SLOW-MOVING BERYL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS; ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE, COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM WEDS  NHCAdv16

(Image NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS GA)
SE RADAR
(Click on image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 292039
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

SLOW-MOVING BERYL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…31.8N 82.5W
ABOUT 40 MI…60 KM N OF WAYCROSS GEORGIA
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM WSW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H.
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT…BRINGING THE CENTER OF BERYL CLOSE TO THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BACK OVER ATLANTIC WATERS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT…BUT BERYL
COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON WEDNESDAY AS IT MOVES ALONG
THE COASTLINE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT…PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...IN
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA…WITH ISOLATED
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

TORNADOES…ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

#BERYL MOVING SLOWLY NE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS, COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM WEDS – NHCAdv15

(Image NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS GA)
SE RADAR
(Click on image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 291431
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

BERYL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…31.5N 82.9W
ABOUT 115 MI…185 KM WSW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 55 MI…85 KM NNE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
TODAY…BRINGING THE CENTER OF BERYL CLOSE TO THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND BACK OVER ATLANTIC WATERS
BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY…BUT BERYL
COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON WEDNESDAY AS IT APPROACHES
THE COASTLINE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…
PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES…IN
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN EASTERN
SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL ADV12 – 28 May 2012 2100GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
BERYL A RAINMAKER
(Click image for source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 282030
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL A RAINMAKER

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.8N 83.1W
ABOUT 10 MI…20 KM E OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
ABOUT 150 MI…240 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CIRCULATION OF
BERYL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGIA…SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…
PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…TOTAL WATER LEVELS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL SOAKS PARTS OF N FLORIDA AND S GEORGIA…MORE RAIN TO COME – NHCAdv11

(Image: NHC NOAA)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

(Image: NWS FL)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

The remnants of Beryl will track northwest then north to northeast tonight across Southeast Georgia. The potential for locally heavy rainfall will exist through the night. A wind and lake wind advisory may be in effect for the early evening. A general decrease in winds is expected through the night. Isolated thunderstorms… however…will have the potential to produce strong wind gusts.

(Image: NWS FL)
JAX RADAR LOOP
(Click image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281450
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL SOAKING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH GEORGIA…MORE
RAIN TO COME

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.5N 82.7W
ABOUT 60 MI…100 KM WNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF RECENTLY DOWNGRADED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5
NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A SLOW TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH…55
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST FO THE CENTER. A
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY
IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A SUBSIDING STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE IS STILL CAUSING NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND
DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI

US: #BERYL, WEAKENING BUT HVY RAIN. MOVING OVER N FLORIDA TODAY, INTO SE GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS FL)
TS Beryl
(Click image to visit NWS Jacksonville)

Tropical Storm Beryl will weaken to a depression tonight as it moves further inland across Southeast Georgia. Rain bands around the broad center will continue to periods of heavy rains and wind gusts to 40 mph. More flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected tonight which could cause more localized flooding.

JAX RADAR

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281212
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A…CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

…CORRECTED FOR CURRENT LOCATION…

BERYL WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.4N 82.5W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER GEORGIA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. BERYL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY AND
INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE PRIMARILY CONFINED TO RAINBANS
OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 140 MILES…220 KM…TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE REGION OF PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN
VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI

US: CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM #BERYL ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND – TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND – NHCAdv 9 28 May 2012 0349GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
TS Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

(Image: NWS Jacksonville, FL)
TS Beryl
(Click image for source)

JAX RADAR (Click image to visit source)

STRONG TROPICAL STORM BERYL will make landfall on the Northeast Florida coast this evening. The west side of the central core rainband has moved onshore and will continue to move inland this evening. Wind gusts, associated with this main band, will approach hurricane force along the immediate coast and up to 60 mph over inland areas. A storm surge of 2 to 4 feet will be possible as the storm makes landfall this evening. Moderate flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside, as the winds along the river shift to a southerly direction. As the center of the storm moves onshore, a several hour period of lighter winds and relatively dry conditions can be expected. The east side of the central core rainband will reach the coast after midnight, bringing with it another round of heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches will be possible overnight.

