US/Canada: Tropical Storm Bertha 051500Z near 34.8N 71.9W, moving NNE at 19 knots (NHC) – Updated 050814 1520z (UTC)

Tropical Storm Bertha

…BERTHA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE….

SURF…SWELLS GENERATED BY BERTHA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COASTS
OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT…..NHC

BERTHA NOW EAST OF THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD -
EXPECTED TO TRACK OFFSHORE – COULD AFFECT EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND
WITH RAIN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY – CHC

(Image: wunderground.com) 5 day forecast (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Satellite (Click image for source)

National Weather ServiceNational Hurricane Center

[Image of 3-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

000
WTNT33 KNHC 051453
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 05 2014

…BERTHA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.8N 71.9W
ABOUT 445 MI…715 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 22 MPH…35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH…35 KM/H….AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND EAST-NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE NEAR 60 MPH…95 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES…205 KM
FROM THE CENTER…MAINLY TO THE EAST.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB…29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF…SWELLS GENERATED BY BERTHA WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COASTS
OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

 

CANADA

Hurricane Track Information

Hurricane Track Information

Canadian Hurricane Centre symbol Legend

Icon for a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained surface winds of 37 to 62 kilometres per hourTropical Depression

Icon for a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained surface winds of at least 118 kilometres per hourHurricane

Icon for a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained surface winds of 63 to 117 kilometres per hourTropical Storm

Icon for a storm system that used to be tropical but has since lost most of its tropical characteristicsPost-Tropical Storm

An example showing a Hurricane icon with three parameters; maximum wind 120 Kilometers per hour; local time and day 15:00 Thu/jeu; and the storm name Andrea.

Visit the Canadian Hurricane Centre to learn more about hurricanes.

WOCN31 CWHX 051145
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT UPDATED BY THE CANADIAN
HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9:00 AM ADT TUESDAY
5 AUGUST 2014.
———————————————————————
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR:
NEWFOUNDLAND
NOVA SCOTIA.

FOR TROPICAL STORM BERTHA.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3:00 PM ADT.

BERTHA NOW EAST OF THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD -
EXPECTED TO TRACK OFFSHORE – COULD AFFECT EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND
WITH RAIN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

———————————————————————
==DISCUSSION==
1. SUMMARY OF BASIC INFORMATION AT 9.00 AM ADT.

LOCATION: 34.3 NORTH 72.2 WEST.

ABOUT 730 KILOMETRES WEST-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 100 KM/HOUR.

PRESENT MOVEMENT: NORTHEAST AT 35 KM/HOUR.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1005 MB.

2. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.

ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT BERTHA WILL PASS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WITH
JUST SOME HIGH CLOUD-COVER FROM IT MOVING OVERHEAD. THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY THAT RAIN FROM THE POST-TROPICAL PHASE OF THE STORM COULD
AFFECT THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND. SOME UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS WITH REGARD TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE TRACK TO THE AVALON
DUE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT MAY INTERACT WITH THE STORM.

A. WIND.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM WILL LIKELY REMAIN
OFFSHORE. HOWEVER THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD AFFECT
SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY THURSDAY IF THE TROUGH MENTIONED
ABOVE PLAYS A GREATER ROLE IN THE STORM’S TRANSFORMATION.

B. RAINFALL.

RAINFALL IS MORE LIKELY TO AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THAN
WIND. AT THIS POINT AMOUNTS OF 25 TO 50 MILLIMETRES ARE POSSIBLE
IF THE RAIN MOVES OVER LAND. MORE INFORMATION WILL BECOME AVAILABLE
IN THIS REGARD LATER TODAY.

C. SURGE/WAVES.

THERE WILL BE SOME OCEAN SWELLS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NOVA
SCOTIA ESPECIALLY LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING WHEN WAVE
HEIGHTS NEAR 2 METRES ARE EXPECTED. NEWFOUNDLAND WILL LIKELY SEE
SOME OCEAN SWELLS AS WELL ON THURSDAY. LARGE WAVES GIVING POUNDING
SURF MAY REACH 4 METRES FOR SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND WITH MUCH LARGER
WAVES EXPECTED OFFSHORE. THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG
SOUTH- AND EAST-FACING BEACHES AS THE OCEAN SWELLS ARRIVE.

3. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY.

STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF EAST SCOTIAN SLOPES AND
LAURENTIAN FAN. GALE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REST OF THE
SOUTHERN MARITIMES MARINE WATERS. BERTHA WILL ALSO BRING GALE FORCE
WINDS TO SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS. ANTICIPATE
STORM-FORCE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN GRAND BANKS.

VISIT weatheroffice.gc.ca/hurricane (ALL IN LOWER CASE) FOR THE
LATEST:

- FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE TABLE.

- STRENGTH AND PREDICTED WIND RADII TABLE.

- HURRICANE TRACK INFORMATION MAP.

- TECHNICAL DISCUSSION.

PLEASE ALSO REFER TO THE PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS AND WARNINGS
ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA FOR YOUR AREA.

END/COUTURIER/FOGARTY
_______________________________________________

http://www.atl.ec.gc.ca/weather/hurricane/subscription_join_e.html

Technical Discussion

 

 

TSR logoN Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 5 Aug, 2014 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BERTHA (AL03) currently located near 34.8 N 71.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St John’s (47.6 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Storm Tracker Map

Storm Tracker Map

Tropical Storm BERTHA: Storm-centered zoom at 117 hours lead (TSR) Updated 1511 UTC

Storm Tracker Map
Tropical Storm BERTHA: Probability of tropical storm winds to 117 hours lead – TSR Updated 1511 UTC

MARITIME/SHIPPING

Graphicast Atlantic

CANADA: Marine Weather Warnings

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 1432

WTNT23 KNHC 051432
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 71.9W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…….110NE 100SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 71.9W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 72.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 37.1N 69.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 120SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.8N 64.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 150SE 60SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.5N 59.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…120NE 180SE 150SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N 53.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…150NE 240SE 180SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N 40.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 49.0N 22.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 51.0N 2.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.8N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

METAREA4 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 1010

FZNT01 KWBC 051010
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 05
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 06
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 07

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BERTHA NEAR 38.6N 66.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE…AND 180 NM SE AND 150
NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BERTHA NEAR 44.1N 56.4W. WITHIN
30 NM NE AND 90 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE…180 NM SE…150 NM SW…AND 60
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW E OF AREA 60N34W 996 MB MOVING SE 10 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO
18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW E OF AREA 57N27W 1000 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SW
AND 480 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS E OF AREA.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH TROPICAL STORM BERTHA
FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 64W AND 73W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL BERTHA DESCRIBED IN WARNINGS
SECTION ABOVE.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 56N TO 61N
BETWEEN 55W AND 60W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 55N TO 61N BETWEEN 56W AND 61W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG OVER FORECAST WATERS W OF A LINE
FROM 62N63W TO 60N54W TO 52N50W.

.HIGH 34N34W 1024 MB MOVING E 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH E OF AREA.

.HIGH 34N57W 1024 MB MOVING E 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 34N52W 1022 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.HIGH 55N44W 1015 MB MOVING NW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 58N45W 1018 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 58N45W 1021 MB.

.HIGH 51N55W 1017 MB MOVING SE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 48N48W 1018 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 47N41W 1018 MB.

.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.

…TROPICAL STORM WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM BERTHA NEAR 33.4N 72.9W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
05 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 19 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM W
SEMICIRCLE…110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE…180 NM SW QUADRANT
AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. FROM 26N TO 28N BETWEEN 75W AND 79W S TO
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BERTHA NEAR 38.6N 66.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
CONDITIONS N OF FORECAST AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N
BETWEEN 70W AND 75W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL BERTHA NEAR 44.1N
56.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS…60 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT. CONDITIONS N OF FORECAST AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL BERTHA NEAR 48.5N
44.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED
OUTLOOK…USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY…ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL BERTHA NEAR 49.3N
28.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL BERTHA NEAR 50.3N
14.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC S OF 22N BETWEEN 71W AND 74W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC FROM 13.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 51W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N
BETWEEN 71W AND 76.5W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
FROM 15N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 70W TO 74W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 76W
AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N
BETWEEN 71W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 74W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

 

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US: Post-tropical Andrea racing NE. Gales coastal RI & southeastern MA.. 080613 0945z

