North Atlantic: Tropical Storm MELISSA 201500Z nr 35.6N 47.7W, moving ENE at 26 knots – 201113 1540z

Tropical Storm MELISSA

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National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

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WTNT34 KNHC 201434
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
1100 AM AST WED NOV 20 2013

…MELISSA ACQUIRES TROPICAL STORM STATUS AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY OVER
THE NORTH ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…35.6N 47.7W
ABOUT 1155 MI…1860 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 30 MPH…48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB…29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT MELISSA HAS MADE A TRANSITION TO
TROPICAL STORM STATUS…AND AT 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…THE CENTER
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST.
MELISSA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH…48
KM/H…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS…BUT MELISSA SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
THEREAFTER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES…335 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB…29.18 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF…LARGE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA…
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…
HISPANIOLA TODAY…CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.
PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
MORE DETAILS.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

MARITIME

Graphicast Atlantic

(Image: NHC) Graphicast Atlantic

AXNT20 KNHC 201203
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST WED NOV 20 2013

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA…CENTRAL
AMERICA…GULF OF MEXICO…CARIBBEAN SEA…NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA…AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY…WEATHER OBSERVATIONS…RADAR…AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1115 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURE…

THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA AT 20/0900 UTC IS NEAR
34.8N 50.2W…ABOUT 1380 KM/745 NM…TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF
BERMUDA. MELISSA IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD 20 KNOTS. THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEEDS ARE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT34
KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24
KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4. LARGE SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA…SECTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS…PUERTO RICO…HISPANIOLA…AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…CAUSING LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…SCATTERED STRONG FROM 34N TO 36N
BETWEEN 49W AND 51W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 31N TO 34N BETWEEN 47W AND 51W.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST…MIAHSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC…FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS THAT ACCOMPANY
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA.

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
THROUGH 32N50W TO 27N51W 24N51W 18N62W…INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 13N63W…BEYOND 8N67W IN
VENEZUELA. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
WEST OF 32N43W 17N50W 9N60W. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
IS STREAMING FROM CENTRAL VENEZUELA…BEYOND 17N54W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ALONG 5N49W 13N47W
24N41W BEYOND 32N39W. ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N51W 25N53W
23N55W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 19N53W 16N55W 12N57W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 9N TO 20N BETWEEN 45W AND 60W…AND WITHIN 150 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF 20N48W 26N46W BEYOND 32N42W.

…THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH…

THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES ACROSS COASTAL GUINEA NEAR 8N13W TO
7N15W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 7N15W TO 5N20W 6N23W 4N30W 3N38W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN
90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 6N11W 5N20W 4N30W 3N31W 6N37W 10N45W.
RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 10N TO THE
EAST OF 60W.

…DISCUSSION…

THE GULF OF MEXICO…

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM EL SALVADOR…
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA…ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA…SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA…BEYOND 32N77W IN THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY TO
WESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

THE BASE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REACHES 34N55W
IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT
PASSES THROUGH 32N63W TO 29N70W AND 28N77W. A STATIONARY FRONT
CONTINUES FROM 28N77W TO 28N81W 26N87W AND 26N94W. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION…BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE TO THE NORTH OF 24N. A
NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH IS ALONG 27N98W 19N93W
FROM THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS TO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…ISOLATED MODERATE TO
THE SOUTH OF 27N TO THE WEST OF 90W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS
ALONG 25N85W…TO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA…TO 17N87W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…ISOLATED MODERATE TO
THE SOUTH OF 26N TO THE EAST OF 88W. A THIRD SURFACE TROUGH RUNS
FROM THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS TO THE FLORIDA KEYS. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION…TO THE NORTH OF THE LINE FROM 30N60W 27N70W
25N75W TO 25N81W IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH NORTHERN LOUISIANA INTO CENTRAL
TEXAS.

FOR THE OFFSHORE OIL PLATFORM SITES THAT ARE TO THE NORTH OF 27N
TO THE WEST OF 88W…

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS ARE OBSERVED AT THE FOLLOWING ICAO
STATIONS…KMZG…KBBF…KBQX…KVAF…KEMK…KGUL…KMDJ…AND
CLEARING SKIES AT KDLP. MIDDLE LEVEL CEILINGS ARE BEING OBSERVED
AT THE FOLLOWING ICAO STATIONS KGUL…KEHC…AND KGBK. FAIR
SKIES/CLEAR SKIES AT OR LOWER THAN 12000 FEET ARE BEING REPORTED
AT THE REST OF THE ICAO STATIONS.

