄຕ້ຫວັນແລະ ພາກເຫນືອ

ແລະພາກສ່ວນ ເຄິ່ງ ຕາເວັນຕົກຂອງ South China Sea ແລະ BASHI

ຊ່ອງທາງການ ແລະ BEIBU Gulf ແລະ QIONGZHOU Strait =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 13 24M / s SEAS 28M / s GUST ເຖິງ 4.5M

ກວ່າ ຕາເວັນອອກ China Sea ແລະໃຕ້ຫວັນ Strait ແລະເກົາຫຼີ

Strait ແລະຍີ່ປຸ່ນ ຊີ =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 17 ຈະ SEAS 28M / s ເຖິງ 5.5M ກວ່າ ຊີ

ພາກໃຕ້ຂອງ ປະເທດຍີ່ປຸ່ນ =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ 29 ຈະ 38M SEAS / S ສູງເຖິງ 8.5M ກວ່າ ຊີ

ໄກ້ ສູນກາງທາງ WIPHA =

ພະລັງງານລົມ ຈາກ ການທີ 11 ເຖິງ GUST 20M / S ການທີ 21 ເຖິງ SEAS 28M / s ເຖິງ

4.0M ກວ່າ ຊີ ຕາເວັນອອກຂອງ ເກາະ RYUKYU ແລະ ຊີ ຕາເວັນຕົກ

ຂອງ BONIN ເກາະ =

KHMER (Translated by Google)

ប្រទេសវៀតណាម: 24W ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី 151200Z នៅក្បែរ 106.0E 16.0N ការផ្លាស់ទី សរសេរ នៅ 15 knots ( JMA ) បានបន្ទាប ទៅ depression ត្រូពិក – 151013 1905z

ត្រូពិច depression ( 24W ) ណារី / Santi

” ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី ទស្សនា ប្រទេសវៀតណាម ” – លោកបណ្ឌិត លោក Jeff ថ្នាក់អនុបណ្ឌិត / អាកាសធាតុ / នៅក្រោមដី

ខ្យល់ព្យុះ 24W ( ណារី ) បានបន្ទាប ទៅ depression ត្រូពិក ( JMA )

ណារី ទស្សនា ប្រទេសវៀតណាម នោះទេប៉ុន្តែ ប្រទេសឡាវ , ប្រទេសកម្ពុជា , ប្រទេសថៃ ត្រូវដឹង !

( រមូរចុះក្រោម សម្រាប់ ការបកប្រែ និងការព្រមាន នាវាចរណ៍ )

( Mag – រមូរ pababa Para SA mga pagsasalin នៅ នាវាចរណ៍ Babala )

( Di chuyển xuống Cho គ គ ការហាមប្រាម dịch V cảnh ខ o េ ជ Ng hai )

ទីភ្នាក់ងារ ជប៉ុន Meteorological
ទាំងអស់ Cyclones ត្រូពិក
TD
បានចេញ នៅ 13:10 UTC ទី 15 ខែតុលា ឆ្នាំ 2013
<Analyses នៅ 15/12 UTC>
ធ្វើមាត្រដ្ឋាន –
្របពលភព –
TD
ទីតាំង មជ្ឈមណ្ឌល N16 ° 00 ‘( 16.0 ° )
E106 ° 00 ‘( 106.0 ° )
ទិសដៅ និងល្បឿននៃ ចលនា សរសេរ 30km / ម៉ោង ( 15kt )
1000hPa សម្ពាធ កណ្តាល

PAGASA – DOST
PAGASA – DOST
ហ្វីលីពីន ្រិយកាស , ការគ្រប់គ្រង សេវា Geophysical និង តារាវិទ្យា

ក្នុងនាមជា បច្ចុប្បន្ននេះ មិនមាន cyclone ត្រូពិច ដែលមានស្រាប់ នៅក្នុង តំបន់ នៃប្រទេសហ្វីលីពីនដែល ការទទួលខុសត្រូវ ( Par ) គឺ
មជ្ឈមណ្ឌលជាតិ សម្រាប់ការ hydro – meteorological ការទស្សទាយ ( NCHMF ) ប្រទេសវៀតណាម

ទិន្នន័យ មិនអាចប្រើបាន
ការព្រមាន ខ្យល់ព្យុះ រួមរបស់ មជ្ឈមណ្ឌល ( JTWC )

( រូបភាព : JTWC ) ព្រមាន TC ក្រាហ្វិក (រូបភាព ចុច សម្រាប់ប្រភព )

ក្រុមហ៊ុន Google Earth បាន ក្រាហ្វិក គ្របចាប់ពី

WTPN32 PGTW 150300
msgid / GENADMIN / រួម មានខ្យល់ព្យុះ WRNCEN កំពង់ផែ គុជខ្យង HI / /
ព្រមាន CYCLONE SUBJ / ត្រូពិច / /
RMKS /
1 ។ ខ្យល់ព្យុះ 24W ( ណារី ) ព្រមាន ផ្លូវជាតិលេខ 026 ( ព្រមាន ចុងក្រោយ )
02 CYCLONES ត្រូពិច សកម្មនៅក្នុង NORTHWESTPAC
MAX រន្ដន៍ភាព ខ្យល់ ដែលមានមូលដ្ឋាន ជាមធ្យម មួយ នាទី
RADII ខ្យល់ ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព ទឹក ចំហរ តែ

Positions ព្រមាន:
150000Z — ជិត 15.9N 108.2E
ចលនា បិទភ្ជាប់ ប្រាំមួយ ម៉ោងក្នុង – 260 ដឺក្រេ ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 10 KTS
Positions ត្រឹមត្រូវ ក្នុង 040 Nm
វិជ្ជមាន ផ្អែក លើ មជ្ឈមណ្ឌល ដែលមានទីតាំងស្ថិតនៅ តាម ផ្កាយរណប
ការចែកចាយ ខ្យល់ បច្ចុប្បន្ន:
MAX រន្ដន៍ភាព ខ្យល់ – 070 KT , GUSTS 085 KT
RADII ខ្យល់ ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព ទឹក ចំហរ តែ
កាំ នៃ 064 ខ្យល់ KT – 025 Nm ភាគឦសាន QUADRANT
QUADRANT 025 Nm អាគ្នេយ៍
QUADRANT 025 Nm និរតី
QUADRANT 025 Nm ពាយ័ព្យ
កាំ នៃ 050 ខ្យល់ KT – 045 Nm ភាគឦសាន QUADRANT
QUADRANT 045 Nm អាគ្នេយ៍
QUADRANT 045 Nm និរតី
QUADRANT 045 Nm ពាយ័ព្យ
កាំ នៃ 034 ខ្យល់ KT – 115 Nm ភាគឦសាន QUADRANT
QUADRANT 100 Nm អាគ្នេយ៍
QUADRANT 090 Nm និរតី
QUADRANT 100 Nm ពាយ័ព្យ
ធ្វើម្ដងទៀត ជាវិជ្ជមាន : 15.9N 108.2E

ការទស្សទាយ :
12 សិទ្ធិមនុស្ស , ដែលត្រឹមត្រូវនៅ :
151200Z — 15.6N 106.1E
MAX រន្ដន៍ភាព ខ្យល់ – 045 KT , GUSTS 055 KT
RADII ខ្យល់ ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព ទឹក ចំហរ តែ
DISSIPATING ជា CYCLONE ត្រូពិច មួយ សសំខន់ ដី
វ៉ិចទ័រ ទៅទីតាំង ធនធានមនុស្ស 24 : 275 KTS DEG បាន / 10

24 សិទ្ធិមនុស្ស , ដែលត្រឹមត្រូវនៅ :
160000Z — 15.7N 104.0E
MAX ខ្យល់ ប្រកបដោយនិរន្តរភាព – 030 KT , GUSTS 040 KT
RADII ខ្យល់ ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព ទឹក ចំហរ តែ
DISSIPATING ជា CYCLONE ត្រូពិច មួយ សសំខន់ ដី
វ៉ិចទ័រ ទៅទីតាំង ធនធានមនុស្ស 36 : 285 DEG បាន KTS / 09

36 សិទ្ធិមនុស្ស , ដែលត្រឹមត្រូវនៅ :
161200Z — 16.2N 102.3E
MAX រន្ដន៍ភាព ខ្យល់ – 020 KT , GUSTS 030 KT
RADII ខ្យល់ ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព ទឹក ចំហរ តែ
DISSIPATED ជា CYCLONE ត្រូពិច មួយ សសំខន់ ដី

គួរឱ្យកត់សម្គាល់ :
Positions 150300Z នៅក្បែរ 107.7E 15.8N ។
ខ្យល់ព្យុះ 24W ( ណារី ) ដែលមានទីតាំង ប្រមាណជា 8 Nm នៅភាគខាងត្បូងនៃ Da Nang ,
ប្រទេសវៀតណាម បាន ចាត់ WESTWARD ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 10 KNOTS ក្នុងរយៈពេល ប្រាំមួយ ម៉ោង។
ជួសជុល វិជ្ជមាន ថ្មី ពី PGTW និង RJTD និងរូបភាព TRMM មួយ 142326Z
ចង្អុលបង្ហាញថា កណ្តាលនៃ ទី 24W បាន ASHORE ចូលទៅក្នុង កណ្តាល
។ ប្រទេសវៀតណាម អាំងតង់ស៊ីតេ ចចុបបនន គឺមានមូលដ្ឋានលើ ប្រធានបទ ថ្មី DVORAK
្របពលភព និងការប៉ាន់ប្រមាណ ដោយស្វ័យប្រវត្តិ ។ ប្រព័ន្ធនឹងត្រូវបាន តាមដាន WESTWARD
PERIPHERY នៅតាមបណ្តោយ ភាគខាងត្បូង នៃ តំបន់ត្រូពិច មួយ Ridge ឈាន ទៅ
។ ភាគខាងជើង CYCLONE នឹង DISSIPATE ខាងក្រោម កម្រិត ព្រមាន
្របពលភព 25 KNOTS ដូចដែលវា TRACKS ទឹក ក្នុងរយៈពេល 36 ម៉ោង។
ដូច្នេះ នេះគឺជាការ ព្រមាន ចុងក្រោយ នៅលើប្រព័ន្ធ នេះដោយ រួម
ខ្យល់ព្យុះ WRNCEN HI កំពង់ផែ គុជខ្យង ។ ប្រព័ន្ធនឹង ត្រូវបានត្រួតពិនិត្យ យ៉ាងដិតដល់
គស្ញន ការបង្កើតឡើងវិញ ។ យោងទៅលើ ខ្យល់ព្យុះ 25W ព្រមាន ( WIPHA )
( WTPN31 PGTW ) សម្រាប់ការ ធ្វើឱ្យទាន់សម័យ ប្រាំមួយ – HOURLY ។ / /
NNNN
TSR logoNW តំបន់ប៉ាស៊ីហ្វិក : ព្រមាន ខ្យល់ព្យុះ បានចេញ នៅ តុលា 15 , 2013 0:00 GMT + ( ការព្រមាន ចុងក្រោយ )

ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី ( 24W ) ដែលមានទីតាំងស្ថិត នៅជិត 15,9 បច្ចុប្បន្ន N, 108,2 អ៊ី ត្រូវបានគេ ព្យាករថា ធ្វើកូដកម្ម ដី ទៅ ហាក់ដូចជា ដូចខាងក្រោម ( s) បាន នាំមុខ នៅពេល ដែលបានផ្ដល់ឱ្យ ( s) បាន :

ប្រទេស ក្រហម ព្រមាន ( s) បាន ឬខេត្ត ( s) បាន
ប្រទេសវៀតណាម
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ CAT 1 ឬ ខាងលើ គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
ប្រទេសឡាវ
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ CAT 1 ឬ ខាងលើ គឺ 60 % បច្ចុប្បន្ន
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
ក្រហម ព្រមាន ទីក្រុង ( s) បាន និង ក្រុង ( s) បាន
da ណាង ( 16.1 N, , 108,2 អ៊ី )
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ CAT 1 ឬ ខាងលើ គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន

ប្រទេស ព្រមាន លឿង ( s) បាន ឬខេត្ត ( s) បាន
ប្រទេសកម្ពុជា
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 85% ក្នុងរយៈពេល 12 ម៉ោង
ប្រទេសថៃ
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 80% ក្នុងរយៈពេល 12 ម៉ោង
លឿង ព្រមាន ទីក្រុង ( s) បាន និង ក្រុង ( s) បាន
Quang Ngai ( N, 15.1 , 108,8 អ៊ី )
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 100% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
dong Ha បាន ( 16.8 N, , 107,1 អ៊ី )
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 90% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
Kon Tum ( N, 14.4 , 108,0 អ៊ី )
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 80% បច្ចុប្បន្ន
dong Hoi ( 17.5 N, , 106,6 អ៊ី )
ប្រហែល សម្រាប់ TS គឺ 60 % ក្នុងរយៈពេល 12 ម៉ោង

ចំណាំថា
ក្រហម ព្រមាន ( ធ្ងន់ធ្ងរ ) គឺជា CAT 1 ឬ ខាងលើដើម្បី រវាង 31% និងប្រហែលនិង 100% ។
លឿង ព្រមាន ( ការកាត់បន្ថយ ) គឺ 1 CAT ឬ ខាងលើដើម្បី រវាងពី 10 % និងប្រហែល 30% ឬ TS ទៅ ខាងលើ ប្រហែល 50% ។
1 CAT មានន័យថា កម្លាំង ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ខ្យល់បក់ យ៉ាងហោចណាស់ 74 mph , 119 គីឡូម៉ែត្រ / ម៉ោង ឬ 64 knots – 1 នាទី រន្ដន៍ភាព ។
TS ខ្យល់បក់ មានន័យថា កម្លាំង ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ត្រូពិក នៃការ យ៉ាងហោចណាស់ 39 mph 63 គីឡូម៉ែត្រ / ម៉ោង ឬ 34 knots – 1 នាទី រន្ដន៍ភាព ។

សំរាប់ពត៌មាន ការទស្សទាយ ក្រាហ្វិក និង ព័ត៌មានលម្អិតបន្ថែម សូម ទស្សនា http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
របាយការណ៍ ផ្សេងទៀត

ខ្យល់ព្យុះ នៅប្រទេសវៀតណាម ណារី ទស្សនា

” ភ្លៀង Torrential ត្រូវបាន ធ្លាក់ នៅក្នុង តំបន់អាស៊ីអាគ្នេយ៍ ដោយសារតែមាន ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី ដែល បានធ្វើឡើង នៅជិត landfall Da Nang នៅជុំវិញ 03 UTC នៅថ្ងៃពុធ ជា ប្រភេទ ទី 1 ជាមួយនឹង ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ខ្យល់បក់ 80 mph ។ ភ្នែក បានអនុម័ត 10 ម៉ាយ ភាគខាងត្បូង នៃ Da Nang , ដាក់ នៅក្នុង ទីក្រុង ដ៏ខ្លាំងក្លា នៅភាគខាងជើង semicircle នៃខ្យល់ព្យុះ នេះ។ da ណាង បានកត់ត្រា ខ្យល់បក់ ប្រកបដោយចីរភាព ផ្នែកខាងលើនៃ 55 mph , gusting ទៅ 81 mph និង បានកើនឡើង 4,06 “នៃ ទឹកភ្លៀង ។ ការបំផ្លាញ គឺ ធុនធ្ងន់នៅ Da Nang , ហើយយ៉ាងហោចណាស់ ចំនួនប្រាំ នាក់បានស្លាប់ ត្រូវបានគេ ស្តីបន្ទោស លើ ព្យុះ នេះ។ ណារី battered ប្រទេសហ្វីលីពីន កាលពីថ្ងៃសុក្រ បានសំលាប់មនុស្ស មនុស្សដែល thirteen និងការ ចាកចេញពី 2,1 លាននាក់ ដោយមិនចាំបាច់មាន អំណាច នៅលើកោះ ហ្វីលីពីន សំខាន់នៃ តំបន់ Luzon “- ។ ថ្នាក់អនុបណ្ឌិត បណ្ឌិត លោក Jeff / អាកាសធាតុ / នៅក្រោមដី 2:49 ល្ងាច GMT + នៅថ្ងៃទី 14 ខែតុលាឆ្នាំ 2013
Huffs ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី , Puffs និងការ នាំ ទឹកជំនន់ ទៅប្រទេសវៀតណាម

ដោយ Vu Trong ខាញ់ | Wall Street ដែល ទិនានុប្បវត្តិ

” ហាណូយ , ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី បុក ទីក្រុង តំបន់ឆ្នេរ នៃ Danang នៅព្រឹក ថ្ងៃអង្គារ៍ បានសំលាប់មនុស្ស យ៉ាងហោចណាស់ ចំនួនប្រាំ នាក់ knocking ចុះ ដើមឈើ ខូចខាត់ រាប់រយនាក់បាន លំនៅដ្ឋាននិង រាប់សិបនាក់ លិច ទូក នេសាទ។

ព្យុះ បាន ចុះខ្សោយ ចាប់តាំងពីឆ្នាំ ហើយត្រូវបាន ព្យាករថា នឹងត្រូវបាន បន្ទាប ទៅជា ព្យុះ ត្រូពិច នៅថ្ងៃនេះ នៅពេលក្រោយ នោះទេប៉ុន្តែ មន្ត្រីរដ្ឋាភិបាល បាននិយាយថា វាត្រូវបានកេះ មានភ្លៀងធ្លាក់ច្រើន ដែលអាច បណ្តាលឱ្យ មានះថាក់ ទឹកជំនន់ – នេះមានន័យ កាន់តែអាក្រក់ អាចនឹងត្រូវបាន នៅឡើយទេ មក។

កម្រិត ទឹក នៅក្នុង ទន្លេ មូលដ្ឋាន នៅកណ្តាល ប្រទេសវៀតណាម ត្រូវបាន កើនឡើង យ៉ាងឆាប់រហ័ស និងប្រជាជន នៅក្នុងខេត្ត កណ្តាល ក៏ដូចជា នៅ តំបន់ខ្ពង់រាប កណ្តាល គួរតែ ប្រុងប្រយ័ត្ន នៃ ការបាក់ដី និងទឹកជំនន់ Flash មន្ត្រី នៅមជ្ឈមណ្ឌល ជាតិ សម្រាប់ ការទស្សទាយ hydro – Meteorological ដែលបាន ពិនិតតាមដាន ព្រឹត្តិការណ៍ អាកាសធាតុ បាននិយាយថា ធ្ងន់ធ្ងរ ។

វាត្រូវ បានឱ្យដឹងថា ភ្លៀង នៅក្នុង តំបន់នេះ ចន្លោះពី 112 ទៅ 396 millimeters millimeters ក្នុងរយៈពេល 24 ម៉ោង។

” ដើមឈើ ធ្លាក់ចុះ ហើយ [ បំបែក ] ដំបូល ត្រូវបានគេឃើញ នៅគ្រប់ទីកន្លែង ” Le Tien វ៉ាន់ , ជាផ្លូវការ នៅ Danang ប្រឆាំងនឹង គ្រោះទឹកជំនន់ របស់ នាយកដ្ឋាន និង ព្យុះ មួយ បានប្រាប់ Wall Street ដែល ទិនានុប្បវត្តិ ។ ” ខ្យល់ បាន subsided ឥឡូវនេះ ទេប៉ុន្តែ វាត្រូវបាន ភ្លៀង នៅតែ ខ្លាំង។ ”

របាយការណ៍ ដំបូងពី ខេត្ត ប្រឆាំងនឹង គ្រោះទឹកជំនន់ និងមន្ទីរ ព្យុះ បានបង្ហាញថា ខ្យល់ព្យុះ នេះបាន សំលាប់មនុស្ស យ៉ាងហោចណាស់មាន មនុស្សបីនាក់ និង បានចាកចេញពី បាត់ មួយ នៅក្នុង លោក Nam Quang និងរបួស មនុស្ស 11 នាក់ នៅក្នុង Danang ។ មុនពេល ធ្វើឱ្យ landfall នៅក្នុង ប្រទេសវៀតណាម ណារី បានសំលាប់មនុស្ស យ៉ាងហោចណាស់ 15 នាក់ នៅក្នុង ប្រទេសហ្វីលីពីន។

ក្រុមហ៊ុនអាកាសចរណ៍ វៀតណាម , flagship នាវា របស់ប្រទេសនេះ បាន បានលុបចោល ឬ ពន្យារពេល ការហោះហើរ ទៅកាន់ និងមកពី ពណ៌លាំ Danang និង ជិត City. រដ្ឋ – ការរត់ ក្រុម អគ្គីសនី វៀតណាម បានឱ្យដឹងថា ខ្យល់ព្យុះ នេះបានបង្ក blackouts ក្នុងខេត្តដទៃទៀត និង Danang ជាច្រើន នៅក្នុងតំបន់ កណ្តាល របស់ប្រទេសនេះ ធ្វើឱ្យវា មានការលំបាក ដើម្បីកំណត់ពី វិសាលភាពនៃ ការខូចខាត នេះ។

“យើង កំពុងមាន បញ្ហាក្នុងការ ធ្វើឱ្យទាន់សម័យ ពី ស្ថានភាព ស្រុក ជាច្រើន ដោយសារតែការ កាត់បន្ថយ អំណាច ” ជាផ្លូវការ ជាមួយ Quang របស់ លោក Nam ប្រឆាំងនឹង គ្រោះទឹកជំនន់ និង ខ្យល់ព្យុះ មួយ បានឱ្យដឹងថា មន្ទីរ ។ លោកបាននិយាយថា ចំនួនមនុស្សស្លាប់ អាច កើនឡើង បន្ថែមទៀត ថាជា ព័ត៌មាន កាន់តែច្រើន បានមក ចូល

ណារី គឺជា ព្យុះ ទី 11 ឬ ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ដ៏ធំមួយ ទៅ បុក ប្រទេសវៀតណាម នៅឆ្នាំនេះ។ មុននឹងមានការ landfall របស់ខ្លួន អាជ្ញាធរ នៅក្នុងខេត្ត កណ្តាល ដែលបាន ជម្លៀសចេញ ជាង 123.000 នាក់និង បានបញ្ជា ទូក 68.000 ashore នេះបើយោងតាម ​​គណៈកម្មាការ កណ្តាល សម្រាប់ការ ត្រួតពិនិត្យ ទឹកជំនន់និង ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ។

មានមនុស្សជាង 190 នាក់ត្រូវបានសម្លាប់ ដោយ ខ្យល់ព្យុះទឹកជំនន់ និង calamities ធម្មជាតិ ផ្សេងទៀត ចាប់តាំងពី ខែមករា។ ”
ដែនសមុទ្រ
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141200
141200 ព្រមាន ។
ព្រមាន ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព 151200 ។
ព្រមាន បានធ្វើឱ្យទាន់សម័យ រៀងរាល់ 6 ម៉ោង។
ព្រមាន ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ។
ខ្យល់ព្យុះ ណារី 1325 ( 1325 ) 965 HPA
ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 16.3N 110.0E សមុទ្រចិនខាងត្បូង ការផ្លាស់ប្តូរ WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS ។
ទីតាំង ដ៏ល្អមួយ។
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS នៅជិត Center ។
កាំ ជាង 50 ខ្យល់ KNOT 60 ម៉ាយល៍ ។
កាំ ជាង 30 ខ្យល់ KNOT 180 ម៉ាយ ភាគខាងជើង SEMICIRCLE និង 150 ម៉ាយល៍
នៅកន្លែងផ្សេង ។
ការទស្សទាយ ជាវិជ្ជមាន សំរាប់ការ 150000UTC ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 16.4N 108.3E ជាមួយ 50 កាំ ម៉ា
រង្វង់ ប្រហែលជា 70 ភាគរយ។
975 HPA , MAX ខ្យល់ 60 KNOTS នៅជិត Center ។
ការទស្សទាយ ជាវិជ្ជមាន សំរាប់ការ 151200UTC ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 16.1N 106.1E ជាមួយ 75 កាំ ម៉ា
រង្វង់ ប្រហែលជា 70 ភាគរយ។
1002 HPA ។
ក្លាយ depression ក្នុងតំបន់ត្រូពិក។