Tropical Storm ANDREA

(Image: wunderground.com) Storm-Centered Satellite Image (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Five Day Forecast Map (Click image for source)

(Image: wunderground.com) Tropical Storm Andrea Radar (Click image for source)

(Image: NHC) Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center (Click image for source)

 

(Image: NHC)Storm Surge Probabilities (Click image for source)

(Image: NHC) SPC: U.S. Tornado
Potential (Click image for source)

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
500 AM EDT SAT JUN 08 2013

…POST-TROPICAL ANDREA RACING NORTHEASTWARD…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…40.9N 72.5W
ABOUT 130 MI…205 KM WSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM WSW OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR PORTIONS OF COASTAL RHODE ISLAND
AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. A HIGH WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION…INCLUDING OTHER INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.9 NORTH…LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH
…56 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND EAST SHOULD OCCUR
TODAY AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE CENTER OF ANDREA
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE U.S. EAST COAST
TODAY…AND THEN ACROSS ATLANTIC CANADA LATE TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES…370 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL…POST-TROPICAL ANDREA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL UP TO 1 INCH OVER PARTS OF COASTAL NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL
BRING ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS TO NEAR 5 INCHES OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

STORM SURGE…LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM LONG ISLAND TO NEW ENGLAND. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

WIND…WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
COAST FROM LONG ISLAND TO ATLANTIC CANADA THROUGH SUNDAY.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 TODO
TTAA00 TJSJ ddhhmm

BOLETN
DESPUS DE CICLON TROPICAL ANDREA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 11
NWS CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL012013
500 AM EDT sb 08 de junio 2013

… POST-TROPICAL RACING ANDREA NORESTE …

RESUMEN DE LAS 500 AM EDT … 0900 UTC … INFORMACIN
———————————————-
UBICACIN … 40.9N 72.5W
ACERCA DE MI 130 … 205 KM OSO DE NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ACERCA DE MI 35 … 55 KM OSO DE LA PUNTA DEL ESTE DE LONG ISLAND
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS … 45 MPH … 75 KM / H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL … NE O 45 GRADOS A 35 MPH … 56 KM / H
PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL … 998 MB … 29.47 PULGADAS

RELOJES Y ADVERTENCIAS
——————–
CAMBIOS CON ESTA ADVERTENCIA …

NINGUNO.

RESUMEN DE LOS RELOJES Y AVISOS EN EFECTO …

GALE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES CERCA DE PARTES DE COASTAL RHODE ISLAND
Y SURESTE DE MASSACHUSETTS. UNA ADVERTENCIA DE VIENTO EN EFECTO
DE NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

PARA OBTENER MS INFORMACIN … INCLUYENDO OTROS RELOJES Y CONTINENTALES
AVISOS … FAVOR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL NACIONAL
PRONSTICO DEL TIEMPO DE SERVICIO OFICINA EN WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS PARA LAS PROXIMAS 48 HORAS
——————————
A LAS 500 AM EDT … 0900 UTC … EL CENTRO DE CICLON TROPICAL POST-
ANDREA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 40.9 NORTE … LONGITUD 72.5 OESTE.
EL CICLON TROPICAL POST-SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 35 MPH
… 56 KM / H. UN GIRO HACIA EL ESTE-NORESTE Y ESTE DEBE OCURRIR
HOY Y EL DOMINGO. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA … EL CENTRO DE ANDREA
Continuar movindose NORESTE CERCA DE LA COSTA ESTE EE.UU.
HOY … Y luego a travs de Canad atlntico HOY TARDE HASTA EL DOMINGO.

LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH … 75 KM / H…WITH SUPERIOR
RAFAGAS. POCO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD SE ESPERA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 48
HORAS.

VIENTOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS … 370 KM
AL ESTE DEL CENTRO.

LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 998 MB … 29.47 PULGADAS.

RIESGOS QUE AFECTAN A LA TIERRA
———————-
LLUVIA … DESPUS DE ANDREA TROPICAL SE ESPERA QUE PRODUZCA ADICIONAL
LLUVIAS HASTA 1 pulgada sobre partes de la costa de Nueva Inglaterra. Esto le
TRAER AISLADAS CANTIDADES TOTALES DE CERCA DE 5 PULGADAS SOBRE PARTES DEL
Sur de Nueva Inglaterra.