LOW CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAINS FROM THE
HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA SOUTHWARD TO THE DEEP SOUTH OF TEXAS.
MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE AREA FROM MARY ESTHER TO
VALPARAISO AND TO DESTIN IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. LOW CLOUD
CEILINGS COVER THE AREA FROM APALACHICOLA TOWARD MARIANNA
BETWEEN TALLAHASSEE AND PANAMA CITY. A HIGH CEILING COVERS
PERRY. MULTILAYERED CLOUD CEILINGS COVER THE AREA FROM
BROOKSVILLE TO THE TAMPA METROPOLITAN AREA TO SARASOTA TO PUNTA
GORDA. THE VISIBILITIES ARE ONE MILE OR LESS WITH FOG IN THE
FORT MYERS METROPOLITAN AREA.

…HISPANIOLA…

LARGE SWELLS FROM SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT HISPANIOLA…PUERTO RICO…SECTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS…AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS…CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS.
PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.

A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 19N73W IN THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF
HAITI…ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN HAITI…TO 17N75W AND TO 15N77W.
CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 20N
BETWEEN 70W AND 80W.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. THIS WIND FLOW IS RELATED TO THE CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THE TROUGH THAT IS PART OF
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA. COMPARATIVELY DRIER AIR…APPARENT IN
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY…ALSO COVERS HISPANIOLA.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS COVER HISPANIOLA.

THE GFS FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW
WILL PASS ON TOP OF HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A
TROUGH WILL CUT ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA TOWARD THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES FOR THE ENTIRE TIME. THE GFS
FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL PASS ON
TOP OF HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER WILL BE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA FOR THE ENTIRE TIME. THE GFS FORECAST FOR 700 MB
SHOWS THAT HISPANIOLA WILL START WITH WEAK TO SLIGHTLY
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW FOR THE FIRST 12 TO 18 HOURS. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL COVER THE AREA FOR MOST
OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD…UNTIL THE LAST 6 HOURS OR
SO WHEN ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW RETURNS.

THE REST OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA…

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM WESTERN
NICARAGUA…THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA…ACROSS WESTERN CUBA…SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
THE BAHAMAS…BEYOND 32N76W IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.

ONE SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 14N80W
15N82W 17N84W. A SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 25N85W IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO…TO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA…TO 17N87W IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION…ISOLATED MODERATE TO
THE NORTH OF 16N TO THE WEST OF 80W.

A THIRD SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG
17N64W 15N67W 13N68W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 56W AND 70W IN
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA.

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA
THAT IS TO THE EAST OF 75W. THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND SUBTROPICAL STORM
MELISSA IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA THAT IS TO THE
WEST OF 75W.

THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN…

A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS
NEAR 17N23W JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. CYCLONIC
WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 4N TO 23N BETWEEN 10W AND 40W.

A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
THAT IS NEAR 32N27W…TO 28N32W 25N37W 19N46W AND 12N50W. THIS
RIDGE IS TO THE EAST OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA.

SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW MOVES AROUND A 1015 MB HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N67W…BETWEEN THE 32N63W 29N70W
28N77W COLD FRONT THAT IS TO THE NORTHWEST…AND TWO TROUGHS…
ONE ALONG 28N51W 25N53W 23N55W AND THE SECOND ONE ALONG 19N53W
16N55W 12N57W…THAT ARE TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.

PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST…MIAHSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC…FOR
MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE WINDS AND SEA HEIGHTS THAT ACCOMPANY
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA. A SECOND AREA OF INTEREST CONSISTS OF
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND SEA HEIGHTS 10 TO 15
FEET TO THE NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 41W AND 56W…EXCEPT 14 TO 21
FEET TO THE NORTH OF 29N BETWEEN 47W AND 54W. A THIRD AREA OF
INTEREST CONSISTS OF WINDS 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO
11 FEET ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST OF 70W TO LINE FROM 31N36W TO
17N55W TO 17N62W. A FOURTH AREA OF INTEREST CONSISTS OF A COLD
FRONT FROM 31N65W TO 28N77W THEN STATIONARY TO 28N81W. EXPECT
WINDS 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8 TO 10 FEET TO THE NORTH
OF 27N TO THE WEST OF 70W. A FIFTH AREA OF INTEREST CONSISTS OF
WINDS 20 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEA HEIGHTS 8 FEET FROM 13N TO 22N
TO THE EAST OF 38W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

