US: Tropical Storm ANA: Tropical storm condx expected to reach portions of the coasts of NC & SC later today (NHC) – Published 090515 1710z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Storm ANA

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Lookout

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Edisto Beach South Carolina to South of South Santee River

…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF
THE COASTS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA LATER TODAY…NHC FL

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

000
WTNT31 KNHC 091437
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015
1100 AM EDT SAT MAY 09 2015

…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF
THE COASTS OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA LATER TODAY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…32.7N 77.9W
ABOUT 105 MI…165 KM S OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* South Santee River South Carolina to Cape Lookout

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Edisto Beach South Carolina to South of South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
12-24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 12-24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina and Virginia should
monitor the progress of Ana.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 32.7 North, longitude 77.9 West. Ana is moving
toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the north
and north-northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is
expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center
will be very near the coasts of South and North Carolina by
Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast as Ana moves over cooler waters close
to the coastline.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a
minimum central pressure of 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area, and are possible within the watch area, by this afternoon or
evening.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters.
The water could reach 1 to 2 ft above ground at times of high tide
in coastal areas from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina southward
through South Carolina. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Ana is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to
3 inches, with isolated amounts of 5 inches, over eastern portions
of North Carolina and South Carolina through Monday.

SURF: Swells generated by Ana are affecting portions of the
southeastern U.S. coast. These swells will likely cause life-
threatening surf and rip currents. Please see statements issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

TSR N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 May, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ANA (AL01) currently located near 32.7 N 77.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1437

WTNT21 KNHC 091437
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015
1500 UTC SAT MAY 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12-24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 77.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…….100NE 110SE 80SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 77.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 77.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 33.2N 78.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 33.9N 78.7W…INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 34.9N 78.5W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…100NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 36.1N 77.4W…INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 40.0N 72.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N 77.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Graphicast Atlantic

See also: METAREA IV

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website: http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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