STORM SURGE … INUNDACIONES COSTERAS LOCALIZADO ES POSIBLE A LO LARGO DE PORCIONES
DE LA COSTA ESTE DE EE.UU. LONG ISLAND DE NUEVA INGLATERRA. PARA
INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA … FAVOR CONSULTE LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR
SU OFICINA LOCAL NACIONAL DE SERVICIO TIEMPO.

VIENTO … VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE CERCA GALE SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE PARTES DE LA
COSTA DE LONG ISLAND PARA Atlntico canadiense a domingo.

SIGUIENTE AVISO
————-
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA … 1100 AM EDT.

$ $
PREDICCIN DE AVILA

NNNN

Local Statements

Issuing WFO Homepage Local Statement
Wakefield, VA 1048 PM EDT FRI JUN 7
Newport/Morehead City, NC 1045 PM EDT FRI JUN 7

MARITIME

METAREA4 / HURRICANE_ADVISORY / 0831

WTNT21 KNHC 080831
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANDREA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012013
0900 UTC SAT JUN 08 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR PORTIONS OF COASTAL RHODE ISLAND
AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. A HIGH WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION…INCLUDING OTHER INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 72.5W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT……. 0NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 180SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 72.5W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.1N 73.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N 67.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT…180NE 240SE 180SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 46.5N 60.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…210NE 240SE 210SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 47.5N 52.0W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…210NE 240SE 210SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z…ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.9N 72.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

(Image: NHC) Tropical Wave

METAREA4 / HIGH_SEAS_FORECAST / 0338

FZNT01 KWBC 080338
HSFAT1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA IV
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC SAT JUN 08 2013

CCODE/1:31:04:01:00/AOW/NWS/CCODE
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT

SECURITE

NORTH ATLANTIC NORTH OF 31N TO 67N AND WEST OF 35W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC JUN 08
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 09
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC JUN 10

.WARNINGS.

…GALE WARNING…
.POST-TROPICAL ANDREA 38.5N75W 997 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN
240 NM NE AND 210 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO
21 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 31N69W TO 41N51W TO 45N55W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ANDREA 45N63W 1004 MB. WITHIN 210
NM NE AND SW…AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 36N TO 49N BETWEEN 54W AND 73W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ANDREA 47N47W 1001 MB. WITHIN 240
NM OF LOW CENTER…EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 38N TO 49N E OF 59W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 55N48W 1004 MB MOVING E 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 240 NM
SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
600 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 55N36W 1004 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S AND SW…
AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW MOVED E OF AREA. FROM 50N TO 56N E OF 45W
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW 63N39W 1010 MB DRIFTING NW. W AND N OF A LINE FROM 61N40W TO
64N35W TO THE E COAST OF GREENLAND WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DESCRIBED WITH LOW
55N36W ABOVE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 44N40W 1016 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND
540 NM W AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS MOVED E OF AREA.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM WITHIN 360 NM N OF A
LINE FROM 42N50W TO 37N75W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 38N TO 46N BETWEEN 50W AND 74W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM OF 42N50W AND WITHIN
180 NM OF 39N73W.

.HIGH 36N43W 1034 MB MOVING SW 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 35N48W 1033 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 33N49W 1030 MB.

.HIGH 43N44W 1032 MB MOVING E 20 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MOVED E OF AREA.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 48N51W 1025 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH MOVED E OF AREA.

.FORECASTER MILLS. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUN 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUN 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUN 10.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 30N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 21N53W TO 14N55W. FROM 19N TO 23N
BETWEEN 52W AND 59W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN SE SWELL. FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 50W AND 54W E TO SE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 24N60W TO 16N61W. WITHIN
180 NM W OF WAVE AXIS FROM 21N TO 24N E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 56W AND 65W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 26N67W TO 18N68W. FROM 23N
TO 26N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE
SWELL.

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 44W S OF 09N. S OF
10N BETWEEN 41W AND 48W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W S OF 10N. S OF 12N
BETWEEN 45W AND 52W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 57W S OF 11N. FROM 08N TO
15N BETWEEN 52W AND 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE
SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 73W
AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 77W NE TO E
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N
BETWEEN 72W AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

News Reports

Tropical Storm Andrea pummels East Coast

“BOSTON (WHDH) — Soaking rains bore down on places like Peabody Friday night, thanks to an angry Andrea. Kim Santos works at a convenience store. She didnt waste any time and put down sandbags near the door of the store to prevent any flooding. She said the downpours worried her.