High Seas Forecast (Tropical Atlantic)

000
FZNT02 KNHC 200938
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED NOV 20 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED NOV 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU NOV 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI NOV 22.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 27N BETWEEN 41W AND 56W W TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 15 FT IN NW SWELL W OF 50W AND SW SWELL E OF 50W
…EXCEPT 14 TO 21 FT N OF 29N BETWEEN 47W AND 54W. ELSEWHERE E
OF 70W TO LINE FROM 31N36W TO 17N55W TO 17N62W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 40W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 36W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N65W TO 28N77W THEN STATIONARY TO
28N81W. N OF 27N W OF 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N54W TO 28N67W THEN
STATIONARY TO 27N77W. N OF 27N E OF 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N39W TO 26N65W THEN
STATIONARY TO 26N77W. WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM
27N65W TO 30N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
N OF 29N BETWEEN 49W AND 61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
IN NW SWELL.

.ATLC FROM 13N TO 22N E OF 38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 17N E OF 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$

EFFECTIVE 3 DECEMBER 2013 AT 1800 UTC…THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
AREA IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE
SMALL TRIANGULAR AREA FROM 07N48W TO THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY OF
SURINAME. THE DESCRIPTION OF THE AREA WITHIN THE FORECAST TEXT
WILL NOT CHANGE.

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

Portuguese (Translated by Google)

Tempestade tropical MELISSA 201500Z nr 35.6N 47.7W , movendo-se em ENE 26 ns – 201.113 1540z

Tempestade Tropical MELISSA

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(Imagem: wunderground.com ) Satlite ( Clique na imagem para fonte )

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

[Imagem da previsão de 5 dias e reas costeiras sob uma advertência ou um relgio ]
(Imagem: NHC ) Relgios / Avisos Costeiros e 5 dias Cone Previsão para Storm Center (Clique na imagem para a fonte )

WTNT34 KNHC 201434
TCPAT4

BOLETIM
Tempestade tropical MELISSA CONSULTIVO nmero 9
NWS Centro Nacional de Furacões MIAMI FL AL142013
1100 AM AST WED 20 de novembro de 2013

MELISSA … ADQUIRE A tempestade tropical STATUS como ele se move rapidamente ao longo
ATLNTICO NORTE …

RESUMO DE 1100 AM AST … 1500 UTC … Informaão
———————————————–
LOCALIZAÃO … 35.6N 47.7W
SOBRE 1155 MI … 1860 KM W DOS AORES
MXIMO ventos … 60 mph … 95 km / h
MOVIMENTO DE PRESENTE … ENE ou 60 graus a 30 mph … 48 KM / H
Pressão mnima CENTRAL … 988 MB … 29,18 POLEGADAS

RELGIOS E AVISOS
——————–
NÃO EXISTEM RELGIOS LITORAL ou avisos em vigor.

DISCUSSÃO E PERSPECTIVAS 48 HORAS
——————————
IMAGENS de satlite indicam que a Melissa fez uma transião TO
Tempestade tropical STATUS … e no AST AM 1100 … 1500 … UTC CENTRO
Foi localizado perto LATITUDE 35,6 NORTE … LONGITUDE 47,7 WEST.
MELISSA est se movendo para leste-nordeste NEAR 30 MPH … 48
KM / H…AND ESTE MOVIMENTO GERAL dever continuar DURANTE O
Prximo par de dias .

Ventos mximos são NEAR 60 MPH … 95 KM / H…WITH SUPERIOR
RAJADAS. Pouca mudana na fora PREVISTA durante os prximos 12 TO
24 HORAS … mas MELISSA deve comear a perder as caractersticas tropicais
Depois disso.

Ventos com fora de tempestade tropical se estendem para fora at 205 milhas … 335 KM
Partir do centro.

A estimativa de pressão central mnima de 988 MB … 29,18 polegadas.

Riscos que afectam LAND
———————-
SURF … Grande SWELLS provavelmente vai continuar a afectar BERMUDA …
PARTES das ilhas Leeward … PUERTO RICO …
HISPANIOLA HOJE … CAUSANDO SURF ameaam a vida e correntes de retorno .
CONSULTE DECLARAÕES DO SEU LOCAL DO TEMPO DE SERVIO PARA ESCRITRIO
MAIS DETALHES.

