Eastern Pacific/ Mexico: Tropical Depression DOUGLAS 04E: 051000Z near 23.2N 119.7W, moving NW at 8 knots (JTWC) – 050714 1255z

TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS 04E

…DOUGLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.(NHC)

(Image: wunderground.com) E Pacific Sea Surface Temp (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

MEXICO

Aviso de Tiempo Severo bg20x2 bg2 h Aviso Cicl�n: Pac�fico Atl�ntico

US
National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 050844
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014
200 AM PDT SAT JUL 05 2014

…DOUGLAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION…
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…23.1N 119.6W
ABOUT 615 MI…990 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 200 AM PDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/H.
DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLIGHTLY
SLOWER RATE OF FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
DOUGLAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB…29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

https://i1.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/ep0414.gif

 

 

 

 

WTPN31 PHNC 051000

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOUGLAS) WARNING NR 027
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
050600Z — NEAR 22.8N 119.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 119.3W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z — 23.9N 120.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z — 24.9N 121.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z — 25.8N 122.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z — 26.5N 124.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
051000Z POSITION NEAR 23.2N 119.7W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOUGLAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM
WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z
IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051600Z, 052200Z, 060400Z AND 061000Z.
//
NNNN

MARITIME

Graphicast Eastern Pacific

WTPZ24 KNHC 050844
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014
0900 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 119.6W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 119.6W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 119.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.9N 120.6W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.9N 121.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.8N 122.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N 124.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 119.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

 

FZPN02 KWBC 051130
HSFEPI

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC SAT JUL 05 2014

CCODE/1:31:12:01:00/AOW+POR/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 51N135W 997 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NM W…240 NM E
AND SW…180 NM N AND 420 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N137W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 NM E QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 57N151W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 48N160W 1003 MB DRIFTING E. WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N158W 1000 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N151W 1006 MB. FROM 43N TO 47N BETWEEN
140W AND 161W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 33N TO 42N BETWEEN 122W AND 126W N TO NW WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 36N TO 41N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W NW TO N
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 43N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W N TO NW
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.

.LOW 35N166E 1008 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 300 NM SE AND E
QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N169E 1008 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW W OF AREA 46N159E 997 MB.
WITHIN 180 NM N OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM THE LOW TO 44N177E
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 40N TO 46N
BETWEEN 137W AND 145W AND N OF 44N BETWEEN 160W AND 180W AND
FROM 33N TO 53N BETWEEN 160E AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 43N TO 49N BETWEEN 128W AND
143W AND N OF 45N BETWEEN 180W AND 160W AND FROM 34N TO 50N
BETWEEN 160E AND 180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 48N BETWEEN 138W AND
146W AND N OF 58N BETWEEN 166W AND 180W AND FROM 33N TO 47N
BETWEEN 160E AND 176W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 47N161W AND 39N126W.

.HIGH 34N134W 1022 MB NEARLY STATIONARY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N136W 1023 MB.

.HIGH 35N178W 1025 MB MOVING SE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N174W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 36N169W 1021 MB.

.HIGH 41N178E 1025 MB MOVING NE 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N179W 1024 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MERGED WITH HIGH 36N169W.

.HIGH 57N162W 1014 MB MOVING NW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.FORECASTER LEE. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 07.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS NEAR 23.1N 119.6W 1008 MB AT 0900
UTC JUL 05 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND SE QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 24.9N
121.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 180 NM
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DOUGLAS NEAR 26.5N
124.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST…DISSIPATED.

.FROM 11N TO 12.5N E OF 88W…INCLUDING THE GULF PAPAGAYO…NE
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W…INCLUDING THE GULF
PAPAGAYO…WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 89W…INCLUDING THE GULF
PAPAGAYO…NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 91W… INCLUDING THE
GULF PAPAGAYO…NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 12N E OF 89W…INCLUDING THE
GULF PAPAGAYO…NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S TO
SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95.5W…
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED IN PARAGRAPH BELOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 13.5N96W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 13N96W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 15N W OF 79W TO A LINE FROM 15N110W TO
00N137W…EXCEPT IN LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS…WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN S TO SW SWELL…EXCEPT 11 TO
14 FT S OF 04N BETWEEN 82W AND 94W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 18N W OF 79W TO A LINE FROM
18N109W TO 15N117W TO 07N118W TO 05N130W TO 00N140W…EXCEPT IN
LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS…WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
PRIMARILY IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 15N W OF 80W TO A LINE FROM
15N107W TO 06N107W TO 00N140W…EXCEPT IN LEE OF GALAPAGOS
ISLANDS…WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN S TO
SW SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 120 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
N OF 25N…NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

CONVECTION VALID 0830 UTC SAT JUL 05…

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS…ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N100W TO 08N98W…SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM E OF AXIS.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W-111W FROM 08N TO 16N…SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N WITHIN 150 NM W AND 90 NM E
OF AXIS.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02.5N TO 06.5N E OF 85W TO
COAST.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 07N74W TO 10N81W TO 08N98W TO
10N109W TO 08N115W…WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO ITCZ…CONTINUING
ON TO 10N126W TO 10.5N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 89W AND 99W AND
WITHIN 150 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN BETWEEN 109W AND 115W.

.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC JUL 05 2014.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 06 2014.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC JUL 07 2014.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FRONT FROM 30N164E TO 28N160E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED
MODERATE TSTMS BETWEEN FRONT AND LINE FROM 30N167E TO 27N165E TO
26N160E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED OVER FORECAST WATERS.

.RIDGE FROM 30N174E TO 25N160E NEARLY STATIONARY.

.NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 152W AND
167W… AND FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 170W AND 176W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 09N AND 17N BETWEEN
165W AND 175E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS DIMINISHED TO 20 KT OR LESS.

.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA.

.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 161W AND 168W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 166W
AND 176W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 171W
AND 176E.

.SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER REST OF FORECAST AREA.

.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 163E AND
172E…AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 160W AND 165W.

.ITCZ FROM 10N140W TO 08N150W TO 06N160W TO 05N175W TO 01N170E.
ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TSTMS FROM 03N TO 09N
BETWEEN 168W AND 179W…AND WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ E OF 147W.
ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N…AND 135 NM
S…OF ITCZ… AND FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 177E AND 179E.

$$

.FORECASTER KINEL. HONOLULU HI.=

 

One thought on “Eastern Pacific/ Mexico: Tropical Depression DOUGLAS 04E: 051000Z near 23.2N 119.7W, moving NW at 8 knots (JTWC) – 050714 1255z

  1. NASA Hurricane at 1243 UTC today:
    E PACIFIC – Douglas Now a Tropical Depression
    At 5 a.m. EDT on July 5, Douglas had weakened to a depression. The center of Tropical Depression Douglas was located near latitude 23.1 north…longitude 119.6 west. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 kph), and Douglas is expected to turn toward the west-northwest. Maximum sustained winds now near 35 mph (55 kkph) and Douglas is expected to become a remnant low later today, July 5. This GOES-West infrared image showed that Douglas has maintained its circulation, although convection (thunderstorm development) has waned.

    Like

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