ភ្នាក់ងារ ប្រទេសជប៉ុន METEOROLOGICAL ។ =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200

WWCI50 BABJ 151200

2:31:11:11:00

BT

= Pan Pan

សារសម្រាប់ NAVAREA ព្រឹទ្ធសភា ( IOR ) ដែលចេញដោយ NMC ក្រុងប៉េកាំង

ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 1530UTC OCT.15 2013 =

សារគឺ បានធ្វើឱ្យទាន់សម័យ រៀងរាល់ 06 ម៉ោងក្នុង =

SYNOPSIS ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព Oct 1200UTC ។ 15 =

FORECAST ធ្វើឱ្យមានសុពលភាព 1200UTC Oct ។ 16 =

WARNNING =

ទី WIPHA 1326 (1326) 960HPA ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 30.5N 136.3E ការផ្លាស់ប្តូរ

NE 65KM / ម៉ោងនិង MAX ខ្យល់ 38M ​​/ S ដែល នៅក្បែរ Center ( សមុទ្រ ឡើង

ដើម្បី 9.0M ) និង កាំ នៃ 30KTS ខ្យល់ និង 380KM

កាំ នៃ 50KTS ខ្យល់ 100KM ហើយទស្សទាយ ប់

161200UTC ក្រុមហ៊ុន AT 43.6N 147.9E 985HPA MAX ខ្យល់ 23m / S ជា

នៅជិត មជ្ឈមណ្ឌល =

= សង្ខេប

ខ្យល់ N / A សរសេរ ពី 08 ទៅ 16m / សមុទ្រ របស់ S បានរហូតដល់ ជាង 2.5m

BOHAI Strait ហើយជាផ្នែកមួយ នៅភាគខាងជើង នៃសមុទ្រ លឿង =

N / A NE ខ្យល់ ពី 11 ទៅ សមុទ្រ 20m / S ដែល រហូតដល់ទៅ ជាង 3.5M

ភាគ កណ្តាល និងខាងត្បូង នៃសមុទ្រ លឿង និងផ្នែក ខាងត្បូង

ភាគខាងកើត សមុទ្រចិន និងតៃវ៉ាន់ Strait =

ខ្យល់ N / A NE ពី 13 ទៅ 24m / S ជា សមុទ្រ 28m / S ជា GUST ឡើងទៅ

4.0M ជាង ភាគ ខាងជើង ភាគខាងកើត សមុទ្រចិន =

ខ្យល់ អ៊ី / NE ពី 08 ទៅ 16m / S ជា សមុទ្រ 20m / S ជា GUST ឡើងទៅ

2.5m ជាង ភាគទី ភាគខាងជើងនៃ សមុទ្រចិនខាងត្បូង =

ខ្យល់ NE ពី 11 ទៅ 20m / សមុទ្រ រហូតដល់ទៅ ជាង 3.0M

គំេង SEA ប្រទេសជប៉ុន និងកូរ៉េ Strait =

ខ្យល់ ពី 17 ដល់ សមុទ្រ 28m / S ជា រហូតដល់ 6.0M សមុទ្រ

នៅភាគខាងត្បូងនៃ ប្រទេសជប៉ុន =

ខ្យល់ ពី 29 ទៅ 38M សមុទ្រ / S ដែល ឡើងដល់ 9.0M សមុទ្រ

នៅជិត កណ្តាលនៃ WIPHA =

ខ្យល់ ពី 13 ទៅ 24m សមុទ្រ / S ដែល ឡើងដល់ 4.5M សមុទ្រ

ខាងកើតនៃ RYUKYU កោះ និងសមុទ្រ ខាងលិចនៃ BONIN

= កោះ

ដែលអាចមើលឃើញ ដោយផ្ដេក តិចជាង 10KM ជាង ANDAMAN

ភាគទី គំរោង SEA និង ភាគខាងជើងនៃ ប្រទេសថៃ និងសមុទ្រ ភាគខាងលិច ឈូងសមុទ្រ

នៃ SUMATERA និង SUNDA Strait និងសមុទ្រ ខាងកើត

សិង្ហបុរីនិង LAUT JAWA និង MAKASSAR Strait និង

= LAUT MALUKU

ការទស្សទាយ =

ខ្យល់ NLY ពី 08 ទៅ 16m / S ជា សមុទ្រ 20m / S ជា GUST ឡើងទៅ

2.5m ជាង BOHAI Strait =

ខ្យល់ ពី 11 ទៅ 20m / S ជា GUST 24m / សមុទ្រ របស់ S បានរហូតដល់ 3.0M

លើសពី គំេង SEA លឿង និងសមុទ្រ ខាងកើតនៃ កោះតៃវ៉ាន់និង ខាងជើង

និងផ្នែក ពាក់កណ្តាល ខាងលិចនៃ សមុទ្រចិនខាងត្បូង និង BASHI

ឆានែល និង BEIBU ឈូងសមុទ្រ និង QIONGZHOU Strait =

ខ្យល់ ពី 13 ទៅ 24m / S ជា សមុទ្រ 28m / S ជា GUST រហូតដល់ 4.5M

ជាង ភាគខាងកើត សមុទ្រចិន និងតៃវ៉ាន់ Strait និងកូរ៉េ

Strait និងជប៉ុន គំេង SEA =

ខ្យល់ ពី 17 ដល់ សមុទ្រ 28m / S ជា រហូតដល់ 5.5M សមុទ្រ

នៅភាគខាងត្បូងនៃ ប្រទេសជប៉ុន =

ខ្យល់ ពី 29 ទៅ 38M សមុទ្រ / S ដែល ឡើងដល់ 8.5M សមុទ្រ

នៅជិត កណ្តាលនៃ WIPHA =

ខ្យល់ ពី 11 ទៅ GUST 20m / S ជា 21 ទៅ សមុទ្រ 28m / S ដែល ឡើងទៅ

4.0M សមុទ្រ ខាងកើតនៃ RYUKYU កោះ និងសមុទ្រ ភាគខាងលិច

BONIN នៃ កោះ =

Thai (Translated by Google)

´: 24W Nari 151200Z 16.0N 106.0E W 15 ͵ ( JMA ) Ŵŧ شʪѹࢵ͹ – 151,013 1905z

͹ ( 24W ) Nari / ѹ

” Nari Ե ´ ” – . ਿ / ҡ / Թ

24W ( Nari ) Ŵŧ شʪѹࢵ͹ ( JMA )

Nari Ե ´ ٪ ͧѧ !

( ͹ŧ Ѻ Ф͹ Թ )

( Mag ͹ pababa Էѡ SA MGA pagsasalin Babala )

( Di chuyển Xuong cho Bản dich Canh o H ng Hai )

˹§ҹ صعԷҭ
Źࢵ͹
TD
͡ 13:10 UTC , 15 Ҥ 2013
<Analyses 15/12 UTC>


TD
˹ ٹ N16 ° 00 ‘ ( 16.0 °)
E106 ° 00 ‘ ( 106.0 °)
ȷҧ ФǢͧ ͹ ҧ 30 . / ͪ ( 15kt )
1000hPa ѹ ҧ

PAGASA – ˹
PAGASA – ˹
ԻԹҡ ú ԡ ԡдʵ

ѹ عࢵ͹ 鹷 ѺԴͺͧԻԹ ( PAR )
觪ҵٹ Hydro – صعԷ ҡó ( NCHMF ) ´

ѧբ
͹ ٹ ( JTWC )

( Ҿ: ਷ ) ͹ TC Graphic ( ԡʹҾ 觷 )

Google Overlay š ҿԡ

WTPN32 PGTW 150300
msgid / GENADMIN / WRNCEN Pearl Harbor / /
͹¾ع SUBJ / TROPICAL / /
RMKS /
1 TYPHOON 24W ( NARI ) ͹ NR 026 ( ͹ ش)
02 ͹ cyclones ҹ NORTHWESTPAC
MAX ҡѵ ONE ҷ
բͧ ١ͧ ˹͹ Դ੾

˹ ͹:
150000Z — § 15.9N 108.2E
͹ ҹ ˡ – 260 ͧ 10 KTS
˹ ١ͧ 040 硫
˹ BASED ON CENTER
Ш Ѩغѹ :
MAX – 070 KT ⪡ 085 KT
բͧ ١ͧ ˹͹ Դ੾
բͧ KT 064 – 025 硫 Ҥѹ͡§˹ QUADRANT
025 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHEAST
025 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHWEST
025 QUADRANT 硫 NORTHWEST
բͧ KT 050 – 045 硫 Ҥѹ͡§˹ QUADRANT
045 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHEAST
045 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHWEST
045 QUADRANT 硫 NORTHWEST
բͧ KT 034 – 115 硫 Ҥѹ͡§˹ QUADRANT
100 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHEAST
090 QUADRANT 硫 SOUTHWEST
100 QUADRANT 硫 NORTHWEST
REPEAT Posit : 15.9N 108.2E

Ҵó :
12 , ١ͧ :
151200Z — 15.6N 106.1E
MAX – 045 KT ⪡ 055 KT
բͧ ١ͧ ˹͹ Դ੾
عࢵ͹Ӥѭ Թ
ǡ ҧ Ѿҡúؤ 24 : KTS 275 DEG / 10

24 , ١ͧ :
160000Z — 15.7N 104.0E
MAX – 030 KT ⪡ 040 KT
բͧ ١ͧ ˹͹ Դ੾
عࢵ͹Ӥѭ Թ
ǡ ҧ Ѿҡúؤ 36 : KTS 285 DEG / 09

36 . , ١ͧ :
161200Z — 16.2N 102.3E
MAX – 020 KT ⪡ 030 KT
բͧ ١ͧ ˹͹ Դ੾
AS عࢵ͹Ӥѭ Թ

˵ :
˹ 150300Z § 15.8N 107.7E
TYPHOON 24W ( NARI ) ҳ 8 硫 ͧ ҹѧ ,
´ ҧ 10 ͵ ҹˡ
˹ شҡ PGTW RJTD Ҿ TRMM142326Z
к ٹҧͧ TY 24W ͹Ǣ鹽 ҧ
´ 㹻Ѩغѹ ТѺ ش DVORAK
Фعç ѵѵ ҳ к͡õԴ WESTWARD
ͺ ҹͧ RIDGE ǧ¤͹ҧ͹ ֧
NORTH Ź Ш ӡࡳ ͹
ͧ 25 ͵ AS еԴ Ө״ ա 36
ѧ ͹ش к ¡
TYPHOON WRNCEN Pearl Harbor кж١ ԴҧԴ
ѭҳͧ ÿҾ ҧ֧ 25W ͹ ( WIPHA )
( WTPN31 PGTW ) ѺûѺا ˡ / /.
NNNN
TSR logoNW Pacific: ͹ ͡ 15 Ҥ 2013 00:00 GMT ( ͹ ش)

NARI ( 24W ) Ѩغѹ ѧբͤ 15.9 108.2 E ҴҨ Թ͡ 仹 (s) 㹡Ѻ (s):