PRXIMO CONSULTIVO
————-
PRXIMO COMPLETA ASSESSORIA … 500 PM AST .

$ $
PREVISÃO DE AVILA
MARTIMA

Graphicast Atlntico
(Imagem: NHC ) Graphicast Atlntico

AXNT20 KNHC 201203
TWDAT

TROPICAL DISCUSSÃO DO TEMPO
NWS Centro Nacional de Furacões MIAMI FL
705 AM EST WED 20 de novembro de 2013

TROPICAL DISCUSSÃO DO TEMPO PARA AMRICA DO NORTE CENTRAL …
AMRICA … GULF OF MEXICO … CARIBE SEA … seões do norte
AMRICA DO SUL … E OCEANO ATLNTICO AO COSTA DO AFRICANO
Equador 32N . A SEGUINTE INFORMAÃO BASEADA NO SATLITE
OBSERVAÕES IMAGERY … TEMPO … RADAR … e meteorolgicos
ANLISE .

BASEADO EM 0600 UTC anlise de superfcie e imagens de satlite atravs de
1115 UTC .

RECURSO ESPECIAL … …

CENTRO DA TEMPESTADE SUBTROPICAL MELISSA EM 20/ 0900 UTC EST PRXIMO
34.8N 50.2W … sobre 1380 KM/745 NM … para o leste -nordeste
BERMUDA . MELISSA MOVE nordeste de 20 ns . A estimativa de
Pressão central mnima de 988 MB. O vento sustentado MXIMA
As velocidades são 45 ns , com rajadas at 55 ns. Avisos PBLICAS SOBRE
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA são emitidas ao abrigo WMO HEADER WTNT34
KNHC E SOB AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT4 . Previsões / conselhos no
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA são emitidas ao abrigo WMO HEADER WTNT24
KNHC E SOB AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT4 . SWELLS grandes serão
Continuam a afetar BERMUDA … Seões do Leeward
ILHAS … PUERTO RICO … HISPANIOLA … e no sudeste
BAHAMAS durante o prximo par de dias … CAUSANDO LIFE-
RISCO DE SURF E correntes de retorno . CONSULTE DEMONSTRAÕES
LOCAL DO SEU TEMPO servio de escritrio para mais detalhes.
Precipitaão convectiva … DISPERSADO FORTE DE 34N 36N TO
ENTRE 49W E 51W . Dispersos MODERADO PARA ISOLADA
FORTE DE 31N 34N TO ENTRE 47W E 51W .

POR FAVOR, LEIA O ALTO MAR FORECAST…MIAHSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC … FOR
MAIS DETALHES SOBRE OS VENTOS e alturas MAR que acompanham
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA.

A NVEL MDIO PARA NVEL SUPERIOR CALHA EST NO OCEANO ATLNTICO
ATRAVS 32N50W TO 27N51W 24N51W 18N62W … NO SUDESTE
CANTO DO CARIBE mar perto 13N63W … ALM 8N67W IN
VENEZUELA . CYCLONIC fluxo de vento cobre o Oceano Atlntico a
OESTE DE 32N43W 17N50W 9N60W . Nvel Superior sudoeste fluxo de vento
Est fluindo do centro VENEZUELA … ALM 17N54W NA
OCEANO ATLNTICO . Uma crista de nvel superior ao longo 5N49W 13N47W
24N41W ALM 32N39W . Uma superfcie CALHA ao longo 28N51W 25N53W
23N55W . A CALHA segunda superfcie ao longo 19N53W 16N55W 12N57W .
Precipitaão convectiva … dispersa MODERADO PARA ISOLADA
FORTE DE 9N TO 20N ENTRE 45W E 60W … e at 150 NM ON
CADA LADO DE 20N48W 26N46W ALM 32N42W .

… A ZCIT / A cavado de monão …

O cavado de monão atravessa COSTEIRA GUIN PERTO 8N13W TO
7N15W . A ZCIT continua a partir 7N15W TO 5N20W 6N23W 4N30W 3N38W .
Precipitaão convectiva … DISPERSADO a inmeras forte dentro
90 NM de cada lado da 6N11W 5N20W 4N30W 3N31W 6N37W 10N45W .
Rainshowers SÃO possveis fora AO SUL DE 10N AO
LESTE DE 60W .

