India/Bay of Bengal: Low Pressure Area MADI (RSMC New Delhi) Tropical Cyclone 120300Z nr 11.9N 81.5E, moving SW at 10 knots (JTWC) Final Warning- 121213 1102z

Tropical Cyclone Madi (JTWC)

 

 

= Tropical Storm (below Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category)

Low Pressure Area (RSMC NEW DELHI)

 

 

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

 

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

 

(Image: IMD) Chennai Doppler Radar (Click image for animation/source)

 

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 12 -12 -2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC.
THE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE LIES OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL
OFF TAMILNADU COAST.
BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA :-BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE CONVECTION OVER
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA,
BROKEN LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION OVER EASTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL,
ARABIAN SEA :-NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION
RIDGE LINE:-RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG LATITUDE 14.0N OVER THE INDIAN REGION.

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

https://i0.wp.com/www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0613.gif

 

 

WTIO31 PGTW 120300

 

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (MADI) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (MADI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
120000Z NEAR 12.2N 82.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 82.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z 10.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z 9.9N 78.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 11.9N 81.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (MADI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALS A DEVOLVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH MINIMALLY
FLARING CONVECTION WHILE STEADILY TRACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST. A
RECENT 112354Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE ALSO SHOWS WEAKENING STRUCTURE
AS THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12
HOURS. TC 06B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STEADILY TRACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST WHILE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN, AS DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT,
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND LAND INTERACTION DISSIPATE THE
SYSTEM BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTER TAU 12,
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIA AND
FURTHER DEVOLVE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 120000Z IS 13 FEET.//
NNNN

 

http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/06B_081730sair.jpg

 

END

 

Extreme weather could become norm around Indian Ocean, say scientists http://tinyurl.com/knpzqlf

 

MARITIME

 

METAREA8N / HIGH_SEAS_WARNING / 0900

 

WTIN01 DEMS 120900
SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N),NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24/48 HOURS FROM 0900 UTC 12 DECMBER 2013

PART I:-STORM WARNING (.)
DEPRESSION WEAKEN INTO WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA
OVER SW BAY OF BENGAL,AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY(.)
IT FURTHER MOVED SW-WARDS AND LIES OVER SW BAY OF
BENGAL OFF NORTH TAMILNADU COAST(.)
PART II😦.)
WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA (VIII)(.)
ARB: A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 10 DEG. N AND W OF 80 DEG.E (.)
A1-FORECAST FOR 24 HOUR
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-
1)N OF 05 DEG N:-
I)W OF 70 DEG E:N/NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)E OF 70 DEG E:NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
TO THE E OF 72 DEG E(.)
2)S OF 05 DEG N:NW-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS(.)
III)VISIBILITY:6-4 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1)I)1-2 M II)0.5-1 M 2)1-2 M(.)

 

A1-FORECAST FOR 48 HOUR
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-
1)N OF 05 DEG N:-
I)W OF 70 DEG E:N/NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)E OF 70 DEG E:NW-LY 05/10 KTS BEC CYCLONIC
TO THE E OF 72 DEG E(.)
2)S OF 05 DEG N:NW-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS(.)
III)VISIBILITY:6-4 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1)I)1-2 M II)0.5-1 M 2)1-2 M(.)
A2 ARABIAN SEA :-23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 12 DEG N 63 DEG E
TO CAPE GARDAFUI TO N OF 10 DEG N (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-FAIR(.)
III)VISIBILITY:10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M (.)
A2-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-FAIR(.)
III)VISIBILITY:10-8 NM (.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS(.)
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS(.)
III)VISIBILITY:-6-4 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:- 1-2 M (.)
A3-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS(.)
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-CYCLONIC 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-SCATTERED RA/TS(.)
III)VISIBILITY:-6-4 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:- 1-2 M (.)
BOB: A4:- BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N AND E OF 80 DEG E (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS (.)
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-ISOLATED RA/TS TO THE S OF 13 DEG N(.)
REST AREA FAIR(.)
III)VISIBILITY:-8-6 NM TO THE S OF 13 DEG N(.)
REST AREA 10-8 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M (.)
A4-FORECAST FOR 48 HOURS(.)
I)WINDSPEED AND DIRECTION:-NE/E-LY 10/15 KTS(.)
II)WEATHER:-ISOLATED RA/TS TO THE S OF 13 DEG N(.)
REST AREA FAIR(.)
III)VISIBILITY:-8-6 NM TO THE S OF 13 DEG N(.)
REST AREA 10-8 NM(.)
IV)WAVE HEIGHT:-1-2 M (.)

 

ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

 

Indian Ocean Forecast System (INDOFOS)

 

High Wind-Wave Alert

 

 

 

Issue Date :11-12-2013 Region : Tamil NaduComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Pondicherry
High wind waves in the range of 3.0- 3.6 meters are predicted during 17:30 on 11-12-2013 to 23:30 12-12-2013 along the Nagapattinam to Pulicat of Tamil Nadu coast. The forecasted wind speeds range from around 10 m/sec to 18 m/sec. The forecasted currents vary in the range of 100 to 130 cm/sec., at most of the locations close to the coast. The forecasted swell heights vary in the range of 2.0- 2.5 m.Under the influence of this system, rainfall at a few places would occur over coastal Tamil Nadu, Puducherry during next 48 hrs.

Fishermen along and off Tamil Nadu, Puducherry coasts are advised to be cautious while venturing into sea and should not venture into deep sea.

images
images
Currents

Swell

Significant Wave Height

 

Pondichery

 

High Wind-Wave Alert

 

 

 

Issue Date :11-12-2013 Region : Andhra PradeshComparisions of wave forecast with Observations : Vizag
High wind waves between 3.0- 3.6 meters are forecasted from 1730 hrs of 11-12-2013 to 2330 hrs of 12-12-2013 along the Andhra coast between Kakinada to Durgarajupatnam. The forecasted wind speeds range from around 10 m/sec to 15 m/sec. The forecasted currents vary in the range of 100 to 130 cm/sec., at most of the locations close to the coast. The forecasted swell heights vary in the range of 1.5 -2.3 m.Under the influence of this system, rainfall at a few places would occur over coastal southern Andhra Pradesh during next 24 hrs.

Fishermen along and off southern Andhra Pradesh coasts are advised to be cautious while venturing into sea and should not venture into deep sea.

images
images
Currents

Swell

Significant Wave Height

Kakinada

One thought on “India/Bay of Bengal: Low Pressure Area MADI (RSMC New Delhi) Tropical Cyclone 120300Z nr 11.9N 81.5E, moving SW at 10 knots (JTWC) Final Warning- 121213 1102z

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