Mexico: Tropical Depression 03E forms to the S of Mexico, bringing locally heavy rains – Published 11 Jun 2017 2150z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression 03E

Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of southeastern Mexico from Boca De Pijijiapan to Punta
Maldonado.

 Mexico and Guatemala be aware

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

 

National Hurricane Center FL

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 112033
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032017
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 11 2017

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO…
…BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS…

 

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.5N 95.0W
ABOUT 120 MI…190 KM S OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of southeastern Mexico from Boca De Pijijiapan to Punta
Maldonado.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three-E
was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 95.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the
forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone will be near the
coast of Mexico in the warning area by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected, and the depression is forecast
to become a tropical storm on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches across southern Guatemala and the
Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, and Guerrero, with maximum
totals of 20 inches possible. These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within portions of the warning area on Monday.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NE Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 11 Jun, 2017 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression 03E is currently located near 14.5 N 95.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). 03E is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puerto Angel (15.8 N, 96.5 W)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

(Image: TSR)

MARITIME/SHIPPING

FZNT01 KWBC 111540
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1630 UTC SUN JUN 11 2017

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

ATLANTIC ICEBERG ANALYSIS AND OUTLOOK PRODUCTS…COURTESY OF
THE U.S. COAST GUARD INTERNATIONAL ICE PATROL…CAN BE FOUND
ON THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WEB PAGE AT
http://WWW.OPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/ATL_TAB.SHTML(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC JUN 11
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 12
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC JUN 13

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 54N46W 985 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SW AND S
QUADRANTS AND BETWEEN 180 NM AND 360 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 44N
TO 61N E OF 54W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N40W 990 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM
55N TO 61N E OF 57W WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW 54N33W DESCRIBED BELOW.

…GALE WARNING…
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N60W 981 MB. OVER ICE FREE FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 780 MN S QUADRANT AND 180 NM NE AND E QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MEAN CENTER NEAR 53N51W 986
MB WITH A FRONT FROM CENTER TO 50N46W TO 42N59W. WITHIN 360 NM
SW AND S QUADRANTS AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM E AND S OF THE
FRONT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR 54N33W 978 MB.
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 39N TO 61N E OF 47W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 17 FT…HIGHEST NEAR 46N35W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS N OF 61N BETWEEN 48W AND 58W AREA
OF S TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N64W 1000 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 360 NM S AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 60N TO 66N WITHIN 120 NM OF THE W COAST
OF GREENLAND AREA OF N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 55N TO 59N E OF 52W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 53N BETWEEN 42W AND
56W…FROM 53N TO 65N W OF 56W…AND WITHIN 180 NM OF 42N69W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 56N TO 64N W OF 59W…AND FROM
40N TO 50N BETWEEN 57W AND 72W.

.HIGH 32N56W 1026 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N55W 1024 MB.

.HIGH 35N68W 1025 MB MOVING W 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N69W 1024 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 32N47W 1024 MB.

.FORECASTER VUKITS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUN 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUN 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUN 13.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N35W TO LOW PRES 27N48W 1018 MB
WITH TROUGH SW TO 21N55W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N45W TO
31N35W TO 28N35W TO 28N49W TO 31N35W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W…INCLUDING
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE…E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W…INCLUDING
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE…E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N79W TO 15N73W TO 11N71W TO
11N77W TO 15N79W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA…NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N80W TO 15N74W TO
11N74W TO 11N80W TO 14N80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N80W TO 13N70W TO
11N71W TO 12N81W TO 14N80W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF VENEZUELA…
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 19N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N W OF 85W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF
HONDURAS…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH FROM 28N83W TO 27N90W. S OF TROUGH SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN
60 NM OF LINE FROM 25.5N82W TO 26N89W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 22.5N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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