DISCUSSÃO … …

O Golfo do Mxico …

A NVEL MDIO PARA NVEL SUPERIOR RIDGE estende desde EL SALVADOR …
Atravs do canto noroeste do Mar do Caribe … ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA … sudeste da Flrida … ALM 32N77W NA
OCEANO ATLNTICO . Nvel mdio para nvel superior, sudoeste TO
WESTERLY fluxo de vento cobre o Golfo do Mxico.

A base de um nvel mdio para ATINGE NVEL SUPERIOR CALHA 34N55W
No Oceano Atlntico . A CALHA suporta uma frente fria QUE
PASSA ATRAVS 32N63W TO 29N70W E 28N77W . Uma frente estacionria
Continua a partir 28N77W TO 28N81W 26N87W E 26N94W . CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITAÃO … QUEBRADO a nuvens de vrias camadas nublado e
Rainshowers POSSVEIS estão em outro lugar ao norte do 24N . A
CALHA ORIENTADO NOROESTE -TO -sudeste ao longo 27N98W 19N93W
Do sul profundo do Texas para o canto sudoeste do
Golfo do Mxico. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITAÃO … isolado MODERADO PARA
SUL DO 27N a oeste do 90W . A CALHA SUPERFCIE segundo
AO LONGO 25N85W … para o canto nordeste do Yucatn
PENNSULA … TO 17N87W no canto noroeste DA
CARIBE SEA . CONVECTIVE PRECIPITAÃO … isolado MODERADO PARA
SUL DO 26N a leste do 88W . A CALHA terceira superfcie FUNCIONA
DO BAHAMAS norte da Florida Keys. CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITAÃO … AO NORTE DA LINHA DE 30N60W 27N70W
25N75W TO 25N81W em Florida Keys .

A RIDGE SUPERFCIE PASSA ATRAVS DO NORTE LOUISIANA EM CENTRAL
TEXAS .

PARA OS SITES OFFSHORE Oil Platform QUE ESTÃO AO NORTE DE 27N
A oeste de 88W …

LIMITES DA NUVEM LOW são observadas nos seguintes ICAO
ESTAÕES … KMZG … KBBF … KBQX … KVAF … KEMK … KGUL … KMDJ … E
LIMPANDO SKIES AT KDLP . TETOS nvel mdio estão sendo observados
No seguinte ICAO ESTAÕES KGUL … KEHC … E KGBK . FAIR
SKIES / cu claro AT ou inferior a 12 mil ps estão sendo relatados
Para o resto das estaões da ICAO.

LIMITES DA NUVEM baixa cobertura THE TEXAS Plancie Costeira DO
HOUSTON REA METROPOLITANA sul para sul profundo dos TEXAS .
LIMITES DA NUVEM vrias camadas cobrem a rea de Mary Esther
VALPARAISO E a Destin no Panhandle da Flrida . CLOUD LOW
LIMITES DA REA DE COBERTURA PARA APALACHICOLA MARIANNA
ENTRE Tallahassee e Cidade do Panam. A ALTA coberturas
PERRY . LIMITES DA NUVEM vrias camadas cobrem a rea DE
BROOKSVILLE TO THE METROPOLITAN rea de Tampa para Sarasota PARA PUNTA
GORDA . OS visibilidades SOMOS UM MILE OU MENOS COM NVOA NA
FORT MYERS METROPOLITAN AREA.

HISPANIOLA … …

GRANDES SWELLS de subtropical STORM MELISSA CONTINUAR
AFETAR HISPANIOLA … PUERTO RICO … Seões do NORTE
Ilhas Leeward … e as Bahamas SOUTHEASTERN durante a prxima
Par de dias … CAUSANDO SURF ameaam a vida e correntes de retorno .
CONSULTE DEMONSTRAÕES DE SEU LOCAL Servio Meteorolgico
ESCRITRIO para mais detalhes.

A CALHA SUPERFCIE ao longo 19N73W NAS SEÕES DOS OCIDENTAIS
HAITI … ATRAVS DO SUDOESTE HAITI … TO 17N75W E PARA 15N77W .
Precipitaão convectiva … MODERADO isoladas de 13N 20N TO
, Entre 70 e 80W .

Nvel mdio para nvel superior noroeste FLUXO DE VENTO EST EM MOVIMENTO
ACROSS HISPANIOLA . Este fluxo de vento RELACIONADA AO CYCLONIC
Fluxo de vento que est se movendo EM TORNO DA CALHA QUE PARTE DO
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA. Comparativamente secador de ar … aparentes na
Vapor d’gua imagens de satlite … tambm cobre HISPANIOLA .
Dispersos para BAIXO NVEL quebrado e nuvens mdias nvel e
Rainshowers possvel, abranger HISPANIOLA .

