Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm GIL 7E 031000Z near 14.9N 131.5W, moving W at 10 knots. (JTWC) – 030813 1015z

Tropical Storm GIL

 

 

 

 

 

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

 

 

 

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

 

 

 

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

 

 

WTPZ32 KNHC 030840
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GIL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072013
200 AM PDT SAT AUG 03 2013

…GIL WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.9N 131.4W
ABOUT 1510 MI…2425 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1595 MI…2570 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…999 MB…29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 200 AM PDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 131.4 WEST. GIL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/H…AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO…FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO
THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES…95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB…29.50 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

 

 

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

 

WTPN32 PHNC 031000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
030600Z — NEAR 14.9N 131.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 131.0W

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z — 15.0N 132.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z — 14.8N 134.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z — 14.5N 135.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z — 14.0N 137.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z — 13.3N 140.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS

LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

96 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z — 13.0N 142.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS

120 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z — 13.0N 145.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

REMARKS:
031000Z POSITION NEAR 14.9N 131.5W.
TROPICAL STORM 07E (GIL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1409 NM EASTWARD
OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 031600Z, 032200Z, 040400Z AND 041000Z.
//
NNNN

 

 

 

Maritime

 

 

 

High Seas Forecast (Tropical NE Pacific)

 

 

000

FZPN03 KNHC 030925

HSFEP2

 

HIGH SEAS FORECAST

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1030 UTC SAT AUG 03 2013

 

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE

HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE

MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

 

SECURITE

 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W.

 

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 03.

24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 04.

48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 05.

 

.WARNINGS.

 

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…

.TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 14.9N 131.4W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03

MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT

GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N

SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN

90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.

ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33

KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 14.8N 134.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE

WITHIN 200 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS

8 TO 12 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 14.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS

TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES

WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 13.3N 140.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK…USE FOR

GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GIL NEAR 13.0N 142.0W. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL NEAR 13.0N 145.5W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

 

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE

USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE

AND INTENSITY.

 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

 

.LOW PRES AT 13N121W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20

TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR

13N124W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.

SEAS TO 9 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES…POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE…NEAR

13N127W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS

TO 9 FT.

 

.FROM 09N TO 20N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT

IN MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE WITH TROPICAL STORM GIL.

 

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SAT AUG 03…

 

.TROPICAL STORM GIL…NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 100 NM

N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.

 

.LOW PRES CENTER 1009 MB AT 13N121W…SCATTERED MODERATE TO

STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM S QUADRANT.

 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 10N105W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES AT

13N121W TO 13N127W. ITCZ FROM 13N135W TO 13N140W. SCATTERED

MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W.

 

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

 

 

 

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