Red Alert (s) ѧѴ (s)
´
Ҩ Ѻ CAT 1 ٧ 100% й
Ҩ Ѻ TS 100% й
ҸóѰЪҸԻ»ЪҪ
Ҩ Ѻ CAT 1 ٧ 60 % 㹢й
Ҩ Ѻ TS 100% й
Red Alert ͧ (s) ͧ (s)
ҹѧ ( 16.1 N, 108.2 E)
Ҩ Ѻ CAT 1 ٧ 100% й
Ҩ Ѻ TS 100% й

͹ ͧ (s) ѧѴ (s)
٪
Ҩ Ѻ TS 85% 12

Ҩ Ѻ TS 80% 12
͹ ͧ Ե ( s) ͧ (s)
Quang Ngai ( 15.1 N, 108.8 E)
Ҩ Ѻ TS 100% й
Dong Ha ( 16.8 N, 107.1 E)
Ҩ Ѻ TS 90% й
Kon Tum ( 14.4 N, 108.0 E)
Ҩ Ѻ TS 80% й
Dong Hoi ( 17.5 N, 106.6 E)
Ҩ Ѻ TS 60% 12

ôҺ
Red Alert ( عç ) CAT 1 ٧ ҧ 31% 100% Ҩ
͹ ͧ ( ¡дѺ ) 1 CAT ٧ ҧ 10% Ҩ 30% TS ҧ Ҩ 50%
1 CAT ¶֧ çͧ ҧ 74 ͪ 119 / 64 ͵ 1 ҷ ׹
TS ¶֧ ç ⫹͹ ҧ 39 63 / 34 ͵ 1 ҷ ׹

Ѻ šþҡó ҿԡ ´ س http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
§ҹ

´ Nari Ե

” ѧ µѹ͡§ ͧҡ Nari 蹴Թ ҹѧ ҳ 03 UTC ѹظ Ǵ 1 80 ͪ Ҽҹ 10 ҧͧ ҹѧ ҧ ͧҤ˹ͧ͢ ǧ ͧ ѧ ѹ֡ ҹͧ 55 ͪ , ⪡ ֧ 81 ͪ Ժ 4.06 ” . ˹ѡ 㹴ҹѧ ҧ ١ . Nari س ԻԹѹء Ժ ͡ 2.1 ҹ ӹҨ ԻԹѡ ͧ٫͹ ” – . . ਿ / ҡ / Թ 14:49 GMT 14 Ҥ 2013
Huffs Nari , Puffs ӷ ѧ´

Vu Trong Khanh |Wall Street Journal

” ҹ _ Nari ͧ½觷 ͧ ͧҹѧ ѹѧ ҧ Ҥ ͧҹ йѺԺ èͧ ͻ

͹ŧ ҴҨ ١ŴдѺ 繾⫹͹ ѹ ѧ ˹ҷ ͡ѹ Դ ˹ѡ ҨԴ ӷ ѹ – Ҩ ѧ֧

дѺ ͧ Ҥҧͧ ´ ҧǴ ѧѴ Ҥҧ ǡѺҧ Ź ѧ Թ ӷѺѹ ˹ҷ ٹ 觪ҵ þҡó Hydro – صعԷ 觵Ǩͺ ˵ءóԴ Ҿҡȷعç

ս 㹾鹷ᵡҧѹ 112 396 ҹ 24

” [ ] ѧ ء ” Le Van ¹ ҧ繷ҧ ͧҹѧ ͧ ûͧѹ ӷ Ἱ͡Wall Street Journal “ Ŵŧ 㹢й ѹ ѧ ս ˹ѡҡ . ”

͹ §ҹ ҡѧѴ ͧѹ ӷ ˹§ҹ ʴ 蹶١ҵ ҧ Ы ˹ Quang Nam ѺҴ 11 ҹѧ ͹ 蹴Թ ´ Nari ªԵҧ 15 㹻ȿԻԹ

´ Ź ԡ ͸ ͧ ա¡ԡ ͹ ǺԹ СѺҡ ҹѧ ʶҹ§ City. Ѱ ӧҹ 俿 ´ Դ ʵ ѧѴ ҹѧ ա¤ Ҥҧ ͧȷͧҡ ͡˹ͺࢵ ͧ

“ ջѭ ûѺا ʶҹóҡ ͧ ͧҡõѴ ” ҧ繷ҧáѺ Quang Nam ͵ҹ ӷ Ἱ ҡ ʹªԵҨ ա

Nari 繾 11 е ´ 㹻չ ҧ˹Ңͧ 蹴Թ ͧ ˹ҷ ѧѴᴹҤ ҧ;¾ 123,000 鹽 68,000 Сáҧ Ѻ ӷ СäǺ

ҡ 190 ١ ҵ ӷ ¾Ժѵ ҵ ͹Ҥ . ”

METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 1200

WTJP21 RJTD 141,200
141200 ͹
͹ ١ͧ 151200
͹ աûѺا ء 6
͹
TYPHOON NARI 1325 ( 1325 ) 965 HPA
16.3N 110.0E AT Ũչ ͹ WESTNORTHWEST 08 ͵
˹觷
MAX WINDS 75 ͵ Ѻٹ
RADIUS 50 60
RADIUS ҡ 30 180 North ǧ 150

˹ ҴóѺ 150000UTC AT 16.4N 108.3E Ѻ 50 RADIUS MILES
ҡ 70 CIRCLE ͧ Ҩ ѵ
975 HPA , MAX WINDS 60 ͵ Ѻٹ
˹ ҴóѺ 151200UTC AT 16.1N 106.1E 75 RADIUS MILES
ҡ 70 CIRCLE ͧ Ҩ ѵ
1002 HPA
شʪѹࢵ͹

˹§ҹ صعԷҭ . =
METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_CHINA / 1200

WWCI50 BABJ 151,200

2:31:11:11:00

BT

= Pan Pan

ͤ NAVAREA XI ( IOR ) ͡ NMC ѡ

AT 1530UTC OCT.15 2013 =

繢ͤ ûѺاء 06 =

ػ ١ͧ Ҥ 1200UTC 15 =

Ҵó ١ͧ 1200UTC Ҥ 16 =

WARNNING =

TY WIPHA 1326 (1326) 960HPA AT 30.5N 136.3E

NE 65km / H 硫 38M / S Ѻٹ ( SEAS UP

9.0M ) բͧ 30KTS 380KM

բͧ 50KTS 100KM äҴóѺ

161200UTC AT 43.6N 147.9E 985HPA MAX 23M / S

Ѻٹ =

= ػ

ѧբͤ / W ҡ 08 16 ҹ / SEAS Ѻ 2.5M

Bohai ͧ᤺ ǹ˹ ҧ͹˹ͧ͢ ͧ =

ѧբͤ / ѹ͡§˹ 11 ֧ SEAS 20M / Ѻ 3.5

ǹçҧ зҧ͹ ͧ ͧ Ҥǹ˹

ŵѹ͡չ ͧ᤺ѹ =

ѧբͤ / ѹ͡§˹ ҡ 13 ֧ 24M / S SEAS 28M / S ֧

4.0M ǹ˹ ҧ͹˹ͧ͢ ŵѹ͡չ =

E / ѹ͡§˹ ҡ 08 16 ҹ / S SEAS 20M / S ֧

2.5M ǹ˹ ҧ˹ͧ͢ Ũչ =

NE 11 ֧ 20M / SEAS ֧ 3.0M

ŭ ͧ᤺ =

ҡ 17 ֧ SEAS 28M / S ֧ 6.0m

ҧͧ ȭ =

ҡ 29 ֧ 38M SEAS / Ѻ 9.0M

㨡ҧ WIPHA =

ҡ 13 ֧ 24M SEAS / Ѻ 4.5M

ҧȵѹͧ͡ ͹ WEST OF Bonin

=

ȹ ǹ͹ ¡ 10KM ѹѹ

ǹ Ҥ˹ͧ͢ SEA WEST

ͧ Sumatera ͧ᤺ع ҧȵѹͧ͡

ԧ Laut JAWA ͧ᤺

= Laut ء

= FORECAST

NLY ҡ 08 16 ҹ / S SEAS 20M / S ֧

2.5M Bohai ͧ᤺ =

11 ֧ 20M / S 24M / SEAS Ѻ 3.0M

ͧ ѹͧ͡ ѹ зҧ͹˹

Ъǹ MID – WEST ͧչ͹ Bashi

Ъͧҧ Beibu Qiongzhou ͧ᤺ =

ҡ 13 ֧ 24M / S SEAS 28M / S ֧ 4.5M

ŵѹ͡չ ͧ᤺ѹ

Ъͧ᤺ ŭ =

ҡ 17 ֧ SEAS 28M / S ֧ 5.5M

ҧͧ ȭ =

ҡ 29 ֧ 38M SEAS / Ѻ 8.5M

㨡ҧ WIPHA =

11 ֧ 20M / S 21 ֧ SEAS 28M / Ѻ

4.0M ҧȵѹͧ͡ ͹ WEST

ͧ Bonin =

Bangladesh: Tropical Low/ Invest #94B has moved into S.Bengal – 300513 1345z

(Image: wunderground.com) North Indian Ocean IR Sat (Click image for source)

Indian Monsoon and Invest 94B near Bangladesh

Published on May 29, 2013 by (Extract)

(Image: westernpacificweather.com)

Another area we are still watching is a active low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal near Bangladesh. Moisture inflow from this area will continue to bring heavy rain through Thursday but thankfully it will weaken off by the weekend.  Along with the low there is a continued and serious risk of flooding in coastal areas.  On the other hand it is setting the stage for the southwest monsoon to start in India so will be cooling temperatures off for you.

. westernpacificweather.com

=================================

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“94B” – has moved into S.Bengal

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Latest analysis show that the LOW pressure “94 B” has moved into S.Bengal during the past 12 hrs.


12:30pm, Satellite IR shows, heavy rain over S.Bengal, Jharkand and N,central Odisha.
Due to the pull effect of “94B”and Monsoon current, Heavy rain seen all along Karnataka coast and over N,central Kerala.

Bangladesh

Recorded weather bulletins and flood forecasts available 24 hours a day from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department by dialing a dedicated number 10941 on mobile phones.

Bengali:

ভারতীয় আষাঢ়ের ও বাংলাদেশ কাছাকাছি 94B বিনিয়োগ
Robspeta (এক্সট্র্যাক্ট) দ্বারা মে 29, 2013 প্রকাশিত

(চিত্র: westernpacificweather.com)

আমরা এখনও দেখছেন অন্য এলাকায় বাংলাদেশ কাছাকাছি বঙ্গোপসাগরে একটি সক্রিয় কম চাপ এলাকা. এই এলাকা থেকে আর্দ্রতা অন্তঃপ্রবাহ বৃহস্পতিবার মাধ্যমে ভারী বৃষ্টি আনতে চলতে থাকবে কিন্তু সৌভাগ্যক্রমে এটি উইকএন্ডের দ্বারা বন্ধ দুর্বল করা হবে. কম সহ উপকূলবর্তী অঞ্চলে বন্যা একটি ক্রমাগত এবং গুরুতর ঝুঁকি আছে. অন্য দিকে এটি একটি তাই আপনার জন্য তাপমাত্রা অফ শীতল হবে ভারতে শুরু নৈর্ঋত বর্ষা জন্য পর্যায়ের সেটিং করা হয়.

. “- Westernpacificweather.com

=================================

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94B” – S.Bengal মধ্যে সরানো হয়েছে

বৃহস্পতিবার, মে 30, 2013
কম চাপ 94 বিগত 12 ঘন্টা সময় S.Bengal মধ্যে সরানো হয়েছে যে সর্বশেষ বিশ্লেষণ শো.

12:30 PM তে পোস্ট করা Satellite-র মধ্যে এ IR শো, S.Bengal, Jharkand এবং N, Central Odisha ওভার ভারী বৃষ্টি.
94B” এবং আষাঢ়ের সমস্ত কর্নাটক উপকূল বরাবর এবং N, Central কেরল ওভার দেখা যাচ্ছে, ভারি বৃষ্টির পুল প্রভাব দরুন.