I just dont know if I should get ready, prepare and get the sandbags out, start boarding this place up before the water gets in, said Santos.

It may be getting close to the beginning of summer, but the scenes werent anything like that. At a carnival, it was lights out and closed thanks to the storm. The roads saw a lot of water and there was some minor flooding on the North Shore.

Its horrible. Its like floods everywhere, its ridiculous. I just cant believe it. Earlier this week I was playing softball, it was 90 degrees and now its about 50 and its torrential downpour, said Jack Sorrentino.

Everyone was moving slow, including Logan Airport where the storm slowed planes going up and down the East Coast. But many joked about it, saying only in New England could we be soaking in a sweat one week, and now have wind-swept rain and chilly conditions.

Last week I was at my friends house swimming in a pool and I just dont think, I think this is crazy. I cant believe were down here and its so cold out, said Britney Bradberry.

Emergency Management officials are keeping their eyes on the skies. The hope is they wont have to use sandbags, but theyre ready just in case.” – nbcnews.com

Hurricane statistics to know

Tropical Storm Andrea zipping up the East Coast

West Palm Beach, FL (Photo: wptv.com) (Click photo for link to story & video)

JENNIFER KAY | June 7, 2013 04:57 AM EST | AP  huffingtonpost.com

MIAMI — After bringing rains, heavy winds and even tornadoes to parts of Florida, Tropical Storm Andrea was moving quickly toward the coast of Georgia and the Carolinas early Friday, promising sloppy commutes and waterlogged vacation getaways through the beginning of the weekend.

The first named storm of the Atlantic season was losing some intensity late Thursday and by early Friday, its winds were down to 45 mph (75 kph).

Ben Nelson, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Jacksonville, said Andrea was moving at a pretty brisk pace and could lose its tropical characteristics as early as Friday morning.

However, forecasters warned it could cause isolated flooding and storm surge over the next two days.

Heavy rains were continuing well away from the storms center. The weather service in Charleston, S.C., advised of an enhanced coastal flooding threat near the high tide Friday morning, as well as of possible tornadoes. Rain bands could bring wind gusts in excess of 40 mph or 50 mph, the weather service said.

Early Friday, tropical storm warnings remained in effect for the East Coast from Altamaha Sound in Georgia to Cape Charles Light in Virginia, the Pamlico and Albemarle sounds and the lower Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort. A tropical storm warning means tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere inside the warning area within a day and a half.

As of 5 a.m. EDT Friday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said Andrea was about 30 miles (50 kilometers) northeast of Savannah, Ga., having made landfall a day earlier in Floridas Big Bend area. Andrea was moving northeast near 28 mph (44 kph).

Rains and winds from the storm were forecast to sweep northward along the Southeastern U.S. coast Friday.

Florida Gov. Rick Scott had warned of the risk of tornadoes, and officials said that eight were confirmed across the state.

This one fortunately is a fast-moving storm, he said Thursday. Slower-moving storms can pose a greater flood risk because they have more time to linger and dump rain.

In The Acreage, a part of Palm Beach County, Fla., pre-kindergarten teacher Maria Cristina Arias choked back tears and clutched valuable personal papers as she surveyed the damage done by a tornado to her five-bedroom home when she was away. Windows were smashed and a neighbors shed had crashed into her bedroom.

Its all destroyed, she told The Palm Beach Post. This is unbelievable. I dont know what were going to do.

Her 19-year-old son, Christian, was sleeping when he heard a loud noise.

It was really scary, said the teen, who wasnt hurt. It sounded like something exploded. I didnt know what was going on.

Meanwhile, south Georgia residents were bracing for high winds and heavy rains that could lead to flooding.

On Cumberland Island off the Georgia cost, the National Park Service was evacuating campers as the storm approached Thursday.

My main concern is the winds, said chief park ranger Bridget Bohnet. Were subject to trees falling and limbs breaking, and I dont want anybody getting hurt.

Forecasters were predicting the storm would pass through Georgia overnight, and the island would likely re-open to tourists Friday.

