Eastern Pacific: Tropical Depression Eight-E (08E) 261500Z near 14.4N 107.3W, moving NW at 13 knots (NHC) – Updated 260714 1738z (UTC)

Tropical Depression Eight-E (08E)

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWESTWARD…
…NO THREAT TO LAND…NHC

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (NHC)

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 261431
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082014
800 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2014

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWESTWARD…
…NO THREAT TO LAND…
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.4N 107.3W
ABOUT 610 MI…985 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH…24 KM/H. A
SLIGHTLY FASTER WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS…AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB…29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

MARITIME

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0849
WTPZ22 KNHC 261431
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072014
1500 UTC SAT JUL 26 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 137.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 136.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.2N 138.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.3N 139.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.4N 141.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.8N 143.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.5N 146.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 14.0N 149.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 14.0N 152.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N 137.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

 

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261556
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION…UPDATED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT JUL 26 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N…EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY…WEATHER OBSERVATIONS…RADAR…AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

GENEVIEVE WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 26/1500
UTC. AT THIS TIME…IT IS CENTERED NEAR 12.2N 137.0W MOVING WEST
OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40
KT. MOST OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS DISPLACED TO THE E OF THE
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. AN EARLIER ASCAT
PASS SUGGESTS THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED. SOME
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND THE
DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 3 DAYS.
PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS
MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 107.3W AT
26/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT. A SLIGHTLY
FASTER WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. A
LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS TO THE N WITHIN
240 NM OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS…AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY. PLEASE SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

FIRST-LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF A 1007 MB
LOW PRES LOCATED NEAR 14.5N127W IS TOTALLY EXPOSED AND ABOUT 60
NM TO THE NW OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. CURRENTLY…THE NHC TROPICAL
WEATHER OUTLOOK GIVES THIS LOW PRES AREA A HIGH CHANCE OF
DEVELOPING INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN
AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WITH SEAS TO 11 FT IS EXPECTED TO
BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

…TROPICAL WAVES…

A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 117W/118W FROM 10N TO 20N MOVING
WESTWARD 15 KT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NOTED WHERE THE WAVE MEETS THE MONSOON TROUGH…MAINLY FROM 08N
TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W.

…INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 07N95W TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION EIGHT-E NEAR 14N107W TO 10N118W TO 1007 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14.5N127W TO 12N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 08N E OF 81W AND FROM 09N TO 13N
BETWEEN 87W AND 95W. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO
10N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W.

…DISCUSSION…

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 15N W OF 125W. THE MEAN AXIS EXTENDS
FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 34N131W TO 30N129W TO 16N138W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AND STABLE AIR AT THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER LEVELS IS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA N OF 18N W OF 125W. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTION ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH MAINLY W OF 120W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EXTENDS A RIDGE
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR
27N118W. AN UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS S OF THE RIDGE NEAR
22N115W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING S TO NEAR 17N114W. AN INVERTED
TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THIS POINT TO 08N113W. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS NEAR 17N102W. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED
BETWEEN THESE TWO UPPER LEVEL FEATURES. N TO NE FLOW ALOFT
DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST REGION E OF 100W.

GULF OF PAPAGAYO…STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE TRADE WINDS OVER
THE SW CARIBBEAN WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER PULSE OF 20-25 KT WINDS
THROUGH THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO SUN MORNING.
THESE WINDS WILL PULSE AGAIN SUN NIGHT INTO MON MORNING. SEAS
WILL BUILD TO 9 FT DURING EACH PULSE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
20 KT OR LESS BY SUN NIGHT.

GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…ANOTHER PULSE OF NLY WINDS OF 20-25 KT WAS
NOTED THIS MORNING. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 20 KT OR LESS
THIS AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N
OF 15N W OF 115W. PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE RIDGE AND GENEVIEVE IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 135W WITH SEAS TO 9 FT. THESE
MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE WWD IN TANDEM WITH
GENEVIEVE.

$$
GR

 

METAREA12 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 0530
FZPN02 KWBC 261130
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC SAT JUL 26 2014

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 28.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.FROM 36N TO 43N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 33N TO 44N BETWEEN 123W AND 129W N TO
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 46N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 48N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W N WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 42N178E 1002 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
360 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N171E 1001 MB. WITHIN 480 NM N AND NE
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 57N141W 1007 MB MOVING NW 05 KT. WITHIN 540 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N144W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N146W 1016 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 43N BETWEEN 168E AND 161E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS N OF FORECAST AREA.