বাংলাদেশ

রেকর্ড আবহাওয়া বুলেটিন এবং উপলব্ধ বন্যা পূর্বাভাস 24 ঘন্টা ডেডিকেটেড নম্বর ডায়াল করে বাংলাদেশ আবহাওয়া বিভাগ থেকে একটি দিন 10941 – মোবাইল ফোনে.

বাংলা:

Tropical Cyclone #01B #ONE #MAHASEN 160900Z near 23.7N 91.7E, moving NNE at 22 knots (JTWC). Landfall Bangladesh about 160200Z – 160513 1445z

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

R S M C Bulletin

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO.43
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW DELHI
TROPICAL STORM MAHASENADVISORY ISSUED AT 1200 UTC OF 16
th
MAY 2013 BASED
ON 0900 UTC CHARTS OF 16
TH
MAY 2013.
THE CYCLONIC STORM MAHASEN OVER NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTHNORTHEASTWARDS DURING PAST 6 HOURS AT A SPEED OF ABOUT 50 KMPH AND CROSSED
BANGLADESH COAST BETWEEN CHITTAGONG AND FENI, NEAR LATITUDE 22.8ºN AND
LONGITUDE 91.4ºE (ABOUT 30 KM SOUTH OF FENI), AROUND 1330 HOURS IST OF TODAY,
THE 16
TH
MAY 2013.

IT LAY CENTRED AT 1430 HOURS IST OF 16
TH
MAY 2013 OVER
BANGLADESH NEAR LATITUDE 23.5
0
N AND LONGITUDE 92.0
0
E, ABOUT 75 KM SOUTHWEST OF
AIZAL (42727) AND 85 KM SOUTHEAST OF AGARTALA (42724). IT WOULD MOVE NORTHNORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 3-6 HOURS.
ACCORDING TO SATELLITE IMAGERIES, ASSOCIATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
IS SEEN OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, BANGLADESH, TRIPURA,
MIZORAM, MANIPUR, NAGALAND, MEGHALAYA, ASSAM, WEST ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND
NORTH ARAKAN COAST ADJOINING MYANMAR. THE LOWEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE
(CTT) IS ABOUT -51
0
C.
SUSTAINED MAXIMUM SURFACE WIND SPEED IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 35 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE STATE OF THE SEA OVER
NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH.
BASED ON LATEST ANALYSIS WITH NWP MODELS AND OTHER CONVENTIONAL TECHNIQUES,
ESTIMATED TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM ARE GIVEN IN THE TABLE BELOW:
Date/Time(UTC) Position
(Lat.
0
N/ Long.
0
E)
Sustained maximum
surface wind speed (kmph)
Category
16-05-2013/0900 23.5/92.0 75-85 gusting to 95 Cyclonic Storm
16-05-2013/1200 24.0/92.5 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep Depression
16-05-2013/1800 25.5/94.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
17-05-2013/0000 26.5/95.5 25-35 gusting to 45 Low
THIS IS THE LAST BULLETIN FOR THIS SYSTEM.

Cyclone Warning For Indian Coast

Time of issue: 1900 hours IST Dated: 16-05-2013
Bulletin No.: BOB 01/2013/33
Sub: Cyclonic Storm, MAHASEN weakened into Deep depression over Mizoram
The cyclonic storm MAHASEN over Bay of Bengal moved northeastwards and
weakened into a deep depression and lay centred at 1730 hours IST of 16
th
May 2013 over
Mizoram near latitude 24.0
0
N and longitude 92.5
0
E, about 35 km North of Aizal. It would move
northeastwards and weaken into a depression during next 6 hours.
Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques,
estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:
Date/Time(IST) Position
(Lat.
0
N/ Long.
0
E)
Sustained maximum
surface wind speed (kmph)
Category
16-05-2013/1730 24.0/92.5 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep Depression
16-05-2013/2330 25.5/94.0 35-45 gusting to 55 Depression
17-05-2013/0530 26.5/95.5 25-35 gusting to 45 Low
Under the influence of this system, Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy
falls at a isolated places would occur over South and east Assam, Mizoram, Manipur, Tripura
and Nagaland during next 24 hours.
Squally wind speed reaching 50 -60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph would prevail over
South Assam, Mizoram, Manipur, Tripura and Nagaland during next 12 hours.
The next bulletin will be issued at 0230 hrs IST of the 17
th
May, 2013.

(Image: RSMC NEW DELHI) Observed & Forecast Track (Click image for source)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC Track (Click image for source)

(Image: JTWC) Multispectral Satellite Imagery (Click image for source)

WTIO31 PGTW 160900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (MAHASEN) WARNING NR 025//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (MAHASEN) WARNING NR 025

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:

160600Z NEAR 23.0N 91.0E

MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 025 DEGREES AT 22 KTS

POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM

POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 91.0E

FORECASTS:

12 HRS, VALID AT:

161800Z 25.8N 93.9E

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:

160900Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 91.7E.

TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (MAHASEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 53 NM

SOUTHEASTWARD OF DHAKA, BANGLADESH, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD

AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL

SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS TC MAHASEN HAS MADE LANDFALL

NORTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH AND IS RAPIDLY FALLING APART AS

THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. RADAR IMAGERY FROM KOLKATA,

INDIA ADDITIONALLY SHOWS THE RAPID WEAKENING AS CONVECTION HAS

SHALLOWED. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE

WESTERLIES AND TRACK ACROSS NORTHEASTERN INDIA WHILE CONTINUALLY

WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS RUGGED TERRAIN AND HIGH (30 TO 40 KNOTS)

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 01B WILL DISSIPATE BELOW 35 KNOTS IN THE

NEXT 12 HOURS DUE TO THESE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS. THIS IS THE FINAL

WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.

THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

NNNN

Tracking Info For Tropical Cyclone One

(wunderground.com)

Time             Lat   Lon    Wind(mph)   Storm type
————————————————————-

06 GMT 05/10/13 4.8N 93.6E 40 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/10/13 5.5N 92.7E 40 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/10/13 6.1N 91.9E 40 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/11/13 7.0N 91.0E 45 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/11/13 7.7N 90.2E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/11/13 8.8N 88.8E 60 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/11/13 9.3N 88.1E 60 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/12/13 10.2N 86.9E 60 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/12/13 10.0N 87.3E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/12/13 10.2N 87.0E 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/12/13 10.7N 86.7E 50 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/13/13 11.5N 86.7E 60 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/13/13 11.8N 86.4E 60 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/13/13 12.4N 85.7E 60 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/13/13 12.9N 85.4E 60 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/14/13 13.7N 85.3E 60 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/14/13 14.2N 85.8E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/14/13 14.8N 86.2E 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/14/13 15.4N 86.7E 50 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/15/13 16.4N 87.3E 50 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/15/13 17.5N 87.8E 50 Tropical Storm
12 GMT 05/15/13 18.5N 88.4E 50 Tropical Storm
18 GMT 05/15/13 19.6N 89.1E 60 Tropical Storm
00 GMT 05/16/13 20.5N 89.9E 60 Tropical Storm
06 GMT 05/16/13 23.0N 91.0E 50 Tropical Storm

TSR logoN Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm MAHASEN (01B) currently located near 23.0 N 91.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 90% currently
Bangladesh
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Tropical storm Mahasen struck Bangladesh at about 02:00 GMT on 16 May.

Source: Tropical Storm Risk Thu, 16 May 2013 08:20 AM

Author: Tropical Storm Risk

Tropical storm Mahasen struck Bangladesh at about 02:00 GMT on 16 May.Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall was near 21.1 N, 90.2 E.Mahasen brought 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 92 km/h (57 mph).Wind gusts in the area may have been considerably higher.

The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

This alert is provided by TropicalStorm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL).

Refugees Refuse to move ahead of Mahasen

Published on May 15, 2013 by

cyclone

Thousands of Muslim Refugees along the Burma coastline are refusing to evacuate ahead of Cyclone Mahasen.

Camps dot the Burma coastline after thousands fled Clashes between Buddhist and Muslims over the past year.  Sittwe is where the largest of the evacuations are taking place.  A low lying area near the coast where thousands of make shift homes have been set up.  Most of these “buildings” are made out of mud, cloth and wood.

But, Reuters reports that many of the residents are refusing to leave and move yet again. One resident was quoted as saying “I lost my mother and two imagesyoung daughters during the clashes between Muslims and Rakhine (Buddhists) last year. I lost everything. That’s why I pray to Allah to let all the people from here die with the storm. I don’t want to go nowhere. I’ll stay here. If I die, I want to die here.”

Even Myanmar’s Vice PresidentNyan Tun visits the internal displaced people camp in Rakhine states on Tuesday (May 14) to persuade them to relocate but many refuse to go.

The storm already taking the lives of nearly 100 people yesterday in a boat capsizing. In Sri Lanka seven deaths due to heavy rains was reported.  These low lying camps and the people that live in them if they stay in place ahead of this storm they will be putting themselves at a serious risk. Cyclone Mahasen is not a severe storm by any means. And most first world countries would laugh at this storm as a minor nuisance. But these villages where the storm is headed will under severe threat.

.” – westernpacificweather.com

For complete updates please check out our Tropical Information Center. 

What makes Mahansen so dangerous

Published on May 13, 2013 by

“Cyclone Mahansen continues to be only forecasted to become a equivalent of a weak typhoon before landfall in Bangladesh on Thursday. To many around the world and especially first world countries this sounds like a gentle breeze to ride out in the coming days.

Yet many of those living in low lying areas in Myanmar this storm is a very real and serious threat.   Nearly 130,000 people are living in makeshift camps near the coastal plains of the country after fleeing violence between clashes Buddhist and Muslims in western portions of the country. These cyclonecamps are not made to withstand cyclone, even a weak one. And this pending storms brings the threat of a disaster if it is to hit of these refugee camps as a Severe Cyclonic System.

At this time the worst of the storm is forecasted to stay west but with the pending track still uncertain. Even if the was to miss the refugee camps a heavy rainfall would still bring harsh conditions for those who make the area home.  We hope for the safety of those ahead of the storm.

It would be easy to say this area is used to deadly storms. In 2008 the country suffered 180,000 casualties when a cyclone hit the Irrawaddy River delta.  In 1991 a cyclone hit a little farther north in Bangledesh resulting in the deaths of 350,000 people.

” – westernpacificweather.com

Storm Surge Inundates 25 villages in Bangladesh

Published on May 16, 2013 by

This article comes from https://chittagong.recovers.org/ , if you need help or wish to help the recovery efforts from this storm please click the link.

CYCLONE MAHASEN Storm surge inundates 25 Patuakhali villages STAR ONLINE REPORT At least 25 villages of four upazilas of Patuakhali were flooded Wednesday night as storm surge washed away flood control dams with the Cyclone Mahasen approaching the coastal region.

Many of the marooned people of the villages rushed to cyclone shelters and other high lands after the high tide stormed made way into their villages stormaround 11:00pm, our Patuakhali correspondent reported.

The upazilas are: Kolapara, Golachipa, Rangabali and Dashmina.

The storm surge of at least five feet height was reported in the villages.

Meanwhile, the Patuakhali town went under at least four feet of tide early morning as a drizzle continues to pour since Wednesday evening.

Our correspondent reported that the local Met office recorded a 60kph wind in the town last night. It is 70kph in Kuakata, a popular tourist destination.

Some of the inundated people have yet to leave their houses for safer place.

UN OCHA Flash Update 6, Cyclone Mahasen, Bangladesh and Myanmar

“Tropical Cyclone Mahasen, which has been downgraded to a tropical storm, made landfall in Bangladesh on the morning of 16 May (local time), bringing strong winds and heavy rains to Chittagong and surrounding districts. On its current path, it will continue to move northeast from Myanmar and towards the eastern states of India. The current speed at the centre of the storm is around 80 km/h and is expected to reduce its wind speed to 55 km/h as it continues to move inland.