It looks like its picking up speed and thats a good thing because it wont sit and rain on us so long, said Jan Chamberlain, whose family runs the Blue Heron Inn Bed & Breakfast near the Sapelo Island Ferry station on Georgias coast, on Thursday.

In the Carolinas, Andreas biggest threat was heavy rain, with as much as 6 inches expected, the weather service said.

Forecasters didnt expect major problems, however, along the most vulnerable parts of the coast such as the Outer Banks, a popular tourist destination.

John Elardo, a meteorologist with the weather service in Newport, N.C., said the storm would push major waves to the north and northeast, away from the Outer Banks, where storms in the fall and winter wore away dunes and washed out portions of N.C. Highway 12, the only road connecting the barrier island to the mainland of North Carolina.

Andrea could bring up to a foot of flooding on the sound side of the Outer Banks, Elardo said.

The rain threatened to ruin a beach day for Angela Hursh, 41, of Cincinnati, who had rented a house in Frisco, N.C. Hursh was planning Friday to soak in the hot tub and watch movies with her 9-year-old and 13-year-old daughters.

I think were just going to hunker down and eat junk food, Hursh said Thursday.

Doug Brindley, who owns a vacation lodging rental service on the northern end of the Outer Banks near Virginia, said Thursday he expects all outdoor activities to be washed out Friday, driving tens of thousands of early-summer vacationers toward unexpected shopping sprees.

Were going to have rain and wind, said Brindley, who owns Brindley Beach Vacations and Sales. Retailers are going to love it.

In Cuba, heavy rains associated with the storm system have soaked the western part of the island for the past several days, overflowing rivers and damaging crops. At least 30 towns were cut off by flooding, and more than 2,600 people sought refuge from the rising waters at relatives homes or state-run shelters, the Communist Party newspaper Granma reported Thursday.

___

Contributing to this report were Associated Press writers Jeff Martin in Atlanta; Russ Bynum in Savannah, Ga.; Gary Fineout and Brent Kallestad in Tallahassee, Fla.; Peter Orsi in Havana; and Emery P. Dalesio in Raleigh, N.C.

SLOW-MOVING BERYL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS; ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE, COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM WEDS  NHCAdv16

(Image NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS GA)
SE RADAR
(Click on image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 292039
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

SLOW-MOVING BERYL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…31.8N 82.5W
ABOUT 40 MI…60 KM N OF WAYCROSS GEORGIA
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM WSW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H.
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT…BRINGING THE CENTER OF BERYL CLOSE TO THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AND BACK OVER ATLANTIC WATERS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT…BUT BERYL
COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON WEDNESDAY AS IT MOVES ALONG
THE COASTLINE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT…PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA TONIGHT. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...IN
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA…WITH ISOLATED
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

TORNADOES…ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

#BERYL MOVING SLOWLY NE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS, COULD BECOME TROPICAL STORM WEDS – NHCAdv15

(Image NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS GA)
SE RADAR
(Click on image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 291431
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2012

BERYL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…31.5N 82.9W
ABOUT 115 MI…185 KM WSW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 55 MI…85 KM NNE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H. A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
TODAY…BRINGING THE CENTER OF BERYL CLOSE TO THE COAST OF SOUTH
CAROLINA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND BACK OVER ATLANTIC WATERS
BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY…BUT BERYL
COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS ON WEDNESDAY AS IT APPROACHES
THE COASTLINE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…
PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES…IN
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN EASTERN
SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL ADV12 – 28 May 2012 2100GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
BERYL A RAINMAKER
(Click image for source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 282030
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL A RAINMAKER

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.8N 83.1W
ABOUT 10 MI…20 KM E OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
ABOUT 150 MI…240 KM SW OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH…LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
SHOULD BEGIN ON TUESDAY. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CIRCULATION OF
BERYL OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGIA…SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH…45 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB…29.62 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…ISOLATED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…
PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…TOTAL WATER LEVELS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL DEPRESSION #BERYL SOAKS PARTS OF N FLORIDA AND S GEORGIA…MORE RAIN TO COME – NHCAdv11

(Image: NHC NOAA)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

(Image: NWS FL)
TD Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

The remnants of Beryl will track northwest then north to northeast tonight across Southeast Georgia. The potential for locally heavy rainfall will exist through the night. A wind and lake wind advisory may be in effect for the early evening. A general decrease in winds is expected through the night. Isolated thunderstorms… however…will have the potential to produce strong wind gusts.

