#Philippines: Tropical Depression #02W (#TWO) #Crising 210900Z near 7.1N 111.8E moving W at 24 knots- 210213 1130z

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)
(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)
(Image: pagasa.dost) TC track (Click image for source)

WEATHER BULLETIN #13 (FINAL)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ‘CrisingPH’
Issued at 5:00 PM, 21 February 2013

Tropical Depression’CRISING’ has accelerated as it moves away from the country.

Location of eye/center: At 4:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression ‘CRISING’ was estimated based on all available data 200 km West of Balabac, Palawan (8.0N, 115.1E).

Strength: Maximum winds of 45 kph near the center.

Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kph.

Forecast Positions: Tropical Depression’CRISING’ is expected to be at 300 km West of Balabac, Palawan tonight, outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

• Public Storm Warning Signal in Southern Palawan is now lowered.
• Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Northern and Southern Luzon and the Eastern seaboards of Central Luzon and Visayas.
• With this development, this is the final bulletin on this weather disturbance.

 

Filipino:
WEATHER Bulletin # 13 (Final)
Tropikal na bagyo BABALA: tropikal depresyon s # CrisingPH
Ibinigay sa 05:00, 21 Pebrero 2013

Tropical Depression ’CRISING’ ay pinabilis na bilang lumayo mula sa bansa.

Lokasyon ng mata / center: Sa 4:00 PM ngayon, ang sentro ng Tropical Depression ‘CRISING’ ay tinatantya batay sa lahat ng mga magagamit na data 200 km West ng Balabac, Palawan (8.0 N, 115.1 E).

Lakas ng: Maximum na hangin ng 45 kph malapit sa sentro.

Kilusan: Pagtataya upang ilipat ang Kanluran Timog Kanluran sa 22 kph.

Posisyon ng Pagtataya: Tropical Depression ’CRISING’ ay inaasahang sa 300 km West ng Balabac, Palawan ngayong gabi, sa labas ng Philippine Area ng responsibilidad (par).

ngayon binabaan ang Public Storm Signal Babala sa Southern Palawan.
Pangingisda bangka at iba pang mga maliit na seacrafts ay pinapayuhan hindi sa venture sa seaboards ng Northern at Southern Luzon at sa Eastern seaboards ng Central Luzon at Visayas.
Sa pag-unlad na ito, ito ay ang panghuling bulletin sa gulo panahon na ito.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

(Image: JTWC) TC track (Click image for source)

(Image: usno.navy.mil) IR Satellite Imagery (Click image for source)

WTPN31 PGTW 210900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
210600Z — NEAR 7.3N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 260 DEGREES AT 24 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N 112.8E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z — 6.6N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 17 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z — 5.6N 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 7.1N 111.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW WELL TO THE WEST OF WHERE PREVIOUS
INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATED. THIS LLCC, HOWEVER, IS VERY ILL-DEFINED
AND AS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED WESTWARD.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI ANIMATION WITH POOR
CONFIDENCE, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE TD IS LOCATED
WELL SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG (20-30
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TD 02W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON
ITS CURRENT WESTWARD TRACK AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TAU 24, PRIMARILY DUE TO THE STRONG
VWS AND NORTHEAST SURGE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR
RELOCATION: DISTANCE BETWEEN ANTICIPATED BEST TRACK POSITION BASED
ON PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE CURRENT BEST TRACK POSITION DIFFER BY
GREATER THAN 60NM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN

Tracking Info For Tropical Depression Two
(wunderground.com)
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Storm type

-
00 GMT 02/19/13 5.2N 126.1E 30 Tropical Depression
06 GMT 02/19/13 6.6N 123.2E 30 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 02/19/13 6.5N 122.9E 30 Tropical Depression
18 GMT 02/19/13 7.4N 122.0E 30 Tropical Depression
00 GMT 02/20/13 6.9N 121.4E 30 Tropical Depression
06 GMT 02/20/13 7.4N 120.7E 30 Tropical Depression
12 GMT 02/20/13 7.8N 119.9E 30 Tropical Depression
18 GMT 02/20/13 8.0N 119.0E 30 Tropical Depression

News Reports

Crising kills 1, hurts 2

sunstar.com.ph Tuesday, February 19, 2013

MANILA (Updated) At least one was reported killed while two others were injured due to heavy rains brought by Tropical Depression Crising, according to the Office of the Civil Defense (OCD) on Tuesday.

OCD-Davao Region head Lisa Mazo identified the fatality as Francisco Digaynon Jr., who drowned while crossing the Taytayan river in Barangay Andap, New Bataan, Compostela Valley.

Maria Nacua, 20, and Dodong Nacua, 8, were injured after a landslide triggered by Crising destroyed their house in Lanao del Sur.

