Mexico: Tropical Storm (03E) COSME weakens, likely to become remnant low later today – 270613 1620z

Tropical Storm Cosme

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

National Hurricane Center

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM COSME ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013
800 AM PDT THU JUN 27 2013

…COSME CONTINUES TO WEAKEN…
…LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.4N 120.9W
ABOUT 725 MI…1170 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 120.9 WEST. COSME IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH…26 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH COSME HAS DISSIPATED…AND THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER
TODAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES…140 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF…LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY COSME ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR ACAPULCO TO LOS MOCHIS…AND
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

MARITIME

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1440

WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032013
1500 UTC THU JUN 27 2013

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.9W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT……. 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 120.9W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 120.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.9N 123.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.4N 125.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 128.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 135.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.0N 139.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z…DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 120.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Spanish (Bing translation):

WTPZ33 KNHC 271440
TCPEP3

 

BOLETN
TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME ASESOR NMERO 17
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP032013
800 AM PDT JUE 27 DE JUNIO DE 2013

 

…COSME SIGUE DEBILITA…
…PROBABILIDADES DE CONVERTIRSE EN UNA BAJA DE REMANENTE HOY MS ADELANTE…
RESUMEN DE 800 AM PDT…1500 UTC… INFORMACIN
———————————————-
UBICACIN…20.4N 120.9W
UNOS 725 MI…1170 KM OSO DE CABO SAN LUCAS MXICO
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL…ONO O 285 GRADOS A 16 MILLAS POR HORA…26 KM/H
PRESIN MNIMA CENTRAL…1003 MB…29,62 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
——————–
EXISTEN ADVERTENCIAS NI RELOJES COSTEROS EN EFECTO.
DISCUSIN Y PERSPECTIVAS DE 48 HORAS
——————————
800 AM PDT…1500 UTC…EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME FUE
SITUADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20,4 NORTE…120.9 DE LONGITUD OESTE. COSME ES
MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 16 MPH…26 KM/H. UN GIRO
HACIA EL OESTE, SE ESPERA QUE DURANTE EL DA SIGUIENTE O.

 

VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN DISMINUIDO A CASI 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
CON RACHAS SUPERIORES. IMGENES SATELITALES MUESTRAN QUE LA TEMPESTAD DE TRUENOS
ACTIVIDAD ASOCIADA A COSME HA DISIPADO…Y EL SISTEMA ES
ESPERA QUE DEGENERAN EN UNA ZONA DE REMANENTE DE BAJA PRESIN MS TARDE
HOY EN DA.

 

VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS…140 KM
PRINCIPALMENTE AL NORTE DEL CENTRO.

 

LA PRESIN CENTRAL MNIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1003 MB…29,62 PULGADAS.
RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
SURF…GRANDES OLEAJES GENERADOS POR COSME ESTN AFECTANDO A LAS PORCIONES DE LA
PACFICO COSTA DE MXICO DE ACAPULCO CERCA A LOS MOCHIS…Y
LA PENNSULA DE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. ESTN PROBABLES QUE ESTAS OLAS
CAUSAR CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS OLAS Y CORRIENTE DE RESACA PARA EL DA SIGUIENTE O
.
ASESOR PRXIMO
————-
ASESORAMIENTO COMPLETO SIGUIENTE…200 PM PDT.

 

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN

MARTIMO

 

METAREA12 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1440

 

WTPZ23 KNHC 271440
TCMEP3

 

TORMENTA TROPICAL COSME PRONSTICO Y ASESORAMIENTO NMERO 17
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL EP032013
1500 UTC JUE 27 DE JUNIO DE 2013

 

EXISTEN ADVERTENCIAS NI RELOJES COSTEROS EN EFECTO.

 

TORMENTA TROPICAL CENTRO SITUADO CERCA DE 20.4N 120.9W EN 27/1500Z
POSICIN EXACTA DENTRO DE 20 NM

 

PRESENTE MOVIMIENTO HACIA LOS OESTE-NOROESTE O 285 GRADOS A 14 KT

 

LA PRESIN CENTRAL MNIMA ESTIMADA 1003 MB
MAX SOSTENIDO VIENTOS 35 KT, CON RFAGAS DE HASTA 45 KT.
34 KT… 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
MARES DE 12 PIES…300NE 300SE 240SW 240NW.
VIENTOS Y MARES VARAN CONSIDERABLEMENTE EN CADA CUADRANTE. RADIOS EN NUTICA
MILES SON LOS RADIOS MS GRANDES ESPERADOS EN CUALQUIER LUGAR EN CUADRANTE.

 

REPETIR…CENTRO SITUADO CERCA DE 20.4N 120.9W EN 27/1500Z
EN 27/1200Z CENTRO SE LOCALIZABA CERCA DE 20.1N 120.1W

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 28/0000Z 20.9N 123.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 30 KT…RFAGAS 40 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 28/1200Z 21.4N 125.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 25 KT…RFAGAS 35 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 29/0000Z 21.5N 128.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 25 KT…RFAGAS 35 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 29/1200Z 21.5N 131.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

PRONSTICO VLIDO 30/1200Z 21.5N 135.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

OUTLOOK EXTENDIDA. NOTA…ERRORES DE PISTA HAN PROMEDIADO CERCA DE 150 NM
EL DA 4 Y 175 NM EL DA 5… Y PARA INTENSIDAD CERCA DE 15 KT CADA DA

 

PERSPECTIVA VLIDA 01/1200Z 22.0N 139.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT BAJO
MAX WIND 20 KT…RFAGAS 30 KT.

 

OUTLOOK 02/1200Z VLIDO…DISIPADA

 

SOLICITUD DE 3 POR HORA SE ENVAN INFORMES A 300 KM DE 20.4N 120.9W

 

SIGUIENTE ADVISORY EN 27/2100Z

 

$$
PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN

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