Philippines: Tropical Depression Two/ Crising (02W) 141500Z position nr 10.7N 128.1E, moving WNW 11kt (JTWC) – Published 14 Apr 2017 1442z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression Two (02W)

(TD Crising in Philippines)

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: @wunderground)

(Image: TSR)

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Depression 02W (Two) Warning #02
Issued at 14/1500Z

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
141200Z — NEAR 10.6N 128.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 128.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z — 11.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 11.6N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z — 12.2N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z — 13.2N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 128.1E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 506 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 141200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND
151500Z.//
NNNN

===============================================================================

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA-DOST)SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #2
FOR:Tropical Depression Crising
Tropical Cyclone: WARNING

ISSUED AT:8:00 PM, 14 April 2017

Tropical depression CRISING has maintained its strength as it moves in a west-northwest direction

  • Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to occasionally heavy within the 250 km diameter of the Tropical Depression.
  • Expected to make landfall over Samar island tomorrow afternoon.
  • Residents in areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal (TCWS) 1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
  • Possible inclusion of Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, and Burias island under TCWS 1 in the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
PAGASA Track as of05:00 M, 14 April 2017 Satellite Image
Location of eye/center: At 7:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “CRISING” was estimated based on all available data at 340 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar (10.6 °N, 128.8 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kph
Forecast Positions:
  • 24 Hour( Tomorrow afternoon): In the vicinity of Tinambacan Norte, Samar(12.1°N, 124.5°E)
  • 48 Hour(Sunday afternoon):95 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro(13.3°N, 120.3°E)
  • 72 Hour(Monday afternoon): 250 km West Southwest of Iba, Zambales(14.4°N, 117.9°E)
  • 96 Hour(Tuesday afternoon):320 km West Northwest of Iba, Zambales(16.0°N, 117.1°E)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL
TCWS Luzon Visayas Mindanao Impacts of the wind
#1
(30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)
Sorsogon, Albay, and Masbate including Ticao island Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, and northern portion of Leyte. ->Very light or no damage to high risk structures,
->Light damage to medium to low risk structures
->Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
->Twigs of small trees may be broken.
->Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next weather bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

Severe Weather Bulletin in PDF file

MARITIME/SHIPPING

(Image: JMA)

PDF iconPAGASA Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping in PDF

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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