Severe Tropical Storm Nepartak/ Butchoy in PH (1601, 02W)
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 18 FEET
STS 1601 (Nepartak)
Issued at 18:45 UTC, 8 July 2016
<Analysis at 18 UTC, 8 July> | |
Scale | – |
Intensity | – |
Center position | N23°40′ (23.7°) |
E119°25′ (119.4°) | |
Direction and speed of movement | NW 10 km/h (6 kt) |
Central pressure | 980 hPa |
Maximum wind speed near center | 30 m/s (60 kt) |
Maximum wind gust speed | 45 m/s (85 kt) |
≥ 50 kt wind area | ALL 90 km (50 NM) |
≥ 30 kt wind area | NE 330 km (180 NM) |
SW 280 km (150 NM) | |
<Forecast for 18 UTC, 9 July> | |
Intensity | – |
Center position of probability circle | N25°30′ (25.5°) |
E117°20′ (117.3°) | |
Direction and speed of movement | NW 15 km/h (7 kt) |
Central pressure | 992 hPa |
Maximum sustained wind speed | 20 m/s (40 kt) |
Maximum wind gust speed | 30 m/s (60 kt) |
Radius of probability circle | 90 km (50 NM) |
<Forecast for 18 UTC, 10 July> | |
Intensity | – |
TD | |
Center position of probability circle | N28°10′ (28.2°) |
E117°30′ (117.5°) | |
Direction and speed of movement | N 15 km/h (7 kt) |
Central pressure | 996 hPa |
Radius of probability circle | 200 km (110 NM) |
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Tropical Storm 02W (Nepartak) Warning #24
Issued at 08/2100Z
WTPN31 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 024
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
—
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z — NEAR 23.4N 119.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N 119.7E
—
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z — 24.4N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
—
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z — 25.3N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
—
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z — 26.2N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
—
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z — 27.3N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
—
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 119.5E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 142 NM
SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z
IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.//
NNNN
NW Pacific: TSR Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2016 6:00 GMT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Jul, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NEPARTAK is currently located near 23.4 N 119.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). NEPARTAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T’aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
MARITIME/ SHIPPING
METAREA11 / TYPHOON_WARNING_JAPAN / 081800
WTJP21 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1601 NEPARTAK (1601) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON
980 HPA
AT 23.7N 119.4E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 25.5N 117.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 28.2N 117.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
END
Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.
#Taiwan #China #Wx #News/Super #Typhoon #NEPARTAK #02W: NW #Pacific: TSR RED ALERT issued at 6 Jul, 2016 6:00 GMT
Super Typhoon NEPARTAK is currently located near 19.5 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 150 kts (173 mph). NEPARTAK is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NEPARTAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
#Taichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
#Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
#Kaohsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
#Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
#Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
#Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
#Fuan (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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RSOE Situation Update No. 2 on July 08 2016 08:35 PM (UTC):
Super Typhoon Nepartak hit Taiwan with powerful winds and torrential rain early on Friday. Thousands of people have been forced to evacuate their homes as the island cancelled hundreds of flights and shut offices and schools for the day. With gusts of up to 234 kph (145 mph) the typhoon landed at Taimali township in eastern Taitung county shortly before 6:00 am Friday morning (2200 GMT on Thursday). TV footage showed ferocious winds battering Taitung, which recorded the strongest gusts since 1901, according to Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau. Almost 15,000 people have been moved from homes that were deemed prone to landslides or flooding. As many as 331,900 households lost power due to the storm, with close to 255,000 without electricity as of Friday morning. The government said financial markets, schools and offices would all be closed Friday and the bullet train service suspended. Most scheduled domestic flights were cancelled while 365 international flights were affected at Taipei’s two main airports. The storm had a radius of 200 kilometres and was moving at a speed of 13 kph. “It is expected the strength of this typhoon will continue to weaken and slow down in speed,” the weather bureau said.
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