SHELTERS open at Legends Center at Soutel & Moncrief in NW Jacksonville, FL

000
WTNT32 KNHC 280244
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER�� 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL������ AL022012
1100 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND…TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.2N 81.1W
ABOUT 35 MI…60 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MI…120 KM SSE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/H. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.� BERYL SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND AND
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. HUGUENOT PARK NEAR JACKSONVILLE BEACH RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 53 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH A GUST OF 68
MPH…109 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB…29.32 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE
FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN

Infrared satellite image of TS Beryl at landfall tonight near Jacksonville Beach, FL via @stormchaser4850

US: #BERYL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALREADY ON THE COAST

000
WTNT32 KNHC 272348
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALREADY
ON THE COAST

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.1N 80.5W
ABOUT 75 MI…115 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THE BERYL
IS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL…BUT ANY ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
STRENGTH WOULD MAKE BERYL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. STEADY
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL…AND BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…
185 KM FROM THE CENTER. JACKSONVILLE BEACH PIER RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH…80 KM/H…WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH…95
KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB…29.29 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

US: #BERYL TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NR THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA 27 May 2012 2330GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS Jacksonville, FL)
Tropical Storm BERYL
(Click image to visit source)


STRONG TROPICAL STORM BERYL will make landfall on the Northeast Florida coast this evening. Conditions will deteriorate rapidly as the central core rainband moves onshore between 7 and 10 pm. Wind gusts, associated with this main band, will approach hurricane force along the immediate coast at times this evening. A storm surge of 2 to 4 feet is anticipated near the time of landfall late this evening. Moderate flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside, as the winds along the river shift to a southerly direction. Tropical Storm force winds will expand inland late this evening and continue through the night. Flooding rains will occur through the night with rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches expected overnight, with locally higher amounts possible.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 272042
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NEAR
THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.0N 80.3W
ABOUT 85 MI…140 KM ESE OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 110 MI…175 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…996 MB…29.41 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL AND BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…
185 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES…80
KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH…71 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH…94
KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB…29.41 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN

US: SUB-TROPICAL STORM #BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER, RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

(Image: NHC NOAA)
GOES East Hurricane SECTOR IR Image
(Click on image to visit NHC)

(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271448
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER�� 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL������ AL022012
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.1N 79.6W
ABOUT 125 MI…205 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 135 MI…220 KM ESE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H.� A WESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL.� AFTER LANDFALL…
BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

REPORTS FOR AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH…95
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.� LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI

US: NHC Adv 6A: #Beryl approaches SE coast recon aircraft investigates sub-tropical storm

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271150
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES…RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
STORM

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 78.9W
ABOUT 165 MI…270 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE
CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES…80 KM…
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 45 MPH…72 KM/H.

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI

#BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT

#BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to go to NHC)

 

000
WTNT32 KNHC 270831
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

…BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.5N 78.8W
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES…
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE
CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND
THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS

(Image: NHC NOAA)
GOES East Coast US
(Click image to visit NHC)

NHC Adv 2A #BERYL: TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 261137
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

BERYL MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES COASTLINE

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…32.0N 76.0W
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM SE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY…WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF BERYL
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA
ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA…GEORGIA…SOUTH CAROLINA…AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN

US: Sub-Tropical storm #Beryl forms in Atlantic off South Carolina Coast 26 May 2012 0310GMT/UTC

Sub-Tropical storm #Beryl forms in Atlantic off SE coast of the US

(Image NHC NOAA)
(Click to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 260242
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 74.8W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST...FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...BUT BERYL
SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
BERYL SHOULD BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE
WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.  THESE TIDES MAY CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING. 
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOCAL FORECAST
OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND.  PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

US: Alberto, first named tropical storm of Atlantic hurricane season, SC coast on TS Watch

pic.twitter.com/LBPSwtPiAlberto, first named tropical storm of Atlantic hurricane season, forms off SC coast

Tropical Storm Alberto 1700EDT May19 32.2N 77.7W Wind 45 mph moving SW at 3 mph 1007 mb

More here: http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/19/us/tropical-weather/index.html

NHC advisory here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/204914.shtml?5-daynl#contents

A Tropical Storm Watch now in effect for South Carolina Coastal waters, from Edisto Island north to Santee River

(Picture: NWS)
Last map update: Sat, May. 19, 2012 at 6:54:11 pm EDT

Details here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/chs/

Update at approx 2340GMT/UTC: New reports from a ship (as of 6:50 EDT) showtropical storm Alberto is stronger than thought, w/ 60 mph winds.