A previsão GFS para 250 MB MOSTRA QUE fluxo de vento noroeste
Vai passar TOP de Hispaniola DURANTE nas prximas 48 horas . A
CALHA vai cortar todo o canto nordeste do CARIBE
Mar para as Antilhas holandesas para o tempo todo. O GFS
PREVISÃO PARA 500 ​​MB MOSTRA QUE fluxo de vento norte vai passar
TOP de Hispaniola PARA OS PRXIMOS 48 horas. AN anticyclonic
CENTRO DE CIRCULAÃO estar no canto noroeste DA
CARIBE SEA durante todo o tempo . A previsão GFS para 700 MB
Mostra que HISPANIOLA vai comear com fraco para LIGEIRAMENTE
Anticyclonic fluxo de vento para os primeiros 12 a 18 horas . CYCLONIC
FLUXO DE VENTO COM UMA CALHA INVERTED cobrir a AREA PARA MAIS
Do resto do perodo de previsão … at o ltimo 6 horas ou
Então, quando Anticyclonic VENTO RETORNOS DE FLUXO .

O RESTO DO CARIBE SEA …

A NVEL MDIO PARA NVEL SUPERIOR RIDGE estende desde WESTERN
NICARGUA … atravs do canto noroeste da CARIBE
MAR … ACROSS WESTERN CUBA … Florida do sudeste e
BAHAMAS … ALM 32N76W NO OCEANO ATLNTICO .

Uma superfcie CALHA NO OESTE DO CARIBE mar ao longo 14N80W
15N82W 17N84W . A CALHA segunda superfcie ao longo 25N85W NA
GULF OF MEXICO … para o canto nordeste do Yucatn
PENNSULA … TO 17N87W no canto noroeste DA
CARIBE SEA . CONVECTIVE PRECIPITAÃO … isolado MODERADO PARA
NORTE DE 16N a oeste do 80W .

A CALHA SUPERFCIE terceiro no leste do mar ao longo CARIBE
17N64W 15N67W 13N68W . Espalhados por nuvens baixas quebrado e
Rainshowers possveis são de 13N 20N TO ENTRE 56W E 70W IN
OCEANO ATLNTICO E no Mar do Caribe .

Nvel mdio para nvel superior CYCLONIC fluxo de vento cobre a rea
O QUE A leste de 75W . O fluxo de vento CYCLONIC EST ASSOCIADA
COM O FLUXO vento que est se movendo tempestade subtropical
MELISSA NO OCEANO ATLNTICO . Nvel mdio para nvel superior
Anticyclonic fluxo de vento cobre o Mar do Caribe que est à
OESTE DE 75W .

O RESTO DO ATLNTICO …

Um nvel mdio para nvel superior CENTER circulaão ciclnica IS
NEAR 17N23W apenas a leste DO CABO VERDE ILHAS . CYCLONIC
Fluxo de vento cobre a rea DE 4N TO 23N ENTRE 10W E 40W .

A RIDGE SUPERFCIE passa por um MB CENTRO DE ALTA PRESSÃO 1026
Que est perto 32N27W … TO 28N32W 25N37W 19N46W E 12N50W . ESTE
Ridge a leste do SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA.

SUPERFCIE Anticyclonic vento move o fluxo em torno A 1015 MB ALTA
Centro de pressão que est perto 27N67W … ENTRE O 32N63W 29N70W
28N77W frente fria que est à NOROESTE … E DUAS COCHOS …
Um ao longo 28N51W 25N53W 23N55W eo segundo AO LONGO 19N53W
16N55W 12N57W … que estão a leste e sudeste .