(Image: NWS FL)
JAX RADAR LOOP
(Click image to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281450
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
1100 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

BERYL SOAKING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH GEORGIA…MORE
RAIN TO COME

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.5N 82.7W
ABOUT 60 MI…100 KM WNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF RECENTLY DOWNGRADED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5
NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH…9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A SLOW TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH…55
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST FO THE CENTER. A
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY
IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A SUBSIDING STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE IS STILL CAUSING NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND
DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI

US: #BERYL, WEAKENING BUT HVY RAIN. MOVING OVER N FLORIDA TODAY, INTO SE GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image for source)

(Image: NWS FL)
TS Beryl
(Click image to visit NWS Jacksonville)

Tropical Storm Beryl will weaken to a depression tonight as it moves further inland across Southeast Georgia. Rain bands around the broad center will continue to periods of heavy rains and wind gusts to 40 mph. More flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected tonight which could cause more localized flooding.

JAX RADAR

000
WTNT32 KNHC 281212
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A…CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012

…CORRECTED FOR CURRENT LOCATION…

BERYL WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.4N 82.5W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER GEORGIA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. BERYL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH…13 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY AND
INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65 KM/H…
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE PRIMARILY CONFINED TO RAINBANS
OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 140 MILES…220 KM…TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY…PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE
GROUND DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
THE REGION OF PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN
VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI

US: CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM #BERYL ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND – TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND – NHCAdv 9 28 May 2012 0349GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
TS Beryl
(Click image to visit source)

(Image: NWS Jacksonville, FL)
TS Beryl
(Click image for source)

JAX RADAR (Click image to visit source)

STRONG TROPICAL STORM BERYL will make landfall on the Northeast Florida coast this evening. The west side of the central core rainband has moved onshore and will continue to move inland this evening. Wind gusts, associated with this main band, will approach hurricane force along the immediate coast and up to 60 mph over inland areas. A storm surge of 2 to 4 feet will be possible as the storm makes landfall this evening. Moderate flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside, as the winds along the river shift to a southerly direction. As the center of the storm moves onshore, a several hour period of lighter winds and relatively dry conditions can be expected. The east side of the central core rainband will reach the coast after midnight, bringing with it another round of heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches will be possible overnight.

SHELTERS open at Legends Center at Soutel & Moncrief in NW Jacksonville, FL

000
WTNT32 KNHC 280244
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER�� 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL������ AL022012
1100 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL ABOUT TO MOVE INLAND…TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING INLAND

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.2N 81.1W
ABOUT 35 MI…60 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 75 MI…120 KM SSE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…993 MB…29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH…11 KM/H. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.� BERYL SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND AND
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. HUGUENOT PARK NEAR JACKSONVILLE BEACH RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 53 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH A GUST OF 68
MPH…109 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB…29.32 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE
FORCE ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN

Infrared satellite image of TS Beryl at landfall tonight near Jacksonville Beach, FL via @stormchaser4850

US: #BERYL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALREADY ON THE COAST

000
WTNT32 KNHC 272348
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ALREADY
ON THE COAST

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.1N 80.5W
ABOUT 75 MI…115 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE THE BERYL
IS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 MPH…110 KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL…BUT ANY ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
STRENGTH WOULD MAKE BERYL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE. STEADY
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL…AND BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…
185 KM FROM THE CENTER. JACKSONVILLE BEACH PIER RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH…80 KM/H…WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH…95
KM/H.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB…29.29 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN

US: #BERYL TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NR THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA 27 May 2012 2330GMT/UTC

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click image to visit NHC)

(Image: NWS Jacksonville, FL)
Tropical Storm BERYL
(Click image to visit source)