.LOW 41N164E 1007 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N173E 998 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 43N173E TO 31N173E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N176E 1003 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 55N170E TO 47N178E TO 40N180W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 38N179E 1004 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E AND
SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 53N TO 63N
BETWEEN 170W AND 177E AND FROM 40N TO 54N BETWEEN 175W AND 160E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 54N BETWEEN 172W AND
170E…FROM 43N TO 56N BETWEEN 170E AND 160E…AND N OF 55N
BETWEEN 166W AND 180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 40N TO 54N BETWEEN 170W AND
160E AND N OF 60N BETWEEN 165W AND 173W.

.HIGH 38N143W 1026 MB MOVING E 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N137W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 38N136W 1025 MB.

.HIGH 52N178W 1027 MB MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 55N177W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 54N172W 1027 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 45N164W 1026 MB.

.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW HIGH 52N129W 1023 MB.

.FORECASTER NOLT. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 28.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE NEAR 12.2N 136.7W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC
JUL 26 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 N SEMICIRCLE…120 NM SE QUADRANT…AND 60
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE NEAR 12.5N 139.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM
N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 18N W OF 135W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 13.0N
143.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 135W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 13.5N
146.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 14.0N
149.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW GENEVIEVE NEAR
14.0N 152.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E NEAR 13.4N 106.3W 1007 MB AT 0900
UTC JUL 26 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W
SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT E NEAR 16.4N 110.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER
WITH MAX SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT E NEAR 19.2N 115.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EIGHT E NEAR 21.2N 119.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EIGHT E NEAR 22.0N
123.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW EIGHT E NEAR 22.0N
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N126W 1005 MB. WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND
30 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
14N130W 1006 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR
15N132W 1004 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO…NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 84W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48W HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT JUL 26…

T.S. GENEVIEVE…NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 135W
AND 137W.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E…NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N
BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

LOW PRES NEAR 14N125W…NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN
135W AND 137W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH THROUGH 9N78W TO 05N94W…TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
EIGHT-E…TO 10N117W…TO 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
14N126W…TO 13N131W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN
89W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N
BETWEEN 77W AND 80W…FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W…FROM
04N TO 09N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W…FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 102W
AND 107W…FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 112W AND 115W…AND FROM 07N
TO 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 125W.

.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 26 2014.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 27 2014.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 28 2014.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE JUST EAST OF FORECAST
AREA NEAR 12.5N 139.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS
AND 40 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES AND
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 13.0N
143.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 TO
30 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 180 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLES.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 13.5N
146.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE NEAR 14.0N
149.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW GENEVIEVE NEAR 14.0N 152.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

SEE WTPZ22 KNHC BULLETIN ISSUED BY NHC FOR LATEST INFORMATION.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 09N152W 1007 MB MOVING W 10 KT. TROUGH FROM LOW TO 11N148W
TO 10N143W TO 11N140W MOVING W SLOWLY. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
FROM 05N TO 14N E OF 157W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 10N156W 1008 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.WEAKENING NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N177E TO 27N172E TO
25N168E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW FRONT FROM 30N172E TO 26N167E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT FROM 30N176E TO 27N172E TO 25N167E. SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 60 NM E OF FRONT N OF 29N.

.TROUGH FROM 09N160E TO 09N175E MOVING S SLOWLY. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS FROM 04N TO 15N W OF 176E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 08N160E TO 06N171E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED.

.RIDGE FROM 28N160E TO 28N163E TO 29N169E NEARLY STATIONARY.

.NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 146W AND
155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 13N TO 18N
BETWEEN 148W AND 158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 13N TO 18N
BETWEEN 153W AND 162W.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REMAINDER OF FORECAST AREA.

.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 12N TO 17N E OF 155W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 149W
AND 158W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 152W
AND 161W.

.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA.

.ITCZ FROM 07N156W TO 05N174W TO 09N179W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG TSTMS FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN 161W AND 166W…AND FROM
06N TO 10N BETWEEN 169W AND 174W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS
ELSEWHERE S OF 14N BETWEEN 175W AND 176E…AND FROM 02N TO 10N
BETWEEN 157W AND 175W.

$$

.HONOLULU HI=

 

PassageWeather is a FREE sailing weather website:

http://www.passageweather.com

Do not use any information on this site for life or death decisions. All information is intended as supplementary to official sources. Kindly refer to your country’s official weather agency/government website for local warnings, advisories and bulletins.

 

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