POR FAVOR, LEIA O ALTO MAR FORECAST…MIAHSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC … FOR
MAIS DETALHES SOBRE OS VENTOS e alturas MAR que acompanham
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA. Uma segunda rea de interesse consiste
Ocidente para ventos sudoeste 20 a 30 ns e as alturas MAR 10 a 15
PS para o norte do 27N ENTRE 41W E 56W … exceto de 14 a 21
PS para o norte do 29N ENTRE 47W E 54W . A REA DE TERCEIRO
JUROS CONSISTE DE VENTOS 20 ns ou menos, e MAR ALTURAS 8 a
11 ps ELSEWHERE a leste do 70W para a linha DE 31N36W TO
17N55W TO 17N62W . A REA DE QUARTO DE JUROS CONSISTE EM UM FRIO
FRENTE DE 31N65W TO 28N77W ENTÃO estacionrio.Estes 28N81W . ESPERAR
VENTOS 20 ns ou menos, e MAR ALTURAS 8 a 10 ps para o Norte
DE 27N a oeste do 70W . A REA DE QUINTA DE JUROS CONSISTE EM
PS ventos de 20 ns ou menos, e MAR ALTURA DE 8 PARA 13N 22N
A leste do 38W .

PARA OBTER MAIS INFORMAÕES VISITE
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV / MARINE

High Seas Forecast ( Tropical Atlantic )

000
FZNT02 KNHC 200938
HSFAT2

ALTO MAR PREVISÃO
NWS Centro Nacional de Furacões MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED 20 de novembro de 2013

SEAS DADAS tão significativo da altura das ondas … que a mdia
ALTURA DO MAIOR 1/3 das ondas. ONDAS individuais podem ser
Mais do dobro da altura significativa de vaga .

scurit

ATLANTIC DE 07N 31N TO W 35W INCLUSIVE DE MAR E CARIBE
GOLFO DO MXICO

SINOPSE VLIDO 0600 UTC Qua Nov 20.
24 HORAS Previsão vlida 0600 UTC qui 21 de novembro .
Previsão vlida de 48 horas UTC 0600 sex 22 de novembro .

. Avisos.

. NONE.

. Sinopse e previsão.

. ATLC N DE ENTRE 27N 41W E 56W W para SW ventos de 20 a 30 KT .
SEAS 10 a 15 ps de NW W SWELL DE 50W E SW SWELL E DE 50W
EXCETO … 14 a 21 FT N DE ENTRE 29N 47W E 54W . E em outros lugares
DE 70W PARA LINHA DE 31N36W TO 17N55W TO 17N62W VENTOS 20 KT OR
MENOS . SEAS 8 a 11 FT principalmente no NE inchar.
0,24 HORA DE PREVISÃO N 30N E DE 40W SW ventos de 20 a 25 KT . SEAS 8
A 10 FT . ELSEWHERE N de 26N ENTRE 36W E 50W VENTOS 20 KT OR
MENOS . SEAS 8 a 11 FT principalmente em SWELL NW .
0,48 HOUR PREVISÃO ventos de 20 KT ou menos. SEAS menos de 8 FT .

. ATLC FRENTE FRIA DE 31N65W TO 28N77W ENTÃO estacionrio.Estes
28N81W . N DE 27N W 70W VENTOS DE 20 KT ou menos. SEAS 8 a 10 ps
IN NE inchar.
0,24 HORA DE PREVISÃO DE FRENTE FRIA 31N54W TO 28N67W ENTÃO
Estacionrio para 27N77W . N DE 27N E VENTOS DE 63W 20 KT ou menos.
SEAS 8 a 10 ps no NE inchar.
0,48 HORA DE PREVISÃO DE FRENTE FRIA 31N39W TO 26N65W ENTÃO
Estacionrio para 26N77W . No prazo de 120 NM ambos os lados da linha do
27N65W TO 30N80W VENTOS 20 KT ou menos. SEAS a 9 ps no NE inchar.
N DE ENTRE 29N 49W E 61W VENTOS 20 KT ou menos. SEAS a 9 ps
IN SWELL NW .

. ATLC DE 13N 22N E PARA DE 38W VENTOS 20 KT ou menos. SEAS 8 m de
NE inchar.
0,24 HORA DE PREVISÃO PARA 10N 17N E VENTOS DE 41W 20 KT ou menos.
SEAS 8 ps de NE inchar.
0,36 HOUR PREVISÃO ventos de 20 KT ou menos. SEAS menos de 8 FT .

. RESTANTE DOS VENTOS DA REA 20 KT ou menos. SEAS menos de 8 FT .

$ $

VIGÊNCIA 03 de dezembro de 2013 a 1800 UTC … ALTO MAR PREVISÃO
rea no Atlntico tropical ser expandido para incluir os
rea triangular PEQUENO DE 07N48W AO LIMITE DA COSTA LESTE
SURINAME . A descrião da rea dentro do texto PREVISÃO
Não vai mudar.

. FORECASTER SCHAUER . Centro Nacional de Furacões

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