STRONG TROPICAL STORM BERYL will make landfall on the Northeast Florida coast this evening. Conditions will deteriorate rapidly as the central core rainband moves onshore between 7 and 10 pm. Wind gusts, associated with this main band, will approach hurricane force along the immediate coast at times this evening. A storm surge of 2 to 4 feet is anticipated near the time of landfall late this evening. Moderate flooding is possible at normally flood prone areas, especially in the areas of San Marco and Riverside, as the winds along the river shift to a southerly direction. Tropical Storm force winds will expand inland late this evening and continue through the night. Flooding rains will occur through the night with rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches expected overnight, with locally higher amounts possible.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 272042
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NEAR
THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.0N 80.3W
ABOUT 85 MI…140 KM ESE OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 110 MI…175 KM SE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…996 MB…29.41 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A WESTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH…100 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL AND BERYL IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…
185 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES…80
KM…EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH…71 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH…94
KM/H.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB…29.41 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA…2 TO 4 FT
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA…1 TO 2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES…WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES…FROM
NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN

US: SUB-TROPICAL STORM #BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER, RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

(Image: NHC NOAA)
GOES East Hurricane SECTOR IR Image
(Click on image to visit NHC)

(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271448
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER�� 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL������ AL022012
1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.1N 79.6W
ABOUT 125 MI…205 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 135 MI…220 KM ESE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH…LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H.� A WESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL.� AFTER LANDFALL…
BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN
NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

REPORTS FOR AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH…95
KM/H…WITH HIGHER GUSTS.� LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED
BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI

US: NHC Adv 6A: #Beryl approaches SE coast recon aircraft investigates sub-tropical storm

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271150
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

BERYL HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES…RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
STORM

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 78.9W
ABOUT 165 MI…270 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE
CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES…80 KM…
EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 45 MPH…72 KM/H.

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI

#BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT

#BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to go to NHC)

 

000
WTNT32 KNHC 270831
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012

…BERYL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST…EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.5N 78.8W
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES…
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH…17 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY…FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK…THE
CENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND
THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH…85 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER
LANDFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES…150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS…INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS…ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH
CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY…800 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS

(Image: NHC NOAA)
GOES East Coast US
(Click image to visit NHC)

NHC Adv 2A #BERYL: TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

(Image: NHC NOAA)
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center
(Click on image to visit NHC)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 261137
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
800 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012

BERYL MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES COASTLINE

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…32.0N 76.0W
ABOUT 175 MI…280 KM SE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
AT 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH…LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. BERYL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH…7 KM/H. A WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY…WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST
EXPECTED ON SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF BERYL
WILL BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH…75 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES…185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB…29.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND…TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA
ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE…THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE…

COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA…GEORGIA…AND NORTH FLORIDA…
1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION…WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE…AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA…PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

SURF…DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA…GEORGIA…SOUTH CAROLINA…AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

RAINFALL…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY…1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN

US: Sub-Tropical storm #Beryl forms in Atlantic off South Carolina Coast 26 May 2012 0310GMT/UTC

Sub-Tropical storm #Beryl forms in Atlantic off SE coast of the US

(Image NHC NOAA)
(Click to visit source)

000
WTNT32 KNHC 260242
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022012
1100 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2012

...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE SOUTHEWESTERN ATLANTIC...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 74.8W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES COAST...FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE IN
NORTHEAST FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST. THE
STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...BUT BERYL
SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN OVERNIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
BERYL SHOULD BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE
WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEAST FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.  THESE TIDES MAY CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING. 
PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOCAL FORECAST
OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...GEORGIA...AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND.  PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

US: Alberto, first named tropical storm of Atlantic hurricane season, SC coast on TS Watch

pic.twitter.com/LBPSwtPiAlberto, first named tropical storm of Atlantic hurricane season, forms off SC coast

Tropical Storm Alberto 1700EDT May19 32.2N 77.7W Wind 45 mph moving SW at 3 mph 1007 mb

More here: http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/19/us/tropical-weather/index.html

NHC advisory here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/204914.shtml?5-daynl#contents

A Tropical Storm Watch now in effect for South Carolina Coastal waters, from Edisto Island north to Santee River

(Picture: NWS)
Last map update: Sat, May. 19, 2012 at 6:54:11 pm EDT

Details here: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/chs/

Update at approx 2340GMT/UTC: New reports from a ship (as of 6:50 EDT) showtropical storm Alberto is stronger than thought, w/ 60 mph winds.