In Bangladesh, an estimated one million people were evacuated from 13 coastal districts in the 24-hour prior to the arrival of the storm. A tidal surge has caused floods in the districts of Barguna, Bhola, Patuakhali, Nohakhali and Laxmipur. The Government has not declared a disaster, and no request for international assistance has been received at this time.

The United Nations met this morning in Dhaka and committed to working collaboratively with the Government and to provide support where required. Humanitarian partners report they are ready to respond. While people have moved to evacuation centres, there have been some instances of resistance due to multiple factors including changes in weather conditions.

The Bangladesh Government, through its Cyclone Preparedness Programme (CPP) has broadcast pre-cyclone Public Service Announcements (PSAs), carrying preparedness messages endorsed by the Department of Disaster Management via national radio. Post-cyclone messages for affected people are on standby to be broadcast immediately after the cyclone has passed.

A distribution plan for food assistance has been developed by humanitarian agencies, to supplement Government food and cash reserves. Essential nutrition and emergency WASH supplies have been pre-positioned for approximately 43,000 households in vulnerable districts. More than 6,000 family kits and two mobile water treatment units have been transferred to Chittagong.

In Myanmar, while it appears that the storm has moved further away from Rakhine state, heavy rain is still expected. Approximately 250 staff members of humanitarian organisations are in country and remain on standby and ready to respond; a number of them with expertise in rapid assessments. Assessment teams will begin assessment of affected sites as soon as possible after the storm subsides.

Assessment teams and protection monitoring continued working today at various camps with the assistance of community leaders, religious leaders, and international aid workers to help alleviate concerns of those resistant to move.

The government estimates nearly 78,000 people from 13 townships in Rakhine State have been relocated in total. UN agencies maintain that all measures must be taken to ensure that no lives are under undue threat. Some communities continued to resist relocatation to Government buildings but were eventually persuaded to move into other nearby locations, including schools, madrasas, and with host communities.

OCHA, UNHCR and UNICEF led training sessions today for staff on inter-sectoral rapid assessment, as agencies and humanitarian partners will initiate a post-storm assessment process across Rakhine in the coming days. The assessment will address the current needs of people in the relocation sites as well as requirements for their future return. At this time, it is unclear when the relocated communities will return to their places of temporary settlement, or whether other options will be made available for some.

Although Mahasen has passed Rakhine State, it is clear that many thousands are still accommodated in areas which make them more vulnerable to the elements and this must not continue. The Government of the United Kingdom today pledged a £4.4 million (US$6.7 million) humanitarian aid package for IDPs in Rakhine State ahead of the cyclone and rainy seasons. The aid package will provide 80,000 people with access to safe drinking water and improved sanitation facilities; treatment for malnourished children; and, hygiene kits for 40,000 people.

OCHA expects to issue another Flash Update tomorrow.” – unocha

Cyclone Mahasen hits Bangladeshi coast

(Video credit:AlJazeeraEnglish)

Published on 16 May 2013

Hundreds of thousands of people in Bangladesh have been evacuated, as Cyclone Mahasen approached one of the poorest countries in Asia with winds of around 100km per hour. Similar measures have been taken in Myanmar however, some displaced people in Rakhine state have ignored calls for them to evacuate camps. The UN said that more than 4.1 million people could be at risk from the cyclone, which started crossing Bangladesh’s low-lying coast on Thursday.

MARITIME

METAREA8N / HIGH_SEAS_WARNING / 1750

WTIN01 DEMS 151750

SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N),NORTH OF EQUATOR

VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 900 UTC 15 MAY 2013

PART I:- STORM WARNING

PART II:-

THE CYCLONIC STORM (MAHASEN) OVER WEST CENTRAL BAY OF

BENGAL MOVED NORTHEASTWARDS AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC

OF YESTERDAY THE, 14TH MAY 2013 WITHIN HALF A DEG. OF

LAT. 14.5 DEG. N / LONG. 86.0 DEG. E, ABOUT 850 KMS

NORTHWEST OF PORTBLAIR, 460 KMS SOUTHEAST OFVISHAKHAPATNAM

650 KMS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PARADIP 1060 KMS SOUTHWEST OF

CHITTAGONG (.)IT MOVED FURTHER NORTHEASTWARDS AND NOW

LIES CENTERED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY THE,15TH MAY 2013

WITHIN HALF A DEG. OF LAT. 16.5 DEG.N /LONG. 87.0 EG.E,

ABOUT 800 KMS NORTH WEST OF PORT BLAIR,380 KMS EAST

SOUTHEAST OF SHKHAPAYNAM,520 KMS SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF

PARADIP AND 820 KMS SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG (.)IT

WOULD INESIFY FURTHER AND MOVE EASTWARDS AND CROSS

BANGLA DESH COAST DURING NIGHT OF16TH MAY 2013(.)

CONDITIONS ARE BECOMING FAVOURABLE FOR ONSET OF

SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING

SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 48 HOURS(.)

WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA VIII (N)

ARB: A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80

DEG.E(.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOUR

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-

1)N OF 05 DEG N:MAINLY NW/W-LY 10/15 KTS(.)

2)S OF 05 DEG N:SW/W-LY 20/25 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:- FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:-4-3 NM (.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-3-4 M(.)

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOUR

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-

1)N OF 05 DEG N:MAINLY NW/W-LY 10/15 KTS(.)

2)S OF 05 DEG N:SW/W-LY 20/25 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:- FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:-4-3 NM (.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-3-4 M(.)

ARB: A2 ARABIAN SEA N. OF 10 DEG N.AND W OF 80 DEG E(.)

A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-W/NW-LY 10/15 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:-ISOLATED RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:8-6 NM(.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M(.)

A2-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-W/NW-LY 10/15 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:-ISOLATED RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:8-6 NM(.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M(.)

BOB:A3 BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N AND EOF 80 DEG

E(.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS(.)

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-W/SW-LY 15/20 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS (.)

III)VISIBILITY:-6-4 NM (.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-2-3 M (.)

A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS(.)

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-W/SW-LY 15/20 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS (.)

III)VISIBILITY:-6-4 NM (.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-2-3 M (.)

BOB: A4:- BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E

(.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS(.)

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-CYCLONIC 30/40 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:- WIDESPREAD RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:-0-1 NM(.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-5-6 M(.)

A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS(.)

I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-CYCLONIC 30/40 KTS(.)

II)WEATHER:- WIDESPREAD RA/TS(.)

III)VISIBILITY:-0-1 NM(.)

IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-5-6 M(.)

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

Indian Ocean Forecast System (INDOFOS)

High Wind-Wave Alert

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : NicobarComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Portblair
High wind waves in the range of 2.5-5.0 meters are forecasted during 17:30 hours on 15-05-2013 to 23:30 hours of 16-05-2013 along the west and east coast of Nicobar Islands between Ten Degree Channel to Great Channel.

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Port-Blair

High Wind-Wave Alert

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : AndamanComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Portblair
High wind waves in the range of 2.5-5.0 meters are forecasted during 17:30 hours on 15-05-2013 to 23:30 hours of 16-05-2013 along the west and east coast of Andaman Islands between Ten Degree Channel to Coco Channel.

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Port-Blair

High Wind-Wave Alert

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : Tamil NaduComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Pondicherry
High wind waves in the range of 2.5 5.0 meters are predicted during 02:30 hrs on 16-05-2013 to 23:30 hrs on 17-05-2013 along the Kolachal to kilakarai of Southern Tamil Nadu.
images

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Kolachal

High Wind-Wave Watch

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : OrissaComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Gopalpur
High wind waves in the range of 2.5 to 4.8 meters are predicted during 17:30 hrs on 15-05-2013 to 23:30 hrs on 16-05-2013 along the coast from Gopalpur to Baleshwar of Orissa coast.
images

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Gopalpur

High Wind-Wave Watch

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : West Bengal
High wind waves in the range of 2.5 to 4.8 meters are predicted during 17:30 hrs on 15-05-2013 to 23:30 hrs on 16-05-2013 along the coast from False point to Sagar Island of West Bengal coast.
images

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Sagar-Roads

High Wind-Wave Watch

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : KeralaComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Kollam
High wind waves in the range of 2.5-4.5 meters are forecasted during 02:30 hours on 16-05-2013 to 23:30 hours of 17-05-2013 along the Kerala coast between Vizhinjam to Kasargod.
images

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Quilon

High Wind-Wave Watch

Issue Date :15/05/2013 Region : LakshadweepComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Agatti
High wind waves in the range of 2.0-3.6 meters are forecasted during 0830 hours on 15-05-2013 to 2330 hours of 17-05-2013 along Lakshadweep Islands between Minicoy to Bitra.
images

Wave Height

Tide Predictions

Minicoy

images
Kalpana Image

Tropical Cyclone #01B #ONE #MAHASEN 120900Z near 10.2N 87.1E, moved NW at 12 knots (JTWC) – 120513 0900z

Updated…. please go here:

Tropical Cyclone #01B #ONE #MAHASEN 130900Z near 12.1N 86.3E, moved NW at 04 knots (JTWC) 1305130900z

India to Myanmar Possible Targets for Developing Tropical Cyclone

Early warning saves lives!
Related
Tropical Cyclone 24S 091200Z nr 7.6S 86.0E, moving SE at 07 knots (RSMC LaReunion) – 090513 1550z:
http://wp.me/p2k2mU-1Ps

TheSurvivalPlaceBlog

By Eric Leister

A large zone of unsettled weather near and south of India has resulted in the formation of one tropical cyclone, and another may form soon.

The first area, just east of Sri Lanka, will pose the greatest threat to land, as the potential tropical cyclone could bring impacts to areas from India to Bangladesh and Myanmar.

Farther south, Tropical Cyclone 24S formed on Wednesday from this broad area of unsettled weather.

The above satellite image from Thursday shows clouds associated with Tropical Cyclone 24S well south of India. Also seen is a cluster of showers and thunderstorms just southeast of Sri Lanka that could develop into another tropical cyclone.

Close monitoring of the area near Sri Lanka will be needed into the upcoming weekend for possible development.

If tropical development does occur to the east of Sri Lanka, the expected track of this tropical cyclone…

View original post 106 more words

Myanmar: Fire kills 13 boys at mosque in Yangon; police blame electrical problem, some fear arson linked to sectarian violence – 020413 1410z

(Video credit: 77bakimci)

(Video credit: thenewsvideos01)

(Video credit: MediaQuickPress)

A fire engulfed a mosque housing orphans in Myanmar’s largest city Tuesday morning, killing at least 13 children in the blaze that police blamed on an electrical short.

Riot police were deployed nearby as some Muslims gathering outside the charred building feared the fire was linked to sectarian violence that has shaken the nation.
Police officer Thet Lwin said the fire was triggered by an overheated inverter “and not due to any criminal activity.”
Myanmar has been on edge after sectarian violence between Buddhists and Muslims erupted in the central city of Meikhtila in March, killing dozens of people and displacing more than 10,000.
The violence that has largely targeted Muslims has since spread to several other towns where extremist Buddhist mobs have torched or ransacked mosques and Muslim-owned property.
The mosque is in eastern Yangon.
Thet Lwin said about 75 orphans lived there and most escaped safely by running out of a door police knocked open.
It was not immediately clear how the 13 victims became trapped.
Firefighters extinguished the blaze, and the two-story building was charred but intact.
Tuesday, 02 April, 2013 at 03:27 UTC RSOE

News Reports

The Guardian home

Burma mosque fire kills 13 children

Tuesday 2 April 2013 06.45 BST

Police say electrical fault caused blaze at Muslim orphanage as country remains on edge from communal violence

“Thirteen children have died in a fire at an orphanage that operates from a mosque in Yangon, Burma‘s main city. Police quickly put the blaze down to an electrical fault amid tensions over communal violence between Muslims and Buddhists.