The two were brought to the Lanao del Norte Provincial Hospital in Kapatagan for medical treatment, said the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).

The tropical depression was located at 80 kilometers (km) southwest of General Santos City by 4 p.m. Tuesday. It is moving west northwest at 24 kilometers per hour (kph) with maximum winds of 45 kph near the center, said the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa).

At least 23 areas have been placed under storm signal number 1. These are Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Samal Island, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, southern part of Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Sur, Bukidnon, Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, North Cotabato, Maguindanao, Sultan Kudarat, South Cotabato, Sarangani, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, and Southern Palawan.

Pagasa said Crising made landfall over the southern tip of Davao del Sur Tuesday.

The tropical depression is expected to be at 250 kms west of Zamboanga City by Wednesday afternoon, and 500 kms southwest of Puerto Princesa City in Palawan by Thursday afternoon.

Pagasa said Crising still brings estimated five to 15 millimeters of rainfall per hour within its 300 km diameter. Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal number 1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are still advised not to venture out into the northern, eastern and southern seaboards of Luzon and Central and Eastern seaboards of Visayas and eastern seaboard of Mindanao. (Sunnex/With reports from PNA) sunstar.com.ph

Filipino:

Crising kills 1, Masakit 2

sunstar.com.ph Martes, Pebrero 19, 2013

MANILA (Na-update) Hindi bababa sa isang naiulat namatay habang dalawang iba ay nasugatan dahil sa mabigat na umuulan na dinala sa pamamagitan ng Tropical Depression Crising, ayon sa Office of Civil Defense (OCD) sa Martes.

OCD-Davao Rehiyon ulo Lisa Mazo nakilala ang bagsik pumatay bilang Francisco Digaynon Jr, na nabuwal habang tumatawid ng ilog Taytayan sa Barangay Andap, New Bataan, Compostela Valley.

Maria Nacua, 20, at Dodong Nacua, 8, ay nasugatan matapos ang isang guho na-trigger ng Crising sirain ang kanilang mga bahay sa Lanao del Sur.
Mga kaugnay na artikulo

Mga Klase sa Davao nasuspinde dahil sa Crising
4 lalawigan ng Mindanao sa ilalim ng signal ng bagyo hindi. 1

Ang dalawang ay dinala sa Ospital Lanao del Norte Provincial sa Kapatagan para sa medikal na paggamot, sinabi ng National Disaster Risk pagbabawas at Management Council (NDRRMC).

Ang tropikal na depresyon ay matatagpuan sa 80 kilometro (km) timog-kanluran ng General Santos City sa pamamagitan ng 16:00 Martes. Ito ay gumagalaw kanluran hilagang-kanluran sa 24 kilometro bawat oras (kph) na may maximum na hangin ng 45 kph malapit sa sentro, sinabi sa Philippine Atmospheric, geopisiko at Astronomical Serbisyo Administration (Pagasa).

Sa hindi bababa sa 23 lugar ay nakalagay sa ilalim ng signal ng bagyo bilang 1. Ito ang Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Samal Island, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, katimugang bahagi ng Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Sur, Bukidnon, Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, North Cotabato, Maguindanao, Sultan Kudarat, Timog Cotabato , Sarangani, Misamis Occidental, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, at Southern Palawan.
Pagasa sinabi Crising ginawa pagtanaw sa lupain sa katimugang dulo ng Davao del Sur Martes.

Ang tropikal na depresyon ay inaasahan na sa 250 km sa kanluran ng Zamboanga City sa pamamagitan ng Miyerkules hapon, at 500 km timog-kanluran ng Puerto Princesa City sa Palawan sa pamamagitan ng Huwebes hapon.

Pagasa sinabi Crising pa rin pinagsasama-tinatantya lima hanggang 15 millimeters ng ulan sa bawat oras sa loob ng 300 km diameter. Mga residente na naninirahan sa mababang namamalagi at bulubunduking lugar sa ilalim ng pampublikong babala ng bagyo bilang signal 1 inalertuhan laban sa posibleng flashfloods at landslides.

Pangingisda bangka at iba pang mga maliit na seacrafts pa rin pinapayuhan hindi sa venture sa hilagang, eastern at southern seaboards ng Luzon at Central at Eastern seaboards ng Visayas at silangang nasa baybayin ng dagat ng Mindanao. (Sunnex / Sa mga ulat mula sa PNA) - sunstar.com.ph

20 Feb 2013:

4 wounded, close to 60,000 persons affected, and 16 CebuPac flights cancelled due to tropical depression

Civil Defense monitors 4 cities, 8 towns in Central Mindanao for possible landslides. The Philippine Star

Signal 1: Southern Palawan - GMA News

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