Japan: Tropical Depression Nangka (11W) 17/2100z position nr 38.1N 135.8E., moving NNE at 09 knots (JTWC) – Published 170715 2200z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Depression Nangka (11W)

 Maximum significant wave height
at 171800z is 12 feet (JTWC)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

Japan Meteorological agency

1511-00 17

Tropical cyclones do not necessarily move along the lines
connecting the centers of probability circles.

Unit:
1KT(knot) = 1.852 km/h = 0.5144 m/s
1NM(nautical mile) = 1.852 km

15071803

TD
Issued at 18:40 UTC, 17 July 2015

<Analyses at 17/18 UTC>
Scale
Intensity
TD
Center position N37°00′(37.0°)
E136°00′(136.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

wtpn33 pgtw 172100
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical depression 11w (Nangka) warning nr 058
downgraded from tropical storm 11w
02 active tropical cyclones in northwestpac
Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
wind radii valid over open water only

warning position:
171800z — near 37.6n 135.2e
movement past six hours – 030 degrees at 09 kts
position accurate to within 060 nm
position based on center located by satellite
present wind distribution:
Max sustained winds – 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
repeat posit: 37.6n 135.2e

forecasts:
12 hrs, valid at:
180600z — 39.5n 137.7e
Max sustained winds – 030 kt, gusts 040 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
vector to 24 hr posit: 055 deg/ 13 kts

24 hrs, valid at:
181800z — 40.9n 140.6e
Max sustained winds – 025 kt, gusts 035 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipating as a significant tropical cyclone over land
vector to 36 hr posit: 055 deg/ 13 kts

36 hrs, valid at:
190600z — 42.4n 143.5e
Max sustained winds – 020 kt, gusts 030 kt
wind radii valid over open water only
dissipated as a significant tropical cyclone over land

remarks:
172100z position near 38.1n 135.8e.
Tropical depression 11w (Nangka), located approximately 232 nm
west-northwest of yokota ab, has tracked north-northeastward at
09 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height
at 171800z is 12 feet. Next warnings at 180300z, 180900z, 181500z
and 182100z. Refer to tropical storm 01c (halola) warnings
(wtpn32 pgtw) for six-hourly updates.//
Nnnn

(Via @wunderground)

TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jul, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NANGKA (11W) currently located near 36.1 N 134.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

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CLICK IMAGE FOR MORE DETAIL

METAREA11 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST_JAPAN / 1800

WWJP25 RJTD 171800 CCA
WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800.
WARNING VALID 181800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA
AT 50N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 49N 167E 46N 169E.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 42N 171E 38N 172E.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 41N 164E 40N 158E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 40N 150E 40N 140E 40N 137E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 43N 141E
44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 170E 39N 159E 36N
141E.
SUMMARY.
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 1511 NANGKA (1511) TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA AT 37N 136E NE 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 22N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1008 HPA AT 34N 129E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1010 HPA AT 54N 132E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1512 HALOLA (1512) 996 HPA AT 18.3N 157.5E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

WWJP25 RJTD 171800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800.
WARNING VALID 181800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA
AT 50N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 49N 167E 46N 169E.
WARM FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 42N 171E 38N 172E.
COLD FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 41N 164E 40N 158E.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 40N 150E 40N 140E 40N 137E.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND
300 MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA
OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 43N 141E
44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 170E 39N 159E 36N
141E.
SUMMARY.
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 1511 NANGKA (1511) TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA AT 37N 136E NE 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 22N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY.
HIGH 1008 HPA AT 34N 129E EAST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1010 HPA AT 54N 132E EAST 10 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 1512 HALOLA (1512) 996 HPA AT 18.3N 157.5E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Further warnings exist for METAREA XI http://weather.gmdss.org/XI.html

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Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

One thought on “Japan: Tropical Depression Nangka (11W) 17/2100z position nr 38.1N 135.8E., moving NNE at 09 knots (JTWC) – Published 170715 2200z (GMT/UTC)

  1. TSR NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Jul, 2015 18:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm NANGKA (11W) currently located near 34.0 N 134.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
    probability for TS is 90% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
    probability for TS is 80% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
    probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    Like

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