The fire started at 3am and trapped 16 children in a small loft, a mosque member said. Three jumped to safety but the others perished.

After the fire security forces and three trucks of riot police blocked off roads around the two-storey compound in eastern Yangon which encompasses a mosque, a Muslim school and a dormitory. There were no reports of violence but around 200 people gathered nearby, some of them Muslims who expressed suspicions the fire had been set intentionally.

Security bars blocked most of the white building’s windows, which were marked by black smoke in the late morning. The building burned from the inside and firefighters had extinguished the flames before dawn.

Police officer Thet Lwin, speaking at the scene, said the fire was triggered by an electrical short “and not due to any criminal activity” but was jeered by the crowd for saying so.

Myanmar has been on edge after sectarian violence between Buddhists and Muslims erupted in the central city of Meikhtila in March, killing dozens of people and displacing more than 10,000. The violence that has largely targeted Muslims has since spread to several other towns where extremists have torched or ransacked mosques and Muslim-owned property.” – guardian.co.uk

Fire kills 13 children at mosque in tense Myanmar; police blame electrical problem

By Erika Kinetz, The Associated Press April 2, 2013 6:30 AM

“YANGON, Myanmar – Police in Myanmar said they were investigating the head of a mosque and a Muslim teacher for possible negligence after a pre-dawn fire swept a religious dormitory Tuesday, killing 13 children in a blaze that raised new concern over sectarian tensions that have plagued the country since anti-Muslim violence hit the nation’s heartland last month.

Authorities blamed the fire on an electrical short circuit and deployed riot police to maintain calm. But some Muslims remained suspicious, saying it was set intentionally.

Myanmar has been on edge after sectarian unrest between Buddhists and Muslims erupted in the central city of Meikhtila in March, killing dozens of people and displacing more than 12,000, mostly Muslims. The violence has since spread to several other towns where extremist Buddhist mobs have torched or ransacked mosques and Muslim-owned property.

Police officer Thet Lwin said about 75 children lived in the torched compound in eastern Yangon which encompasses a mosque, a school and a dormitory and most were able to escape by running out of a door rescue workers knocked open. Security bars blocked most of the building’s windows, which were stained by black smoke hours after firefighters put out the flames.

Mosque member Soe Myint said most of the children, who had been sent to the religious boarding school by their parents, were sleeping on the ground floor when the blaze began and were able to flee.

But 16 were sleeping in a small loft and were trapped when the stairs to it caught fire. Three boys jumped to safety and the rest died, he said.

Soe Myint, who said he helped carry the dead out of the mosque, said he did not believe the fire was caused by a short circuit and urged authorities to launch a thorough investigation.

“The whole mosque smelled of diesel,” he said. “We don’t use diesel at the school.”

Yangon Division Chief Minister Myint Swe told reporters late Tuesday that police discovered a diesel container underneath a staircase. He said the fuel was normally used to power a mosque generator when the electricity is out.

Hla Myint, whose 15-year-old nephew died in the blaze, waited in a crowd outside Yangon General Hospital, where the dead were taken. Two trucks of riot police were parked nearby.

“We sent him to school only yesterday and today he is dead,” she said. “We are so sad we can’t express it.”

Later Tuesday, several thousand mourners gathered at a cemetery on the outskirts of Yangon for a group burial. The charred bodies of the children were wrapped in white cloth before being lowered into the ground as women wept nearby.

U.S. Ambassador Derek Mitchell issued a statement saying he was “deeply saddened” by the deaths. He also called on the government to “conduct a thorough and transparent investigation into the cause.”

Authorities are investigating the head of the mosque and a teacher, but no arrests had been made, said city Police Chief Win Naing. “As the two people in charge, they are responsible for this and we have to take action against them,” he said.

Win Naing said the fire started in a voltage regulator under the stairs that led to the sleeping loft and that firefighters had to break two locks on the door of the mosque to rescue the survivors. He ruled out arson, saying that three police were guarding the mosque and saw no one approach the building before the fire started.

Speaking in the immediately hours after the blaze, Thet Lwin, the policeman, blamed the fire on an electrical short circuit “and not due to any criminal activity.”

Every time he mentioned the word “electrical short,” though, angry Muslims shouted and began banging on vehicles with their fists.

He also appealed to journalists for help. “We need the media’s support in Yangon. Please don’t report that there is conflict in Yangon. We’re here to stop conflict,” he said.

Security forces and three trucks of riot police blocked off roads around the scarred building in Yangon as a crowd of 200 onlookers, mostly Muslims, gathered.

Zaw Min Htun, a member of a local Muslim youth organization, said he raced to the mosque after hearing it was on fire. He said he entered the charred building and also smelled fuel.

“Muslims are very angry,” he said, calling on authorities to investigate. “The children are innocent. … Someone burned the mosque.”

The recent upsurge in sectarian unrest in Myanmar has cast a shadow over President Thein Sein’s administration as it struggles to make democratic changes after a half century of military rule. His government has warned that the violence could threaten the reform process.

Hundreds of people were killed last year and more than 100,000 made homeless in violence in western Myanmar between ethnic Rakhine Buddhists and Rohingya Muslims. On March 20, unrest hit the central town of Meikhtila for several days and then spread to several villages farther south, near the capital, Naypyitaw.

The violence has spooked people in Yangon, where late last month false rumours swirled of mosque burnings and authorities told some shops to close as a precautionary measure. Yangon is about 550 kilometres (340 miles) south of Meikhtila.

__

Associated Press photographer Gemunu Amarasinghe contributed to this report.

Myanmar (Burma) riot deaths rise to 32, Over 9,600 made homeless – 240313 1240z

(Credit: NewsChannelBest)

Footage has emerged showing the devastation in the Burmese town of Meiktila where a state of emergency has been imposed following three days of violence between Buddhists and Muslims.

A statement on behalf of President Thein Sein said the move would enable the military to help restore order in the riot-hit town, south of Mandalay.

Tin Htar Swe from the BBC Burmese Service explained what triggered the violence which is reported to have killed at least 20 people.

 

Other reports

Myanmar communal riot: Death toll rises to 32

IBN Posted on Mar 24, 2013 at 05:32pm IST

“Yangon: The death toll in a communal riot in Meikthila in northern Myanmar has risen to 32, state-run media reported. According to Xinhua, the state radio and TV said in a broadcast that many bodies were found while clearing the debris.

The riot left over 9,600 people homeless out of a populations of 500,000 in Meikhtila. However, the situation was calm after security was tightened since Friday.

Relief and rehabilitation work are underway in riot-hit areas and the victims have been accommodated at six relief camps.

The riot was sparked by a brawl between buyers and sellers over a bit of gold clip at a gold shop on Wednesday.

According to official sources, 152 houses, one education office and 13 religious buildings were burnt while two motor vehicles and three motorcycles were destroyed.

On Friday, President U Thein Sein declared a state of emergency in four townships – Meikhtila, Wandwin, Mahlaing and Thazi.” – IBN

Myanmar (Burma): Team digging for buried WW2 Spitfires have now concluded that none exist – 170213 1645z

“The hunt for up to 36 planes which many believed had been buried in Burma at the end of World War Two ends in disappointment.

SKY NEWS 3:45am UK, Sunday 17 February 2013

Burma Excavation

By Mark Stone, Asia Correspondent

A group of archaeologists, historians and scientists have admitted defeat in a mystery which has spanned decades.

After just over a month of digging for lost World War Two Spitfire planes in Burma they have concluded that none exists.

“No Spitfires were delivered in crates and buried at RAF Mingaladon (in Burma) during 1945 and 1946,” a statement from the company funding the search read.

Rather than discovering the iconic World War Two planes, the team uncovered evidence which suggested that it would have been impossible to have buried them.

Burma Excavation
Archaeologists have been left disappointed (Gavin Longhurst, Wargaming)

“(The) documents tell a story of appalling weather conditions at Mingaladon (airbase) and shortages of everything from heavy equipment to timber and labour all of which we believe suggests it would be almost impossible that the Royal Air Force could have buried aircraft thirty feet deep in wooden crates even if it had wanted to do so,” a statement from the team said.

“The team now believes, based on clear documentary evidence, as well as the evidence from the fieldwork, that no Spitfires were delivered in crates and buried.

“Most significantly, the archival records show that the RAF unit that handled shipments through Rangoon docks 41 Embarkation Unit only received 37 aircraft in total from three transport ships between 1945 and 1946.

“None of the crates contained Spitfires and most appear to have been re-exported in the autumn of 1946,” the statement concluded.

The group of experts flew out to Burma in January to begin digging at a site within the perimeter fence of Yangon international airport.

The trip had followed years of dedicated research by a farmer and aviation enthusiast from Lincolnshire.

David Cundall’s life ambition was a determination to uncover the mystery of the lost Burma Spitfires.

His firm belief that the spitfires existed stemmed from rumours and indirect documentary evidence.

In 1996 he was told that the rare MarkXIV Spitfires had been declared surplus to requirements at the end of the war and buried in crates rather than being shipped home.

Evidence from the UK National Archives and other sources had supported the claim that surplus equipment was, on occasion, buried rather than repatriated.

Mr Cundall subsequently gathered eyewitness testimony from eight surviving servicemen who claimed they saw the burial.

Three separate sites were excavated by the aviation enthusiasts and archaeologists but nothing was found.

As many as 36 planes were believed to have been buried at the airport, which was under British occupation during World War Two and called RAF Mingaladon.

The team left the UK with 17 years of research and a firm belief that as many as 140 of the planes were buried in near pristine condition at various sites by American military engineers at the end of the war.

Until mid-January, the team remained confident and committed to the search.

A series of images from a specialist camera at one site promoted some early excitement.

“The images I have seen are not conclusive but it is very encouraging that we have found a wooden crate in the same area where the Americans buried the Spitfires,” Mr Cundall said at the time.

“The water is muddy, it’s causing problems, we can’t see through the water and we will have to pump the water out before we can give more information.”

By late January confusion surrounded the project with the team’s spokesman forced to deny reports that the search had been called off.

“We haven’t found any yet,” Frazer Nash told Sky News at the end of January.

“We’re still looking. Just because we haven’t found them, it doesn’t mean they are not here.” he said.

However, just three weeks later the team has now conceded that none were ever buried in Burma.

The excavation had been given approval at the highest authority with UK Prime Minister David Cameron raising the issue with the Burmese Government on a visit to the country last year.

Years of military dictatorship in Burma had prevented the search from taking place earlier but political reforms over the past two years gave the team the go-ahead.

In a statement, the CEO of Wargaming, Victor Kisly, said: “We chose to support the Spitfire project because we found the story fascinating.

We wanted to be a part of this unique archaeological investigation of an enduring mystery whether we found planes or not.

“We are delighted our team has shown how good research can help tell a great story about not just the warplanes themselves, but the people who flew, maintained and care about them to this day. he said.” – Sky News

Related:

Myanmar: Team to start dig for buried WW2 Spitfires, believed in good condition in crates 0401132235Z

Battle of Britain Day Tribute to the RAF (the few) Updated 20 Sept2012

Sri Lanka rescues 138 stranded on sinking boat adrift for 10 days, 1 dead – 040213 1740z

Sri Lanka rescues 138 stranded on sinking boat

Updated Sun Feb 3, 2013 8:47pm AEDT

Sailors help a rescued boy to disembark from a Sri Lanka Navy vessel at Oluvil harbour today. Sri Lanka’s navy on Sunday rescued 138 Bangladeshis and Myanmar nationals from a sinking fishing vessel off the island’s east coast, officials said. (Photo: France 24 English)

“The Sri Lankan Navy has rescued more than 100 Bangladeshi and Burmese nationals from a sinking fishing vessel off the island’s eastern coast.

