Australia (NT): Tropical LOW 2: Tropical cyclone impact between Port Hedland & Northwest Cape possible from Thursday – TCWC Perth – Published 100315 1553z (GMT/UTC)

Tropical Low 2

Tropical cyclone impact between Port Hedland and Northwest Cape possible from Thursday – TCWC Perth

Australian Government - Bureau of Meteorology

QLD NT

AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Low

Issued at 8:40 pm WST Tuesday 10 March 2015. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 3.

Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
example of orange colour
Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
example of yellow colour

Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Past Track and Movement
example of track

Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Very Destructive Winds
example of region
Destructive Winds
example of region
Gale Force Winds
example of region

Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
example of icon
Very Destructive Wind Boundary
example of region
Destructive Wind Boundary
example of region
Gale Force Wind Boundary
example of region
Most Likely Future Track
example of track
Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
example of region

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau’s best estimate of the cyclone’s future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.

Headline:

Tropical cyclone impact between Port Hedland and Northwest Cape possible from Thursday.

Areas affected:

Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: Port Hedland to Coral Bay.

Details of Tropical Low at 8:00 pm WST:

Intensity: tropical low, sustained winds near the centre of 45 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 110 kilometres of 14.3 degrees South, 116.3 degrees East , 720 kilometres north of Karratha and 880 kilometres north northeast of Exmouth .
Movement: east southeast at 8 kilometres per hour .

Hazards:

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are not expected on Tuesday or Wednesday but may develop between Karratha and Exmouth on Thursday afternoon. If the system tracks a little more to the east then gales may develop as far east as Port Hedland.

Heavy rainfall is likely to develop over the western Pilbara and northern Gascoyne districts as the system approaches and may lead to flooding. Please refer to the latest Flood Watches and Warnings for more details ¿ http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/.

Recommended Action:

DFES-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at present.
Communities between Port Hedland and Coral Bay should listen for the next advice.

Details:

Time (WST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 8 pm March 10 tropical low 14.3S 116.3E 110
+6hr 2 am March 11 tropical low 14.7S 116.5E 220
+12hr 8 am March 11 tropical low 15.1S 116.6E 240
+18hr 2 pm March 11 tropical low 15.6S 116.7E 260
+24hr 8 pm March 11 tropical low 16.2S 116.6E 280
+36hr 8 am March 12 1 17.7S 116.2E 315
+48hr 8 pm March 12 2 19.4S 115.4E 335
+60hr 8 am March 13 2 21.1S 114.4E 370
+72hr 8 pm March 13 2 22.9S 113.8E 400

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye

Next Issue

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 3:00 am WST Wednesday

MARITIME/ SHIPPING

Further warnings here:

METAREA X

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com/

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

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