Vietnam/ South China Sea: Tropical Depression Nineteen (19W) 131500Z POSITION near 15.8N 110.9E, moving W at 07 knots (JTWC) – Published 13 sept 2015 1840z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression Nineteen (19W)

VIETNAM BEWARE!

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 12 FEET (JTWC) 

Tropical Depression Nineteen

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast

Tropical Depression Nineteen

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

TD a

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

TD
Issued at 15:55 UTC, 13 September 2015

<Analyses at 13/15 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N15°35′(15.6°)
E111°30′(111.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 15m/s(30kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 23m/s(45kt)
<Forecast for 14/15 UTC>
Intensity
Center position of probability circle N15°40′(15.7°)
E108°55′(108.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 998hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 220km(120NM)

VIETNAM

National Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING
TC TRACKS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING

Analysis positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

22 Sunday, September 13, 2015 15.7 111.7 TD 56 km/hour

Forecast positions and Intensities

Local time (GMT+7)

Date

Position

Classification

Maximum sustained wind

22 Monday, September 14, 2015 15.7 109.0 TS 65 km/hour
22 Tuesday, September 15, 2015 15.2 105.8 Low 28 km/hour
Notes for the picture:
Areas of probability wind greater than 6 Beauforts
Areas of probability wind greater than 10 Beauforts
Possible passing areas of TC center
Past positions of TC
Forecast positions of TC
Past positions of TD
Forecast positions of TD
*The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 02:30 AM Monday, September 14, 2015

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Tropical Depression 19W (Nineteen) Warning #01
Issued at 13/1500Z

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1915.gif

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/19W_131132sair.jpg

WTPN31 PGTW 131500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130951SEP15//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
131200Z — NEAR 15.8N 111.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 111.3E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z — 15.8N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z — 16.1N 108.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z — 15.9N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z — 15.3N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 110.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 174 NM
EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z. THIS
MESSAGE SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI 130951Z SEP 15 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21
PGTW 131000).//
//
NNNN

Prognostic Reasoning

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

WWJP25 RJTD 131200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200.
WARNING VALID 141200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER
WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 173E 48N 180E 33N 180E 33N 172E 44N 173E.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 15.8N 111.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 15.4N 109.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 47N 152E
55N 162E 60N 170E 60N 180E 50N 180E 43N 170E 40N 160E 38N 150E 38N
143E 42N 143E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1014 HPA AT 47N 148E NE 20 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 152E WEST SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 176E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY.
WARM FRONT FROM 47N 148E TO 49N 151E 50N 156E.
COLD FRONT FROM 47N 148E TO 44N 146E 43N 144E 36N 141E 30N 136E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

There are more warnings here:  METAREA XI

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