Navy spokesman Kosala Warnakulasuriya says one passenger was found dead while many of the 138 plucked from the boat were dehydrated.

He says it is not known where the vessel was heading or whether they were asylum seekers.

“We sent three ships for the rescue at a location 80 kilometres off the eastern coast of Akkaraipattu,” he said.

“Some have been admitted to a local hospital. Others are being taken to Colombo.”

The rescue came as Sri Lanka steps up naval patrols to check fishing boats taking would-be asylum seekers to Australia.

Sri Lankan authorities have arrested more than 1,200 people trying to leave the island illegally last year.

Many of those who make the perilous journey pay up to $3,000 for a place on trawlers run by people-smugglers.” – abc.net.au

“AFP – Sri Lanka’s navy on Sunday rescued 138 Bangladeshis and Myanmar nationals from a sinking fishing vessel off the island’s east coast, officials said.
One passenger was found dead while many of the 138 plucked from the boat were dehydrated, said navy spokesman Kosala Warnakulasuriya, adding that the vessel had been adrift for 10 days before it sank on Sunday.
“We sent three ships for the rescue at a location 50 miles (80 kilometres) off the eastern coast of Akkaraipattu,” Warnakulasuriya told AFP. “Some have been admitted to a local hospital.”
Police said 14 were Myanmar nationals while the others were Bangladeshis.
Fifteen of the survivors, including two women and two children, were hospitalised with acute dehydration, police said in a statement.
“We have difficulty in communicating with the survivors so we have asked the two embassies to send us translators,” police spokesman Prishantha Jayakody told AFP.
He said statements of survivors would be recorded and they would be moved to a temporary shelter in Colombo under judicial supervision. In the meantime, the authorities at Oluvil fishing harbour were giving them shelter.
“We are certain that they were not trying to enter Sri Lanka, but their boat developed trouble in mid-sea and they drifted close to our shores,” Jayakody said.
The early-morning rescue came amid stepped up naval patrols to deter Sri Lankan fishing boats from taking would-be illegal immigrants to Australia.
Authorities arrested more than 1,200 people trying to leave the island illegally last year. Many of those who make the perilous journey pay up to $3,000 for a place on trawlers run by people-smugglers.
Warnakulasuriya said the passengers rescued on Sunday identified themselves as Bangladeshi and Myanmar nationals but it was not yet known where they came from or were headed.
Reports from local fishermen alerted fishing authorities who in turn asked for help from the navy which mounted a 20-hour search and rescue operation, officials said.
They said it was unclear if those identified as Myanmar nationals were Rohingya — members of a stateless Muslim minority described by the UN as one of the world’s most persecuted groups — who had fled Myanmar.
An explosion of tensions between Buddhist and Muslim communities in Myanmar’s western state of Rakhine since June 2012 has triggered an seaborne exodus of Rohingya.
Thailand’s navy blocked more than 200 Rohingya boat people from entering the kingdom late last month as part of a new policy, under which they will be given food and water but barred from landing if their boat is seaworthy.
Sailors assist rescued survivors on a Sri Lanka Navy vessel at Oluvil harbour today. One passenger was found dead while many of the 138 plucked from the boat were dehydrated, said navy spokesman Kosala Warnakulasuriya, adding that the vessel had been adrift for 10 days before it sank on Sunday.
Sailors help rescued survivors at Oluvil fisheries harbour in eastern Sri Lanka today. Fifteen of the survivors, including two women and two children, were hospitalised with acute dehydration, police said in a statement.” – thestateless.com

 

Myanmar (Burma): Bus plunges 40 metres in Arakan Mountains killing 14 and injuring 33 – 230113 1800z

A passenger bus travelling from Rangoon to Arakan State swerved off the road and fell down a mountainside on Wednesday, killing people 14 and injuring 33 others, according to initial Burmese police reports.

The accident occurred on Wednesday morning at 3 am, about 30 miles away from Taungup Township, when an overnight bus travelling through the Arakan Mountains in western Burma plunged 40 meters down a mountain slope, a post on the official Facebook page of the Myanmar Police Force said.

The report provided few details of the accident, other than mentioning that it had been caused by “a problem with the brakes” of the bus.

Medical staff at the Taungup Township Hospital told The Irrawaddy by telephone on Wednesday that 17 of 33 surviving crash victims were in a serious condition, adding that 12 had already transferred to the larger hospital in Thandwe City.

The other five severely injured victims were receiving treatment in Taungup Township Hospital, local staff said, adding that most victims suffered broken limbs and head trauma.

Min Aung, chairman of the National League for Democracy party in Taungup Township, said he was taking part in the rescue effort, adding that the mountainous conditions made it difficult for authorities and rescue workers to retrieve the victims from the crash site.

“The injured people were sent to the hospital with other buses,” he said. “As the bus fell a very long way down, we are still collecting the dead bodies.”

“It takes about 30 minutes to bring a dead body up to the road,” Min Aung added. Si Thu Lwin, a friend of a man called Win Zaw, who was being treated in Taungup Hospital, said that it remained unclear what had caused the bus to swerve off the road and into the valley below.

“My friend cannot speak well at the moment. He managed to tell me that the bus went down into the valley, but he did not know why,” Si Thu Lwin said.

There are dozens of passenger buses that make daily trips from Rangoon to Thandweusually at nightand accidents on the way are common.

The death toll in Wednesday’s crash however, is believed to be one of the highest in recent years. Road connections between Rangoon and Arakan State on Burma’s western coast pass through the Arakan Mountains, where poor roads are a constant hazard to passenger and goods transport.

Local businessman Kyauk Taun is understood to have won a bid for a government order to renovate the roads in the region several years ago.

Currently, he is collecting road fees from cars and buses passing through, yet much of the roads remain in an extremely poor condition.

Wednesday, 23 January, 2013 at 12:25 (12:25 PM) UTC RSOE

Myanmar: Team to start dig for buried WW2 Spitfires, believed in good condition in crates – 040113 2235Z

Latest at bottom of page

Myanmar signs deal to begin excavation of British Spitfire fighter planes from World War II

Myanmar has signed a deal with a British aviation enthusiast to allow the excavation of a World War II treasure: dozens of Spitfire fighter planes buried by the British almost 70 years ago.

Aviation enthusiast David J. Cundall discovered the locations of the aircraft after years of searching. The planes are believed to be in good condition, since they were reportedly packed in crates and hidden by British forces to keep them out of the hands of invading Japanese.

The British Embassy said Wednesday that the agreement was reached after discussions between President Thein Sein and British Prime Minister David Cameron during his visit to Myanmar earlier this year.

The excavation of the rare planes is slated to begin by the end of October.

– washingtonpost.com (Link to full story)

Credit: @WilliamsJon

04 Jan 2913:

Burma Spitfires: Team To Start Dig For Lost Planes

Experts hope to dig up a hoard of planes from a jungle in Burma and restore them so they can fly at UK airshows.

By Tom Parmenter, Sky News Correspondent

“A British team is preparing to fly out to Burma in an attempt to recover a hoard of “lost” World War Two Spitfire planes.

Aviation archaeologists believe 36 of the famous aircraft were buried in 1945 and have not been disturbed since.

Lincolnshire farmer David Cundall has spent over 15 years trying to pinpoint their location and then organise everything needed for a careful archaeological dig.

Mr Cundall told Sky News that he believed the planes were buried at the end of the war.

He said: “We have eyewitnesses who actually saw them being buried. The war was over so somebody gave the order to dig a big hole and bury them.”

Mr Cundall said the planes were buried “at depth” and so would not be corroded by oxygen.

“I’m totally convinced that they will be restorable. We want to restore them to flying condition so we can see them flying at air shows in three years time.”

The Spitfires were flown out to the Far East to support the Burma campaign towards the end of the war but were never actually used in conflict.

The team believe they are buried 10 metres underground on the site of Rangoon International Airport

On a visit to the country last year Prime Minister David Cameron signed an agreement with Burmese authorities to co-operate on the project.

The excavation is due to start next week.

Project Archaeologist Andy Brockman said: “This a rigorous, evidence-driven archaeological process – we are solving the mystery of what happened. It is a fascinating mystery.”

The team will make an announcement about their findings later in January.” – Sky News

Full story and video: Burma Spitfires – Team To Start Dig For Lost Planes

Related:

Battle of Britain Day – Tribute to the RAF (the few) – Updated 20 Sept 2012

Royal Air Force Battle of Britain Memorial Flight (RAFBBMF)

Myanmar (Burma): Fuel tanker train explosion kills 25 and injures about 62 – 091112 1830z

Twenty-five people were killed in northern Myanmar when a derailed tanker train burst into flames as they were trying to skim fuel from its overturned carriages, state television reported Friday.

The report said 62 other people were injured Friday morning after the train hauling seven carriages of gasoline and two of diesel derailed near Kantbalu about 800 kilometers (500 miles) north of Yangon. It was travelling from Yangon to the Kachin state capital of Myitkyina.

The cause of the accident was not given. The report said the injured were being treated at two nearby hospitals.

A witness, Myint Kyi, told the U.S.-funded broadcaster Radio Free Asia that the dead included 16 men, seven women and two bodies so badly burned their gender was not immediately apparent. He gave the number of injured as 74.

Friday, 09 November, 2012 at 17:03 (05:03 PM) UTC RSOE

Myanmar to reopen ‘Death Railway’ immortalised in the film“The Bridge on the River Kwai”

Published: 20/05/2012
Online news:

Myanmar aims to restore a stretch of the infamous “Death Railway” to Thailand which was initially built by Japanese-held prisoners of war, the minister in charge of the scheme says.

Map of the Burma Railway (wikipedia.org)
(Click on picture for more information)

The railway was immortalised in the Oscar-winning film “The Bridge on the River Kwai” which showed the dreadful working conditions endured by tens of thousands of POWs who built the track during World War II.

Bridge spanning the River Mae Klong on “Death Railway” (Bridge 277)
(Photo: wikipedia.org, Naz Gassiep)

A feasibility study on the 105-kilometre (65-mile) stretch running from Myanmar’s “Three Pagodas Pass” area to Thailand is scheduled to begin in October, Railway Minister Aung Min said.

“We will reopen this (rail)road. The other countries said they would also help us and we will continue working for it,” Aung Min said after peace talks with ethnic Shan rebels.

“We will do a survey and try to start working after the rainy season with the help of the international community.”

Long isolated under decades of army-rule, Myanmar has embarked on a rapid series of political and economic reforms under President Thein Sein, including moves to better relations with its neighbours.

The railway would provide a much-needed economic shot in the arm for the impoverished area, which is home to Myanmar’s rebellious Karen ethnic group, by boosting trade with Thailand and attracting tourists.

Karen rebels signed a ceasefire with the government in January, a major breakthrough towards ending the long-running insurgency.

Built by the Japanese between 1942 and 1943 to shuttle supplies from Thailand into Myanmar, then called Burma, along a route that engineers had long considered impossible, the rail link was destroyed by Allied bombers in 1945.

Some 13,000 POWs succumbed to abuse, malnutrition and disease during the 14 months it took to carve the 424-kilometre (263-mile) railway through dense jungles and mountains, under orders from their Japanese captors.

It is also estimated that 80,000 to 100,000 Asian civilians, who were also used as forced labour, perished in the railway’s construction but most of their remains have no known graves.

(Photo: visitkanchanaburi.com)

However, all along the route from Kanchanaburi are sections and memorials dedicated to the construction of the railway and the suffering of the hundreds of thousands of lives it cost.

The ThailandBurma Railway Museum is a railway museum in Kanchanaburi, Thailand. It is an interactive museum. It was privately funded and is run by Rod Beattie, an Australian who is an expert in the history of the ThailandBurma Railway.

Thai-Burma Railway Centre Kanchanaburi

http://www.visitkanchanaburi.com/museums.htm