Atlantic: Tropical Cyclone (TS) HUMBERTO 172100Z near 30.3N 42.8W moving N at 10 knots – 170913 2200z

Tropical Cyclone (Tropical Storm) HUMBERTO


(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 Day Forecast (Click image for source)

National Weather Service

National Hurricane Center

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

(Image: NHC) 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch (Click image for source)

WTNT34 KNHC 172031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013
500 PM AST TUE SEP 17 2013

…HUMBERTO CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 42.8W
ABOUT 1045 MI…1685 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 42.8 WEST. HUMBERTO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/H. A SLOWER NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES…220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

MARITIME

High Seas Forecast (Tropical Atlantic)

FZNT02 KNHC 172105
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2130 UTC TUE SEP 17 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 30.3N 42.8W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC
SEP 17 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OVER
NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS…150 NM NE AND 45 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 17
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 32.0N 43.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 40 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…180 NM NE AND 60 NM
SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 35.0N 42.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE…120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS…210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
N OF 30N BETWEEN 40W AND 45W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO NEAR 40.7N 37.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL HUMBERTO NEAR
51.5N 27.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO LOW PRES INLAND NEAR 18N88W 1008 MB.
FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 84W AND 87W…INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
…E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS FROM
18N TO 20N BETWEEN 81W AND 87W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…20N92W
1007 MB. FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W…INCLUDING THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL…SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…22N95W
1007 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW E TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

METAREA2 / HIGH_SEAS_WARNING / 1944

FQNT52 LFPW 171944
A
SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Tuesday 17 September 2013 at 2215 UTC.

Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.

Part 1 : NO WARNING.

Part 2 : General synopsis, Tuesday 17 at 12 UTC
Low 995 over Ireland, quickly moving east, expected over Netherland
by 18/00 UTC, then moving to Poland.
Shallow low 1013 over southeast Spain with little change.
Frontal trough expected in west of FARADAY later, with deepening low
expected 997 55N18W by 19/00UTC.
High 1030 42N26W,drifting southeast, expected 1027 39N24W by 19/00
UTC, building a ridge towards Bay of Biscay.
Tropical storm HUMBERTO 1007 by 29.4N 42.5W at 17/15 UTC, max winds
40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, slowly moving to North, expected by 30.6N
43.5W at 18/12 UTC with max winds 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt.
Tropical wave across Cape Verde Islands from 19N21W to 09N27W, moving
to west at 5 kt.
Monsoon trough axis along 12N16W, 11N24W, 09N33W, then ITCZ continues
along from 09N33W, 10N46W.

Part 3 : Area forecasts to Thursday 19 at 00 UTC

FARADAY.
West or Southwest 4 or 5, increasing gradually Southwest 6 or 7 with
severe gusts from west soon, then decreasing Westerly 3 or 4 at end
in west.
Moderate or rough in north, becoming rough or very rough from west
later, and cross with Westerly swell.
Showers then rain from west and locally fog patches in north.

ROMEO.
West or Northwest 5 or 6, decreasing Westerly 4 or 5 soon, then
backing West or Southwest later, locally 6 in extreme northwest at
end. Gusts in north at first.
Rough or locally very rough in northeast, decreasing moderate or
rough later, with NW swell decreasing.
Some showers. Locally fog patches in northwest later.

ALTAIR.
In northwest : South or Southwest 4 or 5, increasing 5 or 6 soon,
temporarily 7 in extreme northwest later. Gusts soon.
In southeast : Variable Clockwise 2 to 4.
Slight or moderate, becoming rough in NW later.
Some showers then rain at times thundery from west at end.

CHARCOT.
North or Northwest 3 or 4, at times 5 in northeast.
Moderate or rough from west to east with NW swell.

ACORES.
In west : Southeasterly 3 or 4, at times 5.
In east : Northeasterly 2 to 4 from north to south.
Slight or moderate.
Some showers mainly in west.

JOSEPHINE.
North or Northeast 4 or 5.
Moderate or rough from west to east with N or NW swell.

IRVING.
Easterly 3 or 4, at times 5 in west.
Moderate, decreasing later.
Some showers mainly in west.

MADEIRA.
Northeast 3 or 4, at times 5.
Moderate, becoming locally rough in extreme northeast later.

PAZENN.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering Northwesterly 4 or 5 soon, and backing West
or Northwest 3 or 4 later. Gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross in NW swell.
Rain.

IROISE, YEU, ROCHEBONNE.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering West or Northwest soon, then Northwest 3 or 4
later. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell, locally very rough in north at first, decreasing
later.
Rain.

CANTABRICO.
Westerly 5 or 6 veering North or Northwest 2 to 4 at end. Gusts.
Rough and cross with NW swell.
Rain.

FINISTERRE.
In north: West or Northwest 3 to 5, veering Northerly 2 to 4 later.
In south: North or Northwest 3 to 5, increasing 5 or 6 in extreme
southeast later. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell.

PORTO.
Northerly 5 or 6, locally at times 7 in east. Gusts.
Rough with NW swell.

SAO VICENTE.
North or Northwest 5 or 6 with gusts in west, but Variable mainly
Westerly 3 to 5 in southeast.
Rough in west with N or NW swell, but moderate in southeast.

CADIZ, GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
West or Southwest 3 or 4, locally 5 in east of strait.
Slight, locally moderate.

CASABLANCA.
In west : Northerly 3 or 4, increasing 4 or 5 at end.
In east : Westerly 2 to 4.
Moderate, becoming rough from north soon with N or NW swell.
Some showers at first, clearing.

AGADIR.
Northerly 3 or 4, at times 5 in east at first, increasing gradually 4
or 5 at end, locally 6 in east .
Slight or moderate, becoming moderate, with N or NW swell increasing
at end.

METEOR.
Easterly 3 or 4.
Moderate, decreasing later.

CANARIAS.
Northeast 3 or 4, increasing locally 5 between islands and near
coasts later.
Slight or moderate.

TARFAYA.
Northerly 3 or 4.
Slight , becoming moderate from north later.

CAPE VERDE.
Northeast 3 to 5, locally Variable Cyclonic 2 to 4 in extreme
southeast.
Moderate.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts in southeast.

CAP BLANC.
North or Northeast 4 or 5.
Slight or moderate.
Thundersqualls with severe gusts in south, decreasing at end.

CAP TIMIRIS.
Northeasterly 4 or 5 in north but locally Easterly 3 or 4 in south,
backing Northerly 3 or 4 later from north, locally 5 in northeast.
Slight or moderate.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts.

SIERRA LEONE.
Variable Cyclonic 2 to 4 mainly Northeast in northwest, but Variable
1 to 3 in extreme east.
Moderate, but slight near coasts.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts.

GULF OF GUINEA.
In west : South or Southeast 3 or 4, at times 5 at first.
In east : Southwest 2 to 4.
Moderate.
Thunderstorms with severe gusts in north and east.

POINTE NOIRE.
In west : Southeast 4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 later.
In east : South or Southwest 2 to 4.
Moderate, locally rough in extreme southwest decreasing later.

Part 4 : outlook for next 24 hours
No near gale or gale expected.
Southwesterly near gale over northeast of FARADAY at first.

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