Western Pacific: Storm could bring the risk of flooding across the Philippines and Japan – 040613 1840z

Possible Tropical System Yagi / Invest 96W Forecast

(Video credit: WestPacWx)

Published on 4 Jun 2013

Invest area 96W is showing more and more potential today for possible signs of development and being named the first tropical system of the season. This storm could bring the risk of flooding across the Philippines, and Japan if some of the models hold true of the storms path. So with that said today we break down the outlook of this developing storm system and whom it may be impacting.

Filipino:

Nai-publish sa Hunyo 4, 2013

Mamuhunan area 96W ay nagpapakita ng higit pa at higit pang mga potensyal na ngayon para sa posibleng mga palatandaan ng pag-unlad at pagiging pinangalanan ang unang tropikal na sistema ng panahon. Bagyo Ito ay maaaring dalhin ang mga panganib ng pagbaha sa buong Pilipinas, at Japan kung ang ilan sa mga modelo ng tunay na hawakan ng mga landas bagyo. Kaya may nagsabi na ngayon kami masira ang tanawan ng pagbuo ng sistema ng bagyo at kanino maaari itong makaapekto.

Japanese:

2013年6月4日に公開

96Wは、開発の可能性の兆候を、より多くの潜在的な今日を示しており、シーズンの最初の熱帯システムを命名さ面積を投資。モデルのいくつかは、嵐のパスの真の保持している場合、この嵐は、フィリピン全体で洪水の危険性、そして日本をもたらす可能性があります。だから我々はこの開発嵐システムの見通しを打破し、誰にそれが影響することが今日言ったと。

 

Manila Typhoon CenterUPDATE #2 | WP15 (INVEST 96W) | 0500 PM 1300Z TUE 4 JUNE 2013

(Image: Manila Typhoon Center)

Tropical Disturbance WP15 (INVEST 96W) located South of Guam, is still being monitored for possible development as it drifts slowly to the North…

LPA INFO | at 2 PM today, disturbance 2013CA014 (95W) was located at 4.1°N 148.5°E… about 510 km Southwest of Chuuk Island… or 1120 km South-Southeast of Guam USA | Maximum winds within the disturbance remain at 15 Knots or 25 KPH.

NOTES | WP15 (95W) is in an area of low wind shear and high sea surface temperatures… Forecast models are now almost unanimously in agreement in developing this disturbance in the next few days, forecast to track the Northern Philippine Sea

MTC ANALYSIS | MTC still has WP15 having FAIR potential of development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours with a 34% chance.

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

Filipino:

Tropical gulo WP15 (MAMUHUNAN 96W) na matatagpuan South ng Guam, ay prino-sinusubaybayan para sa posibleng pag-unlad bilang ito drifts dahan-dahan sa North

LPA INFO | sa 14:00 ngayon, gulo 2013CA014 (95W) ay matatagpuan sa 4.1 N 148.5 E | tungkol sa 510 kilometro Timog Kanluran ng Chuuk Island o 1120 km TimogTimog ng Guam USA | Pinakamataas na hangin sa loob ng gulo manatili sa Knots 15 o 25 KPH.

NOTA | WP15 (95W) ay nasa isang lugar ng mababang wind gupitin at mataas ibabaw ng dagat temperatura Pagtataya sa mga modelo ay ngayon halos nang walang tutol sa kasunduan sa pagbuo ng gulo na ito sa susunod na ilang araw, magtaya upang subaybayan ang Northern Philippine Sea

MTC PAGSUSURI | MTC ay mayroon pa ring WP15 makatarungang pagkakaroon ng potensyal na pag-unlad sa isang Tropical bagyo sa loob ng susunod na 24 oras na may isang 34% na posibilidad.

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

Japanese:

それは北にゆっくりと漂うように南グアムの位置熱帯擾乱WP15は(96Wを投資)、まだ可能な開発のために監視されている…

LPA INFOは|2 PM本日は、妨害2013CA014(95W)が4.1Aに位置していたN148.5°EA|チューク島の510キロ南西約…または1120キログアムUSAの南南東は|妨害内の最大風速は15ノットまたは25 KPHのまま。

NOTESは| WP15(95W)は、低風せん断および高い海面温度の領域にある…予測モデルは、北フィリピン海を追跡するために予測、今後数日でこの妨害を開発する契約に現在ではほとんど満場一致である

MTC分析| MTCはまだ34%の確率で次の24時間以内に台風に発達のWP15持つFAIR可能性を秘めています。

ManilaTC

ManilaTyphoonCenter

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